Monday 12/14/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 4 Analysis December 14, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Woodbine Mohawk Park has 10-races scheduled for this evening. The feature goes in Race 6, a Preferred Trot with a $26,000 purse. The 0.20 Early Pick 4 starts as usual in Race 4. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 4

1-Northern Sultan (7/2)-Two race win streak was snapped in last after cashing a couple of nice checks in previous 2 starts. This post draw won't hurt and shouldn't blush at the company. Chris C's choice over #3 and #5.
3-Jula Shes Magic (3-1)-Finished 2nd in the Harvest Final for the gals. Filion takes the lines has the talent to threaten the colts if minds manners.
4-Magics Wizard (8-1)-Henry can put this horse on the point or in the 2 hole and if so, chances for success go up. Might be overlooked at the windows, has been consistently in the mix and is worth a swing at a solid price.

Race 5

6-Dreamy Fella (7/2)-Auciello trainee is camera shy, the same as many in this field, but usually is in the hunt. Drury returns and did close well into a slow pace. Needs a trip and may finally get rewarded.
7-Denali Seelster (3-1)-This is a drop and pop situation and if Filion can't get this colt to wake-up it may signal trouble. This is a spot to shine but my gut says to use others as well.
10-Carsons Shadow (10-1)-There isn't much consistency found at this class level. If Jamieson can keep this 4-year old close coming down the lane a picture could happen. Using at a price, held its own versus better and has one nice move.

Race 6

1-Oney Hall (3-1)-Six race win streak was snapped on 11/30. Started from post 9 in the slop and broke stride down the lane. Now draws the rail and should be in position to start a new winning streak.
6-Perfetto (9/2)-Has put in a couple of flat lines and has the gate speed to get a good early seat. Raced well in last in the slop and is only 1-7 on an off-track. Using just in case #1 isn't dialed on high.

Race 7

2-Tuapeka Jessie N (6-1)- Raced well in last coming off a sick scratch and missing about 4 weeks. Should be better tonight and Jamieson can work a cozy trip from this post.
6-Mary Kat (3-1)-Three-year-old has been sharp as a tack and has won 7 of 27 in 2020. There's no reason to leave off the ticket.
7-My Baby Girl (4-1)-Rolled down the lane in 55.2 in 2nd race off the bench. That start came from post 10 and should be in better striking range here.

0.20 Early Pick 4

1,3,4/6,7,10/1,6/2,6,7
Total Bet=$27

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Mountaineer - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#9 Zeyna
Has chased and faded in both lifetime starts going short on off tracks, and both sides of her pedigree suggest some added ground may work in her favor. Blinkers off, but she should get a decent trip near the top while stretching out.


#1 Ready Seeker
She looks like the one to beat out of a couple of tougher spots, but she hasn't turned in races that offered much visually, so it's mostly a class play here.


#4 Miss Magdalena
She has turned in a couple of decent efforts with blinkers on in the past, so getting the hood back on might be beneficial, but she has had nine chances and is much more likely underneath than on top.


Race Summary
Zeyna is worth a look if she's offering something like the 10/1 ML price, as she stretches out with a route pedigree while meeting a group that is suspect from top to bottom.


Mountaineer - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#4 Elusive Motion
Caught an easy winner in the local debut, but that effort stacks up nicely here, and he's quick enough to get in the mix in the early going.


#6 He's Reckless
Just like the top choice, he ran into a runaway winner in the local debut, but he has some room to come forward here in this second start off the layoff.


#7 Charcoal
Suppose this ML favorite can win here, but he has never run a good race going short, so I'll make him prove it to me. Pass on principle.


Race Summary
Elusive Motion should be able to get a great spot near the top, and though he is out of excuses after 11 starts, a win in this spot seems very much in reach.


Mountaineer - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#2 Ultra Diva
Likely second choice should be able to use her pace to get a solid jump on the chalk drawn just outside of her, but I'd want every bit of the 9/5 ML offering to dive in as she rises to try winners.


