Service Plays Friday 5/29/20

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

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Weekly Bankroll Builder: May 29 Gulfstream Park Late Pk4 Play

May 27, 2020 | By Brian Nadeau

Weekly Bankroll Builder: May 29 Gulfstream Park Late Pk4 Play

Wednesday, May 27, 2020 by Host Brian Nadeau

We’re likely a week away from the return of the extremely popular Stronach 5, so let’s attack Friday’s late Pk4 at Gulfstream Park one more time, which has a few legs that could be ripe for big upsets. Here’s hoping the rains steer clear and we have a fair go of it.

*** Please take note that this analysis is done upwards of 48 hours in advance, so obviously weather, track conditions and especially late scratches can and will have an effect. Please check back around 4pm Friday for an update, as well as on Twitter. ***

Race 7 (3:49 ET): 3up 30k claimer at 5 furlongs (turf)

Tossing the speed going this short over this turf course is always a worry, but there’s so much of it here that (barring a mass of scratches) I have to think this falls apart in the lane, and that’s how I’ll play it. And considering three of my four A’s are big prices, I like my strategy even more. The list starts with #5 OAK BLUFFS (10-1), who was last seen running a good 5th to better behind the raging Tiger Blood, so the drop, and a closing style that will be flattered by the race flow, just might get him there today. I’m very interested in #6 FUEL THE BERN (8-1), another dropper, and this one should be stalking the pace, and while he’s been on the dirt 11 straight, the turf run at the bottom of his PPs was solid, and he hinted he’s showing signs of life off that 5th last time. An outside attack post says you have to use #8 R BOY EVENS (5-2), but it’s worrisome Maker didn’t get any improvement from him off the claim, and one start later he’s willing to lose him for the same 30k, not to mention pressing/dueling early and holding on late—at an underlaid price—isn’t ideal for this spot. Lastly, I’ll toss in a real bomber in #10 HONOLULU EXPRESS (15-1), another closer who will run on late, likes the course (3-for-8), and really isn’t that far off these on paper anyway.

Pk4 A horses: 5,6,8,10 (listed in order of preference)

The two speeds inside are good—and very fast—which is why you read above how I’m playing this race, but I have a lot of respect for the form of #1 GOOD BYE GREG (9-2), and #2 APACHE BRAVE (3-1), and the former is off an October layoff for Rivelli, who is an insane 62% from a 39-horse sample off this elongated break, while the latter, with Lopez up and blinkers-on, could speed pop this group, so I’ll use them both, though ultimately I still think this falls apart.

Pk4 B horses: 2,1

Potential B add ins: NONE

Race 8: 3upfm Florida-bred AOC (16k/N1X) at 6 furlongs

It’s going to be extremely tough to beat #7 FLORA FANTASY (7-5), who just won at the level last time, gets an even better pace setup today, keeps Irad, and goes off the claim for Delgado (34%) and Drawing Away, which means she could improve that much more off the win last time. And all of that is why I won’t try to beat her, and take the free square that she looks like.

Pk4 A horses: 7 (listed in order of preference)

I know #3 Sayonara Baby (9-2) was only a half-length behind ‘Fantasy last time, but she got loose that day and still couldn’t hold on, and there seems to be more speed here, so she looks like a very likely candidate to regress today, and so there will be no backups, since the rest just don’t stack up.

Pk4 B horses: NONE

Potential B add ins: #3 Sayonara Baby (9-2), #4 Assume Control (12-1)

Race 9: 3f 25k SAL at 5 furlongs (turf)

There’s plenty of speed in this turf dash too, but it’s looks best, so I’m definitely using #11 SWIRLING CANDY (5-2), who will be attacking under Irad off the Delgado claim (34%), and #6 TWEET AWAY ROBIN (7-2), who is off the Maker claim (15%) after an MCL dirt win by the length of the stretch. With that being said, the class-dropping #9 HAPPY LOUDON (15-1), who will be a big price, will also be closing late, has a lot of upside, and isn’t far off the top pair on paper either, so if it collapses, just maybe she blows this up from out of the clouds.

Pk4 A horses: 11,9,6 (listed in order of preference)

Working out a trip from down inside, and not getting fried by the pace, won’t be easy for #2 POSEIDON’S PASSION (3-1), but she did rate and win two-back, so maybe she can pull that trip again here, which would give her a chance, though easier said than done, hence her supporting role.

Pk4 B horses: 2

Potential B add ins: NONE

Race 10: 3up 12.5k N2L at 1-mile (turf)

It’s tough to get too cute in the finally, as the two MSW droppers—#6 WIND RIDGE (7-2) AND #7 SUPERHIGHWAY (9-2)—simply look better than a very weak bunch. I’ll side with the former, who has the best dirt race showing, will get more speed the rally into on the cutback to one-turn, and has a big recency edge on his main rival, not to mention will be a better price too. ‘Highway is going to be bet off the board for Brown, Klarman, and Irad, and he may well win, but he also hasn’t run since June, was always part of the B-team anyway, and frankly, was pretty bad in both starts, so sure, he still can win, but at short odds he’s not the type to stand alone with.

