Saturday 12/26/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis December 26, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, the Meadowlands has a 15-race post-holiday card with the 0.50 Early Pick 4 starting in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

2-My Pal Joe (8-1)-Qualifier appears okay on 12/12 and hasn't raced since 11/3 but does have 1 win in 3 Big M starts against similar. Joe has a 150.4 mark here and likes to race near the top of the stack. Should offer a price, if fires hot off the bench.
6-Put To Right (3-1)-Alagna trainee had an impressive win from the 10-hole on 12/5 and is back in at the same class. Probably beats this crew if races back to last effort but is only 4-27 lifetime and 1-5 at the Big M, so will include others.
7-Always And Again (7/2)-Drops in 3rd local start after facing tougher in last 2 quick miles. This colt was facing stakes company at HoP and fits well with crew. Likes to come off cover and pace should be solid, so could fly by late.

Race 7

1-Fizzing N (9/2)-Has been off since 11/7 and finished 2nd in a qualifier on 12/11 at Fhld in a sluggish 155.4 mile. Dunn steers and drops to a spot to shine. Has hit the board twice in 2 Big M starts with 1 picture. Should be a player if tight enough.
5-Blood Line (3-1)-This is my top choice, hasn't raced since 10/24 but had a nice qualifier here on 12/12. The Johnson barn is batting 25% in the last 30 days and 6-year-old has hit the board in 8 of 17 here with 3 wins. Should relish the company.

Race 8

1-Milady Denver A (10-1)-Ten-year-old is somewhat camera shy and this post may not help. But regular pilot, Leon Bailey does hit the board at a high percentage. Trusting the trip will be good, could be put in play and surprise at a solid price.
5-Stellenbosch (7/2)-Steps up after getting a close-up seat in last and could follow the same script tonight. Loses Zeron and Buter takes a spin. Has won 2 of 7 at the Big M and might make it 3 of 8 if new pilot provides a good steer.
6-Callmequeenbee A (3-1)-This is another HoP invader from the Cullipher barn. The results haven't been great so far for this type. But this mare held her own versus Open company and will look for a better try in 2nd East Rutherford start.
9-Pammy Jo (5-1)-Yonkers invader was cashing checks versus better, should offer a fair price and now Dunn will take a spin. Has enough gate speed to get a good seat and should be in the mix for 1st Big M victory in 5 attempts.

Race 9

2-Joey (3-1)-Comes off a sharp win against a softer group on 12/11 and then was scratched last week. David Miller does stick, post draw should help, and guessing will go off at higher price than the program odds.
4-Deltasun A (7/2)-Will toss last after a tough trip against a better crew. Previous start was a win after coming home in 56.1 off cover. This is 1st time Bartlett and could be posing if he provides a smooth journey in 4th start at the Big M.
7-Hill Of A Horse (8-1)-Did beat the NW14KL5 here on 9/11 with Allard in the bike. The same pilot will be back steering this Yonkers invader who was facing Open company. Looking for a quick pace and 5-year-old could stalk and roll by down the lane.

0.50 Early Pick 4

2,6,7/1,5/1,5,6,9/2,4,7
Total Bet=$36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 12/26/20 December 26, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Workout Report, National Day Makers, and Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies

*

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
*
*
Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


Full-Card Santa Anita Workout Analysis (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/workout-analysis-santa-anita-2020-12-26.pdf)


National Day Makers (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/DM201226.mp4)



RACE 1: Post: 11:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Sassyserb; 8-Rocking Redhead; 10-Hermaphrodite; 11-Shanghai Truffles

Forecast: A true grass grab bag ushers in the new season with several possibilities to consider in this nine furlong first-level allowance affair for fillies and mares over nine furlongs on grass. The R. Baltas-trained Rocking Redhead graduated in good style last month at Del Mar while stretching out for the first time and surely will try similar front-running tactics in an attempt to extend her range another furlong. The daughter of Hard Spun set legit fractions and kept on going to earn a strong number, so with another forward move she may be capable of winning right back at 6-1 on the morning line. Sassyserb is guaranteed a good ground-saving trip from her two-hole post position, has a prior win over the course and may make her presence felt from the top of the lane to the wire. She’s the “other” Baltas in the field but at 8-1 on the morning line deserves good consideration. Hermaphrodite, listed stakes-placed in several outings in France in 2019, made her U. S. debut off a long layoff last month at Del Mar and was a bit underwhelming when winding up a non-threatening fifth despite having a very hot pace that should have complemented her deep-closing style. Assuming she needed the race, the J. Sadler-trained mare can improve today, and with the switch to J. Rosario she should be included in rolling exotic play. Shanghai Truffles can be tossed in somewhere as well, though her extreme outside draw does her no favors. Twice successful over the Santa Anita lawn, she’s a grinding type that will appreciate this stretch out to a mile and one-eighth and has numbers that are solid for this level.
*
*
RACE 2: Post: 11:32 PT Grade: B+
Use: 2-Affable; 6-Wipe the Slate

Forecast: Affable displayed considerable promise in his debut last month at Del Mar when finishing an excellent second to Savile Row while earning a speed figure nine points better than par for this level, so the son of Flatter – purchased for $600,000 at the Timonium 2-year-old in training sale last spring – has a chance to graduate today and then go on to bigger and better things. Two nice workouts over the Santa Anita main track should have him primed and ready, and with F. Prat staying aboard the M. Glatt-trained juvenile is the logical morning line favorite at 8/5. Also worth consideration in rolling exotic play is the D. O’Neill-trained Wipe the Slate, a second-timer who had the misfortune of hooking B. Baffert’s latest monster Life Is Good last month at Del Mar and wound up a distant second, though still earning a nice number despite being beaten 10 lengths. The son of Nyquist adds blinkers today and shows a good recent gate work that indicates a forward move is likely.
*
*
RACE 3: Post: 12:04 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Defense Wins; 2-Hapi Hapi; 4-Alvaaro

Forecast: We’ll go three-deep in this restricted (nw-2) $16,000 main track miler while giving Defense Wins a slight edge on top. The 3-year-old was simply pitched too high when unplaced without mishap in a difficult entry-level allowance turf miler at Del Mar last month but he’s realistically spotted today and should snap back to good form with the class drop and the return to dirt. The son of Flatter sports a steady, healthy series of workouts in recent weeks over the local main track, and from his inside post the D. O’Neill-trained gelding should enjoy a good trip and have every chance. Hapi Hapi has produced rising speed figures and consistent form since being claimed by P. Eurton last summer at Del Mar, and with a prior win over the Santa Anita dirt track the son of Clubhouse Ride must be considered a major player. He’s always been a one-paced grinding type and needs to be as close to the early leaders throughout to be most effective. Alvaaro, a $16,000 R. Hanson claim, was a compromised by a slow start yet still rallied to finish a willing third in the same race Hapi Hapi exits. With a better break today, the son of Old Fashioned should be prominent throughout, and if he can manage to shake loose early to be the controlling speed, all the better.
*
*
RACE 4: Post: 12:36 PT Grade: A-
Use: 1-Whisper Not; 5-Some Like Strait

Forecast: Whisper Not showed plenty of promise in his U.S. debut when second to the tough, older veteran Shadow Sphinx in a fast, highly-rated first level allowance race at Del Mar last month, one that charts extremely well in this Grade-3 turf miler restricted to 3-year-olds. Drawn perfectly inside, training sharply at San Luis Rey Downs in the interim, and retaining J. Rosario, the English-bred colt is very likely to produce a significant forward move with that race behind him. Though the son of Poet’s Voice probably has enough early speed to be on the lead if that’s the chosen strategy, he also has the option of settling behind the leaders while saving ground and then kicking home when asked. At 5-1 on the morning line, the R. Baltas-trained colt offers exceptional value both in the win pool and in rolling exotic play. The likely favorite and one to beat is Smooth Like Strait, the Twilight Derby-G2 winner over the local lawn two races back and a narrow runner-up in the Hollywood Derby-G1 in his most recent outing. Fast on numbers and thoroughly genuine and consistent, the Midnight Lute colt must be used on the ticket as well, though our main punch based on price will go to Whisper Not.
*
*
RACE 5: Post: 1:06 PT Grade: C
Use: 5-Half Hoping; 8-Watchful Eye; 10-Great Curves; 11-Warren’s Memorable

Forecast: This fifth race is an inscrutable maiden $50,000 claiming sprint for state-bred 2-year-old fillies. Nothing would surprise, so use as many as you can afford to. Warren’s Memorable is comparatively slow on speed figures but at least she managed to finish second here during the fall meeting despite stumbling at the start and did so in such a manner to suggest she’ll enjoy today’s extra half furlong. Great Curves sports the always-dangerous maiden-to-maiden claiming angle and earned a number in her debut two runs back when rallying to be a distant fourth that charts quite well with this modest group. After being used on the pace and fading last time out, patient tactics likely will be employed today. Half Hoping, a first-timer from the M. Puype barn, has displayed a bit of ability in the morning and is a contender by default, while Watchful Eye finished third beaten less than a length at Golden Gate Fields last month while on or near the pace and could improve enough today to be competitive at 8-1 on the morning line.
*
*
RACE 6: Post: 1:37 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Tripoli; 8-Preaching Trainer; 12-Anaconda

