Service Plays Saturday 10/17/20

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[GetTheseDimes]

Steve Merrill 5%


5% CFB Platinum *POWERHOUSE*
Game: (165) Georgia at (166) Alabama
Date/Time: Oct 17 2020 8:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Georgia +6.0 (-110)

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Play: GEORGIA +6
-Georgia had led or been tied for 118 minutes and 54 seconds in the last 2 meetings vs. Alabama
-offense is averaging 36 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 25.6 points per game
-Bulldogs defense is giving up just 12.3 points per game on 3.7 yards per play; top stop unit
-Alabama has played 3 high-scoring shootouts this season; not the typical Alabama style of play
-offense has faced a terrible collection of defenses that give up 41.2 points per game; class jump
-Crimson Tide defense is giving up 30.3 points per game on 6.0 yards per play; really bad sign

[GetTheseDimes]

Kevin Dolan 5% (WagerTalk as well)
Game: (165) Georgia at (166) Alabama
Date/Time: Oct 17 2020 8:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Under 59.0 (-110)


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Breakdown


- The Georgia Bulldogs looked extremely impressive in the 2nd H of last week's come from behind win against 14th ranked Tennessee. The Bulldogs held the Volunteers scoreless in the 2nd H, allowing just 71 yards and four first downs in the process. This Georgia defense is legit this year, ranking 2nd in the country overall, but their caliber of opposition has been so much higher than 1st placed Houston on just one game that the Bulldogs can rightly name themselves the best defensive team in the nation, giving up just 3.2 yards per play at home this year, against the 14th and 7th ranked teams in Tennessee and Auburn respectively.


- The Crimson Tide has been on the other end of the spectrum to start the new season, putting up a colossal 723 yards against Ole Miss last week in a record-breaking game for the SEC Conference. Alabama was clinical with the ball through the air as Mac Jones went 28 for 32 for 417 yards and two TDs despite the Crimson Tide having less time of possession than Ole Miss. And they'll have to be equally as clinical in this one, as the Bulldogs rank 2nd in the nation on time of possession at 59.15%. That's going to keep the ball out of this dynamic Alabama offense for the most part in this one and slow down the game as Georgia looks to go to ground and take advantage of this 91st ranked Alabama rushing defense.


- A win for Alabama here would break their current 5 game win streak record against Georgia set first in 1926, again in 1953 and 1964, and currently equaled again right now. Georgia also holds a 5 game win streak against Alabama, so neither team has been able to break that 5 game win streak since both teams first played all the way back in 1895! History is on the line here and Georgia will be loathed to let the Crimson Tide break the overall win streak record in this one. Kirby Smart knows he simply can't match Alabama on offense, so if the Bulldogs are going to win this game outright, it's going to come from their wall level defense and keeping the Crimson Tide's possessions to a minimum.


I personally think Georgia is a live dog here too, but the safer play is the Under as Georgia is more than capable of limiting this Alabama offense, while on the opposite end, Georgia's 51st ranked offense (61st on the road) simply won't be dynamic enough to run up the score here in Bryant-Denny Stadium.


Defense wins the day in Tuscaloosa as we like Georgia/Alabama to go Under 59 points on Saturday in their big SEC clash.


PLAY: UNDER 59

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin:

167 Southern Mississippi -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FEATURED PICK

Barrett Sallee
CFB GURU
YESTERDAY 5:05 PM

ALABAMA -6
GEORGIA @ ALABAMA | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
Take Alabama and lay the points. The Crimson Tide will walk in knowing that they can beat Georgia. The Bulldogs will walk in hoping that they can beat Alabama. I don't care how good Georgia's defense is, Alabama quarterback Mac Jones, his wide receivers and running back Najee Harris are good enough to put 30 points up on the board. Is Georgia's offense willing and able to play that style of football? Nah.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
4-0 IN LAST 4 BAMA ATS PICKS | +400

4-2 IN LAST 6 UGA ATS PICKS | +184

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LSU vs. Florida postponed

[Yellow]

Essler 3* ACC GOY

Virginia Tech -11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UptownDaveSports

Parlay +215

Vikings -3
BYU -200
Va Tech -435

[rocky57]

VegasInsider (Joe Williams)
ACC Plays
CFB
Clemson -27
Boston College +12
Miami Florida -13.5
Miami Florida/Pittsburgh Under 48
Liberty/Syracuse Over 52.5
Duke/NC State Over 59.5
Virginia/Wake Forest Over 60
Florida State/North Carolina Over 64

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

College

8-unit Underdog Game of the Year Wake Forest+2.5
4 over-64-Florida state
3 Tennessee-6
2 alabama-4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin

4% - Texas State +2'
5% Southern Miss -4' (good at 5% to -6, 4% if -6' or higher)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
YESTERDAY 8:31 PM

LOUISVILLE +16.5
LOUISVILLE @ NOTRE DAME | 10/17 | 2:30 PM EDT
Notre Dame is undefeated this season but has gotten there by facing the lackluster offenses of Duke, USF and Florida State. This Cardinals offense is far and away the most explosive unit it will have faced, and I don't have enough confidence in the Irish offense to think it can cover a spread this large against an offense like Louisville's.

15-11-1 LAST 27 CFB SIDES | +580
3-0-1 IN LAST 4 LVILLE ATS PICKS | +300

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cincinnati vs. Tulsa postponed

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Week 7 college football best bets: More trouble for Miami?

Every Thursday during the season, Doug Kezirian (5-0 last week, 10-3 overall), Bill Connelly (1-2, 9-7), Preston Johnson (3-1, 10-8) and David M. Hale (1-1, 8-6) will provide their top plays across the college football landscape.
Here are their best bets for Week 7 of the college football season.
Note: Lines from Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill as of Wednesday (unless otherwise indicated).


No. 14 BYU Cougars (-5.5, 62.5) at Houston Cougars, Friday, 9:30 p.m. ET (on ESPN)

Kezirian: This should be a thrilling game. Both offenses have the ability to light up the scoreboard, but BYU's physicality could pose problems for Houston. I trust the Cougars will be able to score at ease because pretty much anyone can score against Dana Holgorsen's defense. Plus, with the platform of national television on a Friday night, I think the BYU coaching staff will do everything it can to pad the stats of QB Zach Wilson. He's already a pro prospect, but perhaps continuing his current pace of stats and an undefeated season might get him an invitation to New York as a Heisman finalist. That's a huge recruiting tool for a program like BYU, so I expect the Cougars to capitalize on the opportunity.
Pick: BYU team total over 33.5 (DraftKings)

No. 1 Clemson Tigers (-27, 64) at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, noon ET (on ABC)

Kezirian: One could argue this is a flat spot for Clemson, which is why I am isolating the team total rather than laying 27 points. The Tigers' offense should have no issues against a Tech defense that has been torched by nearly every opponent. Even Syracuse scored 37 points. Additionally, Yellow Jackets freshman quarterback Jeff Sims has had some nice moments, but he's also a bit reckless with the ball (eight interceptions). Clemson's defense will give the offense some short fields. Plus, coach Dabo Swinney showed against Miami that he wants his second unit running the offense as much as possible, even trying to score in the final seconds of a blowout.
Pick: Clemson team total over 44.5 (DraftKings)

No. 8 Cincinnati Bearcats (-3, 44) at Tulsa Golden Hurricane, noon ET (on ESPN2)

Connelly: Ladies and gentlemen, the best defensive battle the AAC could possibly produce! Cincinnati has allowed just 12.3 points per game, while Tulsa has managed to allow just 42 points total despite playing at Oklahoma State and Central Florida. (SP+ is slow to recognize the Golden Hurricane's defensive awesomeness because they've played just two games, but it looks like they're for real -- 11th in points allowed per drive, 16th in success rate.)
Even acknowledging Tulsa's defensive prowess, this is an awfully friendly line. Cincinnati kept a solid Army team at arm's length and manhandled Austin Peay and South Florida. The Bearcats allow almost no big plays, and while their offense isn't amazing, it's dramatically more consistent and efficient than Tulsa's. Tulsa is quite competitive this year, but SP+ projects Cincinnati by 8.7, and that sounds more likely than a three-point game to me.
Pick: Cincinnati -3
Hale: Yes, the Cincinnati offense is a bit of a mixed bag. And sure, Tulsa can play enough defense to keep this one close. But the Bearcats' defense is an elite unit, and few teams manage to get anything going early against it. In Cincinnati's past nine games, it has allowed a grand total of 50 first-half points -- with nearly half that coming in a rematch against Memphis in last year's AAC title game. Add in something of a hangover effect for Tulsa following the upset of Central Florida -- after beating UCF last season, Tulsa suffered a disastrous loss against Houston -- and you've got a recipe for an ugly game with few points, but enough for a Bearcats cover.
Pick: Cincinnati -1.5 first half

Pittsburgh Panthers at No. 13 Miami Hurricanes (-13, 48), noon ET (on ACCN)

Hale: Fading the Panthers when they were heavy favorites was easy money, but this line feels like an overreaction in the other direction. Pitt doesn't often win big, but it's rarely blown out. Meanwhile, Miami is coming off a deflating loss to Clemson and could be without tight end Brevin Jordan. A brief look at the history of ACC teams following a loss to Clemson shows a trend toward hangovers -- the past three ACC teams to lose to Clemson lost their next game, too -- and Pitt can do a lot of the same things on defense that Clemson found to be so successful against Miami. Pitt might not win this one outright -- and it's worth monitoring the health of quarterback Kenny Pickett -- but the line here is simply too big to ignore.
Pick: Pittsburgh +13

Liberty Flames (-3.5, 52.5) at Syracuse Orange, noon ET (on ESPN3)

Hale: Syracuse is not very good, and now it is without starting quarterback Tommy DeVito, likely for the season, and star safety Andre Cisco, who has opted out after an injury. Liberty is 4-0, and Syracuse just lost to a winless Duke team, which is how you end up with an ACC team as a home underdog against an independent. But it was just a year ago that Syracuse dominated Liberty 24-0 (with coach Hugh Freeze watching from a press-box hospital bed), and that Syracuse team was bad, too. Does the QB change hurt? Maybe, but it isn't like DeVito was playing lights out either. And let's look at Liberty's four wins: an FCS opponent and teams ranked 104, 120 and 126 in our FPI. Syracuse is not good, but it's also not UL Monroe or North Alabama. The Orange will win this one outright.
Pick: Syracuse +3.5
Johnson: The news of DeVito missing the game caused a reaction in the market for this total (formerly 55.5). I'm not sure it's warranted. QB Rex Culpepper will likely be the new starter, and as much as coach Dino Babers loved DeVito, I don't know anybody else who thought DeVito was the right guy. The drop-off to Culpepper is minimal at best, and considering the Orange defense just gave up 645 yards and 38 points to Duke despite being gifted four turnovers in the game, I'm diving in to take over at a cheap price. The Flames' offense is averaging over 35 points per game with starting QB Malik Willis and his next-level rushing addition (340 yards and four touchdowns in three starts). This should be lined 57, and the loss of DeVito isn't going to scare me off of a discrepancy this big now.
Pick: Over 52.5

