Thursday 7/30/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
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College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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Jimmy Boyd
Jul 30 '20, 1:10 PM in 1d
PGA | Matt Wallace vs Brendon Todd
Play on: Brendon Todd -110 at 5dimes (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=AF000189&mediaTypeID=220&AffUrlID=229)

1* Free Pick on Brendon Todd -110

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NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS THE LEGEND!
FREE MLB PICKS
Padres @ Giants
TIME: 9:45 PM EST
PICK: UNDER 8.5

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Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Pick 5 Analysis July 30, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Race 1

3-
6-


Race 2

1-
2-
7-
9-

Race 3

1-
2-
6-

Race 4

2-
3-
7-

Race 5

5-
9-

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Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Saratoga - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#5 Rousey
Stalker really improved on the turf last time but has some sharp dirt form to fall back on, meets a field there for the taking, and could offer a hint of value as well; look out.


#2 Our Lady of Loreto
ML favorite sped off to a big lead then tired late to be 2nd last time, and she is the inside speed here, but there are a few others who may keep her honest; second-best.


#4 Kefaliani
MCL winner was up in time to get it done with a modest figure last time, so she needs to improve, but the price will be right and she figures to trip out too; exotics appeal.


Race Summary
That 7-2 ML seems pretty fair on the 5, and she could get overlooked a bit off the turf race, but her form is as good as anyone's here, and if the 2 gets pressured early, which is entirely possible, this miss will be licking her chops, so play her aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by keying her in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since she looks like she's in a good spot for a very crafty Barker barn.


Saratoga - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#5 More Mango
Lightly raced runner improved off the brief respite in her second start last time for Thomas and now goes off the Maker claim (15%), lures main man Jose Ortiz, has a world of upside, and likely won't be favored either; expecting a huge run.


#7 Checksandbalances
The chalk will be bet hard for Brown and Klaravich, as she should be, as she was a solid 5th against better on debut, but the drop is an odd one, not to mention she was even in for a tag to begin with, with a big Euro pedigree; trying to beat.


#11 Kitten's Romance
Heavy hitter for Ward and the Ramseys was a solid 3rd on debut at CD from a wide draw and that makes her a player here, but she drew poorly again, and with both the 5 and 7 in better spots, it's going to make it tough here; tread lightly.


Race Summary
There are more than a few who will get bet here, so getting 4-1 or so would be fair value on the 5, and she should get better off her last, and that makes her a big threat, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially to kick off the late Pk5 as well, since a win in the $10 range would knock plenty of tickets out right off the bat.


Saratoga - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#3 Short Pour
Potential Lone F was a fine 2nd in her comeback last time, should be able to move forward off that return, and catches a field without a lot of early zip; come and catch the pick.


#8 Barrel of Destiny
Streaking mare has won three straight and figures closest to the pick early, which means if she can't handle the trip this veteran will be in the right spot off the far turn; huge chance.


#2 Blue Atlas
Stalker did well to draw inside and won't be too far off the early pace, and the open 25k Belmont crew was solid, so this isn't as big of a class rise as some may think; in the mix.


Race Summary
The price and pace will be right with the 3, as there's no reason she can't shake loose early off her one-turn return, so play her in all the slots, and especially in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since this is a deep and competitive race, and a win in the 4-1 range will add plenty of value to both sequences.

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Laurel Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#10 H R H Jellybean
Flashed better pace in the main-track debut, and he showed some late interest in the career bow on the lawn with better. Tactical trip from the wide draw?


#1 Nextstop Pokipc
Owns a couple of turf sprints that would probably get the job done with these, but he's heading into his 10th career start and has only really been close once. Likely underlay.


#4 Hair of the Dog
Moved forward nicely when adding blinkers and dropping to this level last time out, and he figures to get in the mix again from the start here. Would want him on the tickets.


Race Summary
H R H Jellybean might be sitting on something better on the move back to the grass here while finding a softer group than he faced in those first two tries. 8-1 ML price is interesting enough.


Laurel Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#8 Gloriously
Think those turf tries stack up well enough here, and the price should be right to give him a look here, even if it's not all of that 15/1 ML offering.


#3 Beantown Baby
Tactical speed is the clear one to beat here, but she is coming into a tougher spot than the one she aired in last time around, and she's sure to get bet again.


#5 Midship Lady
Finisher may be along too late, but she has a reliable turn of foot on the turf and may offer the right kind of mid-range price.


Race Summary
Gloriously probably won't offer us the 15/1 price, but she's playable at something a bit shorter than that. Her recent turf tries are both solid, and the likely chalk can be tough here but doesn't have to win.


Laurel Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#10 Waiting for a Star
Has done her best work over the local lawn, and she's capable of landing a mid-priced score in this third start off the layoff as she gets back to her favorite trip here.


#6 Irony of Reality
Turf form isn't quite as good as those synthetic efforts , but she's still good enough land a piece of this if she's ready to roll off the bench.


#9 Quiet Company
Forward player can find the perfect spot in the early going, and she'll look for her third in a row since finding her home around two turns on the grass.


Race Summary
Waiting for a Star did some good work around two turns locally, and although her 2020 form hasn't quite come back to that, perhaps she can get there in this third start off the bench.

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#4 TORRID BROMAC N
Yet to recapture winning ways of 2019, maybe with this bunch.


#1 HIGHLANDBEACHYCOVE
Faced better at Pocono, starts from rail, but 2-40 last two years.


#3 ATTENTION PLEASE
Couldn’t keep pace with 2-to-5 repeater at Harrington, Tetrick gets call.


Race Summary
Torrid Bromac N, a 13-race winner last year, is winless in 10 tries this season. He paced evenly behind the 2-to-5 winner last out and lures Napolitano upon his local arrival. Play 4-1 and 4-3 exactas.


Yonkers - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#3 FOLLOWTHEWIND N
Good, uncovered middle move, faltered in the stretch.


#5 LINE DANCER
Took money, no factor in split races that time 4/5 of a second faster.


#1 MILLIONDOLLARGEM A
Loomed boldly first-over in last pair but came up short in lane.


Race Summary
Followthewind N broke the single-file alignment before the half, sustained a first-over bid alongside the favorites to mid-turn and faded in a fast heat at Pocono. He can bounce back with a well-timed move in here.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#2 OKAYZOOMER
Needed one, might not need another after strong gallop out.


#1 REGAL SEVEN
Started from second tier, rallied from clouds to finish second, draws rail.


#6 MACK JUSTICE
Stayed flat, led long way at 5/8-mile track, gets McNair.


Race Summary
Okayzoomer was outrun for a half mile in a well-bet debut and trapped on the final turn. She showed some late interest between rivals and galloped out well, earning a playback to key 2-1 and 2-6 exactas.

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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#2 Union Lane
Won two of three dirt races leading up to a poor effort on turf last time; gets back to the dirt and can battle from an inside trip.


#1 Blossom Bow
Was an easy winner vs N2L company and steps up a peg here; can battle from the outset and could be tough to catch.


#4 Witch Hunter
Cruised home in her last two races and goes to N3L foes; can mix it up on the front end.


Race Summary
Union Lane failed on turf and is back to the main track, where he was solid in two of his last three.


Gulfstream Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#3 Souper Courage
Beat N3L foes two back and didn't fire in his latest; he's in similar company and will get a faster pace to chase.


#7 Sharm El Sheikh
Was fourth in a stakes race last out and lost a photo two back; will be flying on the front end and will be difficult to catch.


#5 Candy Crushem
Is a main-track-only entrant in very good form; will be a stand out if this comes off the grass.


Race Summary
Souper Courage has a good pace in front of him today and has the closing move to get by rivals late in the game.


Gulfstream Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#2 Charlie the Greek
Had a tough go of it two back but got back to good form last time as he lost a photo finish at this distance and level; has won nine races over this strip and looms as the one to beat.


#3 Drop Kick
Has been tough on the front end of his last two one-mile races and can battle for every stride of this one.


#1 Chase Runner
Will probably be bet off the board afer dropping from a poor race at a higher level; capable of running well on the front end.


Race Summary
Charlie the Greek likes winning and has taken three of his last seven; has been effective at a mile.

