Saturday 11/21/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
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College Basketball
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NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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Tech Trends - Week 12
Bruce Marshall

Week 12 of the College Football season kicks off on Tuesday, Nov. 17 with MACtion and concludes on Saturday Nov. 22.

We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Saturday, Nov. 21

INDIANA at OHIO STATE (FOX, Noon)
Indiana has covered the spread in 11 of its last 14 games since 2019 (Indiana 6-1 as underdog in last seven).
Indiana has won four straight games.
The road team has covered the spread in four straight games played between both schools
Ohio State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last eight games after covering the spread in eight straight prior.
Ryan Day has covered the spread in six of his last eight home games.

Tech Edge: Indiana based on recent and series trends.

CLEMSON at FLORIDA STATE (ABC, Noon)
This used to be a big game not long ago!
Clemson has won five straight games when facing FSU, while covering the spread in three straight against the Seminoles.
Clemson is 2-6 vs the line this year.
Clemson is 1-2 vs the line when facing a conference opponent on the road (9-1-1 in previous 11 vs spread when facing conference opponent on the road).
Mike Norvell has lost six of his last eight games with FSU, and is 1-5 vs. the line when playing in Tallahassee.
FSU has lost six of its last eight games as the underdog.

Tech Edge: Clemson based on team and series trends.

WAKE FOREST at DUKE (ACCN, Noon)
Wake Forest has won large in two straight games when facing Duke.
Wake Forest has covered the spread in three of its last four games when facing Duke.
Wake Forest has covered the spread in five straight games, and six of its last seven games.
David Cutcliffe is 2-5-1 over his last eight conference home games vs. the spread (includes Notre Dame last year).

Tech Edge: Wake Forest based on recent and series trends.

ILLINOIS at NEBRASKA (BTN, Noon)
Scott Frost lost six of eight games as the favorite last year.
Frost is 4-11 vs. the points since last year.
Lovie Smith has lost six of his last seven games since 2019 (3-4 vs. the line in those).
Smith has gone UNDER the point total in eight of his last 11 games (series has gone way OVER last two years).

Tech Edge: Slight OVER based on recent point total trends.

APP STATE at COASTAL CAROLINA (ESPN2, Noon)
Appalachian State is 1-6 vs the line this season, and 1-7 in last eight on board.
Appalachian State is 3-0 getting points as the underdog since 2018.
Appalachian State has won three straight games when facing Coastal Carolina, and has covered in two straight against the Chanticleers.
Coastal Carolina has won seven straight games, and has covered the spread in nine of its last 13 games since mid 2019.
Appalachian State has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last seven games, though this game saw 93 total points last year.

Tech Edge: Slight to Chanticleers based on recent trends.

EAST CAROLINA at TEMPLE (ESPN+, Noon)
ECU is 5-3 vs the spread over last eight road games, 2-2 this season.
ECU has lost five straight games when facing Temple, covering one of those games (2019).
Temple has failed to cover the spread in five of its last seven games on board since late 2019 (backdoor cover against UCF last week).

Tech Edge: Slight to Pirates based on recent trends.

MICHIGAN STATE at MARYLAND (BTN, Noon)
Mel Tucker is 5-12 since 2019 and 6-15 over his last 21 games vs. the number on the board since 2018.
Maryland has covered the spread in three of its last four games when facing Michigan State.
The road team has covered the spread in three straight games played between both schools.

Tech Edge: Maryland based on recent trends.

HOUSTON at SMU (ESPNU, Noon)
Dana Holgorsen is 9-9 vs. the spread since last year, and has lost 11 of his last 18 games.
Holgorsen has failed to cover the spread in four straight, and five of his last six games as the underdog.
Houston covered against SMU last season, but the Mustangs covered four straight years prior.
Sonny Dykes has won seven of his last 10 home games vs. the points.

Tech Edge: SMU based on team trends.

FLORIDA at VANDERBILT (ESPN, Noon)
Vanderbilt has failed to cover the spread in 13 of its last 19 games.
Vanderbilt has lost eight of its last nine home games vs. the line when facing an FBS-school.
Florida has covered the spread in three straight games when facing Vanderbilt.

Tech Edge: Rice based on team trends.

LSU at ARKANSAS (SECN, Noon)
Arkansas has covered the spread in two straight games when facing LSU.
Arkansas has won six of its last seven games vs. the line.
LSU is 2-3 vs. the line this year.

Tech Edge: Arkansas based on team trends.

GEORGIA SOUTHERN at ARMY (CBSSN, Noon)
Georgia Southern has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last 10 road games.
Army has gone UNDER the point total in 13 of its last 21 games.
Georgia Southern has gone UNDER the point total in eight of its last 10 games.
This game might go fast!

Tech Edge: Slight Army and UNDER based on team trends and point total trends.

FIU at WESTERN KENTUCKY (ESPN3, 2 p.m.)
Western Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 11 games.
FIU covered the spread in three straight games against Western Kentucky prior to last year's 20-14 loss.
Butch Davis has failed to cover the spread in 12 of his last 17 games since 2019.

Tech Edge: FIU based on recent trends.

RICE at NORTH TEXAS (ESPN3, 2 p.m.)
North Texas has failed to cover the spread in 18 of its last 23 games.
Rice has covered the spread in 12 of its last 20 games, and two straight when facing North Texas.

Tech Edge: Rice based on team trends.

UTSA at SOUTHERN MISS (ESPN+, 3 p.m.)
Southern Miss is 1-6 vs. the line this season.
Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games since 2019.
The road team has covered the spread in three straight games
Southern Miss has gone UNDER the point total in 10 of its last 13 games

Tech Edge: UTSA and UNDER based on team and point total trends.

ARKANSAS STATE at TEXAS STATE (ESPN3, 3 p.m.)
Arkansas State has won five straight games by 18 or more points when facing Texas State (covered in four of those games).
Texas State has covered the spread in three straight home games.
Despite last week's high total, Texas State has gone UNDER the point total in 20 of its last 29 games.

Tech Edge: Arkansas State and UNDER based on team and point total trends.

WISCONSIN at NORTHWESTERN (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
Northwestern has covered the spread in three straight games, and five of its last six games when facing Wisconsin.
Northwestern has covered or pushed the spread in seven straight games
Pat Fitzgerald has covered the spread in 17 of his last 27 games since 2016.
Wisconsin is 4-5 vs. the spread in last nine conference road games.

Tech Edge: Northwestern based on team and series trends.

CINCINNATI at CENTRAL FLORIDA (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
UCF has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 17 games since early 2019.
UCF has lost six of its last seven home games vs. number.
Cincinnati has covered the spread in four straight road games, and six of its last eight road games vs. the line.
Cincinnati won last year's meeting 27-24, but dropped three straight to UCF prior.

Tech Edge: Bearcats based on recent trends.

IOWA at PENN STATE (BTN, 3:30 p.m.)
James Franklin is 0-4 SU and vs. the line this year (2-7 over last nine since late 2019).
Penn State has won four straight games when facing Iowa.
Kirk Ferentz 16-8-1 vs the spread when facing an AP-ranked Top 25 Big Ten school on the road.

Tech Edge: Iowa based on recent trends.

CALIFORNIA at OREGON STATE (FS1, 3:30 p.m.)
California has covered the spread in seven of its last nine conference road games after last week's loss to UCLA.
Oregon State has seen the road team cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games.
Oregon State upset Cal in Berkeley last year, 21-17.

Tech Edge: Cal based on team trends.

TEXAS at KANSAS (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)
Les Miles is 0-6-1 vs. the line in last seven games, and 1-9-1 in last 11 on board.
Kansas has covered the spread in four straight games when facing Texas, and three straight against Tom Herman.
Kansas has gone OVER the point total in eight of its last nine games.
Texas has gone OVER the point total in 13 of its last 20 games.

Tech Edge: Slight Texas and OVER based on Kansas recent woes and point total trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE at NEVADA (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)
Nevada has won four straight games.
Nevada has covered the spread in three of its last four games.
Nevada has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 home games when facing an FBS-school.
San Diego State has gone UNDER the point total in 15 of its last 18 games since 2018.

Tech Edge: Nevada and UNDER based on team and point total trends.

MIDDLE TENNESSEE at TROY (ESPN3, 3:30 p.m.)
Troy has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 19 games since Chip Lindsey arrived.
Under Lindsey, Troy has failed to cover the spread in six of its last nine home games.
Middle Tennessee has covered the spread in four of its last six games.
Middle Tennessee has covered the spread in six of its last nine games as the underdog.

Tech Edge: MTSU based on team trends.

KENTUCKY at ALABAMA (SECN, 4 p.m.)
Alabama has covered the spread in three straight home games this year.
Kentucky has won seven of its last 10 games as the underdog.
Kentucky has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last seven games this year.

Tech Edge: Kentucky and UNDER based on team and point total trends.

KANSAS STATE at IOWA STATE (FOX, 4 p.m.)
Kansas State has won nine of its last 12 games as the underdog since last year.
Kansas State has won 24 of its last 32 games as the underdog.
Kansas State has covered the spread in five of its last six games this season.
Iowa State has lost five of its last six home games as the favorite.
Kansas State has covered the spread in two straight games when facing Iowa State.

Tech Edge: Wildcats based on team trends.

VIRGINIA TECH at PITTSBURGH (ACCN, 4 p.m.)
Virgnia Tech is 1-3 vs the line when playing on the road this year.
Virgnia Tech is 1-5 vs the spread over its last six road games.
Piittsburgh covered five straight games when facing Virginia Tech prior to last year's 28-0 loss to the Hokies.

Tech Edge: Pitt based on team and extended series trends.

GEORGIA STATE at SOUTH ALABAMA (ESPNU, 4 p.m.)
GSU has gone OVER the point total in six of its last eight games.
South Alabama has gone UNDER the point total in 15 of its last 20 games.
South Alabama is 10-5-1 over its last 16 games vs. the line

Tech Edge: Slight Jaguars and UNDER based on team and point total trends.

UNLV at COLORADO STATE (FS2, 5:30 p.m.)
UNLV has lost four straight games, and has failed to cover the spread in four straight games.
UNLV has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 11 conference road games.
Colorado State is 5-3 vs. the line when facing a conference opponent at home.
Colorado State has won and covered the spread in four straight games when facing UNLV (dating back to 2011).

Tech Edge: Colorado State based on team and extended series trends.

TENNESSEE at AUBURN (ESPN, 7 p.m.)
Tennessee has no wins or cover in four straight games after winning eight straight prior.
Gus Malzhan is 7-3 vs. the spread in last 10 home games.
Tennessee has gone UNDER the point total in 17 of its last 24 games.
Auburn has gone UNDER the point total in nine of its last 12 games.

Tech Edge: Auburn and UNDER based on team and point total trends.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at GEORGIA (SECN, 7 p.m.)
Mississippi State has failed to cover the spread in five straight games since opening win over LSU.
Mike Leach has failed to cover the spread in 16 of his last 21 games dating back to late 2018.
Georgia has seen the home team win five straight games vs. the line (Florida game considered neutral).
Kirby Smart has gone UNDER the point total in 14 of his last 20 games since last year.
Mississippi State has gone UNDER the point total in five straight games.

Tech Edge: UNDER and Georgia based on point total and team trends.

SAN JOSE STATE at FRESNO STATE (CBSSN, 7 p.m.)
San Jose State is 4-0 vs. the line this year, and 13-4-1 over its last 17 games.
Fresno State is 3-1 vs. the line, but 5-9-1 vs. the spread since early 2019.

Tech Edge: Spartans based on team trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at OKLAHOMA (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)
The road team has covered three straight games played between both schools, and seven of the last eight games as well.
Jeff Gundy has won 11 of his last 14 games as the underdog.

Tech Edge: Cowboys based on team and series trends.

MISSOURI at SOUTH CAROLINA (SECN Alt, 7:30 p.m.)
Missouri has seen the home team win five straight games vs. the line.
Missouri is 0-3 vs. the line when playing on the road.
Missouri has failed to cover the spread in eight straight road games going back to 2018.
South Carolina has covered the spread in four of its last seven conference home games.

