Service Plays Saturday 7/11/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Race of the Week: Grade 1 Jenny Wiley at Keeneland July 9, 2020 | By Jeremy Plonk
GRADE 1 $350,000 JENNY WILEY STAKES AT KEENELAND
Saturday, July 11, 2020
By Jeremy Plonk

The Lead:
Keeneland's 5-day summer stand is heavy on stakes this Saturday, offering 6 big-money events on a 10-race card. Kentucky Derby hopefuls are in the spotlight in the Grade 2 Blue Grass Stakes, while 3-year-old fillies contest the Grade 1 Ashland and elite turf fillies and mares show down in the Grade 1 Jenny Wiley. The latter appeals with a fantastic regional mash-up among stars from the east, midwest and west. First post is 1:05 pm ET with the Jenny Wiley slated for 4:47 pm ET as Race 8.

​Field Depth:
Multiple Grade 1 winner RUSHING FALL is the only contender to win at the highest level, but JOLIE OLYMPICA, SECRET MESSAGE, MUCHO UNUSUAL and TOINETTE all are Grade 2 winners. JULIET FOXTROT and LA SIGNARE are Grade 3 winners. There's not a decided class riser in this field; they're all battling among the better runners throughout the division nationally.

Pace:
JULIET FOXTROT and RUSHING FALL are types who can show pace versatility and make the front if it's available, but aren't true speed types. JOLIE OLYMPICA is fast and likely outfoots them early with TOINETTE a possibility to be in the second flight. This does not look like an overwhelming early pace and the race can be won on or near the front.

Our Eyes:
RUSHING FALL has one of the most impressive Keeneland resumes of all-time, eclipsed only by the likes of Wise Dan and Take Charge Lady. She's a 4-time local stakes winner at ages 2,3 and 4. Her 2019 Keeneland victory came in this very Jenny Wiley Stakes, rolling wire-to-wire following a 6-month layoff. She also showed that kind of style winning her 2020 return in the Beaugay last month at Belmont Park. Jockey Javier Castellano has the luxury of putting her just about anywhere in a race as she's 12: 9-2-0 lifetime with the only blip a fourth-place effort here last October in the Grade 1 First Lady over a mile. She had lost her speed in the Diana and First Lady before being put away for the winter. While there's deserved respect for RUSHING FALL and her trainer Chad Brown, 1/ST BET statistics note that he's 'only' 31% with graded stakes turf favorites at Keeneland, going 8-for-26; so there have been plenty of successful bids to dethrone him.

The Californians are represented by JOLIE OLYMPICA, MUCHO UNUSUAL and TOINETTE. All 3 are talented and accomplished, but JOLIE OLYMPICA appears to have the highest ceiling. The Brazlian star has won 5 of 6 races, including 2 of 3 since coming to Richard Mandella's barn at Santa Anita. His reign with South American exports in the 1990s was the stuff of legend, and this filly has a quality about her that's special. How far might she run? That's the question. She was surprised in the 1-mile Grade 2 Buena Vista by Keeper Ofthe Stars, but that runner came back to validate her score next out in the Grade 1 Gamely. Expect Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith to aggressively handle JOLIE OLYMPICA knowing full well RUSHING FALL is the mare to beat and always wanting to keep her in mind. TOINETTE gets the nod over MUCHO UNUSUAL given that the former already has shipped to Keeneland to win an allowance race and returns to the scene a couple of seasons later. We know TOINETTE can handle the trip and course.

Four Mint Julep Stakes alumni re-match, led by 25-1 upsetter SECRET MESSAGE; 21-1 runner-up LA SIGNARE; late-running fifth ALTEA; and beaten favorite/sixth-place finisher JULIET FOXTROT. When handicapping the Mint Julep it appeared JULIET FOXTROT had everything her way and she simply failed to deliver upon it. She's now lost 4 in a row and this field has some quality at the top like she's yet to defeat. SECRET MESSAGE and LA SIGNARE have not run their best in prior Keeneland tries, so there's some question that they'll hold their Mint Julep form on this course. Those two do compete for barns having big summers and are in good hands.

Most Certain Exotics Contender: RUSHING FALL has never missed a superfecta and is 4-for-5 at Keeneland. She's proven in this race and no obvious reason to think she won't show up with a good effort.

​Best Longshot Exotics Contender: ALTEA earned the best BRIS late pace figure in the Mint Julep Stakes among those re-matched and should get a better pace scenario in front of her Saturday -- not to win it, but to exhaust the chasers and allow a late-running filly to get a share. ALTEA will be the 'other' Chad Brown trainee to RUSHING FALL, and that's not a bad thing in these distaff turf stakes when looking at the toteboard..

Sending it in ($100 bankroll): $65 exacta JOLIE OLYMPICA over RUSHING FALL; $35 exacta JOLIE OLYMPICA over ALTEA.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ricky Tran Jul 11 '20, 8:00 PM in 2d
Soccer | New York vs Atlanta United
Play on: New York +270 at BMaker

Ricky's 1* play on NYRB.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
Key Trends:
- The Red Bulls are 3-1-1 in their last five matches versus Atlanta.
- Atlanta started the season 2-0, with wins against two of the league's bottom feeders.
- Josef Martinez will miss the rest of the season with a torn ACL.
The verdict: look for the underdog to make some noise.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Eddie Olczyk: Keeneland Saturday All-Stakes Pick 4 Ticket July 9, 2020
Keeneland in July? It’s not ‘normal’…but not much is these days.

I’m looking forward to a phenomenal card showcasing Keeneland’s traditional Spring Meet headline races – the Blue Grass, Ashland, Jenny Wiley, Shakertown, Madison and Appalachian – and you to commend the star power assembled for these races.

Plus, think of it this way – you can bet Keeneland all afternoon and then switch over to Del Mar starting at 5:00PM ET for the evening. As a horseplayer, I’m not sure it gets much better than that.

I’ll be playing all day at Keeneland but my primary focus is on the $500,000 All-Stakes Pick 4, which spans Race 6 – 9. Here are my thoughts and my ticket:

Race 6 // 3:51PM ET // Shakertown Stakes (G2)

The $500,000 All-Stakes Pick 4 starts with a 14-horse field and I’m jumping right into the sequence by singling #7 FAST BOAT (8/1). His last race at Churchill Downs as awesome, he has won going this trip at Keeneland I think he’s sitting on ‘GO’ in a big way. There is plenty of speed in here for him to track and he should get the perfect midpack closing trip. Let’s get him home at a price and focus on hitting big.

Race 7 // 4:24PM ET // Ashland Stakes (G1)

The G1 Ashland for three-year-old fillies isn’t huge on field size – only six are entered – but I think you probably want to use half of them to feel comfortable. #2 VENETIAN HARBOR (6/5) is the one they’ll need to catch, but she has had a year full of stops and starts and she’ll face pressure from both #5 TONALIST’S SHAPE (6/1), who adds blinkers, and #6 SPEECH (2/1), who very gamely chased Gamine two-back at Oaklawn Park. A pace meltdown would set things up for #4 ENVOUTANTE (5/1). She’s getting very good for Kenny McPeek and her last two dirt races were runaways.

Race 8 // 4:57PM ET // Jenny Wiley Stakes (G1)

It looks like #4 RUSHING FALL (6/5) and #6 JOLIE OLIMPICA (5/2) are the two horses most handicappers will use here. I respect them both, and RUSHING FALL will be on my ticket, but I think there are a few other options to consider. #2 JULIET FOXTROT (8/1) loves Keeneland and I think she’s better suited for a slightly off-the-pace trip. She probably needed her last race and should be sharper here. #8 TOINETTE (5/1) has been a well-kept secret in California but this could be her coming out party. She is a win machine (8-for-12 in her career) and should get a trip just in behind the speed.

Race 9 // 5:30PM ET // Blue Grass Stakes (G2)

The storylines are all about #7 SWISS SKYDIVER (3/1). She’s looking to become the first filly in history to win the Blue Grass, but this is no easy task. There’s plenty of speed signed on and I’m looking elsewhere for my top plays. #3 ART COLLECTOR (5/1) is inside-drawn and if he can replicate his last race, I think they’re all running for second because they won’t catch him. He should sit just off the front-runners, SHIVAREE and SWISS SKYDIVER (and potentially some others), before unleashing his kick. If he falters, #5 MAN IN THE CAN (10/1) and #12 ENFORCEABLE (10/1) are longshot closers I want on my ticket. They should get a pace and that makes then very dangerous at this trip.

My Ticket

Race 7: 7
Race 8: 2, 4, 6
Race 9: 2, 4, 8
Race 9: 3, 5, 12
Ticket Cost: $27 for $1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Keeneland’s Blue Grass & Late Pick 4 Analysis July 10, 2020 | By Johnny D


Wait a minute. This can’t be right. Keeneland and Del Mar racing in the same afternoon?