Ole Miss Rebels (-2.5, 76) at Arkansas Razorbacks, 3:30 p.m. ET (on SECN)

Kezirian: This is a situational play. Lane Kiffin and the Rebels put everything into last week's game against Alabama. Now, Ole Miss hits the road for Little Rock with what I would anticipate is minimal excitement and focus. Plus, Kiffin hinted that his team is dealing with positive COVID-19 tests, which can really hurt a thin team like Mississippi.
Meanwhile, the Razorbacks have looked much better than many expected. Feleipe Franks has already led the Razorbacks to a win at Mississippi State and they were robbed of another win by a missed call at Auburn. This line has been bet down from -3, and I agree with the move.
Pick: Arkansas +2.5

Duke Blue Devils at NC State Wolfpack (-4.5, 59.5), 3:30 p.m. ET (on ESPN3)

Johnson: Let's start with the home team that we backed last week on the road against Virginia. The Wolfpack are now 2-0 after Devin Leary took over under center, with upset wins outright over Pittsburgh and UVA. He has looked extremely crisp against two defenses that rank No. 7 and No. 30, respectively, in defensive efficiency. Head coach Dave Doeren took his foot off of the pedal after NCST jumped out to a 24-0 lead; otherwise, the offensive numbers would have been even stronger. I'm thrilled to back a Leary-led offense again, this time against the weakest defense he will have faced this season.
But this isn't a play laying the points on the Wolfpack now at -4.5. I bet the over 59.5. The Blue Devils' offense hasn't been able to get out of its own way with turnovers this season, but it finally put things together against Syracuse and gained 645 yards on offense -- the most ever in the David Cutcliffe era (2008 to present).
My personal projection is 63.7, and I was surprised to see this move down some earlier in the week. We get two teams that rank among the top 30 in pace of play, and the weather forecast is clear. Count me in.
Pick: Over 59.5

Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5, 61) at Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 4 p.m. ET (on ACCN)

Connelly: Wake Forest games guarantee lots of efficiency, both for the Demon Deacons (19th in success rate) and their opponents (72nd in success rate allowed). If they can't knock Virginia off schedule and force the Cavaliers to pass, this game could slip away from them whether the Cavaliers have Brennan Armstrong (in concussion protocol) or backup Lindell Stone at quarterback.
Really, that goes both ways. Wake's own run game has been delightful -- Kenneth Walker III and Christian Beal-Smith are combining for about 150 rushing yards per game. But UVA's run defense is outstanding, and Wake isn't much better than UVA in the passing department. I think UVA is at least as likely or more likely to knock Wake off course than the other way around. Between that, SP+'s projection (Virginia by 6.2) and a favorite-friendly line, give me the Fightin' Bronco Mendenhalls.
Pick: Virginia -2.5

Boston College Eagles at Virginia Tech Hokies (-12, 62), 8 p.m. ET (on ACCN)

Johnson: The Hokies have gotten progressively healthier each week as players return after a slew of quarantines forced them out early in the season. QB Hendon Hooker made his first appearance taking over during the UNC game and ignited a Tech offense that was struggling to score. It was no surprise that he led them on three touchdown drives after the Hokies had most of their success a year ago with Hooker under center as well.
Boston College is 3-1 despite being outgained this season and its inability to run the football (1.9 yards per rush this season ranks dead last in the country). The Eagles are a good regression candidate, and I will happily fade them with a Hokies team that hasn't played their best -- or healthiest -- football yet. This should be closer to a 14-point discrepancy in the point spread, and the upside with Hooker at quarterback and other pieces returning certainly favors Tech.
Pick: Virginia Tech -12

Florida International Panthers at Charlotte 49ers (-7, 53.5), 8 p.m. ET (on ESPNU)

Connelly: Florida International has an explosive run game -- D'vonte Price and Shaun Peterson Jr. have 411 yards (8.4 per carry) in just two games -- but can't pass even a little bit. Charlotte has held teams to a low completion rate but can't even slightly stop the run. If Charlotte can't properly take advantage of FIU's biggest weakness, then this game could become a bit of a track meet, and it might be difficult for the 49ers. SP+ says Charlotte by 4.1, something in the neighborhood of 32-28, which would be FIU's third straight narrow (and rather high-scoring) defeat.
Pick: Florida International +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

'Stanford Steve' and 'The Bear': Week 7 college football picks, bets, nuggets

College football is underway in 2020, and it's unlike any season we have had before. One thing is familiar: "Stanford Steve" Coughlin and Chris "The Bear" Fallica breaking down games as only they can, offering their top bets, nuggets and totals worth wagering on. Both of the guys went 3-0 last week. Can they keep their run going?
Here is your guide to Week 7 of the season with the two college football analysts.
Records

Stanford Steve (3-0 last week, 11-5 overall)
The Bear (3-0, 8-7)

The plays


No. 17 SMU Mustangs (-6.5, 64) at Tulane Green Wave

The Bear: I just can't help myself. Tulane's game last week at Houston was just a weird game. Turnovers, non-offensive TD, unusual offensive struggles for Tulane and, yes, another big blown lead by the Green Wave. The last time Tulane blew a big lead, it bounced back the following week with a dominant win over Southern Miss. Now it gets an undefeated -- and shorthanded -- SMU team, as the Ponies will be without WR Reggie Roberson Jr. and RB TJ McDaniel. Maybe Shane Buechele will keep the offense rolling, but those are two huge losses and I will look to take the points and Tulane, which outgained SMU last season in a game that was 21-17 in the fourth quarter.
Pick: Tulane +6.5

Boston College Eagles at No. 23 Virginia Tech Hokies (-12, 62)

The Bear: I've been on the Eagles a couple of times this season and they have come through. But I sense they might be trending toward public 'dog this week. People are comparing scores between how the two teams have fared vs. Duke and UNC in completely different settings and situations -- and that's dangerous. The Hokies' secondary is going to have to be better and hopefully it will get some players back, but I expect Virginia Tech to again score a lot of points and post a convincing win.
Pick: Virginia Tech -12

Kansas Jayhawks at West Virginia Mountaineers (-22, 53)

Stanford Steve: Just because of who the opponent is, we will take the Mountaineers.
Pick: West Virginia -22 (West Virginia 38, Kansas 10)

UCF Knights (-3, 73.5) at Memphis Tigers

Stanford Steve: Both teams are coming off a loss, both are coming off of a bye and both average more than 500 yards a game on offense. This should be an exciting game. As much as I like Tigers QB Brady White, I like Knights QB Dillon Gabriel more. I think UCF outscores the home team. We'll lay the three points.
Pick: UCF -3 (UCF 45, Memphis 38)

North Texas Mean Green at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (-6.5, 72)

Stanford Steve: I just feel like the boys from Murfreesboro should not be favored by any points, so we'll take those points.
Pick: North Texas +6.5 (North Texas 31, Middle Tennessee 30)

Florida International Panthers at Charlotte 49ers (-7, 54)

Stanford Steve: The feeling here is that these two programs are going in opposite directions. The 49ers are on their way up and the Panthers have kind of plateaued. Really like what Will Healy is doing in Charlotte, so we'll lay the points.
Pick: Charlotte -7 (Charlotte 38, FIU 20)
The Bear's money line parlay

Five-team favorite ML parlay. Based on current odds, $100 wins $146.
Virginia Tech -430
Miami -500
Temple -400
UAB -500
Notre Dame -900
The Bear's underdogs to play on money line/round-robin parlays

Tulane +200
Mississippi State +210
Tulsa +145
Georgia +160
Kentucky +190
Bear Bytes

The Tide have struggled at home when favored by less than a touchdown. Wesley Hitt/Getty Images
Upset alert for Alabama?
• Under Nick Saban, Alabama has been less than a 7-point favorite at home five times. The Tide has lost four of the games outright and pushed the other.
2019: -5 vs. LSU, lost 46-41
2011: -5 vs. LSU, lost 9-6
2010: -4 vs. Auburn, lost 28-27
2007: -3.5 vs. Georgia, lost 26-23
2007: -3 vs. Arkansas, won 41-38
• The past eight times Alabama was a favorite of less than seven points, the Tide are just 3-5 straight up and covered only once. Alabama is a 4-point favorite against Georgia.
2019: -3.5 vs. Auburn, lost by 3
2019: -5 vs. LSU, lost by 5
2018: -5.5 vs. Clemson, lost by 28
2017: -3.5 vs. Georgia, won by 3
2017: -3.5 vs. Clemson, won by 18
2017: -5 vs. Auburn, lost by 12
2016: -6 vs. Clemson, lost by 4
2015: -6.5 vs. Clemson, won by 5
• Georgia is 10-3 ATS in its past 13 games vs. top-10 opponents. All five games vs. top-10 opponents since the start of last year went under the total.
Liberty favored at Syracuse
• Since 2015, there have been 17 non-Power 5 teams favored on the road vs. a Power 5 team. Those 17 teams are 12-5 SU and 10-5-2 ATS. Last year, Liberty was a 7.5-road favorite at Rutgers and lost by 10. The Flames are a 3.5-point favorite at Syracuse.
Boston College covers in conference play
• Boston College is 3-0 ATS with two outright wins as a 'dog this season. The Eagles are 20-5-1 ATS in their past 26 ACC games. BC is 17-2-1 in its past 20 games with 11 outright wins as an underdog in ACC play.
• Virginia Tech is 1-6 ATS in its past seven games as a double-digit favorite. Tech is a 12-point favorite against BC.
Tennessee struggles as favorite
• Tennessee is 3-11 ATS in its past 14 games as a favorite vs. FBS opponents. The past two meetings involving Tennessee and Kentucky have seen 30 and 31 points scored. Kentucky has scored 7 and 13. Tennessee is favored by six on Saturday with a total of 46.
Cincinnati in a good spot?
• Tulsa is 8-2 ATS with three outright wins in its past 10 games as an underdog. Last year, Tulsa lost 24-13 at Cincinnati as a 16-point 'dog.
• In the past 10 years, 14 top-10 teams have been favored by three points or less on the road vs. an unranked team. Those 14 are 10-4 ATS and SU. Three of the past four to be in this spot lost outright. Seven of the past nine games in this situation have been one-score games. Cincinnati is a 3-point favorite against Tulsa.
Massachusetts a big underdog as usual
• This is the 15th straight game UMass has been an underdog vs. an FBS opponent. It's the fifth time in the past eight games the Minutemen are at least a 30-point 'dog. (They are 31-point underdogs to Georgia Southern.)
UCF not covering of late
• UCF is 4-9 ATS in its past 13 games. The Knights are a 3.5-point favorite at Memphis.
Florida State in unfamiliar territory
• In its past six games as a double-digit underdog, Florida State has covered once -- last week at Notre Dame -- and lost by an average of 31.6 points. The Seminoles are double-digit underdogs to North Carolina this week.
• Since 1978 through Nov. 4, 2017, Florida State was a double-digit underdog 10 times in 497 games. This will be the ninth time in 35 games since Nov. 11, 2017 that FSU is a double-digit 'dog. This is the third straight FBS opponent to which FSU is a double-digit 'dog.
• The last time FSU was a double-digit home 'dog was 2018 vs. Clemson when the Noles lost 59-10 as an 18.5-point underdog. That game was also made famous by the shirtless fan at the top of Doak Campbell Stadium reading a book.
• FSU as a double-digit home underdog since 1978: lost to Clemson 59-10 as an 18.5-point underdog in 2018 and lost 45-15 to Florida in 2008 as a 16.5-point underdog.
Miami turning the tables
• Last year, the Hurricanes were 0-4 ATS with three outright losses as a double-digit favorite. This year, the Canes have covered both games in which they have been a double-digit favorite. Entering the season, Miami was 2-14 ATS in its previous 16 games as at least a 7-point favorite.
• Pittsburgh was a 12-point underdog when it upset undefeated Miami in 2017. Miami is favored by 13 this time.
NC State a first-time favorite
• This is the first time this season NC State is favored (-4.5 vs. Duke). The Wolfpack are 1-5 ATS in their past five games as a favorite and has lost three of the past five outright.
Beware Tulane at home ATS
• Tulane has covered its past five games as a home 'dog and won two of those games outright. The Green Wave a nearly a touchdown underdog to SMU.
South Carolina struggles vs. ranked teams
• Under Will Muschamp, South Carolina is 2-16 vs. ranked teams (1-8 at home, 4-5 ATS at home). South Carolina is a field goal underdog to Auburn.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UptownDave

