Service Plays Friday 5/22/20

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Al Cimaglia: May 22-Scioto Downs Pick 5 Analysis May 22, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
It is good to back and safe to say we can all use a bit of entertainment and a diversion during this difficult time. Good wishes go out to anyone who has been affected by Covid-19. Not to be overlooked are all the hardworking horsemen. They have been working to ensure the good health and fitness for horses in their barn without a chance to race for purse money.

My focus will be on the $10,000 guaranteed Pick 5 with a 14% takeout which begins in Race 5. Because horses are coming off extended layoffs and until there is some form taking shape, proceeding with caution is the best choice.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5

2-Westsluckycam (9/2)-Blankenship barn has a 21% win rate over the past 365 days and this mare has enough gate speed to get a good seat. Miller's choice over #7 will need a strong try but likes to compete.
5-Letme Fly Low (4-1)-Raced the last half in 56.1 in her qualifier and went past a few down the lane. Should fit with this crew and can make some noise.
6-Tiffany Rocks As (6-1)- Burke trainee just went around without a move from the 8-hole in qualifier. Has raced well here in the past winning 5 of 20 starts. May blast out and look to make every call a winning one.

Race 6

3-Rosemary Rose (2-1)-Went the back half in 55.3 and rallied for a win off cover. Page picks this mare over #5 and Rosemary likes the track. Has hit the board in 15 of 25 races at ScD with 7-pictures and looks like a major threat.
6-Golden Paradise (5/2)-6-year-old is no slouch drawing off by six to win her qualifier and has won 3 of 8 at Scioto. Raced the 2nd half in 56.2 all on her own and regular pilot Tetrick takes a seat. He may look to get the jump on #3.

Race 7

3-Satisfashion (8-1)-Just fell short in qualifier but fractions were quick. Looking for a square price and could get sucked around and surprise at nice odds.
4-Princess Rougarou (5-1)-Faded down the lane in tune-up but did stop the clock in 153.3 and should fit well versus this bunch. Hensley barn wins their share, best to respect chances.
8-Libby's Idea (4-1)-Burke pupil toyed with the field in her qualifier winning by almost 10-lengths. Should be bet hard but did not face anyone from this field last week.

Race 8

4-Workinitonbroadway (2-1)-Another from the Burke barn that smoked everyone in last week's qualifier. Will likely be a single on many tickets and could go off as an odds-on chalk.
8-Milford's Z Tam (20-1)-Swan For All seven-year old should offer a big price and has hit the board in 19 of 44 starts here. Could rally off cover and pick-up seventh win at ScD if pace is hot. But if not, could spice up the gimmicks.

Race 9

5-Signal Hill (8/5)-Not in love with the short price and this barn does not post many winners but still figures to be a major player. Has the gate speed to get on the engine and Merriman could steal a quarter.
9-Just A Passenger (7-1)-Burke trainee was a winner in 4 of 9 this year which is a vast improvement over 2019. Page will probably need to leave but has the speed to get a close-up trip and look to roll by down the lane.

0.50 Pick 5

2,5,6/3,6/3,4,8/4,8/5,9
Total Bet=$36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#3 Gloriously
MSW dropper takes the big plunge, gets back to the turf as well, and her lone grass run two-back was a sharp 3rd sprinting, which says she's a loose here; come and catch the pick.


#7 Wicked Memory
Underlaid ML favorite didn't fire last time, though it was a fast race for the level and she had a lot of trouble, but she'll be way overbet with Irad jumping aboard; trying to beat on top.


#1 Unforseen
Closer took the drop last time and was 4th, but didn't break through, so while this post is good and she'll be running on late, she's tough to like for all the marbles; underneath, if at all.


Race Summary
The 3 really should be favored on the drop and return to turf, not to mention because of her speed too, so if she's 3-1 or better you can play her aggressively to win and place, though you'll get some added value by keying her to kick off the early Pk5, as she meets a crew there for the taking, and looks primed for a breakthrough run.


Gulfstream Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#8 Sundown Kid
ML longshot didn't fire on turf when last seen in Oct. but the two prior main track runs were solid, this outside attack post is perfect, and those AM drills say he's primed; comes back running.


