Friday 10/16/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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Tech Trends - Week 7
Bruce Marshall

Week 7 of the College Football season kicks off on Wednesday, October 14 and we've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Friday, Oct. 16

SMU at TULANE (ESPN, 6:00 p.m.)

SMU has won outright last five meetings, covering four of those.
Ponies 8-1 vs. spread in first five games of season since LY.
Though Wave 5-0 as home dog since 2018.

Tech Edge: Slight to SMU, based on series trends.


BYU at HOUSTON (ESPN, 9:30 p.m.)

UH finally on the board in 2020 with win over Tulane.
Though BYU is 4-0 SU and 3-1 vs. line, it was 0-5 as visiting chalk LY before winning 2020 opener at Navy.

Tech Edge: Slight to Houston, based on extended trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

107SMU -108 TULANE
TULANE is 11-33 ATS (-25.3 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=450 yards/game since 1992.

109BYU -110 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 7

Friday October 16

SMU @ Tulane

Game 107-108
October 16, 2020 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SMU
91.796
Tulane
80.192
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SMU
by 11 1/2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SMU
by 6 1/2
68
Dunkel Pick:
SMU
(-6 1/2); Under

Brigham Young @ Houston

Game 109-110
October 16, 2020 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brigham Young
95.331
Houston
94.192
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 1
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 4 1/2
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+4 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, October 16

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SMU (4 - 0) at TULANE (2 - 2) - 10/16/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
TULANE is 99-132 ATS (-46.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 2-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 2-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BYU (4 - 0) at HOUSTON (1 - 0) - 10/16/2020, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 7

Trend Report

Friday, October 16

Southern Methodist @ Tulane
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulane
Southern Methodist is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tulane
Tulane
Tulane is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Tulane is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

Brigham Young @ Houston
Brigham Young
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brigham Young's last 6 games on the road
Brigham Young is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 7

Friday’s games
SMU (4-0) @ Tulane (2-2)
— SMU scored 42 ppg in winning its three games vs I-A opponents.
— Mustangs have 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— SMU has 92 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Mustangs’ senior QB has started 33 games.
— SMU is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games as a road favorite.

— Tulane split its first four games; they blew a 24-0 lead in one of their losses.
— Green Wave’s last three games went over the total.
— Tulane had a +5 turnover ratio LW, still lost 49-31 in Houston.
— Tulane has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Green Wave has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tulane’s senior QB has started 13 games.
— Green Wave covered its last five games as a home underdog.

— SMU won five in row, eight of last nine series games, with three of last four wins by 4 or fewer points.
— Underdogs covered five of last six series games.
— SMU won three of last four visits here, last two by 27-23/35-31 scores.

BYU (4-0) @ Houston (1-0)
— BYU won its first four games, scoring an average of 43.8 ppg.
— BYU has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— BYU has 110 returning starts on the offensive line.
— BYU’s junior QB has started 20 games.
— Under Sitake, BYU is 4-7 ATS as a road favorite.

— Houston beat Tulane 49-31 in its opener LW, despite its minus-5 turnover ratio.
— Houston has 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Houston has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Houston’s junior QB has started 10 games.
— Houston is 1-3 ATS in last four games as a home underdog.

— BYU won last two series games, 33-25/47-46; Houston covered both games, which were back in 2013-14.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Sires Stakes Pick 4 Analysis October 16, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Hoosier Park has a huge card ready to roll this evening. The best state bred two and three-year olds as well aged pacers and trotters will be competing in Indiana Sires Stakes Championships. The 0.50 Pick 4 starts in Race 3, it has a $10,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 3

7-Something To Me (4-1)-Finished 2nd to the morning line chalk in last 2. Was off for 3 weeks before last start and now comes right back. Gets a post edge and maybe De Long will blast out and get on the engine or in the 2 hole.
9-Somethingbeautiful (6/5)-This has been the best filly all year winning 7 of 8 and will be singled on many tickets. Hasn't started from the 9-hole before, did win from post 8. Can be posing again with a decent trip.

Race 4

2-Breckenridge (5/2)-Winner of 5 of 7 starts at HoP also has won 4 straight. Morning line chalk looks the part but I'm thinking this will be a very competitive affair.
3-Swingforthefences (9/2)-Faced some tough fillies at the Red Mile in last couple and now comes back home. Has been in the money in 6 of 7 races with 2 wins. Best to respect, might be overlooked at the windows and could offer a solid price.
5-Bridge To Success (8-1)-Broke maiden in last and was used a couple of times. Should be fresh, has raced only 6 times and might be peaking with big money on the line.
6-Brookview Bolt (3-1)-Seems to do best work when leading coming into the lane. Not sure that will be the case tonight and will likely be a short price but will respect connections.
8-Illini Earl (6-1)-The post will make the price and has the speed to beat this group. Trace Tetrick is steering as usual and the key to winning will be the trip. Was off about 3 weeks before last start and could be sitting on a big try.

Race 5

2-Tellmebaboutit (8/5)-Competitive 4-year-old always is in the mix and has faced tough company. Gets a post edge over #6 and will likely need it in what appears to be a 2 horse race.
6-Little Rocket Man (7/5)-Beat #2 by 6 lengths in the Haston Memorial back in August and left from the 7 hole that day. Tim Tetrick takes a seat and that shouldn't hurt. Rockin Image 4-year-old has won over 60% of his starts.

Race 6

4-Roll Em (4-1)-It appears Hiteman trainee was raced from the back, as in way back in its last start. If the chart is correct, this 2-year-old was 16 lengths behind at the half and then sizzled the 2nd half in 53.2. Could leave and get an up-close seat tonight with main foes starting on the outside. Best to not overlook.
7-Jewels Virgin (5/2)-Burke trainee fits with this crew but does jump off-stride at times. Figures to be in the hunt but might be over bet.
9-T's Raider II (3-1)-The post makes this a challenge but this gelding is usually in the mix and will be again with the right trip. If the pace is hot chances to be posing go up and the Erv Miller trainee does deserve respect.

