Service Plays Saturday 12/19/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Yellow]

Essler 3* GOM

La Lafayette +4

[dawggy]

L.V CRIS



Game: (235) Clemson at (236) Notre Dame
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 4:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Notre Dame +10.5 (-110)

Fighting Irish, ND +10.5. (3%)

[Lexdeoh20189]

https://data.mail.yahoo.com/xobni/v4/contacts/d59e.455f/photo?spsize=80X80&fallback_url=https%3A%2F%2Fs.yimg.com%2Fdh%2Fap%2F social%2Fprofile%2Fprofile_a64.png&alphatar_photo=true&appId=YMailNorrin&badge=false (https://redirect.viglink.com?u=http%3A%2F%2Fpredictionmach ine.com&key=283181fd71e977feed2e8d123174599b)Prediction Machine

Notre Dame+10


Clemson Tigers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+10)



Saturday’s ACC title game is shaping up as the marquee matchup of the weekend, featuring two of College Football’s top three ranked teams. Brian Kelly and the Fighting Irish come in as double-digit underdogs now that Clemson has Trevor Lawrence back under center, as he missed the first matchup between these two teams while sidelined with COVID-19.

The Tigers are hoping for revenge after falling 47-40 in Notre Dame’s double-OT victory, and should feel confident with Lawrence back at the helm. Clemson has won by at least 18 points in every game started by the presumable No. 1 pick in next year’s NFL Draft.


Sportsbooks are giving the clear edge to Clemson (No. 3 in the College Football Playoff rankings) in this rematch, listing Dabo Swinney’s squad as 10-point favorites despite Notre Dame coming in as the higher-ranked team (No. 2 in CFP). Our model is projecting Clemson to win this matchup by a score of 33.1-26.7, giving us a solid edge on Notre Dame against the spread based on the current double-digit line. With a projected margin of victory less than seven points for Clemson and a line of -10 in favor of the Tigers, our model suggests a $75 wager on NOTRE DAME +10 for an $100 average bettor.


Why will Notre Dame cover the spread?

The Irish proved they can run the ball on anyone in their first matchup with Clemson. Notre Dame racked up 204 yards on 40 carries (5.2 ypc) and Kyren Williams reached pay dirt three separate times on the ground against a Tigers defense that has surrendered just 2.9 yards per carry and seven total rushing touchdowns on the season. Notre Dame has boasted one of the most prolific rushing attacks in the country all season thanks to a dominant offensive line and will welcome back fifth-year senior and starting guard Tommy Kraemer after he missed a few weeks due to an appendectomy.


Clemson leans much more towards the pass on offense, sitting 18th in the FBS with a 54.3 percent pass rate on the season. Trevor Lawrence is averaging 304 passing yards per game on a healthy 9.7 yards per pass attempt, so Notre Dame will need to slow down that production to keep this one close. The Irish enter with a solid chance to do just that, ranking first in the ACC with 6.7 yards allowed per pass attempt. They’ve also allowed just eight passing TDs on the season, which is the fewest of any FBS team with nine or more games played (ND has played 10 games). Although Lawrence is clearly one of the best quarterbacks in all of college football, Notre Dame is at least equipped to slow him down with their strong secondary play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CARMINE BIANCO

SATURDAY 5% SOCCER TOP PLAY TOTAL
Game: (202453) FC Koln at (202454) RB Leipzig
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 9:30 AM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 3.0 (-115)

Quick Synopsis: This is a system play based on our metric expectancy which came back at 4.98. Since Oct 1st system totals have hit at a 65.5% rate (66 game sample size) and 72.2% (42 game sample size) since Nov 1st. YTD: 58.3%, 229 games.


Additional game preview: Cologne (Koln) have looked to finally turn the corner on their terrible start to the season picking up 7 of a possible 9 points to move outside the relegation zone and a change in their formation and players returning from their injury list they have looked dangerous moving forward. While they recorded a clean sheet last weekend that hasn't be the norm for a side that allows goals and prior to last weekend had allowed goals in 20 straight fixtures. They'll visit Leipzig side that are full of confidence and improving with each game. They come off a 3-2 win in Champions League play over Manchester United to advance to the knockout stages and followed that up scoring twice for the 9th straight game on home soil. This will be their final home game of 2020 before heading into a short winter break. This will be only the 3rd meeting at Red Bull stadium between these sides with a 4.0 GPG average. This should be quicker paced from the opening whistle and the total is the play here.

[Iowethe man]

Stanford Steve and The Bear: Week 16 college football picks, bets, nuggets

College football is in full swing in 2020, and it's unlike any season we have had before. One thing is familiar, though: Stanford Steve Coughlin and Chris "The Bear" Fallica breaking down games as only they can, offering their top bets, nuggets and totals worth wagering on. How will the guys fare this week?
Here is your guide to Week 16 (https://www.espn.com/college-football/scoreboard/_/year/2020/seasontype/2/week/16#) from the two college football analysts. (Games postponed or canceled because of COVID-19 have been removed.)
Records



Stanford Steve (2-1-1 last week, 26-16-1 overall)
The Bear (0-2-1, 22-20-1)


The plays

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No. 3 Clemson Tigers (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/228/clemson-tigers) (-10.5, 60) vs. No. 2 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/87/notre-dame-fighting-irish)

(ACC championship at Charlotte, N.C.)
Stanford Steve: Clemson has gotten everything it has wanted since losing to the Irish earlier this year in overtime at South Bend without Trevor Lawrence (https://www.espn.com/college-football/player/_/id/4360310/trevor-lawrence). I still think the Irish will win the game. We will sprinkle a little on the money line, but we will take the points as the official play.
Pick: Notre Dame +10.5 (Notre Dame 31, Clemson 29)
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No. 10 Oklahoma Sooners (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/201/oklahoma-sooners) (-5.5, 58) vs. No. 6 Iowa State Cyclones (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/66/iowa-state-cyclones)

(Big 12 championship at Arlington, Texas)
Stanford Steve: Here's another Power 5 championship game where the team looking to avenge an earlier loss is favored to win the rematch (Clemson is the other). I think the wrong team is favored. I am not buying into the idea that Oklahoma "has everything figured out" and will be the Big 12 champ. I'll take the Clones and the points.
Pick: Iowa State +5.5 (Iowa State 34, Oklahoma 31)
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Oregon Ducks (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2483/oregon-ducks) at No. 13 USC Trojans (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/30/usc-trojans) (-3, 64)

(Pac-12 championship)
Stanford Steve: Remember last year when the Utah Utes (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/254/utah-utes) were a win in the Pac-12 title game away from making the College Football Playoff? Then they went out and played their worst game of the year in a spot where they had the most eyeballs on them in any of their games. It feels like USC is getting plenty of love in the general landscape of the sport, and I would be the first person to tell you the Trojans should be ranked higher. But this line doesn't make sense. It feels like the undefeated Men of Troy should be giving more points. We'll take the Ducks and buy it to 3.5 points.
Pick: Buy Oregon to +3.5 (USC 38, Oregon 35)
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Ball State Cardinals (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2050/ball-state-cardinals) at Buffalo Bulls (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2084/buffalo-bulls) (-13.5, 67.5)

The Bear: Buffalo has been a dominant team spearheaded by a powerful running attack. But it also benefited from being on the weaker side of the MAC-- the one with Akron and Bowling Green it its division. Ball State has finally gotten some breaks this year and easily could be undefeated as well. Mike Neu has a veteran team and is probably the best rush defense Buffalo has faced this year. The outright upset will be tough, but I do think Ball State will be able to get a few stops and score enough to cover the number here.
Pick: Ball State +13.5
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Nebraska Cornhuskers (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/158/nebraska-cornhuskers) (-6.5, 54) at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/164/rutgers-scarlet-knights)

The Bear: This number jumped off the page to me when I saw it. I couldn't believe Nebraska was laying this many points. The Huskers haven't been a good favorite at all, might be faced with travel issues because of a storm in the northeast and seem to be in a bad spot here. I'll side with the State University of New Jersey, which if it wins four games would be ecstatic and a remarkable feat under Greg Schiano. Rutgers has showed up every game and Nebraska transfer QB Noah Vedral (https://www.espn.com/college-football/player/_/id/4243539/noah-vedral) will want to play well against his former team. I think the intangibles and coaching edge land on the side of the Scarlet Knights.
Pick: Rutgers +6.5
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Air Force Falcons (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2005/air-force-falcons) (-2.5, 37) at Army Black Knights (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/349/army-black-knights)

The Bear: I'm guessing people are expecting a letdown for Army on the heels of the shutout win over Navy and might be comparing scores to the 40-7 win Air Force had over the Midshipmen. But that's hard to do, being the weather was brutal in West Point last week and the CIC trophy is on the line. I don't really understand the 2.5-point move to Air Force here and will happily take Army and the points.
Pick: Army +2.5
The Bear's money-line parlay

$100 returns $98.65 Penn State -650
Alabama -900
Texas A&M -600
Ohio State -1600
Utah -400
The Bear's underdogs to play on the money line, in round-robins and parlays

Rutgers +200
Army +120
*Iowa State +170
*Notre Dame +310
*San Jose State +195
*My sense is these three underdogs either win outright or the favorite covers
Stanford Steve's special Week 16 3-team, 10-point teaser

