Service Plays Friday 4/24/20

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Weekly Bankroll Builder: April 24 Gulfstream Park Late Pk4 play April 22, 2020 | By Brian Nadeau
Weekly Bankroll Builder: April 24 Gulfstream Park Late Pk4 play

Wednesday, April 22, 2020 by Race Chat Host Brian Nadeau
With the Stronach 5 on hiatus for the time being, let’s alternate between Gulfstream’s late Pk5 and Pk4 on Friday’s, as even though the Championship Meet has ended, the racing is still flush with top connections and deep fields.

*** Please take note that this analysis is done upwards of 48 hours in advance, so obviously weather, track conditions and especially late scratches can and will have an effect. Please check back around 4pm Friday for an update, as well as on Twitter. ***

Race 7 (4:15 ET): 3up 12.5k claimer at 6 furlongs

With the last three legs of the sequence looking mighty tough, let’s kick things off with a single, since it looks like #4 COMBINATION (3-1) looks like a potential standout off four straight sharp runs with big figures (for these), and the fact he goes off the claim for Sancal (a 2-for-11 move), lures Saez, and figures to sit the right trip just off the speed. He also looks in the 7-5 range, so by singling we’ll maximize his value, while allowing for more coverage in the three ensuing legs, which are much deeper.

Pk4 A horses: 4 (listed in order of preference)

The drop in class might wake up #6 PHANTOM RO (7-2), as he’s been facing much better, while getting back to what looks like his preferred surface, and over a GP main track he’s 2-for-6 on.

Pk4 B horses: 6

Potential B add ins: #2 Jersey Joe (8-1), #3 French Quarter (4-1), #8 Kyle (6-1), #7 Joe Di Baggio (8-1)

Race 8: 3yof AOC (75k/N1X) at 1 1/8 miles (turf)

The first of a trio of toughies is the definition of a spread, as the favorites all look similar on paper, and the odd strong favorite—#3 EVE OF WAR (9-5)—has never been on turf and comes in off a dud on the main track. I’ll go with the newcomer #1 NOPE (10-1), who had solid GIII European form, has worked forwardly for her US debut, drew best of all, and adds Lasix for a Walsh barn that has had some good success here this year. There’s little doubt #2 SECRET STASH (9-2) has a huge chance off that 3rd in a GIII at Tampa last time, her first start since October, and she’s another who got helped by the draw. Obviously you have to use Eve of War, and maybe she gets loose on the stretchout after a troubled start/trip last time, but it’s odd to see her on the turf off just one bad start and a sparkling debut, and these are not great stats for Pletcher (just 12% first-turf), so tread lightly. Lightly raced runners #7 APOGEE (10-1) and #6 ELLA BRILLA (8-1) need to step up their game, but have plenty of upside off just four total starts for sharp barns, so they are worth inclusion at nice prices.

Pk4 A horses: 3,1,2,6,7

Maybe I’m a little stubborn using #5 SKYE ROW (6-1) on the B line, but she’s facing winners, and the five-pack above look a little better, so let’s keep her underneath, even though her MSW win last time was solid enough. The drop out of several stakes should help #9 SUNSET PROMISE (8-1), and her form fits with these, but this wide draw is doom, an at 1-for-10 there’s no upside here.

Pk4 B horses: 5,9

Potential B add ins: NONE

Race 9: 3upfm AOC (25k/N1X) at 1 1/16 miles

With the locals not all that overwhelming, let’s go with a fresh new face in #1 SLAM DUNK (3-1), who showed a lot of promise as a 2yo, drew well for her two-turn debut (don’t forget they run to the first finish line at this distance), and looks primed to pick up where she left off, which was an MSW romp at CD in November. If there’s a horse bred for the main track it’s #4 WHISPERING BEAUTY (9-2), who has run five times on turf, but she’s by Arch and is out of a Storm Cat mare, so she may be poised for a breakthrough with blinkers-on. The wildcard is #3 GRACEFUL PRINCESS (5-2), who has some mixed 2yo form for Nicks but now starts for Pletcher, who is 22% with newcomers and 29% off 180+ - day layoffs, and note two of her best races were here last year.

Pk4 A horses: 1,4,3

A lack of speed might be the undoing of #5 HUNTNG SEASON (7-2), who will like getting back to the dirt, though she’s very slow on paper and might not like this tricky trip. I have no idea what to make of #7 SHREWDNESS (6-1), who has run eight times on turf/synthetics and isn’t bred for this, but Biancone is 9-for-30 turf-to-dirt, which is good enough for me to include her underneath.

Pk4 B horses: 5,7

Potential B add ins: NONE

Race 10: 3yup 12.5k MCL at 5 furlongs (turf)

I have nothing clever here, so I’ll blanket the race with the five who can win, as there are several who can’t. Top honors go to #5 NOTHIN BUT NET (4-1), who goes off the Orseno claim, has solid turf sprint form, and runs as a first-time gelding with the proper spacing as well. Taking a short price on #11 CANDY COMA (9-5) doesn’t seem prudent, as he could win for 25k at 4-5 on debut and meets a solid crew here,
from a wide draw as well. A drop in class, second-time turf, and second-time Joseph may all prove key for #12 ANNUALIZED (6-1), who was a closing 4th last time and will get some pace here. The move to Saez says it’s go-time with #8 FIFTY CENTS (9-2), and getting back to the turf says as much too, so expect him to be a real threat from close range, and he only has 3 ¼ lengths to make up on ‘Coma, after a very troubled trip too. I can’t imagine you’ll get 12-1 on #3 KOBE FIFTY TWO, since Zerpa is 6-for-13 with firsters and 5-for-10 with debut MCL’ers, not to mention 35% in turf sprints and 32% with Jaramillo up, but the price should be fair, and with the top-4 not world beaters, he needs to be used.