#5 Ten Miles High
Tampa invader has plenty of upside off just two starts, improved mightily in his last, and has the tactical speed to be close throughout, and this is a confident ship by O'Connell; huge chance.


#9 Dr. Samadi
Abreu firster goes for a stiff 29% debut barn, so take notice of the tote action, and there's plenty of AM activity here too, plus this outside draw will keep him out of trouble; figures very live.


Race Summary
That 12-1 ML on the pick seems like another swing and miss in these parts, but even half that would be fair on a runner who has two of the best dirt races showing, and the risk-reward would be there at about 6-1, so play him in all the slots, and especially to end the early Pk5/Pk4 too, since that incorrect 12-1 might scare a lot of people off in both sequences, which means a win would really blow both of them up.


Gulfstream Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#10 Cool Hand Coop
Price player really woke up last time, when a closing 3rd with a very big figure (for these), and while it came from nowhere and he may regress mightily here, he should still be in the 8-1 range (forget that 15-1 ML), and with a ton of speed signed on, it will only flatter his late run; upset special.


#12 Bee Major
Router has been stalking of late and now cuts back, which will give him plenty of foundation in the lane, and he should be sitting off the speed and waiting to fire, and those two-turn tries weren't bad at all, and new conditioner Einhorn has done good things with limited starters; do not ignore.


#6 Jaxon's Gold
Santa Anita invader was facing better out West, and new trainer Hess has been firing at the meet after a rough Championship Meet, so you have to respect this one, and being the fresh new face is never a bad thing, but dueling early and holding late will not be easy; comes unglued in the lane.


Race Summary
We kick off the late Pk5 with a real doozy, so looking for value seems imperative, and while the 10 might be 6-1 before he's the 15-1 ML, he'll still offer a price, and while a bounce may well happen, even slight regression puts him in the mix here, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially to start the sequence, since a win would knock a lot of tickets out right off the bat.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Golden Gate - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#5 Respect My Candor
Finisher usually runs out of time, but there are enough forward players in here to ensure a fair pace, and the price should be right with a potentially vulnerable chalk likely to take a ton of cash.


#3 Point Hope
Probably makes short work of these, but even in this climate I don't love the drop off the claim after a couple months, and he has run some pretty bad races at pretty short prices in the past.


#7 Jupiter S.
Likely to be overmatched here, but the move to the turf at least offers some room for improvement with sire Country Day on top.


Race Summary
Respect My Candor is somewhat playable at something like the 6/1 ML offering, as she has run well enough in the past at this trip when facing better.


Golden Gate - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#6 Bornonvalentineday
Gets some class relief after going a bit flat in the final yards of recent races with better, and her overall form seems superior to this bunch.


#2 Callmejessiejames
Has some tactical pace to put to use in this spot, but she hasn't been in very many fast turf races in her career, so I'm a bit wary of how she stacks up here.


#7 Missionelle
Moves into the new barn off the claim, and this one should get a nice, tactical run. Her 0-for-4 career turf slate is an issue, but she can land a piece if she can hold her good form for the new barn.


Race Summary
Bornonvalentineday probably won't offer much of a price, but she figures to be a handful with this kind. She raced for more than twice this tag last time out when beaten a couple lengths, and she'll get another really good trip right near the top.


Golden Gate - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#5 May Song
Speedy type doesn't meet a field absolutely overloaded with other pace, and she's bred to handle the new footing. Plenty appealing at something like the 8/1 ML offering.


#1 Apples Arch
Races here off a September layoff while bringing fairly spotty form. Not sure what the price will be in her local debut, but I wouldn't want too short a number to sign on today.


#7 Sweet and Softly
Speed has come up short at 7/5 and 4/5 in those first two career starts, but the price probably gets at least a bit better this time around, and the move to turf offers some hope.


Race Summary
May Song might appreciate the surface switch, and he appears to only have one other serious pace threat to deal with.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Scioto Downs - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#5 LADY DUDETTE
Good value play off the claim in deep field at this level.