Wisconsin -2
Rutgers +16.5
Utah -.5
Bear Bytes

• Since 2015, there have been 23 Power 5 conference championship games. Just two underdogs have won outright: Oregon beat Utah last year and Penn State defeated Wisconsin in 2016. Compare that to the Group of Five, where in the last two years four dogs have won outright in 10 games. It should be noted that three of the underdogs were by a field goal or less. Favorites are 5-12-1 ATS in Group of Five conference title games in the last four years.
Big 12 championship: No. 10 Oklahoma Sooners (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/201/oklahoma-sooners) (-5.5, 58) vs. No. 6 Iowa State Cyclones (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/66/iowa-state-cyclones)
• Under Matt Campbell (https://www.espn.com/college-football/player/_/id/4383214/matt-campbell), the Cyclones have covered all five games vs. Oklahoma, four as a double-digit dog. On average, the Cyclones were an 18-point underdog and have two wins and have covered by an average of 16.7 PPG in those five games.
Nebraska (-6.5, 54) at Rutgers
• Nebraska is 5-14 ATS with eight outright losses since the start of 2017 as a favorite. Nebraska has lost four of its last five games outright as a favorite.
Air Force (-2.5, 37) at Army
• In the past nine years, the favorite is 1-7-1 ATS with four outright losses in this rivalry.
American Athletic championship: No. 23 Tulsa Golden Hurricane (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/202/tulsa-golden-hurricane) at No.9 Cincinnati Bearcats (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2132/cincinnati-bearcats) (-14, 45.5)
• In its last 11 games as an underdog, Tulsa is 9-2 ATS with four outright wins. Over that span, Tulsa has been a double-digit dog nine times and has two wins and three other single-digit losses. Last year the Bearcats were a 16-point favorite over Tulsa at Nippert Stadium and won by 11. The Golden Hurricane are also 7-0 ATS vs. ranked opponents since 2018.
Big Ten championship: No. 14 Northwestern Wildcats (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/77/northwestern-wildcats) vs. No. 4 Ohio State Buckeyes (https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/194/ohio-state-buckeyes) (-205., 57)
• The Buckeyes have been a 20-point favorite 13 times under Ryan Day and are 8-5 ATS and have seen just one game decided by less than 11 points (42-35 vs. Indiana earlier this year).
ACC championship: Clemson (-10.5, 60) vs. Notre Dame
• Clemson is currently a 10.5-point favorite over Notre Dame. That's the exact same spread from the 2018 semifinal game where Clemson beat Notre Dame 30-3. Clemson has won 41 straight games as a double-digit favorite dating back to the 2017 loss at Syracuse. Just four of the 41 games were decided by single digits.
MAC championship: Ball State vs. Buffalo (-13.5, 67.5)
• Ball State has covered each of its last six games as an underdog, winning four outright. And double-digit favorites in the MAC title game are just 1-8 ATS with three outright losses. However, Buffalo has been a strong favorite lately, covering 11 of its past 13.

[dawggy]

L.V CRIS



Game: (235) Clemson at (236) Notre Dame
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 4:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Notre Dame +10.5 (-110)

Fighting Irish, ND +10.5. (3%)




Game: (237) Tulsa at (238) Cincinnati
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 8:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Tulsa +14.0 (+101)

[dawggy]

L.V CRIS




Game: (24261) Alex Morono at (24262) Anthony Pettis
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 6:45 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Alex Morono +190

Morono +190 (2%) +195 and +200 available out there at moment

Game: (24269) Gillian Robertson at (24270) Taila Santos
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 7:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Gillian Robertson -115

Robertson -115 (2%)

Game: (24213) Rob Font at (24214) Marlon Moraes
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 8:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Rob Font +130

Font +130 (3%)

Game: (24221) Marlon Vera at (24222) Jose Aldo
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 8:50 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Total Over 2.5 (-200)

Vera Aldo over 2.5 rounds -200 (2%) -190 is available

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Marley

Neal -115 KO
Aldo -140
D. Pereira -120
D. Font +125
D. Tybura +100
D. Santos -100 KO
Moron +195
D. Arroyo -155 KO.
Flick -155 SUB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Georgia Tech at Miami canceled

Vanderbilt at Georgia canceled

Frisco Bowl between UTSA & SMU has been canceled ... SMU couldn’t play because of contact tracing

Unknown if ESPN will pair UTSA with another opponent in Frisco at later date or put UTSA in another bowl ...

Michigan at Iowa canceled

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Stone on VSIN

Bama -9.5 1H / -17
Notre Dame +10.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Finn

4% Alabama -17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maryland vs. Michigan State canceled

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

cfb

7-minnesota+12.5
6-nevada+3.5
5-bama-17
4-usc-3
4-notre dame+10.5
3-boise.st-6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alan Harris

7 - ULL +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

7 - ULL +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone

7 - Alabama -17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

7 - Alabama -17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Sports Informer

7 - Oregon st +7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Coastal Carolina vs. Louisiana canceled

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

nfl

3 under-49.5-buffalo

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Florida State vs. Wake Forest canceled

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Marley

Neal -115 KO
Aldo -140
D. Pereira -120
D. Font +125
D. Tybura +100
D. Santos -100 KO
Moron +195
D. Arroyo -155 KO.
Flick -155 SUB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

preferred picks 100% Top Kill play for Saturday in the NFL is on Denver Broncos +

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy football for this week:

7-Unit Play. #235. Take Clemson -10.5 over Notre Dame (Saturday @ 4pm est)

Clemson is going to spank Notre Dame in my opinion. There was a lot of trash talked between these two teams and I think Clemson wants to prove a point here. Clemson gets excited when they can prove a point and they are tired of hearing all about Notre Dame and their history etc as Dabo talked about it in his press conference. He stated over the past 38 years, it is Clemson Football that has accomplished more than Notre Dame. Notre Dame is undefeated and Clemson knows that. Notre Dame beat this team in overtime despite the fact that Clemson had a rookie quarterback and these are the type of games that Dabo gets his guys foaming at the mouth to play. I don't even think it's going to be close. I think Clemson and Trevor Lawrence have something to prove and this Notre Dame team beat Louisville 12-7 if you remember and I do not trust the Notre Dame offense against this Clemson defense who will want to prove a point here. Clemson gave up 47 points to this team and I think they prove a point here in this contest.

3-Unit Play. #231. Take Oklahoma -5.5 over Iowa State (Saturday @ 12pm)

Oklahoma lost to this team last time and ever since then they have gone on a tear and they have crushed teams. I think it works against Iowa State that they have moved up so much in the BCS rankings and I think Oklahoma will want to prove a point here. Oklahoma played like garbage against Baylor in their last game not covering the -23 and they have covered 5 in a row before that. This Oklahoma team cannot lose 2 games in one season to Iowa State and I think they get it done over Iowa State by about 14-17 points here.

3-Unit Play. #247. Take Ole Miss -2.5 over LSU (Saturday @ 3:30pm est)

Lane Kiffin knows Ed Orgeron well from his time of working together with him in USC under Pete Carroll. He knows his system well and this is a monumental let down spot for LSU after beating Florida in a game that LSU never should have won. Ole Miss is primed for their first winning season in quite some time and I think Ole Miss has a great shot at winning and possibly winning this game relatively comfortably here. Ole Miss possibly for the rout here this weekend. Lane Kiffin lives for these games and he gets a big win here.

3-Unit Play. #205. Take Air Force -2.5 over Army (Saturday @ 3pm est)

I know Army has won 8 games here but I think Air Force is the better team. Air Force beat this team by 3 points and Army has revenge coming into this game, but Air Force has outscored its opponents 63-7 the last two games. They have lost to Boise State which is fine, and lost to a good San Jose State team but they drilled Navy in an ugly fashion. Army beat Navy 15-0 in their last game which wasn't overly impressive and I think the difference here is the ability of Air Force to score. Air Force dropped 30 points on Boise State which is not easy to do. They are 2nd in the nation in rushing and top 10 in the nation in defense and I think that balance along with having a top 30 rush defense and pass defense makes the difference.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KIEV O'NEIL

Saturday
San Jose State +7 – 2.5 stars - 1 star on the ML
Ole Miss -2 - 3 stars

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WUnderdog

CFB

Arizona St -7 vs oregon st.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Kezirian (6-2 last week, 37-25 overal)

Missouri -1
ND/Clemson : Over 61
Alabama team total over 45.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc lawrence
Cfb plays from vegas insider
san jose st
lsu

[golden contender]

Conf. Championship Saturday is here and we have 3 big Power Systems including a TIER 1 Total and a 6* Rare top level side. In the NFL we have the AFC Total of the Month and a 100% NFC Late play along with an NCAAB Platinum Supreme move.


For the comp play we will use a total and Play and go Under in the Air Force vs Army game at 3:00 eastern. These two have gone under the last 6 in the series with some lower scoring games. Army has one of the top ranked defenses in the country and comes in off a shutout win over Navy and are 8-2 overall. Air Force has allowed 17 or less in all their games except in the loss to Boise. This game also fits a nice 72% totals system that pertains to road teams with a total of less than 50. Look for a lower scoring game her that plays under. Huge Saturday card with the Conference Championship Play of the Year, a Rare 6* Side and an Executive Level TIER 1 Total, in NFL we have perfect System Top plays on Both NFL Games a Side and total. Then we have an NCAAB Platinum Supreme top level Side. See us on facebook to jump on. For the Comp play go Under in the Army vs Air Force Game. Rob V- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MISSISSIPPI KID
ENGLAND SOCCER
Liverpool ML 1U
Arsenal vs Everton UNDER 2.5 1U
Chelsea vs West Ham BTTS 1.5U

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al

5* Ole Miss

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada sports service.

