Service Plays Friday 6/26/20

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Weekly Bankroll Builder: June 26 Stronach 5 Play June 24, 2020 | By Brian Nadeau
If it doesn’t kill you it makes you stronger, that’s how it goes, right? We forge on in this week’s all Laurel-Gulfstream Park 100k guaranteed Stronach 5 after a brutal neck loss in the final leg of last week’s sequence, when our 4-1 single couldn’t quite get by the favorite to secure what would have been well over a five-figure payoff (it paid $7,039 with the 7-5 winning) on an $72 All-A ticket. So it goes. To refresh, the Stronach 5 is a Pk5 wager spread across as many as four tracks and up to three surfaces (dirt, Tapeta and turf), inside of 90 minutes, with a $1 minimum and ridiculously low 12% takeout. I’ll be putting together some prospective tickets in this space each week for a wager that is undoubtedly as good as it gets for the bettors.

*** Please take note that this analysis is done upwards of 48 hours in advance, so obviously weather, track conditions and especially late scratches can and will have an effect. Please check back around 4pm Friday for an update, as well as on Twitter (https://twitter.com/brian_j_nadeau/). ***

Leg 1: Laurel Park R6 (3:33 ET) – 3up 40k MCL at 6 furlongs (turf)

Whereas last week seemed to be a much more expansive sequence, this week’s doesn’t look nearly as hard—and yes, I know how that usually plays out—and so I’ll play it accordingly, since I came up with mostly logical horses throughout the five races. The opener is a good case in point, as #4 DREAMING OF CARATS (4-1) could be a potential single off the two-turn debut 5th against much better at GP, from an impossible draw too, and now he runs as a first-time gelding and takes blinkers off, so there’s a good chance he blows up here and lays down a race the rest of these can’t handle on the cutback in what looks like a speedy field. I do think #1 ARTISTIC REASON (6-1) is playable though, even though his dirt debut wasn’t much, but he did rally late, and McCarthy sticks for Motion, who is 27% dirt-to-turf, and there’s some solid grass pedigree here as well, plus he’s another who will like the expected hot and contested pace. I’m also going to use one of the few A-line prices in the sequence, as #10 LOCK (12-1) made up 10 lengths late in a non-threatening debut on the dirt against MSW foes, so this drop, and all the heat up front, could set him up at a nice price.

Pk5 A horses: 4,1,10 (listed in order of preference)

There are undoubtedly others who could be used on the top line, but the statistics have me siding against a few who will get played, especially #7 ROYAL THUNDER (9-2), an MSW dropper for a 30% Russell barn, but also one that is 0-for-9 first-turf, 0-for-9 dirt-to-turf, and 0-for-10 in turf sprints, so while he fits on paper, that’s a lot of 0’fers to snap. Inside speed might be #2 KARAN’S NOTION’S (5-1) undoing, as that 2nd on debut on the dirt was big, but he takes all the worst of it here with so much pressure to his outside, and that 61-1 is long gone today too. if nothing else, #9 FIYA (6-1) did well to draw outside the other speed, and both dirt runs were strong, but he’s off a December layoff and may need this, for a Merryman barn that is 0-for-9 in turf sprints.

Pk5 B horses: 7,2,9
Potential B add-ins: #6 Makoto (8-1), #3 Chauffer (12-1)

Leg 2: Gulfstream Park R8 (3:41 ET) – 3upfm AOC (62k/N2X) 6 1/2 furlongs

Gulfstream has a pair in the sequence that look mighty tough to beat, with the first being #6 LIZA STAR (2-1), a stakes dropper who not only looks best of a modest bunch, but also drew perfectly for her pressing style, as the two confirmed speeds are to her inside and look destined to set her up perfectly.

Pk5 A horses: 6

I’m not using any backups here, since #1 Crumb Bun (4-1) and #3 Cory Gal (5-2) are next-best on paper but look to be involved together in a torrid pace, while #4 Spanish Point (7-2), who could theoretically take advantage, just looks much too slow on figures.

