Tuesday 10/27/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Finger Lakes - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 Poker Game
Stalker drew perfectly for this trip, has been in the best form of late, and meets a crew without a lot to offer; imposing.


#2 Internet of Things
Romping winner steps up and will be close throughout, though the pick holds a decisive figure edge; the main danger.


#5 Inalienable Rights
Price player was a distant 3rd at the level last time, though it came off a long break, so he could improve; exotics appeal.


Race Summary
You won't get rich on the 1 but that 5-2 ML seems like an overlay on a runner who is simply better than these, and classier too, so make an aggressive win and place bet at 9-5 or better, though you can get some added value by singling him to kick off the early Pk4, as that's not a move the betting pubic likes to endorse to kick off a sequence, yet it's a great leverage move that allows for more coverage in following legs.


Finger Lakes - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#3 Ouch That Heart
Stalker blew the start last time at odds-on and was well behind a few here, but her prior two wins were huge, and she'll be settling off what looks like dueling leaders; can make amends.


#2 Tax Me Naught
Speedster dueled and pulled clear while walloping the pick last time, but the rail will be flying too, and pulling off what she did last time twice in a row won't be easy; may come unglued late.


#6 Risky Analysis
Stretch runner passed a few when 3rd behind 'Tax last time but she didn't make up any ground, so while the race flow will help her here, she still seems a cut below; using underneath only.


Race Summary
You're not getting that 5-1 ML on the pick, as she was odds-on last time, but if you sniff 5-2 that's still value, since you can toss her last and focus on the two romps prior, which win this, and the speed up front will flatter her too, so play her to win and place, and especially in the early Pk4 as well, as she has every right to get back on the beam with an alert beginning.


Finger Lakes - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#4 Judiciary
Rice miss didn't fire going two turns in her last but the sptint debut 6th came in a fast race for the level, and this is a field that certainly looks there for the taking; look out.


#11 Japazina
Chris Englehart firster (14%) drew well to be outside and lures main man Davila, which says there's intent here, and the works whisper ready too; thinking she's very live.


#1 Skylight
Stretch runner was flying late on debut for Jeff Englehart, but that was in the mud, the rail is no bargain, and the 15-1 that day is going to be a lot shorter here; tread lightly.


Race Summary
That 6-1 ML on the pick isn't holding, but 7-2 or so would be fair, especially since the sprint run was as fast as anything anyone else has done here so play her in all the slots, and especially the Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, as there's a very good chance she can build off her unveiling, which would probably be enough against a group like this.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Mountaineer - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#4 Torazo
Seems like a good fit, but it's worth noting he was no serious threat when facing similar going short in his only local try back in May, so make sure a fair price holds up before diving in.


#3 Solitaire Game
He proved a good fit with the local company last time out when scoring at this level going short, and he is capable of producing solid races around two turns.


#2 Levanto
No doubt he's the one to beat off the romp with similar last time out, but he has been running big races in short fields in recent starts and won't offer much of a price.


Race Summary
Torazo can get the right kind of spying trip with these, and the hope is that Levanto takes most of the cash and leaves this guy at a playable number on the board.


Mountaineer - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#8 Ry's Revenge
Worth a small look at a nice number, as he's perfect from two starts sprinting, and he draws well to track the pace from the outside.


#1 Fevola
Most likely winner should be very tough off the claim. The barn has been doing good work locally, and this guy is capable of some big things.


#4 Without Malice
Sharp speed probably won't have a completely hassle-free trip on the front end, but he's fast and has been competitive with similar in the past.


Race Summary
Ry's Revenge might be able to finish into the pace in this one, and his one-turn tries have both produced wins against cheap groups. His form isn't far off what it would take to win here.


Mountaineer - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#5 Appealing Yankee
The 2020 form so far doesn't suggest that he's getting back to any of those good 2019 tries, but I'll give him one more chance at another big price to see if he can pop with a big run.


#4 Seanshine
He has shown 43-and-change pace on the turf in the past, so he's definitely fast enough to keep up at this abbreviated quarter-mile trip. Interesting player at a square price.


#2 Keller's Gold
He and #8 Shadow Surprise both figure to take a bit of cash in here, and while they're both capable of winning this, the prices won't likely reflect their realistic chances of winning this.


