Friday 10/23/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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Huddle Up Sports Free Play: Florida International -10' College FB Friday

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Weekly Bankroll Builder: October 23 Stronach 5 Play

October 21, 2020 | By Brian Nadeau

Back to battle in this week’s Stronach 5, and we’ve got another 100k guarantee, and a prospective pool that should far surpass that. To refresh, the Stronach 5 is a Pk5 wager spread across as many as four tracks and up to three surfaces (dirt, Tapeta and turf), inside of 90 minutes, with a $1 minimum and ridiculously low 12% takeout. I’ll be putting together some prospective tickets in this space each week for a wager that is undoubtedly as good as it gets for the bettors.

*** Please take note that this analysis is done upwards of 48 hours in advance, so obviously weather, track conditions and especially late scratches can and will have an effect. Please check back around 4pm Friday for an update. ***

Leg 1: Laurel Park Race 8 (4:18 ET) – 3up AOC (35k/N2X) at 6 furlongs

Speed, speed, and more speed, so unless scratches decimate the field, I’m looking for someone to come from off the pace, which lands me on #7 Awesome D J, #8 Buddy’s Run, and #2 Charge to Victory, who all have the ability to stalk early and punch late, and all enter in good form as well.

Pk5 A horses: 7,8,2 (listed in order of preference)

Post position says #4 The Cairo Kid is in a better spot than #1 Stroll Smokin, so I’ll use them in that order, but it’s tough to think either lasts if they hook up early and often, which is why they are on the second line, even though their recent form is as good as anyone else’s here.

Pk5 B horses: 4,1

Potential B add-ins: #5 Steadytillready


Leg 2: Gulfstream Park West Race 9 (4:32 ET) – 3up 12.5k MCL at 5 furlongs (turf)

Since I can see them building an ark outside my window as I type this late Wednesday afternoon here in Fort Lauderdale, I’m going to assume this one if going to be OFF the turf, and so I’ll handicap it that way. (I will also give turf selections down below, just in case). Being outside the other speed—and dropping out of a N2L—should help #8 He’s Royalty, so he gets a tepid top vote over the dropping #1 Discreet Tune and #2 R Uncle Eric, and lightly raced #3 Shortlister, in a race that you’re going to need to pay close attention to the scratches.

Pk5 A horses: 8,1,2,3

I may come back and add #4 Cold Warrior and/or #7 Maquiavelo, if more than one or two are scratches above, but if the field stays in tact I’m OK not using either, since they are both 0-for-13 with no upside, even though both have a bit of dirt form to fall back on.

Pk5 B horses: NONE

Potential B add-ins: #4 Cold Warrior, #7 Maquiavelo


Leg 3: Laurel Park Race 8 (4:50 ET) – 3upfm SAL (16k/8k) at 5 ½ furlongs (turf)

I’ll handicap this one for the turf, but it too could come off, so make sure to pay attention to the surface and scratches. Provided we’re on the grass, it looks like the outside attack post and tactical speed of #9 La Piu Bella will make her tough, and a repeat of the Del 2nd last time would too, while getting back to the turf should help #7 Bath and Tennis, as she has some big form here earlier this year against similar.

Pk5 A horses: 9,7

There are mixed signals with #10 Olive Kat, as Gorham is 29% off the claim, but 0-for-23 in turf sprints, and he’s trying to move this one up from Ness, so while she fits on paper, I’m a bit leery too. The same can be said for #6 Algodonal, who should like getting back to the turf but didn’t fire in a trio on the dirt, yet has run well on the main in the past, which could suggest he’s going the wrong way.

Pk5 B horses: 10,6 (to keep the cost of the B ticket down I’ll be singling #3 City Rage in Leg 4)

Potential B add-ins: #3 Caterina One, #1 Madame X.


Leg 4: Santa Anita Race 3 (5:00 ET) – 3up 50k starter-allowance at 1 mile (turf)

With just six entered tactics will be at a premium, and the versatile style of #3 City Rage gives him an edge on the closing style of #6 Liberal, so if you need to narrow, you may want to single the former. With that being said, I’ll use them both, as there is some speed signed on, and if ‘Rage gets caught up in it, then the advantage swings heavily to Liberal, who will be sitting back and licking his chops.

Pk5 A horses: 3,6

I’m worried that #4 Rip City is the one who will be caught between a rock and a hard place, as he could be in a pace sandwich, which is why he’s a B, and it’s worth noting his win over ‘Rage last time might have been more a product of the latter’s tough start than the former’s good work.

Pk5 B horses: 4

Potential B add-ins: NONE


Leg 5: Golden Gate Fields Race 3 (5:15 ET) – 3upfm MSW at 5 ½ furlongs

Can’t say I have much feel for the finale but a big post swap makes #4 Sweet and Softly a huge threat, as she was inside #1 With Open Eyes last time and tired late, but (presumably) gets to be the presser today, which might enable her to turn the tables, while going second-off the break too. If they both duel each other into the ground then #3 Perfect Stories is the one to fear late, and she figures to be tighter second-off the long break, and gets a better post too.

Pk5 A horses: 4,3

You have to use #1 With Open Eyes, and she could easily be on the top line too, but the post is a worry, and she figures to take all the worst of it, so I’m going to limit her use to a supporting actress today.

Pk5 B horses: 1

Potential B add-ins: #6 I’ll Do It for You


The tickets:

Main Ticket: 7,8,2 with 8,1,2,3 with 9,7 with 3,6 with 4,3 = $96
Leg 1 B Backup: 4,1 with 8,1,2,3 with 9,7 with 3,6 with 4,3 = $64
Leg 3 B Backup: 7,8,2 with 8,1,2,3 with 10,6 with 3 with 4,3 = $48
Leg 4 B Backup: 7,8,2 with 8,1,2,3 with 9,7 with 4 with 4,3 = $48
Leg 5 B Backup: 7,8,2 with 8,1,2,3 with 9,7 with 3,6 with 1 = $48

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Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Late Pick 4 Analysis October 23, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
The Meadowlands has 13 races set to go this evening. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 10, the sequence has a 15% takeout and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

1-Broadway Bruiser (9/2)-Took the long way around from the 10-hole in last to finish 2nd. Not sure trying to set the pace will help chances but can be forwardly placed. Big chance with the right trip.
3-Trixie Dust (8-1)-Like #1 had a tough trip but kept coming to get a 2nd place check. Should get a better journey and could improve in 3rd straight Big M start.
7-Shady McCoy (10-1)-Is only 2-17 on an off track but did race big in the slop last week. Tried hard in both Big M starts and looks like a player but is 0-22 this year. East Rutherford record, 11 wins in 66 starts, is cause for hope.
10-Chiplosive (3-1)-Smoked everyone last week from the 10-hole and drew off by 4 lengths on a "good" track. Form has been good in last 2 efforts and did notch 1st Big M win. This post will make it tough but best to respect.

