Thursday 11/5/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

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Al Cimaglia:

November 5, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia

Race 4

2-
3-
9-

Race 5

1-
3-
4-
6-

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Charles Town - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#6 El Sangru
Aqu invader has been facing eons better, and while being eased last time is no great shakes, he's been working well here; can surprise.


#1 Ragtime Cowboy Joe
MSW dropper will be bet hard but hasn't threatened the winner in three straight, and that last no-show wasn't pretty; backwheel time.


#2 Goofy Boy
Stalker has had his chances and is now 0-for-11, so while he fits on paper, he usually finds one or two better; using underneath only.


Race Summary
Make sure you get some value on the 6, since he has some serious questions attached, but if he's close to that 8-1 ML you can give him a look in all the slots, and in the early Pk4 as well, since he's the class here, and if he can find his best, the rest of these are in deep, deep water.


Charles Town - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#2 Cruz in the Castle
MSW dropper was showing speed at that level too, which can be potent when they get some relief, as this is the biggest drop in racing; look out.


#2 Cheese Louise
The chalk dueled with the pick last time and beat her 1 1/2 lengths, but she doesn't have the upside, will be overbet, and drew poorly; trying to beat.


#1 Whose That Lady
Logical sort was just a 3rd at the level, and with the top two showing some speed, she'll trip out, though she may still be outclassed; mixed signals.


Race Summary
The price will be right on the 2, and the drop in class will be too, and she still has some upside as well, so play her in all the slots, and especially to end the early Pk4,and kick off the Pk5 as well, as value abounds, and a win might play longer than her post odds indicate.


Charles Town - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#1 Dean Verdile
FL invader has some speed and a hint of a rating gear too, has been in very sharp form of late, and won't be favored; love his chances here.


#3 Spokane Eagle
The chalk didn't run an inch on turf but has the best dirt form, though he's no longer with Pino (19%), and Jones (8%) isn't as sharp; not sold on.


#6 Union Grace
Class dropper did well to draw outside the speed and should offer value, but he's another who isn't in as sharp a barn anyone; underneath only.


Race Summary
That 4-1 ML on the pick seems mighty juicy, as there's not much here and he has been firing right along, so play him aggressively to win and place, and key him in the Pk5, and late Pk4 as well, as he looks primed against a group of locals there for the taking.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Laurel Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#2 Met in Miami
Just missed in the career debut, and she can probably prove a bit more tactical today while working with some added ground.


#4 Guns Blazing
Spying type caught a nice winner last out, but she took a good step forward in that second start and is competitive here with any additional improvement.


#3 Cajole
Showed a touch of talent in the debut run behind a runaway winner before taking a big step back around two turns last out. Interesting here at a better price.


Race Summary
Met in Miami looks tough with these, but I wouldn't want to take too short a price there with a couple other perfectly capable runners listed above, too.


Laurel Park - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#10 Little Lion Girl
She was just 14-1 with Maryland-bred stakes company on the lawn, so not sure she's offering the 12/1 ML price here with this allowance bunch, but her two turf tries stack up well.


#8 Gale
Tough call. She steps up off two really nice efforts on the turf, including that blowout win last out, but she's almost surely overbet while taking on a better group today.


#9 My Candy Girl
Has put things together since adding blinkers for the new connections, but this is a deeper spot than she has seen of late, and she may not offer a fair price.


Race Summary
Little Lion Girl would be playable at something shorter than her 12/1 ML price, as she has turned in two decent turf races in her short career and now goes third off the long layoff.


Laurel Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#3 Amanite
Won easily in the maiden score locally going on turn on the main, so the move back to the main track isn't a big worry after a couple of turf tries.


#1 Bobby's Goldengirl
Forward player will have to work out a trip from the rail but her recent form stacks up nicely with these. Underlay?


#2 Sarah's Treasure
Recent form is dreadful, but she's not too far removed from some tries that might land her a piece underneath with this bunch.


Race Summary
Amanite can get the right kind of spying trip with these, and she is capable of something better than what she has shown in those last two starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#7 MYIDEALSON N
Better than latest looks on paper, steps up, taken to repeat.


#1 AN THE THUNDEROLLS
Can make good use of his speed from the rail for new connections.


#2 DUCKIES DYNASTY
Took money, loomed off dueling leaders, settled for third.


Race Summary
Myidealson N wore down the odds-on favorite, then held off trip-sitting Duckies Dynasty, earning a playback on the class rise. Play a 1-2-7 exacta box.


Dover Downs - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#3 WHATS HIS IS MINE
Winless awhile but projects good trip for 24-percent barn.


#4 NORTHWEST YANKEE
Even-paced against better, has best numbers, one to beat.


#8 SKYWAY GLADIATOR
Rode rail throughout, got up for second behind 1-to-5 winner.


Race Summary
Whats His Is Mine, first or second in 16 of 37 starts since 2019, chased the favorite around the track two starts back at Harrington and figures close-up in this field. Play 3-2, 3-4 and 3-8 exactas.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#6 ZARCONIA SEELSTER
Rallied wide after pace slowed against many of same rivals.


#2 ROBOMOTION BLUECHIP
Tracked the faves in third, angled out, lacked late kick.


#7 KIT
Parlayed pocket trip into first victory in 18 starts this year.


Race Summary
Zarconia Seelster rallied into a slow 1:00.3 middle half and gobbled up ground on pocket-sitting winner Kit and pace-controller Kounnis while 4-wide in the stretch. The race could play out the same way, but at least she offers betting value. Play 6-2 and 6-7 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park West - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#5 Simple Story
Was fourth in a tougher sprint over this track last time in his first off the claim for Delgado and is bred to run long on the front end.


#1 Beasaichi
Drops in price after a second-place finish, stretches out to two turns and should be part of the pace.


#7 Matraca
Had mild closing moves in sprints and could enjoy the additional distance here under Lopez.


Race Summary
Simply Story likely will take command and should be able to stretch her speed out to the mile distance.


Gulfstream Park West - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#3 Cat's Astray
Caught an off-the-turf sprint last time and went gate to wire; has good turf races to her credit and fits nicely here.


#5 Sanity
Closed well for second at Monmouth and has been in good races; was a winner at Belmont three races back.


#6 Allende
Ran off to long leads in both starts and lasted in her latest; takes her first chance at the turf and has the speed to be a factor.


Race Summary
Cat's Astray can run on turf and dirt and will stay in if this comes off the grass, much like she did with success last time.


Gulfstream Park West - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#1 Glory of Florida
Was a well-beaten third last time and takes a drop in claiming price; has done some good on this circuit and should be the one to outrun.


#2 Turn On the Magic
Tired in a stakes race last out and has the speed to be in the mix from the outset.


#6 Prince James
Improved position to second last out and a similar effort here will make a serious player in the run to the wire.


