Service Plays Friday 5/15/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#3 Madame Moon
Major player goes off the Barboza claim, and somewhat unfathomable 56% move, just-missed last time for Pletcher, drew perfectly, and has plenty of upside off just three starts; look out.


#8 Cherokee Sound
The chalk was just 2nd, beaten just a nose, so clearly she hits hard, but this wide draw isn't ideal, she'll be overbet, and doesn't have the room for improvement like the pick; second-best.


#6 Laska
Class riser adds blinkers after a good 2nd from a bad draw last time, and this equipment change is a 3-for-5 move for Matz, and she already fits nicely with these on paper; do not ignore.


Race Summary
You're not getting the 8-1 ML on the pick but even 9-2 or so seems fair on a gal who could move way up, not to mention she drew best of her main rivals too, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, as this is a deep field, and a win in the $11 range would likely play a lot higher in both sequences.


Gulfstream Park - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#8 Allegedly Perfect
Price player got to the turf in his third start and really improved after dueling early, drew a perfect attack post here, and should only build off that encouraging run; upset special.


#2 Uncle George
Expected chalk debuts for Clement, who is a potent 27% with firsters, and he's kin to some nice ones, but the inside is no bargain, and the barn is on a big cold streak; trying to beat.


#6 Carribean Gold
Logical sort cut back last time and was a good 3rd, while ahead of the pick too, so he's obviously a big threat, though his lack of early speed is a bit worrisome; still, looms in the mix.


Race Summary
The price will be right on the 8, even though that turf debut last time was very sharp, so play him in all the slots, and especially the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he may fall through the wagering cracks with some sexier connections lined up, even though he won't have to improve much at all off the run last time to have a big say here.


Gulfstream Park - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#7 Cometin
Class dropper goes off the Baxter a claim, a stiff 33% angle, but also enters off a June layoff, so something clearly went amiss, but still, this is a top local barn, his form was best when last seen, and this move just looks like a perfect poker play, while daring anyone to claim him; spotted to score.


#10 So Long Chuck
Pace player did well to draw outside for his pressing style, as he can gauge things to the inside and proceed accordingly, or simply go on with it early if no one else goes, and the slight class drop after dueling throughout for 8k and tiring late to be 3rd won't hurt either; looms the main danger.


#3 French Quarter
ML favorite has some solid recent form and now goes off the claim for David, which is a sterling 35% angle from a 17-horse sample, but it's not like his form is any great shakes, and improving off Joseph isn't easy, plus this one just failed at short odds last time as well; willing to make him prove it.


Race Summary
Another ML miss, as you aren't sniffing 4-1 here, and if you do then clearly the 7 is damaged goods, but in the 5-2/3-1 range you can make an aggressive win and place bet, though you can get some built-in value by singling him in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he looks very cleverly placed here, and would be tough to deny if ready to deliver anything remotely close to his best.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Charles Town - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#7 A Is for Artist
Has some tracking pace that might prove useful from the wide draw at this short trip, but the abbreviated distance might work in his favor.


#5 Cyclobomb
Has had nine chances, and the form is sort of all over the place, but his best stuff would do here. Tough read at a likely underlaid price.


#3 Grandpa Louie
No doubt he can win this, but he has lost four of his last five as the odds-on favorite, so it's going to be an easy pass for me on principle here.


Race Summary
A Is for Artist might get a good run while prompting the splits from the outside. He'll have to fire off a September layoff, but the two likely favorites are short on excuses and worth trying to beat.


Charles Town - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#3 Dubai Was Lit
Reliable type runs her race almost every time, and her very best stuff would be good enough to handle these at a mid-range price.


#4 Star of Night
The one to beat off a couple of romping wins earlier this year, but this is a deeper bunch than she faced in either of those two, and she's sure to get bet again.


#1 Malibu Splash
Tends to come running late, and the inside draw might allow her to find a cozy spot while sitting in behind the leaders.


Race Summary
Dubai Was Lit is attractive at something like 7/2 or 4/1 in here, as her best races stack up favorably with the chalk drawn outside of her.


