Service Plays Friday 10/9/20

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

3* Louisville - pts

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Sean Calvert

2020 FRENCH OPEN SEMIFINALS

Friday 8:45 AM ET

French Open 2020 semifinal No. 1

The men's singles semifinals at the 2020 French Open are set for Friday at Roland Garros, Paris and the first that's set is Rafael Nadal versus Diego Schwartzman.

And this one could be quite something, with Schwartzman in excellent form at the moment, while Nadal is yet to be really tested this week in conditions that are far from ideal for the King of Clay.

Twitter followers will know that Schwartzman was my +7500 each-way outright bet for this Roland Garros men's singles and so he needs one more win to cash the place part of that bet.

On the face of it, the Argentine has his work cut out if you believe the bookies' prices on this, with Nadal given roughly an 85% chance of winning per the odds.

But that price is much too short in my opinion and seemingly based on previous French Opens that were played in massively different conditions.

In the past, Nadal has had things by and large just how he likes them in Paris in the early summer, with sunshine, dry courts and (crucially) Babolat balls that take a lot more of his heavy topspin than this year's new Wilson ones do.

It was telling pre-tournament that both Nadal and Dominic Thiem, who both use tons of topspin, were bemoaning the loss of the Babolat ball. Thiem, as I said in my outright preview, was always a bit of a long shot to win this week in these conditions, as well as facing a tough draw and also fatigue after an epic US Open win.

Stats have shown that Nadal's ball is some way down from his norm in terms of the height it reaches off the court this fortnight, which was always going to be the case playing on damp courts and with a Wilson ball in cold conditions.

We saw in Rome how Schwartzman was able to get the better of Nadal in such conditions and I see no reason why he can't at least make this a real test for Nadal again.

Obviously it'll be tough to take three sets rather than two off Nadal, but conditions could scarcely be less favorable for Rafa and this looks a fine opportunity for Schwartzman.

Nadal has enjoyed an absolute cakewalk of a draw (yet to face a top-70 ranked opponent), against two mediocre fast court players (Gerasimov and McDonald) who are all at sea on clay, followed by a journeyman clay courter in Travaglia and then young Seb Korda, who seemingly was just there to collect a signed shirt from his idol.

Then 19-year-old Jannik Sinner gave what looks a rather slow Nadal (remember, he hasn't had his usual 15 or so clay matches ahead of the French Open this year and had only played three matches since February before this fortnight) all he could handle and more in their quarterfinal Tuesday.

Sinner served for set one of that clash and with more experience the young Italian may have made a match of that one, but surely Schwartzman won't make that same mistake given the opportunity.

Schwartzman has the confidence of knowing that he can beat Rafa in these conditions now, and having just beaten the current US Open champion and two-time Roland Garros finalist Thiem as well, his mood should be at an all-time high.

One obvious concern is fitness after that epic Thiem encounter, but he's got two days off to recover, while Rafa was playing until after 1am local time on Wednesday morning, which, of course, he wasn't too happy about.

Another possible negative is that this match will be played in the afternoon, rather than in the cold at night, but the forecast is for yet more rain and so conditions will be slow (probably under the roof) and cool.

If we look back at what Schwartzman was doing well in that Rome clash it was hitting his flat, aggressive backhand and taking Nadal's time away, not allowing the Spaniard to set up that huge lefty forehand and get that weapon into play much.

And that weapon of Rafa's is nullified anyway by this Wilson ball and the cool, damp conditions, allowing Schwartzman to defend more effectively, as we saw him able to do against the power of Thiem on Tuesday.

Assuming Schwartzman isn't physically impaired after that epic Thiem clash, this looks a real opportunity for him –perhaps a unique one – and I hope he isn't too nervous to take it.

The bets for me here are Schwartzman to win at +450, Schwartzman to win a set at -120 and the match to go Over 33.5 games at -110.

It doesn't often pay to take on Nadal at Roland Garros, but this isn't a 'normal' French Open and we have to take a chance in these circumstances.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

KBO- 7 Unit Play. Take Kia Tigers -145 over SK Wyverns (1a.m., Friday, October 9)

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Big Al

Heat

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Chase Diamond

10* Yankees -153

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GambinoTips
ENGLAND – League One
Fleetwood – Hull
Total Goals : 2 or 3
Kurs : 2.00

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Dave Cokin

3% Louisville -4

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Elite Sports Picks

Louisville/Georgia Tech UNDER 64 (NCAAF)

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Insider Sports Report

4* Miami/L.A. Lakers OVER 216.5 (NBA)
Range: 214.5 to 218.5

3* Louisville -4.5 over Georgia Tech (NCAAF)
Range: -2.5 to -6.5

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National Sports Service

4* Miami +7 over L.A. Lakers (NBA)

