Sunday 9/6/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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Al Cimaglia: Scioto Downs Pick 5 Analysis September 6, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
It is Ohio Super Night at Scioto Downs with the best state-bred 2 and 3-year-old trotters and pacers competing in 8 stake races each with a $300,000 purse. The 0.50 Pick 5 with a low 14% takeout begins in Race 5 and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5

3-McMarkle Sparkle (9/2)-Raced the back half in 54.4 from the 9-hole on a good track in a condition race last week. Appears ready for a big try here. Trainer has won 20% of starts in last 30 days, Brett Miller returns, should be a square price, and likes the track.
4-Crowntimerockette (2-1)-Comes into this affair in good form and figures to be a player at a short price. Does have only 1 win in 7 starts at ScD. But should be forwardly placed and can take a picture, especially if gets the top without using up much gas.
5-Artful Dancer (3-1)-Winner in 5 of 10 Scioto starts could beat this field without getting the top by the opening quarter. Noble has some options and if he finds a live cover flow chances for success go up.

Race 6

2-Winning Ticket (2-1)-This colt has lost twice in 5 starts and both times it was due to an interference break. Could lose this race but most likely it will be because of bad luck once again. Looking for a smooth trip and will make this my single.

Race 7

2-Uncle Peters Love (10-1)-Looking to spread out a bit in this leg with the big chalk leaving from post 8. This gal is a risky play because she shows 4 breaks in the past 2 months but 2 were on a fair track. Can stay in the mix at long odds if minds her manners.
4-Delovely Hall (8-1)-Comes off a nice effort versus #8 at the Red Mile and is often close. Merriman steers again and last race came off a 16-day gap. Now comes back in 7-days and could be sitting on big try at a nice price.
6-A Fancy Face (9/2)-Burke trainee has 3 wins and 2-second place finishes in 6 starts at ScD. Starts inside of the morning line choice, should be a major player and is a use in gimmicks.
8-Guinevere Hall (1/1)-This is the best filly in the race, many will likely single and I will respect but look to others. Comes off a big effort at Lex from the 8-hole last week but maybe this time the trip won't work out as well.

Race 8

1-Four-Star Flash (8-1)-May not have the gate speed to have the lead at the 1/4 pole but Wrenn should be able to keep this colt involved. Might be overlooked at the windows and the Brown trainee could be getting better. Faces a tough group but did have a sharp win at Nfld on 8/17.
2-Charlie May (3-1)-Has been 1st or 2nd in all 6 starts and has enough gate speed to be on the engine or in the 2 hole. My guess is the odds-on choice gets the top and Charlie catches a sweet pocket ride.
3-Heart Of Chewbacca (1/1)-This colt has been a perfect 4 for 4 since joining the Burke stable. But now tries Lasix for the 1st time, so will use and look to the 2 above for a better Pick 5 payout.

Race 9

2-Action Uncle 1/1-Has been a dominant 6 for 6 versus 3-year-olds this year and most wins were by open lengths. Morgan trainee is probably a clean trip away from another picture.
6-Yanks Dougout (8-1)-Didn't do much as a 2-year-old but has been very good as a sophomore going 8 for 12. Finished 2nd to Uncle on 8/15 after getting the top but only to fade down the lane. This time Sugg may come off cover and if the chalk doesn't bring his A-game this could be the winner at a juicy price.

0.50 Pick 5

3,4,5/2/2,4,6,8/1,2,3/2,6
Total Bet=$36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 4 Ticket Sunday at Saratoga September 6, 2020 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
The Grade 1 Spinaway Stakes) is the headliner on the Sunday program at Saratoga. It’s also the kickoff race to the Late Pick 4, which includes two other stakes (G2 Honorable Miss and Lucky Coin Stakes) and a conditioned claiming race to end the day.

The suggested ticket is for $72 and follows a 3x4x3x4 pattern.

Here’s how I see it:

Race 9 (5:11 p.m. ET, G1 Spinaway Stakes)

LADY LILLY was all out and lasted for a victory in her career debut. Will take a leap to Grade 1 company but this is not a horribly difficult spot and it’s tough to question Steve Asmussen’s top juveniles at this point. The Hall of Fame trainer’s success with newcomers has been phenomenal this year.

BEAUTIFUL MEMORIES stumbled at the start and was pulled up shortly after the G3 Schuylerville. That’s clearly a throw-out race. Look at the 10-length win in her five-furlong debut at Churchill and you see something special.

GUANA CAY is a maiden, but she’s a Wesley Ward maiden. She improved in her second start and could benefit from the additional distance.


Race 10 (5:45 p.m. ET, G2 Honorable Miss Stakes)

COME DANCING is a millionaire and has won two of four over this strip. She was a non-threatening fourth in the G1 Ballerina and fits with these.

BLAMED set the pace and tired late in the G1 Phipps. Just missed in the Shine Again last time out and turns back to six furlongs. She’ll likely be strong on the front end at the distance.

BYE BYE J will play the role of stalker and has won three of her last five. Was impressive in the Saylorville at Prairie Meadows last out, stopping the timer in 1:08 4-5.

LADY’S ISLAND’s only Saratoga appearance produced a 13-length win. That came against starter allowance company and she has long moved on from that level. She’s a graded winner and just hasn’t run a bad one over the past few years.


Race 11 (6:17 p.m. ET, Lucky Coin Stakes)

SHEKKY SHEBAZ is well traveled and generally runs well almost everywhere he goes. Might be overplayed in the straight pool here but is worthy of inclusion in this sequence.

READYFORPRIMETIME is extremely fast but doesn’t need the lead to win, and that makes this truly dangerous in this spot.

GIDU got carried away early last time and weakened going longer, and by the looks of her form this 5.5 furlongs should work in her favor.


Race 12 (6:49 p.m. ET, claiming)

LEEWAY never got untracked last out against a better level and can be closer to the early action in this one. Can be a force in the stretch today.

FUN FINDER’s connections have tried to run her on turf but those scheduled races were washed off the grass and onto the main track. She should like the grass and can close to the pace.

SUPER CUTE fizzled in her last one, but was claimed by Maker, and that usually means improvement. Can make a run today.

POSITIVE SKEW closed mildly for fifth last time and likely will be pushed to get closer early. Was second two races back.

Here’s the suggested ticket for Saratoga’s Late Pick 4 on Sunday:

9) #3 Lady Lilly, #5 Beautiful Memories, #6 Guana Cay.
10) #1 Come Dancing, #2 Blamed, #5 Bye Bye J, #7 Lady’s Island.
11) #1 Shekky Shebaz, #7 Readyforprimetime, #9 Gidu.
12) #2 Leeway, #4 Fun Finder, #7 Super Cute, #10 Positive Skew.
50-cent Late Pick 4: 3-5-6 with 1-2-5-7 with 1-7-9 with 2-4-7-10. ($72)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Saratoga - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#4 Cold Hard Cash
Lightly raced runner for Rice wheels back after running a good 2nd 14 days ago in his first against winners, has the tactical speed to stay close, and seems on the improve; look out.


#5 Majestic West
Stretch out sprinter should be a lot closer early on after chasing hot splits in his last two, and he's bred for this too, while going second-off the long layoff as well; looms very large.


#2 First Rate
Logical sort has run well in both starts at the level and drew well, but his form has also seemed to stagnate, as he's basically run the same race in all three for Joseph; mixed signals.


Race Summary
That 2-1 ML seems a tad low on the pick, as 5-2 or even 3-1 might be doable in this group, which looks evenly matched on paper, so play him to win and place at 5-2 or better, though you can get some built-in value by keying him in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, as there are several different ways to go in here, but the pick has the upside, and seems poised for another big run.


Saratoga - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#4 Unholy Alliance
Sharp local winner over lesser did it with plenty of trouble too, and while this is a stiff step up in class, the favorites are tough to trust, and the price will be right; upset special.


#2 Blamed
The gal to beat snatched defeat from the jaws of victory last time, when she seemed a certain winner, but she lost to a nice one, and her one-turn form is sharp; the main danger.


#1 Come Dancing
G1 winner wins this running backwards with her best, but it's safe to say those days are gone, and from a tricky draw at an underlaid price, she's impossible to play; trying to beat.


Race Summary
That 10-1 ML on the pick seems mighty juicy against a group of gals who aren't exactly that awe inspiring, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, as she tipped her hand last time and won't have to run much faster today, yet a win would go a long way in blowing up both sequences.


Saratoga - Race #11


Picks
Notes


#7 Readyforprimetime
Rice runner fell onto the lead last time and ran with it for a sharp W, but this attack post gives him options, and the price will be right on the rise as well; thinking he fires another biggie.


#9 Gidu
Dangerous router cuts back and drew the perfect outside attack post for what is a very speedy package, but this could be sharp for him, so he may need to get acclimated first; second-best.


#1 Shekky Shebaz
Stiff ML favorite just doesn't seem the same since leaving Jason Servis' barn-go figure-and this post is no bargain either, so at false odds, with no edge any more, he can beat us; no thanks.


Race Summary
The price will be right on the 7, and it's not like the 1 is any great shakes any more, so this isn't the tallest mountain he has to climb u the class ladder, so play him in all the slots, and especially the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he could fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would go a long way in adding plenty of value to both sequences.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Mountaineer - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 Ezzadora
Showed a small sign of life in a slow race at Gulfstream last out, and a return to the local company gives some hope for another step forward.


#8 Boomtown
No doubt the one to beat off the good local effort on the main track last out, but this is her 12th career start, so she's getting a bit tough to trust.


#2 Niva
Has a couple of decent running lines against good groups, but she's going to have to hustle to keep up in the early going while cutting back.


Race Summary
Ezzadora would be playable at something like her 5/1 ML price after showing decent tracking pace at Gulfstream last out, and this is a field full of questions marks, so don't accept a short price anywhere.