Race Summary
Appealing Yankee is likely all or nothing in this spot, but a big price will make the gamble worth it to see if he still has any big ones left in him while dashing this short trip.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Northfield Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#3 MIKES MAJESTIC
Stayed flat in qualifier, gets class relief, fits well on best.


#2 GONNA FLY
Backed up as fave from second tier, switches to provisional driver.


#9 SUGAR TOP
Trotted evenly two back after 10 weeks away, broke stride in latest.


Race Summary
Mikes Majestic is 3-49 the last two years and went off stride in his last two starts, but he drops in class and can factor at an inflated price. Play 3-2 and 3-9 exactas.


Yonkers - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 WOODMERE HARRIET
Late foot between rivals, draws rail, big chance in here.


#4 PEPPERMINT MOCHA
Improved speed figure with first-time Lasix at the Meadowlands.


#5 UPTOWN CALLIE
Can make maximum use of her speed but won’t offer much value.


Race Summary
Woodmere Harriet saved ground and found her best stride too late between rivals. She must stay in closer contact from the rail in a pace-less race. Play a 1 with 4, 5 with ALL trifecta.


Yonkers - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#1 DIRTY SECRET
Solid first-over rally in faster division of split race, can handle class hike.


#4 JNR EXPRESS
Chased odds-on winner from post 8 through solid fractions before tiring.


#3 NEW HEAVEN
Stands 49/9-12-12 since 2019, had ‘strong finish’ for third last week.


Race Summary
Dirty Secret broke the single-file alignment in the third quarter and sustained his rally, though no match for the runaway favorite. He steps up in class but benefits from an inside draw. Play 1-3 and 1-4 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes



Finger Lakes - Race 3

EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 3-4) * PICK 3 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 3-4-5)



Allowance • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $21,650 • Post: 2:04P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 27 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. QUALITY STONES is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * QUALITY STONES: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. OUCH THAT HURT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). TAX ME NAUGH T: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RISKY ANALYSIS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the la st 30 days.



1

QUALITY STONES

4/1


3/1




3

OUCH THAT HURT

5/1


8/1




2

TAX ME NAUGHT

5/2


8/1




6

RISKY ANALYSIS

3/1


8/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

QUALITY STONES

1


4/1

Front-runner

79


76


89.1


70.4


68.4




2

TAX ME NAUGHT

2


5/2

Stalker

74


72


59.4


72.4


65.9




3

OUCH THAT HURT

3


5/1

Stalker

77


79


55.4


67.4


59.4




6

RISKY ANALYSIS

6


3/1

Stalker

80


69


48.6


69.4


62.9




5

FRENCH CRULLER

5


15/1

Trailer

56


55


9.2


55.2


43.7




7

CITIZEN MATZO

7


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

80


83


55.8


65.2


56.7




4

CHILLINWITHFRIENDS

4


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

57


50


55.3


50.0


37.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park



Mountaineer Park - Race 1

$2 Daily Double (Races 1-2) $2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box $1 Superfecta $.20 Box



Claiming $4,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $6,800 • Post: 7:00P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 27 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Stalker. KEEP GOING is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * QUETTA'S IN CHARGE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. VICTORIOUS BEAR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ROCKY ROSES: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. KEEP GOING: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



5

QUETTA'S IN CHARGE

4/1


9/2




8

VICTORIOUS BEAR

5/2


9/2




9

ROCKY ROSES

8/1


7/1




7

KEEP GOING

9/2


7/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




9

ROCKY ROSES

9


8/1

Front-runner

70


75


93.0


51.0


43.0




8

VICTORIOUS BEAR

8


5/2

Front-runner

76


70


92.0


55.6


50.6




2

BOSS ONTHE HORIZON

2


10/1

Front-runner

59


53


62.6


36.0


26.0




7

KEEP GOING

7


9/2

Stalker

73


72


51.0


60.2


50.7




5

QUETTA'S IN CHARGE

5


4/1

Trailer

71


65


50.4


64.6


60.6




4

AUSTIN RAY

4


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

75


57


63.6


45.2


36.7




1

LIL DEUCE COOP

1


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

63


53


48.0


16.9


2.9




3

EXPLOSIVE STORM

3


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

62


56


41.4


46.0


32.5




6

PURE MOMENT

6


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

63


54


33.6


42.0


25.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club AnalystsPURCHASE (https://www.equibase.com/premium/eebURLAddToCart.cfm?pid=50292&pfn=zia1027zm.htm&exp=10/29/2020&pds=ZIA_-_10/27/2020&var=RACE_DATE=10/27/2020;TRACK_CODE=ZIA&SAP=FREEPICS)