3* Georgia Tech +4.5 over Louisville (NCAAF)

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Primetime Sports Picks For 10/09/20

5 Unit --> Miami/L.A. Lakers OVER 216.5 (NBA)

3 Unit --> Louisville/Georgia Tech UNDER 64 (NCAAF

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 10/09/20

4★ L.A. Lakers -7 over Miami (NBA)

3★ Louisville/Georgia Tech OVER 64 (NCAAF)

[rocky57]

Michael Crosson (VegasInsider)
NBA Finals Game #5
Los Angeles Lakers (3-1 advantage) vs Miami Heat
Time: 9:00pm TV: ABC

BEST BET - Lakers/Heat Under 216

PLAYER PROPS
Miami Heat - Bam Adebayo Under 24.5 points & rebounds -122
Los Angeles Lakers - LeBron James highest scorer on the floor Friday Night +125

[rocky57]

Mark Franco (VegasInsider CFB) - Louisville -4.5

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Doc Sports

2 ny yankees -150

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Vegas Sports Iinformer

4 ny yankees -155

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FEATURED PICK

Mike Barner
NBA SPECIALIST
10:29 AM

MIAMI +7
MIAMI @ L.A. LAKERS | 10/09 | 9:00 PM EDT
Facing elimination in the NBA Finals, Jimmy Butler is not going to let the Heat go down quietly. Getting Bam Adebayo back from injury in Game 4 was huge, and he could be even better in Game 5 after having a couple of days off to rest. Although I expect the Lakers to win to end the season, the Heat can keep it close with Adebayo back/more in form, so give me the points.

137-83-4 IN LAST 224 NBA ATS PICKS | +4570
18-4 IN LAST 22 MIA ATS PICKS | +1360

19-13-2 IN LAST 34 LAL ATS PICKS | +465


Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
YESTERDAY 10:53 AM

MIAMI +7
MIAMI @ L.A. LAKERS | 10/09 | 9:00 PM EDT
The Lakers are one game away from another championship but may have wait to celebrate. They did a great job to hold on in Game 4. Bam Adebayo was back on the court for 33 minutes. He was 6-of-8 from the field and scored 15 points with seven boards. He will have to be much better and much more aggressive from the field for the Heat to have a shot to win outright. Miami will continue to fire away from beyond the arc and so will Los Angeles, but that approach isn't to the Lakers’ advantage. For the second straight game, they took as many two-pointers as threes, and the Heat like to get out in transition. Expect Miami to deliver another stunner.

23-14-1 IN LAST 38 NBA PICKS | +695
8-6-1 IN LAST 15 LAL ATS PICKS | +140

2-1 IN LAST 3 MIA ATS PICKS | +90

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ALAN HARRIS

6 ny yankees -150
4 ny yankees -160 first 5 innings

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Ben Burns

3* Louisville - pts

3* lakers -7

3* yankees/rays under 7.5

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Jim Feist

MLB

3* Tampa Bay +136

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Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
YESTERDAY 12:31 PM

LOUISVILLE -4.5
LOUISVILLE @ GEORGIA TECH | 10/09 | 7:00 PM EDT
Though each team stands 1-2 straight-up, Louisville has weathered the more difficult schedule. QB Malik Cunningham (head) appears good to go after enduring a hard tackle last Saturday. With him, the Cardinals can dissent Tech’s shaky defense. The Jackets lack dynamism on offense with promising but unseasoned frosh QB Jeff Sims. Tech enjoys a limited home-field edge under normal circumstances, as its recent 3-13 ATS record suggests, and it will be negligible on a Friday night in Atlanta.

12-10 LAST 22 CFB SIDES | +95
3-1 IN LAST 4 LVILLE ATS PICKS | +190

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports bet Assistant

Louisville -4
Louisville/GT o64
Yankees – ML
Miami +7

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Matt Severance
SEVERANCE PAYS
9:09 AM

TAMPA BAY +1.5
N.Y. YANKEES @ TAMPA BAY | 10/09 | 7:10 PM EDT
I get why the Yankees are solid favorites because oddsmakers see Gerrit Cole on the mound. However, he has NEVER pitched on three days of rest in his big-league career and the Rays have had success against him this year. Yes, Tampa is starting Tyler Glasnow on just two days of rest, but he will simply act as an opener (to get past Giancarlo Stanton) and then the Rays turn it over to their much superior bullpen. Getting +1.5 runs at a price of -125 is stealing -- also consider the Rays are the "home" team. Take Tampa on the runline.


SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS
8:06 AM

N.Y. YANKEES -153
N.Y. YANKEES @ TAMPA BAY | 10/09 | 7:10 PM EDT
Since August 2019, the Yankees are 18-0 as 130-plus favorites coming off a “home” game in which they allowed fewer than eight hits and their opponent left fewer than 20 men on base. Since September 2019, the Yankees are 13-1 on the run-line in this spot. The Rays have a long history of failure in this spot, as they are 0-15 as 130-plus dogs vs. a divisional opponent that has a worse record and is not on a three-plus game winning streak. Finally, the Rays are 0-13 coming off a game as road underdogs in which they allowed six-plus hits, did not score after the third inning, scored fewer than four runs and had fewer than eight hits. Tampa lost each one of its last nine games in this spot by multiple runs and it was the favorite in four of them. We make the Yankees the play.

111-62-1 IN LAST 174 MLB PICKS | +1198
5-3 IN LAST 8 NYY ML PICKS | +45

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GREG SHAKER | CFB TOTAL FRI, 10/09/20 - 7:00 PM
306 Georgia Tech / 305 Louisville Under 64.5 Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php)

double-dime bet
Analysis:
These teams are both 2-1 Over this season but not because of any offensive showing on the part of Georgia Tech and one of Louisville's crept Over by a 1/2 point. GT is going to run ball control and it's most interesting to note that although this team only has a 3 point win over FSU, scoring 20, 21, and 16 in their 3 games, they are #16 in the country is average offensive plays per game. That means that they are draining the clock on a regular ba©sis. All 3 Models love the UNDER here, we do to. Let's Play a strong 2* UNDER at your best number..

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Indian Cowboy

Golf

3 - A. Ancer -140 over R. Sabatino

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Jason Sharpe

4 - Tampa bay +135

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Strike Point Sports MLB

8 - ny yankees -150

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Nevada sports service.

Yankees under 7.5

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Bet2win

Rays Yanks under 7.5

[B*mb07]

Oct 9
Marco D'Angelo










Analysis:4% (710) LAKERS -7
It’s a shame that Miami had to suffer injuries in the Finals but it is what it is. Jimmy Butler had a monster game in Game 3 to give Miami a glimmer of hope. But with the Lakers winning game 4 and taking a 3-1 series lead this series is over and Miami knows it. Jimmy Butler can’t beat the Lakers by himself and the Lakers will close this out tonight. My numbers have the Lakers winning by 10-13 points. Since this is an elimination game the stars for the Lakers will be on the floor at the end of the game to celebrate winning the NBA Championship and putting the Lakers organization back on top of the Basketball world. Often times in a non elimination game the stars may be on the bench in the 4th leaving a back door cover as a possibility. That won’t be the case here. TAKE LAKERS as my 4% NBA GAME OF THE WEEK.

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ATS

6* louisville -5

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Doc's Sports

NBA Basketball

7 Unit Play #709 Take Miami/LA Lakers UNDER 216 (9 p.m. EST, Friday Oct. 9)

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Jason Sharpe

4 under-216-lakers

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LV Betting Syndicate

Lakers
Lakers/heat under
Devil rays

[rocky57]

Kevin Rogers (VegasInsider NBA) - Los Angeles Lakers -4.5 (Best Bet 1st half)

[rocky57]

Michael Crosson (VegasInsider CFB Technical Play) - Louisville -4.5 (Bookmaker)

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newworldinsiders

great west heat over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MILLER LOCKS
Friday 10/9/2020 Picks

7:00 PM EST NCAAF
LOUISVILLE VS. GEOGIA TECH

PICK: LOUISVILLE -5 (-110)

RISK: 11 UNITS

7:10 PM EST MLB
NEW YORK YANKEES VS. TAMPA BAY RAYS

PICK: NEW YORK YANKEES (-148)

RISK: 11 UNITS

7:10 PM EST MLB
NEW YORK YANKEES VS. TAMPA BAY RAYS

PICK: OVER 7.5 (+100)

RISK: 11 UNITS

9:05 PM EST NBA
MIAMI HEAT VS. LOS ANGELES LAKERS

PICK: LOS ANGELES LAKERS -7 (-107)

RISK: 11 UNITS

[rocky57]

The Professional Winston DeMonte (The Swami MLB) - 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Rays +140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Balfe
lakers -7 / heat

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Kevin Scott

Friday, October 9th

NCAA FB
LOUISVILLE -4.5 (vs. Georgia Tech) @ 7:00 EST

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NBA
HEAT +7 (vs. Lakers) @ 9:00 EST

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MLB
RAYS RL+1.5 (-128) (vs. Yankees) @ 7:10 EST