Wednesday 11/18/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Mountaineer - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 Be a Lovely Day
Flashed pace and stayed on well enough behind an easy winner last time out when stepping up out of the maiden ranks for the first time. She draws a tricky rail post, but there may not be a ton of other speed here to hassle her early.


#9 Data Princess
Drops in for this one with some recent back efforts that stack up nicely with these, but I wouldn't want anything shorter than the ML offering to consider it.


#3 Astromelia
Distant second while facing better in that last one, and she has the tactical pace to work out a good trip behind the top choice.


Race Summary
Be a Lovely Day may appreciate getting back on dry land after fading late with similar in the mud last out, and she's an improving type with just the three races under her belt.


Mountaineer - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#7 Truffles and Gold
Second at this level a few starts back, he has some finishing ability in a race where most of the main players are speed or chasing types who can't pass horses. Gets up late at a price?


#1 Epic West
Has a right to be tough while coming back to face winners at a very reasonable level, but there is some other pace stacked up outside of him, and he could be vulnerable late at a short price.


#2 Two Dot
Graduated with a big run at Ellis, and this race shape should flatter him a bit as he moves back to the dirt for this one. Along late at a price?


Race Summary
Truffles and Gold can be a player in here at a price. He proved competitive with this kind not too long ago, and he has some finishing ability in a race that mostly lacks it.


Mountaineer - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#6 Lazarus Project
Claimed while in good form at Monmouth last out, and he isn't overmatched with this kind with a perfect tracking trip awaiting him tonight.


#7 Lovely Heir
Looks like the slight one to beat with some really good Thistledown tries, and he gets a good draw to prompt the pace from the break.


#4 Johnny U
Best stuff fits with these from close range, but he doesn't always back up his big races and might feel a bit overbet at anything like the 2/1 ML price.


Race Summary
Lazarus Project is a good with this these, and he gets a good draw for his running style. The hope is Lovely Heir and Johnny U take enough cash to leave him at a playable price.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Parx Racing - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#6 Writtenbythestars
Ness firster goes for a 12% debut barn and has a few solid drill showing, most notably the last 11/8 5F drill, and she won't have to be a freak to have a say here; call at first asking.


#8 A Bit Bad N Boujee
The best of the proven runnres was a decent enough 2nd on debut and could certainly improve, but it's not like she ran fast, and a few of these firsters look well meant; second-best.


#4 Trust Fund Girl
Servis firster starts for a barn that hits at 11% with debut runners, and this miss has a slew of AM drills to aid her chances, though the 3-1 ML seems way too low; mixed signals here.


Race Summary
Tab the tote on the 6, and the 4 as well, as we kick off the early Pk4, and if the money show son the former you can play her in all the slots and to kick off the sequences as well, since this is a wide open race, she looks well prepared, and a win in the 6-1 range would knock a lot of tickets out right off the bat.


Parx Racing - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#4 Confirmed Genius
Intriguing sort broke last-of-10 from the rail on debut and didn't fire when a distant 8th, but note she was part of a 9-5 entry, adds Lasix, keeps Pennington, goes for Butch Reid, who is 33% with second-out maidens, and drops in to the Pa-bred ranks as well; look out.


#7 Sail Above
Homebred goes for the trainer (Servis) and owners (Chapmans) that brought us Smarty Jones back in 2004, and while this miss won't be reaching those heights, she has some very snappy drills for a barn that is 11% on debut but 20% with 2yos; could be a runner.


#6 Blissful Behavior
Price player is the pick's stablemate, and she too is a second-out maiden, so that helps alleviate the bomb-job 9th behind her on debut, and with Lasix going on here she could wake up, at what figures to be a very attractive price as well; eligible to outrun her odds.


Race Summary
There's reason to think the 4 bounces back in a big way off her debut, which wasn't pretty, so if you can get 5-1 or so the risk-reward would be there, and warrant a play in all the slots, though you can get some built-in value by using her to kick off the middle Pk4 as well, since there's a lot of different ways to go here, and a win by a mid-priced contender would knock a lot of tickets out right off the bat.