Race Summary
Glory of Florida has the experience and class to be effective in this spot; rates the edge against these mostly younger rivals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nick Borrman

Event: Jordan Spieth at Cameron Davis

Sport/League: GLF

Date/Time: November 5, 2020 7AM EST

Play: Cameron Davis -105

Houston Open

Tournament Matchup

Each week should just be as simple as fade Spieth in a Tournament Matchup play and don't even think about it. The former World #1 has been in a free fall for quite some time now. His biggest downfall has been Off the Tee where he ranked #165 on Tour last year and so far this season has not shown any sort of improvement at #218 while also coming in at #233 in Approach.

In his last five starts, he has all three cuts in which there was a cut as his last two starts at The CJ Cup and The Zozo Championship were limited field events, but he most likely would have missed the cut had there have been one. He also finished in the bottom 6 of those that made the cut in two starts before his last five.

Cameron Davis has been consistent as of late, making seven straight cuts including three Top 15's. So far this season he ranks #33 on Tour in SG Off the Tee, #42 in Total SG, #45 in scoring avg while ranking #21 in Distance

TAKE CAMERON DAVIS OVER JORDAN SPIETH

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan

Event: (224473) Maccabi Tel Aviv at (224474) Villarreal

Sport/League: SOC

Date/Time: November 5, 2020 3PM EST

Play: Total Under 2.75 (-105)

PLAY: UNDER 2.75

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Recap - Week 8
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

https://www.bettorschat.com/forums/attachment.php?attachmentid=10426&d=1604323776

The largest underdogs to win straight up

Bengals (+7, ML +260) vs. Titans, 31-20
Vikings (+6, ML +220) at Packers, 28-22
Steelers (+4, ML +175) at Ravens, 28-24
Dolphins (+3.5, ML +155) vs. Rams, 28-17
Broncos (+3, ML +130) vs. Chargers, 31-30

The largest favorites to cover

Chiefs (-19.5) vs. Jets, 35-9
Eagles (-10) vs. Cowboys, 23-9
Colts (-3.5) at Lions, 41-21

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week

The Los Angeles Chargers-Denver Broncos AFC West rivalry has had some amazing finishes over the years. The first installment of this season's series surely didn't disappoint...unless you were holding a Chargers (-3) ticket or a moneyline wager.

QB Justin Herbert and the Chargers fired out to a 24-3 lead midway through the third quarter before Broncos RB Phillip Lindsay galloped for a 55-yard touchdown run to slice the lead to 24-10. Still, anyone backing the Bolts, was feeling pretty good. That Lindsay TD certainly changed the day almost immediately for 'under' (44.5) bettors. It got much worse for the latter - quick.

In the fourth quarter, the Broncos sliced the lead to 24-17 with a nine-yard touchdown pass from QB Drew Lock to TE Albert Okwuegbunam. The Chargers answered back with a field goal with 7:57 to go, making it 27-17. Under bettors couldn't allow another point, but that was quickly dashed just 27 seconds later when Lock hit WR DaeSean Hamilton for a 40-yard scoring strike. Suddenly, Bolts side bettors were feeling the pinch, too. PK Michael Badgley booted a 33-yard field with 2:30 left in regulation to give Chargers side bettors hope. However, rookie WR KJ Hamler reeled in a 1-yard scoring strike from Lock with zeroes on the clock, and the extra point won it for Denver, 31-30. The only time Denver had been ahead was 3-0. Moneyline bettors and side bettors are feeling awfully sick after this one.

The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II

The San Francisco 49ers-Seattle Seahawks game was well decided by the end of the third quarter. The Seahawks (-1) were leading 27-7 after 45 minutes, and it appeared side bettors were going to cruise to a winning ticket. The Seahawks added a field goal to go up 30-7 with 14:07 to go in the fourth quarter. However, a pair of touchdowns cut the lead to 30-20 with 4:16 left in regulation. RB DeeJay Dallas punched in a 1-yard touchdown to make it 37-20, putting side bettors minds at ease. However, that touchdown ended up pushing the total 'over' (54.5). The game ended up with a total of 64 points, but there was 30 total points in the final 14:07.

Total Recall

The lowest totals on the board on the Sunday slate were the New England Patriots-Buffalo Bills (41) and the New Orleans Saints-Chicago Bears (41) contests.

The Patriots-Bills game had a total of just 13 points on the board at halftime, and the 'under' was easily trending after 30 minutes. There were a total of just 20 points on the board until a touchdown and two-point conversion by the Pats with 3:03 to go in the third quarter to make it 14-14. A pair of two-yard touchdown runs by each of the quarterbacks made it a 21-21 game, and barring overtime, and a scoreless one at that, the 'over' was in the bag. And a PK Tyler Bass 28-yard field goal with 4:06 left in regulation gave the home side the 24-21 win. No overtime needed.

The Saints-Bears matchup was a field goal fest through 45 minutes. We had just two total touchdowns on the board with five field goals through 45 minutes, as the Saints clinged to a 16-13 lead. 'Under' bettors were hanging on, with New Orleans leading 23-13 with just under four minutes to go. But QB Nick Foles hit WR Darnell Mooney on a 3-yard scoring strike to make it 23-20. That was all total bettors needed to see.

The highest number on the board was the 49ers-Seahawks game (54.5), and we touched on how that one ended up above. We also had three games with a total of 49. The Indianapolis Colts-Detroit Lions, New York Jets-Kansas City Chiefs and Tennessee Titans-Cincinnati Bengals saw the 'over' cash in two of those three outings. The Chiefs did their part to hit the 'over', scoring 35 points, but the Jets could muster just nine total points in the loss.

In the first two primetime games of Week 8, the under went 2-0, with the Monday night game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New York Giants pending. The Atlanta Falcons-Carolina Panthers (52) gave was on pace for an 'over' result, with 30 points on the board at half time. But we saw two field goals and a touchdown with a failed two-point conversion in the final 30 minutes, and that was all. The Dallas Cowboys-Philadelphia Eagles (43) Sunday night affair looked more like a preseason game. It was ugly. Third-string QB Ben DiNucci made his first NFL start in place of the injured QBs Dak Prescott and Andy Dalton, and the visitors actually held a 9-7 lead at halftime. It was all Philly in the final 30, scoring a touchdown, two-point conversion, a touchdown and missed two-point conversion and a safety, while the Cowboys were blanked. Philadelphia won it 23-9, and the 'over' was never threatened at any point.

So far this season the under is 16-9 (64.0%) across 25 primetime games. In 2019, the 'under' went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.

Looking Ahead to Week 9

Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

The Packers are licking their wounds after a 28-22 at home against the Vikings, head coach Matt LaFleur's first loss in the NFC North Division since taking over before the 2019 season (8-1). Now, it's a quick turnaround for QB Aaron Rodgers and the boys, and they might be catching a break. While the 49ers had a spirited comeback in Seattle, it might have come with a cost. QB Jimmy Garoppolo (ankle) limped to the locker room early in the fourth quarter, replaced by QB Nick Mullens, while the team also saw RB Tevin Coleman, WR Dante Pettis and TE George Kittle leave the game for good. It's uncertain how much the lopsided score at the time played in their leaving, whether it was a precaution with a lopsided score and quick turnaround, or if the injuries are serious. The Niners are a difficult bunch to figure, as they won as home 'dogs against the Rams in Week 7, but lost as home favorites against the Eagles and Dolphins in Weeks 4-5.They're 1-3 SU/ATS in four games at Levi's Stadium, including 0-3 ATS as a home favorite. The Packers are 3-1 SU/ATS in four games on the road this season.