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Bobby Conn Jul 30 '20, 12:10 PM in 5h
PGA | Phil Mickelson vs Keegan Bradley
Play on: Keegan Bradley +105 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Keegan Bradley +105

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Steve Janus Jul 30 '20, 1:40 PM in 6h
PGA | Joaquin Niemann vs JT Poston
Play on: Joaquin Niemann -115 at Mirage

1* Free Sharp Play on Joaquin Niemann -115

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ASA Jul 30 '20, 6:10 PM in 11h
MLB | Cubs vs Reds
Play on: Cubs +114 at 1BetVegas

ASA FREE PLAY on Chicago Cubs Money Line (+) over Cincinnati Reds, Thursday at 6:10 PM ET

After getting trounced 12-7 last night by the Reds, the Cubs respond here. Cincinnati's Luis Castillo is a strong starter but there is a reason the early line move has been toward the Cubs in this one. First off, Castillo's first start this season came against Detroit. The Tigers are coming off a 47-114 season! Secondly, Chicago's Yu Darvish recorded 45 strikeouts in 31 and 1/ 3 innings against the Reds last season. Entering last night's game Cincinnati was just 1-4 on the season while the Cubs were 4-1. Last night's game doesn't completely change that early season trending of these two teams. Getting the Cubs at an underdog price here, while understood because Castillo is on the mound for the Reds, is a value spot worthy of consideration for investment. Look for Darvish to again pile up the strikeouts against Cincinnati and the road team pulls away late against a struggling Reds bullpen. ASA FREE PLAY: Bet Chicago Cubs as a small road dog on the money line Thursday.

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Ray Monohan Jul 30 '20, 9:00 PM in 14h
NBA | Clippers vs Lakers
Play on: OVER 215 -108

Clippers vs. Lakers OVER 215
NBA betting sees the Clippers (44-20, 35-29 ATS) taking on the Lakers (49-14, 35-27-1 ATS) on Thursday at the Walt Disney World Resort in Orlando Florida in the NBA Orlando restart opening night. It's been 4 long months but the NBA is finally back in action.
The Lakers entered the NBA break winning 11 of their last 13 games, so this is a team that hopefully will pick up where they left off and have some mojo on their side. They were averaging 114PPG before the COVID, and Clippers were averaging 116PPG. Nothing but offense folks!
The LA Clippers won the first two meetings between the clubs featuring an opening night match (112-102) and Christmas Day contest (111-106) while the Lakers won the last meeting (112-103) on March 6th less than a week prior to the season suspension.
Yes we know the Lakers could be without Brow Davis, but Kuzma will be available, and the Clippers could be without Lou Will, and Harrell, but I just don't see this being a low scoring game, both teams are going to come out runnin-n-gunnin, LeBron will do what he does and Kawhi Leonard and Paul George will likely have to carry the Clippers.
I'm projecting 220+ points in this prime-time matchup.
The OVER is the play!
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Thursday 5* NBA Free O/U Play

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Mike Wynn Free Pick: San Diego w/Lamet -175 over San Francisco

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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: CLEVELAND/MINNESOTA UNDER the total of 8½ runs

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Totals4U Thursday's Free Selection: New York Yankees/Baltimore Orioles under 10

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Roz Wins Roz's THURSDAY, July 30, 2020 Free Pick
MLB
951. Cubs +1.09 (3:10 pm PT / 6:10 pm ET)

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Atlantic Sports
Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: LA Dodgers - 150

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#1 Sports Thursday's Free Play: San Diego Padres - 160

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Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: the Toronto Blue Jays w/Ryu -130 over Washington

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Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play Thurday, July 30, 2020
MLB
Take: (962) Braves -1.35 (4:10 pm PT / 7:10 pm ET)

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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Thursday : KANSAS CITY/DETROIT OVER the total of 10 runs

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Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Thursday

Atlanta Fried -138

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Hawkeye Sports Thursday's Free Pick: Seattle Mariners + 175

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Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: SF Anderson +165

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Arthur Ralph

THURS Cubs w/ Darvish +110

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Teyas Sports FREE PICK 7/30 MLB TORONTO

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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Thursday: CINCINNATI (Castillo) -120 over Chicago Cubs

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High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Thursday: Los Angeles Dodgers - 150

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Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Thursday: Utah/New Orleans OVER 224½

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951CHICAGO CUBS -952 CINCINNATI
CHICAGO CUBS are 47-64 SU (-23.4 Units) on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

953WASHINGTON -954 TORONTO
WASHINGTON is 81-47 SU (32.8 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

959KANSAS CITY -960 DETROIT
DETROIT is 22-54 SU (-34.7 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.

961TAMPA BAY -962 ATLANTA
TAMPA BAY is 13-5 SU (9.4 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

963BOSTON -964 NY METS
BOSTON is 29-53 SU (-29.5 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons.

965CLEVELAND -966 MINNESOTA
CLEVELAND is 18-7 SU (11.6 Units) in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

967LA DODGERS -968 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 27-14 SU (15.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

969SEATTLE -970 LA ANGELS
SEATTLE is 6-15 SU (-10.5 Units) in road games in July games in the last 3 seasons.

971SAN DIEGO -972 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-29 SU (-24.4 Units) in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.

973NY YANKEES -974 BALTIMORE
NY YANKEES are 50-31 SU (22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, July 30

Washington @ Toronto

Game 953-954
July 30, 2020 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Fedde) 00.000
Toronto
(Ryu) 00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington

Dunkel Pick:
Washington
N/A

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati

Game 951-952
July 30, 2020 @ 6:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Darvish) 14.585
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 15.738
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-120); Under

NY Yankees @ Baltimore

Game 973-974
July 30, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Happ) 18.404
Baltimore
(Means) 15.144
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-210
10
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-210); Over

Kansas City @ Detroit

Game 959-960
July 30, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Singer) 14.080
Detroit
(Nova) 15.008
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-120
10
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+100); Under

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta

Game 961-962
July 30, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Yarbrough) 17.568
Atlanta
(Fried) 18.597
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-135
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-135); Under

Boston @ NY Mets

Game 963-964
July 30, 2020 @ 7:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Perez) 13.746
NY Mets
(Matz) 15.508
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-150
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-150); Under

Cleveland @ Minnesota

Game 965-966
July 30, 2020 @ 7:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Bieber) 17.715
Minnesota
(Berrios) 16.573
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-105); Over

LA Dodgers @ Arizona

Game 967-968
July 30, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Strpling) 16.772
Arizona
(Ray) 17.850
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-145
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+125); Under

Seattle @ LA Angels

Game 969-970
July 30, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Gonzales) 14.513
LA Angels
(Bundy) 15.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-195
9
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-195); Under

San Diego @ San Francisco

Game 971-972
July 30, 2020 @ 9:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Lamet) 14.884
San Francisco
(Gausman) 15.771
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-175
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+155); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, July 30

National League
Chicago @ Cincinnati
Cubs (4-2):
Darvish allowed three runs in four IP (73 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 3-2, 3.60 in eight starts vs Cincinnati, 1-1, 3.86 in four starts here.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Cubs won four of their first six games.
— Four of their last five games went over.

Reds (2-4):
Castillo allowed one run in six IP (91 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 4-2, 3.56 in 10 starts vs Chicago, 2-1, 3.24 in four starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Reds lost four of their first six games.
— Four of their last five games went over.

Los Angeles @ Arizona
Dodgers (4-2):
Stripling allowed one run in seven IP in his first ’20 start; he is 1-4, 3.86 in 23 games (8 starts) vs Arizona.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Dodgers won four of their first six games; they played 13 innings in Houston last night.

Diamondbacks (2-4):
Ray allowed three runs in 3.2 IP (97 PT) incise first ’20 start; he is 8-5, 3.15 in 20 starts vs LA, 1-2, 4.60 in five starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Arizona lost four of its first six games; this is their home opener.

San Diego @ San Francisco
Padres (4-2):
Lamet allowed one run in five IP (80 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 1-1, 3.09 in two starts vs SF.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Padres won four of their first six games, but blew a 6-2 lead last nite.
— Four of San Diego’s last five games stayed under the total.

Giants (3-3):
Bullpen game for the Giants.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Giants split their first six games.
— Under is 3-1 in last four Giant games.

American League
Bronx @ Baltimore
Bronx (3-1):
Happ is making his first ’20 start; he is 9-7, 3.60 in 24 starts vs Baltimore, 2-1, 6.85 in five starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: o-0

— Bronx won three of first four games.

Orioles (2-2):
Means missed his start last week with a sore arm; he is 1-2, 7.62 in five games (2 starts) vs Bronx.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Orioles split their first four games.

Cleveland @ Minnesota
Indians (4-2):
Bieber threw six shutout innings in his first’20 start; he is 3-0, 4.14 in 8 games (7 starts) vs Minnesota, 1-0, 4.71 in four games (3 starts) here.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Cleveland won four of its first six games (under 5-1)

Twins (4-1):
Berrios allowed five runs in four IP (78 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 5-2, 3.92 in 11 starts vs Cleveland, 2-0, 2.55 in four starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1Totals: under 1-0

— Minnesota won four of its first five games, scoring 36 runs.