Charles Town - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#1 Parisian Diva
She'll have to fire fresh off the October break, but she rolled in her comeback race last year and owns several recent efforts that would leave the rest of these running for second.


#2 Amelia Bedelia
Looks like the main danger to the top choice off a good win last out, and she almost always shows up with something very close to her baseline effort.


#6 Lucille of Troy
Not really sure what to make of this one, but she easily handled that Penn allowance bunch and might be in line for a piece here with something similar.


Race Summary
Parisian Diva should be tough off the bench, as she dunked on a field off a layoff last year and owns reliable running lines that should be able to handle these if she comes back running at all.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Remington Park - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#1 Fds of Seattle
Lost a photo at this distance last out and this old-timer (10yo) looks like he's sitting on a win.


#3 Give It To Shaq
Was 3rd two back and was shuffled back in his latest; will get a better trip in this one.


#4 Flight to La Jolla
Was a decent 3rd in his 1st 870 attempt and has the chance to improve with one under his belt at the distance.


Race Summary
Fds of Seattle just missed last out, gets the rail and can press from the start of this one; should have something left.


Remington Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#7 Eyesa Painted Pistol
Was up in time two back and had a tough trip last out; with a clean trip she can return to the winner's circle.


#8 Charm the Chief
Held on for a narrow win under these conditions last time out; should be tough right back.


#2 Merrilees Valentine
Beat N2L company in her 1st of the year and might be able to handle the step up in conditions.


Race Summary
Eyesa Painted Pistol usually runs well when she doesn't have trouble and can battle from the start of this one.


Remington Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#8 Jess a Hilbily Bone
Likely will benefit from having some quality starts this season and was 4th in the Distance Challenge here last out; needs some breaks with his running style but should be moving well late.


#1 Regards Miracle
Was up in time vs. allowance company at Sunland and is a stakes winner at the distance.


#6 Illtakeyouforaride
Won three of his last six and was rolling late for 3rd in a stakes race at Zia last December; has trained well for his return.


Race Summary
Jess a Hilbily Bone has shown interest late in his recent races and it could work in his favor that the other top contenders have not been running lately.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FujitaPunter
Baseball Taiwan CPBL 2020
Uni Lions – Chinatrust Brothers
Over 12.5
Baseball South Korea KBO 2020
LG Twins – Kiwoom Heroes
Kiwoom Heroes

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3 unit Play. #305004. Competition: Belarus Premier League. Take Torpedo BelAZ (-160) MONEY LINE over Gorodeya. (Friday @ 11:00 AM est) (For this to Win, Torpedo must Win by 1 or more goals, a Draw is a Loss, Regulation + Injury time).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park



Remington Park - Race 3

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) (.50 Cent Minimum)



Claiming $6,250 • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $8,800 • Post: 6:54P


QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * MY GATOR AID: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. DUSTING EM: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. THE CASH FERRY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. TJJ BODACIOUS BOY: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. CHARM THE CHIEF: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designati on.



6

MY GATOR AID

15/1


5/1




1

DUSTING EM

6/1


6/1




4

THE CASH FERRY

12/1


8/1




5

TJJ BODACIOUS BOY

15/1


9/1




8

CHARM THE CHIEF

4/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

DUSTING EM

1


6/1

Average

83


65


4.7


0.0


0.0




2

MERRILEES VALENTINE

2


10/1

Average

69


64


5.8


0.0


0.0




3

MR DEE CADE

3


8/1

Fast

65


68


0.0


0.0


0.0




4

THE CASH FERRY

4


12/1

Average

82


70


4.7


0.0


0.0




5

TJJ BODACIOUS BOY

5


15/1

Average

73


67


0.0


0.0


0.0




6

MY GATOR AID

6


15/1

Fast

85


71


3.5


0.0


0.0




7

EYEZA PAINTED PISTOL

7


3/1

Average

70


64


5.9


0.0


0.0




8

CHARM THE CHIEF

8


4/1

Fast

71


62


1.0


0.0


0.0




9

EASIER TO LIE

9


9/2

Fast

69


61


1.9


0.0


0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields



Golden Gate Fields - Race 3

$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 min) $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) / $2 Rolling Double $1 Rolling Super High Five



Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 1:14P


FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. (IF A CAL-BRED WINS THIS RACE, THE OWNER WILL RECEIVE A $10,000 INCENTIVE AWARD DIRECTLY FROM THE CALIFORNIA THOROUGHBRED BREEDERS' ASSOCIATION.).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * OLIVE YOU MORE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. STAR OF AFRICA: Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts). ILLAPAWNIE: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. SAPORI GIRL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MOON OVER MAG BAY: Jockey/Trainer comb ination win percentage is at least 30.



