Tuesday 9/1/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Pick 5 Analysis September 1, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, Yonkers Raceway has a $7,500 guaranteed pool in place for its 0.50 Pick 5. That sequence starts in Race 5 and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5

2-Western Beachboy (5/2)-This race is a real taffy pull and will take a swing with Brennan on a DiDomenico trainee who makes his 3rd start since a trainer change. Should get a good trip and may enjoy returning to YR. Connections had this 5-year-old racing better in January so will look for similar tonight.
4-Mr Wiggle Pants (2-1)-The entire field has missed time and Pants has been off since 8/7 but has faced better. Harris trainee has hit the board in 4 of 10 YR starts and has two wins. Hasn't been the same since a sick scratch on 7/11. Fits and can take a picture with a return to better form.

Race 6

1-Windfall Profits (2-1)-Makes YR debut coming off a winning effort at Phl and now steps up. Should be forwardly placed throughout and another picture could be in the cards.
2-Lady Maya (6-1)-Beat $12k claimers on 8/20 and came the back half in 56.1. This is a good step up but there aren't any monsters in this field. Can win at a square price and is 1-1 at Yonkers.
6-Sporty Juliana (9/2)-Will use expecting this filly gets overlooked at the windows and goes off above the morning line. Marohn needs to work a trip but if pace is decent may come off cover and surprise. Faces tougher now but did win here on the engine in 53.1 on 7/27.

Race 7

1-Orillia Joe (5/2)-Old-timer has won 21% of Yonkers starts and drops to a spot to shine. Should like the company but might be used hard to protect the rail. Will use and look to others for more value.
3-Mach West (8-1)-Made 1st YR start on 8/21 but was off 19 days. Raced from the back and sizzled the 2nd half in 54.2 on 8/21 and could be ready for a more aggressive try here. Loses Stratton to #1 as Marohn takes a seat and that will probably help the price.
6-Abraxas Blues A (7/2)-Seems to be rounding into form and makes 2nd start at this level after dropping. Needs a trip but last start was the best effort since starting up again. Veteran likes the oval and there could be an honest pace which should help chances.

Race 8

1-Vettel N (8/5)-Drops to a more comfortable spot and has the gate speed to protect the rail. Will likely blast out as Joe B. will look to control the fractions. Will be tough to beat with a top effort.
5-Our Correlli N (2-1)-Like #1, will be making Yonkers debut. 6-year-old has the gate speed to leave hard and get a good seat and then battle the program chalk down the lane.

Race 9

1-Somebaddude (7/5)-Cruised home by almost 4 lengths versus easier in 1st local race since the restart. Steps-up but has performed well against better than this at YR and should be a big threat tonight.
4-Caviart Reagan (7-1)-Won at this class on 7/24 and will toss last start from the 8 hole. Should like the post relief and it should be noted paced a .54 last half in the 8/20 start. Has the gate speed to be in the pocket behind the morning line choice or on the engine.

0.50 Pick 5

2,4/1,2,6/1,3,6/1,5/1,4
Total Bet=$36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Finger Lakes - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#4 Oneshotatforever
Newcomer was facing tons better on the NYRA circuit, new trainer Buckley is a solid 16% with his newbies, and, aside from the chalk, there's nothing to fear here; look out.


#2 Political
Aforementioned chalk will be bet off the board after the 22-length romp, but now faces winners, and they won't be impressed, so regression could be coming; backwheel time.


#3 Engineers Report
Underlay has the speed to make the front and the troubled run can be excused last time, but yikes, at 23-1-5-5 you get the idea of where he likes to finish; underneath, as always.


Race Summary
That 5-1 ML on the pick seems pretty juicy, especially since the 2 could have a rude wakening on the class rise, so ply him to win and place, and especially in the early Pk4 as well, since budget players will be singling the chalk, and therefore a win by 4 will knock a lot of tickets out.


Finger Lakes - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#2 Idaside
Price player wired last time, though she almost blew a 5-length late lead, but note that win came off a year layoff, so she was expected and allowed to get tired, but with that behind her she may have a lot more in the tank this time; come and catch the pick.


#3 Sweet Shallots
Versatile miss was close to a soft pace last time and just missed by a head, in what was a very strong run, and she can close too, if need be, and the added half-furlong she gets to work with here could all she needs to get there 1st this time; looms mighty large.


#6 Sister Patricia
Huge underlay was dreadful behind 'Sweet, and sure, she can improve since that run was off a year layoff, but C. Englehart is as good as they come here, so to see her with such a dud is a real worry, and the price won't be right to string along today; not thanks.


Race Summary
The price and potentially the race flow will be right with the 2, who takes an aggressive rise in class, which only is a confident move by Conway, so play her in all the slots, and especially in the Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, as she may fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would add plenty of value to both sequences.


Finger Lakes - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#2 Let's Workout
Interesting firster comes in off a slew of Sar works for Rodriguez, cost 52k as a son of 15k sire Outwork, and he doesn't run in the toughest 2yo heat of the meet; spotted to score.


#8 Pazzion
Jeremiah miss didn't fire at 9-5 on debut at Sar for 50k, but this is likely a class drop, she drew perfectly, and won't ave to run much faster to get her picture taken here; huge chance.


#3 Bourbon Brown
Logical contender was a solid 3rd on debut, albeit in slow time, but she closed along the rail, which is impressive for a debuting 2yo, though she needs to run faster today; in the mix.


Race Summary
Tab the tote on the 2, as you want to see him live and taking money, and if that's the case you can play him in all the slots, though you can get some built-in value by using him in the Pk5, and late Pk4 as well, since this is a race there for the taking, and the fillies he meets aren't any great shakes either.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Mountaineer - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#9 Mauk's Tuff
Finished with some energy in those Midwestern turf sprints, and she handled the local two-turn trip nicely here last year. Price should be right.


#1 Walkin Princess
Will need to hold her form for the new connections, but she's a reliable type that almost always fires and can flash some pace from the inside.


#2 Golden Treasury
Versatile type can get the right kind of run near the top, but she seems likely to find one or two of them a bit too good tonight.


Race Summary
Mauk's Tuff is probably a bit better going short, but this trip is within her scope off a couple of useful sprint efforts at Ellis and Belterra


Mountaineer - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#4 Beautiful B
One of the main players in a competitive spot, she loves the local footing and can get a perfect first-jump kind of trip.


#7 Chasing the Kitty
Another who figures to be in the early action, she woke up in a hurry when dropped in with claiming company last time out. Dangerous right back.


#2 Yankee Rose
Speed only knows how to roll early and try to hold on, but something like her last would make her interesting with these even though she's probably going to face a bit more early heat tonight than she did in that last one.


Race Summary
Beautiful B owns a 4-for-7 local record over the turf and has enough tactical pace to stay in the mix early on while tracking the other listed players who figure to settle in near the top.


Mountaineer - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#1 Coco Machen
Reliable type should be able to work out a trip from the inside , and she doesn't meet much other pace tonight. Price won't be much, but she feels like a logical single.


#7 Team Freedom
Capable of big things on her best day, this one's best chance would seem to be tracking the top choice in the early going and trying to press past late.


#5 Tunstall
Steps up off a couple of decent tries at Delaware and Colonial, and she has the tactical speed to stay close throughout. Still, think the top pair will be too tough for her.


Race Summary
Coco Machen will try to go for it from the fence, and she's probably quick enough to find the front without too much trouble. Thinking she's gong to be very tough to get past here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Pocono Downs - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#2 CRITICAL MASS
Right set-up, right price for new connections.


#1 DI OGGI
Trotted evenly in last pair against better, moves inside.


#4 BROADWAY MOJO
Rewarded loyal backers, parlayed pocket trip into a win.


Race Summary
Critical Mass rallied past the odds-on favorite to finish third at this level two starts back. He should get able pace flow to launch a contending rally at a good price. Play a 1-2-4 exacta box.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#5 NO ANGEL HERE
Steady check-getter, clear third behind the faves in latest.


#4 PROFOUND DRAGON
Three sire stakes wins since July at different tracks.


#9 PROTOSTAR
Out-kicked by deep closing, 24-1 shot through one minute back half.


Race Summary
No Angel Here followed a pair of sub 2-to-1 favorites and settled for third in a split race that timed 1-1/5 seconds faster. She should retain betting value, so play 5-4 and 5-9 exactas.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#6 BROOKLETSJUSTIFIED
Could spring mild surprise with well-timed move in slower paced race.


#9 E L WILD SPIRIT
Sustained rally to beat several of same rivals for his 28th win, enters new barn.


#5 DUSTYLANEWESTY
Drops, starts fresh, gets Gingras, price attached.


Race Summary
Brookletsjustified raced close-up from an inner post but sustained the middle move he made to lead at the stretch call. The same type of move into a projected softer pace could lead to the winner’s circle.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Indiana Grand - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#4 Neighborly
Improved in his second start as he was runner-up; trainer wins his share and this one looks like he's sitting on a victory.