#3 Miss Wave
Tactical type is a really good fit here off the recent Charles Town efforts, but she's going to get bet pretty heavily with this bunch and probably doesn't have to win this.


#7 Mom's Magic
Draws well out wide to track the splits set by the top choice, and maybe she hangs around for an underneath piece at a price.


Race Summary
Very top-heavy race with Ultra Diva and Miss Wave likely to settle this score but Ultra Diva should offer at least a bit better price on the board and has a tactical edge with her early speed.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park



Mountaineer Park - Race 2

2nd Half Daily Double $2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box$1 Superfecta $.20 Box $2 Pick 4 (races 2-5) $.50 Wheel



Claiming $4,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $6,900 • Post: 7:22P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 14 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. CAFE MISCHIEF is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CAFE MISCHIEF: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Ra ting at the distance/surface. ACADIA FLEET: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. PRECIOUS ARCH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.



2

CAFE MISCHIEF

5/2


7/2




7

ACADIA FLEET

7/2


6/1




9

PRECIOUS ARCH

8/5


6/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




2

CAFE MISCHIEF

2


5/2

Alternator/Front-runner

67


48


58.4


53.2


47.7




9

PRECIOUS ARCH

9


8/5

Stalker

59


67


54.4


56.0


48.5




6

CANDY LOU

6


10/1

Trailer

64


38


13.6


41.8


29.8




7

ACADIA FLEET

7


7/2

Alternator/Trailer

71


62


46.8


55.2


50.2




3

WOODY'S REWARD

3


30/1

Alternator/Trailer

65


60


21.5


51.6


36.6




5

PASSIONATE STAR

5


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

73


56


53.0


42.0


29.0




8

COCO LOCO MAMA

8


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

63


54


40.8


51.4


44.9




1

TINGSTHATMAKESENSE

1


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

59


49


38.8


42.4


26.9




4

STARR DESIGNER

4


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

60


47


38.0


41.3


31.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs



Delta Downs - Race 7

DD (Races 7-8) / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) Superfecta (.10 min.)



Claiming $20,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 3:39P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 14 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, IF FOR $15,000, ALLOWED 3 LBS. (CONDITION ELIGIBILITY PREFERRED).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. COULD YOU is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * COULD YOU: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. HURRICANE TIZWAY: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. LAURIEANN: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days.



5

COULD YOU

9/2


5/2




7

HURRICANE TIZWAY

8/1


7/1




8

LAURIEANN

10/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




5

COULD YOU

5


9/2

Front-runner

77


81


77.0


75.6


72.6




7

HURRICANE TIZWAY

7


8/1

Front-runner

69


69


77.0


51.0


38.5




8

LAURIEANN

8


10/1

Front-runner

68


69


71.8


54.4


42.4




6

HOYAM

6


2/1

Alternator/Front-runner

78


76


64.3


57.5


49.0




4

JET SWEEP

4


15/1

Trailer

65


64


51.2


61.4


48.4




2

SANTA ANA WINDS

2


6/1

Trailer

77


73


34.1


71.1


61.1




3

PANTERITA

3


7/2

Trailer

80


77


26.6


56.8


52.8




1

BELLA FALAYA

1


12/1

Alternator/Trailer

69


68


57.0


69.8


62.3




9

SEASIDE SURPRISE

9


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

62


46


45.6


39.4


22.4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7200 Class Rating: 64

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 LIL LATIGO 4/1




# 5 VIVARO 8/1




# 11 BEAN AND THE BUG 6/1




LIL LATIGO looks respectable to best this field. Exhibits the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 52 speed figure which is one of the best in this group of horses. Recorded a sound Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. Looks formidable for the conditions of this affair today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races lately. VIVARO - Is a contender - given the 66 speed figure from his most recent race. BEAN AND THE BUG - Valdezcabral has this gelding racing well and is a quite good pick based on the formidable Equibase Speed Figures posted in sprint races lately. Has a sharp record at the distance and surface, which makes me back this gelding.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #3 - Post: 1:40pm - Allowance - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,000 Class Rating: 58