Parx Racing - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#9 To the Flag
Speedster catches a big group that is somehow completely lacking early speed, and while she's tired of late, she won't have to work as hard early; here's hoping she forgets to stop.


#8 Sally O'Prado
The gal to beat drops in class and has run better figures than these, but she has a decided lack of early speed, which may leave her too much to do behind the pick; runs out of room.


#5 Beautiful Success
FL invader goes off the claim for Jeff Englehart, a strong 22% move, but her recent form has been iffy, and former trainer Acquilano is sharp, so she may be over the top; tread lightly.


Race Summary
Pace makes the race and there's just not much here to keep the 9 from making the point and widening from there, so play her in all the slots, and especially to end the late Pk4 as well, since she looks primed to lead these on a merry chase early on.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Dover Downs - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#4 ARTFUL DEAL
Looms forward factor throughout at a decent price.


#1 ROCKIN PATSY
Finished second in 3 of her last 6 starts, draws rail.


#7 SHOTGUN PERSUASION
Attempted early re-take, never cleared, back-pedaled through field.


Race Summary
Artful Deal took money and pressed the 4-to-5 favorite before tiring in the same spot. Her prior effort could be good enough if favorite Shotgun Persuasion runs as poorly as last week. Play a 4-ALL exacta.


Northfield Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#9 BAD OUTCOME
Good outcome predicted in dreadful field, today’s Best Bet.


#7 FEAR THE YANKEE
Finished second and third the last two times he stayed flat in September.


#2 BREATHTAKER
Second in 3-horse qualifier at Hoosier, draws favorably.


Race Summary
Bad Outcome broke stride last week, but in his three previous starts, he met a 1-to-9, 2-5 and even-money winner. His best effort should be plenty good enough to beat this field despite starting spot.


Northfield Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#6 GOODYGOODYTWOSHOES
Back in proper spot, second-time Lasix, one to beat.


#8 JUSTRESTINGMYEYES
Dueled long way, held third after two faves broke stride early.


#5 GOING GAA GAA
Hit board in 5 of 11 but been burning money along the way.


Race Summary
Goodygoodytwoshoes, runner-up in the Maryland Sire Stakes final two back, faced much tougher at Harrah’s Philadelphia last week. She gets second-time Lasix and should prove tough returning home.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park West - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#5 Friendly Fella
Has the speed to get out in front and he should be able to dictate the pace; won two of his last three and will be strong if he can come close to his last effort.


#2 January Won
Late move has don well going two turns at GP West with a win and a runner-up and is a deep closer.


#1 Purecrazidude
Stretches out to two turns and could improve; ran off the pace for a win going a one-turn mile at Gulfstream and should be able to run into contention.


Race Summary
Friendly Fella blasted foes going seven furlongs and was an easy winner the last time he went two turns; big player from the outset.


Gulfstream Park West - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#2 Richard the Great
Makes his first start since January, when he was sixth in the Sunshine Millions; enters this one fresh and likely will show enough speed to be the one to catch. Has the class to be strong here.


#1 Five of Hearts
Was up in time over N2L company last time and stakes a big step up; the win over the strip was impressive in his first off the claim for Rodriguez.


#6 Outshine
Was two back and was claimed, then ran against a much higher level and finished an decent fourth; can be a solid player as he turns back to seven furlongs.


Race Summary
Richard the Great ran in graded races and upper-claiming events over the past few years and drops to his lowest level. This 8 year old has plenty of good works to his credit and it looks like Alvarado has him ready to roll.


Gulfstream Park West - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#3 Worth Avenue
Didn't fire in the slop last time but had been in good form; has won a couple since being claimed by Rose and is solid at this level.


