Saturday 12/5/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

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NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis December 5, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
The Meadowlands has a 13-race card on tap with the feature, a Preferred Pace with a $28,000 purse coming in Race 10. The
0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Last night at the Big M the drivers with the hottest hands were Yannick Gingras and Dexter Dunn with 3 wins. All 13 races were won by different conditioners.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

2-Dealt A Winner (3-1)-Millionaire 8-year-old was just purchased by the Burke contingent for $80,000. Comes off a gate to wire win in Phl at this class and will likely be bet down.
3-Decision Day (7/2)-Has been trying hard and now gets both class and post relief. Likes the Big M, hitting the board in 17 of 35 races with 7 wins, should be a major player.
9-Heza Real Diamond (9/2)-This barn has had a good year and in the last 30 days is batting 28% for winners. The 148.4 mile was a bit of a surprise, but this guy has had a race time of 149.1 this year. The difference in last week's mile was it's all his doing and did pace the back half in 54.1. This post makes it tougher no doubt, but best to not overlook.

Race 7

1-The Candyman Can (3-1)-Didn't seal the deal in Big M debut but it was a big effort. Could make the most of drawing the rail and Gingras should work an effective trip for this Rockin Image colt.
4-No Quarter (7/2)-This will be the 2nd start for new connections since being purchased for $140,000 on 11/7. Willing to toss last after a rough ride from the 10-hole. Three-year-old faces older but has the speed to take a picture if dialed on high.

Race 8

1-B Stoney (8-1)-Although 0-4 this year Cullipher trainee knows how to win and may have finally found the right class. Makes 2nd start since 8/2, should be tighter after last week's mile and can win at a square price with a top effort.
2-Solo Story (15-1)-Taking a swing for a price in 3rd start at this class but now draws inside. Did roll a 53.4 last half but couldn't make up ground on a 148.4 winner. Has the gate speed to be in put in play sooner and could pop with a good steer.
7-Let It Ride N (3-1)-Aussie invader was good down under and looked even better in 1st local start and 1st try with Lasix at Phl. This is a step-up, there are some tough competitors and it's a long stretch, but best to respect.

Race 9

1-Always And Again (8-1)-Fits with this bunch but will need a trip and starting from the rail may not help. All that said, is too good to leave out at this price with the biggest threat starting from post 8.
3-Tru Love (7/2)-Gingras needs to get the top without much strain, then work a soft quarter and has a good chance to do so with this post draw. If that happens, will need to be game to fend off #8 and maybe a few others down the lane.
8-Bracken Storm A (3-1)-Probably not the trip Dunn wanted in last. The slow early pace and sharp move to the top by Dave Miller on the winner sealed the deal. But was game to the wire with a 26.4 final panel and usual pilot AMac is back. Looking for a more aggressive start and should be there at the wire.

0.50 Early Pick 4

2,3,9/1,4/1,2,7/1,3,8
Total Bet=$27

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Gulfstream Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 12/5/20 December 5, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Gulfstream Park Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Saturday, December 5, 2020
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


RACE 1: Post: 12:05 ET Grade: B-
Use: 1-Pangea Proxima; 3-Uptown Flirt; 9-Time Sensitive; 12-Queen of the Green

Forecast: The opener is a spread affair with several possibilities. Pangaea Proxima shows a series of intriguing drills at Fair Hills plus a nice recent breeze around dogs on grass at Palm Meadows after shipping down for G. Motion. The daughter of Temple City from multiple graded stakes winner and producer Enthused won’t be facing any world beaters in this one mile affair and gets the rail and L. Saez, so let’s make an educated guess and put her on top at 9/2 on the morning line. Uptown Flirt hit the board in two Saratoga outings and then finished fourth as the favorite at Belmont Park in her most recent outing in September. A couple of recent bullet drills at Payson Park may indicate she’ll display improvement. Queen of the Green ran well on turf when second debuting at Keeneland but then was virtually eased in an off-the-grass affair at Churchill Downs last time out. Back on the sod but drawn poorly outside, the Summer Front filly picks up P. Lopez for new trainer J. Arnett and should be dangerous from off the pace. Time Sensitive, a first-off-the-claim for G. Delgado (a superb 35% with this angle), removes blinkers and is protected on the raise in a sign of confidence. At 20-1 on the morning line you might want to toss her in somewhere.
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RACE 2: Post: 12:35 ET Grade: B
Use: 2-Liza Star; 6-Sky Chaser

Forecast: Liza Star won last year’s edition of the Claiming Crown Glass Slipper and after facing considerably tougher foes in recent listed stakes races she should be capable of regaining her winning form against this softer band. A 10-time winner over the Gulfstream Park main track, the P. Walder-trained mare seems likely to fire a big shot after a two month freshening and projects to be on or near the lead throughout. Sky Chaser is worth including, at least as a saver. All five of her career victories have been accomplished over the local main track and while she’s a tad slower on pure numbers than our top pick improvement is possible with the switch to P. Lopez.
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RACE 3: Post: 1:05 ET Grade: B
Use: 1-Conrad the Red; 8-Fighting Force

Forecast: Fighting Force displayed excellent promise in his debut at Belmont Park in September when finishing a strong runner-up to subsequent Belmont Futurity winner Second of July. The son of Air Force Blue was a somewhat disappointing distant third in his next start in an off-the-turf affair at Keeneland but returns to the lawn today, is reunited with L. Saez, and should regain his best form for T. Pletcher. Conrad the Red was scheduled to debut on grass at GPW in mid-October but wound up third with a troubled trip in a race that switched to a sloppy main track. The M. Casse-trained colt adds blinkers, lands the rail, deserves another chance, and is worth including on your ticket at 8-1 on the morning line.
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RACE 4: Post: 1:35 ET Grade: B+
Single: 1-Krysto Skye

Forecast: Old timer Kysto Skye exits a pair of Grade-3 events so he should find the Claiming Crown Express field well with his capabilities. The son of City Zip, a winner of 13 races during his long career (with 12 runner-up efforts), always has been genuine and consistent, picks up. I. Ortiz, Jr. and projects to enjoy a good ground-saving, stalking trip. On pure numbers he’s strictly the one to beat, so at 5/2 on the morning line he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 5: Post: 2:05 ET Grade: B+
Single: 10-Jakarta

Forecast: Jakarta has consistently competed against much better company than she’s facing in this 2020 edition of the Claiming Crown Distaff Dash and she’s also a perfect one-for-one sprinting over the local lawn, thus making her a legitimate 8/5 morning line favorite. The M. Maker-trained mare has only one way to go – on the front end, gate to wire – and looks more than quick enough to secure her preferred trip. On pure form she’s a standout, so we’ll make her a short priced rolling exotic single.
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RACE 6: Post: 2:38 ET Grade: X
Single: 2-Jesus’ Team

Forecast: Here’s another strong favorite that appears to own a considerable class edge over his rivals. Jesus’ Team, runner-up in the Breeders’ Cup Mile-G1 with a career top speed figure and before that third in the Preakness S.-G1, lays over the Claiming Crown Jewel field on speed figures and current form, though at 6/5 on the morning line there won’t be a whole lot of wagering value to be found. A two-time winner over the Gulfstream Park main track, the son of Tapiture projects to settle somewhere in mid-pack and then go after the leaders when ready. He’s a logical rolling exotic single.
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RACE 7: Post: 3:08 ET Grade: B
Use: 4-Temple; 6-Tusk

Forecast: The 2020 Claiming Crown Emerald looks very similar to last’s years edition, with the first three finishers back for a rematch of sorts. Muggsamatic is the defending champion but was in better form last year, so let’s try the 2019 third place finisher Tusk on top and also include course specialist Temple in our rolling exotic play. Away since winning the Tropical Turf S.-G3 in January, Tusk shows a strong, healthy work tab for his comeback for top trainer S. Joseph, Jr., who has superb stats with layoff runners, so if he can pick up where he left off this veteran Tapit gelding certainly is good enough at 9/2 on the morning line. He likes the front end but can stalk and pounce if needed so the stable’s “go-to” jockey E. Jaramillo can play it by ear. Temple, a four time grass winner at Gulfstream Park, was a New York stakes winner in his younger days and has rising recent speed figures to indicate he’s rounding back to top form. The M. Maker-trained gelding should be heard from in the final stages.
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RACE 8: Post: 3:38 ET Grade: C+
Use: 1-Avant Garde; 4-All Around; 5-Miles Ahead; 10-Yodel E. A. Who

Forecast: The Claiming Crown Rapid Transit for older horses over six furlongs on the main track has contenders top to bottom with the morning line favorite Yodel E. A. Who listed as the lukewarm 4-1 top choice. The son of Creative Cause earned a career top speed figure when winning an overnight race over this track and distance in late September and then was given a brief vacation. With three recent drills to have him sharpened up, the S. Joseph, Jr.-trained gelding – a five time winner over the local dirt strip – seems likely to fire his best shot. Miles Ahead is lightly-raced, improving, and fast on numbers. The Competitive Edge gelding has won his last three in sharp style, and while this clearly is a step up in competition the E. Plesa, Jr.-trained 3-year-old has the proper style for this extended sprint distance and could easily be this good. All Around, second in the same race Miles Ahead just won, prefers to lay back and blast home, and with some help up front must be given a reasonable look. Avant Garde, a long shot at 15-1 on the morning line, is slower on speed figures than the other main players but has four wins in five starts over the Gulfstream Park main track and is another that should be doing his best work from the quarter pole home.
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RACE 9: Post: 4:09 ET Grade: B
Use: 5-Queens Embrace; 11-Sugar Fix

Forecast: Queens Embrace, an $80,000 claim by D. Gargan (a spectacular 45% with a massive flat-bet profit with this first-off-the-claim angle), has been pointed for the Claiming Crown Tiara ever since changing barns in late September, and this Grade-2 placed daughter of Real Solution looks capable of producing a powerful late kick. A winner of five races from just 11 career starts, the 3-year-old daughter of Real Solution picks up L. Saez, should have more than sufficient help up front to compliment her late-running style, and with good racing luck can be along in time. Sugar Fix is drawn a bit farther out than we’d prefer but is the one our top pick should worry about the most. ‘Fix likes to stalk and pounce, is reunited with “win rider” T. Gaffalione, and given her projected trip should have dead aim and every chance from the top of the lane to the sire. Preference on top goes to Queens Embrace but both should be used in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 10: Post: 4:40 ET Grade: B+
Use: 1-Fiya; 9-Unmoored

