Monday 12/7/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 5 Analysis December 7, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, Woodbine Mohawk Park has a competitive card with 10 races scheduled. The very popular 0.20 Early Pick 5 starts the action. The sequence has a $100,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 1

1-Electrapedia (4-1)-Makes 2nd start for new connections. Was off for 5 weeks before last start which was an even effort in the slop. Sports an 0-3 record on an off-track, so looking for better and should be forwardly placed.
3-High Gear No Fear (5/2)-Winner of 2 in a row beat this entire field in last start. Draws well, barn has been good and there's no reason to leave out.
4-The First Chapter (3-1)-Was good 2 starts back and caught a rough trip in the slop in last. Jamieson should be able to work a better trip and he has options, looks like a threat at a fair price.

Race 2

4-Passion N Pearls (8-1)-Has been trying hard and gets post relief so will use looking for a more friendly trip. Camera shy filly could be over looked at the windows in a race with many question marks.
5-Oceanview Echo (4-1)-Drew off by 7 lengths at London and now steps up. McNair will probably send and hope the long stretch can be negotiated. Likes to win, using and will hope big track debut is a success.
8-Better Country (3-1)-Has been trying hard despite 0-9 record as post draws haven't been kind. In last 3 starts, 2 were from the 2nd tier. Roy should have in play and has faced better competition than the rest of the field.

Race 3

6-HP Bruxelles (9/2)-Last was in the slop, was off 3-weeks and had a tough trip so there were excuses. Beat this kind the start before from the 9-hole. Looking for a bounce back effort at a square price.
7-Life Is A Feast (4-1)-Jamieson takes the lines and there isn't much gate speed inside so he could be leaving. Has a post edge over #8 and chances go up with an alert start.
8-Nimbus Deo (7/2)-Has won 8 of 11 at Wbsb and will toss last break on a sloppy track. Regular pilot Filion returns and best to not overlook. Should be a player with a decent trip and this the 2nd start on Lasix.

Race 4

9-Darkest Secret (7/2)-McClure steers the other Moreau trainee, and this one has decent gate speed. The plan could be to leave, get on the engine, steal a quarter and take a picture. Best to respect that happening.
10-Sunshines Finest (3-1)-Filion's pick over the 9 just handled $8k claimers and now moves up. Most of this field aren't proven $10k claimers so chances for a repeat rests on a trip from the 2nd tier.

Race 5

7-A Boy Named Suuzz (7/2)-Beat the $17k claimers for 4th straight win. Now in for a $25k tag and still looks like a major player.
9-Cinnamack (3-1)-Raced big from post 8 in a determined effort to collar Choreographer last week. In for a $29,000 tag so has to find a way from an outside post gain. Drury is back between the pipes and should be in the hunt at the wire.

0.20 Early Pick 5

1,3,4/4,5,8/6,7,8/9,10/7,9
Total Bet=$21.60

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Mountaineer - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#3 Shezagoldgetter
She didn't fire in that last one, but her previous tries stack up nicely with these. I'd be intrigued at something like the 6/1 ML price with a good tracking trip in store for her.


#8 El a Vader
Finished comes off a career best effort, and she's a huge threat if she can wheel back with something similar. Still, that race feels a bit like an outlier in her form, so I wouldn't want the likely underlaid price.


#6 Coach Machen
She's sort of all or nothing on the engine, but this isn't a super deep race, so she has a big chance to stick around for a piece.


Race Summary
Shezagoldgetter is capable of better than she showed in that last one, and she has proven a good fit with this kind of company in recent starts.


Mountaineer - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#3 Kings Highway
Can probably stick a bit closer in the early going this time around, and he'd be appealing at a mid-range price after proving that he handles two turns with the locals.


#6 Our Alibi
Just finished in front of most of these, including the top choice, but the price figures to be short off the kind of effort he may not repeat.


#1 Strong Heart
Tactical pace doesn't own much finishing punch, so he'll need to right near the top turning for home if he's going to grind out a win with these.