#7 Shes All Woman
Ran a big one over this strip last time as she battled for the lead and drew clear late; capable of a big effort.


#5 Uncaptured Ruby
Goes for her third straight win and comes in from Monmouth; was claimed two back by Breen and has been very good in her last three.


Race Summary
Worth Avenue can usually be counted on in normal track and weather conditions and has been a stalwart at this price. Fits here and can beat her younger rivals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing



Parx Racing - Race 4

Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta



Claiming $7,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 1:15P


(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 18 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * CHUCKLES: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. IT'S PAZIBLE: Horse has run a Good R ace within the last 30 days. GRAN CAUSEWAY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SARGEANT DRIVE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MARCH SCREAME R: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.



13

CHUCKLES

10/1


5/1




7

IT'S PAZIBLE

5/1


6/1




1

GRAN CAUSEWAY

8/1


8/1




9

SARGEANT DRIVE

2/1


8/1




3

MARCH SCREAMER

9/2


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




10

BILL'S MAFIA

10


20/1

Front-runner

75


67


82.4


43.8


19.3




4

TOO MUCH JOHNNIE

3


7/2

Front-runner

76


75


63.6


74.2


63.2




8

BIG BAD BUD

7


15/1

Front-runner

68


65


42.9


34.1


12.1




6

OVERBOLD

5


12/1

Front-runner

80


70


0.0


0.0


0.0




7

IT'S PAZIBLE

6


5/1

Stalker

76


78


77.4


72.4


60.9




9

SARGEANT DRIVE

9


2/1

Alternator/Stalker

82


71


50.8


67.6


61.1




3

MARCH SCREAMER

2


9/2

Alternator/Stalker

77


76


44.6


69.8


57.3




11

BEAU TRACE

11


8/1

Alternator/Stalker

79


69


43.4


64.2


49.7




13

CHUCKLES

13


10/1

Trailer

78


78


52.4


74.8


64.8




12

KING'S CASTLE

12


12/1

Alternator/Trailer

86


74


41.0


58.6


45.1




2

TU EXAGERES

1


15/1

Alternator/Trailer

77


75


40.6


60.0


42.0




1

GRAN CAUSEWAY

8


8/1

Alternator/Trailer

83


80


34.0


69.6


57.6




5

EL DULZURA

4


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

80


71


67.8


62.8


41.8




1A

QUALITY SPECIAL

14


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

84


79


38.9


35.1


20.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Churchill Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20500 Class Rating: 87

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLDS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 7 CONTINUUM 3/1




# 10 STAY HAPPY 5/1




# 1 MAKABIM 5/2




CONTINUUM is the strongest bet in this race. He has a strong distance/surface win record - 2 / 5. Could best this group based on the speed rating - 87 - of his last race. STAY HAPPY - He has been running soundly and the Equibase Speed Figs are among the strongest in this field. Has been racing solidly and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. MAKABIM - Conditioner boasts strong win figs at this distance and surface. Could best this group of horses based on the speed rating - 90 - of his last contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Mountaineer Park - Race #6 - Post: 8:50pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,300 Class Rating: 79

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 WATCH THE DIP (ML=6/1)
#4 TOWN DANCER (ML=3/1)
#8 NOT AGAIN JACKIE (ML=20/1)


WATCH THE DIP - Have to give this gelding a shot. Ran a good race last out within the last 30 days. TOWN DANCER - This gelding is sent through the entry box right back into a race in less than 10 days; this is a positive sign. Gelding is a few starts into a comeback here. Should give a nice effort today. NOT AGAIN JACKIE - I do like the fact this gelding is back in a race so quickly. Gelding is a few starts into a return to racing here. Should give a big race today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 EPIC WEST (ML=5/2), #6 LIGHTNING JACK (ML=7/2), #5 CIGAR BOX (ML=9/2),