Forecast: We like the route-to-sprint angle that Tripoli brings to this extended turf sprint for first-level allowance older horses and the fact that he’s already won going short over the local lawn makes him the one to beat. His inside draw guarantees a ground-saving trip, so from a stalking position and with room to rally into the lane the J. Sadler-trained son of Kitten’s Joy can justify a strong play at 6-1 on the morning line. However, in a highly contentious affair, a spread strategy in the rolling exotics, at least for big ticket players, must be considered. Although Anaconda will have to overcome an extreme outside draw, the R. Mandella-trained colt seems sure to return to top form after setting the pace and weakening under pressure when fourth in a very fast, highly-rated middle distance race at Del Mar last month. A visually pleasing winner in his debut over the local lawn in early November, the son of Pioneerof the Nile has trained sharply in recent weeks and projects to draft into a second flight stalking position outside and then have his chance from the quarter pole home. Preaching Trainer deserve some consideration as well, at least as saver. The C. Gaines-trained gelding had his momentum stymied when running into a roadblock in a similar event at Del Mar last month and wound up fifth, beaten two lengths, but with some pace to chase and good racing luck today he should be something of a late threat.
*
*
RACE 7: Post: 2:09 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Sharp Samurai; 8-Mucho Gusto

Forecast: Mucho Gusto is making his first start since finishing fourth in Saudi Arabia last spring and this race obviously isn’t the end all as the big money ($20 million) once again in the Saudi Cup down the road. The work tab looks good, especially his most recent bullet drill (6f, 1:12.4h) just six days ago, and the B. Baffert-trained colt has a history of winning off an extended layoff so if even if he’s not 100% cranked up the son of Mucho Macho Man certainly can still win. Sharp Samurai, always considered a turf specialist, looks to have found a home on dirt, having finished second in the Pacific Classic-G1 at Del Mar (behind Maximum Security) and then most recently winding up a highly-respectable third in the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile-G1. The veteran gelding has appeared especially sharp in recent works and looks clearly the best of the others with a legitimate chance to win should ‘Gusto come up a tad short. We’ll have tickets including both in rolling exotic play.
*
*
RACE 8: Post: 2:43 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Secret Keeper; 5-Finite; 8-Motivated Seller

Forecast: This year’s edition of the La Brea S.-G1 came up deep and strong with a number of legitimate contenders to consider. We’ve got it down to three main players, with Motivated Seller offering good value at 8-1 on the morning line. The lightly-raced daughter of Into Mischief won her first two career outings by herself and then lost little when dropping a photo to Merneith in the listed Fort Springs S. at Keeneland on Breeders’ Cup day. Today’s extended sprint distance should be perfect for her stalking style, and with another forward move from a comfortable outside draw the C. Brown-trained filly has a legit chance to pull off an upset. Finite is the logical top pick and one to beat. First or second in nine of 11 career starts, including an authoritative score in the Chilukki S.-G3 at Churchill Downs, the S. Asmussen-trained filly likes to settle, stalk and pounce, and as such owns the perfect style for this seven furlong affair. She’s fast on numbers and knows where the wire is. Secret Keeper can be included as well. She easily handled Merneith when they met at Del Mar last summer and then finished an excellent runner-up to subsequent Zenyatta S.-G2 winner Harvest Moon (five clear of the rest) in the Torrey Pine S.-G3. The daughter of Into Mischief was eliminated at the start and unplaced in the Raven Run S.-G2 at Keeneland in her most recent outing in a race that can be ignored.
*
*
RACE 9: Post: 3:17 PT Grade: B+
Use: 1-Red Lark; 8-Duopoly; 9-Sharing

Forecast: With just a cursory glance of the pp’s in this year’s edition of American Oaks-G1 it’s readily apparent that the field consists of several stalkers and deep closers but just one committed front-runner, Duopoly. And given her expected trip as the controlling speed, the daughter of Animal Kingdom will have every chance to wire the field under the assumption that her rapidly improving pattern will continue following her recent gate-to-wire score in the Winter Memories S. at Aqueduct last month. On pure numbers she’s a strong contender and recent works at Palm Meadows in Florida by the C. Brown-trained filly indicates she’s ready to take on this more difficult assignment. F. Prat picks up the mount and knows what needs to be done. Sharing is the likely choice and one to beat. Winner over the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf last year over the Santa Anita grass course, the daughter of Speightstown seems likely to settle into a stalking position outside and have every chance from the quarter pole home. Whether or not the G. Motion-trained filly truly wants 10 furlongs remains to be seen but given her consistently outstanding resume she’s a “must use” and the one to fear most. Red Lark looks like the most dangerous of the closers, and a faster-than-normal early pace (possible if Going to Vegas is sent from the bell to engage Duopoly) surely would enhance her chances. The winner of the Del Mar Oaks-G2 two runs back and a better-than-looked fourth (beaten less than two lengths) in the QEII-G1 at Keeneland in October, the Irish-bred filly will enjoy a ground-saving trip from the rail and then hopefully will find room to accelerate when the pressure is turned on.
*
*
RACE 10: Post: 3:51 PT Grade: X
Use: 3-Nashville; 4-Charlatan; 6-Independence Hall

Forecast: We’ll pass this race for wagering purposes using the three main contenders in our rolling exotics and instead simply enjoy good sport. This year’s edition of the Malibu S.-G1 could produce an Eclipse Award winner in the Sprint category, especially if the 6/5 morning line favorite, unbeaten Nashville, wires the field, just as he’s done in each of his three previous outings. Most recently the son of Speightstown won the listed Perryville S. on Breeders’ Cup Day, running considerably faster at every pole than the BC Sprint-G1 later in the day, and there are those who believe that if he’d been given the chance to run in that race the S. Asmussen-trained colt would have taken control and never looked back. Today he’ll have to negotiate an extra furlong while fighting off stalkers Charlatan and Independence Hall, two colts who also are unbeaten around one turn and extremely fast on speed figures. Charlatan winner of the nine furlong Arkansas Derby-G1 in dominating fashion when last seen in early May, was stopped on due to an ankle injury, but we know he can fire fresh and we know he loves the Santa Anita main track. His works are good, not breathtaking, but trainer B. Baffert has noted that his colt ran better than he worked last winter and spring and expects he’ll do the same in his first race back. As for Independence Hall, he fell short of his Derby dreams when it became apparent that the son of Constitution didn’t want to run long, and his comeback win against a salty group of tough stakes-quality older sprinters last month at Del Mar produced a blueprint on how he can upset the two favorites by capitalizing on a second flight trip from a cozy outside post. Clearly, Independence Hall will be the best price of the three so we’ll put him on top but include all three in our rolling exotics and enjoy one of the most intriguing editions of the traditional opening day feature in many years.
*
*
RACE 11: Post: 4:25 PT Grade: B+
Use: 2-Miss Extra; 9-Warren’s Showtime; 10-Annangel

Forecast: The nightcap is the Lady of Shamrock S., a listed affair over a mile on grass for 3-year-old fillies, a consolation event for those who were not quite accomplished enough to be invited to the American Oaks-G1 earlier on the program. It’s an excellent race in its own right and offers a bit of a price chance in Annangel, a very impressive winner in her U.S. debut at Del Mar in late October when leaving her moderate English form behind. In that first-level allowance event the R. Baltas-trained filly broke slowly from the rail, rushed up to establish the pace in hand and then held way gamely while proving uncatchable after coming home in 23 seconds flat. if she’s able to secure a similar trip today from her extreme outside post the daughter of Morpheus may take this field a very long way, so at 8-1 on the morning line she’s worth a gamble. Warren’s Showtime, a winner of four races from five career starts over the Santa Anita turf course, was below her best form when second in sprinting on dirt in the Betty Grable S. at Del Mar but today’s conditions – a mile on grass – is what she prefers so we’re expecting the daughter of Clubhouse Ride to step forward in a big way. She’ll likely settle in mid-pack and then turn it on when it matters. Miss Extra didn’t fire in her U.S. debut, the Del Mar Oaks-G1 in which she finished a non-threatening ninth of 10. but today adds Lasix and tackles easier, so the French-bred filly, a Group stakes winner overseas earlier this year, certainly should be given a second chance. Top grass rider U. Rispoli got to know her last time, stays aboard, and will have covered up and ready to quicken when the time is right.
*
*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday, December 26: Laurel Park Christmastide Stakes Day Picks December 23, 2020 | By Frank Carulli
Laurel Park's Winter Carnival of racing is officially scheduled for mid-February, but the track will offer a merry-go-round of stakes action this Saturday, Dec. 26. The nine-race card scheduled to begin at 12:25 EST features seven, $100,000 races -- spanning 6F to 1-1/8 miles -- and the $150,000 Grade III Allaire DuPont. Bettors can play daily doubles, 50-cent rolling Pick 3s and $1 Super Hi-5s throughout the day. Here's a few suggested plays:

BEST BET (RACE 5 @ 2:23PM ET, #1 DONTLETSWEETFOOLYA)

Something has to give in the 6F Willa On The Move Stakes as speedballs Dontletsweetfoolya and Malibu Mischief have combined for 10 consecutive wire-to-wire victories by a combined 52 lengths. DONTLETSWEETFOOLYA gets the nod, having turned the winning corner since adding blinkers. Keith Feustle, one of the track's astute chart-callers, noticed the 3-year-old filly wore different blinkers after her June 19 start when the winning streak began. If the speed falls apart, CLUB CAR is the likely beneficiary. She projects a perfect stalking trip from the outside -- a preferred path for many sprinters at the track last week -- for a barn that has a $5.90 ROI the last three years with the synthetic-to-dirt angle.