Race Summary
Kings Highway has run a couple of nice ones going long locally, and he has a chance to turn the tables on Our Alibi who could be sitting on at least a small step back.


Mountaineer - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#8 Treetop Flyer
Draws well to track the early splits, and he has been competitive with some pretty good groups in recent starts. Last time he tried this trip produced a perfect pressing score locally.


#3 Satellite Storm
Speed has done good work on the turf in recent starts, and his main track form wasn't super sharp last year. Form and class fit -- footing is at least a small question right now. Demand a fair price.


#3 Keller's Gold
Tough read. The recent form isn't really all that exciting, but he turned in some very fast races earlier this year that would make him competitive with these. But the 9/5 ML offering? Too short for me.


Race Summary
Treetop Flyer scored at this trip back in June, and he can find the right kind of spot from close range from a good draw for his style.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Siefken Event: Maccabi Tel-Aviv at Ironi Nes Ziona
Sport/League: BSKT
Date/Time: December 7, 2020 2PM EST
Play: Home +10.0 (-115)
I am 7-3 in Israeli Super League 2020, and 23-12 in college hoops with a Monday 5% play backed with a 150% Wagerbuxx guarantee available now on my Wager Talk page. This matchup in the Israeli Super League is between two teams that my numbers have evenly matched. The last time they met Tel-Aviv won by a fairly large margin but this time at home my numbers say Ziona keeps it within 2 points. This is a moderate value bet for one quarter unit. Bet Nes Ziona +10.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nick Borrman Event: Krasnodar at Chelsea
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: December 8, 2020 3PM EST
Play: Chelsea -1.5 (-115)
UEFA Champions League
So final MatchDay of the Group Stage and I’m looking at a group that is already settled and taking Chelsea -1.5 over Krasnodar. Chelsea is the group winner, Krasnodar will finish 3rd and fall into the Europa League and nothing can change that. So with little to play for, I’m expecting both teams to have rotated sides for this match but Chelsea’s team B is far superior to Krasnodar’s. Chelsea also has the luxury of getting several players back from injury with Pulisic and Havertz returning to the lineup and likely to get minutes just to work themselves back into game speed, even if it’s only in a substitute role.
I won’t even get into the numbers behind Chelsea’s 4-0 beatdown of Krasnodar in their first meeting as it really doesn’t matter here, but it does show the talent disparity between these two teams.
One last thing I will mention is this will be Chelsea’s first Champions League match with fans in the stands. They played their first match with fans this past weekend in a 3-1 win over Leeds and the players were so excited to have fans back. You can bet Lampard and company will want to deliver another good performance for them even.
TAKE CHELSEA -1.5
Line Parameter: 4% to -1.75, pay up to -130 to get -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Dec 07 '20, 11:30 AM in 2h
Soccer | Sivasspor vs Trabzonspor
Play on: Sivasspor +310 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Sivasspor +310

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Dec 07 '20, 2:30 PM in 5h
Soccer | FC Augsburg vs Hoffenheim
Play on: Hoffenheim -125 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Hoffenheim -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti Dec 07 '20, 3:00 PM in 6h
Soccer | Castellon vs Mallorca
Play on: Mallorca -177 at 1BetVegas

The NFL Monday Night Play of The year headlines in Football along with a 5* NCAAB 100% Power System Play. Soccer Comp play below.
The Comp Play on Monday comes in Spanish La Liga 2 Division Soccer and we play on Malorca over Castellon. Malorca won the last meeting between the two teams 2-0 and they are unbeaten in their last 15 matches. They are clearly the better team and Castellion is winless in their last 7 road matches and they may bounce off a home win last out. Look for Mallorca to win. Headliners tonight are the Monday night Football Game of the Year and a 5* NCAAB Perfect Angle play. Jump on and cash out for Monday. For the Soccer Comp. Make it Mallorca. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Dec 07 '20, 4:00 PM in 15m
NCAA-B | George Washington vs Maryland-Baltimore County
Play on: George Washington +3 -110 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on George Washington +3 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course



Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 5

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)



Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $30,500 • Post: 2:36P


FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Trailer. CRISTALINDA is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * VALLEY OF MO'ARA: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SWINDLE: Horse ra nks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CRISTALINDA: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.