Clemson -10.5
Iowa -3 basketball
Minnesota +12.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Sports

Ohio St -19.5 v NW
Air Force -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VIP Sports. Not Steve Stevens

College football
Iowa St +5-5
Ohio St 19.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

Double Plays:
Penn State -15
Alabama -17

Single Plays:
Wake Forest -6.5
Northwestern +20
Notre Dame +10.5
Tulsa-Cincy under 45.5
San Jose State +6.5

adding
Denver Broncos +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Stryker

15-2 ATS NCAA CONF CHAMPIONSHIP BEST BET
Iowa State

21-5 ATS NCAA TOP SHELF CONF CRUSHER
Ole Miss

30-7 ATS NFL CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK
Broncos

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Bitler

9* NFL Total Investment Prime

Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers Under 51.5 (-105)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

3 PENN STATE (-15) 5:30 PM ET
4 Northwestern (+20) Noon ET
6 Oklahoma (-5-) Noon ET
3 NOTRE DAME (+10-) 4:00 PM ET
3 CINCINNATI (-14) 8:00 PM ET
3 SAN JOSE STATE (+6-) 4:30 PM ET
4 Texas A&M (-14) Noon ET
4 Mississippi (-2-) 3:30 PM ET
4 Denver Broncos (+5-) 4:30 PM ET

[FATMANWINS]

ats
6 iowa st
5 san jose st
5 buffalo

[citybeat]

Dec 19
Bryan Leonard
5%
[CFB] (231) Oklahoma at (232) Iowa State

Time: 12:00 PM EST
Iowa State +6.0 (-110)


Analysis: 232 Oklahoma & Iowa State in Arlington
Since Matt Campbell has come to Ames the Cyclones have fared well against the Sooners. Earlier this year Iowa State won 37-30, as a 7.5 point underdog. Last year as a 14.5 point underdog they lost by a single point. In 2018 Iowa State was an 18.5 point underdog and only lost by 10. In 2017 the Cyclones upset the Sooners 38-31 as a whopping 31 point underdog. In 2016 Iowa State lost by 10 while getting 20.5 points. That’s a perfect 5-0 ATS covering by 85 combined points.
When looking at Phil Steele’s average game grades the Sooners should only be a 2.7 point favorite. Under Matt Campbell the Cyclones are 18-8 ATS as an underdog. Give us the better coached team catching points in a series they have dominated ATS.
PLAY IOWA STATE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Root

hoops

Chairmans- UCLA

Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php) - IOWA


Chairman- Oklahoma

Reserve- Broncos

Gold star- Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chip Chirimbes

NCAAF
Air Force
Clemson
Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MISSISSIPPI KID
NCAAF
#211 Minn TT UNDER 17.5 1U
#220 Utah-9 1.5U
#240 O MIss vs LSU UNDER 74.5 1U
#229 NW +18.5 1U
#205 Air Force v-2.5 1U

MISSISSIPPI KID
NCAAB
Indiana -4 1U
Iowa +2.5 2U POD**
Wisc -3 1U

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold sheet
From vegas insider cfb plays
san jose st
tulsa
penn st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Bob - Sat Hoops

2* 614 North Arizona 10.5
2* 638 Dayton 3.5

1* 662 Cal -10

total opinons
#615 Wright State-Detroit Over 148

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe:

4 Unit Play Take #247 Mississippi -2.5 over LSU (3:30pm est):

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

BIGGEST COLLEGE
RELEASE OF THE YEAR


One-and-Only

200 DIME

MAX WAGER

Game of the Year

Alabama -17 buy down to -16.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

6 Unit Packers -8.5

[BONTRAGER]

ROZ JUARBE Plays, Saturday December 19, 2020
NFL
Panthers +8 (5:15 PT / 8:15 ET)
Bills -5.5 (1:30 PT / 4:30 ET)

CFB
Alabama -17 (5 PT / 8 ET)
Clemson -10 (1 PT / 4 ET) Game Of The Year

CBK
W.Kentucky +5.5 (11 PT / 2 ET)
Ole Miss -3 (11:30 PT / 2:30 ET) Mismatch GOM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Akins

ALABAMA @ FLORIDA | 12/19 | 8:00 PM EST
OVER 74.5
ANALYSIS: Alabama is scoring 49.5 points per game and that is with the Crimson Tide not facing too much of a real test all season. Florida should be able to score enough in this game to force Alabama to keep its foot on the pedal on offense, leading to an extremely high-scoring game. The Gators are underdogs in this game coming off a shocking 37-34 loss to LSU last week. Florida is 7-0 OU (8.50 ppg) since 2014 as a three-plus point underdog coming off a loss.

+590 7-1 IN LAST 8 CFB PICKS
YESTERDAY 9:39 AM

OKLAHOMA @ IOWA ST. | 12/19 | 12:00 PM EST
OKLAHOMA -5.5
ANALYSIS: While Iowa State has the better record among these teams, Oklahoma has a per game margin that is considerably better than Iowa State (+21.4 vs +12.7 ppg). The Sooners faced a similar situation to this in the 2018 Big 12 Championship -- they were looking to avenge a loss to Texas earlier that season and Oklahoma got the job done. Expect the same here. This is an interesting situation where No. 12 Oklahoma is actually the favorite against No. 8 Iowa State. In matchups of AP Top 25 ranked teams, the lower ranked team is 51-38-2 ATS when favored by at least four points.

+590 7-1 IN LAST 8 CFB PICKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White

AIR FORCE @ ARMY | 12/19 | 3:00 PM EST
ARMY +2.5
The winner receives the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy. Air Force, Army and Navy all run very similar offenses, which is the reason for low-scoring games. I think the Army has an advantage playing Navy last week; the defense has been on a five-week run trying to stop the triple option. The Black Knights not only stopped Navy; they shut them out. Army lost to its highest-rated opponent, Cincinnati, 24-10. Air Force lost to Boise State 49-30. I have Army rated three points higher than Air Force and will add at least a point for playing at home.

+92 2-1 IN LAST 3 AF ATS PICKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Severance

NORTHWESTERN @ OHIO ST. | 12/19 | 12:00 PM EST
NORTHWESTERN +20
ANALYSIS: BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (from Indianapolis) -- According to multiple reports, at least one prominent starter on Ohio State's offense (not Justin Fields) and several others have tested positive for COVID and will miss Saturday’s game. The Nuts figure to be a bit rusty, too, having played just once since Nov. 21. Other than one trap-game hiccup vs. Michigan State, Northwestern's defense has been terrific. I'm not calling the upset -- although I probably will go throw a few dollars on the NW moneyline -- but do think the Cats hang fairly close here. Also love the Under 57 points.

YESTERDAY 12:55 PM
AIR FORCE @ ARMY | 12/19 | 3:00 PM EST
ARMY +3
ANALYSIS: My cohort Mike Tierney picked Air Force because of a possible letdown game by Army after its huge rivalry win last Saturday vs. Navy. Normally, I would agree with Mike as this is only the 10th time ever that Army plays a game after facing Navy and eight of those were bowls (the other was vs. Notre Dame in the 1930s). However, the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy is up for grabs here, and that's plenty of motivation for the Black Knights. Air Force has played only five games this season and just twice since Halloween. The Falcons are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as road favorites, and I frankly don't think they should be favored.

THU 12/17
CLEMSON @ NOTRE DAME | 12/19 | 4:00 PM EST
NOTRE DAME +10.5
ANALYSIS: Is Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence worth essentially 17.5 points? That's basically what oddsmakers are saying with this spread after the Tigers lost at Notre Dame by seven in double overtime without Lawrence earlier this season. As good as Lawrence is, it's hard to imagine he could play any better Saturday in Charlotte than backup D.J. Uiagalelei did that day in South Bend as the freshman threw for 439 yards and two scores and rushed for another TD. The Irish most definitely could win again in this game and 10.5 points is simply too many. I'd be willing to wager that gets under double digits by kickoff because Notre Dame is such a "public" team.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White

CAROLINA @ GREEN BAY | 12/19 | 8:15 PM EST
OVER 51.5
ANALYSIS: Both teams' offenses rank in the top 10 in DVOA, Carolina is No. 9 and Green Bay is the No. 1 offense in the NFL. Defensively, Carolina ranks 27th while Green Bay ranks 20th. Both teams are 7-5-1 to the Over in 2020. Look for the Over to hit again.

+735 25-16-3 IN LAST 44 NFL PICKS
+200 2-0-2 IN LAST 4 GB O/U PICKS
YESTERDAY 8:07 PM

BUFFALO @ DENVER | 12/19 | 4:30 PM EST
DENVER +5
ANALYSIS: This is a situational play. Buffalo is coming off of wins at San Francisco and versus Pittsburgh on Sunday night, leaving Monday as a useless day. Buffalo needs one win to wrap up the division for the first time in 25 years. That is always easier said than done. The Bills will be playing in the high altitude on a short week. Denver has the better defense, and QB Drew Lock is coming off a career-best game.

+735 25-16-3 IN LAST 44 NFL PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 DEN ATS PICKS
+75 4-3 IN LAST 7 BUF ATS PICKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

ARIZONA ST. @ OREGON ST. | 12/19 | 10:30 PM EST
ARIZONA ST. -7
ANALYSIS: The Sun Devils destroyed rival Arizona last week 70-7 and now has most of their team back after dealing with a COVID outbreak. They should have success on the ground on Saturday; Oregon State is allowing 4.95 yards per carry, and Arizona State is averaging 227.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks 14th in the country. My sims say the Sun Devils cover two-thirds of the time and project a 37-21 ASU victory. You're getting strong value at this number.

+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 OREGST ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 6:03 PM

STANFORD @ UCLA | 12/19 | 7:00 PM EST
STANFORD +6.5
ANALYSIS: Stanford has won its last three games, all on the road. Meanwhile UCLA is coming off a devastating loss against rival USC, which I think will have lingering effects on Saturday. My model says the Cardinal win the game 48 percent of the time and cover more than 60 percent of the time, so you're getting good value at this number.

