Service Plays Saturday 11/21/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[dawggy]

RALPH MICHAEL





Game: (331) UCLA at (332) Oregon
Date/Time: Nov 21 2020 10:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Oregon -13.5 (-110)


#332 5% Oregon -13.5 UCLA 10:30 PM
You may think Oregon just got by Washington St wining by 14 but they were -3 turnovers. In fact very few teams are good enough to be -5 TO’s after two games get win by 21 and 14 points and cover both. UCLA comes in 1-1 after losing at Colorado and beating a Cal squad that shifted gears to travel to UCLA and playa Sunday morning game. The Bruins allowed 526 yards at Colorado and that number is likely to get topped on Saturday night. Oregon by 24+ in this match-up.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin:

Auburn -10.5 (1.5x)

Cokin 5* Auburn

[WeWantMoehr]

Alan Harris

6 Rutgers +10.5
5 Oregon -13.5
5 Boise St/Hawaii 58o

[golden contender]

Saturday huge card up with 21-0 Sun Belt Game of the Year, Executive Level TIER 1 and a rare 6*. There is also Top Level Soccer. Comp play below.

The College football comp play is on Boise St at 11:00 eastern. The Broncos are a nifty 7-0 straight up and ats in this series with every game resulting in a blowout. Hawaii has failed to cover the last 18 times they have lost and are 0-15 ats as a dog of 3 or more if they cored 31 or less points. Boise is 3-1 on the year with their only loss to an undefeated BYU Team. Boise is the better team on both sides of the ball and we will back them tonight. On Saturday another powerful card is up and the big 3 are the Executive Level Tier 1,The 21-0 Sun Belt Game of the Year and a Rare 6* Top play Alert. There is also Top Level Soccer. See us on facebook to Jump on now and as we continue to dominate college football. For the Comp play. Go with Boise St. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

[rocky57]

Update #1- - - H&H Sports
CFB
Triple Dime - Ohio State/Indiana Over 66.5
Double Dime - Clemson -35 (-116)

[rocky57]

Kevin Davis (VegasInsider)
CFB
Liberty +170 (Moneyline 7-1 on Moneyline Plays) Plays one a week...
Liberty +5
Cincinnati -4.5
Arizona/Washington Over 53
Florida State/Clemson Under 64.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mississippi Kid

Maryland -6 2U

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo

4* Iowa St -11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437)
YESTERDAY 7:20 AM

MICHIGAN ST. @ MARYLAND | 11/21 | 12:00 PM EST
MARYLAND -6
At some point the Michigan State offense has to show up after being embarrassed in its past two games following the 'big' Michigan win. But Maryland has a checklist of Big Ten teams it needs revenge against and the Terrapins have Taulia Tagovailoa running an unstoppable offense with 676 yards passing, completing over 70 percent, six TDs and one INT between his last two starts. All six of their meetings, one Maryland win, have stayed Under the total. Maryland rolls, covers.

+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 CFB PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 MICHST ATS PICKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Marzano

NWEST +7.5
WISC @ NWEST | 11/21 | 3:30 PM EST12:30 PM
The Badgers come into this game off two blowout wins and will face their toughest test to date. They have dropped five of the last six meetings at Ryan Field. Northwestern is 4-0 and has a terrific defense that matches up well with the Wisconsin offense. The Wildcats allow just over 300 yards per game, which is 11th best in the nation. The Badgers’ defense is allowing just over 200, but they have played just two games against inferior opponents. This should be a defensive battle. Northwestern has allowed just one TD in the second half this year.

14-6-1 IN LAST 21 CFB ATS PICKS | +735
2-1 IN LAST 3 WISC ATS PICKS | +90

IND +20.5
IND @ OHIOST | 11/21 | 12:00 PM EST12:08 PM
The Hoosiers' dream season continues, as they are 4-0 and ranked ninth in the nation, the highest since 1967. Indiana comes into this matchup with a lot of confidence and will keep this game much closer than this number suggests. Indiana leads the Big Ten in INTs with 10 and ranks seventh in the nation. The red-hot Justin Fields has as many TD passes as incompletions (11) with no INTs. Ohio State has won 25 straight meetings but I still think Indiana keeps this one within two TDs. Michael Penix Jr. is 9-1 in his last 10 starts and faces a very inexperienced secondary. Indiana has covered six straight as a road underdog.

14-6-1 IN LAST 21 CFB ATS PICKS | +735
4-1 IN LAST 5 OHIOST ATS PICKS | +290

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Jesus TEXT : early game NCAA SAT is LSU-pts

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
YESTERDAY 4:20 PM

WISC -7.5
WISC @ NWEST | 11/21 | 3:30 PM EST
Northwestern is off to a fantastic start to the season and a win over Wisconsin would just about wrap up the West barring an epic collapse. But I don't see it happening. While the Wildcats offense looked fantastic in its opener, it's been very mediocre in each of the last three wins. While it's still phenomenal defensively, Wisconsin has been great on both sides of the ball, and I can't see the Wildcats keeping up for the entire 60 minutes.

3-1 IN LAST 4 CFB PICKS | +190
7-2 IN LAST 9 WISC ATS PICKS | +479

5-1 IN LAST 6 NWEST ATS PICKS | +390

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

UK +30
UK @ BAMA | 11/21 | 4:00 PM ESTYESTERDAY 5:01 PM
Draw a line through Kentucky’s three-point win over lowly Vanderbilt last Saturday. The Wildcats were coping with the death of a beloved assistant coach. Opponents in their four previous games totaled 43 points, and a moderate score seems likely. They have covered in two-thirds of their past 15 outings. Bama rarely looks ahead but, with blood rival Auburn looming next week, could be prone to a backdoor cover.

10-5 IN LAST 15 CFB ATS PICKS | +450

MIZZOU -6.5
MIZZOU @ SC | 11/21 | 7:30 PM ESTYESTERDAY 4:56 PM
Mizzou has been no ball of fire but is catching the Gamecocks at an opportune moment. The hosts dumped coach Will Muschamp on Sunday, then involuntarily bade goodbye to top DBs Israel Mukuamu and Jaycee Horn, who jumped ship to prepare for the NFL. Two other teammates also opted out. The Tigers will have three weeks between games, in part because of COVID-19 issues, and are shy of players. But they are in a better frame of mind than their foes.

10-5 IN LAST 15 CFB ATS PICKS | +450
9-0 IN LAST 9 SC ATS PICKS | +900

USC -3
USC @ UTAH | 11/21 | 10:30 PM ESTTUE 11/17
USC’s twin Houdini-esque escapes to start its season has depressed this line. It would make sense had Utah gotten out of the starting blocks, but Covid-19 issues have kept the Utes from playing. They fell below the threshold of eligible players, and the disruption sends them warily into an opener against an underachieving but talented foe. With a small sample size, Trojans QB Kedon Slovis is among the nation’s leaders in numerous passing categories.

10-5 IN LAST 15 CFB ATS PICKS | +450
2-1 IN LAST 3 USC ATS PICKS | +89

IND +20.5
IND @ OHIOST | 11/21 | 12:00 PM ESTTUE 11/17
Strip the school name off the jerseys, and this spread would be in the vicinity of two touchdowns. Indiana QB Michael Penix Jr. has entered the Heisman speculation and is surrounded by playmakers. He might be one tier below counterpart Justin Fields, but the Hoosiers can spring some traps. They are picking off one of every 13 opponents’ passes, the highest rate in FBS. Indiana is unbeaten, straight up and ATS, and has covered on its last five trips to Columbus.

10-5 IN LAST 15 CFB ATS PICKS | +450
5-2-1 IN LAST 8 IND ATS PICKS | +270

2-1 IN LAST 3 OHIOST ATS PICKS | +89

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
TUE 11/17

OKLAHOMA ST. @ OKLAHOMA | 11/21 | 7:30 PM EST
OKLAHOMA ST. +7
The Sooners have been on a roll since suffering back-to-back losses amid a 1-2 start. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have stumbled a bit after their standout start, with two wins by five combined points and a loss to Texas in their last three. Still, an improved defense and the QB-RB combination of Spencer Sanders and Chuba Hubbard give Oklahoma State enough ammunition to provide value with the key number in what rates to be a tight rivalry contest.

+1160 15-3 IN LAST 18 OKLAST ATS PICKS
+179 4-2 IN LAST 6 OKLA ATS PICKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
MON 11/16

CLEMSON @ FLORIDA ST. | 11/21 | 12:00 PM EST
CLEMSON -34.5
Florida State is just not a good football team right now and has had a lot of key players opt out for the rest of the season. That is not what you want to hear when you have Clemson coming to town following a double-overtime loss to Notre Dame and a bye week. The Tigers have had ample time to stew over the defeat, anticipating the next time they get back on the field.