Pk4 A horses: 5,11,12,8,3

No one else remotely entices for the win, as they all look far below the top quintet.

Pk4 B horses: NONE

Potential B add ins: #9 Swingin On a Star (12-1)

The suggested tickets:

Main Ticket (play for $1): 4 with 3,1,2,6,7 with 1,4,3 with 5,11,12,8,3 = $75 (for $1)
Race 7 B Backup: 6 with 3,1,2,6,7 with 1,4,3 with 5,11,12,8,3 = $37.50
Race 8 B Backup: 4 with 5,9 with 1,4,3 with 5,11,12,8,3 = $15
Race 9 B Backup: 4 with 3,1,2,6,7 with 5,7 with 5,11,12,8,3 = $25

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 Mr Tito's
Wilkes charge didn't run an inch on debut at CD last June and hasn't been seen since, but that was a very key race, he now takes the biggest drop in racing, meets a crew there for the taking, returns with Lasix and as a first-time gelding, drew perfectly, and goes for a barn that is 20% off this extended break; look out.


First in Line
Lightly raced runner goes for a Weaver barn having a banner year, and keeps Saez, who is a man among boys in these parts, so this one has a big shot, and plenty of upside too, though this wide draw won't help, and he doesn't have a lot of speed either, so at underlaid odds he's a bit tough to trust; still, plenty scary.


#2 Plan of Attack
Price player finally gets a good draw after no-chance wide posts in his last two going 1m, and it's not like he ran poorly in either, so while he's not as appealing as the top pair, there's reason to think he puts his best foot forward here, which would put him in the mix and what figures to be overlaid odds; hardly impossible.


Race Summary
There's plenty of reasons to think the 1 fires a big shot here, both because of some angles he brings, and the lack of some the rest have to offer, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well, since he looks live, and figures to run a lot better than his debut, which means the rest of these who are predominantly stuck in neutral woould be in trouble.


Gulfstream Park - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#2 Borrowed Angel
MSW dropper chased a hot pace on debut then retreated at huge odds, and while the 92-1 is long gone, she'll still offer value, will only improve against a group like this, meets just one to fear, adds Lasix and blinkers as well, and gets a huge jock upgrade to Saez; upset special.


#3 I'm Prayingfofrthat
Heavy favorite wins this for fun if she runs back to the sharp 2nd against slightly better two-back, and the close 9th in a two-turn rout against Florida-MSW foes last time can be excused, so being back with friends, and sprinting, says she'll be a real handful; looks tough to deny.


#6 Cultivation
Price player hasn't had clear sailing in either of her last two, but the run two-back, she she settled early and was 2nd, beaten just a nose, puts her in the mix here, though after nine starts, with just one recent good showings, means she's tough to trust; tread very lightly here.


Race Summary
The price will still be worth the risk-reward on the 2, and she has a world of upside as well, while havng to only scale one mountain in the 3, as opposed to several huge threats, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially the early Pk5/Pk4, since budget players will all be singling the chalk, which means a win by the pick would go a long way in knocking out a a lot of tickets.


Gulfstream Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#3 East Coast Swing
Turf/synthetic miss has yet to run on dirt, but sure is bred for it (Exchange Rate out of a Street Cry mare), has speed, two-turn foundation, and adds blinks too; thinking she's firing a big shot.


#2 Simple Story
Lightly raced runner was all-out to beat 50k MCL'ers last time, with a modest figure too, so while she has plenty of upside, facing winners is never easy, and she'll be overbet too; second-best.


#6 Lady Fiorella
Tricky read drops in class but it comes off a no-show last time, which is fine, except her prior two at that level were solid, so she may be off-form, yet will be bet like she's not; mixed signals.


Race Summary
Being a fresh new face in a spot like this is never a bad thing nor is having speed over the GP main track, so give the 3 a look in all the slots at this 4-1 ML or better, as well as to kick off the late Pk4, since she might get overlooked here, even though she seems to be catching the right field, and could improve in a big way in her initial dirt try.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Tampa Bay Downs - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#7 Etelka
Will need to fire fresh off the December layoff, but the guess is that she'll be able to as she ran a big one first time out. Would be attractive at something like the 7/2 ML offering.


#6 Baci
Has a right to be tough with these after a good runner-up effort last out. The form tends to be a bit spotty, though, so I wouldn't be too excited to take any kind of short number while counting on her to repeat every bit of that last one.


#9 Stoney's Monkey
Think she's a bit of a reach on top, but he did move forward in that second start off the bench, and she's a gimmicks player if she has another step in the right direction in her.


Race Summary
Etelka ran very well in her career debut in December, and the drop doesn't feel really panicky at this point in time. If she runs back to it, she's there.


Tampa Bay Downs - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#10 Gran Old Parr
Barn can get this one home at first asking, and he doesn't meet a particularly imposing cast in this first trip to post.


#1 Bee By the Sea
Adds Lasix for this second start after actually earning a decent figure for the level at 73/1 in the debut. No clue if it was legit or if he's good enough, but at something like 8/1 he'd be in the mix.