SPOT PLAY (RACE 6 @ 2:53PM ET, #3 TACO SUPREAM)

Trainer Damon Dilodovico sends out hard-hitting LAKI (10-29, $703k) in the $100,000 Dave's Friend Stakes, but don't sleep on his other entrant, TACO SUPREAM, who rallied against a strong rail bias to finish second two starts back, won his latest try and picks up top jockey Trevor McCarthy. Both runners will have SHARE THE RIDE to beat after he carried 133 pounds to victory in the Grade III Fall Highweight Handicap at Aqueduct last out and posted three triple-digit Beyers in four starts prior.

FEATURE RACE PICK - G3 ALLAIRE DUPONT STAKES (RACE 8 @ 3:53PM ET, #4 ERES TU)

ERES TU relaxed well in her second start off a 1-1/2-year layoff, took command with ease and won her first stakes race in a manner that suggests she can repeat in the $150,000, Grade 3 Allaire DuPont at 1-1/8 miles. Trainer Arnaud Delacour excels with runners coming off their top speed figure on dirt. Also of note: she defeated Lucky Stride, who finished ahead of ANOTHER BROAD (7-2 in today's race) in the G-III Shuvee Stakes back in the fall at Saratoga.

LONGSHOT STABS (RACES 3 & 7)

GUNS BLAZIN - 15/1 - (#1, race 3) draws the rail, appears to want longer and is out of the graded-stakes caliber dam House of Fortune ($989k). AIR TOKEN - 10/1 - (#3, race 7) doesn't figure to win, but he is a must use on gimmick wager tickets as trainer Jose Corrales is 8-27 the last 30 days with a 2.89 ROI. Both runners are double-digit odds on the morning line.

$100 BANKROLL BETS

RACE 2 (PICK 3): 3, 5 // 1, 2, 8 // ALL
COST: $24.00 for $0.50 base

RACE 5: $40 WIN #1 DONTLETSWEETFOOLYA // $15 EXACTA 1-9 // $5 EXACTA 1 - 3
COST: $60.00

RACE 7: $16 EXACTA 4-3
COST: $16.00

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Race of the Week: San Antonio Stakes at Santa Anita December 23, 2020 | By Jeremy Plonk
GRADE 2 $200,000 SAN ANTONIO STAKES AT SANTA ANITA
Saturday, December 26, 2020

The Lead:
Opening day Saturday at Santa Anita boasts 6 stakes races, 5 of them graded, including an epic showdown between 3-year-old sprinters Nashville and Charlatan in the Grade 1 Malibu. An all-stakes late pick five begins in Race 7 with the Grade 2 San Antonio, a major stakes steppingstone toward the Pegasus World Cup in January and the Santa Anita Handicap in March.

​Field Depth:
MUCHO GUSTO and COMBATANT have Grade 1 victories in signature races like the Pegasus World Cup and Santa Anita Handicap, respectively. MIDCOURT and SHARP SAMURAI both are Grade 2 winners and Grade 1-placed. EXTRA HOPE is a Grade 3 winner and Grade 1-placed. MUCHO GUSTO, SHARP SAMURAI and MIDCOURT have consistently held the strongest company lines in a high-class lineup.

Pace:
Rail-drawn TAKE THE ONE O ONE has a send-mentality. MUCHO GUSTO likely will be sharper early off a February layoff, and from the outside post, will be sent into a first-over press. Several want to sit in that third/fourth slot, including EXTRA HOPE, COMBATANT, MIDCOURT et al. The pace looks honest, but at 1-1/16 miles, don't expect it to melt down to deep closers.

Our Eyes:
MUCHO GUSTO can become Bob Baffert's seventh San Antonio winner and first since Hoppertunity went back-to-back in 2016 and 2017. His abbreviated 4-year-old season wasn't without a fat purse ledger. His Pegasus World Cup victory and fourth-place run in the Saudi Cup netted his connections $3.1 million. He won the Lewis, Barrera and Affirmed over the Santa Anita dirt as a 3-year-old in 2019. The nearly 10-month layoff into the San Antonio is of some obvious note, but he's worked right on cue for nearly 3 months for the comeback. The intermediate distance at 1-1/16 miles makes for a proper re-launch. Expect him to be on his game in this prep for a Pegasus World Cup defense on January 23.

Native Diver Stakes 1-2-3 finishers EXTRA HOPE, MIDCOURT and COMBATANT all re-match from their November 21 tussle at Del Mar. EXTRA HOPE wired that day with an aggressive ride from Juan Hernandez, taking advantage of a wild pace and keeping MIDCOURT at bay late. COMBATANT lost margin in the stretch for the seventh straight race while not making a dent from third. MIDCOURT was third in this race a year ago against a softer bunch. Of this trio, EXTRA HOPE appears to be doing best right now.

SHARP SAMURAI has been rock-solid from miles on dirt and turf to a classic mile and one-quarter on dirt. While there was no catching Knicks Go in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile last out, arguably SHARP SAMURAI was second-best when missing the place dough by a nose following a troubled trip. The horse who edged him, Jesus' Team, already has returned to win the Claiming Crown Jewel. SHARP SAMURI has 20 in a row in the superfecta, as trustworthy an animal as you'll find in just about any situation.

IDOL will be the X-factor after back-to-back wins at Churchill Downs. He comes west for trainer Richard Baltas for the first time and makes his stakes debut. He's trained like a good horse at Del Mar and Santa Anita since his November arrival. The Curlin colt has been fast enough to win sprinting as well as routing 1-3/16 miles. The distance should fit in his crosshairs nicely. His long stride looks outstanding on video at XBTV in the morning.

Most Certain Exotics Contender: MUCHO GUSTO is 12-for-12 in the superfecta lifetime and has won all 3 starts at Santa Anita.

​Best Longshot Exotics Contender: TAKE THE ONE O ONE will reduce all the variables will rail speed. He held for the bottom of the superfecta in the Awesome Again Stakes at 59-1 against a slightly tougher cast. If a couple chasers lose steam and a couple of closers don't fire, you can see this one hanging on for a share.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll): $40 exacta MUCHO GUSTO over IDOL ($40). $60 daily double MUCHO GUSTO to sharp-training stablemate MERNEITH in Race 8.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Fair Grounds - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 Pseudonym
Has some room to bounce back as she moves over to the turf again, where she started her career with a trio of improving efforts before some dull tries on the synthetic footing. She's quick enough to find a good spot tracking the pace.


#7 I Hear You
Seems like the one to beat as she comes out of some pretty tough spots in Kentucky, but I wouldn't want too short a price in a race that might be more competitive than the 8/5 ML here would indicate.


#6 Ginny B
Has turned in a couple of decent turf efforts that would stack up well here, but she'll need to bring her very best on the rise. Gimmick price player?


Race Summary
Pseudonym might be the right one to beat the ML chalk here, as she owns some solid back turf form and might get a decent go of things from off the splits.


Fair Grounds - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#5 Pixelate
Has been in with some better groups than he's going to find here, and he was too far back last out in the Bryan Station while forward players dominated the race.


#10 Telephone Talker
Can't really argue much with the overall form, and he has now turned in two really nice starts with winners after finally breaking through the maiden ranks.


#2 Bodecream
Reliable type should land a great spying trip, and like the top choice he has a bit of class to him that some others in here lack.


Race Summary
Pixelate has knocked heads with some tough 3yo turfers this year, and he's better now than he was when beaten by Bodecream earlier this year.


Fair Grounds - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#5 Caramel Latte
Graduated nicely in the first local run, and her tactical pace will have her in the mix again on the hike to try winners for the first time.


#6 Mandoline Star
She's probably capable of something a bit better this time around with that last one under her belt, and another good tracking trip should be in store today.


#9 Dance Away
Blinkers on for this one after a good, rallying finish with similar last time out, and her dirt form has proven to be pretty reliable.


Race Summary
Caramel Latte should be able to get a good run of things from near the top, and a repeat of her last would make her a handful with these.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Meadowlands - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#7 BRACKEN STORM A
Never better, second to tiger in latest.


#1 DE LOS CIELOS DEO
Exits preferred company, draws rail, nearing $500k.


#9 HARAMBE DEO
Fits condition well, early position the key from post 9.


Race Summary
Bracken Storm A, first or second in five consecutive starts since November, was no match for a 1:48.4 winner but could reward his loyal backers at a better price in this spot.


Dayton Raceway - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#2 CASS DELIGHT ROCK
Taken to upset off improved try.


#5 WHISKEY FRISKIE
Drops, gets Miller, projects ideal trip.


#3 SNOWBALL'S ROMEO
Good first gear but 1-31 this year.


Race Summary
Cass Delight Rock held okay through :56 middle half before tiring in an improved effort. He's worth a price shot as he takes aim at a $50k season.