#3 FOOLISH HEART
Has speed, overcame post 9 to go 4-for-5 this year.


#1 PART-TIME HANOVER
Rallied for her 17th win, just missed in follow-up.


Race Summary
Lady Dudette chased the favorite through a fast third-quarter split and faded at the Meadows. She enters a barn that is better than recent percentages indicate and is worth a price stab in the first harness race since the coronavirus outbreak. Play a 5-ALL exacta.


Scioto Downs - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#5 ROSIES APPLES
Steady form at the Meadows, enters high-percentage barn.


#2 VIRGINNAIRE
Posted solid numbers with pair of thirds at Miami Valley.


#1 PARKLANE GLAMOROUS
Went wire-to-wire in qualifier, yet to win this year.


Race Summary
Rosies Apples won twice, rallied around stalled cover to finish second, then didn’t factor from post 8 in her last four starts out of town. She returns for top connections, so play 5-1 and 5-2 exactas.


Scioto Downs - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#3 ROSEMARY ROSE
Classy 6yo had good tune-up, can stalk and pounce in bid for 31st victory.


#4 ST LADS GIDGET
Led at every call in back-to-back wins in open company at Northfield.


#6 GOLDEN PARADISE
Unwound too late while 6-wide in lane as the odds-on favorite.


Race Summary
No room for error as today’s co-feature draws six pacers with a combined 151 wins. Rosemary Rose, a $558k earner for powerful Burke barn, projects ideal stalking trip off a winning qualifier.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Remington Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#1 Cjs Rockhard N Ready
Finished mid-pack last out when he had an outside post; a similar effort will produce better results as he breaks from the rail.


#3 Trubador Dan
Never got involved when he broke from the outside last time; hasn't had a lot of luck at the draw this season but breaks from the No. 3 post tonight and should have a better go of it.


#2 Hollyhook
Ran evenly in his 1st of the Remington season and can be very dangerous with a clean trip.


Race Summary
Cjs Rockhard N Ready takes a class drop and won the last time he was at this level; fits well and can finish strongly vs. this group.


Remington Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#1 Brewhouse
Ran on well vs. straight maidens last out and can succeed on this class drop.


#9 Seissita
Was 3rd vs. maiden specials and will be around for the finish; due for a big effort.


#8 One Fine Eagle V
Ran an even 4th in both tries this year and can improve in this spot.


Race Summary
Brewhouse has taken on some good horses and drops to his lowest level.


Remington Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#4 Mighty Tamale
Has spent his career in good company and takes a class drop; will have to get tied on early going 250 but has the class to do well here.


#3 Polar Xpress
Lost by a head to the speedy starter allowance regular SM Lexis Chick two back


#1 Some Value
Was a good 2nd at this distance last time and steps up in class; has some good races on his form.


Race Summary
Mighty Tamale has spent his career against much tougher, especially this season; drops in price and can wake up vs. this level of competition.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town



Charles Town - Race 9

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta



Claiming $5,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 71 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 10:50


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * WHOISAPRETTYGIRL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TOO MUCH MINUTIA: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. JET SETTIN LADY: Horse ranks in th e top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