Pk4 A horses: 6,7 (listed in order of preference)

I could easily have put #5 NIMBLE BEAST (5-2) on the top line, as he may be a Lone F and almost wired at the level last time, but he stretches out a furlong here, and meets two stiff class droppers from potent connections, so I’m just not sure he can reproduce that run, even if he does clear.

Pk4 B horses: 5

Potential B add ins: NONE

The suggested tickets (all can be played for more than $0.50):

Main Ticket: 5,6,8,10 with 7 with 11,9,6 with 6,7 = $12
Race 7 B Backup: 2,1 with 7 with 11,9,6 with 6,7 = $6
Race 9 B Backup: 5,6,8,10 with 7 with 2 with 6,7 = $4
Race 10 B Backup: 5,6,8,10 with 7 with 11,9,6 with 5 = $6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis May 29, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
My focus will be on the Late Pick 4 at Northfield Park which starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool but it could be considerably higher. The pool on Wednesday night was a hefty $42,000.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

3-Kehmmywood (3/2)-Even effort in qualifier but veteran drops into a soft spot and knows how to win. Looking to start the ticket with a single and will hope 10-year-old brings a top effort.

Race 12

2-One More Mission (5/2)-Far back early but kept pacing through the mile in qualifier. Tune-up was on sloppy track but paced the back half in 57.1 and should be in the mix this evening.
3-Westfiftythird (7/2)-Wrenn takes a seat and that won't hurt. Should be forwardly placed in a race without much form, so best to respect.
6-Roscoe Village (12-1)-Even effort in tune-up on a sloppy track. Camera shy but he is not alone. Seems to be worth a swing at 12-1 in the morning line.
7-Trace Of Lindy (5-1)-Sold for $20,000 in November and now makes first start for the Smith barn. Has speed and also has had breaking issues. Maybe things are changing, has stayed on stride without hopples in last two qualifiers.
9-Dontyousayit (4-1)-Qualified well at ScD and has a win and a 2nd place finish in three starts at Nfld. Post doesn't help and is only 2-17 lifetime, but could be a threat versus this crew if Sugg provides a good steer.

Race 13

2-Blue Spanx (3-1)-Drops into a nice spot and comes off a strong qualifier. 2020 record is 0-15 but seems to have a big shot for a picture tonight.
5-Given Up Terror (2-1)-Comes off a nice qualifier and should like the company. Over the last 2-years has only 3 wins in 51 starts. Will use but look to others also for some value.
7-Mr I Am (20-1)-Fits with this bunch, raced well in qualifier and should be a big price. My guess is Stahl will leave and could find a close-up seat behind one of the chalks.
8-Striking Reality (15-1)-If pace is lively this 5-year-old can roll late and had a nice tune-up. The question is whether Grismore can get him into striking range. Looks to be worth the risk at 15-1 in the morning line.

Race 14

4-Otsego (7/5)-Steps down to a more comfortable spot after a needed start. Lightly raced 4-year-old could be sitting on a big try.
7-Setit And Forgetit (8-1)-Has finished in the money in 5 of 7 starts at Nfld with 2-wins. Hall will not be driving but whoever steers needs an alert start. 4-year-old can make one big brush and does know how to win.

$1 Pick 4

3/2,3,6,7,9/2,5,7,8/4,7
Total Bet=$40

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#5 Veer
Tactical sort takes a slight drop in class and enters with some decent enough form off her last two, and with just four starts there's still upside here, and with a strong favorite next door, she'll offer a hint of value as well; love her chances in here.


#6 Cactus Kitten
Ramsey homebred daughter of Kitten's Joy debuts for Maker (13%) and has Irad, so she'll be bet hard, but yikes, she's being given away for 12.5k without even a run, which isn't a good sign for a gal with such a big pedigree; tread very lightly.


#7 Bettin Onna Kitten
Stretch runner made a big late dent last time at a mile, when she rallied from last-of-11 to be 3rd, and it was on the drop to this level too, and you have to think she'll like the extra furlong she gets to deal with today as well; clearly the one to fear late.


Race Summary
There's a lot to like about the 5, most notably her tactical speed and her price, not to mention she faces a potentially vulnerable favorite and the rest of these gals aren't much, so play her in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well, since there are ore than a few here who will take play, and getting home a $10 or so winner will knock out a lot of tickets right off the bat.