Oh, that be right, alright. We’re in the COVID 19 twilight zone where anything’s possible. Experience racing ‘As it was meant to be’ while playing ‘Where the Turf Meets the Surf’ all in the same afternoon. Thought you’d never see it? Me, too. But, this year, everything’s cockeyed during this once-in-a-lifetime journey we’d all rather have missed.

Alas, here we are. And, despite all that’s transpired, racing has endured and, in fact, thrived. It certainly has provided sports fans and gamblers with some worthy diversion. Don’t know about you, but I’ve found this upended 2020 racing season entertaining. It’s been a blast, starting when we had just a few tracks in action--introducing fabulous Fonner Park--through the Arkansas Derby card on the first Saturday in May, right up until this weekend when Keeneland, Del Mar, Belmont and others jam the schedule.

With the Belmont Stakes in the books already, sophomore runners continue a march toward the Kentucky Derby on the first Saturday in September, followed by the Preakness on the first Saturday in October. Tiz the Law currently owns the belt as the undisputed 3-year-old champ. Honor A. P. may have something to say about that. Or maybe another, less exposed runner will emerge to challenge for the title?

Saturday’s Grade 2 Blue Grass Stakes doesn’t appear to include anyone that can immediately threaten Tiz the Law’s domination. But, then again, you never know. Did you ever imagine you’d see Keeneland and Del Mar running on the same Saturday? We rest our case.

Here’s one man’s opinion on Saturday’s Toyota Blue Grass at Keeneland and the late Pick 4:

Keeneland—Race 9- Toyota Blue Grass—Mile and One-Eighth—Grade 1--$400,000

1. Shivaree Nicks/Velazquez 8-1
Has 11 starts under his girth—10 of them at Gulfstream Park and one at Gulfstream Park West (formerly Calder). This will be his first race outside of Florida. His most recent claim to fame is a four and one-quarter length defeat by top soph Tiz the Law in the Florida Derby at 80.90-1. He’s been no worse than third in his last 7 races—a solid sign of consistency. Other than a maiden win and a close third last out in a $100k optional claimer, the rest of those races came against stakes company, including the Gr. 3 Swale and Gr. 1 Florida Derby. There are some distance questions with him, but he has speed and always has been an overachiever—his sire stands in Florida for a whopping $4k! Best used in lower rungs of exotics.

2. Finnick the Fierce R. Hernandez/J. Ortiz 12-1
Was solid dusted by Art Collector in a $100k optional claimer at Churchill last out. He’s got two wins, but only once has he crossed the finish first. He was moved up via disqualification in an Oaklawn $80k optional claimer. His shining moment came in the Arkansas Derby when third, four and one-half lengths behind Nadal and a length and one-half behind King Guillermo. Can’t really see him winning, so maybe he could be used in the very bottom of expansive exotics.

3. Art Collector Drury/B.J. Hernandez 5-1
He’s on a roll with three consecutive comfortable wins—all at Churchill and stretching from November through June. He was officially disqualified from purse money for the first of those triumphs so, while his record reads 3 for 7, he actually has 4 wins. He owns the highest last out Beyer Speed Figure of anyone in the field and the only triple digit BSF in the race. Last out he easily defeated Shared Sense, who came back Wednesday night to dominate the Indiana Derby, so his form has substance. His running style should have him in the first flight, so he won’t need to make up a ton of ground. All things considered, he’s a dangerous type that must be considered for the win.

4. Mr. Big News Calhoun/Murrill 10-1
The good news for Mr. Big News is that he has improved Beyer Speed Figures in each race since his first out at Keeneland in October. He’ll need another forward move to contend seriously in here, but he hasn’t gone back yet. His running style is a concern because he has no speed. That hasn’t bothered him in two of his last three—a maiden race at Fair Grounds and the Oaklawn Stakes in Hot Springs, both wins. The latter victory upset the applecart at a whopping 46.80-1. There doesn’t seem to be much speed in this race so it could be more difficult for him to close in time.

5. Man in the Can Moquett/Gaffalione 10-1
This is a real step up the class ladder for this determined Arkansas-bred colt. He’s won 4 of 5 starts, 2 of 3 against fellow Arky-breds and an open maiden at Remington and a $75k optional claimer at Churchill. The latter victory came as favorite at a mile and one-eighth—same as today’s distance. Appreciate this guy’s ‘try,’ even though these should be tougher than what he’s faced in the past. He’s a reach, but has a puncher’s chance at nice odds.

6. Hard Lighting A. Delgado/Bejarano 50-1
This colt steps up the ladder two races removed from a maiden score in the Gulfstream slop. Beyer Speed Figs are headed in the right direction, but another advance is needed in here.

7. Swiss Skydiver McPeek/M. Smith 3-1
This 3-year-old filly has knocked out three consecutive decisive graded stakes victories—Gr. 2 Gulfstream Park Oaks, Gr. 3 Oaklawn Park Fantasy and Gr. 2 Santa Anita Oaks. Instead of continuing against her own sex toward a start in the coveted Kentucky Oaks, her connections have decided to match her against this collection of males in the Blue Grass. If successful, she would become the first filly to win this race that originated in 1937. On paper, she appears to fit. She’s got enough speed to be close to what should be a reasonable pace and her winning spirit is unquestioned. She also enjoys a five-pound sex allowance. She must be respected but 3-year-old females facing soph males on dirt is a clear uphill challenge.

8. Basin Asmussen/R. Santana 8-1
This guy’s soph season has been a bit of a disappointment. After winning the Gr. 1 Hopeful in dominating fashion in September, ‘hopes’ were high for this guy. Unfortunately, he just hasn’t made that much of an improvement since then. He was third in the Gr. 2 Rebel and second in the Gr. 1 Arkansas Derby, but was well back in both events. He lost decisively to #4 Mr. Big News in the Oaklawn Stakes two races back. He’s like several in here with a chance to round out exotics, but not a win candidate.

9. Attachment Rate Romans/L. Saez 20-1
He’s been on the board in four of five 2020 races. That’s got to count for something. Off since May when fourth, beaten five lengths by the injure Maxfield, his only triumph came at a mile in the Gulfstream slop. He’d need a real turnaround.

10. Rushie McCarthy/Castellano 5-1
Here’s a colt that’s a bit interesting. He’s improved Beyer Speed Figures with each of five starts, finished third behind Honor A.P. and Authentic in the Gr. 1 Santa Anita Derby, and is saddled by a young, hot conditioner and ridden by a Hall of Famer. He has won two of five and was a distant runner-up to the highly regarded Charlatan. He need only repeat his last and he figures to be around at the finish of this. His post is no bargain, but he’s got speed to contend early. Worth a long look in here.

11. Hunt the Front Zito/Lanerie 30-1
This son of Revolutionary must come from far back. He enters this race off an Oaklawn Park maiden victory followed by a poor first level allowance/optional claiming try. Pass on him.

12. Enforceable M. Casse/Rosario 10-1
Tough post for any runner but trainer Mark Casse has the right pilot in Joel Rosario. This son of Tapit comes from far back and will need lots of breaks not to lose ground off the turn. He has faced graded stakes foes in his last five starts and won the Gr. 3 Lecomte and was second in the Gr. 2 Risen Star, so he’s not a toss from exotics consideration.

13. Tiesto Mott/Prat 15-1
He moves from turf to dirt after all four lifetime starts on the green stuff. As if that wasn’t enough, he’s also drawn the dreaded 13 hole for this Gr. 2 test. Jockey Flavien Prat and trainer Bill Mott are solid connections but, like #12 Enforceable, he’ll need the trip of a lifetime to neutralize this starting post. 13-hole and first-time dirt are enough to chase me away.

Bottom Line: #7 Miss Sky Diver seems a logical play in here and probably will be a single for many in multi-leg exotics. However, she is a filly acting against colts and that’s always a challenge. #3 Art Collector could continue his hot streak. #5 Man in the Can has built his rep against lesser but done it well. Rounding out the remainder of the trifecta will involve a number of runners that are hard-trying types that seem just a cut below the top three.

$.50 Trifecta ($18 Total)
First: #3, #5, #7
Second: #3, #5, #7
Third: #1, #3, #4, #5, #7, #8, #10, #12

$.50 Trifecta ($63 Total)
First: #3, #5, #7
Second: #1, #3, #4, #5, #7, #8, #10, #12
Third: #1, #3, #4, #5, #7, #8, #10, #12

Keeneland Late Pick 4 Analysis

7th Race—Central Bank Ashland—Grade 1—$400,000-- Fillies Three Years Old—One Mile and One Sixteenth

2. Venetian Harbor has two wins and two seconds in four starts. She’s the fastest in the race. Last out she was defeated by Blue Grass contender Swiss Skydiver in the Gr. 3 Fantasy at Oaklawn Park. ‘Harbor set torrid fractions that afternoon and probably won’t need to go nearly as fast early in here. She’s the one to beat.