+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 UCLA ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 5:53 PM

[dawggy]

L. V CRIS



Game: (243) Texas A&M at (244) Tennessee
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 12:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Tennessee +14.0 (-110)

Tennessee +14 (4%)
Line is overinflated and at least a FG too high TAM needs style points, but they don't, doesn't matter , they are stuck outside looking in , unless playoffs expanded

Game: (231) Oklahoma at (232) Iowa State
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 12:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Iowa State +6.0 (-110)

Iowa St +6 (2%) Available at Pinnacle clones, William hill, 5 dimes, Caesars, MGM, Westgate,
6 blipped away as I was entering this at a few places. Its not the easiest number< but I don't want the play without +6. This may blip back up to 6, if you can't find one. It's not a life or death play, I bet it though, and I'm not trying to piss money away.

Game: (205) Air Force at (206) Army
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 3:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Air Force -2.5 (-115)

Air Force -2.5 (3%)
Line a bit inflated, Should have been pick, but hoping it doesn't make a difference here

Game: (235) Clemson at (236) Notre Dame
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 4:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Notre Dame +10.5 (-110)

Fighting Irish, ND +10.5. (3%)

Game: (221) Stanford at (222) UCLA
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 2%
Play: UCLA -6.5 (-115)

UCLA -6.5 (2%)
I'm against the grain on this play. Many feel UCLA will have a letdown after that thrilling loss we had to endure last week. My data shows value here, so I played it anyway

Game: (237) Tulsa at (238) Cincinnati
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 8:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Tulsa +14.0 (+101)

Tulsa +14 (3%) (14.5 and 15 available at time of release)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

Under 58.5 ok/ia.st. 11am
Ole miss -1.5/ lsu. 2:30
Over 49 mo/miss.st. 2:30p
Fla +17.5/ ala. 7pm
Hoops....11am,,wisc -5.5/ lville

College Football
8:00 PM EST
Rotation #240
Florida +17.5 over Alabama
Alabama is the best team in the country and the top team in the country against the spread. The entire world is betting them today, but you can’t look at Florida’s last game to paint the overall picture of them. This is a team that has Kyle Trask at QB. Alabama is a team that we have seen let weaker offenses score on them this year. This isn’t the rock solid defense we see year after year. Florida has a good defense that can at the very least challenge this Bama Offense. The Gators Secondary is filled with guys that will be playing on Sundays. Florida also knows that the playoffs are probably out of reach so this game is for all the marbles. Alabama is in the playoffs no matter what. I think the Gators can keep this game close. Maybe the Gators have an upset shot if Alabama throws a shoe or two. Take Florida.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TKwins

NFL
3* Denver +6
3* Carolina +8

NCAAF
3* Oklahoma -6
3* Northwestern +19
4* Tulsa +14
3* Boise St -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Marzano

BOISE ST. @ SAN JOSE ST. | 12/19 | 4:30 PM EST
SAN JOSE ST. +6.5
ANALYSIS: San Jose State is having a great season despite its favorable and abbreviated schedule. The Spartans face their toughest test vs. Boise State in this Mountain West championship game. San Jose State has lost 14 matchups in this series and most of the games haven't even been competitive. But the Spartans stack up well on both sides of the ball here and their defense will keep them in this game. They haven't turned the ball over once this entire year, while the Broncos defense has created just three turnovers. Boise State needs to be on upset alert here. San Jose State is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 games as an underdog.

+1324 32-17-2 IN LAST 51 CFB ATS PICKS
+88 2-1 IN LAST 3 BOISE ATS PICKS
9:19 AM

TULSA @ CINCINNATI | 12/19 | 8:00 PM EST
TULSA +14
ANALYSIS: Cincinnati is hosting this AAC Championship game and will try to keep its dream season alive. The Bearcats need a lot of help to find their way into the College Football Playoff. Tulsa is a very dangerous team, having won six straight games. The Golden Hurricane’s defense is allowing under 20 points per game and is 15th against the pass. That unit will keep them in this game. Tulsa is 6-1 ATS this year and has covered 20 of its last 28 as a road underdog. Cincinnati is just 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven December games.

+1324 32-17-2 IN LAST 51 CFB ATS PICKS
+490 6-1 IN LAST 7 CINCY ATS PICKS
9:04 AM

CLEMSON @ NOTRE DAME | 12/19 | 4:00 PM EST
NOTRE DAME +10
ANALYSIS: This is going to be the game of games. Trevor Lawrence is 33-1 in his college career and Ian Book is 30-3. Notre Dame hammered Clemson on the ground in the first meeting. The Fighting Irish held Travis Etienne to a career low in rushing yards and holding him down could again be a key to success. Both quarterbacks are going to have huge outings. This game is going to come down to which defense can make the critical stop or create a key turnover. This matchup will be decided by single digits, and expect the Fighting Irish to have a chance for the outright win.

+1324 32-17-2 IN LAST 51 CFB ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 CLEM ATS PICKS
8:47 AM

AIR FORCE @ ARMY | 12/19 | 3:00 PM EST
UNDER 38.5
ANALYSIS: Army is coming off a huge win over Navy in what was a low-scoring and very physical matchup. The same type of game is expected here. Look for both teams to grind out long drives. Army is allowing just 14 points per game, which ranks fourth in the nation, while Air Force is right behind them, allowing 16 per game, which ranks eighth. The Falcons rank second in the nation in rushing while the Black Knights are fourth. Expect a low-scoring, defensive battle. The Under is 6-0 in the last six meetings. The Under is 12-1 in Air Force’s last 13 vs. Independents. The Under is 17-5 in Army's last 22 December games.

+425 33-26-3 IN LAST 62 CFB PICKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

MISSOURI @ MISS. STATE | 12/19 | 3:30 PM EST
MISSOURI -1
ANALYSIS: When the Bulldogs upset LSU in the season opener, we thought it was huge and coach Mike Leach was going to shake up the SEC. Didn't happen. Even though the MSU defense has looked much better in its last four games, the Bulldogs also have failed to cover their last four home games. Missouri is the play.

+970 13-3 IN LAST 16 CFB ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 8:10 PM

NORTHWESTERN @ OHIO ST. | 12/19 | 12:00 PM EST
OHIO ST. -18.5
ANALYSIS: We’ve only got five games of data to go by, not including the Buckeyes' 52-3 win at Northwestern last season. But Ohio State is on another planet of class. The thing that made me believe laying the points was a good idea began with the fast field at Lucas Oil Stadium. The talent gap and speed gap on a fast field with no weather will be noticeable on Saturday. Buckeyes get the cover.

+970 13-3 IN LAST 16 CFB ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 8:08 PM

MINNESOTA @ WISCONSIN | 12/19 | 4:00 PM EST
MINNESOTA +12.5
ANALYSIS: The thing about Minnesota this season is that the Gophers came in with high expectations after having nine starters back on offense, including the QB, from an 11-2 team. The early 2020 losses were a result of a lack of spring practice. They have come back with big wins as dogs in their last two games. Wisconsin is now that team in a funk, losing its last three. I took the points with Minnesota, which won at Wisconsin in 2018, and the Gophers might even win outright.

+970 13-3 IN LAST 16 CFB ATS PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 MINN ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 WISC ATS PICKS
THU 12/17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J.R Stevens

VIP PICKS (CFB - GAME OF THE YEAR)
Tulsa +14/ML +460

VIP PICKS (CFB)
Washington State +11/ML +315
Stanford +7/ML +220

Northwestern +19/ML +760

Iowa State +6/ML +190

Notre Dame +11/ML +330


VIP PICKS (NFL)
Denver +6/ML +220





VIP PICKS (CBB)
Butler +8/ML +290
Western Kentucky +5/ML +170

Kentucky +3/ML +140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

MINNESOTA @ WISCONSIN | 12/19 | 4:00 PM EST
UNDER 47
ANALYSIS: The Badgers’ defense sits atop the FBS for fewest yards per game. The Badgers' offense has begged, borrowed and stolen only 20 points in its last three outings, and it could be missing two reliable WRs (injured) and a RB (undisclosed). The Gophers have been run-oriented since a healthy standout, NFL-bound WR Rashod Bateman, decided to shorten his season, so Wisconsin is sure to load up the box and tempt them to throw. Minnesota held Nebraska to 17 points last Saturday even with several Covid-connected absentees on defense. Temperatures expected to hover around freezing will not allow the Badgers' ice-cold offense to thaw out.

+650 23-15 IN LAST 38 CFB PICKS
YESTERDAY 4:24 PM

AIR FORCE @ ARMY | 12/19 | 3:00 PM EST
AIR FORCE -2.5
ANALYSIS: Army finds itself in the unaccustomed position of playing a week after its season make-or-break game against Navy. A letdown seems likely. The Cadets’ limitations on offense last Saturday were exposed, and the Falcons, with an extra week to gameplan, should limit Army to minimal points. Air Force has registered at least four touchdowns in four of its five games, and reaching the 20s on the scoreboard should be sufficient. The Falcons have owned this series ATS, with nine covers in the past decade.

+650 23-15 IN LAST 38 CFB PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 ARMY ATS PICKS
TUE 12/15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

UMBC @ ALBANY | 12/19 | 4:00 PM EST
UMBC -3.5
ANALYSIS: UMBC has won four in a row straight-up; Albany has had all four of its games canceled. That contrast explains the pick, though there is more. The visiting Retrievers started the season with experience, with six of their best seven players having returned. Their only setback was a credible eight-point loss to Georgetown. The Black Bears closed their previous season with six defeats outright, and preparations for this one were halted twice because of COVID-19, with 26 days down the drain. UMBC is 3-0 ATS on the road and, reaching into last year, is on a 13-3 ATS roll overall.