1A

VALLEY OF MO'ARA

9/5


4/1




5

SWINDLE

2/1


5/1




2

CRISTALINDA

7/2


8/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1A

VALLEY OF MO'ARA

8


9/5

Front-runner

72


71


69.8


65.0


59.5




5

SWINDLE

4


2/1

Front-runner

70


62


64.0


62.0


57.5




4

LOVELY LADY LINDA

3


10/1

Front-runner

66


61


55.6


45.8


35.3




1

BISCAYNE BAY

5


9/5

Stalker

62


56


70.8


57.8


48.8




7

MA KETTLE

7


12/1

Stalker

53


45


49.8


40.8


27.3




2

CRISTALINDA

1


7/2

Trailer

57


60


35.2


58.2


50.2




3

JETTIN PEGASUS

2


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

63


58


38.2


55.0


47.0




6

VICTOR STORY

6


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

59


44


26.0


55.2


44.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for ZIA



ZIA - Race 1

1st Half $1 Early Daily Double / $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta



Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 64 • Purse: $7,500 • Post: 12:00


QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * PRINCESS REGARD: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SEXY JESS: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. CC LUCKY STRAW: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. VICENTE JR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



11

PRINCESS REGARD

8/1


5/1




4

SEXY JESS

6/1


5/1




5

CC LUCKY STRAW

9/2


6/1




6

VICENTE JR

8/1


8/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

MR P A

1


15/1

Average

64


50


5.8


0.0


0.0




2

SEXYJESSE

2


20/1

Slow

0


0


8.1


0.0


0.0




3

MD FLORECITA

3


5/1

Average

0


0


5.9


0.0


0.0




4

SEXY JESS

4


6/1

Slow

68


64


6.4


0.0


0.0




5

CC LUCKY STRAW

5


9/2

Fast

65


57


2.1


0.0


0.0




6

VICENTE JR

6


8/1

Average

64


58


4.6


0.0


0.0




7

LA SERENITA

7


15/1

Slow

0


0


7.7


0.0


0.0




8

MIRACLES VIKE

8


4/1

Average

0


0


5.1


0.0


0.0




9

SLI MISTER MAVERICK

9


30/1

Slow

0


0


9.0


0.0


0.0




10

COLEY MOLEY

10


12/1

Slow

62


53


6.7


0.0


0.0




11

PRINCESS REGARD

11


8/1

Average

70


68


4.5


0.0


0.0




12

GONE COUNTING DOWN

12


20/1

Slow

0


0


6.9


0.0


0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 65

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 SEVEN JEWELS 5/2




# 1 SHE'S A FAIR CATCH 10/1




# 9 FRUHL'N AROUND 8/1




I've got to go with SEVEN JEWELS. Boasts solid speed figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group of animals. She looks formidable in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. Must be carefully examined given the class of races run lately. SHE'S A FAIR CATCH - Have to bet on this money-making rider and handler duo. Could beat this group given the 62 speed figure recorded in her last outing. FRUHL'N AROUND - Is tough not to consider based on Equibase speed figs which have been decent - 53 avg - of late. With Saenz aboard her, this filly will probably be able to break out quickly for this event.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Parx Racing - Race #1 - Post: 12:25pm - Maiden Special - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $40,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 LOVE IN HER EYES (ML=4/1)


LOVE IN HER EYES - A win pct the likes of what Silvera and Ness have achieved together is outstanding. Sub-par try last time out at Gulfstream Park West was due to the off-going (she finished fourth). Expect better in this event on a fast track.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 BRAVO REGINA (ML=5/2), #3 NISBET BEACH (ML=9/2), #1A B B'S ROCKET (ML=6/1),