early release
Charlotte -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

NCAA

4 over 64 unc/fsu

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin

Added

159 Florida International +7

[WeWantMoehr]

Alan Harris:

4 BC/Va Tech 62o
6 Temple -11
4 Navy/East Carolina 55.5o
4 Wake Forest +2.5
3 South Carolina +3.5
7 UNC/FSU 64o
4 Wst Virginia -22.5
4 Miss St +5
3 Central Florida -3
3 UTSA +7.5
4 Louisville/ND 61.5o
4 Charlotte _7
4 Alabama -4.5
2 Duke/NC State 60o
2 Liberty/Syracuse 52.5o
2 Texas St/So Alabama 58u
2 Ole Miss/Arkansas 76u
2 North Texas/Middle Tenn St 72u

[rocky57]

MidAmerican Sports (Raiderman)
CFB
South Carolina +3.5
Duke +5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Southern Miss at UTEP has been postponed

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FIU at Charlotte has been postponed

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437)
YESTERDAY 5:39 PM

OVER 55.5
NAVY @ EAST CAROLINA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
We’ve got a couple of defenses here that don’t like to defend. ECU allows 41 points per game while Navy is yielding 37 per contest, so why is the total dropping so much? Rather than analyze more than I already have, I bet the Over but found Navy's metrics are what’s keeping the total down because it's scoring an average of only 17 points. But ECU has gone Over in all three of its games while Navy has done so in three of four. Expect a shootout.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NAVY O/U PICKS | +192

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Barton Simmons

UNDER 60.5
VIRGINIA @ WAKE FOREST | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:08 PM
It looks like Virginia will need to turn to its backup quarterback, Lindell Stone. He threw it 56 times in a loss last week. That’s not the way the Hoos want to win this game. Virginia will do its best to control the pace, stay in front of the chains and shorten the game. The Cavs should be able to do it.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB PICKS | +300

WEST VIRGINIA -22.5
KANSAS @ WEST VIRGINIA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:07 PM
Fade Kansas until it proves you wrong. West Virginia is a good football team. Kansas is not.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB PICKS | +300

ALABAMA -4.5
GEORGIA @ ALABAMA | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:06 PM
Don’t be fooled by what Ole Miss did to that Alabama defense. Georgia is built differently. Alabama is more equipped to keep Georgia contained on offense and there’s enough big plays out of Jaylen Waddle in the slot, and too much balance on offense for the Tide to be shut down. I liked the Tide before Nick Saban’s COVID positive test. With Saban out, we’re just getting more value.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB PICKS | +300

PITTSBURGH +13.5
PITTSBURGH @ MIAMI (FLA.) | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:05 PM
Keep an eye on the quarterback position for Pitt. Kenny Pickett is a little banged up and I’ll assume he trots out as the starter. Even if he doesn’t though there’s still reason to like Pitt. Miami has been traditionally bad after big showcase games. Pitt has been traditionally good catching teams slipping in those type of moments. Pitt has given up some big plays but the defensive line is capable of forcing Miami to play left handed.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB PICKS | +300

OVER 51.5
AUBURN @ SOUTH CAROLINA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:04 PM
This isn’t your father’s SEC. Auburn and South Carolina in years past would be poised for a grinder of a rock fight but this number is outdated for the 2020 season. OC Mike Bobo has breathed some life into the South Carolina offense. Chad Morris' Auburn offense should start to get more comfortable as the season progresses. There won't be a dominant defense between the two teams. The winner of this one will need to be in that 30-point range.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB PICKS | +300

LIBERTY -3.5
LIBERTY @ SYRACUSE | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 1:59 PM
This is a great opportunity for Hugh Freeze to continue to validate his resurgence into the football mainstream. It’s a Power Five team with arguably the worst offense in the country that just happened to lose its starting quarterback to injury. Syracuse’s defense is surprisingly good under new defensive coordinator Tony White, but Freeze is still a whiz on the offensive side of the ball and he’s got a fantastic quarterback in Malik Willis. Liberty wins by a touchdown plus.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB PICKS | +300
2-1 IN LAST 3 CUSE ATS PICKS | +90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Barrett Sallee

UNDER 64
NORTH CAROLINA @ FLORIDA ST. | 10/17 | 7:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:00 AM
I have a hard time figuring out a way that Florida State gets to 20 points against the Tar Heels. Yes, North Carolina’s defense struggled in the second half last week, but has been pretty solid for most of the season. Will the Sam Howell and the Tar Heels offense light up the Seminoles defense? Not enough to make this a high-scoring shootout -- mostly because they won’t have to.

3-1 IN LAST 4 CFB PICKS | +190

UNDER 75
OLE MISS @ ARKANSAS | 10/17 | 3:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:58 AM
We all saw what the Ole Miss offense can do last week when it moved up and down the field at will against Alabama. We also saw how bad the Ole Miss defense is. With that said, the last thing Arkansas wants to do is get into a shootout. Expect the Hogs to grind out drives, focus on time of possession and limit Ole Miss possessions.

3-1 IN LAST 4 CFB PICKS | +190

UNDER 51.5
AUBURN @ SOUTH CAROLINA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:55 AM
Both of these teams will struggle to get to 21. The last time that I checked, 21 + 21 doesn’t equal 51. Tigers quarterback Bo Nix has happy feet and his offensive line can’t block, while South Carolina’s offense hasn’t exactly been a model of consistency. If either or both just play adequate defense, this one will go way Under.

3-1 IN LAST 4 CFB PICKS | +190

3-0-1 IN LAST 4 AUBURN O/U PICKS | +300

[Juicemaker]

Megalocks (6-13 YTD)
Memphis +3.5 -110 (sent 2:35pm Oct 14) (play to +3)

South Alabama -2.5 -110 (sent 5:10pm Oct 15) (play to -3)

UTSA +7.5 -105 (sent 12:10pm Oct 16) (play to +7)

[Juicemaker]

Megalocks Final play
Saturday, October 17. 2:30pm.

Louisville TT under 23.5 -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WUnderdog

College FB

Pittsburgh +14 vs miami,fl.

[golden contender]

Huge Saturday card led by an Executive Level Tier 1 side, along with 2 rare top Rated 6* plays and the ACC Game Of The Month along with Game 7 A.L.C.S System and a Platinum Supreme Soccer play. Comp play below.

The football Comp play for Saturday is on Under in the Kentucky vs Tennessee game at 12 noon eastern. The game fits a 194-312 long term under system that pertains to conference games with a total under 50. Kentucky took down Miss. St on Saturday with a great defense but their offense has been inept. Tennessee had played well up until Saturday where they allowed 44 at Georgia. They will certainly do better here at home, however they wont be able to steam roll on Kentucky. In the series the last 2 have stayed under with just 30 and 31 points scored. Look for this game to stay under. The massive Saturday card has 2 big 6* Plays, an executive Level TIER 1 Play, Game 7 MLB Playoff Power System, the ACC Game of the Month and a Platinum Supreme Soccer play. Dont miss the huge card. College football ranked #1 last year. See us on facebook to jump on. For the Free play. Go under Kentucky vs Tennessee. RV- GC Sports

[rocky57]

H&H Sports (CFB) - Triple Dime Texas A&M/Mississippi State Over 55

[Can'tPickAWinner]

newworldinsiders

great lakes insider has notre dame over 61.5

[rocky57]

Toby Maxtone-Smith
VegasInsider Soccer Handicaper
England Premier League

Play #1
Everton vs Liverpool
Best Bet - Draw +310

Play #2
Chelsea vs Southampton
Best Bet - Chelsea -210 and Over 2.5 goals

Play #3
Newcastle United vs Manchester United
Best Bet - Newcastle United +385

[B*mb07]

Marco D'Angelo
4% (133) KENTUCKY +6.5
This play is all about going against Tennessee. Most people are going to look at Tennessee and say they will bounce back off of last weeks loss to Georgia. Often when you have a big game and lose you can lose that game twice. By that I mean it was such a big game that you come out flat for your next game. Now to make matters worse for Tennessee look who Tennessee plays next. Alabama is next up so this is what we would call a major look ahead spot or a Sandwich Game. Kentucky is a very dangerous dog in fact I think they can win this game outright and have it Kentucky 24-20. Note Kentucky is 10-2 ATS following a Home Win the L3 Years. TAKE KENTUCKY as my 4% HIGH NOON SHOWDOWN.