+367 29-23 IN LAST 52 CFB ATS PICKS
+850 14-5 IN LAST 19 FSU ATS PICKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stanford Steve and The Bear: Week 12 college football picks, bets, nuggets

College football is in full swing in 2020, and it's unlike any season we have had before. One thing is familiar, though: "Stanford Steve" Coughlin and Chris "The Bear" Fallica breaking down games as only they can, offering their top bets, nuggets and totals worth wagering on. Stanford Steve hit on three of four picks last week, and he is 21-11 on the season. How will the guys fare this week?
Here is your guide to Week 12 of the season from the two college football analysts. (Games postponed because of COVID-19 have been removed.)
Records

Stanford Steve (3-1 last week, 21-11 overall)
The Bear (1-3, 15-15)

The plays


No. 4 Clemson Tigers (-35, 64) at Florida State Seminoles

Stanford Steve: Does anyone think Trevor Lawrence is going come back after being out with COVID-19 and Dabo Swinney is gonna tell him to hand the ball off to Travis Etienne? I sure don't. Expect the Tigers to come out for the first time we have seen them since losing in South Bend to Notre Dame and do whatever they want ... looking a lot like they did when they won in Atlanta a couple of weeks ago versus Georgia Tech, 73-7. I'll lay the points with Dabo and the boys.
Pick: Clemson -35 (Clemson 69, Florida State 17)

No. 6 Florida Gators (-31.5, 68) at Vanderbilt Commodores

Stanford Steve: Totally going with the "what have you done for me lately" theory here. Florida scored 65 points versus Arkansas last week, and Vanderbilt scored 35 versus Kentucky. Let's hope they both score that much this week. We'll take the over.
Pick: Over 68 (Florida 51, Vanderbilt 24)

No. 7 Cincinnati Bearcats (-6, 63.5) at UCF Knights

The Bear: According to adjusted defensive EPA, Tulsa's defense ranks one spot higher than Cincinnati, and UCF put up 455 yards on the Golden Hurricane. Yes, the Knights also turned it over three times in a game in which they blew a big first-half lead, but I'm going to trust the UCF offense here to post its fair share of yards and points on a Cincinnati defense that hasn't allowed more than 17 points to an FBS opponent this season. Will it be enough against a Cincinnati offense that has gotten going the past few weeks? Maybe not, but I do think grabbing UCF and the points is the right move here.
Pick: UCF +6

Mississippi State Bulldogs at No. 13 Georgia Bulldogs (-25, 44.5)

The Bear: You might have missed it, but Mississippi State had just 204 yards and threw for 4.9 yards per attempt against Vanderbilt. If the Georgia D is still motivated, I can't imagine MSU having much success at all against a defense that is third in adjusted defensive EPA. At the same time, MSU's defense is fifth in that metric, and we've seen both Stetson Bennett and D'Wan Mathis struggle against good defenses this season. Even if star WR George Pickens is back, I'm not sure we can expect Georgia to score in the middle to upper 30s, which is likely what will be needed to push this one over the total.
Pick: Under 44.5

Kansas State Wildcats at No. 17 Iowa State Cyclones (-10.5, 46.5)

The Bear: After a sloppy win over Baylor, expect the Cyclones to handle K-State here in a bit of a revenge game after the Wildcats' defense had its way with Iowa State last year (236 yards allowed, 1-for-13 on third down). It wasn't like the Wildcats did much offensively either -- 288 yards and had a TD on a kickoff return -- and that was with Skylar Thompson at QB. K-State's offense against the past three teams it has faced not named Kansas: 37 drives, four TDs, six turnovers, 15 drives without a first down. Iowa State controls its fate to reach the Big 12 title game, and I don't see any lookahead to next week's game versus Texas in Austin.
Pick: Iowa State -10.5

No. 21 Liberty Flames at NC State Wolfpack (-3.5, 66.5)

The Bear: The four best teams NC State has faced have each put up better than 40 points on the Wolfpack, and the NC State running game should have some success versus Liberty. Liberty QB Malik Willis threw for 217 yards and ran for 108 against Virginia Tech in a 38-35 win. Is there any reason not to expect Willis to have a similar type of game here given the amount of damage D'Eriq King did to NC State's defense a couple weeks ago? I'd be surprised if we didn't have another 38-35 type of game here.
Pick: Over 66.5

Tulane Green Wave at No. 25 Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-6.5, 63.5)

The Bear: Tulane lost a couple of close contests early, dropped a weird game versus Houston and then was just outmanned by UCF. But the Green Wave have won three straight in which their defense has played much better, and they now face a Tulsa team that has a solid D, is hit or miss on offense and is ripe for a bit of a letdown after a big comeback win over SMU. Feels like a good spot to take the points.
Pick: Tulane +6.5

Washington State Cougars at Stanford Cardinal (-2.5, 64.5)

Stanford Steve: No one has blown me away at the quarterback position more this year than Washington State's Jayden de Laura. The true freshman from St. Louis High School in Honolulu -- the same school that produced Tua Tagovailoa and Marcus Mariota -- has thrown for 548 yards and four TDs in his first two games as a college football player. However, having watched the Cardinal play the past two weeks, the lack of speed in the WSU secondary does not bode well for Nick Rolovich's squad from Pullman. I'll take the points with the Cougs.
Pick: Washington State +2.5 (Washington State 38, Stanford 37)

San Jose State Spartans (-2.5, 60.5) at Fresno State Bulldogs

The Bear: Since a three-interception performance in the opener versus Hawaii, Fresno State QB Jake Haener has been great, putting up an 83 QBR with eight TDs and just one INT. Yes, there's a chance it was a byproduct of playing three of the worst teams in the Mountain West Conference in UNLV, Utah State and Colorado State. But while San Jose State has been a great story, the Spartans are facing the best offense they have seen all season, and their undefeated record is certainly in jeopardy.
Pick: Fresno State +2.5
The Bear's money line parlay

$100 returns $44
Clemson -7000
Ohio State -1200
Iowa State -380
Florida -4500
Alabama -7000
The Bear's underdogs to play on the money line, in round robins and parlays

Tulane +205
UCF +180
Fresno State +115
Washington State +110
Bear Bytes

Ranked matchups
• Favorites began the year 14-2-1 against the spread in ranked matchups, but all three ranked matchups on Nov. 7 saw the underdog not only cover but win outright (Notre Dame over Clemson, Indiana over Michigan and Florida over Georgia).
Iowa (-2.5, 47) at Penn State
• This the eighth time Penn State has been a home underdog under James Franklin. Four of the previous seven instances were against Ohio State. The last time Penn State was a home dog to someone other than Ohio State was Oct. 8, 2016, against Maryland.
UCLA at No. 11 Oregon (-13.5, 66.5)
• With an upset win, UCLA would be over .500 for the first time under Chip Kelly. With Kelly at the helm, the Bruins have pulled one upset as a double-digit underdog -- the 67-63 win at Washington State last year as an 18.5-point 'dog.
No. 7 Cincinnati (-6, 63.5) at UCF
• This snaps UCF's 29-game streak in which it was a home favorite. It is the first time since September 2016 versus Maryland that the Knights are a home underdog.
Washington State at Stanford (-2, 64.5)
• Dating back to last year, Stanford has failed to cover in each of the past six games and is 2-11 ATS in its prior 13 contests. The Cardinal have lost six in a row straight up and 10 of their past 13.
No. 14 Oklahoma State at No. 18 Oklahoma (-7, 59.5)
• This is the first time since Nov. 11, 2017, that Oklahoma is a single-digit favorite. On that day, OU beat TCU 38-20 as a 6-point favorite.
• Since 2015, Oklahoma has been a favorite of seven points or fewer nine times in a regular-season game. The Sooners have won all nine games and are 8-0-1 ATS.
No. 10 Wisconsin (-7.5, 44) at No. 19 Northwestern
• The Wildcats have covered five of the past six in the series, winning three outright -- all as an underdog.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Week 12 college football best bets: No. 7 Cincinnati visits UCF

Every Thursday during the season, Doug Kezirian (2-2 last week, 24-17 overall), Bill Connelly (0-2, 13-14), Preston Johnson (1-3, 20-13), David M. Hale (0-3, 13-15) and Seth Walder (0-0, 4-6) will provide their top plays across the college football landscape.
Here are their best bets for Week 12 of the college football season.
Note: Lines from Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill as of Wednesday (unless otherwise indicated).