Race 11

2-Teal Hanover (3-1)-Drops back to a better level. In last start followed cover and was not a threat but did pace a quick 2nd half. Looking for similar but needs the right steer and to follow live cover.
3-Shellie De Vie (9/2)-Shellie was better when dropped to this level but did not get the best of trips. Should be put in play early and may leave to get the top.
4-Sudden Passing (7/2)-Burke trainee ships in from Philly and faces easier. Allard will likely have the pedal down from the start and it will be a question of how far this 5-year-old mare can carry her speed.

Race 12

1-Commanding Officer (3-1)-Returns from the Red Mile to a class were this colt had 2 straight wins. Has been off almost 2 weeks so will look for a return to better form on a track where his record has been a perfect 2-2.
4-JK Objection (4-1)-Has been idle since 8/4 but tuned up nicely with a 56.2 back half in a qualifier at the Big M. This will be the 1st start for Takter for a freshman who has shown very good speed.

Race 13

2-Muay Hanover (15-1)-Will toss last start on a sloppy track from the 9-hole and record on an off track is 1-24. Bailey can leave from this post and get sucked around. So, will look for a repeat of 10/9 win when faced 4 from this field.
4-Explosive (10-1)-Will overlook last on a sloppy track. In previous start raced wide and had a rough trip but kept coming and that was the 1st start in 5 weeks. Could be sitting on a big try in 3rd local start and should be a nice price.

0.50 Late Pick 4

1,3,7,10/2,3,4/1,4/2,4
Total Bet=$24

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Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 10/23/20 October 23, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Big Chick; 4-My Princess Ellie

View Video Analysis (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Keys01.mp4)

Forecast: Big Chick made up a ton of ground and galloped out strongly when a distant but better-than-looked fourth vs. maiden $32,000 foes on turf at Golden Gate Fields earlier this month and today returns to the main track, adds blinkers, picks up U. Rispoli and draws the inside post in this soft maiden claiming miler for juvenile fillies. She appears to be progressing with experience and if she can display improved tactical speed the T. Yakteen-trained daughter of Mr. Big may be capable of producing a winning late bid. My Princess Ellie is the logical top pick and one to beat after being considered good enough to be entered as a maiden in the Juvenile Fillies Turf S. at Del Mar last month. Clearly, this is an infinitely easier group, and with high percentage jockey/trainer combo of P. Miller and F. Prat combining with the class drop into the maiden $40,000 ranks this daughter of Temple City projects to be a short priced favorite. We’ll include both in our rolling exotics and then, because she’ll be a better price, press a bit using Big Chick in the win pool.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:33 PT Grade: X
Use: 4-Flash Magic; 5-Beautiful Gift

View Video Analysis (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Keys02.mp4)

Forecast: This maiden-special-weight main track miler drew just five entrants, two of which are stable mates in the B. Baffert barn. Beautiful Gift finished a decent third sprinting in her debut at Del Mar in a race that produced the one-two finishers of the last Sunday’s Anoakia Stakes and in doing so earned a speed figure that is good enough to beat this field. The daughter of Medaglia d’Oro seems likely to improve with distance and experience and shows a recent bullet gate drill (5f, :59 1/5, fastest of 38) to indicate she came out of her first start in fine fettle and likely will step forward. Flash Magic was a highly-promising runner-up to Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies S.-G1-bound Princess Noor in her debut in August but then missed by a nose as the 3/5 favorite in a subsequent maiden sprint here last month. Instead of producing a forward move as expected, the daughter of Pioneerof the Nile had her Beyer speed figure drop 13 points and really didn’t have any apparent excuse. She stretches out to a distance she’s bred to like, and if she bounces back to the effort that she produced in her first start she’ll be tough. In a race that probably is best left alone, we’ll use the two Baffert fillies in our rolling exotics but otherwise not get involved.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:09 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-City Rage; 4-Rip City

View Video Analysis (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Keys03.mp4)

Forecast: This starter’s allowance miler on grass boils down to a pair of familiar rivals. Rip City, an impressive high-priced maiden-claiming winner over this course and distance on New Year’s Day, didn’t make it back to the races until late August but returned as well as he left when registering a game starter’s allowance win by a desperate nose over City Rage, who franked the from by scoring in convincing fashion earlier this month. They meet again under similar conditions and are extremely difficult to separate. Rip City has more tactical speed of the two and projects to draw into an ideal stalking position behind the likely pacesetter Dr. Troutman and then have every chance to get the first jump on ‘Rage when cut loose at the top of the lane. ‘Rage retains F. Prat will be within range throughout and certainly can win. On pure speed figures, the two are practically dead-even. We’ll give Rip City a very slight edge on top but use both equally in our rolling exotic play.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:41 PT Grade: B+
Single: 6-Pretty Saylee

View Video Analysis (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Keys04.mp4)

Forecast: Let’s take a stand with Pretty Saylee in this six-runner maiden $32,000 claiming sprint for juvenile fillies. Drawn comfortably outside and sporting the always-dangerous blinkers off angle, the daughter of Shackleford easily projects as the lone speed, and in a field with suspect closers she’ll have every chance to keep on going. Freshened since early August and showing a bullet half mile drill (:47 2/5, fastest of 65) since raced, the L. Mendez-trained filly is a logical rolling exotic single.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:13 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Master Ryan; 6-N. K. Rocket Man

View Video Analysis (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Keys05.mp4)