Pk5 B horses: NONE
Potential B add-ins: #3 Cory Gal (5-2), #1 Crumb Bun (4-1), #4 Spanish Point (7-2)

Leg 3: Laurel Park R7 (4:30 ET) – 3up Md-bred N1X at about 1 1/16 miles

An inside draw and getting back to two turns could be key for #1 MARYLANDER (6-1), who aired against open SOC runners two-back, and should be sitting close to what looks like a modest pace. If #10 PLOT THE DOTS (3-1) gets loose he’ll be tough, as that chasing 2nd against open N1X foes last time was sharp, and he could well be the controlling speed in what is his two-turn debut. If #9 MY FRIENDS BEER (5-1) can put the GI Arkansas Derby drubbing behind him, then he’s going to hit hard off the two open runs preceding it, though note he was only facing 3yos, so this won’t be easy, especially since he may be at a race flow disadvantage.

Pk5 A horses: 1,10,9

Speaking of a race flow disadvantage, it’s tough to envision #4 CAN’T PASS IT UP (4-1) getting there, as he might not be able to get ahead of a turtle early, though he does figure on paper and McCarthy lands here, so he’s worth a backup slot. It looks like #8 TAP THE MARK (7-2) could be in the same boat, since he’s been far back of late too, though his best race makes him a player here, so he sidles up nicely next to ‘Up.

Pk5 B horses: 4,8
Potential B add-ins: #7 Can He Shine (10-1)

Leg 4: Gulfstream Park R9 (4:49 ET) – 3up 12.5k MCL at 1-mile (turf)

We have our second single, and a much more comfortable one than Liza Star in Leg 2, as #2 LIMETINI (7-5) might lap this field on the drop and perfect draw, as all three of his races win this, and it simply looks like Pletcher is trying to open up a stall for a better one, while taking an easy win in the process.

Pk5 A horses: 2

Limetini is such an overwhelming favorite that there are no backups, especially since arguably the biggest danger, #11 Rags for Britches (9-2) drew terribly, and is 0-for-15 to boot.

Pk5 B horses: NONE
Potential B add-ins: #11 Rags for Britches (9-2), #8 Dramatic Kitten (7-2), #3 Power (10-1)

Leg 5: Laurel Park R8 (5:00 ET) – 3upfm 12.5k claimer at 6 furlongs (turf)

If there was a race that might be open for chaos, I think this is it, since a few of these are tough to trust, and it’s possible #6 MARIE FROM PARIS (12-1) gets loose early off the Serey claim, and while she’s been running on the dirt of late, note she does have a few solid turf sprints here showing back in her PPs. It’s obvious #5 CHECKBOUNCIN BILLY (5-2) is the one to beat, as that fast figure 4th against SOC runners off the 10-month layoff last time would win this, and there’s a chance she could even build off that as well. The SOC drop also makes #9 EIFS (9-2) appealing after a good 6th from an impossible draw last time, and he too goes second-off the layoff and off the claim for Capuano.

Pk5 A horses: 6,5,9

You have to respect Magee off the claim (21%), and #4 TANDA’S JOY (3-1) does have some big prior turf races showing, but the dirt run when last seen in January was ugly, and the grass runs were at two turns, so this seems like a bit of a reach, at underlaid odds too. If you like Eifs you have to use #8 PRINCESS KILLMAIN (12-1) as well, since they hit the line together last time, and getting off the rail should help too, but she looks more like a bounce candidate, as that was her fastest run yet.

*** Note that if #12 BATH AND TENNIS (6-1) draws in, she too is a must-use, on either line, depending on your preference and bankroll. ***

Pk5 B horses: 4,8
Potential B add-ins: #1 Bruja Bug (10-1)

The tickets:

Main Ticket: 4,1,10 with 6 with 1,10,9 with 2 with 6,5,9 = $27 (play for $2)
Leg 1 B Backup: 7,2,9 with 6 with 1,10,9 with 2 with 6,5,9 = $27
Leg 3 B Backup: 4,1,10 with 6 with 4,8 with 2 with 6,5,9 = $18
Leg 5 B Backup: 4,1,10 with 6 with 1,10,9 with 2 with 4,8 = $18

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Weir

Horse Racing

Has hit the late Pick 4 at Belmont Park with his last three attempts, on June 18, 19 and 25, with Thursday's score returning a whopping $2,159.50.

Belmont Park Race 6 (3:59 p.m. ET)
Five horses return from Race 4 on June 4. 4 Barleewon (2-1) finished second, four lengths clear of third, so he's a logical contender. He Pressed the whole way around but was held off by a wire-to-wire winner. Repeat of that race could win here.

5 Justintimeforwine (6-1) has some pretty good turf races from last fall. Interesting workouts show on the worktab; you don't often see mile works anymore. Regardless, if he's ready off the bench, he could take these a long way.