Gulfstream Park - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#7 Fancified
McPeek charge has turned into a new gal since getting to the turf, winning two straight, and while this group is tougher, she fits on paper, and her stretch running style might appreciate a taxing course with some give to it from all the recent rain; hat trick time.


#1 Toffen
Heavy hitter is lightly raced and has a ton of upside, drew perfectly, and will be on or just off the pace, which means she's going to be in the right spot off the far turn, and she won't have to improve much, if not at all, off that recent 2nd to win this; the gal to beat.


#2 Hurricane Breeze
ML favorite will be bet hard for Maker off the claim (15%), especially since it was for Dubb and Irad rides, but she exits just an MCL win, so this is a stiff rise in class, and with little margin for error, and underlaid odds, you're allowed to look elsewhere; trying to beat.


Race Summary
You should get fair value on the pick, as both the 1 and 2 will be played more, even though the 7 is right there with them, and has yet to taste defeat on turf, so play her to win and place, and especially in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since a win in the $10 range, over two who will anchor a lot of tickers, will add plenty of value to both sequences.


Gulfstream Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#3 Alpha Babe
Magner firster (12%) is by the white-hot sire Malibu Moon, is out of a dam who is a half-sister to GI winner Funny Moon, and goes for a trainer who is from the tree of Pletcher and Brown, so he knows what to do with a young and talented horse; look out.


#1 Deemed Essential
The chalk for Pletcher has Irad too, so don't expect any value here for a barn that is potent in these early season 2yos dashes, and they paid 125k for a daughter of 10k young sire Upstart, so she clearly looked the part, though the rail is no bargain; second-best.


#6 Go Jo Jo Go
Tricky read was bet off the board on debut for a Yates barn that is firing, though she didn't have a fair go of it and was basically eased, so how she responds is a big guess, though the price will be a lot better if you're stringing along; far too early to give up on.


Race Summary
Tab the tote on the 3, as you want to see her live and taking money into the teeth of the 1, and if that's the case you can play her to win and place, though you'll get some built-in value by using her to end the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since budget players will be singling 'Essential, even though there are a few hurdles, and the pick looks like a runner.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Charles Town - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#8 Love You Goodbye
Is starting to get short on excuses with four runner-up finishes from six starts, but she's pretty reliable and can get another good run from close range.


#9 Rumourist
Debuter doesn't meet a whole lot at first asking, and the barn has been off to a hot start since racing resumed recently.


#4 Carpe Amorina
Hit or miss form is still a concern, and even though the local debut was decent, that was still a huge lead she coughed up late in the lane. The one to beat.


Race Summary
Love You Goodbye might get a bit overlooked with this bunch, and she's got the speed to be in the mix from the break. Carpe Amorina can win this, but I wouldn't be excited about taking another short price.


Charles Town - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#1 Lady Storm
Will need to fire off the December break, but she has been razor-sharp in her last three, and she figures capable of controlling the tempo from the rail.


#6 Brushing
Made a winning impression in the local debut when never headed at 3/2, and while that nine-length romp fits here if she's able to repeat it, that's a big 'if' on a pretty steep hike.


#9 Sniff
Should get a decent run of things from close range, and she has a really solid ability to rate that will give her rider some options for placing her after the break.


Race Summary
Lady Storm has enough pace to find the front in here, but she also won her last from well off the splits. She's dangerous and the one to beat in this spot.


Charles Town - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#5 Anna's Bandit
Won't offer any price, but it's really tough to get past her. She has been a bear with the local company and won two stakes here last year by nearly nine lengths combined. She was recently a good third with Grade III company and should handle these.


#1 Parisian Diva
Looks like the main danger, but any pace pressure is going to hurt her the most from the fence. Her local record of 13/9-2-1 is tough to argue with, but the top choice might just be too good.


#3 Cameron Street
Is totally overmatched with these on paper, but she occasionally sucks up for a piece late, and that may be her best chance -- sit back and let everything unfold in hopes that enough horses come back to them late to land a piece.


Race Summary
Anna's Bandit looks very tough, and she owns five wins from seven local tries. Her recent form towers over these on the drop.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Northfield Park - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#3 McARTER
Best value play against bad bunch of rivals.


#6 EATAAMSALLFIREDUP
Looks best on paper but he’s 0-for-16.


#9 LOTSAPEPPERONI
Meadows invader draws post 9 for 33 percent trainer.


Race Summary
McArter chased short-priced runaways in his last two starts and paced evenly in a race dominated by deep closers at Lexington. He can run past this field at a decent price. Play a 3-6-9 exacta box.


Northfield Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#3 RAIN MISS
Has ability, will try to show it for new barn in seasonal debut.


#1 BE A BELIEVER
Solid freshman season in sire stakes, starts from rail.


#2 B ANKING
Mare got caught by pocket-sitter after race fave broke stride early.