0.50 Pick 4

7,9/2,3,5,6,8/2,6/4,7,9
Total Bet=$30

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Weekly Bankroll Builder: October 16 Stronach 5 Play

October 14, 2020 | By Brian Nadeau

Weekly Bankroll Builder: October 16 Stronach 5 Play

Back to battle in this week’s Stronach 5, after hitting for $256 on the $16 backup ticket last week, and we’ve got another 100k guarantee, and a prospective pool that should far surpass
that. To refresh, the Stronach 5 is a Pk5 wager spread across as many as four tracks and up to three surfaces (dirt, Tapeta and turf), inside of 90 minutes, with a $1 minimum and ridiculously low 12% takeout. I’ll be putting together some prospective tickets in this space each week for a wager that is undoubtedly as good as it gets for the bettors.

*** Please take note that this analysis is done upwards of 48 hours in advance, so obviously weather, track conditions and especially late scratches can and will have an effect. Please check back around 4pm Friday for an update. ***

Leg 1: Gulfstream Park West Race 8 (3:58 ET) – 3up 12.5k MCL at 7 ½ furlongs (turf)

We kick off what will be a very unorthodox sequence, so you’ll have to bear with me a bit, as there will be some bobbing and weaving going on. I’m singling #1 GUACO (5-2) to kick it off, as he drew far better than his key rivals, and will run on the turf for the first time since the Kopaj claim, which says to me he’s going to be better than the 4th on the grass two-back, and even that run might win this.

Pk5 A horses: 1 (listed in order of preference)

The unorthodox part enters the building on the B-level, as I’m going to use several, which will cause me to have to narrow down to some Super A’s later in the sequence (see below). The second-level contenders are tough to separate, so I’ll just blanket them and use #10 Derby Codde (10-1), #3 Elbrus (12-1), #4 Initforthelove (20-1), #11 Cuy (5-1), and #9 Bomoseen (8-1).

Pk5 B horses: 10,3,4,11,9

*** The Super A’s are as follows ***

Leg 2: #4 Noble Way
Leg 5: #2 Homegrown

Potential B add-ins: NONE


Leg 2: Laurel Park Race 7 (4:18 ET) – 3up 25k SAL at 6 furlongs

Many may be singling #4 Noble Way (9-5), who wins this for fun if he runs back to his last, but he hasn’t been out since that big win in January, and it was in the slop too, and his two fast track runs weren’t as sharp, so I’m picking him on top, but I’m not singling him either. I’m reaching a bit with #1 Tastes Like Plaid (12-1), who rises in class, but the N2L win last time was sharp, and he can settle off what looks like a contested pace too, so just maybe he can handle this tougher group. The cutback might work in the favor of #3 Marden (6-1), who has been running long with middling success, but is another who should settle and make a run into all the speed.

Pk5 A horses: 4,1,3

I’m probably using a few too many on the top line, so there will be no backups here.

Pk5 B horses: NONE

Potential B add-ins: #2 Revolutionary Road (8-1), #5 Seven on the Rocks (9-2)


Leg 3: Laurel Park Race 8 (5:02 ET) – 3upfm 10k MCL at 1 mile

It’s going to be tough to get around #6 Thunderinthevalley (9-5), who simply looks better than a very suspect group, was just 2nd to a rousing winner, and well clear of 3rd, who is back in today and one of his “main” rivals.

Pk5 A horses: 6

I’m going to save a few bullets and not use any backups, since #4 Why Not You (8-1) just isn’t consistent enough to use, and the aforementioned “main” rival, #8 My Souper Sally (5-1) just lost easily to ‘Thunder and really has no viable reason why he would bridge the gap, let alone overturn it.

Pk5 B horses: NONE

Potential B add-ins: #4 Why Not You (8-1), #8 My Souper Sally (5-1)


Leg 4: Santa Anita Race 4 (5:08 ET) – 2yo Cal-bred MSW at 5 ½ furlongs (turf)

With the proven runners not showing much, and the firsters a seemingly mixed bag, I’ll spread deep here and use every that looks logical; #5 That Corey (3-1), who has Reddam’s stable jock Gutierrez, a potentially big deal because O’Neill and Reddam have #10 here too; #4 Lil Nas (5-2), who keeps Prat after dueling and tiring on debut on the dirt; #8 The Chosen Vron (6-1), who lures Van Dyke; #6 Circleofchampions (5-1), with Rispoli riding a firster for Gaines (enough said); and #7 By Moonlight (5-1), a good 3rd on debut in an open MCL on the dirt.

Pk5 A horses: 5,4,8,6,7

I’d like to think I’ve got all the bases covered with the five-pack above, so there will be no backups.

Pk5 B horses: NONE

Potential B add-ins: NONE


Leg 5: Golden Gate Fields Race 3 (5:51 ET) – 2yo 12.5k MCL at 1 mile

Budget players will be singling #2 Homegrown (9-5), who’s 2nd last time is a month the best here, but that was sprinting, and there are a few others who can make the big second-race improvement, so I’ll only single him on the Leg 1 backup ticket. The second-race improvement angle could work for #3 Ynot Tony (8-1) and #8 Autism Siblings (5-1), who both stretch out and drop out of an MSW, and #5 Autism Savant (3-1), who dueled and tired on debut and could shake loose going longer.

Pk5 A horses: 2,3,8,5

No one else has much appeal, so let’s stick with the quartet above and call it a day.

Pk5 B horses: NONE

Potential B add-ins: NONE


The tickets:

Main Ticket: 1 with 4,3,1 with 6 with 5,4,8,6,7 with 2,3,8,5 =$60
Leg 1 B Backup: 10,3,4,11,9 with 4 with 6 with 5,4,8,6,7 with 2 = $25

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 10/16/20 October 16, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 5-Cassie Belle; 6-Elgofranco

View Video Analysis (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FQp8-FgPBg0)

Forecast: Cassie Belle is an 11-race maiden and probably not one to trust, but if she repeats her last race in this modest state-bred turf sprint for fillies and mares she should be able to earn her diploma. After rallying widest and keeping to her task in the final furlong, the S. McCarthy-trained filly wound up second in a similar event over this course and distance last month and not much more will be needed to earn a diploma. In a race that projects to have soft early fractions, Elgofranco seems likely to be on or near the lead throughout. Despite always vulnerable under pressure in the final furlong, the daughter of Square Eddie should be able to stick around a long time against this group, and if she can shake loose early she could get brave late. Let’s try to survive and advance using these two in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:33 PT Grade: X
Use: 1-Capital Heat; 4-Little Miss Ellie

View Video Analysis (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2MD1NDj9Svc)