1 No Salt (6-1) was favored in his only start at Saratoga last summer as a 2-year-old. He didn't run and now comes back after an 11-month layoff. Trainer Bill Mott had him in Florida, and the horse shows some turf works. I believe there is talent here. Even though a mile might be tough off the layoff, he must be considered.

10 Aintitfunkynow (7-2) and 11 Voliero (4-1) finished behind Barleewon in their last race. Both were coming off layoffs and can improve as 3-year-olds. There's not much to differentiate these two.

A: 1,4,5
B: 10,11

Belmont Park Race 7 (4:32 p.m. ET)
Assuming this race stays on the turf, it will be a seven-horse field, and none will have raced this year. This one is a guessing game, but 9 Rinaldi (3-1) appears to have the most upside. Winner of two state-bred stakes last summer, Rinaldi ran a good third in the Grade 3 Saranac at Saratoga before going to the bench. He may have the most potential, but he's also more likely to be using this race as a stepping stone for trainer James Bond.

This is an Interesting comeback spot for 5 Doups Point (7-2). He started his career on the turf, running three times on the turf. As a 3-year-old, he raced exclusively on the dirt with some success. Now as a 4-year-old, he moves back to the grass. He obviously has talent and might surprise here.

1 The J Y (6-1) is 4-for-7 on Belmont turf and 1-for-17 elsewhere. He should be able to sit a good trip from an inside post. He has also won his first race of the year, off layoffs, at Belmont, the last two years. Fits here.

A: 1,5,9
B: None

Belmont Park Race 8 (5:04 p.m. ET)
Hessonite Stakes
There's not much speed signed on for this turf sprint. 5 Mentality (7-2) might be able to take advantage of the overall lack of pace. She can be placed close early or clear to the front. She likes the track (4-for-6 on Belmont turf). Looks good.

4 Kid Is Frosty (3-1) has shown speed in turf races but going longer. Jockey Irad Ortiz Jr has been on for both of her turf wins and will ensure his horse is properly placed. Contender.

6 Jc's Shooting Star (6-1) and 7 Saratoga Treasure (2-1) were both overmatched in the G3 Intercontinental. Neither did much running on the yielding ground. They are both capable, but I think the short field and race setup will hamper their chances.

A: 4,5
B: 6,7

Belmont Park Race 9 (5:36 p.m. ET)
13 Happy Hill Lil (5-1) ran wide all the way in her last start and gets stuck with a very wide post again on Friday. She ran on in the stretch when looking like she might give in at the top of the stretch after bumping. She moves to a top jockey (Irad Ortiz Jr.). Chance to improve second back.

The turf run was not that bad in the last start for 9 Mopolka (7-2). She returns to dirt, adds blinkers, drops to her lowest level yet and adds hot jockey Luis Saez. Contender.

3 Hayezhee (6-1) hasn't shown too much in her first two starts. She drops a level and shows consistent works for trainer Steve Asmussen. With not much to beat in here, she can contend.

A: 3,9,13
B: None

Wagers
Preferred-A ticket
$2 Pick 4: 4,5 with 9 with 5 with 3,9,13 ($12)

All-A ticket
$1 Pick 4: 1,4,5 with 1,5,9 with 4,5 with 3,9,13 ($54)

Three-A, one-B tickets
$0.50 Pick 4: 10,11 with 1,5,9 with 4,5 with 3,9,13 ($18)
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,4,5 with 1,5,9 with 6,7 with 3,9,13 ($27)

Total: $111

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis June 26, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, Hawthorne Racecourse has a 15-race card ready to go with the 0.50 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 12. That sequence has a 15% takeout with a $10,000 guaranteed pool and will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 12

1-Lucky Crusader (7/2)-Comes off a victory, draws well again and barn might have a good night. Husted can work an up-close trip and roll by down the lane again.
5-Pacific Stride (10-1)-Looking for a more aggressive steer out of the gate. Will swing for a price with Ridge Warren in the bike tonight.
6-Almost Cut My Hair (6-1)-Stayed racing near the top to get a sharp win and could get the same type of trip here. 6-year-old can stay good and has won 2 of 4 in Stickney.
9-Trashytonguetalker (5/2)-Comes off a very strong effort to win 2nd straight. Post makes this more difficult but off the last try, it's best to not leave out.