Forecast: Master Ryan projects to be the favorite again in this state-bred maiden turf sprint, but can you trust him? In the frame in seven of eight career starts but a beaten choice five times including his last four starts, the son of Grazen shows speed figures that have stagnated, so what you’ve seen is probably what you’ll get, However, in a below average race for the level the P. D’Amato-trained gelding may have found a field he can outlast. N. K. Rocket Man, a close fifth in the same race ‘Ryan exits, may be more appealing. With just four career outings the son of Unusual Heat probably has a bit more upside than ‘Ryan and today will race without blinkers for the first time after appearing erratic and unfocused in each of his four starts. It’s debatable whether the equipment change will help, but if he drops his head and concentrates on the task at hand the D. Pederson-trained 4-year-old has enough natural ability to produce a dangerous late kick. Both should be included in rolling exotic play but due to price considerations we’ll give N. K. Rocket Man the edge on top.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:44 PT Grade: C+
Use: 1-Bam Bam Again; 2-Gryffindor; 5-Next Revolt

View Video Analysis (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Keys06.mp4)

Forecast: The three listed above exit the same race, with Bam Bam Again, who was even money in that Oct. 3 event over this track and distance, trying to make amends after failing to land a blow when checking in a well-beaten fifth. A $16,000 claim by R. Santana out of that affair, the son of Awesome Again has a right to rebound for his new connections from an inside draw that guarantees a ground-saving, pace-stalking trip. A repeat of his race before last (second, beaten less than a length while four clear of the others) is good enough to win. Gryffindor and Next Revolt finished two-three in that Oct. 3 race won by Debt Monger and both have a strong look right back. Gryffindor was used hard after a sluggish start to make the running and in a form reversal proved hard to down, beaten less than a length. Next Revolt had every chance when finishing reasonably well to be third, retains F. Prat, and shows a bullet half mile workout (:47 flat, fastest of 53) seven days ago that really catches the eye. All three should be included on your rolling tickets; we’ll give Bam Bam Again a very slight nod on top while hoping that he’ll recapture his best form for his new connections.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:14 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Hurley; 5-Nice Ice; 6-Clearly Gone

View Video Analysis (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Keys07.mp4)

Forecast: Nice Ice was in too tough when setting the pace but weakening late vs. stronger first-level allowance competition but she returns to the straight $40,000 claiming ranks today and catches a field that should allow her to be on or near a soft early pace throughout. A repeat of her clever score two runs back should be good enough to beat this field, and it’s significant that while she’s dropping in class the J. Mullins-trained mare still remains well above her claim level. A sharp recent training track breeze is another positive factor. Clearly Gone, first off the claim for P. Miller (an amazing 35% with a massive flat-bet profit with this angle), likes to lag well off the pace and blast home, and if she can get some help up front she should make her presence felt in the final furlong. The raise from $25,000 to $40,000 is a very good sign that she’s well-liked by her connections. Hurley, a $32,000 claim by E. Truman in mid-August at Del Mar, returns on the raise, gets a good inside post, and switches to U. Rispoli, so we’re expecting the Mucho Macho Man filly to fire a big shot. Nosed out by Clearly Gone last time out, she shows a healthy recent series of workouts and projects to enjoy an ideal second flight, ground-saving trip. In a race that any one of the three listed above can win, we’ll give the potential pacesetter Nice Ice a very slight edge on top.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:44 PT Grade: B (Leg 1 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Use: 2-Camby; 3-Posterize

View Video Analysis (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Keys08.mp4)

Forecast: Posterize should be too quick for this $20,000 claiming group and we’ll prefer him on top while using Camby as a saver on our rolling exotic ticket. In his second start since being claimed for $25,000 by D. O’Neill at Del Mar, the Shackleford gelding drops a notch below his purchase level after finishing third in a race that was marked by torrid early fractions. The pace flow projects to be considerably softer today and a solid five furlong workout last week in addition to the monumental jockey switch to F. Prat should have him set for a strong effort over a track that has produced all three of his career victories. Camby just won at this level in game style and has finished first or second in six of eighth career outings over the local main track. The son of Candy Ride should be set for another good try but most likely will have to deal with quicker early splits.
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GOLDEN GATE FIELDS (Leg 2 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Race 8: Post 4:59 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Check Out; 4-Mime

Forecast: Mime drops considerably in class and returns to sprinting, so we’re expecting the Q, Howey-trained filly to regain her winning form in this restricted (nw-2) $6,250 dash for fillies and mares. She has several back numbers in one-turn races that are better than par for this level, and with the break in the weights with the switch to bug rider S. Rivera she should be along in time. Check Out represents inside speed in a field with little of it so it’s not inconceivable that she makes an easy lead and gets brave. Her maiden win over this all-weather surface last spring charts very well in this modest spot. Both should be used in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Mime.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:14 PT Grade: B (Leg 3 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Use: 1-Squared Shady; 6-Mensa On Tao; 8-Westward Breeze

View Video Analysis (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Keys09.mp4)

Forecast: The nightcap is an abbreviated turf sprint for state-bred juvenile fillies. For the purpose of this analysis, we’re going to assume that the certain favorite Allie’s Pal will not draw into the field from the also-eligible. Obviously, if she does, she’ll be the one to beat and we’ll update our wagering strategies later in the morning. Squared Shady lands post one (a good place to be when the rails are out 30 feet), adds blinkers, and switches to grass, so J. Bonde-trained filly seems likely to improve a ton. After displaying promise when flashing good early speed but weakening late in her debut at Del Mar, she went backwards with a very wide trip in her most recent appearance but should be capable of doing much better over this course and distance. Westward Breeze is a first-timer by Munnings with a useful series of drills, and while we doubt she’s any world beater and the barn doesn’t often win with debut runners, she still should be competitive. We really have no idea whether the San Luis Rey Downs-based shipper Mensa On Tap can run, but she’s bred for turf and to have early speed. The barn hasn’t won a race this year but the work tab looks promising, so at the price this daughter of Smart Bid is worth including somewhere on your ticket.
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GOLDEN GATE FIELDS (Leg 4 of the Golden Hour Pick-4)
Race 9: Post 5:29 PT Grade: C
Use: 1-Awesome Silver; 5-Punaluu; 7-Tina’s Exchange