Tech Edge: South Carolina based on team trends.

LIBERTY at N.C. STATE (ESPN3, 7:30 p.m.)
Liberty has won nine straight games.
Liberty has covered the spread in six of its last eight games, and nine of its last 12 games.
If getting points, note Hugh Freeze is 5-1 in his last six games as the underdog.
Liberty is 2-0 vs. the line when facing the ACC this year.
N.C. State is 4-0 vs. the line at home this season, and 6-2 overall.
N.C. State has gone OVER the point total in nine of its last 12 games.

Tech Edge: Slight Liberty and OVER based on recent and point total trends.

MICHIGAN at RUTGERS (BTN, 7:30 p.m.)
Jim Harbaugh is 8-13 vs. the spread over last 21 games (no wins or covers in last three games).
Michigan has lost two of its last three vs. the line when facing Rutgers since the 78-0 win in 2016.
Rutgers has covered two of its last four games this year.

Tech Edge: Rutgers based on recent trends.

ARIZONA at WASHINGTON (FOX, 8 p.m.)
Kevin Sumlin covered in opener vs. USC, but 3-9 vs. the spread last year and 2-4 when facing a conference opponent on the road.
After failing to cover against Oregon State last week, Washington is now 3-9 vs. the points when facing a conference opponent at home (1-9 exlcuding Washington State).
Washington won and covered the spread in Arizona last year, 51-27.

Tech Edge: Washington based on recent Arizona woes.

NAVY at SOUTH FLORIDA (ESPNU, 8 p.m.)
USF has seen the road team cover six of its last seven games (0-2 at home vs. the line).
USF has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 12 home games when facing an FBS-school.
Navy is 2-01 vs. the line when playing on the road, and is 7-2 vs. points away from Annapolis since early last year.

Tech Edge: Navy based on team trends.

WASHINGTON STATE at STANFORD (FS1, 11 p.m.)
Washiington State has won four straight games when facing Stanford, and has covered the spread in five srtaight games when facing the Cardinal.
Stanford has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 15 games.

Tech Edge: Washington State based on team trends.

BOISE STATE at HAWAI'I (CBSSN, 11 p.m.)
Boise State is 3-3 in last six road games as the favorite (went 36-16 in 52 games prior).
Hawai'i has lost 25 of its last 36 home games vs. the line since 2015.

Tech Edge: Hawai'i based on team trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Race of the Week: Sunshine Millions Turf Preview at GP West November 19, 2020 | By Jeremy Plonk
$60,000 SUNSHINE MILLIONS TURF PREVIEW
Saturday, November 21, 2020

The Lead:
A quartet of Sunshine Millions Preview grass stakes have been rescheduled for this weekend after wet weather wreaked havoc on Gulfstream Park West a week ago. Saturday's reshuffled lineup now includes the Sunshine Millions Turf and Juvenile Fillies Turf Previews. The Sunday card will include the Filly and Mare Turf and Juvenile Turf divisions. The 1-1/16 miles SM Turf Preview will be our focus and has lured a strong field of 10 looking to prepare for the Jan. 16 Sunshine Millions Day card at Gulfstream Park.

​Field Depth:
Defending champion GALLEON MAST leads a group of listed stakes winners that also includes SECOND MATE, SCRAPS, MONFORTE and MUGGSAMATIC. This is an evenly matched group on class.

Pace:
With speed from the rail (HERO UP) and the widest post 10 (MAX K.O.), along with SIR SEAMUS and MONFORTE in-between, this pace absolutely should cook. While late runners are never advantaged, they do get their best chance for success in situations like this with a very hot pace. I'll be leaning heavily on the closers.

Our Eyes:
GALLEON MAST and SECOND MATE ran 1-3 in this race a year ago, separated only by a neck. SECOND MADE has missed the board in a light, 2-race campaign since. GALLEON MAST has dropped 5 races in a row, not the worst streak you'll ever see, but notable with a horse who was 23-for-33 in the exacta lifetime entering 2020. GALLEON MAST's recent rider Emisael Jaramillo winds up on SIR SEAMUS, a winner in 3 of his last 4. But GALLEON MAST returns to pair with Paco Lopez, who rode him to last year's win as well as his only exacta finish of the current season. Certainly GALLEON MAST appeals most among this trio of contenders.

No one comes into the Turf hotter than MONFORTE, a winner in 6 of his last 7. The speedster has won the Bear's Den and Showing Up in recent starts, the latter just 2 weeks prior at Gulfstream Park West. MONFORTE will be under a lot of early pressure the way this pace shapes up, and he's never come home particularly fast in his races. I'll try to upend him in this spot because horses like all-or-nothing router MAX K.O. will be applying heat from the outside.

MUGGSAMATIC loves to win races, 10 of 29 lifetime and 4 of his last 8. He's been well-traveled for sharp stakes shopper Mike Maker in recent months, traveling to Monmouth and Kentucky Downs before returning to his Florida base. This is a local stakes winner over the course who is a solid finisher and will get plenty of pace to run down. He absolutely fits.

VENEZUELAN HUG did beat older horses when breaking his maiden at Gulfstream Park in April, but he's raced otherwise only against fellow 3-year-olds. His company lines in recent starts in the G2 Pennine Ridge and G1 Belmont Invitational Derby are significant, though overmatched in both. His pair of open-company allowance wins with big 102 and 101 BRIS late pace figures are what point him as a live wire late in the SM Turf Preview. Trainer Danny Gargan always has to be considered with his high-percentage offerings, and jockey Angel Arroyo was hot last week (25% wins a huge $2.97 ROI for every $1 bet. He had route winners pay $26 and $57).

Most Certain Exotics Contender: MUGGSAMATIC is a classy sort, course winner and has the right style to fit the race shape.

​Best Longshot Exotics Contender: VENEZUELAN HUG should be running late, and his best rally is faster than these. Looking for a price around 6 or 8-1.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll): $40 win VENEZUELAN HUG. $30 exacta box MUGGSAMTIC and VENEZUELAN HUG.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gryder the Rider & Del Mar Late Pick 4 Play November 20, 2020 | By Johnny D
Jockey Aaron Gryder recently bid ‘adios’ to travelling around in circles on the backs of horses. He says ‘it’s time.’ His decision. Unlike other professional athletes, jockeys aren’t ‘released’ by a team. Unclaimed on waivers. Victims of expired contracts. No one in particular informs jockeys when it’s time to hang up tack. They’re independent contractors…kind of…hired out afternoons, like limos or bicycles. Ultimately, when fewer and fewer people are willing to enlist you for a ride around the city or the park, that’s when you know it’s time to call it quits. Gryder, thankfully, stops a bit short of that day.

The life of a jockey is challenging in so many ways. For example, how’d you’d like to have to stand on a scale every day before work and have your weight then announced to the world? Gryder is 5’ 6” and that’s on the tall side for a jockey. He learned more a lifestyle and less a diet to cope but still knew how to ‘pull’ a few pounds on race days by jogging uphill in a sweat suit or by doing yoga, boxing or Pilates, he told Channel Guide Magazine in 2009.

And then there’s the danger. Jockeys can’t think about that and perform well. But the threat’s still there, lingering in the air like the faint smell of burnt rubber. Gryder’s fortunate. 50-years-old and joints moving pretty well, thank you, because…and now that he’s retired it can be said out loud…he’s been lucky to avoid serious injury. No knock on wood required. Why push the envelope?

Gryder’s tale is interesting. Born in West Covina, Ca, he first attended the races at Santa Anita with grandparents when he was less than half a decade old and spent time on the monkey bars in the track’s infield playground. He remembers immediately being attracted to the sport. At 13, an age when some coddled kids are met by parents while disembarking school busses on cul de sacs, Gryder moved to live, work and learn at former jockey Rudy Campas’ farm.

Campas was a perfect teacher. An affable 26-year riding veteran, retired from the saddle just two years before the fortuitous meeting with the youngster one morning at Santa Anita, Campas had been a Southern California fan favorite. He was short, even for a jockey, and round, built like a bowling ball. One afternoon, toward the end of his journeyman career, Rudy had failed to win on an odds-on choice around the bullring at the Pomona Fair. During the stretch-long walk back to the jockey’s room in front of the grandstand and apron he was heckled mercilessly. Inside, he complained loudly in his signature nasal tone, “Why the hell are they yelling at me? They should boo the filly. She’s the one that didn’t try.”

From across the room, the mercurial and often fined perennial Pomona riding champ Paco Mena offered advice, “Hey, Rudy, do what I do. Give them the finger. It costs you money, but you feel better.”

Campas and farm life taught Gryder what he needed to know and more. He didn’t just learn to ride; he earned a degree in horsemanship. Up and at ‘em at 4 a.m., taking care of the horses, Gryder learned about equines from the ground up and those lessons were invaluable when finally paid to partner on their backs.

Always a polite ‘yes, sir,’ ‘yes, ma’am’ kind of teenager, Gryder found early success riding races as an apprentice at Aqua Caliente in Tijuana, Mexico. It was a development path apprentice Corey Nakatani soon also followed to Hall of Fame consideration success. Naturally, the gringo winning ‘all the races’ south of the border attracted attention and Gryder was recruited to join exclusive riding ranks at Santa Anita, Hollywood Park and Del Mar that included Hall of Fame riders like Bill Shoemaker, Laffit Pincay, Eddie Delahoussaye, Chris McCarron, Sandy Hawley and more.

This writer was a member of the 1987 Santa Anita publicity staff when a young Aaron Gryder won, perhaps, the most memorable race of his career—a maiden event aboard a filly named Tom’s Sweetie. Never heard of her? No surprise. She didn’t do much other than to provide a young jockey with a Hallmark moment.

The morning before Tom’s Sweetie won at Santa Anita, Gryder’s father, who had been visiting SoCal to watch him ride, was about to drive back home to Sacramento. He noticed Aaron also leaving the house at the same time. He backed up his car, got out and spoke to his boy. “I love you, son. Go win a race for me tomorrow.”

That evening the 42-year-old father suffered a heart attack and died in a fatal car accident. Understandably, the teenage jockey was shattered by the loss of his loving dad but went to the track the next afternoon because a winning ride was the last thing his father had requested.

At that point this writer pretty much knew the kid would be a success. And he has been on and off the track. Here’s wishing he finds another foothold in this game/sport/business where he can share his experiences and his character. You have to admit, we can use the help.

Below is one man’s opinion regarding Del Mar’s Saturday Late Pick 4 sequence:

RACE 6 (5:57PM ET) // MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT // 6 1/2 FURLONGS (DIRT)

Late Pick 4 kicks off with an interesting 2-year-old Maiden Special Weight sprint at six and one-half furlongs.




#3 A Real Hero is a first-time starter that hails from the hot (3-5 at Del Mar) Michael McCarthy stable and has been working every seven days. He attracts the capable Umberto Rispoli to ride. Check workout reports for more ‘yeahs’ or ‘nays.’

#5 Empire House has a nice series of Golden Gate works for trainer Jonathan Wong. The trainer’s solid with first-time starters up north but hasn’t established a mark in the south, yet.

#6 Exotic West is a first timer from the Bob Baffert barn. Need any more info? Ok. He’s got a few Santa Anita works that are interesting, including a 1:00 from the gate and a 1:14 also from the gate. He blew out in 47 from the gate in his last prep for this. He’s the 9/5 morning-line favorite.

#7 Peachtree Road makes her second start for Richard Mandella and jockey Mike Smith. The outside post helps this filly that showed some run before folding in a five and one-half furlong debut in August behind the talented Princess Noor. Expect better this time.


RACE 7 (6:26PM ET) // OPTIONAL CLAIMING // 5 FURLONGS (TURF)

Five panels sprinting on the turf always is a challenging affair. This is a turf test in which nearly every starter has a poor turf record. One exception is #8 Caerulean.