Purdue Boilermakers (-3, 63) at Minnesota Golden Gophers, Friday, 7:30 p.m. ET

Kezirian: This game has shootout written all over it. Minnesota has allowed 35+ points in its three losses, and the defense only kept Illinois in check because the Illini were relegated to what now looks like their fourth-best quarterback. However, the Gophers' offense has some talent with QB Tanner Morgan, RB Mohamed Ibrahim and likely NFL first-round draft pick WR Rashod Bateman. Only Iowa has been able to slow down Minnesota, and that's fairly understandable. The Hawkeyes rank third in yards per play allowed.
Purdue is similar in many ways, with a play-making wide receiver in David Bell. The rushing attack is not as potent, but quarterback Aidan O'Connell is throwing the ball often. And that should work quite well against a Minnesota defense allowing 8.8 yards per pass attempt, which ranks 106th of 126 FBS teams. Overall, the Gophers are allowing 7.6 yards per play -- second-worst in the country, behind only Akron. For those unfamiliar with the Zips, they have as many wins since 2019 as their school mascot indicates: 0.
Pick: Over 63

No. 6 Florida Gators (-31.5, 68) at Vanderbilt Commodores, noon ET (on ESPN)

Kezirian: Florida is likely able to name its score, and I think Vanderbilt's ineptitude will allow the Gators to hang a 50-spot. The Gators own one of the nation's best offenses, scoring at least 38 points in all six games. Even when Dan Mullen allows his backups to play, the Gators still find the end zone. You cannot expect the reserves to run the power-I formation on every play, and even if they did, the Commodores could not stop it.
Fifty points is really not that much, when you consider Vanderbilt is 0-6 and has been outscored 215-99. The Commodores allowed LSU and South Carolina to score 41 points, so why can't the Gators drop 50? Even Mississippi State scored 24 against Vandy. To put that in perspective, the Bulldogs' offense was held scoreless against Alabama and Kentucky, and only managed 14 points against Arkansas and Texas A&M.
Pick: Florida -31.5; Florida over 49.5 (at DraftKings)

Illinois Fighting Illini at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-15, 59), noon ET

Kezirian: Thanksgiving is next week, but it seems like both teams have just figured out their QB depth chart. Luke McCaffrey replaced Adrian Martinez and the Nebraska offense responded well, building a 27-3 lead in the upset over Penn State last week. McCaffrey should look even more comfortable against an Illinois defense that has gaping holes and constant confusion in its secondary. The Illini did some nice things against Rutgers, but have allowed 31+ points in their three losses.
Meanwhile, last weekend Isaiah Williams became the fourth different Illinois starting quarterback in as many games. He ran for 192 yards, and his speed kept Rutgers' defenders looking pretty clueless. Nebraska has a better defense, but this is still a far cry from a vintage Cornhuskers D. Additionally Brandon Peters, who started the opener, is expected to return from COVID-19, and I imagine Lovie Smith will find creative ways to utilize both quarterbacks.
Pick: Over 59

Georgia Southern Eagles at Army Black Knights (-4, 41), noon ET

Hale: Army's 6-2 record looks impressive until you dig into the schedule, which is abysmal. Three wins came against FCS foes, and the other three against teams ranked 108, 122 and 123 in ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI). In the two games the Black Knights played against legitimate opponents, they managed to score a combined 22 points. Georgia Southern isn't elite by any stretch, but the Eagles have solid wins over Troy and South Alabama, and they held their own against both Louisiana and Coastal Carolina. They're also allowing just 3.48 yards per rush, tops in the Sun Belt. This feels like a particularly good matchup for Georgia Southern, and a chance to get points with the better team.
Pick: Georgia Southern +4

No. 7 Cincinnati Bearcats (-6, 63.5) at UCF Knights, 3:30 p.m. ET (on ESPN)

Johnson: I have been as pro-Cincinnati this season as anybody and bet the Bearcats in two of their past four games -- and I still think this line is way too extreme. I can see the Bearcats earning the right to be a small favorite, but anything over a field goal is too much, and I'm taking the points. Despite the losses on its résumé, UCF is still top 10 offensively in expected points added (EPA) and success rate. The Knights lead the country in total yards. Their tempo will be something Cincinnati's defense hasn't seen this season. I expect this to be its toughest test yet.
The concern for UCF would be on the other side of the ball against a Desmond Ridder-led Cincy offense that is making a ton of noise. I like the prospects of this matchup turning into a back-and-forth shootout with the matchup advantages for each team, and my projection for the total is closer to 68.
Pick: UCF +6 and over 63.5

No. 10 Wisconsin Badgers (-7.5, 43.5) at No. 19 Northwestern Wildcats, 3:30 p.m. ET (on ABC)

Walder: There was no major team FPI was higher on relative to the general consensus than Wisconsin. Way back when no games had been played, it considered the Badgers the fourth-best team in college football while the preseason AP poll put them at No. 12. In the two games Wisconsin has played, FPI has only been emboldened, as the Badgers beat already high expectations from the model in their blowout victories over Illinois and Michigan.
While Northwestern is also undefeated, at 4-0, the model has been less impressed by the Wildcats. Though every single win has resulted in an upgrade to Northwestern's FPI rating, those upgrades have all been below a single point on a neutral field -- three of the four victories were within one score, after all. Contrast that with the four-point bump Wisconsin received from its win over Michigan alone, and we can see why FPI still prefers the Badgers by more than two touchdowns. It's looking past the zeroes in both loss columns and focusing on the way those zeroes were achieved.
Pick: Wisconsin -7.5
Connelly: Algorithms of the world, unite! SP+ hasn't loved Wisconsin quite as much as FPI, but it's close, and it has still underestimated the Badgers by 19 points per game. Northwestern has overachieved in its own right, but this is a pure "let it ride" pick as far as Wisconsin is concerned. SP+ projects the Badgers to win by 15.5, and while I think a plodding tempo could keep it closer than that, that's a pretty good cushion between the line and the projection.
Pick: Wisconsin -7.5

UCLA Bruins at No. 11 Oregon Ducks (-13.5, 66.5), 3:30 p.m. ET (on ESPN2)

Johnson: I think taking UCLA's win over Cal on Sunday as a worthwhile data point is an overreaction. Cal was dealing with COVID-19 concerns for the two weeks leading up to the game after some cancellations and didn't even know it was facing UCLA in a Sunday game until two days prior. Oregon is covering spreads left and right despite a minus-five turnover differential, and this Ducks offense won't have any issues against a Bruins defense that, in a more trustworthy result against Colorado in the opener, allowed 48 points to the Buffs.
Pick: Oregon -13.5

Iowa Hawkeyes (-2.5, 47) at Penn State Nittany Lions, 3:30 p.m. ET

Hale: Sometimes you just have to wager on the idea that proud programs will show some heart when their backs are against the wall. Is Penn State the top-25 team we expected before the season? No. But are the Nittany Lions really an 0-5 team? Bad turnover luck (Penn State is minus-six on the season, losing the turnover margin in all four games) and bad luck overall (the Nittany Lions have outgained three of four opponents, two by more than 200 yards) have been as big an issue as the quarterback, and that luck has to turn soon. We'll take the points at home with a team desperate to redeem itself.
Pick: Penn State +2.5

Kentucky Wildcats at No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (30, 58), 4 p.m. ET (on SEC Network)

Kezirian: Given its high-powered offense, Alabama is certainly capable of blowing out any opponent, especially one with limitations like Kentucky. But sometimes you have to dig deeper, and anticipate situations when a team is prime to merely go through the motions. Alabama has its rivalry game next week against Auburn, and most players are probably already focused on the Iron Bowl. Additionally, Nick Saban is known for taking his foot off the gas once the outcome is decided, and I can certainly see that happening in the fourth quarter against Kentucky. Plus Kentucky has a pretty strong defense, which should be able to prevent Alabama from marching up and down the field at will. The Wildcats are awful on offense -- they went four straight games scoring 10 points or fewer -- but I can see them doing some things when the Crimson Tide have the reserves in.
Pick: Kentucky +30

San Jose State Spartans (-2.5, 60) at Fresno State Bulldogs, 7 p.m. ET

Johnson: I make this game's total 64. The San Jose State offense has been phenomenal with either quarterback under center (first-stringer Nick Starkel is back, though), and the Fresno State offense is the best the Spartans will have seen by a massive margin to this point. Kalen DeBoer is a magician scheming plays for the Bulldogs. Both teams are in the top 40 in EPA offensively. I'm not overthinking this and am trusting my numbers here.
Pick: Over 60
Kezirian: Fresno State has a phony 3-1 record, and the oddsmakers have shown that by casting them as a home underdog. The Bulldogs just beat Utah State, who is winless, 0-4 ATS and already got rid of its coach. Fresno State has also beaten winless UNLV, and Colorado State -- but that was before Steve Addazaio figured out that his best quarterback is Patrick O'Brien. Todd Centeio started and played nearly the entire game against Fresno State, but was ineffective.
The Spartans are 3-0-1 ATS, and the push against UNLV only came because San Jose State played a very vanilla offense in the fourth quarter, drained the clock and took a knee inside the 10-yard line. They also have a double-digit win over San Diego State, who I think is quite good. Fresno State running back Ronnie Rivers is a capable player and will produce, but a polished Nick Starkel and the San Jose State passing attack will prove to be too much.
Pick: San Jose State -2.5