11

WHOISAPRETTYGIRL

7/5


7/2




4

TOO MUCH MINUTIA

9/2


6/1




9

JET SETTIN LADY

2/1


7/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




7

LADYOFDRAGONSTONE

7


3/1

Front-runner

68


60


68.4


61.4


45.4




11

WHOISAPRETTYGIRL

11


7/5

Front-runner

75


70


63.2


71.8


66.3




3

SHANNA'S GRAY

3


12/1

Front-runner

59


54


53.8


30.2


16.2




4

TOO MUCH MINUTIA

4


9/2

Stalker

72


68


68.6


62.6


58.1




9

JET SETTIN LADY

9


2/1

Alternator/Stalker

76


70


56.8


63.2


55.2




13

WEDDING DAY KITTEN

13


10/1

Alternator/Stalker

69


51


51.2


52.1


37.6




14

STEALING SUNSHINE

14


4/1

Alternator/Stalker

72


67


49.0


59.8


46.8




10

TAP TOBOGGAN

10


8/1

Trailer

52


44


27.1


40.0


19.0




2

CAT CAT'SHORSEPLAY

2


10/1

Trailer

56


46


25.2


47.2


30.2




1

JEAN GREY

1


20/1

Trailer

66


43


3.8


39.6


19.1




12

DYNAMIC UNION

12


7/2

Alternator/Trailer

82


68


47.4


65.4


47.9




8

LANA

8


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

66


56


61.4


45.1


28.6




5

GOLDEN VALE

5


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

77


71


37.0


36.8


15.3




6

WON LIL INDIAN

6


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

67


46


36.6


48.2


30.7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ruidoso Downs



Ruidoso Downs - Race 9

3rd Leg Pick 3 / Exacta / Trifecta / .10 Superfecta/ .50 Pentafecta



Trial • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 83 • Purse: $8,000 • Post: 3:04P


QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS THAT WERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THE 2020 RUIDOSO QUARTER HORSE FUTURITY. WEIGHT: 124 LBS. ALL HORSES MUST ENTER FOR THE TRIALS ON FRIDAY MAY 15, 2020 BY 10:00 A. M. AND PAY THE $1,200 ENTRY FEE, IF THEY ARE TO RUN IN THE TRIALS. LATE NOMINATIONS OF $30,000 (INCLUDES ALL FEES) WILL BE ACCEPTED UNTIL TIME OF ENTRY INTO THE TRIALS. THOSE WHO WANT TO REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THE 2021 RUIDOSO DERBY, BUT ELECT NOT TO RUN IN THE 2020 RUIDOSO FUTURITY TIME TRIALS MAY DO SO IF THEY ARE STILL ELIGIBLE AT THE TIME OF ENTRY INTO THE TRIALS, BY PAYING THE $1,200 ENTRY FEE INTO THE RUIDOSO FUTURITY TIME TRIALS. THE FIVE FASTEST TIMES FROM THE TRIALS FOR EACH DAY WILL QUALIFY FOR THE FINALS. THERE WILL BE NO "ALSO ELIGIBLE LIST" FOR THE FINALS. NOTE: ALL RACES THIS DAY WILL BE TRIALS, FIRST POST TIME MAY CHANGE DUE TO THE NUMBER OF RACES.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * MISTER HOCKS: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the di stance/surface. JESS CINDY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.



4

MISTER HOCKS

7/2


9/5




8

JESS CINDY

5/2


7/2
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

MISTER HOCKS

4


7/2

Average

80


76


5.0


0.0


0.0




8

JESS CINDY

8


5/2

Fast/Trouble-prone

74


72


0.0


0.0


0.0























Unknown Running Style: WHOS KISSIN MY HOCKS (20/1) [Jockey: Ramirez Esgar - Trainer: Ibarra Sergio], MISS RACY REAGAN (15/1) [Jockey: Herrera Raul - Trainer: Joiner Michael W], ALL OUT FAVORITE (30/1) [Jockey: Garcia Paul Osbaldo - Trainer: Soto Salv

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 77

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 APOLLITICAL PATTY 8/5




# 2 FLIGHT QUEEN 5/1




# 8 ONE SWEET VENOM 12/1




I think APOLLITICAL PATTY is a decent choice. Maybe a little very risky in this baby race, but there are competitive historic results for players on this bloodline. This filly could improve on Lasix. Has to be considered as Arrossa has been among the strongest trainers with two-year olds. FLIGHT QUEEN - Foose is a strong sire when it comes to two-year olds. This filly could improve on Lasix. Should be given a chance as Willoughby has been among the most favorable trainers with two-year olds.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Santa Anita - Race #6 - Post: 3:09pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 90

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#7 RMANIE'S GREY SUIT (ML=20/1)
#9 SHORT OF EZ (ML=5/2)
#5 ROYAL SEEKER (ML=50/1)


RMANIE'S GREY SUIT - The 89 recent race speed fig looks good in black and white. Should do well in this field. Weight shift of -5 from December 7th race at Los Alamitos (Thoroughbre. Three consecutive improved speed ratings (63-85-89) make this animal a powerful contender. SHORT OF EZ - Lots of positive 'vibrations' connected with this thoroughbred and his connections. ROYAL SEEKER - My handicapping know-how tells me to be on the alert for this horse in this event