#2 Hartel attracts Prat for Peter Miller—they bat 30% overall. Can’t sail the Pick 4 ship without this runner. Hartel hasn’t raced in about a year—so there’s that--but he departed competition showing a mid-pack running style and some fast figures.

#5 Combat Zone had trouble in his last race and usually can be counted on for an in-the-money performance at a decent price. He’s just 1 for 17 lifetime but has been in the money better than 50% of the time. He’ll be running late.

#8 Caerulean has speed and is dropping in for a tag for the first time out of state-bred maiden allowance races. The outside box is a plus as this one figures to show speed in an attempt to wire the field. There’s not a great deal of other speed signed on.


RACE 8 (6:55PM ET) // MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT // 6 1/2 FURLONGS (DIRT)

Seems like there’s plenty of pace in this six and one-half furlong event, so we’ll look for something from off the pace.



#2 Chipper always takes money and will again with jockey Flavien Prat for trainer Mark Glatt. Together they bat about 20% overall. The 3-year-old gelding has a nice even style of running that should work well in here.

#3 Brace for Impact is the 5/2 morning-line favorite with 4 seconds out of 6 tries. He’s got speed in a race that seems to have plenty of that commodity. May be worth taking a stand against him.

#4 Lil Richards Bello has failed as favorite the last 2 times out—second in both races on the main track. His only turf try wasn’t awful. He’s second choice on the morning line at 3-1.

#7 Square Root starts for Doug O’Neill and Reddam Racing with jockey Mario Gutierrez. Blinkers were added last out going one mile on turf for a speed and fade performance. First out also was on turf. Switch to the main track for this and we could see a wake-up performance.


RACE 9 (7:24PM ET) // CLAIMING // 1 1/16 MILES (TURF)

Pretty wide-open finale to close out the Saturday Late Pick 4. Here are a few suggested ways to go but you might also want to add something we’ve missed.



#1 Justin’s Quest could ride the rail to an exotics finish. He’s got 5 seconds from 12 starts, so he’s comfortable in the exacta. This is his first try on turf.

#4 Worthy Turk was second at the level last out, races for the always hot Peter Miller barn, has won 2 of 6 over Del Mar turf, and has not been worse than third in as many tries at the distance. All good stuff.

#7 Contagion gets a 7-pound weight break with apprentice Alexis Centeno. Toss his last when he broke from 11 of 12 going a mile on grass. He’s 1-3 on turf at Del Mar. Another with an outside exotic look.

#8 French Getaway fits in here, likes Del Mar turf (2-6) and the distance (2-3). He was second at about this level last out and a close third three back. Stuff to want on your side.

#11 Mithqaal is on the Also-Eligible list at this writing but would have to be considered if drawing in. The post is no bargain, but the 7-year-old has a win in four tries over Del Mar turf and has been no worse than third in four starts at the distance. Trainer Jonathan Wong hasn’t sparkled at Del Mar yet this fall, but he’s batting 27% overall and must be respected.


$0.50 DEL MAR SATURDAY LATE PICK 4 TICKET ($48.00)



Race 6: 3, 5, 6, 7

Race 7: 2, 8

Race 8: 2, 4, 7

Race 9: 4, 7, 8, 11


Race On!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis November 21, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
This is the last big card at the Meadowlands in 2020 with purses totaling almost $2.5 million dollars. There are eight stake races scheduled. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 begins in Race 6 and every leg is a stake. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

1-Sorella (3-1)-This is a 3-year-old facing older and that usually is a tough task. But this filly has had an outstanding season and should get a great trip from the rail. Has won 4 of 6 at the Big M with a 150.2 mark in East Rutherford this season and could get a pocket trip.
3-Plunge Blue Chip (9/5)-Has been off for 3 weeks and that should help. Likes the Big M and has been in the money in 10 of 13 starts with 4 wins. Svanstedt will probably leave and look to control the race with the program chalk When Dovescry starting from post position #6.

Race 7

1-Fire Start Hanover (2-1)-Razor sharp Nifty Norman pupil has won 8 of 12 this year. Likes to get on the engine and not look back. That will be script to follow tonight. Many will single and there is a strong case to do so.
3-Notorious Pink (5-1)-Edged out #11-JK Alwaysbalady last week and has come up with determined efforts in every start this year except the Crown Final on a sloppy track from post 9. Tetrick can work a good trip from this spot and should be right there at the wire.

Race 8

1-Caviart Ally (5-1)-The program chalk draws the 9 hole and will be using a few in this leg. This mare loves the Big M hitting the board in 18 of 23 with 10 wins. McCarthy will put in striking range and could surprise at a square price.
4-Shartin N (3-1)-Has been chasing Kissin In The Sand this year and has a chance to get some revenge with the benefit of this post draw. Does good work at the Big M, shows a 146.4 mark there and did win this race 2 years ago.
5-Peaky Sneaky (8-1)-Here is the lesser of the 2 Takter pupils but that is not a slight when the stablemate is Kissin In The Sand. Sneaky won the Crown Final and this 3-year-old is well worth a swing at 8-1.
9-Kissin In The Sand (2-1)-This is the finale for an outstanding mare who has won 6 straight. It's off to the breeding shed after tonight and she knows how to win from post 9. I'm shooting against her and more often than not that's a mistake. She could grind out the entire mile and win but it could be a challenge to get the top.

Race 9

2-Abuckabett Hanover (4-1)-Tuned-up nicely with a 54.2 back half and was able to stay on stride. Betting Line 2-year-old could beat this bunch if minds manners. McCarthy should have this colt forwardly placed throughout.
3-Summa Cum Laude (9/5)-Hasn't been able to beat Perfect Sting but did dead heat with him in the Crown Final and this is a really nice colt. Winner of 2 straight has been perfect at the Big M (4-4) and is the one to beat.
4-Southwind Petyr (5-1)-Came 2nd in the Matron Final and took the long way around. This is a good post for Petyr because he lacks early speed. Does have a win and a 2nd place finish in 2 starts here. Sears returns tonight and he knows well. Looking for a stalking trip and if there is a speed duel chances for success go up at a nice price.

0.50 Early Pick 4

1,3/1,3/1,4,5,9/2,3,4
Total Bet=$24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's National Best Plays - 11/21/20 November 21, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Best Plays for Saturday, November 21, 2020

Gulfstream Park West Fifth Race. Post time: 2:33 ET
3 – Venezuelan Hug (5-1)

Was no threat in the Belmont Derby-G1 last month but is much more realistically spotted today in this Florida-bred middle distance turf affair at Gulfstream Park West that promises a favorable race flow to compliment his closing style. The son of Constitution prefers patient handling and in a field loaded with pace-types the D. Gargan-trained 3-year-old should have every chance to produce a winning late kick. At 5-1 on the morning line he’ll offer wagering value in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

*

Woodbine Eighth Race. Post Time: 4:58 ET
1 – Field Pass (2-1)

Exits a series of much tougher races and today faces a group his best can handle in this year’s edition of the Ontario Derby-G3. A graded stakes winner in his only prior outing over a synthetic surface, the son of Lemon Drop Kid is favorably drawn on the rail and projects to enjoy an ideal ground-saving, pace-stalking trip. With speed figures good enough to win, he’s the logical top pick and is worth a play at or near his morning line of 2-1.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks Aqueduct - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#2 Lucky Lizzie
Mott miss didn't run an inch on debut on the dirt then moved to the turf and woke up, and now hasn't been seen in 363 days, but this is an 11% long layoff barn, there's no one here to fear, and that last 11/15 work says to take notice here; upset special.


#3 Snicket
Legendary money burner is 6-0-4-1 and has failed twice at odds-on, the last time at 1-5, so sure, she's best on paper and the most likely winner, but we've said that many times before and she's still trying to get her picture taken; backwheel time, again.


#4 Beautiful Karen
Heavy hitter was a good 3rd in her return off the long break, so that gives her a big recency edge on the pick, and she should also move forward off that run too, but the figure was slow, which means her margin for error is a slim one; tread lightly here.


Race Summary
The price will be right on the 2, and it needs to be as she is certainly looking up on the 3 and 4, but the risk-reward is there on a gal with a lot of upside, who faces a pair of favorites who aren't exactly that easy to trust, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well, since she'll get overlooked, which means a win would really blow things up right off the bat.


Aqueduct - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#6 Hieroglyphics
Class riser has won two straight and fits nicely with these on paper, so while he has to answer the class question, the price will be right to find out; hat trick time.


#3 Value Engineering
The chalk will be bet hard for Brown and Klaravich, and he's the most likely winner here, though at a short price he's got very little room for error; trying to beat.


#7 Mr Alec
Major player didn't fire in the G3 last time, so this drop makes sense, and his prior two were sharp, though that beatdown could have a lingering effect; not sold on.


Race Summary
You'll get fair value on the 6, even though he's been winning for fun, as the favorites will be thought to be a bit too classy, but the pick is getting good again, and was once a real runner, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he's in raging form and may be able to take another jump, which would put him right on the line with the 3 and 7.


Aqueduct - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#3 Postulation
The speed will be loose here and has run big in the past, and the two favorites don't have a lot of early lick, so at a big number, here's hoping he forgets to stop; bombs away on the engine.


#4 Sadler's Joy
G1 winner won this last year and is the clear horse to beat off the 3rd in the G1 last time, but his lack of speed is a real worry, and he's no win machine either; runs out of room in the lane.


#10 Red Knight
Heavy hitter has beat the pick in two straight and is another who will roll late, but he's also another with no speed, and a wide draw too, so he's going to be left with a lot to do; will be rolling.


Race Summary
There's just no one here to keep the 3 honest, so he'll clear on the lead, and while he's not as good as the 4 or 10, the race flow really points to him, and he'll be a big, big price too, so give him a look in all the slots, and in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he could get brave, and a win would really blow up both sequences.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Laurel Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#2 Let's Play Nine
Didn't show much in the comeback run while trying stakes company, and he should be able to control the tempo here while stretching around two turns.


#7 Tattooed
Drops after outrunning his 45-1 price in a stakes try last out, and his baseline two-turn effort is good enough to win in this spot.


#4 Galerio
Should get a really nice run tracking the top choice, and while this probably the guy to beat, the price might get too short compared to his realistic chances of winning this.


Race Summary
Let's Play Nine should be quick enough to find the front, and he can bounce back after never getting involved against stakes company off the layoff last out.


Laurel Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#5 Patriotic Punch
Reliable finisher has proven to be a really sharp claim for this team, and she proved a good fit at this level last time out when finishing second. Better price today?


#7 Fille d'Esprit
Would probably want a bit better than the ML offering here, as she's taking another significant step here into open company, but it's tough to argue with her overall form.


#10 Escape Fund
Draws well to spy the speed, and while her overall form is spotty, her best stuff stacks up well with these at what should be a fair price.


Race Summary
Patriotic Punch has been going really well since being claimed, and if she's offering anything like the 4/1 ML price, that'd be a fair gamble with these.


Laurel Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#3 Amen Corner
Think there is a mild chance that the pace all comes back late in this spot, and this guy should be a nice number with a chance to come running late.


#5 Pretty Good Year
Finisher tends to show up late, and he's another who would benefit if any kind of early battle developed.


#4 Beyond the Victory
Doesn't need the lead, but he does do his best work there, and he might be a bit better-suited to a one-turn trip.


Race Summary
Amen Corner has spotty form, but his best stuff would fit here and the race shape may end up suiting his style well enough to make some noise at a price.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#5 REVOLT
Sat good trip, lacked stretch kick, batting 7-for-16 this year.


#3 DENALI SEELSTER
Took money, ran evenly with Lasix, switches pilots again.


#7 MENLO PARK
Upstaged series of seconds with last-to-first move from post 8.


Race Summary
Revolt took back early to find a seat, worked out a perfect cover trip, but was out-kicked by the favorites in the stretch. He won 3 of his previous 5 starts from farther off the pace. Play 5-3 and 5-7 exactas.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#3 HIDDEN DELIGHT
Gets class relief, moves outside in, should be in hunt late.