Kansas City @ Detroit
Royals (2-4):
Singer allowed two runs in five IP (80 PT) in his MLB debut.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Royals lost four of their first six games (under 4-2).

Tigers (4-2):
Nova allowed three runs in five IP (73 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 3-2, 5.83 in eight starts vs KC.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Detroit won four of its first six games.
— Under is 3-1 in Detroit’s last four games.

Seattle @ Angels
Mariners (2-4):
Gonzales allowed four runs in 4.1 IP (73 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 5-1, 4.17 in 12 starts vs Anaheim, 2-1, 5.61 in four starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Mariners lost four of first six games; they haven’t had a starter finish five innings yet.
— Five of six Seattle games went over the total.

Angels (2-4):
Bundy allowed one run in 6.2 IP (90 PT) in his ’20 debut; he is 1-1, 2.70 in four games (2 starts) vs Seattle.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Angels lost four of their first six games.
— Over is 3-1 in last four Angel games.

Interleague
Toronto @ Washington
Game is in Washington, Blue Jays will bat last- this is their “home” game
Blue Jays (3-3):
Ryu allowed three runs in 4.2 IP (97 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 2-1, 1.35 in five starts vs Washington.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Toronto split its first six games, all on the road- their first game in Buffalo, their temporary home, is August 11.

Nationals (2-4):
Fedde allowed allowed two runs in four IP (68 PT) in his ’20 debut.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Nationals lost four of first six games, scoring five runs in the four losses.
— Washington’s last four games stayed under.

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Rays (4-2):
Yarbrough blanked Toronto for 5.1 innings (69 PT) in his ’20 debut.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Rays won four of their last five games, scoring 33 runs.

Braves (3-3):
Fried allowed two runs in five IP (67 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Braves split their first six games.
— Three of last four Atlanta games went over.

Boston @ Mets
Red Sox (2-4):
Perez allowed five runs in five IP (84 PT) in his first ’20 start. He is 1-0, 2.81 in three games (2 starts) against the Mets.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Boston lost four of its last five games, allowing 34 runs.

Mets (3-3):
Matz allowed one run in six IP (93 PT) in his first ’20 start. He’s never pitched against Boston.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Mets split their first six games; they’re 1-3 at home.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, July 30

Trend Report

Washington @ Toronto
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington

Chi Cubs @ Cincinnati
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs

NY Yankees @ Baltimore
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees

Cleveland @ Minnesota
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Boston @ NY Mets
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Mets's last 10 games
NY Mets is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

Kansas City @ Detroit
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games

LA Dodgers @ Arizona
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Seattle @ LA Angels
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games at home

San Diego @ San Francisco
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
San Diego is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB public betting, line movement, sharp money for July 30
Patrick Everson

Yu Darvish and the Cubs opened as +105 underdogs against the Cincinnati Reds on Thursday at PointsBet USA, although the favored Reds saw their line shift from -135 to -125.

MLB betting odds for Thursday’s games are posted and drawing early action. Among the noteworthy matchups is an NL Central clash between the Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds, and a game involving an NL West squad off to a good start in this shortened season.

PointsBet USA provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s contests. Covers will update this action report with MLB sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the day.

MLB line movement

The Reds, behind Luis Castillo, opened -135 at PointsBet USA, but the first move was toward the underdog Cubs and Yu Darvish. Cincinnati ticked to -125 early, with Chicago at +105 for a 6:10 p.m. ET start.

In an AL Central meeting, the Cleveland Indians opened -115 road chalk against the Minnesota Twins (-105), and the matchup moved to a -110 pick 'em late Wednesday night. And on the West Coast, the San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants wrap up a four-game series in San Francisco, though that line wasn’t posted by late Wednesday night. San Diego got out to a 4-1 start this season and was on its way to 5-1 Wednesday night before blowing a 6-3 eighth-inning lead to the Giants. First pitch tonight is at 9:45 p.m. ET.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

701UTAH -702 NEW ORLEANS
UTAH is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

703LA CLIPPERS -704 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, July 30

Utah @ New Orleans

Game 701-702
July 30, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
116.614
New Orleans
120.771
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 4
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 1
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-1); Under

LA Clippers @ LA Lakers

Game 703-704
July 30, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
128.091
LA Lakers
124.430
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 3 1/2
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
Even
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, July 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (41 - 23) vs. NEW ORLEANS (28 - 36) - 7/30/2020, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 93-70 ATS (+16.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 52-78 ATS (-33.8 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (44 - 20) vs. LA LAKERS (49 - 14) - 7/30/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 238-297 ATS (-88.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 30-20 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 82-68 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 7-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, July 30

Trend Report

New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Orleans's last 16 games at home
New Orleans is 7-15-3 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Utah
New Orleans is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing Utah
New Orleans is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Utah
New Orleans is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Orleans's last 13 games when playing at home against Utah
Utah Jazz
Utah is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Utah's last 14 games on the road
Utah is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games when playing New Orleans
Utah is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Utah's last 13 games when playing on the road against New Orleans

Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Lakers is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 8 games
LA Lakers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
LA Lakers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 8 games at home
LA Lakers is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Lakers is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
LA Lakers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
LA Clippers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 9 games
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games on the road
LA Clippers is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA Weekly Essentials
Tony Mejia

NBA Bubble Has Yet to Burst as Season Approaches

With most teams getting set to conclude scrimmage play, the NBA is preparing to resume a regular season that was put on pause the evening of March 11 when Utah center Rudy Gobert tested positive for the coronavirus. Although there have been a number of instances where players had to leave the league bubble at Disney's Wide World of Sports, no one tested positive in last week's round of testing.

Players who did contract COVID-19 like Russell Westbrook, Eric Bledsoe, Pat Connaughton and Harrison Barnes all stayed back to deal with their illnesses before reporting and quarantined upon return. Clippers sixth man Lou Williams got himself a 10-day quarantine since he couldn't resist stopping by Atlanta's Magic City for some chicken wings - not a euphemism - and got caught.

Pelicans rookie star Zion Williamson returned to the bubble in time to be ready for Thursday's season opener while Clippers Patrick Beverley and Montrezl Harrell, unlike Williams, are also likely to be available for the opener against the Lakers.

Indiana's Domantas Sabonis had to leave to deal with a bad case of plantar fasciitis in his foot that may ultimately end his season. Cursed Sacramento forward Marvin Bagley III was set to serve as his team's go-to guy but got his ankle stepped on in practice and won't be able lead the Kings' playoff push. Memphis' Justise Winslow injured a hip in practice and was shut down.

That's it as far as the negative goes. NBA basketball returned via scrimmages inside three arenas that the league has really done a nice job dressing up to give it a terrific feel despite the absence of fans. There have been some blowouts and instances of sloppy play, but for the most part, the best players in the world have brought fresh legs and their A-game to the bubble. Only a few guys reported out of shape. Game on! Here's what to watch in this opening week.

Thursday - 2 games

Jazz vs. Pelicans (-3, 220.5), 6:30 p.m. ET
Gobert and the Jazz are first up, which is definitely an interesting way to hit the unpause button. We were joined by the Athletic's Tony Jones on the "Bet and Collect" podcast to detail the relationship between Gobert and Donovan Mitchell, who also contracted the virus and was openly annoyed with his teammate. The pair has looked sharp in scrimmages, and this group really needs to get off to a strong start since five of their next six opponents are likely playoff-bound.

This spread opened as a pick'em but New Orleans quickly got money behind it as the betting favorite. With Williamson returning to the bubble in time to start and Derrick Favors around to try and neutralize Gobert and his former team, it's not surprising that the 10th-ranked team in the West would be favored over the team currently in fourth. Top shooter Bojan Bogdanovic wasn't able to join Utah after wrist surgery, so we'll see who steps up for this new-look Jazz squad.

If Mike Conley can't improve on what has been a disappointing first season, Utah could take a significant step backwards. Conley struggled against the Heat last week and will likely have his hands full with Jrue Holiday.

Clippers vs. Lakers (-4/216.5), 9 p.m. ET
Harrell and Beverley are expected to play for L.A. The same goes for center Ivica Zubac and shooter Landry Shamet, who both were late in arriving to the NBA campus. With limited practice time and Williams sidelined, there's no question that the Clippers likely won't be as sharp as they'll be in a few weeks when the playoffs begin.