Mountaineer - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#1 Top Hat Warrior
Has been in decent form locally this season, and he has some pace to put to use from the fence. In a race for horses who have never won on the lawn, he's not exposed with just one career turf start under his belt. 12/1?


#6 On Fire
Another boasting good recent form, and he'll make his turf debut here with a versatile enough pedigree to think he can handle the new footing.


#2 Swither's Shortcut
Has a class edge from recent main-track races at Thistledown, but he'll be giving the jump to the top choices turning for home.


Race Summary
Top Hat Warrior can be tough from the fence. Not sure he's going to offer the 12/1 ML price, but it'd be plenty fair to give this guy another shot on the turf.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#1 Rhythmia
Lost a three-horse blanket finish last out and has been competitive in other races at this level as well; sitting on a win.


#8 Til the End
Ran strongly in the final furlong and missed by a nose last time; in solid form over his last three and fits well here.


#4 Zap Daddy
Was an easy winner and was claimed for $35,000 by Gracida, but that was a year ago. Has the talent but needs the race.


Race Summary
Rhythmia barely missed last out and has finished with interest in recent starts; game enough to fight it out with these.


Gulfstream Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#6 Charlie the Greek
Was claimed by Torres last time and has rounded back into good form with seconds in his last two; the blinkers come off for this one and he is well spotted for his first win since March.


#3 Just Kidding
Has won two straight for a lower level and turns back from a two-turn win; capable.


#1 R Mercedes Boy
Tried the turf to no avail last time and was a sharp winner on dirt two back; usually is in the hunt.


Race Summary
Charlie the Greek has stretched out in his last two and has had good results; can be in the mix from the outset.


Gulfstream Park - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#5 Garter and Tie
Improved position and finished second to Cool Arrow at the end of the Open Lead. Cool Arrow came out of that one and won the G3 Smile Sprint Stakes Saturday. This one can make a solid late run here.


#3 Art G Is Back
Talented runner didn't do much in in his first since December and needs that one; has a good kick going seven furlongs and can show improvement here.


#6 Noble Drama
Turns back from a runner-up finish in the Sea Trophy; will have to get tuned up early and can threaten late.


Race Summary
Garter and Tie is long overdue for his first win since June 2019. He's been with some solid company and comes in off a second. Can get back to the winner's circle today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB public betting, line movement September 6
Patrick Everson

Wilson Contreras and the Cubs look to bounce back from Saturday's doubleheader sweep at the hands of the Cardinals. Chicago hosts St. Louis at 7:08 p.m. ET Sunday night.

MLB betting odds are on the board for a full Sunday schedule of 15 games, with every team in play and no doubleheaders, for a change. Among the marquee matchups is a battle between National League Central rivals with the St. Louis Cardinals facing the Chicago Cubs under the lights at Wrigley Field.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s games.

MLB line movement

The Cardinals swept a Saturday doubleheader with the Cubs, winning 4-2 and 5-1 in the second and third games of a five-game weekend set. Most sportsbooks held off on posting the line Saturday night for Sunday’s 7:08 p.m. ET first pitch, so check back Sunday morning.

Out on the Left Coast, the San Diego Padres and Oakland Athletics wrap up a three-game interleague series. The two teams split the first two games, with Oakland rolling 8-4 on Saturday. Caesars books opened this 4:10 p.m. ET game practically a pick ‘em, with the A’s a -107 favorite and the Padres -103, and there was no line movement Sunday night.

And fans of first five innings Under bets will love Sunday, because both Shane Bieber and Jacob deGrom are on the mound. Bieber (6-0, 1.20 ERA) and the Cleveland Indians are -225 home favorites against the Milwaukee Brewers, while deGrom (2-1, 1.76 ERA) and the New York Mets opened -150 and moved to -154 early against the visiting Philadelphia Phillies. Both games start at 1:10 p.m. ET.

MLB public betting

The Consensus is often a good indicator of who the public likes, and for Padres-A’s, it was a perfect split decision late Saturday night, with both teams landing 50 percent of early picks. Not surprisingly, Bieber and the Indians were a popular Consensus play, getting 73 percent of early picks against the Brewers.

However, deGrom and the Mets are facing a very hot Philly outfit that was on a 10-1 run before a 5-1 Saturday loss to the Mets. Plus, Aaron Nola (4-2, 2.45 ERA) is throwing for the Phillies. As such, the Consensus was split, with the Mets landing 51 percent of early picks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

951NY YANKEES -952 BALTIMORE
NY YANKEES are 51-22 SU (30.6 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.

953PHILADELPHIA -954 NY METS
NY METS are 2-9 SU (-9.1 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse in the current season.

955MILWAUKEE -956 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 19-8 SU (9.7 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

957WASHINGTON -958 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 7-0 SU (7 Units) when playing on Sunday in the current season.

959MIAMI -960 TAMPA BAY
MIAMI is 8-18 SU (-14.4 Units) vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 2 seasons.

961TORONTO -962 BOSTON
BOSTON is 4-14 SU (-13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

963CINCINNATI -964 PITTSBURGH
CINCINNATI is 3-14 SU (-14.8 Units) vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game in the current season.

965CHI WHITE SOX -966 KANSAS CITY
CHI WHITE SOX is 12-1 SU (12.5 Units) in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

967DETROIT -968 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 10-3 SU (6.7 Units) in home games against right-handed starters in the current season.

969ARIZONA -970 SAN FRANCISCO
ARIZONA is 41-21 SU (19.3 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons.

971HOUSTON -972 LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 13-21 SU (-10.6 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

973SAN DIEGO -974 OAKLAND
SAN DIEGO is 28-49 SU (-25.9 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

975TEXAS -976 SEATTLE
TEXAS are 3-12 SU (-14.5 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

977ST LOUIS -978 CHICAGO CUBS
ST LOUIS are 19-25 SU (-16.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

979COLORADO -980 LA DODGERS
COLORADO is 29-49 SU (-26.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Sunday, September 6

National League
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Reds (18-22)
Gray gave up six runs, didn’t get out of the 1st inning in his last start; he is 1-1, 3.31 in three road starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-3 Team in first 5 innings: 6-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: over 3-0-2 last five

— Cincinnati won three of its last four games.
— Reds are 4-1 in their last five road games.
— Under is 8-1-1 in the Reds’ last 10 road games.

Pirates (12-26):
Kuhl is 1-1, 3.75 in five starts this year, 1-0, 4.15 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: over 4-0-1

— Pirates lost seven of their last ten games.
— Pittsburgh is 7-13 at home this year.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Washington @ Atlanta
Nationals (14-24):
Corbin is 0-3, 4.84 in his last four starts; he is 1-2, 5.06 on the road.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-5 Team in first 5 innings: 4-3
Allowed run in first inning: 1-7 Totals: under 5-2

— Washington is 9-16 in its last 25 games.
— Nationals are 7-11 in their last 18 road games.
— Over is 18-6-1 in their last 25 games.

Braves (23-17):
Tomlin is 0-2, 7.94 in three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-3 Team in first 5 innings: 0-3
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: over 2-1

— Braves are 11-6 in their last 17 games.
— Atlanta is 7-4 in its last 11 home games.
— Over is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

Philadelphia @ New York
Phillies (19-16)
Nola is 4-1, 1.93 in his last five starts; he is 1-1, 5.59 on the road.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-7 Totals: under 5-2

— Philly won 10 of its last 12 games.
— Phillies won four of their last five road games.
— Over is 8-6-1 in their last 15 games.

Mets (18-22)
deGrom is 2-1, 2.41 in seven starts this year; he is 1-1, 2.79 in five home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-2 Team in first 5 innings: 5-0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-7 Totals: over 5-2

— Mets lost six of their last nine games overall.
— New York is 8-11 at home this season.
— Over is 7-4-1 in their last 12 games.

St Louis @ Chicago
Cardinals (16-15)
Hudson is 1-0, 2.04 in his last three starts; he is 1-1, 2.45 on the road.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: under 3-2

— St Louis won five of its last seven games.
— Cardinals are 9-5 in their last 14 road games.
— Over is 7-4-2 in Cardinals’ last 13 games.

Cubs (23-17):
Lester is 0-1, 6.75 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 5.74 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-7 Totals: over 4-0 last four

— Cubs are 4-3 in their last seven games.
— Chicago is 5-9 in its last 14 home games.
— Over is 14-7-1 in their last 22 games.

Colorado @ Los Angeles
Rockies (19-20):
Castellani is 1-3, 6.62 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: under 3-2

— Rockies lost five of their last eight games.
— Colorado won four of its last five road games.
— Under is 6-3-1 in their last ten road games.

Dodgers (30-11)
Urias is 3-0, 3.38 in seven starts (32 IP); he is
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-3 Team in first 5 innings: 5-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 4-7 Totals: over 5-1-1

— Dodgers won 12 of their last 15 games.
— LA won 11 of its last 12 home games.
— Under is 10-5 in their last 15 home games.

Arizona @ San Francisco
Diamondbacks (15-25):
Young is 0-2, 5.40 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-3 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 4-4 Totals: 2-2

— Arizona lost 14 of its last 16 games overall.
— Diamondbacks lost nine of their last ten road games.
— Under is 12-4 in their last 16 games.

Giants (19-21):
Cueto is 2-0, 4.66 in his last five starts; he is 1-0, 6.20 in four home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-2 Team in first 5 innings: 5-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: over 5-2-1

— Giants lost six of their last nine games.
— SF won six of its last ten home games.
— Under is 5-3 in Giants’ last eight home games.

American League
Detroit @ Minnesota
Tigers (17-20):
Mize is 0-1, 7.59 in three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Detroit lost its last three games.
— Tigers are 8-10 on the road this season.
— Over is 9-8-1 in their road games.

Twins (25-16)
Hill is 0-1, 5.56 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: 2-2

— Twins won their last five games.
— Minnesota is 15-3 in its last 18 home games.
— Under is 16-3-3 in their last 22 games.