+425 12-7 IN LAST 19 CBB ATS PICKS
10:40 AM

SOUTH ALABAMA @ ALABAMA A&M | 12/19 | 3:00 PM EST
SOUTH ALABAMA -8.5
ANALYSIS: The visiting Jaguars, with eight games already gone by, are nearly in midseason form. They are fast-paced, averaging 82.8 points per game., which poses a challenge for the rusty Bulldogs, whose lone game occurred three weeks ago. While half of the Jags’ results are throwaways, coming against low-level opponents, they finished within nine points of Auburn and knocked off Southern Miss, both on the road. Dating to late last year, they have missed just one cover in seven away tests.

+425 12-7 IN LAST 19 CBB ATS PICKS
+89 2-1 IN LAST 3 SALAB ATS PICKS
10:37 AM

MAINE @ HARTFORD | 12/19 | 2:00 PM EST
HARTFORD -9
ANALYSIS: No team suffered more from a delayed start to its season than Maine. The Black Bears, hoping to bury the memories of a 9-22 season, have seen five games canceled. The two most productive scorers graduated, the third returned home to Serbia, and the senior leader is out for the year after shoulder surgery. For their debut, the Black Bears sent out a roster three-quarters of which were freshmen and sophomores, with nobody averaging more than 6.3 points. a year ago. The Hawks have played five games, including against UConn and Villanova, and have covered all but once.

+425 12-7 IN LAST 19 CBB ATS PICKS
10:33 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al

Northwestern

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

BUFFALO @ DENVER | 12/19 | 4:30 PM EST
BUFFALO -6
ANALYSIS: The Bills are buffalo-ing through their schedule, with six outright wins in the last seven games. Their offense tells the tale, and QB Josh Allen and sensational WR Stefon Diggs must be salivating with the Broncos having lost four of its top CBs — three to injury, one to PED-related suspension. Super Bowl contenders spotting less than a TD to eliminated foes are irresistible. December-like temperatures in Denver would be no bother, given where the Bills call home.

+355 9-5 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS
+474 9-4-1 IN LAST 14 BUF ATS PICKS
+80 2-1 IN LAST 3 DEN ATS PICKS
THU 12/17

[FATMANWINS]

anybody see Kelso 300 ? TIA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Rainey / Rainman

1☆ Iowa State +5'
3☆ Alabama -17, Clemson -10
5☆ Texas A&M -14, San Jose State +7

NFL

5☆ Bills -5'

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Cbb
Early game
Louisiana tech

10* CBB PERSONAL FAVORITE!
St marys

[dawggy]

OSKEIM SPORTS



Game: (345) Buffalo Bills at (346) Denver Broncos

Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 4:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 49.0 (-110)

Buffalo arrives in town with a very good offense that is averaging 27.6 points and 375 total yards per game at 6.0 yards per play and 13.6 yards per point against teams that would combine to allow 5.7 yards per play to a mediocre attack. The Bills are also averaging 26.5 points and 412 total yards per game at 6.3 yards per play on the road this season and should have success moving the chains against a Denver defense that is allowing 26.7 points per game in 2020.

Football Outsiders Key Offensive Metrics - Buffalo
7th in Total DVOA (12.1%)
5th in Weighted DVOA (12.1%)
4th in Pass DVOA (38.2%)

Denver's once-elite pass defense (8th in Pass DVOA) lost starting cornerback Duke Dawson to a torn ACL last week and joins fellow cornerbacks Bryce Callahan and AJ Bouye on the sideline. Denver has lost five cornerbacks in a span of three weeks, leaving only three active cornerbacks on its roster entering Saturday's game. Those three defensive backs include a player who was signed last week, a rookie, and a player the Broncos already cut once this season.

With Buffalo's top three defensive backs out for Saturday's game, Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen is poised to have a big day targeting Cole Beasley and Stefon Diggs. Beasley is 7th in the league in Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement (246) while Diggs is 12th (219). Both receivers are also ranked in the top 25 among qualified receivers (minimum 50 passes) in Catch Rate and Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA).

NFL offenses are averaging 23.7 points per game this season, not counting defensive or special-teams touchdowns. That's more than any similar period in league history and road teams have been the biggest beneficiaries of COVID-19 restrictions at opponent's stadiums. Road teams are averaging 23.71 points per game in the COVID-19 era, which is 10.5% higher than in any other season. The increased is scoring can be attributed to a number of factors, including an overall decline in pre-snap penalties.

There have been a total of 670 penalties for either neutral-zone infractions, false starts, defensive offside or offensive offside, a drop of 10.2% from 2019. Turnovers are down by 17.1% and coaches are beginning to utilize analytics and becoming more aggressive on fourth down. Indeed, fourth down attempts have increased by 26% over 2019 figures and that trend will likely continue in the future.

Finally, Denver quarterback Drew Lock is coming off a solid performance in which he was 21-of-27 passing for 280 yards at 9.6 yards per pass play and four touchdowns. Lock will be in even better shape for Saturday's game as starting left tackle Garett Bolles and starting tight end Noah Fant have both been full participants at practice this week after missing last week's game against Carolina. Bolles is Denver's best offensive lineman and Fant should feast on a Buffalo defense that is giving up over 8 yards per target to opposing tight ends.
Take the OVER and invest with confidence.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

11th Hour

11th: NCAAF, 6u: 229 NORTHWESTERN+17.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant

College Hoops

4% Under 169 Gonz
3% under 141.5 NC
3% Under 148 Wisc GB
3% Over 146.5 Port
3% Under 144 Georgia
4% under 133.5 Fla St

[dawggy]

OSKEIM SPORTS



Game: (345) Buffalo Bills at (346) Denver Broncos

Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 4:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 49.0 (-110)

Buffalo arrives in town with a very good offense that is averaging 27.6 points and 375 total yards per game at 6.0 yards per play and 13.6 yards per point against teams that would combine to allow 5.7 yards per play to a mediocre attack. The Bills are also averaging 26.5 points and 412 total yards per game at 6.3 yards per play on the road this season and should have success moving the chains against a Denver defense that is allowing 26.7 points per game in 2020.

Football Outsiders Key Offensive Metrics - Buffalo
7th in Total DVOA (12.1%)
5th in Weighted DVOA (12.1%)
4th in Pass DVOA (38.2%)

Denver's once-elite pass defense (8th in Pass DVOA) lost starting cornerback Duke Dawson to a torn ACL last week and joins fellow cornerbacks Bryce Callahan and AJ Bouye on the sideline. Denver has lost five cornerbacks in a span of three weeks, leaving only three active cornerbacks on its roster entering Saturday's game. Those three defensive backs include a player who was signed last week, a rookie, and a player the Broncos already cut once this season.

With Buffalo's top three defensive backs out for Saturday's game, Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen is poised to have a big day targeting Cole Beasley and Stefon Diggs. Beasley is 7th in the league in Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement (246) while Diggs is 12th (219). Both receivers are also ranked in the top 25 among qualified receivers (minimum 50 passes) in Catch Rate and Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA).

NFL offenses are averaging 23.7 points per game this season, not counting defensive or special-teams touchdowns. That's more than any similar period in league history and road teams have been the biggest beneficiaries of COVID-19 restrictions at opponent's stadiums. Road teams are averaging 23.71 points per game in the COVID-19 era, which is 10.5% higher than in any other season. The increased is scoring can be attributed to a number of factors, including an overall decline in pre-snap penalties.

There have been a total of 670 penalties for either neutral-zone infractions, false starts, defensive offside or offensive offside, a drop of 10.2% from 2019. Turnovers are down by 17.1% and coaches are beginning to utilize analytics and becoming more aggressive on fourth down. Indeed, fourth down attempts have increased by 26% over 2019 figures and that trend will likely continue in the future.

Finally, Denver quarterback Drew Lock is coming off a solid performance in which he was 21-of-27 passing for 280 yards at 9.6 yards per pass play and four touchdowns. Lock will be in even better shape for Saturday's game as starting left tackle Garett Bolles and starting tight end Noah Fant have both been full participants at practice this week after missing last week's game against Carolina. Bolles is Denver's best offensive lineman and Fant should feast on a Buffalo defense that is giving up over 8 yards per target to opposing tight ends.
Take the OVER and invest with confidence.





Game: (235) Clemson at (236) Notre Dame
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 4:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Notre Dame +10.5 (-110)

My math model only favors Clemson by 7.5 points in this game but the point spread reflects the prevalent narrative that the Tigers were without Trevor Lawrence, James Skalski, Tyler Davis, and Mike Jones in their November loss to Notre Dame. However, Notre Dame is a much stronger team overall than the one that made the BCS Championship Game in 2012 or the one that made the College Football Playoff in 2018.

Notre Dame completely took away the Tigers' ground game in the first meeting, limiting Travis Etienne to just 28 yards on 18 carries (FYI - the Irish outrushed Clemson 208 to 34!). Clemson's offensive line is ranked outside the top 50 in Line Yards and Etienne's yards after contact has dropped from 5.1 in 2019 to under 3.7 this season. Clemson also ranks outside the top 75 in rush explosiveness. Notre Dame's defense ranks in the top 5 against the run in both Line Yards and Stuff Rate, while also boasting one of the nation's best stop units in terms of Havoc created.

Notre Dame's offense ranks top-20 in Line Yards and Havoc allowed, while quarterback Ian Book leads an efficient attack that is ranked in the top 30 in Passing Success Rate. Book should have success against Tyler Venables and Joseph Charleston, who have allowed opposing passer ratings over 110 when targeted this season. Book completed 69.1% of his passes and averaged 62 yards rushing in Notre Dame's final three regular-season games. Book is an incredible 30-3 SU as a starter while head coach Brian Kelly is 15-6 SU and ATS versus opponents entering off back-to-back SU and ATS wins. Let's also note that Notre Dame is 55-10 SU when undefeated, with only four losses by double-digits.