Race Summary
Rain Miss attracted a lot of betting attention at the fairs, put it all together in an 11-length romp, now gets Lasix for his new connections. Play 3-1 and 3-2 exactas.


Northfield Park - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#2 CAPTAIN’S REIGN
Tries to upstage runner-up finishes and reward loyal backers.


#6 ROBUSTO BLUE CHIP
Gets plenty of pace to rally into at a price, use in gimmicks.


#4 COUSIN LOUIE
Good first gear, won nine races last year, mostly at fairs.


Race Summary
Captain’s Reign was the beaten favorite in 3 of 4 starts out of town, but he did manage to finish second three times. He’s the one to beat for top connections. Play 2 with 4, 6 with ALL trifecta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Remington Park - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#8 Fast Flash Gordon
Closed for 3rd vs. stronger field and should appreciate the 400 yards; one to hold off.


#3 Im Fearless
Held 3rd in a derby trial last out and has been in good form this year; clearly capable of running a big one.


#6 Haggard
Was 2nd in his last three, once against track-record breaker Df Lord Garvan; fits well here.


Race Summary
Fast Flash Gordon has run out of real estate in his last two and can put to good use the additional 50 yards of this one.


Remington Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#2 Copper Wire
Drops to a maiden spot after running against top paints in futurity trials and a final; his best can make him a strong player.


#3 Bv Snow Chrome
Lost by a length last time and should be able to secure a better trip; two of his three starts were good.


#5 Tunrpikers Candy
Didn't fire in his only start, which came in a futurity trial; bred to be a runner.


Race Summary
Copper Wire has taken on some strong opposition and should find this level of competition to his liking.


Remington Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#4 Glitter and Gold
Ran on well for 2nd last out and takes a slight drop; has been on an extended run of good form.


#5 Prohibitive
Flopped as the favorite last time but his best races would make him a s solid contender.


#8 El Malkerido
Tired as the favorite last time and was a good 2nd two back; can make a run at these.


Race Summary
Glitter and Gold rarely runs a bad one and has a good chance to outfinish this group; can secure his 1st win of the year.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)




Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 7

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager $1 Late Double



Maiden Claiming $6,250 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $7,545 • Post: 8:48P


QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * HAWKS MAIN INTEREST: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LA ZAINA DE NOGALES: Horse ranks in the top three in T rackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PERRY THE LEGACY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



2

HAWKS MAIN INTEREST

2/1


7/2




6

LA ZAINA DE NOGALES

3/1


9/2




5

PERRY THE LEGACY

5/1


9/1


















P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

VF FIRST PRIZE MAMA

1


5/2

Average/Trouble-prone

71


56


0.0


0.0


0.0




2

HAWKS MAIN INTEREST

2


2/1

Fast/Trouble-prone

75


71


0.0


0.0


0.0




5

PERRY THE LEGACY

5


5/1

Average/Trouble-prone

71


58


5.2


0.0


0.0




6

LA ZAINA DE NOGALES

6


3/1

Average/Trouble-prone

72


66


0.0


0.0


0.0




7

JUNES LIGHT

7


15/1

Slow/Trouble-prone

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0















Unknown Running Style: CARTEL FIRE TWO (8/1) [Jockey: Jasso Mark A - Trainer: Vallejo Adriana], PRINCELY TYPE (15/1) [Jockey: Bednar Vinnie - Trainer: Willoughby Scott].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park



Remington Park - Race 1

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum)



Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 400 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 69 • Purse: $9,700 • Post: 6:00P


QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * FAMOUS FIRE EAGLE: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. TEMPTING MONEY: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. HERES A QUE STION: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. IMA DESIRIO: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



7

FAMOUS FIRE EAGLE

3/1


5/1




9

TEMPTING MONEY

8/1


7/1




4

HERES A QUESTION

5/1


7/1




3

IMA DESIRIO

4/1


7/1




6

SOUTHERN SEPERATION

15/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

DREAM ARTIST

1


15/1

Slow

0


0


6.2


0.0


0.0




2

OKEY DOKEYS COCKTAIL

2


20/1

Slow

0


0


8.3


0.0


0.0




3

IMA DESIRIO

3


4/1

Average

75


61


4.6


0.0


0.0




4

HERES A QUESTION

4


5/1

Fast

70


63


3.1


0.0


0.0




5

CAPTURE DE STARS

5


12/1

Fast

65


52


3.4


0.0


0.0




6

SOUTHERN SEPERATION

6


15/1

Average

65


62


5.6


0.0


0.0




7

FAMOUS FIRE EAGLE

7


3/1

Average

69


69


3.6


0.0


0.0




8

OKLAHOMA BANDIT

8


6/1

Average

69


32


5.1


0.0


0.0




9

TEMPTING MONEY

9


8/1

Average

71


67


5.0


0.0


0.0




10

MY FIRST PRIZE LEENA

10


10/1

Average

57


53


3.8


0.0


0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ruidoso Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 13 - Trial - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $4000 Class Rating: 75