No. 14 Oklahoma State Cowboys at No. 18 Oklahoma Sooners (-7, 59), 7:30 p.m. ET (on ABC)

Kezirian: After suffering back-to-back losses, Oklahoma has cranked up the offense and torched opponents in four straight wins. That includes a 33-9 win over TCU, and three other victories in which the Sooners dropped at least 53 points. Lincoln Riley's unit lacks a Heisman candidate, but it still ranks in the top 25 in yards per play and yards per pass attempt.
Oklahoma State has a respectable defense and is ranked higher, but the high-powered offense always wins these battles -- just ask Georgia about its meeting with Alabama. For whatever reason, the Cowboys have not managed much on offense this year. They sputter way too often. As for the rivalry, it's been dominated by Oklahoma -- Mike Gundy is only 2-13 against the Sooners.
Pick: Oklahoma -7; Oklahoma over 33.5 (at DK)

Mississippi State Bulldogs at No. 13 Georgia Bulldogs (-25, 44.5), 7:30 p.m. ET (on SEC Network)

Kezirian: Georgia's defense will dominate this game, and there is a chance Mississippi State will be held to zero or one score. But I do not feel comfortable laying 25 points with an inept Georgia offense. To me, this handicap comes down to the Mississippi State defense -- is it capable of putting up a fight? I think so, to a certain extent. I may be guilty of getting a little too cute, but I am banking on Mike Leach's crew to have some fight at the start.
Given Stetson Bennett's limitations, and there are plenty, Kirby Smart has approached first quarters with extreme caution. Georgia has not scored more than 10 points in the first quarter this season. It's time to capitalize on that conservative play-calling and top-notch defense. I highly doubt Mississippi State will score in the first quarter, so it comes down to whether Bennett and the offense can muster two touchdowns. Sure, a long Georgia run could happen, but I trust the Mississippi State defense to hold its own.
Pick: First quarter under 10.5 (at DK)

No. 21 Liberty Flames at NC State Wolfpack (-3.5, 66.5), 7:30 p.m. ET (on ESPN3)

Connelly: Three sweet spots for SP+ picks this season, albeit with small sample sizes in the first two cases: 6-2 against the spread picking NC State games; 4-2 ATS picking Liberty games; 19-10 ATS in games in which (a) it disagrees with the spread by at least three points and (b) the line is between 3.5 and 6.5 points. And it was 40-27-1 with those criteria last season.
While NC State has been a pretty inconsistent team, Liberty hasn't. The Flames were lucky to beat a much better Virginia Tech team but still played well against the Hokies, and the fact that SP+ projects them to have a 4.4-point advantage -- a pretty significant difference with the line -- gives me confidence.
Pick: Liberty +3.5

No. 20 USC Trojans (-3, 57.5) at Utah Utes, 10:30 p.m. ET (on ESPN)

Connelly: Aside from its strange and, as of last week, unjustified love of Washington, SP+ has had a decent read on the Pac-12 so far. It's 3-2 ATS when it disagrees with the line by more than three points, 3-1 sans Washington.
I'm going to trust it when it says Utah has a slight advantage over USC, even though we haven't seen the Utes play yet. The Trojans have underachieved in each of their first two games, so that makes it a bit easier to swallow.
Pick: Utah +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

7 SC +6.5

4 Ark +2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

5 over 66.5 IU/OSU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

**8-U COLLEGE FOOTBALL GOTY

Oregon -13.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raphael Esparza (VSI)

7 - Ok/Ok St. over 59

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

7 - Boise st/Hawaii under 58

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

Big 10 Game of the Year
8 Units wisconsin-3.5 for 1st half

4 ucf+6
3 cal-3.5
3 wisconsin-7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Barrett Sallee

Best Bets

Here are Barrett Sallee's picks and write-ups for Week 12 (picks made on Nov. 19):

OVER 44.5
MISS. STATE @ GEORGIA | 11/21 | 7:30 PM ET

I understand the thought process that Mississippi State's offense will struggle due to tough competition, COVID-19 issues and a season that seems lost. I also understand the thought process that Georgia's offense will continue to struggle because … let's be real … it has struggled for the better part of the season. This week is different, though. JT Daniels is scheduled to get the start under center for Georgia, and coach Kirby Smart will do all that he can to open things up in the passing game as much as humanly possible. Because of that, the Over will hit with ease.

UNDER 63.5
LSU @ ARKANSAS | 11/21 | NOON ET

The Tigers have massive quarterback issues, are still dealing with a depleted roster due to COVID-19 and are on the verge of mailing it in after a disappointing season that included a horrifying story involving sexual assault this week. Yes, Arkansas' defense got lit up like a Christmas tree last week at Florida. But the Gators are going to do that to a lot of teams. LSU isn't equipped to do that. This one will be sloppy enough to hit the Under with ease.

WISCONSIN -7
WISCONSIN @ NORTHWESTERN | 11/21 | 3:30 PM EST

This is the Super Bowl for the Wildcats, but just another game for a Badgers crew that has been lighting it up on offense through two games. They are averaging a whopping 6.07 yards per play, have the top rushing offense in the Big Ten (261.5 ypg) and have a defense that has shut down Illinois and Michigan in blowout wins. I'd love to know how Northwestern is going to keep up with a Badgers team that looks the part of a College Football Playoff contender.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prediction Machine

CFB PICK: Indiana Hoosiers +20.5

Why will Indiana cover the spread?
In order to keep this game close, Indiana will need to slow down Justin Fields and limit his efficiency. So far this season, Fields’ production has been other-worldly. His 86.7 percent completion rate is 10 points higher than the next closest player, his 10.9 yards per attempt leads the Big Ten and is third best in the country, and he’s thrown 11 touchdowns to zero interceptions. He’s the only QB (out of 51 qualified) who hasn’t thrown an interception while having thrown at least nine touchdowns. Indiana ranks 21st overall with 6.4 yards allowed per pass attempt thus far, and they’ve intercepted opposing QBs a Big-Ten-high 10 times through four games. The Hoosiers also lead the Big Ten with 12 sacks on the season, so they have a good chance to disrupt Fields’ timing and force him into negative plays.
Indiana’s red zone defense has been elite this season. They’ve allowed opponents to score on just 44.4 percent of their red zone trips, which is the lowest rate in the country. If they can force Ohio State into field goals or, better yet, turnovers in the red zone instead of touchdowns, they’ll have a great chance to cover the lofty three-touchdown spread.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Akins

MICH -10.5
MICH @ RUT | 11/21 | 7:30 PM EST10:06 AM
Rutgers' performance this season is certainly an upgrade over recent seasons, but the Scarlet Knights are still just 1-3 with two of those losses not particularly competitive. For Michigan, I see this as a matchup where the Wolverines have a clear advantage, and I do not expect the Wolverines to ease up in a much-needed victory. Michigan is the road favorite despite losing its past two games by a combined 55 points. Teams that are away favorites when the combined margin of their last two games is -50 or worse are 77-49-2 ATS. Prediction: Michigan 41, Rutgers 17.

WISC -7.5
WISC @ NWEST | 11/21 | 3:30 PM EST10:01 AM
Because the narrative after last week’s Wisconsin-Michigan game turned entirely to Michigan’s failures, everyone did not appreciate how strong of a performance it was by Wisconsin. For Northwestern, this is a chance to make a statement at home against a really good team. However, time and time again the Wildcats have failed to live up to expectations in this situation. Northwestern is 0-16 ATS (-11.91 points per game) since Nov. 11, 2006, at home against a team that has won at least 86 percent of its games. I'm on Wisconsin. Wisconsin 31, Northwestern 13.