BRAVO REGINA - Any speed figure obtained on the soft turf must be taken with a grain of salt. NISBET BEACH - Really had to show me more than that last time around the track. Never made much of an impact. This stretch-runner should have a rough go of it to get up in time with the lack of pace in this race. B B'S ROCKET - That was merely not a very good showing in the last clash.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #4 LOVE IN HER EYES to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

4 with [3,7]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10200 Class Rating: 57

FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 10 DRAMACIDE 3/1




# 7 VISONARY STAR 30/1




# 8 SARACEN 6/1




DRAMACIDE could be the bet in here. Vaunts formidable Equibase speed figs on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group. Has been running strongly lately and will probably be up on the front end early on. Should be considered based on the respectable speed fig earned in the last contest. SARACEN - Is difficult not to look at given the company run in lately. Strong jock and trainer combo winning 21 percent of their races working together.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Mountaineer Park - Race #8 - Post: 9:55pm - Starter Allowance - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,500 Class Rating: 92

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 SATELLITE STORM (ML=3/1)


SATELLITE STORM - This gelding seems to run pretty good after a vacation. I have to believe that today's shorter trip should help this gelding.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 KELLER'S GOLD (ML=9/5), #1 SHADOW SURPRISE (ML=7/2), #8 TREETOP FLYER (ML=4/1),

KELLER'S GOLD - Hasn't been on the Mountaineer Park oval in the last three weeks. Cause for some concern. SHADOW SURPRISE - Looked like he may have had some physical problems when he ran on October 27th. This gelding raced surprisingly well on October 27th placing first, but hasn't even visited the track since then. Not really a good sign. TREETOP FLYER - This pony ran a run-of-the-mill speed figure last out. He shouldn't run better and will probably suffer defeat in today's event running that figure.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #2 SATELLITE STORM on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

2 with [1,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Dec 07 '20, 4:00 PM in 15m
NCAA-B | George Washington vs Maryland-Baltimore County
Play on: OVER 144 -108

Free Total Annihilator On George Washington vs Maryland-Baltimore County over 144 -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Dec 07 '20, 5:00 PM in 1h
NFL | Washington Football Team vs Steelers
Play on: Steelers -6½ -104 at pinnacle

1* on Steelers -6½ -104

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Dec 07 '20, 5:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | NC-Wilmington vs East Carolina
Play on: East Carolina -7½ -107 at pinnacle

PICK - East Carolina Pirates -7.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 762
This East Carolina team is one that I will be looking to back often this season, especially once conference play starts. The Pirates went just 11-20 overall and 5-13 in the AAC a year ago, but ECU was one of the most inexperienced teams in the country. That's not the case in 2020, as the Pirates bring back all 5 starters and should be poised for their best showing in the AAC since joining back in 2014-15.
Pirates are already 3-0, which is an accomplishment, given it took them 10 games a season ago to hit the 3-win mark. I've really been impressed with ball security. Last year they ranked 211 in turnover percentage (19.3%). They are 44th early on at just 15.7%. They are also shooting 48% from the field and 74% from the free throw line.
UNC-Wilmington is 2-1 off back-to-back wins, but have not played in more than a week, as they last took the floor on Nov. 28th. Their two wins are also against teams that rank 225 or worse at KenPom in UNC-Asheville and Troy. Seahawks are only shooting 44% from the field and in their only game vs a top 200 team (Western Carolina) they gave up 98 points. Give me the Pirates -7.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers Dec 07 '20, 5:00 PM in 1h
NFL | Washington Football Team vs Steelers
Play on: Steelers -6½ -102 at pinnacle

The set-up: Antonio Gibson has been a bright spot for Washington this year, as the rookie has run the ball 139 times for 645 yards and 11 touchdowns. Pittsburgh is good vs. the run though, allowing the eighth-fewest yards per game on the ground.
The pick: Washington's secondary is its strength, but Ben Roethlisberger and ocmpany are 5-1 ATS in their last six following an ATS win. Washington on the other hand is 0-5 ATS in its last five following a 14-plus points victory in its last outing (hammered Dallas 41-16.) After a sub-par performance in the win over Baltimore last time out, I think that Pittsburgh has something to prove on the national stage tonight. Consider laying the points in the early game Monday.
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on Pittsburgh.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness Dec 07 '20, 7:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Florida Atlantic vs North Florida
Play on: Florida Atlantic -6 -110 at sportsbook