Toronto @ Boston
Blue Jays (21-18):
Ray is making his Toronto debut; he was 1-4, 7.84 in seven starts for Arizona.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 2-7 Totals: under 4-3

— Blue Jays are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— Jays are 8-5 in their last 13 road games.
— Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

Red Sox (14-27):
Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Red Sox are 8-9 in their last 17 games.
— Boston is 5-11 in its last 16 home games.
— Over is 10-4-2 in their last 16 home games.

New York @ Baltimore
Bronx (21-18):
Tanaka is 1-1, 4.05 in six starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-6 Totals: under 4-0-2

— Bronx split its last ten games.
— New York lost nine of its last 11 road games.
— NY won 19 of its last 21 games with Baltimore.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

Orioles (18-21):
Wojciechowski is 1-1, 5.06 in his last five starts; he is 1-3, 6.04 in five home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-4
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: under 4-3

— Orioles lost 13 of their last 19 games overall.
— Baltimore is 4-9 in its last 13 home games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Chicago @ Kansas City
White Sox (25-15):
Keuchel is 3-0, 2.19 in his last four starts; he is 2-1, 2.59 in four road outings.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-3 Team in first 5 innings: 6-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-8 Totals: under 5-3

— Chicago won 16 of its last 23 games overall.
— White Sox won eight of their last 11 road games.
— Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games.

Royals (14-26):
Keller is 3-1, 1.93 in five starts this year; he is 2-0, 0.50 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: under 3-2

— Royals lost 14 of their last 20 games.
— KC is 3-7 in its last ten home games.
— Under is 13-6-2 in their last 21 games.

Houston @ Angels
Astros (21-18):
Valdez is 3-0, 2.60 in his last four starts; he is 1-1, 3.07 on the road.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3
Allowed run in first inning: 3-6 Totals: over 4-2

— Astros is 6-8 in their last 14 games overall.
— Houston lost its last six road games.
— Over is 11-5 in their last 16 games.

Angels (16-25):
Barria allowed one run in 4.1 IP (71 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Angels won their last four games.
— Halos are 7-4 in their last 11 home games.
— Over is 17-5-1 in Angel home games.

Texas @ Seattle
Rangers (13-25):
Lyles is 1-3, 11.69 in five starts; he is 0-1, 12.00 in two starts vs Seattle.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 1-4
Allowed run in first inning: 3-5 Totals: over 4-1

— Texas lost 16 of its last 19 games.
— Rangers lost 10 of their last 11 road games.
— Over is 12-6-1 in their last 19 games.

Mariners (17-22):
Dunn threw 12 shutout innings in his last two starts; he is 0-1, 2.70 in two home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-2 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-6 Totals: 3-3

— Seattle won nine of its last 12 games.
— Mariners won seven of their last eight home tilts.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Interleague
Miami @ Tampa Bay
Marlins (17-17):
Rogers is 1-0, 2.00 in two MLB starts, both against the Mets.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 1-1

— Miami lost six of its last nine games overall.
— Marlins won five of their last seven road games.
— Over is 8-2 in their last ten road games.

Rays (27-13):
Glasnow is 2-0, 1.93 in his last three starts; he is 1-1, 4.30 in three home outings.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-2 Team in first 5 innings: 5-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-7 Totals: over 4-2-1

— Tampa Bay won 21 of its last 26 games.
— Rays won seven of their last ten home games.
— Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

Milwaukee @ Cleveland
Brewers (18-19):
Anderson is 2-0, 3.71 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-3 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3
Allowed run in first inning: 4-6 Totals: 3-3

— Milwaukee won five of its last eight games.
— Brewers lost five of their last six road games.
— Over is 5-2-1 in Milwaukee’s last eight games.

Indians (24-15):
Bieber is 3-0, 0.72 in his last four starts; he is 2-0, 1.50 in two home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 7-1 Team in first 5 innings: 5-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: under 7-1

— Cleveland is 7-3 in its last ten games.
— Indians are 4-6 in their last ten home games.
— Under is 6-3-2 in Cleveland’s last 11 games.

San Diego @ Oakland
Padres (24-17)
Richards is 0-1, 6.08 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-5
Allowed run in first inning: 3-8 Totals: under 4-1 last five

— San Diego won 14 of its last 19 games.
— Padres are 7-3 in their last ten road games.
— Over is 11-7 in their last 18 games.

A’s (23-13):
Fiers is 3-0, 3.12 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 6.46 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-1 Team in first 5 innings: 4-3
Allowed run in first inning: 0-7 Totals: under 4-3

— Oakland is 4-5 in its last nine games.
— A’s won 11 of their last 13 home games.
— Under is 8-4 in their last 12 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Sunday, September 6

Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Yankees @ Baltimore
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 15 of NY Yankees's last 16 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 14 of NY Yankees's last 15 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Baltimore's last 16 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Baltimore's last 15 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

Washington @ Atlanta
Washington
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Washington

Milwaukee @ Cleveland
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

Miami @ Tampa Bay
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Tampa Bay is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami

Philadelphia @ NY Mets
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 9 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto's last 14 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto

Chi White Sox @ Kansas City
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox

Detroit @ Minnesota
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Detroit

Arizona @ San Francisco
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 10 games on the road
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

Houston @ LA Angels
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

San Diego @ Oakland
San Diego
San Diego is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
San Diego is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Oakland
Oakland is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego

Texas @ Seattle
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas

St. Louis @ Chi Cubs
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis
Chi Cubs is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Colorado @ LA Dodgers
Colorado
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
LA Dodgers is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Colorado

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA public betting, line movement September 6
Patrick Everson

LeBron James and the Lakers were dealt a stunning 112-97 loss in Game 1 against the Rockets. The SuperBook opened the Lakers -5.5 for Sunday night's Game 2 against Houston.

NBA betting odds are up as the playoffs continue with a pair of conference semifinal games on the Sunday schedule. The prime-time tilt pits the top-seeded Los Angeles Lakers against the Houston Rockets in Game 2, preceded by Game 4 of the stunningly one-sided Milwaukee Bucks-Houston Rockets series.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s matchups.

NBA line movement

Houston got stretched to seven games by Oklahoma City in the first round, narrowly wrapping it up with a 104-102 victory Wednesday night. Then on far shorter rest than the Lakers, the Rockets put a 112-97 hurting on 6.5-point favorite Los Angeles in Friday’s Game 1.

For Game 2, The SuperBook opened at Lakers -5.5 late Friday night, and the number was pinned there through Saturday night for Sunday’s 8:30 p.m. ET start.

Meanwhile, the No. 1 overall seed in the NBA playoffs is in a world of hurt right now. Milwaukee is in a 3-0 hole in the best-of-7 series against Miami, which can put away this series with a win in a 3:30 p.m. ET tipoff. The Bucks could be without Giannis Antetokounmpo for Game 4 due to a sprained ankle suffered in the 115-100 Game 3 loss Friday.

With that in mind, The SuperBook opened the Heat 1.5-point favorites, and the line ticked down to pick Saturday afternoon before going back up to Miami -1. However, The SuperBook took the game off the board Saturday night, after Antetokounmpo was listed as questionable.

NBA public betting

Despite Antetokounmpo’s uncertain status, the Consensus showed the Bucks landing 54 percent of early picks as a short underdog to the Heat. Rockets-Lakers was also seeing two-way play late Saturday night, with 52 percent of early Consensus picks on the Lakers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

745MILWAUKEE -746 MIAMI
MILWAUKEE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) in the current season.

747HOUSTON -748 LA LAKERS
HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park



Lone Star Park - Race 9

WPS / Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $.50 Pick 3 (Races 9-10-11) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 9-10-11-12)



Allowance • 250 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 72 • Purse: $21,000 • Post: 9:49P


QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * RELENTLESS JACK: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. LA INSEPARABLE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at le ast 50. MOSAIK: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. MEREDITHS CARTEL: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. CORONA VELVET: Horse's win percentage at tod ay's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.



1

RELENTLESS JACK

3/1


5/1




7

LA INSEPARABLE

7/2


6/1




10

MOSAIK

4/1


8/1




5

MEREDITHS CARTEL

15/1


8/1




2

CORONA VELVET

10/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

RELENTLESS JACK

1


3/1

Average/Trouble-prone

77


67


4.2


0.0


0.0




2

CORONA VELVET

2


10/1

Fast

58


62


2.4


0.0


0.0




3

GOLLY JESS

3


10/1

Average

49


62


0.0


0.0


0.0




4

MUNECO CAT

4


15/1

Slow

59


59


8.3


0.0


0.0




5

MEREDITHS CARTEL

5


15/1

Fast

72


61


1.6


0.0


0.0




6

ALAMITOS DREAMS

6


12/1

Fast

58


52


1.2


0.0


0.0




7

LA INSEPARABLE

7


7/2

Fast/Trouble-prone

72


67


1.5


0.0


0.0




8

RAINBOW DASH

8


15/1

Fast

67


56


1.2


0.0


0.0




9

E M BEST CARD

9


10/1

Average

69


57


4.1


0.0


0.0




10

MOSAIK

10


4/1

Fast

63


64


3.2


0.0


0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)



Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 6

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager $1 Pick Three



Allowance • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 8:50P


QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * ARTS OBSESSION: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FULL MOON: Quarter h orse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MAX MY BULLETS: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). QUIET TALKS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



6

ARTS OBSESSION

9/2


9/2




3

FULL MOON

5/2


5/1




4

MAX MY BULLETS

5/1


8/1




1

QUIET TALKS

4/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

QUIET TALKS

1


4/1

Slow

82


75


6.7


0.0


0.0




2

CANELITO

2


5/1

Fast

72


69


0.0


0.0


0.0




3

FULL MOON

3


5/2

Average

88


77


4.7


0.0


0.0




4

MAX MY BULLETS

4


5/1

Average

85


81


4.4


0.0


0.0




5

TRES ILLUSIONS

5


3/1

Slow

78


77


7.1


0.0


0.0




6

ARTS OBSESSION

6


9/2

Slow

90


86


6.6


0.0


0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Albuquerque

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Allowance - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $29000 Class Rating: 77

FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 6 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 7 TRICKESSY 6/1




# 2 BEAUTIFUL BOUNTY 9/2




# 5 TIME IS PRECIOUS 10/1




TRICKESSY has a formidable shot to take this race. She has been running admirably lately while recording sharp Speed Figures. Has a very solid record at the distance and surface, which makes me think about this filly. Should be given consideration for this event if only for the formidable speed rating recorded in the last contest. BEAUTIFUL BOUNTY - Could best this group based on the speed figure - 73 - of her last contest. With a reliable jockey who has won at a very good 18 percent rate over the last month. This has to be one of the top choices. TIME IS PRECIOUS - Has been moving quite well and has among the most favorable speed in the race for today's distance.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Century Mile - Race #4 - Post: 6:45pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 TEXAS ALLEY KAT (ML=3/1)
#6 CHIANTI (ML=7/5)
#3 MOONLIGHT CRUSH (ML=7/2)


TEXAS ALLEY KAT - I have to figure that this shorter distance should help this mare. As the only speedy sort in the race, I expect this mare to be long gone. Look for this mare to run a lot better today. Last race at Century Mile finishing fourth on a track listed as good is no sign of her true ability. CHIANTI - This mare is in fine physical condition. Finished first on August 16th. Just view her last fig, 80. That one fits well in this bunch. The improved Equibase speed figures over the last three races is great. Goodsell drops her in this race ready to go. MOONLIGHT CRUSH - This mare was sharp enough to post a 'top two' workout recently. I think she's ready for today's event. This mare is back in a race very quick. This is a great angle - Sprint horses that come back in less than 10 days after a race. A good sign of a sharp and ready racehorse. Look at this mare's PP lines. With each event she keeps getting closer. This thoroughbred coming off a solid performance in the last 30 days is a solid contender in my opinion.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 PIPERS JOY (ML=8/1),

PIPERS JOY - Recorded a most unsatisfactory speed fig last time around the track in a $4,000 Claiming race on August 23rd. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that figure.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #4 TEXAS ALLEY KAT on the win end if we get at least 7/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Skip



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [3,4,6] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sweetwater Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Stakes - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 74

SWEETWATER DOWNS THOROUGHBRED DERBY - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. NO NOMINATION. $200 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX. PREFERENCE BY TOTAL LIFETIME EARNINGS, WITH WINNERS PREFERRED REGARDLESS OF EARNINGS. PURSE TO BE DIVIDED: 50% TO WINNER, 25% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 8% TO FOURTH, AND 7% TO FIFTH. FIELD WILL BE LIMITED TO TEN. FILLIES .121 LBS. COLTS AND GELDINGS




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 9 BLUE MOUNTAIN BELL 5/2




# 8 GUNSLINGERS LEGACY 8/1




# 4 BANANA PEPPER 4/1




BLUE MOUNTAIN BELL has a respectable shot to take this race. Earning some good money in dirt sprint events. Always seems to be right there at the wire. Has been racing strongly and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. GUNSLINGERS LEGACY - Should be carefully examined - I like the figs from the last race. BANANA PEPPER - Ought to be given consideration here on the basis of the numbers in the speed realm alone. Has respectable Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses - worth a look.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Golden Gate Fields - Race #1 - Post: 1:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#1 LORD VADER (ML=6/1)
#6 R M C HOOK'EM (ML=5/2)


LORD VADER - This fine animal should be rumbling in the lane. R M C HOOK'EM - Rivera rode this horse for the first time in the last race and comes right back this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 COOLCROSS (ML=8/5), #3 UNFLAPPABLE (ML=7/2), #5 ST. GEEZY (ML=9/2),

COOLCROSS - Morning line odds of 8/5 make this horse a pass by my approach. UNFLAPPABLE - Last raced on Jun 27th at Pleasanton, finishing sixth. Unlikely to advance off of that effort today. Not easy to wager on any thoroughbred in a sprint event at 7/2 when he hasn't shown any competitive efforts in sprints in the last two months. ST. GEEZY - Never really did much at all last race out on May 30th. Hard to invest in in today's event.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #1 LORD VADER to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Monmouth Park



09/06/20, MTH, Race 2, 1.16 ET
09/06/20,MTH,2,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. (PLUS UP TO 40% NJB) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $16,000. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since August 6 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since July 6 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Maiden Claiming Or Races Where Entered For $14,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.0000
2
D Dawg
7/2
Peterson F
McBurney Patrick B.
FEL
45.68
1.21/$1


099.0779
4
Bramble Berry
8/5
Ferrer J C
Sweezey J. Kent


45.68
1.21/$1


098.3445
6
She Answered
2-1
Bravo J
Duarte. Jr. Jorge
T
45.68
1.21/$1


098.2602
5
Agora
5-1
Garcia W A
Caruso Nick Joseph
SC
44.00
1.15/$1


096.8540
1
Di
12-1
Torres J
Moore Michael M.
W
31.79
0.83/$1


096.4755
3
Lolanita
8-1
Gallardo A A
Hogan William J
J
31.79
0.83/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 30.00, ROI 0.75/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Del Mar




09/06/20, DMR, Race 6, 3.40 PT
09/06/20,DMR,6,5F [Turf] 00:54:04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $57,000 (plus up to $17,100 CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race OtherThan Maiden, Claiming, Or Starter Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.0000
2
Greg's Diva
6-1
Prat F
D'Amato Philip
JS
41.38
1.40/$1


098.8315
5
Woke Up to Aces
8-1
Espinoza V
McCarthy Michael W.
WL
41.38
1.40/$1


097.3016
6
Miss Fraulein
6-1
Gonzalez R
Miller Peter

41.38
1.40/$1


097.0732
8
Velvet Queen
3-1
Hernandez J J
Baltas Richard

41.38
1.40/$1


096.8201
7
Blue Sky Baby
5-1
Rispoli U
D'Amato Philip

41.38
1.40/$1


095.7809
10
Dolce
12-1
Gutierrez M
Baltas Richard
FEC
41.38
1.40/$1


095.6758
4
Jewel Thief
8-1
Cedillo A
Hess. Jr. Robert B.

41.38
1.40/$1


095.1795
9
Devils Dance
8-1
Van Dyke D
Lewis Craig Anthony

41.38
1.40/$1


094.7498
3
Tijori
10-1
Pereira T J
Callaghan Simon
T
41.38
1.40/$1


093.0813
1
Swirling
15-1
Maldonado E A
Saldana Reed

41.38
1.40/$1


* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 25.00, ROI 0.92/$1
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
WPC
ROI *


100.0000
2
Greg's Diva
6-1
Prat F
D'Amato Philip
JS
39.53
1.47/$1


099.6929
5
Woke Up to Aces
8-1
Espinoza V
McCarthy Michael W.
WL
32.58
1.33/$1


098.0408
8
Velvet Queen
3-1
Hernandez J J
Baltas Richard

32.58
1.33/$1


097.5435
10
Dolce
12-1
Gutierrez M
Baltas Richard
FEC
39.53
1.47/$1


096.9321
6
Miss Fraulein
6-1
Gonzalez R
Miller Peter
T
32.07
1.21/$1


096.4580
7
Blue Sky Baby
5-1
Rispoli U
D'Amato Philip

32.58
1.33/$1


096.0279
3
Tijori
10-1
Pereira T J
Callaghan Simon

32.07
1.21/$1


095.5819
9
Devils Dance
8-1
Van Dyke D
Lewis Craig Anthony

32.07
1.21/$1


094.7660
4
Jewel Thief
8-1
Cedillo A
Hess. Jr. Robert B.

32.07
1.21/$1


094.5632
1
Swirling
15-1
Maldonado E A
Saldana Reed

32.07
1.21/$1


* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.57, ROI 1.21/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, September 6

Milwaukee @ Miami

Game 745-746
September 6, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
117.878
Miami
124.936
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 7
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 1
220
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-1); Under

Houston @ LA Lakers

Game 747-748
September 6, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
115.175
LA Lakers
124.095
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 9
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 5 1/2
224
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-5 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 6

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MILWAUKEE (60 - 21) vs. MIAMI (51 - 29) - 9/6/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against Central division opponents this season.
MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all playoff games this season.
MIAMI is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 98-76 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 151-113 ATS (+26.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 79-62 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 77-61 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 9-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (49 - 31) vs. LA LAKERS (56 - 21) - 9/6/2020, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
HOUSTON is 53-35 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) when trailing in a playoff series since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 6-6 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 9-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Sunday, September 6

Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Milwaukee @ Miami
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 11 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Houston @ LA Lakers
Houston
Houston is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (6 - 12) vs. WASHINGTON (5 - 12) - 9/6/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (15 - 3) vs. MINNESOTA (13 - 5) - 9/6/2020, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 7-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 7-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (11 - 8) vs. LOS ANGELES (13 - 5) - 9/6/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 3-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 5-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA

Sunday, September 6

Trend Report

Dallas @ Washington
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas

Seattle @ Minnesota
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Seattle
Minnesota is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

Chicago @ Los Angeles
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Chicago's last 24 games on the road
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Los Angeles is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL public betting, odds movement September 6
Patrick Everson

Paul Stastny and the Vegas Golden Knights meet Blake Comeau and the Dallas Stars in Game 1 of the Western Conference finals on Sunday. The SuperBook has Vegas a -160 favorite.

NHL betting odds are on the board and getting attention, as the Stanley Cup Playoffs resume Sunday with Game 1 of the Western Conference finals. The top-seeded Vegas Golden Knights square off with the Dallas Stars in the Edmonton bubble.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NHL opening odds and early odds movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s contest.