#11 Uncle Kevin
5/2 ML favorite drops off the clunker last time out, and that makes him a tough call. If he can run to anything approaching that debut effort, the rest of these probably run for second, but I'd want a fair number to find out which guy shows up today.


Race Summary
Gran Old Parr probably won't have to be a star to handle this group at first asking, but that also depends on what kind of effort Uncle Kevin brings to the table today. That guy is the wildcard off the dull run, but I fear he's overbet based on his realistic chances of winning this.


Tampa Bay Downs - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#1 What a Hoot
Showed some tactical pace last out before backing up when running two turns, and the cutback to this seven-furlong trip allow him to finish a bit better this time around.


#3 Will Runaway
Moved forward nicely to score last out, but he'll face a bit better in this spot while probably taking his fair share of the action.


#11 Credit Cycle
Has now put together a nice string of races while knocking on the door, and he draws well here to find a spot into the turn.


Race Summary
What a Hoot cuts back with a little bit of positional pace that can keep her in touch at this seven-furlong run, and he might get a cozy trip from the inside.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Remington Park - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#3 Twisted Fashion
Finished 3rd in a Derby last out and should be ultra tough in this allowance; has been on the board in 6 of 8 and looks like the one to beat here.


#4 High Rate of Fury
Was 2nd and 3rd under the wire and was moved up one spot in each via disqualification; has trained well for his 1st of the year.


#1 Wired Special
Was three-quarters of a length behind the top pick here last time and is capable of another big effort along the inside.


Race Summary
Twisted Fashion has been fairly close to the always-tough Southern Electric and should be very difficult for others to handle.


Remington Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#1 Crossing Boundaries
Was mid-pack in a Derby trial and had a troubled start vs. maiden specials; capable of moving up on the class drop.


#4 One Fabulous Royal
Was in tough spots in her 1st two races and was roughed up at the start of early; can be a factor with a clean start.


#7 Bv My Guy
Failed vs. maiden specials in his only start and should improve on this class drop.


Race Summary
Crossing Boundaries has been taking on good foes and this class drop should put her over the top.


Remington Park - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#9 High Rate Runaway
Lost his chance last time when an opponent forced him to the outside; drops in class and can wake up here.


#1 Easier To Lie
Was 5th, beaten a length in each of her last two and make a run along the rail; dangerous.


#7 Sweet Blazin Fire
Ran an even 4th at a higher level last time and is eligible to show improvement in her return.


Race Summary
High Rate Runaway's last race is a throw-out due to trouble and he has several races on his form that would be good enough to win this.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Oaklawn Park



Oaklawn Park - Race 2

Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)



Starter Allowance $12,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $19,500 • Post: 1:35P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $12,500 OR LESS IN ONE OF THEIR LAST THREE STARTS. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 24, 2020 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 24, 2020 ALLOWED 6 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * JOSIE THE E F FIVE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. TIZANILLUSION: Horse 's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. STURDY ONE: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. STAYTHIRSTYMYAMIGO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's thi rd or fourth start after a layoff. RANSOMED: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



7

JOSIE THE E F FIVE

10/1


5/1




2

TIZANILLUSION

9/2


7/1




1

STURDY ONE

5/2


7/1




8

STAYTHIRSTYMYAMIGO

12/1


7/1




5

RANSOMED

3/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

SWEET TATUM

4


12/1

Front-runner

91


82


91.8


68.4


57.9




2

TIZANILLUSION

2


9/2

Front-runner

87


78


84.6


80.4


75.9




7

JOSIE THE E F FIVE

7


10/1

Alternator/Front-runner

93


81


78.2


77.8


73.3




1

STURDY ONE

1


5/2

Stalker

88


85


82.8


86.2


75.7




9

COUNCIL RULES

9


15/1

Stalker

86


75


82.2


77.2


65.7




5

RANSOMED

5


3/1

Stalker

90


82


67.0


76.0


68.0




8

STAYTHIRSTYMYAMIGO

8


12/1

Alternator/Stalker

82


86


67.6


81.4


71.4




6

SHE'S A DIME

6


9/2

Trailer

79


87


64.2


73.2


60.2




3

ZELLA ROSE

3


10/1

Trailer

87


74


44.4


74.6


60.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park



Gulfstream Park - Race 8

$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 8-9-10)



Optional Claiming $75,000 • 1 1/8 Miles • Turf • Age 3 • CR: 93 • Purse: $46,000 • Post: 4:46P


(RAIL AT 115 FEET). FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $75,000. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE MARCH 24 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $75,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $62,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) (CONDITION ELIGIBILITY). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILEAND ONE EIGHTH)





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. NEW DAY DAWNING is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SECRET STASH (IRE): Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LADY PANDA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. EVE O F WAR: Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts). SUNSET PROMISE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. NEW DAY DAWNING: Horse h ad a bullet workout within the last seven days.