Forecast: Little Miss Ellie, second in all three career outings to date, should finally break through with a win today in a modest five-runner maiden claiming extended sprint for older fillies and mares. She’s earned better-than-par speed figures for the level in her last pair and was more than three lengths clear of the rest in her most recent outing at Del Mar. With a healthy recent series of workouts and the switch to F. Prat, the daughter of Richard’s Kid should be able to justify her short price. For those wishing to protect in rolling exotic play, you can consider using on a ticket or two Capital Heat, a first-time blinkers on play getting a huge break in the weights with the switch to bug girl J. Pyfer. With a good break from the rail, she should be on or near the early lead and have a chance from there.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:08 PT Grade: B-
Use: 4-Little Nas; 5-That Corey

View Video Analysis (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rTp9C0kXr20)

Forecast: The known element doesn’t really inspire in this state-bred maiden 2-yer-old turf sprint so let’s go with a fresh face on top. That Corey is bred win early and handle grass (Square Eddie), and the B. Cecil-trained colt has done some decent work in the a.m. to indicate he has at least some ability. He certainly won’t have to be a world beater to beat this bunch. Also worth considering is Lil Nas, a second-time starter from the P. Eurton barn (solid stats with this angle). The homebred colt flashed good speed for a half before faltering in his debut but should stick better today with the switch to grass. We’ll also take it as a positive that F. Prat rides him back. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have a few extra tickets keying That Corey on top.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:41 PT Grade: B+
Single: 6-Flying Business

View Video Analysis (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=63HVP_nNZuU)

Forecast: Flying Business has much in her favor as the 9/5 morning line favorite in this $20,000 main track dash restricted to 3-year-old fillies. Drawn comfortably outside, adding blinkers, and switching to F. Prat, the daughter of Gervinho makes her first start since being claimed by M. Glatt (a powerful 25% with the first-off-the-claim angle) and should return to winning form at this six and one-half furlong distance that compliments her stalking style. A good, healthy recent work tab that includes a bullet three-furlong drill (:36 flat, fastest of 21) combined with the confident boost in class from the $12,500 level are other positive factors that make her rolling exotic single.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:13 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Gypsy Spirit; 6-Quick

View Video Analysis (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6EmNlvVrNsg)

Forecast: Gypsy Spirit needs early cover and a patient ride and received the type of ride and trip that brought out her best in a first-level allowance score over this course and distance last month. In a race that projects to have a strong early pace, the English-bred filly may be capable of winning right back despite the obligatory raise in class. F. Prat knows her well, stays aboard, and should produce her at the quarter pole and have dead aim the length of the lane. Quick was in too tough in the Mabee S.-G2 at Del Mar last month but she’s back where she belongs today and is another that with patient handling could make some series noise when the pressure is turned on. She defeated Gypsy Spirt on the square when they met in July and is reunited with “win rider” U. Rispoli, who has quickly become J. Sadler bar’s “go-to” rider. She can be effective on the lead or from off the pace and has hit the board in all three starts over the local lawn.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:44 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Conquest Cobra; 6-Secret Touch

View Video Analysis (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z2YL4SbLHS0)

Forecast: Secret Touch easily disposed of a $16,000 field at Del Mar in late August and today is triple-jumped in class by new trainer M. Glatt in what we’ll take as a strong sign of confidence (as stated in our fourth race analysis, this barn has superiors stats with the first-off-the-claim angle). The veteran gelding retains U. Rispoli and projects to enjoy a comfortable pace-stalking trip outside, just where he likes to be. Conquest Cobra, fresh from a fast, highly-rated win vs. $20,000 foes here last month, moves up two levels and gets a huge break in the weights with the switch to the 10 lb. bug rider J. Pyfer. A five-time winner over the Santa Anita main track, the son of Pioneerof the Nile always has been genuine and consistent. We’ll give Secret Touch a very slight edge on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:14 PT Grade: B+ (Leg 1 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Use: 2-Mircorithms; 5-Surfing Star

View Video Analysis (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c0DyTbnNG3I)

Forecast: Microrithms has won both of his starts since returning off a long layoff in extra game fashion and seems well-spotted to extend his overall winning streak to four in this second-level optional claiming sprint that came up a tad light in the early speed department. The projected pace flow should allow the B. Baffert-trained colt to secure his preferred “controlling speed” trip and justify what surely will be strong favoritism. Surfing Star may be worth some consideration. A closing third behind our top pick when they met in late August at Del Mar, the B. Headley-trained horse appeared sluggish and rusty during the early stages but finished with interest and seems certain to move forward off the effort. First or second in five of six career starts over the Santa Anita main track, the son of Surf Cat may still be a race away and find six furlong too sharp but is worth including on your ticket as a back-up or a saver.
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GOLDEN GATE FIELDS (Leg 2 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Race 7: Post 4:29 PT Grade: B
Single: 4-Illapawnie

Forecast: Let’s take a stand with the class-dropping Illapawnie in this restricted (nw-2) $20,000 claiming sprint. The B. Wright-trained filly is simply better than these on her best day, and even though she was well-beaten last time out when facing much strong first-level allowance foes, the daughter of Warrior’s Reward earned a “buried” number that actually puts her right in the hunt even without improvement. A repeat of her starter’s allowance score two runs back is more than good enough. Let’s make her a win play and rolling exotic single at or near her morning line of 3-1;
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RACE 8: Post: 4:44 PT Grade: B- (Leg 3 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Use: 5-Cheerful Charm; 7-Rockie Causeway

View Video Analysis (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3eD_X8f93ZA)

Forecast: Rockie Causeway is improving with racing and appears set to graduate in this mile turf affair for state-bred maiden fillies and mares. Her speed figures are gradually rising with each outing plus she’ll be adding blinkers and switching to U. Rispoli. A small concern is that she’s been a beaten favorite in her last pair (though running well in both) and the R. Baltas barn has been on a cold streak for a month, but the daughter of Giant’s Causeway still seems pretty solid against this group. Cheerful Charm retains F. Prat (who takes off ‘Causeway to ride her) and is improving in her own right, though not as fast on pure numbers as our top pick. This will be just her third career start, so the daughter of Boisterous should continue to progress. She should enjoy a good second flight, stalking trip and have every chance from the quarter pole home.
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GOLDEN GATE FIELDS (Leg 4 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Race 8: Post 4:59 PT Grade: B
Use: 5-Lady Brexit; 6-Whoa Nessie

Forecast: Let’s try to get survive using just two in this $6,250 claiming turf miler for fillies and mares. Lady Brexit ships in from Indiana Downs while making her first start for the J. Wong barn (33% with this angle) so considerably improvement can be expected. The daughter of English Channel filly has good tactical speed and projects to enjoy a nice, trouble-free, stalking trip. Whoa Nessie looked quite good winning a recent $4,000 starter’s allowance affair in her first outing over the local lawn and while earning a speed figure good enough to make her capable of extending her winning streak to three. She can be tough on the lead or from a stalking position.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Belmont Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#7 Bourbon Currency
Price player continues to plug along, and while he rises in class, this is the perfect attack post out the speed, as Jose Ortiz figures to put him involved early; upset special.