One key intangible in this game is Notre Dame running back Kyren Williams (1,011 total yards and 13 touchdowns this season), who may be the best back in the country in terms of picking up blitzes. Williams was 11-for-11 on blitz pickup in the first meeting, allowing Book to extend plays and pick up critical yards with his legs. Those plays don't necessarily show up in the box score but are crucial in competitive games between two elite programs.

Finally, let's address the revenge storyline with the following betting nugget: college football teams seeking same-season revenge in a conference championship game are just 17-31 SU and 23-25 ATS, including 0-14 SU and 4-10 ATS versus .916 or greater opposition. Better yet, these revenge-minded squads are a money-burning 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS in title games against opponents that allow fewer than 19.5 points per game and won ten or more games the previous season. If our play-against team was a double-digit favorite in the first meeting, they fall to a woeful 0-7 SU and ATS.

With Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney standing at 2-6 ATS versus .800 or greater opponents over the last two seasons, grab the points with the Irish and invest with confidence.
Game: (221) Stanford at (222) UCLA
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Stanford +7.0 (-110)

My math model only favors UCLA by 4.88 points in this game and it's hard to predict the motivation level of the Bruins following last week's gut-wrenching 43-38 loss to in-state rival USC. After the game, UCLA starting quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson offered this: "This isn't a normal game or a normal loss. This one hurts."
Meanwhile, Stanford enters off three consecutive road wins, including last week's 30-27 comeback victory over Oregon State. After the game, Stanford head coach Brian Shaw could not have been prouder of his team. "Our calling card is our effort. And even when we don't play perfectly, we want to fight it to the end," Shaw said.
Stanford is poised to reach the postseason after having its ten-year bowl run ended last year. The Cardinal are 11-1 SU and 9-2-1 ATS in this series, while UCLA is 1-7 SU and 0-7-1 ATS in Last Home Games. Stanford is 12-2 ATS in its last fourteen December affairs and has covered the Vegas number in each of its last five trips to Los Angeles.
Stanford quarterback Davis Mills is completing 65% of his passes this season after completing 21-of-29 passes for 292 yards in last week's win over the Beavers. More importantly, Mills has not thrown an interception this season. Finally, UCLA head coach Chip Kelly proved once again last week that he is incapable of exercising proper clock management, especially when having a lead.
Grab the points with Stanford and invest with confidence.





Game: (237) Tulsa at (238) Cincinnati
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 8:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Tulsa +14.5 (-110)

These teams were scheduled to face each other last Saturday but the game was canceled due to COVID-19 issues within Cincinnati's program. The Bearcats have not played since their 36-33 win over Central Florida on November 21 and now face a grossly underrated Tulsa squad that has won six straight games (6-1 SU and ATS overall). In its last eleven games as an underdog, Tulsa is 9-2 ATS with four outright wins. Over that span, Tulsa has been a double-digit underdog nine times and has two wins and three other single-digit losses.

Tulsa head coach Phil Montgomery is a perfect 5-0 ATS as a double-digit underdog with rest. The Golden Hurricane are 7-0 ATS versus ranked opponents since 2018 and have covered five of their past six games as conference underdogs. Let's also note that Tulsa head coach Phil Montgomery is a perfect 5-0 ATS as a double-digit underdog with rest and the Golden Hurricane easily covered the Vegas number in their lone trip to Nippert Stadium last year despite committing five turnovers.
Cincinnati is a run-first offense but the Bearcats are going to struggle to move the ball against a stout Tulsa defense that 0,9 yard per rush attempt better than average. Only one of seven opponents gained more than 151 rushing yards in a game against the Golden Hurricane and it's highly unlikely that Cincinnati will become the second foe to do so this season. Tulsa held potent attacks like Oklahoma State, Central Florida, and SMU to 26 points or less this season.

Tulsa defensive coordinator Joseph Gillespie employs a unique three-down look similar to the one used by Iowa State. Linebacker Zaven Collins has four interceptions (two returned for touchdowns), four sacks, 11.5 tackles for loss, a safety and a forced fumble, and is a legitimate national defensive player of the year candidate. Cincinnati does not own a win over a top-25 team and faces all the pressure to keep their perfect season alive.

With Tulsa standing at 11-2 ATS as a conference underdog of thirteen or more points and 7-0 ATS versus .800 or greater opposition, grab the points with the Golden Hurricane and invest with confidence.





ALL BASKETBALL PLAYS




Game: (603) Gonzaga at (604) Iowa
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 12:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Iowa +4.5 (-110)

Iowa plus the points






Game: (637) Mississippi at (638) Dayton
Date/Time: Dec 19 2020 2:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Dayton +3.5 (-110)

My math model favors Dayton by 0.50 points in this game so we are getting excellent line value with the Flyers. Dayton has played a significantly more difficult schedule as the Rebels have been racking up wins against the likes of Jackson State, UNC-Wilmington, and Central Arkansas. In fact, Mississippi has been a double-digit favorite in each of its four games this season, whereas the Flyers have been either underdogs or a pick in half of their contests in 2020.
Dayton is coming off one of the best seasons in program history (29-2 overall, 18-0 in conference) and returns several key players from that squad. Experience comes from starting seniors Jalen Crutcher (15.1 ppg), Ibi Watson (10.1 ppg), Rodney Chatman (7.7 ppg), and Jordy Tshimanga, who started his collegiate career at Nebraska. Watson leads the team in scoring with 19.8 points per game, while Tshimanga has been dominating the boards (8.5 rpg, 0.8 bpg).
With Dayton standing at 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a win, take the Flyers plus the points and invest with confidence.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bondi

5* Alabama
3* Tulsa
3* Oregon State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike McClure

OLE MISS @ DAYTON | 12/19 | 2:30 PM EST
DAYTON +3.5
ANALYSIS: The wrong team is favored in this matchup as my simulations make Dayton the favorite at home against Ole Miss. Dayton is good enough defensively to give Ole Miss just enough trouble to win this game. Take the points.

+89 2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB ATS PICKS
12:54 AM

UCLA @ OHIO ST. | 12/19 | 4:15 PM EST
OHIO ST. +2.5
ANALYSIS: My simulations like the value on Ohio State as +2.5 dogs against a very questionable UCLA squad. I make Ohio State -2.2 points better in this matchup despite not playing at full strength. Take the points.

+89 2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB ATS PICKS
12:31 AM

GONZAGA @ IOWA | 12/19 | 12:00 PM EST
IOWA +5
ANALYSIS: Gonzaga is taking a lot of early action here (a good amount of it sharp), but the simulations simply disagree with the current number at +5. If this somehow gets to +6 or greater I will for be adding to my position. I also like Iowa +5 or more in any teasers as you can get them +10 or greater in many spots. My simulations actually make Iowa -0.3 points better in this heavyweight matchup.

+89 2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB ATS PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 IOWA ATS PICKS
12:28 AM

GONZAGA @ IOWA | 12/19 | 12:00 PM EST
UNDER 170.5
ANALYSIS: I like the value on the Under 170.5 as my simulations suggest this total should only be 160 as both teams look to tighten up on the defensive end of the floor. Grab the Under.

+89 2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB PICKS
12:21 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GREAT LAKES SPORTS
NCAA football
4* Iowa St +6
3* Utah-11

NFL
3* Denver+6
3* Green Bay-9

NCAA
3* Iowa +3
3* Purdue -5
3* Cinn-2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GODFATHERLOCKS DECEMBER 19TH PICKS

(ENTIRE DAY. NO EMAIL AT 5:30PM)

9 PICKS TOTAL
NFL, NCAA FOOTBALL, NCAA BASKETBALL
4 TOP RATED 2000 UNIT PICKS
5 MEGA 1000 UNIT PICKS



*** Please make sure you read and view the picks CLEARLY. With games in NCAAF & NCAAB today, it’s important you know which league you’re betting on ***


NFL


TOP RATED 2000 UNIT PICK

DENVER BRONCOS +6



MEGA 1000 UNIT PICK

GREEN BAY PACKERS -8





NCAA FOOTBALL



TOP RATED 2000 UNIT PICKS


#1 - CLEMSON TIGERS -10


#2 - NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS +18.5


#3 - MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS +1




MEGA 1000 UNIT PICKS


#1 - OKLAHOMA SOONERS -6

#2 - FLORIDA GATORS +17.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Hilton - Gameday

3 - Ohio St -18
2 - Utah -10
2 - Clem -10
2 - Cinncy -14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Insider Sports Report

5* Missouri -1 over Mississippi
3* Buffalo/Denver under 49
3* Stanford +7 over UCLA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocketman Sports

CFB Best Bet

Clemson -10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LINE DRIVE SPORTS

5* Clem/ND over 59’
4* TexAM -13’
4* SanJose St. +7
4* Alabama -17
3’* ND +10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Picks Weekly
Saturday, December 19th 2020




NFL:
Buffalo -5 (-115)
Buffalo/Denver Under -49
Carolina/Green Bay Under -53 (-116)


NCAAF:
*Oklahoma -5 (-115)
*Clemson/Notre Dame Over +60 (-118)
Tulsa +14
San Jose St. +7 (-120)


NCAAB:
*Wright St. -5
Kentucky +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Spot Player

2* Texas A&M -13.5
2* Notre Dame +10
2* Alabama -17
2* Arizona State -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

charlie
clemson -9.5
irish under 61
alabama over 74

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

10 Carolina/Green Bay over 52
10 Buffalo -6.5
10 Buffalo/Denver over 48

[Istandfortheanthem]

Anybody get Paul Leiner highest rated 3000* for noon? Thank you in advance

[BigChub]

Burns cfb...Thank you in advance.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Leiner 3000 Over Oklahoma

[Can'tPickAWinner]

North Coast

4* Alabama -17
4* Utah -10.5
3* San Jose st +7
3* Penn st -15

Marquee

Notre Dame
Tulsa

4* Army Under 38
3* Clemson Over59.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan

CONFERENCE TITLE TRIPLE GAME OF THE YEAR

Alabama

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Worlds Worst Picker

Peabodys Picks

Notre Dame
Louisville

We Take
Clemson
Wisconsin

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

NFL 3* TEASER OF THE YEAR

Packers -1 with Colts -.5

3* Air Force ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PickersMx

Mushu
200 Dimes
Clemson Tigers -10

La Barba Pickers
150 Dimes
Alabama Crimson Tide -17

Lady Pickers
100 Dimes
Ole Miss -1

Pickers Crew Special Pick
150 Dimes
Cincinnati Bearcats -14

Free Pick 50 Dimes
Villanova -22

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach

10* College GOY

Tulsa +14 (-103)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steam Plays
Clemson -10
utah - UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SHELDON GRAHAM

Silver play - UNDER 74.5 - ALABAMA - FLORIDA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UnderDog

Stanford

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Docs Consensus

6* Alabama
6* Stanford

nfl
6* Green Bay
6* Buffalo

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive

football plays

300 on ND +10 1/2
250 on Cincy -14
250 on Oregon St +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports
Saturday's College Basketball Plays

2-Unit Play. #621 Take James Madison (+11) over East Carolina (1 p.m., Saturday, December 19)

I definitely don't buy into this ECU team as a heavy favorite. Perhaps I will view them differently in a sleeper-type role come American play, but the Pirates played their first legit opponent this season and lost to SMU by 15. This one is not a mismatch, and I think a five to seven-point margin is more accurate.

2-Unit Play. #625 Take Hofstra (+11) over St. Bonaventure (2 p.m., Saturday, December 19)

The Bonnies are going to be a big time contender in the A-10, but I like the points and a Hofstra team that knows how to win. I don't think it will be a blowout, and I see the Pride coming good enough to score 65-70 points and be in this game down the stretch.

2-Unit Play. #640 Take Purdue (+4.5) over Notre Dame (2:30 p.m., Saturday, December 19)

Notre Dame has played quality opponents. But the Irish lost to Michigan State by 10, to Ohio State by six and Duke by ten, and they only beat Kentucky by one. Purdue beat Ohio State, and so I am happy to take the Boilermakers in this one.

3-Unit Play. #657 Take Delaware (+3.5) over La Salle (4 p.m., Saturday, December 19)

The Blue Hens win this one outright. Delaware is simply the better team, no questions asked. La Salle is 2-4, and I don't rate this team whatsoever. Not going to overthink this one. CAA over A-10 outright.

5-Unit Play. #663 Take Buffalo (+11) over Syracuse (6 p.m., Saturday, December 19)

Buffalo can win this game outright. No way this SU team is this many points better than a Bulls team that is just as capable to score the basketball. Outside of the coach's son, casual fans couldn't name one player on this Orange team. That is stating this Syracuse team isn't an overly talented bunch. And in terms of this spread, quite overrated. This game will not be a blowout, and as I said, I think Buffalo can win this game. There is a much better chance this is a two or three possession game down the stretch than anything more. Back and forth contest into the mid 70s. Buffalo cash and push its in-state opponent in a competitive game.

3-Unit Play. #682 Take Stanford (-2.5) over Arizona (7 p.m., Saturday, December 19)

The Cardinal had their Pac-12 opener at USC postponded, so it gives them a chance to start league play with a win over Arizona in Santa Cruz. The Wildcats lost every big player from a season ago, so this one is newcomers vs. a veteran and proven Stanford team. I do think they should be favored, as a 3-2 record isn't as indicative for just how good the Cardinal can be this season. U of A has warmed up with a handful of soft teams, and so I expect a struggle here and their first loss of the season.

2-Unit Play. #687 Take Cal Poly (+15) over Loyola Marymount (9 p.m., Saturday, December 19)

Cal Poly isn't going to be good this year in terms of Ws and Ls. But the Mustangs can cover this game. Cal Poly has played other in-state opponents like Santa Clara, San Jose State and San Diego to single digit results. LMU has three of its four wins by close margins. I don't see an overly one-sided game here. Take the underdog.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone

3 Unit Play. Take #610 Elon +6.5 over UNC-Greensboro (1:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, Dec. 19)

UNC-G is putting up a lot of shots (65 per game), just not making many of them at under 40%. Elon plays at a slower pace (54 shots) and is more selective, connecting on 46%. Elon has enjoyed excellent success in the matchup and is 10-5 SU at home and is 20-6 ATS after two straight games giving up 9 or fewer offensive rebounds.

3 Unit Play. Take #622 East Carolina -10 over James Madison (1:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, Dec. 19)

James Madison plays host East Carolina in a nonconference tilt and it will be a matchup between a team looking to avenge its first loss of the season and another team happy to just get back into action after a long layoff. East Carolina got off to a great start to the season at 5-0. But in their first conference game of the season, the Pirates lost 70-55 to SMU. On the other side, James Madison has not played since Nov.29th because of Covid induced layoff. Expect the Dukes to be rusty and they are 3-14 ATS as an underdog since last year.

5 Unit Play. Take #676 St. Mary's -5.5 over Colorado State (8:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, Dec. 19)

Colorado State has a solid team and they are 2-0 for starters, but they have not faced anyone as good as Saint Mary's so far. The Gaels come in having won their last seven games in a row and they are also tough to beat at home. St. Mary's is doing what they always do and that is taking good shots and making a high percentage of them. Off the Gaels 80-75 non-cover win over Eastern Washington, they return with an increased defensive focus and are 15-6 ATS after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more and beat the Rams by 10 or more.

3 Unit Play. Take #680 Georgia +2 over Cincinnati (8:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, Dec. 19)

Cincinnati has not been the same since Mick Cronin left. John Brannen might be a fine coach, but the players are as not as tough-minded as they were under Cronin and Bob Huggins and that shows up on the defensive end. With the Bearcats 4-12 ATS in non-conference games since last year and 0-6 ATS in road games after failing to cover two of their last three against the spread, it's Georgia outright.

Nice bounce back sweep Friday to jump to 12-5 run, 70.5% the last 11 days. Also, my football package was released and for the year I'm up $5,090, the last 11 weeks in college and pro football, and will have 11 big plays over the next four days, including bowls and have 7-Unit Best Bet on Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

7 Unit Play Take #616 'under' 147 Wright State/Detroit (2:00pm est):

(147 is at Wynn and Draft Kings (https://wldraftkings.adsrv.eacdn.com/C.ashx?btag=a_301b_137c_&affid=82627&siteid=301&adid=137))

Wright State is considered the best team in the Horizon League coming into this season. They lost two starters from last year's team and they were their two best three point shooters who shot a combined 40% from behind the arc last season. The Raiders do have back their best defensive players from that squad though. One of those guys is arguably the best player in the conference in Loudon Love who's solid on both sides of the floor but he's a special defensive player. The Raiders have been ranked 1st or 2nd in defensive efficiency in the Horizon League each of the previous three years with Love manning the middle in those past three seasons. Wright State comes into this game currently ranked in the top 10 in the country in defensive effective field goal percentage allowed.

The University of Detroit under head coach Mike Davis has been a team that likes to shoot the three pointer, the problem with that is this year's team can't shoot especially after losing their best outside shooter from last season. In their first four games this year the Titans have hit just 28.9% of their triple tries. They did get their first win of the season in their last game and did so by slowing things down and relying on their defense, holding Western Michigan to their lowest scoring output of the season so far. I expect Detroit to struggle to score in this one especially down by the basket where Love is stationed so that means they are likely going to have to rely on three pointers which is an area of concern for them. Their best strategy here against a very good Wright State team should be to try and keep things close by slowing things down and shortening the game.

Play 'under' in this contest. I have my biggest 8u football play going on Sunday. I am a perfect 2-0 this year on 8u football plays. My top rated 7u and up selections in the NFL are 5-1 overall this year and I am ahead over 4k+ in profits combined in CFB and the NFl this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spread Investor


Bradley -11 —8pm ET
2 units

Backing this team again after they cashed for us Thursday on the 1H line. Miami Ohio just lost by 28 to Buffalo who Bradley would beat by double digits and they also lost by 24 to Wright State. Bradley’s a really good midmajor and a tournament team and has a size advantage, more talent, and a much better defense. Miami lost their best player Nike Sibande who transferred and they start two guards under 6 feet and Bradley has two guards at 6’4. Miami is bottom 40 in giving up offensive rebounds and Bradley is strong on the glass. Bradley went to the wire with Xavier in a 1 point loss as 10 point dogs. This is a team we will watch in March with a lot of balance and they have advantages on both sides of the ball. This should be another 15+ point win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Docs Sports

4 Unit Play. Take #608 Wisconsin -6.5 over Louisville (12p.m., Saturday, December 19 ESPN2) This is a late add game after Louisville could not play this game during the ACC/Big 10 Challenge. The Cardinals have been off since 12/1 and they have just played home game. They lost a ton of talent from last year and Wisconsin has everyone back. The Badgers are 7-0 ATS in their last 8 games played on Saturday.

6 Unit Play. Take #631 North Carolina -3 over Kentucky (2p.m., Saturday, December 19 CBS) If North Carolina can have any success in this game from the arc, they will win this game by double digits. Kentucky is a mess at the moment and will likely not make the NCAA Tournament come March. North Carolina is 5-2 ATS (1 push) int their last 8 games as a favorite. The favorite in this matchup has covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 matchups (1 push).

3 Unit Play. Take #679 Cincinnati -2 over Georgia (8p.m., Saturday, December 19 SECN) The Bulldogs have not played anyone this season, and this will be their toughest slate of the conference season. Georgia is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on Saturday. The Bearcats being favored on this true road games tells me they are the better team.