2

SECRET STASH (IRE)

9/2


5/1




8

LADY PANDA

15/1


7/1




3

EVE OF WAR

9/5


7/1




9

SUNSET PROMISE

8/1


8/1




4

NEW DAY DAWNING

8/1


8/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

NEW DAY DAWNING

4


8/1

Front-runner

83


85


83.4


84.4


69.4




9

SUNSET PROMISE

9


8/1

Stalker

87


88


89.8


84.8


74.8




8

LADY PANDA

8


15/1

Stalker

86


92


83.8


82.6


75.6




3

EVE OF WAR

3


9/5

Stalker

83


100


82.2


82.2


72.7




5

SKYE SNOW

5


6/1

Stalker

87


85


81.7


81.2


71.7




6

ELLA BRILLA

6


8/1

Stalker

82


79


58.4


68.9


54.4




2

SECRET STASH (IRE)

2


9/2

Alternator/Stalker

92


89


73.3


88.6


84.6




7

APOGEE

7


10/1

Trailer

87


79


67.3


74.9


66.9























Unknown Running Style: NOPE (IRE) (10/1) [Jockey: Davis Dylan - Trainer: Walsh Brendan P].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 59

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 24 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 10 YOUR ADORABLE 3/1




# 7 SOPRESCIOUS 4/1




# 8 SHE BE FIRE N ICE 6/1




YOUR ADORABLE has a competitive shot to take this race. With one of the most competitive riders in terms of profits at the window, don't count this filly out. Decent choice to take this race going in a dirt sprint. The handler wheels this horse back soon to race again. SOPRESCIOUS - Ran a strong last race. Has been close up at the finishing post most every time lately. SHE BE FIRE N ICE - Garcia will most likely be able to get this filly to break out early in this event. She has been running quite well and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the best in this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #6 - Post: 2:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,500 Class Rating: 67

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#1 BEE BY THE SEA (ML=8/1)
#6 COMPOUND INTEREST (ML=8/1)
#10 GRAN OLD PARR (ML=3/1)


BEE BY THE SEA - It looks like Alencar had to learn about this gelding on Apr 1st when riding him for the initial time. Back on again today. Last time around the track was at Tampa Bay Downs in a race with a class figure of 72. Dropping drastically in class rating this time out puts him in a solid position in this event. When the real running starts, this gelding should be finishing best of all. The 56 most recent race speed figure looks strong on paper. I always like to see a thoroughbred getting Lasix for the first time. Ubide adds it on this one today. COMPOUND INTEREST - Look at this pattern of improvement. 24/42/51 are the last 3 Equibase speed figs. GRAN OLD PARR - Centeno and Barboza perform well when they join forces. It's hard to beat a +120 ROI for a jock and conditioner. Barboza adds Lasix to this one today. I'd look for a chance at a big improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 UNCLE KEVIN (ML=5/2), #9 LEBASI (ML=6/1), #7 UKNOWTHEDRILL (ML=8/1),

UNCLE KEVIN - Tough for anyone who saw this mount in his last event to invest in him this time. LEBASI - I find it hard to bet on any mount in a short distance event if he hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last 60 days. Mediocre rating last out at Mountaineer Park at 6 furlongs. Don't believe this horse will improve too much in today's race. UKNOWTHEDRILL - Don't think that this gelding has value at 8/1 in today's event.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#1 BEE BY THE SEA is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,6,10]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,6,10] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 440y on the Dirt. Purse: $9700 Class Rating: 64

QUARTER HORSE 440Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 8 HACKSAW HERO 3/1




# 2 CR FUTURE 5/1




# 10 ONE HIDDEN FEATURE 10/1




I've got to go with HACKSAW HERO. Looks quite good against this field and should be one of the front-runners. Is tough not to examine based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been quite good - 69 avg - of late. The average Equibase class rating alone makes this one a solid contender. CR FUTURE - Overall the speed figures of this horse look respectable in this race. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the field recently. ONE HIDDEN FEATURE - I can't pass on this gelding given one of the strongest jockey and handler combos on the grounds. With a +10 ROI, this rider and conditioner duo has produced solid dividends lately for risk takers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park



04/24/20, OP, Race 1, 1.05 CT
04/24/20,OP,1,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $17,200. FOR ARKANSAS BRED (WHICH QUALIFY UNDER RULES GOVERNING ARKANSAS-BREDS) MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
11
Sing a Song Too
8-1
De La Cruz W
Martin William N.
WL
57.14
2.14/$1


099.90
10
Do Me a Favor
3-1
Santana. Jr. R
Asmussen Steven M.
J
35.71
1.33/$1


099.81
5
Miss Casey Beth
5/2
Harr K
Dixon Tim
S
46.51
1.70/$1


099.60
1
Dat Girl
6-1
Birzer A
Hornsby Tammy
E
57.14
2.14/$1


098.17
14
Wish for Candy
5-1
Felix J E
Roberts Stanley W.


57.14
2.14/$1


097.29
6
Arkansas Invasion
8-1
Richard R
Williams Steve F.
C
50.00
1.97/$1


097.26
8
Couverture
10-1
Vazquez R A
Moquett Ron
T
35.71
1.33/$1


097.16
12
Aunt Sunshine
10-1
Talamo J
Deville Carl J.


35.71
1.33/$1


096.28
4
Laura N Lukas
12-1
Lara E
Litfin Nevada
F
35.71
1.33/$1


092.88
9
Cloudywithachance
20-1
Roman K
Martin Timothy E.


40.38
1.56/$1


092.66
13
Danzig Star
15-1
Elliott S
McBride Burl D.


46.51
1.70/$1


092.03
3
Esther
20-1
Canchari A L
Cline Robert N.


50.00
1.97/$1


091.23
2
Princess Simone
30-1
Roberts C
Cates Al


57.14
2.14/$1


090.35
7
Hamazing Marnie
30-1
Bailey C
Vance Thomas D.