Cal-Expo - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#3 SIN MACHQUEEN
Got away easy on lead, accelerated when needed in stretch.


#6 CRUSIN FOR YOU
Seven wins this year, gets class relief, offers some value, stands 316-6-7 this year.


#2 TIMETOPLAYTHEGAME
Troubled favorite last week, knows how to win.


Race Summary
Sin Machqueen controlled the pace and pulled away from the second favorite through a :27.3 final quarter to repeat. Can't go beyond her in this spot, so play 3-2 and 3-6 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Santa Anita - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#3 Extra Hope
Has rounded into his best form for Richard Mandella and comes in off a gate-to-wire score in the G3 Native Diver at Del Mar; is 3 of 5 over this strip.


#8 Mucho Gusto
Has been off since February, when he was fourth in the Saudi Cup, and a month earlier he won the Pegasus World Cup Invitational. Never runs a bad one, and the time off he had gives others a chance here.


#5 Combatant
Won the G1 Santa Anita Handicap and was third in the Native Diver; doesn't win many but is having a great season and can get a piece of it.


Race Summary
Extra Hope has the most speed, can get comfortable on the front end and could have the answer when challenged in the stretch. He's never been better.


Santa Anita - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#5 Finite
Is currently doing some of her best running and comes off a sharp score at Churchill; turns back from a mile to seven furlongs and can close with strong energy.


#2 Merneith
Goes for her third straight win has turned into a top-flight sprinters among distaffers; overcame a bad trip at Keeneland last time and should be strong at seven furlongs.


#8 Motivated Seller
Was in the mix from the start and just missed vs. Merneith at Keeneland; is within a neck of being three for three in her career.


Race Summary
Finite has early speed to stay within range of any filly and has developed a good closing move as well; her best gets her the victory.


Santa Anita - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#3 Nashville
Would be a surprise to no one if he won today but the competition gets better with each of his starts. He won the Perryville on the Breeders' Cup undercard at Keeneland but probably would've won the Breeders' Cup Sprint had he been pointed to that race instead He'd only had two starts but the route he took was probably the choice most trainers would've taken. He looked like he could be the fastest horse in the world last time and we get to see what he does vs. Grade 1 rivals.


#4 Charlatan
Was disqualified after an easy win in the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby; has been clearly in front at the wire of all three races, he's at his home track and will come up big again.


#1 Collusion Illusion
Didn't really run a jump in the BC Sprint and can probably get back to good form. He won the Laz Barrera and Bing Crosby back to back, and those usually come up tough.


Race Summary
Nashville has dominated his competition and faces what should be his toughest test to date. The strong feeling here is that he'll remain unbeaten.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan Event: (200029) Crystal Palace at (200030) Aston Villa
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: December 26, 2020 10AM EST
Play: Aston Villa -109
PLAY: ASTON VILLA ML -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Prez Event: (457) Tampa Bay Buccaneers at (458) Detroit Lions
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: December 26, 2020 1PM EST
Play: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -10.0 (+105)
The inconsistent Tampa Bay Buccaneers confront Week 16 against a consistent Detroit Lions troupe. The one constant of Tom Brady and his Bucmates is their slow starts, first-quarter laziness. Tom Terrific and the Tampa offense have been outscored an average of three points in the first stanza, 32 points in total through 16 games. For the better part of a decade, the Lions have been consistently bad throughout the regular season.
Since the National Football League split into eight divisions, 2002, the Lions have been easy-money to finish 3rd or 4th in the four-team division, the NFC North. In eighteen seasons, 2002-2019, Detroit has closed the regular season in 3rd or 4th place 14 times. The other four seasons found the Lions fishing 2nd.
Tampa has two regular-season games remaining in the 2020 campaign. They need only to win one of their remaining two games with Detroit this weekend followed by a Week 17 date with the Atlanta Falcons. The more talented Buccaneers have been consistent against the number in the last decade. Tampa is 0-6-1 ATS on Saturdays and the Bucs are a steady 1-8 ATS in their second or more consecutive away from home. And Detroit is 10-2 ATS in their head-to-head battles with the Buccaneers and overall the Lions are a very profitable 8-2 ATS on Saturdays.
As difficult as it is to ignore the Buccaneers' history with the Lions and know that who Tampa used to be is not who they are today. And I am playing Tampa -10 in this NFC Game of the Day.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia Event: (777) Robert Morris at (778) IPFW
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: December 26, 2020 7PM EST
Play: Total Over 137.0 (-117)
Both Robert Morris and Purdue-Fort Wayne are debuting in the Horizon League, coming over from solid runs in the Northeast Conference and Summit League, respectively. The Colonials actually won the NEC in March but got their bubble burst due to COVID-19 but have a few key vets back. They've given up 85 points to Bowling Green and Marshall in consecutive games and should again run into a team that wants to shoot it and run whenever possible in a Mastadons team that is also playing only their fourth game. Both teams will want to debut with a win, so don't expect either Andrew Toole or Jon Coffman to quit on this one. We should see game extension deliver the high side here. Ride the over for this FREE winner.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oskeim Sports Event: (283) Liberty at (284) Coastal Carolina
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: December 26, 2020 7PM EST
Play: Liberty +7.0 (-110)
Liberty's lone loss was by one point to an 8-3 North Carolina State squad and the Flames finished the regular season with an 8-2 ATS record, including going a perfect 3-0 ATS as an underdog. Liberty defeated Virginia Tech in Blacksburg and possesses a defense that ranks higher in several key metrics. Head coach Hugh Freeze is 5-1 ATS in bowl games, including leading the Flames to a 23-16 upset win over Georgia Southern as five-point underdogs last year.
Freeze is a profitable 10-5 SU and 12-3 ATS as an underdog of eight or fewer points, including 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS versus an opponent entering off a win. Finally, Sun Belt Conference bowl favorites that won eight or fewer games the prior season are a money-burning 2-12 ATS all-time, including 0-7 ATS versus opponents that allow fewer than 28 points per game. Grab the points with Liberty as Oskeim Sports' Free Cure Bowl Winner!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Ligs Event: (461) Miami Dolphins at (462) Las Vegas Raiders
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: December 26, 2020 8PM EST
Play: Miami Dolphins -3.0 (+100)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AAA Sports (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/aaa-sports) - NCAAF - Sat, Dec 26 at 3:30 PM
AAA'S FREE WKU-GA STATE WINNER Western Kentucky vs Georgia State
Western Kentucky +4 (-108) (BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=220&des=4&AffUrlID=1314&LandingPageID=1))

This is a free play (1*) on WESTERN KENTUCKY Kudos to WKU for even making it to a bowl. Certainly, postseason prospects did not appear strong when the Hilltoppers were 2-6. They also opened 0-7 ATS! But they closed the regular season with three straight victories and he we are. We like them plus the points vs. Georgia State in the LendingTree Bowl as WKU brings in one of the nation's best pass defenses at only 170 yards/game allowed. As an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points, the Hilltoppers are 5-1 ATS L6. When this game kicks off, it will have been almost a full month since Georgia State played a game. WKU is 4-2 in bowls including a win last year. Play on WESTERN KENTUCKY

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/doc-sports) - NCAAF - Sat, Dec 26 at 3:30 PM
Doc's NCAA Bowl College Football Free Play Western Kentucky vs Georgia State
Western Kentucky +4.5 (-108) (BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=220&des=4&AffUrlID=1314&LandingPageID=1))

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #287 WKU Hilltops over Georgia State Panthers (3:30p.m., Saturday, December 26 ESPN) LendingTree Bowl The Hilltoppers were one of the most disappointing teams in the country early in the season. They brought back talent and experience but were not competitive early, losing 6 of their first 8 games. They won three straight games to close out the regular season and I believe they are the better team in this matchup. Georgia State finished strong as well, but I just do not believe that they have the same talent as does WKU. The Hilltoppers are 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games played during the month of December. The Panthers are 3-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against teams with a losing record. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Football card highlighted by our Bowl Game of the Year and strong college and NBA daily plays.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/sean-murphy) - NBA - Sat, Dec 26 at 5:05 PM
Sean Murphy's Saturday NBA Winner Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies
Atlanta Hawks +1 (-105) (BetOnline (https://record.commissionkings.ag/_mflJQWEiC-BqkvbhkiKqDGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/))

Saturday NBA Free play. My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over Memphis at 5:05 pm et on Saturday. We won with the Hawks in their season-opening blowout win over the Bulls in Chicago on Wednesday and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with the same play as Atlanta heads to Memphis on Saturday. The Hawks project as a potential breakout team in the Eastern Conference this season with Trae Young already a bonafide star and Cam Reddish among others on their way to similar status. This is a tough matchup against a Grizzlies squad that will be eager to bounce back from a tough season-opening loss to the Spurs. With that being said, I'm not sure Memphis has a lot of upside here after Ja Morant went off for 44 points last time out. Look for the Hawks to do a better job of containing Morant and ultimately move to 2-0 on the season. Take Atlanta (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oskeim Sports (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/oskeim-sports) - NCAAF - Sat, Dec 26 at 7:30 PM
OSKEIM SPORTS' FREE CURE BOWL WINNER Liberty vs Coastal Carolina
Liberty +7 (-105) (BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=220&des=4&AffUrlID=1314&LandingPageID=1))