New York Giants at Washington Football Team (Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET)

The Giants picked up their only victory of the season in a 20-19 win over the Washington Football Team in Week 6 as two-point favorites, failing to cover. The 'under' hit in that one, and is 5-2 in seven games overall for Big Blue. For Washington, they had their most complete game of the season before the bye, roughing up the Dallas Cowboys by a 25-3 score in Week 7 as a one-point underdog. The 'under' hit in that one, too, and is a perfect 3-0 for Washington over the past three.

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET)

The Raiders won 16-6 in the wind and occasional snow on the shores of Lake Erie in Cleveland, hitting a rare 'under' result. The Raiders were the only team in the AFC yet to see an under, going 5-0-1 prior to Sunday. It's uncertain what happened to the Chargers defense, but it's not good. After a 3-0 'under' run to start the season, with the offense averaging 17.3 PPG and the defense allowing 19.0 PPG, we have seen the offense score 31, 27, 39 and 30 across the past four, while allowing 38, 30, 29 and 31. It's like a tale of two seasons for the Chargers. Herbert and the offense is growing into a formidable force, but the defense suddenly doesn't feel it has to be perfect and has been way more giving.

New England Patriots at New York Jets (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)

The Patriots head into this Monday night affair with a 2-5 SU record. That's shocking, as they are now 3 1/2 games back of the first-place Bills, who just edged them 24-21 in Week 8 in windy Buffalo. QB Cam Newton was a little better, but still not good enough, and now the heat will get turned up even more on his seat. Some fans are calling for QB Jarrett Stidham to get the starting nod for the MNF game, and what better place than facing the lowly Jets. On a positive note, the Patriots did cover for the first time since Sept. 28, snapping an 0-3 ATS skid. And the 'over' result against the Bills also pumped the brakes on a 3-0 'under' run. The winless Jets were 19.5-point underdogs on the road against the Chiefs, but they hung in there, down just 21-9 at halftime, and 28-9 after three quarters. But they were unable to hang on for the cover. The 'under' did connect for the fourth straight game for Gang Green, as they have scored 10, 0, 10 and 9 across the past four games, or an average of 7.3 PPG.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL odds Week 9: Opening lines, sharp money & line movement
Patrick Everson

Drew Brees and the Saints barely escaped Chicago with a 26-23 overtime victory against the Bears. Next up for New Orleans is a trip to Tampa Bay, where The SuperBook has the Buccaneers -4.5.

NFL Week 8 is just about in the rearview mirror, with NFL Week 9 odds on the betting board and already getting some action. The Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers collide under the Thursday night lights, and the Sunday nighter pits the New Orleans Saints against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The SuperBook at Westgate's John Murray provided insights on NFL Week 9 opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting.

NFL Week 9 odds

These are the current NFL Week 9 odds, as of November 1.

https://www.bettorschat.com/forums/attachment.php?attachmentid=10427&d=1604324149

Teams on bye: Los Angeles Rams, Philadelphia Eagles, Cleveland Browns, Cincinnati Bengals

Packers at 49ers odds
Opening line
49ers +2.5, Over/Under 50.5

Why the line moved
"We opened Packers -2.5 and are still there," Murray said Sunday night. "The public will be all over the Packers here. They’ll fall in love with the cheap road favorite, especially after seeing the 49ers get rolled today." Indeed, San Francisco went to Seattle as a 1-point underdog and trailed 30-7 in the fourth quarter, though the Niners rallied to make it respectable in a 37-27 loss.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hot & Not Report - Week 9
Matt Blunt

NFL Week 9 Betting Angles

Fading NFL teams before a Thursday Night Football game is the gift that just keeps on giving, as both the Packers and 49ers fell rather easily this past week to the Vikings and Seahawks respectively.

Fading these teams pre-TNF on the outright money line is now 12-2 SU (85.7%) thanks to those wins by Minnesota and Seattle, and next up this week it calls for outright plays against the Colts and Titans, who are slated for a TNF game in Week 10.

And one more thing before I forget to comment on the Seahawks, as they benefited from being on the right side of that angle thanks to their defense actually deciding to play some defense for the first three quarters of that win.

Quarterback Russell Wilson continues to be the favorite for the MVP award as he and wide receiver DK Metcalf continue to carry this team, Seattle fans might want to tell Metcalf he might not want to campaign so hard for Wilson to win the league's Most Valuable Player award this season.

The NFL has not seen a league MVP go on to win the Super Bowl in their MVP season this century (20 years), as the last to do it was Kurt Warner with the Rams in 1999. Individual awards are always nice, but the goal every year is to hoist that Lombardi Trophy and working against that type of history is quite the uphill climb.

(Also, if you do believe Wilson will win the MVP this year, Seattle futures tickets may not be the best idea right now).

This week the hot and cold streaks shift to non-conference affairs as there are six of them on tap in Week 9 and there are some interesting runs going on in these AFC/NFC games. Heck, we've even got the Seattle Seahawks involved in one of them as well.

Let's get to it:

Who's Hot

Since the start of Week 4, road teams in non-conference games are 13-4 SU and 13-3-1 ATS

This is something I sat on last week as there were only two non-conference games on the slate, and road teams ended up going 1-1 SU and ATS with the Colts winning in Detroit, and the Rams losing in Miami.

But Week 7 saw all three road teams in non-conference games get the SU and ATS money (Green Bay over Houston, Tampa over Las Vegas, and SF over New England) as it just continued on down the path it had started weeks prior.

It is interesting to note that the LA Chargers have had a unique role in this non-conference run, as they covered the spread in both of their opportunities – vs Tampa Bay and New Orleans – and had they not done Chargers things in those games, the SU record could actually be much better for road teams here.

Who Do You Follow?

Broncos
Seahawks
Panthers
Bears
Dolphins
Steelers

Week 9 brings us the following non-conference games: Denver (+4) at Atlanta, Seattle (-2.5) at Buffalo, Carolina (+12) at Kansas City, Chicago (+6) at Tennessee, Miami (+4.5) at Arizona, and Pittsburgh (no line) at Dallas.

Among those contests are some interesting betting opportunities, as once again in these Hot/Not pieces we've found yet another reason to fade the Dallas Cowboys. I got up on Monday morning actually a little baffled at all the negative reaction to that Cowboys/Eagles game on SNF for how bad it was.

It wasn't the fact that the game turned out to be awful that was baffling, it was the fact that everyone complaining about it being a garbage dump of a game couldn't see it coming beforehand. I tried to warn you all about it in my SNF preview, but to each his own.