42.86
1.90/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.87, ROI 0.86/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs



04/24/20, TAM, Race 8, 3.58 ET
04/24/20,TAM,8,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:04 CLAIMING. Purse $10,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since March 24 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (Races Where Entered For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
5
Fort King
9/2
Camacho S
Baxter Georgina
JTS
43.28
1.18/$1


097.77
3
Highwaytwentyseven
5-1
Garcia W A
Delgado Jose H.


36.36
1.13/$1


097.21
4
Bueno Bueno Bueno
2-1
Allen. Jr. R D
Wilkes Ian R.
FEC
36.36
1.13/$1


097.09
12
Yei Yei
6-1
Santos A
Bennett Dale


50.00
1.91/$1


095.80
2
Albert's Barn
12-1
Martinez W
Blair Jordan


36.36
1.13/$1


095.37
8
Jumped Bail
12-1
Suarez A
Hamm Timothy E.


36.36
1.13/$1


094.35
1
Logsdon
6-1
Spieth S
Slivka Sandra L.
W
43.14
1.49/$1


094.25
10
Grammi Dance
30-1
Alencar W
Ferraro M. Anthony
L
36.36
1.13/$1


093.14
7
Transfer Pricing
30-1
Coa K J
Belhumeur Julie


34.25
1.24/$1


092.95
6
Flying Bankroll
15-1
Garcia J A
Arboritanza Joseph


34.25
1.24/$1


091.63
11
Temple Mount
15-1
Mejia T B
Johnson Gary L.


50.00
1.91/$1


090.35
9
Archivero
30-1
Urdaneta J J
Ochoa Gerard


34.25
1.24/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 34.21, ROI 0.97/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Gulfstream Park - Race #3 - Post: 2:07pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 72

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 PANAREA (ML=2/1)


PANAREA - Looking at the pps on all of these horses, this is the only one to stalk. Worth a long hard look at this one. Faced tougher last out at Gulfstream Park. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this horse on my list of probable winners in this race. I like the fact that this filly's last speed rating, 69, is tops in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 KOZY DREAMS (ML=5/2), #5 GRAN MICHELLE (ML=7/2), #6 PERFECTCOMBINATION (ML=6/1),

KOZY DREAMS - Has been beaten as the favorite twice in a row. A repeat is probably in store. GRAN MICHELLE - Not a perfect 'placement' in this event. PERFECTCOMBINATION - A bit of a less than stellar try when this filly finished sixth. This filly hasn't had any recent good results in short distance races. Not easy to wager on her in this affair.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #3 PANAREA on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Skip



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Horse Picks 4/24

Fri Apr 24, 2020 7:09 am
Laska came in second and we hit a $17 exacta in the 8th yesterday at Gulfstream. Today we are looking at Oaklawn and I have three races for you. Goodluck and stay safe.

Oaklawn Race 2
#1 Sturdy One $10 win/place/show
$2 exacta box 1-7-5

Oaklawn Race 5
#4 River Finn $10 win/place/show
$2 exacta box 4-2-1

Oaklawn Race 7
#2 Big Cheddar $10 win/place/show
$2 exacta box 2-8-10

[Slick]

Kevin Cox Gulfstream looks, he’s really good and likes big prices.
58, $2 & $5 ), two cold exactas of $10 & $17, and an ice cold $74 triple. Oh yeah -- toss in a couple of successful "Beatable Favorites" for good measure.
We now have a flat bet profit for our entire Gulfstream coverage.
You'll notice something new on the page a bit below -- a direct link to the Old Friends at Cabin Creek donation page ! So now if you're fortunate enough to win a couple'a fazools, you can help out Zippy Chippy and the rest of the gang. NO donation too small !! Thank you.
I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O.
Today's Beatable Favorite(s): Race 1 - #7 Fayez Race 10 -#11 Candy Coma
https://www.saratogabetshandicapping.com/images/of.jpg (https://oldfriendsatcabincreek.com/so-many-ways-to-help)

Please visit the Old Friends website and consider helping out in these challenging times.
I want to thank those that read my column, and have recently opened up accounts as a result of their fondness for what they see here. If you have any questions at any time, you can reach me here on Disqus, or on Twitter @brooklyncowboy1. For those who dig the scene here, and would like to be part of it, registration on our home page is easy, and if you'd like, feel free to include my name in the referral box, and let me know, so I can try and get ya' some cool swag!

Gulfstream - 4/24



Race 1

1.Big's Gray Day


2.Ninetydaysofwinter

3.Sultannes Crown



#11 BIG'S GRAY DAY has only beaten home the chase ambulance in all three starts to date, but goes long on the lawn for the first time, and we've had some success with fading sprinters doing such for the first time. Grey gelding was dropped by a gal who went 2 for 5 in turf routes ( 20K ), and the paternal granddam won the only time she went long on the lawn ( 15G ). Additionally, the mommy's daddy was a turf champion, and we like the concept of a gate move for today's 2nd off the L/O try. #4 NINETYDAYS OF WINTER drops for the 3rd straight time today and gets an upgrade in the jockey department. #6 SULTANNES CROWN has improved with each passing start, owns a lot of zip, and sheds a couple'a pounds. OFF TURF: 6-9-4-2-5 BEATABLE FAVORITE: #7 FAYEZ




Race 2

1.Gran Brandy


2.Best of Wildwood


3.Lady Archa



#5 GRAN BRANDY was a lively runner up versus slightly weaker right here on March the 8th, and rates the slightest of edges in a race where we were unable to eliminate anyone with our first draft. #3 BEACH OF WILDWOOD has been freshened up since essentially being eased two months ago, but won over this oval in the start just before that, and the works are looking good for today's comebacker. #7 LADY ARCHA has changed addresses after each of her last three calls to the post, and with good reason, as this one has scored in three of four, and four of her last six dirt tries. Horse for the course got the job done in her only spin when beginning from the outermost slot. NOTE: AS OF 2:22 A.M. FRIDAY, WE HAVE AMENDED OUR SELECTIONS TO 6-5-7.