FSU +35.5
CLEM @ FSU | 11/21 | 12:00 PM EST9:57 AM
It has been an ugly season for Florida State for the most part, but the team did show the ability to stay competitive at Notre Dame. That is the closest comparison to Clemson on the Seminoles' schedule so far. This play is more about Clemson though, and in Trevor Lawrence’s first game back we expect rust. Getting late in the season, home underdogs at this large of a number tend to be value. Teams as home underdogs of at least 31 points in at least Game Six of the season are 63-46-2 ATS. Prediction: Clemson 41, Florida State 17.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Barrett Sallee

OHIOST -20.5
IND @ OHIOST | 11/21 | 12:00 PM EST12:12 PM
Justin Fields and the Buckeyes are going to force the Hoosiers into a shootout, and there’s no chance that Michael Penix Jr. and that crew can keep up. They’re 10th in the Big Ten in total offense (362.8 yards per game) and 11th in yards per play (4.94).

18-7 IN LAST 25 CFB PICKS | +1035
4-0 IN LAST 4 OHIOST ATS PICKS | +400

MICH -10.5
MICH @ RUT | 11/21 | 7:30 PM EST12:07 PM
The Wolverines have been garbage this season and have mentally checked out. But they still have more than enough to out-talent their way to at least a two-touchdown win over a Scarlet Knights team that ranks 13th in the Big Ten in total offense (329.5 yards per game).

18-7 IN LAST 25 CFB PICKS | +1035
4-3 IN LAST 7 MICH ATS PICKS | +74

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WUnderdog

NCAA

Iowa -2.5 vs penn. state

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

DOUBLE PLAY:
LSU -2

SINGLE PLAYS:
Liberty +3.5
Utah +3
Oregon State +3.5
UTSA -9
Nevada +1.5
Northwestern +7.5
Oklahoma State +7
Iowa State -11
Boise -14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

4 Aub

3 Rice

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Elite Sports Picks

Kansas St. +10.5 over Iowa St. (NCAAF)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Insider Sports Report

5* Oklahoma -7 over Oklahoma St. (NCAAF)
Range: -5 to -9

3* Rice +2.5 over North Texas (NCAAF)
Range: +4 to PK

3* Tennessee/Auburn OVER 50.5 (NCAAF)
Range: 49 to 53

3* Liberty/North Carolina St. OVER 65 (NCAAF)
Range: 63.5 to 67.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

National Sports Service

4* Oregon -17 over U.C.L.A. (NCAAF)

3* Clemson -35 over Florida St. (NCAAF)

3* Arkansas +1.5 over L.S.U. (NCAAF)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Sports Picks
MEMBER PICKS For 11/21/20

5 Unit --> Liberty/North Carolina St. OVER 65 (NCAAF)

3 Unit --> Army -3.5 over Georgia Southern (NCAAF)

3 Unit --> Boise St. -14 over Hawaii (NCAAF)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®

Marquee Picks® For 11/21/20

4★ Florida/Vanderbilt OVER 68 (NCAAF)

3★ Penn St. +1.5 over Iowa (NCAAF)

3★ Nevada +1 over San Diego St. (NCAAF)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold sheet
From vegas insider
nevada
california
kansas st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc lawrence
From vegas insider
liberty
northwestern
ucf

also has a playbook data play
hawaii

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gianni the Greek:

rice +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

In Game Trap

Cincinnati vs UCF OVER 65.5 (20*) pick of the month

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Picks Weekly

NCAAF:
Cincinnati/UCF Over +65 (-116)
Clemson -35 (-120)
Arkansas ML (-103)
LSU/Arkansas Under -64
Oklahoma St. +7.5 (-125)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin:

Auburn -10.5 (1.5x)



Cokin 5* Auburn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Review Journal
Ian Cameron

@bobano

Last week: 1-4

Season: 26-22-2

Iowa -1½

Liberty-N.C. State O65½

UNR +1½

Auburn -10½


Bernie Fratto

Fox Sports Radio

Last week: 1-4

Season: 21-27-2

Indiana +20½

Utah +2½

LSU -1

Northwestern +7½

Hawaii +14


Dana Lane

@DanaLaneSports

Last week: 2-3

Season: 28-21-1

UCLA +17

Florida State +35½

Indiana +20½

Army -3

Oklahoma -7


Bruce Marshall

GoldSheet.com

Last week: 3-2

Season: 24-26

South Carolina +6½

Utah +2½

California -3

UNR+1½

Kansas State +10½


Eric Parkila

@ParkilaSports

Last week: 1-4

Season: 27-21-2

UCLA +17

Michigan -11½

LSU -1

Oklahoma State +7

Kansas State +10½


Wes Reynolds

@WesReynolds1

Last week: 0-5

Season: 26-24

Virginia Tech-Pitt U54½

Central Florida +6

Nebraska -16

Oklahoma St.-Oklahoma U60½

Tennessee +10½


Lee Sterling

ParamountSports.com

Last week: 1-4

Season: 26-22-2

Penn State +1½

Pittsburgh +3

Ohio State -20½

North Carolina State -5

Oklahoma -7


Kelly Stewart

@KellyInVegas

Last week: 2-3

Season: 27-22-1

Penn State +1½

North Carolina State -5

Michigan -11½

Oregon State +3

Northwestern +7½


Paul Stone

@PaulStoneSports

Last week: 2-3

Season: 30-19-1

Pittsburgh +3

Cincinnati-UCF U65½

Coastal Carolina -5

San Diego State-UNR U47

Kansas State +10½


Rich Velez

@RichVelez

Last week: 1-4

Season: 20-29-1

Penn State +1½

Pittsburgh +3

Cincinnati -6

Coastal Carolina -5

Northwestern +7½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Bitler

10* CFB Executive Info Winner

Central Florida +6 (-115)

[rocky57]

Matt Blunt (VegasInsider)

CFB - PAC-12 plays
California --2.5
USC/Utah Over 57.5

[rocky57]

VegasInsider Technical Trend Plays

CFB
Cincinnati -4.5 (BEST BET - SIDE PLAY)
Indiana +21
Clemson -35
Arkansas +1
Rice +2.5
Northwestern +8
Pittsburgh +3.5

Mississippi State/Georgia Under 45 (BEST BET - TOTALS)
Georgia Southern/Army Under 41
UTSA/So Mississippi Under 52
San Diego State/Nevada Under 46.5
Tennessee/Auburn Under 51

[rocky57]

Toby Maxtone-Smith
VegasInsider Red-Hot Soccer Handicaper

England Premier League
Saturday 11/21

Play #1
Newcastle United vs Chelsea
TV: Peacock - Time: 7:30am
BEST BET - Under 3 goals

Play #2
Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion
TV: NBCSN - Time: 10:00am
BEST BET - Over 2.5 goals

Play #3
Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City
TV: NBC - Time: 12:30pm
BEST BET - Manchester City -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FujitaPunter

NCAA
Alabama-Kentucky
Under 58


North Texas - Rice
Under 63

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Juan Carlos Flores

Premium Pick
Nov 21 '20, 10:00 AM
Soccer | Oleksandria vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Play on: Shakhtar Donetsk -333

Game Analysis
Recommended Bet: Shakhtar Donetsk -333



Premium Pick
Nov 21 '20, 10:00 AM
Soccer | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa

Play on: Aston Villa +133

Game Analysis
Recommended Bet: Aston Villa +133



Premium Pick
Nov 21 '20, 10:00 AM
Soccer | Altrincham vs Boreham Wood

Play on: Boreham Wood -140

Game Analysis
Recommended Bet: Boreham Wood -140



Premium Pick
Nov 21 '20, 10:00 AM
Soccer | Walsall vs Cheltenham Town

Play on: Cheltenham Town -109

Game Analysis
Recommended Bet: Cheltenham Town -109



Premium Pick
Nov 21 '20, 10:00 AM
Soccer | Shrewsbury vs Ipswich Town

Play on: Ipswich Town -109

Game Analysis
Recommended Bet: Ipswich Town -109



Premium Pick
Nov 21 '20, 10:00 AM
Soccer | Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town

Play on: Bristol Rovers +230

Game Analysis
Recommended Bet: Bristol Rovers +230



Premium Pick
Nov 21 '20, 10:00 AM
Soccer | AFC Wimbledon vs Rochdale

Play on: Rochdale +135

Game Analysis
Recommended Bet: Rochdale +135



Premium Pick
Nov 21 '20, 11:00 AM
Soccer | SuperSport United vs Orlando Pirates

Play on: Orlando Pirates +145

Game Analysis
Recommended Bet: Orlando Pirates +145



Premium Pick
Nov 21 '20, 11:05 AM
Soccer | Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo

Play on: Hajduk Split +137

Game Analysis
Recommended Bet: Hajduk Split +137



Premium Pick
Nov 21 '20, 12:15 PM
Soccer | Castellon vs Rayo Vallecano

Play on: Rayo Vallecano -139

Game Analysis
Recommended Bet: Rayo Vallecano -139



Premium Pick
Nov 21 '20, 12:30 PM
Soccer | Cercle Brugge vs Waasland-Beveren

Play on: Waasland-Beveren +200

Game Analysis
Recommended Bet: Waasland-Beveren +200



Premium Pick
Nov 21 '20, 1:15 PM
Soccer | TS Galaxy vs Moroka Swallows

Play on: Moroka Swallows +129

Game Analysis
Recommended Bet: Moroka Swallows +129



Premium Pick
Nov 21 '20, 2:45 PM
Soccer | Cagliari vs Juventus

Play on: Juventus -270

Game Analysis
Recommended Bet: Juventus -270



Premium Pick
Nov 21 '20, 3:00 PM
Soccer | Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle

Play on: Utrecht +101

Game Analysis
Recommended Bet: Utrecht +101

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ultra sports 11/21

central florida
pittsburgh
utah
northwestern

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big al
Nebraska
Oregon
NC state

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA
6* San Diego St -1
4* Over 66.5, Liberty vs NC State
3* Ohio St -20.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

10 Pittsburgh +3
10 Oklahoma State +8
10 Hawaii +14.5
10 Nevada +2
10 Georgia Southern +4.5
10 Kansas State/Iowa State under 49
10 California/Oregon State under 51.5
10 Florida/Vanderbilt over 66.5
10 Illinois/Nebraska over 56
10 UCF +6
10 Rice/North Texas over 62

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Feinberg
Oklahoma St
Central Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nelly's

1* #344 UCF +6 over Cincinnati 2:30 PM CT

2* #368 Utah +3 over USC 9:30 PM CT

1* #424 Hawai’i +14 over Boise State 10:00 PM ET

[FATMANWINS]

ATS
10 liberty
8 iowa
8 auburn
7 lsu
7 oregon st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Root

Contrarian - Iowa St

Chairmans Circle - USC

Reserve - Liberty

Gold Standard - Iowa

Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php) - Northwestern

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Kezirian (24-17 overall)
Pick: Over 63 Purdue
Pick: Florida -31.5; Florida over 49.5
Pick: Over Nebraska
Pick: Kentucky +30
Pick: Oklahoma -7; Oklahoma over 33.5
Pick: First quarter under 10.5 Georgia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arizona State vs. Colorado canceled

Ole Miss vs. Texas A&M postponed

Louisiana Tech vs. UL Monroe canceled

Georgia Tech at Miami postponed

Charlotte at Marshall canceled

Clemson at Florida State postponed

San Jose State at Fresno State canceled

Washington State vs. Stanford canceled

Michigan State at Maryland canceled

Texas at Kansas postponed

UNLV at Colorado State canceled

Central Arkansas at Louisiana canceled

Navy at USF postponed

SMU vs. Houston postponed

Wake Forest at Duke canceled

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White

OVER 44.5
MISSST @ UGA | 11/21 | 7:30 PM EST7:19 AM
Georgia will start USC Transfer QB JT Daniels, a two-point upgrade over Stetson Bennett. The Bulldogs are averaging 29 points per game with average quarterback play, while allowing 21 points per game. Mississippi State had an extra week to prepare and learn the Air Raid offense. Starting QB K.J. Costello could be back in the saddle. I comfortable betting Over up to 46.

3-2 IN LAST 5 CFB O/U PICKS | +80
2-1 IN LAST 3 UGA O/U PICKS | +89

OVER 60
OKLAST @ OKLA | 11/21 | 7:30 PM EST7:16 AM
Spencer vs. Spencer -- Spencer Sanders against Spencer Rattler, the 5-star, Elite 11 QB that has really just started to play his best football. Oklahoma has scored 50+ in three of its last four games. Oklahoma State was without Sanders for basically four games after losing him in the first quarter of Week 1. Sanders has been back for the last three games and gives the Cowboys their best chance in upsetting the Sooners. Look for a lot of points in this Bedlam matchup.

3-2 IN LAST 5 CFB O/U PICKS | +80
2-1 IN LAST 3 OKLA O/U PICKS | +90

USC -2.5
USC @ UTAH | 11/21 | 10:30 PM EST7:14 AM
The Trojans are 2-0, however they are 0-2 ATS, and trailed in the fourth quarter in both games. But here's why am I playing USC: Utah is the last team in the entire country to play a game. The Trojans have a big advantage, plus I'm not really worried about them winning by two touchdowns, basically just win the game. USC QB Kedon Slovis continues to get better with a completion percentage of 71 percent so far. I'm expecting Jake Bentley, a transfer from South Carolina, to take over as the starting QB for Utah.

3-0 IN LAST 3 UTAH ATS PICKS | +300

UNDER 52
TXSA @ USM | 11/21 | 3:00 PM EST7:11 AM
Southern Miss QB Jack Abraham has entered the transfer portal. Trey Lowe III is now the starting quarterback and the drop off was six points. Lowe has thrown 40 passes, completed 23 for just 5.6 yards per pass and zero touchdowns. Southern Miss has slowed the pace to a crawl and has gone to the ground game at a 70 percent rate. Its last three games the total points scored have been 36, 37 and 17. Before last week, UTSA had gone Under in five straight games and its defense has allowed 28 or fewer in six straight games. including BYU (27), Louisiana Tech (26) and Florida Atlantic (24).

3-2 IN LAST 5 CFB O/U PICKS | +80

IOWA PK
IOWA @ PSU | 11/21 | 3:30 PM EST7:05 AM
It is hard to tell where the Penn State football team is mentally right now with new allegations against head coach James Franklin, a 0-4 start (0-4 ATS as well) and now a QB controversy. Returning starter Sean Clifford has been bad the past two games and redshirt sophomore Will Levis almost led the team back against Nebraska last week. After a 0-2 start, Iowa has beaten Michigan State 49-7 and Minnesota 35-7. Iowa has revenge on its mind from a 17-12 loss at the hands of the Nittany Lions last year in Iowa City.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

IND +20.5
IND @ OHIOST | 11/21 | 12:00 PM ESTYESTERDAY 5:56 PM
Betting against the Buckeyes is usually bad for business, but numbers are numbers and mine say they should only be -17 with a home field edge built-in against Indiana. The Hoosiers have had their rating upgraded each week after winning and covering all four games, and the Buckeyes' massive rating, my No.1 overall, still doesn’t get to -20.5. It's a small disparity, but just the excuse I needed to ride with Indiana which has covered the past five meetings with Ohio State. The Hoosiers will play well. I bet them to cover.

7-0 IN LAST 7 CFB PICKS | +700
4-0 IN LAST 4 IND ATS PICKS | +400

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

FIU +7
FIU @ WKY | 11/21 | 2:00 PM ESTYESTERDAY 7:29 PM
My model says FIU covers 70 percent of the time and projects the Panthers to win 24-22, so you're getting value at this number. Western Kentucky averages just 14.7 points per game; only three teams are worst. The Hilltoppers just don't score enough to be this big of a favorite. Take FIU.

CINCY -4.5
CINCY @ UCF | 11/21 | 3:30 PM ESTYESTERDAY 7:17 PM
Cincinnati is the No. 4 team in the country according to my power simulations. The Bearcats are 6-0 this season and winning by an average of 28 points a game against FBS opponents. They also are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games, while UCF is just 1-5 ATS in its last six. My model says Cincy covers almost 60 percent of the time, so you're getting strong value at this number. Take the Bearcats.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CINCY ATS PICKS | +300

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zack Cimini

NEB -16.5
ILL @ NEB | 11/21 | 12:00 PM EST7:22 AM
A battle of one-win teams will take place in the Big Ten on between Illinois and Nebraska on Saturday. Despite averaging 20 points this season, the Cornhuskers find themselves as steep favorites. Offensive improvement with a quarterback switch to freshman Luke McCaffrey should continue to blossom. Grab the Huskers to cruise at home against the Fighting Illini.

34-22 IN LAST 56 CFB ATS PICKS | +985

SDGST -1.5
SDGST @ NEVADA | 11/21 | 3:30 PM EST7:21 AM
Out in the Mountain West, Nevada will aim to stay undefeated as it takes on San Diego State. A reason for the Wolf Pack’s hot start has been the big increase of play from sophomore quarterback Carson Strong. Yet, Nevada faced a Wyoming team that lost its starting quarterback in the first series, and three winless teams in UNLV, Utah State and New Mexico. Grab the value here on the Aztecs.