3 Unit Play. Take #682 Stanford -2.5 over Arizona (7p.m., Saturday, December 19 PAC12N) Would go higher if this were a true home game for Saturday, but instead they are playing this game in Santa Cruz. Arizona opened as the favorite, but the oddsmakers were not having it and now Stanford is favored. The Cardinal have more talent than do the Wildcats, and that might be the first time in over a decade that this has been the case. Arizona is 2-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games as an underdog. Stanford is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 Saturday games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo
5-Unit Play. Take #608 Wisconsin (-6) over Louisville (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 19)

Wisconsin hasn't played like a Top 15 team yet. I think that they will here. Louisville is not that good. They lost seven of their top nine players from last year's squad. This year they are starting a freshman and three sophomores and these guys have a lot of work to do. They should have lost to Seton Hall - blowing a big lead in the process - and they peaked in a blowout win over a very good Western Kentucky squad their last time out. Funny thing about that, though: their last time out was Dec. 1. These guys haven't played in 18 days. Coach Chris Mack said that ?90 percent? of his team had COVID. These guys haven't been practicing and won't be 100 percent. Now they are going on the road for the first time to take on one of the most experienced teams in the country. I think the Badgers will be a little more up for this game than the Cardinals and they should be in better form. If Louisville comes out and plays great after a three-week, coronavirus-infused layoff then so be it. But if the Badgers are as good as everyone thinks they are they would be able to handle the Cardinals at full strength. They really should be able to handle them with all the situational advantages they have in this spot.

2-Unit Play. Take #631 North Carolina (-3) over Kentucky (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 19)

Kentucky has lost four in a row. And they've lost to teams worse than UNC. North Carolina has been up and down, playing well at times and looking lost at times. I still think that they are a little further ahead than UK right now. Both teams have very talented freshmen. But Carolina has a few more veterans to lean on and that should make the difference here.

2-Unit Play. Take #646 Oregon (-23.5) over Portland (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 19)

Portland is a trash pile. Terry Porter is one of the worst college basketball coaches in the country and I will be stunned if his team doesn't get run out of the gym here. Portland is 5-1 this year. Three of their wins have come against D-II schools and one of those wins, against Northwest, was by just five points. This is by far the best team that they have played and I don't think it will go great. Oregon is still trying to find itself. Dana Altman is still trying to mesh all these transfers. Pac-12 play starts next week so this is the final tune-up. Altman is going to cut his guys loose and it should lead to a blowout.

1-Unit Play. Take #664 Buffalo (+11) over Syracuse (6 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 19)

This Syracuse team is all over the map. They beat Boston College by about 100 and then came back and barely held off Northeastern. They blew out Niagara and Rider but almost lost to Bryant. You really just don't know what you're going to get from these guys. Buffalo is not a walkover game. They have some experience and they have a very talented point guard in Jayvon Graves. I think the Orange let Buffalo hang around in this one and it should tuck in right under the number.

5-Unit Play. Take #671 Oakland (+6.5) over Illinois-Chicago (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 19)

I think that Oakland has a great chance to win this game outright. Greg Kampe can coach. He knew he was taking a step back this year and had a full-blown rebuild on his hand. He didn't go with the quick fix and a bunch of transfers and he's playing the long game. The Grizzlies are 0-7, but they have played one of the three or four toughest schedules in the country. Their last four games have come against Top 50 competition and they have gotten better every time. They took Michigan to OT and were within five of Oklahoma State with five minutes left. They also easily covered the spread while hanging around with Michigan State for about 25 minutes. Illinois-Chicago stinks. They are 3-2 but two of those wins were by four points or fewer and they are off back-to-back losses. They lost their four best players from last year's squad and this is a rebuild for them as well. Oakland is actually on a 4-1 ATS run and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games in this series. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five and the road team is 5-1 ATS. I think the Grizz find a way to hang around and I think that this will be a one-possession game on either side.

1-Unit Play. Take #676 St. Mary's (-5.5) over Colorado State (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 19)

I don't mind this Colorado State team. And I think that they are actually a year away from being very good. They have four starters back from last year. But that one they lost was a big one - literally and figuratively - in Nico Carvacho. I think my main issue with the Rams at this point is that they've only played one game against D-I competition. St. Mary's has played eight. They have won seven in a row. Colorado State is hitting the road for the first time and it's just a tough task to play against a Gaels team that has had a chance to get a lot more work in.

2-Unit Play. Take #679 Cincinnati (-2) over Georgia (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 19)

Cincinnati is off back-to-back losses and is off to a weak 2-3 start to the season. I think they are starting to feel the pressure a bit and they need to string something together. The Bearcats' last two losses were against Tennessee and South Florida - two teams better than Georgia - so it's not like they are giving away games to weak sisters. Georgia is 5-0 on the season but they have played absolutely no one. They haven't faced a single Top 150 opponent and they have generally been unimpressive while beating up teams like Florida A&M and Samford. This is Georgia's first real test and I don't know that this team, which lost six of its top nine players from last year, is up for it. The Bearcats are desperate and tested. Georgia is still pretty raw. Cincinnati will gut this one out.

7-Unit Play. Take #682 Stanford (-2.5) over Arizona (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 19)

This line hit the board with Arizona -1.5 and was immediately bet the other way. That's because Stanford is the better team here and they are going to prove it tonight. Stanford is a deep, experienced team that has a nice blend of talent and potential. I don't think that they have played their best game yet and I think that this is a great spot for them. Arizona has played five games against weak sisters, all at home. They really struggled with UTEP their last time out and needed to come from behind in the final few minutes to beat Eastern Washington. Arizona is a weak outside shooting team and this group also has little to no chemistry. This is basically a completely new team after losing eight of their top nine guys from last year. And without a regular preseason to coalesce this group is still learning to play together. Stanford, on the other hand, has four starters and the core of last year's team back together. Finally, Stanford has lost to Arizona 20 straight times. Twenty. Think about that. They haven't beaten the Wildcats since January of 2009. That's insane. Stanford finally brings the better roster to this contest, though, and they should make up for a decade of futility with a win here.

1-Unit Play. Take #7224 Temple (-6) over New Jersey Tech (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 19)

This is the first game of the season for both of these teams. Welcome to 2020. NJIT went 9-21 last year in the Atlantic Sun and they are outclassed in this one. Temple is in a clear rebuilding season and they aren't going to be competitive in the AAC. However, they are bigger, stronger and better than the Highlanders and they should be able to clear them out.

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #622 East Carolina (-6) over James Madison (1 p.m.) AND Take #626 St. Bonaventure (-6.5) over Hofstra (2 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #629 Western Kentucky (+10) over Alabama (2 p.m.) AND Take #7230 Vanderbilt (-6) over Radford (8 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #662 California (-6) over Cal-Northridge (5 p.m.) AND Take #665 UC-Santa Barbara (+9.5) over Pepperdine (6 p.m.)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
8-Unit Play. #679. Take Cincinnati -1.5 over Georgia (Saturday @ 8pm est)

Nice 2-1 day yesterday in CBB and 7 of 10 winning days in CBB. Let's take a bit of a step-out today and roll with Cincinnati. We like that Cincinnati comes off a loss in their first conference game to South Florida. It's a game honestly that Cincinnati should have never lost and they did which has to frustrate them and it is hard to imagine that a team that already lost their first conference game won't get up to face Georgia here. Cincinnati did beat a top 70 team in Furman this year to their credit and Georgia has not beat a top 200 team all year long so far. Cincinnati hung tight against Tennessee to their credit too who is an elite team and they were up by 4 points heading into the last half of that game and then fell short. Cincinnati has an elite defense, have plenty of upperclassmen and though Georgia is undefeated and their program is definitely on the rise with Tom Crean, I think the desperation with Cincinnati is obvious off a loss and frankly, they are the better team here. Georgia is outside the top 280 in 3 point shooting and outside the top 180 in turnovers with lesser competition whereas Cincinnati is a top 50 defense and with 4 upperclassmen I think Cincinnati is in the right spot here. Let's roll with Cincy today and we probably move back to 3 selections tomorrow in this very long season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lee Sterling
35 SJS
30 ND
25 Wash St, Mizzou

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Pipeline

100 CLEMSON

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Burns tulsa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

11th Hour

11th: NCAAB: 5-units 307213 UMBC -4.

11th: NFL, 6-units: 346 DEN+6. 6-units: 343 CAR+9.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White
WIZARD OF ODDS
YESTERDAY 6:10 PM

BUFFALO @ DENVER | 12/19 | 4:30 PM EST
DENVER +5
This is a situational play. Buffalo is coming off of wins at San Francisco and versus Pittsburgh on Sunday night, leaving Monday as a useless day. Buffalo needs one win to wrap up the division for the first time in 25 years. That is always easier said than done. The Bills will be playing in the high altitude on a short week. Denver has the better defense, and QB Drew Lock is coming off a career-best game.

+735 25-16-3 IN LAST 44 NFL PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 DEN ATS PICKS
+75 4-3 IN LAST 7 BUF ATS PICKS

Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
THU 12/17

BUFFALO @ DENVER | 12/19 | 4:30 PM EST
BUFFALO -6
The Bills are buffalo-ing through their schedule, with six outright wins in the last seven games. Their offense tells the tale, and QB Josh Allen and sensational WR Stefon Diggs must be salivating with the Broncos having lost four of its top CBs — three to injury, one to PED-related suspension. Super Bowl contenders spotting less than a TD to eliminated foes are irresistible. December-like temperatures in Denver would be no bother, given where the Bills call home.

+355 9-5 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS
+474 9-4-1 IN LAST 14 BUF ATS PICKS
+80 2-1 IN LAST 3 DEN ATS PICKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr bob nfl

opinion over denver/buff