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 PAPA TURF (ML=2/1), #6 FAST COTTON (ML=3/1), #3 JEN GO UNCHAINED (ML=5/1),

PAPA TURF - Hard to put any cash on this gelding on the front end. Likes to end up on the board though. FAST COTTON - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some success lately in short distance races in order to back him. JEN GO UNCHAINED - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in short distance races in order to play him. Not probable that the speed figure he recorded on April 26th will be enough in this event.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #7 RMANIE'S GREY SUIT to win if you can get odds of 3/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [5,7,9]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [5,7,9] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Lone Star Park - Race #8 - Post: 6:37pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 84

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#12 ROCKTIZWAY (ML=15/1)
#11 BANO SOLO (ML=3/1)


ROCKTIZWAY - The last time he tried this distance he got a fig good enough to win this race. BANO SOLO - When Asmussen gives Elliott a leg up on any horse, you sense that with their winning percent you have more than a fighting chance. I have to believe Asmussen is making a good move here. This colt can only be aided by the shorter distance. This horse's last race was at Oaklawn Park in a race with a class figure of 96. Dropping drastically in class rating in today's event puts him in a solid position right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 GETALOADOFTHIS (ML=5/2), #7 D'ROCKETMAN (ML=4/1), #1 COOL QUARTET (ML=6/1),

GETALOADOFTHIS - The Brain always warns me to keep away from ponies in sprint contests that haven't finished in the money in short distance contests of late. This horse hasn't shown very much in the last couple of affairs. D'ROCKETMAN - You can't keep making allowances for a thoroughbred that just doesn't win. Don't play him. Hard to put any money on this gelding on the win end. Likes to finish in the money though. COOL QUARTET - Should have at least hit the board in the last two months in a short distance race to be worth the chance at small odds in a sprint.

http://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - ROCKTIZWAY - Deceptive early and closing speed on this one. Padronbarcenas should have him ready as they turn for home to make a winning move.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#12 ROCKTIZWAY to win at post-time odds of 3/2 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [11,12]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 63

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 22 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 ADONAI BLESS 9/2




# 3 RACHIELY'S DREAM 4/1




# 11 HER NAME IS STAR 7/2




My pick here is ADONAI BLESS. Has been moving admirably and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. Recently Santos has been on fire which may give the edge to this filly. The average class figure of 57 makes this horse hard to beat. RACHIELY'S DREAM - Is a solid contender based on figures earned lately under today's conditions. HER NAME IS STAR - Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this group of animals in her last race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs



05/22/20, CD, Race 8, 4.40 ET
05/22/20,CD,8,7F [Dirt] 1:20:02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $81,000 (includes up to $30,000 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $75,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of $24,600 Since March 22 Allowed 2 lbs. $21,000 Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $75,000 (Races Where Entered For $60,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
7
Nayibeth
10-1
Corrales G
Ward Wesley A.
J
48.39
1.42/$1


097.60
6
Casual
2-1
Santana. Jr. R
Asmussen Steven M.
SEC
29.73
1.07/$1


096.89
5
Center Aisle
6/5
Rosario J
Brown Chad C.
FL
46.15
1.25/$1


096.44
3
Recoded
15-1
Leparoux J R
Wilkes Ian R.


34.02
1.11/$1


095.87
11
Shadilee
15-1
Ortiz J L
Maker Michael J.


32.28
1.13/$1


094.78
1
Four Grands
12-1
Talamo J
Romans Dale L.


32.28
1.13/$1


094.42
12
West Bank Baby
30-1
Saez G
Calhoun W. Bret


34.69
1.03/$1


094.27
4
Ancient Brown
30-1
Lanerie C J
Gorder Kellyn


34.69
1.03/$1


093.63
14
Palace Avenger
15-1
Albarado R
Ward Wesley A.


32.84
1.08/$1


093.58
13
Dawn's Dancer
20-1
Doyle S
Davis Christopher


32.28
1.13/$1


091.96
9
She Can't Sing
20-1
Hernandez. Jr. B J
Block Chris M.