Anthony Davis got poked in the eye over the weekend but will be in the mix. In case you've missed highlights, LeBron James arrived in Orlando in phenomenal shape. He's running the floor with great power and outside of the new patches of gray in his beard, doesn't look like someone with 17 years of pro mileage under his belt. The Lakers have also seen Kyle Kuzma shoot the ball exceptionally well. If he's able to be a more efficient force off the bench, L.A. may step it up a level.

Rajon Rondo and Avery Bradley are out, but Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been an asset in a starting lineup in which James is essentially the point guard. Alex Caruso, J.R. Smith, Quinn Cook and Dion Waiters are competing for minutes off the bench.

Friday - 6 games

Magic vs. Nets, 2:30 p.m. ET
Brooklyn got squashed by 31 points in its first scrimmage but bounced back and beat the Spurs next time out. Jonathan Isaac is set to play for the first time in months and should be part of the equation for Orlando, increasing its chances of ultimately finishing as the No. 7 seed. There's no line on this one as of Monday but it could approach double-digits. A Magic win allows them to leapfrog the Nets in the Eastern Conference standings.

Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers (-2, 222.5), 4 p.m. ET
Jaren Jackson, Jr. is back for Memphis to team with Ja Morant, while center Jonas Valanciunas reported in excellent shape. Portland will be looking to send a message that it is coming for that final West playoff spot and has seen center Jusuf Nurkic excel in his return from a broken leg. Damian Lillard has been dealing with foot inflammation but is expected to be ready when the lights come on, setting up a great matchup out of the gate against Morant.

Suns (-7, 225.5) vs. Wizards, 4 p.m. ET
Kelly Oubre Jr. hasn't suited up yet due to his knee injury but may ultimately play. In his absence, second-year forward Mikal Bridges has really stepped up as a glue guy alongside Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton. Ricky Rubio has also recovered from a bout with COVID-19 and should start, which spells trouble for the lowest-rated team in the bubble. The Wizards have lost to the Nuggets and Clippers in scrimmages but haven't been embarrassed.

Celtics vs. Bucks (-4.5, 217.5), 6:30 p.m. ET
All eyes will be on this first meeting between the Eastern Conference's favorite and one of the teams most likely to dethrone them. Kemba Walker's knee soreness from February turned into a pain on the side so he will likely be on a minutes restriction. Bledsoe has returned to practice and will get one scrimmage under his belt following his bout with COVID-19. Be on the lookout for props on Giannis Antetokounmpo vs. Jayson Tatum.

Kings (-2.5, 216) vs. Spurs, 8 p.m. ET
Sacramento point guard De'Aaron Fox has returned from an ankle sprain but didn't look like himself. Sacramento had a COVID-19 outbreak throughout its group so the team is definitely behind where it hoped to be. Barnes just arrived at the campus and could see minutes immediately. Kent Bazemore has been the Kings' most effective player. DeMar DeRozan shot 2-for-8 in that bad loss to the Nets and needs to be San Antonio's leader on the floor to overcome LaMarcus Aldridge's absence.

Rockets (-1, 225.5) vs. Mavericks, 9 p.m. ET
Westbrook is back in action and James Harden looks like a more effectively version of himself now that he's in prime shape, so we're going to see if these Rockets can ride fresh legs to championship contention right out of the gate. Dallas has depth issues but Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis will be a handful for everyone and shooters Tim Hardaway Jr. and Seth Curry will get plenty of open looks. 7-foot-4 center Boban Marjanovic went for 17 points and 13 boards in a win over the Lakers in scrimmage play and could be the x-factor.

Saturday - 5 games

Heat vs. Nuggets (-2, 222.5), 1 p.m. ET
Two teams who hope to stun the world with a run to the Finals square off in a game where I believe the wrong team is favored.

Jazz vs. Thunder, 3:30 p.m. ET
OKC has defeated the Celtics and 76ers despite Chris Paul shooting 3-for-11. They have defensive standout Andre Roberson back after years trying to get healthy again.

Pelicans vs. Clippers, 6:30 p.m. ET
New Orleans' playoff push will certainly benefit from Williams' absence and L.A. being behind schedule due to its roster being in flux. The Clips should still be favored but it won't be by much.

76ers (-4, 210) vs. Pacers, 7 p.m. ET
Expect this number to rise as tip-off approaches if Sabonis is indeed ruled out. It looks like Victor Oladipo will ultimately participate for Indiana, which makes it more formidable. Philadelphia has seen Ben Simmons arrive with a more aggressive frame of mind, which includes firing up shots from the perimeter to keep defenses honest. We'll see if that continues in games that count.

Lakers vs. Raptors, 8:30 p.m. ET
That Toronto will see its old nemesis LeBron as it begins its title defense seems fitting. A slimmer Marc Gasol looks formidable and emerging star Pascal Siakam will have his sights set on proving himself against James, but the Raptors' chances of winning this one may hinge on whether Fred VanVleet can return after limping off with a banged-up knee over the weekend.

Sunday - 6 games

Wizards vs. Nets, 2 p.m. ET
The two most unwatchable teams in the bubble scrap.

Trail Blazers vs. Celtics, 3:30 p.m. ET
If Portland can pull off this upset, the Pelicans will have their hands full leaping into the No. 9 seed and play-in action for the West's final playoff spot.

Spurs vs. Grizzlies, 4 p.m. ET
Given its tough schedule, this is a must-win for Memphis if it is going to hang on to the No. 8 seed.

Kings vs. Magic, 6 p.m. ET
Orlando should have Markelle Fultz in place, which sets up an intriguing matchup against Sacramento's Fox.

Bucks vs. Rockets, 8:30 p.m. ET
Hopefully this Sunday night special lives up to its potential. Milwaukee won the first meeting in Houston 117-111 in its season opener a lifetime ago on Oct. 24.

Mavericks vs. Suns, 9 p.m. ET
Phoenix is interested in doing more than playing spoiler in Orlando and will need an early upset like this one after presumably handling the Wizards to inspire confidence within their young group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

How to Bet the NBA Reseeding Games
Matt Blunt

Handicapping the Bubble
Reseeding Games

NBA games will be here before you know it, and with the eight-game sprint to the finish of the “regular” season, the scheduling angles are always interesting to look at. I'm not talking about the strength of schedule discussions either as those can go on for awhile with some teams.

But the fact that every game but one, for every team, is on a single's day rest, we can at least take a look at how these teams did in that specific scenario. Granted, the season that produced these numbers feels like a lifetime ago, but the rosters haven't really changed and their may be some edges to be had.

This whole bubble ordeal will pull out some interesting numbers that could be potentially used as the best baseline ones for future seasons that resemble past ones (with fans, travel etc) because this is about as perfect of a controlled variable state you'll get for a sports league. It's the same thing for every team across the board (no travel, same accommodations, no fans) and some of the league average numbers this eight-game sprint produces will be interesting to ******.

But with seven of the eight games for everybody being in a spot that's got some decent data from the year, and the lone outlier being a unique scenario too with it always being a back-to-back, there are plenty of talking points for the best and worst of the bunch in those spots this year, and if you're a fan of the defending champs, wagering on your favorite team shouldn't be that hard to do.

NBA SU & ATS Results
One Day of Rest

https://www.bettorschat.com/forums/attachment.php?attachmentid=9991&d=1595865326

The Best of the Best

Toronto 25-13 (65.8%)
Oklahoma City 25-16 (61%)
Indiana 26-17-3 (60.5%)
Boston 24-16-2 (60%)
L.A. Clippers 23-16 (59%)

Canadian Cash?

The Toronto Raptors being the best team against the spread (ATS) with one day off will be tested in this bubble, as they are a team that got dealt one of the tougher hands from a strength of schedule perspective.

However, it could present some decent numbers on a team that understands how to be at their best in this situation. Toronto is already lined at +4 for their opener vs the Lakers – although that's not technically a game with a lone day off before, and will be catching points against a few other teams as well. The Raptors were 2nd in straight up (SU) winning percentage in this spot when compared to the rest of the field, as a 30-8 SU record in those contests (79%) trailed only Milwaukee's 35-8 SU mark.

Taking it a step further, Toronto's also got the 4th best 'over' percentage of the remaining teams in games after a single's day rest at 60.5% (23-15 O/U). I'm not sure if playing the Raptors ATS and Raptors games 'over' the number as standing wagers for these six games is the best way to go about it, but I'm sure there are plenty of Raptors fans who will have no problem going that route. There's at least some quality numbers in support of that method if that's the case.

Looking at the rest of the teams on the list above, it is interesting to see five teams total at 59% or better. Boston and Toronto only play each other of the teams listed, so that's six games where each will have the ATS edge historically in these games with one day in-between. The L.A. Clippers will only see Oklahoma City, and vice versa – it's also the last game for both – while Indiana has no crossovers and will always have a case to be made for taking them with their 60.5% success rate ATS.