Forecast: We’ve got the Claiming Crown Canterbury down to two main players, with Fiya, listed at 8/5 on the morning line, the deserving top selection. A winner of four straight and extremely fast on speed figures, the lightly-raced son of Friesen Fire projects to be on the front end from his favorable rail draw and should be very hard to catch at this shortened five furlong trip.Unmoored may be worth using as a back-up or a saver. The veteran son of Midshipman seems likely to draft into a stalk-and-pounce position and have dead aim when it matters. If Fiya doesn’t reproduce his best form for whatever reason, this M. Maker-trained gelding will be in the right spot to pick up the pieces.
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Race 11: Post Time: 5:11 ET Grade: B+
Single: 6-Snap Hook

Forecast: At 5-1 on the morning line in the Claiming Crown Iron HorseSnap Hook may offer a bit of a gamble. Just missing as the 7/5 favorite in a good overnight race at GPW last month while paying the price for pressing a hot early pace, the son of Flower Alley should face a bit less heat today and thus likely will be better suited to see out the trip. First or second in five of six career starts over the Gulfstream Park main track, the J. Delgado-trained gelding in solid in the speed figure department, retains regular pilot E. Jaramillo, and since being claimed for $8,000 last May has been first or second in all eight outings for these connections.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Laurel Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#8 McCain
Turned in a big effort from close range in the local debut last out, and he should get another really cozy pressing run from the wide draw today.


#7 Abuelo Paps
He's pretty reliable, and his baseline run keeps him in the mix with these, but he tends to find one or two of them a bit too tough most of the time.


#5 Moose Lodge
He has finished well from off the pace in both career starts, but the splits may not be overly quick in this one, and he might wind up getting a bit overbet.


Race Summary
McCain cuts back a touch for this rise to face winners, and he should get a nice tracking trip that allows him to get first jump on the main threats.


Laurel Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#3 Buckey's Charm
She might be just a touch too cheap for these, but there are a few pace elements in here that may set the table for a rally from off the splits. Not impossible, but demand a double-digit price.


#7 Maxine's Tap Room
Was super live on the board at 3/2 when posting a comfortable win against open company at Keeneland, and any move forward off that score would make her tough right back.


#2 Street Lute
Tactical type can press the splits in the early going, and she has never turned in a bad one. Think she can turn the tables on #9 Miss Nondescript, who handed her her only career loss.


Race Summary
Buckey's Charm is a bit of a swing in a race where there is some pretty reliable form, but she is in good form and handled a class jump last time out.


Laurel Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#3 Jaxon Traveler
Prove talent still has upside with just two starts under his belt. Prohibitive price makes it tough to do much with him in this spot, but he's the clear one to beat, and perhaps the way this race pays is...


#6 Ain't Da Beer Cold
Sharp and quick effort when racing two turns last time out, and that route-pace-cutting-back angle comes into play at this 7-furlong trip. Price player can be useful underneath.


#5 Alwaysinahurry
Logical alternative on paper, she rallied to be a distant second going shorter than this with stakes company a couple starts back. Price probably won't reflect his real chances.


Race Summary
Jaxon Traveler has been flawless through two starts, and there doesn't appear to be anything lined up in here to keep him from tallying a third score. Ain't Da Beer Cold is a cutback price play and may be able to boost the gimmicks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Freehold - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#6 YER SO BAD
Lands in ideal spot to upstage recent in-the-money finishes.


#3 LOOK AND SEA
Been coming up short in the stretch, should sit ideal trip.


#5 KENTUCKY PROUD
Changed tactics, led long way at this level two starts ago.


Race Summary
Yer So Bad looks good on paper and chased short-priced winners in his prior three starts at 5/8-mile Pocono Downs. He should be able to stalk and pounce in this spot. Play 6-3 and 6-5 exactas.


Meadowlands - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 PREMIER ROCKSTAR
Looks to enhance 41/9-6-5 record, can run past these on drop.


#4 SPRINTER N
Back-pedaled while first over, will be on the move early with Gingras.


#2 THNDRFRMTHETHRON N
Rallied into fast splits to join blanket finish, gets class relief.


Race Summary
Premier Rockstar gets major class relief, ample pace flow and pole position to get confidence-building win. He is an all-or-nothing type play in this spot. Play 1-3 and 1-4 exactas.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#4 REVOLT
Early trouble, picked up live cover, just missed in wild scramble at the finish.


#6 POSEIDON SEELSTER
Won photo finishes from on and off the pace at this level recently.


#8 INDICTABLE HANOVER
Flushed out at half, gained steadily, hung slightly late, ran second.


Race Summary
Revolt ran into a traffic jam on the first turn, flushed out cover from Indictable Hanover at the half and followed that one in a three-horse blanket finish. He’s 8-for-18 this year and always looms in contention. Play 4-6 and 4-8 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#7 Combination
Doesn't have the class of a few of these, but that often doesn't make a difference for him over this strip, where he's won seven of 14. He's taken five of his last six races and is more that ready when they ask him for his best.


#1 Krsto Skye
Set the pace in the DeFrancis, opened up 1 1-2 lengths in the stretch and just couldn't stay; capable of a big effort on the front end here.


#9 Ray'swarrior
Has the speed to get in good position from the outside and can put on a lot of early pressure; runs well here and can stay for a piece of it.


Race Summary
Combination loves the track, likes to be just off a rapid pace and in this spot will be in a great position to show his best.


Gulfstream Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#6 Tusk
Makes his first since January when he won the G3 Tropical Turf; has several outstanding works for the Joseph stable and goes for his fifth win in his last six starts.


#2 Artie's Rumor
Was claimed by Maker and won at Keeneland in his first for the new barn; has been on the board in six straight and has the class to be a factor.


#6 Muggsamatic
Won this race last year and rallied for fourth in the Prevue at GPW; needed that one and will probably be a force late.


Race Summary
Tusk is a graded stakes winner and leading up to this one looks ready via workouts; hasn't run any bad ones lately and is only getting better.


Gulfstream Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#9 Joe Di Baggio
Comes off an outstanding score vs. good company and will be tough if he runs back to that one; can pass horses but also is able to get to the lead if others balk at the chance.


#10 Yodel E.A. Who
Was sharp in two of his last three races and has been a solid sprinter this year; does well over the strip and can press throughout.


#12 I'm a G Six
Was claimed by Pletcher last time and has won three of six this year; turns back to seven furlongs and can make a run at the leaders.


Race Summary
Joe Di Baggio has down a lot of speed and gameness lately and can dig in when challenged; likely to be a good price here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PickersMx

Free Pick
40 Dimes CBB
Oklahoma St - 22.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Siefken Event: (619) NC State at (620) Connecticut
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: December 5, 2020 12PM EST
Play: Total Under 143.5 (-110)
My numbers say this game will be 69-66 NC State. The numbers seem to be a bit inflated due to the fact that NC State has beaten the tar out of three cupcakes. I have USC ranked slightly below NC State and USC put a paltry 58 on UConn, I think UConn can hold NC State under 70. My total on this says 135 which is an 8.5 discrepancy from the line. That is moderate value so bet a half unit. Bet the Under 143.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nick Borrman Event: Torino at Juventus
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: December 5, 2020 12PM EST
Play: Juventus -1.25 (-110)
Italy Serie A
Normally a good rule of thumb is to fade, or at least lay off Champions League teams on the weekend before midweek Champions League action. However, I’m ignoring that on Saturday as Juventus host Torino in the Turin derby.
Juventus is already qualified for the knockout round of the Champions League and even with a win at Barcelona on Tuesday, they are not going to overcome the goal difference, so they are set as the #2 seed in that group. That leaves them full focused on this match and likely to have some major squad rotation for that Champions League match so take an early look at Barcelona in that one.
Juve have dominated this derby as Torino has just one win since 1995 over a total of 30 matches with 23 Juve wins and 6 draws. Torino is on a historically bad run with just one win over their last 14 Serie A road games.
Juve are a tough team to crack at home where they are averaging 2.20 xG and allowing just 0.80 xGA between this season and last season while Torino is averaging just 1.19 xG on the road and allowing 1.81 xGA.
Go with Juventus -1.25 to win this on rather easily and take a look at a 3-0 score line as well for +950.
TAKE JUVENTUS -1.25
Line Parameter: 4% to -1.5, pay up to -125 to get -1.25

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Finn Event: (395) West Virginia at (396) Iowa State
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: December 5, 2020 3PM EST
Play: Iowa State -6.5 (-110)
The Iowa State Cyclones are having what a player would label a career year. The Clones have for the first time in seemingly forever defeated the Oklahoma Sooners and the Texas Longhorns in the same calendar season. ISU is in unfamiliar territory sitting atop of the Big 12 standings entering Week 14.
West Virginia is coming off an unscheduled bye week. Last Saturday, the absence of a quality opponent due to COVID issues has the Mountaineers rested and ready for the Cyclones in Ames this weekend.
The pressure of this Saturday's game against WVU is heavy. I say this with the belief that Matt Campbell is facing the most crucial competition of his career and one that will shape his future. Based on opinion and not first or third-hand information, I believe a Big 12 Championship by Campbell, his staff, and the kids in tow results in a job offer from Michigan.
With this belief and understanding, most of the kids wearing the ISU colors on Saturday want to play and win. And that is what happens, and it comes from a hard-fought victory over a capable West Virginia team, defense.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo Event: (493) BYU at (494) Coastal Carolina
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: December 5, 2020 5PM EST
Play: BYU -10.5 (-110)
FREE PLAY: BYU -10.5
Coastal Carolina hasn’t seen an offense as good as BYU’s all season. The passing game of BYU has been unstoppable all season. Coastal Carolina Faces mostly rushing attacks in the Sunbelt Conference. BYU’s offensive line has a huge size advantage as well, which means BYU should control the line of scrimmage. Yes BYU took this game on short notice but so did Coastal Carolina. I feel it will be harder for Coastal Carolina to find a way to stop BYU than it will be for BYU to stop Coastal Carolina. BYU 45-28