[B*mb07]

Marco
4% (144) MISSISSIPPI ST +5

Will anyone want Mississippi St this week after scoring just 2 points last week? Well when you turn the ball over 6 times you are going to lose games. Texas A&M enters this game in Fat n Sassy mode after beating Florida last week on a Game Winning FG. Texas A&M is coming off Alabama and Florida in back to back weeks and now must travel to battle an angry Mississippi St team. Mike Leach will have his team ready. UPSET ALERT MISSISSIPPI ST 34-30. TAKE MISSISSIPPI ST as my 4% SEC GAME OF THE WEEK.

[B*mb07]

Marco
3% (112) VIRGINIA TECH -13
Last week N. Carolina rushed for 399 Yards against thisVirginia Tech defense. But Boston College isn’t N. Carolina in fact Boston College hasn’t topped 90 yards rushing in 4 games. This will make Boston College a one dimensional team and that will enable Virginia Tech to bring the heat putting pressure on the Boston College Passing Game. Boston College is coming off a Big Win last week and now runs into a Virginia Tech team that will run the football right down your throat all day long only to hit you with some big plays when you come up to stop the run. The nice thing about taking a Running Team laying a bigger number is that when they are playing with the lead and trying to milk the clock they are still doing what they do best. So they are killing clock and building on their lead. VIRGINIA TECH 38-20. TAKE VIRGINIA TECH as my 3% SATURDAY COLLEGE BLOWOUT.[/FONT][/COLOR]

[B*mb07]

Marco
3% (161) LOUISIANA TECH +13.5

Really don’t have a lot to say here other than this line is too high to start with and last weeks close win by Louisiana Tech only winning by 4 points as a 15 point favorite just gives us added value this week. Fact is I believe Tech was flat after playing BYU the week before. We get the Louisiana Tech team this week as this one goes right down to the wire. MARSHALL 27-23. TAKE LOUISIANA TECH +13.5 as my 3% SATURDAY COLLEGE SHOCKER.

[citybeat]

PREZIDENT'S SEC TOTAL of the WEEK
Game: (123) Auburn at (124) South Carolina
Date/Time: Oct 17 2020 12:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 51.5 (-110)

Play Under the Total of 51.5 (Play good to 49)
4% play rating
The high-noon SEC matchup between the Auburn Tigers and South Carolina Gamecocks on the Williams-Brice Stadium turf will be old school. The matchup features two teams with two coaches that value defensive toughness and game management.
The blah-blah-blah concerning Auburn and their early 2020 performance is white noise. Those that are complaining that this isn't the Tigers team they signed up for require medication.
Auburn's offense isn't lighting up the scoreboard, nor is Bo Nix managing a game like he eventually will. The Tigers desperately want to grind out yards, long offensive possesions that are demoralizing to opposing defenses. Heading into Saturday's road matchup against the Gamecocks, the Tigers rank as the second-worst offense in the conference. Let me add a pair of words to the previous sentence, but do so at arm's length or 100 characters, give or take a dozen.
The addition to the statement I made that South Carolina was the second-worst offense in the SEC... so far. The Tigers, under the direction of Bo Nix, isn't the second-worst offense in the league. The truth is that Nix is doing, executing, making results-driven decisions. He is a great teammate, and when faced with the problem of risk vs. reward, he is not throwing caution to the wind. As a result, this Tigers squad isn't gaining big junks of yards... so far. The biggest positive, depending on your position, to what the Tigers have or have not done that is positive in my football world is.. not giving away anything of value, e.g., easy points, easy yards, and they are not turning the ball over.
Nix and the Auburn offense has given the ball away just once on the season. And that wasn't a fumble but an interception vs. the best defense on the planet, the Georgia Bulldogs.
South Carolina's offensive philosophy is for no better term, a button-down scheme. The offensive line has graded above a C with their run blocking. The same can't be said about the lines pass protection. However, the Gamecocks are doing what is expected of them, controlling tempo and clock. The SC defense isn't as stout as that of Auburn, and rather than being labeled a brick wall, the 'Cocks D is better painted as a card holding union blue caller worker. When it is time to clock out and go home, that is what South Carolina has done. They have gotten off the field on third downs. And as mentioned, the offense is grinding, grinding, and then finally... grinding some more.
Auburn's offense, from the front to the backfield, is still a work in progress. Bo Nix has contained and followed the voice on his right shoulder and fought off that which sits on his left. He ignores the DNA that flares up and tells him to gamble with high-risk passes and more. The Tigers' defense shows signs that they are not just reacting but working through the opposition's progressions in real-time.
In a game in which the team will determine the final score with the largest time of possession factor, do not expect South Carolina to dominate the possession battle, keeping the ball for well over 34 minutes a game, against the proud and talented Auburn Tigers.
Two teams combined for just five turnovers in three games with a pair of savvy starting quarterbacks is a recipe for a low scoring territorial dog fight.
All week the Auburn players have been told that South Carolina is better in the most important factors in football, two that the Auburn coaching staff are determined to win with. Those two are "time of possession and third-down stops".
The play in this Saturday SEC matchup is Under the Total OF 51.5 points.

PREZIDENTs SEC GAME of the WEEK
Game: (143) Texas A&M at (144) Mississippi State
Date/Time: Oct 17 2020 4:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Texas A&M -4.5 (-105)

Play Texas A&M Aggies -4.5 (play good to -6.5)
4% play rating

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ultra Sports 10/17

central florida
virginia tech
arkansas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Anthony

Tennessee

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

10 North Texas/Middle Tennessee over 66.5
10 UCF -2.5
10 Mississippi State +7
10 Arkansas +4
10 Kentucky +6
10 Liberty/Syracuse over 52.5
10 NC State -4.5
10 Duke/NC State over 59.5
10 Pittsburgh +10.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Stryker

24-1 ATS NEARLY PERFECT CFB INVESTMENT
Temple

50-22 ATS CFB SYSTEM WAGER OF THE WEEK
Wake Forest

13-1 ATS CFB UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH
Louisiana Tech

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Carmine Bianco

5% SOCCER TOTAL

Bayer Leverkusen-FSV Mainz 05 over 3.25

German Bundesliga - Bayer Leverkusen at FSV Mainz 05

Quick Synopsis: Totals plays for us have been based on isolated metrics we've used with success at Wagertalk and this total falls into the number needed to be a play. Some game analysis now. Mainz have had a disastrous start to this season losing all 3 fixtures by a combined 11-2 scoreline leading the team to replace their manager. They do get some help up front as they get closer to a healthier side and key parts of their attack back. Leverkusen have yet to recapture some of their form from last season starting the new Bundesliga year with 3 draws out of the gate but this should be a great spot to get their attack back into gear and if they go with the trio of Alario, Diaby and Bailey we should see this game open up with an early breakthrough.

The play is Over 3.25 -110 (Split line of 3.0 and 3.5)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 10/17/20

4★ Liberty/Syracuse OVER 54 (NCAAF)

3★ Pittsburgh +12.5 over Miami-Florida (NCAAF)

3★ Louisiana Tech +13.5 over Marshall (NCAAF)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MEMBER PICKS

Primetime Sports Picks For 10/17/20

5 Unit --> South Carolina +2.5 over Auburn (NCAAF)

3 Unit --> Texas-San Antonio +8 over Army (NCAAF)

3 Unit --> Texas A&M/Mississippi St. OVER 54.5 (NCAAF)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

National Sports Service

4* Navy/East Carolina OVER 55.5 (NCAAF)

3* West Virginia -22.5 over Kansas (NCAAF)

3* Arkansas +1.5 over Mississippi (NCAAF)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Insider Sports Report

5* Duke/North Carolina St. OVER 59.5 (NCAAF)
Range: 58 to 62

3* South Carolina +2.5 over Auburn (NCAAF)
Range: +4 to PK

3* Central Florida -2 over Memphis (NCAAF)
Range: -.5 to -4.5

[Istandfortheanthem]

KING CREOLE


NAVY MIDSHIPMEN @ EAST CAROLINA PIRATES
3*** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL
Saturday, Oct. 17th / 12:00pm ET / 9:0am PT / #117-118
*Optimum OU Line: 55.5 or less points


Last week, we joined the high-scoring party that is now commonplace in the new-look SEC Conference. That Best Best was on the OVER in the Texas A&M / Florida game. We ended up cashing that one by 3 full TD’s. In fact, last Saturday was the highest0scoring day EVER in the SEC Conference. While a lot of the squares are now jumping on SEC ‘Overs’ this week, they may be a week late to the party. For us, we’re heading to the American Athletic Conference for this week’s play. And this EAST CAROLINA / NAVY game has so much going for it… that we are compelled to bump this one up to 3* Best Bet status. After all, our database models strongly point to an outcome in which we see at least 67 to 68 total points. And that’s more than 10 points HIGHER than the current OU line. In fact, the line in this one keep going down… and that’s ok by me. For every half point that the OU line crees down, our VAKUE increases even more…


Based on this year’s numbers alone, we are ’Statistically OBLIGATED’ to come our with a Big Play in this one. For instance, not many people know that NEITHER team has gone UNDER in a game this season. That’s right. East Carolina and Navy are a combined PERFECT 7-0 O/U so far in the 2020 season. That’s what you get when you see two very bad defenses taking in each other. Navy checks in allowing 37.0 points per game and 442.5 yards per game on defense. For the Pirates of East Carolina, it’s even worse. They are allowing 41.3 points per game on defense. The only three college teams that are allowing MORE are Mississippi (51.7 ppg allowed), North Texas (46.5 pg), and Kansas (44.0). Not only that, buy the Pirates are also one of only three teams that are allowing MORE than 500 offensive yards per game this season. No wonder that they are a perfect 3-0 O/U this year. But what’s even more impressive to OVER bettors are the MARGINS. The average OU line for an East Carolin game has been 69.0. Average combined points: 75.0. And THIS week’s line is about 13 points LOWER than their year-to-date average. So WHY is the OU line so low in this one? Well, for one…. let’s not forget that Navy is a TRIPLE-OPTION team on offense. And it can be dangerous at times to play an OVER with these triple-option teams. But with that said… NUMBER ONE: The time to consider an UNDER is a game in which BOTH teams run the triple-option. Its why so many of the ‘Military vs Military’ games go UNDER at such a high percentage. And NUMBER TWO, to counter Navy’s triple-option, sharp bettors are already aware that East Carolina runs a very FAST offense. They are one of only 15 teams in college football that are playing at a very quick 80-plays-a-game or more on the year (80.3 to be exact). And those numbers are even quicker when the Pirates are playing the role of the host. Their HOME games have seen 85.0 plays per game on offense. And that’s tied for 4th quickest in all of football (#1 LSU 91.0 / #2 Virginia 90.5 / #3 Central Florida 86.0)…


In the last five seasons, EAST CAROLINA home games (22 of ‘em) have averaged a combined 69.2 points per game. When allowing 160 or more rushing yards in a game, the Pirates are averaging a combine…d 69.9 points per game. And dating back to last season, East Carolina has gone OVER in seven straight games (7-0 O/U). On the flip side, when instead as ROAD FAVORITES in a game… NAVY has seen a combined average of 77.4 points per game! In terms of this Navy vs East Carolina SERIES, the OVER has gone 6-1 in the last seven meetings. Check out some of the gaudy point totals in some of those meetings: 101 total points… 97 total points… 84 total points… 73 total points… and 66 total points. Based on the current pointspread and OU line, the predicted final score in this game is Navy 29.5 - East Carolina 26.5. Our in-season database models and simulations differ quite significantly. More like: NAVY MIDSHIPMEN 34.0 - EAST CAROLINA PIRATES 33.0. That’s a margin that’s about 11 points higher than the current OU line. And that major difference of more than 10 points has us bumping this one UP to 3* BEST BET status

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Over2Tips
SPAIN: LaLiga
Celta Vigo - Atletico Madrid
Over 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Feinberg

Alabama

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al

CFB
Texas state
Memphis
Miss state
Bama

MLB
Atlanta

[Istandfortheanthem]

Anybody get their hands on Paul Leiners 3000* for an afternoon game? Thanks in advance!