1

OLIVE YOU MORE

7/2


5/1




3

STAR OF AFRICA

6/1


6/1




7

ILLAPAWNIE

3/1


8/1




6

SAPORI GIRL

5/1


8/1




5

MOON OVER MAG BAY

10/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




7

ILLAPAWNIE

7


3/1

Stalker

88


79


79.8


68.7


61.2




5

MOON OVER MAG BAY

5


10/1

Alternator/Stalker

86


79


84.4


74.9


62.9




1

OLIVE YOU MORE

1


7/2

Alternator/Stalker

90


78


71.6


73.5


68.5




2

DON'T UNZIP ME

2


5/2

Alternator/Stalker

86


84


71.1


57.7


50.2




6

SAPORI GIRL

6


5/1

Trailer

82


82


83.8


82.8


76.8




4

ZAHRA

4


8/1

Trailer

81


75


73.5


67.3


56.3




3

STAR OF AFRICA

3


6/1

Trailer

97


72


38.9


68.3


61.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $27000 Class Rating: 57

FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 COMMCAT 3/1




# 3 CHEESE LOUISE 7/2




# 6 HOW IS SHE 6/1




COMMCAT looks to be the bet in here. Has decent Equibase speed figs and has to be considered for a bet in this competition. Earned a formidable speed rating in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. Reliable average Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this equine a key contender. CHEESE LOUISE - Could provide positive returns based on very good recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 54. Will most likely come out very strong - I have liked the way this filly has moved sharply to the front end recently. HOW IS SHE - Has performed strongly recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 50 avg speed figure. Strong rider with handler figures make this horse a strong choice.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Gulfstream Park - Race #5 - Post: 3:13pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 MISS MARIS (ML=5/1)
#1 MYSTIC COMIN HOME (ML=7/2)


MISS MARIS - Jaramillo and Sweezey partnered with one another are a punter's friend. Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this thoroughbred is encountering an easier bunch than last out at Tampa Bay Downs. MYSTIC COMIN HOME - You always have to be on the patrol for money making jock/conditioner combinations; we have one right here. This filly is in good form, having run a strong race on Apr 18th, finishing first. This filly should be in top form, this far into her form cycle.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 TALKTHETALK (ML=9/5), #2 NO SE VENDE (ML=4/1), #4 TOONIE LOONIE (ML=6/1),

TALKTHETALK - I don't normally play a chalk horse that hasn't been to the track in the last three weeks. NO SE VENDE - When examining today's Equibase class figure, she will have to notch a much better speed fig than in the last race to vie in this dirt sprint. TOONIE LOONIE - Only beat maiden claimers in the last race. It's going to be very tough for this racer to repeat versus winners. Finished first in her most recent performance with a mediocre speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#5 MISS MARIS is going to be the play if we are getting 8/5 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,5]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs


05/15/20, TAM, Race 1, 12.25 ET
05/15/20,TAM,1,6F [Dirt] 1:08:03 CLAIMING. Purse $10,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE NOVEMBER 15. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since April 15 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
7
Tale of a Song
6-1
Alencar W
Ferraro M. Anthony
FW
36.84
1.45/$1