5. Tonalist’s Shape has won an outstanding six of seven races, including the Gr. 3 Forward Gal and Gr. 2 Davona Dale, both at Gulfstream. She didn’t do well against Swiss Skydiver in the Gr. 2 Gulfstream Park Oaks when wide throughout for her only defeat.

6. Speech probably is the most interesting of the possible upsetters in here. She seems to be developing nicely for trainer Michael McCarthy, has enough speed to be within striking distance of #2 Venetian Harbor and never has been off the board in six tries—one win, four seconds and one third. She has two bullet half-mile works for this off a second in the Santa Anita Oaks, four lengths behind Swiss Skydiver.

8th Race—Coolmore Jenny Wiley—Grade 1--$350,000—For Fillies and Mares, Four Years Old and Upward—One Mile and One-Sixteenth on Turf

4. Rushing Fall is the one to beat in here. She’s won nine of 12, four of five on Keeneland turf and is three for four at the distance! She’s got speed, so she’ll be in the race from the start. She’s trained by Chad Brown, who also has #7 Altea in here, and is ridden by Hall of Fame jockey Javier Castellano. Drawbacks? There is other speed in the race, so she’s got to avoid that trap. Other than that, she appears, as always, very tough.

6. Jolie Olimpica should add some early speed to the mix. She has two turf wins at five and one-half furlongs at Santa Anita to her credit this year. She set the pace in the Gr. 2 Chula Vista but was gunned down by talented Keeper of the Stars. Perhaps, Hall of Fame connections--trainer Richard Mandella and jockey Mike Smith--have learned a thing or two about relaxing this 4-year-old Brazilian-bred and raced filly. If so, she could be a threat in here.

8. Toinette always must be considered a legitimate contender. Like Rushing Fall, she’s 5-years-old and is game as ever with eight wins in 12 starts--one for one over Keeneland turf and two for two at the distance. Flavien Prat rides for Hall of Fame conditioner Neil Drysdale.

Race 9-Toyota Blue Grass (See Above)

Race 10—Allowance--$79,000—Fillies and Mares Three Years Old and Upward Which Have Never Won $10,000 Twice Other Than Maiden, Claiming or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Three Races—One Mile and Three Sixteenths on Turf

1. Summer in Saratoga has a pair of 2020 wins in as many tries and has a win over the Keeneland turf course. Her last score came going a mile on turf at Churchill from the difficult 10 hole out of 10 runners. She’s a bit below the others in the speed figure department, so she’s a reach that’s worth honorable mention.

3. Romantic Pursuit fired a big effort last out and just missed by a head in a Churchill allowance turf race. She also was second in the Gr. 3 Very One at Gulfstream before that. She’s a hard-trying 4-year-old filly—nine of 12 starts in the money--and she has a win and a second at the distance. She must be included in whatever one does in here.

6. Kuora makes her first US start in here for very capable but low-profile trainer Ignacio Correas. She’s three for three in her native Peru against males at the Group 3 level. Now, it’s nearly impossible to tell how good (or bad) those fields might have been, but two of her races had 16-runner fields. Kuora has trained reasonably well for this with a seven-furlong breeze and a bullet four-furlong Keeneland turf blowout July 4. There are no superstars in this race, so give this one a second look on the come.

7. Mighty Scarlett also starts for Ignacio Correas and she has some things to like. While she’s been stuck in this condition for a while, she does have a Keeneland turf course win and two wins at the distance to her credit. Those count for something.

9. Delta’s Kingdom is a reach in here, but she’s a bit interesting off her one-for-one Keeneland turf course record and a fair recent effort—her first out since November. She raced closer than usual to a slow early pace and then faded late. That often is a great prep effort for next out.

$1 Pick 4 ($15)
7th #2
8th #4
9th #3, #5, #7
10th #1, #3, #6, #7, #9

$.50 Pick 4 ($45)
7th #2, #6
8th #4, #6, #8
9th #3, #5, #7
10th #1, #3, #6, #7, #9

Take care of each other. Race On!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Best Bets for UFC 251 ... Kamaru Usman vs. Jorge Masvidal

ESPN Plus (paid content)



Welterweight championship: Champ Kamaru Usman (-300) vs. No. 3 Jorge Masvidal (+250)

The defending champ is about to face his third consecutive opponent with American Top Team experience in a title fight. Having bested Tyron Woodley and Colby Covington, Usman has strong backing in the betting market, suggesting that he could close at a price higher than his prior title appearances. Is that because Masvidal took the fight on short notice or because a dominant wrestler-striker hybrid presents a bad matchup for a wily but undersized knockout artist?

It might be a combination of both. Usman was preparing to face Burns, who did to Woodley what previously only Usman had managed to do. Usman undoubtedly wants to leverage his dominant top game, and against an older, slightly smaller opponent who has been pinned against the cage before, that seems like a favorable strategy.

Fans should expect Masvidal to have his best chances while standing; he has succeeded in striking duels enough to ensure that his highlight reel will echo in eternity. But many of those knockouts came against fighters not necessarily at their peaks or in a full weight class smaller. He gets a slight edge in terms of technical striking compared to Usman, but Masvidal's knockdown rate is on par with the champ's, and Masvidal has taken far more damage between the two. Plus, Usman averages a more aggressive pace.

Masvidal likely wants a striking duel, but that by no means guarantees he'll get the better of one. Meanwhile, should Usman feel pressure at any point on the feet -- he fully capable of keeping the fight against the cage or on the mat -- he can easily rack up points on the cards.


E+ recommends: Money line play on Usman


Other plays on the fight:

The main event is the title fight least expected to go the distance. But the durability of both fighters, as well as the presumed respect of each other's threats, could lead to a feeling out process and a conservative game plan early.


E+ recommends: Use the over 1.5 rounds in parlays or the money line over 2.5 rounds. If Usman got any coaching whatsoever this week, it was to not take risks or drop for a takedown against a flying knee.



Featherweight championship: Champ Alexander Volkanovski (-220) vs. No. 1 Max Holloway (+185)

On paper, we can easily see why this is a fun pairing to run back a second time. These two average the highest combined standup striking pace of any of the three title pairings, and both deliver their aggressive strikes with abnormally high precision. In their first fight, Volkanovski implemented leg kicks early and often but technically was outstruck in the final two rounds.

However, the rematch of last year's upset of the longtime featherweight champ is occurring under strange circumstances. Holloway revealed that he did not train with any partners, despite having lost to Volkanovski in a predominantly standup affair. There are real concerns about Holloway's ability to control early exchanges against an opponent who now knows that Holloway is not invincible.

The numbers lean Volkanovski -- but only slightly. Holloway has taken enormous amounts of damage in his career, well beyond his years. But he's still young. He showed in his first fight that he can rally and put on his usual high pace despite being hurt. However, it's difficult to imagine that he can do better in a rematch under current circumstances.


E+ recommends: Slight lean on Volkanovski but not at current prices. Likely a pass unless prices tighten up or diverge significantly to make an upset by decision prop possible.



Bantamweight championship: No. 3 Petr Yan (-240) vs. No. 6 Jose Aldo (+200)

The first title fight of the night will determine the new bantamweight champion after Henry Cejudo's abdication by retirement. Former and longtime featherweight champion Aldo recently dropped to bantamweight but lost his division debut. The matchup is a strange one, given the higher-ranked fighters available in the division, but nonetheless, Yan will return from his knockout of Urijah Faber to take on Faber's old rival, Aldo.

Changing weight classes always complicates things. On one hand, Aldo earned comparable striking stats against larger and more formidable opponents than Yan has faced. On the other hand, in a five-round fight, endurance was never Aldo's strength, and that could be further at risk after he had to drop additional weight.

Assuming the numbers aren't skewed by Aldo's drop in weight, Yan is capable of putting on a greater pace and changing levels. If Aldo can't pull out one of his old tricks early in an away-game setting, it could be a long night for him.