Race 13

1-Are You Terry (4-1)-Husted on another Alex Adam trainee who raced well last week but was far back early. Gets post relief here and could make the most of starting on the rail rather than post-8.
3-Party Belle (6-1)-Seekman has some options from this post and has improved in last 2 starts. Could be picture time at a square price if upswing continues.
5-Thought Provoking (4-1)-Leonard takes the lines and that is a ++ driver change in 3rd race off the restart. Could be sitting a on big try and should like the company.

Race 14

2-Evening Play (5-1)-5-year-old is only 1-13 in the last 2 years and driver doesn't take many picture either. But this is the time to get sucked around and use one big move late to surprise.
3-Bettor's Outlaw (7/2)-Gets post relief and Wilfong sticks. Has not been used hard off the gate in last 2 starts and there could be a new game plan this time to get into striking range at the top of lane.

Race 15

2-Bettor's Promise (5/2)-Leonard's choice drops to a spot to shine. 9-year-old should be ready to roll.
7-Sir Mammo (9/2)-This is another dropper in 2nd start off the bench. This was Warren's choice and the Roberts' barn may be ready to wake-up.

0.50 Late Pick 4

1,5,6,9/1,3,5/2,3/2,7
Total Bet=$24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Day Makers - 6/26/20 June 26, 2020
JEFF SIEGEL’S NATIONAL DAY MAKERS FOR FRIDAY, JUNE 26, 2020
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Jeff Siegel’s prime plays from around the country are offered on a daily basis to members of xpressbet.com and 1stbet.com. Always the day’s the cream of the crop, Day Makers emphasize price and wagering value and each selection should be given strong consideration both as a straight wager and as a key in vertical and horizontal exotics.
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CHURCHILL DOWNS – 5TH RACE. POST TIME: 3:10 ET
6 – Cleveland Simpson (7/2)

After tough trips in his first two career outings, this 3-year-old colt is due for some good luck and appears to have found a proper spot in this nine furlong turf affair for older maidens. Well-meant in his debut in January at Gulfstream Park, the son of Hard Spun clipped heels and nearly fell entering the far turn, raced in traffic when attempting to re-rally at the top of the stretch and then finished well to be second while no doubt best. Returning in late May, the E. Kenneally-trained colt was victimized by a poor draw and an extremely wide trip and understandably weakened late after looming a threat inside the furlong pole. Today, in a race without much pace, he should be comfortably placed throughout – perhaps even on the lead – and then have every chance to seal the deal. At 7/2 on the morning line he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.

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LAUREL PARK – 7TH RACE. POST TIME 4:06 ET
10 – POT THE DOTS (3-1)

Shows improving speed figures in each of his three career outings, most recently when a strong runner-up in a fast, highly-rated miler after pressing the pace throughout in a similar first-level allowance affair. The son of Uncle Mo stretches out to two-turns today and despite his poor draw should be quick enough to get over and secure a good stalking position. With another forward move – and based on a healthy workout pattern since raced we’re expecting just that – the M. Trombetta-trained colt should be hard to beat and represents value at or near his morning line of 3-1.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Belmont Park - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#11 Teletype
Price player cuts back after speeding off and tiring going 7Fs last time, catches a group with no early lick at all, and therefore should be able to clear on the lead; come and catch the pick.


#3 First Appeal
Odds-on ML favorite has a stalking gear and goes for a Cox barn that has started the meet off n a hot note, but taking a short price off eight straight losses isn't appealing; backwheel time.


#4 Sanity
Stretch runner is at the mercy of the pace here, and if the 11 is free-wheeling on the lead this miss won't get any help, but she exits much tougher at GP, so the drop works; late danger.


Race Summary
Pace makes the race and there's none here to keep the 11 from making the point and getting a big tactical edge on her rivals, over a turf course that's been lightning fast of late, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since budget players will not be able to go three-deep, which means a win in the 6-1 range could play a lot longer in both sequences.


Belmont Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#3 Blinded Vision
CD invader didn't fire against better off the Rodriguez claim last time but that was off a layoff, and he didn't make the lead either, but here he looks loose in a paceless race, on a class drop, against a very sketchy favorite too; look out.


#1 Blue Belt
Veteran lost to today's chalk last time after chasing and tiring, but the dynamics are a bit different today, as the pace won't be as heated, and if the pick is simply off form, this one will be in a dream spot off the far turn; huge chance.


#5 Javelin
Aforementioned sketchy favorite was a distant 2nd and ahead of the 1 off the Atras claim last time and brings some consistent form, but he's also 0-for-12 over the track, plus he has no early speed at all, which won't help; playing against.