NHL odds movement

Vegas blew a 3-1 series lead in their West semifinal, but notched a 3-0 victory in Game 7 Friday to dispatch the Vancouver Canucks. Similarly, Dallas blew a 3-1 series lead against the Colorado Avalanche, then took Game 7 in overtime 5-4 Friday to advance.

The SuperBook opened the Golden Knights -155 for Game 1 and ticked to -160 late Saturday night, with the Stars +145 for an 8 p.m. ET puck drop. Also worth noting is that Vegas is minus physical forward Ryan Reaves, suspended one game for an illegal hit in Game 7 against Vancouver.

NHL public betting

The Consensus is often indicative of where the public is, and by late Saturday night, the Golden Knights were the play: Vegas was drawing 65 percent of early picks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

31DALLAS -32 VEGAS
DALLAS are 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) when playing their 4th road game in 7 days in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (46-31-0-8, 100 pts.) vs. VEGAS (50-28-0-8, 108 pts.) - 9/6/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VEGAS is 31-9 ATS (+15.5 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 54-47 ATS (+4.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 96-79 ATS (+177.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 7-2 (+6.9 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 7-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Sunday, September 6

Trend Report

Dallas @ Vegas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games
Vegas
Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Vegas is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NY YANKEES (21 - 18) at BALTIMORE (18 - 21) - 1:05 PM
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. ASHER WOJCIECHOWSKI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 6-12 (-11.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 11-6 (+13.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 119-244 (-64.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 62-122 (-41.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 73-167 (-56.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-3 (+0.8 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)



MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
TANAKA is 5-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.230.
His team's record is 7-8 (-6.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-12. (-10.3 units)



ASHER WOJCIECHOWSKI vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
WOJCIECHOWSKI is 0-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.4 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PHILADELPHIA (19 - 16) at NY METS (18 - 22) - 1:10 PM
AARON NOLA (R) vs. JACOB DEGROM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-51 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 18-22 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 152-157 (-53.5 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 11-21 (-14.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 409-417 (-123.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
DEGROM is 19-20 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DEGROM is 10-12 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DEGROM is 7-13 (-13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 (+3.3 Units) against NY METS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)



AARON NOLA vs. NY METS since 1997
NOLA is 8-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.87 and a WHIP of 1.063.
His team's record is 10-4 (+6.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-2.6 units)



JACOB DEGROM vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
DEGROM is 7-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.23 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 12-3 (+7.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-8. (-2.0 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MILWAUKEE (18 - 20) at CLEVELAND (24 - 15) - 1:10 PM
BRETT ANDERSON (L) vs. SHANE BIEBER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 115-191 (-55.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
ANDERSON is 8-21 (-19.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 41-16 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 97-82 (+21.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ANDERSON is 13-5 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ANDERSON is 9-1 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 208-158 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 114-93 (-32.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)



BRETT ANDERSON vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
ANDERSON is 4-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 0.94 and a WHIP of 0.783.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.5 units)



SHANE BIEBER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WASHINGTON (14 - 24) at ATLANTA (23 - 16) - 1:10 PM
PAT CORBIN (L) vs. JOSH TOMLIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 14-24 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 5-21 (-21.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 122-84 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 25-10 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 109-67 (+34.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 63-41 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 37-28 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TOMLIN is 2-11 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 0-6 (-8.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 1-7 (-9.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 (+3.1 Units) against ATLANTA this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)



PAT CORBIN vs. ATLANTA since 1997
CORBIN is 5-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.11 and a WHIP of 1.257.
His team's record is 6-4 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.6 units)



JOSH TOMLIN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
TOMLIN is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 10.13 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MIAMI (17 - 17) at TAMPA BAY (27 - 13) - 1:10 PM
TREVOR ROGERS (L) vs. TYLER GLASNOW (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 27-13 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 11-8 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MIAMI is 13-8 (+11.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-1 (+1.8 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)



TREVOR ROGERS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.



TYLER GLASNOW vs. MIAMI since 1997
GLASNOW is 0-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 13.50 and a WHIP of 2.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TORONTO (21 - 18) at BOSTON (14 - 27) - 1:35 PM
ROBBIE RAY (L) vs. ANDREW TRIGGS (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-4 (+1.3 Units) against TORONTO this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)



ROBBIE RAY vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.



ANDREW TRIGGS vs. TORONTO since 1997
TRIGGS is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.288.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CINCINNATI (18 - 22) at PITTSBURGH (12 - 26) - 1:35 PM
TEJAY ANTONE (R) vs. CHAD KUHL (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-3 (+0.5 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)



TEJAY ANTONE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.



CHAD KUHL vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
KUHL is 2-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.94 and a WHIP of 1.337.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CHI WHITE SOX (25 - 15) at KANSAS CITY (14 - 26) - 2:05 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. MATT HARVEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 10-15 (-19.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 97-104 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 56-47 (+18.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 11-2 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 128-103 (+40.2 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 5-23 (-18.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 56-139 (-41.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
HARVEY is 26-44 (-27.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
HARVEY is 24-46 (-23.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 8-1 (+6.4 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)



DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
KEUCHEL is 6-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.66 and a WHIP of 1.254.
His team's record is 6-5 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-5. (+0.6 units)



MATT HARVEY vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
HARVEY is 1-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.250.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DETROIT (17 - 20) at MINNESOTA (25 - 16) - 2:10 PM
CASEY MIZE (R) vs. RICH HILL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 64-133 (-37.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 31-71 (-28.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 30-68 (-29.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 24-73 (-26.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 126-80 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 96-55 (+24.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HILL is 26-7 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in September games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 5-1 (+8.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-3 (+1.9 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.8 Units)



CASEY MIZE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MIZE is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)



RICH HILL vs. DETROIT since 1997
HILL is 3-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.146.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARIZONA (15 - 25) at SAN FRANCISCO (19 - 21) - 4:05 PM
ALEX YOUNG (L) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 96-106 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-7 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 51-52 (+17.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-35 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-2 (+4.8 Units) against ARIZONA this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.1 Units)



ALEX YOUNG vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
YOUNG is 2-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.11 and a WHIP of 1.305.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)



JOHNNY CUETO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
CUETO is 11-3 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.03 and a WHIP of 1.075.
His team's record is 13-4 (+8.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-9. (-2.5 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOUSTON (21 - 18) at LA ANGELS (16 - 25) - 4:10 PM
FRAMBER VALDEZ (L) vs. JAIME BARRIA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 55-48 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 88-63 (-14.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-26 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 16-25 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 7-17 (-14.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 5-4 (+2.1 Units) against HOUSTON this season
8 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+8.0 Units)



FRAMBER VALDEZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
VALDEZ is 3-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.74 and a WHIP of 1.087.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)



JAIME BARRIA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
BARRIA is 1-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.59 and a WHIP of 1.260.
His team's record is 2-5 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.1 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SAN DIEGO (24 - 17) at OAKLAND (23 - 13) - 4:10 PM
GARRETT RICHARDS (R) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 94-109 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 47-61 (-17.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 119-78 (+27.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 26-11 (+14.9 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 66-33 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 82-51 (+24.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 142-106 (+27.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 44-20 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 44-31 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FIERS is 27-11 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 26-11 (+18.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 12-3 (+9.3 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 16-3 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 15-3 (+14.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 10-1 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 27-7 (+22.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FIERS is 17-10 (+13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 67-65 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against OAKLAND this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)



GARRETT RICHARDS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
RICHARDS is 2-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.441.
His team's record is 4-9 (-6.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-8. (-4.0 units)



MICHAEL FIERS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
FIERS is 0-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEXAS (13 - 25) at SEATTLE (17 - 22) - 4:10 PM
JORDAN LYLES (R) vs. JUSTIN DUNN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 12-37 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 63-74 (+2.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 51-36 (+20.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LYLES is 13-4 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 488-471 (-103.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 6-2 (+5.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)



JORDAN LYLES vs. SEATTLE since 1997
LYLES is 1-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 7.03 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)



JUSTIN DUNN vs. TEXAS since 1997
DUNN is 2-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ST LOUIS (16 - 15) at CHICAGO CUBS (23 - 17) - 7:08 PM
DAKOTA HUDSON (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-4 (+0.6 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)



DAKOTA HUDSON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
HUDSON is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.750.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)



JON LESTER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LESTER is 10-7 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.111.
His team's record is 13-10 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-12. (-4.8 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


COLORADO (19 - 20) at LA DODGERS (30 - 11) - 10:10 PM
RYAN CASTELLANI (R) vs. JULIO URIAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 28-6 (+18.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 33-24 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 99-82 (+23.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 101-106 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 1007-847 (-94.1 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 4-1 (+2.2 Units) against COLORADO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)



RYAN CASTELLANI vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.