Who knows how high that line for the Steelers – the league's last remaining unbeaten – gets against the Cowboys this week, but if bettors needed yet another reason to fade what's going on in Jerry World, this would be it.

Having Carolina and Atlanta involved in two non-conference games off their TNF game is interesting as well given they do have the extra rest angle in their favor. Following this run would suggest backing the Panthers and going against the Falcons, but in both cases it's always better to do a lot more digging before you settle in on any play.

In terms of favorites/underdogs, there isn't as big of a discrepancy as the road/home splits for these recent non-conference games, as underdogs are 9-7-1 ATS against the closing line in that span.

Just another thing to keep in mind if there is some hesitance to back the Seahawks or Steelers simply because they are the favorites.

Who's Not

Expecting lower point totals in these non-conference games; Since the start of Week 4, non-conference games have averaged 55.29 points per game

Outlining things this way helps differentiate from the overall O/U record which sits at 10-7 O/U for the 17 non-conference games during this time.

Some of those 'unders' did stay low by the hook or a single point though, which makes the fact that the average point total in these games much more actionable.

Furthermore, only two of those 17 games finished with less than 45 total points scored, as they were the Colts/Bears game (30 total points) and Cardinals/Jets game (40 total points) in recent weeks.

The offenses the Jets and Bears possess right now are so bad that taking any 'over' with them is tough to begin with.

Chicago is involved again in this scenario this week, but they do face a Titans team that gives up 61.86% 3rd down conversion rate this year (a league worst this year and one of the worst numbers we've seen in decades), so who knows, maybe Chicago's offense ends up looking competent this week.

But with 15 of the 17 recent AFC/NFC games seeing at least 45 combined points, and 11 of the 17 games finishing with at least 54 points, it's this average of 55.29 points per game that could be critical this week.

Not one total in the five non-conference games with a line posted have a total currently listed higher than 53.5 (Seattle/Buffalo), and prior to the Miami/Arizona game coming off the board here, three of the five games had posted totals still in the 40's.

Now pairing up these two runs (road teams + high scoring games) to look at going 'over' the team totals of these road squads is something I didn't look at specifically, but it goes to reason that going that route would make a lot of sense.

So if you are looking for 'overs' in Week 9, in any form, it would make some sense to start with these non-conference games first to see what else you can find.

Play the Over Where?

Denver-Atlanta (50)
Seattle-Buffalo (54.5)
Carolina-Kansas City (52.5)
Chicago-Tennessee (46.5)
Miami-Arizona (48)
Pittsburgh-Dallas (NA)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

301GREEN BAY -302 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against teams who force 0.75 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 9

Thursday, November 5

Green Bay @ San Francisco

Game 301-302
November 5, 2020 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
137.383
San Francisco
128.451
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 9
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 2 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(-2 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 9

Thursday, November 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GREEN BAY (5 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 4) - 11/5/2020, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 202-148 ATS (+39.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-1 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 9

Trend Report

Thursday, November 5

Green Bay @ San Francisco
Green Bay
Green Bay is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
Green Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
San Francisco
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 9

Packers (5-2) @ San Francisco (4-4)
— Green Bay lost two of last three games, after a 4-0 start.
— Packers scored 30+ points in their wins; 10-22 points in losses.
— Green Bay converted 42-85 third down plays (49.4%)
— Packers are 7-8 ATS in last 15 games as a road favorite.
— Last four Green Bay games stayed under the total.

— Mullens gets start at QB, replacing injured Garoppolo (ankle).
— 49ers allowed 16 or fewer points in their wins, 24-25-43-37 in their losses.
— 49ers lost three of their four home games SU.
— Three of their four home games stayed under the total.
— 49ers are 8-10 ATS in last 18 games as a home underdog.

— 49ers won six of last eight series games; they beat Green Bay 37-20 in LY’s playoffs.
— Packers lost four of last five visits here; they lost 37-8/37-20 here LY.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

49ers’ quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo is expected to be sidelined a minimum of six weeks after he sprained his ankle Sunday. Nick Mullens is expected to replace Garoppolo under center for Thursday’s game with Green Bay.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Week 9 Injuries, Weather
Patrick Everson

For the second time this season, 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo will be sidelined by a high ankle sprain, missing Thursday's home game against the Packers and perhaps several more.

NFL Week 8 is in the books, NFL Week 9 odds are on the board, and several betting factors are already in play. That includes the typical injury news, which is actually becoming far too typical for the defending NFC champion San Francisco 49ers.

This week’s NFL Cheat Sheet serves as one-stop shopping for that information and more.

Week 9 Injuries

San Francisco 49ers: Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo aggravated a high ankle sprain in Sunday’s loss at Seattle and could be out several weeks. And tight end George Kittle broke a bone in his foot and is also out several weeks. That’s on top of running backs Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson Jr. both on IR with ankle injuries, among other key banged-up players.

The SuperBook at Westgate opened San Fran +2.5 at home against Green Bay in the Thursday night game. But the matchup was taken off the board Monday morning and will go back up once there’s more clarity with both teams, as Green Bay has issues, too.

Green Bay Packers: Backup running back AJ Dillon, who played in Sunday’s home loss to Minnesota, tested positive for COVID-19 and is under the league’s COVID protocol. The Dillon news is what first prompted The SuperBook to take the Packers-Niners game off the board, and then came the aforementioned San Francisco injury news. The game opened Packers -2.5, with a total of 50.5 that moved to 51 Monday morning, before the game was taken down.

Baltimore Ravens: Speaking of COVID, cornerback Marlon Humphrey tested positive Monday after playing in Sunday’s home loss to Pittsburgh. The SuperBook opened the Ravens -2.5 and quickly moved to -3 Sunday evening, while the total went from 45 to 44.5. But this game also came off the board Monday, while the book awaited clarity on Baltimore’s situation.

Arizona Cardinals: The Cards had a bye in Week 8, and over the weekend, linebacker Devon Kennard and cornerback Byron Murphy Jr. tested positive for COVID. So yet another game came off the board Monday at The SuperBook, Arizona’s Sunday matchup against visiting Miami. Prior to that decision, the game opened Cardinals -5.5 and moved to -4.5, while the total was stable at 48.

Los Angeles Chargers: Defensive end Joey Bosa is in concussion protocol after getting injured in Sunday’s loss at Denver, so his status is uncertain for this week’s home game against the Raiders. The Chargers opened -3 and quickly dropped to -1.5, though SuperBook executive director John Murray said that had much more to do with Los Angeles’ fourth-quarter collapse in the loss to Denver.

Detroit Lions: Wideout Kenny Golladay (hip) is expected to miss Sunday’s game at Minnesota. The Lions opened +3.5 and moved to +4 Monday at The SuperBook.


Week 9 Weather

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars: The early forecast calls for a 60 percent chance of thunderstorms Sunday in Jacksonville, with winds of 10-20 mph. For the moment, The SuperBook’s total is stable at 51.5.