EPIC WEST - This gelding hasn't been getting the job done as the favorite. Hasn't been on the Mountaineer Park oval in the last three weeks. Cause for some concern. LIGHTNING JACK - Awfully hard to play this questionable contender when he hasn't been showing any signs of readiness lately. Hasn't hit the board in any short distance events recently. Not likely to see him doing it this time out either. Quite unimpressive rating in the last race at Mountaineer Park at 1 mile. Don't believe this pony will improve too much in today's race. CIGAR BOX - Just can't wager on this vulnerable equine. Didn't show me anything in the last race or on October 24th.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #3 WATCH THE DIP to win if you can get at least 7/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,4,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [3,4,8] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park West



11/18/20, GPW, Race 8, 4.08 ET
11/18/20,GPW,8,5F [Turf] 00:54:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $17,000 (includes up to $2,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500, if for $10,500, allowed 2 lbs. (If deemed inadvisable to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at Five Furlongs).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
5
Took a Cab
6/1
Prado E S
Braddy J. David
FL
70
42.86
1.78/$1


098.0597
11
Must Be a Monster
12/1
Allen. Jr. R D
Bowersock Maria


70
42.86
1.78/$1


097.9034
7
Who Is Jarett
3/1
Vasquez M A
O'Connell Kathleen


70
42.86
1.78/$1


097.3634
4
Grand Union
4/1
Jaramillo E
Avila Juan Carlos


70
42.86
1.78/$1


096.6158
10
Shortlister(b+)
10/1
Reyes L
Pompay Teresa M.


70
42.86
1.78/$1


096.1901
16
El Gran Pichon
8/1
Meneses M
Ramirez Luis M.
T
70
42.86
1.78/$1


094.7935
12
Romario
30/1
Vasquez M A
Passley Mark
W
70
42.86
1.78/$1


093.4108
15
Discreet Tune
7/2
Lopez P
Orseno Joseph F.
E
70
42.86
1.78/$1


093.1589
1
Cagliari
10/1
Montalvo C
Matier Sandra


70
42.86
1.78/$1


092.9453
2
Cold Warrior
6/1
Zayas E J
Broome Edwin T.
S
70
42.86
1.78/$1


091.5143
6
Debbie's Road
12/1
Meneses M
Dwoskin Steven


70
42.86
1.78/$1


088.1954
8
Swingin On a Star
20/1
Fuentes M
Levy Tamara L.


82
37.80
1.66/$1


087.8123
9
Reinoanimaux
5/1
Rios J M
Toledo Humberto


70
42.86
1.78/$1


087.6691
13
Private Astray
30/1
Fuentes M
Ochoa Ernesto


70
42.86
1.78/$1


086.6750
3
Reaction Time
20/1
Lopez P
Croft Barry N.


70
42.86
1.78/$1


085.9067
14
Wordman
15/1
Arroyo A S
Serpe Philip M.
C
82
37.80
1.66/$1


Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 34.4800, ROI 1.6207/$1
. . . .
100.0000 5 Took a Cab
[Category]Condition
[AllTurf]LasixToday
If Race Is Off Turf Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
7
Who Is Jarett
3/1
Vasquez M A
O'Connell Kathleen
T
75
42.67
2.16/$1


096.8745
12
Romario
30/1
Vasquez M A
Passley Mark
W
69
34.78
2.14/$1


096.5750
6
Debbie's Road
12/1
Meneses M
Dwoskin Steven


75
42.67
2.16/$1


096.0204
10
Shortlister(b+)
10/1
Reyes L
Pompay Teresa M.


69
34.78
2.14/$1


095.6127
5
Took a Cab
6/1
Prado E S
Braddy J. David
L
75
42.67
2.16/$1


095.3115
16
El Gran Pichon
8/1
Meneses M
Ramirez Luis M.


69
34.78
2.14/$1


094.1599
11
Must Be a Monster
12/1
Allen. Jr. R D
Bowersock Maria
F
69
34.78
2.14/$1


093.7594
13
Private Astray
30/1
Fuentes M
Ochoa Ernesto


69
34.78
2.14/$1


093.4212
2
Cold Warrior
6/1
Zayas E J
Broome Edwin T.