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, TWO YEAR OLD NEW MEXICO BREDS THAT ARE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE TO THE 2020 MOUNTAIN TOP QUARTER HORSE FUTURITY TRIALS: WEIGHT 124 LBS. ALL HORSES MUST ENTER FOR THE TRIALS ON FRIDAY MAY 22, 2020 BY 10:00 A M AND PAY THE $800 ENTRY FEE, IF THEY ARE TO RUN IN THE TRIALS. LATE NOMINATIONS OF $15,000 WILL BE ACCEPTED AT TIME OF ENTRY




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 SIGNATURE WINE 15/1




# 2 ABIJAH 5/2




# 5 SALEENA 6/1




SIGNATURE WINE looks to be a solid contender especially at such a decent 15/1. Sire has produced strong gains with his offspring in their first tries. ABIJAH - Vaunts sound speed figs on average overall when compared with the rest of this group. He looks very strong in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point. This gelding has a strong winning percentage in short races. SALEENA - Investors may be making a risky move ignoring this conditioner working with a maiden first time starter.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs



05/29/20, TAM, Race 6, 3.11 ET
05/29/20,TAM,6,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $20,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $75,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since April 29 Allowed 2 lbs. Such ARace Since March 29 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $75,000 (Races Where Entered For $40,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (Condition Eligibility).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
10
Gravitas
6-1
Centeno D
Thomas Jonathan
TFWL
31.91
1.30/$1


095.87
4
Cadet Connelly
6-1
Allen. Jr. R D
Connelly Teresa


36.17
1.52/$1


095.71
1
Danzing Dunhill
7/2
Gallardo A A
Weaver George
JSE
25.00
1.41/$1


094.02
8
Matty's Express
5-1
Spieth S
Dini Michael


32.76
1.27/$1


093.86
7
Alley Oop Johnny
10-1
Mena R
Rigattieri John


28.85
1.32/$1


093.25
3
Summer Assault
3-1
Suarez A
Boyce Michele


36.17
1.52/$1


092.38
9
Mecha Corta
6-1
Batista J A
Gutierrez Fausto


25.00
1.41/$1


091.86
6
Tapage
15-1
Mejia T B
Harty Eoin G.


32.76
1.27/$1


090.30
5
Buffalo Max
30-1
Villa-Gomez H
Raines Lindsey Marie
C
25.00
1.41/$1


088.64
2
Battle Creek
20-1
Lopez J E
Ali Alnaz


32.76
1.27/$1


* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 40.00, ROI 1.36/$1
If Race Is Off Turf Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
10
Gravitas
6-1
Centeno D
Thomas Jonathan
TFL
38.46
2.05/$1


097.09
4
Cadet Connelly
6-1
Allen. Jr. R D
Connelly Teresa
E
63.64
3.75/$1


095.85
1
Danzing Dunhill
7/2
Gallardo A A
Weaver George
J
36.90
1.17/$1


094.89
3
Summer Assault
3-1
Suarez A
Boyce Michele
S
63.64
3.75/$1


094.33
7
Alley Oop Johnny
10-1
Mena R
Rigattieri John


63.64
3.75/$1


094.01
8
Matty's Express
5-1
Spieth S
Dini Michael


28.57
1.20/$1


093.02
6
Tapage
15-1
Mejia T B
Harty Eoin G.
W
28.57
1.20/$1


092.90
9
Mecha Corta
6-1
Batista J A
Gutierrez Fausto


36.90
1.17/$1


090.95
5
Buffalo Max
30-1
Villa-Gomez H
Raines Lindsey Marie
C
28.57
1.20/$1


089.72
2
Battle Creek
20-1
Lopez J E
Ali Alnaz


28.57
1.20/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.30, ROI 0.70/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Gulfstream Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 9.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 VEER (ML=5/1)
#13 HERCULINA (ML=10/1)


VEER - After the race aboard this horse on May 7th, the jockey is going to be in touch with the filly much better. A big drop in Equibase class figure points from her May 7th race at Gulfstream Park. Based on that information, I will give this horse the advantage. HERCULINA - This animal could be tough in today's contest, especially since Rodriguez rode last race out and now should be more familiar with this one.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 CACTUS KITTEN (ML=2/1), #11 SUBTLE JOY (ML=3/1), #7 BETTIN ONNA KITTEN (ML=9/2),