Carolina Panthers at Kansas City Chiefs: Five days out, the Kansas City forecast calls for a slight chance of rain, but more noteworthy, winds of 15-25 mph. The total, however, is already up to 52.5 from the opener of 51, so keep an eye on this game as the forecast develops.

New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: There’s a 50/50 shot for rain Sunday in Tampa, Fla., along with winds of 10-20 mph, according to the early-week forecast.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 9
Bruce Marshall

Week 9 of the NFL season kicks off on Thursday, Oct. 29 and we've identified betting trends and angles for all 14 matchups. We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Thursday, Nov. 5

GREEN BAY at SAN FRANCISCO
Niners destroyed Pack in both meetings at Levi’s last season (total score 74-28).
Pack 5-2 vs. line TY, Niners only 1-3 vs. line at home.

Tech Edge: Slight to 49ers, based on recent series trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 10

Thursday, November 5

Utah State @ Nevada

Game 307-308
November 5, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah State
65.971
Nevada
84.404
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nevada
by 18 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nevada
by 15
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Nevada
(-15); Over

Wyoming @ Colorado State

Game 305-306
November 5, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wyoming
80.596
Colorado State
80.058
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wyoming
by 1
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wyoming
by 3 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado State
(+3 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

305WYOMING -306 COLORADO ST
WYOMING is 25-12 ATS (11.8 Units) after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.

307UTAH ST -308 NEVADA
UTAH ST is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after going over the total in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WYOMING (1 - 1) at COLORADO ST (0 - 1) - 11/5/2020, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH ST (0 - 2) at NEVADA (2 - 0) - 11/5/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 1-0 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 10

Trend Report

Thursday, November 5

Utah State @ Nevada
Utah State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah State's last 5 games
Utah State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nevada
Nevada
Nevada is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Nevada is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah State

Wyoming @ Colorado State
Wyoming
Wyoming is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado State
Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado State
Colorado State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado State's last 7 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 10

Thursday’s games

Wyoming (1-1) @ Colorado State (0-1)
— Wyoming split its two games, losing 37-34 in OT at Nevada.
— Cowboys scored 34-31 points in their first two games.
— Wyoming has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Cowboys have 146 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wyoming has a freshman QB with two career starts.
— Last two years, Cowboys are 2-0 ATS as a road favorite.

— Colorado State lost its season opener 38-17 in Fresno last week.
— Rams gave up 348 passing yards last week.
— State has 7 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Rams have 50 returning starts on the offensive line.
— CSU has a senior QB with 9 career starts.
— Since 2016, Rams are 5-3 ATS as a home underdog.

— Wyoming won its last four games with Colorado State.
— Cowboys won 34-21/38-17 in their last two visits to Fort Collins.

Utah State (0-2) @ Nevada (2-0)
— Utah State lost its first two games, giving up 42-38 points.
— Aggies were outgained 1,020-418 in those games.
— Utah State has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Rams have 81 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Utah State has a junior QB who threw 168 passes for Utah two years ago.
— Last two years, Aggies are 4-3 ATS as a road underdog.

— Nevada won its first two games, scoring 37 points in both games.
— Wolf Pack threw for 770 yards in those games.
— Nevada has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Wolf Pack has 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Nevada has a soph QB with 12 career starts.
— Under Norvell, Wolf Pack is 6-5 ATS as a home favorite.

— Home side won last three series games.
— Utah State (-21) beat Nevada 36-10 at home LY.
— Underdogs are 5-3 ATS in last eight series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 10
Bruce Marshall

Week 10 of the College Football season kicks off on Wednesday, Nov. 4 with MACtion and concludes on Saturday Nov. 7.

We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Thursday, Nov. 5

WYOMING at COLORADO STATE (CBSSN, 9:00 p.m.)
Border war!
Advantage Wyoming, as Bohl has won and covered last four meetings.
Cowboys on 8-2 spread run in Laramie after Hawaii win.

Tech Edge: Wyoming, based on team and series trends.

UTAH STATE at NEVADA (FS1, 7:00 p.m.)
Utags sagging, only 4-8 last 12 vs. line since early 2019.
Wolf Pack on 6-2 spread run last 8 vs. MW at Reno.

Tech Edge: Nevada, based on recent trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Home favorites/underdogs in college football conferences:

AAC— 5-9-1 home favorites, 4-4 home underdogs

ACC— 11-10-1 HF, 10-5 HU

Big 14— 3-3 HF, 3-3 HU

Big X— 9-5-1 HF, 4-7 HU

C-USA— 2-12 HF, 3-3 HU

Mountain West— 4-1 HF, 3-3 HU

SEC— 9-8 HF, 10-8 HU

Sun Belt— 7-4 HF, 5-2 HU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Packers vs. 49ers Week 9 Odds, Preview
Matt Blunt

Week 9 starts with a NFC Championship rematch game between the Packers and the 49ers, and after getting spanked by San Francisco twice last year, including that NFC title game, the Packers have probably had their eyes on this game for some time now.

Positive memories might not be immediately there for the Packers when they see the Niners sharing the field for them, but there are quite a few things that have broken in Green Bay's favor this week.

Nobody likes to see anyone get hurt, but San Francisco losing QB Jimmy Garoppolo and TE George Kittle has to be viewed as good news for Packers fans, and now with the 49ers having virus issues and shutting down their facility on Wednesday, practice and prep time 24 hours before the game on the San Fran side of things takes a real hit.

Now, uncertainty about when they'll play the game could weigh on the Green Bay side of things too, but after an awful showing on Sunday against Minnesota – especially in trying to stop the run – can the Packers bounce back and take advantage of all these little edges that are seemingly adding up in their favor?

Or will a depleted 49ers team on offense lean even heavier on their rushing attack and find just as much success as the Vikings did running all over Green Bay?

Betting Resources

Week 9 Matchup: NFC vs. NFC
Venue: Levi's Stadium
Location: Santa Clara, California
Date: Thursday, Nov. 5, 2020
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
TV: FOX/NFL Network

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers look to avenge a pair of losses to the 49ers from last season. (AP)

Packers-49ers Betting Odds

Spread: Green Bay -5
Money-Line: Green Bay -240, San Francisco +200
Total: 50

2020 Betting Stats

Green Bay

Overall: 5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS, 4-4 O/U
Road: 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 2-2 O/U
Offense PPG: 31.3 (Rank 3)
Defense PPG: 26.7 (Rank 20)
Offense YPG: 394.6 (Rank 9)
Defense YPG: 346.6 (Rank 11)

San Francisco

Overall: 4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS, 4-4 O/U
Home: 1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS, 1-3 O/U
Offense PPG: 26.0 (Rank 15)
Defense PPG: 21.6 (Rank 10)
Offense YPG: 378.6 (Rank 12)
Defense YPG: 314.6 (Rank 6)

Handicapping the Total

Even before the COVID news dropped in San Francisco on Wednesday, the Niners injury news was still known, and I'm not sure how either side of this total could have been confidently bet.