#6 French Reef
The chalk will be tough off the Spa win two-back but the 4th last time wasn't pretty, and while he'll be a Lone F, you're allowed to wonder where his form is; backwheel time.


#3 Maxwell Esquire
Heavy hitter was up in time over NYBs but now faces open, cuts back, and will be overbet, so sure, he can win, but the hurdles are a bit higher here; making him prove it.


Race Summary
The price will be right on the 7, and with the potential vulnerability of the 6, and the 3 as well, the appeal only goes up, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well, since he'll fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win over the two strong favorites will add a ton of value to the sequence right off the bat.


Belmont Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#6 Vacay
Pletcher firster cost 100k as a yearling, and sire Not This Time has proven to throw some precocious runners, and it's not like the proven gals are any great shakes; thinking she can run.


## Vallarand
Baker miss debuts for a barn that is just 1-for-28 with these types, but there are a slew of works here, and Jose Ortiz is too, and these Maclean's Music's can fire on debut; do not ignore.


#5 La Urbana
Dicey ML favorite dueled hard then fell apart badly at 5-2 on debut, so taking the same price seems silly, especially since you know the pick will show speed to her outside; not seeing it.


Race Summary
Tab the tote on the 6, as she's supposed to be live and taking money if she can run, and if that's the case you can play her aggressively to win and place, though you can get some added value by keying her in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since the experienced gals aren't much at all, and therefore she won't have to be a freak to get her picture taken.


Belmont Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#2 Rational Choice
Brown runner caught a buzzsaw who may be BC bound on debut but was well clear of 3rd, meets no one like that here, and might not even be favored; look out.


#6 Ten for Ten
ML favorite will be bet hard for Shug off the debut 2nd, and note the 3rd-place finisher came back to win too, but getting from 6Fs to 8.5Fs isn't easy; second-best.


#7 Constitutional Law
Pletcher firster is by Constitution, who has been siring runners left and right, and getting Saez is a big coup too, though this is a tough trip to win on debut; tabbing.


Race Summary
You won't get rich on the 2 but just maybe they send it in on the 6 and you get close to that 3-1 ML on the pick, which would warrant a stiff win and place bet, though you can get some guaranteed value by singling him in the late Pk5/Pk4, as he ran well on debut, and gives every indication he's going to move forward in a big way off that tightener.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Laurel Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 Cloud Ten
Modest effort sprinting on the main when washed over in the FG debut last year, and this trip should be a bit more up her alley. She's bred to love it.


#6 Pilot Episode
Owns a few running lines that would probably get the job done with this crew, and the addition of blinkers might be enough to get her over the top. Overbet?


#7 Look Me Over
Tough read with very spotty form, but her last couple tries have been a bit better and would stack up well here if she can bring her best stuff.


Race Summary
Cloud Ten can be treated essentially like a debuter here after nearly a year away, and her pedigree hints she'll really appreciate the surface switch and added ground.


Laurel Park - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#6 Flight Map
Slight edge in what feels like a pretty competitive spot, as she debuts with a couple of intriguing works along the way.


#4 Lugamo
Showed some chasing pace in the debut run before settling for second behind a romping winner, and he's a threat right back with another trip from close range.


#1 Speightster Red
Finished more or less on even terms with Lugamo when third in that common race, but the fact that he wants to flash a bit of pace coupled with his rail draw may make for a tricky trip.


Race Summary
Flight Map debuts in a spot where the main hitters appear to be Lugamo and Speightster Red off decent, and similar, debut efforts in a common race.


Laurel Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#10 Fionnbharr
Worth a little swing after taking a step back with restricted stakes company last time out, as her two-back effort stacks up nicely with these, and the price should be right.


#11 Good On Paper
Looks like this filly has a right to be tough with four solid turf runs under her belt including that easy local maiden win. Chance right back at what may be a slightly underlaid price.


#9 Sailingintothewind
Pace player tends to give away a bit of ground late, but she has a really high ceiling that keeps her in the mix here while getting the jump on the other pair.


Race Summary
Fionnbharr should be the right kind of number on the board in hopes of getting back to something like that two-back run. That would keep her in the frame with logical players like Good on Paper and Sailingintothewind.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#6 DRUNK ON YOUR LOVE
Beaten fave at Pocono, holds tactical edge in this spot.


#2 ROUGH ODDS
Yet to recapture 2019 form, but towers over field on paper on drop to bottom level.


#4 KERRIN JOSEPH A
Mild first-over bid from post 8 in race dominated by closers.


Race Summary
Drunk On Your Love, pocketed off a solid pace on a ‘good’ track at Pocono, tired as the favorite. But he figures close-up in a field that lacks speed and offers good value with a possible odds-on favorite in the race. Play a 6-2-ALL trifecta.


Meadowlands - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#3 WATCHMENEIGHNEIGH
Right set-up, right price in amateur drivers’ race.


#2 CAPTAIN CUT THROAT
Tracked fast pace on transition to one-mile oval, joined blanket finish late.


#1 MAY I CRUISE WEST
Poor record, but use in gimmick wagers in repeat bid from the rail.


Race Summary
Minnesota invader Watchmeneighneigh, first or second in 8 of 11 starts this year, should get a lively pace to rally into. He’s a live longshot at 8-1 on the morning line. Play a 1-2-3 exacta box.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#2 BEACH DEMON
Menacing move into fast pace, led in mid-stretch, run down late.


#4 RETOUR AU JEU
Brushed past even-money fave early, faded in mid-stretch.


