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Can'tPickAWinner
11-16-2020, 10:10 PM
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Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 06:14 AM
Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Parx Racing - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#4 Forest River
Dangerous speedster cleared early then blew a late open-length lead last time off the Pino claim but that was a much-improved effort, and the 1 1/2-furlong cutback today says he ight not come back; come and catch the pick.


#6 Psychic Energy
NYRA-based runner drops stiffly in class for a sharp Kantarmaci barn, so he's going to be trouble if he runs back to the close 5th last time, but this plunge seems a might bit fishy, and the price will be a false one too; backwheel time.


#9 Chief Exchanger
Pace presser drew well for his style and if the pick comes unglued again he'll be in the right spot, though he rises in class off a strong win, which means he might have a bit more trouble pulling away this time; underneath only


Race Summary
The price and potentially the race flow will both be right on the 4, who has the speed to clear these and should relish the cutback, so play him in all the slots, and especially to end the early Pk4 as well, since he could get brave, and a win would add plenty of value to the sequence.


Parx Racing - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#11 Baaqeya
Stretch runner catches a field loaded with speed, woke up when 3rd last time, and will be a big price yet again; bombs away late.


#8 Lady Munnings
PID runner has a stalking gear that will get him first run, though he's never run on fast dirt, which is a concern; still plenty scary.


#5 Two Carat
ML favorite was a distant 3rd against tougher at Mth but won here two-back, though he may get fried chasing; mixed signals here.


Race Summary
Pace makes the race and there's a ton of it here, and that could really help the chances of the 11, who isn't out of this off his last and will be flying late, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially to end the late Pk4 as well, since a win would blow up the sequence, and the race flow might give him a puncher's chance at it.


Parx Racing - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 Earhquake
GPW invader was facing better in South Florida and running well before a dud in the slop last time, so on the drop, with new trainer Dominguez, who is a robust 33% with his newcomers, and from a ground-saving post as well, the thinking is this dude is very live; look out.


#2 Dizzy Sight
The chalk was a good 2nd in the slop at the level at Monmouth, so that group was likely better than this one, which means he'll be a real handful here, but his nest isn't much better than the pick's, who may improve, and yet this one will be the smaller price; second-best.


#6 Heart of a Dreamer
Speedster will try to wire these and the stiff drop in class will help him along the way, though he's bombed in two straight and now hasn't been seen since August, so there are some serious concerns, at what figures an underlaid price as well; tread very lightly if landing here.


Race Summary
You're not seeing the 8-1 ML on the pick, but even half that seems fair, considering how potent his trainer is with new additions, and the prior back form this one brings, so play him in all the slots, and to kick off the early Pk4 as well, as he looks primed for a big local unveiling.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 06:46 AM
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Mountaineer - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#8 Capone's Loft
No real threat late in the local debut, but he flashed a bit of chasing pace that day and draws well to get a similar trip. Hangs around better today?


#5 Mosby's Ranger
The clear one to beat on paper, but he's trying the dirt for the first time at what is sure to be a short price, and I'll let him prove it to me.


#2 Rock Solid Truth
Woke up a bit when trying the local company in recent starts, and she doesn't feel overmatched in this spot while stepping up to special weight company.


Race Summary
Capone's Loft will offer a fair price with these and should be able to track the splits from the outside. He has some room to improve in this second local try while racing out of a new barn today.


Mountaineer - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#8 Lincoln Center
She has had a dozen chances, so she's getting short on excuses, but the form stacks up well here, and this might be the right field for her to beat.


#9 Willa
Meets a bit softer bunch today while trying the local crew for the first time, but I wouldn't want too short a price on this one after two non-threatening efforts so far.


#3 Stylish Ash
Finisher was second with the locals two starts back, and she's got a little bit of back form that hints she may have a bit better to offer here.


Race Summary
Lincoln Center is a tough sell with 12 chances under her belt, but this feels like a very soft bunch, and her baseline effort might be enough to get the job done.


Mountaineer - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#7 Fancy Fierce
Has run some massive races here this year, and she should offer a fair price while drawn outside of a capable, but short-priced, chalk.