#5 Harbor Court
Has two races to his credit and was a factor in each, finishing third and second; he shipped to Colonial for a second on turf and should be very tough as he runs back on the Indiana Grand main track.


#8 Shotgun Joe
Made a move to second in the stretch and then hung in the final yards to finish third; eligible to improve.


Race Summary
Neighborly improved with distance and experience in his second start and has what it takes to graduate from the maiden level.


Indiana Grand - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#2 Gift Wrapped
Had a pair of seconds and a third in his last three and has done very well over the local turf; can run them down.


#3 Delicious Pursuit
Breezed home in his last two, which came a Belterra and Arlington; troublesome on the front end.


#4 Magine
Whistled in her last one at Churchill Downs and makes her first try on the turf; classy enough to be a factor.


Race Summary
Gift Wrapped is a decent stalker and can make a late run in this spot; overdue to get back to the winner's circle, which she last saw about a year ago.


Indiana Grand - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#5 Rainy Day Dreamin
Ran longer in his last two, returns to a sprint and will be set up by a fast pace.


#2 Son of Batman
Was an easy maiden winner last time and has been a solid player in his last four; tough if he runs back to his latest.


#11 Colonel Hubert
Has enough speed to secure a good spot from the outside and will provide company on the front end.


Race Summary
Rainy Day Dreamin will be far back from a speed battle and after coming out of mile races can tune it up late.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS
THE LEGEND!
FREE NHL PICKS
islander @ Flyers
TIME: 7:00 PM EST
PICK: Flyers +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGASSI
TUESDAY 9/1/2020
FREE MLB PICKS
Nationals @ Phillies
TIME: 7:05 PM EST
PICK: OVER 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitchell Newman

My Tuesday free play will be the same free play I gave you on Sunday - a winner by the way! - on Boston and Toronto to hold Under the posted total once again.

The Raptors could not reach 100 points in their Game One loss, as they trailed the whole game and the game held Under the total. That makes it 3 of their last 4 this postseason Under the total for Nick Nurse's club and it also puts the Raptors on an overall Under run of 9 of 13 since arriving in Orlando. That 9-4 run does include one regular season meeting with Boston just before the playoffs started.

The Celtics are on an even more pronounced Under run, as they have played each of their last 3 and 6 of their last 7 overall Under the total. If we include the regular season August meeting in Orlando against the Raptors that landed Under it is a 7-2 Under run now for Brad Stevens' team their last 9 times on the hardwood.

Series numbers show 4 of the past 6 meetings between these Eastern Conference rivals having held Under the total.

Until I see Toronto actually figure out how to score against Boston, I will look at the Under as being the way to go.

Celtics-Raptors Under the total.

3* BOSTON-TORONTO UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

My comp play for Tuesday comes with the tried-and-true and that is to continue to play the Philadelphia Flyers Under the posted total.

Philly just cannot score. Just 7 total goals in the 4 games played in this series and 4 of the goals came in their lone win back in Game Two!

The Under is 2-1-1 in this series so far, but a look at the Flyers overall Over/Under numbers shows Philadelphia on a 6-2-2 Under run this postseason and an overall run of 12-2-2 Under the total for their past 16 skates.

The Islanders happen to be on a 4-1-2 playoff Under run as they head into this potential series-clinching game and aside from that Game Two loss in which they allowed the 4 goals to the Flyers, the Isles have allowed just 11 goals to score in their 8 other playoff affairs.

Expect the goals to continue to be hard to come by again for the Flyers tonight.

Under we go in Game Five between the Flyers and the Islanders.

5* N.Y. ISLANDERS-PHILADELPHIA UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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MLB (Tue) Cubs
NBA (Tue) Raptors
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NHL (Tue) Islanders

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes



Finger Lakes - Race 6

EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 6-7) * PICK 3 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 6-7-8)



Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 63 • Purse: $26,500 • Post: 3:55P


FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. JACKS AMERICAN PIE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BOURBON BROWN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. JACKS AMERICAN PIE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in av erage Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



3

BOURBON BROWN

5/2


5/2




1

JACKS AMERICAN PIE

8/1


7/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

JACKS AMERICAN PIE

1


8/1

Alternator/Front-runner

0


0


65.4


24.6


19.1




8

PAZZION

8


3/1

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


42.7


37.9


34.4




3

BOURBON BROWN

3


5/2

Trailer

63


47


55.9


44.6


42.1























Unknown Running Style: LET'S WORKOUT (6/1) [Jockey: Gomez Oscar - Trainer: Rodriguez Rudy R], TEQUILA ROAD (10/1) [Jockey: Baez Jose - Trainer: LeCesse Michael A], PARK MANAGER MAIZE (15/1) [Jockey: Frates Dean Joseph - Trainer: Iorio Jr Sal], FORCIN

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Assiniboia Downs



Assiniboia Downs - Race 1

DAILY DOUBLE (Races 1-2) / .20 PICK 3 (Races 1-2-3) / .20 SUPERFECTA .20 TRIACTOR / EXACTOR / QUINELLA



Claiming $3,500 • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 64 • Purse: $8,600 • Post: 7:35P


FOR MB/SASK/ND/SD BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500. FILLIES CLAIMING PRICE 25% MORE.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was with in the last ten days. LOOKIN RICH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. QUEST FOR THE WIRE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a G ood Race within the last 30 days.



2

EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE

7/2


5/2




5

LOOKIN RICH

2/1


6/1




4

QUEST FOR THE WIRE

3/2


6/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




2

EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE

2


7/2

Front-runner

64


56


60.6


51.8


44.8




5

LOOKIN RICH

5


2/1

Alternator/Stalker

59


63


47.0


55.4


52.4




4

QUEST FOR THE WIRE

4


3/2

Trailer

63


62


41.8


58.6


53.1




1

INXSESSIVE REALITY

1


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

70


69


52.6


50.2


42.7




3

TRUE KOMMANDO

3


5/1

Alternator/Non-contender

70


62


52.2


53.6


47.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Parx Racing - Race #7 - Post: 3:37pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 OUR FLIRTATION (ML=5/2)
#13 SMARTY CAT (ML=7/2)
#4 LADY LUCY LU (ML=4/1)


OUR FLIRTATION - Filly shipped to this track and won; now goes for back-to-back wins. 'Horse-for-the-course' is a classic handicapping angle. Since this filly has won over this turf course it may give her an edge. This trainer is 'stretching-out' this horse. Making the move to 1 mile for the 1st time, and Ness has had some great success doing that. The morning line odds on this filly are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of trainer Ness. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. SMARTY CAT - This filly should give a strong account of herself in today's race. LADY LUCY LU - Using this jock/handler combination is a good move. This horse brings in a lot of dough per race. Tops in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #15 LIGHT UP NIGHT (ML=2/1), #5 LOST SCROLL (ML=9/2), #2 RAGAZZA CARINA (ML=5/1),

LIGHT UP NIGHT - Aug 6th is the last time we've seen this filly around. Have to be a little bit leery. LOST SCROLL - Won't be easy for this racer to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put her on the vulnerable contenders list. This pony will probably bounce off of the last strong outing. RAGAZZA CARINA - When checking today's class rating, she will have to record a much better speed fig than last time around the track to vie in this turf route.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - OUR FLIRTATION - Racing on the turf in a route makes this horse extremely dangerous today. Ness has an excellent win percentage with horses at today's distance/surface.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Not really a race for win bets



EXACTA WAGERS:

None



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [3,4,13] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belterra Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9800 Class Rating: 88

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 LEO 7/2




# 5 KEYED ON TOP 2/1




# 7 SMOLTZ 9/2




My selection in this event is LEO. Could provide positive gains based on very good recent speed figures with an average of 82. Could best this group of horses based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 89 - of his last effort. He has quite good class ratings, averaging 92, and has to be given a shot for this event. KEYED ON TOP - Has to be used in the exotic offerings. With a solid 88 speed fig last time out, will clearly be a factor in this contest. SMOLTZ - Will most likely come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved sharply to the lead recently. In fine fettle, and coming back in next to no time again today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Louisiana Downs - Race #7 - Post: 5:49pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $19,500 Class Rating: 70

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#1 BALLYHACK (ML=5/1)
#3 RELUCTANT WARRIOR (ML=3/1)


BALLYHACK - This horse could be tough this race, especially since Gilligan rode last time out and now should be acquainted with this one. If you review the PP's for this horse, you'll see he has recorded the top speed fig at the distance and surface. A repeat performance in this event and this horse has a superb chance to win. This gelding is in excellent form right now. Finished third last out and comes back promptly. RELUCTANT WARRIOR - Horses out of the barn of Wilson have been solid on the turf. Should perform well in this race. Atop this thoroughbred on August 18th and Rodriguez is back again in the irons this time. This gelding's last speed rating recorded on August 18th is tops in last race speed ratings. Have to make this gelding a solid contender; he comes off a good outing on August 18th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ELIJAH GHOST (ML=5/2), #6 REINSURE (ML=4/1), #2 WICKED REBEL (ML=6/1),