Other Notes for 1 day off games

If bettors are looking for another team to hone in on and potentially double up their wagers on both side and total in the restart, San Antonio games would be a good place to start. The Spurs tied with New Orleans for the lowest outright winning percentage off a day off at 34.2%, were the worst against the number at 16-24-1 ATS, and finished 3rd in 'over' percentage at 63.4% (26-15 O/U).

Looking at going 'over' the number in Spurs games and backing San Antonio's opponent would historically be the way to go there, and with San Antonio's chances of hanging around for longer than eight games already slim, this could be an angle that pays off quite well.

The Lakers are a team that will get more coverage in the back-to-back spot, but they were the best 'under' team of the bunch during the regular season (56.4%). Even the Houston Rockets, a team most wouldn't typically associate with 'unders' clocked in 4th in that regard at 19-22 O/U (53.7%), as they had put up quite the stat line.

Houston was 28-13 SU with a day off, but 19-22 ATS and 19-22 O/U in those 41 games. So if you are ever looking to fade a team that might not cover a favorite spread that feels a little high, Houston's likely a good candidate.

Over-Under Results
One Day of Rest

https://www.bettorschat.com/forums/attachment.php?attachmentid=9992&d=1595865403

Back-to-Back Spots

All 22 NBA teams in the Orlando bubble will play one game on zero days rest during their eight-game slate in the reseeding matchups.

NBA ATS Records
Zero Days Off (2019-20)

L.A. Lakers 7-1
Oklahoma City 8-2
Washington 7-2-1
New Orleans 7-2-1
Sacramento 7-2-1
Memphis 7-3
Milwaukee 7-3

Obviously these are going to be a much smaller sample size and numbers will look a bit better, but with how the schedule works, these are literally games you can mark off right now as potential leans. The Los Angeles Lakers were a perfect 8-0 SU for instance, and their 2nd opponent in as many nights is Houston on August 6th.

The Rockets were that team I mentioned that won SU way more often than they covered ATS in those single day off spots, and here they face one of the best teams in the league in general, in their best role on the season. Interesting to see what number gets posted there for sure.

Seeing a team like Washington make that list is also interesting in the sense that who knows how interested the Wizards are in giving their all considering their long shot odds to hang around, and they do face Indiana on August 3rd in their back-to-back spot. The Pacers were a team who made that earlier list so it's strength on strength historically, but the 'over' may actually be the way to go for that game. Indiana was 26-20 O/U in their specific role, while Washington put up a 6-3 O/U record in their role.

Going through all the rest of the schedules can be fun as well, but how big the number Milwaukee lays in their back-to-back will be interesting. The Bucks have Washington to deal with in this spot, so you already know a first vs worst battle brings a lofty spread. The Bucks 7-3 ATS record is probably worth a at least a bit of shade, and whether or not the Wizards have already packed it in on August 11th has to be considered as well.

But Milwaukee's opponent the day prior just happens to be the Toronto Raptors, and the seeds of that budding rivalry have already been planted. Remember, Milwaukee may have things already wrapped up by then too, so make sure to consider all the context you can when that line rolls out to the board.

Other Notes for Back-to-Backs

Philadelphia wasn't among the best ATS records at 5-3-2, but they were 8-2 SU in those games during the year, and went 7-2-1 O/U in those spots as well. The Sixers get to face Toronto in their second game in as many nights, and I've already noted that the Raptors were one of the better 'over' teams with a day off too.

Toronto and Philly went 0-2-1 O/U in their three regular season meetings, but this unique set-up for their fourth might be the best opportunity to flip the script on those totals yet. Philly's 77% over clip made them the best 'over' bet of the remaining teams in the latter half of a back-to-back, while their Atlantic Division rival Brooklyn was the worst with a 2-7 O/U record in those spots. The Nets play Boston the night after facing Milwaukee when they are up here, so keep that Nets/Celtics 'under' on the tip of your tongue as well.

Finally, this is not meant to look like I'm picking on the Houston Rockets, but at 3-6 SU and ATS in their back-to-back's during the year, they've found themselves in a losing role for their outlier game as well. Those numbers from this season would suggest looking to fade Houston as a general place to start could likely turn out profitable, and they'll have do deal with Indiana in their time on this clock, and we already know market results prefer the Pacers in their 1-day off role as it is.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA public betting, line movement, sharp money for July 30
Patrick Everson

NBA betting odds are finally back on the board, and Thursday night’s two-game tipoff is seeing early action. The Utah Jazz and New Orleans Pelicans are the appetizer at the NBA Bubble in Orlando, with the Battle of Los Angeles, the Clippers and Lakers as the main course.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s matchups. Covers will update this action report with NBA sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the week.

NBA line movement

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: CG Technology books in Las Vegas opened the Pelicans -2 against the Jazz and moved to -2.5. The Lakers opened -1.5 against the Clippers, and LeBron James and Co. got bet up to -4.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET TUESDAY: With concerns about Anthony Davis' eye injury, PointsBet USA took the Clippers-Lakers game off the board for the moment. Reports indicated Davis might sit out the Lakers' Thursday night opener. "We're waiting for clarity," PointsBet USA's Patrick Eichner said.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Lakers star Anthony Davis, who got poked in the eye during a Saturday scrimmage, didn't practice Tuesday, and there's a chance he might have to sit out the Thursday night opener against the Clippers. John Murray, executive director of The SuperBook at Westgate, said that information prompted his shop to adjust the line a tick. The Lakers tipped from -4.5 to -4.

---

The Jazz opened -2.5 at Caesars for Thursday’s 6:30 p.m. ET matchup. However, the game is currently off the board due to the unknown status of Zion Williamson. The rookie standout had to leave the NBA Bubble for a family medical issue, and he returned Friday night, starting a four-day quarantine period.

In the 9 p.m. ET nightcap, Caesars opened the Clippers-Lakers at pick, but LeBron James and Co. are now up to -4.5.

It wasn’t just the two Thursday contests getting speedy sharp money, but every reopening matchup from Thursday through Saturday. And all in one market, according to Caesars sportsbooks director of trading Jeff Davis.

“Sharp money came in on the Under on every single first game,” Davis said of action on totals at Caesars books.

The Clippers-Lakers total went from 220 to 216.5, and Jazz-Pelicans went from 222.5 to 220.5 before that game came off the board. Davis said sharp money also landed on Lakers +1 earlier this month.

NBA public betting

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Said CG Tech director of bookmaking operations Tony DiTommaso: "They laid 2 and 2.5 with the Pelicans. We're still at 2.5, but we'll probably go to 3. They're also betting the over." The Jazz-Pelicans total shifted from 221 to 222.5. And in the Clippers-Lakers game, bettors took 1.5 with the Clippers early. "They should've waited," DiTommaso said, noting the public has since bet the Lakers up to -4.

UPDATE 7 P.M. ET TUESDAY: William Hill US currently has Jazz-Pelicans off the board, wanting to make certain of New Orleans rookie Zion Williamson's status. But director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said his shop has a rooting interest. "We're definitely high on the Pelicans. We need the Jazz. The Pelicans are a popular team right now." As for the Clippers-Lakers nightcap, in which LeBron and Co. are laying 4 points, Bogdanovich said straight bets are running even, but the Lakers are drawing more parlay dollars.

---

The bulk of line movement in the Clippers-Lakers clash has come in the last five days at Caesars books, and it’s been one-sided as the Lakers moved from -1 Wednesday to -4.5 by Sunday.

“The public is on the Lakers,” Davis said.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA

Thursday, July 30

Trend Report

Seattle @ Washington
Seattle
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Washington
Washington is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games

Chicago @ Minnesota
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Chicago's last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 10 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Chicago

Connecticut @ Los Angeles
Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Los Angeles is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Emerald Downs



Emerald Downs - Race 3

$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta $.10 Superfecta / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)



Claiming $3,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 80 • Purse: $6,800 • Post: 5:57P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE APRIL 1, 2020 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $3,200 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY AND ALLOWANCES).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * DREAMCATCHER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. LAST ONE ST ANDING: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. JACKSON TELLER: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MR BINGLEY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's thi rd or fourth start after a layoff. ATTERCOP: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days.