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Zia Park - Race #10 - Post: 4:03pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,500 Class Rating: 42

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 SQUALLSGHOSTMOVER (ML=5/1)


SQUALLSGHOSTMOVER - This gelding is back in a race very quick. This is a great angle - Sprinters that come back in less than 10 days after a race. A good sign of a sharp and ready racehorse. The Oct 20th affair at Zia Park was at a class level of (68). Dropping to a lower class rank a significant amount, so he should be in a good position to win.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 WHISPERING WIND (ML=7/2), #4 ELUSIVE ACCOUNTING (ML=4/1), #7 ROCKY PROSPECT (ML=9/2),

WHISPERING WIND - Don't believe this vulnerable equine has what it takes to be victorious this time. ELUSIVE ACCOUNTING - Will be tough for this entrant to beat this field off of that last speed fig. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put him on the vulnerable contenders list. ROCKY PROSPECT - No success for this questionable contender in a short distance race over the last couple of months tells me that this gelding is in a thorny circumstance






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#3 SQUALLSGHOSTMOVER is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

None



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - SA - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 89

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $16,000 OR LESS SINCE OCTOBER 27, 2018. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE SEPTEMBER 27 ALLOWED 2 LBS. IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 10 APPEALING WAY 15/1




# 4 NATIVE LION 12/1




# 12 LUNA FORTIS 6/5




APPEALING WAY looks to be a very strong contender and is a formidable value bet given the line. NATIVE LION - Vaunts sound speed figs on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group of animals. Granitz has a strong win percentage with horses running in turf route races. LUNA FORTIS - Must be given a shot based on the very strong speed figure put up in the last outing. Win percentage with this jock and conditioner combo - 19 percent - solid.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9800 Class Rating: 72

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 27 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 7 MR. MIKE 9/5




# 6 TOGIE 5/2




# 1 FIRST ANGEL 5/1




MR. MIKE is my choice. This gelding is a solid contender based on his earnings per start in dirt sprint events. Has decent Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. Is a strong contender based on figs put up lately under today's conditions. TOGIE - Has been running solidly lately and will almost certainly be up on the lead early on. Has competitive Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. FIRST ANGEL - The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Hamm running at this distance are the strongest in this group. Will probably compete quite well in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Parx Racing - Race #5 - Post: 2:43pm - Maiden Special - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $40,000 Class Rating: 61

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 EXCITABLE LADY (ML=7/2)


EXCITABLE LADY - This is a fairly classic handicapping angle. Play a thoroughbred that finished in the place spot in a maiden race last time out but finished well clear of the show horse. Sneaky speed on this one. She'll probably be stalking horses on the back side, then bury them down the stretch. Another way to judge class is (EPS) earnings per start. This horse has the highest in the field. I think she'll be close at the finish. This filly's last speed rating earned on October 6th is uppermost in last race Equibase speed figures.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 B B'S ROCKET (ML=4/1), #6 INFATUATING (ML=9/2), #2 SYSTEMATIC (ML=5/1),

B B'S ROCKET - Doesn't appear to be in a convenient spot this time out. INFATUATING - I don't like the case that front wraps were added on Oct 6th. SYSTEMATIC - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in sprint races in order to bet on her. That was just not a very good exhibition in the last affair.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - EXCITABLE LADY - My historical data shows that fillies often show signs of improvement 2nd time on Lasix. That's the case for this one, so I think she should run well today.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #3 EXCITABLE LADY on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

3 with [6,7]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

(Tue) MLB Rays

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Horses 10/27

Here's a couple from Finger Lakes

Race 4
#2 Choose Happiness $10 wps
$2 exacta box 2-4-8

Race 8
#2 Bustin Timberlake $10 wps
$2 exacta box 2-1-5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB public betting, line movement October 27
Patrick Everson

Corey Seager and the Dodgers look to finish off the Rays on Tuesday in Game 6 of the World Series. The SuperBook at Westgate opened Los Angeles a -140 favorite and set the total at 8.5.