ELIJAH GHOST - The speed figure last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this mount as a vulnerable competitor. REINSURE - Didn't come through as the favorite the last two times. Probably won't gain a score today either. The speed figure in the last race doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this racer as a likely underlay. WICKED REBEL - Didn't do alot last time out of the box. Probably won't make an impact in today's event.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - BALLYHACK - Best average class rating amongst these ponies. This steed figures to be tough today.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#1 BALLYHACK to win at post-time odds of 2/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,3]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

[1,3] with [1,3] with [2,4,6,8,9] Total Cost: $10



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[1,3] with [1,3] with [2,4,8] with [2,4,6,8,9] Total Cost: $24



SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:

[1,3] with [1,3] with [2,4,8,9] with [2,4,8,9] with [2,4,8,9] Total Cost: $48

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 71

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 ACADIA FLEET 5/1




# 2 FOOT RUB LOVE 3/1




# 4 RED LINGERIE 5/2




I've got to go with ACADIA FLEET. Could provide positive gains based on respectable recent Equibase speed figs with an average of 65. Has the appearance of a profitable wager. Stabile is trying to score with this horse by bringing her back so soon. FOOT RUB LOVE - Is a solid contender - given the 60 speed rating from her most recent race. Has performed solidly as of late in sprint races, posting a nifty 54 avg speed figure. RED LINGERIE - She looks formidable in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. Had one of the strongest Equibase Speed Figures of this group of horses in her last race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs



09/01/20, CD, Race 2, 1.32 ET
09/01/20,CD,2,1 1/4M [Dirt] 1:59:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $97,000 (includes up to $20,600 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000 In Last 3 Starts).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.0000
4
Jack Luvs Nova
8-1
Hernandez C J
Stall. Jr. Albert M.
C
32.20
1.20/$1


099.8901
3
Leading West
5/2
Gaffalione T
Maker Michael J.
JTFEL
32.20
1.20/$1


097.6319
1
Mulberry Street
10-1
Mena M
Vaccarezza Carlo
S
32.20
1.20/$1


096.1312
7
Decision Maker
6-1
Borel C H
Bradley William B.
W
32.20
1.20/$1


096.0587
5
Allege(b+)
3-1
Santana. Jr. R
Asmussen Steven M.


32.20
1.20/$1


095.4012
6
Awakened
4-1
Bejarano R
McGaughey J. Reeve


32.20
1.20/$1


094.2005
2
Good Juju
4-1
Leparoux J R
Wilkes Ian R.


32.20
1.20/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 29.47, ROI 1.06/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA public betting, line movement September 1
Patrick Everson

Donovan Mitchell and Jamal Murray go at it one more time when the Jazz meet the Nuggets in Game 7 Tuesday. The SuperBook opened at pick 'em, and the Nuggets moved to -1.5, then -1.

NBA betting odds are on the board and getting some attention for Tuesday’s two-game playoff slate. The Denver Nuggets and Utah Jazz collide in Game 7 of a Western Conference first-round series, and the Boston Celtics meet the Toronto Raptors in Game 2 of their Eastern Conference semifinal series.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s matchups.

NBA line movement

Denver rallied from a 3-1 deficit to tie Utah at three games apiece in this best-of-7 series, riding Jamal Murray’s 50-point performance Sunday to a 119-107 Game 6 victory. The SuperBook opened Game 7 a pick ‘em, and the Nuggets got to -1.5 by midday Monday before ticking back to -1 for an 8:30 p.m. ET start.

Defending NBA champion Toronto got smacked by Boston 112-94 in Game 1 Sunday. The Raptors opened -1.5 at The SuperBook for Game 2, briefly went to -1, then moved back to the opener for Tuesday’s 5:30 p.m. ET tipoff.

NBA public betting

The Consensus is often indicative of public opinion, and both of Tuesday’s games are landing two-way play. As of late Monday night, picks on the Jazz and Nuggets were perfectly split at 50 percent on both sides, and the Raptors were getting 56 percent of Consensus picks against the Celtics.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

723BOSTON -724 TORONTO
BOSTON is 18-5 ATS (12.5 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

725UTAH -726 DENVER
UTAH is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, September 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (53 - 24) vs. TORONTO (57 - 20) - 9/1/2020, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 43-32 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 33-23 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
TORONTO is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 44-29 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
BOSTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 35-25 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 33-24 ATS (+6.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 227-277 ATS (-77.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 8-5 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-5 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (47 - 31) vs. DENVER (49 - 30) - 9/1/2020, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
UTAH is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
UTAH is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
DENVER is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 10-7 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 9-8 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Tuesday, September 1

Trend Report

Boston @ Toronto
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Utah @ Denver
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing Denver
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Denver's last 14 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, September 1

Boston @ Toronto

Game 723-724
September 1, 2020 @ 5:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
129.286
Toronto
124.419
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 5
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+1 1/2); Under

Utah @ Denver

Game 725-726
September 1, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
117.233
Denver
115.617
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 1 1/2
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 1 1/2
218
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(+1 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Phillies -155


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
MLB – Reds -165


3.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Yankees over 9


4.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
MLB – Astros -1.5


5.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
NBA – Raptors -1.5


6.
Point Spread Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
NBA – Nuggets over 217


7.
Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com/lou-big-play-panelli/)
NBA – Raptors under 218.5


8.
Gerry “Big Cat” Andino (https://www.nsawins.com/gerry-big-cat-andino/)
MLB – White Sox -110


9.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Cubs -160


10.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/william-e-stockton/)
MLB – Astros -1.5


11.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
MLB – Dodgers over 8.5


12.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/steve-scoop-kendall/)
NBA – Nuggets over 217


13.
SCORE (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
NBA – Raptors -1.5


14.
East Coast Line Movers (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
NBA – Nuggets +1


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
MLB – Cubs under 9.5


16.
Chicago Sports Group (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/chicago-sports-group/)
MLB – Astros -1.5


17.
Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
MLB – Giants under 12.5


18.
VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
MLB – Brewers -1.5


19.
South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
MLB – Reds -165


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
NBA – Nuggets +1


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
NBA – Raptors under 218.5


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
NBA – Nuggets over 217


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
MLB – Indians -1.5


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
MLB – Mets under 10


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
MLB – Yankees over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game 2 Odds: Celtics vs. Raptors
Michael Crosson

The second-seeded Toronto Raptors will look to rebound on Tuesday from the NBA Bubble in Orlando when it meets the third-seeded Boston Celtics in Game 2 of their second round series.

Betting Resources

Matchup: Eastern Conference Game 2
2nd Round Series: Celtics lead 1-0
Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
Location: Orlando, Florida
Date: Tuesday, Sept. 1, 2020
Time: 5:40 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

The Boston Celtics captured a wire-to-wire win over the Toronto Raptors in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference semifinals. (AP)

Line Movements

Despite being thoroughly handled in Sunday’s Game 1 contest, the Toronto Raptors remain one and a half point favorites for a second consecutive matchup with Boston, as the oddsmakers appear to be giving a slight lean to the defending champs in Game 2, who will be looking to post a statement bounce-back effort.

‘Under’ bettors walked away with winning tickets following the first matchup of this series, as these teams combined for just 206 total points in Game 1, mostly thanks to Toronto’s whopping total of 94. Similar to the opening spread for this contest, the oddsmakers decided to “set it and forget it” with the ‘over-under’ as well, leaving it at the same total as the first matchup – OU 216.5 points.

Celtics money line bettors were thrilled as the team they backed cashed plus-money tickets emphatically in their 18-point Game 1 victory. Boston remains a +100 money line underdog heading into Game 2.

Spread: Toronto -1.5
Money-Line: Toronto -120 Boston +100
Total: 216
Updated Series Price: Boston -190, Toronto +150

Game 1 Recap

At times in the first quarter of Game 1, it was tough to tell if Nick Nurse’s team was playing flat on defense or if the Celtics just came out of the gate scorching-hot on offense, and the truth to the predicament is likely a little bit of both.

Boston put up 39 points in the opening stanza of this series on 57.2 eFG%, and the Raptors appeared to not have the explosive scoring ability needed to mount a comeback, as Toronto never obtained a lead after trailing by 16 points at the end of the first quarter.

Jayson Tatum and Marcus Smart led the way for Boston accounting for over 37% of the Celtics' scoring volume by tallying 21 points a piece to cap off the victory. The first game of this series was ALL Boston, as the group took three out of four periods of Game 1 by an average of 6.6 points, ultimately leading to a 112-94 triumph.