#6 Includere
Speed has been very sharp with similar in recent starts, but she's coming off a huge try last time out that she may not be able to repeat.


#3 Spice it Up
Tactical player should be able to get a decent run of things from off the splits, and she's not entirely out of the question with the right trip.


Race Summary
Fancy Fierce gets the call over the chalk Includere, as both look capable, but the former will offer a much better price with a similar trip looming.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 06:47 AM
Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Dover Downs - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 ALTAR CALL
Avoids main nemesis, tries to upstage series of runner-up finishes.


#4 BLUE DEVIL
Chased the favorite in faster division of split race.


#5 RHETT
Has loyal following, improved to 3-for-5 with front-end score.


Race Summary
Altar Call, second in his last three starts, will try to seize the moment now that three-peater Big Al M isn’t in today’s race. He draws the rail and offers good betting value, so play 1-4 and 1-5 exactas.


Dayton Raceway - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#2 IMPAVIDO
Lacked running room, finished with some energy on own courage, big price.


#7 KISS ON FIRE AS
Rallied for 9 in-the-money finishes in 14 starts.


#5 BENTLEY BLUE
Closed into fast pace for third, then led until late at Hoosier Park in follow-up.


Race Summary
Taking a longshot stab on Impavido, who showed marked improvement last week. He was trapped on the rail for 3/4s of a mile, angled wide and finished willingly under mild encouragement. Play a 2-5-7 exacta box.


Northfield Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#2 DELIGHT KATE
Mishap at break proved costly, makes amends in second start.


#1 KIDOFMANYMISSIONS
Lots of chances, lots of checks, favorable post switch.


#6 WHISKEYFORTHELADY
Finished ahead of ‘Kate’ off pocket journey.


Race Summary
Delight Kate went off stride at the start, settled into fifth and unwound in the final eighth of a mile, though too late in a heavily-bet debut. Believe he will live up to they hype in second go-round. Play 2-1 and 2-6 exactas.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 06:49 AM
Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Remington Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#14 U S Hero
Was third in two of his last three races this year and has been in some fast races for this level; can avoid traffic from the outside and has what it takes for a successful rally.


#1 Uncle Tap
Ran evenly last time out and can benefit from an inside trip; has the speed to save position and can be in the mix all the way.


#10 Muni Muni Slew
Takes the step down from maiden special weights, which automatically moves his up a ton; his effort two races back is good enough to win this but he beat only two runners last time and the drop seems like a lot.


Race Summary
U S Hero will probably be wide, but that's okay if he can avoid traffic jams in his sprint; Birzer with the return call gives him a good chance.


Remington Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#5 Queen of Carnival
Has shown late interest can stay within range of this group couldn't follow through in her first over the strip but can improve here.


#4 Tesuque
Scored with determined effort last out and has taken two of her last three; gets back to a mile and will be tough on the front end.


#6 Oratory Glory
Was well back in an allowance race on turf last out and returns to more comfortable level and is back to the main track.


Race Summary
Queen of Carnival probably needed the start last time and likely will show a turnabout for the Pish barn.


Remington Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#4 Zippy Chick
Ran evenly in both local starts and can improve in her third career start; was fourth on the turf last time and can benefit from the return to the main track.


#5 Wicked Flashback
Was second vs. similar in his first local start after trying maiden specials at Ellis; can be strong out front in this one.


#2 Wicked Chocolate
Faded vs. maiden specials last time at Prairie Meadows and has a good work going into this; can run along for a piece of it.


Race Summary
Zippy Chick can stalk the front runners and can run on through the stretch at this distance; one to hold off.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 01:27 PM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park



Mountaineer Park - Race 8

$2 Daily Double (races 8-9) $2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box$1 Superfecta $.20 Box



Optional Claiming $15,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $17,800 • Post: 9:34P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 17 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES)(W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Trailer. TICKETY BOO is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * SPICE IT UP: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. INCLU DERE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. G Q GIRL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. NEVER FORGET HER: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. NELLYSFORD: Horse h as run a Good Race within the last 30 days.