098.12
6
Greeley's Farewell
8-1
Santos A
Ferraro M. Anthony


31.49
1.15/$1


096.46
5
Junction
9/2
Spieth S
Carrasco. Jr. Victor


36.84
1.45/$1


096.10
1
Tartan the Bull
5-1
Allen. Jr. R D
Bowersock Maria
L
36.84
1.45/$1


095.82
2
Elusive Ro
5/2
Gallardo A A
Rodriguez Angel M.
JE
36.84
1.45/$1


095.06
8
Sammy's Mineshaft
3-1
Cotto. Jr. P L
Pimental John I.
S
36.84
1.45/$1


094.73
3
Steady Earner
10-1
Frates D J
Wright Michael W.
TC
36.84
1.45/$1


090.63
4
Hebgone
20-1
Coa K J
Tsirigotis. Jr. James


36.84
1.45/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 32.08, ROI 0.82/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 72

FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 MISS RYLEIGH 7/2




# 13 AWESOME ALESSANDRA 4/1




# 3 FLYING BUSINESS 6/1




My pick here is MISS RYLEIGH. Ranked high in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this field of horses. Is worth thinking about and may be a wager - strong Equibase Speed Figures (74 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. She ought to be given a chance given the strong speed figs. AWESOME ALESSANDRA - With a very strong 72 speed rating last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. FLYING BUSINESS - Her chances to win are much better today facing this softer field. Ought to be carefully examined - I like the figures from the last contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:28pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 85

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#13 SLEEPING GIANT (ML=15/1)
#5 POPLAR AVENUE (ML=8/1)
#10 MALIBU SUNSET (ML=7/2)
#2 ON THIS DAY (ML=6/1)


SLEEPING GIANT - The morning line odds on this gelding are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of trainer Joy. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. This gelding likes to be near the lead. Today's race is a shorter distance and should help his likelihood of winning. The rider and trainer combination have a favorable ROI when they combine forces. Another way to evaluate class is earnings per race. This horse has the topmost in the field. I think he'll be close at the finish. Joy must think that this gelding will adapt to the tight turns at Charles Town, perhaps because he's had success on the turf. POPLAR AVENUE - Boyce has this gelding signed up for the ideal contest. MALIBU SUNSET - Thorpe was aboard this gelding in the last race and was impressed enough to take the equine right back. This gelding is a gem of consistency, almost always in the top three. ON THIS DAY - Strong return on investment for this jockey and handler duo.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 NOPALITO (ML=3/1), #8 POET WARRIOR (ML=9/2),

NOPALITO - I think this morning-line favorite needs this race under his belt to start getting back into shape. Can't wager on this racer in today's sprint of 4 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even hit the board in a sprint affair lately. POET WARRIOR - This gelding is always around, but just doesn't win. Hard to bet on him on the win end. This gelding earned a speed rating in his last event which likely isn't good enough in today's race.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#13 SLEEPING GIANT to win at post-time odds of 4/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [5,10,13]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park


05/15/20, SA, Race 6, 3.00 PT
05/15/20,SA,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 CLAIMING. Purse $29,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since December 31 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered ).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
4
Treasure Hunter
7/2
Cedillo A
Glatt Mark
FEW
39.42
1.66/$1


097.76
3
C Dub
12-1
Fuentes R
Papaprodromou George
L
39.42
1.66/$1


097.75
9
Adens Dream
9/5
Figueroa C
Sadler John W.
JS
36.05
1.26/$1


097.68
5
Black Storm
5-1
Flores E
Mullins Jeff
T
39.42
1.66/$1


097.15
8
Oh Marvelous Me
5-1
Prat F
Glatt Mark


39.42
1.66/$1


094.68
2
Erotic
6-1
Rispoli U
Carava Jack
C
39.42
1.66/$1


093.53
1
Original Intent
30-1
Franco G
Greenman Dean


39.42
1.66/$1


092.72
6
R Cha Cha
20-1
Gutierrez M
Papaprodromou George


39.42
1.66/$1


092.45
7
Buster Douglas (BRZ)
8-1
Velez J I
Pineda Milton G.