Race Summary
There's a lot to like about the 3, especially coming out of a deep and competitive 16k at CD, and now facing a crew without any early speed, so play him to win and place, and especially to end the early Pk5/Pk4, and to kick off the late Pk5 as well, since he's going to offer a bit of value in the face of a favorite you almost have to play against.


Belmont Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#5 Mentality
Tactical sort got the prep out of the way off a five-month layoff at CD last time and ran well to be 2nd in doing so, owns a very important edge over the chalk, in that she'll be on or just off what looks like a very modest pace (for this level), and should offer a hint of value as well; love her chances here.


#7 Saratoga Treasure
Class dropper was in over head in the GIII off the layoff last time, so if nothing else she got the right tightener, but her lack of early is a worry over this fast course, and note her best run was on yielding ground and her others aren't nearly as impressive, and you won't get much value here either; second-best.


#4 Kid Is Frosty
Tricky read hasn't been out since November and was routing on the turf when last seen, so this could be a prep for longer, but it's Cox and Irad, and this miss could find herself on the lead here, which would help her chances, though the gut still says get her at the Spa next time tabbing for up the interstate.


Race Summary
The price and the race flow will both be right with the 5, who has a big edge on the chalk, not to mention she's 4-for-6 over the local turf course, so play her aggressively to win and place, and especially in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since she seemingly gets all the best of it here, at what could be the third-choice in the betting too.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Charles Town - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#3 Sagebrush
Should be a serious player on the significant drop tonight, and he has the pace to sit close early on after chasing throughout last time.


#6 Savagery
Finished just in front of the top choice when they met last time out, but he's still a bit suspect at this sharp trip, and the guess is he's along too late again tonight on the drop.


#2 Rock On
Reliable pace player drops in class for this, and he has some mild ability to relax and press if that's somehow what the race gives him.


Race Summary
Sagebrush should get a really good run of things right near the top, and this easier spot gives him a chance to bounce back in a hurry.


Charles Town - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#9 Benny Chang
Guessing that 6/1 ML offering will be long gone -- wouldn't be surprised if this guy goes favored -- but he ran in some pretty fast Oaklawn races and should find this group beatable.


#1 Majestic Seas
Reliable forward player draws inside and will have a little bit of company from horses drawn further outside of her.


#8 Hypothesis
Has run well against stakes company locally, and he seems competitive with this bunch after chasing a tough winner in Dr. Feelgood last out.


Race Summary
Benny Chang brings competitive running lines with him from Oaklawn, and he moves into a serious local barn with a bullet work over the new footing. Lots to like.


Charles Town - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#1 She Gives Me Fits
There might be enough pace signed on in here for her to land a really great spying trip from the inside draw. With just two starts under her belt, we probably haven't seen her best yet.


#6 Boundtobebad
Will need better than the comeback run, but he has plenty of upside on the move around two turns where he has run really well in the past.


#7 Azzurra
Presser occasionally goes the wrong way late, but there are a few running lines on the page that stack up competitively with these. Would want every bit of the 9/2 ML price.


Race Summary
She Gives Me Fits might luck out on a good trip tonight, and she probably has another move forward in her which would put her in the mix with the best in here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #14


Picks
Notes


#2 CHEYENNE REIJANE
Dueled hard on final turn through solid splits, could go the distance today.


#1 WAVES OF FIRE A
Should fit in this spot from the rail, question of readiness.


#4 MORE THE BETTER N
Heavily backed from second tier, no serious threat, benefits from recent race.


Race Summary
Cheyenne Reijane dueled hard to maintain inside position through a strong, third-quarter split but he gave way in the lane. He can use his speed well in this spot and gets Brennan to drive. Play a 1-2-4 exacta box.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#6 MACH ME ONEMORE
Duel took its toll, rounding to another good race.


#2 LANDRY SEELSTER
Finished second behind odds-on favorite in 1:51.4.


#1 MIA CULPA
Sustained first-over rally to spring 12-1 upset, moves outside in.


Race Summary
Mach Me Onemore shook a duel in a fast third quarter but came up short in the stretch. She’s a good value play in her third start of a potential breakthrough form cycle. Play a 6 with 1,2 with ALL trifecta ticket.


Hawthorne - Race #12


Picks
Notes


#2 LUCKY CRUSADER
Lacked room at key juncture, got up to win, take right back.


#9 TRASHYTONGUETALKER
Backed up the ‘talk’ with pair of romps off layoff.