32.28
1.13/$1


091.89
10
I Was Looking Up
50-1
Cannon D
Kobiskie Dane


32.28
1.13/$1


091.02
8
Persian Queen
30-1
Murrill M
Calhoun W. Bret


34.69
1.03/$1


090.46
2
Roadrunner's Honor
15-1
Cohen D
O'Neill Doug F.


32.28
1.13/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 30.89, ROI 1.01/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



05/22/20, GP, Race 5, 2.46 ET
05/22/20,GP,5,6F [Dirt] 1:08:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $25,000 (includes up to $3,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000, if for $20,000, allowed 1 lb.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
8
Sundown Kid
12-1
Maragh R
Maragh Allen
W
30.49
1.25/$1


098.53
5
Ten Miles High
4-1
Zayas E J
O'Connell Kathleen
SFL
30.49
1.25/$1


095.63
4
Taamer
20-1
Torres C A
Engler Jeff


30.49
1.25/$1


094.64
3
Handsome Prince
9/2
Trejos J
Cioffi Antonio
E
30.49
1.25/$1


094.27
6
Tapi Frost
10-1
Reyes L
Mejia Jaime
T
38.00
1.31/$1


094.14
9
Dr. Samadi
3-1
Jaramillo E
Abreu Jorge R.


38.00
1.31/$1


093.91
7
Union Line
15-1
Juarez N
Broome Edwin T.
C
30.49
1.25/$1


091.79
2
Bourbon Street
5/2
Lebron V
Pecoraro Anthony


38.00
1.31/$1


090.66
1
Disturbin Bourbon
15-1
Berrios H I
Hennig Mark A.
J
38.00
1.31/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 31.75, ROI 1.06/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Park Wagering Strategies - 5/22/20 May 22, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Santa Anita
Friday, May 22, 2020
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Handicappers also are encouraged to access Jeff’s Daily Santa Anita Workout Analysis (see below), an exclusive report containing commentary, fractional times, grades, and a link to the video of the actual workout by each race’s key contenders.

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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Today’s Day Makers:

Churchill Downs – 9th race. Post 5:12 ET.
1 – Summering (9/2)
Returned to winning form with a confidence-building score at Tampa Bay Downs in early April and has trained superbly since, so we’re expecting this daughter of War Front to produce a significant forward move while tackling a tougher group of older fillies and mares. She’s guaranteed an ideal ground-saving trip from her favorable rail post, so at 9/2 on the morning line this stakes-winning filly is a strong win play and rolling exotic single.
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Golden Gate Fields – 9th race. Post 4:45 PT
3 – Hey Wilmaaa (9/2)
Has been burning up the track in the a.m. for a couple of months and with racing having resumed finally gets a chance to display her abilities in the afternoon, when it matters. From a high percentage barn and bred for speed on both sides of her pedigree plus enough turf breeding to handle the surface, the daughter of Cyclotron won’t have to be a world beater to win at first asking against this moderate group of older maiden special weight fillies and mares. At 9/2 on the morning line we’ll put her on top as a strong play both in the win pool and in the rolling exotics.
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Today’s Workout Analysis: View PDF File (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Workout200522.pdf)

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RACE 1: Post 12:30 PT. Grade: B
Use: 2-Teton Valley; 4-Ingest

Forecast: Teton Valley has done some good work in the a.m. leading up to his debut and is plenty fit for a top effort first crack out of the box. It’s hard to gauge how quick out of the gate he will be – he was a bit slow to find his best stride in the one gate drill we were able to view earlier this month – but once in motion the son of Tapizar looked like a nice sort. The R. Hanson barn has been red hot this year and appears to have another live runner. Ingest has trained like a professional for D. O’Neill and as a son of “win early” stallion Square Eddie should make his presence felt right from the bell. In the two gate works we viewed on video the Reddam homebred broke well and proved best in team drills without being asked for his best. The barn’s main guy M. Gutierrez takes the call. These are the two we’ll be focusing on in our rolling exotics, but big ticket players may also want to toss in the two L. Mendez-trained entrants, Positivity and Tripp a Matic, both of whom were prepared at the same Utah training center as Love Wins, the debut winner of the first baby race here over the weekend.
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RACE 2: Post 1:00 PT. Grade: C+
Use: 4-Your Royal Coil; 7-Hot On the Trail; 8-Miss Bennet