#1 CENTURY GRIZZLY
Steady check-getter, starts fresh, moves outside in.


Race Summary
Beach Demon flashed speed, settled in third, wore down fleet-footed pace setter Retour Au Jeu but couldn’t hold off Bee Two Bee. He can turn the tables with a more sensible pace projected. Let’s make him today’s Best Bet.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk
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1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
CFB – Arkansas +1.5


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
CFB – Notre Dame over 62


3.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
CFB – Central Florida -3


4.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
CFB – Texas St under 58


5.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
CFB – North Carolina -13.5


6.
Point Spread Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CFB – Duke +4.5


7.
Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com/lou-big-play-panelli/)
CFB – SMU -6.5


8.
Gerry “Big Cat” Andino (https://www.nsawins.com/gerry-big-cat-andino/)
CFB – Louisiana Tech +13.5


9.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
CFB – Alabama -4.5


10.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/william-e-stockton/)
CFB – Midd Tenn St -6.5


11.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
CFB – Memphis +3


12.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/steve-scoop-kendall/)
CFB – UAB -14


13.
SCORE (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CFB – Syracuse +3


14.
East Coast Line Movers (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CFB – Auburn -3.5


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
CFB – Temple under 54


16.
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CFB – BYU -5


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CFB – Memphis under 73.5


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VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
CFB – Texas St under 58


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South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
CFB – Kansas +22.5


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CFB – Wake Forest +2.5


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
CFB – BYU over 62.5


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
CFB – SMU -6.5


23.
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CFB – Virginia Tech -12


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
CFB – Navy -3


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CFB – Kentucky +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen DeAngelo

It's a Cougars versus Cougars battle this Friday night when the 5-0 and #14 ranked BYU Cougars take on the 1-0 host Houston Cougars.

Houston finally got their season underway last Thursday night with a 49-31 home win over visiting Tulane. A closer look at that game for Dana Holgorsen's team shows they trailed 24-7 before getting things together. They also had 5 turnovers a pair of which were touchdowns for the Green Wave!

Ok, I will give you the fact Houston rallied and of course they were rusty starting their season so late, but another repeat tonight and you can be sure BYU will make them pay.

BYU has faced a fairly "light" schedule to date and they did barely get by a scrappy UTSA team 27-20 last weekend. Still, BYU's defense will present a stern test for Houston quarterback Clayton Tune who threw for over 300 yards against Tulane. BYU is leading the nation in total defense as they allow just 214 yards per game. The Morman Cougars are only allowing 179.5 yards per game through the air and just 71 yards per game on the ground.

Conversely, the Texas Cougars are going to have a difficult time trying to slow Zach Wilson and the BYU offense which has been finely-tuned. Wilson is completing 81% of his throws, has 8 TD's - also 6 rushing TD's - and just 1 pick while throwing for over 300 yards per game thus far. The running game is also come up with over 200 yards per game with an average of right at 5 yards per carry.

While it is tempting to grab the points with the home dog under the primetime lights, this home dog won't have very many fans in the stands and this home dog looked far to sloppy with the pigskin in their season-opener last week for me to be interested in taking the points.

BYU has not opened a season at 5-0 since back in 2008, but tonight they match that mark.

Lay it with the Cougars, that is the BYU Cougars.

It's a Cougars versus Cougars battle this Friday night when the 5-0 and #14 ranked BYU Cougars take on the 1-0 host Houston Cougars.

Houston finally got their season underway last Thursday night with a 49-31 home win over visiting Tulane. A closer look at that game for Dana Holgorsen's team shows they trailed 24-7 before getting things together. They also had 5 turnovers a pair of which were touchdowns for the Green Wave!

Ok, I will give you the fact Houston rallied and of course they were rusty starting their season so late, but another repeat tonight and you can be sure BYU will make them pay.

BYU has faced a fairly "light" schedule to date and they did barely get by a scrappy UTSA team 27-20 last weekend. Still, BYU's defense will present a stern test for Houston quarterback Clayton Tune who threw for over 300 yards against Tulane. BYU is leading the nation in total defense as they allow just 214 yards per game. The Morman Cougars are only allowing 179.5 yards per game through the air and just 71 yards per game on the ground.

Conversely, the Texas Cougars are going to have a difficult time trying to slow Zach Wilson and the BYU offense which has been finely-tuned. Wilson is completing 81% of his throws, has 8 TD's - also 6 rushing TD's - and just 1 pick while throwing for over 300 yards per game thus far. The running game is also come up with over 200 yards per game with an average of right at 5 yards per carry.

While it is tempting to grab the points with the home dog under the primetime lights, this home dog won't have very many fans in the stands and this home dog looked far to sloppy with the pigskin in their season-opener last week for me to be interested in taking the points.

BYU has not opened a season at 5-0 since back in 2008, but tonight they match that mark.

Lay it with the Cougars, that is the BYU Cougars.

2* BYU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

Even though BYU brings the top-ranked total defense into this road game at Houston their stats have been compiled against a less than impressive schedule to date. I have a feeling that tonight's meeting against these Cougars from Houston is going to slip Over the total when it is all said and done.

BYU is still averaging almost 44 points per game in getting out of the gate at 4-0 and they will be facing a Houston team that was able to hang 49 points on Tulane in their season-opener last Thursday while giving up 31 points.

Dana Holgorsen's team was a tad "rusty" in their very first game as they had 4 first-half turnovers and 5 turnovers overall in the home win.

While you cannot handicap turnovers, you can can assume while there may not be 5 given away by the host tonight, there may be one or two coughed up by Houston.

With Zach Wilson and Clayton Tune a pair of the better quarterbacks at the college level, I am going to look for the points on the scoreboard to be enough to get this meeting Over the total.