Liberty's lone loss was by one point to an 8-3 North Carolina State squad and the Flames finished the regular season with an 8-2 ATS record, including going a perfect 3-0 ATS as an underdog. Liberty defeated Virginia Tech in Blacksburg and possesses a defense that ranks higher in several key metrics. Head coach Hugh Freeze is 5-1 ATS in bowl games, including leading the Flames to a 23-16 upset win over Georgia Southern as five-point underdogs last year. Freeze is a profitable 10-5 SU and 12-3 ATS as an underdog of eight or fewer points, including 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS versus an opponent entering off a win. Finally, Sun Belt Conference bowl favorites that won eight or fewer games the prior season are a money-burning 2-12 ATS all-time, including 0-7 ATS versus opponents that allow fewer than 28 points per game. Grab the points with Liberty as Oskeim Sports' Free Cure Bowl Winner!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/jim-feist) - NCAAF - Sat, Dec 26 at 7:30 PM
Jim Feist's FREE Winner, Sat, December 26 Liberty vs Coastal Carolina
Liberty vs Coastal Carolina Over 59.5 (-108) (BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=220&des=4&AffUrlID=1314&LandingPageID=1))

Reason: Coast Carolina Chanticleeers have been the Cinderella team of 2020. From their starting win to their big win over BYU, this 11-0 team and nationally ranked club might have expected a bit better than today's Cure Bowl against Liberty. This game was scheduled late in the regular season before it had to be cancelled due to Covid related issues. Despite their 11-0 record and big win over BYU, it just wasn't enough in the eyes of the selection committee to put them in a New Year's day playoff bowl. Liberty also had a great season, their lone loss coming at NC State 14-15, a game they could have easily won. Both these teams are very good and this should not only be a great game, but one that I see coming down to the wire. I also expect both these offenses to get plenty of points. Look for a high scoring game here. Your free play will be on the OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al McMordie (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/al-mcmordie) - NCAAF - Sat, Dec 26 at 7:30 PM
BIG AL's FREE LIBERTY/COASTAL CAROLINA WINNER Liberty vs Coastal Carolina
Liberty +7 (-105) (BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=220&des=4&AffUrlID=1314&LandingPageID=1))

At 7:30 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Liberty Flames + the points over Coastal Carolina. The Chanticleers are undefeated, after capping their 11-0 season with a 42-38 victory two weeks ago against Troy. But the Chanticleers didn't cover the inflated number of 12 points in that game. And I don't think they will cover this number either. Liberty almost went unbeaten, as it fell to ACC member NC State, 15-14, in Raleigh. But the Flames covered the 4-point spread in that game, and have covered seven in a row, overall. Liberty 9-1 straight-up this season, and is 20-7 ATS its last 27 in the underdog role. Additionally, NCAA Bowl single-digit underdogs, with a .900 (or better) win percentage, have cashed 59% over the last 41 years if they give up less than 21 ppg on defense. Take Liberty + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 16

Saturday, December 26

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (9 - 5) at DETROIT (5 - 9) - 12/26/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
DETROIT is 152-193 ATS (-60.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
DETROIT is 51-75 ATS (-31.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 9) at ARIZONA (8 - 6) - 12/26/2020, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 3-2 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (9 - 5) at LAS VEGAS (7 - 7) - 12/26/2020, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MIAMI is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
MIAMI is 45-20 ATS (+23.0 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 59-87 ATS (-36.7 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 86-116 ATS (-41.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 86-116 ATS (-41.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 39-69 ATS (-36.9 Units) in December games since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 37-64 ATS (-33.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 16

Trend Report

Saturday, December 26

Tampa Bay @ Detroit
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Detroit's last 13 games at home
Detroit is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay

San Francisco @ Arizona
San Francisco
San Francisco is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
Arizona is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco

Miami @ Las Vegas
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
Miami is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Las Vegas's last 7 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

457TAMPA BAY -458 DETROIT
DETROIT is 22-49 ATS (-31.9 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season since 1992.

459SAN FRANCISCO -460 ARIZONA
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after a road upset loss since 1992.

461MIAMI -462 LAS VEGAS
MIAMI is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) with <=6 days rest in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 16

Saturday’s games
Buccaneers (9-5) @ Lions (5-9)
— Buccaneers won last two games, scoring 26-31 points.
— Last four games, Bucs converted 29-60 third down plays.
— Bucs won last four road games, scoring 36.3 ppg.
— Tampa Bay is 6-4 ATS in last ten games as road favorites.
— Tampa Bay is 9-0 when it scores 25+ points, 0-5 when it does not.
— Last seven games, Bucs were outscored 119-61 in first half.

— Lions allowed 27+ points in seven of its last eight games.
— Detroit already has an interim HC; they fired the special teams coach Monday
— Lions are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games.
— Lions are 7-12 ATS in last 19 games as home underdogs, 1-3 TY.
— Detroit scored 27.0 ppg the last four weeks.
— Five of last seven Lion games went over the total.

— Road team won six of last seven series games.
— Detroit won four of last six series games last meeting was in 2017.
— Bucs won last three visits to Detroit, scoring 33.3 ppg.

49ers (5-9) @ Arizona (8-6)
— 49ers lost six of their last seven games SU.
— 3rd-string QB Beathard starts here; ex-Cardinal Rosen is new backup.
— SF is 5-16 SU in last 21 games Garoppolo didn’t play.
— 49ers allowed 20 or fewer points in their wins, 34.0 ppg in their losses.
— 49ers turned ball over nine times in last three games (-7)
— In last seven games, opponents started 13 drives in SF territory (-9)

— Arizona won last two games, scoring 26-33 points.
— Cardinals covered twice in their last seven games.
— Arizona can clinch a playoff spot with a win here.
— Redbirds are 7-12 ATS in last 19 games as home favorites, 2-3 TY.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight Cardinal games.
— Arizona trailed at halftime in nine of its 14 games.

— 49ers have been hunkered down in Arizona for the last month.
— Cardinals won nine of last 11 series games; they won 24-20 at SF in Week 1
— Redbirds ran ball for 180 yards in Week 1, converting 7-14 on third down.

Dolphins (9-5) @ Las Vegas (7-7)
— Dolphins won eight of their last ten games.
— Dolphins covered nine of their last ten games.
— Miami is 2-5 this season when they allow more than 17 points.
— Last five years, Miami is 2-2 ATS as a road favorite, 1-1 TY.
— Dolphins have 16 takeaways in last seven games (+9)
— Five of their last seven games stayed under the total.

— Las Vegas lost four of last five games, giving up 36 ppg.
— Raiders are 2-5 SU at home, beating Saints/Denver.
— Raiders turned ball over 11 times in last four games (-7)
— Las Vegas is 7-7 ATS in last 14 games as a home dog, 2-2 TY.
— Over is 11-3 in Raider games this season.
— Last three games, Las Vegas allowed 19 TD’s on 49 drives.

— Miami won six of last seven series games.
— Dolphins won five of last six trips to Oakland; last visit there was 2010.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 16
Bruce Marshall

Week 16 of the NFL regular season will offer up four straight days of betting action, starting on Christmas (Dec. 25) and ending on Monday, Dec. 28.

We've identified betting trends and angles for all of the 16 matchups.

Also, we have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Saturday, Dec. 26

Tampa Bay at Detroit
Buccaneerss “over” 12-3 last 15 away from Raymond James.
Lions “over” 5-1 at home in 2020.
Detroit also “Over” 11-2 last 13 at Ford Field since early 2019.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

San Francisco at Arizona
Home game (sort of) for both!
Niners 10-5 vs. spread last 15 as visitors.
Cardinals have covered last two this year after five straight spread losses.
Arizona has played SF pretty tough (5-0-1 last six vs. spread).
Cards 11-7-1 “under” since late 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Cards, based on series trends.

Miami at Las Vegas
After losing to Chargers, Raiders now 9-17-3 vs. spread in second halves of season since 2017.
Las Vegas also “over” 10-3-1 in 2020.
Dolphins on 8-2 SU, 9-1 spread run last 10 this season.
Miami now 20-6 last 26 on board since early 2019.

Tech Edge: Dolphins and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gridiron Angles - Week 16
Vince Akins

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:
Matchup: Atlanta at Kansas City

-- The Falcons are 10-0-1 ATS (14.32 ppg) since Dec 21, 2014 as a dog off a game as a dog where they allowed at least 24 points.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:
Matchup: Denver at L.A. Chargers

-- The Chargers are 0-13-1 ATS (-10.68 ppg) since Dec 22, 2018 coming off a game where they gained at least 367 yards.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:
Matchup: N.Y. Giants at Baltimore

-- The Ravens are 10-0 ATS (11.80 ppg) since Nov 25, 2018 coming off a home win where Lamar Jackson completed at least 60% of his passes.

NFL O/U OVER TREND:
Matchup: Tampa Bay at Detroit

-- The Lions are 12-0-1 OU (9.42 ppg) since Sep 29, 2019 at home.