Game 1 Betting Results

It was a wire-to-wire win and cover for Boston in the opener and bettors pressing the Celtics connected on all the dots.

Total bettors playing the 'over' got off to a great start with 62 points in the first 12 minutes but Toronto's inefficient offense helped the 'under' prevail the rest of the way in Game 1.

Outcome: Celtics 112 Raptors 94

Game: Celtics Win, Celtics Cover (+2), Under (217.5)
First Quarter: Celtics Win (39-23), Celtics Cover (+0.5), Over 56
First-Half: Celtics Win (59-42), Celtics Cover (+1), Under 110
Second-Half: Celtics Win (53-52), Celtics Cover (+6.5), Under 111

Celtics Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Bubble: 10-3 SU, 7-5-1 ATS, 5-7-1 O/U
Playoffs: 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS, 1-4 O/U

The Celtics continue to get no love from Vegas, as Brad Stevens' crew will head into Game 2 of this seven-game bout with the Raptors as underdogs yet again, despite pummeling the defending champs in the series opener.

Boston will not likely tally another 39-point quarter for the remainder of the post-season, especially against the second-ranked defensive unit in the NBA (TOR), so it is best to analyze Game 1 through a lens of the back three stanzas, which the Celtics won by a total of two points.

I thought Boston’s dominant performance on Sunday would have pulled the spread for Game 2 back down to a ‘pick’em,’ but Raptors bettors still have faith in their resilient group, and I can’t say I blame them after last year’s title run.

If Walker and Smart continue to shoot at the clip they shot from downtown in Game 1 though (9 for 16), Toronto doesn’t stand a chance once that gets mixed in with the offensive efficiency of Tatum.

Raptors Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Bubble: 11-2 SU, 9-4 ATS, 4-8-1 O/U
Playoffs: 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U

Nick Nurse’s team better have more gas in the tank for Game 2 than they brought for Game 1, because his team got outplayed in just about every aspect of the contest in the first matchup between these units, and Toronto is supposed to be the superior team.

The Raptors scored under 25 points in three out of four periods of Game 1 averaging just 23.5 points per stanza, which is a little extreme for this matchup, but does shine light on Kyle Lowry and his crew’s consistent offensive woes against Boston, as they now average just 103 points per game against Boston this season.

Serge Ibaka was a bright-spot for the Toronto in Game 1, as he went three for seven from 3-point land, tallying 15 points in the loss, but the Raptors are going to need a lot more help than that if they want to hand the Celtics their first playoff loss on Tuesday night.

Key Injuries

Boston

PG Tremont Waters: Knee, Game Time Decision
SG Javonte Green: Knee, Out
SF Gordon Hayward: Ankle, Out

Tremont Waters was the lone player to be added to the injury report following Boston’s Game 1 victory over the Raptors. He is questionable with a knee injury, adding to a list that already consists of Hayward and Green.

Toronto

SF Oshae Brissett: Knee, Out
SF Patrick McCaw: Knee, Out

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game 7 Odds: Jazz vs. Nuggets
Michael Crosson

The first Game 7 of the NBA Bubble will take place on Tuesday Sept. 1 from Orlando, Florida as the No. 3 Denver Nuggets meet the No. 6 Utah Jazz in their first round series finale.

This best-of-seven battle has been a series of runs. Denver captured Game 1 in overtime (135-125) before Utah rebounded with three consecutive victories behind an offense averaging 125.6 points per game.

Then, Denver found its defense and it ended up winning Game 5 and 6 while holding the Jazz to 107 in each of its two victories.

For those wondering, NBA Game 7's have been dominated by the home team (105-28) but that number could be tossed out due to these games being played on a neutral court.

Betting Resources

Matchup: Western Conference Game 7
First Round Series: Series tied 3-3
Venue: AdventHealth Arena
Location: Orlando, Florida
Date: Tuesday, Sept. 1, 2020
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: ABC

Line Movements

The third-seeded Denver Nuggets have forced the first Game 7 of this year’s NBA season on Tuesday against the sixth-seeded Utah Jazz, who are riding the coattail of Jamal Murray’s second 50-point explosion of the calendar week. Mike Malone’s team has walked away victorious in its last two contests against the Jazz, but Utah heads into Game 7 with a one-point edge at most books, despite the betting public favoring the Nuggets early.

After cashing ‘over’ tickets in five out of six contests so far in this series, the oddsmakers set the ‘over-under’ for Game 7 at the maximum total for this series – OU 220. Early action on the ‘under’ has pulled that line down to OU 218 though as we near the start of this contest.

Spread: Denver -1
Money-Line: Denver -115 Utah -105
Total: 218.5
Series Odds: Denver -115, Utah -105

Denver PG Jamal Murray scored 50 points in Sunday's Game 6 as the Nuggets avoided elimination once again to the Jazz. (AP)

Game 6 Recap

Donovan Mitchell continued his dominant playoff campaign on Sunday night, tallying his third game with 44+ points in this Western Conference opening round series, but it wasn’t enough to get the job done for the second consecutive game, as Utah dropped the contest 119-107.

The Jazz appeared to have Denver on the ropes heading into Game 6 with a 3-1 lead (two of their three victories by 19+ points), but Murray just simply isn’t ready to go home yet, as he has scored 142 points in the Nuggets last three contests (Game 6 – 50 points).

Some people are suggesting that we just pull everybody else off the court for Game 7 and just let Mitchell and Murray play a 48-minute one-on-one game to determine who advances to the second round of the Western Conference Playoffs.

Very unrealistic – but it sure would be fun to watch. Tuesday night on ABC is “must-watch” television as we will get the privilege of seeing an action-packed duel between emerging superstars in a primetime do-or-die game.

Game 6 Betting Results

Utah couldn't miss a shot in the first quarter yet it only managed to hold a six-point lead. As the Jazz offense cooled off from distance, Denver kept connecting and that was the difference on the hardwood and at the betting counter in Game 6.

Outcome: Nuggets 119 Jazz 107

Game: Nuggets Win, Nuggets Cover (+2.5), Over 219.5
First Quarter: Jazz Win (36-30), Jazz Cover (-1), Over (55.5)
First-Half: Nuggets Win (61-56), Nuggets Cover (+1.5), Over (114.5)
Second-Half: Nuggets Win (58-51), Nuggets Cover (+2.5), Under (110)

Jazz Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Utah: 47-31 SU, 36-40-2 ATS, 43-35 O/U
Bubble: 6-8 SU, 6-8 ATS, 10-4 O/U

“Success being overshadowed” has been the theme of Spida-Mitchell’s career so far, hasn’t it? Having a great rookie campaign, only to be beaten out by Ben Simmons for ROY. Playing well in last year’s playoffs, only to get bounced by James Harden and the Rockets in five games.

Now, Mitchell is averaging over 38 points per game in a playoff series with the Nuggets, might not even advance from the series, AND isn’t even the most talked-about player heading into the Game 7 matchup. It may have not appeared that way over the last three games, but Mitchell really is the best player on the floor in this series and I expect him to show up BIG in the final tilt of this series.

Look for him to easily go over whatever “total points” line he is given in this win-or-go-home Game 7 matchup on Tuesday night.

Nuggets Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Denver: 49-30 SU, 37-38-4 ATS, 43-35-1 O/U
Bubble: 6-8 SU, 8-6 ATS, 13-1 O/U

Put another tally up on the board, as the Nuggets' Game 6 victory marks the 12th ‘over’ in Denver’s last 13 contests. At first, the point totals piling up could be attributed to the Nuggets' injury issues and defensive struggles, but now their contests are beginning to soar ‘over’ for different reasons, and it starts with the increase in usage of Murray.

Denver typically likes to slow down the pace of the game and play through its All-Star center, Nikola Jokic, but when a guy scoring at the rate Jamal has in his last three games, you abandon the original game plan and feed him the rock; which is what we are seeing from Malone and his staff.

Key Injuries

Utah

C Ed Davis: Knee, Out
PG Justin Wright-Foreman: Not Injury Related, Out

Denver

SF Vlatko Cancar: Foot, Out
SF Will Barton: Knee, Out

The Nuggets were glad to get Gary Harris back from injury in Game 6 with hopes to take some of the scoring load at the guard position off Murray’s shoulders for the remainder of the series, but obviously that did not happen and will not happen in the foreseeable future.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, September 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (7 - 9) vs. NEW YORK (2 - 13) - 9/1/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 6-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (5 - 10) vs. ATLANTA (3 - 13) - 9/1/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (9 - 7) vs. LAS VEGAS (12 - 3) - 9/1/2020, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-3 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA

Tuesday, September 1

Trend Report

Connecticut @ New York
Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New York's last 12 games at home

Indiana @ Atlanta
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana

Phoenix @ Las Vegas
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, September 1

Connecticut @ New York

Game 679-680
September 1, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
110.239
New York
100.618
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 9 1/2
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Connecticut
by 12
156 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+12); Under

Indiana @ Atlanta

Game 681-682
September 1, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
102.224
Atlanta
106.934
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 4 1/2
164
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 1 1/2
166 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+1 1/2); Under

Phoenix @ Las Vegas

Game 683-684
September 1, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
108.824
Las Vegas
118.918
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Las Vegas
by 10
165
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
by 7
170 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Las Vegas
(-7); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB public betting, line movement, sharp money September 1
Patrick Everson

Aaron Nola toes the slab for the Phillies on Tuesday night against the Nationals. Caesars sportsbooks opened the moneyline at Philadelphia -143/Washington +133.