4

DREAMCATCHER

5/2


5/1




5

LAST ONE STANDING

2/1


5/1




2

JACKSON TELLER

15/1


8/1




6

MR BINGLEY

9/2


9/1




3

ATTERCOP

4/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




5

LAST ONE STANDING

5


2/1

Front-runner

82


78


81.6


73.0


69.0




1

LIL' CHIEFTAIN

1


8/1

Front-runner

82


72


58.8


66.2


58.7




6

MR BINGLEY

6


9/2

Stalker

79


78


55.4


72.2


65.2




2

JACKSON TELLER

2


15/1

Alternator/Stalker

91


92


25.5


72.2


63.7




7

SOLAR HEAT

7


10/1

Alternator/Stalker

76


71


8.0


62.6


50.1




3

ATTERCOP

3


4/1

Trailer

78


86


40.0


61.4


48.9




4

DREAMCATCHER

4


5/2

Alternator/Trailer

86


72


65.8


83.8


80.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Canterbury Park



Canterbury Park - Race 5

Win, Place &Show / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Daily Double / $.50 Rolling Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) 10% Takeout Pick 5 (Races 5-9)



Optional Claiming $12,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $25,000 • Post: 6:40P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, TRIAL OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE JUNE 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. MINNESOTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * VIVA FOREVER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has r un a Good Race within the last 30 days. KEENA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SANDY SANGRIA: Today is a route and this is the horse's third sta rt after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. FLATOUTCOUNTRY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).



6

VIVA FOREVER

5/1


5/1




5

KEENA

2/1


5/1




2

SANDY SANGRIA

3/1


7/1




7

FLATOUTCOUNTRY

10/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




7

FLATOUTCOUNTRY

7


10/1

Front-runner

81


70


71.6


66.0


57.5




2

SANDY SANGRIA

2


3/1

Front-runner

82


77


69.6


69.6


63.1




5

KEENA

5


2/1

Stalker

76


78


69.7


82.6


77.1




6

VIVA FOREVER

6


5/1

Alternator/Stalker

90


76


60.4


69.6


64.1




4

FAIRLY HONEST

4


6/1

Trailer

69


67


67.2


67.2


56.7




3

SHE MIGHT TELL

3


9/2

Trailer

85


73


44.2


72.0


67.0




1

CITY GONE COUNTRY

1


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

62


45


53.4


41.2


27.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 90

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, IF FOR $16,000, ALLOWED 3 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 MIA BELLA ROSSA 7/2




# 3 NOT LEAVING 6/1




# 5 DREAMING DIAMONDS 8/1




MIA BELLA ROSSA looks respectable to best this field. This one has been consistently running well recently. Is worth a look and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (79 average) at today's distance and surface recently. Must be given a shot - I like the numbers from the last outing. NOT LEAVING - Taylor has one of the most competitive winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Laurel - Race #2 - Post: 1:10pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 91

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 CROUCHELLI (ML=5/2)


CROUCHELLI - Taking a class drop in Equibase class figure points from his Jul 4th race at Laurel. Based on that knowledge, I will give this horse the edge. This gelding should be in tip-top shape, this far into his form cycle. The 86 recent race speed rating looks mighty good in black and white.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 WILLMAKEYOUHAPPY (ML=2/1), #6 I'MTHETAPITNOW (ML=3/1), #5 FORFIFTYFIVEROCKET (ML=5/1),

WILLMAKEYOUHAPPY - 2/1 is not enough of a value to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back outings. Don't think this less than sharp equine will do much running today. That last speed figure was quite unimpressive when compared with today's Equibase class figure. I'MTHETAPITNOW - Doubtful for this thoroughbred to do much running with no success lately in a sprint race. FORFIFTYFIVEROCKET - This pony ran a somewhat easily forgotten speed rating in the last race. He shouldn't improve and will likely lose in today's race running that figure.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - CROUCHELLI - Consider this. Finished fifth on a track listed as good last time out. With better footing today, I'd expect a 25 percent improvement in ability.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#4 CROUCHELLI is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Pass



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $19500 Class Rating: 73

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 GEM OF CARLOS 5/1




# 3 REACH THE CIRCLE 5/2




# 2 SIR POKERFACE 5/1




My selection in this competition is GEM OF CARLOS. Has run soundly when running a dirt sprint race. Has respectable Equibase speed figs and has to be considered for a wager for this event. REACH THE CIRCLE - He has been running soundly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the top in this field. Conditioner has solid win rate (21 percent) at this distance and surface. SIR POKERFACE - He has competitive class ratings, averaging 77, and has to be given a shot in this event. Recorded a quite good Equibase speed fig last time out.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



07/30/20, GP, Race 1, 12.00 ET
07/30/20,GP,1,6F [Dirt] 1:08:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $17,000 (includes up to $2,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.0000
10
Harts N Flowers
5-1
Maragh R
Maragh Ricko
T
32.33
1.13/$1


097.7300
1
Commanding Lady
3-1
Torres C A
Delgado Gustavo


30.16
1.06/$1


097.5531
6
More Diamonds
9/2
Zayas E J
Abreu Fernando
JFL
32.33
1.13/$1


097.4113
11
Auburn
8-1
Meneses M
Gonzalez Oscar M.


30.16
1.06/$1


096.2768
7
Nenita
6-1
Burgos A
Sano Antonio


32.33
1.13/$1


096.1305
9
Nationalist
20-1
Fuentes M
Fuentes Mauricio
W
32.33
1.13/$1


095.7286
4
Hechizada
20-1
Rios J M
Sano Antonio
S
32.33
1.13/$1


095.6520
2
Irish Thunder
4-1
Camacho S
Fawkes David
EC
35.94
1.03/$1


095.5199
3
Merengue(b+)
20-1
Allen. Jr. R D
Arboritanza Joseph


32.33
1.13/$1


092.8483
12
Businessindubai
20-1
Reyes L R
Harris Nancy S.


29.08
1.23/$1


089.7722
5
Wicket Hope
30-1
Gonzalez S
Negrete Javier


36.11
1.25/$1


089.2112
8
Say Bye Bye
30-1
Rodriguez A A
Arias Juan D.


32.33
1.13/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 26.51, ROI 0.93/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Thistledown - Race #2 - Post: 1:20pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,700 Class Rating: 88

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 DAPPER JACK (ML=9/2)
#5 ON FIRE (ML=3/1)
#1 PIOCHE GOLD (ML=5/2)


DAPPER JACK - I really like that last outing on July 20th at Thistledown where he ran third. Closed a ton of ground in that last race at 6 furlongs. Wouldn't be astonished to see him win today. ON FIRE - Rivera rode this horse for the first time last time around the track and comes right back in today's contest. The ROI when Rivera and Wolochuk partner up is good. Look at this gelding's PP lines. With each affair he keeps getting closer. PIOCHE GOLD - I'm optimistic this gelding will run well today. Last prep was 2nd fastest of the day, which tells me he's sharp right now. This jockey/conditioner duo has been producing a very lucrative ROI, right at +87.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 YOUNG AMERICAN (ML=7/2), #3 RED CHILL (ML=6/1), #4 TACTICAL QUALITY (ML=8/1),

YOUNG AMERICAN - Looked like he was in good form on Jul 6th. Hasn't been near the track since then though. Not a positive sign. You always think this horse has a shot to win, but he falls short regularly. RED CHILL - If he hasn't found the winning attitude by now, it will be tough for him to get it today. TACTICAL QUALITY - The speed figure in the last race doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this horse as a questionable contender.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #2 DAPPER JACK to win if you can get at least 4/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,5]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,2,5] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[1,2,5] with [1,2,5] with [1,2,3,5,6] with [1,2,3,5,6] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga



07/30/20, SAR, Race 4, 2.54 ET
07/30/20,SAR,4,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $43,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2020 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.0000
3
Charlotte Webley
3-1
Ortiz. Jr. I
Englehart Jeremiah C.
JWL
37.78
1.91/$1


096.3086
2
Our Lady of Loreto
2-1
Santana. Jr. R
Rodriguez Rudy R.
TE
37.88
1.46/$1


096.2473
5
Rousey
7/2
Cancel E
Barker Edward R.


40.54
2.11/$1


096.1292
8
Becky's Mission
10-1
Gutierrez R
Englehart Chris J.


30.26
1.48/$1


095.7736
4
Kefaliani
8-1
Luzzi M J
Baker Charlton
F
40.54
2.11/$1


095.3382
7
Enough Love
4-1
Saez L
Falcone. Jr. Robert N.
C
30.26
1.48/$1


091.1399
1
Ja's Malibu
20-1
Hernandez B
Williams Andrew O.