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin Event: (445) San Jose State at (446) Hawaii
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: December 5, 2020 6PM EST
Play: San Jose State -1.0 (-110)
This was originally Hawaii at San Jose State but the game will now be played on the islands due to to restrictions being imposed in California. Big swing on the number, which I really can't agree with. I still feel the Spartans should be favored by a decent margin. Full credit to Hawaii for a solid showing last week as they upset Nevada. A lot of things went right for the home team in that game and while they played well, I thought Nevada beat themselves. San Jose got to scout that game and should be well prepared for the wildcat and other wrinkles that fooled the Wolf Pack a week ago. I'll admit a little concern about the fact San Jose hasn't played since November 14 but if they're rusty, they're also fresh so I'm not going to worry about it to any extent. If Hawaii plays as well as they did last week, this gets tough. But I still don't feel they're a particularly good team and I'll be on San Jose State to cash a ticket here.
Dave finally lost a 5% play last week. But it's tough to argue with 10-1 in college football, 7-1 this season college/NFL and a spectacular 76% win rate on ALL 5% plays the last 14 months. Info that matters is the key to this week's big play. Be sure to find out all about it!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Merril Event: (407) Baylor at (408) Oklahoma
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: December 5, 2020 8PM EST
Play: Oklahoma -21.5 (-110)
-Baylor snapped their 5-game losing streak with a win last week; big class jump now
-Oklahoma is on a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS run; expect that to extend after this game
-Sooners average 7.6 yards per play at home vs. defenses that allow 6.1 yards per play
Play OKLAHOMA (-).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia Event: (379) Oregon State at (380) Utah
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: December 5, 2020 10PM EST
Play: Total Under 51.5 (-110)
These teams are coming off dramatically different Thanksgiving weekends. Utah blew a 21-0 halftime lead in a 24-21 loss in Seattle against Washington while Oregon State rallied from 31-19 4th-quarter deficit vs. Oregon in foggy Corvallis, winning on a 1-yard TD run with :33 left. Backup Chance Nolan did the honors in his first play for the Beavers but will step in full-time since starter Tristan Gebbia suffered a hamstring injury on the play just before Nolan replaced him while trying to punch it in himself. He may be done for the season.
Utah is 0-2 and has turned it over nine times. South Carolina grad transfer Jake Bentley is struggling and may not have top receiving threat Britain Covey available, so expect a grinder of a game on a 23-degree night in Salt Lake City. This total opened at 52.5 and has been bet down, but I recommend climbing on board at the key number of 51.5 and riding the low side. Back the under in this Pac-12 clash.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Siefken Event: Japanese B league Basketball Mikawa at Shiga
Sport/League: BSKT
Date/Time: December 5, 2020 11PM EST
Play: Away -5.5 (-110)
In this Japanese basketball B League game the Mikawa Seahorses go to Shiga for the second day in a row. Yesterday Mikawa won by 15, my numbers say they win this by 14.5 and the line is only 5.5. Bet Mikawa Seahorses -5.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andrew McInnis Event: (24149) Jack Hermansson at (24150) Marvin Vettori
Sport/League: MMA
Date/Time: December 6, 2020 12AM EST
Play: Marvin Vettori -140
Marvin Vettori takes on Jack Hermansson in the main event this weekend in UFC.
Vettori is stepping in for Kevin Holland on short notice due to a positive Covid test.
Vettori is 3-1 in his last 4 inside the octagon with the loss being a split decision to the current middleweight champion of the world, Adesanya.
Vettori is a very emotional fighter with a very good wrestling base and solid striking. This is a bad matchup for Hermansson on paper as his Striking style can leave him open to being hit and hit hard and; I think This is the perfect matchup for Vettori, I look for Marvin to keep this one on the feet and get a finish.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price Dec 05 '20, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Penn State vs Rutgers
Play on: Rutgers +11½ -109 at pinnacle

Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Rutgers +11.5
The Key: The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are a team on the rise in the Big Ten now that Greg Schiano is back where he started. He actually had a lot of experience and talent to work with coming in and he is getting the most out of it in his first year back. The Scarlet Knights are just 2-4 SU but 4-2 ATS and have been competitive in every game. They covered against Ohio State, lost by 16 to Indiana, lost by 3 to Illinois and lost in triple overtime to Michigan. They also upset Michigan State on the road as 9-point dogs and upset Purdue on the road as 13-point dogs. And now they will give Penn State a run for its money Saturday. The Nittany Lions are in a lost season after their 0-5 start this year. They were able to get up for Michigan last week and finally get their first win, and I think they will relax after that victory. The Scarlet Knights will be the hungrier team here wanting to prove that they are no longer the little brother to Penn State. And this is their best chance to get it done. The Scarlet Knights are 3-0 ATS in the last 3 matchups. The Nittany Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off an ATS win. The Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as underdogs. Penn State is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games after playing its last game on the road. Take Rutgers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Dec 05 '20, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Arkansas vs Missouri
Play on: Arkansas +3 -110 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Arkansas +3 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Dec 05 '20, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Arkansas vs Missouri
Play on: Arkansas +3 -110 at Draft Kings

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Arkansas +3 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joseph D'Amico Dec 05 '20, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Texas vs Kansas State
Play on: Texas -7 -110 at sportsbook

This Saturday, we continue to BURN YOUR BOOKIE as I have the most explosive NCAAF card this season: ACC GAME OF THE MONTH, 87% NO LIMIT, 4-0 GRIDIRON GAME, 26-8 HIGH ROLLER, 46-18-1 LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE, 29-9 WISEGUY MOVE, and 71% TD PLAY. Get on my HOT STREAK, get them all, and BURN YOUR BOOKIE.
Saturday’s FREE WINNER: Texas.
Game 413.
9:00 am pst.
Every “square” or I should say, the general public are taking Kansas State this week to upend Texas. No doubt, one of this year’s early seasons pleasant surprises was the success of the Kansas State Wildcats. They began the campaign losing outright to Arkansas State as a 15.5-point favorite. Well folks, as the general public does, they judged a team from their previous week’s performance and the whole world bet against them the next several weeks as they face Oklahoma, Texas Tech, and TCU. All teams better on paper and on the field. Well, guess what? Kansas State easily handled all three foes and then put the cherry on top decimating Kansas by 41 points. Well we the watched as the general public unloaded on the Wildcats over the next month as they split out ATS, going 2-2. However, they slid to 0-4 SU.
Now everyone feels they are going to cover this week. Why? After a three-game SU win streak, Texas just lost a squeaker to the conference’s top team, Iowa State.
Yes, these two teams have played close games the last few years but Sam Ehlinger and the 30th ranked Longhorns passing attack will shred the 99th ranked pass defense of the Wildcats. Look for the improved Texas “D” to slow down the K State, which has been erratic over the last month. Lay the TD with the hotter Texas here folks. Take Texas. Thank you.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach Dec 05 '20, 12:30 PM in 1h
Soccer | Manchester United vs West Ham United
Play on: OVER 2½ -125

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Rotation #200101 Saturday Free Pick OVER the total in Manchester United vs West Ham United @ 12:30 PM ET - good news for Manchester United as they are on the road where they are 4-0 this season and have scored an average of 3.3 goals per match; West Ham United is at home where they have scored an average of 1.6 goals per match this season; given the strange home/road dichotomy of the visitors in this one I will not hesitate to take advantage of the low total posted here as we can get the over 2.5 at a great price. Free Pick OVER the total in West Ham United

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Dec 05 '20, 2:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Illinois-Chicago vs Ball State
Play on: Illinois-Chicago +5½ -109 at Draft Kings

Free Play on Illinois-Chicago +5½ -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass comp play is the Uconn game under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred)




Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred) - Race 5

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double / $1 Pick Three (Races 5-6-7)



Stakes • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 98 • Purse: $300,000 • Post: 2:28P


STARLET S. - GRADE 1 FOR TWO YEAR OLD FILLIES. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $500 EACH TO ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION ON OR BEFORE THURSDAY, AUGUST 27, 2020. CLOSED WITH 54. FOR ALL HORSES NOT NOMINATED, SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATIONS OF $10,000 EACH WILL CLOSE AT THE TIME OF ENTRY. CLOSED WITH 1. ALL HORSES SHALL PAY $2,000 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND $3,000 ADDITIONAL TO START, WITH $300,000 GUARANTEED, WITH $180,000 TO THE WINNER, $60,000 TO SECOND, $36,000 TO THIRD, $18,000 TO FOURTH AND $6,000 TO FIFTH. 120 LBS. THIS RACES WILL NOT BE DIVIDED. IF THE NUMBER OF ENTRIES EXCEED THE STARTING GATE CAPACITY, PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO THOSE HORSES WITH THE HIGHEST TOTAL EARNINGS AND AN ALSO ELIGIBLE LIST WILL BE DRAWN. FAILURE TO DRAW INTO THIS RACES AT SCRATCH TIME CANCELS ALL FEES. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER, TRAINER AND JOCKEY. STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY THE CLOSING TIME OF ENTRIES.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ASTUTE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ASTUTE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. PRINCESS NOOR: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. KALYPSO: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.