MLB betting odds are up and getting attention for 13 games on the Tuesday schedule. Among the highlights is a decent pitching matchup between the Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies, and the streaking Chicago White Sox continue their series against the Minnesota Twins.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s games.

MLB line movement

Aaron Nola (3-2, 3.00 ERA) takes the ball for the host Phillies against Patrick Corbin (2-2, 3.82 ERA) and the Nationals in a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Philadelphia won the series opener 8-6 Monday to move to 6-1 in its last seven games. The Phillies opened -143 at Caesars books, with the Nationals +133, and there was no line movement by late Monday night.

Chicago is now the outright owner of first place in the AL Central after going 12-2 in its last 14 games, including an 8-5 win over host Minnesota on Monday night. Caesars opened Tuesday’s moneyline at White Sox -115/Twins +105, and there was a modest early adjustment to -113/+103 for an 8:10 p.m. ET start.

The Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees resume their three-game series in a 7:05 p.m. ET contest, after the Rays took Monday’s opener 5-3. Most books held off on posting the Game 2 line, waiting for clarity on starting pitchers.

MLB public betting

As of late Monday night, the White Sox were landing 57 percent of early Consensus picks against the Twins. Nationals-Phillies was seeing two-way play, as well, with Philadelphia taking 55 percent of early picks.

The Los Angeles Dodgers were the most popular Consensus play for Tuesday’s games, drawing 77 percent of early picks against the visiting Arizona Diamondbacks in a 9:40 p.m. ET meeting.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

901ST LOUIS -902 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 2-10 SU (-11.8 Units) vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game in the current season.

903TORONTO -904 MIAMI
CHARLIE MONTOYO is 18-6 SU (11.4 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start (Coach of TORONTO)

903TORONTO -904 MIAMI
TORONTO is 18-6 SU (12.4 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons.

905CHICAGO CUBS -906 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 20-40 SU (-26.4 Units) in home games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

907NY METS -908 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 15-4 SU (10.6 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

909TAMPA BAY -910 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 10-2 SU (7.8 Units) in home games in night games in the current season.

911WASHINGTON -912 PHILADELPHIA
WASHINGTON is 3-13 SU (-13.8 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse in the current season.

913ATLANTA -914 BOSTON
BOSTON is 2-10 SU (-11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

915DETROIT -916 MILWAUKEE
DETROIT is 47-81 SU (-43 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.

917CLEVELAND -918 KANSAS CITY
CLEVELAND is 12-2 SU (9.8 Units) in road games when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.

919CHI WHITE SOX -920 MINNESOTA
CHI WHITE SOX is 19-7 SU (14.6 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

921TEXAS -922 HOUSTON
TEXAS are 3-11 SU (-12.3 Units) in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

923SAN FRANCISCO -924 COLORADO
COLORADO is 31-51 SU (-28.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons.

925OAKLAND -926 SEATTLE
OAKLAND is 66-53 SU (12.9 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.

927ARIZONA -928 LA DODGERS
ARIZONA is 47-29 SU (16.9 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Tuesday, September 1

National League
St Louis @ Cincinnati
Cardinals (13-13)
Kim is 1-0, 1.15 in his first three MLB starts (15.2 IP).
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: under 3-1

— St Louis lost four of its last six games.
— Cardinals are 6-3 in their last nine road games.
— Over is 5-2-1 in Cardinals’ last eight games.

Reds (15-20)
Gray is 2-0, 1.53 in his last three starts; he is 4-0, 2.13 at home.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-2 Team in first 5 innings: 6-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-7 Totals: over 3-1-3

— Cincinnati lost three of its last four games.
— Reds are 7-10 at home this season.
— Over is 4-1 in the Reds’ last five games.

Washington @ Philadelphia
Nationals (12-20):
Corbin is 0-2, 5.19 in his last three starts; he is 1-1, 5.73 on the road.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-4 Team in first 5 innings: 4-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: under 4-2

— Washington is 7-12 in its last 19 games.
— Nationals are 5-7 in their last 12 road games.
— Over is 14-4-1 in their last 19 games.

Phillies (15-15)
Nola is 3-1, 2.35 in his last five starts; he is 3-0, 2.05 in four home outings.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-6 Totals: under 4-2

— Philly won six of its last seven games.
— Phillies won six of its last seven home games.
— Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.

Chicago @ Pittsburgh
Cubs (20-14):
Lester is 0-1, 6.14 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 1.13 in three road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: over 3-0 last three

— Cubs are 7-11 in their last 18 games.
— Chicago is 8-6 on the road this season.
— Over is 11-5 in their last 16 games.

Pirates (10-22):
Kuhl is 1-1, 2.70 in four starts (20 IP) this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: over 3-0-1

— Pirates lost three of their last four games.
— Pittsburgh is 5-9 at home this year.
— Over is 5-3-2 in their last 10 home games.

San Francisco @ Colorado
Giants (17-19):
Gausman is 1-1, 4.09 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-5 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3
Allowed run in first inning: 2-6 Totals: 3-3

— Giants lost four of their last five games.
— SF is 6-2 in its last eight home games.
— Under is 6-3 in Giants’ last nine games.

Rockies (17-18):
Gray is 2-2, 7.20 in his last four starts; he is 1-2, 7.36 in four home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-4
Allowed run in first inning: 2-7 Totals: over 3-1 last four

— Rockies lost three of their last four games.
— Colorado lost eight of its last ten home games.
— Over is 8-4 in their last 12 home games.

Arizona @ Los Angeles
Diamondbacks (14-21):
Young is 0-1, 4.73 in three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 3-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Arizona lost 10 of its last 11 games overall.
— Diamondbacks lost their last five road games.
— Under is 9-2 in their last 11 games.

Dodgers (26-10)
Urias is 2-0, 3.67 in six starts this year, 1-0, 2.35 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 4-6 Totals: over 4-0-1 last five

— Dodgers won eight of their last 10 games.
— LA won their last seven home games.
— Under is 7-3 in their last 10 home games.

American League
Tampa Bay @ New York
Rays (25-11):
Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Tampa Bay won 19 of its last 22 games.
— Rays won their last nine road games.
— Under is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.

Bronx (19-14):
Tanaka is 0-1, 4.35 in five starts (20.2 IP) this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-5 Totals: under 3-0-2

— Bronx won three of its last four games.
— New York is 13-6 at home this season.
— Under is 7-4-2 in their last 13 games.

Cleveland @ Kansas City
Indians (21-14):
Plesac is 1-1, 1.29 in three starts, last of which was August 8.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: under 3-0

— Cleveland split its last 10 games overall.
— Indians won 10 of their last 12 road games.
— Under is 23-10-2 in Cleveland games this season.

Royals (14-21):
Harvey allowed seven runs in 5.2 IP in two starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: over 1-0-1

— Royals lost nine of their last 15 games.
— KC lost three of its last five home games.
— Under is 11-3-2 in their last 16 games.

Texas @ Houston
Rangers (12-21):
bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Texas lost 12 of its last 14 games.
— Rangers lost their last six road games.
— Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games.

Astros (19-14):
Valdez is 3-0, 3.48 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-2 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: over 3-2

— Astros split their last eight games overall.
— Houston won 10 of their last 11 home games.
— Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Chicago @ Minnesota
White Sox (22-13):
Keuchel is 3-0, 2.29 in his last three starts; he is 2-1, 2.79 in three road outings.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-3 Team in first 5 innings: 5-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-7 Totals: under 4-3

— Chicago won 13 of its last 18 games overall.
— White Sox won five of their last six road games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six road games.

Twins (20-16)
Pineda is making his first ’20 start; he’s made 143 MLB starts, was 11-5, 4.01 in 26 starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Twins lost their last six games.
— Minnesota is 10-3 in its last 13 home games.
— Under is 12-3-2 in their last 17 games.

Interleague
Toronto @ Miami
Blue Jays (18-15):
Bullpen game or newly acquired pitcher game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Blue Jays are 14-9 in their last 23 games.
— Jays are 5-2 in their last seven road games.
— Under is 3-2 in their last five games.