75
42.67
2.16/$1


093.3344
15
Discreet Tune
7/2
Lopez P
Orseno Joseph F.


69
34.78
2.14/$1


093.2607
14
Wordman
15/1
Arroyo A S
Serpe Philip M.
C
69
34.78
2.14/$1


093.1996
4
Grand Union
4/1
Jaramillo E
Avila Juan Carlos


75
42.67
2.16/$1


091.6628
8
Swingin On a Star
20/1
Fuentes M
Levy Tamara L.


75
42.67
2.16/$1


091.3032
9
Reinoanimaux
5/1
Rios J M
Toledo Humberto


75
42.67
2.16/$1


090.5266
1
Cagliari
10/1
Montalvo C
Matier Sandra
E
75
42.67
2.16/$1


088.2460
3
Reaction Time
20/1
Lopez P
Croft Barry N.


75
42.67
2.16/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 22.4700, ROI 0.8258/$1
. . . .
100.0000 7 Who Is Jarett
[Category]Condition
[AllDirt]COM12CombinedMultipleConditions

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 550y on the Dirt. Purse: $5000 Class Rating: 63

QUARTER HORSE 550Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 3 ITSY BITSY QUICK 9/2




# 7 LAYNIS STAR 6/1




# 1 HICLASS CZECH 4/1




I think ITSY BITSY QUICK is a quite good choice. The odds may be right on this one. Have to wager on this gelding with the formidable earnings per start in longer quarter horse events. LAYNIS STAR - Should best this group of horses here, showing very strong numbers of late. Will most likely be one of the leaders of the bunch going into the midpoint of the competition. HICLASS CZECH - He has been running solidly and the speed figures are among the best in this group of animals. Very good shot today on Lasix.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Penn National - Race #3 - Post: 6:52pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 69

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#9 ALLISON K (ML=6/1)
#3 KIM (ML=15/1)
#1 BLAZING BROOKE (ML=5/1)


ALLISON K - Looking over this filly's PPs I see that the last time she tried this distance she got a speed rating that would be good enough to win today's contest. This filly is in top condition right now. Ran second last time around the track and comes back soon. I like to see consistency in a racehorse. Look at this filly's PPs. Almost always in the money. Johnston has a knack for picking up animals that can be improved. Fantastic win rate with animals off a claim, and they just picked this one up out of her last race. I like horses that return to a similar class level after dropping at least five class points like this one did last out. I believe she'll be competitive at this class level. Dropping 5 pounds from last race. Could be a deciding factor today. KIM - Don't throw this horse out due to her last affair at Finger Lakes where she finished fourth on a track listed as good. Expect better today. BLAZING BROOKE - Trainer McClellan moves this thoroughbred to a lower level to face weaker company. Look for a nice effort racing against these lower level horses.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 LIGHT MY PATH (ML=5/2), #8 SHECOR (ML=7/2), #4 PICASSO MOON (ML=9/2),

LIGHT MY PATH - Difficult to put any money on this mare on the win end. Likes to end up on the board though. Most unsatisfactory rating last time around the track at Penn National at 1 mile. Don't believe this horse will improve too much today. SHECOR - This racer ran a substandard speed rating in the last race. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely lose today running that fig. PICASSO MOON - Tough to take this mount at these odds after the finish position (third) in the last affair. This runner ran a common speed rating last time out. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely lose in today's event running that number.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#9 ALLISON K is the play if we get odds of 2/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

9 with [1,3]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,3,9] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hakeem Profit Event: (305911) Maccabi Tel Aviv at (305912) Real Madrid
Sport/League: BSKT
Date/Time: November 18, 2020 12PM EST
Play: Maccabi Tel Aviv +8.0 (-110)