The 'under' would be the side to look at if you believe the Niners would employ a gameplan that's heavily run-based to keep Rodgers and company off the field, while exploiting that huge weakness in Green Bay's defense right now.

A constant running clock is always a friend to 'under' bettors, and TNF games tend to skew themselves to the low side of the total to begin with.

But to just assume that the Packers run defense will get gashed again as they did vs Minnesota is flawed thinking in it's own right. Think of it from the Packers point of view in that a self scouting session would quickly reveal how poor they've been against the run this year, and knowing the injury situation San Fran has, expecting to face plenty of runs is a pretty reasonable expectation for Green Bay.

That defense could even come up with a gameplan to force QB Nick Mullens to beat them with his arm, and how successful either scenario is for Green Bay is still questionable.

Not to mention, Rodgers could just go off and have a 4 TD game or something like that in the possessions he does get, instantly ruining any 'under' play.

For those looking at the 'over' here, you've got to worry about similar things, as it's just as flawed to strongly believe the Packers defense will figure out how to slow down the opposing running game even when they know it's coming, and if SF is successful at winning the time of possession and bleeding the clock out, even late magic from Aaron Rdogers might not be enough to save an 'over' ticket.

And at the same time, San Fran's defense understands that they are going to have to be the ones to carry the workload here in the coming weeks with the offensive injury situation their team is experiencing.

It's that 49ers defense that DOES HAVE plenty of positive memories from the two meetings a year ago after setting up shop in the Packers backfield on both occasions, and should it be them that has a great game on TNF, this game probably ends up topping out somewhere in the mid-40's.

So it was an easy pass on the total before the 49ers virus issues, and an even easier one now.

Head-to-Head History

Jan. 19, 2020 - San Francisco 37 vs. Green Bay 20, 49ers -8, Over 46.5
Nov. 24, 2019 - San Francisco 37 vs. Green Bay 8, 49ers -3, Under 48
Oct. 15, 2018 - Green Bay 33 vs. San Francisco 30, 49ers +9.5, Over 46.5

Handicapping the Side

The side was the angle I had already been eyeing before Wednesday's news, and it was going to be the Packers or nothing. Now, even with it going to be a highly popular play on a very public team, it's still the Packers or nothing on the spread for me.

Part of that has to do with Green Bay's ability to bounce back of a loss – especially one where they looked as lousy as they did vs Minnesota – as they are on a 6-0 ATS run when coming off an outright loss dating back to late in the 2018-19 season. That scenario was already a strong “play on” spot for the Packers and it's getting hard to ignore.

Then you've got the whole revenge angle from the NFC Championship loss, as well as the even uglier loss in the regular season to this Niners team a year ago. That can't be overlooked either, and in hindsight, the idea that Green Bay was so flat and out of sync against Minnesota last week, could be somewhat attributed to looking ahead to this game.

Remember, they didn't know at the time that Garoppolo or Kittle wouldn't be playing, and getting one over on the team that ended their season last year is a professional pride thing that's got to be considered with all professional athletes.

And then there is the COVID situation now with the Niners, who may or not see more key players affected. That's not the only negative though, as now pre-game walkthroughs and practice time 24 hours before the game have now been squashed, and that's pretty important for a team that's working in replacements at key positions that would prefer to get all the practice snaps in that they can.

Add it all up and this is one situation where siding with the likely consensus on the Packers is really the only way I believe you can confidently put your money on in this game.

Who knows, the fact that Green Bay was such a huge public play last week and burned everyone may have some of those same bettors a little hesitant to join the chalk fest with the Packers here, especially after how bad they looked against Minnesota.

It's still Green Bay so it probably won't dissuade a large number of bettors, but laying the points with the visitors here makes too much sense on multiple fronts.

Key Injuries

Green Bay

OT David Bakhtiari: Chest - Questionable
S Raven Greene: Oblique - Questionable
RB Aaron Jones: Calf - Questionable
CB Kevin King: Quadriceps - Out
S Will Redmond: Shoulder - Out
S Vernon Scott: Shoulder - Out
OT Rick Wagner: Knee - Questionable

San Francisco

WR Deebo Samuel: Quarantine/COVID - Out
OT Trent Williams: Quarantine/COVID - Out
WR Brandon Aiyuk: Quarantine/COVID - Out
RB Tevin Coleman: Knee - Out
LB Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles: Hamstring - Out
QB Jimmy Garoppolo: Ankle - Out
WR Richie James: Ankle - Questionable
TE George Kittle: Foot - Out
WR Deebo Samuel: Hamstring - Out
S Jaquiski Tartt: Groin - Questionable

2020 Thursday Night Football (TNF) Betting Results

Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS)

Home-Away: 4-3 SU, 2-5 ATS
Favorites-Underdogs: 3-4 SU, 1-6 ATS
Over-Under: 3-4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Nov 05 '20, 12:55 PM in 1h
Soccer | OGC Nice vs Slavia Praha
Play on: Slavia Praha +152 at BMaker

1* Free Play on Slavia Praha +152

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs



Indiana Downs - Race 9

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 9-10-11)



Claiming $7,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 6:05P


FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2020 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 5 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. FIRST LADY MAGGIE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FIRST LADY MAGGIE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the d istance/surface. CHRISTIAN MISS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. APRON STRINGS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



7

FIRST LADY MAGGIE

1/1


3/1




6

CHRISTIAN MISS

6/1


4/1




4

APRON STRINGS

10/1


6/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




7

FIRST LADY MAGGIE

7


1/1

Front-runner

84


73


86.8


70.4


65.9




6

CHRISTIAN MISS

6


6/1

Front-runner

77


80


86.0


64.4


59.4




4

APRON STRINGS

4


10/1

Alternator/Front-runner

72


74


67.2


64.2


56.2




1

BOLD CONCEPT

1


7/2

Trailer

70


52


42.0


52.2


41.2




5

WANNA HAVE FUN

5


8/1

Trailer

69


57


34.0


56.6


49.6




8

MISS TIZCAT

8


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

69


36


71.8


43.2


32.2




3

PAIGE'S STAR

3


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

70


62


47.8


44.0


30.5




2

QUITE A BABE

2


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

70


65


38.0


53.8


43.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs



Evangeline Downs - Race 7

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)



Maiden • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 70 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 8:05P


QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * HESMAKEINGATOAST: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BELLAS DIAMONDS: Horse ranks in t he top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MS CRUZIN FAST: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse rank s in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. CHANGING THE GAME: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