#2 BETTOR B GOING
Late kick produces two seconds and a third in his last four starts.


#10 HIGHLANDBEACHLOVER
Missed time ‘sick,’ draws post 10, but still merits respect in repeat bid.


Race Summary
Hidden Delight, no factor against better from posts 7 and 8, won his only race this year prior to that, pacing a :27.3 final quarter to prevail in a blanket finish. He’s as good as any in here and offers fair value. Play 3-2 and 3-10 exactas.


Meadowlands - Race #13


Picks
Notes


#10 CHEYENNE RYAN LEE
Chased 8-1 winner, held second through fast back half mile.


#7 ANOTHER DAILY COPY
Sped clear from post 10, re-emerged late from pocket to just miss.


#2 BILLY BADGER
Paced evenly but willingly in well-bet try from the rail.


Race Summary
Hoping Cheyenne Ryan Lee or Another Daily Copy can duplicate their big efforts from post 10. Cheyenne Ryan Lee finished second through a :54.3 back half and offers the better value. Another Daily Copy cleared easily to the lead, then battled back late from the pocket. Play a 2-7-10 exacta box.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park West - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#7 Galleon Mast
Hit in the board in his last three stakes and his last win came in the 2019 edition of this race; has a good enough late move to prevail.


#8 Monforte
Won seven of his last 10, including his last two; won the Showing Up Stakes here last time and can mix it up with older rivals.


#10 Max K.O.
Was razor sharp in a gate to wire score last out here and can be troublesome to any others trying for the lead.


Race Summary
Galleon Mast is a proven battler from the back of the pack and can benefit from a rapid pace.


Gulfstream Park West - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#1 Viva La Reina
Cruised in her only start, which was a race contested in the slop after being taken off the turf; daughter of Animal Kingdom can answer the call in this turf event and will dig in vs. these.


#4 Sweet Souper Sweet
Closed strongly and won a stakes race at Presque Isle last out; was unsuccessful in her only turf try, which came at Saratoga.


#2 Quinoa Tifah
Was an easy winner last out in the slop and had tried the toughs at Saratoga; big player vs. Florida-breds.


Race Summary
Viva La Reina was an impressive maiden winner and can battle well from the inside here; should have no problem adapting to turf.


Gulfstream Park West - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#1 Money Come
Set the pace and was caught late vs. similar last time; won here three races back and can lead throughout.


#7 Young Raymond
Has a good late run and can be the one to look for if a rapid pace develops; gets Lopez and is worth watching in the final furlong.


#5 Slick Star
Hit the board in his last five races and comes off a good second; has the speed to be in the hunt at once.


Race Summary
Money Come is extremely fast and can be in good position along the rail; his best effort wins it.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 12

13 of Saturday’s best games
UCLA (1-1) @ Oregon (2-0)
— UCLA lost its road opener 48-42 at Colorado, after trailing 35-7 at one point.
— Bruins split their first two games, scoring 75 points.
— UCLA has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Bruins have 61 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UCLA’s junior QB is making his 22nd career start.
— Under Kelly, Bruins are 6-5 ATS as a road underdog.

— Oregon won its first two games, scoring 35-43 points.
— Ducks ran ball for exactly 269 yards in both games.
— Oregon has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Ducks have 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Oregon has a soph QB with two starts.
— Under Cristobal, Ducks are 6-7 ATS as a home favorite.

— Chip Kelly was 46-7 coaching Oregon from 2009-12.
— Oregon won seven of last eight series games.
— Favorites covered five of last six series games.
— Bruins lost their last six visits to Eugene (2-4 ATS).
— Pac-12 underdogs are 6-3 ATS.

Iowa (2-2) @ Penn State (0-4)
— Iowa won its last two games, by combined score of 84-14.
— Hawkeyes’ two losses are by combined total of five points.
— Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Iowa has 108 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hawkeyes have a soph QB this year, with 4 starts.
— Since 2013, Iowa is 17-5-1 ATS as a road favorite.

— Penn State lost its first four games, giving up 34.8 ppg.
— Nittany Lions have been minus in turnovers every game (-6).
— PSU has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Penn State has 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Nittany Lions yanked their starting QB (16 starts) LW; if they play the soph backup, it’ll be his first college start.
— Since 2012, Penn State is 4-2 ATS as a home underdog.

— Penn State won its last six games with Iowa, last three by 5-6-2 points.
— Hawkeyes are 1-3-1 ATS in last five visits to Happy Valley.
— Big 14 home underdogs are 5-9 ATS this year.

Wake Forest (4-3) @ Duke (2-6)
— Wake won three of its last four ACC games, after an 0-2 start.
— Deacons were outgained 742-606 in their 59-53 loss at UNC last week.
— Wake has 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Deacons have 59 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wake has a sophomore QB with 16 career starts.
— Deacons 2-6 ATS in last eight games as a road favorite.

— Duke split its last four games, after an 0-4 start.
— Blue Devils ran ball for 363-274 yards in their two wins; they’re 0-6 running ball for 185 or fewer yards.
— Duke has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Blue Devils have 102 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Duke has a junior QB with eight starts; he has 7 TD’s, 12 INT’s.
— Blue Devils are 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home underdog.

— Wake Forest won three of last four games vs Duke, scoring 98 points last two series games.
— ACC home underdogs are 12-6 ATS.

Cincinnati (7-0) @ Central Florida (5-2)
— Cincinnati is 6-0 vs I-A teams, with all six wins by 14+ points.
— Bearcats ran ball for 313-242-341-298 yards in last four games.
— Bearcats have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Cincinnati has 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cincy’s junior QB has 32 career starts.
— Cincinnati is 5-7 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite.

— Central Florida won last three games, scoring 44.3 ppg.
— Last week was first time UCF gained fewer than 632 yards.
— Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— UCF has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Knights have a sophomore QB with 19 career starts.
— This is first time in four years that UCF is a home underdog.

— UCF lost 27-24 at Cincy LY, their first loss in last four series games.
— Bearcats lost 38-13/24-3 in last two visits to Orlando.
— Favorites covered four of five series games.
— AAC home underdogs are 4-6 ATS this season.

Appalachian State (3-0) @ Coastal Carolina (x-x)
— App State won its last five games, since a 17-7 loss at Marshall.
— ASU allowed 15 ppg in its last four games.
— App State has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— ASU has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
— App State has a senior QB with 33 career starts.
— ASU covered its last four games as a road underdog.

— Coastal won its three Sun Belt home games by a combined 104-43.
— Chanticleers allowed total of 20 points in last three games.
— Coastal has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Chanticleers have 109 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Coastal’s freshman QB has 16 TD passes, one INT.
— Chanticleers are 3-6 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite, 2-1 TY.

— App State won last three series games, scoring 38.7 ppg.
— ASU won 23-7 (-14.5) in its last visit here, two years ago.
— Sun Belt home favorites are 8-9 ATS this year.

Indiana (4-0) @ Ohio State (3-0)
— Indiana won its first four games, scoring 33.8 ppg.
— Hoosiers won their road games, 37-21/24-0.
— Indiana threw for 662 yards in their last two games.
— Hoosiers have 8 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Indiana has 46 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Indiana has a soph QB with 10 career starts.
— Last 2+ years, Hoosiers are 5-0 ATS as a road underdog.

— Ohio State won their first three games, scoring 47.3 ppg.
— Buckeyes are running ball for 211 yards/game.
— Buckeyes have 6 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— OSU has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ohio State’s junior QB has started 17 games.
— Under Day, OSU is 6-3 ATS as a home favorite.

— Ohio State won its last 19 games with Indiana, but the Hoosiers covered seven of last nine series games.
— Indiana covered its last five games in the Horseshoe.

Liberty (8-0) @ NC State (5-3)
— Liberty won its first eight games, with two ACC wins (Syracuse/Va Tech)
— Flames gave up 215-201 YR vs Southern Miss/Virginia Tech.
— Liberty scored 30+ points in all six of their I-A games.
— Flames have 5 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Liberty has 96 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Liberty’s junior QB is an Auburn transfer; he has started 8 games.
— Since 2010, Flames are 15-6 ATS as a road underdog.

— NC State allowed 44+ points, in all three of their losses.
— Wolfpack is 5-0 when they allow less than 44 points.
— Wolfpack has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— State has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wolfpack has used couple of QB’s this year.
— Since 2018, State is 8-6 ATS as a home favorite.

— These teams haven’t me in the last 20 years.

Michigan (1-3) @ Rutgers (1-3)
— Michigan lost its last three games, giving up 38 ppg.
— Wolverines split their two road games, losing 38-21 at Indiana.
— Last two games, Michigan is minus-4 in turnovers.
— Michigan has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Wolverines have only 17 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Michigan is playing a soph QB, with four career starts.
— Under Harbaugh, Wolverines are 9-11 ATS as a road favorite.

— Rutgers lost its last three games, allowing 36.3 ppg.
— Scarlet Knights allowed 541 rushing yards in their last two games.
— Rutgers lost both its home games, 37-21/23-20.
— Scarlet Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Rutgers has 34 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Rutgers’ junior QB has started six games.
— Scarlet Knights are 0-4 ATS in last four games as a home underdog.

— Michigan won its last five games with Rutgers (3-2 ATS), winning last two by a combined score of 94-7.
— Michigan covered one of its last three visits to the Garden State.

USC (2-0) @ Utah (0-0)
— USC won its first two games, by a combined total of five points.
— Trojans gave up a combined 836 yards in the two games.
— USC threw for 706 yards in their two wins.
— Trojans have 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— USC has 64 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Trojans have a soph QB has started 13 games.
— Since 2015, USC is 10-7 ATS as a road favorite.

— This is the season opener for Utah, the last I-A team to play a game.
— Utah has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Utes have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Utah has a new quarterback this year.
— Since 2012, Utah is 6-4 ATS as a home underdog.

— Home side won last seven USC-Utah games.
— Trojans lost their last three visits to the Beehive State.

Washington State (1-1) @ Stanford (0-2)
— WSU split its first two games, giving up 71 points.
— Wazzu allowed 1,032 TY in those two games.
— Coogs have 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— WSU has 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Coogs have a freshman QB with two starts; he is playing really well.
— Wazzu is 11-6 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.

— Stanford lost its first two games, 35-14/35-32.
— Cardinal allowed 928 yards in those two games.
— Cardinal has 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Stanford has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cardinal has a junior QB with 8 career starts.
— Since 2016, Stanford is 8-13 ATS as a home favorite.

— Washington State won last four series games, scoring 39 ppg.
— Coogs covered four of last five visits to Palo Alto.

Wisconsin (2-0) @ Northwestern (3-0)
— Wisconsin won its first two games, by a combined 90-18.
— Badgers outgained first two opponents, 938-437
— Badgers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Wisconsin has 50 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wisconsin has a freshman QB, with two starts.
— Since 2015, Badgers are 15-4 ATS as a road favorite.

— Northwestern won its first four games, allowing 14 ppg.
— Last three games, Wildcats gained only 297.3 ypg.
— Wildcats have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Northwestern has 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Northwestern has a senior QB with 27 career starts.
— Wildcats are 4-7-1 ATS in last 12 games as a home underdog.

— Underdogs covered five of last six series games.
— Underdogs are 4-1 ATS in series if spread was single digits.
— Wisconsin won three of last four series games.
— Badgers covered once in their last eight visits to Evanston.

Oklahoma State (4-1) @ Oklahoma (5-2)
— Oklahoma State won five of six games, losing 41-34 at home to Texas.
— OSU’s last three games were decided by total of 14 points.
— State allowed 21 or fewer points in all its wins.
— Cowboys have 7 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— OSU has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cowboys’ soph QB has started 16 games.
— OSU is 6-2 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.