#5 PACIFIC STRIDE
Won off bench, distant second to Trashytonguetalker last week.


Race Summary
Lucky Crusader took late money, awaited room near the top of the stretch and drove past the favorite late. He continued strong on the gallop out, earning a repeat call from the rail. Play 1-5 and 1-9 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#11 Play That Tone
Has been closer in her last two and is long overdue to pick up her 3rd win; has a good closing move and has the targets in front of her.


#10 Alpilles
Tired in her 1st one under these conditions and has the speed to move into a good running position; a front-end threat.


#5 Tipsy Again
Was claimed in two straight, the lately by the Sano barn; tries turf for the 1st time and likely can get to the front.


Race Summary
Play That Tone will have a very rapid pace in front of her and can has a good late turn of foot; one to hold off.


Gulfstream Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#7 Stirling Drive
Gets a good pace to pursue and can improve; was a two-time stakes winner last summer and can improve in her 1st since January.


#6 Renaisance Frolic
Won 4 o his last 6 and will be a short price off a 16-length win last time; this one won't come as easy but he'll be a strong player and a strong threat on the front end.


#3 Sailing Solo
Was a strong front runner at Fair Grounds and at Chicago tracks and fits well in this spot; will cause a fast pace.


Race Summary
Stirling Drive was in good form this time last year and will bring the goods late; can be the biggest late threat.


Gulfstream Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#1 Crumb Bun
Was so impressive last out as she battled head-and-head and has enough left to draw off late; in solid form and is tough at this distance.


#3 Cory Gal
Has drawn clear late in her last three race, all since being claimed by Delgado; very good up front.


#6 Liza Star
Faltered going longer against stakes company last time and has several races on her form that would make her a huge threat; veteran mare is rapid and always a threat.


Race Summary
Crumb Bun showed a lot of courage for the victory last time and has probably never been better; can be close-up and is fast enough to save her spot along the rail. Can benefit from the ground-saving trip.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs



Evangeline Downs - Race 7

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)



Claiming $4,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 8:32P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 26, 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JUNE 26, 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.





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Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * HOLLYWOOD SQUARE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse h as run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SPARKY SPARKLES: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DIVA'S RANSOM: Horse has run a Good Race withi n the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TIN ROOF RUSTED: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.



9

HOLLYWOOD SQUARE

5/2


9/2




10

SPARKY SPARKLES

15/1


6/1




5

DIVA'S RANSOM

5/1


7/1




8

TIN ROOF RUSTED

6/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




5

DIVA'S RANSOM

5


5/1

Front-runner

82


73


70.6


67.6


61.1




9

HOLLYWOOD SQUARE

9


5/2

Front-runner

84


73


67.8


71.4


68.4




10

SPARKY SPARKLES

10


15/1

Front-runner

82


80


66.8


65.4


54.9




7

ELITE RUNNER

7


4/1

Stalker

78


78


57.0


61.8


51.8




8

TIN ROOF RUSTED

8


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

82


76


46.4


65.8


57.3




1

JADE STAR

1


10/1

Alternator/Stalker

83


65


41.8


65.2


52.2




3

PRAYER BOY

3


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

68


68


45.7


61.7


46.7




2

RAZORBACK RED

2


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

64


72


42.4


40.2


21.2




4

SONG N A CAT

4


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

80


76


40.6


60.8


52.3




6

DOMINANTE

6


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

83


81


39.8


52.0


38.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Prairie Meadows



Prairie Meadows - Race 6

Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50 Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Minimum) Pick 3 (.50 Minimum) / Daily Double



Claiming $15,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $22,277 • Post: 8:13P


FOR REGISTERED STATE BRED THREE YEAR OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 1, 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 26 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Trailer. FUTURE ABUNDANCE is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * ITSALLABOUTYOU: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Po wer Rating. TIN BADGE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. KING DEUCE: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. VALLA: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (wit hin 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). NO HOLDS BARRED: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff.