39.42
1.66/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 31.25, ROI 4.07/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Santa Anita Picks 5/15

Fri May 15, 2020 8:55 am
First day back fro Santa Anita and I have 3 races capped. Yesterday we hit the 6-4 exacta in the first and it paid $23.40 and Don't Get Khozy wins the eighth. Goodluck today

Race 1
#5 Drop The Chalupa $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 5-6-3

Race 3
#5 Strictly Biz $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 5-9-2

Race 7
#4 Kaylas Cowgirl $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 4-5-9

[GetTheseDimes]

Docs 3* FC Torpedo BelAZ Zhodino Moneyline (11 am)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis and Workout Report - 5/15/20 May 15, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Santa Anita
Friday, May 22, 2020
*

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
*
Handicappers also are encouraged to access Jeff’s Daily Santa Anita Workout Analysis (see below), an exclusive report containing commentary, fractional times, grades, and a link to the video of the actual workout by each race’s key contenders.

*
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
*
The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

*

Today’s Workout Analysis: View PDF File (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Workout2020-05-15.pdf)


*
*

RACE 1: Post 12:30 PT. Grade: C
Use: 3-Rager; 5-Drop the Chalupa; 6-She’s So Special; 10-Thanks Mr. Eidson

Forecast: The Friday opener is a wide-open, messy first-level allowance grass sprint with several possibilities. We’ll go four-deep in our rolling exotics but even that might not be enough. Use as many as your budget allows. Drop the Chalupa graduated at first asking while earning a strong speed figure when beating a very good colt in American Code (see today’s ninth race). The class hike doesn’t concern us, but the switch to turf and the shortening to five and one-half furlongs are huge question marks for a gelding that apparently lacks positional speed. While closers can win over this course and distance, traffic trouble in a full-field could make his task problematic. We’ll put him ever so slightly on top, but not with any real confidence. Rager may be in the same boat. A first-time gelding with a maiden win and a runner-up effort in the Baffle Stakes over this course and distance, the son of Into Mischief can turn it on late but is another that could be susceptible to traffic trouble and/or a wide trip. If he’s fortunate, he’ll be right there. She’s So Special is a filly tackling the boys, but the P. Miller barn often does this. She broke her maiden sprinting on grass earlier this year, attracts F. Prat, and should be forwardly placed and free of trouble. Thanks Mr. Eidson is stuck way outside but earned speed figures as a 2-year-old that fit nicely with this group and is bred to move up on the lawn (More Than Ready). The J. Bonde-trained colt is pretty quick and projects to be in the first flight throughout, so at 12-1 on the morning line he’s worth including somewhere on your ticket.
*
*

RACE 2: Post 1:00 PT. Grade: B
Use: 2-Curvaceous; 5-Talia; 8-Queensbeccaandjane; 12-Spreckels

Forecast: On paper this looks like another difficult challenge, a maiden $50,000 state-bred sprint for fillies and mares. Small ticket players wanting to cut down on this race should zero in on Talia, a 4-year-old finally making it to the races after a series of slow but visually pleasing recent drills that should have her plenty fit and ready. The daughter of Algorithms has done everything asked of her in the morning while consistently looking competitive in team drills, and while her workout times haven’t been fast she may be the type that will turn it on when turned loose. The barn’s go-to rider A. Cedillo takes the call and at 6-1 on the morning line the P. D’Amato-trained filly demands play both in the win pool and in the rolling exotics. If you can afford back-ups, consider the other three that are listed above. Curvaceous has recorded some decent clockings at San Luis Rey Downs and could have some run, while Queensbeccaandjane displayed good speed in a solo gate work (:46.4hg) over this local main track last month. Spreckels chased tougher in her debut and has a right to improve with experience. She’s worked decently and is a somewhat enticing 10-1 on the morning line.
*
*

RACE 3: Post 1:30 PT. Grade: X
Single: 9-Tale of the Union

Forecast: Tale of the Union was B. Baffert’s best two-year-old in 2018, but after winning his debut by eight widening lengths with a Grade-1 quality speed figure the $925,000 Timonium 2-year-old in training purchase was beset with a number of issues that kept him away for nearly 21 months. Finally, the now 4-year-old colt appears to have his problems behind him and recent workouts indicate the son of Union Rags is ready to pick up where he left off. Drawn comfortably outside, he can pop and go our stalk and pounce but at 8/5 on the morning line with the likelihood of going shorter there probably won’t be much wagering value to be found, other than as a short priced rolling exotic single.
*
*