4

ASTUTE

7/5


2/1




3

PRINCESS NOOR

1/1


7/1




1

KALYPSO

6/1


7/1


















P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

ASTUTE

4


7/5

Front-runner

89


92


95.7


95.7


92.2




1

KALYPSO

1


6/1

Front-runner

88


84


80.5


80.5


71.5




3

PRINCESS NOOR

3


1/1

Stalker

94


89


69.7


84.6


81.6




5

VARDA

5


8/1

Stalker

90


81


58.8


65.4


58.9




2

NASREDDINE

2


15/1

Trailer

88


75


71.6


71.6


63.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Tampa Bay Downs



Tampa Bay Downs - Race 4

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 4-5-6) / Super High 5



Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Age 2 • CR: 58 • Purse: $12,350 • Post: 1:41P


FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 (PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HORSES WHICH HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $16,000. THE SAME PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HORSES WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR LESS THAN $16,000 AND SINCE THEN HAVE FINISHED 2ND OR 3RD FOR $16,000 OR MORE.)FOR TWO YEAR OLDS UNDER INTERNATIONAL MEDICATION PROTOCOL. HORSES ENTERED TO COMPETE SHALL NOT BE ELIGIBLE TO RECEIVE FUROSEMIDE LESS THAN TWENTY-FOUR (24) HOURS PRIOR TO POST TIME FOR THE RACE.).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BEAUTY GENIUS is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BEAUTY GENIUS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BEAUTIFUL TIZ: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



2

BEAUTY GENIUS

3/1


5/2




5

PRINCESS NINA

5/1


8/1




12

BEAUTIFUL TIZ

10/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




2

BEAUTY GENIUS

2


3/1

Front-runner

68


58


50.0


50.0


45.5




12

BEAUTIFUL TIZ

12


10/1

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


61.5


44.7


34.7




9

INDY FRONT

9


30/1

Alternator/Stalker

56


34


60.7


34.4


18.4




11

TONALA

11


20/1

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


60.5


44.7


28.7




14

WILL TAKE ROSES

14


8/1

Alternator/Stalker

60


46


36.3


38.0


27.0




5

PRINCESS NINA

5


5/1

Trailer

56


52


51.2


51.2


38.7




7

DOUBLE DOT

7


20/1

Trailer

0


0


38.9


38.9


28.4




10

ALEX'S FIRST

10


6/1

Alternator/Trailer

0


0


50.9


50.9


39.4




8

CHICHI RIVICHE

8


4/1

Alternator/Trailer

0


0


40.8


50.2


40.7




13

LADY DOMINANCE

13


20/1

Alternator/Trailer

0


0


28.0


28.0


14.5




4

DIXIELAND DARLING

4


15/1

Alternator/Trailer

0


0


13.3


13.3


0.0




1

TAP SOLO

1


20/1

Alternator/Trailer

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0























Unknown Running Style: MARLEE (8/1) [Jockey: Camacho Samy - Trainer: Stewart Chad J], REAWAKEN (7/2) [Jockey: Burgos Alberto - Trainer: Joseph Jr Saffie A].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Fair Grounds - Race #1 - Post: 1:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 66

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#11 TOUR THE WORLD (ML=9/2)
#2 AMES MISTER (ML=12/1)


TOUR THE WORLD - Beschizza was aboard this colt last time around the track and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. Registered a nice turf number on October 16th at Keeneland. A repeat today, and this one has a great shot to win. Last time out, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. A good sign he can close well, and should be right there at the end in today's race. AMES MISTER - Looking at today's class figure, this pony is meeting an easier field than last time around the track at Churchill Downs. Saez and Foley partnered up are a railbird's friend. Foley adds Lasix to this one today. I'd look for a solid chance of improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 S MAN (ML=7/2), #1 GLOBAL EMPIRE (ML=5/1), #9 YES THIS TIME (ML=6/1),

S MAN - Finished fourth in his most recent effort with a substandard speed fig. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field. GLOBAL EMPIRE - I predict a disappointing effort for this equine in this race. YES THIS TIME - In this circumstance, this steed's inability to make up any ground in the last race is a cause for concern. Don't think this steed will make an impact in today's race. That last speed rating was common when compared with today's Equibase class figure.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - TOUR THE WORLD - The event on Oct 16th had a class rating of 83 while today's class rating is 66. I got to bet this one on such a big drop.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #11 TOUR THE WORLD to win. Have to have odds of at least 8/5 or better though



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,11]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

11 with 2 with [1,4,6] Total Cost: $3



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

11 with 2 with [1,4,5,6,8] with [1,4,5,6,8] Total Cost: $20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Stakes - 9.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $150000 Class Rating: 95

REMSEN S. - GRADE 2 FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $150 EACH WHICH SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION; $1,125 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND AN ADDITIONAL $1,125 TO START. FOR HORSES NOT ORIGINALLY NOMINATED, A SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION PAYMENT OF $2,250 MAY BE MADE AT ANY TIME PRIOR TO THE CLOSING OF ENTRIES. CERTAIN FINISHING POSITIONS IN




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 TEN FOR TEN 2/1




# 2 KNOWN AGENDA 8/5




# 3 BROOKLYN STRONG 7/2




TEN FOR TEN is my choice. Might best this field here, showing quite good figs of late. With a nice class figure average of 88, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group. Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figures of this field in his last contest. KNOWN AGENDA - He must be given a chance given the very good speed figs. Is hard not to look at given the company run in as of late. BROOKLYN STRONG - Should keep the impressive string of finishes intact this time out. Have to play this gelding with the strong earnings per start in dirt route contests.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 65

FOR NATIVE MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 116 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 RUBICUNDO 3/1




# 6 GREAT MAMBO 10/1




# 3 EL MANA 5/1




I have to support RUBICUNDO here. Strong average Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this animal a contender. Ought to compete admirably in the early pace contest which bodes well with this field. Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 65 - of his last race. GREAT MAMBO - Don't let this colt slip past you. Could score at high odds. EL MANA - Should wake up with Lasix change (on Lasix) today. The average class fig of 29 makes this entrant difficult to beat.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Laurel - Race #1 - Post: 12:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 57

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 TIZ AUCTION TIME (ML=5/2)


TIZ AUCTION TIME - Looking at today's class figure, this thoroughbred is encountering an easier field than last out at Laurel.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 COMMISSIONER BIGGS (ML=1/1), #1 THE FIRE WITHIN (ML=6/1), #6 KUKULKAN (ML=8/1),

COMMISSIONER BIGGS - Today's race is 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance contest in the last two months. Not the greatest of signs. THE FIRE WITHIN - Just don't figure that he is priced right at the morning line odds. KUKULKAN - This horse hasn't been showing me anything in the last two outings. I find it hard to bet on any horse in a sprint event at 8/1 when he hasn't shown any successful efforts in sprints in the last 60 days.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #3 TIZ AUCTION TIME on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Pass



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander Dec 05 '20, 5:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | BYU vs Coastal Carolina
Play on: BYU -10 -110 at sportsbook

1* CFB - BYU/C Carolina *FREE PICK* on BYU -10
It's been an amazing run for Coastal Carolina in 2020. The Chanticleers have come out of nowhere to start the season 9-0 and ranked inside the Top 20 at No. 18. They also have a lot of fun doing it, as Coastal has some epic postgame celebrations.
I just think the party stops on Saturday against BYU. The Cougars also come in at 9-0, but are a pissed off bunch being ranked just No. 13. This team wants to be in the playoff talk. I don't think they can do enough to get in, but you can bet they are going to try. BYU isn't just going into this game to win, they want to embarrass the Chanticleers.
I got a feeling they are going to do just that. What makes Coastal Carolina so good is their ability to control the clock with their run game. They also have a very unique offense that I think is built to exploit some of the lessor teams they face. I don't think much is going to work against BYU. The Cougars got an outstanding defensive line that should have their way. On the flip side of this, BYU has too much fire-power on offense for the Chanticleers to contain. BET BYU -10!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti Dec 05 '20, 5:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | BYU vs Coastal Carolina
Play on: Coastal Carolina +11 -108 at pinnacle

Saturday card has our 7* 2020 College Football Game of the year headlining a big College card that also has a TIER 1 Going early and Top Level NCAAB and Soccer. Comp play below.
The College Football comp play is on Coast Carolina at 5:30 eastern. Coastal fits a nice 15-4 system here for late season home dogs that are undefeated. Coastal to their credit is playing an also undefeated BYU team after their big game with Liberty was canceled. Coastal is 6-1 ats off a win of 20 or more and 9-1 ats after allowing 20 or less. BYU just 1-5 ats in December games. Coastal Carolina will be more motivated as a 10 point dog in this game than they would have been as a 10 point favorite over Liberty. The Chanticleers have the defense and offense to stay with BYU Here. Take the points. On Saturday we have our 2020 7* College Football game of the Year and an executive Level TIER 1 along with NCAAB and Soccer. For the Comp play. Take the points with Coastal Carolina. Rob V- GC Sports.
SU: 14-6-0
ATS: 15-4-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Dec 05 '20, 5:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | BYU vs Coastal Carolina
Play on: BYU -10 -101 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: BYU -10
The BYU Cougars (9-0) came out in the 13th position in the playoff rankings this week. But now they have a chance to make a statement against unbeaten Coastal Carolina (9-0) and move up even further. I expect them to take full advantage of this opportunity after Liberty had to back out of their game with the Chanticleers due to Covid-19 reasons.
The Cougars are just better everywhere here and should roll to victory. They are 4th in the country in scoring (47.6 PPG) and total offense (538.3 YPG) this season. They are led by Heisman hopeful Zach Wilson at quarterback. He is completing 74.3% of his passes for 2,724 yards with a 26-to-2 TD/INT ratio. He has also rushed for eight scores on the ground.
This BYU defense is also legit. The Cougars rank 4th in the country in scoring defense (13.9 PPG) and 6th in total defense (292.7 YPG). They will be the bigger, more physical team on both sides of the line of scrimmage, which will allow them to control the game.
Coastal Carolina has been a great story this season and will be going to the Sun Belt Championship Game with the work they have done thus far. But they are in over their heads here. They would have been way better off facing Liberty and were favored to improve to 10-0. But this is a much tougher challenge here against a BYU team hungry to make their case for the four-team playoff. The Chanticleers were preparing to face Liberty all week, and now they only have a couple days to get ready for BYU. That’s a very tall task.
The Cougars are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games. BYU is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine games overall. The Chanticleers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as home underdogs. The Cougars come in rested having last played on November 21st and they’ll be ready to roll. Bet BYU Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin Dec 05 '20, 5:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | BYU vs Coastal Carolina
Play on: BYU -10½ -105 at YouWager

BYU @ Coastal Carolina Free Pick December 5, 2020
First of all, let's give some credit to the #18 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers who are having a magical year. Just like today's opponent #13 BYU, they are coming into the contest with an undefeated 9-0 record.
This is a pretty big step up in competition compared to the other teams they have faced though, and the Cougars should be looking to make a statement, boosting their College Football Playoff resume with a signature win.
BYU's defense is truly elite, allowing only 13.9 points per game and quarterback Zach Wilson has been putting up Heisman-type numbers all season, leading an offense that has scored 11 points or more in eight of the team's nine victories.
Free pick on BYU.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Dec 05 '20, 6:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | San Jose State vs Hawaii
Play on: UNDER 60½ -110