— Oklahoma won its last four games, scoring 52.5 ppg.
— Sooners scored 35-30 points in their two losses.
— Oklahoma allowed 40 ppg in first three Big X games, 17 ppg in last three.
— Sooners have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Oklahoma has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Sooners have a freshman QB with 7 career starts.
— Oklahoma is 7-8 ATS in last 15 games as a home favorite.

— Sooners won last five series games, scoring 48 ppg.
— State covered three of last four visits to Norman.
— Big X home favorites are 12-8-1 ATS this season.

Tennessee (2-4) @ Auburn (4-2)
— Tennessee lost its last four games, giving up 37.5 ppg.
— Vols score9 31-35 points in first two games, 14.5 ppg in last four.
— Vols have 9 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Tennessee has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Vols have a senior QB with 31 starts.
— Tennessee is 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.

— Auburn hasn’t played in three weeks.
— Tigers won their last two games, scoring 35-48 points.
— Auburn is 0-2 when they score less than 30 points.
— Tigers have 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Auburn has 56 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers have a soph QB with 19 career starts.
— Auburn is 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a home favorite.

— Auburn won six of last seven series games.
— Vols covered three of last four visits to Auburn.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College Football Odds Week 12: Opening lines and sharp money
Patrick Everson

Wideout Whop Philyor and No. 10 Indiana hope their surprising season continues Saturday at No. 3 Ohio State. But oddsmakers aren't seeing it, as the Buckeyes are 20.5-point favorites in the Big Ten clash.

College football odds for Week 12 are on the betting board and getting action, with a few games of note. At the top of the list, perhaps surprisingly, is upstart and undefeated Indiana traveling to the Horseshoe to face fellow unbeaten Ohio State.

FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 12 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

These are the current College football Week 12 odds for the premier games on the schedule.

https://www.bettorschat.com/forums/attachment.php?attachmentid=10471&d=1605626781

UCLA at (13) Oregon odds
Opening line
Oregon -14.5, Over/Under 64.5

Why the line moved
The Ducks opened -14.5 at FanDuel and haven't budged through Monday night, meaning early action is probably light, considering that 71 percent of bets and 83 percent of money are on Oregon. The total is already up to 66.5, with 90 percent of bets and practically every dollar on the total running to the Over.


(7) Cincinnati at Central Florida odds
Opening line
Cincinnati -4.5, Over/Under 61.5

Why the line moved
This line is pinned at Cincinnati -4.5 Monday night, with no movement so far, although point-spread ticket count and money are both running well beyond 9/1 on the Bearcats. The total is seeing similar betting splits on the Over, but the number hasn't yet moved off 61.5.


(4) Clemson at Florida State Odds
Opening line
Clemson -31.5, Over/Under 67.5

Why the line moved
Trevor Lawrence returns from a bout with COVID-19, and that's led to three more points being added to this spread, with Clemson already up to -34.5. Seventy percent of early tickets and 88 percent of early dollars are on the Tigers. The total is down a point to 66.5, with 67 percent of bets on the Over, but 70 percent of money on the Under.


(10) Indiana at (3) Ohio State odds
Opening line
Ohio State -19.5, Over/Under 64.5

Why the line moved
It might be the Game of the Week in college football, and yet it's a hefty double-digit spread. The Buckeyes moved to -20.5 Sunday evening, and that's where the number is Monday night, with ticket count more than 6/1 and money beyond 3/1 on Ohio State. The total is stuck at 64.5, but early tickets and early money are running more than 9/1 on the Over.


(19) USC at Utah Odds
Opening line
Southern California -3.5, Over/Under 56.5

Why the line moved
The Trojans dropped a point to -2.5 Monday afternoon at FanDuel and are still there Monday night, despite 2/1 tickets and practically every early dollar on USC. The total is up a point to 57.5, with tickets 3/1 and, much like the spread, almost all the money on the Over.


(12) Wisconsin at (20) Northwestern odds
Opening line
Wisconsin -6.5, Over/Under 45.5

Why the line moved
Wisconsin is a mere 2-0, but the second of those games was last weekend's 49-11 boatracing of Michigan at the Big House. So it's no surprise to see the Badgers up to -8.5 Monday night at FanDuel, with tickets and money 9/1 on Wisconsin. The total went two points the other way, to 43.5, though tickets are 6/1 and money 3/1 on the Over.


Kentucky at (1) Alabama odds
Opening line
Alabama -29.5, Over/Under 57.5

Why the line moved
Alabama got an unplanned bye last week due to LSU dealing with COVID-19 issues. The initial move on this line was toward the big 'dog Kentucky, as 'Bama dipped to -28.5. On Monday night, the line is at Alabama -30.5 on two-way action, with the Crimson Tide taking 53 percent of bets and 54 percent of money. The total is up to 58.5, with ticket count nearly 4/1 and almost every dollar so far on the Over.


(5) Florida at Vanderbilt odds
Opening line
Florida -30.5, Over/Under 68.5

Why the line moved
The Gators are up a point to -31.5 at FanDuel on Monday night, with 71 percent of tickets and 80 percent of money on Florida. The total bounced around a bit early, from 68.5 to 66.5 and back to 68.5, with 72 percent of bets and 91 percent of money on the Over.


(14) Oklahoma State at (17) Oklahoma odds
Opening line
Oklahoma -9.5, Over/Under 58.5

Why the line moved
The Bedlam line is on the move early at FanDuel, down to Sooners -5.5 Monday night, though 56 percent of bets and 77 percent of dollars are landing on Oklahoma. The total moved from 58.5 to 60.5, then to 59.5, with ticket count and money both more than 9/1 on the Over.

Kansas State at (16) Iowa State odds
Opening line
Iowa State -7.5, Over/Under 49.5

Why the line moved
It's another Big 12 line making a big early move, though in this case, the number is stretching out, with Iowa State up to -11.5 at FanDuel. Through Monday night, tickets and money are both in the 3/1 range on the Cyclones. The total opened at 49.5 and hit 50.5 a couple of times, then headed the other way, and it's at 46.5 Monday night. Ticket count is 3/1 on the Under, and practically all the early money is on the Under, as well.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan Event: (207001) Hamilton Academical at (207002) Dundee United
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: November 21, 2020 10AM EST
Play: Dundee United -135
PLAY: DUNDEE UNITED ML -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Merril Event: (357) Indiana at (358) Ohio State
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: November 21, 2020 12PM EST
Play: Ohio State -20.5 (-110)
-Indiana is a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS, but that has come against an extremely weak schedule
-Hoosiers' 33.8 ppg on offense is very misleading as they average just 4.9 yppl and 2.7 ypr
-Ohio State comes in fresh and ready off a bye; expect a big effort against a ranked team
-Buckeyes average 7.5 yards per play at home vs. defenses that allow just 5.7 yppl overall
Play OHIO STATE (-).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gianni the Greek Event: (375) Rice at (376) North Texas
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: November 21, 2020 2PM EST
Play: Rice -1.0 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nick Borrman Event: Dortmund at Hertha Berlin
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: November 21, 2020 2PM EST
Play: Dortmund (-150)
Germany Bundesliga
Dortmund is off to a strong 5-2 start with a 15:5 goal differential and have the 2nd most xP in the league thanks to #4 ranked offense and #2 ranked defense. When most people think of Dortmund, they immediately think offense, which is true. But most people forget just how good they can be defensively as well.
Last year they were 4th in the table in xGA and really improved in the 2nd half of the season. They allowed just 16 goals in the final 17 games of the year after allowing 24 in the first 17 games. Besides their 2-3 home loss to Bayern in their last game, they have only allowed one other team to score on them this season as they already have five clean sheets thru seven games.
Hertha Berlin won 3-0 at Augsburg in their last game before the international break, snapping a five game winless run. They are right in the middle of the table in terms of xG and xGA just like they finished last year where they finished #10 in the table.
By the numbers you can see how they faired last year and so far this season:
Dortmund Hertha Berlin
Last Year
+43 Goal Diff -11 Goal Diff
1.89 xG | 1.23 xGA 1.30 xG | 1.63 xGA
This Year (7 games)
+10 Goal Diff +0 Goal Diff
2.07 xG | 0.73 xGA 1.55 xG | 1.56 xGA
Dortmund has won three straight over Hertha Berlin including both games last season and I like their chances of doing it again on Saturday.
TAKE DORTMUND TO WIN (ML or -0.5)
Line Parameter: 4% to -0.75. Pay up to -170 to get -0.5 or the ML or pay up to -140 to get -0.75

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ralph Michaels Event: (385) UTSA at (386) Southern Miss
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: November 21, 2020 3PM EST
Play: Southern Miss +9.0 (-110)
POWER RATING PLAY
Southern Miss + UTSA
Line is too high for this Road Runner squad as an Away Fav.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oskeim Sports Event: (385) UTSA at (386) Southern Miss
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: November 21, 2020 3PM EST
Play: UTSA -9.0 (-110)
Southern Mississippi has had the most tumultuous season that I can remember in this business. The Eagles' head coach unexpectedly resigned after their season-opener and the interim head coach left for Austin Peay shortly thereafter. Meanwhile, Southern Mississippi lost its starting quarterback, Jack Abraham, to a season-ending injury and backup Tate Whatley is questionable for Saturday's game with a concussion. There is a distinct possibility that third-string quarterback Trey Lowe, a West Virginia transfer who was 6-of-14 for 67 yards last week, will be under center.
UTSA is one of the most improved teams in the nation and enters off a 52-21 win over UTEP. The Road Runners amassed a school-record 600 yards and allowed a season-low 246 yards in the contest. Quarterback Frank Harris accounted for a career-high five touchdowns and the Road Runners trail UAB by just 1/2 game in the Conference USA West.
With Southern Mississippi standing at 1-9 ATS in its last ten games overall, lay the points with the Road Runners and invest with confidence.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Carmine Bianco Event: (200061) West Bromwich at (200062) Manchester United
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: November 21, 2020 3PM EST
Play: Manchester United -1.5 (+100)
EPL - West Bromwich at Manchester United
Quick Synopsis: Round 9 of the PL season and Manchester United still seek their first home win after 3 losses and a scoreless draw and welcome a West Brom side that sit bottom 3 in the league after their promotion. United picked up a much needed win after a home loss to Arsenal and an away upset loss to Turkish side Basaksehir in Champions League play. They'll come back from the international break and should have Rashford back from a shoulder injury to help spark an attack that has been outscored 10-2 at home. West Brom's side took a hit during the international break with some of the squad testing positive for covid and have yet to name a travelling side at write up. Ahead of a home game in midweek against the same Turkish side we'll look for United to pick up their first home win of the season in convincing fashion.
The play is Manchester United -1.5 +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oskeim Sports Event: (379) California at (380) Oregon State
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: November 21, 2020 3PM EST
Play: Oregon State +3.0 (-105)
My math model favors California by 2.89 points in this game so the line is fair but the Golden Bears are a money-burning 6-19-1 ATS as road favorites. California has had a tumultuous start to the 2020 campaign as its season opener against Washington was canceled and, likewise, its Week Two game against Arizona State was canceled.
However, California head coach Justin Wilcox agreed to a last-minute scheduling change that replaced Arizona State with UCLA. The hastily-scheduled game kicked off Sunday at 9:00 a.m. (Rose Bowl); the Bears took the field having had just 43 hours to prepare for the Bruins. The result was unsurprising; California lost 34-10.
The Bears hit the road for the second consecutive week to face an undervalued Oregon State squad that is extremely well-coached under Jonathan Smith. The Beavers enter off competitive losses to Washington State and Washington but are 6-3-1 ATS in their last ten conference games.
Oregon State is a profitable 11-5-1 ATS in this series, including 5-1 ATS when playing with revenge. Grab the points with the Beavers as a live home underdog.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard Event: (415) Tennessee at (416) Auburn
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: November 21, 2020 7PM EST
Play: Auburn -11.0 (-110)
416 Tennessee at Auburn
Volunteers have a weak 118.3 passer rating, but opponents have produced a 153.48 passer rating. That puts the Volunteers behind the eight ball every time a quarterback drops back into the pocket. Despite playing only two ranked opponents Tennessee is being outgained by 1.09 yards per play. Over the last 14 quarters the Vols have been outscored 123 to 37! This is a team that simply hasn't played up to its ability.
Auburn has the much better running game which should be a sizable difference in this one. Not a fan of Bo Nix but he’s far better than anything the Volunteers have behind center. The Tigers have been fortunate with fumble luck, losing just 1 of 7 fumbles. But fading Tennessee looks like a must play at this time of the season.
PLAY AUBURN