34-22 IN LAST 56 CFB ATS PICKS | +985
3-2 IN LAST 5 SDGST ATS PICKS | +80

[Can'tPickAWinner]

vipcomboticket
Schalke - Wolfsburg : Wolfsburg over 1.5 @ 1.85
King’sLynn - Dover : King over 1.5 @ 1.75
Total Odds : 3.23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mississippi Kid
Oregon-16 2U
Arkansas -1 2U
W KY vs Fla Int Under43.5 1U
UTSA -9.5 1U
Nevada +1.5 2U
Oklahoma -7.5 2U
S Ala vs Geo St UNder 58 2U
Cent Fla +6 2U

[dawggy]

RALPH MICHAEL






Game: (341) East Carolina at (342) Temple
Date/Time: Nov 21 2020 12:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: East Carolina -3.5 (-110)

#341 3% East Carolina -3.5 Temple Noon ET
Fading a depleted Temple team down to a 4th string QB.
Despite being 1-6 EC still playing with heart in Mike Houston's 2nd season. They are the better team.
Game: (375) Rice at (376) North Texas
Date/Time: Nov 21 2020 2:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: North Texas -2.0 (-110)

#376 3* North Texas -2 Rice 2 PM ET
North Texas played awesome vs Middle Tenn finishing with a 768-432 yard edge thanks to making a QB switch with the very mobile Bean. The Mean Green have had a long layoff but it’s because 3 teams had Covid issues not them. Rice has only played two-game losing at home to Middle Tenn St and beating a Southern Miss team without a head coach.
Game: (397) Kentucky at (398) Alabama
Date/Time: Nov 21 2020 4:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Alabama -17.5 (-110)

#398 First Half 3* Alabama -17.5 Kentucky 4 PM ET
We played om Bam first half earlier and will do so again. With Auburn on deck Saban may rest a few players but he will go all out the first half.
Game: (331) UCLA at (332) Oregon
Date/Time: Nov 21 2020 10:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Oregon -13.5 (-110)


#332 5% Oregon -13.5 UCLA 10:30 PM (play as 5% of to -17. play as 4% at -17.5 or higher).
You may think Oregon just got by Washington St wining by 14 but they were -3 turnovers. In fact very few teams are good enough to be -5 TO’s after two games get win by 21 and 14 points and cover both. UCLA comes in 1-1 after losing at Colorado and beating a Cal squad that shifted gears to travel to UCLA and playa Sunday morning game. The Bruins allowed 526 yards at Colorado and that number is likely to get topped on Saturday night. Oregon by 24+ in this match-up.
Game: (423) Boise State at (424) Hawaii
Date/Time: Nov 21 2020 11:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 56.0 (-110)

#423/#424 4% OVER 56 Boise/Hawaii 11 PM ET
Boise’s offensive numbers are misleading as they scored 17 points and gained only 310 yards vs BYU with their #3 QB Versus Colorado St they “only” gained 291 yards because they scored three Def/ST TD’s and the offense never had the ball. Bronco’s D not what it’s been in the past allowing 220 YPG rushing and 4.7 ypc. Hawaii rush D allowing 252 YPG and 5.4 ypc and while they were slowed at Wyoming and at San Diego St the first was the weather and the second was the MW’s best D fired up off a loss.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Jesus text : AFT game is OK State/ Sooners over the total

[Hombre de Burro]

Brian Edwards Vegas Insider:
Kansas St +11 @ Iowa St
Florida 1st qtr & half @ Vandy. Florida first half team total > 27.5. Full game > 68.
Auburn -10.5 vs Tennessee
Alabama @ Kentucky > 58

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Worlds Worst Picker
Peabody’s pick
Northwestern

We take
Wisconsin

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Great Lakes Sports
3* Oregon-14
3* Oklahoma -7
2* LSU + 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College Football​(BOB BALFE)
7:30 PM EST
Rotation #360
NC State -5.5 over Liberty
Hugh Freeze is the man. What a coach! The Flames are 8-0 this year, but their schedule has been awful. This team did beat Syracuse which has their own injury issues, but the win at VTech proves this is a really good team. I just don’t think they can continue to keep it up against better athletes. This is a really light offensive line that I believe the Wolfpack front seven can handle. NC State has so many great offensive weapons and their offensive line should hold up against this defense and any pressure it brings. This is a game in which NC State is the bigger and more physical team and they should have no problem putting up 40 plus points. Liberty will be undefeated no more. Take NC State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Stryker

25-9 ATS NCAA HIGH NOON CONFERENCE SMASH
Appalachian State

15-3 ATS CONFERENCE SHOCKER OF THE WEEK
Penn State

14-1 ATS NCAA DATABASE WAGER OF THE MONTH
Stanford

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Balfe
ark-1// lsu
ark.st.-tx.st// over67.5
iowa+1// penn.st
mo.-6// so.car
nc.st -5.5// liberty

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Wilton

100 dime- Boise st

[B*mb07]

Marco D'Angelo
4% (334) PENN ST +1
When Penn St went to Nebraska last week after starting the season 0-3 I was concerned that the Nittany Lions might just quit on the season. After all Penn St is use to playing on a Big New Years Day Bowl Game every year and at 3-0 that ain’t happening this year. Well they did come out flat last week trailing at the half 27-6. If this team was going to quit it was definitely right there in Nebraska but instead battled in the second outscoring Nebraska 17-3. They still lost 30-23 but showed me more in the loss that this team hasn’t quit. Penn St put up over 500 yards of offense in the loss. Today I expect another strong effort at home as they erase the bad taste in their mouths from their last home game when they lost to Maryland as 26 point favorites. PENN ST 30-23 as my 4% STEAM GAME OF THE WEEK.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler

Nevada +2
triple dime

Penn St +1’
double dime

Arkansas +1
Double dime

[B*mb07]

Marco D'Angelo
4% (404) IOWA ST -11
At first glance you look and see Iowa St laying 11 and see that they were -14 to Baylor and only won by 7. You also look at Kansas St and see they were +14 and only lost by 2 in their last game against Oklahoma St so the Dog looks live here right? Not so fast my friend as Lee Coro would say. Kansas St was at home and caught Oklahoma St off a gut wrenching OT loss so they took advantage of a hungover Oklahoma St team. In the Iowa St 7 point win Baylor didn’t stop Iowa St, Iowa St stopped themselves with 4 TO’s and that resulted in 24 pts off turnovers. Iowa St is a 200 club team meaning they run for 200 or more yards and pass for 200 yards or more. These kind of teams are hard to defend because if you are able to stop one phase of their game they can beat you in another way. Iowa St only has one Conference loss and already beat Oklahoma so they control their own destiny to the conference championship Game. IOWA ST 31-13 as my 4% BIG 12 BEATDOWN GAME.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Port port sports



Florida state seminoles (+35.5) (ncaa fb)


over 52 michigan wolverines @ rutgers scarlet knights (ncaa fb)


kansas state wildcats (+12.5) (ncaa fb)


over 44 wisconsin badgers @ northwestern wildcats


arizona wildcats (+11.5) (ncaa fb)


over 66.5 indiana hoosiers @ ohio state buckeyes (ncaa fb)


iowa hawkeyes (-1) (ncaa fb)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

tkwins

4* Arkansas -1
4* Auburn -9.5
5* USTA -9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony izzelli

Wisconsin -7.5 bb
Ok osu ov 60
LSU -1

[rocky57]

Clemson @ Florida State - Postponed

[rocky57]

Rockdeman Sports
CFB 7 point teaser
Indiana +27.5
Kansas State +20.5

[J Pendleton]

Youngstown Connection ?

TIA

[rocky57]

MidAmerican Sports (Raiderman)
CFB
USC -2.5
Kansas State +13
Oklahoma -6
Oklahoma/Oklahoma State Under 61
South Carolina/Missouri Under 57

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Missanelli

Michigan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik

iowa +2
UW/NW u44.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Rainey / Rainman

1☆ NC State -4', Iowa State -11
3☆ Arkansas +1
5☆ Wisconsin -7

10☆ Penn State -1

[Duncan]

Super Lock Line

Wisconsin -7.5

[Duncan]

Midwest Capper

Kansas State +12

[Duncan]

Pinnacle Sports Picks

Oklahoma -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Sports Plays (J.R. Stevens)

Central Florida +5 ML/ +150 (GOY)

Pittsburgh +3/ML +125

Indiana +21/ML +690

Liberty +6/ML +170

Florida International +8/ML +240

Northwestern +9/ML +260

Oklahoma State +8/ML +200

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Total 4 U

Indiana/Ohio State under
66 1/2

Appalchian State/Coastal Carolina over 48
Clemson/Florida State under 64
Illinois/Nebraska under 59
Florida/Vanderbilt under 68

[Duncan]

Wise Guy Insider

Oregon -17

[rocky57]

The Swami
Noble Technology (CFB) - 10* Top Play Central Florida +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lee sterling top play

Ohio st -20.5

[rocky57]