2* BYU-HOUSTON OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park



Laurel Park - Race 3

EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 3-4) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 3-4-5) / 20 cent RAINBOW PICK 6 (RACES 3-4-5-6-7-8) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5



Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 98 • Purse: $42,000 • Post: 2:00P


(PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR MD SIRED OR MD BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING SINCE AUGUST 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. CAREY TIMES is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CAREY TIMES: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. HO LLY BLAME: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. INSIDE RISK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



5

CAREY TIMES

3/1


3/1




3

HOLLY BLAME

2/1


9/2




1

INSIDE RISK

9/2


7/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




5

CAREY TIMES

5


3/1

Front-runner

88


87


91.8


83.2


78.7




1

INSIDE RISK

1


9/2

Stalker

94


89


69.4


81.4


71.9




3

HOLLY BLAME

3


2/1

Trailer

99


96


70.6


87.4


82.9




7

DECORATED

7


9/2

Trailer

79


84


25.5


77.8


65.8




6

STONE COURAGEOUS

6


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

89


83


58.6


80.2


71.2




2

COMMANDING GENERAL

2


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

78


77


55.3


71.1


63.6




4

RUSSELDOINGTHINGS

4


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

80


80


37.0


75.8


68.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields



Golden Gate Fields - Race 8

$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 min) / $1 Rolling Super High Five Leg 4 of the $1 Golden Hour Pick 4 Leg 2 of the $5 Golden Hour Double (starts with Race 8 at Santa Anita)



Claiming $6,250 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 4:59P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250 (MAIDEN, CLAIMING AND STARTER RACES FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. WHOA NESSIE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WHOA NESSIE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" des ignation or an "L" designation. TINK'S TWIRL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. EVERYBODY DOES IT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



6

WHOA NESSIE

7/2


3/1




8

TINK'S TWIRL

5/2


5/1




1

EVERYBODY DOES IT

5/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




6

WHOA NESSIE

6


7/2

Front-runner

79


86


97.7


82.4


75.4




8

TINK'S TWIRL

8


5/2

Stalker

93


85


75.5


81.7


76.7




7

FIERY CAUSE

7


12/1

Stalker

72


74


74.8


71.2


59.7




1

EVERYBODY DOES IT

1


5/1

Alternator/Stalker

88


81


55.3


76.0


70.0




3

LEA'S REWARD

3


12/1

Trailer

80


78


91.0


79.6


69.1




5

LADY BREXIT

5


5/1

Alternator/Non-contender

84


69


67.4


68.9


58.4




4

LACEY'S RAINBOW

4


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

79


69


59.2


74.4


61.4




2

PURE PERFECTION

2


9/2

Alternator/Non-contender

82


72


32.4


70.4


62.4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Santa Anita - Race #4 - Post: 2:41pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 DEHYDRATION (ML=5/2)
#6 FLYING BUSINESS (ML=9/5)
#5 DON'T STOP LOOKIN (ML=10/1)


DEHYDRATION - The most dangerous animal in racing is the lone speed horse. If they let her get away early they probably won't catch her. Was in a $40,000 Claiming race at Santa Anita last out. That event had a class figure of 88 and she is moving down in this race. A certain win candidate. FLYING BUSINESS - Took a drop in class last time out, and keeps in that lower class level in this event. A good sign this animal is comfortable and ready to go. This filly has been trying different distances, but from the looks of things, she ran a nice speed rating last try at this distance. Glatt is hoping to get a little more out of this filly by adding blinkers today. DON'T STOP LOOKIN - Looking at today's class rating, this horse is meeting an easier field than in the last race at Santa Anita.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 HEART RIVER (ML=3/1), #2 SHERILINDA (ML=7/2),

HEART RIVER - Tough to wager on any mount like this that didn't land in the top three after the long layoff and comes right back. SHERILINDA - Tough to wager on any racer in a short distance clash at 7/2 when she hasn't shown any on the board results in sprints in the last sixty days. This filly gave a lackluster effort last time.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#3 DEHYDRATION is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

3 with [5,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [3,5,6] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 10 - Maiden Claiming - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 66

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 PERRY HIGH 3/1




# 9 FLY ME HIGHER 4/1




# 3 EL GOLFO DE MEXICO 5/1




PERRY HIGH has a respectable shot to take this race. I think having Alvarez ride this gelding is a smart selection. With a strong 51 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this competition. Is tough not to examine given the company run in recently. FLY ME HIGHER - He has been travelling admirably lately while recording strong Equibase Speed Figures. Has been running admirably lately and should be on or close to the lead early on. EL GOLFO DE MEXICO - Has a solid shot in here if you like back class. Posted a formidable Equibase Speed Fig last time out.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Charles Town - Race #9 - Post: 11:02pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 FIRST FIGHTER (ML=3/1)


FIRST FIGHTER - Zip is always important in horse racing, but the lone speed horse is always dangerous. Bocachica and Runco perform well when they team up. Hard to beat a win percent of 33. Taking a trip down the class scale; has the class ability to make his presence felt. Any speed horse that is breaking from the inside has a shot on this track. Should jump out of the gate and get good position versus this bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 BOURBON BRYCE (ML=5/2), #3 RAGTIME COWBOY JOE (ML=7/2), #9 HEART HERO (ML=4/1),

BOURBON BRYCE - Hasn't raced or had any morning activity since September 17th. Not much value on this morning-line choice. RAGTIME COWBOY JOE - The rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this mount as a questionable contender. HEART HERO - This sustainer will probably be rolling down the lane much too late to make an impression in this race.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #4 FIRST FIGHTER on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

4 with 2



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park West



10/16/20, GPW, Race 6, 2.50 ET
10/16/20,GPW,6,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:01 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000 (includes up to $3,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since July 16 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500 (Races Where Entered For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (If deemed inadvisable to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile and One Sixteenth) (Rail at 5 feet).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occ
WPC
ROI


100.0000
3
Lillie's Heat
10/1
Fuentes M
Rodriguez Roderick R.
L
18
33.33
3.60/$1


098.5337
6
Napa Rules
9/2
Jaramillo E
David Carlos A.
JTSE
109
30.28
1.46/$1


096.2849
9
Valley Date
20/1
Vasquez M A
Crichton Rohan


109
30.28
1.46/$1


096.0617
5
Blossom Bow
6/1
Berrios H I
Dibona Bobby S.


109
30.28
1.46/$1


094.7151
10
Pert
4/1
Torres C A
Crichton Rohan
F
109
30.28
1.46/$1


094.6198
1
Yako
8/1
Panici L
Sano Antonio


109
30.28
1.46/$1


091.9914
7
Hoponthebusgus
5/2
Zayas E J
Maker Michael J.