[Longslab242]

BROCK PAGE PATREON

DAILY BEST PLAY: Clemson -27
EXTRA DAILY BEST PLAY: ASTROS/TAMPA BAY RAYS - UNDER 8

[FATMANWINS]

ats
12 boston college
8 navy
8 nc state
8 wake

[FATMANWINS]

ats
4 tampa

[Juicemaker]

Dr Bob
Mississippi State
Arkansas
Marshall
East. Carolina
Auburn

[TAWJR]

ats
12 boston college
8 navy
8 nc state
8 wake is the 12 rating GOY TIA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

DOUBLE PLAY:
West Virginia -22.5

SINGLE PLAYS:
Virginia Tech -12
Temple -11
Wake Forest +2.5
UAB -13.5
Texas A&M -5
Georgia +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GameOfTheYear

Georgia Tech +27.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lv betting syndicate

Temple
South Carolina
Ucf
Wake forest (game of month)
Middle Tennessee
North Carolina vs Florida State Over
Southern miss
Boston college

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt

ALABAMA -4.5
GEORGIA @ ALABAMA | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:41 PM
This will be a huge test for Georgia QB Stetson Bennett IV, as Alabama does a great job of forcing you to be consistently accurate, because they are able to condense things across the field. Even though coach Nick Saban will not be on the sidelines for this game, his team will be in good hands with Steve Sarkisian, the offensive coordinator who is stepping into his place. Look for Georgia's cornerbacks to get tested throughout the game by Alabama's speedy receivers.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
5-0 IN LAST 5 BAMA ATS PICKS | +500

12-7 IN LAST 19 UGA ATS PICKS | +440

GA. SOUTHERN -31
MASSACHUSETTS @ GA. SOUTHERN | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:40 PM
This will be UMass' first game of the season and what an unlucky draw they have with Georgia Southern, who is one of the better teams in the Sun Belt Conference. The Eagles also run an explosive triple-option attack, that can also be considered a quadruple-option because of QB Shai Werts ability to throw the football as well. With the Sun Belt race wide open, I don't expect to see the Eagles take their foot off the gas against the Minutemen.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
5-1 IN LAST 6 GAS ATS PICKS | +390

3-1 IN LAST 4 UMASS ATS PICKS | +189

LOUISVILLE +16.5
LOUISVILLE @ NOTRE DAME | 10/17 | 2:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:39 PM
Notre Dame has a really good offensive line, maybe the best OL in the nation, and a strong run game with a stable of talented backs. They should have success against Louisville's defense that has been a bit vulnerable in that regard. Where Louisville has a puncher's chance is with their offense. With QB Malik Cunningham, WR Tutu Atwell and RB Javien Hawkins, that's more than enough explosive athletes than Notre Dame will be able to contain defensively.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
4-1 IN LAST 5 ND ATS PICKS | +285

4-2 IN LAST 6 LVILLE ATS PICKS | +179

UAB -13.5
W. KENTUCKY @ UAB | 10/17 | 1:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:39 PM
Western Kentucky had all kinds of problems last weekend vs Marshall and their ground game. Similar challenge this week as UAB's RB Spencer Brown is one of the more physical backs in college football, and is the Blazers all-time leading rusher. On the other side of the ball, quietly UAB has played very good defense, even frustrating teams like Miami at times. Right now, UAB is just a much better team overall.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
4-3 IN LAST 7 WKY ATS PICKS | +69

WEST VIRGINIA -22
KANSAS @ WEST VIRGINIA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:38 PM
What we've seen so far this year in the Big 12 is that there are 3 teams who are playing really good defense: Baylor, Oklahoma State and West Virginia. This week the Mountaineers face a Kansas Jayhawks squad that won't have their head coach Les Miles on the sideline due to Covid, and have struggled all season long with consistency on both sides of the ball. The question then becomes, how quickly does WVU cover.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300

ARMY -8
ARMY @ UT-SAN ANTONIO | 10/17 | 1:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:37 PM
I love the defensive rebound we've seen from Army since their loss to Cincinnati 2 games ago. Offensively, while they struggled a bit against the Citadel, they were able to make enough plays to get the job done. The Citadel runs the same triple option as Army, so it was an understandably close game. Where UTSA has an issue is in the run defense department, which is not what you want to hear when facing Army.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
3-1 IN LAST 4 ARMY ATS PICKS | +190

NAVY -2.5
NAVY @ EAST CAROLINA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:36 PM
Tough matchup for the ECU PIrates this week, as they face Navy's triple-option offense. I was impressed with the way Navy bounced back last week in a win vs Temple, after getting thumped by Air Force the week before. ECU enters this game with some injury concerns, especially at QB, which will limit their ability to consistently sustain drives against the Midshipmen. Plus, their defense won't be able to contain the option.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +300
10-7-1 IN LAST 18 NAVY ATS PICKS | +230

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tkwins

3*Tennessee -6.5
5* Temple -13
3* Army -8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold sheet
From vegas insider
alabama
la tech
boston college

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nelly's

1* #144 Mississippi State +5 over Texas A&M 3:00 PM CT

2* #119 Duke +4.5 over NC State 2:30 PM CT

2* #153 Louisville +17 over Notre Dame 1:30 PM CT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

gambinotips
France Ligue 1
Marseille - Bordeaux
Total Goals : 2 or 3
Kurs : 2.00

[Can'tPickAWinner]

daily-treble.uk
Hoffenheim - Dortmund : second half : over 1.5 goals @ 1.55
AZ Alkmaar - Venlo : second half : over 1.5 goals @ 1.60
Accumulator Tip Odds : 2.48

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

#116 6% TEMPLE (-11) Noon ET ESP3

#117 4% Navy (-2-) Noon ET ESP3

#149 4% UCF (-3) 3:30 PM ET ABC

#153 3% Louisville (+17) 2:30 PM ET NBC

#158 3% Mid Tenn State (-6) 5:00 PM ET

#162 3% LA TECH (+13-) 6:00 PM ET CBSN

#120 4% OVER 59- NC State 3:30 PM ET

#126 4% OVER 64 Florida State 7:00 PM ET ABC

#140 3% UNDER 75 Arkansas 3:30 PM ET

#144 3% OVER 54 Mississippi State 4:00 PM ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Root

Millionaire - NC State

No Limit - Georgia

Perfect Play - Memphis

Inner circle - Miss st

Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php) - Vtech

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White

OVER 59
DUKE @ NC STATE | 10/17 | 3:30 PM EDT
7:48 AM
Duke has gone Over its last three games, increasing its scoring in those three games, but the defense has allowed 100 points. NC State is 4-0 Over because its uptempo offense has scored 45, 24, 30 and 38, with the last three being on the road against Virginia Tech, Pittsburgh and Virginia.

11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330

OVER 57
VIRGINIA @ WAKE FOREST | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
7:45 AM
Virginia is playing fast on offense and is currently 3-0 to the Over. The Cavaliers' offense median numbers are 120 rushing yards and 270 passing yards. UVA QB Brennan Armstrong is very questionable, but backup Lindell Stone threw for 240 yards and three touchdowns last week. NC State is averaging 34.3 ppg. Go Over.

11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330

W. KENTUCKY +13.5
W. KENTUCKY @ UAB | 10/17 | 1:30 PM EDT
7:43 AM
Western Kentucky is 0-4 ATS, but UAB is just 1-3 ATS. UAB is without starting QB Tyler Johnston, which accounts for a s solid 2-point drop. UAB is 3-1 SU with its best win against a very weak South Alabama team, 42-10. Western Kentucky will start Kevaris Thomas, a 6-4, 250-pound quarterback. Thomas is a dual threat and he played very well versus Marshall. The total is only 44.5, so we are all expecting a low scoring game.

11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330

LOUISIANA TECH +13.5
MARSHALL @ LOUISIANA TECH | 10/17 | 6:00 PM EDT
7:40 AM
Marshall has been amazing in 2020 with a 3-0 SU/ATS record, highlighted by a win over Appalachian State. Marshall lost its starting QB before the season to the transfer portal and decided on rFr. QB Grant Wells. Wells has been slightly below average. The Thundering Herd won the turnover battle by three last week at Western Kentucky. I think Marshall is very overrated, and could struggle as it hits the road for the second straight week against a very well-coached Louisiana Tech team.

11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330

TEXAS A&M -5
TEXAS A&M @ MISS. STATE | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
7:37 AM
The Aggies are coming off a huge 41-38 win over Florida. With a loss already to Alabama, I am not expecting a letdown, especially when they are going out on the road. Texas A&M has better athletes than Mississippi State. The Aggies were 4-4 in the SEC last year and they return 10 players on offense and 13 players on defense with 7+ starts. Mississippi State's offense has just 14 points in its last two games against Arkansas and Kentucky. A&M's defense is better than both Arkansas and Kentucky.

11-7 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +330

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Clay Travis

South Carolina, North Carolina, Clemson , Tennessee & under ,
under ole miss, Georgia &under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli

TULANE +6.5
SMU @ TULANE | 10/16 | 6:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:17 PM
We learned earlier this week that SMU lost both its leading receiver Reggie Roberson as well as its leading ballcarrier T.J. McDaniels for the rest of the season. That's a lot of production to replace on offense, and while the Mustangs are still going to be able to move the ball on this Tulane defense, the explosive nature of the offense could be lacking without Roberson. That makes the Wave a lot more appealing here.

15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465

BOSTON COLLEGE +13
BOSTON COLLEGE @ VIRGINIA TECH | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:13 PM
I get the sense that the books haven't caught up to Boston College yet. This team is a lot better than I expected it to be before the season, but it's still being disrespected on the spread. This week against a Virginia Tech defense that was torn to bits by the Tar Heels last week I expect the Eagles offense to do enough to stay within the number.