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Nick Borrman Event: Denmark at Belgium
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: November 18, 2020 2PM EST
Play: Belgium (-140)
UEFA Nations League A
Belgium is off a very good 2-0 home win over England on Sunday. Their lineup is absolutely stacked with Romelo Lukaku up front, Kevin De Bruyne the best midfielder on the planet, Dries Mertens, Thorgan Hazard, Axel Witsel, Thomas Meunier, Youri Tielemans the list goes on and on. They are the #1 ranked team in the world according to FIFA and went a perfect 10-0 in their Euro qualifying group. They haven’t lost a home match since 2016.
Denmark is playing well at the moment also and are off a 2-1 home win over Iceland on Sunday. They lost to Belgium already in the reverse fixture back in September 0-2 and were only able to generate one shot on target while allowing Belgium six, and that was at home.
Denmark’s lineup is highlighted by Christian Eriksen in midfield with their strength being their backline consisting of Daniel Wass, Simon Kjaer and Leicester’s keeper Kasper Schmeichel. The problem though is they simply don’t have the attacking power of Belgium. Assuming Belgium strikes first, it forces Denmark’s hand which plays right into Belgium’s aggressive style and Denmark’s only advantage is taken away from them.
I think we are looking at a rather straight forward Red Devils win here.
TAKE BELGIUM TO WIN (ML or -0.5)
Line Parameter: 4% to -160 or -0.75

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Hunter Price Nov 18 '20, 2:45 PM in 13m
Soccer | Turkey vs Hungary
Play on: Hungary +248 at BMaker

1* Free Pick on Hungary +248

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Red Dog Sports Nov 18 '20, 2:45 PM in 13m
Soccer | Finland vs Wales
Play on: Wales -102 at pinnacle

Wales -102
Finland 1
Wales 2
The free soccer play takes place on Wednesday afternoon.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Nov 18 '20, 3:00 PM in 28m
Soccer | La Serena vs Cobresal
Play on: Cobresal -175 at 1BetVegas

1* Free Sharp Play on Cobresal -175

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Bobby Conn Nov 18 '20, 7:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Eastern Michigan
Play on: Toledo -6½ -110 at YouWager

1* Free Play on Toledo -6½ -110

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Jimmy Boyd Nov 18 '20, 7:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Eastern Michigan
Play on: Eastern Michigan +7 -110 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Eastern Michigan +7 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Nov 18 '20, 7:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Eastern Michigan
Play on: Toledo -6½ -110 at Mirage

Free Play on Toledo -6½ -110

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Kenny Walker Nov 18 '20, 7:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Eastern Michigan
Play on: Eastern Michigan +7 -107 at pinnacle

Free Pick on Eastern Michigan

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Brandon Lee Nov 18 '20, 7:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Eastern Michigan
Play on: Toledo -6½ -110 at Mirage

PICK - Toledo -6.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 311
My money is on Toledo to bounce back from that crushing loss at Western Michigan last week with a convincing win on the road against the Eagles. I just think since this line has moved under a touchdown, the value is with the Rockets.
I believe Eastern Michigan is getting some love after covering their first two, but they could have easily failed to cover both. They lost by 4 as a 5.5-point dog to Kent State and by 7 as a 8-point dog at Ball State.
One thing I'm certain of in this game, Toledo is going to have no problem moving the ball and putting up points. Eastern Michigan allowed 212 rushing yards and 219 passing yards in their opener at Kent State. They were lucky the Flashes didn't score more. In their next game they gave up 304 rushing yards and 232 passing yards to Ball State.
I know it's only two games, but the Eagles are allowing 258 rushing yards/game (5.3 yards/carry). They are also allowing opposing QBs to complete 71% of their attempts.
It's also worth noting that this has been a good spot to fade Eastern Michigan off that high-scoring game against Ball State. Eagles are 1-13 ATS last 14 home games after going OVER the total and 0-10 ATS in their last 10 at home after a game where 60 or more total points were scored. Give me the Rockets -6.5!