109
30.28
1.46/$1


091.0689
8
Feature Creature
5/1
Prado E S
Matier Sandra


109
30.28
1.46/$1


087.1695
2
Vinyardnina
30/1
Rios J M
Catanese. III Joseph C


109
30.28
1.46/$1


084.9750
4
Colonels Daughter
12/1
Reyes L
Avila Juan Carlos
C
109
30.28
1.46/$1


Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 15.38, ROI 0.98/$1
. . . .
100.0000 3 Lillie's Heat
[Category]Condition
[AllTurf]CarriesApprenticeWeight
If Race Is Off Turf Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occ
WPC
ROI


100.0000
5
Blossom Bow
6/1
Berrios H I
Dibona Bobby S.


73
31.51
1.25/$1


099.5579
10
Pert
4/1
Torres C A
Crichton Rohan
FW
106
37.74
1.13/$1


096.9872
3
Lillie's Heat
10/1
Fuentes M
Rodriguez Roderick R.
L
63
36.51
1.34/$1


096.6905
8
Feature Creature
5/1
Prado E S
Matier Sandra


60
33.33
1.24/$1


096.0692
6
Napa Rules
9/2
Jaramillo E
David Carlos A.
JTSE
35
34.29
1.46/$1


095.4944
7
Hoponthebusgus
5/2
Zayas E J
Maker Michael J.


60
33.33
1.24/$1


094.9551
4
Colonels Daughter
12/1
Reyes L
Avila Juan Carlos
C
60
33.33
1.24/$1


094.0410
1
Yako
8/1
Panici L
Sano Antonio


60
33.33
1.24/$1


093.8575
9
Valley Date
20/1
Vasquez M A
Crichton Rohan


63
36.51
1.34/$1


087.1423
2
Vinyardnina
30/1
Rios J M
Catanese. III Joseph C


60
33.33
1.24/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 25.00, ROI 0.79/$1
. . . .
100.0000 5 Blossom Bow
[Category]Condition
[AllDirt]*2ndHorse99RatingAndTopHorse100Rating
*Scratches may change this condition

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at WoodbineAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $17700 Class Rating: 81

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 9 PINKY DUDE 5/2




# 12 ZOOMER MUSIC 6/1




# 8 CAUSE FOR ALARM 20/1




PINKY DUDE gets the edge as the bet in here. I think having Moran ride this gelding is a smart selection. With a very good 76 speed fig last time out, will clearly be a factor in this race. ZOOMER MUSIC - Has to be given a shot here on the basis of the figs in the speed section alone. Should be given consideration based on the quite good Equibase Speed Figure recorded in the last race. CAUSE FOR ALARM - Have to believe this horse will do well following the quick return.

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland



10/16/20, KEE, Race 1, 1.05 ET
10/16/20,KEE,1,6F [Dirt] 1:08:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $25,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 For Two Year Olds under International Medication Protocol. Horses nominated or entered to compete shall not be eligible to receive furosemide less than twenty-four (24) hours prior to post time for the race.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occ
WPC
ROI


100.0000
6
Grapevine
7/2
Graham J
Harty Eoin G.
FEL
126
28.57
1.42/$1


096.3017
1
Vale of Evesham
10/1
Padron-Barcenas J
Chapman James K.
W
143
30.77
1.35/$1


096.2927
3
Credit Enhancement
7/2
Gaffalione T
Brown Chad C.
JTSC
152
26.97
1.37/$1


095.3360
4
Mindy's Way
4/1
Cohen D
Diodoro Robertino


143
30.77
1.35/$1


095.2862
8
Sweet Spin
8/1
Saez G
Sims Philip A.


143
30.77
1.35/$1


093.9040
7
Golden Account
3/1
Beschizza A
Sharp Joe


152
26.97
1.37/$1


092.6786
5
Presleys Rifle
10/1
Bejarano R
Zito Nicholas P.


143
30.77
1.35/$1


090.9994
2
Liberty Belle
12/1
Morales E
Glyshaw Tim


152
26.97
1.37/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 45.45, ROI 1.94/$1
. . . .
100.0000 6 Grapevine
[Category]Condition
[AllDirt]LastRaceWasSprintWithSprintToday

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Cappers Access

(Fri) NCAAF Tulane +6-
(Fri) NCAAF Houston +4-
(Fri) MLB Astros +

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Paul Leiner

Horse Pick and MLB Playoff play 10/16

100* Over 9.5 Braves/Dodgers

Here's one from Santa Anita.

Race 7
#4 Grinning Tiger $10 wps
$2 exacta box 4-2-6

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MLB public betting, line movement October 16
Patrick Everson

Mookie Betts and the Dodgers are in a 3-1 NLCS hole and a must-win situation for Friday night's Game 5 against the Braves. Most sportsbooks didn't post a Game 5 moneyline Thursday night.

MLB betting odds provide two pivotal games once again, with the NLCS and ALCS both on the Friday schedule. The Los Angeles Dodgers are in a must-win Game 5 against the Atlanta Braves, and ditto for the resilient Houston Astros in Game 6 against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early movement, sharp money and public betting for Friday’s games.

MLB line movement

Atlanta had a six-run sixth-inning outburst en route to a 10-2 Game 4 victory over Clayton Kershaw and Los Angeles on Thursday, giving the Braves a 3-1 lead in the NLCS. With starters not yet set for Friday’s 9:08 p.m. ET Game 5, most sportsbooks didn’t post a line Thursday night.

Tampa Bay won the first three games of the ALCS, but is now in a dogfight after two straight losses. In Game 5 Thursday, Carlos Correa hit a walk-off solo shot in the bottom of the ninth inning to give defending AL champion Houston a 4-3 victory.

Caesars sportsbooks opened Game 6 at Rays -130/Astros +120, and there was no movement Thursday night for Friday’s 6:07 p.m. ET first pitch. The total of 8 also didn’t move Thursday night.

MLB public betting

The consensus, often indicative of public play, showed a modest lean toward Tampa Bay late Thursday night. The Rays were landing 54 percent of early picks, while the total had 58 percent of early picks on the Under.

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901HOUSTON -902 TAMPA BAY
HOUSTON is 27-36 SU (-13.8 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

903LA DODGERS -904 ATLANTA
LA DODGERS are 8-0 SU (8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite in the current season.