1

ITSALLABOUTYOU

2/1


5/1




5

TIN BADGE

5/1


6/1




6

KING DEUCE

4/1


7/1




4

VALLA

3/1


9/1




2

NO HOLDS BARRED

6/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




5

TIN BADGE

5


5/1

Front-runner

96


87


85.8


77.0


73.0




2

NO HOLDS BARRED

2


6/1

Front-runner

94


84


76.0


75.8


68.3




6

KING DEUCE

6


4/1

Alternator/Front-runner

89


86


80.4


79.2


72.2




1

ITSALLABOUTYOU

1


2/1

Stalker

96


87


72.4


87.0


83.0




4

VALLA

4


3/1

Stalker

86


85


60.2


78.6


68.6




3

FUTURE ABUNDANCE

3


6/1

Trailer

90


72


65.6


72.0


65.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Penn National - Race #8 - Post: 9:10pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,400 Class Rating: 64

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#9 RED HOT DAME (ML=4/1)
#11 MOON HEIST (ML=6/1)
#1 TOWN SPIRIT (ML=7/2)
#12 RAGTIME SUZY (ML=6/1)


RED HOT DAME - This rider/trainer duo has been producing a high winning percent, right around 33. Ran last time around the track against much better company at Penn National. The move down in class ranks should suit her well. MOON HEIST - Dropping down in class figure points from her February 2nd race at Aqueduct. Based on that data, I will give this horse the advantage. TOWN SPIRIT - Took a class drop last time out at Penn National. Crane keeps her at the same level in this race. I think that's a good move. RAGTIME SUZY - Trainer Saville moves this one to a lower class level to face weaker company. Look for a strong race given the class advantage. This horse fits one of my favorite angles. A horse that has a gate morning prep since her last race and gets blinkers on for today's race. That signals to me that the connections are looking for improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 AMIGOS TUNE (ML=5/2), #3 SUNDAY IN L B C (ML=5/1),

AMIGOS TUNE - Last performed on June 22nd at Penn National, finishing fourth. Not likely to perk up off of that performance in today's race. Hasn't hit the board in any sprint events of late. Doubtful to see her doing it this time around either. SUNDAY IN L B C - This filly hasn't had any recent good results in short distance affairs. Tough to play her in this race. Doubtful that this horse will be at her best this time around off the long vacation. Maybe next time out.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#9 RED HOT DAME is the play if we get odds of 9/2 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

None



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Meadows Tulsa

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 11 - Maiden Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $6100 Class Rating: 58

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 TINYS GOOD GIRL 8/1




# 7 THE PEDONE PLAN 3/1




# 2 SHOULDABEENAREDHEAD 7/2




TINYS GOOD GIRL has a quite good shot to take this contest and is a very strong value wager given the line. Posted a solid speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this affair. THE PEDONE PLAN - He has to be given a shot given the solid speed figures. Sound average Equibase Speed Figures in short races make this animal a solid choice. SHOULDABEENAREDHEAD - Looks respectable to be on the lead at the first call. Must be given a shot - I like the figs from the last affair.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Laurel - Race #1 - Post: 12:40pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 58

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#7 YIKES (ML=9/2)


YIKES - Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this thoroughbred is up against an easier bunch than last time out at Laurel. Have to forget about that last grass race. This gelding should do better hitting the main track in today's race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 LUCERITO (ML=8/5), #5 ALEPH (ML=2/1), #2 RUNNER RUNNER INDY (ML=6/1),

LUCERITO - Don't think that this gelding has value at 8/5 in today's event. ALEPH - Hard to keep following this kind of 'bridesmaid' horse. RUNNER RUNNER INDY - Improbable that the speed rating he registered on October 5th will be good enough in this event.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #7 YIKES on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Skip



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - SO - 220y on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 85

QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2019 - 2020 OR CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 BYE BYE AGOUTI 7/5




# 6 KALIES PRIZE 5/2




# 2 TF RUNAWAY FEATURE 4/1




BYE BYE AGOUTI is my choice. Should land on the board without any problem. The class rating of today's affair is much lower than his last affair. Has been running solidly and has among the top speed in the race for today's distance. KALIES PRIZE - Displays solid Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group. Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of formidable win percentage - 18 percent - at this distance & surface. TF RUNAWAY FEATURE - With Candanosa uptop him, this gelding ought to be able to break out early in this race. Had one of the top speed figures of this field in his last contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



06/26/20, GP, Race 1, 12.00 ET
06/26/20,GP,1,5F [Dirt] 00:56:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $41,500 (includes up to $5,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 120 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000, if for $40,000, allowed 2 lbs. Entrants must reach date of birth by race date.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.0000
5
Lyrical
4-1
Jaramillo E
Alvarado Juan
SW
35.13
1.15/$1