NFL O/U UNDER TREND:
Matchup: Indianapolis at Pittsburgh

-- The Steelers are 0-11-1 OU (-5.54 ppg) since Oct 01, 2015 as a dog coming off a game where they gained less than 20 first downs.

NFL CHOICE TREND:
Matchup: Miami at Las Vegas

-- The Dolphins are 10-0-1 ATS (8.59 ppg) since Dec 23, 2012 as a favorite when they covered by at least six points last game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Bowl Week

Trend Report

Saturday, December 26

Western Kentucky @ Georgia State
Western Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 2-8-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Georgia State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia State's last 10 games
Georgia State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Louisiana-Lafayette @ Texas-San Antonio
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 8 games
Texas-San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas-San Antonio's last 8 games
Texas-San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Liberty @ Coastal Carolina
Liberty
Liberty is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Liberty is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Coastal Carolina is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Bowl Games

Dec 26

First Responder Bowl, Dallas
Louisiana (9-1) vs Texas-San Antonio (7-4)
— Louisiana won its last six games, scoring 38.2 ppg.
— ULL’s only loss was 30-27 at home to Coastal October 14.
— Cajuns won all six road games, also scoring 38.2 ppg.
— Cajuns have 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Louisiana has 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cajuns have a senior QB with 28 career starts.
— Louisiana is 3-5 ATS as a favorite TY, 2-4 when laying double digits.
— In its history, ULL has won five of seven bowl games.

— UTSA coach Traylor tested positive for COVID, will likely miss this game.
— Roadrunners won their last three games, scoring 41.3 ppg.
— UTSA ran ball for 229+ yards in five of its seven wins.
— Roadrunners have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— UTSA has 67 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Roadrunners have a junior QB with 15 career starts.
— UTSA ia 4-2 ATS when getting points this season.
— UTSA’s only previous bowl game was a 23-20 (+9) loss at New Mexico in the New Mexico Bowl four years ago.

LendingTree Bowl, Mobile, AL
Western Kentucky (5-6) vs Georgia State (5-4)
— WKU won its last three games; they allowed 11.8 ppg last four games.
— Hilltoppers held five of last five opponents under 310 TY.
— Hilltoppers have 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— WKU has 102 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hilltoppers’ senior QB has started 18 games, 7 of them at Maryland.
— WKU is 2-3 ATS this year, in games with a single digit spread.
— Hilltoppers scored 38-37 points in last two games, only times this year they scored more than 24 points.
— WKU won four of its last five bowl games.

— Georgia State scored 31+ points in seven of nine games.
— Georgia State its 0-2 this season scoring fewer than 31.
— Panthers won three of their last four games.
— GSU has 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Panthers have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Georgia State’s redshirt freshman QB has started nine games.
— Panthers are 4-2 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
— Georgia State lost two of its three bowls; they were underdog in all three.

— Georgia State (+6.5) upset WKU 27-17 in the Cure Bowl, three years ago.

Mortgage Cure Bowl, Orlando
Liberty (9-1) vs Coastal Carolina (11-0)
— Liberty’s only loss was 15-14 at NC State; they had a FG blocked at the end.
— Flames scored 30+ points in eight of ten games.
— Liberty beat two ACC teams (Syracuse/Virginia Tech).
— Flames have 5 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Liberty has 96 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Liberty’s junior QB is an Auburn transfer; he has started 10 games.
— Flames are 3-0 ATS as an underdog this season.
— Liberty (+5) beat Georgia Southern 23-16 in this bowl LY, their first-ever bowl.

— Coastal won its last two games by total of nine points.
— Chanticleers ran ball for 236+ yards in four of last six games.
— Coastal has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Chanticleers have 109 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Coastal’s freshman QB has 23 TD passes, two INTs.
— Chanticleers are 7-0 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
— This is Coastal Carolina’s first-ever bowl game.

— These teams were supposed to play last month, but Liberty had COVID issues and the game cancelled.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

761KENTUCKY -762 LOUISVILLE
LOUISVILLE is 48-73 ATS (-32.3 Units) in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game since 1997.

763YOUNGSTOWN ST -764 CLEVELAND ST
CLEVELAND ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=42% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

763YOUNGSTOWN ST -764 CLEVELAND ST
Dennis Gates is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=42% of their shots (Coach of CLEVELAND ST)

765OHIO ST -766 NORTHWESTERN
NORTHWESTERN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds in the last 3 seasons.

767HOUSTON -768 UCF
UCF is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

769WI-GREEN BAY -770 WRIGHT ST
WRIGHT ST is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% in the last 3 seasons.

771INDIANA -772 ILLINOIS
ILLINOIS are 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

773VIRGINIA -774 GONZAGA
GONZAGA is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

777ROBERT MORRIS -778 IUPU-FT WAYNE
ROBERT MORRIS are 22-8 ATS (13.2 Units) after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

779OAKLAND -780 DETROIT
OAKLAND is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, December 26

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENTUCKY (1 - 5) at LOUISVILLE (5 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

YOUNGSTOWN ST (4 - 1) at CLEVELAND ST (2 - 3) - 12/26/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND ST is 3-1 against the spread versus YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND ST is 3-1 straight up against YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO ST (7 - 1) at NORTHWESTERN (5 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-1 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-1 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (6 - 0) at UCF (3 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-1 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WI-GREEN BAY (0 - 6) at WRIGHT ST (4 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WRIGHT ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
WRIGHT ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WI-GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
WRIGHT ST is 3-2 straight up against WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (5 - 3) at ILLINOIS (6 - 3) - 12/26/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 122-164 ATS (-58.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ILLINOIS is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
INDIANA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA (4 - 1) vs. GONZAGA (6 - 0) - 12/26/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ROBERT MORRIS (1 - 2) at IUPU-FT WAYNE (1 - 2) - 12/26/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
ROBERT MORRIS is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (0 - 9) at DETROIT (1 - 5) - 12/26/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 67-42 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
OAKLAND is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
OAKLAND is 69-43 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
DETROIT is 70-96 ATS (-35.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
DETROIT is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COPPIN ST (1 - 7) at TOWSON ST (0 - 4) - 12/26/2020, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COPPIN ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORFOLK ST (3 - 3) at GEORGE MASON (3 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NICHOLLS ST (2 - 3) at LSU (4 - 1) - 12/26/2020, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NICHOLLS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-0 straight up against NICHOLLS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Saturday, December 26

Kentucky @ Louisville
Kentucky (1-5)
— ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #166
— Experience: #327
— Continuity: #327
— Kentucky is 1-5 for first time since 1926.
— Wildcats’ one win was over #291 Morehead State.
— Kentucky lost to Kansas/Notre Dame by a combined four points.
— All five of their losses are to top 90 teams (two top 25 losses)

Louisville (5-1)
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #320
— Experience: #325
— Continuity: #313
— Louisville’s only loss was by 37 at a veteran Wisconsin team.
— Cardinals have three top 100 wins (Seton Hall, WKU, Pitt)
— Louisville is shooting 56.1% inside arc (#39)

— Kentucky won last three games in this rivalry, by 13-8-29 points; last year’s loss was in OT.

Youngstown State @ Cleveland State
Youngstown State (4-1, 1-1)
— ranked #187 by KenPom
— Tempo: #297
— Experience: #134
— Continuity: #59
— Penguins split pair of league games with Northern Kentucky.
— Youngstown beat #342 Binghamton, its only other D-I game.
— Penguins are shooting only 28.6% on arc (#274).

Cleveland State (2-3, 2-0)
— ranked #210 by KenPom
— Tempo: #208
— Experience: #147
— Continuity: #155
— Vikings scored only 56 ppg in its losses (Ohio St, 2 MAC teams)
— Cleveland State swept a pair from Horizon rival Fort Wayne LW.
— Vikings are turning ball over 22.7% of time (#263)

— Cleveland State won five of last six series games.
— Penguins lost last two visits to Cleveland, by 10-8 points.

Ohio State @ Northwestern
Ohio State (7-1, 1-1)
— ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #317
— Experience: #90
— Continuity: #147
— Buckeyes’ only loss was by 7 at Purdue.
— Ohio State have three top 100 wins (Notre Dame, UCLA, Rutgers)
— Buckeyes split two true road games (Notre Dame/Purdue).

Northwestern (5-1, 2-0)
— ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #137
— Experience: #249
— Continuity: #55
— Wildcats upset Michigan St/Indiana to start conference play.
— Northwestern’s only loss was by a point to Pittsburgh.
— Wildcats are shooting 41.3% on arc (#11).

— Ohio State won 15 of last 17 series games.
— Buckeyes won their last seven visits to Evanston.

Houston @ Central Florida
Houston (6-0, 1-0)
— ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #299
— Experience: #196
— Continuity: #124
— Houston beat Temple by 26 in its AAC opener.
— Cougars are forcing turnovers 25.9% of time (#15)
— Houston has top 100 wins over Boise State/Texas Tech.

Central Florida (3-1, 1-0)
— ranked #94 by KenPom
— Tempo: #210
— Experience: #255
— Continuity: #252
— UCF beat Florida St/Cincinnati in its last two games.
— Knights are forcing turnovers 23.1% of time (#48)
— To this point, UCF has played #5 schedule- no stiffs.

— Houston won four of last five series games.
— Cougars won three of last four visits to Orlando.