MLB betting odds are on the board and already getting action for Tuesday night’s Game 6 of the World Series at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The Los Angeles Dodgers can claim their first championship since 1988 with a victory over the Tampa Bay Rays.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on MLB opening lines and early movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s Game 6 and the updated World Series odds.

MLB line movement

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET MONDAY: DraftKings opened Game 6 at Dodgers -155/Rays +130 and moved a few cents in just the past few minutes, to -148/+125. The total is stable at 8.

Clayton Kershaw pitched a solid 5 2/3 innings Sunday night, and Los Angeles earned a 4-2 victory to take a 3-2 lead over Tampa Bay in the best-of-seven World Series. The SuperBook quickly posted the Game 6 line at Dodgers -140/Rays +130, and there was no movement through late Sunday night.

The SuperBook opened the total at 8.5, and the only move Sunday night was a modest price adjustment to Under -115. First pitch is at 8:08 p.m. ET Tuesday.

MLB public betting

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET MONDAY: Early Game 6 action at DraftKings is tilted toward the underdog Rays, who are attracting 63 percent of moneyline bets and 74 percent of moneyline handle. There's more consensus on the total, with 69 percent of bets/80 percent of money on the Over.

Odds to win the World Series

Prior to Game 5, The SuperBook had the series price at Dodgers -200/Rays +175. Now, with Los Angeles one step away from the title, it’s up to Dodgers -650/Rays +475.

Behind the counter, SuperBook oddsmakers would much prefer this matchup get to Game 7 and, from there, Tampa Bay to win.

“The Rays are awesome for us,” SuperBook executive director John Murray said prior to Game 1. “We’re a small loser to the Dodgers.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

961TAMPA BAY -962 LA DODGERS
LA DODGERS are 23-13 SU (11.6 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 27

Tampa Bay @ LA Dodgers

Game 961-962
October 27, 2020 @ 8:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 17.501
LA Dodgers
(Gonsolin) 16.434
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-145
8
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+125); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 27

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (51 - 28) vs. LA DODGERS (55 - 22) - 8:08 PM
BLAKE SNELL (L) vs. TONY GONSOLIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 51-28 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 26-11 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 35-19 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 39-16 (+19.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 23-10 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SNELL is 25-12 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 149-154 (-35.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 3-2 (+0.1 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

BLAKE SNELL vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
SNELL is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

TONY GONSOLIN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GONSOLIN is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.77 and a WHIP of 1.504.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Tuesday, October 27

World Series

Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles (LA leads 3-2) (@ Arlington)
Snell is 2-2, 3.33 in his last five starts; he didn’t finish 5th inning in his last two.
— Rays are 10-6 in his starts this year.
— Over is 3-1 in his last four starts.
— Snell allowed two runs in 4.2 IP (88 PT) in Game 2 vs LA.
— He is 2-3, 3.03 in eight postseason games (6 starts).

— Tampa Bay lost six of its last nine games.
— Rays are 51-28 this season.
— Under is 9-5 in their last 14 games.
— Tampa Bay lost its only previous World Series, in 2008.

Gonsolin appears to be starting for LA, so its a bullpen game.

— Dodgers are 55-22 this year; they’ve won six of last eight games.
— Dodgers are in playoffs for the 8th year in a row.
— LA is 34-13 away from home this season.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— Dodgers haven’t won World Series since 1988; they lost World Series in 2017-18.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Tuesday, October 27

Trend Report

Tampa Bay @ LA Dodgers
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game 6 Odds: Rays vs. Dodgers
Tom Wilkinson

After four straight high-scoring games that went over the total to start the World Series, the Los Angeles Dodgers and Tampa Bay Rays played their first game to go under the total on Sunday night.

It didn’t look like Game 5 would go under after their were five runs scored in the first three innings, but both bullpens were spectacular and combined to allow just five baserunners and no earned runs in 7.1 innings of work.

A day off on Monday means that both bullpens should be fully loaded once more for a decisive Game 6 on Tuesday, October 27.