CACTUS KITTEN - Trying to beat this horse this time around at the value of 2/1. SUBTLE JOY - You believe this animal is going to win today just because she's always close. Just doesn't finish on top regularly. BETTIN ONNA KITTEN - Would have to get more than the oddsmaker's morning line of 9/2 to play this horse.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#5 VEER is the play if we get odds of 7/5 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [5,13]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

5 with 13 with [1,4,12] Total Cost: $3



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:

[5,13] with [5,13] with [1,4,6,12] with [1,4,6,12] with [1,4,6,12] Total Cost: $48

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs



05/29/20, CD, Race 8, 4.40 ET
05/29/20,CD,8,5F [Turf] 00:55:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $88,000 (includes up to $32,900 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-Winners Of A Graded Sweepstakes On The Turf Since October 1 Allowed 2 lbs. $58,000 Twice On The Turf Since July 4 Allowed 4 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $100,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at Five Furlongs.).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
7
Wellabled
8-1
Jimenez A
Rivelli Larry
JT
29.17
1.18/$1


098.90
11
Carotari
8-1
Ortiz J L
Lynch Brian A.

29.17
1.18/$1


098.88
15
Seven Nation Army
4-1
Rosario J
Moquett Ron

29.17
1.18/$1


098.69
3
Real News
8-1
Hernandez C J
Stall. Jr. Albert M.

29.17
1.18/$1


096.99
10
Extravagant Kid
7/2
Rosario J
Walsh Brendan P.
S
29.17
1.18/$1


096.50
9
Leinster
4-1
Gaffalione T
Arnold. II George R.

29.17
1.18/$1


096.42
1
Ghoul (BRZ)
8-1
Cohen D
Miller Peter

29.17
1.18/$1


095.78
5
Wilbo
15-1
Lanerie C J
Hartman Chris A.
FC
29.17
1.18/$1


095.54
13
Fast Boat
10-1
Beschizza A
Sharp Joe

29.17
1.18/$1


095.09
4
Totally Boss
3-1
Geroux F
Arnold. II George R.
E
29.17
1.18/$1


094.73
14
Just Might
10-1
Saez G
Lovell Michelle

29.17
1.18/$1


093.74
2
Dubini
15-1
Castellano J
Demasi Kathleen A.

29.17
1.18/$1


093.34
6
Bulletin
8-1
Santana. Jr. R
Asmussen Steven M.
L
29.17
1.18/$1


093.26
8
Heartwood
30-1
McKee J
Chapman James K.
W
29.17
1.18/$1


092.62
12
Elusive Mischief
20-1
Leparoux J R
Wilkes Ian R.

29.17
1.18/$1


* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 28.13, ROI 1.24/$1
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.00
7
Wellabled
8-1
Jimenez A
Rivelli Larry
JTFW
14.29
1.54/$1


098.38
11
Carotari
8-1
Ortiz J L
Lynch Brian A.

14.29
1.54/$1


098.37
15
Seven Nation Army
4-1
Rosario J
Moquett Ron

14.29
1.54/$1


097.92
3
Real News
8-1
Hernandez C J
Stall. Jr. Albert M.

14.29
1.54/$1


097.47
10
Extravagant Kid
7/2
Rosario J
Walsh Brendan P.

14.29
1.54/$1


097.26
9
Leinster
4-1
Gaffalione T
Arnold. II George R.
S
14.29
1.54/$1


096.88
4
Totally Boss
3-1
Geroux F
Arnold. II George R.

41.98
1.11/$1


096.24
6
Bulletin
8-1
Santana. Jr. R
Asmussen Steven M.
EL
14.29
1.54/$1


095.85
13
Fast Boat
10-1
Beschizza A
Sharp Joe

14.29
1.54/$1


095.31
14
Just Might
10-1
Saez G
Lovell Michelle

14.29
1.54/$1


094.73
5
Wilbo
15-1
Lanerie C J
Hartman Chris A.
C
34.94
1.19/$1


094.24
1
Ghoul (BRZ)
8-1
Cohen D
Miller Peter

16.36
1.10/$1


093.11
2
Dubini
15-1
Castellano J
Demasi Kathleen A.

14.29
1.54/$1


092.92
8
Heartwood
30-1
McKee J
Chapman James K.

14.29
1.54/$1


092.24
12
Elusive Mischief
20-1
Leparoux J R
Wilkes Ian R.