E+ recommends: Money line lean on Yan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Del Mar Wagering Strategies - 7/11/20 July 11, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Del Mar
Saturday, July 11, 2020
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Today’s Day Makers: (View Video) (https://www.xbtv.com/video/day-makers/jeff-siegels-day-makers-at-del-mar-on-july-11th-2020/)

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Today’s Blue Grass Stakes-G2 Analysis: (View Video) (https://www.xbtv.com/video/bullet-drill/preview-of-the-blue-grass-stakes-at-keeneland-on-july-11th-2020/)

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RACE 1: Post 2:00 PT. Grade: C+
Use: 3-Mister McLean; 4-Octopus; 5-Foreign Protocol

Forecast: The main track appeared to favor the outside lanes and the rally-widers yesterday; in other words, a typical Del Mar dirt surface. It wasn’t as blatant a bias and we’ve seen, but it was still prevalent. In today opener, an abbreviated sprint for $20,000 claiming 3-year-olds, Octopus makes his first start since being claimed for $32,000 out of a maiden claiming win over this track and distance last November and returns unprotected, not a healthy sign, but if he’s going to fire a winning shot it’ll probably be in his first race back. The recent workouts aren’t bad – he actually looked okay in his most recent drill July 3 at Santa Anita (see video) (https://www.xbtv.com/video/octopus-(outside)-and-tripoli-worked-5-furlongs-in-1/octopus-outside-and-tripoli-worked-5-furlongs-in-101-20-at-santa-anita-park-on-july-3rd-2020/) – and from where he’s drawn the son of Shackleford should be favorable placed outside the other speed in a good pace-pressing or stalking position and then have every chance through the lane. Mister McLean defeated a modest, restricted (nw-20 $16,000 field at Pleasanton last month and his recent speed figures make him competitive on this circuit. Also in from Northern California is Foreign Protocol, an open $12,500 winner three weeks ago in an effort that charts reasonably well with these. Successful in four of 10 career starts, the Q. Howey-trained gelding should settle in mid-pack and then produce his run when it matters. These are the three we’ll be using in our rolling exotics but not with a great deal of confidence, and if you find the need to spread deeper, go right ahead.
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RACE 2: Post 2:35 PT. Grade: B+
Use: 1-Commander: 2-Go Time; 8-Handsome Cat

Forecast: We’re going to toss out the poor dirt race at Los Alamitos and key on the sharp runner-up effort sprinting on turf two runs back by Commander, a French-bred gelding who appears to have found his niche as a grass sprinter. Dropping realistically in class, switching to D. Van Dyke and landing the good rail post position in this abbreviated turf dash, the P. Miller-trained sophomore should settle just behind the leaders and then have his chance to produce a winning late kick. Based on numbers and company lines, he can handle this field with a good racing luck. Go Time is the “other” Miller and adds blinkers while returning to the claiming ranks and switching to A. Cedillo. He’s not as fast on pure numbers as Commander but is lightly-raced and graduated over this trip and surface at Gulfstream Park, so the conditions certainly suit. Handsome Cat represents the most dangerous of the closers and if the speed types do each other in he’ll be heard from in the final furlong. He has numbers that fit and has been facing better, so at 12-1 on the morning line he may be worth tossing in somewhere.
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RACE 3: Post 3:07 PT. Grade: C+
Use: 2-Da Kine; 4-Convex; 5-Trojan Magic

Forecast: Trojan Magic shows the dangerous route-to-sprint angle combined with a realistic class drop in his second-off-a-layoff for the A. Lerner barn (powerful stats with this angle) so we’re expecting the Twirling Candy colt to be highly competitive in this bottom-rung maiden $20,000 extended sprint. The pace projects to be slower than average, so he should be on or near the lead throughout. Convex, away since last October and returning as a first-time gelding in his first start for a tag, could be much better than shown, or not. A $155,000 2-year-old in training purchase but with just two career starts, both unplaced, he’s clearly being culled from the stable but could still act against this group, so we’ll use him. Da Kine is another being tossed away; a $180,000 yearling but with a just one modest third place effort from six starts, the four-year-old son of Will Take Charge is fairly competitive on numbers and may be finally found his friends. He should be running on late, so we’ll include him on a few tickets as a back-up.
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RACE 4: Post 3:37 PT. Grade: C+
Use: 1-Sapori Girl; 3-Lemon Drop Tini; 5-Surface

Forecast: Older $50,000 maiden claiming fillies and mares compete over a mile in a grass grab bag that requires a considerable spread in rolling exotic play. We’ll hope to survive and advance using just three. Lemon Drop Tini, in her second off a layoff following her arrival from Florida, may offer a bit of wagering value at or near her morning line of 6-1. She’s reasonably competitive on speed figures and may be the most dangerous of the closing types in a race that projects to have an average early pace. D. Van Dyke got to know her last time and stays aboard, so we’ll give her a slight edge on top and hope the race shape materializes as we envision. Surface needs patient handling and if she can drop over and get some cover should could run back to her reasonable decent runner-up effort vs. Bay Area straight maidens two runs back. At 5-1 on the morning line she’s worth using. Sapori Girl is an 11-race maiden and certainly not one to trust, but she can’t help but get a good trip from her rail post and finishing third in her last pair vs. similar should at least hit the board again today.
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RACE 5: Post 4:07 PT. Grade: C+
Use:2-Hot Rod Charlie; 3-Girther; 4-Raisebeforetheflop

Forecast: Hot Rod Charlie brought $110,000 as a yearling – a very good price for a son of Oxbow – but as a half-brother to Mtole he might have been expected to bring a bit more. At any rate, he makes his debut following a solid series of drills at San Luis Rey Downs and then a half mile gate drill (:48 3/5) six days ago over the local main track, so we suspect he’s fit enough for this five furlong dash. With just five rivals, none of whom look like world beaters, the D. O’Neill-trained seems as good as any. Girther finished fifth in his debut with a less-than-ideal trip from his rail draw and has a right to produce a forward move, especially since the race he exits was a fast, highly-rated affair. However, it may or may not be significant that A. Cedillo, who rode him, jumps off to pilot Hot Rod Charlie. The “other” P. Miller-trained entrant – Raisebefortheflop – shows a bullet gate drill at San Luis Rey last month that indicates ability, so we have to use him as well.
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RACE 6: Post 4:37 PT. Grade: B
Use: 4-Duplicity; 6-Speedy Justice

Forecast: Speedy Justice ran away and hid in his debut last summer over this course and distance but then disappeared. He finally makes it back to the races for B. Baffert and has done some excellent work in the a.m. to indicate he’s fit and ready, with a five furlongs 59 3/5 drill last week especially catching the eye (see video) (https://www.xbtv.com/video/bob-baffert/crystal-ball-outside-and-speedy-justice-worked-5-furlongs-in-59-60-at-santa-anita-park-on-july-4th-2020/). Granted, he didn’t beat much in that maiden juvenile dash and is facing several older salty veterans today, but this son of Dominus could be very good. Duplicity handled a representative maiden field sprinting on grass at Churchill Downs last month and earned a solid speed figure. With a forward move in what will be just his third career start, the Into Mischief colt should be able to at least outrun his morning line of 8-1. These are the two we’ll be including in our rolling exotics – a case can be made for several of the others – with preference on top to Speedy Justice.
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RACE 7: Post 5:07 PT. Grade: C
Use: 1-Rogallo; 4-Lil Sydney; 7-Mantaray Island; 8-All I Can Say

Forecast: Here’s an inscrutable affair, a restricted (nw-2) $16,000 claimers over six and one-half furlongs with knocks on just about everybody. All I Can Say comes from a low percentage outfit but has the route-to-sprint angle that we like and is drawn favorably outside. Perhaps most effective as a late-running sprinter, the son of Old Topper has numbers that fit will need some help up front to have his best chance. Rogallo is stuck on the rail – probably not the place you want to be sprinting on this main track – and is dropping from $25,000 to $16,000 off a claim, hardly a ringing endorsement. However, the Lerner barn has terrific stats with the first-off-the-claim angle and this Curlin gelding has several back speed figures that are better than par for this level, so you have to make him a major player. Mantaray Island perhaps the quickest of the quick in a race that may not have all that much zip in it. Away since March of 2019, the D. O’Neill-trained gelding returns as a first-time gelding in his first in a claimer, so there’s certainly a condition question but the works look okay. Lil Sydney exits a better race and with just seven career starts may have a bit of improvement to offer. He had a nice recent half mile drill over the track (:47 4/5, sixth fast of 80) and while slow on numbers may be perking up.
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RACE 8: Post 5:37 PT. Grade: C+
Use: 1-Kiwi’s Dream; 4-Voodoo Song; 7-Souter; 8-Murad Khan

Forecast: Voodoo Song is exiting series of much better races, but he hasn’t won in almost two years and is, and always has been, a need-the-lead type. The son of English Channel guarantees a faster than par pace, and at one time in his career he would handle a field of this quality by simply running his rivals into the ground. Now, at age six, he no longer the Grade-1 winner he once was, most recently fading to finishing ninth of 10 in the Shoemaker Mile-G1 at Santa Anita in late May. This group, however, gives him a chance to bounce back. Kiwi’s Dream, thoroughly genuine and consistent is another that prefers the front end, but in this case likely will settle into a stalking position from his inside draw. If Voodoo Song clears the field as expected, this Australian-bred gelding should inherit a good stalking spot and if ‘Song starts to fade he’ll be the first one over. With just 13 starts, the 5-year-old gelding still has somewhere to go, and at this stage of his career may be more dependable, so give the V. Trujillo-trained gelding the edge on top. Always worth including a ticket or two in your rolling exotics is course-specialist Murad Khan, a two-time winner over the local lawn at this mile trip (albeit against lesser) last year. The French-bred gelding has been below form in his last pair but could perk up with the change in venue. Souter earned a career top speed figure when rallying with interest to be in a dead-head for third in the American S.-G3 last month and earned career top speed figure in the process. If there’s a pace meltdown, he could take full advantage at a nice price.
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RACE 9: Post 6:07 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 3-Diva in Charge; 5-Buyback; 6-Rather Nosy