My free play is on FAU at 7:00 ET.
The Florida Atlantic Owls and North Florida Ospreys meet Monday at the UNF Arena in Jacksonville. Dusty May is in his third season at FAU and began the season 34-31 in his first two seasons. The Owls opened the season 0-2 but have rebounded with back-to-back wins and go for a THIRD straight against the Ospreys, who have opened 0-5. Matthew Driscoll is in his 12th season at North Florida and he's had three 20-win seasons, including a trip to the NCAA Tourney in 2015 and a 21-9 record last year, before the season was canceled. However, with North Florida's 0-5 start this season, his career record at the school sits at 184-184!
FAU was 17-17 last season but is deeper and more experienced this year. The 6-7 Ingram led the team in scoring last season and is tops again through four games this season, averaging 15.0 PPG while adding 6.0 RPG. Guard Forrest (9.3) and swingman Winchester (6.3- & 3.8) plus 6-6 forward Blackshear (6.8 & 4.7) and the 6-11 Silins (6.8 & 4.8) round out the major returning contributors, while Minnesota transfer Greenlee is averaging 10.8 PPG. North Florida's problem is that FOUR double digit scorers are gone from last seasons 21-win team. The 6-8 Hendricksen is back and playing well, averaging 17.3 & 5.3. He's joined up front by the 6-8 Endicott (9.3 & 7.8) plus a trio of guards combining to average 24 PPG.
A look at FAU averaging 81.8 PPG does not tell the whole story, as the Owls averaged just 63.0 PPG in starting 0-2 but 105.5 PPG in going 2-0 against very weak opposition. However, what is relevant is the team allowing just 58.3 PPG. That's because North Florida is scoring just 61.8 PPG and allowing 82.8 PPG in going 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS (lone cover was at plus-24 in a 77-59 loss). FAU was just 2-12 SU on the road last season but this is a VERY winnable road contest and I'm willing to lay the points.
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy Dec 07 '20, 7:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Chattanooga vs Middle Tennessee
Play on: UNDER 138 -109

Monday CBB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Chattanooga and Middle Tennessee State at 7 pm et on Monday.
I think this is a case of early season pace numbers factoring a little too heavily into the total. Note that while Middle Tennessee State ranks T65th in pace rating it hasn't done much with that tempo, shooting a miserable 36% from the field. Neither team has shown the ability to knock down threes with any consistency, averaging an identical 6.7 made per game. MTSU recorded an impressive win over Murray State last time out and was active at the defensive end of the floor, posting four blocks and eight steals. That was Murray State's first loss of the season. Meanwhile, Chattanooga is a perfect 3-0, sitting tied for 51st in the country in defensive rating. A big part of Chattanooga's offensive success has been its ability to grab offensive boards and produce second chance points. I look for the Blue Raiders to do a better job of cleaning up on the glass than the Mocs previous opponents, however. Take the under (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Dec 07 '20, 8:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Loyola Marymount vs UC-Santa Barbara
Play on: UC-Santa Barbara -3½ -110 at William Hill

1* Free Sharp Play on UC-Santa Barbara -3½ -110
UC-Santa Barbara (-3.5) is worth a look as a slim home favorite against Loyola Marymount in Monday's college basketball action. Loyola is simply getting too much love in this spot. This is a very good Santa Barbara team. It might be the best in the Big West and it's going to be motivated to get a win here, as these two are playing a home-and-home with Saturday's meeting set for Loyola-Marymount. I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Gauchos ran away with this one. Play UC-Santa Barbara -3.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Dec 07 '20, 8:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Loyola Marymount vs UC-Santa Barbara
Play on: UC-Santa Barbara -3½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Wiseguy Play on UC-Santa Barbara -3½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price Dec 07 '20, 8:15 PM in 4h
NFL | Bills vs 49ers
Play on: Bills +1½ -110 at betonline