15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465

PITTSBURGH +13
PITTSBURGH @ MIAMI (FLA.) | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:11 PM
If I've learned anything about Miami the last few years it's that the program does not bounce back from crushing losses, it only digs itself in deeper in the hole. So I'm not ready to rely on a recovery this weekend with an early kickoff at home against a Pitt team that is always a pain in the butt to deal with. I think Miami wins, but I'm not convinced it does, so I'll take the Panthers and the points.

15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
6-1 IN LAST 7 MIAMI ATS PICKS | +489

UNDER 58
VIRGINIA @ WAKE FOREST | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:09 PM
There is nothing more dangerous in college football this season than taking an Under, but we're on it here anyway. Simply put, there is no reason for a total to be this high in a game with Virginia favored. The Cavaliers offense just hasn't shown any signs of life in 2020. If this total goes over, it might require Wake Forest to get 40 of the points on its own.

2-1 IN LAST 3 WAKE O/U PICKS | +90

NORTH CAROLINA -13.5
NORTH CAROLINA @ FLORIDA ST. | 10/17 | 7:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:07 PM
The Florida State offense started to show signs of life against Notre Dame last weekend, but it was a Notre Dame team that hadn't played for a few weeks and had its life disrupted by COVID protocols. I'm not going to take that performance as a sign the Noles offense is capable of keeping up with North Carolina here.

15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
2-1 IN LAST 3 FSU ATS PICKS | +89

KENTUCKY +6.5
KENTUCKY @ TENNESSEE | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:05 PM
The best thing any bettor can do is learn from their mistakes, and I learned from one last week. What I learned is that I'm never going to trust Tennessee QB Jarrett Guarantano against a good defense again. That kid is just too fast and loose with the football. So, at home against a good Kentucky defense, laying nearly a touchdown, I'm going with the Wildcats.

15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
3-1 IN LAST 4 UK ATS PICKS | +190

3-2 IN LAST 5 TENN ATS PICKS | +79

TEXAS ST. +3
TEXAS ST. @ SOUTH ALABAMA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:04 PM
I'll forgive you if you haven't been paying attention, but Texas State has been a much better football team than its 1-4 record suggests. In fact, it's a better football team than the South Alabama squad that it's playing here, so if I can get the Bobcats with points, I'll take them.

15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465

W. KENTUCKY +13.5
W. KENTUCKY @ UAB | 10/17 | 1:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:02 PM
This play is all about my world-famous inevitability principle that I just made up right now. You see, Western Kentucky hasn't covered a spread yet this year, and it's bound to eventually. OK, so that's not really why I'm making this pick. The truth of the matter is that, as good as UAB has been in C-USA the last few years, it doesn't deserve to be this heavy a favorite in this matchup, so I'm taking the points.

15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
2-1 IN LAST 3 UAB ATS PICKS | +90

2-1 IN LAST 3 WKY ATS PICKS | +89

ALABAMA -4.5
GEORGIA @ ALABAMA | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:00 PM
So how many points is Nick Saban worth? I was already on Alabama before the Saban news broke and it was a 6-point favorite, now that the line has shrunk, I'm not backing off. Georgia's defense is phenomenal, but if there's been a lesson in college football the last few years it's that offense wins out over defense. I don't think Georgia and Stetson Bennett can do enough offensively to keep up with Alabama even if the Tide offense is slowed down a little.

15-12-1 LAST 28 CFB SIDES | +465
4-1 IN LAST 5 BAMA ATS PICKS | +290

2-1 IN LAST 3 UGA ATS PICKS | +90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Bitler

10* Executioner

Florida State +13.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard
5* -La Tech +13.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

odds crusher
Tennessee-6
South Carolina +3
DUKE +4 1/2
Louisiana Tech +14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Charliessports

NAVY OVER 59
Florida ST +13
BAMA/DOGGs UNDER 59

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

legend alabama

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

Added

Texas State +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Stone

Alabama -4
Mississippi State +6.5
Temple -11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chuck Edel

UCF/Memphis over 73.5
South Alabama -3 vs Texas State
Marshall-La. Tech under 49

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Patron

50,000 Unit Must Win CFB Release


Georgia Bulldogs +5 over Alabama

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MTI


4.5-Star Rays -120 over Astros - The Rays are 12-0 at home after a game in which they allowed six-plus runs and 11-0 since July of 2019 as a favorite with Charlie Morton when they used five-plus pitchers yesterday. The SDQL for the second of this pair is:

team=Rays and starter=Charlie Morton and F and rest=0 and 5<=p:PU and date>=20190700

Lastly for the Rays, we see that they are 9-0 SU their last nine when they are off a home loss in which they held the lead.

As for the Astros, we find that they are 0-8 as a road dog in the last game of a series with no rest when they won their last two and their opponent lost their last two, as long as they did not hit four-plus home runs in their last game. The SDQL text is:

team=Astros and LGS and AD and p:W and p2:W and op:L and op2:L and rest=0 and p:HR < 4 and season >= 2016

The Astros should be proud that they pushed this series to game seven, but we expect the Rays to avoid the embarrassment of losing a series in which they were up 3-0.




4.5-Star Dodgers -160 over Braves - Atlanta is 0-15 as a road dog off a game as a home dog in which they were homerless and had fewer than 12 hits. The SDQL is:

team=Braves and A and D and p:H and phttps://www.cappersmall.com/forums/images/smilies/biggrin.gif and p:HR=0 and p:hits<12

Also, Atlanta is 0-7 SU as a road dog off a loss as a home dog in which they held the lead and 0-6 in the last game of a series as a dog off a game as a dog in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs.

The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 6-0 as a favorite of more than 130 after a game in which Mookie Betts had multiple hits and 8-0 at home off a road game in which they struck out at least ten times, winning every game by multiple runs. The SDQL for the second of this pair is:

team=Dodgers and H and p:A and p:SO>=10 and date>=20190426

Finally, the Braves are 0-9 as a plus-money dog when they are off a game as a dog in which Freeman had multiple hits and they left fewer than 20 men on base. The SDQL text is:

team=Braves and line > 0 and phttps://www.cappersmall.com/forums/images/smilies/biggrin.gif and Freddie Freemanhttps://www.cappersmall.com/forums/images/smilies/tongue.gif:hits>1 and p:LOB<20 and date>=20180600

Note that every one of the nine losses was by multiple runs. Further, four of the eight games were vs the Dodgers and they lost each of those by at least three runs.

We make the Dodgers the play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zack Cimini

PITTSBURGH +13
PITTSBURGH @ MIAMI (FLA.) | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 8:04 PM
The Pittsburgh Panthers have lost consecutive games by a point, dropping them out of the Top 25. Derailment to the Panthers season has been caused by a plethora of key injuries. Yet, they’re starting to regain health, which should give them a boost on the field against the Hurricanes. Grab the near two-touchdown underdog as the Panthers play a competitive game against the Hurricanes.

9-3 IN LAST 12 CFB ATS PICKS | +570
4-1 IN LAST 5 MIAMI ATS PICKS | +290

2-1 IN LAST 3 PITT ATS PICKS | +90

SOUTH CAROLINA +3
AUBURN @ SOUTH CAROLINA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 8:02 PM
Last week South Carolina got its first win of the season in a blowout 41-7 victory over Vanderbilt. Now the Gamecocks host an Auburn team that has been unsteady in consecutive weeks. Grab the Gamecocks as small home underdogs to take advantage of a Tigers team that leaves the door open in games. Play South Carolina.

9-3 IN LAST 12 CFB ATS PICKS | +570

ARIZONA -2.5
ARIZONA @ DALLAS | 10/19 | 8:15 PM EDT
TUE 10/13
An old NFC East matchup will take place Monday night as the Arizona Cardinals travel to face the Dallas Cowboys. This marks the third straight road game for the Cardinals, and their first with fans in the stands. Expect the Cardinals to amp up their offense against a poor Cowboys defense. Playing from behind will force the Cowboys to throw more with Andy Dalton versus sticking to a ground attack. Play Arizona.

2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL ATS PICKS | +95
8-1-1 IN LAST 10 ARI ATS PICKS | +699

7-3 IN LAST 10 DAL ATS PICKS | +378

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

TENNESSEE -6
KENTUCKY @ TENNESSEE | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 1:04 PM
Kentucky has covered just once in its last eight meetings with Tennessee and just once in the last six games at Knoxville. Kentucky has an incredible defense that was huge in its 24-2 win against Miss State and the Wildcats will be tough Saturday. But I like the bounce-back spot for the Vols after a terrible second half against Georgia last week. Vols win and cover with a balanced attack.

2-0-1 IN LAST 3 TENN ATS PICKS | +200

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel

UCF -2.5
UCF @ MEMPHIS | 10/17 | 3:30 PM EDT
10:21 AM
The Knights looked flat in their last outing, which resulted in an upset loss to an improved Tulsa club. Memphis fought back from numerous deficits to take SMU to the wire before another two-week hiatus, At this point. UFC appears to have the edge in continuity and experience, and it has been efficient in two road games thus far.

13-7 IN LAST 20 CFB PICKS | +531
5-3 IN LAST 8 MEMP ATS PICKS | +166

ALABAMA -4.5
GEORGIA @ ALABAMA | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:55 PM
There was already pretty decent value on this number, but even more so now with the news that Nick Saban could rejoin Alabama for the game should he have two more negative Covid tests. This adjusted number basically provides at least two free points.

13-7 IN LAST 20 CFB PICKS | +531
10-1 IN LAST 11 UGA ATS PICKS | +889

PITTSBURGH +13
PITTSBURGH @ MIAMI (FLA.) | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:46 PM
Pitt was overvalued early as a double-digit favorite in most of its games. We should see a correction from here on out, but this is the type of spot in which the Panthers historically thrived. They have dominated the series with Miami of late, and look for the Hurricanes to start unraveling after last week's blowout loss to Clemson. The only surprising outcome Saturday would be a Miami blowout win.