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant Event: (383) San Jose State at (384) Fresno State
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: November 21, 2020 7PM EST
Play: Total Over 60.0 (-110)
PLAYABLE at 62.5 or better
San Jose State's offense has picked it up, averaging 33.3 points in its last three games. The Fresno State offense has been even better, averaging 38 points in its last three games. This Bulldogs offense is by far the best offense this San Jose State defense will have faced thus far this season. Fresno State's offense has produced under two different QBs, Nick Nash and Nick Starkel. Sometimes Nash and Starkel are on the field at the same time, creating more confusion for opposing defenses. My number for this game is 65, so I see more than enough value to pull the trigger.
PLAY OVER 60.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Prez Event: (401) Oklahoma State at (402) Oklahoma
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: November 21, 2020 7PM EST
Play: Oklahoma -7.0 (-105)
ESPN's Gameday will be in Norman, Oklahoma this Saturday for the 2020 version of Bedlam. It should come as no surprise that the Sooners have dominated the Cowboys in this rivalry. Oklahoma has won five in a row and are 4-1 ATS in those five matchups.
Over the last 17 games in this Oklahoma series, the Cowboys have only defeated the Sooners twice. Furthermore, the Cowboys are a “less-than” 5-12 against the spread.
Throw all of the results from past events out the window when these two teams meet Saturday. The 2020 COVID craziness appropriately fits this season's situation where the Sooners take the field in the role of being the shortest home favorite vs OSU since 2012.
There are a handful of reasons why the Sooners enter at a short price. First, in a typical college football season for both teams, this game is played in early December. And with that later date, Oklahoma State typically has another loss, sometimes two and more. With that being the case the Sooners enter with two or three more regular-season wins before the game takes place and as a result, are typically double-digit chalk.
The value in this game rests on the Sooners sideline. The advantages that OU sport in this 2020 matchup are many. The largest gap of talent between these two Big 12 schools is at quarterback. OSU signal-caller Spencer Sanders squares against freshman Spencer Rattler. The Sooners young signal-caller was the No. 1 dual-threat quarterback in most recruiting polls in 2019. After a rough September tango with nerves Rattler has proven himself to Riley and his Boomer-Sooner teammates.
Sooners minus the touchdown and extra point offer significant gameday value to Rattler and Riley

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan Event: (345) Mississippi State at (346) Georgia
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: November 21, 2020 7PM EST
Play: Mississippi State +25.0 (-110)
PLAY: MISSISSIPPI STATE +25

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin Event: (353) Missouri at (354) South Carolina
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: November 21, 2020 7PM EST
Play: Missouri -6.5 (-110)
I am dismissing the power ratings here as the circumstances are clearly more important than any numbers. Missouri doesn't have a full roster as they've had some virus issues, but if this game is going off as scheduled on Saturday, I've got to go with the Tigers. South Carolina is a train wreck at this point. Bill Muschamp was let go over the weekend, which was a bit surprising as far as the timing goes. I think he was gone at season's end if So Car didn't finish strong, and that was becoming mightily unlikely given their recent form. But it was still a shocker for the team itself, and all the info I'm getting is negative as far as the immediate reaction. Mike Bobo will handle the reigns for the rest of the season. He was fired at Colorado State last season, so he's got a so-so resume and he wasn't getting great results as the main offensive guy this season. Bobo is not a candidate for the full time job. The school appears zeroed in on the current HC's at Louisiana an Coastal Carolina. So this staff is likely already getting their resumes together for new positions next season. There was also fallout on the roster as four players opted out, including what I would say were their best two defensive players. Mizzou is nothing special to be sure as their efficiency numbers are actually pretty terrible. But I think the Gamecocks are a pure fade here and even with the line inflated, I'm on Missouri to win this one by a good sized margin.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia Event: (423) Boise State at (424) Hawaii
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: November 21, 2020 11PM EST
Play: Total Under 57.5 (-110)
The Broncos had a number of players affected by COVID-19, even being forced to play an offensive lineman on the defensive line due to a lack of numbers in their win over Colorado State last week. Boise State will have QB Hank Bachmeier in the mix for a second straight week after he missed a pair of games after testing positive for the coronavirus but I think we'll see the visitiors ride the run game and look to keep their defense off the field as often as possible at Aloha Stadium. Hawai'i has a solid QB in Chevan Cordeiro but hasn't been able to get its passing game on track. Currently, a running back is leading the Rainbow Warriors in receiving yards. With rain part of the forecast, look for a low-scoring final game of the night in college football's Week 12. Ride the under in a matchup you can catch on CBS College Sports Network.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Nov 21 '20, 10:15 AM in 17m
Soccer | Real Madrid vs Villarreal
Play on: Villarreal +187 at betonline

1* Free Play on Villarreal +187

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Nov 21 '20, 10:15 AM in 17m
Soccer | Real Madrid vs Villarreal
Play on: Villarreal +187 at betonline

1* Free Sharp Play on Villarreal +187

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports Nov 21 '20, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | LSU vs Arkansas
Play on: LSU +2 -110 at BMaker

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #393 LSU Tigers over Arkansas Razorbacks (12p.m., Saturday, November 21 SECN) Just do not believe Arkansas is all the way back. LSU had a postponement last week and that should help them especially on the defensive side of the football. Arkansas got run over by Florida last week and they have lost 4 straight games to LSU. The Razorbacks do not have an explosive offense and thus I do not believe that they will be able to attack this suspect Tigers defense. LSU was a 42 point favorite against Arkansas last year and they still have talent and that will show up today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Nov 21 '20, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Illinois vs Nebraska
Play on: OVER 59 -110

FREE PLAY on Illinois/Nebraska over 59 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Nov 21 '20, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Georgia Southern vs Army
Play on: Army -3 -110 at Buckeye

1* on Army -3 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Nov 21 '20, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Appalachian State vs Coastal Carolina
Play on: UNDER 48 -110

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Appalachian State/Coastal Carolina under 48 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Nov 21 '20, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Illinois vs Nebraska
Play on: OVER 59 -110

Free Total Annihilator On Illinois vs Nebraska over 59 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Red Dog Sports Nov 21 '20, 1:00 PM in 3h
Soccer | Sochaux vs LB Châteauroux
Play on: Draw +204 at pinnacle

draw +204
The free soccer play takes place in France on Saturday afternoon. The total is set at 2 so they are expecting a low score. I think it ends 1-1.
Sochaux 1
Charearoux 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Nov 21 '20, 2:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Rice vs North Texas
Play on: North Texas -1½ -112 at Draft Kings

Free Pick on North Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Nov 21 '20, 3:30 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | UCLA vs Oregon
Play on: UCLA +17½ -110 at YouWager

PICK - UCLA Bruins +17.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 331
I will take my chances here with UCLA and the points at Oregon. I think now is the time to sell high on the Ducks. Oregon has started out 2-0 SU and 2-0 ATS, but they caught a big break in their opener when Stanford's starting QB was ruled out with Covid. The other win was against a rebuilding Washington State program.
Even without Mills, Stanford was able to put up over 400 yards of offense. Cardinal only scored 14 points, because of 4 missed field goals and a couple other empty trips into Oregon territory. Ducks then gave up another 400+ yards to Washington State.
I don't know if UCLA's defense is good enough for the Bruins to win this game, but I do think they got the offensive fire-power to keep it much closer than the number. UCLA nearly put up 500 yards in their opener against Colorado and then had over 400 against a good Cal defense.
Let's not forget that Chip Kelly is now in year two with UCLA. It shouldn't come as a huge surprise that the Bruins are moving the ball. Everyone just looks more comfortable in the offense. I know there's a chance that starting quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson might not play, but I'm confident that they will still be able to move the ball. Kelly will do anything and everything to get a win against his old team. Give me UCLA +17.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Davis Nov 21 '20, 3:30 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Cincinnati vs Central Florida
Play on: Central Florida +6 -115 at Bovada

We are seeing Cincy now get a ton of love in the market. Yes, they are the bet non power 5 team in the country but laying 6 on the road here? Odds makers have clearly adjusted their price here as they know they won't have a problem getting Cincy money to come in. Remember Cincy just a few weeks ago were a 1 point dog @ SMU. Now, they are facing the #1 ranked offense in the country and are laying a TD? I will take my chances. here with this UCF team who clearly has this game circled.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin Nov 21 '20, 3:30 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Cincinnati vs Central Florida
Play on: OVER 65½ -105

Cincinnati vs Central Florida Free Pick November 21, 2020
The UCF Knights lead the nation in total offense per game at 619 ypg and they rank 11th for points scored at 44.0 points per game.
The Knights' defense leaves a lot to be desired though, and today they'll face a Cincinnati team with an offense that has gotten better and better each week. Cincy put up 55 points on East Carolina last time out and on the season, Cincinnati averages 41.6 points per game (13th).
The Bearcats have been stingy on the defensive side of the ball but this UCF team will be the strongest offense it has faced all season, and that by far. I expect to see a fast-paced shootout, pushing the final score over even this bloated total.
Free pick on OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard Nov 21 '20, 7:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Tennessee vs Auburn
Play on: Auburn -10½ -110 at Mirage

416 Tennessee at Auburn
Volunteers have a weak 118.3 passer rating, but opponents have produced a 153.48 passer rating. That puts the Volunteers behind the eight ball every time a quarterback drops back into the pocket. Despite playing only two ranked opponents Tennessee is being outgained by 1.09 yards per play. Over the last 14 quarters the Vols have been outscored 123 to 37! This is a team that simply hasn't played up to its ability.
Auburn has the much better running game which should be a sizable difference in this one. Not a fan of Bo Nix but he’s far better than anything the Volunteers have behind center. The Tigers have been fortunate with fumble luck, losing just 1 of 7 fumbles. But fading Tennessee looks like a must play at this time of the season.
PLAY AUBURN

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA Nov 21 '20, 7:30 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma
Play on: Oklahoma -7 -109 at Draft Kings

ASA FREE PLAY ON: Oklahoma Sooners (-) versus Oklahoma State Cowboys, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET - Big number here but don't be fooled. Many will look at this game and wonder how can the higher ranked team be getting this many points in a rivalry game? In fact, that is what has already happened as this line has gone from double digits down to a 7 and we are happy to fade the line move here. The Sooners offense will prove to be too much here. Oklahoma comes into this game rolling with confidence. The Cowboys offense also came into this season with high expectations but they have underachieved on that side of the ball this season and won't be able to do enough here to keep up. The result is yet another blowout win for the Sooners. Oklahoma is on an 11-5-1 ATS run in this rivalry game and OU also enters this game on a current 4-0 SU/ATS run including back to back routs in which they scored 62 points in each game. We're not going to step in front of this freight train right now. Rather, we will jump on board as they stay red hot and steamroll their rival in this one. Another blowout here. Lay it! FREE PLAY Oklahoma (-) points

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart Nov 21 '20, 7:30 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma
Play on: Oklahoma State +7 -105 at sportsbook

Oklahomas explosive offense Im betting will be slowed here vs a Pokes side that has allowed more than 21 points just one time this season in a game vs Texas that went into OT. It must be noted that Oklahoma State are 10-0 ATS L/10 as underdogs of 10 points or less, 4-0 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back road games.
Play on Oklahoma State to cover

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness Nov 21 '20, 7:30 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma
Play on: Oklahoma State +7½ -110 at Mirage