Dave’s Monday Free Play:
1* on Buffalo Bills +1.5
The Key: There’s no way the Buffalo Bills should be underdogs to the San Francisco 49ers tonight. They are the better team at 8-3 this season while the 49ers have done a good job of getting to 5-6 with all the injuries they’ve had. But this game is essentially on a neutral field with the 49ers having to move their home games from Santa Clara to Arizona due to COVID. And the Bills haven’t forgotten about losing on a Hail Mary to the Cardinals in Arizona the last time they were here. They want to erase that taste from their mouths. The Bills have one of the best offenses in the NFL at 27.2 PPG this year. And now their defense is starting to play like it did last season now that they have gotten several key players back from injury recently. The 49ers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against teams that give up 24 PPG or more. The Bills are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 against NFC West teams. Buffalo is 6-1-2 ATS in its last 9 games as a road dog. San Francisco is 7-21-1 ATS in its last 29 games as a home favorite. Take Buffalo.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Dec 07 '20, 8:15 PM in 4h
NFL | Bills vs 49ers
Play on: 49ers PK -110 at William Hill

Free Pick on 49ers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Dec 07 '20, 9:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-B | Northern Arizona vs Arizona
Play on: Northern Arizona +23½ -109 at Draft Kings

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Northern Arizona +23.5
Shane Burcar took over as interim coach at Northern Arizona last year and led the Lumberjacks to a surprising 16-14 season. He has now earned the full-time gig after the program had four straight seasons of 10 or fewer wins prior to him taking now. Junior Cameron Shelton is back after averaging 14.8 points, 6.3 rebounds, 4.3 assists and 1.5 steals per game last year. But this is more of a play against Arizona than anything. The Wildcats lost all five starters from last year and seven of their top eight scorers. Plus they are missing three of their top players in Kerr Kriisa, Daniel Batch and Ira Lee. The lack of experience and talent has shown in the early going. Arizona only beat Gramblng 74-55 as a 30-point favorite and Eastern Washington 70-67 as a 13-point favorite in a shaky 2-0 start. The Lumberjacks can hang around for 40 minutes tonight. Give me Northern Arizona.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Dec 07 '20, 9:30 PM in 5h
Soccer | Minnesota United vs Seattle Sounders FC
Play on: Seattle Sounders FC -135 at William Hill

1* Free Pick on Seattle Sounders FC -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

761UNC-WILMINGTON -762 E CAROLINA
UNC-WILMINGTON is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

767MOREHEAD ST -768 E KENTUCKY
E KENTUCKY is 21-40 ATS (-23 Units) in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season since 1997.

769UT-CHATTANOOGA -770 MIDDLE TENN ST
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-19 ATS (-18.9 Units) after 3 consecutive non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

771LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT -772 UC-SANTA BARBARA
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

773N ARIZONA -774 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

777WOFFORD -778 RICHMOND
WOFFORD is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

779GEORGE WASHINGTON -780 MD-BALT COUNTY
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less shots than opponent since 1997.

1401FAIRFIELD -1402 HARTFORD
HARTFORD is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

1403S CAROLINA ST -1404 CHARLOTTE
CHARLOTTE is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

1405HAMPTON -1406 NORFOLK ST
HAMPTON is 16-6 ATS (9.4 Units) after playing a game as a road underdog in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, December 7