097.7130
1
Mad About Maddie
3-1
Vasquez M A
O'Connell Kathleen


35.50
1.08/$1


096.6941
8
Liesel
6-1
Trejos J
Alvarado Juan
FEC
35.48
1.66/$1


096.0900
6
Bahamian Beauty
20-1
Panici L
Varsi Anna


35.50
1.08/$1


095.6621
3
Lady Quintessa
5/2
Zayas E J
Pletcher Todd A.
T
35.50
1.08/$1


095.3697
9
La Luisa
15-1
Garcia J A
Parra Hernan
L
27.69
1.44/$1


095.2356
4
Tap Tap Birdie
9/2
Camacho S
Fawkes David
J
35.50
1.08/$1


094.6839
7
Platino Tiara
20-1
Reyes L R
Munoz Carlos


35.50
1.08/$1


092.7272
2
Melanie's Pride
20-1
Burgos A
Parra Hernan


35.48
1.66/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.86, ROI 0.90/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park



06/26/20, BEL, Race 7, 4.32 ET
06/26/20,BEL,7,1 1/16M 1:38:04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $60,000. INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Other Than Claiming Or Starter At A Mile Or Over In 2020 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2020 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.0000
4
Nutzforboltz
4-1
Ortiz. Jr. I
Atras Rob
JS
38.36
1.25/$1


098.5259
9
Rinaldi
3-1
Saez L
Bond H. James
EL
38.36
1.25/$1


098.3382
5
Doups Point
7/2
Rosario J
Clement Christophe
T
38.36
1.25/$1


098.2988
7
Twisted Tom
5/2
Rider TBA
Avila A. C.
W
38.36
1.25/$1


097.0755
8
Ghost Giant
4-1
Alvarado J
Englehart Jeremiah C.


38.36
1.25/$1


095.9971
6
Worth a Shot
5-1
Lezcano J
DePaz Horacio
F
38.36
1.25/$1


095.0476
3
Opt
10-1
Castellano J
Ribaudo Robert


38.36
1.25/$1


094.5050
1
The J Y
6-1
Franco M
Hennig Mark A.


38.36
1.25/$1


093.4199
2
Forever Wicked
6-1
Rider TBA
Dharamjit Darmindra


38.36
1.25/$1


* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 35.90, ROI 1.09/$1
[I]If Race Is Off Turf Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.0000
9
Rinaldi
3-1
Saez L
Bond H. James
EL
31.95
0.92/$1


098.9969
4
Nutzforboltz
4-1
Ortiz. Jr. I
Atras Rob
J
31.95
0.92/$1


098.6631
7
Twisted Tom
5/2
Rider TBA
Avila A. C.


44.90
1.25/$1


098.6386
8
Ghost Giant
4-1
Alvarado J
Englehart Jeremiah C.


31.95
0.92/$1


098.5627
6
Worth a Shot
5-1
Lezcano J
DePaz Horacio
F
31.95
0.92/$1


098.3707
5
Doups Point
7/2
Rosario J
Clement Christophe
T
31.95
0.92/$1


098.2344
1
The J Y
6-1
Franco M
Hennig Mark A.
SW
40.00
1.04/$1


094.8253
3
Opt
10-1
Castellano J
Ribaudo Robert


31.95
0.92/$1


094.0933
2
Forever Wicked
6-1
Rider TBA
Dharamjit Darmindra


31.95
0.92/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 23.23, ROI 0.59/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITBULL BARKING SOCCER

Fri Jun 26, 2020 7:02 am
Italy - Serie A- Juventus vs. Lecce OVER 3 -178 (3:45 PM)
Denmark - Superliga- AGF Aarhus vs. AaB OVER 2.5 -164 (1:00 PM)
Austria - Erste Liga- Austria Lustenau vs. Sv Horn UNDER 3 +112 (12:30 PM)
Poland - 1st Liga- Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs. Odra Opole UNDER 2.5 -111 (2:10 PM)

Spain - La Liga- Sevilla -238 Real Valladolid CF (3:00 PM)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Friday Horse Picks 6/26

Fri Jun 26, 2020 5:31 am
Casino Grande was a scratch in the 8th at Belmont and Angel of Mischief came in 3rd at Churchill Downs 8th. Got nothing out of Dream Chasing in the Belmont first. Today we have two from Belmont and one Churchill Downs race. Goodluck.

Belmont Race 1
#2 Dangerous Edge $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 2-4-5

Churchill Race 8
#6 Continuum $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 6-5-1

Belmont Race 8
#5 Mentality $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 5-7-1