Forecast: This restricted $6,250 contains several old pros that are eligible due to the non-winners since August 1 restriction so we’ll triple the race on our ticket but suggest to those with bigger budgets to spread as deeply as you believe is necessary. Tina’s Exchange won a $20,000 turf sprint in late August but today surfaces for $4,000, so assuming he passes the morning veterinarian inspection the S. Miyadi-trained 7-year-old obviously will be the one to beat. He’s never raced over an all-weather surface, which prevents us from taking a stand and making him a single. Punaluu is another plummeting in class and is just 1-for-13 over this all-weather surface but based on his recent speed figures and a break in the weights the I. Tamayo-trained gelding looks reasonably dangerous. He likes to settle and produce a late run and with clear sailing could be heard from late. Awesome Silver has won 10 races at Golden Gate Fields and 15 overall and today he’ll be making his 75th career start. His recent numbers aren’t bad but he’s returning of short (12 days). Out of respect, we’ll toss him in.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Belmont Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#5 Plum Awesome
Pletcher firster has a slew of very sharp works for this, is bred to be a star, and drew the perfect outside attack post; look out.


#1 Millefeulle
ML favorite was a close 2nd on debut and will be tough, but that was a slow race and the pick looks like a runner; second-best.


#2 Wedding Band
Breen filly debuts for a solid 18% first out barn, and she has plenty of works too, though the top pair might be too tough; tabbing.


Race Summary
You won't get rich on the pick, but $7 or so seems fair and would warrant an aggressive win and place bet, though her real value comes in kicking off the early Pk5, where you can single her, which is not a move the betting public likes to make in the opening leg, and by doing so you'll be able to spread deeper in the upcoming legs.


Belmont Park - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#7 Twelfth Labour
Stretch runner has been facing much better, should like getting back to the main, and catches a group with plenty of speed; mows them all down late.


#4 Steam Engine
The chalk is another dropper who has faced better, and he may be the speed of the speed, but dueling early and lasting late won't be easy; may get fried.


#5 Coral Legacy
Turf runner has no main track form but the right running style to make a late dent here, and the price will be right if you believe; can rally for a share.


Race Summary
Pace makes the race and there's a ton of it here, and it will really help the 7, while hurting the 4, so play the pick aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by keying him in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, as he looks like he's getting all the best of it here, yet a win over 'Engine will knock a ton of tickets out of both sequences.


Belmont Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#7 Bears Mafia
Streaking sort has aired in six straight, and the last came here on the big circuit, and with a perfect outside attack post, in a race there for the taking, he can hit again; onward and upward.


#5 Build to Suit
Class dropper will be bet hard for Brown, and he has been facing much better than he meets here, though he really bombed last time at 7-5, so there are some concerns; tread lightly here.


#1 Fort Worth
Dicey ML favorite was a meek 3rd last time, in a race where he probably bounced off the big return off the long break two-back, but the rail is no bargain, and he'll be overbet; not sold on.


Race Summary
That 7-2 ML seems awfully juicy on the 7, who is as good as anyone here on figures, drew perfectly, and doesn't have any form questions to worry about either, so play him aggressively to win and place, and especially use him number in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, as there's no reason to think he can add another notch to his belt, especially with the way he ran here last time.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Laurel Park - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#9 Unaquoi
Briefly led at this level in that most recent run before settling for second, and she should be in line for another perfect trip from close range.


#4 Too Much Tip
Should appreciate getting back to the turf where she ran some pretty big races last year with tough groups. Demand a fair price.


#1 Hollywood Hoopla
Cuts back to the scene of an allowance score in July, and she's likely to get a bit overlooked in here. Gimmick booster?


Race Summary
Unaquoi has tactical pace to find a good spot early, and the recent form is as good as anything the others are bringing. The 9/2 ML offering would feel more than fair.


Laurel Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#2 Sir Wellington
Rolled on the front end in the off going in that debut score, and while those types of easy wins on off tracks are always suspect, it came back fast, and he'd be interesting enough to give him a chance at anything like the 8/1 ML price.


#3 Jaxon Traveler
Romped in the debut win at Pimlico, and there's little doubt he's the one to beat in this spot. He's likely to have some company early, but Asmussen sprinters often don't care.


#1 Royal Number
Finished nicely to post the Delaware win, and there is definitely a scenario in which this races melts down, and he comes along late to land this. I'd want him on my tickets.


Race Summary
Sir Wellington is interesting if something like the ML price holds, and I would want to have Royal Number covered on my multi-race plays.


Laurel Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#5 Steadytillready
Tactical type should be able to get a good go of it from behind a couple of decent pace players, and he can spy and pounce to a score here.


#3 Rock and Fellers
Pace drew near the inside in the comeback off the long break, and he unsurprisingly faded late. Perhaps he can hang around better today with that race under his belt?


#1 Stroll Smokin
On form he's one of the ones, but the rail draw could prove tricky with his running style. He has run poorly in all three races in which he drew the rail that show on his page, and he's going to need a few things to work out his way to land this.


Race Summary
Steadytillready draws well to spy a few speedy types drawn further inside of him, and the price may be playable enough, too.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#10 WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE
Spurted clear in early stretch, wilted late as fave, figures tough on drop.


#2 PRINCESS ABIE W
Packs late kick, draws inside, ran third at this level two back at 68-1.


#4 SMOKE N REACTOR N
Tipped 3-wide for stretch drive, paced evenly but willingly to the wire.


Race Summary
Windsongmagnifique was cruising on the lead into the final turn, shook clear of pressure at the top of the stretch and tired very late. She takes another class drop but is compromised by post 10 starting spot. Play 10-2 and 10-5 exactas.


Meadowlands - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#6 SKYWAY KON MAN
Blew past the field while widest in same spot on sloppy track.


#2 POUND STERLING
Had some traffic trouble late on turn, use in all gimmicks at good price.


#8 WHAT CHAPTER
Been burning serious money during 0-14 season but can’t be discounted.


Race Summary
Skyway Kon Man advanced in lively outer flow on the final turn and exploded while 6-wide in mid-stretch to beat many of the same rivals going away. Hit the repeat button for today’s Best Bet.