JULIO URIAS vs. COLORADO since 1997
URIAS is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.672.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, September 6

NY Yankees @ Baltimore

Game 951-952
September 6, 2020 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 14.574
Baltimore
(Wojchwski) 16.910
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-210
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(+180); Under

Milwaukee @ Cleveland

Game 955-956
September 6, 2020 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Anderson) 14.939
Cleveland
(Bieber) 16.310
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-250
7
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-250); Over

Washington @ Atlanta

Game 957-958
September 6, 2020 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Corbin) 16.037
Atlanta
(Tomlin) 17.129
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-130
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-130); Under

Philadelphia @ NY Mets

Game 953-954
September 6, 2020 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Nola) 17.415
NY Mets
(deGrom) 16.306
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-150
7
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+130); Over

Miami @ Tampa Bay

Game 959-960
September 6, 2020 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Rogers) 17.779
Tampa Bay
(Glasnow) 16.464
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-210
7
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+180); Over

Toronto @ Boston

Game 961-962
September 6, 2020 @ 1:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Ray) 14.406
Boston
(Triggs) 15.870
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-155
11
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+135); Under

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh

Game 963-964
September 6, 2020 @ 1:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Antone) 13.447
Pittsburgh
(Kuhl) 14.882
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-160
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+140); Under

Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City

Game 965-966
September 6, 2020 @ 2:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Keuchel) 16.350
Kansas City
(Harvey) 13.138
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-190
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(-190); Over

Detroit @ Minnesota

Game 967-968
September 6, 2020 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Mize) 14.974
Minnesota
(Hill) 16.855
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-190
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-190); Under

Arizona @ San Francisco

Game 969-970
September 6, 2020 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Young) 15.744
San Francisco
(Cueto) 14.486
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+115); Over

Houston @ LA Angels

Game 971-972
September 6, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Valdez) 17.125
LA Angels
(Barria) 15.770
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-145
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-145); Over

San Diego @ Oakland

Game 973-974
September 6, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Richards) 17.573
Oakland
(Fiers) 15.053
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-120
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(-120); Under

Texas @ Seattle

Game 975-976
September 6, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Lyles) 13.439
Seattle
(Dunn) 16.810
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-135
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-135); Under

St. Louis @ Chicago Cubs

Game 977-978
September 6, 2020 @ 7:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Hudson) 16.871
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 14.940
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2
14
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-110
12
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-110); Over

Colorado @ LA Dodgers

Game 979-980
September 6, 2020 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Castellani) 13.832
LA Dodgers
(Urias) 16.748
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-270
10
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-270); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Sunday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. ET)

-- The White Sox are 14-0 SU since Jul 03, 2019 as a favorite off a win as a favorite in which they never trailed.


SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Diego at Oakland (4:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Padres are 0-12 SU since Jul 12, 2019 off a road game in which they drew 1 or fewer walks.


OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at L.A. Angels (4:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Astros are 11-0-2 OU since Oct 04, 2019 after George Springer had multiple hits last game.


Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Diego at Oakland (4:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Athletics are 10-0 SU since Aug 08, 2018 when Mike Fiers starts at home after they used 5+ pitchers yesterday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game 2 Odds: Rockets vs. Lakers
Michael Crosson

Game 2 of the Western Conference semifinals between the No. 1 L.A. Lakers and No. 4 Houston Rockets will take place on Sunday night from the NBA Bubble in Orlando, Florida.

Despite being a heavy underdog in Game 1 and the series, the Rockets took the opener with their small-ball approach as the Lakers couldn't keep up with them offensively.

Betting Resources

Matchup: Western Conference Game 2
Second Round: Rockets lead series 1-0
Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
Location: Orlando, Florida
Date: Sunday, Sept. 6, 2020
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: ABC

Despite dominating Game 1, the oddsmakers still have the Rockets listed as healthy underdogs to the Lakers in Game 2. (AP)

Line Movements

Showing a little less confidence in LeBron’s crew heading into Game 2, but Vegas still backing them as the Lakers enter their second Western Conference Semi-Final matchup as five and a half-point favorites, despite being outclassed on both sides of the ball in the first matchup of this series on Friday.

‘Under’ bettors never broke a sweat on Friday night thanks to the Lakers, as Frank Vogel’s team put up just 97 points in Game 1. The ‘over-under’ for the second game of this series has fallen to OU 224 points.

Rockets straight-up bettors walked away from Game 1 with fat pockets as Houston entered the contest as +240 on the money line. That price has gotten more expensive for Game 2, but still sits at a juicy line of +201.

Spread: Los Angeles -5.5
Money-Line: Los Angeles -240 Houston +200
Total: 224
Updated Series Price: Los Angeles -250 Houston +210

Game 1 Recap

James Harden carried the energy he brought down the stretch of Game 7 against the Thunder into the Rockets’ opening contest with the Lakers, and he rode it all the way to the finish line in Game 1, tallying 36 points on 60% FGA and 9 of 12 from downtown in Houston’s 112-97 rout of LAL.

The Rockets did not necessarily have a great game from deep, as they knocked down just 14 of their 39 3-point attempts, but they shot it much better than Lakers, who shot just 29% from 3-point land.

Game 1 Betting Results

The opening matchup in this series was a wire-to-wire result as Houston led after the first quarter and it never looked back.

Total bettors on the 'over' were teased with a good start as the pair combined for 120 points at halftime but neither club could break 50 in the second-half and that led to an 'under' winner.

Outcome: Rockets 112 Lakers 97

Game: Rockets Win, Rockets Cover Cover (+6.5), Under (227)
First Quarter: Rockets Win (29-28), Rockets Cover (+2.5), Under (58)
First-Half: Rockets Win (63-57), Rockets Cover (+3.5), Over (115)
Second-Half: Rockets Win (49-42), Rockets Cover (+7), Under (110.5)

Houston Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Bubble: 8-8 SU, 7-9 ATS, 5-11 O/U
Playoffs: 5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS, 3-5 O/U

Before Friday’s Game 1 matchup, it had been the Russell Westbrook show when the Lakers and Rockets met up in 2020, as the former-MVP averaged over 38 points per game, bobbing and weaving through the LA defense in the two contests he participated in against LeBron and company this season.

The first playoff game between these teams was a different story though, as Chef Harden had the hot hand, going 12 of 20 from the field and 50% from downtown. Mike D’Antoni’s team didn’t win Game 1 by knocking down 25 3-pointers in a fluke.

They won by standing toe-to-toe with the top-seed in the Western Conference and playing quality defense against a superior team for four whole quarters. All Houston can do is keep bombing away and pray to the basketball gods that the Lakers don’t find their rhythm from deep.

Los Angeles Betting Outlook

Inside the Stats

Bubble: 7-7 SU, 4-10 ATS, 9-6 O/U
Playoffs: 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS, 6-8 O/U

If the Rockets go 20 of 35 from downtown and just run a team out of the building like they are capable of doing sometimes, there is nothing you can do except tip your cap to them, but that is far from what happened to the Lakers on Friday night.

There is really no excuse for the LA not breaking 100 points in this matchup, when Anthony Davis stands three inches taller than any of Houston’s starters while debatably being the best big man in the NBA. He scored 25 points on 62.5% shooting in Game 1 and it is clear Houston has nobody on the court that can potentially guard him.

The game plan has to be simple for Los Angeles moving forward. Don’t panic. Control the pace of Game 2. Get the ball to AD and the Lakers should not have a problem advancing to the next round, because they really are the far superior team in this series.

The defense has been there all month, they just need to start scoring more points, which everyone knows LAL is very capable of doing.

Key Injuries

Houston

SF Danuel House Jr.: Face - Game Time Decision

Los Angeles

None

Rockets’ forward, Danuel House Jr. left in the third quarter of Houston’s Game 1 victory over the Lakers and did not return for “precautionary” reasons. He is listed as a game-time-decision for Sunday’s contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Dunkel

Sunday, September 6

Dallas @ Washington

Game 625-626
September 6, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
108.082
Washington
105.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
169
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
165
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+2 1/2); Over

Seattle @ Minnesota

Game 627-628
September 6, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
122.182
Minnesota
109.634
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 12 1/2
161
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 6
162
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-6); Under

Chicago @ Los Angeles

Game 629-630
September 6, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
111.135
Los Angeles
110.809
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
Even
169
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 4 1/2
172
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+4 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, September 6

Dallas @ Vegas

Game 31-32
September 6, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
13.508
Vegas
11.937
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-170
6
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+150); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Houston Rockets vs LA Lakers 9/6/20 - NBA

In the second game of a Sunday NBA on ABC Playoff doubleheader, the Houston Rockets and the Los Angeles Lakers will square off from the Walt Disney Resort. The fourth-seeded Rockets needed seven games to dispose of Oklahoma City and are the top rated defensive team in the bubble. On Friday, Houston limited Los Angeles to 42 points during the second half of a 112-97 victory.

Houston G James Harden led all scorers with 36 points on an efficient 12-for-20 shooting performance. Russell Westbrook contributed 24 points, nine rebounds, and six assists for the Rockets.

The Los Angeles Lakers were the third rated team in defensive efficiency during the regular season, but lack the perimeter shooting to surround LeBron James. In Game One, that flaw was exposed as the top-seeded Lakers missed 27 of their 38 three-point attempts. Los Angeles was outrebounded by a 53-47 margin and turned the ball over 17 times.

Los Angeles F Anthony Davis tallied a team high 25 points on 10-for-16 shooting and grabbed 14 rebounds. LeBron James added 20 points, eight rebounds, and seven assists for the Lakers.

Recent Betting Trends

Rockets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.
Lakers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite.
Under is 6-1 in Rockets last 7 games as an underdog.
Over is 7-3 in Lakers last 10 games following a straight up loss.
Rockets are 17-8 ATS in the last 25 meetings.

Free NBA Pick: Houston Rockets +5.5

Los Angeles G Rajon Rondo (hand) made his first appearance in the postseason and finished with eight points on 3-for-9 from the field. The Rockets continue to stifle teams with their ability to switch on defense. Look for Houston to take a 2-0 series lead with a win on Sunday. Final Score Prediction, Houston Rockets win but grab the points just in case 114-110.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat 9/6/20 - NBA

The Milwaukee Bucks face elimination when playing Game 4 of their NBA Eastern Conference semifinals best-of-seven series on Sunday against the Miami Heat. The Bucks were defeated on Friday 115-110 by Miami in Game 3 and trail in the series 3-0. Milwaukee led by 12 points starting the fourth quarter but was outscored 40-13 to lose by 15. Brook Lopez was the leading scorer in the loss for Milwaukee with 22 points.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is leading Milwaukee in scoring, rebounding and assists with averages of 27.6 points, 15.0 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game. Khris Middleton is the second-leading scorer with an average of 18.0 points per game and one of five players for Milwaukee averaging double figures in scoring.