8

HESMAKEINGATOAST

9/2


5/1




3

BELLAS DIAMONDS

3/1


5/1




2

MS CRUZIN FAST

15/1


8/1




10

CHANGING THE GAME

15/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

GT IS EARLS LEGACY

1


5/1

Slow/Trouble-prone

0


0


8.8


0.0


0.0




2

MS CRUZIN FAST

2


15/1

Slow

73


53


6.1


0.0


0.0




3

BELLAS DIAMONDS

3


3/1

Average/Trouble-prone

79


62


5.7


0.0


0.0




4

MJ CASH TRAIN

4


15/1

Slow/Trouble-prone

0


0


7.3


0.0


0.0




5

HIGHEST ACHIEVEMENTS

5


6/1

Average

67


55


4.9


0.0


0.0




6

WILD BLUE CANDY

6


8/1

Slow/Trouble-prone

0


0


7.3


0.0


0.0




7

DASHINUNDERABLUEMOON

7


10/1

Slow

0


0


6.8


0.0


0.0




8

HESMAKEINGATOAST

8


9/2

Average

74


61


6.0


0.0


0.0




9

ROCKET DASH WRANGLER

9


5/1

Slow

51


39


7.7


0.0


0.0




10

CHANGING THE GAME

10


15/1

Slow

73


52


6.5


0.0


0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 85

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLDS CLAIMING. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 BENANDJOE 5/2




# 7 MAYNOOTH 8/1




# 10 LUDICROUS MODE 8/1




BENANDJOE has a very good shot to take this race. Should be given a shot here on the basis of the figs in the speed section alone. McMahon has a reliable 23 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. Earned a solid speed figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair. MAYNOOTH - Has quite good Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. He should be given a chance given the respectable speed numbers. LUDICROUS MODE - Could beat this group given the 77 Equibase Speed Figure put up in his last outing.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 9.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 77

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 7, 2019 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 22 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 22 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 RYANEAUX SPOT 2/1




# 6 PASO A LA REINA 3/1




# 2 MISS WESTERN 15/1




I've got to go with RYANEAUX SPOT. Vaunts formidable Equibase speed figs on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of animals. Has ran strongly in dirt route races. Will most likely be one of the early speedsters of the bunch going into the midpoint of the outing. PASO A LA REINA - This filly has to be given a chance just off the earnings per start in dirt route races alone. Ran a strong last race. MISS WESTERN - Solid average Equibase speed figs in dirt route races make this racer a contender. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Rivera running at this distance are the strongest in this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park West



11/05/20, GPW, Race 7, 3.08 ET
11/05/20,GPW,7,1M [Dirt] 1:35:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $43,000 (includes up to $7,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race AtA Mile Or Over Since August 5 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Races Where Entered For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
3
Danville
5/1
Zayas E J
Winebaugh Cheryl
JFC
147
35.37
1.37/$1


095.4937
1
Glory of Florida
2/1
Camacho S
David Carlos A.
S
147
35.37
1.37/$1


093.7667
2
Turn On the Magic
8/1
Vasquez M A
Yates Michael
W
147
35.37
1.37/$1


090.0215
6
Prince James
5/2
Arroyo A S
Danner Kelsey
E
147
35.37
1.37/$1


089.9674
4
Dazzling Truths
6/1
Panici L
Dibona Bobby S.


147
35.37
1.37/$1


087.8605
5
Ralston
4/1
Lopez P
David Carlos A.
L
147
35.37
1.37/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.1600, ROI 0.9827/$1
. . . .
100.0000 3 Danville
[Category]Condition
[AllDirt]RaceSexNotFemales

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




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Remington Park - Race #9 - Post: 10:51pm - Maiden Special - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,000 Class Rating: 76

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#12 HANEY BOYS (ML=8/1)
#11 LOOKIT (ML=20/1)
#14 TIZ A NEW DAY (ML=15/1)
#8 REVIVAL (ML=12/1)


HANEY BOYS - Dropping in Equibase class figure points from his March 5th race at Oaklawn Park. Based on that info, I will give this animal the edge. This colt is tops in earnings per race. Give the once over to this animal in the saddling ring. LOOKIT - This one's dam (Clouds in the Sky) has a fabulous win pct (50 percent) with first timers, so I expect a lot out of this horse. This trainer has an ROI of +56 with horses first time out. TIZ A NEW DAY - I expect this race horse to stun some fans this time out. REVIVAL - The jockey/conditioner pair of Alvarez and Offolter has a strong ROI together. Alvarez is back for another race today after getting on board this animal for the 1st ride on October 9th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. A pony coming back this rapidly after a good outing is a good signal. I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He's had enough efforts since the vacation and should be fit.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 ROCK RIDGE (ML=7/2), #13 DREADNAUGHT (ML=5/1), #4 COPPER CASING (ML=6/1),

ROCK RIDGE - Showed very little in the last race. Really don't see any hint of a reversal of fortune today. Can't wager on this racer in today's sprint of 6 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even hit the board in a short distance event recently. DREADNAUGHT - Tough for anyone who saw this questionable contender in his last affair to play him today. A pattern of dropping speed figs 79/68/54 for this vulnerable equine. Finished sixth in his most recent effort with a disappointing speed rating. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this bunch. COPPER CASING - 6/1 is not enough of a price to take on this one.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #12 HANEY BOYS on top if we're getting at least 6/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [11,12,14]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




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Woodbine - Race #6 - Post: 4:52pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $33,400 Class Rating: 82

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#9 CRUMLIN QUEEN (ML=10/1)
#10 DESERT POEM (ML=4/1)
#3 STOP WHO'S THAT (ML=6/1)


CRUMLIN QUEEN - The morning line odds on this mare are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of trainer Doyle. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. DESERT POEM - Trainer Gattellaro moves this thoroughbred to a lower class level to face a lower rated field. Look for a solid effort at this level. Multiple wins in this horse's life, all at Woodbine. Could add another win in today's race. STOP WHO'S THAT - Was in a $40,000 Claiming race at Woodbine in the last race. That affair had a class number of 89 and she is moving down right here in this race. A certain strong challenger. This mare is very familiar with the winner's circle at Woodbine. I expect a repeat trip in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 BIONDETTI'S CHOICE (ML=3/1), #2 NOT ORBINARY (ML=8/1), #13 AMI'S LINK (ML=8/1),

BIONDETTI'S CHOICE - Don't figure that this racer has what it takes to cross the finish line in first this time. NOT ORBINARY - Speed figs tell a story of decreasing condition. Unlikely that the speed figure she garnered on Oct 22nd will be good enough in this race. AMI'S LINK - Will probably be way back with way too much to do in the stretch.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #9 CRUMLIN QUEEN to win if you can get at least 7/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,9,10]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [3,9,10] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA Nov 05 '20, 7:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Utah State vs Nevada
Play on: Utah State +18½ -109 at pinnacle

ASA FREE PLAY ON: Utah State Aggies (+) versus Nevada Wolf Pack, Thursday at 7:00 PM ET - A lot of points to be giving Utah State as a huge road dog. The Aggies early results are ugly this season but they played a pair of tough defenses as they faced San Diego State and Boise State. Utah State will fare much better against the porous defense of the Wolf Pack. Nevada is off of a big win at UNLV but the Rebels are not a very good team and that was a one possession game going to the 4th quarter! Off that win against their biggest rival, Nevada could come out a little flat here and the Wolf Pack did allow 34 points (31 in regulation time) in their only other game this season. The Wolf Pack should score well here but the Aggies do enough to stay close in this game and the line move has led to great value here. Per our computer math model, Nevada is going to struggle to cover the big number posted on this game and the big underdog is the play in this one. FREE PLAY Utah State (+) points