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 KIST (ML=3/1)
#1 DEB'S ALL OUT (ML=2/1)


KIST - Is ranked totally uppermost in (EPS) earnings per start. A strong try right here can augment that total. A pony coming back this soon after a good effort is a good sign. This trainer sure has a knack for stretching out most any horse. Getting the extra distance sure seems to help Zielinski's starters perform well. Recent speed figs show dominant pattern of improvement. DEB'S ALL OUT - Have to make this filly a solid contender; she comes off a sharp contest on Nov 23rd. Look at this filly's PP lines. With each event she keeps getting closer. Past performance data show this thoroughbred with three improving speed figs. Barbaran should be on a live one in this field. You have to like that recent race figure, 63, which is the best most recent race speed fig of this bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 POWER BANKER (ML=5/2), #4 ANSWER QUIETLY (ML=6/1), #2 ISLAND CHIC (ML=8/1),

POWER BANKER - When scrutinizing today's class figure, she will have to register a better speed fig than last time around the track to compete in this dirt route. ANSWER QUIETLY - I can't play this habitual non-winner. Gets the job finished from time to time. ISLAND CHIC - Will be tough for this animal to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put her on the vulnerable contenders list.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #3 KIST on the nose if you can get odds of 2/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,3]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 56

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 MOONRISE KINGDOM 2/1




# 6 ITSGOODTOBEKING 8/1




# 7 ADELE'S BLING 10/1




MOONRISE KINGDOM has a decent shot to take this race. Had one of the top speed figs of this group of horses in this race in her last race. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a very good handicapping angle. This entrant ranks at the top in this group. ITSGOODTOBEKING - This filly could improve with second time Lasix. This filly with Luzzi in the irons makes her a key contender.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

813RUTGERS -814 MARYLAND
RUTGERS are 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.

815E KENTUCKY -816 MOREHEAD ST
A.W. Hamilton is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a win by 15 points or more (Coach of E KENTUCKY)

815E KENTUCKY -816 MOREHEAD ST
E KENTUCKY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

817N ARIZONA -818 COLORADO ST
COLORADO ST is 63-87 ATS (-32.7 Units) after a combined score of 155 points or more since 1997.

819NEVADA -820 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) at home when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997.

821N COLORADO -822 COLORADO
N COLORADO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.

821N COLORADO -822 COLORADO
N COLORADO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

823MARQUETTE -824 CREIGHTON
CREIGHTON is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons.

825PEPPERDINE -826 UNLV
UNLV is 42-20 ATS (20 Units) versus foul prone teams - called for 21 or more fouls/game since 1997.

827WM & MARY -828 GEORGE WASHINGTON
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games since 1997.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, December 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RUTGERS (4 - 0) at MARYLAND (4 - 1) - 12/14/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
RUTGERS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 2-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 2-1 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E KENTUCKY (5 - 1) at MOREHEAD ST (3 - 4) - 12/14/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E KENTUCKY is 109-81 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MOREHEAD ST is 3-1 against the spread versus E KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
E KENTUCKY is 3-2 straight up against MOREHEAD ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ARIZONA (0 - 2) at COLORADO ST (1 - 0) - 12/14/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEVADA (3 - 2) at SAN DIEGO (0 - 1) - 12/14/2020, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N COLORADO (2 - 0) at COLORADO (2 - 1) - 12/14/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N COLORADO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N COLORADO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N COLORADO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
N COLORADO is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
N COLORADO is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
N COLORADO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARQUETTE (4 - 2) at CREIGHTON (4 - 1) - 12/14/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CREIGHTON is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 182-145 ATS (+22.5 Units) in all home games since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 182-145 ATS (+22.5 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 144-106 ATS (+27.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 151-112 ATS (+27.8 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 140-100 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 140-100 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road lined games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CREIGHTON is 3-1 against the spread versus MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 3-1 straight up against MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PEPPERDINE (3 - 3) at UNLV (1 - 4) - 12/14/2020, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 144-111 ATS (+21.9 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
UNLV is 72-49 ATS (+18.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WM & MARY (0 - 1) at GEORGE WASHINGTON (1 - 4) - 12/14/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAM HOUSTON ST (3 - 3) at LSU (3 - 1) - 12/14/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LONGWOOD (1 - 3) at RADFORD (1 - 4) - 12/14/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LONGWOOD is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
RADFORD is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
RADFORD is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
RADFORD is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
RADFORD is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
RADFORD is 2-1 against the spread versus LONGWOOD over the last 3 seasons
RADFORD is 3-0 straight up against LONGWOOD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