Michael Black (VegasInsider)
CFB - Oklahoma State +7.5

[Duncan]

First Half Sports

Boise State -14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bondi

5* Oklahoma
4* Oregon
3* Nevada
3* Auburn

[Duncan]

VIP Sports Lock Club

Virginia Tech/Pitt over 54

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

4* Oklahoma (-7) Oklahoma St
4* Cincinnati (-4) UCF
3* East Carolina (-4) Temple
3*UTSA (-10) Southern Miss
3* Northwestern (+7.5) Wisconsin
3* Pittsburgh (+3) Virginia Tech


4.5* Over 68.5 Florida/Vanderbilt
4* Over 55.5 Boise St/Hawaii
3* Over 69 Arkansas St/Texas St
3* Under 54 Virginia Tech/Pittsburgh

[Can'tPickAWinner]

coastal sports

200 florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

lockeroom

300 iowa st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CleInsiderSports (8-1 run)

UCF +4
Tennessee +10.5
Hawaii +13.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

national sportsline

300 w kentucky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

c. hotline

500 app st

[Duncan]

PICKS 2 PLAY

Auburn -10.5

Washington -11.5

Boise State -14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

sports advisor

300 sd st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

sun belt sportswire

300 lsu

[Can'tPickAWinner]

victory sports

300 pitt

[Can'tPickAWinner]

vip sports

300 indiana

[Can'tPickAWinner]

jack brayman

200 dime
Coastal Carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big al
Nebraska
Oregon
NC state


2* neb, nc st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

preferred picks

1 lib,nw,c fla

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner
Indiana +21
3000

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lock Of The Century Pick
BigBetMike Osborne ECU-2.5 1st Half

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive
600 Virginia Tech -3
300 Western Kentucky -7
300 Pen St -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LINE DRIVE SPORTS

4 Cincy/CF OVER 65
4 Wisconsin -7’
3 PennSt -1’

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Worlds Worst Picker
Peabody’s pick
Northwestern

We take
Wisconsin
He has 2 more
Peabody’s picks
Oklahoma
Rutgers

We take
Oklahoma st
Michigan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Barton Simmons

OVER 65
LIB @ NCST | 11/21 | 7:30 PM ESTYESTERDAY 6:17 PM
This is another showcase opportunity for Hugh Freeze, who is looking for his third ACC win of the season. I’m not sure if he gets it, but I am confident in his team scoring a lot of points. On the other side, Tim Beck has been one of the best offensive coordinator hires of the offseason and N.C. State has found some rhythm with backup quarterback Bailey Hockman. This one will be played well into the 30s and probably higher.

MIZZOU -6
MIZZOU @ SC | 11/21 | 7:30 PM ESTYESTERDAY 6:15 PM
I don’t trust South Carolina in this spot. It’s not necessarily that it will be playing under an interim coach. That’s typically a spot that provides betting value, if anything. It’s more the news of with Will Muschamp’s departure, so too came the news of departures like Jaycee Horn and Israel Mukuamu out of the defensive backfield. I just don’t see the motivation for the Gamecocks to really be invested in this one. Missouri has been impressive under first-year coach Eli Drinkwitz and the Tigers should be the better team here. I’ll take the Tigers at any number up to 7.

7-4 IN LAST 11 CFB ATS PICKS | +255

UTAH +2.5
USC @ UTAH | 11/21 | 10:30 PM ESTYESTERDAY 6:13 PM
Utah has all kinds of COVID question marks but a well-coached Kyle Whittingham team, even shorthanded, is a live dog against a USC team that is 2-0 but should be 0-2. There’s a lot of new faces for Utah, no new film and USC has two games to study for the Utes. I like Utah with a potential upset bid but take any points you can get.

7-4 IN LAST 11 CFB ATS PICKS | +255
2-1 IN LAST 3 USC ATS PICKS | +90

PITT +3
VATECH @ PITT | 11/21 | 4:00 PM ESTYESTERDAY 6:13 PM
This has been a trying year for Virginia Tech. Through it all, it’s still a quality football team but it’s a team that is running out of things to play for. Pitt is getting its quarterback Kenny Pickett back for the second straight week and it matches up really well with Virginia Tech’s strengths -- running the football. Pitt’s really talented defensive front will give the Hokies trouble and Pickett will do enough to give the Panthers a straight-up win opportunity.

7-4 IN LAST 11 CFB ATS PICKS | +255

OKLA -7
OKLAST @ OKLA | 11/21 | 7:30 PM ESTYESTERDAY 6:12 PM
Oklahoma State needed to get this game played about four weeks ago. It’s too late now. Oklahoma has caught its second wind and it is hitting its stride. Behind Spencer Rattler at quarterback, the return of Rhamondre Stevenson at RB and Ronnie Perkins at defensive end, the Sooners are rounding into Big 12 championship form just in time for Bedlam.

7-4 IN LAST 11 CFB ATS PICKS | +255
4-0 IN LAST 4 OKLA ATS PICKS | +400

[B*mb07]

Marco D'Angelo
3% CFB PLAY
Game: (335) Virginia Tech at (336) Pittsburgh
Date/Time: Nov 21 2020 4:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Virginia Tech -3.0 (-110)

3% VIRGINIA TECH -3

PROJECTED SCORE VIRGINIA TECH 28-20

3% SATURDAY MISMATCH GAME
Game: (377) Arizona at (378) Washington
Date/Time: Nov 21 2020 8:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Washington -11.5 (-110)

3% (378) WASHINGTON -11.5
This play is all about fading Arizona who gave everything thing had in a 4 point loss to USC as a 17.5 Underdog. I love fading teams off a big effort where they just missed as a big Underdog as usually those teams come up flat in the next game. Washington on the other hand had a lackluster performance in their game last week only winning by 6 as a 13 point favorite. Teams coming off a scare like that usually perform well in their next game. Arizona’s defense was run over last week as USC tallied 500 yards of offense. WASHINGTON 38-20 as my 3% SATURDAY MISMATCH GAME.

4% SAT NIGHT HIGH ROLLER PLAY
Game: (367) USC at (368) Utah
Date/Time: Nov 21 2020 10:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Utah +3.0 (-120)

4% (368) UTAH +3
Utah finally makes their 2020 season debut today against USC. On the surface USC would appear to have an edge having played 2 games while Utah has yet to play but in this strange COVID year of cancelled games and such that hasn’t been the case. This is a big game having USC come to town as the season opener. To be honest USC was life and death with both Arizona and Arizona St and if they struggled against those two offenses they are in trouble here against the Utah offense. USC has no game film to look at while Utah has two games of USC game tapes to break down. That’s a big edge for the coaches of Utah while devising a game plan. Let’s be totally honest when it comes to coaching edges Wittingham of Utah has a huge edge over Helton of USC. USC 28-24 as my 4% SATURDAY NIGHT HIGH ROLLER PLAY.

[BigChub]

Anyone have Burns, Thanks in advance!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MILLERLOCKS
Saturday 11/21/2020 Picks

3:30 PM ET NCAAF
IOWA VS. PENN STATE

PICK: IOWA +1 (-105)

RISK: 11 UNITS

3:30 PM ET NCAAF
CINCINNATI VS. CENTRAL FLORIDA

PICK: CINCINNATI (-173)

RISK: 11 UNITS

3:30 PM ET NCAAF
WISCONSIN VS. NORTHWESTERN

PICK: OVER 44 (-111)

RISK: 11 UNITS

7:30 PM ET NCAAF
LIBERTY VS. NC STATE

PICK: LIBERTY +4 (-101)

RISK: 11 UNITS

9:40 PM ET MMA
BRANDON MORENO VS. BRANDON ROYVAL

PICK: BRANDON ROYVAL (+149)

RISK: 11 UNITS

10:15 PM ET MMA
PAUL CRAIG VS. MAURICIO RUA

PICK: MAURICIO RUA (+160)

RISK: 11 UNITS

11:15 PM ET MMA
MIKE PERRY VS. TIM MEANS

PICK: TIM MEANS (-115)

RISK: 11 UNITS

[Dmoney221]

PhillyGodfather


21-Nov-2020: CFB #334 Penn St -1
21-Nov-2020: CFB [332] TOTAL u65-110 (UCLA vrs OREGON)
21-Nov-2020: CFB 354 South Carolina +6
21-Nov-2020: CFB 336 Pittsburgh +3½
21-Nov-2020: CFB #407 Georgia St/South Alabama over 57
21-Nov-2020: CFB #368 Utah +3
21-Nov-2020: Soccer 201810 VILLARREAL PK-105
21-Nov-2020: Soccer 200046 ASTON VILLA +115