1* Free Sharp Play on San Jose State vs Hawaii under 60½ -110
The UNDER (60.5) is worth a look in Saturday's Mountain West matchup that has Hawaii hosting San Jose State. No way should we be seeing a total in the 60's with the Spartans. San Jose State is pretty limited on the offensive end and are outstanding on the defensive side. Spartans have allowed 21 or fewer in all 4 games they have played this season. I don't know if either team will get to 30 points in this game. Play the UNDER 60.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Dec 05 '20, 7:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Oregon vs California
Play on: California +9 -101 at pinnacle

1* on California +9 -101

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Dec 05 '20, 7:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Colorado State vs San Diego State
Play on: Colorado State +8 -110 at William Hill

Free Pick on Colorado State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Dec 05 '20, 7:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Colorado vs Arizona
Play on: Colorado -7 -110 at William Hill

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Colorado -7
The Colorado Buffaloes are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS this season against three quality opponents in UCLA, Stanford and San Diego State. There has been nothing fluky about this start either as the Buffaloes are outgaining those three teams by 66.4 yards per game. Their defense has been really solid in yielding only 343.3 yards per game. And now they face the 0-3 SU & 1-2 ATS Arizona Wildcats. The struggles for the Wildcats extend back to last year too as they are now 0-10 SU & 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. And things just got worse when starting QB Grant Gunnell went out with a shoulder injury against UCLA last week. It was all over from there as backup QB Will Plumber looked like a deer in headlights. He completed only 17 of 35 passes for 151 yards with zero touchdowns and two interceptions. Gunnell has an injury to his throwing shoulder and is unlikely to play this week. The Buffaloes are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. The Wildcats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as underdogs. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. Give me Colorado.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Dec 05 '20, 7:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Rider vs Syracuse
Play on: OVER 145½ -110

1 Dimer on Rider vs Syracuse over 145½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Dec 05 '20, 8:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Miami-FL vs Duke
Play on: OVER 60 -110

PICK - Miami/Duke OVER 60
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 444
I'm confident we are going to see more than enough scoring in Saturday's ACC matchup between Duke and Miami to push this game well past the total of 60. The Blue Devils defense is broken. In their last two games they have given up 56 to UNC and 56 to Georgia Tech.
Both games Duke gave up well over 300 yards rushing. The Tar Heels racked up 338 on the ground and the Yellow Jackets went off for 377. There's been 3 games in ACC play were Miami has rushed for 160 or more yards and in those 3 games they scored no fewer than 44 points. It just opens up the offense when they can pick up big plays on the ground. I see no reason not to expect at least 40 from Miami in this one.
That means all we need is for Duke to score 20 points. Something they have done in each of their last 6 games. Miami's defense is solid, but far from dominant, especially on the road. Hurricanes are giving up just 24.8 ppg on the season, despite allowing 35.3 ppg on the road. They also go from giving up 390 ypg to allowing 460 ypg.
OVER has cashed in 11 of Miami's last 15 games when listed as a favorite of 10 or more. OVER has also hit in 11 of Duke's last 16 at home and 11 of their last 15 off a loss by 20 or more. Give me the OVER 60!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports Dec 05 '20, 9:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Fresno State vs Nevada
Play on: Fresno State +7½ -110 at Buckeye

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #389 Fresno State Bulldogs over Nevada Wolf Pack (10:30p.m., Saturday, December 5 FS1) Nevada has never been a strong team as a big favorite evident by their straight-up loss to Hawaii last week on the Island. Now they must make a long trip back to Reno and face a rested Fresno State team that has not played a game since November 14. The metrics do not line up with Nevada’s 5-1 record, as they have yet to face a strong offense this entire season. We will grab the points in this game that will likely go down to the wire. Fresno State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings with Nevada. The road team is also 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Dec 05 '20, 10:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-B | Portland State vs Portland
Play on: Portland State +1 -110 at William Hill

1* Free Play on Portland State +1 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

339GEORGIA TECH -340 NC STATE
GEORGIA TECH is 24-10 ATS (13 Units) vs bad defenses (>31 PPG) since 1992.

341VANDERBILT -342 GEORGIA
GEORGIA is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games vs. poor offenses (<17 PPG) since 1992.

343CLEMSON -344 VIRGINIA TECH
VIRGINIA TECH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite since 1992.

345BOSTON COLLEGE -346 VIRGINIA
VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in home games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

347S CAROLINA -348 KENTUCKY
S CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons.

351LIBERTY -352 COASTAL CAROLINA
LIBERTY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after the first month of the season in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 14
Bruce Marshall

Week 14 of the College Football season kicks off on Thursday Dec. 3 and concludes on Sunday, Dec. 6.

We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Thursday, Dec. 3

LOUISIANA TECH at NORTH TEXAS (CBSSN, 6:00 p.m.)
After UTSA loss, UNT 6-19 last 25 on board since mid 2018.
Skip Holtz and La Tech have won and covered 5 of last 6 vs. Mean Green.

Tech Edge: La Tech, based on team and series trends.

AIR FORCE at UTAH STATE (CBSSN, 9:30 p.m.)
Win over UNM broke Utags’ 0-5 SU and spread skid since late LY.
USU still just 5-10 vs. line last 15 on board since mid 2019.
Force on 4-0-1 spread uptick in series.

Tech Edge:Air Force, based on team and series trends.


Friday, Dec. 4

UL-LAFAYETTE at APPALACHIAN STATE (ESPN, 7:30 p.m.)
Even after big win vs. Troy last weekend, App having a miserable 2020 vs. spread for new HC Clark, just 2-7 vs. line, now 2-8 last 10 vs. number since late 2019.
If Ragin’ Cajuns getting points note 8-3-1 dog mark for Billy Napier since 2018.

Tech Edge: UL-Lafayette, especially if dog, based on recent trends.

BOISE STATE at UNLV (CBSSN, 8:30 p.m.)
After Wyoming loss, UNLV 0-5 SU and vs. line in 2019 (counts SJSU as loss).
Rebs 2-6 vs. spread last 8 as host (0-3 at Allegiant Stadium TY).
Boise 15-8 vs. line last 23 as MW visitor.

Tech Edge: Boise State, based on team trends.


Saturday, Dec. 5

GEORGIA TECH at N.C. STATE (ACC, 4 p.m.)
Pack a pleasant surprise in 2020, 7-3 SU and vs. 6-4 line after 2-10 spread nosedive in 2019.
NCS also “over” 10-4 last 14 since late 2019.
GT 7-12-1 vs. spread for Collins since he arrived LY (though did narrowly win and cover vs Wolfpack in 2019).
Jackets also on 12-4 “over” run since early 2019.

Tech Edge: NCS and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

VANDERBILT at GEORGIA (SEC, 4:00 p.m.)
Georgia has won and covered last 4 meetings after Kirby Smart lost to Dores in 2016.

Tech Edge: Georgia, based on series trends.

CLEMSON at VIRGINIA TECH (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)
Even after Pitt win, Dabo only 3-6 vs. spread his first 9 in 2020, now 3-7 vs, line since late last season.
Though extended marks still very good (11-6-1 vs. points as visitor since 2017).
VT on 3-8 spread slide since late 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Clemson, based on team trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at VIRGINIA (FSN, 3:30 p.m.)
Hafley 4-2 as dog at BC, and Eagles 18-7-1 as dog since 2017.
Cavs however have covered last four this season, and Bronco Mendenhall 22-13 vs. points since 2018.
Cavs also “over” 12-2 last 14 since mid 2019.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on recent UVa “totals” trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA at KENTUCKY (SEC, 7:30 p.m.)
SC has really hit skids with 5 SU and spread losses in a row in 2020, costing Muschamp his job.
UK only 1-4 SU and 1-3-1 vs. line last five TY.
Cats had won 5 straight and 6-0-1 vs. line in previous seven in series prior to last year’s 24-7 Gamecocks win.

Tech Edge: Slight to UK, based on extended series trends.

LIBERTY at COASTAL CAROLINA (ESPNU, 2:00 p.m.)
Flames have covered last seven in 2020, Freeze also 6-1 last 7 as dog, while Coastal 8-1-1 vs. line this season.

Tech Edge: Slight to Liberty, based on team trends.

MARYLAND at MICHIGAN (BTN, 3:30 p.m.)
Harbaugh no covers last five in 2020, now on 1-7 spread skid since late 2019.
Harbaugh, however, has won and covered all five vs. Terps since taking over Wolverines in 2015.

Tech Edge: Slight to Michigan, based on series trends.

OHIO STATE at MICHIGAN STATE (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)
Buckeyes no covers last two in 2020, OSU now 3-6 last nine on board after 8 straight covers in 2019.
But MSU struggling for Tucker at 2-3 SU and vs. line, also just 7-15 vs. number since late 2018.
Bucks have won and covered last three in series by 108-19 total score.

Tech Edge: OSU, based on team and recent series trends.

NEBRASKA at PURDUE (BTN, 12:00 p.m.)
Boilermakers no covers last four TY after covers in 8 of their previous 9 games.
Meanwhile Huskers got cover at Iowa but Frost still just 5-12 vs. spread since LY.
Purdue only 1-5 last six as chalk overall but 5-1 vs. spread last six in series.

Tech Edge: Purdue, based on team and series trends.

PENN STATE at RUTGERS (FS1, 12:00 p.m.)
Penn State finally with a W in 2020 but still just 1-5 vs. line.
Scarlet Knights have covered last three in series.
Schiano 3-2 vs. line in return to Rutgers.

Tech Edge: Rutgers, based on recent and series trends.

FAU at GEORGIA SOUTHERN (ESPN+, 6:00 p.m.)
FAU “under” 5-1 for Taggart TY, GSU “under” 8-4 last 12 since late 2019.

Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

BOWLING GREEN at AKRON (ESPN3, 2:00 p.m.)
Akron 0-16 SU, 2-14 since LY vs. line for Arth.
BGSU 4-12 vs. spread for Loeffler.
Falcs won and covered 35-6 LY.