RACE 4: Post 2:00 PT. Grade: C+
Use: 1-Stick Up; 3-Christmas Pickles

Forecast: A little will go a very long way in this bottom-rung maiden $20,000 claiming sprint for older fillies and mares. Stick Up returns cheap for the P. D’Amato barn and has back numbers that make her a strong contender at this level. The work tab should have her fit enough, so if the daughter of Suances leaves cleanly form the rail she should be within range and have every chance to earn her diploma. Christmas Pickles displayed brief early speed before faltering in her only outing vs. straight maidens last summer at Del Mar and could perform considerably better this time around, especially against this group. G. Franco is a live rider for the M. McCarthy barn and the works look okay, so at 10-1 on the morning line she’s a “must use.” None of the others inspire, so let’s try to survive and advance using just these two in our rolling exotics.
*
*

RACE 5: Post 2:30 PT. Grade: B
Use: 1-Heathers Grey; 5-Hollywood Girl; 11-Gypsy Spirit

Forecast: First-level allowance fillies and mares meet over a mile on grass in another contentious affair that contains several legitimate contenders. Heathers Grey has looked especially sharp in the a.m. for her first start in more than two months and we suspect the M. McCarthy-trained filly will fire a big shot fresh. Comfortably drawn inside and with excellent previous form over this course and distance, she retains regular pilot A. Gryder, and with the benefit of her rail draw she projects to enjoy an ideal ground saving, pace-stalking trip while offering good value at or near her morning line of 8-1. Hollywood Girl, away since last summer, has looked fit and ready in the a.m., and because she won her debut the layoff shouldn’t be any issue. A daughter of Giant’s Causeway from the Grade-1 winning mare Hollywood Story, she’s a half-sister to the Santa Anita Derby-bound 3-year-old Honor A. P., and with just three career outings has plenty of room for improvement with added experience and maturity. The barn’s “go-to” rider M. Smith takes over and will have her rolling in the final furlong. Gypsy Spirit, stakes-placed on several occasions in Europe, makes her U.S. debut as a first-time Lasix user with a series of good main track drills that should have her plenty fit. The extreme outside draw does her no favors but she attracts F. Prat, and with a good trip could make her presence felt from the quarter pole home.
*
*

RACE 6: Post 3:00 PT. Grade: B
Use: 4-Treasure Hunter; 9-Adens Dream

Forecast: Adens Dream has much in his favor and at 9/5 on the morning line and likely to go lower he’s the obvious horse to beat in this six furlong $25,000 claiming sprint. With the proven ability to win following off a layoff, the J. Sadler-trained gelding takes a realistic drop to his lowest level ever, lands the cozy outside post, and shows a steady, healthy work pattern for his first outing in three months. A two-time winner over the local main track with a low profile jockey who won him two races back, the son of Wildcat Heir should be on or near the lead throughout. For backup, you may want to consider Treasure Hunter on a ticket or two. First or second in eight of 13 career starts over the Santa Anita main track, the M. Glatt-trained gelding drops below his claim level, switches to A. Cedillo, and projects to have his chance from a second flight, stalking position. A bullet three-furlong blowout (:34 3/5, fastest of 15) six days ago should have him on his toes.
*
*

RACE 7: Post 3:30 PT. Grade: C+
Use: 1-Csaba Momma; 4-Kayla’s Cowgirl; 5-Civil Suit

Forecast: The seventh race is a split of today’s fourth, a maiden $20,000 claiming sprint for older fillies and mares. Csaba Momma had a couple of non-productive outings more than a year ago during the winter at Gulfstream Park but returns for new trainer Peter Miller with a series of what looks to be a pretty decent work tab at San Luis Rey Downs and could easily be better than shown, especially against this group. She gets Lasix and A. Cedillo for a stable that does well with layoff runners, so at 5-1 on the morning she looks intriguing in a race that contains nothing but question marks. Kayla’s Cowgirl shows up in a seller for the first time and should improv enough to be a major contender. She’s pretty quick, and while the J. Wong-trained daughter of Will Take Charge has yet to show any desire to finish under pressure, she might find her confidence in this much softer spot. Civil Suit is another dropping to the bottom after chasing much stronger straight maiden foes in a pair of grass sprints earlier this year. She removes blinkers, retains V. Espinoza, and has figures that fit, so while her morning line of 3-1 is no bargain we still have to include her in our rolling exotic play.
*
*