Betting Resources

Matchup: World Series Game 6
Venue: Globe Life Field
Location: Arlington, Texas
Date: Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2020
Time: 8:08 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Line Movements

Money-Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -140 / Tampa Bay Rays +130
Run-Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+140) / Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (-160)
Total: 8 (Over -120, Under +100)
Updated Series Price: Los Angeles -650, Tampa Bay +475

The L.A. Dodgers will start Tony Gonsolin in Game 6 but a committee approach is expected to be used on Tuesday. (AP)

Game 5 Recap

Tyler Glasnow struggled with his control again in Game 5. Glasnow threw 102 pitches in five innings, allowing all of the Dodgers’ runs in a 4-2 loss for the Rays.

The Dodgers only had six hits, but they made them count as Joc Pederson and Max Muncy both hit solo home runs in the win.

Meanwhile, Clayton Kershaw pitched well for the Dodgers. He allowed seven baserunners in 5.2 innings of work, but he only allowed two runs to pick up his second win of the World Series.

After watching the 'over' cash in the first four games of the World Series, we finally saw an 'under' ticket cash in Game 5.

The game was actually on a good pace to lean to the high side as Los Angeles led 4-2 after five innings, but the bullpens showed up late and neither team scored in the final four innings.

The 'over' is 5-0 in first-five inning wagers in the World Series.

Los Angeles did cash on the run-line again, going 3-0 when it wins in the series.

Starting Pitchers

Blake Snell
Tony Gonsolin

Manager Kevin Cash will ask Blake Snell to lead Tampa Bay to a victory in Game 6. Snell was in good form when he started for the Rays in Game 2, striking out nine batters in 4.2 innings of hitless baseball. However, he couldn’t get out of the fifth inning. After putting away the first two batters, Snell went walk, home run, walk, single before being pulled in favor of Nick Anderson.

The fifth inning has been a constant source of disappointment for Snell in the postseason. He has not made it to the sixth inning in any of his last four starts, allowing nine baserunners, six earned runs, and three home runs in the fifth inning. Generally, Snell pitches well until the fifth inning, so Cash might jump the gun and use his starter for four innings before turning to the bullpen for the last five frames.

The Dodgers will match Snell against Tony Gonsolin, just like they did in Game 2.

L.A. manager Dave Roberts used Gonsolin as an opener in that game, but he could go deeper this time around. Gonsolin pitched just 1.1 innings last week before handing the ball off.

That was Gonsolin’s shortest outing of the postseason. He hasn’t looked great though, allowing five earned runs in 4.1 innings against Atlanta in Game 2 of the NLCS and two earned runs in two innings of work in Game 7 of that series. Gonsolin was much better during the regular season, posting a 2.31 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP in 46.2 innings of action.

Game 6 Bullpen Analysis

We didn’t see Nick Anderson or Pete Fairbanks for Tampa Bay in Game 5, so one of those two relievers is likely to be the first out of the pen. Cash told reporters that he planned on being aggressive with his bullpen on Tuesday, and that probably means he will yank Snell if he gets in too much trouble early.

Anderson, Fairbanks, and Diego Castillo might all be used for more than an inning since they are the three best arms, and there is no tomorrow for the Rays if they lose Game 6.

Dustin May might be the only Dodgers’ reliever that will be unavailable in Game 6. May threw 30 pitches in Game 5, so he is likely to get some additional rest along with the day off on Monday.

If the Dodgers have a narrow lead, it will be interesting to see what Roberts decides to do in the final innings. He wants to trust Kenley Jansen, but the long-time reliever has been a mess in his two World Series appearances.

Players to Watch - Rays

If it wasn’t for Randy Arozarena, the Rays never would have reached the World Series. Almost every hitter has struggled on this roster outside of Arozarena.

He has set numerous postseason records, and he just broke another on Sunday with his 27th hit of the 2020 playoffs. The Dodgers have not elected to pitch around him just yet, but he has reached base 10 times and has two home runs in this series.

Will anybody else step up?

Tampa Bay’s entire infield has struggled from the plate.

Brandon Lowe, Willy Adames, and Joey Wendle are all hitting .200 or less than postseason, and all three players don’t have an OPS above .540. That has really limited the Rays’ run production, so at least one player out of this group needs to have a big performance in Game 6.

Players to Watch - Dodgers

Mookie Betts only has five hits in the World Series, but he has made his presence felt. Betts is a constant threat to steal whenever he gets on base, and he has played excellent defense in the outfield.