3

SPICE IT UP

6/1


6/1




6

INCLUDERE

7/5


6/1




2

G Q GIRL

8/1


7/1




8

NEVER FORGET HER

6/1


7/1




4

NELLYSFORD

6/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

RUNNING CLOUD

1


30/1

Front-runner

73


72


93.6


60.4


47.4




6

INCLUDERE

6


7/5

Front-runner

83


80


80.6


80.0


75.0




8

NEVER FORGET HER

8


6/1

Front-runner

82


83


66.6


75.8


65.8




4

NELLYSFORD

4


6/1

Stalker

76


72


77.6


70.0


61.0




7

FANCY FIERCE

7


5/1

Stalker

73


79


59.8


71.4


61.9




2

G Q GIRL

2


8/1

Alternator/Stalker

82


74


67.2


73.0


65.5




3

SPICE IT UP

3


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

83


80


59.2


80.8


77.3




5

TICKETY BOO

5


8/1

Trailer

77


64


54.2


65.4


51.4

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 01:29 PM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs



Indiana Downs - Race 6

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) 50 Cent Pick 5 (Races 6-7-8-9-10)



Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 60 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 4:35P


FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Stalker. IZZY B is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * IZZY B: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MISS HATTIE: Horse ranks i n the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. SMILING GRACE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surfac e.



6

IZZY B

9/5


5/2




3

MISS HATTIE

12/1


4/1




5

SMILING GRACE

8/5


8/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

SORORITY GAL

4


30/1

Front-runner

0


0


80.6


34.1


22.1




1

BOO'S GAL

1


12/1

Front-runner

0


0


67.0


34.4


24.4




5

SMILING GRACE

5


8/5

Alternator/Front-runner

0


0


78.8


57.7


54.7




6

IZZY B

6


9/5

Stalker

70


54


59.2


48.4


42.4




2

CROSSED THE LINE

2


12/1

Trailer

0


0


25.6


3.8


0.0




3

MISS HATTIE

3


12/1

Alternator/Trailer

65


59


59.7


46.5


41.5




8

DIAMOND DAWN

8


4/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


59.7


24.6


18.1























Unknown Running Style: SHEZA (20/1) [Jockey: Esquivel Emmanuel - Trainer: McGowan Kenneth].

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 01:29 PM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 76

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 17 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 SEAHAWK LISA 8/1




# 1 WOOD BEE 3/1




# 8 NEW JERSEY 8/1




SEAHAWK LISA is the most competitive wager in this race and is a respectable value bet given the line at 8/1. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Taylor running at this distance are the strongest in this group of horses in this race. This filly looks like a longshot play. She has competitive class ratings, averaging 87, and has to be given consideration here. WOOD BEE - Could best this group based on the speed figure - 77 - of her last race. She has been running solidly as of late while recording sharp Equibase Speed Figures. NEW JERSEY - Looks very good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races lately. Earnings per start in dirt sprint races is reliable for this animal.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 01:30 PM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Remington Park - Race #3 - Post: 12:56pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $36,975 Class Rating: 69

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#8 DENVER CITY (ML=5/2)
#1 SURE OKIE (ML=6/1)


DENVER CITY - This front-runner is running a shorter distance today. Should help his chances to win. Faces state bred foes today after finishing third versus 'open' company on March 15th. Faced tougher in the last race at Oaklawn Park. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker field, so I will put this horse on my list of strong contenders. This gelding's last speed rating registered on Mar 15th is utmost in last race Equibase speed figs. SURE OKIE - This gelding should be at the peak of fitness, this far into his form cycle. Just missed hitting the board on Nov 1st at Remington Park. With decent odds in this field, he has my interest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 LOVE MY RIDE (ML=3/1), #6 HALLIES DREAM (ML=5/1), #3 OKIE NATIVE (ML=5/1),

LOVE MY RIDE - Not likely that the speed figure he earned on November 1st will hold up in this clash. HALLIES DREAM - Can't play this vulnerable equine in today's sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance event of late. The speed figure last time out doesn't fit very well in this contest when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this mount as a likely underpriced contender. OKIE NATIVE - Not likely that this animal will finish better than he did last time when ending up fifth.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #8 DENVER CITY to win if we can get at least 9/5 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 01:31 PM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Allowance - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $18500 Class Rating: 92