Marlins (15-15):
Hernandez is 1-0, 3.42 in five starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-5 Totals: under 3-2

— Miami lost four of its last five games overall.
— Marlins lost their last eight home games.
— Over is 10-5 in their last 15 games.

Atlanta @ Boston
Braves (20-14):
Anderson allowed one run in six IP in his MLB debut (90 PT).
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Braves are 8-4 in their last 12 games.
— Atlanta is 6-9 in its last 15 road games.
— Over is 6-3-1 in their last 10 games.

Red Sox (12-23):
Weber is 0-2, 9.90 in three starts, last of which was August 7.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-3 Totals: under 2-0-1

— Red Sox are 6-5 in their last 11 games.
— Boston won three of their last five home games.
— Over is 6-2-2 in their last ten home games.

NY Mets @ Baltimore
Mets (15-20)
bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-1 Team in first 5 innings: 4-0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-6 Totals: over 4-1 last five

— Mets lost their last four games overall.
— New York is 9-10 on the road this season.
— Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

Orioles (15-19):
Wojciechowski is 1-1, 4.96 in his last four starts; he is 1-3, 6.27 at home.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-4 Team in first 5 innings: 2-4
Allowed run in first inning: 2-4 Totals: under 4-1 last five

— Orioles lost 11 of their last 14 games overall.
— Baltimore is 2-6 in its last eight home games.
— Under is 9-2 in their last 11 games.

Detroit @ Milwaukee
Tigers (16-16):
Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: 1-1

— Detroit won its last five games.
— Tigers are 7-6 on the road this season.
— Over is 7-5-1 in their road games.

Brewers (16-18):
Lindblom is 0-2, 7.41 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 6.75 in two home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3
Allowed run in first inning: 3-6 Totals: over 5-1

— Milwaukee won three of its last four games.
— Brewers lost nine of their 16 home games.
— Under is 4-3-1 in Milwaukee’s last eight games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Tuesday, September 1

Trend Report

St. Louis @ Cincinnati
St. Louis
St. Louis is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games

Toronto @ Miami
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Toronto

Tampa Bay @ NY Yankees
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay

Chi Cubs @ Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Atlanta @ Boston
Atlanta
Atlanta is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing Atlanta
Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta

NY Mets @ Baltimore
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Mets's last 15 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Detroit @ Milwaukee
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Detroit

Cleveland @ Kansas City
Cleveland
Cleveland is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Cleveland is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games at home
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Chi White Sox @ Minnesota
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Minnesota's last 17 games at home

Texas @ Houston
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Texas

San Francisco @ Colorado
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing San Francisco

Arizona @ LA Dodgers
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arizona's last 11 games
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, September 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ST LOUIS (13 - 13) at CINCINNATI (15 - 20) - 6:40 PM
KWANG-HYUN KIM (L) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
GRAY is 16-4 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 13-2 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 56-29 (+17.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 15-20 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 68-105 (-33.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GRAY is 25-38 (-21.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-1 (+3.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)



KWANG-HYUN KIM vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
KIM is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)



SONNY GRAY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
GRAY is 1-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 1.059.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TORONTO (18 - 15) at MIAMI (15 - 15) - 6:40 PM
JULIAN MERRYWEATHER (R) vs. ELIESER HERNANDEZ (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 (+0.5 Units) against TORONTO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)



JULIAN MERRYWEATHER vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.



ELIESER HERNANDEZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.07 and a WHIP of 0.938.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CHICAGO CUBS (20 - 14) at PITTSBURGH (10 - 22) - 7:05 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. CHAD KUHL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1894-1924 (-276.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 30-41 (-20.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 10-16 (-12.4 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 42-54 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 16-29 (-18.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 266-305 (-81.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 216-239 (-57.8 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 35-50 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 57-60 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1408-1437 (-211.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 931-958 (-202.7 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 919-840 (-159.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 47-35 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LESTER is 122-48 (+49.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 34-74 (-28.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)



JON LESTER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LESTER is 12-6 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 15-9 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-13. (-3.0 units)



CHAD KUHL vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
KUHL is 1-6 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.940.
His team's record is 3-6 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.7 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NY METS (15 - 20) at BALTIMORE (15 - 19) - 7:35 PM
FRANKLYN KILOME (R) vs. ASHER WOJCIECHOWSKI (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.



FRANKLYN KILOME vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.



ASHER WOJCIECHOWSKI vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TAMPA BAY (25 - 11) at NY YANKEES (19 - 14) - 7:05 PM
TREVOR RICHARDS (R) vs. MASAHIRO TANAKA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-1 (+7.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)



TREVOR RICHARDS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
RICHARDS is 0-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.126.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)



MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
TANAKA is 10-5 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.33 and a WHIP of 0.933.
His team's record is 13-7 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-9. (+1.4 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WASHINGTON (12 - 20) at PHILADELPHIA (15 - 15) - 7:05 PM
PAT CORBIN (L) vs. AARON NOLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 12-20 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 53-56 (-23.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 8-15 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 4-18 (-20.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 20-15 (+13.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)



PAT CORBIN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
CORBIN is 5-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.181.
His team's record is 7-3 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.9 units)



AARON NOLA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
NOLA is 5-6 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.12 and a WHIP of 1.271.
His team's record is 6-14 (-9.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-12. (-4.9 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ATLANTA (20 - 14) at BOSTON (12 - 23) - 7:30 PM
IAN ANDERSON (R) vs. RYAN WEBER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)



IAN ANDERSON vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.



RYAN WEBER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DETROIT (16 - 16) at MILWAUKEE (16 - 18) - 7:40 PM
MICHAEL FULMER (R) vs. JOSH LINDBLOM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 63-129 (-35.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 30-70 (-29.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 45-102 (-32.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 839-852 (-120.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 39-14 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 137-100 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.



MICHAEL FULMER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.



JOSH LINDBLOM vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CLEVELAND (21 - 14) at KANSAS CITY (14 - 21) - 8:05 PM
ZACH PLESAC (R) vs. MATT HARVEY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-2 (+2.4 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)



ZACH PLESAC vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
PLESAC is 3-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.218.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)



MATT HARVEY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
HARVEY is 0-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 7.94 and a WHIP of 1.587.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CHI WHITE SOX (22 - 13) at MINNESOTA (20 - 16) - 8:10 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. MICHAEL PINEDA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 298-268 (+45.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 81-49 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 94-102 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 50-44 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 53-45 (+17.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 61-56 (+24.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 9-1 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.1 Units)



DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
KEUCHEL is 4-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.367.
His team's record is 4-2 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)



MICHAEL PINEDA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
PINEDA is 5-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.24 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.4 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEXAS (12 - 21) at HOUSTON (19 - 14) - 8:10 PM
LUIS GARCIA (R) vs. FRAMBER VALDEZ (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.



LUIS GARCIA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.



FRAMBER VALDEZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
VALDEZ is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 53.73 and a WHIP of 10.448.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SAN FRANCISCO (17 - 19) at COLORADO (17 - 18) - 8:40 PM
KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. JON GRAY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-1 (+1.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)



KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. COLORADO since 1997
GAUSMAN is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.84 and a WHIP of 1.258.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)



JON GRAY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
GRAY is 1-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.30 and a WHIP of 1.620.
His team's record is 3-8 (-7.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-5. (-0.5 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARIZONA (14 - 21) at LA DODGERS (26 - 10) - 9:40 PM
ALEX YOUNG (L) vs. JULIO URIAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 37-121 (-49.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997.
ARIZONA is 17-6 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 63-52 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 49-45 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 1003-846 (-96.3 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 3-1 (+1.8 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)



ALEX YOUNG vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
YOUNG is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 7.05 and a WHIP of 1.697.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)



JULIO URIAS vs. ARIZONA since 1997
URIAS is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, September 1

Toronto @ Miami

Game 903-904
September 1, 2020 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(TBD) 17.870
Miami
(Hernandez) 15.422
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-110
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-110); Over

St. Louis @ Cincinnati

Game 901-902
September 1, 2020 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Kim) 14.099
Cincinnati
(Gray) 15.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-160
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-160); Under

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh

Game 905-906
September 1, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 17.254
Pittsburgh
(Kuhl) 13.779
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 3 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-150
9
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-150); Over

Tampa Bay @ NY Yankees

Game 909-910
September 1, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Richards) 17.312
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 18.736
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-130
9
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-130); Under

Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 911-912
September 1, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Corbin) 17.486
Philadelphia
(Nola) 16.012
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-150
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+130); Over

Atlanta @ Boston

Game 913-914
September 1, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Anderson) 17.696
Boston
(Weber) 14.911
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-170
10
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-170); Over

NY Mets @ Baltimore

Game 907-908
September 1, 2020 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(TBD) 14.971
Baltimore
(Wojchwski) 16.451
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-130
10
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(+110); Under

Detroit @ Milwaukee

Game 915-916
September 1, 2020 @ 7:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Fulmer) 15.119
Milwaukee
(Lindblom) 16.204
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-170
8
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-170); Under

Cleveland @ Kansas City

Game 915-916
September 1, 2020 @ 7:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Plesac) 16.898
Kansas City
(Harvey) 15.213
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-200
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-200); Over

Texas @ Houston

Game 921-922
September 1, 2020 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Garcia) 15.868
Houston
(Valdez) 14.775
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-270
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+220); Over

Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota

Game 919-920
September 1, 2020 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Keuchel) 16.218
Minnesota
(Pineda) 17.702
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+100); Under

San Francisco @ Colorado

Game 923-924
September 1, 2020 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Gausman) 00.000
Colorado
(Gray) 00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco

Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
N/A

Arizona @ LA Dodgers

Game 927-928
September 1, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Young) 14.286
LA Dodgers
(Urias) 18.072
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 4
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-260
9
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-260); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Tuesday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. ET)

The White Sox are 11-0 SU since Aug 06, 2019 off a game as a favorite in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter.


SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. ET)

The Twins are 0-8 SU since Jul 23, 2019 as a home dog after they hit at least one home run last game.


OU Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Washington at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. ET)

The Nationals are 10-0 OU since Oct 22, 2019 as a road dog.


Starter-Based Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. ET)

The Pirates are 0-11 SU since Aug 30, 2016 when Chad Kuhl starts as a dog coming off a quality start last start.


Twitter Submission of the Day:
Matchup: Washington at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. ET)

The Phillies have 10 straight unders in the second games of a series off a win that did not push the total.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL public betting, line movement September 1
Patrick Everson

Robin Lehner and the Golden Knights can advance to the Western Conference finals with a win over the Canucks on Tuesday night. The SuperBook at Westgate has Vegas a -230 favorite.

NHL betting odds are up for Tuesday’s playoff games, a pair of conference semifinals that could send the winners to the conference finals. The Vegas Golden Knights aim to put away the Vancouver Canucks in Game 5, and the New York Islanders look to do likewise against the Philadelphia Flyers.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s contests.

NHL odds movement

Vegas notched a 5-3 Game 4 victory Sunday to take a 3-1 lead in the best-of-7 series and can move on with a win in Tuesday’s 9:45 p.m. ET puck drop. The SuperBook opened the Golden Knights a hefty -230, with the Canucks +205, and there was no line movement by late Monday night.

The Islanders beat the Flyers 3-2 in Game 4 Sunday to set up a clincher in Tuesday’s 7 p.m. ET faceoff. New York opened -115 on the moneyline at The SuperBook, with Philadelphia +105, and this line also hadn’t moved by late Monday night.

NHL public betting

Vegas is grabbing the lion’s share of early picks in the Consensus, at 70 percent against Vancouver. New York isn’t far behind, landing 65 percent of Consensus picks against Philly, as of late Monday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

15NY ISLANDERS -16 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 32-19 ATS (15.6 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

17VANCOUVER -18 VEGAS
VEGAS are 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, September 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY ISLANDERS (45-25-0-11, 101 pts.) vs. PHILADELPHIA (49-26-0-7, 105 pts.) - 9/1/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 49-33 ATS (+82.7 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-19 ATS (+1.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-9 ATS (+26.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 97-74 ATS (+18.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 68-65 ATS (+150.4 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 14-5 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games vs. division opponents this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 39-26 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 10-3 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing in a neutral arena this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 15-10 ATS (+26.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 11-4 (+6.7 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 11-4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
11 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+8.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VANCOUVER (44-32-0-7, 95 pts.) vs. VEGAS (49-26-0-8, 106 pts.) - 9/1/2020, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 17-5 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
VANCOUVER is 44-39 ATS (+83.7 Units) in all games this season.
VANCOUVER is 22-19 ATS (+43.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VEGAS is 95-77 ATS (+215.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 11-3 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 11-3-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.6 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Tuesday, September 1

Trend Report

NY Islanders @ Philadelphia
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Islanders's last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 16 games when playing NY Islanders

Vancouver @ Vegas
Vancouver
Vancouver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Vancouver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Vegas
Vegas is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
Vegas is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, September 1

NY Islanders @ Philadelphia

Game 15-16
September 1, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
13.174
Philadelphia
11.320
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-120
5
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(-120); Under

Vancouver @ Vegas

Game 17-18
September 1, 2020 @ 9:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vancouver
10.902
Vegas
13.409
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 2 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-230
6
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-230); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Churchill Downs Best Plays - 9/1/20 September 1, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Best Plays
Churchill Downs
Tuesday, September 1, 2020
*

*
Churchill Downs 2nd race – Post Time: 1:32 ET
3 – Leading West (5/2)

Yes, he's a nine-race maiden but five of those races were on grass and his dirt form isn’t bad at all, so we suspect with the switch back to the main track this son of Distorted Humor can display his best stuff. The mile and one-quarter trip should be well within his range, so at what figures to be a slow-to-moderate early pace the M. Maker-trained colt projects to draft into a cozy second flight, stalking position and then have his chance to outkick his rivals when it matters the most. There’s solid value here at or near his morning line of 5/2 and at that price we’ll use him in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.

*
Churchill Downs 6th race – Post Time: 3:08 ET
5 – Aunt Pearl (2-1)

Debuting English-bred filly brought the equivalent nearly $360,000 at the Tattersalls October yearling sale last year and makes her debut for top connections in this one mile grass affair for 2-year-old fillies. The B. Cox-trained import has done some exceptional work leading up to this race on a relatively brief work tab that includes two bullet drills and one near miss, a recent half mile breeze in :47 4/5 that was second fastest of 61 for the distance. Bred for turf on both sides of her pedigree, the daughter of Lope de Vega lands top grass rider F. Geroux and catches what appears to be a below par field for the level. At 2-1 on the morning line she’s a win play and rolling exotic single.


*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: Pittsburgh w/Kuhl +140 over Chicago Cubs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Action 365

FREE MLB WINNER 9/1/20:
PLAY Blue Jays @ Marlins OVER 8.5, GAME TIME 6:40 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Tuesday September 1, 2020

9/01 05:10 PM PT / 8:10 PM ET
MLB (919) CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS (920) MINNESOTA TWINS
Take: (919) CHICAGO WHITE SOX

Reason: Your free play for Tuesday, September 1, 2020 is in the MLB contest between the White Sox and the Twins. Cards starting Kwang-Hyu Kim here today. Kim has three starts on the season and has been very good with a 1-0 record and 0.57 ERA. Kim has gone 15 2/3 innings and has allowed just one run and nine total hits. The Reds counter with Sonny Gray who is 5-1 in his seven starts with a 1.94 ERA and 1.008 WHIP. Both these pitchers are having excellent seasons. However, I'm going with the veteran in this one. Your Free play is on the Chicago White Sox.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY: ST LOUIS/CINCINNATI UNDER the total of 8 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U Tuesday's Free Selection: Chicago Cubs/Pittsburgh Pirates over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins Roz's TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 1, 2020 Free Pick

MLB
920. Twins +1.01 (5:10 PT / 8:10 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports
Tuesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: New York Yankees - 145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports Tuesday's Free Play: Cleveland Indians - 190

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: the MIlwaukee Brewers w/Lindblom -170 over Detroit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play TUESDAY, September 1, 2020
MLB
912. Phillies -1.43 (4:05 PT / 7:05 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Early Tuesday Selection Is

COLORADO w/Gray -114

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Tuesday : ARIZONA/LA DODGERS UNDER the total of 9 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Tuesday

Cubs Lester -151

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hawkeye Sports Tuesday's Free Pick: Vegas Golden Knights - 225

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: Cincinnati Gray -155

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph

TUES: W/Sox w/ Keuchel-111

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Last Call Tuesday's Free Play: Miami Marlins - 107

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teyas Sports FREE PICK 9/1 MLB WASHINGTON +140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Tuesday: WASHINGTON/PHILADELPHIA OVER the total of 8½ runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Tuesday: Pittsburgh Pirates + 140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Tuesday: Boston/Toronto UNDER 216½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Anthony Sports

Free Selection: TUE

JAZZ/NUGGETS UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Sacco

Tony Sacco's Free Play for TUESDAY is on the

JAZZ/RAPTORS OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hollywood Anthony

Your TUESDAY Free Play from Hollywood Anthony

CELTICS/RAPTORS UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer Sep 01 '20, 5:30 PM in 1h
NBA | Celtics vs Raptors
Play on: UNDER 219 -110

Take Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics and the Toronto Raptors. Boston (53-24) won the opening game of this series on Sunday with their 112-94 upset victory over the Raptors as a 2-point underdog. The Celtics have then played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Boston has also played 26 of their last 36 games Under the Total as an underdog. Toronto (57-20) has seen the Under go 16-5-1 in their last 22 games after a double-digit loss. The Raptors have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total as the favorite. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Sep 01 '20, 5:30 PM in 1h
NBA | Celtics vs Raptors
Play on: OVER 216½ -110