Forecast: Rather Nosy really isn’t bred to route, but if she’s ever going to be successful around two turns it’ll be in her first try. With rising recent speed figures in her recent sprints, the daughter of Majesticperfection is primed to take advantage of a field without much pace, and as the projected controlling speed in this starter’s allowance main track miler she should be hard to catch, even over a man track that isn’t always kind to stretch-out plays. We like her on top, for sure, but not as a single. Buyback may be the most dangerous of the closers. Dangerous on any surface, she returns to the main track after finishing a solid runner-up in a similar affair at Santa Anita last month, retains D. Van Dyke, and should be able to settle in the second flight and then have her chance when the pressure is turned on. First or second in six of eight career starts, the daughter of Mucho Macho Man offers a bit of value at 6-1 on the morning line. Diva in Chargeseeks her third straight score with rising speed figures, though she’s coming back a bit quicker (13 days) than is ideal. She could regress following a taxing win at Los Alamitos, but if she doesn’t she’ll be right there.
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RACE 10: Post 6:30 PT. Grade: B+
Use: 1-Vegas Palm; 5-Nurse Goodbody; 12-Sweet Devil

Forecast: Nurse found her best stride too late when rallying to be second in a similar maiden turf router in late May at Santa Anita. She was an also-eligible scratch last month but has worked steadily right along, so we’re expecting the daughter of Kitten’s Joy to produce enough of a forward move today to earn her diploma. Hot-riding U. Rispoli stays aboard and should have her along in time. If you’d prefer to have a couple of back-ups on your ticket for protection, there are two to consider. Sweet Devil gets the worst of the draw but seems certain to improve with the return to grass. Her runner-up effort two runs back at Santa Anita in February charts well here, and a strong series of recent workouts should have her on edge. At 8-1 on the morning line you have to include her somewhere. Vegas Palm is guaranteed a good ground-saving trip from the rail, and though she’s already had eight chances the five-year-old mare by Violence has finished second in her last pair and projects to at least hit the board again today.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis July 11, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, the Meadowlands has a star-studded card set to go. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6 and it includes the Reynolds Memorial Trot, the Meadowlands Pace Elimination and the Graduate Series Final. I went price shopping in the first leg which is an Open Pace. The Pick 4 sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

1-Our Major Dan A (8-1)-Aussie invader has been razor sharp and the question is how will the ScD form translate to the Big M. My feeling is the risk reward is jutified even though this this will be a big test.
2-Highalator (10-1)-Will toss last at Phl, comes back to the Big M where he has won 12 of 18. Could be out and winging and be on the engine or in the pocket. Using horses on the inside and will respect the last start at the Big M on 7/6.
4-Jesse Duke N (10-1)-Hasn't missed hitting the board in 4 starts here and has notched 3 wins. Dunn has some options and could be forwardly placed or can come off cover. Looks like a player at a square price.

Race 7

2-Hollywood Story (4-1)-Muscle Hill colt has been perfect in two starts in East Rutherford and has a post edge on talented foes. Will respect chances but hasn't faced a field like this.
4-Maesteraemon (5-1)-Even effort on 6/27 after a couple of sharp qualifiers. Melander pupil has won 4 of 10 starts and has talent but is 0-4 at the Big M.
7-Synergy (3-1)-Comes off an even effort in season debut but is a player if ready to roll. Raced against tough customers last year and Gingras returns tonight.
8-Back Of The Neck (7/2)-Got on the engine in 1st start of the year and was just nipped in a quick mile. Is a use and could be even better here but won't be starting from post 3.

Race 8

1-Major Betts (9/2)-Comes off a sparkling 149.4 performance at TgDn on 6/28. Will use instead of the big guns stuck with post 8 & 9. Capt Midnight and Papi Rob can qualify for next week's Pace without emptying the tank tonight.
3-Tall Dark Stranger (3-1)-Hasn't missed a beat from last year and gets a big post edge on main foes. Gingras can take control early on and may not look back.

Race 9

3-Workin Ona Mystery (4-1)-Can't find much to criticize with this Brown trainee and Tetrick can work his magic with Bettor's Wish, the morning chalk saddled with post 10.
4-Dancin Lou (5-1)-Beaten chalk was used hard from post 6 to get the lead in the opening quarter and couldn't last although did close in 25.4. Lou usually comes ready to play and won 11 of 21 starts in 2019.
5-Hurrikane Emperor (8-1)-Last start was a bit disappointing but beaten favorite hung on for a 3rd place check after being used hard in the 1st half. Has won 7 of 10 at the Big M and will look for a rebound with a big purse on the line.

0.50 Early Pick 4

1,2,4/2,4,7,8/1,3/3,4,5
Total Bet=$36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Belmont Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#1 Wayne's Footsteps
Popular runner has been claimed in three straight and now goes for Handal, who is a huge move up from Ferraro and Cannizzo, just missed against better last time, and might be able to shake loose early; too good for these.


#6 Cobble Hill
Stalker looked good breaking his maiden last time in his second start for Atras, and while he steps up and meets winners, he fits nicely on paper, and if the pace gets too heated early, he's the one to fear late; would be no surprise.


#10 Passcode
Tricky read is the one to beat if he runs back to his last two against tons better, but the worry is he hasn't been seen since August, so what you get here, on the stiff class drop too, is anyone's guess; taking a wait and see approach.


Race Summary
There's a lot to like about the 1, most notably the trainer change to one of the bright young starts on the circuit, and there are questions with the 6 and 10, which makes him that much more appealing, so play him aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by keying him in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, as he looks to be in a great spot off the claim.


Belmont Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#6 Women Not Easy
Speedy miss got to the turf last time and improved in a big way, looks like the controlling speed here, and doesn't meet much here; come and catch the pick.


#5 Lucky Latkes
The chalk was a closing 2nd on debut for Clement and should move forward off that, though she her lack of early speed is a worry; runs out of room in the lane.


#3 Afleeting Glance
Morley charge was a distant 7th on debut against tons better and now takes the MSW drop, so she could wake up in a big way, at a price too; do not ignore.


Race Summary
Pace makes the race and the 6 figures to make the front, which would give her a big tactical edge on the rest, so play her in all the slots, and especially to kick off the late Pk5, as she tipped her hand last time, and won't have to improve much, if at all, to beat this crew.


Belmont Park - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#6 The Sinner Is You
ML longshot got good at WO late last year but has some solid turf form too, for a Jeremiah barn getting untracked after a rough NY winter, and there's no one here to fear; upset special.


#5 Big Wonder
Underrated sort has posted back-to-back big figure runs when 2nd, including at the level two-back, and while he never wins (1-for-24), he fits with these like a glove here; major player.


#4 Uncle George
ML favorite was up on the line on debut for Clement, so he has talent and a world of upside, but also he's no faster than about eight here, and his lack of speed won't help; trying to beat.


Race Summary
The price will be right on the 6, and he has the look of a sneaky contender, in a race there for the taking, so give him a look in all the slots, and in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he's hardly out of this, and a win would go a long way in really blowing up both sequences.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Laurel Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#8 Absentee
Has the pace to track a couple of players who might be just a touch quicker than him in the early going, and he's a big danger here with a potential step forward in the second start off the layoff.


#9 Fortunate Friends
Should get a similar trip to the top choice, but he's usually giving away at least a little bit of ground in the final yards of his races, so he may again be vulnerable late.


#7 Romanoff
At his best when he's able to find the front, and that's likely the case here on the move out to 7f. He may not have cared for the off going last out, either.


Race Summary
Absentee can get the right kind of trip near the top, and he has some finishing ability that the others listed lack. He's playable at something like the 7/2 ML price.


Laurel Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#8 Percentage
Gets Lasix for the first time while racing for the new barn, and there isn't a ton in here to worry about. Not ready to give up on him yet.


#10 First Law
Debuter runs on the grass after a local turf work, and he seems well meant in an iffy race for the level.


#6 The Cairo Kid
Makes the turf debut today, and he owns the best running lines in the bunch from his three dirt races. Probably wins this if he likes the grass, but there are alternatives.


Race Summary
Percentage seems to have been working forwardly ahead of this comeback for the new barn, and the price figures to be fair against this group.


Laurel Park - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#1 Stand My Ground
Rare jockey play for me, as Feargal Lynch dominates with 36% winners in Laurel turf races going 9f or longer, and there isn't anything super serious in here to be afraid of. He can be closer early than he was last out, is worth a small shot at a big price.


#8 McElmore Avenue
A repeat of his last would probably do the trick, but how much do you really want something like the 7/2 ML price on a deep closer who was 48/1 last out? Believers appear likely to get a fair pace.


#6 Threethehardway
One-paced on his best day, he might be able to plug along for an underneath piece at a big price in a race where the front end may not be a particularly hospitable place to be. Passes the speed and gets outkicked by the finishers?