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE MAY 17, 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 BLACK OPS 7/2




# 5 CLASSY CLASS 9/2




# 3 UNCLE GOYLE 5/1




BLACK OPS is my choice. Should best this group here, showing very good numbers of late. This gelding looks good in this race since Evans has a strong winning percentage with horses going this distance. Evans has him trained soundly to break rapidly out of the starting gate. CLASSY CLASS - Is a key contender - given the 97 speed rating from his most recent race. Is tough not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been very good - 87 avg - of late. UNCLE GOYLE - This gelding looks very good here since Kereluk has a very solid winning percentage with horses going this distance.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 01:32 PM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Mountaineer Park - Race #6 - Post: 8:50pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,500 Class Rating: 80

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#1 GAME DAY DECISION (ML=8/1)
#10 CHROMIUM (ML=6/1)


GAME DAY DECISION - Don't discount that last race. The animal fired out with good early zip, only to drop back and then hold ground to the finish. CHROMIUM - This gelding is in good form, having run a strong race on October 20th, finishing first. A repeat of that most recent performance on October 20th where he registered a speed figure of 80 looks high enough to score in this affair.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 DIONYSUS' CHALICE (ML=7/5), #4 BE THE CHANGE (ML=4/1), #9 IT'S THE JOURNEY (ML=6/1),

DIONYSUS' CHALICE - Hasn't been on the Mountaineer Park oval in the last three weeks. Cause for some concern. BE THE CHANGE - This gelding most likely won't be on the money at the finish line. IT'S THE JOURNEY - Don't believe this less than sharp equine will make a winning move in today's race. That last speed rating was common when compared with today's class figure.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #1 GAME DAY DECISION on the win end if we get at least 2/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,10]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 03:48 PM
Cappers Access

(Tue) NCAAF Buffalo
(Tue) NCAAF Kent St

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:21 PM
Rob Vinciletti Nov 17 '20, 7:30 PM in 11m
Soccer | Argentina vs Peru
Play on: Argentina -123 at BMaker

Tuesday card has a rare 6* MAC Conference college football power System play and a Top Level World Cup Qualifier Soccer Play. Comp play below.
The Comp play for Tuesday is on Argentina at 7:30 eastern. Argentina will go full force here off a 1-1 tie with Paraguay. Peru is off a loss to Chile last out. In the series Argentina has 23 of the 28 wins and the last 9 overall. Peru is winless in their last 6 and have allowed 2 or more goals in all the Qualifier games. Now they have to take on Messi and Argentina who are unbeaten in the last 10 while playing some very tough teams. Look for Argentina to secure the win. On Tuesday in College Football we have a rare 6* in MAC Conference action and a Powerful Soccer play of the Month. For the Tuesday Comp Play. Go with Argentina. Rob V- GC Sports

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:21 PM
Info Plays Nov 17 '20, 8:00 PM in 41m
NCAA-F | Akron vs Kent State
Play on: UNDER 59½ -109

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Akron vs Kent State under 59½ -109

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:21 PM
Bobby Conn Nov 17 '20, 8:00 PM in 41m
NCAA-F | Akron vs Kent State
Play on: UNDER 59 -110

1* Free Play on Akron/Kent State under 59 -110

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:22 PM
Kenny Walker Nov 17 '20, 8:00 PM in 41m
NCAA-F | Akron vs Kent State
Play on: Akron +25½ -110 at YouWager

Free Pick on Akron

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:22 PM
Brandon Lee Nov 17 '20, 8:00 PM in 41m
NCAA-F | Akron vs Kent State
Play on: Akron +26 -105 at pinnacle