13-7 IN LAST 20 CFB PICKS | +531
10-4-1 IN LAST 15 PITT ATS PICKS | +551

8-3 IN LAST 11 MIAMI ATS PICKS | +462

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

3*- fiu/charlotte over 55.5
3*- virginia -2.5
3*- bama/georgia under 58.5
2*- la tech +14
2*- fiu +7.5
2*- tenn/kentucky under 48.5
1*- texas am ml -199

2*- dodgers/braves under 8.5
3*- rays -110

[cwin32]

Anyone interested in splitting Rob Veno?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Rainey / The Rainman

5☆ Texas A&M -5, Liberty -3
3☆ Ga Southern -31, Temple -13
1☆ So Carolina +3, UAB -13'

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R&R Totals

CFB
Top - UNDER 50.5 Army

MLB
Top - UNDER 8 Houston/Tampa Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PURE LOCK

CFB
Top - Liberty

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bondi

7* South Carolina (Underdog Lock Of The Year)
4* UCF
3* Tennessee
3* Louisville

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike McClure

ALABAMA -5
GEORGIA @ ALABAMA | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
9:44 AM
Nick Saban has received two consecutive negative COVID-19 tests, meaning he's on track to be on the sidelines for tonight's game. Without Saban I make Alabama -5.6 points better, with Saban that number jumps to -7.2 favorite. I have a minor edge if Saban doesn't end up on the sidelines, and a very nice edge if he does. Lay it.

2-1 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +90

KENTUCKY +6.5
KENTUCKY @ TENNESSEE | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:47 PM
I know the Vols will get it figured out and be a really good team at some point this season, but -6.5 is giving a little too much respect against a strong Kentucky team. I make Tennessee just -2.5 in my simulations as I don't have very strong ratings on Jarrett Guarantano against this Kentucky defense. Take the points.

2-1 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +90
3-1-1 IN LAST 5 TENN ATS PICKS | +190

SOUTH CAROLINA +3
AUBURN @ SOUTH CAROLINA | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:41 PM
I like South Carolina as +3 home dogs against Auburn. The Tigers have been very shaky in consecutive weeks as they failed to cover against Arkansas and Georgia. Look for Collin Hill and Shi Smith to keep South Carolina within the number, and likely win the game.

2-1 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS | +90
2-1 IN LAST 3 SC ATS PICKS | +90

2-1 IN LAST 3 AUBURN ATS PICKS | +90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Marzano

OVER 56
TEXAS A&M @ MISS. STATE | 10/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
10:35 AM
Despite all the numbers pointing to a low scoring game at home for Mississippi State, I think this game has all the makings for a high scoring shootout and could easily see both teams scoring in the mid to high 30s. These are two solid QBs that have great arms and like to stretch the field and so do their head coaches. The Aggies shredded the Gators' top-ranked defense and should have a big day through the air. KJ Costello set an SEC passing record in his season opener but has since struggled. Costello will get a chance for redemption because he will be throwing it a ton here.

KENTUCKY +6.5
KENTUCKY @ TENNESSEE | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
10:32 AM
The Tennessee Vols come into this game with their tails between their legs after playing a great first half vss Georgia only to collapse in the second half and now could have questions at the QB position. Kentucky is a dangerous football team despite their record and I think they have a great chance to win this game let alone cover the number. Terry Wilson has been up and down at QB as well for the Wildcats. However, his scrambling ability always gives him a chance to make a play. Tennessee is just 5-11-1 their last 17 as a favorite and 8-17 ATS in their last 25 home games.

CLEMSON -27
CLEMSON @ GEORGIA TECH | 10/17 | 12:00 PM EDT
10:26 AM
The Clemson Tigers will have to avoid any "letdown" here after thumping the Miami Hurricanes last game and they come into this game as a huge road favorite. Look for Dabo Swinney to put his foot on the gas pedal here and lay the wood to GT. Trevor Lawrence should have a big day throwing the football and already has 10 TDs with 0 INTs. The Tigers have won 25 consecutive games vs ACC opponents. Tigers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games.

4-1 IN LAST 5 GATECH ATS PICKS | +290

OVER 58.5
DUKE @ NC STATE | 10/17 | 3:30 PM EDT
10:21 AM
The Wolfpack have seen the Over cash in all four games this year while Duke has seen the Over post a 3-2 record. The way these two teams matchup vs. one another, we should see some points and now that the number has come down to under 60 from when it first opened, time to jump in. Despite these two teams' close proximity, they don't meet on a regular basis and that is an advantage for both teams offensively. The Pack are averaging 34 points per contest on offense and allow the same on defense. Duke allows over 30 per contest.

BOSTON COLLEGE +12
BOSTON COLLEGE @ VIRGINIA TECH | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
10:16 AM
This is a very intriguing matchup and quite frankly this spread is moving in the wrong direction in my opinion. The Hokies are not the same team they have been over the years defensively allowing 37 points per game while their offense is averaging 42. The Eagles have played well at 3-1 and have a defense that allows just over 20 points per contest which is 16th in the nation. The Eagles have done a great job not beating themselves and have committed just one turnover. Eagles only loss was by four points to UNC, a game they could have easily won.

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


ame: (115) South Florida at (116) Temple
Date/Time: Oct 17 2020 12:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Temple Total Over 33.0 (-110)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

We had this play circled as a likely 5% Saturday afternoon hammer play, but pegged it right at the 30 to maaaaybe 31 range for value-wise and therefore I would take just a bit off the gas on this play, despite liking it a TON compared to what college football is offering on a Covid Saturday. Temple only has gotten 1 game under their belt so far, and succumbed to Navy missing a 2 point conversion at the end of the game to potentially get to OT. However, on offense (admittedly not against a stellar defense) they had 7 drives and scored 4 TDs and a FG, threw an INT at the Navy 5 yard line, and one punt. They now rank right at the top of the nation with regard to OAY with 84% on those 7 drives and USF, who does have 3 games under their belts, rank RIGHT AT THE BOTTOM of most all offensive categories, a particularly offensive offense....with a 76th, 74th, and 70th (out of 76 teams) with regard to OPD/OAY/OPP metrics...but not much better AT ALL on defense against the Owl offense and senior QB Anthony Russo!
I think the Owls can get to 40 points with rather ease, but we shall simmer down on the HUGE numbers we'd planned to bet just needing 4 TDs and a FG a la last week

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


ame:(115) South Florida at (116) Temple
Date/Time: Oct 17 2020 12:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Temple Total Over 33.0 (-110)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

We had this play circled as a likely 5% Saturday afternoon hammer play, but pegged it right at the 30 to maaaaybe 31 range for value-wise and therefore I would take just a bit off the gas on this play, despite liking it a TON compared to what college football is offering on a Covid Saturday. Temple only has gotten 1 game under their belt so far, and succumbed to Navy missing a 2 point conversion at the end of the game to potentially get to OT. However, on offense (admittedly not against a stellar defense) they had 7 drives and scored 4 TDs and a FG, threw an INT at the Navy 5 yard line, and one punt. They now rank right at the top of the nation with regard to OAY with 84% on those 7 drives and USF, who does have 3 games under their belts, rank RIGHT AT THE BOTTOM of most all offensive categories, a particularly offensive offense....with a 76th, 74th, and 70th (out of 76 teams) with regard to OPD/OAY/OPP metrics...but not much better AT ALL on defense against the Owl offense and senior QB Anthony Russo!
I think the Owls can get to 40 points with rather ease, but we shall simmer down on the HUGE numbers we'd planned to bet just needing 4 TDs and a FG a la last week

Lance McCullers Over 5.5 Strikeouts
Game: (907) Houston Astros at (908) Tampa Bay Rays
Date/Time: Oct 17 2020 8:37 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Lance McCullers Over 5.5 Strikeouts

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Just a simple paint by numbers HAMMER that Vegas continues to offer OVER....AND OVER....AND OVER AGAIN.....not that I'm complaining, but I sure do wonder what the hell is the deal with this...sure it is a lot of juice but it's a stone cold winner...maybe as easy as last night with Framber. This time we're working with a starter in a game 7 where the pressure sure as SHIT is on the rogue, unknown who's who Rays lineup....against an opponent who is on a free roll. The Astros were the only team in with a sub-.500 record, are on a shame tour after the cheating scandal, and with a bevy of guys who no longer knew the garbage can pitches coming and hit barely above the Mendoza line...well that seems to have changed and I would think the Stros complete the 0-3 comeback tonight...but the pressing Rays hitters sure will look silly again against McCullers, who K'ed 11 in game 2!
If you would rather eliminate juice you can get a 6.5 for likely + money, and I still like that value as I have McCullers at 8 for this start...and yes I know it is game 7 and pull out all the stops is the fear here...but nothing in this series screams any sort of serious danger....and Dusty is likely to stick with the guy who went 7 strong on just 100 pitches in game 2 and struck out 11 but for the defense behind him this series might have ended last night!
I am personally playing this Over 5.5 Ks number at something way way north of 5% if you're interested....similar to Framber last night...worth at least a 5% maybe crush it for a 10% like last night!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Silverstein
FLORIDA FAVORITE
10:48 AM

ALABAMA -5.5
GEORGIA @ ALABAMA | 10/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
Missed the best lines (-4, -5) on this game following Nick Saban's positive COVID-19 test, but I'm still getting it under the key number as it looks like Saban is progressing toward actually coaching in this game. No matter, I'd have chosen Alabama either way and up to a full touchdown. Georgia's defense has appeared other-worldly at the start of the season, but it's worth putting in perspective that it dominated Arkansas and a stuck-in-the-mud Auburn and let Tennessee score 21 first-half points before shutting out the Vols in the second half. Alabama's offensive weapons are unstoppable for four quarters. Yes, the Crimson Tide torn through by Ole Miss last week, but that was an aberration -- and despite Georgia's ability, it does not have the offensive playmaking might (or quarterback talent) of Ole Miss.

[rocky57]

Tom Frankln Sportsmasters (The Swami CFB) - 10* Top Play Wake Forest +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
3*'s on Tenn- Alabama and Arkansas

[rocky57]

Kevin Davis (VegasInsider)
MLB
Houston Astros +110 (ALCS Game #7)
Walker Buehler Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 6.5 Strikeouts (+105) (NLCS Game #6)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast
4* UAB (-12/-12.5) WKU 1:30pm
4* West Virginia (-21.5) Kansas Noon
3* Temple (-13) USF Noon
3* South Carolina (+3) Auburn Noon
3* Texas A&M (-5) Mississippi St 4pm


4* Over 64.5 North Carolina/Florida St 7:30pm
3* Under 49.5 Army/UTSA 1:30pm
3* Over 58.5 Duke/NC State 3:30pm

[rocky57]

Kevin Davis (VegasInsider)
CFB
Boston College +380 (Moneyline)
Boston College +13
Navy -3
Mississippi State/Texas A&M Over 56
Clemson Team Total Under 45

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SDQL Situational Plays

Mississippi 88.0%
UNDER Arkansas / Mississippi 59.3%
UNDER South Alabama / Texas St. 65.6%
UNDER Tulane / SMU 59.2%
UNDER Florida St. / North Carolina 59.2%
UNDER Wake Forest / Virginia 60.9%
OVER Troy / Eastern Kentucky 70.1%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant

3% Clemson -16.5 first half

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports mlb 10-17

6 under-8-houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Sports Informer mlb 10-17

3 Tampa bay-115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive

300 East Carolina +3 1/2
250 Texas St +4
250 Kentucky +6 1/2

[Hombre de Burro]

Brian Edwards Vegas Insider:
Ole Miss @ Arkansas > 76
Boston College +12 @ Virginia Tech
Miami -13 vs Pitt
Bama vs Georgia > 56
North Carolina -13 @ Florida St
South Carolina +3 vs Auburn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Rivers

Blank Check
Waive The Rating
College Football
Game of my 19-Year Career

4-TD Burial Blowout

Blank Check- WVU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Master Sports

MLB
3* Braves/Dodgers under 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Asa

6* over 64 North Carolina Game

[dawggy]

DR. CHUCK


ame: (129) Liberty at (130) Syracuse
Date/Time: Oct 17 2020 12:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Syracuse Total Under 25.5 (-110)

View Analysis (https://www.sportsmemo.com/members/trades#)

Struggle here between 2 very different teams and a bargain of a total for Syracuse to be honest....no team in the country gains less yards per drive as regard to the yards on the field ahead of them (OAY)...and Liberty has a top 10 ranked defense...not to mention Cuse doesn't run at a torrid pace...and should have merely 7 or 8 possessions to get to this total and that is a dream scenario!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

coastal sports...