My free play is on Oklahoma St at 7:30 ET.
It's "Bedlam" time, as No. 14 Oklahoma State (5-1 overall, 4-1 Big 12) visits Norman, Ok to take on No. 18 Oklahoma (5-2 overall, 4-2 Big 12). This marks the 115th meeting between the Cowboys and Sooners with Oklahoma leading the all-time series 89-18-7, after winning the last FIVE. A pair of Spencers will take center stage, as OSU's Spencer Sanders and OU's Spencer Rattler square off at QB. Sanders is completing 67.7% but for a modest 766 yards with five TDs and three INTs, while Rattler completes a similar percentage (67.8%) but has thrown for 2,108 yards with 18 TDs and six INTs.
Cowboys RB Hubbard ran for 2,094 yards on 6.4 YPC with 21 TDs in 2019 but his numbers are WAY off in 2020. After six games he has run for "just" 581 yards on 4.6 YPC with five TDs. Backcourt mate Brown has 372 yards on 6.2 YPC with one TD, as OSU averages 190.5 YPG on the ground on just 3.9 YPC (Cowboys averaged 229.6 YPG last season on 5.3 YPC). WR Wallace is the team's lone receiver of note with 35 catches on 16.8 YPC with four TDs. OSU has thrived because of its outstanding defense which is allowing 17.8 PPG on 311.8 YPG
Rattler has an outstanding WR in Mims (25 catches / 16.7 YPC / 7 TDs) and a very good TE in Stogner (25 catches / 16.4 YPC / 3 TDs). The OU running game averages 165.0 YPG on 4.2 YPC, led by Pledger (393 yards on 4.9 YPC on 5 TDs) and McGowan (297 yards / 5.2 YPC / 3 TDs). Defense has recently been Oklahoma's Achilles' heel, as in losing three straight CFP semifinal games, Oklahoma allowed 54 per! However, the defense has played much better this season (especially lately in allowing 17.0 PPG its last three games), allowing 24.4 PPG on 338.1 YPG for the season.
Oklahoma St's lone loss this season was 41-34 in OT to Texas, while Oklahoma lost back-to-back games (38-35 to Kansas St and 37-30 to Iowa St) to fall to 1-2, before winning FOUR in a row (4-0 ATS). In a typical season, OSU would probably have to knock off the Sooners twice, in the regular season and in the conference championship game, to win the Big 12. However, Oklahoma's early losses (see above) have changed that dynamic. A win Saturday would not only put the Cowboys in the driver's seat for their first Big 12 Championship Game berth, but would virtually knock the Sooners out of contention, ending their five-year run of conference titles with two regular-season games remaining. An Oklahoma St win here would put them in great position to win its first conference title since 2011 and just its SECOND in more than 40 years. I'm calling for an OUTRURIGHT win but as always, take the points!
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joseph D'Amico Nov 21 '20, 7:30 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma
Play on: Oklahoma -7 -107 at Draft Kings

My college football is ON-FIRE and this week we continue to scorch your bookmaker as I have nothing but winners on the board for you: 100% 10 STAR WINNER, 71% TOUCHDOWN PLAY, 3-0 GRIDIRON GAME, 100% EARLY INFO MOVE, and my SEC GAME OF THE MONTH. Once again guys, GRAB A BROOM this week, because we will SWEEP THE BOARD.
Saturday’s FREE NCAAF WINNER: Oklahoma.
Game 402.
4:30 pm pst.
One of the biggest rivalries in college sports and two of the most popular teams in the nation square off here on Saturday. This is a game that sports fans and sports bettors alike usually circle on their schedule when it comes out.
But, it’s true, this matchup doesn’t have the same luster it normally has. That doesn’t mean it doesn’t offer us bettors an edge. Lincoln Riley has the OU offense looking like the unit many thought it would be at the start of the 2020 campaign. During their current four-game win and cover streak, the Sooners are averaging 52.5 PPG. Whether it’s Spencer Rattler (check status) or Tanner Mordecai at the helm, it won’t matter. Although the head coach came out and stated that Rattler is 100%. This unit has enough playmakers to make any quarterback succeed. The offense has nine, yes nine, receivers that have over 100 yards receiving. Mims, Stogner, and Wease head up the most explosive corps of wideouts that Okie State has had to line up against in 2020.
Oklahoma State simply can not compete offensively here. They just don’t have the horses to run in this matchup, folks. Running back, Chuba Hubbard’s (check status) numbers are way off his nearly 2,000 rushing performance from a season ago. This matchup specifically is where not having a great running attack will prove to be fatal for the Cowboys. They don’t have the ground game to keep the Sooners defense honest. And even if they did, Oklahoma owns one of the best run defenses (14th) in the land. Without the luxury of a ground assault, OU can key on the passing game and create turnovers. Oklahoma State is 1-4 ATS the last five meetings in this series. OU crushes here. Take Oklahoma. Thank you.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers Nov 21 '20, 8:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-F | Arizona vs Washington
Play on: Washington -11 -115 at betonline

The set-up: The Huskies enter off a 27-21 win over Oregon State, while the Wildcats fell 34-30 to USC in their opener. Arizona has lost three-straight in this series and I expect it to struggle again tonight. Arizona's Gran Gunnel was a bright spot in defeat last weekend, throwing for 286 yards, three touchdowns and an interception. Defensively though the Wildcats were a mess and that's going to spell trouble facing this potent Huskies run game.
The pick: Washington' QB Dylan Morris had 141 yards through the air, but the Huskies would go on to collectively rush for 267 yards and three touchdowns on 51 carries. Washington looked pretty good on the defensive side of all and note that it's 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home favorite and 5-1 ATS in its last six following an ATS loss. Arizona on the other hand is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on this field. Look for Washington to shred this poor Arizona defense. Consider laying the points in this one.
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on Washington.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Nov 21 '20, 10:30 PM in 12h
NCAA-F | USC vs Utah
Play on: Utah +3 -105 at sportsbook

1* Free Pick on Utah +3 -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy Nov 21 '20, 10:30 PM in 12h
NCAA-F | USC vs Utah
Play on: UNDER 58 -110

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between USC and Utah at 10:30 pm et on Saturday.
While USC is off to a perfect 2-0 start to the season it hasn't looked all that convincing in getting there, posting wins by a combined four points over Arizona State and Arizona. QB Kedon Slovis attempted a whopping 98 passes in those two games but I'm expecting a different type of affair to play out in Utah on Saturday night. The Utes of course are one of the few teams in the country that have yet to play a game this season. With last minute cancellations coming up in each of the last two weeks they're obviously ecstatic to finally get on the field on Saturday. They're dealing with a ton of turnover on both sides of the football, but particularly on defense. But what else is new? As an elite college football program they seemingly deal with that every year with many of their key cogs moving on to the NFL. This is always a well-coached group and I once gain expect them to field a strong defensive unit. Look for them to perform admirably here in their first game of the season against a tough opponent. On the other side of the football, it remains to be seen how explosive the Utah offense can be with a number of new pieces in place, especially considering the lack of consistent practice time on the field together due to Covid protocols. Timing and chemistry could be a bit of an issue in that regard and the USC defense will undoubtedly be looking to turn in a solid effort after giving up 30 points against Arizona last week. It is worth noting that the Trojans have tightened up when they've had to, holding their first two opponents to 11-of-28 on third down conversions while also recording five sacks and forcing five turnovers. Take the under (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti Nov 21 '20, 11:00 PM in 13h
NCAA-F | Boise State vs Hawaii
Play on: Boise State -14 -105 at BMaker

Saturday huge card up with 21-0 Sun Belt Game of the Year, Executive Level TIER 1 and a rare 6*. There is also Top Level Soccer. Comp play below.
The College football comp play is on Boise St at 11:00 eastern. The Broncos are a nifty 7-0 straight up and ats in this series with every game resulting in a blowout. Hawaii has failed to cover the last 18 times they have lost and are 0-15 ats as a dog of 3 or more if they cored 31 or less points. Boise is 3-1 on the year with their only loss to an undefeated BYU Team. Boise is the better team on both sides of the ball and we will back them tonight. On Saturday another powerful card is up and the big 3 are the Executive Level Tier 1,The 21-0 Sun Belt Game of the Year and a Rare 6* Top play Alert. There is also Top Level Soccer. Jump on now and as we continue to dominate college football. For the Comp play. Go with Boise St. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)



Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 8

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager)



Handicap Stakes • 400 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 97 • Purse: $50,000 • Post: 9:26P


QUARTER HORSE 400Y, LAS DAMAS H. - GRADE 2 FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * CURLS HAPPY WAGON: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. LYNNDER 16: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. HOT LITTLE KIDDY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. VICTORIOSO DINASTIA: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a po st position next to it gets out of the gate fast. SYMBOL OF FAITH: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



4

CURLS HAPPY WAGON

5/2


5/1




7

LYNNDER 16

3/1


6/1




9

HOT LITTLE KIDDY

3/1


7/1




2

VICTORIOSO DINASTIA

10/1


8/1




6

SYMBOL OF FAITH

15/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

GALLOPING GODDESS

1


20/1

Average

93


88


4.0


0.0


0.0




2

VICTORIOSO DINASTIA

2


10/1

Fast

93


89


2.9


0.0


0.0




3

JR PRISSYS BLOOD

3


5/1

Average

93


90


4.0


0.0


0.0




4

CURLS HAPPY WAGON

4


5/2

Fast

100


96


2.1


0.0


0.0




5

CHOCOLATE DIVINITY

5


15/1

Average

97


87


4.1


0.0


0.0




6

SYMBOL OF FAITH

6


15/1

Average/Trouble-prone

95


92


4.8


0.0


0.0




7

LYNNDER 16

7


3/1

Fast

97


93


2.8


0.0


0.0




8

FAYVORITE CHICK

8


30/1

Average/Trouble-prone

92


95


5.9


0.0


0.0




9

HOT LITTLE KIDDY

9


3/1

Average

99


95


5.0


0.0


0.0




10

LADYS A CARTEL

10


12/1

Average

91


93


4.3


0.0


0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Woodbine



Woodbine - Race 4

Rolling Double / Exacta / 0.20 Trifecta / 0.20 Superfecta 0.20 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) / 0.20 $100,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7)



Claiming $25,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 80 • Purse: $49,700 • Post: 2:55P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER IN 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $23,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED FOR ALLOWANCES).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Trailer. A BRIDGE TOO FAR is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * I WONDER: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SHEDAT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BAYOU BELLE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CHOOSE HOPE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. CAPABLE: Horse has a TrackMast er "+" designation or an "L" designation.