40.54
2.11/$1


087.2856
6
Bella Invasion
50-1
Cardenas L
Persaud Randi


40.54
2.11/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.27, ROI 0.78/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAMEDAY NETWORK

FREE MLB WINNER 7/30/20
Indians @ Twins
Time: 7:07 PM EST
Free Pick: OVER 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAILY FREE PICK FROM VEGASSI
THURSDAY 7/30/2020
FREE MLB PICKS
Red Sox @ Mets
TIME: 7:15 PM EST
PICK: OVER 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Brayman

My free winner for Thursday is in the final game of the series between the Seattle Mariners and Angels, in Anaheim.

I love the road underdog in this one, and I'm going to list the scheduled starters. If your book allows you to do so, please list both Marco Gonzales and Dylan Bundy.

We're getting pure value here because Gonzales opened his season by getting beat by the Houston Astros, who thmacked him for four runs in 4.1 innings, on five hits and a walk. Thing is, I know what this kid is capable of, and I see the southpaw aiming to avenge last week with a dominating performance against a team he's done well against.

Gonzales steps to the mound with a 5-1 mark and 4.17 ERA in 12 career starts against the Halos, including a dominating 3-0 showing and 3.12 ERA in six starts in Anaheim. He should have plenty of confidence for this division battle.

I know Bundy looked exceptional in his season debut, allowing just one run in 6.2 innings with seven strikeouts at Oakland, but the Mariners just threw a 10-spot on the Halos last night. Seattle went into last night's late game ranked fourth in the league with a .256 batting average and tied for 10th with 28 runs.

This number is too big when you dig deeper into the analytics, so I'm going to take the road pup here.

5* MARINERS (Gonzales over Bundy)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

Thursday comp is to lay the juice on the Run Line with the Yankees as they once again make the Orioles their red-headed step child.

Last night New York breezed to a 9-3 win in the first meeting of the year against their division-rivals and for those of you that are counting that puts the Yanks at 17 wins in a row over the O's since last season!

17 wins in a row!

7 of the last 8 victories and 8 of the past 10 series wins have come by 2 runs or more.

The Yankees have also made Camden Yards their "home" as their 16 straight wins in Charm City is 2 games shy of the major league record set by Boston over New York all that way back from 2011 to 2013.

I really don't care who is pitching for either team, all I know is the Yankees simply own the Orioles and I expect them to own them again tonight.

Big chalk price for a Run Line play, but this is as close to a "sure thing" as it gets.

5* N.Y. YANKEES -1 1/2 RUNS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick
FREE play for Thursday, July 30, 2020
7/30 04:15 PM MLB (966) MINNESOTA TWINS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

Let the eight-game NBA sprint begin.

The Los Angeles Lakers and Los Angeles Clippers begin the end of the regular season, and my free play for Thursday is on the purple and gold. The Lakers and Clippers figure to be the top two threats in the Western Conference when the playoffs begin, but right now I have to believe LeBron James and company have the edge and are the better team.

I'm not too concerned about Anthony Davis' absence, as I think we're going to see James take over in the return to action. Especially since Zion Williamson and the New Orleans Pelicans will be on display first tonight. No way the self-proclaimed King is going to be upstaged on opening night.

The Clippers may or may not be without stripper-wing Lou Williams, who has been quarantined after photographs of him surfaced from an Atlanta strip club during an excused absence. He said he went for food. Regardless, I'm not sure what he was thinking with more important things on the line.

The Clippers have been without key personnel since the bubble began, and I'm just not sold on the chemistry for the re-start of the season.

I'm more convinced about my James theory, and just see him having a big game. I'll be honest, I'm going to need a larger sample size before I give out premium NBA plays, so for now it's complimentary on me.

Let's start with the Lakers.

1* LAKERS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

MLB (Thur) Cubs
MLB (Thur) Indians
NBA (Thur) Jazz +2.5
NBA (Thur) Lakers -4-

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Wagering Strategies - 7/30/20 July 30, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Saratoga
Thursday, July 30, 2020
*

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.


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RACE 1: Post 1:10 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Punk Rock Princess; 4-Sugar Fix; 5-New Day Dawning

Forecast: Sugar Fix is the likely choice and the obvious one to beat as she seeks her sixth win of the year in this $40,000 claiming inner turf middle distance affair restricted to 3-year-old fillies. With a good stalking style and speed figures that are solid and consistent, she’s hard to fault based strictly one form. Punk Rock Princess, exiting a series of sprints, lands the rail and should be forwardly placed and have her chance. Her only prior outing on grass was quite good – she was a closing runner-up in an allowance race last year at Laurel Park – and in her present form the daughter of Bourbon Courage looks usable at 6-1 on the morning line. New Day Dawning drops below her claim level and may inherit the lead if she’s allowed to roll along from the start. A nice recent main track breeze should have her on edge. We’ll include all three in our rolling exotics with preference on top to Sugar Fix.
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RACE 2: Post 1:44 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 1-Unrelenting Force; 6-Majestic View; 9-Senrima;

Forecast: This New York-bred maiden $40,000 claiming dash has three main contenders. Unrelenting Force returns to his claim level, shortens to an elongated sprint and a shows a good recent series of workouts after hitting the board in each of his last three starts, most recently with a career top speed figure. If he can negotiate a decent trip from the rail, the R. Handal-trained son of Carpe Diem should be capable of breaking his maiden in this, his seventh career start. Majestic View surfaces in a seller for the first time after flashing good early speed but fading in the lane in both previous outings, one in the mud and the other on grass. With the switch to J. Rosario and at 8-1 on the morning line, the J. Kimmel-trained colt certainly has a right to improve considerably against this group. Senrima, another dropping out of straight maiden company for the first time, adds blinkers, switches to I. Ortiz, Jr., and while slow early in both career outings has shown the ability to close a bit in the lane. Given the connections, you have to consider him.
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RACE 3: Post 2:20 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 2-Foxtail; 7-Rosebud’s Hope

Forecast: This race has the potential to be chaotic, so tread lightly. We’ll try to get by using just two in our rolling exotics but not with any degree of confidence. Churchill Downs shipper Foxtail is a first-off-the-claim for D. Gargan, who has had a slow meeting so far but still boasts fancy first-off-the-claim stats (48% with a massive flat-bet profit with this angle). This drop from $40,000 to $25,000 for new connections normally would be considered a negative, but not necessarily from this stable. With I. Ortiz, Jr. taking the call, she has the look of a live item. Rosebud’s Hope drops to her lowest level ever in this $25,000 claiming middle distance turf affair for fillies and mares and if she can gain her coveted front-running trip she’s likely to take this field a very long way. There’s a bit of speed drawn inside of her, so if she’s forced to accept a stalker’s trip her chances will diminish. On the plus side, she’s a perfect one-for-one over the Saratoga lawn, and after a bit of freshening and van ride up from Monmouth Park the M. Stidham-trained mare should be competitive.
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RACE 4: Post 2:54 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Lour Lady of Loreto; 5-Rousey

Forecast: Our Lady of Loreto, second off a layoff for Rudy (a powerful 26% with this angle), blew a six length lead in her comeback last month in a $32,000 claimer and wound up second, but has a history of running better with a race behind her so we suspect she’ll step forward today with this one-level drop in class. She should be the quickest of the quick. Rousey earned a career top speed figure earlier this month against a stronger (nw-2) $40,000 field and drops to a proper spot today in this restricted (nw-2) $25,000 sprint for fillies and mares. That race was grass, but her dirt form is fairly decent, so we’re not too concerned about her return to the main track, and she certainly looks the most dangerous of the closing types. Yes, she’s picking up a lot of weight today but the possibility of a favorable race-shape could prove to be the deciding factor.
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RACE 5: Post 3:28 ET. Grade: B
Use: 5-Rinaldi; 8-Graded On a Curve

Forecast: Graded On a Curve came off the bench to register a sharp first-level state-bred allowance score last month in his first outing since October and appears capable of repeating on the raise after being kept on edge with a strong, healthy work pattern in the interim for C. Brown. He’s a deep closing type and as such would appreciate a bit of help up front, but while the projected pace flow of this race looks moderate at best the Noble Mission gelding just won when rallying against the grain and can do it again. Rinaldi, lightly-raced with some upside and a solid fit on speed figures, finished a solid runner-up in his recent comeback and is from a stable that does well with the second-off-the layoff angle. The Posse gelding can be tough on the lead or from a stalking position, so if no real pace materializes regular pilot L. Saez should be able to locate an ideal spot. We’ll prefer Graded On a Curve on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 6: Post 4:04 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 5-More Mango; 7-Checksandbalances; 11-Kitten’s Romance