RACE 8: Post 4:00 PT. Grade: B+
Single: 1-Quick

Forecast: Here’s where we’ll take a stand. Quick has the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch-out pattern, a lovely inside draw, and a healthy series of recent drills for the powerful J. Sadler/U. Rispoli team, so it all adds up to a pretty solid top selection. We know the added distance won’t be an issue – she won at a mile and one-quarter last summer in England – and both of her local outings at a sprint trip that was likely too sharp for her were actually quite good. At 5/2 on the morning line she’s worth using strongly both in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.
*
*

RACE 9: Post 4:30 PT. Grade: B+
Use: 4-Big Mel; 6-American Code

Forecast: The B. Baffert barn holds the aces in this maiden special weight abbreviated sprint, with American Code well-spotted to make amends after being worn down late at 3/5 in his debut in early March. The son of American Pharoah should be fitter and tougher with that effort behind him, especially at this shorter trip, and after continuing to impress in the morning with a series of powerful drills he’s likely to show his best stuff for a stable that hits with an impressive 26% with second-time starters. We anticipate that he’ll go lower than his morning line of 5/2. Big Mel, an $800,000 yearling purchase by Quality Road, absolutely can run as well. These two stable mates actually worked together on May 10 when they were both timed in 1:12 4/5, fastest for the distance, though ‘Code was going the better of the two and “won” the drill (but not by much). We’ll include both in our rolling exotics and then have extra tickets keying American Code on top.
*

[WeWantMoehr]

VSI - Horse Picks:

Gulfstream Park

Race 8 - $29,000 - 3 Year Olds - 6 Furlongs
TOP HORSE: 1 - Lovely Lady Lexi
SECOND CHOICE: 7 - Bibiana
THIRD CHOICE: 6 - Dancing Destroyer
Recommended Bets ($220 Bets)
$40 W/P/S (1) $120
$20 W/P/S (7) $60
$10 Exacta 1/6,7 $20
$10 Exacta 6,7/1 $20
Race 10 - $75,000 - Running of the Hollywood Wildcat Stakes (GI)
TOP HORSE: 3 - Tonalist's Shape
SECOND CHOICE: 2 - Pleasant Orb
THIRD CHOICE: 4 - Money Never Sleeps
LONG SHOT: 6 - Vigilantes Way
Recommended Bets ($270 Bets)
$40 W/P/S (3) $120
$20 W/P/S (2) $60
$10 W/P/S (4) $30
$10 Exacta 3/2,4,6 $30
$10 Exacta 2,4,6/3 $30
Santa Anita Park

Race 8 - $51,000 - 3 Year Olds and Up - 1 Mile
TOP HORSE: 1 - Quick
SECOND CHOICE: 10 - Dupioni
THIRD CHOICE: 9 - Muchly
LONGSHOT: 5 - Lavender
Recommended Bets ($230 Bets)
$40 W/P (1) $80
$20 W/P/S (10) $60
$10 W/P/S (9) $30
$10 Exacta 1/10,9,5 $30
$10 Exacta 10,9,5/1 $30
Race 9 - $50,000 - 3 Year Olds and Up - 5 � Furlongs
TOP HORSE: 11 - Lane Way
SECOND CHOICE: 6 - American Code
THIRD CHOICE: 3 - Ka'nah
Recommended Bets ($200 Bets)
$40 W/P/S (11) $120
$20 W/P (6) $40
$10 Exacta 11/6,3 $20
$10 Exacta 6,3/11 $20

[WeWantMoehr]

Doc Sports:

DOC'S SPORTS HORSE RACING
SANTA ANITA PARK
5/15/2020
Race 8, Post Time 7 p.m. eastern on TVG
Bet $100 to PLACE on #1 Quick