Free Total Annihilator On Celtics vs Raptors over 216½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Sep 01 '20, 6:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Cardinals vs Reds
Play on: Cardinals +143 at 5Dimes

1* Free Play on Cardinals +143

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy Sep 01 '20, 6:40 PM in 2h
MLB | STL vs CIN
Play on: UNDER 8½ -102

Tuesday MLB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Cincinnati at 6:40 pm et on Tuesday.
We saw a high-scoring affair between these two clubs last night but I expect a different story to unfold on Tuesday. Kwang Hyun Kim will take the ball for the Cardinals. While he's not missing a lot of bats, he has given up just 11 hits in 16 2/3 innings of work this season. He has also been tagged for just one home run. Sonny Gray will counter for the Reds. He was an All-Star a year ago and finished seventh in N.L. Cy Young voting. He's been even better so far this season with his strikeouts per nine innings up and his walks, hits and home runs allowed all down. Look for him to perform well against a Cardinals team that entered last night's action ranked T26 in runs per game and T20 in team batting average. Take the under (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price Sep 01 '20, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Rays vs Yankees
Play on: Rays +145 at 5Dimes

Dave’s Tuesday Free Play:
1* on Tampa Bay Rays +145
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays have won 6 straight and are 19-3 in their last 22 games overall. They should not be underdogs to the Yankees today. It’s a Yankees team that is struggling right now due to being without Judge, Stanton and Torres. The Yankees are just 3-8 in their last 11 games overall. Masahiro Tanaka is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.87 WHIP in 3 home starts this year. One of those was against the Rays on August 18th as he yielded 6 runs in 4 innings of a 3-6 loss. Trevor Richards is 0-0 with a 3.12 ERA in 2 starts this year for the Rays. The Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 games as underdogs. The Rays are 6-0 in the last 6 matchups. Take Tampa Bay.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Sep 01 '20, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Nationals vs Phillies
Play on: Phillies -148 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Philadelphia Phillies -148
The Philadelphia Phillies have climbed back into the NL East race by going 6-1 in their last seven games overall. They have gotten hot at the plate by hitting .278 and scoring 6.4 runs per game in this seven contests. The Washington Nationals are just 1-6 in their last seven games overall and out of the race at 12-20 on the season. They are content with their World Series title last year and having a very disappointing 2020. Ace Aaron Nola takes the ball for the Phillies tonight at 3-2 with a 3.00 ERA in six starts this season. Patrick Corbin is 0-2 with a 5.19 ERA in his last three starts for the Nationals. Give me the Phillies.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Sep 01 '20, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | CHC vs PIT
Play on: OVER 9 -118

PICK - Cubs/Pirates OVER 9
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 906
These two teams will easily combine for 10 runs in Tuesday's matchup. Both offenses are going to feast in this one, as the Cubs send out the struggling Jon Lester against the overrated Chad Kuhl.
Lester had a fantastic start to 2020, but that has taken a turn for the worse. He's got a 8.59 ERA and 1.840 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Lester's ERA for the season is now 4.55, but his FIP is up there at 5.28.
Kuhl comes in with a 2.70 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in 4 starts. Impressive numbers, but a bit fluky. That's evident by Kuhl's awful 5.45 FIP. He's also got a ridiculously low BABIP at .180.
If that wasn't enough bad news for Kuhl, he's 1-6 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.940 WHIP in 9 career starts against the Cubs.
Add in two of baseball's worst bullpens (Pirates 5.09 ERA and Cubs 5.42 ERA) and there's going to be runs early and often in this one. Give me the OVER 9!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Davis Sep 01 '20, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Nationals vs Phillies
Play on: Nationals +146 at 1BetVegas

Phillies are hot and Nationals are cold I get it. As far as a value standpoint though you have to take the Nationals especially with Corbin on the mound. Corbin just had a solid start against the Phillies that resulted in a loss but he was +105. Now we are getting +146? I mean come on this is a big overreaction here

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Sep 01 '20, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Cubs vs Pirates
Play on: Pirates +150 at YouWager

FREE PLAY on Pirates +150

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Mike Williams Sep 01 '20, 7:30 PM in 3h
MLB | Braves vs Red Sox
Play on: Red Sox +165 at YouWager

1* on Red Sox +165

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Sep 01 '20, 7:30 PM in 3h
MLB | Braves vs Red Sox
Play on: Red Sox +155 at 5Dimes

Free Play on Red Sox +155

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Sep 01 '20, 7:40 PM in 3h
MLB | Tigers vs Brewers
Play on: Tigers +155 at Mirage

Free Pick on Tigers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti Sep 01 '20, 8:00 PM in 3h
Soccer | Montreal vs Toronto FC
Play on: Toronto FC -1 -150 at Mirage

$$ Tuesday Featured Free Play $$

At 8:00 eastern the MLS Soccer Play is on Toronto -1 goal. Toronto is in first place in the Eastern conference. Montreal sits in 5th place and coming off a loss. Our simulation model shows a multiple goal win here for Toronto who has better offensive and defensive numbers. Toronto has won 5 of the 6 fixtures that did not end in a draw. Look for Toronto to win by more than 1. Play on Toronto minus the goal. RV- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Sep 01 '20, 8:05 PM in 3h
MLB | Indians vs Royals
Play on: Indians -1½ -130 at sportsbook

Jack’s Free Pick Tuesday: Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-130)
The Cleveland Indians are coming off two straight losses and should be highly motivated for a victory tonight against the Kansas City Royals. They have a big advantage on the mound in this one as well.
Zach Plesac is 1-1 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.667 WHIP in three starts this season with 24 K’s and only 3 earned runs and 2 walks allowed in 21 innings. The Indians are so deep in their rotation that they could afford to trade Mike Clevinger, and Plesac is a big reason why.
Matt Harvey keeps bouncing around the big leagues and is 0-1 with an 11.11 ERA and 2.293 WHIP in two starts this season for the Royals. He has simply lost it. Plesac has never lost to the Royals, going 3-0 with a 2.53 ERA in four career starts against them.
The Indians are 34-10 following a one-run loss over the last three seasons, coming back to win by 2.2 runs per game on average. Cleveland is 10-2 in its last 12 road games. The Indians are 48-18 in their last 66 vs. a team with a losing record. The Royals are 18-47 in their last 65 games following a win. Bet the Indians on the Run Line Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Sep 01 '20, 8:05 PM in 3h
MLB | CLE vs KC
Play on: UNDER 9 +105

1 Dimer on Indians vs Royals under 9 +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Sep 01 '20, 8:10 PM in 3h
MLB | White Sox vs Twins
Play on: White Sox -105 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on White Sox -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Sep 01 '20, 8:10 PM in 3h
MLB | White Sox vs Twins
Play on: Twins +103 at Buckeye

1* Free Sharp Play on Twins +103
The Twins (+103) are worth a look here as a home dog against the White Sox. Minnesota fell 5-8 to Chicago on Monday, but were up against White Sox ace Lucas Giolito. It was a rare home loss for the Twins, who are now 12-4 at Target Field. I like Minnesota to bounce back here. Twins' Michael Pineda will be making his first start after his suspension. Word is he's looked good in his tuneups to this one. Play the Twins +103!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson Sep 01 '20, 9:40 PM in 5h
MLB | Diamondbacks vs Dodgers
Play on: Dodgers -1½ -117 at pinnacle

Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Tuesday 9-1-20
Arizona @ LA Dodgers (9:40 PM EST)
Play On: LA Dodgers -1.5 -117 (Young/Urias) Listed
The Arizona Diamondbacks travel to Los Angeles to take on the Dodgers on Tuesday night. Arizona is 14-21 SU overall this year while the LA Dodgers come in with a 26-10 SU overall record on the season. Alex Young is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA on the road this year. Young is 0-1 with a 7.05 ERA in 2 career starts vs the Dodgers. Julio Urias is 1-0 with a 2.35 ERA at home this season. Urias is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in his one career start vs Arizona. Arizona is scoring only 2.9 runs per game against left handed starters and 3.4 runs per game past 7 games overall. Arizona is allowing 5.4 runs per game on the road this year. LA Dodgers are scoring 5.7 runs per game overall this year, 5.7 runs per game at home this season and 6.3 runs per game past 7 games overall. LA Dodgers are allowing only 3.2 runs per game overall this year and 2.9 runs per game at home this season. Arizona is 37-121 last 158 games as a road underdog of +175 to +250. We'll recommend a small play on the LA Dodgers on the run line tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Insider Sports Report

MLB Brewers over 9

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Top Rank Sports Picks

NBA Toronto -1.5

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Primetime Sports Picks

MLB Twins under 9