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UNC-WILMINGTON (2 - 1) at E CAROLINA (3 - 0) - 12/7/2020, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 190-152 ATS (+22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-WILMINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
UNC-WILMINGTON is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MOREHEAD ST (1 - 3) at E KENTUCKY (3 - 1) - 12/7/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E KENTUCKY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
E KENTUCKY is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points since 1997.
E KENTUCKY is 87-121 ATS (-46.1 Units) in all home games since 1997.
E KENTUCKY is 87-121 ATS (-46.1 Units) in home lined games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MOREHEAD ST is 2-1 against the spread versus E KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
E KENTUCKY is 2-2 straight up against MOREHEAD ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UT-CHATTANOOGA (2 - 0) at MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 2) - 12/7/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 75-117 ATS (-53.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT (2 - 2) at UC-SANTA BARBARA (1 - 0) - 12/7/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 54-81 ATS (-35.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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N ARIZONA (0 - 0) at ARIZONA (2 - 0) - 12/7/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WOFFORD (2 - 0) at RICHMOND (2 - 0) - 12/7/2020, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GEORGE WASHINGTON (1 - 2) at MD-BALT COUNTY (1 - 1) - 12/7/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FAIRFIELD (0 - 3) at HARTFORD (2 - 2) - 12/7/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
HARTFORD is 1-0 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
HARTFORD is 1-0 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S CAROLINA ST (0 - 4) at CHARLOTTE (0 - 2) - 12/7/2020, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HAMPTON (1 - 0) at NORFOLK ST (2 - 1) - 12/7/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMPTON is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORFOLK ST is 1-1 against the spread versus HAMPTON over the last 3 seasons
NORFOLK ST is 1-1 straight up against HAMPTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLA ATLANTIC (2 - 2) at N FLORIDA (0 - 5) - 12/7/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 50-74 ATS (-31.4 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
FLA ATLANTIC is 10-32 ATS (-25.2 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game since 1997.
N FLORIDA is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N FLORIDA is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LIPSCOMB (1 - 3) at SE MISSOURI ST (1 - 1) - 12/7/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SE MISSOURI ST is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SE MISSOURI ST is 87-120 ATS (-45.0 Units) in all home games since 1997.
SE MISSOURI ST is 87-120 ATS (-45.0 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
SE MISSOURI ST is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NC CENTRAL (1 - 1) at COASTAL CAROLINA (2 - 0) - 12/7/2020, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus NC CENTRAL over the last 3 seasons
COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against NC CENTRAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Monday, December 7

Wofford @ Richmond
Wofford (2-0)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 19-16 team
— picked 4th in SoCon by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #142 by KenPom
— Wofford beat up on a couple stiffs to start season.
— Terriers have a young team, but do have senior guards.
— Wofford won 70 games the last three years.

Richmond (2-0)
— 5 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
— picked 1st in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #56 by KenPom
— Richmond hasn’t played in eight days, since upsetting Kentucky.
— Spiders scored 79 ppg in first two games, shooting 61.7% inside arc.
— Richmond starts four seniors; they’re #17 in experience.

NC-Wilmington @ East Carolina
NC-Wilmington (2-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 10-22 team
— picked 7th in CAA by Blue Ribbon.
— ranked #228 by KenPom
— UNCW scored 75 ppg in winning two of three games.
— Seahawks shot 40% on arc (#27) in first three games.
— UNCW hasn’t played in nine days.

East Carolina (3-0)
— 5 starters back from LY’s 11-20 team
— picked 10th in AAC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #117 by KenPom
— Pirates allowed 53.5 ppg in D-I wins over Charlotte, Radford.
— Pirates start three juniors, two sophs; only one guy played more than 27:00 in Saturday’s win.
— ECU is #3 team in country in minutes continuity.

Morehead State @ Eastern Kentucky
Morehead State (1-3)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 13-19 team
— picked 9th in OVC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #316 by KenPom
— Eagles are 1-3, but all three losses are to top 60 teams.
— Morehead turned ball over 26.4% of time in four games.
— Morehead’s one win was 69-61 over #266 Arkansas State.

Eastern Kentucky (3-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 16-17 team
— picked 5th in OVC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #178 by KenPom
— EKU beat three stiffs, lost in overtime at Xavier.
— Colonels are shooting 25.4% (#252) on arc thru four games.
— EKU starts two frosh and a soph (#226 in experience).

— EKU beat Morehead twice last year, by 4-7 points.