14.29
1.54/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 23.64, ROI 0.73/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 76

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES IN 2019-2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 TIZFIT 3/1




# 1 OFFICE CHICKS 5/2




# 4 CATTERING 2/1




TIZFIT is the best bet in this race. Ran a very solid last race. This mare must be considered just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint races alone. OFFICE CHICKS - Has decent speed figures and has to be considered for a wager for this event. Earned a quite good Equibase Speed Figure last time out. CATTERING - Looks solid for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races lately. Is tough not to consider based on speed figures which have been very good - 72 avg - of late.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts





http://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Santa Anita - Race #6 - Post: 3:09pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 65

Rating: http://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttp://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#7 POLAR ROUTE (ML=6/1)
#6 THICK SMOKE (ML=6/1)


POLAR ROUTE - Valdivia and Chew partnered together are a railbird's friend. Lets try to beat the low-odds horses with this filly. Just missed last out, but ran a respectable race. THICK SMOKE - That recent bullet 35.6 work shows that this filly is ready for a top effort today. The May 17th clash at Santa Anita was at a class level of (89). Dropping to a lower class rank significantly, so she should be in a good position to win. It is my opinion that fillys run better the second time they get Lasix. Miyadi puts this filly on it for the second time today, so give this one a look.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 CAUGHT IN A TRAPPE (ML=3/1), #5 GOLDEN MELODIE (ML=7/2), #2 CURVACEOUS (ML=4/1),

CAUGHT IN A TRAPPE - Didn't close ground at all on May 15th. Hard to bet on in today's event at the expected odds. This filly hasn't had any in the money efforts in short distance contests in the last 60 days. GOLDEN MELODIE - Hard to put any money on this filly on the win end. Likes to land in the top three though. When looking at today's class rating, she will have to record a better speed figure than last time out to compete in this dirt sprint. CURVACEOUS - Can't bet on this racer in today's sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance race lately.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #7 POLAR ROUTE on top if we're getting at least 6/5 odds


EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [6,7]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass


SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass



SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Churchill Downs Picks 5/29

Fri May 29, 2020 9:15 am
Silver Ratio was a scratch yesterday and we hit a small $16 exacta in the 5th at Churchill. Today I have three races capped from Churchill. Good luck.

Race 1
#7 Heavy Roller $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 7-3-1

Race 8
#9 Leinster $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 9-3-4

Race 9
#9 Alex's Strike $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 9-5-2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Park Wagering Strategies - 5/29/20 May 29, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Santa Anita
Friday, May 29, 2020
*

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
*
Handicappers also are encouraged to access Jeff’s Daily Santa Anita Workout Analysis (see below), an exclusive report containing commentary, fractional times, grades, and a link to the video of the actual workout by each race’s key contenders.

*
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
*
The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

*


Today’s Workout Analysis: View PDF File (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Workout200529.pdf)


*
*

RACE 1: Post 12:30 PT. Grade: B+
Single: 7-Miss Glorious

Forecast: Miss Glorious has the benefit of a good tightener over the track and goes from the inside to the outside while adding blinkers. The daughter of Goldencents doesn’t appear to have much to fear among the newcomers so at 2-1 on the morning line we’ll make her a straight play and rolling exotic single.
*
*
RACE 2: Post 1:00 PT. Grade: C
Use: 1-Busy Paynter; 4-Sheza Factor; 5-Uno Trouble Maker; 6-Come On Kat

Forecast: This is a race we’re going to pass, as four of the six entrants must be considered legitimate contenders. The M. Glatt barn has two major players and both have strong credentials to win. Busy Paynter remains above her claim level and is reunited with “win rider” F. Prat over a Santa Anita main track that she’s won three races from five career starts. Freshened since mid-March but with a healthy series of recent workouts, she’s 8/5 on the morning line and probably deserves to be, but from the rail she’d better not make any mistakes. Glatt’s other starter, Come On Kat, is waiver protected in her first start in more than a year. She’s fired fresh in the past and the work tab should have her fit enough and from her comfortable outside draw the daughter of Munnings can pop and go or stalk and pounce. Uno Trouble Maker has won six of 13 starts over the local main track and returns to the claiming ranks for the first time since she won at this price last summer. The W. Spawr-trained mare has only one way to go, on the lead every step of the way. Sheza Factor, second off the claim for V. Garcia but remaining above her $20,000 purchase price, is another that does her best while on or near the lead throughout. Her sharp win here two races back vs. $16,000 restricted foes charts very well here.
*
*
RACE 3: Post 1:30 PT. Grade: B
Use: 1-Let’s Get Wild; 7-Bella Chica; 8-Fireproof

Forecast: Lets Get Wild draws the coveted rail – an excellent place to leave from when the rail is out 30 feet – and the daughter of Ministers Wild Cat should utilize her projected ground-saving trip to good advantage. Runner-up in her last two starts over this course and distance and making a favorable jockey switch to A. Cedillo, the E.Kruljac-trained sophomore filly shows a bullet training track drill (:49 2/5) last week to have her primed and ready. Bella Chica has hit the board in all three of her career starts while developing a late-running style and should be heard from again in the final furlong. Fireproof represents stranger-danger from San Luis Rey Downs and has winning connections (R. Baltas/F. Prat). She shows a couple of strong five-furlong drills and is bred to adore grass (Unusual Heat). She’s a “must use” in rolling exotic play.
*
*
RACE 4: Post 2:00 PT. Grade: B
Use: 1-K P Whirlwind; 6-Boonesboro Beauty