Hoosier Park - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#2 DONNA SOPRANO
Has done little wrong, has the looks of a champion 2-year-old.


#5 ITERATION
Stakes wins at four tracks, including Hoosier, in last 10 weeks, mostly in photo finishes.


#1 YOU ATO DREAM
Has speed and the rail and seven seconds in nine starts.


Race Summary
Donna Soprano’s perfect record was tarnished with a runner-up finish against the boys in the Mohawk Million, but she has been most impressive visually and is strictly the one to beat in this division. Don’t expect anywhere near her 2-1 morning line in tonight’s elimination heat.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park West - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#1 Bienville Street
Lost a photo in the Monroe Stakes two back, was third at this level last time and looks like the one to hold off.


#2 Fujairah
Was outrun in a race that came off the turf and had been in good grass form; was third in the Miss Gracie and can get back to good form on the turf.


#6 Picara
Her best races have come close to the pace and she'll a great chance at that today; has the credentials and her best can make her very tough.


Race Summary
Bienville Street lacked late punch and a clean trip can get her to the winner's circle; big player at this level.


Gulfstream Park West - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#3 Half Rich Legacy
Ran an even third in a race that didn't have a particularly fast pace; comes out of a third in the Hollywood Beach Stakes and fits very well here.


#6 Carson City Kid
How a great deal of speed in all four of his races and comes in off a second at this level; should be able to transfer his talents to grass.


#1 Lamplighter Jack
Lost a photo in his first against winners and moves over for his first attempt on turf; probably a pace factor and he's shown gameness in his first two.


Race Summary
Half Rich Legacy can let others battle out front and can win if he runs from just off the pace, like he did in a third-place finish last time in a much tougher spot.


Gulfstream Park West - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#2 Unpublished
Was very sharp in a win over claimers over this strip last time and despite the step up in class can be very tough to beat.


#1 R Mercedes Boy
Set the pace and tired to third going longer and should fit in going this distance; has mixed it up with decent rivals.


#5 Septemberten
Makes a strong run from back in the pack and just missed last time, which was at this level; in very good form.


Race Summary
Unpublished was strong in his first over this strip this season and is now is two of three at GPW; likes the place and can be a big player in his return off a win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Hour Wagers



Golden Hour Wagers - Race 2

Leg 2 of the Golden Hour Pick 4



Claiming $6,250 • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 4:59P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * CHECK OUT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/sur face. MIME: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. RED DAHLIA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



1

CHECK OUT

7/2


7/2




4

MIME

2/1


5/1




5

RED DAHLIA

4/1


6/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

CHECK OUT

1


7/2

Stalker

87


77


73.0


71.6


68.1




4

MIME

4


2/1

Alternator/Stalker

81


78


60.8


68.6


65.1




5

RED DAHLIA

5


4/1

Alternator/Stalker

76


71


60.2


68.0


61.5




2

JAZZY EINSTEIN

2


5/2

Trailer

72


63


28.2


59.7


49.7




6

THUNDER WOMAN

6


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

77


58


75.8


62.8


55.3




3

RAELEE

3


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

69


56


52.6


64.8


54.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Century Mile



Century Mile - Race 3

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3



Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 8:15P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR ALBERTA BREDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. ALBERTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SNEAKY SISTER: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. PRINCESS ROBBI: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TROOPER JENNY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



5

SNEAKY SISTER

2/1


9/2




6

PRINCESS ROBBI

9/5


9/2




1

TROOPER JENNY

3/1


7/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

TROOPER JENNY

1


3/1

Front-runner

67


66


26.5


58.8


52.8




6

PRINCESS ROBBI

6


9/5

Alternator/Front-runner

70


65


68.2


54.5


50.0




5

SNEAKY SISTER

5


2/1

Stalker

69


65


58.1


63.9


60.9




2

VICTORY SHADOW

2


6/1

Stalker

60


63


51.0


51.0


42.5




4

SAY IT'S NOT SO

4


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

64


62


46.8


46.8


37.8




3

NORTHERN BREEZE

3


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

69


56


32.2


41.7


32.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $9500 Class Rating: 81

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 8 UNTOUCHABLE LOVER 7/2




# 6 GLACIAL RULE 5/2




# 4 HIGH ROCK TELLER 5/1




My selection in this event is UNTOUCHABLE LOVER. With Mendez aboard him, this gelding should be able to break out early in this competition. Must be considered given the class of races run lately. GLACIAL RULE - The speed figure of 68 from his last race looks strong in here. Knight and Ayala have won 33 percent of their races giving this horse a very good chance. HIGH ROCK TELLER - Could provide positive returns based on quite good recent speed figs with an average of 71. Had one of the strongest Equibase speed figs of this field in his last race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Keeneland - Race #3 - Post: 2:12pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 88

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 ON YOUR MARK (ML=8/1)
#4 EEL POINT (ML=2/1)
#3 CHARLIECANDO (ML=6/1)


ON YOUR MARK - Really think this thoroughbred is going to be right there at the wire. EEL POINT - Have to make this gelding a strong challenger; he comes off a strong race on October 2nd. I'm optimistic this gelding will run well today. Last workout was 2nd fastest of the day, which tells me he's sharp right now. Trainer, Brisset, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. CHARLIECANDO - Ran a winning race Sep 25th, but just couldn't topple the winner. I am keen on that last outing on Sep 25th at Arlington where he finished second. Have to forget about that last race on the grass. This gelding should do better hitting the dirt in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SOVIET (ML=9/5), #1 PERFECT SENSE (ML=8/1),

SOVIET - Don't think that this colt has value at 9/5 in today's event. PERFECT SENSE - Improbable that this animal will finish better than he did last out when placing eighth. Recorded a common speed rating in the last race in a $50,000 Maiden Claiming race on Sep 19th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that rating.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - EEL POINT - Put a prime bet on this gelding. Uppermost in earnings per start and has a lot more to offer as well.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#5 ON YOUR MARK is going to be the play if we are getting 4/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,4,5]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [3,4,5] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[3,4,5] with [3,4,5] with [3,4,5,7,8] with [3,4,5,7,8] Total Cost: $36



SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Gulfstream Park West - Race #9 - Post: 4:32pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 COLD WARRIOR (ML=15/1)
#10 TOOK A CAB (ML=6/1)
#6 GRAND UNION (ML=5/1)
#7 MAQUIAVELO (ML=12/1)
#2 R UNCLE ERIC (ML=5/2)


COLD WARRIOR - Trainer, Broome, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. Out of the money finish in the last race at Gulfstream Park was better than it looked on paper. He improved position in the lane and never gave up. This gelding is number one in earnings per race. Give the once over to this animal in the saddling ring. TOOK A CAB - This gelding's last speed fig is good enough to score here, I'll play him back again this time around. GRAND UNION - Colt is a few starts into a come back here. Should give a big performance today. Avila is hoping to get a little more out of this colt by adding blinkers today. MAQUIAVELO - The jock and handler combination have a profitable return on investment when they join forces. R UNCLE ERIC - Likes to go to the front and the fact that today is a shorter trip should be beneficial. This trainer brings horses to the grass ready to win, winning over 20 percent of the time under similar conditions. This horse has to be one of the key horses in your betting. His trainer Baxter excels in prepping horses to race on turf from the dirt. Trainer Baxter moves this animal down in the class scale to face a lower rated field. Look for a solid performance in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 DISCREET TUNE (ML=2/1),

DISCREET TUNE - All kinds of crazy zip on board for this clash. Slight chance for this speed merchant.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #4 COLD WARRIOR to win. Have to have odds of at least 9/2 or better though



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,6,10]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[4,10] with [4,6,10] with [2,4,6,7,10] with [2,4,6,7,10] Total Cost: $24



SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:

[4,6,10] with [2,4,6,7,10] with [2,4,6,7,10] with [2,4,6,7,10] with [2,4,6,7,10] Total Cost: $72

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11500 Class Rating: 76

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 CIMARRON 5/2




# 1 FRUITFULLY 3/1




# 6 MISS YOU MOM 9/5




CIMARRON is my choice. Ran a strong last race. Is hard not to examine given the company run in lately. Has earned reliable speed figures in dirt route races in the past. FRUITFULLY - Has performed admirably as of late in route races, posting a nifty 76 avg speed rating. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group lately. MISS YOU MOM - Has to be given a chance - I like the figs from the last outing. Earnings per start in dirt route races is reliable for this equine.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

(Fri) NCAAF Wisconsin -19-
(Fri) MLB Dodgers -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Two CFB and Horse Pick 10/23

100* Illinois +19.5
100* Tulsa -11

Belmont Race 7

#1 Forth Worth $10 wps
$2 exacta box 1-2-5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

955LA DODGERS -956 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 90-58 SU (26.2 Units) after 2 straight games where they committed no errors in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, October 23

LA Dodgers @ Tampa Bay

Game 955-956
October 23, 2020 @ 8:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Buehler) 16.417
Tampa Bay
(Morton) 17.518
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-155
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+135); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, October 23

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (53 - 21) vs. TAMPA BAY (50 - 26) - 8:08 PM
WALKER BUEHLER (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 147-153 (-36.1 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 50-26 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 11-1 (+9.1 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
TAMPA BAY is 34-17 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 39-15 (+20.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 31-17 (+9.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TAMPA BAY is 22-8 (+14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

WALKER BUEHLER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

CHARLIE MORTON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
MORTON is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.67 and a WHIP of 1.385.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Friday, October 23

World Series

Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles (1-1) (@ Arlington)
Morton is 4-0, 2.45 in his last five starts.
— Rays are 8-4 in his starts this season.
— Under is 7-3 in his last ten starts.
— Snell threw two scoreless innings in a two-inning start vs LA last year.
— He allowed 11 runs in 11 IP in two career starts against the Dodgers.

— Tampa Bay lost four of its last six games.
— Rays are 50-26 this season.
— Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— Tampa Bay lost its only previous World Series, in 2008.

Buehler is 1-1, 1.57 in his last five starts (23 IP)
— Dodgers are 10-2 in his starts this season.
— His last five starts stayed under the total.
— Buehler is 2-1, 2.44 in ten postseason starts.
— He’s never pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Dodgers are 53-21 this year; they’ve won four of last five games.
— Dodgers are in playoffs for the 8th year in a row.
— LA is 32-12 away from home this season.
— Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
— Dodgers haven’t won World Series since 1988; they lost World Series in 2017-18.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Friday, October 23

Trend Report

LA Dodgers @ Tampa Bay
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game 3 Odds: Dodgers vs. Rays
Tom Wilkinson

We had a rarity during the 2020 MLB postseason on Thursday. Neither the Tampa Bay Rays nor the Los Angeles Dodgers had yet to experience an off day in the middle of a series.

Both teams surely appreciated the time off, but now it’s time to return to action on Friday. The Rays will be the nominal hosts in Game 3 on Friday, October 23, shortly after 8:00 p.m. ET, and it will be broadcast on FOX.

Betting Resources

Matchup: World Series Game 3
Venue: Globe Life Field
Location: Arlington, Texas
Date: Friday, Oct. 23, 2020
Time: 8:09 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Line Movements

Money-Line: Dodgers -150, Rays +140
Run-Line: Dodgers -1.5 (+105), Rays +1.5 (-125)
Total: 7.5
Updated Series Price: Los Angeles -200, Tampa Bay +175

Tampa Bay right-hander Charlie Morton takes the mound in Game 3 of the World Series against Los Angeles. (AP)

Game 2 Recap

Tampa Bay evened the series with a 6-4 victory over LA on Wednesday. Blake Snell was masterful until the fifth inning, and the Rays’ bullpen got the job done from there, allowing only three hits and two earned runs in the final 4.1 innings.

Brandon Lowe was the hero of the day for the Rays. Lowe has struggled throughout the postseason, but he opened the scoring with a solo home run off Tony Gonsolin in the first inning and hit a two-run blast off Dustin May in the fifth inning.

For the second straight game in this series, the 'over' tickets cashed for the game and in the first-five inning wagers as well.

Tampa Bay connected on both of those wagers as well, leading 5-2 after five innings and prop bettors looking for early action also saw the Rays score in the first inning, which may have helped or hurt your wagers.