Green Bay @ Wright State
Green Bay (0-6, 0-2)
— ranked #288 by KenPom
— Tempo: #156
— Experience: #274
— Continuity: #283
— Green Bay lost pair of Horizon games to Milwaukee.
— Green Bay’s top 100 losses are by 30-40-14 points.
— Green Bay’s eFG% is #276; they’re shooting 43.7% inside arc.

Wright State (4-1, 2-0)
— ranked #92 by KenPom
— Tempo: #71
— Experience: #269
— Continuity: #68
— Wright scored 89 ppg in sweeping pair from Detroit LW.
— Raiders’ only loss was 80-64 to #82 Marshall.
— Wright State is shooting 58.2% inside arc (#19)

— Wright State won seven of last nine series games.
— Green Bay lost its last five visits to Dayton.

Indiana @ Illinois
Indiana (5-3, 0-1)
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #267
— Experience: #280
— Continuity: #74
— Hoosiers lost Big 14 opener 74-67 at Northwestern.
— Indiana split its six top 100 games.
— Hoosiers lost only true road game by hoop at Florida State.

Illinois (6-3, 2-1)
— ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #37
— Experience: #214
— Continuity: #41
— Illini split its last six games.
— To this point, Illinois has played schedule #15.
— Illini is shooting 43.6% on the arc (#5).

— Indiana won seven of last nine series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.

Virginia vs Gonzaga (@ Fort Worth, TX)
Virginia (4-1)
— ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #357
— Experience: #136
— Continuity: #150
— Virginia has only one top 200 win (Kent St); that was in OT.
— Cavaliers’ only loss was by a point to San Francisco.
— Virginia’s foes are shooting 38.6% inside arc (#6)

Gonzaga (6-0)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #5
— Experience: #242
— Continuity: #178
— Gonzaga already has three top 15 wins (Kansas/Iowa/West Va).
— Zags are shooting 64.1% inside arc (#4).
— Gonzaga is getting 62.8% of its points inside arc (#8).

Robert Morris @ IUPUI
Robert Morris (1-2)
— ranked #253 by KenPom
— Tempo: #217
— Experience: #135
— Continuity: #108
— This is Colonials’ first-ever game in Horizon League.
— Robert Morris lost its first two D-I games, by 20-14 points.
— Colonials are turning ball over 25.7% of time (#315)

IUPUI (1-0)
— ranked #263 by KenPom
— Tempo: #38
— Experience: #108
— Continuity: #188
— IUPUI’s only game was a 69-66 win over Tennessee St, on December 12.
— Jaguars start two juniors, two seniors (#108 experience)
— IUPUI won its opener despite shooting 37.5% inside arc.

Oakland @ Detroit Mercy
Oakland (0-9, 0-2)
— ranked #289 by KenPom
— Tempo: #52
— Experience: #283
— Continuity: #240
— Oakland lost Horizon openers by 2-17 points to UIC last week.
— Oakland allowed 80+ points in 7 of their 9 games.
— Oakland has played schedule #13; they over-scheduled.

Detroit Mercy (1-5, 0-2)
— ranked #221 by KenPom
— Tempo: #109
— Experience: #3
— Continuity: #230
— Detroit lost its Horizon openers to Wright State, by 23-13 points.
— Titans’ only win is over #252 Western Michigan.
— Detroit is shooting only 28.9% on arc (#269).

— Oakland won 7 in a row, 12 of last 14 series games.
— Grizzlies won last three visits to Detroit.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Saturday, December 26

Trend Report

Youngstown State @ Cleveland State
Youngstown State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Youngstown State's last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland State
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Youngstown State's last 19 games when playing Cleveland State
Cleveland State
Cleveland State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Youngstown State
Cleveland State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Youngstown State

Kentucky @ Louisville
Kentucky
Kentucky is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Louisville
Kentucky is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Louisville
Louisville
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Louisville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Houston @ Central Florida
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Central Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Central Florida
Central Florida
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Central Florida's last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Florida's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

Ohio State @ Northwestern
Ohio State
Ohio State is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing Northwestern
Ohio State is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Northwestern
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern's last 6 games when playing at home against Ohio State
Northwestern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Coppin State @ Towson
Coppin State
No trends to report
Towson
Towson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Coppin State
Towson is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Coppin State

Nicholls State @ LSU
Nicholls State
No trends to report
LSU
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LSU is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Nicholls State

Wisconsin-Green Bay @ Wright State
Wisconsin-Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin-Green Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Wright State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin-Green Bay's last 6 games when playing Wright State
Wright State
Wright State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wisconsin-Green Bay
Wright State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

Indiana @ Illinois
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Illinois
Illinois
Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games at home

Norfolk State @ George Mason
Norfolk State
No trends to report
George Mason
George Mason is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Gonzaga @ Virginia
Gonzaga
No trends to report
Virginia
No trends to report

Oakland @ Detroit
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Oakland

Robert Morris @ IPFW
Robert Morris
No trends to report
IPFW
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of IPFW's last 8 games at home
IPFW is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero



Camarero - Race 7

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta



Claiming $8,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 72 • Purse: $6,500 • Post: 5:30P


FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 17 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 2 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * CANELA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. GOLDINE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GREMALATA'S GIRL: Horse ranks in the top thre e in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



5

CANELA

3/1


4/1




3

GOLDINE

2/1


5/1




7

GREMALATA'S GIRL

7/2


7/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




5

CANELA

5


3/1

Front-runner

68


73


73.4


64.6


60.6




8

SILK SHAKER

8


8/5

Front-runner

66


63


53.6


52.4


42.4




3

GOLDINE

3


2/1

Stalker

73


71


65.4


70.2


66.7




7

GREMALATA'S GIRL

7


7/2

Stalker

72


66


59.2


61.6


54.1




1

CHICA DORADA

1


10/1

Trailer

60


59


36.0


55.2


44.2




6

LUCKY WESTERN LADY

6


5/2

Alternator/Trailer

64


63


48.0


55.6


44.6




4

SMARTIZAR

4


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

66


61


67.9


22.4


13.9




2

SOY PONCENA

2


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

52


57


29.2


40.8


24.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds



Fair Grounds - Race 2

Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 2-4) / $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-5)



Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $16,000 • Post: 1:29P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JUNE 26, 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 26 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. LA FEMME ROYALE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LA FEMME ROYALE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SHILAH BABY: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Spee d Figure at the distance/surface.



1

LA FEMME ROYALE

9/5


2/1




4

SHILAH BABY

4/1


7/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

LA FEMME ROYALE

1


9/5

Front-runner

80


75


81.6


79.2


76.7




4

SHILAH BABY

4


4/1

Front-runner

70


71


75.6


58.8


51.3




8

FLASH HANDS

8


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

71


71


70.6


66.2


58.2




2

MARGIE'S MONEY

2


9/2

Alternator/Stalker

89


85


67.8


68.4


61.4




6

SWORN SILENCE

6


9/2

Alternator/Stalker

78


67


45.4


65.6


56.1




9

KENAI COOL

9


12/1

Trailer

73


58


47.0


64.4


51.4




3

WAR BANDIT

3


15/1

Trailer

56


55


29.8


51.0


36.0




7

MELODY ROSE

7


20/1

Alternator/Trailer

68


70


38.6


62.4


46.4




5

ALTERED DREAM

5


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

66


68


73.4


63.8


52.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 80

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 26 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 MAJESTIC PIC 7/2




# 3 SWIRRLIE SHIRLIE 4/1




# 2 JOYFUL NOISE 6/1




MAJESTIC PIC is the most respectable bet in this race. Farrior has a strong win percent with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Russell has been sizzling the last month, winning at a nifty 27 percent clip. SWIRRLIE SHIRLIE - Shows strong speed figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this field. Has formidable early pace and will probably fare quite well against this group of animals. JOYFUL NOISE - Ran a solid last race. A solid 79 avg Equibase class figure may give this mare a distinct class edge versus this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #3 - Post: 1:10pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,500 Class Rating: 54

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 SKIPSHOT LILLY (ML=6/1)
#5 IAMGOINGTOSHINE (ML=5/2)


SKIPSHOT LILLY - Faulkner brings her right back. I suggest you stick with this hot filly. Filly is a few starts into a return here. Should give a nice effort today. IAMGOINGTOSHINE - I like to see fast workouts. This filly's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. This filly is in good form. Finished third on December 12th. This filly's last speed fig is strong enough to prove victorious here, I'll wager on her back again this time. Filly is a few starts into a comeback here. Should give a big race today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 DIAL AGAIN (ML=2/1), #6 LEJEUNE (ML=9/2), #1 MINE ALONE (ML=8/1),

DIAL AGAIN - Unlikely that the speed rating she garnered on November 25th will be good enough in this clash. LEJEUNE - Should have at least hit the board in the last 60 days in a short distance race to be worth the risk at low odds in a sprint. Registered a disappointing speed figure last time around the track in a Maiden Special race on Dec 12th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that fig. MINE ALONE - This horse hasn't been hitting the board in either of her last couple of races. Most unsatisfactory speed fig in the last race at Thistledown at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this runner will improve too much in today's race.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SKIPSHOT LILLY - This filly has the top speed figure last race with a very good 50. She is the top bet here.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #2 SKIPSHOT LILLY on the win end if we get at least 3/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,5]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Gulfstream Park - Race #2 - Post: 12:35pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 BROOKES ALL MINE (ML=8/1)
#1 VALLEY DATE (ML=6/1)
#5 SASSY JUSTICE (ML=15/1)