PICK - Akron Zips +26
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 301
I understand if you want nothing to do with betting this Akron team. I get it. This is one of two MAC games on the board for Tuesday. The other is a similar matchup between Buffalo/Bowling Green (I got a premium play in this game).
The public is going to bet this game. Most will lay it with the Flashes or the OVER. I would definitely take the points and side with the UNDER.
For those that don't know, this is a big time rivalry games. You can drive from one campus to the other in about 15-20 mins.
The rivalry always means something to the underdog. I just wonder if this just doesn't feel like another game for Kent State, especially given the state of the Akron football program. Throw in next week's massive game against Buffalo, that will likely decide the MAC EAST title. Easy for the Flashes to just go through the motions.
History is definitely on our side. Each of the last 8 meetings in this series have been decided by 23-points or less. You also haven't had a game in the series go for more than 59 points since 2003 (total is 59).
Big here is I think Akron's offense can get something going with their run game. Zips did just rush for 217 yards last week at Ohio. Kent State just allowed 260 rushing yards to Bowling Green. If we can just get 20 points here from Akron I really like our chances. Give me the Zips +26!

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:22 PM
Cole Faxon Nov 17 '20, 8:00 PM in 41m
NCAA-F | Akron vs Kent State
Play on: UNDER 59 -110

FREE PLAY on Akron/Kent State under 59 -110

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:22 PM
Ben Burns Nov 17 '20, 8:00 PM in 41m
NCAA-F | Akron vs Kent State
Play on: Akron +27 -106 at pinnacle

This line keeps getting bigger. I believe its now big enough that we're getting value with the underdog. Akron covered (lost by 14) in its lone road game while KSU failed to cover (won by 4) in its lone home game. The Zips are just 3-7 ATS the past 10 times that they played a home game with an O/U line in the 56.5 to 63 range. Last eight meetings have all been decided by 23 or less. Consider grabbing the points.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:22 PM
Sean Murphy Nov 17 '20, 8:00 PM in 41m
NCAA-F | Akron vs Kent State
Play on: Akron +26 -107 at betonline

Tuesday CFB Free play. My selection is on Akron plus the points over Kent State at 8 pm et on Tuesday.
Lost in another blowout loss last week was the fact that Akron actually moved the football with some consistency in Ohio, racking up 435 total yards of offense with a balanced attack. The issue for the Zips was that they turned the football over three times and couldn't finish drives with 7's on the board. I do feel they have something to build on here, and we're dealing with a very generous helping of points in the Zips corner. Kent State is coming off a complete dismantling of Bowling Green last week and could be excused if its caught looking ahead to next week's showdown with Buffalo. While the Golden Flashes do have some good pieces in place on both sides of the football, I simply feel that they're laying too many points in this 'win and move on' type of situation on Tuesday night. Take Akron (8*).

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:23 PM
Will Rogers Nov 17 '20, 8:00 PM in 41m
NCAA-F | Akron vs Kent State
Play on: Kent State -25 -109 at Draft Kings

The set-up: Akron is 0-2 and Kent State is 2-0. I expect the Golden Flashes to take advantage of this matchup and of familiar surroundings and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. In a normal season, this could very well be a spot in which I would go against Kent State as such a big favorite here. This would tend to set up as a kind of natural letdown spot for it, but these teams are only playing six games this season, so every game counts. There's nobody letting up or looking past when you're only playing six games, as each and everyone counts more than ever. And with a game at Buffalo up next, who is 2-0 as well, this one vs. Akron becomes important (and running up the score and posting a major victory here is going to help in its rankings at the end.) Akron has a freshman quarterback in Zach Gibson this year and so far he has two touchdowns and three interceptions (two of those came in last week's loss to Miami Ohio.) Kent State quarterback Dustin Crum though has looked sharp in the early going, he has 490 yards, six touchdowns and one interception after two games. In the win over Bowling Green last weekend he had four touchdown passes.
The pick: The defenses of each team are completely polar opposite as well, as Kent State allows just 23.5 points per game, while Akron is conceding 41. Last year the Golden Flashes won this game 26-3, but I think this one will be an even bigger blowout. Akron has some talent, as running back Teon Dollard has 232 rushing yards on 38 carries, but Kent State features elite-level talent as well (including wide receiver Isaiah McKoy, who already has 14 catches for 178 yards and three touchdowns. Akron's a bad team. At some point it's going to grab a win, but it's still 0-19 straight up in its last 19 and only 4-17 in its last 21 against the spread following a straight-up loss. The Golden Flashes have averaged over 44.5 points per game in the early going and I simply can't see the Zips stopping them, OR keeping up with them. Consider laying the points in this one.
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on Kent State.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:25 PM
NCAAF