Forecast: Here’s a competitive maiden claiming $40,000 middle distance turf event for fillies and mares. More Mango, first off the claim for M. Maker after finishing third at this level last month at Belmont Park, adds blinkers for her third career start and can be expected to produce a significant forward move in a race in which the pace projects to be moderate at best. The daughter of More Than Ready sports a healthy work tab since changing barns, is drawn comfortably toward the inside and should find herself on or near the lead throughout with the switch to the barn’s “go to” rider J. Ortiz. Checksandbalances was disappointing when fifth in her debut vs. maiden $75,000 foes last month but I. Ortiz. Jr. stays aboard for a barn hits at a remarkable 35% with second-timers. Based on pure numbers the Irish-bred filly is a major player for C. Brown. Kitten’s Romance is drawn farther out than we’d prefer but after finishing third in her debut in a productive heat last month at Churchill Downs the W. Ward-trained filly seems likely to improve and be a factor from off the pace.
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RACE 7: Post 4:40 ET. Grade: X
Use: 5-My Man Flintstone; 8-Mister Bobby
Forecast: My Man Flintstone earned a career top number when a respectable second as the favorite (while more than 10 lengths clear of the rest) in a restricted (nw-2) $50,000 claiming sprint at Keeneland last month and today is protected in starter’s allowance company in a sign of confidence by trainer K. McPeek. The son of Into Mischief has enough speed to be on or near the lead throughout and with only a slight bit of improvement should be tough to run down. Mister Bobby, from his cozy outside draw, should inherit a good pace-stalking position and have dead aim on ‘Flintstone throughout. In his second off a layoff for the Bond barn (superior stats with this angle), the Shanghai Bobby gelding is a strong contender, although it’s not likely he’ll be offering any real value at or near his morning line of 7/5. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll give My Man Flintstone a slight edge on top.
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RACE 8: Post 5:14 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Blue Atlas; 3-Short Pour; 8-Barrel of Destiny

Forecast: Short Pour, a sharp runner-up sprinting on grass last month in her first start since November, projects as the controlling speed and will take this field as far as she can. The M. Hennig barn boasts terrific stats with the second-off-the layoff angle and shows excellent previous form on grass at Saratoga, where she won a two-turn affair gate-to-wire last year. She offers wagering value at or near her morning line of 9/2. Barrel of Destiny, a $16,000 claim two run back and a winner of a first-level allowance state-bred turf miler last month, moves up another level in class for M. Maker and looks to be a major player once again, though L. Saez, who was aboard her last time, jumps off to ride Short Pour. The daughter of Bluegrass Cat is winless in four prior starts over the local lawn but clearly is a better type now and should settle in mid-pack and then make her presence felt from the quarter pole home. Blue Atlas is listed at 6-1 on the morning line and is worth including somewhere on your ticket at that price. Protected after a nice score vs. $25,000 claimers earlier this month in her first outing since October, the daughter of English Channel is a fit on figures, protected in a sign of confidence, and retains J. Ortiz while drawing a nice inside post position.
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RACE 9: Post 5:46 ET. Grade: B
Use: 4-Admundson; 5-Bankit; 6-Funny Guy

Forecast: This extended sprint handicap for New York-bred older horses brings together familiar faces in a race that requires a spread in rolling exotic play. Amundson has won four of 10 career starts and was most recently a strong second in a highly-rated allowance race at Belmont Park at this seven furlong trip last month that produced a career-top speed figure. The Curlin gelding seems likely to be the controlling speed, just as he was when winning the Hollie Hughes Stakes vs. similar company at the Big A last winter. Funny Guy just won the Commentator Stakes with a powerful triple-digit Beyer speed figure (a career top) from off the pace, but today shortens to seven furlongs and may find this trip a bit sharp, especially if the pace is slow to moderate. Still,, he’s been first or second in eight of 11 starts, retains J. Rosario, and probably will go favored. Bankit is a deep closing sprinter with races that make him dangerous, but the projected pace flow may compliment his style. In the frame in five of his last six starts but obviously pace dependent, the son of Central Banker probably is worth including as back-up or a saver but not much more than that.
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RACE 10: Post 6:18 ET. Grade: B
Use: Boom Boom Kaboom; 4-Tempesta

Forecast: The finale is carded for maiden claiming New York-bred turf sprinters; we’ll try to get by using just two. Boom Boom Kaboom shows up in a seller for the first, adds blinkers, and earned a speed figure in his last start that his better than par for this level. The G. Weaver-trained son of Emcee should be within striking range throughout and have no excuses. Tempestawas good third (beaten a neck) in a representative race for the level last month and won’t need much more to earn his diploma. The son of Noble Mission likely will settle in the second flight and produce his run when called upon.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mikey Money

MLB CINCINNATI REDS ‑120

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Vegas Investment Picks

MLB TAMPA BAY RAYS +125

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Tommy King Wins

MLB CLEVELAND INDIANS +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mikey Sports

WNBA SEATTLE STORM ‑3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R and R Totals (http://www.randrtotals.com/)
MLB
CHICAGO CUBS/CINCINNATI REDS ‑105 u9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATSsports (http://ATSSPORTS83.cappertek.com)
MLB
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS +160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GreenTreeSports (https://greentreesports.weebly.com/)
MLB
LOS ANGELES DODGERS/ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS o9

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Top Shelf Sports Pick (http://www.vegasinvestmentpicks.com/)
MLB
TORONTO BLUE JAYS ‑140

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DONNY ACTION (https://donnyaction.wordpress.com/)
MLB
KANSAS CITY ROYALS ‑125

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Ace / V.I.P. (http://vegasinvestmentpicks.com)
NBA
UTAH JAZZ +2.5

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Sports Action 365

FREE MLB WINNER 7/30/20:
PLAY Yankees @ Orioles OVER 10.5, GAME TIME 7:35 PM EST

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Gerry “BIG CAT” Andino!
FREE MLB PICKS
Cubs @ Reds
TIME: 6:10 PM EST
PICKS: UNDER 8.5

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Tony Sacco

Tony Sacco's Free Play for THURSDAY is on the


SF GIANTS

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The Last Call Thursday's Free Play: Los Angeles Dodgers - 154

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WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, July 30

Seattle @ Washington

Game 675-676
July 30, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
112.752
Washington
120.632
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 8
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 2
163
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+2); Under

Chicago @ Minnesota

Game 677-678
July 30, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
110.866
Minnesota
114.644
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 4
181
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
167 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+1 1/2); Over

Connecticut @ Los Angeles

Game 679-680
July 30, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
106.827
Los Angeles
116.575
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 9 1/2
161
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 6 1/2
164 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(-6 1/2); Under

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WNBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, July 30

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SEATTLE (2 - 0) vs. WASHINGTON (2 - 0) - 7/30/2020, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 6-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (2 - 0) vs. MINNESOTA (1 - 1) - 7/30/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (0 - 2) vs. LOS ANGELES (1 - 1) - 7/30/2020, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 6-3 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 7-2 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sal Michaels Jul 30 '20, 9:00 PM in 1h
NBA | Clippers vs Lakers
Play on: Clippers +5½ -110 at Bovada

Free Play on Clippers +5½ -110

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ay Monohan Jul 30 '20, 9:00 PM in 1h
NBA | Clippers vs Lakers
Play on: OVER 215 -108

Clippers vs. Lakers OVER 215
NBA betting sees the Clippers (44-20, 35-29 ATS) taking on the Lakers (49-14, 35-27-1 ATS) on Thursday at the Walt Disney World Resort in Orlando Florida in the NBA Orlando restart opening night. It's been 4 long months but the NBA is finally back in action.
The Lakers entered the NBA break winning 11 of their last 13 games, so this is a team that hopefully will pick up where they left off and have some mojo on their side. They were averaging 114PPG before the COVID, and Clippers were averaging 116PPG. Nothing but offense folks!
The LA Clippers won the first two meetings between the clubs featuring an opening night match (112-102) and Christmas Day contest (111-106) while the Lakers won the last meeting (112-103) on March 6th less than a week prior to the season suspension.
Yes we know the Lakers could be without Brow Davis, but Kuzma will be available, and the Clippers could be without Lou Will, and Harrell, but I just don't see this being a low scoring game, both teams are going to come out runnin-n-gunnin, LeBron will do what he does and Kawhi Leonard and Paul George will likely have to carry the Clippers.
I'm projecting 220+ points in this prime-time matchup.
The OVER is the play!
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Thursday 5* NBA Free O/U Play

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Totals Guru Jul 30 '20, 9:00 PM in 1h
NBA | Clippers vs Lakers
Play on: OVER 217 -110

Free Total Annihilator On Clippers vs Lakers over 217 -110