Race Summary
Stand My Ground is worth a flyer at a price. Jockey Lynch aces these longer turf trips at Laurel, and his finishing style should play well in a race with three or four potential pace elements.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Meadowlands - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#6 COACH CAL
Yonkers invader holds tactical advantage, boasts recent win.


#8 HEAVENLY SOUND
Can get forward position despite post but is 1-35 since 2019.


#2 BIG STRETCH MARK
Steady check-getter last year, was in range two back in 1:49.


Race Summary
Coach Cal pursued the favorite from the pocket and got up to win through a :56.1 back half. He can make good use of his speed in this spot and is taken to repeat. Play 6-2 and 6-8 exactas.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#8 FOOL ME AGAIN
Strong brush past the favorite, flattened out, goes well in here.


#1 WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE
Sustained first-over bid to finish third in blanket finish.


#5 LA ALWAYS A MARTINI
Led early from post 8, ran third, seeks first win of year.


Race Summary
Fool Me Again broke single-file alignment near the half-mile marker, made a bold rush to get past the pace-setting favorite in early stretch, but weakened late. Play 8-1 and 8-5 exactas.


Pocono Downs - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#8 PERFECT STICK
Right set-up, right price after runner-up finish behind the fave.


#7 LORD CROMWELL
Classy 6-year-old looks to bounce back after he broke stride as the favorite.


#2 MAX
Close up through torrid third-quarter split, faded at the Meadowlands against talented winner.


Race Summary
Perfect Stick takes on the boys from post 8 but she is a good value play off her race last week. She made a middle move to a brief lead, held second behind the odds-on winner and gets plenty of pace to run at today. Play a 2-7-8 exacta box.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#6 Bibiana
Seeks her 3rd straight win and the D'Angelo stable goes for its 2nd off the claim with her; has brought some late energy and gets a good set-up for her run.


#1 Dancing Destroyer
Missed in a photo in a similar spot last out and should be able to carve out a close-up and inside trip.


#3 Let's Be Honest
Was up in time vs. N2L company and was claimed last out; will probably be in a situation in which he'll make a run off the pace.


Race Summary
Bibiana and Dancing Destroyer filled the exacta the last time they met and there's a good chance of a 1-2 repeat. Bibiana has the tactical speed to be in a good spot and has closed well in her last two.


Gulfstream Park - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#1 Vinnie Van Go
Whenever he tires from early efforts, it's usually against higher levels. He was claimed for this price last out by Delgado and has the speed to be in the mix from the outset. Has shown gameness on many occasions and can reject late challenges.


#2 Take Charge Dude
Tired last time but usually is a pacesetter or close to it and can dig in vs. this group.


#5 Krammy Boy
Didn't have his usual kick going longer but should benefit from a return to a shorter distance; has some late pop.


Race Summary
Vinnie Van Go has the speed to battle early stride and often digs in late; capable of getting back to the winner's circle here.


Gulfstream Park - Race #11


Picks
Notes


#10 King Ottokar
Came up short here in his 1st since October and has shown some late run on occasion; gets a quick pace and can make a strong late run.


#6 Souper Jaguar
Is the same on either surface and comes in off an easy win in the slop; usually is very competitive in turf routes and can be in the mix from the outset.


#4 Battle of Blenheim
Won three of his last four and was claimed last out by the Braddy stable; stays at the same level and can battle throughout.


Race Summary
King Ottokar needed his last one after seven months off and can improve in his return; broke his maiden over this course and is ideally placed here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Jul 11 '20, 4:00 PM in 9h
Soccer | Betis vs Atletico Madrid
Play on: Atletico Madrid -200 at betonline

1* Free Sharp Play on Atletico Madrid -200

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Merril Jul 11 '20, 7:05 PM in 12h
Fighting | Zhalgas Zhumagulov vs Raulian Paiva
Play on: Raulian Paiva -169 at pinnacle

Raulian Paiva (19-3) is seven years younger than Zhalgas Zhumagulov (13-3) and Paiva holds a substantial four-inch height advantage and a three-inch reach edge. There is not much known about Zhumagulov, but his wins in a no-name Russian league are not impressive. Paiva has fought tougher competition and trains with stronger team, so he holds all the edges in this preliminary fight tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti Jul 11 '20, 9:35 PM in 14h
Fighting | Jiri Prochazka vs Volkan Oezdemir
Play on: Volkan Oezdemir -155 at 5Dimes

** Saturday Featured Comp Play **
The Comp Play for Saturday at UFC 251 Fight Island is on Volkan Oezdemir as he is off a pair of solid wins and will be motivated after signing a new contract. Tonight he takes on JiřÃ* Procházka from the Czech Republic who is making his UFC debut tonight. He has a sterling 26-3 record mainly against lesser quality opponents and he is taking a big step tonight. We will back the ranked and more experienced fighter in Oezdemir. or the MMA Comp Play we will go with Volkan Oezdemir. Rob V- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Marley UFC

Alexander Volkanovski (-195) vs. Max Holloway (+165): Volkanovski via unanimous decision

This is a rematch from December, when Volkanovski took Holloway's featherweight title. Volkanovski clearly won that fight, and his leg kicks were a big factor. He also had the cardio to hang with Holloway over five rounds, which has been a big problem for other fighters in the past. I see this fight being very similar to their first one though, and I have to lean toward Volkanovski getting the win. He is the more powerful guy who is more likely to get a knockout or takedowns, and if Holloway can't figure out a way to stop the leg kicks here, then it will be tough for him to win. Holloway needs to throw some calf kicks of his own and use his movement to minimize Volkanovski's leg kicks. If he can do that and land enough volume on the feet, then he can win at least three rounds and record the upset. I think the line is about right here though, and I will take Volkanovski to win three or four rounds here.


Petr Yan (-260) vs. Jose Aldo (+210): Yan via TKO

This is a fight for the bantamweight belt that Henry Cejudo vacated when he retired in May. I have been very high on Yan and called him a future champion. I didn't think it would come via a win over Aldo, but here we are. I don't think this is a runaway at all, but I do like Yan in this fight. I think he is the more dangerous striker who will be throwing more volume, and I see him having more success the longer this fight goes. But Aldo also can be successful, and if he utilizes his leg kicks like he used to, that will help his chances here. He could get a knockout of his own, but I wouldn't be shocked to see him win three rounds on the judges' scorecards in order to get his hand raised. I just have to lean with Yan as I think he lands a lot of hard shots and ends up putting Aldo away in the latter half of the fight.


Jessica Andrade (+165) vs. Rose Namajunas (-195): Namajunas via unanimous decision

This is a rematch from a year ago, when Andrade knocked out Namajunas with a slam to take the women's strawweight title. This time, they'll go only three rounds, and we have Namajunas as almost a 2-1 favorite. She did look like the much better fighter in that first fight before slammed, and I think she'll look better this time as well. Andrade does have real power though, so she can get a knockout with her hands or a slam, and I believe she is going to need the KO to win this fight. I see Namajunas being the smoother striker, landing more shots and using her movement to avoid the power of Andrade. I thought we would get a better line on Namajunas here since she lost the first fight, but that isn't the case, so I don't think I would want to lay the price here unless she drops a bit. But she is the pick, and she could get a finish of her own.


Amanda Ribas (-800) vs. Paige VanZant (+550): Ribas via unanimous decision

I think this is a terrible matchup for VanZant, and I feel Ribas probably wins this fight nine out of 10 times like the odds indicate. Ribas is better everywhere here and I believe the only way she would lose is to submission from bottom, a guillotine or a rear naked choke if VanZant can get her back. I just think Ribas smokes her on the feet, although she can mop her on the floor as well. Ribas should control every minute of this fight and either get a finish or a clear 30-27 at worst. I don't see how VanZant even wins a round here, and I would expect at least one 10-8 round if this goes the distance.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Pleasanton



Pleasanton - Race 7

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $2 Daily Double



Claiming $40,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 100 • Purse: $25,000 • Post: 5:52P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE APRIL 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000, IF FOR $35,000, ALLOWED 1 LB. (MAIDEN, CLAIMING, AND STARTER RACES FOR $32,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY AND ALLOWANCES).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * REGINELLA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. VRONILLA PARFAIT: Hors e ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. GOTHAM DESIRE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



4

REGINELLA

7/2


4/1




5

VRONILLA PARFAIT

9/5


4/1




2

GOTHAM DESIRE

2/1


9/2
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

REGINELLA

4


7/2

Alternator/Stalker

95


93


85.0


89.9


85.9




5

VRONILLA PARFAIT

5


9/5

Alternator/Stalker

99


95


81.8


92.8


88.3




2

GOTHAM DESIRE

2


2/1

Alternator/Stalker

99


98


67.2


92.8


87.8




1

SPRING HEAT

1


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

95


90


87.6


85.8


77.3




3

PROMOTE (IRE)

3


4/1

Alternator/Non-contender

81


82


81.6


80.6


73.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delaware Park



Delaware Park - Race 7

Daily Double (Races 7-8) / Exacta / Trifecta (50-cent min.) Superfecta (10-cent min.) / Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9, 50-cent min.)