Race 3

1.Lucy's Interest


2.Platinumcents


3.Gran Michelle



#4 LUCY'S INTEREST hasn't done much to get the heart thumping of late, but y'all know we like to look back anywhere in a maiden's past performances to find something positive, ( as they're at this level for a reason, you know ) and the bay filly has a couple of good running lines at the bottom of the page. Another meek selection. #1 PLATINUMCENTS hasn't been seen since Hector was a pup, but there's a bullet gate breeze on display, and the 387 Tommy says to us that perhaps the grisly debut was an aberration; encouraging to see Jaramillo ride. #5 GRAN MICHELLE has been conducting her morning affairs quite well for today;s initial foray, and is bred nicely for this sorta deal.




Race 4

1.Cultivation


2.I'm Prayingforthat


3.Borrowed Angel



#6 CULTIVATION ( cross entered yesterday, so check the changes ) flopped with no palpable excuse in the most recent, but the penultimate start was a goodie, and we'll pin our hopes to a rebound -- but demand value. #3 I'M PRAYINGFORTHATfinds herself at her lowest level to date, and cuts back from two turns to one while exiting a race where two of four have returned to win. #2 BORROWED ANGEL ( also put in on Thursday ) gets Lasix and blinkers for today's secondary outing while taking the biggest drop in the game. Saez now enlisted.




Race 5

1.Sturgeon


2.Chaps


3.What's Inside



#7 STURGEON is 18:6-5-0 at this distance ( 12:1-0-1 otherwise ), and has won three of her last six when available for purchase. Chance to rebound at a price. #3 CHAPS is a steady if unspectacular sort who hasn't been seen in quite some time, but conditioner knows how to have 'em prepped off the bench, and we'll toss beneath as rider has picked up a few wins after an oh-fer-122 start to 2020. #4 WHAT'S INSIDE has done fine work right here ( 5:2-2-0 ) and appears to be trending in the right direction. OFF TURF: 1-4-2-8-3




Race 6

1.Politely Crowned


2.Lady Fiorella


3.The Gospel of John



#5 POLITELY CROWNED hasn't faced the starter in a while, but returns with a "For Sale" sticker attached to her rump for the first time, and is reacquainted with hood this afternoon. Another timid selection in another tough heat to decipher. #6 LADY FIORELLA hasn't hit the board yet this year, and is another who can be all yours for 40 large in this spot. #1 THE GOSPEL OF JOHN has been beset by numerous layoff lines, but her lone victory came right here, and has the hood affixed for the first time; completes our troika of selections of those now in with a tag.




Race 7

1.Jersey Joe B


2.French Quarter


3.Phantom Ro



#2 JERSEY JOE B has only beaten home one in the last duet, but we always go back three starts when sortin' things out, and the February outing was a crisp one. 13:5-2-2 mark at the distance leaps off the page, and we'll give him a shot w/ the bug assigned. #3 FRENCH QUARTER sure is an old warhorse, isn't he? Brown gelding makes his 66th career start in this spot, and is still finding his way into the winner's circle now more than ever, having gotten his photo taken after five of his last eight. #6 PHANTOM RO owns a win & a placing from as many "3rd off the break" attempts, but is halved in price off the recent purchase, so caveat emptor.




Race 8

1.New Day Dawning


2.Nope ( Ire )


3.Secret Stash ( Ire )



#4 NEW DAY DAWNING won her only start off the bench and has shot off two bullets in preparation for today's return to action. Lasix once again part of the equation after running without it in the Forward Gal. Still yet another moderate selection in a race with none eliminated at first perusal. #1 NOPE (IRE) has the wonder drug administered for today's North American bow, and totes the lightest impost of her career. #2 SECRET STASH (IRE) has some back class and can land a share. OFF TURF: 7-6-1-2-4




Race 9

1.Marialuisa


2.Hunting Season


3.Believe Indeed



#2 MARIALUISA got through the maiden ranks in a career effort 50 days in the rear, and although the number came back a bit lowish, sometimes when the light bulb comes on, it can stay on for a while ( especially with the youngsters ). Will need some pace up front to cut into. #5 HUNTING SEASON split two next out winners when completing the exacta in her only try off an absence and also finished third the only time her hooves touched this surface. #6 BELIEVE INDEED rounds out the tri.