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Nov 05 '20, 7:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Utah State vs Nevada
Play on: Nevada -17 -110 at Mirage

1* on Nevada -17 -110

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Brandon Lee Nov 05 '20, 8:20 PM in 3h
NFL | Packers vs 49ers
Play on: Packers -7 -120 at William Hill

PICK - Green Bay Packers -7
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 301
It didn't look like this game was going to get played after the 49ers shut down their facility on Wednesday. I don't love Green Bay at this price, but given the circumstances I got to roll the dice here with Aaron Rodgers.
Situationally this is a great spot, as you like to back good teams off a loss, which is what we have with the Packers just getting upset at home by Minnesota. We already saw Green Bay excel in this spot after losing at home to the Bucs in Week 6. They won their next games 35-20 at Houston as a slim 3-point favorite.
There's also big time motivation here for Green Bay. These two teams last met in last year's AFC Championship Game. The Packers were embarrassed in that game. They trailed 34-7 going into the 4th quarter.
Also going back to that game last year, I think people tend to forget that while the Packers offense struggled to score early, Rodgers went 31 of 39 for 326 yards in that game.
I just feel this becomes a statement game for Green Bay and it could possibly be why they didn't look their best last week.
If that's the case and the Packers are treating this like a test they have to pass, this game shouldn't be close. The 49ers have been decimated by injuries and were just hit hard with Covid.
San Francisco won't have starting quarterback Jimmy G. Before we get to the rest. Note that the 49ers are 24-7 scoring 28.6 ppg with Garoppolo and 5-22 scoring 19.6 pgg without.
They also won't have one of the best players in the game in tight end George Kittle. He's not the only target out, as 5 receivers are out with injury or covid. The only healthy WR on the roster (will add some practice squad guys) is Trent Taylor, who has 9 catches for 17 yards this season.
They also don't have 3 of their top RB's with Coleman, Mostert and Wilson Jr. all sidelined. Plus they will be without starting left tackle Trent Williams.
I get the Packers have had their defensive setbacks at times. If they can't stop this offense Thursday, defensive coordinator Mike Pettine needs to be without a job Friday morning. Give me the Packers -7!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Nov 05 '20, 8:20 PM in 3h
NFL | Packers vs 49ers
Play on: OVER 48 -110

Free Total Annihilator On Packers vs 49ers over 48 -110

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Sean Murphy Nov 05 '20, 8:20 PM in 3h
NFL | Packers vs 49ers
Play on: Packers -7 -105 at YouWager

Thursday NFL Free play. My selection is on Green Bay minus the points over San Francisco at 8:20 pm et on Thursday.
I'm not going to overthink this one. The 49ers are a shell of their former selves, already ravaged by injuries before losing a number of players due to COVID-19 protocols on Wednesday. They'll be hard-pressed to match the Packers here, noting that Green Bay will certainly be out for revenge after suffering two beatdowns at the hands of the Niners last season - including one in the NFC Championship Game. The Packers will also be in a foul mood due to last Sunday's poor showing against the division-rival Vikings. I certainly don't expect them to overlook the Niners - they simply can't take anything for granted right now based on how they've performed lately. This is certainly a favorable matchup for Packers QB Aaron Rodgers as San Francisco has had no success at all getting to opposing quarterbacks this season and that isn't likely to change given their MASH squad this week. I'm actually not all that high on the Packers offense in general, especially with RB Aaron Jones likely to miss another game, but there's no denying this is a dream matchup given all of the Niners absences on the defensive side of the football. Take Green Bay (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers Nov 05 '20, 8:20 PM in 3h
NFL | Packers vs 49ers
Play on: Packers -5 -115 at Draft Kings

The set-up: San Francisco has an above average pass defense, which Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have struggled against, but after losing both teams to the 49rs last year, I expect Green Bay to bounce back off a loss last weekend, to avenge those two setbacks from last season, and to take advantage of this once again severely depleted 49ers side. San Francisco had won two in a row, but it came up short in last week's 37-27 loss in Seattle. The 49ers though lost the services of their two best players in the setback as well, as QB Jimmy Garoppolo and dynamic playmaking TE George Kittle are both now out with injury for several weeks.
The pick: Very much a common sense play here. Green Bay has all the motivation it needs to win this game, while all signs point to massive regression from this San Francisco team that continues to deal with adversity. Consider laying the points.
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the PACKERS.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Nov 05 '20, 9:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Wyoming vs Colorado State
Play on: Colorado State +3½ -105 at Bovada

Free Play on Colorado State +3½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Nov 05 '20, 9:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Wyoming vs Colorado State
Play on: Wyoming -3½ -102 at pinnacle

Free Pick on Wyoming

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Nov 05 '20, 9:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Wyoming vs Colorado State
Play on: OVER 52½ -109

FREE PLAY on Wyoming/Colorado State over 52½ -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer Nov 05 '20, 9:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Wyoming vs Colorado State
Play on: UNDER 54 -106

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR THURSDAY, 11/5:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play on my cut list for Thursday is Under the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys and the Colorado State Rams. Wyoming (1-1) comes off a 31-7 upset win at home to Hawai’i last Friday with that Total set at 60. The Cowboys have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total in November. Wyoming goes back on the road where the Under is 12-4-1 in their last 17 games. Colorado State (0-1) comes off a 38-17 loss at Fresno State last Thursday. That game finished below the 58 point total — the Rams have now played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total in conference play. Colorado State has also played 8 straight Unders in November. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Nov 05 '20, 9:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Wyoming vs Colorado State
Play on: UNDER 54½ -105

1 Dimer on Wyoming vs Colorado State under 54½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: Utah St/Nevada Under 56½ Points

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Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: UTAH ST/NEVADA PVER the total of 56

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Roz Wins ROZ's THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 5, 2020
Free Pick
301. Grb/Sfo UNDER 48 (5:20 PT / 8:20 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports
Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Georgia Southern Eagles + 3

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Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play THURSDAY, November 5, 2020
NFL
301. Packers -7 (5:20 PT / 8:20 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Thursday Selection Is

Utah State/Nevada OVER 56½

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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Thursday : Take UTAH ST/NEVADA UNDER the total of 56

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Thursday FB

Colorado State +3'

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Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: Utah State/Nevada over 56

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Arthur Ralph

THRS: Nevada -16

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The Last Call Thursday's Free Play: UNLV Rebels + 11

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Teyas Sports FREE PICK 11/5 CFB COLORADO ST OVER 52 1/2

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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Thursday:UTAH ST/NEVADA OVER the total of 56

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Thursday: Wyoming/Colorado St UNDER 52½