Stakes • 1 3/8 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 100 • Purse: $125,000 • Post: 4:15P


ROBERT G. DICK MEMORIAL S. - GRADE 3 FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $100 EACH WHICH SHALL ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION; $250 TO ENTER AND $500 TO START. $125,000 GUARANTEED, OF WHICH TO BE DIVIDED 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 11% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH AND 3% TO FIFTH. WEIGHT: THREE YEAR OLDS 120 LBS. OLDER 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $90,000 AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF IN 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. $60,000 AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF IN 2020, 4 LBS. $45,000 AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF IN 2020, 6 LBS. (MAIDEN, CLAIMING AND STARTER RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES). TROPHY TO THE WINNING OWNER. CLOSED SATURDAY, JUNE 27, 2020 WITH 20 NOMINATIONS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT NOT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND ONE QUARTER).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Class. MRS. SIPPY is the Dominant Class of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MRS. SIPPY: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/s urface. GENTLE RULER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. THEODORA B.: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



1

MRS. SIPPY

5/2


3/1




5

GENTLE RULER

3/2


7/1




7

THEODORA B.

6/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




9

TASS

9


12/1

Front-runner

93


89


97.4


87.6


75.1




10

TIGHTLY TWISTED

10


12/1

Stalker

93


88


91.0


87.8


70.8




4

NOT IN JEOPARDY

4


15/1

Alternator/Stalker

100


101


82.8


96.2


85.2




7

THEODORA B.

7


6/1

Trailer

98


99


90.5


93.8


87.3




6

BEALE STREET

6


12/1

Trailer

99


95


88.4


93.8


84.3




5

GENTLE RULER

5


3/2

Trailer

101


102


84.3


99.4


95.4




8

SHIFRA MAGICIAN

8


20/1

Trailer

87


85


82.0


85.0


71.5




1

MRS. SIPPY

1


5/2

Trailer

114


111


80.8


105.9


96.4




2

LA AUSTRALIANA

2


12/1

Alternator/Trailer

99


95


94.8


93.4


85.4




3

SAFFRON SPIRIT

3


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

95


71


57.2


67.3


49.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Louisiana Downs - Race #2 - Post: 3:33pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 45

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 MANDOLINE STAR (ML=3/1)


MANDOLINE STAR - I have to like this filly's chances at the shorter distance. Horses that finish second in Maiden races and finish well clear of the 3rd horse are generally good bets next time out. This animal could be tough in today's race, especially since Smith rode last out and now should be more familiar with this one. This filly's last speed figure is lofty enough to win here, I'll play her back again in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 DREAMING OF CURLIN (ML=5/2), #1 LOUISIANA SPECIAL (ML=7/2), #7 SOUTHERN GALAXY (ML=5/1),

DREAMING OF CURLIN - This probable favorite ran on June 15th and hasn't had a morning drill since. LOUISIANA SPECIAL - The speed figures continue to decline, 49/42/38. Not a positive signal. That was just not a very good exhibition in the last event. SOUTHERN GALAXY - I find it hard to bet on any questionable contender in a sprint event if she hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last two months.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - MANDOLINE STAR - Some points of information to consider. This filly is going on Lasix for the second time. My calculation shows that any time Schmidt does this, the animal is conditioned properly and ready to go.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#2 MANDOLINE STAR to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

2 with 3



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Cross Country Pick Four

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Stakes - 11.0f on the Turf. Purse: $125000 Class Rating: 100

DEL - R7 - GRADE 3 FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $100 EACH WHICH SHALL ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION; $250 TO ENTER AND $500 TO START. $125,000 GUARANTEED, OF WHICH TO BE DIVIDED 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 11% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH AND 3% TO FIFTH. WEIGHT: THREE YEAR OLDS 120 LBS. OLDER 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $90,000 AT A MILE OR OVER




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 LA AUSTRALIANA 12/1




# 5 GENTLE RULER 3/2




# 6 BEALE STREET 12/1




LA AUSTRALIANA is my selection especially at a long price. Her earnings per start in turf route contests alone makes you take a look at her. GENTLE RULER - Should be given consideration based on the respectable speed rating put up in the last contest. Has run admirably when racing a turf route race. BEALE STREET - Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this filly. Always tough to beat Matz and Vargas working together, winning 21 percent of their races.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta DownsAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 74

QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 BABYGATOR 2/1




# 5 TTT DOUBLE DASHING 3/1




# 1 CAJUN GRAY PATRIOT 6/1




BABYGATOR is the strongest wager in this race. Has posted solid speed figures in short races in the past. Shows solid Equibase speed figs on average overall when measured up against the rest of this field. Has to be given a shot - I like the numbers from the last race. TTT DOUBLE DASHING - He has been racing solidly recently while recording strong Equibase Speed Figures. Always good to invest in a handler with this kind of competitive win percentage - 18 percent - at this distance & surface. CAJUN GRAY PATRIOT - He has been running admirably and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the best in this group of animals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Charles Town - Race #3 - Post: 8:02pm - Maiden Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 55

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 BRET'S LEGACY (ML=5/2)


BRET'S LEGACY - My peers and I have made cash playing thoroughbreds with this type of pace. Follow my advice and do the same. I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He's had enough efforts since the layoff and should be fit. Have to give this gelding a good shot. Ran a sharp outing last out within the last month or so. He has the highest earnings per start. Check out this one.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 BRIAN'S AVENUE (ML=7/5), #7 JIMMY LEGS (ML=7/2), #6 BONDARO (ML=6/1),

BRIAN'S AVENUE - This horse hasn't shown much effort in the last couple of races. The Brain always warns me to keep away from thoroughbreds in short distance contests that haven't hit the board in short distance events lately. JIMMY LEGS - Awfully difficult to play this mount when he hasn't been showing any gumption of late. Don't feel this less than sharp equine will make an impact in today's event. That last fig was mediocre when compared with today's class rating. BONDARO - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in sprint events in order to back him.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - BRET'S LEGACY - The data here is quite simple. This horse has a lot of pace, so I'd calculate that he sets the early fractions, with a chance to go wire to wire.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #4 BRET'S LEGACY to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

4 with 6



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland



07/11/20, KEE, Race 6, 3.51 ET
07/11/20,KEE,6,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:01:02 STAKES. Shakertown Stakes. Grade 2. Purse $150,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. By subscription of $100 each, which should accompany the nomination or by Supplementary Nomination of $4,500 at time of entry (Includes entry and starting fees). $750 to enter and an additional $750 to start, with $150,000 guaranteed, of which $90,000 to the owner of the winner, $30,000 to second, $15,000 to third, $7,500 to fourth, $4,500 to fifth and $3,000 to be divided equally among sixth through last. Weight: Three year olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners of a Grade I stakes on the turf since November 1, allowed 3 lbs.; a sweepstakes on the turf since September 1, 5 lbs. The maximum number of starters for the Shakertown will be limited to fourteen with two also eligibles. In the event that more than fourteen pass the entry box, the fourteen starters will be determined at that time with preference given to graded stakes winners (in order I-II-III), then highest turf earnings in 2019-2020. Starters to be named through the entry box by the usual time of closing. Keeneland will present a trophy cup to the winning owner. Closed Wednesday, June 24, 2020 with 36 nominations. In the event that this race is taken off the turf it will be contested at the Five and One Half Furlongs on the main track.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.0000
2
Wildman Jack
5/2
Smith M E
O'Neill Doug F.
SF
41.67
2.43/$1


099.2460
11
Tiger Blood
12-1
Saez L
Maker Michael J.
WL
31.03
1.56/$1


098.4548
8
Bound for Nowhere
5/2
Garcia J A
Ward Wesley A.
JT
31.03
1.56/$1


096.6589
1
Extravagant Kid
6-1
Rosario J
Walsh Brendan P.


31.03
1.56/$1


096.4626
7
Fast Boat
8-1
Beschizza A
Sharp Joe


31.03
1.56/$1


096.3901
13
Leinster
12-1
Gaffalione T
Arnold. II George R.


31.03
1.56/$1


096.2195
9
Texas Wedge
6-1
Prat F
Miller Peter


31.03
1.56/$1


095.8872
3
Real News
15-1
Hernandez C J
Stall. Jr. Albert M.


31.03
1.56/$1


095.3055
10
Totally Boss
8-1
Hernandez. Jr. B J
Arnold. II George R.
E
31.03
1.56/$1


094.3860
4
Tell Your Daddy
30-1
Graham J
Pessin Neil L.


31.03
1.56/$1


093.5230
5
Just Might
50-1
Achard A
Lovell Michelle


31.03
1.56/$1


092.8804
12
Corruze
50-1
Lanerie C J
Hartman Chris A.