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ASA Nov 18 '20, 7:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Northern Illinois vs Ball State
Play on: OVER 61½ -112

ASA FREE PLAY ON: OVER 61.5 - Ball State Cardinals versus Northern Illinois Huskies, Wednesday at 7:00 PM ET - Each of Ball State's first two games have totaled 69 points. Northern Illinois enters this game having allowed an average of 44.5 points per game in its first two contests this season. The Huskies are allowing 6.99 yards per play which ranks near the bottom of the nation in terms of defensive efficiency. The Cardinals are averaging 77 plays on offense per game and they will likely wear out this struggling Northern Illinois defense as this game goes on. However, don't be surprised if the Huskies offenses fares better than many are expecting here. The Cardinals have allowed an average of 34.5 points per game this season and Northern Illinois did gain nearly 400 yards of offense against a strong Buffalo defense in week one. The Huskies put up 30 points on the Bulls and can certainly do some damage against a Ball State defense which is allowing 449.5 yards per game this season. FREE PLAY OVER 61.5 in Ball State

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Cole Faxon Nov 18 '20, 7:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Western Michigan vs Central Michigan
Play on: UNDER 59½ -110

FREE PLAY on Western Michigan/Central Michigan under 59½ -110

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Mike Williams Nov 18 '20, 7:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Eastern Michigan
Play on: Toledo -6½ -110 at YouWager

1* on Toledo -6½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Nov 18 '20, 7:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Western Michigan vs Central Michigan
Play on: Central Michigan +1½ -110 at Draft Kings

1 Dimer on Central Michigan +1½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns Nov 18 '20, 7:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Western Michigan vs Central Michigan
Play on: OVER 58 -109

These teams saw three of four meetings, from 2014 to 2017, finish above the total. The last two have been relatively low-scoring though, finishing with 45 and 46 points. We should see considerably more offense this evening. Through two games, the Broncos have scored 99 points. Themselves. Last week, they came back to win 41-38. The previous week, they won 58-13. While they haven't been able to do so the last couple of seasons, this year's Chippewas should be able to trade points with the Broncos. They've averaged 35 ppg, scoring 30 and 40. Expect plenty of fireworks and consider the Over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Nov 18 '20, 7:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Western Michigan vs Central Michigan
Play on: UNDER 59½ -110

Free Total Annihilator On Western Michigan vs Central Michigan under 59½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers Nov 18 '20, 7:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Eastern Michigan
Play on: OVER 61 -110

The set-up: EMU is 0-2 and Toledo is 1-1. Both teams have bowl aspirations and each is looking to bounce back. Toledo averages 38 PPG, but its weakness on the defensive side (last week it gave up two late TDs to WMU to fall 41-38.)
The picks: EMU though allows 32.5 PPG, which doesn't bode well facing this high-flying Toledo offense. Finally note that nine of these team's last 13 in the series against each other have also flown "over" the posted number. This one has "shootout" written all over it in my opinion, consider the "over."
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the OVER Toledo/EMU.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin Nov 18 '20, 7:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Eastern Michigan
Play on: OVER 61 -110

Toledo vs. Eastern Michigan Free Pick November 18, 2020
The Toledo Rockets have averaged 512 yards of total offense (11th) and scored 38 points in each of their first two games. Last time out they took a 41-38 loss at Western Michigan after giving up two late touchdowns, and I expect another high-scoring affair for the Rockets when they visit Eastern Michigan at Rynearson Stadium Wednesday night. The Eagles put up 477 yards of offense at Ball State last time out, but still lost 38-31.
Over is 6-2 in Rockets last 8 games overall. Over is 6-2 in Rockets last 8 games in November. Over is 9-3-2 in Eagles last 14 games overall. Over is 7-1-1 in Eagles last 9 games as an underdog.
Free pick on OVER.

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