If you follow our 2020 Playoffs Betting Results, you can see that the run-line favorites have been a great return for bettors while those tinkering in the totals market have seen great back-and-forth decisions.

Game 3 Pitching Analysis

Starting Pitchers

Walker Buehler
Charlie Morton

The Dodgers will send their ace to the mound on Friday. Walker Buehler has been electric for each of the last two years. He came into his own in 2019 with a 14-4 record coupled with a 3.26 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP. Buehler showed excellent command with a 5.8 K/BB, and while his walk rate is up, his WHIP was even better in 2020. He finished the season with a 3.44 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP in 36.2 innings of action.

Buehler has been great in four playoff appearances over the last month. He has allowed just 15 hits in 19 innings of work, striking out 29 batters and posting a 1.89 ERA. However, he has had some issues with control. He has walked 11 batters during that span, and that may be due to his blister issues. Buehler has been dealing with multiple blisters on his pitching hand for the last month.

Charlie Morton will head to the bump for the Rays. Uncle Charlie has been a reliable postseason starter throughout his long career. He has appeared in 12 playoff games, and he boasts a 7-2 record with a 2.84 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. His command has improved in October with a 9.6 K/9 in the postseason, and Morton has won all three of his starts for the Rays in these playoffs.

Morton faced the Dodgers in the 2017 World Series when he was on the Houston Astros, and he was lights out in two games. He posted a 1.74 ERA and a 0.58 WHIP in 10.1 innings of work, and he closed the door on the Dodgers in Game 7 of that series.

Postseason Team Records with Pitchers

Dodgers - Walker Buehler (3-1)

Oct. 17 - L.A. 3 Atlanta 1
Oct. 12 - L.A. 1 Atlanta 5
Oct. 5 - L.A. 5 San Diego 1
Sept. 30 - L.A. 4 - San Diego 2

Rays - Charlie Morton (3-0)

Oct. 17 - Tampa Bay 4 Houston 2
Oct. 12 - Tampa Bay 4 Houston 2
Oct. 7 - Tampa Bay 8 Houston 4

Game 3 Bullpen Analysis

Rest brings Rewards

The day off means that both bullpens will have a little extra time to recharge.

That is a little more beneficial to the Dodgers, as they used six relievers in Game 2 after using four relievers in Game 1. Dylan Floro, Victor Gonzalez, Alex Wood, and Dustin May might not see much action since all four pitchers have thrown at least 24 pitches in the first two games, and postseason standout Julio Urias won’t be available since he is starting Game 4 on Saturday night.

Tampa Bay used all three of its best relievers on Wednesday with Nick Anderson and Pete Fairbanks each seeing a lot of work.

Diego Castillo had a three-pitch outing, so he is likely to be one of the first arms out of the bullpen, and either John Curtiss or Ryan Thompson will probably take the hill too.

Players to Watch - Dodgers

Corey Seager’s great postseason continues to get better. Seager became the first shortstop to hit seven home runs in a single postseason after his solo blast off Fairbanks in the eighth inning in Game 2. He was the only Dodger with multiple hits on Wednesday, picking up two of LA’s five total base knocks, and he currently has a 1.161 OPS in these playoffs.

The Dodgers have the best one to six line-up in the majors, and that has paid huge dividends already in this series.

Manager Dave Roberts has not tinkered with the batting order, and his stars continue to answer the call with all six players getting on base at least once in each game against the Rays. Seager has been the best, reaching base five times, but the consistency down the line has been impressive.

Players to Watch - Rays

It took 16 games for Brandon Lowe to finally make an impact in the postseason. Lowe had just six hits and one home run prior to Game 2 on Wednesday night, but Kevin Cash has stuck with his young star. He was rewarded with his two home run outing, and the Rays are hoping he can build off that. To highlight his struggles these playoffs, Lowe only has a .476 OPS after those long balls.

Randy Arozarena has made a lot of history over the last month, and he added to his list of achievements on Wednesday. He recorded his 22nd hit of the postseason, tying Derek Jeter for the most hits in one postseason by a rookie. Arozarena has carried the Rays to the World Series with seven home runs and a 1.222 OPS. The next highest mark on the team is Manuel Margot with five home runs and a .962 OPS.

Tampa Bay is one of the biggest examples of the three true outcomes era of baseball. Collectively, the Rays have struck out in nearly 30 percent of their at-bats this postseason, but they also have 28 home runs and 52 walks. This team is only hitting .213, yet they are making the most of the long ball.

After watching the first two games in this series, Seager and Lowe are both listed at 11/1 odds to win the World Series Most Valuable Player award.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 8
Bruce Marshall

Week 8 of the College Football season kicks off on Thursday, October 22 and we've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.


Friday, Oct. 23

TULSA at SOUTH FLORIDA (ESPN, 7:30 p.m.)

Tulsa on 6-2 spread run since late 2019.
In USF’s last five games vs. FCS foes prior to last week vs. Temple, it has not been closer than 21 points (1-4 vs. line).
Bulls now 2-9 vs. spread last 11 vs. FCS foes at Raymond James Stadium.

Tech Edge: Tulsa, based on team trends.


UL-LAFAYETTE at UAB (CBSSN, 8:00 p.m.)

Cajuns have cooled vs. line, just 1-3 in 2020 after Coastal Carolina loss, now 1-6 last seven against spread since late 2019.
All after 16-4-2 spread surge previous for Napier.
ULL however is 7-2-1 last ten as dog for Napier.
UAB no covers last three at home after 14-3-1 spread uptick as host.

Tech Edge: Slight to ULL, if dog, based on team trends.


ILLINOIS at WISCONSIN (BTN, 8:00 p.m.)

Home team has covered last four in series including big Illini upset in 2019.
Illini was 6-1 as Big Ten dog in 2019, and Badgers 2-6 as Big Ten home chalk since 2018.