Miami looks to clinch the series and move on to the Eastern Conference Finals with a victory on Sunday. The Heat were led by Jimmy Butler who scored 17 of his 30 points during the fourth quarter. Bam Adebayo scored 20 points and pulled down 16 rebounds for the Heat, who are now 7-0 during the postseason. Odds are on Miami’s side to win this series as no team in the history of the NBA has rallied from a 3-0 series deficit.

Jimmy Butler is leading Miami in scoring with an average of 23.1 points per game, while Goran Dragic is second in scoring with an average of 22.3 points per game. Bam Adebayo is the third leading scorer, leading rebounder and leader in assists with averages of 15.3 points, 12.4 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game.

Recent Betting Trends

Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 versus Miami
The UNDER has cashed in 3 of the Bucks last 4
Miami is 7-0 ATS in its last 7
The UNDER has cashed in 6 of the Heat’s last 8

Free NBA Pick: Miami Heat -2

Miami took the wind out of the Bucks’ sails with its 40-13 rally in the fourth quarter to beat Milwaukee by 15 points in Game 3. The Heat is playing as well or better than any other NBA team remaining in the postseason. Miami has covered the number in each of its last seven and in five of its last six head-to-head against Milwaukee. On Sunday, Miami eliminates the Bucks with a Game 4 victory and cover. Final Score Prediction, Miami Heat wins and covers 111-108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rockies at Dodgers 9/6/20 - MLB

The Colorado Rockies conclude a three-game series on the road Sunday against the National League West-leading Los Angeles Dodgers. The Rockies dropped to 18-20 following a 10-6 loss on Friday in the opening game of the series to the Dodgers. Colorado has lost four of the last five and is 11 games behind the first-place Dodgers in the NL West..

Charlie Blackmon is batting .343 to lead Colorado and the right fielder has team highs in RBIs with 29, hits with 49 and on-base percentage at .399. Shortstop Trevor Story is leading Colorado in home runs with nine. On Sunday, Colorado will send Ryan Castellani to the mound. The right-hander is 1-2 with an ERA of 4.81, 18 Ks and 8 BBs.

Los Angeles improved to a major league-leading 30-10 following its victory on Friday over the Rockies. The Dodgers own a six-game lead atop the National League West over the San Diego Padres and have won 75% of their first 40 games. Los Angeles has won six straight and eight of its last nine. On Friday, the Dodgers belted three home runs during the eighth inning to surge past Colorado.

Shortstop Corey Seager is batting .328 to lead Los Angeles. Right fielder Mookie Betts is leading the Dodgers in home runs with 13, RBIs with 30, hit's with 46 and on-base percentage at .385. On Sunday, Los Angeles will send Julio Urias to the mound. The right-hander is 3-0 with an ERA of 3.27, 29 Ks and 10 BBs.

Recent Betting Trends

Colorado is 1-4 in its last 5
The OVER has cashed in 4 of the Rockies last 5
Los Angeles is 6-0 in its last 6
The OVER has cashed in 4 of the Dodgers last 5

Free MLB Pick: Over 9.5 Runs

Los Angeles is playing exceptionally well and is far and away the best team in Major League Baseball at the moment. However, the play here is the OVER. The OVER has cashed in four the Rockies last five. Both teams have explosive offenses evidenced by Friday's series opener when Colorado belted a grand slam just minutes before Los Angeles hit three home runs in the same inning. Runs Galore on Sunday. Final Score Prediction, Los Angeles Dodgers win but our best play is OVER 10-5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

St Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs 9/6/20 - MLB

The St Louis Cardinals will play the fourth game of a five-game Series on the road Sunday against National League Central rival the Chicago Cubs. St Louis dropped to 14-15 following its 4-1 on Friday in the opening game of the series with the Cubs. The loss was St Louis’ second straight and sixth and its last nine. The Cardinals are now tied for second place in the NL Central 4 ½ games behind the first-place Cubs. With four more consecutive games to be played head-to-head with Cubs, this series is very important for the Cardinals.

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt is batting .326 to lead St Louis and has team-highs in hits with 30 and on-base percentage at .466. Third baseman Brad Miller is leading St. Louis in home runs with five and RBIs with 19. On Sunday, St Louis will send Kwang-Hyun Kim to the mound.The left-hander is 2-0 with an ERA of 0.83, 11 Ks and 6 BBs.

Chicago improved to 23-15 with its victory on Friday in the opening game of the series. The Cubs lead both St Louis and the Milwaukee Brewers by 4 ½ games atop the NL Central. In Friday's victory, starting pitcher Yu Darvish threw 11 strikeouts for his seventh consecutive victory. Chicago has won four of its last five. Willson Contreras had three hits and drove in four runs for Chicago.

Center fielder Ian Happ is batting .311 to lead Chicago and has team highs in RBIs with 22, hits with 38 and on-base percentage at .421. Left fielder Kyle Schwarber is leading Chicago in home runs with 10. On Sunday, the Chicago Cubs will send Jon Lester to the mound. The left-hander is 2-1 with an ERA of 5.11, 25 Ks and 8 BBs.

Recent Betting Trends

St Louis is 6-2 in its last 8 on the road versus Chicago
The OVER has cashed in 7 of the Cardinals last 10
Chicago is 5-2 in its last 7
The OVER has cashed in 4 of the Cubs last 6

Free MLB Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -120

St Louis starter Kwang-Hyun Kim is 2-0 with an impressive 0.83 ERA and the Cardinals have won four of the southpaw’s last five starts including a 3-1 victory over the Cubs on August 17 in which the left-hander allowed just three hits and one run over 3 ⅔ innings of a 7-inning double header game. In addition, St Louis has won six of the last eight at Wrigley Field over the Cubs. Final Score Prediction, St. Louis Cardinals win 5-2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Houston Astros at LA Angels 9/6/20 - MLB

The Houston Astros complete a four-game series on the road Sunday against American League West rival the Los Angeles Angels. Houston dropped to 21-16 following its 6-5 loss on Friday to the Angels in the opening game of the series. The Astros are in second place two games behind the first-place Oakland Athletics and the loss snapped a short two game winning streak for Houston.

Carlos Correa is batting .289 to lead Houston and the shortstop has a team-high .364 on-base percentage. Right fielder Kyle Tucker is leading in home runs with six and RBIs with 32. First baseman Yuli Gurriel is leading in hits with 39. On Sunday, Houston will send Framber Valdez to the mound. The left-hander is 3-2 with an ERA of 2.58, 48 Ks and 12 BBs.

With its victory on Friday in the opening game of the series against Houston, Los Angeles improved to 14-25 but the Angels are in fourth place in the AL West 10 games behind the first-place Oakland Athletics. Los Angeles has won two straight. Mike Trout had earlier tied the Los Angeles Angels career home-run mark with his 299th and scored the Angels winning run in the 11th inning.

Third baseman David Fletcher is batting .312 to lead Los Angeles and has a team-high 45 hits. Center fielder Mike Trout is leading in home runs with 14 and RBIs with 36. Third baseman Anthony Rendon as a team-high .430 on-base percentage. On Sunday, Los Angeles will send Jaime Barria to the mound. The right-hander is 0-0 with a 2.63 ERA, 11 Ks and 5 BBs.

Recent Betting Trends

Houston is 4-2 in its last 6
The OVER has cashed in 6 of the Astros last 8
Los Angeles is 6-14 in its last 20
The OVER has cashed in 7 of the Angels last 8 versus the Astros

Free MLB Pick: Houston Astros -135

Although Houston lost the first game of the series to Los Angeles, the Astros have won five of the last seven at Angels Stadium against the Angels and have won four of the last six overall. Los Angeles on the other hand has struggled of late losing 14 of his last 21 and four of its first six played during September. Final Score Prediction, Houston Astros win 6-2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners 9/6/20 - MLB

The Texas Rangers play the third game of a four-game series on the road Sunday against American League West rival the Seattle Mariners. Texas dropped to 13-24 following its 6-3 on Friday night in the opening game of this series. The Rangers have lost three straight, five of their last six and seven of the last nine to fall 10 games behind the first place Oakland A’s.

Third baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .288 to lead Texas and has team highs in hits with 36 and on-base percentage at.341. Center fielder Joey Gallo is leading Texas in home runs with seven and RBIs with 17. On Sunday, Texas will send Jordan Lyles to the mound. The right-hander 1-3 with an ERA of 8.59, 18 Ks and 14 BBs.

Seattle improved to 16-22 following its victory on Friday over the Rangers and is in third place in the AL West 7 ½ games behind the first-place A's. Seattle has won three straight games wrapped around three postponed games. In Friday's victory, starting pitcher Yusei Kikuchi threw seven strikeouts while JP Crawford blasted a three-run home run helping to lead the Mariners to the win.

Right fielder Kyle Lewis is batting .319 to lead Seattle and has team-highs in home runs with eight, hits with 43 and on-base percentage at .408. third baseman Kyle Seager has a team-high 26 RBIs. On Sunday, the Seattle Mariners will send Justin Dunn to the mound. The right-hander is 2-1 with an ERA of 4.33, 21 Ks and 16 BBs.

Recent Betting Trends

Texas is 1-5 SU in its last 6
The OVER has cashed in 12 of the Rangers last 18
Seattle is 6-1 in its last 7 at home
The OVER has cashed in 4 of the Mariners last 5 versus Texas

Free MLB Pick: Seattle Mariners -145

Seattle has played well of late even though having distractions due to game postponements from covid 19. The Mariners have won eight of the last 11 overall and six of the last seven at home in T-Mobile Park. The Mariners have also won each of their last five at home against the Rangers. FInal Score Prediction, Seattle Mariners win 7-3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 9/6/20 September 6, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Saratoga
Sunday, September 6, 2020
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches.