BROOKES ALL MINE - Looking at today's class rating, this thoroughbred is encountering an easier field than last time out at Gulfstream Park West. Have to like the way Walder has raced this mare back into shape off the layoff. Horse is well spotted in this sprint and I think she'll run well today. VALLEY DATE - Trainer, Crichton, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. Lets try to beat the low-odds horses with this filly. Just missed last out, but ran a pretty good race. Came home fast in the last race at Gulfstream Park. That type of move bodes well for her chances in this race. SASSY JUSTICE - You always have to be on the watch for profit making rider/trainer combos; we have an instance right here. Have to make this filly a serious competitor; she comes off a sharp race on Nov 25th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 BLOSSOM BOW (ML=5/2), #10 MARKISTAN (ML=3/1), #9 GRACE'S DRAMA (ML=9/2),

BLOSSOM BOW - Today's race is 7 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a short distance clash in the last sixty days. Not the greatest of signals. This thoroughbred just hasn't looked fit recently. MARKISTAN - Don't think that this filly has value at 3/1 in today's event. GRACE'S DRAMA - 9/2 is not offering enough value for any racer in a sprint of 7 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a sprint event recently.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #3 BROOKES ALL MINE to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,3,5]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,3,5] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs



12/26/20, TAM, Race 2, 12.43 ET
12/26/20,TAM,2,6F [Dirt] 1:08:03 CLAIMING. Purse $11,500 (includes up to $200 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 26 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (Races Where Entered For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
3
Free Flayme
3/1
Camacho S
Carvajal. Jr. Luis
JS
197
34.52
1.17/$1


098.4418
1
Don H
9/2
Urdaneta J J
Machado Antonio
L
197
34.52
1.17/$1


098.2463
2
First Degree
5/2
Batista J A
Arriagada Juan
FEC
197
34.52
1.17/$1


096.9875
4
Spinning Joey
8/1
Spieth S
Cheeks Joseph


246
37.80
1.17/$1


096.9660
6
Sour Kicks
4/1
Garcia W A
Einhorn Skip


238
34.87
1.13/$1


096.4792
5
Smart Warrior
8/1
Mena R
Rigattieri John
T
238
34.87
1.13/$1


096.2061
7
Hacienda Blvd(b-)
20/1
Lindsay C
Axmaker Cody W.
W
238
34.87
1.13/$1


095.1031
8
Shakem N Breakem
10/1
Alencar W
Dominguez Luis R.


238
34.87
1.13/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 30.91, ROI 0.90/$1
. . . .
100.0000 3 Free Flayme
[Category]Condition
[DirtNot_MdnMClm]NotThirdRaceAfter45DaysOff

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 81

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 26 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 3 DRAGON DREW 8/1




# 2 UNCLE GREGORY 4/1




# 12 JIMMY JOE 3/1




I've got to go with DRAGON DREW especially at a such a nice price. Has to be given a shot based on the strong Equibase Speed Figure recorded in the last contest. Will make a good outing versus this bunch. UNCLE GREGORY - Must be given consideration here on the basis of the numbers in the speed department alone. Has to be given consideration versus this group displaying formidable figs recently and an average Equibase Speed Fig of 70 under similar conditions. JIMMY JOE - Has a sharp shot here if you like back class. He looks very strong in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Dec 26 '20, 3:30 PM in 38m
NCAA-F | UL-Lafayette vs UTSA
Play on: OVER 54½ -110

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Louisiana/UTSA OVER 54.5
Louisiana has scored at least 20 points in every game this season and 24 or more in nine of 10 games. The Rajin' Cajun's will hang a big number on UTSA here Saturday. This is a UTSA team that played a soft schedule so their defensive numbers are better than their talent would indicate. And it's a UTSA offense that has scored at least 49 points in two of their last three games coming in. They have rushed for at least 233 yards in three straight games. This Louisiana defense can be run on as they have allowed at least 123 rushing yards in all 10 games and 175 or more in seven of their last nine. And you know both teams will have a few trick plays up their sleeves for this bowl game. Give me the OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Dec 26 '20, 4:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Oakland vs Detroit
Play on: Oakland +4½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Pick on Oakland +4½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Dec 26 '20, 4:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Indiana vs Illinois
Play on: Illinois -6 -110 at Mirage

1* Free Sharp Play on Illinois -6 -110
Illinois (-6) is worth a look here as a relatively small home favorite against the Hoosiers. No disrespect to Indiana, which is a good team, but winning on the road in the Big Ten is a tough task, especially against an elite team like the Fighting Illini. You also have to love that Illinois is coming off a big time win on the road at Penn State. No question they will be motivated to win here, as they haven't won back-to-back games since starting out the season 3-0. Play the Fighting Illini -6!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Dec 26 '20, 4:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Virginia vs Gonzaga
Play on: Gonzaga -8 -110 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Gonzaga -8 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Dec 26 '20, 4:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Virginia vs Gonzaga
Play on: Gonzaga -8 -110 at Mirage

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Gonzaga -8 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Dec 26 '20, 4:30 PM in 1h
NFL | 49ers vs Cardinals
Play on: Cardinals -5 -112 at betonline

1* Free Pick on Cardinals -5 -112

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness Dec 26 '20, 7:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Thunder vs Hornets
Play on: Hornets -2½ -103 at pinnacle

My free play is on the Cha Hornets at 7:05 ET.
Oklahoma City overhauled its roster in the offseason, going into full rebuild mode after last season's surprise fifth-place finish in the Western Conference. The Thunder have yet to take the court, as their season-opener vs the Rockets was postponed to Houston's COVID issues. OKC is expected to play tonight in Charlotte against the Hornets, a team the Thunder have beaten in four consecutive meetings. Charlotte opened its season on Wednesday with a 121-114 loss at Cleveland, with rookie guard LaMelo Ball (the third overall pick in the 2020 Draft) going scoreless. He missed all five of his shots from the floor and had three turnovers in 16 minutes.
OKC returns guard Gilgeous-Alexander, who led the team in scoring (19.5-5.9-3.3) last season. However, the Thunder traded Chris Paul (16.6-5.0-6.7), Steven Adams (10.9 & 9.3), Danilo Gallinari (18.7 & 5.2), Dennis Schroder (18.9 PPG), Terrance Ferguson and Abdel Nader in the offseason, mostly stockpiling draft picks and young players. Only FIVE players remain from last year's roster and only 22-year-old Hamidou Diallo is left from the 2018-19 roster. The team's 'rebuilding pieces' are 35-year-old Ariza plus a pair of 34-year-olds in Hill and Horford. It could be a LONG season.
The Hornets are sure hoping that it won't be a 'LONG' season for Ball. "I told him just to forget this one," veteran Gordon Hayward said of Ball's debut. "Some days are diamonds, some days are stones." Hayward signed a four-year $120-million contract in the offseason as part of a sign-and-trade with Boston and had 28 points and seven assists in the opener after missing the final two preseason games with a broken finger. Charlotte's last victory over OKC was back in December of 2017, with Malik Monk being the only player remaining on EITHER roster from that Hornets win. Let's not be too quick to judge Ball. I'll take the Hornets here vs an OKC that could REALLY struggle in the upcoming season.
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Dec 26 '20, 8:15 PM in 5h
NFL | Dolphins vs Raiders
Play on: Raiders +2½ -108 at Draft Kings

FREE PLAY on Raiders +2½ -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander Dec 26 '20, 8:35 PM in 5h
NBA | Raptors vs Spurs
Play on: Raptors -2 -109 at pinnacle

1* NBA - Raptors/Spurs *FREE PICK* on Raptors -2
The bet in this game is on the Raptors as a slim 2-point road favorite. Toronto lost their opener at home to the Pelicans as a 4-point favorite, while the Spurs won on the road at Memphis as a 2-point dog, creating a great buy low spot sell high opportunity. The Raptors are still one of the top teams in the Eastern Conference. They just couldn't buy a basket in their opener. They also played the much better team in New Orleans. At least right now, as the Grizzlies are missing a couple of their best players in Jackson Jr. and Winslow. SA is not a bad team, but also not great and I just think Toronto finds a way to win this one to avoid an 0-2 start. Bet the Raptors -2!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Dec 26 '20, 8:35 PM in 5h
NBA | Raptors vs Spurs
Play on: Spurs +2½ -110 at Bovada

1 Dimer on Spurs +2½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin Dec 26 '20, 8:35 PM in 5h
NBA | Raptors vs Spurs
Play on: Raptors -120 at betonline

Raptors vs Spurs Free Pick December 26, 2020
I like the Raptors in this one as they look to bounce back after shooting a poor 43% from the field in a "home" loss to New Orleans in Tampa.
The Spurs meanwhile are a good fade after shooting a sharp 52% in a dominant 131-119 win at Memphis.
The two sides' different performances in their last game are giving us a good number on the Raptors.
Free pick on Toronto Raptors.