We have seen him take more walks in the postseason than he did in the regular season too, allowing the Dodgers’ power hitters to have the potential to make an even bigger impact.

Max Muncy doesn’t have the same recognition as other stars on the Dodgers, but he has been fantastic in the World Series. He has reached base a whopping 12 times, drawing a walk in every game. Muncy has made excellent contact, striking out to Tampa Bay pitchers just three times, and he has the same number of walks and K’s this postseason.

The World Series MVP favorite continues to be Corey Seager. Seager mashed once again in Game 5, and he now has eight hits and five walks against the Rays. This has been a breakout postseason for the shortstop, as he never posted a batting average higher than .237 or an OPS above .743 in his previous four postseasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY: LA Dodgers/Tampa Bay UNDER the total of 8 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Easy Money Sports Lee's Free Tuesday Selection Is

TAMPA BAY w/Snell +120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Tuesday: TAMPA BAY/LA DODGERS UNDER the total of 8 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Oct 27 '20, 8:08 PM in 2h
MLB | Rays vs Dodgers
Play on: Rays +126 at William Hill

1* on Rays +126

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA Oct 27 '20, 8:08 PM in 2h
MLB | TAM vs LAD
Play on: UNDER 8½ -115

ASA FREE PLAY ON: UNDER 8 or 8.5 - Los Angeles Dodgers versus Tampa Bay Rays, Tuesday at 8:08 PM ET - The Rays have lost 3 games in this post season and have scored an average of 2.3 runs in those 3 defeats. Overall, other than the crazy 8-7 win in Game 4, the Rays have scored an average of only 3.3 runs in the other 4 games in this series. If the Rays win tonight it will be likely be on the strength of the arm of Blake Snell. He held the Dodgers to just 2 hits while striking out 9 in his start in Game 2 of this series. Though this has been a high-scoring World Series with Game 5 being the first under, the fact is that Game 3 only went over because of a late 2-out solo homer in the bottom of the 9th. Overall, there have been a lot of 2-out RBI's in this series but now, in an elimination game, don't be surprised if runs are even harder to come by. Snell pitches very well here in our opinion but will he and the Rays bullpen outduel Tony Gonsolin and the Dodgers bullpen in this one? Don't miss our HUGE 10* Top Game (THE MLB GAME OF THE YEAR) going tonight to find out the answer to that! FREE PLAY UNDER 8 or 8.5 in Los Angeles Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns Oct 27 '20, 8:08 PM in 2h
MLB | TAM vs LAD
Play on: UNDER 8½ -115

After the first four games produced 44 runs, Game 5 saw only six runs scored. Both Snell and Gonsolin are more than capable of coming through and with both bullpens having gotten a chance to recharge their batteries, due to yesterday's off day, I won't be surprised to see another relatively low-scoring affair. Consider the Under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy Oct 27 '20, 8:08 PM in 2h
MLB | Rays vs Dodgers
Play on: Rays +1½ -151 at pinnacle

Tuesday MLB Free play. My selection is on Tampa Bay +1.5 runs over Los Angeles at 8:08 pm et on Tuesday.
I'll take a flyer on the Rays with an insurance run on Tuesday night as this series certainly has the feel of one poised to go the distance. Down 3-2 in the series, the Rays have essentially been tripped up by a red hot Clayton Kershaw. Apart from that, they've been right there with the Boys in Blue every step of the way. They do have an edge on the mound tonight with former Cy Young winner Blake Snell going up against Tony Gonsolin. When the Dodgers last sent Gonsolin to the hill in Game 2 it almost seemed as if it was a throwaway game as he was pulled from the game in short order and they ultimately fell by a 6-4 score. Here, with a World Series title hanging in the balance, L.A. will certainly pull out all the stops, but I'm comfortable grabbing an insurance run (at a reasonable price) with the Rays. Take Tampa Bay +1.5 runs (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Oct 27 '20, 10:00 PM in 4h
Soccer | Seattle Sounders FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Play on: Seattle Sounders FC -150 at Mirage

1* Free Sharp Play on Seattle Sounders FC -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Oct 27 '20, 10:00 PM in 4h
Soccer | Seattle Sounders FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Play on: Seattle Sounders FC -150 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on Seattle Sounders FC -150