Tech Edge: BGSU, based on team trends.

BALL STATE at CENTRAL MICHIGAN (ESPNU, 5:30 p.m.)
Ball 1-3 vs. line in 2020, McElwain now 13-5 vs. line for Chips after EMU win.
CMU 7-1 vs. spread at home for McElwain.

Tech Edge: CMU, based on recent trends.

KENT STATE at MIAMI-OHIO (CBSSN, 12:00 p.m.)
KSU on 9-3 spread uptick since mid 2019, and has covered six of last seven away from Dix Stadium (counts Buffalo loss last week).
Though one of the Ls in that span came against RedHawks.
Golden Flashes also on 7-2 “over” run since that lost to Miami in 2019.

Tech Edge: Kent State, based on recent trends.

BUFFALO at OHIO (CBSSN, 3:30 p.m.)
Home team has covered last three in series.
Solich 14-5 as dog since 2015, even though just 6-10 overall vs. spread since last season.
Leipold 29-13-3 spread uptick last three+ years.

Tech Edge: Ohio, based on team and series home trends.

EASTERN MICHIGAN at WESTERN MICHIGAN (ESPN+, 1:00 p.m.)
Eagles not quite same spread magic this season now 2-2 vs. line after blowing CMU game.
On road EMU has covered its first two and as road dog Creighton has been superb (19-3-1 as dog away from home since late 2015).
Also 3-0-1 vs. line last four vs. WMU. Broncos however 4-0 SU and 3-1 vs. line to open 2020.

Tech Edge: EMU, based on team and series trends.

FIU at CHARLOTTE (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m.)
Golden Panthers struggling, 0-5 SU TY and just 5-13 vs. spread since 2019.
Though FIU has won outright last five in series.

Tech Edge: Slight to Charlotte, based on recent trends.

RICE at MARSHALL (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m.)
Herd unbeaten 7-0 SU, 5-2 vs. line TY.
Though Doc only 2-2 vs. line at home TY, 3-8 vs. spread as host since 2019.
Owls actually 8-3 vs. number last 11 away.

Tech Edge: Slight to Rice, based on team trends.

FLORIDA at TENNESSEE (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)
Bottom has dropped out for Vols, lost and failed to cover last five TY, all by DD margins.
Gators have won and covered last three meetings (Dan Mullen 81-24 total score last two years).

Tech Edge: Florida, based on team and series trends.

OREGON STATE at UTAH (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)
After Oregon upset, Beavs have covered last three TY and now 12-3 vs. spread last 15 on board.
Though one of those recent Ls was a 52-7 loss at Corvallis LY vs. a better Utah team.

Tech Edge: OSU, based on recent trends.

COLORADO at ARIZONA (FS1, 7 p.m.)
Sumlin 3-14 SU last 17 with Cats since late 2018, also 4-12 last 16 vs. spread.
Though has won and covered last two years vs. Buffs, part of UA 3-game series SU and spread win streak.
CU 3-0 SU and vs. line TY for Dorrell.

Tech Edge: Colorado, based on recent trends.

UCLA at ARIZONA STATE (FS1, 10:30 p.m.)
Bruins have covered 3 in a row in 2020, and Chip has covered last two vs. ASU.
UCLA also on 3-game series cover streak.
Herm on 2-6 spread skid at Tempe.

Tech Edge: UCLA, based on recent and series trends.

SYRACUSE at NOTRE DAME (NBC, 2:30 p.m.)
Dino 9-13 vs. spread since last season, 3-6 vs. spread last 9 away.
Domers on 10-4 spread uptick after UNC win.

Tech Edge: Notre Dame, based on recent trends.

STANFORD at WASHINGTON (FOX, 4:00 p.m.)
Stanford has covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 in series.
Though David Shaw just 1-6 last seven in what used to be a profitable dog role for him.
Huskies just 3-0 vs. spread last 12 as Pac-12 host.

Tech Edge: Stanford, based on series trends.

FRESNO STATE at NEVADA (FS2, 10:30 p.m.)
Wolf Pack 5-1 SU, 4-2 vs. line in 2020, won and covered first three at home.
Pack 8-2 vs. spread last 10 vs. MW foes at Reno.
DeBoer has won and covered last three TY for Fresno though schedule broke well in that stretch, and Bulldogs off since Nov. 14.

Tech Edge: Slight to Nevada, based on team trends.

OREGON at CALIFORNIA (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)
Ducks “over” 5-0-1 last six since late 2019 after OSU game.
Bears 16-7 in dog role for Wilcox entering 2020.

Tech Edge:Slight to Cal, based on team trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at TCU (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m.)
OSU no covers last four TY, also on 9-3 “under” run since late 2019.
Patterson “under” 6-4 since late 2019, though last three “over” in series.

Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.

WEST VIRGINIA at IOWA STATE (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
ISU has won and covered last two meetings, and Cyclones have covered 5 of last 7 TY after Texas win.
Mounties 1-2 vs. line away in 2020, after covering last three as visitor in 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to ISU, based on team trends.

INDIANA at WISCONSIN (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
Tom “Mr. Intensity” Allen is 6-0 vs. line in 2020, has covered last seven and 10 of last 12 since late 2019.
Hoosiers 6-2 vs. line last 8 away from Bloomington, and have covered last 4 and 7 of last 8 as dog.
Wisky just 3-6 vs. spread last 9 as Big Ten host.

Tech Edge: Indiana, based on recent trends.

KANSAS at TEXAS TECH (FS2, 12:00 p.m.)
KU 0-8 SU, 0-7-1 vs. line TY, Les Miles now 0-8-1 last 9 and 1-10-1 last 12 vs. spread since late 2019.
Last Jayhawks SU win was vs. Red Raiders LY.
Matt Wells 3-1 vs. spread at home vs. Big 12 this season, 3-4 as chalk since taking over TT a year ago.
Tech had won previous 8 SU in series into 2019.

Tech Edge: Texas Tech, based on KU negatives.

TOLEDO at NORTHERN ILLINOIS (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m.)
Rockets have recovered somewhat from their slow close to 2019 (0-6-1 last 7 vs. line), with 2-2 SU and spread marks in 2020.
Rockets also 7-3 “over” run since mid 2019.
Hammock 2-4 vs. line as MAC host since LY.

Tech Edge: Slight to “Over” and Toledo, based on “totals” and team trends.

BAYLOR at OKLAHOMA (FOX, 8:00 p.m.)
Bears only 1-4-1 vs. line last six TY, inclined to toss out the pre-Aranda marks for Rhule prior to 2020.
OU surging with five wins and covers in a row since Iowa State loss.
Sooners have covered 4 of last 5 reg season meetings (excludes 2019 Big 12 title game).

Tech Edge: OU, based on recent trends.

TEXAS A&M at AUBURN (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)
If Jimbo a dog here not just 2-3 last five in role since LY, and Malzahn has beaten Ags three in a row outright.
Malzahn 8-3 vs. spread at Jordan-Hare since last season.

Tech Edge: Slight to Auburn, based on team and series trends.

TEXAS at KANSAS STATE (FOX, 12:00 p.m.)
Tom Herman only 1-5-1 last seven vs. line TY after close ISU loss.
Herman also no covers last 3 vs. KSU, and Horns no covers last four in series.
Klieman 10-4 as dog with Cats after Bill Snyder was 15-5 as dog his last three years (2016-18).

Tech Edge: KSU, based on team and series trends.

IOWA at ILLINOIS (ESPNU, 4 p.m.)
Ferentz has won and covered last three trips to Champaign-Urbana by combined 121-14 score, with two shutouts.
Iowa has won SU last six in series, didn’t quite get spread in 19-10 win LY.
Hawkeyes 9-3-1 last 13 vs. line as Big Ten visitor.
Lovie however is 8-3 his last 11 as dog.

Tech Edge: Iowa, based on team and series trends.

HAWAII at SAN JOSE STATE (4:00 p.m.)
Spartans 4-0 SU and vs. line (counts UNLV as win) in 2020, and Brent Brennan has covered last three years vs. UH (though SJSU hasn’t won outright in series since 2015).
Spartans on 13-4-1 spread uptick.

Tech Edge: San Jose State, based on team and series trends.

WYOMING at NEW MEXICO (ESPN2, 7 p.m.)
New Mexico 0-5 SU after USU loss, now on 14-game SU losing streak.
Lobos 5-12 vs. line since LY.
Wyo plays for second straight week in Vegas.
UNM did cover this game in 2019, but after UNLV romp, Bohl enters on 15-7 spread uptick since late 2018.

Tech Edge: Wyoming, based on recent trends.

COLORADO STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m.)
Aztecs 2-1 as home chalk TY (at Carson) after 4-12 mark previous 16 in role.
Addazio just 1-2 vs. line TY in CSU debut but was 14-5-1 as dog previous three years at BC.

Tech Edge: Slight to SDSU, based on recent trends.

MEMPHIS at TULANE (ESPN+, 12:00 p.m.)
Tulane had covered 5 in a row before bitter OT loss at Tulsa.
Meanwhile Memphis needed SF Austin to break recent spread skid, but Tigers still just 1-9 vs. line last ten against FBS foes (1-7 for Silverfield).
Home team has covered last four meetings.

Tech Edge: Tulane, based on recent and series trends.

TULSA at NAVY (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)
Magical Tulsa 5-1 SU and vs. line TY, 9-3 last 12 vs. spread since mid 2019.
Though has lost and failed to cover last five years vs. Navy.
Mids only 3-3 in dog role TY since LY, but 20-9-1 as dog from 2013-18 for Niumatalolo.

Tech Edge: Slight to Navy, based on series trends.

TROY at SOUTH ALABAMA (ESPN3, 2:00 p.m.)
Troy has won and covered handily last two vs. nearby Belt rival, but Trojans just 7-13 vs. spread for Chip Lindsey since LY.
USA has cooled off, now 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 vs. line last four TY.
Troy also on 8-1-1 “under” run since late 2019, and Jags “under” six straight in 2020.

Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

UL-MONROE at ARKANSAS STATE (ESPN3, 3:00 p.m.)
ASU having subpar year (3-7 SU, only 1-4 vs. line last five) but has owned ULM, with wins and covers last ten meetings!
Warhawks have slipped in backdoor for a couple of recent covers but still just 3-6 vs. line TY, and 11-24 vs. line since late 2017.

Tech Edge: Arkansas State, based on series trends.

ARKANSAS at MISSOURI (SEC, 12:00 p.m.)
Ark has dropped last two vs. line TY but still 6-2 vs. spread for Pittman in 2020.
Drinkwitz 5-2 vs. spread in first spin with Mizzou, 4-0 vs. line at home.
Home team has covered last six in series.

Tech Edge: Slight to Mizzou, based on series trends.

HOUSTON at SMU (ESPNU, 9:00 p.m.)
Holgorsen very so-so since LY with UH (9-9 vs. line) and just 6-7 as dog (0-3 as dog TY).
Sonny Dykes 7-3 vs. spread as host since LY.
Home team has covered last four meetings.

Tech Edge: SMU, based on team and series trends.

ALABAMA at LSU (CBS, 8:00 p.m.)
Bama has covered last five is season and has won and covered last four trips to LSU, with shutouts last two.
LSU 1-1 as dog in 2020 and Orgeron 9-2 last eleven in role.

Tech Edge: Bama, based on team and series trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 14

13 of the weekend’s best games
Georgia Tech (3-5) @ NC State (7-3)
— Tech lost three of its last four games, giving up 46.3 ppg.
— Yellow Jackets are 1-5 when they score fewer than 46 points.
— Tech has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Tech has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Yellow Jackets has a freshman QB with 8 starts.
— Tech is 4-5 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.

— NC State won its last three games, scoring 29.7 ppg.
— State allowed 44+ points in all three of their losses.
— Wolfpack is 7-0 when they allow less than 44 points.
— Wolfpack has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— State has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wolfpack has used couple of QB’s; the current starter is a junior.
— Since 2018, State is 8-7 ATS as a home favorite.

— Tech won 11 of last 14 series games.
— Yellow Jackets are 4-0-1 ATS in last five visits to Raleigh.
— Underdogs are 6-2-2 ATS in last ten series games.

BYU (9-0) @ Coastal Carolina (9-0)
— Long road trip on short notice for BYU.
— BYU is 9-0, winning eight of its nine games by 17+ points.
— Cougars is 3-0 on road vs I-A teams, scoring 49.7 ppg.
— Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— BYU has 110 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cougars have a junior QB with 25 career starts.
— Since 2017, BYU is 3-7 ATS as a road favorite.

— Coastal won its three Sun Belt I-A games by a average of 39-17.
— Chanticleers allowed total of 43 points in last four games.
— Coastal has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Chanticleers have 109 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Coastal’s freshman QB has 20 TD passes, one INT.
— Chanticleers are 3-5 ATS in last eight games as home underdogs.

— These teams haven’t met in the last five years.

Penn State (1-5) @ Rutgers (2-4)
— Penn State lost five of its first six games, giving up 32.8 ppg.
— Nittany Lions lost by point at Indiana, 30-23 at Nebraska, won LW at Michigan.
— PSU has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Penn State has 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Nittany Lions have a junior QB with 17 career starts.
— Penn State is 10-7 ATS in last 17 games as a road favorite, 0-2 TY.

— Rutgers lost four of its last five games, allowing 37.4 ppg.
— Scarlet Knights allowed 442+ total yards in three of last four games.
— Rutgers is 0-3 at home this year, losing by 16-3-6 points.
— Scarlet Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Rutgers has 34 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Rutgers’ junior QB has started eight games.
— Scarlet Knights are 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog.

— Penn State won last six games with Rutgers, but Scarlet Knights covered last three.
— Nittany Lions won last two visits here by a combined 59-7.

Oregon State (2-2) @ Utah (0-2)
— Oregon State won its last two games by total of 7 points.
— Beavers gave up 439+ total yards in three of four games.
— OSU has 5 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Ducks have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Oregon State has a junior QB with five starts.
— Beavers covered their last seven games as a road underdog.

— Utah lost its first two games, scoring 19 ppg.
— Utes out rushed first two foes 324-181 but are -3 in turnovers.
— Utah has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Utes have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Utah’s new quarterback started 33 games at South Carolina.
— Utah is 13-4 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.

— Utah won last four series games, three by 6 or fewer points.
— Utes drilled OSU 52-7 in Corvallis last year, running for 256 yards.

UCLA (2-2) @ Arizona State (0-1)
— UCLA lost its road games, 48-42 at Colorado, 38-35 at Oregon.
— Bruins ran ball for 264 ypg in last three games.
— UCLA is giving up 43 ppg on road, 10 ppg at home.
— UCLA has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Bruins have 61 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UCLA’s junior QB is making his 23rd career start.
— Under Kelly, Bruins are 7-5 ATS as a road underdog.

— Arizona State played one game so far; it was four weeks ago.
— ASU lost its opener 28-27 at USC, blowing a 13-point lead in last 2:52.
— Sun Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— ASU has 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Sun Devils have a soph QB with 13 career starts.
— Under Edwards, ASU is 3-9 ATS as a favorite, 3-5 at home.

— Home side won last four series games; underdogs covered four of last five.
— Bruins lost 31-28/23-20 in last two visits to Tempe.

Stanford (1-2) @ Washington (3-0)
— Stanford split last two games, both decided by 3 points.
— Cardinal have allowed 440 ppg this season.
— Cardinal has 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Stanford has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cardinal has a junior QB with 9 career starts.
— Stanford is 2-7 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.

— Washington won its first three games, scoring 31.7 ppg.
— Huskies are +4 in turnovers, are gaining 413.3 ypg. .
— Huskies have 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Washington has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Huskies have a junior QB with 9 career starts.
— Washington is 6-2 ATS in last eight games as home favorites.

— Home side won last five series games.
— Cardinal lost 27-23/44-6 in their last two visits to Seattle.
— Underdogs covered six of last eight series games.

Fresno State (3-1) @ Nevada (5-1)
— Fresno won its last three games, scoring 37.7 ppg.
— Bulldogs gained 487-541 total yards last two games.
— Fresno has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Bulldogs have 64 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Fresno’s junior QB has four career starts.
— Bulldogs covered seven of last eight tries as a road underdog.

— Nevada lost 24-21 in Hawai’i LW, their first loss in six games.
— Wolf Pack is 3-0 at home, scoring 32.3 ppg.
— Nevada has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Wolf Pack has 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Nevada’s soph QB has 16 career starts.
— Wolf Pack is 7-5 ATS in its last 12 games as a home favorite.

— Nevada won three of last five series games.
— Fresno won three of its last four visits to Reno.
— Underdogs are 6-4 ATS in last ten series games.

Oklahoma State (6-2) @ TCU (4-4)
— Oklahoma State split last four games, after a 4-0 start.
— OSU allowed 41+ points in three of last four games.
— State won at both Kansas schools, lost 41-13 at Oklahoma.
— Cowboys have 7 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— OSU has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cowboys’ soph QB has started 19 games.
— OSU is 4-6 ATS in last ten games as road favorites.

— TCU won three of last four games, after a 1-3 start.
— Horned Frogs scored 33+ points in all four wins, 17 ppg in losses.
— TCU is 0-3 when they score less than 33 points.
— Horned Frogs have 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— TCU has 56 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Horned Frogs have a soph QB with 18 career starts.
— TCU is 2-4-1 ATS in last seven games as a home favorite

— Teams split last six series games; underdogs won four of last five SU.
— Cowboys lost two of last three visits to TCU.
— Horned Frogs ran ball for 218+ yards in four of last six series games.

Texas A&M (6-1) @ Auburn (5-3)
— Texas A&M won last five games, scoring 33.8 ppg.
— A&M was held to 267 yards in LW’s 20-7 win over LSU
— Aggies won at Miss St/South Carolina; lost 52-24 at Alabama.
— A&M has 8 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Aggies have 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
— A&M’s has a senior QB with 40 career starts.
— Aggies are 7-2 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.

— Auburn won three of last four games; they lost 42-13 at Alabama LW.
— Tigers scored 29+ points in their wins; 6-22-13 in losses.
— Auburn gave up 444+ total yards in three of last four games.
— Tigers have 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Auburn has 56 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers have a soph QB with 21 career starts.
— Auburn is 8-1 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.

— Road team won seven of last eight series games.
— Auburn won last three series games, by 15-4-8 points.
— Aggies won three of last four visits to the Plains.
— Underdogs are 5-0-1 ATS in last three series games.

Texas (5-3) @ Kansas State (4-5)
— Longhorns won three of their last four games.
— Six of their last seven games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Texas has 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Longhorns have 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Texas has a senior QB with 40 career starts.
— Longhorns are 2-6 ATS in last 8 games as road favorites.

— K-State lost its last four games, after a 4-1 start.
— Wildcats are minus-8 in turnovers in their last four games.
— Wildcats have 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— K-State has only 2 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wildcats are using freshman backup QB who has six career starts; he’s thrown six TD passes, eight INT’s.
— K-State is 16-4 ATS in last 20 games as home underdogs.

— Texas won last three series games, by 3-5-6 points.
— Longhorns are 0-6 ATS in last six visits to the Little Apple.
— Underdogs are 10-4 ATS in last 14 series games.

Memphis (6-2) @ Tulane (5-5)
— Memphis won its last three games, scoring 33.3 ppg.
— Tigers are 5-0 if they score 34+ points, 1-2 if they don’t.
— Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Memphis has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers’ senior QB has started 36 games.
— Memphis is 1-6-1 ATS in last 8 games as road underdogs.

— Tulane won three of last four games, after a 2-4 start.
— Green Wave allowed 24 or fewer points in wins, 38.8 ppg in losses.
— Green Wave has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Tulane has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Green Wave are playing a freshman QB with 16 TD’s, 5 INT’s.
— Tulane is 9-2 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.

— Memphis won 12 of last 13 series games.
— Tigers are 5-3 ATS in last eight visits to Bourbon Street.

Arkansas (3-5) @ Missouri (4-3)
— Arkansas lost three of last four games; they’re 0-5 allowing more than 21 points.
— Razorbacks gained 437+ total yards in four of last six games.
— Razorbacks has 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Arkansas has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Razorbacks has a senior QB with 32 career starts, 24 at Florida.
— Arkansas is 6-2 ATS this season, 3-1 on road.