Race 10

1.Kobe Fifty Two

2.Nothin But Net


3.Restless Rocker



Employing the "Diamond in the Rough" methodology for #3 KOBE FIFTY TWO here, as there's one crisp 48 & 3 bullet breeze amongst a slew of ordinary moves. $45,000 auction purchase can be all yours for a quarter of that in today's finale, and this is a four year old facing some younger foes, which definitely means something this time of year. Sire was 3:2-0-1 in one turn dirt events, and the paternal grandsire was a goodies who won his only dirt dash. You'd have to figure that the newest "miracle man" will have this one ready. #5 NOTHIN BUT NET completes our basketball exacta based on the solid back to back placings, drop in class, and recent snipping. #2 RESTLESS ROCKER is 2nd off the bench & loses the eye cups. OFF TURF: 9-11-3-4-5 BEATABLE FAVORITE: #11 CANDY COMA doesn't make our first draft, so why would we accept 9/5?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Gulfstream Park Wagering Strategies - 4/24/20 April 24, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Gulfstream Park
Friday, April 24, 2020
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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RACE 1: Post 1:00 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 1-Mr. Tito’s; 2-Plan of Attack; 3-Gran Champagne; 9-First in Line

Forecast: The Friday opener brings together maiden $16,000 claimers over a middle distance on grass. We’ll go four-deep in what on paper appears to be a wide-open affair with many possibilities. Mr. Tito’s was out-footed in a Churchill Downs maiden special weight turf sprint last summer in his 2-year-old debut and then disappeared. He returns with Lasix and as a first-time gelding for a barn that has excellent stats with layoff runners and also shows a pretty good foundation of workouts at Skylight Training center in Kentucky. In this modest spot, the I. Wilkes-trained son of Mr Speaker may be as good as any and from his rail post should enjoy a beneficial ground-saving trip. One race doesn’t make a career so if he can run at all, this would be a good spot to show it. First in Line is a lightly-raced Uncle Mo gelding that has a gradually improving pattern. A closing fourth vs. similar last month, the G. Weaver-trained 3-year-old gets an extra sixteenth of a mile to work with, retains L. Saez, and with just two career outings may have a bit more upside then most of the thoroughly exposed contenders. Plan of Attack returns to his claim level and his fourth place finish under these conditions two runs back charts pretty well here. After being stuck outside in his last pair, the son of War Front lands a comfortable inside draw and should draft into a ground-saving, mid-pack position and have his chance from there. Gran Champagne has the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch-out pattern for a barn that traditionally does very well with this angle and also will be trying grass for the first time while plummeting from a maiden $50,000 sprint. Also, he gets a break in the weights with the switch to bug boy C.A. Torres, a “go to” rider of sorts for this barn.
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RACE 2: Post 1:34 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 1-Amelia Madelyn; 4-Hartling

Forecast: Hartling is the 9/5 morning line favorite after she had her three-race winning streak snapped when pitched too high in a $50,000 claiming turf miler earlier this month. A winner over this track and distance two runs back in an optional claimer, the M. Pino-trained filly returns to her claim level and will get plenty of play, but on pure numbers she’s really not that much better than a few of the others. We’ll use her but we can’t single her. Amelia Madelyn, a solid second when claimed for $20,000 by trainer K. Breen two races back, stretches out to a mile and was a winner at this trip by five lengths in a slightly tougher spot in late December. She switches to the barn’s favorite rider J. Bravo and should be prominent throughout from the rail. She may offer pretty good value at her morning line of 7/2 if you can get it.
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RACE 3: Post 2:07 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 3-Panarea; 6-Perfectcombination; 7-Kozy Dreams

Forecast: Perfectcombination had a rough trip when a non-threatening sixth in her debut vs. straight maidens at Tampa Bay Downs last month but should have every opportunity to improve in this softer assignment for for a barn that shows a solid percentage with second-timers. Realistically spotted as a 4-year-old in this maiden $25,000 main track sprint, the daughter of Bodemeister didn’t break well at all in her first start and probably won’t be able to pull that same stunt today, but if she leaves with her field the G. Motion-trained 4-year-old should fit very nicely with this group. Kozy Dreams has burned money in her last pair but is comfortably drawn outside and will have a big look if she can repeat her race before last, a runner-up effort with a competitive speed figure over this track and distance while almost six lengths clear of the others. Instead of gunning to the lead, she might be better served if stalking tactics are employed. Panarea was returning off a layoff when finishing third in a maiden $50,000 sprint in late February, not a bad try under the circumstances. However, she’s been away for almost two months since and is dropping significantly in class, not a healthy pattern. We’ll use her on a ticket or two as a backup but nothing more.
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RACE 4: Post 2:39 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 2-Borrowed Angel; 3-I’m Prayingforthat; 6-Cultivation

Forecast: Here’s another maiden claimer, this one for $16,000 older fillies and mares sprinting five furlongs on grass. Tread lightly. I’m Prayingforthat faded in a maiden special weight state-bred grass miler last time out but ran well under these conditions when a solid runner-up with a par rating two runs back while seven lengths clear of the rest. That effort, if repeated today, probably will be good enough to beat this field. Cultivation is a nine-race maiden with a race two back that charts well here. Beaten a nose from off the pace, the daughter of Soldat switches to V. Lebron and with good racing luck should be heard from in the final furlong. Borrowed Angel, far back in straight maiden company in her debut last month at 92-1, gets realistic today and seems likely to improve with the addition of Lasix and blinkers and the switch to L. Saez. Today we’ll find out if she can run at least just a little.
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RACE 5: Post 3:11 ET. Grade: X
Use: 2-Tiger Blood; 6-Frenchmen Street

Forecast: Tiger Blood has won three of his last four starts and overall he’s seven-for-nine sprinting over the local lawn, so it’s hard to get past this tough-as-nails veteran gelding in this allowance optional claiming turf dash. Quick enough to make the lead but just as comfortable stalking and pouncing, the S. Klesaris-trained son of Cowtown Cat is even money on the morning line and on form looks it. Frenchmen Street seems worth including as a back-up in the rolling exotics for protection. Not quite as fast on speed figures as the favorite, the M. Maker-trained gelding remains protected on the raise in his second start since being claimed and should be in the fray every step of the way. He’s another versatile type that can adjust to any pace scenario.
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RACE 6: Post 3:43 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Simple Story; 3-East Coast Swing; 4-Golden Garter