Forecast: Restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claiming fillies and mares sprint five and one-half furlongs with at least three legitimate possibilities. Your Royal Coil has rising speed figures with every outing and seems fairly solid after finishing a close second in a similar affair here in March. Blinkers go on for the first time, so we’re expecting the P. Aguirre-trained filly to be on on or near the lead throughout in a race that projects to have moderate at best early splits. Hot On the Trail, from the scorching M. Glatt barn, drops to her lowest level ever, removes blinkers, and returns to dirt while retaining A. Cedillo. The concern is that this abbreviated sprint distance might be a tad sharp for a filly who lacks tactical sprint speed, which means she’ll need some help up front to have her best chance. Miss Bennet away since last summer, returns in a logical spot and is guaranteed a comfortable stalking trip from her outside draw. The M. Chew barn is perfectly capable of winning with come-backers, and this daughter of Jimmy Creed has numbers that fit in addition to a prior win over the Santa Anita main track.
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RACE 3: Post 1:30 PT. Grade: B-
Use: Cheap Cheap Cheap; 2-Smiling Annie; 6-Rosey Sky

Forecast: Cheap Cheap Cheap, in her second start off a layoff, draws the favorable inside post (especially so with the rails out 30 feet) and should be fitter and sharper after finishing third over this course and distance vs. similar in March with a career top speed figure. She’s trained well since, so we’re expecting another forward move from the M. Glatt-trained daughter of Square Eddie. Smiling Annie, fourth in the same race ‘Cheap just finished third in, has a prior win over the local lawn, should enjoy a second-flight, ground-saving trip, and is another live runner from the red-hot M. Glatt stable. Rosey Sky graduated over this course and distance two runs back while earning a speed figure that puts her in the hunt. Overmatched when trying the colts in her last start, she returns to face the girls today and may be quick enough from her outside draw to cross over and establish the running. Her maiden win was accomplished with a stalk-and-pounce trip so regular rider T. Pereira also has that option as well should the race flow dictate it.
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RACE 4: Post 2:00 PT. Grade: B
Use: 1-Manresa; 8-Diva in Charge

Forecast: Manresa is progressing nicely with experience and appears well-spotted to earn her diploma from a favorable inside draw in this bottom-rung maiden $20,000 miler for fillies and mares. Beaten a neck with an improved, career-top speed figure over this track and distance last time out, the R. Bell-trained daughter of Coil has trained solidly for her first start since March, so we’re expecting a similar, if not better, effort today. B. Blanc stays aboard and knows her well. Diva in Charge has been facing much tougher foes but even with this class drop she’ll have to leap forward considerably according to her speed figures to worry our top pick. A distant third in a $40,000 maiden seller in late January, the P. Eurton-trained filly makes a monumental jockey change to F. Prat, and on that basis alone can be expected to leave her previous form behind. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with Manresa clearly preferred on top.
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RACE 5: Post 2:30 PT. Grade: B
Use: 1-Odysseus; 5-Proud Pedro

Forecast: Odysseus is unbeaten in two starts, winning a maiden turf sprint and then stretching out and capturing a first-level allowance affair over this course and distance with a vastly improved speed figure, one that makes him a major threat once again. Though we wouldn’t consider the son of Candy Ride a speed type, it’s not entirely out of the question that he falls into the lead from his favorable rail draw in a race that projects to have very slow early fractions. Because regular rider J. Velez is no longer a bug, the R. Mandella-trained colt must pick up seven pounds, not a deal breaker, but not ideal, either. Proud Pedro can really turn it on late but has no tactical speed and seems likely to take the worst of it from a race-flow standpoint. Nonetheless, he’s strong on numbers, retains F. Prat, and continues to look sharp in the a.m. so we’re expecting the French-bred colt to fire a big shot. We’ll have tickets using both in our rolling exotics with preference on top to Odysseus.
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RACE 6: Post 3:00 PT. Grade: B
Use: 9-Short of Ez; 10-Papa Turf