C ARKANSAS (0 - 4) at OLE MISS (2 - 0) - 12/14/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Monday, December 14

Rutgers @ Maryland
Rutgers (4-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 20-11 team
— picked 6th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— First road game for Rutgers; they beat Syracuse by 10.
— Scarlet Knights are shooting 60.3% inside arc (#12), only 59.8% on foul line.
— Rutgers is experience team #229; their eFG% defense is #35.

Maryland (4-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 24-7 team
— picked 10th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Terps lost their last game by 16 at Clemson.
— Best team they’ve beaten is #113 Old Dominion.
— Maryland is shooting 40.8% on arc (#21).

— Maryland is 7-1 vs Rutgers in Big 14 games.

Eastern Kentucky @ Morehead State
Eastern Kentucky (5-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 16-17 team
— picked 4th in OVC by Blue Ribbon.
— ranked #186 by KenPom
— Colonels are 5-1 vs schedule #271;
— EKU’s only loss was by 3 in OT at #30 Xavier.
— Colonels are shooting only 26.3% on arc (#280).

Morehead State (3-4)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 13-19 team
— picked 9th in OVC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #308 by KenPom
— Morehead is 1-4 vs D-I teams, beating Arkansas State by 8.
— Eagles are turning ball over 28.7% of time (#307)
— Morehead starts two sophs and a freshman (#223 experience).

— EKU beat Morehead 71-68 at home, last Monday.
— Morehead led by 17 late in first half; they shot 76.7% inside arc, but turned ball over 27 times.
— Morehead won seven of last nine series games.

Wm & Mary @ George Washington
Wm & Mary (0-1)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 21-11 team
— picked last in CAA by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #281 by KenPom
— W&M lost its only game 86-78 at Old Dominion 16 days ago.
— W&M started three freshmen in that game (experience #288).
— Tribe has been over .500 in CAA the last seven years in a row.

George Washington (1-4)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 12-20 team
— picked 11th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #230 by KenPom
— GW lost by 3 at Delaware of the CAA on Friday.
— GW is turning ball over 22.6% of time (#47)
— Colonials are playing pace #47, very fast.

Northern Arizona @ Colorado State
Northern Arizona (0-2)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 18-14 team
— picked 9th in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #328 by KenPom
— NAU lost first two games by 43-24 points, to Arizona/Cal-Riverside.
— Lumberjacks scored only 51.5 ppg in first two games.
— NAU doesn’t have any seniors; they start 4 juniors, one soph.

Colorado State (1-0)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 20-12 team
— picked 5th in MW by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #120 by KenPom
— State beat an NAIA team by 12 in their opener Saturday.
— Rams started 3 sophs, 2 juniors Saturday (#317 experience)
— State went 11-7 in Mountain West LY, its first winning season in 3 years.

Marquette @ Creighton
Marquette (4-2)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 18-12 team
— picked 7th in Big East by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #42 by KenPom
— Marquette starts out 4-2, vs schedule #139
— Marquette lost only road game 69-60 at UCLA Saturday
— Lions are turning ball over 21.6% of time (#228).

Creighton (4-1)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 24-7 team
— picked 2nd in Big East by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #11 by KenPom
— Bluejays’ only loss was by a point at Kansas.
— Creighton beat #115 Nebraska by 24 on Saturday.
— Michigan starts four seniors (#54 in experience)

— Creighton won last three series games, by 17-8-6 points.