31.03
1.56/$1


092.4895
6
Smart Remark
50-1
Bejarano R
Oliver Victoria H.


31.03
1.56/$1


092.1068
15
Nitrous
20-1
Santana. Jr. R
Asmussen Steven M.
C
31.03
1.56/$1


091.6810
14
Shared Legacy
50-1
Cannon D
Sancal Murat


31.03
1.56/$1


* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 27.27, ROI 1.44/$1
If Race Is Off Turf Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.0000
8
Bound for Nowhere
5/2
Garcia J A
Ward Wesley A.
JTF
38.03
1.33/$1


098.7890
2
Wildman Jack
5/2
Smith M E
O'Neill Doug F.
S
36.49
1.25/$1


097.9568
11
Tiger Blood
12-1
Saez L
Maker Michael J.
WL
36.49
1.25/$1


097.0641
13
Leinster
12-1
Gaffalione T
Arnold. II George R.


38.03
1.33/$1


095.8344
1
Extravagant Kid
6-1
Rosario J
Walsh Brendan P.


38.03
1.33/$1


095.6749
9
Texas Wedge
6-1
Prat F
Miller Peter


36.49
1.25/$1


095.4832
7
Fast Boat
8-1
Beschizza A
Sharp Joe


38.03
1.33/$1


095.2975
3
Real News
15-1
Hernandez C J
Stall. Jr. Albert M.


38.03
1.33/$1


094.9671
10
Totally Boss
8-1
Hernandez. Jr. B J
Arnold. II George R.
E
38.03
1.33/$1


093.6383
4
Tell Your Daddy
30-1
Graham J
Pessin Neil L.


38.03
1.33/$1


092.3518
6
Smart Remark
50-1
Bejarano R
Oliver Victoria H.


38.03
1.33/$1


092.3359
15
Nitrous
20-1
Santana. Jr. R
Asmussen Steven M.
C
38.03
1.33/$1


091.9220
12
Corruze
50-1
Lanerie C J
Hartman Chris A.


38.03
1.33/$1


091.5040
14
Shared Legacy
50-1
Cannon D
Sancal Murat


38.03
1.33/$1


091.4691
5
Just Might
50-1
Achard A
Lovell Michelle


38.03
1.33/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 38.18, ROI 1.15/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Del Mar



07/11/20, DMR, Race 1, 2.00 PT
07/11/20,DMR,1,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:01 CLAIMING. Purse $24,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Since April 11, 2020 Allowed 2 lbs. A race since then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000, if for $18,000, allowed 2 lbs. (Maiden races and Claiming races for $16,000 or less not considered).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.0000
1
Next Flight
6-1
Velez J I
Miyadi Steven
TSFE
43.24
1.63/$1


098.6467
4
Octopus
3-1
Maldonado E A
Leyva Juan


43.24
1.63/$1


097.6712
6
Malakai Moxie
6-1
Cedillo A
D'Amato Philip
C
43.24
1.63/$1


096.9727
5
Foreign Protocol
7/2
Franco G
Howey Quinn
W
43.24
1.63/$1


095.9295
3
Mister McLean
4-1
Gonzalez R
McCanna Tim
J
43.24
1.63/$1


094.7387
2
Hydrogen
5/2
Fuentes R
Bonde Jeff
L
43.24
1.63/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 42.86, ROI 1.57/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Jul 11 '20, 8:05 PM in 10h
Fighting | Roman Bogatov vs Leonardo Santos
Play on: Roman Bogatov +160 at YouWager

1* Free Play on Roman Bogatov +160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Jul 11 '20, 4:00 PM in 5h
Soccer | Betis vs Atletico Madrid
Play on: Atletico Madrid -219 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on Atletico Madrid -219

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITBULL BARKING SOCCER

Sat Jul 11, 2020
England - Championship- Hull City vs. Millwall OVER 2.5 +111 (10:00 AM)
England - Premier League- Norwich City vs. West Ham United OVER 2.5 -111 (10:00 AM)
Austria - Bundesliga- Austria Vienna vs. Hartberg UNDER 3 -110 (11:00 AM)
Sweden - Superettan- Jonkopings Sodra vs. Degerfors OVER 2.5 -110 (11:30 AM)
Sweden - Superettan- Orgryte vs. Sundsvall OVER 2.5 -114 (11:30 AM)

England - Premier League- Chelsea -152 Sheffield United (12:30 PM)
England - Premier League- Watford -115 Newcastle United (7:30 AM)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NSA(The Legend)

FREE HORSE PICKS
GULFSTREAM PARK
RACE #7
POST TIME: 3:03 PM EST
PICK: #4 Champers(7/2 Odds) to WIN(BET ACROSS THE BOARD!)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Jul 11 '20, 3:45 PM in 4h
Soccer | Atalanta vs Juventus
Play on: Juventus +125 at 5Dimes

FREE PLAY on Juventus +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

UFC and Blue Grass Stakes 7/11

Sat Jul 11, 2020
Taking a break from soccer today for some UFC and a big race at Keeneland.

100* Davey Grant +140 over Martin Day

Keenleland Race 9(Blue Grass Stakes)
#12 Enforceable $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 12-7-3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

UFC (Sat) Usman -235
UFC (Sat) Volkanovski -225
UFC (Sat) Andrade +
UFC (Sat) Oezdemir -155

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KYLE ANTHONYALL COMBAT SPORTS PLAYS



Game: (24129) Jiri Prochazka at (24130) Volkan Oezdemir
Date/Time: Jul 12 2020 1:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: To be announced
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Volkan Oezdemir -165

View Analysis (https://www.wagertalk.com/members/trades#)

This line provides tremendous value on a seasoned vet in Volkan Oezdemir at great price...
Since entering the UFC Volkan Oezdemir faced high level opponents with some fantastic knock out finishes. Most recently knocking out a tough Ilir Latifi in round 2 where his striking was on display. Last fight he faced off against top prospect Aleksander Rakic whom has a strong kickboxing background, and Volkan come out on top with a decision win. In that bout Volkan used great distance management and leg kicks to slow down the movement and arsonal of Rakic. Prior to those 2 wins Oezdemir squared off against rising star Dominick Reyes whom at the time was undefeated. Although Reyes won, it was a fight I truly believe Volkan pulled out the decision win and looked great in the process. Most of the fight he controlled the action and dictated the pace pushing forward. Even with the power Reyes has Volkan stood toe to toe and found success. Thats saying a lot as Reyes went on to face the MMA GOAT Jon Jones for the Light Heavy Weight title, where this closely contested battle gave Jones the slight edge earning him the decision win. The caliber of opponents Volkan has faced is truly impressive as he continues to elevate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAMEDAY NETWORK

FREE HORSE RACING WINNER 7/11/20
RACE #10 from GULFSTREAM PARK
POST TIME: 4:47 PM EST
Free Pick: #2 Take Charge Dude 4/1 Odds to WIN(BET ACROSS THE BOARD!)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gianni - UFC 251

1.) XXXX Cancelled XXXX Kamaru Usman -190 vs Burns...($1,000) - BIG MOVE via Bet365

2.) Makwan Amirkhani -170...($750) via Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437)

3.) Leonardo Santos -180...($750) - BetOnline (http://partners.commission.bz/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_36640b_127) at -175

4.) Jessica Andrade +170...($600) via 5dimes (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=AF000189&mediaTypeID=220&AffUrlID=229)

5.) Volkan Oezdemir -165...($600) via Bet365

6.) Raulian Paiva -185...($750) via 5dimes (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=AF000189&mediaTypeID=220&AffUrlID=229)

7.) XXXX cancelled XXXX Marcin Tybura +100...($600) vs Romanov via Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php) (UFC 251)

8.) Over 2.5 (-175) Aldo-Yan...($750) via William Hill

9.) Ribas-Van Zant = Will NOT Go Distance (-120)...($750) via BetOnline (http://partners.commission.bz/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_36640b_127)

10.) Dos Santos-Salikhov = Will NOT Go Distance (-125)...($600) via 5dimes (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=AF000189&mediaTypeID=220&AffUrlID=229)

11.) Muslim Salikhov -135...($600) via BetOnline (http://partners.commission.bz/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_36640b_127)

12.) Martin Day -165...($600) via 5Dimes

13.) Alexander Volkanovski -210...($800) - William Hill at -200

14.) Kamaru Usman -240...($800) - Bet365 at -225

15.) Over 2.5 (-175) Masvidal-Usman...($600) via BetDsi & William Hill -
PASS at 3.5 Rounds or 4.5 Rounds


BMC - UFC 251 via 5Dimes
Kamaru Usman to Win by Decision (+165)...($500)

Alexander Volkanovski to Win Inside Distance (+350)...($500)

Jose Aldo +210...($500)

Raulian Paiva to Win by Decision (+155)...($500)

Makwan Amirkhani to Win Inside Distance (+170)...($500)

Paige Van Zant to Win Inside Distance (+1000)...($250)