Forecast: The two main contenders in this $12,500 sprint for older horses both raced at Los Alamitos in a mixed-breed race last time out. Papa Turf has won three of his last five starts but all eight of his victories when facing strictly thoroughbreds have been accomplished over the Santa Anita main track. Comfortably drawn outside, the J. Mullins-trained gelding should be primed for another major effort and given his projected trip may be the most reliable. Short of Ez easily handled Papa Turf two runs back over the local main track and then was third with trouble at Los Al in an allowance race last month. The K. Mulhall-trained gelding is reunited with “win rider” F. Prat and should be within range throughout and have his chance to beat ‘Turf again. Both should be used in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 7: Post 3:30 PT. Grade: C+
Use: 5-King Parker; 8-Music to My Ears; 10-Mayan Warrior

Forecast: The main contention is this restricted (nw-2) sprint for $12,500 older horses should boil down to just three, with Mayan Warrior, favorably drawn outside, getting the edge on top. Definitely fit for having competed twice in the last month at Los Alamitos in mixed-breed competition, the S. Knapp-trained gelding finished third in both of those starts with some amount of trouble, but from where he’s drawn should have clear sailing and every chance with a stalking trip to win his first race since November of 2018. King Parker graduated from a modest maiden $20,000 group over this track and distance in March and is reasonably spotted in his first try vs. winners. He’s shown he can win from mid-pack and that’s probably where he projects to be during the early going. He’ll need a forward move based on speed figures but may have it in him. Music to My Ears plummets from the starter allowance $50,000 level after a couple of non-threatening efforts at Golden Gate Fields but in this league the son of Goldencents may improve enough to be a factor. He has enough early speed to be within range of the leaders, which is where the B. Koriner-trained gelding needs to be because with his grinding style he’ll never be capable of making up a lot of ground from the quarter pole home.
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RACE 8: Post 4:00 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 4-Take the One O One; 7-Tizamagician; 8-Nolo Contesto

Forecast: Tizamagician tackles older foes for the first time but if he continues to improve this promising 3-year-old should be up to the task. After beating maidens over this track and distance two runs back, the R. Mandella-trained colt was a close fourth in the Robert B. Lewis S.-G3, and while it wasn’t the strongest graded stakes for 3-year-olds during the winter the effort still produced a significant forward move. The pace projects to be modest-to-average, so we’re expecting this son of Tiznow to be close up throughout. On pure numbers he is fast enough to win and recent workouts are promising. Take the One O One shows two dull comeback races after missing 2019 entirely, so it’s possible that the son of Acclamation isn’t what he once was. Still, recent workouts have been sharp, so with this return to the main track in a race that doesn’t project to have quick fractions the B. Koriner-trained stakes winner should be given one more chance to gain his top form. Nolo Contesto once beat Omaha Beach as a 3-year-old on this track at this trip but never followed through on that promise. Away since last fall and training well for his comeback, the J. Sadler-trained colt returns to dirt and switches to I. Rispoli, so if he’s ever going to return to his old self it’ll probably be in his first race back.
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RACE 9: Post 4:30 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 4-Goodtingscominpink; 6-On Mars; 7-Rose’s Crystal

Forecast: The nightcap is a maiden grass miler for state-bred fillies and mares. On Mars found her best stride too late when closing to be a distant second behind the stakes-quality Bella Vita and today stretches out for the first time while owning the pedigree to handle the distance. Her recent work tab is healthy and she’ll get the patient ride she needs with M. Smith staying aboard. Rose’s Crystal, a closing fourth over nine furlongs vs. similar in March, shortens up a furlong, removes blinkers, and switches to D. Van Dyke. She’s not particularly fast on numbers but at least they’re heading in the right direction. She should be heard from in the final furlong. Goodtingscominpink, away since last July, had a couple of races last year that could win this moderate affair and the work tab seems okay, so we’ll include her on a ticket or two as well.
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