Week 12

Tuesday’s games
Akron (0-2) @ Kent State (2-0)
— Zips lost their first two games, outscored 82-28.
— Akron did outgain Ohio 435-307 in LW’s 24-10 loss.
— Akron has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Zips have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Akron has a senior QB with 28 career starts.
— Under Arth, Zips are 2-4 ATS as a road underdog.

— Kent won its first two games, scoring 89 points, running for 507 yards.
— Golden Flashes threw for 372 yards in last week’s game.
— Kent has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Golden Flashes has 74 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Kent has a senior QB with 14 career starts.
— Golden Flashes are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.

— Akron won four of last five series games.
— Zips won 24-23/31-27 in their last two visits to Kent.
— Underdogs covered four of last six series games.

Buffalo (2-0) @ Bowling Green (0-2)
— Buffalo scored 91 points in winning its first two games.
— Bulls gained 915 yards in two games; they’re +4 in turnovers.
— Buffalo has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Bulls have 82 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Buffalo has a soph QB with seven career starts.
— Bulls are 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.

— Bowling Green lost its first two games, giving up 100 points.
— Falcons gave up 605 rushing yards in those two games.
— Bowling Green has 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Falcons have 32 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bowling Green has a new QB this year- he completed 14-50 passes so far.
— Last 3+ years, Falcons are 2-11 ATS as a home underdog.

— Buffalo won last three series games, by an average score of 43-16.
— Favorites are 5-3 ATS in last eight series games.
— Bulls lost two of their last three visits here.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:25 PM
301AKRON -302 KENT ST
AKRON is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse in the last 3 seasons.

303BUFFALO -304 BOWLING GREEN
BOWLING GREEN is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after playing a game at home in the last 3 seasons.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:25 PM
Mike Wynn Free Pick: Akron/Kent St Under 59 Points

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:26 PM
Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, TUESDAY November 17, 2020
11/17 05:00 PM PT / 8:00 PM ET

CF (301) AKRON VS (302) KENT STATE

Take: over

Reason: Looks like early week is MAC week as MAC play enters its 3rd week, at least for most teams. Some have had Covid issues and games PPD. Tonight Akron travels to play at Kent State. Kent is one of the better teams in the MAC at 2-0 on Season. They opened with a win over Eastern Michigan, 27-23, but failed to cover 5-point line. Then they went to Bowling Green where they cruised to a 62-24 win and cover. Now they host a poor Akron as they should go 3-0 tonight. Akron is 0-2 after losing to Western Michigan 13-58 and then last week at Ohio, 10-24, covering the 26-point line. Akron out gained Ohio last week 434 to 307 yards. It was the three turnovers that hurt the Zips. Kent State rolled-up 667 yards at Bowling Green last week and had 30 more offensive plays. Kent is now 6th in the country in total yards. Kent held Akron to just 3 points last year in this matchup. Your free play for Tuesday is on the OVER.

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:26 PM
Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY: BUFFALO/BOWLING GREEN OVER the total of 59

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:26 PM
Roz Wins ROZ's TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 17, 2020
Free Pick
302. Kent ST -25 (5 PT / 8 ET)

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:27 PM
Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play TUESDAY, November 17, 2020
CFB
301. Akron/Kent St UNDER 59.5 (5 PT / 8 ET)

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:27 PM
Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Tuesday : Take KENT/AKRON UNDER the total of 59

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:28 PM
Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Tuesday FB
Buffalo/Bowling Green under 61

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:28 PM
Huddle Up Sports

Free Play:
Akron/Kent State under 59' Tuesday

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:29 PM
High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Tuesday: Liberty Flames + 3 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:29 PM
Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Tuesday: Akron/Kent St OVER 59

Can'tPickAWinner
11-17-2020, 07:30 PM
John Anthony Sports

Free Selection: TUE

AKRON