200 uab

[Can'tPickAWinner]

hotline

400 aub

[Can'tPickAWinner]

endzone

100 tenn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AL DEMARCO - GM
SATURDAY
30 DIME play on Tennessee at home over Kentucky. The Vols are -6 1/2 at 1:25 am pacific. Buy down the 1/2-point on Tennessee if your price is anywhere between -6 and -7 1/2.

Amazing how empty Tennessee's bandwagon got after a 44-21 loss at Georgia last Saturday, a game the Vols actually led 21-17 at halftime before the Dawgs put the clamps on them defensively. But was any other outcome to be expected considering the huge jump up in class Jeremy Pruitt's team was making?

Tennessee carried an eight-game win streak into Athens after opening the season with a rare win in Columbia against the Gamecocks (31-27) and a home rout of Missouri (35-12). Now the Vols return to Rocky Top to host a Kentucky team they've absolutely owned on the field (33-2 SU) and in Vegas (7-1 ATS) with a deflated line courtesy of last week's beatdown at Georgia.

And that line got added value courtesy of Kentucky's 24-2 home win against Mississippi State last Saturday, a victory in which the Wildcats were miserable offensively (157 total yards; 4-for-14 on third down), but were on the receiving end of six Bulldog interceptions, one a pick-six and the other that led directly to another seven points.

UK opened the season 0-2, falling 29-13 at Auburn and 42-41 in OT at home to defenseless Ole Miss,, blowing a double-digit, second-half lead to Lane Kiffin's Rebels.

Look for Tennessee to re-establish the run behind it's offensive line dominated by 4-and 5-star talent, one of the best in the SEC. It was stonewalled (47 gross yards on 27 carries) in Athens, but that - again - was no surprise considering the tenacity of Kirby Smart's talented defense.

Under Pruitt the Vols are 2-0 against Kentucky. In a low-scoring game that perfect record stays intact as Tennessee prevails 27-17.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

vip sports

300 kentucky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Worlds Worst Picker college football
He has 3 today 1 pick
Peabody’s pick
Texas A&M

We take
Mississippi st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

worldwager

200 liberty

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan leonard

5 la tech

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lockeroom

100 aub

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tex insiders

200 tex st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

vegas high rollers

200 vt

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VEGAS DOMINATION

2*
syracuse +3
wake forest +2.5
no carolina over 64

[Can'tPickAWinner]

victory sports

200 navy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS CASH
TOMMY KREIG

SYSTEM
virginia tech over 61.5

HIGH ROLLER
georgia over 58.5

EXTRA PICKS
memphis over 75
texas am over 55.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

added

10 South Florida/Temple over 52.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

late info

200 vt

[Can'tPickAWinner]

inside edge

400 liberty

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gold key club

200 miss st

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prime star

400 pitt

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sports advisor

300 uab

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mti
4.5–rays
4.5–Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MILLER LOCKS
Saturday 10/17/2020 Picks

12:00 PM ET NCAAF
PITTSBURGH VS. MIAMI FLORIDA

PICK: MIAMI FLORIDA -13 (-101)

RISK: 11 UNITS

12:00 PM ET NCAAF
KENTUCKY VS. TENNESSEE

PICK: TENNESSEE -6.5 (-102)

RISK: 11 UNITS

12:00 PM ET NCAAF
KANSAS VS. WEST VIRGINIA

PICK: WEST VIRGINIA -22.5 (-101)

RISK: 11 UNITS

3:30 PM ET NCAAF
CENTRAL FLORIDA VS. MEMPHIS

PICK: CENTRAL FLORIDA -3 (-102)

RISK: 11 UNITS

5:00 PM ET NCAAF
NORTH TEXAS VS. MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE

PICK: NORTH TEXAS +6 (-114)

RISK: 11 UNITS

8:00 PM ET NCAAF
BOSTON COLLEGE VS. VIRGINIA TECH

PICK: BOSTON COLLEGE +12 (+100)

RISK: 11 UNITS

8:00 PM ET NCAAF
GEORGIA VS. ALABAMA

PICK: GEORGIA +6 (-107)

RISK: 11 UNITS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Review Journal Contest
Ian Cameron
Last week: 4-1
Season: 16-8-1
Boston College-Virginia Tech O64
South Florida-Temple O53
Duke-N.C. State O59
South Carolina +2½
Central Florida -2½

Dana Lane
Last week: 3-2
Season: 19-5-1
Miami -13
South Florida +13
Florida State +13
Georgia Tech +27
Memphis +2½

Wes Reynolds
Last week: 3-2
Season: 16-9
Duke +5
Florida State +13
Liberty-Syracuse O54½
Mississippi State +5
Massachusetts +31

Paul Stone
Last week: 3-2
Season: 17-7-1
Temple -13
Kentucky +6½
Central Florida -2½
Louisville +16½
Georgia-Alabama O58½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Millionaires club
lock
utsa

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Sports bank
lock
central florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Sports Plays
Britney DeLuca

CFB Banger Play Of The Year

Wake Forest +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportsline Computer

CFB

Navy OV 55.5
Georgia tech UN 64.5
Kentucky +6.5
Tex St. +5

[moneyline]

Anyone have Brandon Lang? TIA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UptownDave

POD 2
Alabama over 58

[Can'tPickAWinner]

sports one

300 duke

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

Golf - 3 - R. Fowler -140 over B. watson

Soccer - 3 - Arsenal - Manchester city under 3.5 goals -155

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

4 - Dodgers -145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

6 Units- #905 / #906 - Atlanta / LA (Over 8) *4:35 EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Bollman
THE EXECUTIVE
12:58 PM

L.A. DODGERS -140
ATLANTA @ L.A. DODGERS | 10/17 | 4:38 PM EDT
Fried allowed just 1 ER in 6IP in the first game of this series which the Braves won 5-1. Walker Buehler was also sharp and went 5 IP allowing just 1 ER as well, but the Braves were able to get to the Dodgers bullpen. Fried has been lights out all season long, and the Braves' bats ranked 1st in OPS vs. RHPs this season. However, the Dodgers have a .950 OPS against lefties this postseason. Take the Dodgers to force Game 7.


SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS
8:12 AM

L.A. DODGERS -153
ATLANTA @ L.A. DODGERS | 10/17 | 4:38 PM EDT
Atlanta is 0-15 when listed as a road underdog coming off a game as a home underdog in which it didn't hit a home run and had fewer than 12 hits. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 6-0 as favorites of more than 130 after a game in which Mookie Betts had multiple hits and 8-0 at home coming off a road game in which they struck out at least 10 times, winning every game by multiple runs. Finally, the Braves are 0-9 as plus-money underdogs coming off a game as an underdog in which Freddie Freeman had multiple hits and they left fewer than 20 men on base. We make the Dodgers the play.

114-65-1 IN LAST 180 MLB PICKS | +989
17-5 IN LAST 22 ATL ML PICKS | +898

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Bollman
THE EXECUTIVE
12:56 PM

TAMPA BAY -121
HOUSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 10/17 | 8:37 PM EDT
This is a pitching rematch of Game 2 which the Rays took 4-2. McCullers had the better night over Morton despite taking the loss. An error and 3-run homer in the first inning put the Astros at a deficit which they could not come back from. Morton has allowed just one earned run in 10 playoff innings this season while Lance McCullers Jr. has World Series Game 7 experience. Ryan Pressly has thrown three days in a row and is most likely unavailable despite other starters being available. I like the Rays.


SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS
7:56 AM

TAMPA BAY -121
HOUSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 10/17 | 8:37 PM EDT
The Rays are 12-0 as the home team after a game in which they allowed six-plus runs and 11-0 since July of 2019 as favorites with Charlie Morton when they used five-plus pitchers yesterday. Finally for the Rays, they are 9-0 SU in their last nine coming a home loss in which they held the lead. As for the Astros, they are 0-8 as road underdogs in the final game of a series with no rest when they won their last two, and their opponent lost their last two, as long as they did not hit four-plus home runs in their last game. The Astros should be proud that they pushed this series to Game 7, but we expect the Rays to avoid the embarrassment of losing a series in which they were up 3-0.

114-65-1 IN LAST 180 MLB PICKS | +989
9-6 IN LAST 15 HOU ML PICKS | +26

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportsline Computer

CFB

Louisville OV 62

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Uptown Dave

Added plays

Arkansas over 77.5
Arkansas TT over 37.5
Ole miss TT over 39.5
Alabama TT over 32.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker

triple CFB
Georgia vs Bama over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mississippi Kid
Dodgers ML -138
Rays ML -117

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Marley

Jung
Andrade
Bukauskas
Silva
Almeida

[B*mb07]

Marco D'Angelo
5% (908) TAMPA BAY -125
Listed Pitchers: McCullers vs Morton

Rematch of Game 2 where both pitchers pitched well but Tampa got the win 4-2. I will give Houston credit for battling back from down 3-0 to force a Game 7 but their Luck runs out tonight as so many things I look at favor Tampa Bay. When this game gets to the relievers Tampa has a huge edge. This game is a night game and Tampa is 32-16 in Night Games this year. Houston starter McCullers is a right Hander and Tampa is 37-15 vs right handers this year. McCullers team in his career when he starts and the line is -125 to +125 is just 9-24 while Tampa is an EYE POPPING 16-4 this year when the line is -125 to +125. TAKE TAMPA BAY as my 5% ALCS GAME 7 DOMINATOR PLAY.

[rocky57]

Razor Sharp Picks (CFB) - 2* Virginia Tech -13