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RACE 1: Post 12:45 ET. Grade: B
Use: 1-Jordan’s Leo; 7-Bellamore

Forecast: Bellamore has trained like a very nice prospect and the daughter of Empire looks plenty fit and ready for a major effort first crack out of the box. A $350,000 OBS April sale purchase (where she previewed in :21 2/5), the C. Brown-trained juvenile should eventually be most comfortable around two turns but may have the quality to win at first asking at this extended sprint trip. Jordan’s Leo has been burning up the Belmont Park training track lately and could be dangerous if she breaks running from the rail. The daughter of Malibu Moon hails from the T. Pletcher barn (21% with first-timers) and seems certain to receive plenty of play. Both should be included in your rolling exotics.
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RACE 2: Post 1:19 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 3-Bad Beat Brian; 5-Bourbon Currency

Forecast: Here’s a restricted (nw-3) $35,000 claiming turf sprint for older horses with a low degree of predictability. We’ll double the race, but we suggest you use as many as your budget allows. Bourbon Currency seems most effective when held up early and allowed to run late and should get his preferred trip/ride from regular jockey J. Ortiz. A willing runner-up over this course and distance at this level last time out, the son of Speightstown needs help up front and good racing luck to have his best chance, and since the J. Kimmel-trained gelding is just 2-for-20 in his career he needs all the good luck he can get. Bad Beat Brian, nosed out in a $40,000 turf router in late July in a race that was restricted to 3-year-olds, faces older today but has the route-to-sprint angle in his corner and speed figures that fit very well with this group. It’s hard to say what kind of style he’ll employ but there’s other speed in the field so perhaps the Jack Milton gelding will find a good stalking spot and then turn it on late.
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RACE 3: Post 1:51 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 3-Blood Moon; 4-Cold Hard Cash; 5-Majestic West

Forecast: Here’s another challenging affair, a starter’s allowance event over nine furlongs on the main track. Majestic West makes his third start off a layoff and has the two-sprints-and-a-stretch out pattern that always catches the eye. The son of Quality Road shouldn’t have any difficulty with the two-turn trip, and with rising speed figures and the switch to J. Rosario the P. Bauer-trained 4-year-old may deserve a very slight edge on top. Cold Hard Cash has gradually improving speed figures and with another forward move should be capable of regaining his winning form. Second in a tougher first-level allowance race over this track and distance last month, the L. Rice-trained gelding projects to settle in the second flight and then produce his best bid from the quarter pole home. The other major player from the Rice barn, Blood Moon, is a first-off-the-claim play for a stable that has superior stats (23%) with this angle. In the frame in four of his last five starts and switching to Rice’s “go-to” rider J. Lezcano, the Malibu Moon colt can be dangerous on the lead or from a stalking position.
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RACE 4: Post 2:23 ET. Grade: X
Single: 1-Price Talk

Forecast: By all rights Price Talk shouldn’t be eligible this maiden two-turn turf affair; he actually finished first in his debut over the local lawn in mid-July but had his number taken down, so here he is, back with maidens again hoping this time to run straight and true. From the good rail, the son of Kitten’s Joy should be close up throughout while saving ground and then have his chance to kick clear when set down at the top of the lane. At 6/5 on the morning line the J. Abreu-trained 3-year-old will be heavily favored to do just that. He’s a logical short price, no value, rolling exotic single.
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RACE 5: Post 2:55 ET. Grade: X
Single: 5-Mo Dean

Forecast: It wasn’t a particular fast race but Mo Dean certainly ran well in her debut when a fast-finishing second here last month and today gets an extra furlong to work with for the C. Brown barn that hits at a remarkable 35% with second-time starters. The question isn’t whether this daughter of Uncle Mo will improve, but rather by how much? At 6/5 on the morning line she’ll no doubt be too short to play the win pool, but we can still use her as a short price rolling exotic single.
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RACE 6: Post 3:31 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 1-A Little Faith; 3-Bean Counter; 8-Keota

Forecast: We’ll spread the sixth race, a first-level allowance turf dash for fillies and mares. Keota is the 2-1 morning line favorite and the one to beat following a clever starter’s allowance score over this course and distance last month. The veteran mare is fast on figures and shows two easy recent breezes to tick her over, so we’ll assume she’ll fire a similar shot today from her typical second flight, stalking position. A Little Faith also comes off a nice win, hers earned at the expense of state-bred entry-level allowance foes in late July in her first outing since November. She accomplished a career top speed figure in the victory and returns after a six week vacation during which she was kept on edge with a healthy work pattern. Bean Counter seeks her third straight win, is strong in the speed figure department, and is shortening up from a series of solid two-turn efforts. Tough at any distance but moving up from the restricted claiming ranks, the T. Pletcher-trained daughter of Into Mischief switches to J. Rosario and seems likely to make her presence felt every step of the way.
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RACE 7: Post 4:03 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 5-Calidad; 10-Chocolate Cookie

Forecast: Chocolate Cookie was nowhere in her debut last month over this course when favored, but the daughter of Declaration of War wasn’t knocked about and seems quite capable of improving with that trial run under her belt. The main issue in her poor outside draw, but if I. Ortiz, Jr., who rides her back, can negotiate a decent trip she should produce a significant forward move. Calidad tries two-turns and grass for the first time in her first outing since early July and it wouldn’t be surprising to see the daughter of Quality Road employ front-running tactics. On pure numbers, she’s a fit. We’ll go with just these two in our rolling exotics but if you feel the need to include a few more, go right ahead.
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RACE 8: Post 4:37 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Thomas Selby; 5-Tiz He the One; 7-Malibu Pro

Forecast: Tiz He the One drops well below his claim level (from $62,500 to $40,00), not normally a healthy sign but a maneuver that is acceptable from the M. Maker stable, which plays the claiming game aggressively. The Tiz Wonderful gelding, a winner of five races from 15 starts (but unplaced in seven other outings) is kind of a hit-or-miss type but this seven furlong trip always has brought out his best (two wins), so we’re expecting to see him in mid-pack early and then taking hold from the head of the lane to the wire. Thomas Selby is very ambitious placed after winning a modest $14,000 seller last time out, but W. Ward usually runs them where they can win so we’ll take this placement as a sign of confidence. Fresh from a highly-rated score, the son of Curlin retains I. Ortiz, Jr. and may offer some real value at 8-1 on the morning line. Malibu Pro, claimed in his last pair and moving way up from the $20,000 level by new trainer A. C. Avila, is a 7-year-old gelding in good form right now and on numbers could be quite competitive despite the substantial class hike. He should be within striking range throughout and could make some noise late at or near his morning line of 10-1.
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RACE 9: Post 5:11 ET. Grade: B
Use: 4-Esplanande; 5-Beautiful Memories

Forecast: Beautiful Memories won her debut by 10 lengths at Churchill Downs in her debut in late May and was impressive enough to warrant odds-on favoritism in the Schuylerville S.-G3 in July. She stumbled badly at the start, tried run off early and then was understandably spent and was eased. The daughter of Hard Spun gets a chance to make amends today and if she leaves cleanly this time she’ll have every chance to repeat her maiden performance, which should be good enough in today’s six-runner Spinaway S.-G1. Esplanande is a two-time stakes winner from the minors in Ohio and today shows up against the big girls in a race that truly will test her quality. The daughter of the red hot (but exported to Turkey) young stallion Daredevil is competitive on numbers, so we’ll include her on a ticket or two as well.
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RACE 10: Post 5:45 ET. Grade: B
Use: 1-Come Dancing; 2-Blamed; 7-Lady’s Island

Forecast: Come Dancing may have lost a step or two but after exiting the blazingly fast Ballerina S.-G1 won by Serengeti Empress, the 6-year-old mare gets a much easier assignment in this year’s edition of the Honorable Miss H.-G2 and should make the most of the opportunity. She’s a perfect two-for-two at this exact six furlong trip, so if the daughter of Malibu Moon breaks cleanly from the rail she’ll have every chance to return to winning form. Blamed, drawn right alongside in the 2-hole, has won nine of 16 career starts but isn’t nearly as fast on pure numbers as Come Dancing is (or was), yet we have to include her because this turn back to six furlongs (she’s perfect in one start) could bring out her best. She can be very tough on the lead or from a stalking position, so J. Rosario can assess the race flow and employ whatever strategy he desires. Lady’s Island is a Florida shipper with only one way to go, on the front end for as far as she can carry her speed. She earned a triple digit Beyer speed figure in her only prior outing at Saratoga, a starter’s allowance affair last year that she won by more than 13 lengths when she was trained by D. Gargan. The daughter of Greatness is back in the Gargan barn, so lookout.
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RACE 11: Post 6:17 ET. Grade: B
Use: 1-Shekky Shebaz; 8-Pulsate

Forecast: Today’s secondary feature, the Lucky Coin S., a listed affair for older turf sprinters that finds Shekky Shebaz the morning line favorite at 8/5. Crossing the wire third but moved up to second in the recent Troy S.-G3 over this course and distance last month, the speedy Cape Blanco gelding lands the rail and projects to secure a good ground-saving position either on the front end or just off it. He’s the defending race champion and will handle this group if he brings his best stuff. Pulsate, fifth in the same race ‘Shebaz exits, likes to settle early and produce a late kick. He didn’t get a clear run in the Troy, but with better luck today he could be heard from in the final stages. We’ll use him in a ticket or two as a back-up.

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RACE 12: Post 6:49 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Leeway; 3-Tatterazzi

Forecast: The nightcap is a restricted (nw-2) $40,000 claiming turf miler for fillies and mares that appears to have two main players. Leeway, in her second start off a layoff and dropping out of a tougher starter’s allowance affair, retains J. Rosario and seems certain to attempt the same front-running strategy that produced her maiden claiming win 11 months ago. But even if she isn’t quite quick enough to make the running, the daughter of Stroll should be within striking range throughout and have her chance when it matters. Tatterazzi, also making her second start off a layoff after chasing first-level allowance state-bred foes last month, is a strong candidate to step forward for the J. Terranova barn, which has superior stats with this angle. She’s another that might be most comfortable on the front end, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see L. Saez aggressively send her from the gate.