Forecast: East Coast Swing will be trying conventional dirt for the first time in her seventh career start, and her pedigree suggests she shouldn’t have any issues with the surface switch. We like the route-to-sprint angle coupled with a class drop into a claimer for the first time, and with the addition of blinkers we suspect she’ll be let roll from the gate in an attempt to take advantage of her natural early speed. She’s a gambling number at 4-1 on the morning line. Simple Story was all out to beat a maiden $50,000 field here last month and is realistically spotted in this restricted (nw-2) $40,000 seller in what is just her third career start. She’s okay on numbers and does have the proper style for this extended sprint trip. With a faster than normal pace to set things up, she’ll be heard from in the final furlong. Golden Garter is a Woodbine shipper with unproven form on conventional dirt. Freshened since November, the daughter of Goldencents earned a speed figure last year when beating maidens that charts well in this spot and shows a healthy series of workouts at Payson to have her plenty fit. She should help insure realistic early fractions.
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RACE 7: Post 4:15 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 4-Combination; 8-Kyle

Forecast: With the late scratching of major contender French Quarter, this race takes a different look. Combination had his four-race winning streak snapped when finishing third in an $8,000 claimer 12 days ago and is wheeled back on short rest by new trainer M. Sancal. The Alternation gelding likes to settle and make a late run and off his best race rates a slight edge on top with L. Saez taking over. Kyle has been below form of late but hails from a clever outfit and in a modest spot may be able to bounce back a bit. The pace scenario looks relatively soft so we’re expecting him to be within striking range throughout. The race looks a bit treacherous, so tread lightly.
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RACE 8: Post 4:46 ET. Grade: B
Use: 1-Nope; 2-Secret Stash; 3-Eve of War

Forecast: Today’s feature race is a strong nine-furlong turf affair for entry-level allowance 3-year-old fillies. Eve of War was highly impressive winning her debut by more than seven lengths sprinting on dirt in early February but was beaten at 50 cents on the dollar when fourth in a first-level allowance dash 26 days later. She had a legitimate excuse – she stumbled badly at the start and was taken out of game plan – but with a healthy series of drills in the interim and stretching out and trying turf for the first time the daughter of Declaration of War certainly is bred to improve under these conditions. We suspect gate-to-wire tactics will be employed. Nope showed some promise during a five-race juvenile campaign overseas that culminated with a close fourth (beaten a half-length) in the Oh So Sharp S.-G2 at Newmarket last October. She makes her U.S. debut for B. Walsh (strong stats with a limited sample with this angle) and has trained quite well over the Palm Meadows grass course to indicate she’s fit and ready. The first-time Lasix user likes to settle and produce a run and thus should be well-suited by this mile and one-eighth journey. We suspect she’s better than her 10-1 morning line indicates. Secret Stash was a respectable third in the Florida Oaks-G3 at Tampa Bay Downs in her comeback in early March and has a right perform similarly in this spot. She’s a one-paced grinder (no real turn of foot) but at this longer distance the Irish-bred filly should have her best chance.
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RACE 9: Post 5:17 ET. Grade: B
Use: 1-Slam Dunk; 4-Whispering Beauty

Forecast: The promising 3-year-old filly Slam Dunk faces older runners in this first-level allowance middle distance main track affair that she can win if she’s cranked up, but her readiness is uncertain. Her work pattern is okay, not flashy, and she raced herself into shape last year, so it’s entirely possible that she’ll be a race away. The daughter of Into Mischief finished a respectable third as a maiden in the Frizette S.-G1 last fall and then earned her diploma with a facile five-length romp over a sloppy track at Churchill Downs in November, so the talent is there, but the R. Brisset barn only has modest stats with comebackers. Whispering Beauty is quite interesting in that the daughter of Blame will be making her first start on dirt, and she’s certainly bred more for the main track (Blame out of a Storm Cat mare) than she is for grass. Fourth and then third over the lawn at this level in her first two local outings since arriving from England, the B. Walsh-trained filly adds blinkers in a field without much early pace, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see D. Davis let roll her roll from the barrier, as her only win last year at Newmarket, was on the pace. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play; since Whispering Beauty (9/2 on the morning line) might wind up being a bit better price we’ll put her on top.
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RACE 10: Post 5:47 ET. Grade: C
Use: 3-Kobe Fifty Two; 5-Nothin But Net; 8-Fifty Cents

Forecast: Two major contenders in this abbreviated sprint for bottom-rung ($12,500) maiden claimers are late scratches, Candy Coma and Annualized, leaving us with very little to work with. Nothing But Net, second in a $16,000 maiden claiming turf dash in late February, makes his first start since being claimed out of that race while returning as a new gelding, and on pure numbers is the one to beat. However, this barn has been cold as ice this year and nothing from the J. Orseno barn can be played with confidence. The first timer Kobe Fifty Two shows a series of slow workouts but is from a capable outfit and is a contender by default. Fifty Cents has shown a tad of ability and a bit of speed, so he’s another to toss in. These are the three we’ll be using in our rolling exotics but the best advice is to spread as deeply as you can afford to.
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