1

I WONDER

6/1


6/1




7

SHEDAT

3/1


6/1




13

BAYOU BELLE

4/1


6/1




4

CHOOSE HOPE

12/1


10/1




12

CAPABLE

8/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




13

BAYOU BELLE

13


4/1

Front-runner

80


80


94.1


74.0


69.0




11

CHERUBIC

11


15/1

Front-runner

72


79


77.8


55.7


38.2




5

UNDER THE EYE

5


15/1

Alternator/Front-runner

79


77


83.4


67.3


53.8




1

I WONDER

1


6/1

Stalker

83


73


91.6


81.1


71.6




9

VINYASA

9


20/1

Stalker

80


75


71.8


58.0


41.5




4

CHOOSE HOPE

4


12/1

Stalker

77


75


71.1


73.1


67.6




7

SHEDAT

7


3/1

Alternator/Stalker

81


84


104.5


78.2


72.2




8

ELEANOR POWELL

8


12/1

Alternator/Stalker

74


73


82.2


39.9


26.4




12

CAPABLE

12


8/1

Alternator/Stalker

77


81


81.2


71.8


61.3




10

A BRIDGE TOO FAR

10


12/1

Trailer

74


71


50.2


62.6


46.1




6

D'S SOUL

6


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

77


63


82.5


61.6


43.6




3

REAL CHOPPER

3


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

66


59


68.2


49.0


25.5




2

VANA GRAND

2


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

78


76


63.5


28.4


6.4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $8100 Class Rating: 53

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 117 LBS. ALLOWED 1 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 THE GIRL OF N. Y. 2/1




# 3 SHARP PRIZE 3/1




# 7 RESISTENCIA 20/1




THE GIRL OF N. Y. looks to be a very good contender. Should be given consideration here on the basis of the figures in the speed realm alone. The Equibase Speed Figure of 54 from her last contest looks competitive in here. Has put up strong Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. SHARP PRIZE - Appears to be the type to be helped with second time Lasix here. She has a good opportunity in this event as conditioner, Texidor, has sharp win clip with horses going this distance. RESISTENCIA - Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. Will most likely go to the lead and might never look back.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Cross Country Pick Four - Race #2 - Post: 3:45pm - Stakes - 11.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $100,000 Class Rating: 112 AQU (Grade 3)

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#8 ZIYAD (GB) (ML=9/2)
#4 SADLER'S JOY (ML=8/5)
#10 RED KNIGHT (ML=5/2)
#9 AQUAPHOBIA (ML=6/1)


ZIYAD (GB) - After the contest aboard this horse on October 15th, the jock is going to be acquainted with the gelding much better. I can't ignore the fact that this gelding is working extremely well. This equine gets shipped over here after showing true class at a major foreign race track. A good sign in my opinion. SADLER'S JOY - This horse's last speed fig notched on October 3rd is number one in last race speed figs. The mount with the top average class figure in turf events is usually a solid play. This thoroughbred fits the bill. I like this horse. Has the highest earnings per race in this contest. RED KNIGHT - Changes tracks from last out at Keeneland to here. Multiple wins on different tracks tell me this animal likes to switch it up, so that's a good sign. AQUAPHOBIA - Have to give this mount a long hard look. In recent races, has posted the best speed ratings on the turf at this distance. I seem to always make money betting Maker horses on the turf. That barn has a powerful win percent for this distance/surface.

Vulnerable Contenders: No Vulnerable Contenders in this race,








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #8 ZIYAD (GB) to win. Have to have odds of at least 9/2 or better though

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $13400 Class Rating: 75

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 3 BAYMAX MCS 9/2




# 4 SECRET SETH 5/1




# 6 BODACIOUS CALL 15/1




BAYMAX MCS is tough to overlook as the bet in here. He has been racing admirably lately while recording sharp Equibase Speed Figures. Earned a solid Equibase Speed Figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. Seems to have a respectable class edge based on the latest company kept. SECRET SETH - Overall the Equibase speed figs of this animal look competitive in this contest. Has been running solidly lately and should be close to the front end early on. BODACIOUS CALL - Has been racing soundly and has among the most respectable speed in the race for today's distance. No strangers to the winner's circle, Keeton and Vivanco will probably have this gelding breaking away from the field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Laurel - Race #6 - Post: 2:53pm - Optional Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $45,000 Class Rating: 101

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 LET'S PLAY NINE (ML=5/1)
#6 STONE COURAGEOUS (ML=6/1)


LET'S PLAY NINE - When a campaigner finishes on the board as often as this gelding does, you will usually want to use him in your exotic wagers. As the only speed freak in the race, I expect this gelding to be long gone. Everybody's got their favorite tracks, but if you ask this horse, I think his answer would be Laurel. STONE COURAGEOUS - I like to see fast workouts. This gelding's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. When Carrasco and Smith are put together on horses the ROI has been great at +58. Like the way this gelding's finish positions keep getting better. That's a sure sign of improving form. Smith brings him right back. I recommend you stick with this hot gelding.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 GALERIO (ML=2/1), #7 TATTOOED (ML=7/2), #5 BIG CITY BOB (ML=4/1),

GALERIO - Hasn't been on the Laurel oval in the last three weeks. Cause for some concern. Could be tough for this entrant to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underlays list. TATTOOED - This come from behinder will probably be coming much too late to make an impression in this event. BIG CITY BOB - This colt didn't do much last time out.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #2 LET'S PLAY NINE to win if you can get at least 3/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park West



11/21/20, GPW, Race 7, 3.38 ET
11/21/20,GPW,7,1M [Turf] 1:33:00 STAKES. Juvenile Fillies Turf Stakes. Purse $60,000. FLORIDA-BRED FILLIES, TWO YEARS OLD. Free nomination by Friday, November 6th. $600 to enter. $60,000 guaranteed. After payment of 1% to all owners of horses finishing sixth through last, 62% of the remaining purse shall be paid to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 5% to fourth and 3% to fifth. Weight: 122 lbs. Non-winners of a stakes allowed 2 lbs.; a race other than maiden, claiming, or starter, 4 lbs. Starters to be named by usual time of closing. Supplemental nominations may be made at time of entry. All fees shall be paid prior to the race. No Lasix Permitted Within 24 Hours of Post Time. (If deemed inadvisable to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
7
Emirates Affair
20/1
Bravo J
Dini Michael
S
80
35.00
1.81/$1


099.4779
2
Quinoa Tifah
3/1
Jaramillo E
Alvarado Juan


80
35.00
1.81/$1


099.4517
1
Viva La Reina
9/2
Camacho S
David Carlos A.
TFEL
80
35.00
1.81/$1


099.4265
4
Sweet Souper Sweet
2/1
Lopez P
Trombetta Michael J.
JW
80
35.00
1.81/$1


098.0188
6
Yafa
5/1
Lebron V
Nihei Michelle
C
80
35.00
1.81/$1


097.8380
3
Double Blessed
15/1
Arroyo A S
Dini Michael


80
35.00
1.81/$1


096.8393
9
Inthewinnerscircle
12/1
Zayas E J
Casse Mark E.


80
35.00
1.81/$1


096.8219
10
Tantalizing Gal
10/1
Panici L
O'Connell Kathleen


80
35.00
1.81/$1


096.1542
8
Beach Chick
30/1
Meneses M
Barbazon III Lester


80
35.00
1.81/$1


093.0676
5
Special Inclusion
20/1
Torres C A
Zerpa Gilberto


80
35.00
1.81/$1


Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 34.4800, ROI 2.0483/$1
. . . .
100.0000 7 Emirates Affair
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]*RaceEntriesGreaterThan9
*Scratches may change this condition If Race Is Off Turf Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
1
Viva La Reina
9/2
Camacho S
David Carlos A.
TFEL
80
35.00
1.81/$1


097.5728
4
Sweet Souper Sweet
2/1
Lopez P
Trombetta Michael J.
JW
80
35.00
1.81/$1


095.8778
2
Quinoa Tifah
3/1
Jaramillo E
Alvarado Juan


80
35.00
1.81/$1


095.6926
3
Double Blessed
15/1
Arroyo A S
Dini Michael


80
35.00
1.81/$1


095.1952
9
Inthewinnerscircle
12/1
Zayas E J
Casse Mark E.


80
35.00
1.81/$1


095.1571
7
Emirates Affair
20/1
Bravo J
Dini Michael
S
80
35.00
1.81/$1


094.0171
5
Special Inclusion
20/1
Torres C A
Zerpa Gilberto


80
35.00
1.81/$1


093.3124
10
Tantalizing Gal
10/1
Panici L
O'Connell Kathleen


80
35.00
1.81/$1


092.8708
6
Yafa
5/1
Lebron V
Nihei Michelle
C
80
35.00
1.81/$1


090.9953
8
Beach Chick
30/1
Meneses M
Barbazon III Lester


80
35.00
1.81/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 33.6300, ROI 1.0398/$1
. . . .
100.0000 1 Viva La Reina
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]*RaceEntriesGreaterThan9
*Scratches may change this condition

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BATTAGLIA DAILY FREE PICK :

AQUEDUCT
Race 7

Win Candidates 8-9-2-5 Rating 2 stars

#8 Bee Catcher– drops from much tougher allowance company to this 30k non winners of two. He will come rolling late and prove tough to hold off.

#9 Traffic Pattern-missed by a length then only two lengths last out in back to back races at this level. I.Oritz stays in the irons and they are the ones to beat.

#2 K.K Ichikawa-rallied to finish 6th last out only 2 lengths behind our second pick. He will be a good price and should be close again.

#5 Tiergan-dropped in for a tag last out but caught a sloppy track and did not fire. He drops another notch in class and should improve.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

(Sat) NCAAF Arkansas
(Sat) NCAAF Penn St
(Sat) NCAAF Cincinnati
(Sat) NCAAF Alabama
(Sat) NCAAF Oklahoma
(Sat) NCAAF Utah

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
CFB – Cincinnati -5.5


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
CFB – Iowa -2.5


3.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
CFB – Temple +3.5


4.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
CFB – Missouri under 57


5.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
CFB – California -3


6.
Point Spread Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CFB – Rice +1.5


7.
Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com/lou-big-play-panelli/)
CFB – Oklahoma -7


8.
Gerry “Big Cat” Andino (https://www.nsawins.com/gerry-big-cat-andino/)
CFB – Auburn over 50.5


9.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
CFB – Midd Tenn St +11.5


10.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/william-e-stockton/)
CFB – Iowa St -11


11.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
CFB – Vanderbilt over 68


12.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/steve-scoop-kendall/)
CFB – LSU -2


13.
SCORE (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CFB – Texas San Antonio -8.5


14.
East Coast Line Movers (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CFB – California -3


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
CFB – Utah under 58


16.
Chicago Sports Group (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/chicago-sports-group/)
CFB – Georgia over 44


17.
Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
CFB – Appalachian St +5


18.
VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
CFB – Clemson over 63


19.
South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
CFB – Missouri -6.5


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CFB – NC St -3.5


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
CFB – Georgia Southern +3.5


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
CFB – Western Kentucky -7


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
CFB – Rice +1.5


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
CFB – Arizona +11.5


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CFB – Wisconsin -7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: California -3 over Oregon St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, SATURDAY November 21, 2020
11/21 07:30 PM PT / 10:30 PM ET

CF (367) USC VS (368) UTAH

Take: (368) UTAH

Reason: Here we are in week 11 and while some conferences just started a few weeks ago, the PAC 12 among them, Utah is playing its first game of the season. That's hard to imagine here in the latter half of November. USC has become the cardiac kids of the PAC-12 as they seem to somehow pull wins out at the last second of games. However, I feel that will change here today at Utah. Utah is itching to get on the field and they won't let what happened to Arizona and Arizona State happen to them. Your free play is on Utah.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY: OREGON ST +3 over California

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U Late Saturday's Free Selection: Boise State Broncos/Hawaii Warriors over 55

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins ROZ's SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 21, 2020
Free Pick
344. Central Florida +5 (12:30 PT / 3:30 ET)

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Atlantic Sports
Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Virginia Tech Hokies - 3

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#1 Sports Late Saturday's Free Play: Iowa State Cyclones - 13

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Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: the Alabama Crimson Tide -30 over Kentucky

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Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play SATURDAY, November 21, 2020
CFB
403. Kansas State +12 ( 1 PT / 4 ET)

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Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Late Saturday Selection Is

LIBERTY +5

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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Saturday : Take WESTERN KENTUCKY -7½ over Fla-International

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Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Saturday FB

Oklahoma -7

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Hawkeye Sports Late Saturday's Free Pick: Georgia Bulldogs - 25

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Huddle Up Sports

Saturday Free Play: Florida/Vanderbilt over 68

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Arthur Ralph

Sat Oregon - 16 1/2

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The Last Call Saturday's Late Free Play: Georgia State Panthers - 3 1/2

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Teyas Sports FREE PICK 11/21 CFB GEORGIA OVER 44

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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Saturday: TROY -12½ over Middle Tenn St

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High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Late Saturday: Liberty Flames + 4 1/2

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Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Saturday: Kentucky +30

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John Anthony Sports

Free Selection: SAT

RUTGERS

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Tony Sacco

Tony Sacco's Free Play for SATURDAY is on the

LIBERTY/NC STATE UNDER

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Hollywood Anthony

Your SATURDAY Free Play from Hollywood Anthony

TEMPLE