Nevada @ San Diego
Nevada (4-2)
— 1 starter back from LY’s 19-12 team
— picked 6th in MW by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #126 by KenPom
— Wolf Pack is 4-2 vs schedule #117.
— Nevada starts three sophs, one freshman, is experience team #308.
— Nevada split two road games, winning at Nebraska, losing at Grand Canyon.

San Diego (0-1)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 9-23 team
— picked 9th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #158 by KenPom
— Toreros lost by 27 at UCLA in their opener Wednesday.
— San Diego added six transfers this season.
— USD starts three juniors, two seniors (experience team #70).

Northern Colorado @ Colorado
Northern Colorado (2-0)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 22-9 team
— picked 2nd in Big Sky by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #187 by KenPom
— Bears beat couple NAIA teams, by 25-25 points.
— Northern has a new coach this season.
— Bears are 69-32 the last three years, 41-17 in Big Sky.

Colorado (2-1)
— 3 starters back from LY’s 21-11 team
— picked 6th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #54 by KenPom
— Buffs allowed 59 ppg in their 2-1 start, losing 56-47 at Tennessee
— Colorado starts three seniors and a junior (experience #46)
— Buffs are forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#70)

Pepperdine @ UNLV
Pepperdine (3-3)
— 4 starters back from LY’s 16-16 team
— picked 4th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #102 by KenPom
— Waves’ three losses are all by 5 or fewer points or in OT.
— Pepperdine’s D-I wins are over Irvine/Cal Bears.
— Waves have a very good senior PG; they only play 7 guys.

UNLV (1-4)
— 2 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
— picked 3rd in MW by Blue Ribbon
— ranked #136 by KenPom
— Three of Rebels’ four losses were to top 70 teams.
— UNLV hasn’t played in nine days.

— Over half the shots UNLV has taken have been 3’s (35.7%, #90).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Monday, December 14

Trend Report

Sam Houston State @ LSU
Sam Houston State
No trends to report
LSU
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LSU is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Rutgers @ Maryland
Rutgers
Rutgers is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Rutgers is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Maryland
Maryland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Rutgers
Maryland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Eastern Kentucky @ Morehead State
Eastern Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Kentucky's last 5 games when playing on the road against Morehead State
Eastern Kentucky is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Morehead State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Morehead State's last 5 games when playing at home against Eastern Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Morehead State's last 13 games when playing Eastern Kentucky

William & Mary @ George Washington
William & Mary
William & Mary is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
William & Mary is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
George Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of George Washington's last 5 games at home
George Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Central Arkansas @ Mississippi
Central Arkansas
No trends to report
Mississippi
Mississippi is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Northern Arizona @ Colorado State
Northern Arizona
Northern Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Northern Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Colorado State
Colorado State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

McKendree @ Austin Peay
McKendree
No trends to report
Austin Peay
Austin Peay is 21-1 SU in its last 22 games at home

Marquette @ Creighton
Marquette
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marquette's last 6 games when playing on the road against Creighton
Marquette is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Creighton
Creighton
Creighton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Creighton's last 6 games when playing at home against Marquette

Northern Colorado @ Colorado
Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Northern Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northern Colorado

Nevada @ San Diego
Nevada
Nevada is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Nevada is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego
San Diego is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
San Diego is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home

Pepperdine @ UNLV
Pepperdine
Pepperdine is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Pepperdine is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
UNLV
UNLV is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Siefken Event: (819) Nevada at (820) San Diego
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: December 14, 2020 9PM EST
Play: Total Over 142.0 (-110)
*** See my 4% Monday college hoops play for only $9! EKU vs Morehead, I WANTED to make this a 5% but there is a limit to how many 5% we can do. There is a glaring stat the bookmakers are overlooking

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: Colorado -14½ over Northernn Colorado

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR MONDAY: MARYLAND -2 over Rutgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U Monday's Free Selection: Pepperdine/UNLV over 149 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins ROZ's MONDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2020
Free Pick

CBK
826. UNLV +2 (6 PT / 9 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports Monday's Free Play: Colorado Buffaloes - 14 1/2