Forecast: J P Whirlwind is equipped with blinkers for the first time, retains U. Rispoli, shows rising speed figures, drops to her lowest level ever, and lands the favorable inside draw in this main track miler for bottom rung restricted (nw-2) $12,500 claiming fillies and mares. The daughter of Congrats is guaranteed a ground-saving trip from what should be a comfortable second-flight, stalking position, so it all adds up. Boonesboro Beauty, in the frame in both of her starts at this level since arriving from the Bay Area, seems likely to drop back off the pace and then try to produce a winning late kick. Away since February but from an outfit that has superior stats with layoff runners, the daughter of Animal Kingdom could be the beneficiary of a speed jam that should set things up nicely for her, assuming waiting tactics will be employed. We’ll give J P Whirlwind preference on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
*
*
RACE 5: Post 2:30 PT. Grade: B
Use: 3-Cool Runnings; 4-Railsplitter; 6-Fengari

Forecast: Fengari continues to impress in the a.m. and switches to R. Fuentes, a very live rider lately for the J. Sadler barn. The son of Artie Schiller returned off a nearly two year layoff to finish a better-than-looked fourth under these conditions last time out with a less-than-ideal trip (off slowly, wide) while earning a good speed figure for the level. With only a slight forward move, the 5-year-gelding should be capable of finally breaking his maiden at age five. Cool Runnings shows up in a claimer for the first time and the drop in class will be greatly appreciated. The son of American Pharoah shortens to a mile and should settle into a comfortable stalking position. Railsplitter, a beaten choice when second in a similar affair over this course and distance last time out, earned a career-top speed figure in the process and clearly is most comfortable on grass. A. Cedillo stays aboard and could find himself aboard the the controlling speed. These are the three we’ll be including in our rolling exotics with preference on top to Fengari.
*
*
RACE 6: Post 3:00 PT. Grade: C+
Use: 2-Curvaceous; 4-Big Passion

Forecast: This maiden $25,000 claiming sprint for fillies and mares is borderline inscrutable. There’s nobody to trust and too many question marks to have a great feel for a race in which no result could be considered surprising. We’ll suggest going two-deep for small ticket players but the best advice is to use as many as your budge allows. Curvaceous displayed excellent early speed in her debut when facing maiden $50,000 foes two weeks ago and is wheeled back quickly and dropped to the bottom. If the A. Kitchingman-trained filly can produce any type of forward move, she could grab control early and never look back. Big Passion is a first-timer by Mr. Big with okay works for this level. The T. Yakteen barn has a solid record with debut runners and this filly looks fit and properly spotted, so at 5-1 on the morning line she’s certainly worth including.
*
*
RACE 7: Post 3:30 PT. Grade: B+
Use: 1-Kustom for Karl; 2-Bella Vita

Forecast: Kustom for Karl was highly impressive graduating over this course and distance in mid-May, hasn’t missed a beat in the morning since and looks primed for another major effort while drawing the highly-favorable rail post position. The J. Mullins-trained filly may not be quick enough to make the lead but should be quite comfortable with a ground-saving second-flight trip if that’s what the race flow dictates. There’s good value here at 3-1 on the morning line if you can get it. Bella Vita is wheeled back quickly in 13 days after earning a career top speed figure when a solid runner-up in the Evening Jewel Stakes on the main track. She’s back with “win rider” F. Prat and returns to what we believe is her preferred surface. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics while preference on top to Kustom for Karl.
*
*
RACE 8: Post 4:00 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 1-Itsthattime; 2-Zorich; 3-Big Hoof Dynamite

Forecast: The main contention is this starter’s allowance main track miler is drawn inside. First-time gelding Big Hoof Dynamite, runner-up over this track and distance in a similar affair last time out, retains F. Prat and should put his pace-stalking style to good use. Solid in the speed figure department and with a healthy recent series of drills, the E. Truman-trained gelding should be set for a forward move. Itsthattime, in the frame in each of his last five starts and third in the same race that ‘Dynamite just finished second in, could be the controlling speed from the rail, and given that type of trip the son of Strong Mandate projects to take this field a long way. The J. Bonde-trained gelding makes a major jockey switch to M. Smith and a recent half mile bullet workout (:46 4/5, fastest of 55) really catches the eye. Zorich may be the most dangerous of the closing types, has a good record over the local main track (in the money in four of five starts) and has solid, consistent speed figures for this level. We’ll include all three in our rolling exotics with a very slight edge on top to Big Hoof Dynamite.
*