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MLB
Dunkel

Friday, October 16

Houston @ Tampa Bay

Game 901-902
October 16, 2020 @ 6:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Valdez) 15.791
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 17.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-135); Under

LA Dodgers @ Atlanta

Game 903-904
October 16, 2020 @ 9:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(May) 17.276
Atlanta
(TBD) 18.695
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-220
9
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+190); Over

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MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, October 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (36 - 35) vs. TAMPA BAY (48 - 24) - 6:07 PM
FRAMBER VALDEZ (L) vs. BLAKE SNELL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 36-35 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 48-24 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 24-9 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 20-6 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SNELL is 24-11 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 (+0.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.0 Units)

FRAMBER VALDEZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
VALDEZ is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

BLAKE SNELL vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SNELL is 3-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.476.
His team's record is 5-3 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (49 - 20) vs. ATLANTA (43 - 26) - 9:08 PM
DUSTIN MAY (R) vs. JOSH TOMLIN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 (+3.6 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

DUSTIN MAY vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

JOSH TOMLIN vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
TOMLIN is 1-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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MLB

Friday, October 16

Best-of-7 series

Houston vs Tampa Bay (3-2) (@ San Diego)
Valdez is 4-1, 1.72 in his last five starts.
— Houston is 9-5 in his starts this season.
— Over is 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— Valdez is 2-1, 3.00 in three playoff games (2 starts).
— He gave up two runs in six IP in his first start vs Tampa Bay.

— Astros scored total of 13 runs in first five games in this series.
— Houston is in playoffs for 4th year in a row; they won World Series in 2017, lost World Series last season.
— Under is 8-3 in their playoff games.
— Astros are 16-27 on road this season.

Snell is 4-1, 2.53 in his last six starts.
— Rays are 9-5 in his starts this season.
— Under is 4-1 in his last five starts.
— Snell is 2-1, 2.57 in six playoff games (4 starts).
— He is 3-2, 4.58 in seven career starts vs Houston.

— Tampa Bay won eight of its 12 playoff games, but lost last two.
— Rays are in playoffs for second year in a row.
— Tampa Bay is 28-15 away from home this season.
— Under is 9-3 in their playoff games.

— Rays lost ALDS 3-2 to Houston last season.

National League
Atlanta (3-1) vs Los Angeles (@ Arlington)
Sounds like a bullpen game

— Braves won eight of their first nine playoff games.
— Atlanta is in playoffs for the third year in a row.
— Braves are 24-15 away from home this season.
— Over is 3-0 in their last three games.

May hasn’t allowed a run in his last 8.2 IP, but they were spread out over four stints. He’s been an opener, a reliever; he may be asked to go longer here, if he does well.
— He’s allowed one run in 8 IP in five playoff games (1 start).
— He’s allowed four runs in 3.2 IP in two games vs Atlanta.

— Dodgers are 49-20 this year, but 1-3 this week.
— Dodgers are in playoffs for the 8th year in a row.
— LA is 28-11 away from home this season.
— Over is 3-0 in their last three games.

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MLB

Friday, October 16

Trend Report

Houston @ Tampa Bay
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games

LA Dodgers @ Atlanta
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

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Hunter Price Oct 16 '20, 9:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | BYU vs Houston
Play on: UNDER 63 -110

1* Free Pick on BYU vs Houston under 63 -110

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Sal Michaels Oct 16 '20, 9:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | BYU vs Houston
Play on: Houston +6 -112 at Draft Kings

Free Play on Houston +6 -112

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Kenny Walker Oct 16 '20, 9:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | BYU vs Houston
Play on: BYU -5 -102 at pinnacle

Free Pick on BYU

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Frank Sawyer Oct 16 '20, 9:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | BYU vs Houston
Play on: OVER 62 -109

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR FRIDAY, 10/16:
My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play on my cut list for this evening is with BYU/Houston Over the Total. BYU (4-0) comes off a 27-20 win over UTSA last Saturday where they gained 470 yards — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The Over is also 3-1-1 in BYU’s last 5 games played on the road. Houston (1-0) kicked off their season last week with their 49-31 win over Tulane — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Houston has also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total as an underdog. Take the Over. Best of luck — Frank.

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Totals Guru Oct 16 '20, 9:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | BYU vs Houston
Play on: UNDER 62½ -110

Free Total Annihilator On BYU vs Houston under 62½ -110

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Mike Wynn Free Pick: Houston/Tampa Bay Under 8 Runs

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Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday October 16, 2020

10/16 06:30 PM PT / 9:30 PM ET

CF (109) BYU VS (110) HOUSTON

Take: over

Reason: Houston finally got to play a game last week and their offense showed no rust in a 49-31 blowout of Tulane. Meanwhile, the 15th ranked BYU Cougars have improved to 4-0 on the season. QB Zach Wilson has been amazing for the Cougars, completing 81% of his passes and passing for over 300 yards in every game so far. The Cougars had their first close game last week in a win over UTSA, 27-20. It was the first time this season the defense allowed 10 points or more. The Houston offense piled up the points last week, but did have five turnovers. They won't be able to do that against this Cougars team this week. BYU and their secondary get their first real test here on Friday against this Houston offense. I expect a lot of scoring here as both offenses have plenty of weapons to light the scoreboard. Your free play is on the OVER.

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Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: LA DODGERS/ATLANTA OVER the total of 9½ runs

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Roz Wins Roz's FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16, 2020
Free Pick
MLB
902. Rays -1.30 (3:07 PT / 6:07 ET)

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#1 Sports Friday's Free Play: Dodgers/Braves over 9

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Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: the Houston/Tampa Bay Game Under 8 Runs

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Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play FRIDAY, October 16, 2020
CFB
108. Tulane +6.5 (3 PT / 6 ET)

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Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Friday Selection Is

Atlanta Braves +1½ RUNS +120

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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Friday : HOUSTON/TAMPA BAY UNDER the total of 8 runs

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Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Friday

Tampa Bay -128

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Hawkeye Sports Friday's Free Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers/Atlanta Braves over 9

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The Last Call Friday's Free Play: Atlanta Braves + 210

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Teyas Sports FREE PICK 10/16 MLB ATLANTA OVER 9

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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Friday: LA DODGERS/ATLANTA OVER the total the total of 9½ runs

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Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Friday: LA Dodgers (May) -210 over Atlanta

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John Anthony Sports

Free Selection: FRI

ASTROS/RAYS UNDER

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Tony Sacco

Tony Sacco's Free Play for FRIDAY is on the

DODGERS/BRAVES OVER

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Hollywood Anthony

Your FRIDAY Free Play from Hollywood Anthony

TB RAYS