Tech Edge: Slight to Illinois, based on recent trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

307TULSA -308 S FLORIDA
S FLORIDA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

309LA LAFAYETTE -310 UAB
LA LAFAYETTE is 39-18 ATS (19.2 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. since 1992.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 8

Friday, October 23

Jacksonville St @ FIU

Game 397-398
October 23, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville St
60.468
FIU
63.805
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
FIU
by 3 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
FIU
by 10 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville St
(+10 1/2); Over

SE Missouri St @ Southern Illinois

Game 000-000
October 23, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SE Missouri St
60.105
Southern Illinois
74.700
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Illinois
by 14 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Illinois
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Illinois
N/A

Tulsa @ South Florida

Game 307-308
October 23, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
92.499
South Florida
65.803
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulsa
by 26 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulsa
by 10
51
Dunkel Pick:
Tulsa
(-10); Over

Illinois @ Wisconsin

Game 387-388
October 23, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois
83.586
Wisconsin
108.879
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 25 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 20
51
Dunkel Pick:
Wisconsin
(-20); Over

LA-Lafayette @ UAB

Game 309-310
October 23, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Lafayette
82.716
UAB
89.419
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UAB
by 6 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UAB
by 2
50
Dunkel Pick:
UAB
(-2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, October 23

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TULSA (1 - 1) at S FLORIDA (1 - 4) - 10/23/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAFAYETTE (3 - 1) at UAB (4 - 1) - 10/23/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ILLINOIS (0 - 0) at WISCONSIN (0 - 0) - 10/23/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 140-178 ATS (-55.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 140-178 ATS (-55.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 95-137 ATS (-55.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 1-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 8

Trend Report

Friday, October 23

Tulsa @ South Florida
Tulsa
Tulsa is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulsa's last 5 games
South Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Florida's last 9 games

Louisiana-Lafayette @ Alabama-Birmingham
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham is 22-1 SU in its last 23 games at home
Alabama-Birmingham is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 8

Friday’s games

Tulsa (1-1) @ South Florida (1-4)
— This is Tulsa’s first game in three weeks.
— Tulsa covered its first two games, losing 16-7 at Okla State, upsetting Central Florida 34-26 in Orlando.
— Golden Hurricane has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Tulsa has 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tulsa’s senior QB has started 25 games.
— Under Montgomery, Tulsa is 5-3 ATS as a road favorite.

— South Florida is 0-4 vs I-A teams; they lost 39-37 at Temple LW.
— Bulls allowed 40.8 ppg in their last four games.
— USF has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— South Florida has 64 returning starts on the offensive line.
— USF’s soph QB has started 15 games.
— Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last ten games as a home underdog.

— South Florida won last two series games, 25-24/27-20.

Louisiana (3-1) @ UAB (4-1)
— Louisiana won three of its first four games; their last three games were decided by a total of eight points.
— ULL won both its road games SU, at Iowa State/Georgia State.
— Under Napier, ULL is 10-4-1 ATS on the road.
— Ragin’ Cajuns have 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— ULL has 101 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cajuns have a senior QB with 21 career starts.

— UAB won its last three games, giving up 12.3 ppg- they ran the ball for 214-217 yards their last two games.
— Blazers’ only loss was 31-14 at Miami.
— UAB has 9 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Blazers have 69 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UAB has used two QB’s this season.
— Since 2014, UAB is 13-2-2 vs spread at home.

— These teams haven’t met in the last five years.

Illinois (0-0) @ Wisconsin (0-0)
— Season opener for Illinois.
— Illini has 9 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Illinois has 126 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Illini has a senior QB with 18 career starts.
— Illinois is 12-20 ATS in its last 32 games as a road underdog.

— Season opener for Wisconsin.
— Badgers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Badgers have 50 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wisconsin has a senior QB with 18 career starts.
— Since 2014, Wisconsin is 17-22-1 vs spread as a home favorite.

— Wisconsin won its last five games with Illinois, winning 49-20/48-3 in last two meetings played here.
— Home side covered last four series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: UL Lafayette/UAB Over 50 Points

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: LA DODGERS/TAMPA BAY UNDER the total of 7½ runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U Friday's Free Selection: Jacksonville State/Florida International under 59 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins Roz's FRIDAY, OCTOBER 23, 2020
Free Pick
387. Illinois +19.5 (5 PT / 8 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports Friday's Free Play: Florida International Panthers - 10 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: the UL Lafayette/UAB Game OVER 50 Points

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play FRIDAY, October 23, 2020
CFB Free play
309. ULL -3 (5 PT / 8 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Friday Selection Is

JACKSONVILLE STATE +10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Friday : UL-LAFAYETTE/UAB OVER the total of 50

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Friday

Tulsa/South Florida over 50

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph

FRI Dodgers w/ Buehler -148

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Last Call Friday's Free Play: Tampa Bay Rays + 134

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teyas Sports FREE PICK 10/23 CFB JACKSONVILLE ST +10 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Friday: TULSA/SOUTH FLORIDA UNDER the total of 51

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Friday: Tulsa/South Florida OVER the total of 51

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach Oct 23 '20, 7:30 PM in 35m
NCAA-F | Tulsa vs South Florida
Play on: UNDER 50½ -109

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFB Rotation #308 Friday Free Pick UNDER the total in South Florida Bulls vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ 7:30 ET - The Golden Hurricane have played only 2 games so far this season but both were solid teams and yet Tulsa has allowed an average of only 21 points per game. I like what we've seen from this Golden Hurricane defense early this season. Though the Bulls have been involved in higher scoring games the last two weeks it is a bit of a misnomer. On the season South Florida is averaging only 329.6 yards per game. Also, the Bulls defense is allowing a respectable 378.6 yards per game. Look for both teams to struggle to score points in this one. Though USF scored 37 points last week that was on just 324 yards of offense! Also, prior to that game, the Bulls had averaged only 14.5 points per game this season. The Golden Hurricane have scored an average of only 20.5 points per game so far this season. Free Pick UNDER the total in South Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Oct 23 '20, 7:30 PM in 35m
NCAA-F | Tulsa vs South Florida
Play on: Tulsa -11 -110 at 1BetVegas

1* on Tulsa -11 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Oct 23 '20, 7:30 PM in 35m
NCAA-F | Tulsa vs South Florida
Play on: UNDER 50½ -110

FREE PLAY on Tulsa/South Florida under 50½ -110