Chattanooga @ Middle Tennessee State
Chattanooga (3-0)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 20-13 team
— picked 7th in SoCon by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #195 by KenPom
— Chattanooga beat Tennessee Tech by 8, Northern Kentucky by 7.
— Mocs have made only 20% of their 3’s thru three games.
— Chattanooga is forcing turnovers 28.1% of time (#9)

Middle Tennessee State (1-2)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 8-23 team
— picked 8th in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #180 by KenPom
— Blue Raiders beat Murray St by 17, after losses to Omaha/East Tennessee.
— MTSU is forcing turnovers 25.6% of time (#29)
— But they’re also turning ball over 24.7% of time (#254).

LMU @ Cal-Santa Barbara
LMU (2-2)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 11-21 team
— picked 8th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #131 by KenPom
— LMU split its first four games, losing twice at Minnesota.
— LMU took 38 3-pointers, 25 2-point shots in Saturday’s 85-61 win over Long Beach
— Lions start two seniors, two juniors; they’re #117 in experience.

Cal-Santa Barbara (1-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
— picked 1st in Big West by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #130 by KenPom
— UCSB beat a stiff by 37 in its opener, eight days ago.
— Last time UCSB made the NCAAs was ten years ago.
— Gauchos are 31-17 in Big West, in three years under Pasternak.

Northern Arizona @ Arizona
Northern Arizona
— 2 starters back from LY’s 16-14 team
— picked 9th in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #306 by KenPom
— This is season opener for Northern Arizona
— NAU was 10-10 in Big Sky LY, its first .500 conference record in five years.
— NAU’s last coach quit two years ago to be an assistant at Arizona.

Arizona (2-0)
— 0 starters backs from LY’s 21-11 team
— picked 7th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #52 by KenPom
— Arizona beat Grambling by 19, Eastern Washington by 3.
— Wildcats have six new guys, five of them from other countries.
— Arizona was down 8 with 8:42 left to EWU Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Monday, December 7

Trend Report

Wofford @ Richmond
Wofford
Wofford is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Wofford is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Richmond
Richmond is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Richmond is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Fairfield @ Hartford
Fairfield
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Fairfield's last 25 games on the road
Fairfield is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Hartford
No trends to report

George Washington @ UMBC
George Washington
George Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing UMBC
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of George Washington's last 11 games on the road
UMBC
No trends to report

UNC Wilmington @ East Carolina
UNC Wilmington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UNC Wilmington's last 5 games on the road
UNC Wilmington is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing East Carolina
East Carolina
East Carolina is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home
East Carolina is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing UNC Wilmington

South Carolina State @ Charlotte
South Carolina State
No trends to report
Charlotte
Charlotte is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

Chattanooga @ Middle Tennessee
Chattanooga
Chattanooga is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chattanooga is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chattanooga
Middle Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chattanooga

Morehead State @ Eastern Kentucky
Morehead State
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Morehead State's last 12 games when playing Eastern Kentucky
Morehead State is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Eastern Kentucky's last 12 games when playing Morehead State

Columbia International @ The Citadel
Columbia International
No trends to report
The Citadel
The Citadel is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home

Bethesda @ Cal State-Bakersfield
Bethesda
No trends to report
Cal State-Bakersfield
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cal State-Bakersfield's last 6 games at home
Cal State-Bakersfield is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Adrian @ Western Michigan
Adrian
No trends to report
Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games at home

Lipscomb @ Southeast Missouri State
Lipscomb
No trends to report
Southeast Missouri State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Southeast Missouri State's last 11 games at home
Southeast Missouri State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Loyola Marymount @ UC-Santa Barbara
Loyola Marymount
Loyola Marymount is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Loyola Marymount is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against UC-Santa Barbara
UC-Santa Barbara
UC-Santa Barbara is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
UC-Santa Barbara is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Loyola Marymount

Lewis @ Bradley
Lewis
No trends to report
Bradley
Bradley is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

Northern Arizona @ Arizona
Northern Arizona
Northern Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Northern Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northern Arizona