— Missouri won four of last five games, after an 0-2 start.
— Tigers held three of last four opponents under 300 total yards.
— Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Missouri has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers have a junior QB with 13 career starts.
— Missouri is 10-4 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.

— Missouri won last four series games, scoring 34.5 ppg.
— Razorbacks are 0-3 ATS in last three visits to Columbia.
— Underdogs covered four of last six series games.

Sunday’s game
Washington State (1-1) @ USC (3-0)
— This is Wazzu’s first game in three weeks.
— WSU split its first two games, giving up 71 points.
— Wazzu allowed 1,032 TY in those two games.
— Coogs have 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— WSU has 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Coogs have a freshman QB with two starts; he is playing really well.
— Wazzu is 11-6 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.

— USC won its first three games, scoring average of 31.7 ppg.
— Only one of Trojans’ three wins was by more than 4 points.
— USC threw for 970 yards in their three wins.
— Trojans have 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— USC has 64 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Trojans have a soph QB has started 14 games.
— USC is 6-12 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.

— USC won 10 of its last 12 games with Washington State.
— Coogs covered their last three visits to the Coliseum.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

617CHICAGO ST -618 NORTHWESTERN
NORTHWESTERN is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

619NC STATE -620 CONNECTICUT
NC STATE is 15-6 ATS (8.4 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

621GONZAGA -622 BAYLOR
BAYLOR is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

623E WASHINGTON -624 ARIZONA
E WASHINGTON is 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) as a dog over the last 2 seasons.

625IDAHO -626 SACRAMENTO ST
IDAHO is 8-20 ATS (-14 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

627IL-CHICAGO -628 BALL ST
BALL ST is 28-63 ATS (-41.3 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more since 1997.

629MONTANA -630 SOUTHERN UTAH
SOUTHERN UTAH is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) at home when the total is 135-139.5 since 1997.

631SMU -632 DAYTON
DAYTON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

635E ILLINOIS -636 WI-GREEN BAY
WI-GREEN BAY is 120-82 ATS (29.8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days since 1997.

637NEBRASKA-OMAHA -638 SIU EDWARDSVL
SIU EDWARDSVL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Saturday, December 5

Gonzaga vs Baylor (@ Indianapolis)
Gonzaga (3-0)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 31-2 team
— picked 1st in country by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #1 by KenPom
— Zags are 3-0 vs schedule #13, scoring 93 ppg.
— Gonzaga has already beaten Kansas, Auburn, West Virginia.
— Zags are shooting 65.3% inside the arc.

Baylor (3-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 26-4 team
— picked 1st in Big X by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Baylor won first three games, by 30-34-13 points.
— Bears have made 47.3% of their 3’s so far, only 56.2% of foul shots.
— Baylor starts three seniors, two juniors.

Idaho @ Sacramento State
Idaho (0-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 8-24 team
— picked last in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #341 by KenPom
— Idaho lost its opener 77-55 here Thursday.
— Vandals started four seniors, played 8 guys 14:00+.
— Idaho led by 5 with 18:32 left in game.

Sacramento State (2-0)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 16-14 team
— picked 8th in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #215 by KenPom
— Hornets beat a stiff by 44, then beat Idaho by 22 Thursday.
— Sac State shot 57.1% inside arc, were +14 on boards (38-24).
— Hornets have five senior starters.

Montana @ Southern Utah
Montana (0-2)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 18-13 team
— picked 3rd in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #161 by KenPom
— Montana lost 64-63 here Thursday, after leading by 11 early.
— Bobcats scored 62-63 points in losing first two games.
— Griz was outscored 26-9 on foul line in Thursday’s loss.

Southern Utah (2-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
— picked 7th in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #184 by KenPom
— SUU split two D-I games, decided by total of three points.
— Thunderbirds were 26-40 on foul line Thursday, Montana 9-17.
— SUU starts three seniors, two juniors.

SMU @ Dayton
SMU (3-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 19-11 team
— picked 3rd in AAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #56 by KenPom
— SMU beat up on three stiffs, by 30-37-27 points.
— Mustangs start two seniors, three juniors; they’re stepping up in class here.
— SMU has forced turnovers 22.6% of time so far.

Dayton (1-0)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 29-2 team
— picked 3rd in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #58 by KenPom
— Dayton beat Eastern Illinois 66-63 in their opener Tuesday.
— Flyers played four starters 34:00+ ,basically played seven guys.
— Dayton starts four seniors and a junior.

Washington State @ Colorado
Washington State (3-0)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 16-16 team
— picked 11th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #136 by KenPom
— Wazzu won its first three games, by 4-3-4 points; this is their first road game.
— Coogs rallied back from down 10 to nip Oregon St 59-55 Wednesday.
— Wazzu starts two freshmen and a soph.

Colorado (2-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 21-11 team
— picked 6th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #49 by KenPom
— Colorado scored 80 ppg in wins over South Dakota, K-State.
— Buffs were down 13 early at K-State, but shot 62.5% inside arc.
— Colorado starts three seniors, two juniors.

— Teams split a pair LY; Coogs beat Colorado 82-68 in Pac-12 tourney.

Iona @ Hofstra
Iona (0-1)
— 2 starter back from LY’s 12-17 team
— picked 6th in MAAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #267 by KenPom
— Iona has a new coach (Pitino), is #248 in minutes continuity.
— Gaels were outscored 51-27 in 2nd half of their 86-64 loss at Seton Hall.
— Iona turned ball over 22 times (-7) in Monday’s loss.

Hofstra (1-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 26-8 team
— picked 2nd in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #147 by KenPom
— Pride lost by 14 at Rutgers, beat FDU by 15.
— Hofstra has an interim coach this season.
— Hofstra shot 6-27 on arc in both games; not good.

North Dakota State @ Kansas
North Dakota State (0-3)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 25-8 team
— picked 3rd in Summit by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #198 by KenPom
— Bison scored 54.3 ppg in its 0-3 start, vs schedule #40.
— ND State lost its first three games, by 14-22-11 points.
— Bison are shooting 35.6% inside arc, 26.2% on arc.

Kansas (3-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 28-3 team
— picked 2nd in Big X by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #5 by KenPom
— Jayhawks lost by 12 to Gonzaga, beat Kentucky by 3.
— Kansas beat up on a stiff Thursday, after beating Kentucky Tuesday.
— Jayhawks are #225 in experience, figure to improve as season goes along.

South Carolina @ Houston
South Carolina (1-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 18-13 team
— picked 9th in SEC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #66 by KenPom
— Carolina lost to Liberty by 16, beat Tulsa by 11.
— Gamecocks are scoring 65.5 ppg, turning ball over 26.2% of time.
— Carolina starts four juniors; they haven’t played since Sunday.

Houston (3-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 23-8 team
— picked 1st in AAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #10 by KenPom
— Cougars allowed 52 ppg in their 3-0 start.
— Houston beat Boise St by 10, Texas Tech by 11.
— Cougars are forcing turnovers 25.4% of time.

UNLV @ Kansas State
UNLV (0-4)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
— picked 3rd in MW by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #146 by KenPom
— Rebels allowed 83 ppg in their 0-4 start.
— UNLV is thin (#264 in bench minutes); over half their shots have been 3’s.
— Rebels lost 60-56 in OT at home to K-State last year.

Kansas State (1-2)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 11-21 team
— picked last in Big X by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #139 by KenPom
— K-State beat UMKC by 4 Monday, after losses to Drake, Colorado.
— Wildcats are turning ball over 25.6% of time.
— Opponents are shooting 57.9% inside arc vs K-State.

BYU @ Utah State
BYU (4-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 24-8 team
— picked 2nd in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #90 by KenPom.
— BYU split pair in Connecticut Tues/Wed.
— Cougars are experience team #59; their subs play minutes #37.
— BYU has turned ball over 22.9% of time; this is already their 6th game.

Utah State (1-2)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 26-8 team
— picked 2nd in MW by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #84 by KenPom.
— Aggies haven’t played in 8 days, since their 1-2 stint in Sioux Falls.
— Utah State allowed 79.7 ppg in those three games.
— Opponents shot 44.3% on arc last week.

— BYU won last eight series games; it was 68-64 on a neutral floor LY.

Portland State @ Portland
Portland State
— 0 starters back from LY’s 18-14 team
— picked 5th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #298 by KenPom
— This is Portland State’s season opener.
— Vikings lost their top 7 scorers from LY, have 9 newcomers.
— Portland State wants to press, play fast.

Portland (2-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 9-22 team
— picked last in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #296 by KenPom
— Tech beat two stiffs by 10-5 points, after losing 84-72 to Seattle.
— Pilots turned ball over 26.5% of time so far.
— Portland starts three juniors, two seniors

— Vikings beat Portland three of last four years.

Illinois State @ Murray State
Illinois State (2-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 10-21 team
— picked 8th in MVC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #232 by KenPom
— Redbirds beat Mass-Lowell by 10, after losing by 27 to Ohio State.
— Illinois State is #275 in experience; they start a freshman, three sophs.
— ISU beat up on a stiff team Wednesday, making 62-67 from floor— they scored 177 freakin’ points!!! Not sure how that helps them here.

Murray State (1-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 23-9 team
— picked 2nd in OVC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #111 by KenPom
— Murray lost its only D-I game, by 17 at Middle Tennessee.
— Racers start three juniors, two sophs; they were 3-16 on arc vs MTSU.
— Murray played that same stiff team, scored 173 points, making 72-92 from floor.

Furman @ Charleston
Furman (3-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 25-7 team
— picked 1st in SoCon by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #71 by KenPom
— Furman won 91-63 over SC Upstate, its only D-I game.
— Paladins have pounded on two NAIA stiffs, scoring 95-89 points.
— Furman starts three juniors, three seniors.

Charleston (1-1)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 17-14 team
— picked 3rd in CAA by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #175 by KenPom
— Charleston lost 79-60 at North Carolina., its only D-I game.
— Cougars beat up on a stiff by 40 last Saturday.
— Charleston starts four seniors and a junior, are #19 in experience.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

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