Sunday 12/27/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Al Cimaglia: Pompano Park Pick 4 Analysis December 27, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
The Sunday night feature at Pompano Park rolls in Race 7, an Open Handicap with an $11,500 purse. The 0.50 Pick 4 starts in Race 6. That sequence has a $15,000 guaranteed pool with a very low 12% takeout and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

1-Brandon Hanover (8/5)-Steps-up after a 26.3 opening quarter to get on the engine and drew off by more than 3 lengths. Fits with this crew and Hennessey will look to follow a similar script.
3-Unlikeanyother (3-1)-Beckworth trainee makes 3rd Pomp start and appears to have the best chance of knocking off the chalk. Had been facing better and has the gate speed to take a pocket ride and trip out for a picture.

Race 7

4-Southwind Amazon (9/2)-Got the top in last, then blistered a 53.2 half and faded. Draws well and could get a good seat without emptying the tank. Micallef steers for the 1st time and could surprise with a sharp steer.
6-Prairie Panther (7/2)-Hoosier invader makes 2nd start at the Pomp this meet. Needs the right trip and should be there at the wire. Has won an impressive 23 of 31 PPk starts.
8-Bell I No (6-1)-Makes 5th start of the meet and won his debut and every other start since. If that sequence continues it's picture time again. MacDonald has options, has gate speed but can stalk and rally late. Best to not overlook.
9-Lyons Night Hawk (5-1)-Post makes the price and will respect connections. Wallis may look to duck and come off cover. There is gate speed inside so the steer is key and could be overlooked at the windows.

Race 8

4-Rural Art (1-1)-Nine-year-old is shooting for 5th straight win, the last 2 coming at the Pomp. Hennessey will look to get the top and wire this field. That strategy can trigger another win as an odd-on choice.
7-Xpert Bayama (7/2)-Knocked out of last after an interference break while facing #4. MacDonald left and did get the pocket before breaking stride. That script could be followed again and best to respect chances. Getting the 2-hole behind the chalk could result in the perfect trip and the 2nd win this year.

Race 9

3-Live Lucky (4-1)-Has been using good gate speed to get a cozy trip and is in sharp form. Winner of 2 of last 3 could be in line for another trip out win.
6-Oreo Dream Xtreme (2-1)-Finished 3rd in 1st start at the meet and then had a tough trip from the 10-hole. Looks like a player and will probably be bet down.
7-Peter Dalt (7/2)-Peter is only 2 for 49 covering 2019-2020, that's a concern. But makes 3rd start since arriving from HoP and last was an improvement. Macomber may blast out and try to set the pace. Could be one soft quarter away from 1st PPk picture.

0.50 Pick 4

1,3/4,6,8,9/4,7/3,6,7
Total Bet=$24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 12/27/20 December 27, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies

*

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
*
*
Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

*


RACE 1: Post: 11:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-New Heat; 2-Kleen Karma; 8-Reiwa

Forecast: The Sunday opener is a challenging first-level allowance event on grass for California-bred fillies and mares. We’ll go three deep and hope to survive and advance, but if you feel the need to spread deeper, go right ahead. Golden Gate Fields shipper Reiwa earned a pretty good career-top number winning an allowance turf miler in October but hasn’t been out since due to the ongoing suspension of racing up north due to the Covid-19 pandemic. She’s trained steadily right along and should be fit enough to produce a similar effort against this group, so we’ll put her slightly on top while hoping that she receives the patient ride she requires from M. Smith. New Heat and Kleen Karma, two-three finishers at this level last month at Del Mar, appear the most dangerous of the local contingent, with the former, a perfect one-for-one over the local lawn and with speed figures that continue to rise with every outing seemingly the one to beat. As for ‘Karma, she is what she is, but with the switch back to “win rider” F. Prat the daughter of Clubhouse Rise must be given a reasonable look.
*
*
RACE 2: Post: 12:04 PT Grade: X
Use: 3-Mastering; 4-Exaulted

Forecast: The two favorites in this five-runner straight maiden main track miler for older horses both are returning off long layoffs, but both have training exceptionally well and should return at least as well if not better than they left. Exaulted, runner-up to unbeaten Nadal in his debut almost a year ago but then a disappointing third when odds-on stretching out in his next appearance in February before being turned out, has looked nothing short of spectacular in the a.m. for P. Eurton (powerful stats with layoff runners) and still has a chance to develop into a very nice colt as he approaches his 4-year-old season. He’s 6/5 on the morning line and looks it. Mastering also has been quite impressive gearing up for his first outing since February and acts like a much better colt now than he did when last seen 10 months ago. He’ll probably be on the lead for as long as he can hold it. Of the two, we’ll prefer Exaulted on top and in fact most of our action will go in his direction, but if you’re playing rolling exotics the B. Baffert-trained Mastering probably is worth including on a ticket as a saver.
*
*
RACE 3: Post: 12:36 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Barrister Tom: 5-Cathkin Peak

Forecast: Five of the seven entrants in this year’s renewal of the Eddie Logan S. exit the same race, the Cecil B. DeMille S.-G3 won by Beer Can Man, who shipped in from Indiana Downs to register at 19-1 upset. Let’s look elsewhere. Cathkin Peak flew in from Ireland to capture his U.S. debut in just his second career start, scoring cleverly from off the pace at Del Mar in late November with a speed figure that puts him in the hunt despite the raise in class. With F. Prat staying aboard, the P. D’Amato-trained gelding should get the trip/ride he requires and with any kind of forward move may be capable of scoring right back. Barrister Tom, a stakes winner at Kentucky Downs in September but subsequently unplaced in the Bourbon S.-G2 at Keeneland, is another with figures that fit. He’s a versatile sort who has won on the lead or from off the pace, so we’ll include him as well in rolling exotic play. Both offer value at 5-1 on the morning line.
*
*
RACE 4: Post: 12:36 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Cashlings; 2-Love My Jimmy; 5-Sky Navigator

Forecast: P. Miller has two major players in this maiden $40,000 claiming sprint for juveniles, including the logical top pick Love My Jimmy, who makes his first start since being haltered for $32,000 at Del Mar a month ago. Failing as the 6/5 favorite when weakening late to wind up second (beaten more than three lengths), the son of Tapiture still managed to earn a pretty good speed figure in defeat, one that is better than par for this slightly higher level. The barn is borderline remarkable with the first-off-the-claim angle (30% with a strong ROI), so it’s not unreasonable to expect that he’ll produce a forward move today. Stable mate Cashlings is a first-time starter by Ghostzapper which went through the ring at $250,000 at year ago September at Keeneland but is being tossed away right off the bat. The works at San Luis Rey Downs look okay – at least for a maiden claimer – so we’ll include him in on a few tickets as well. Sky Navigator also is worth some consideration. The son of Sky Mesa produced a mild late rally to wind up third in his debut at Del Mar, and with that effort behind him and today’s extra half furlong to work with the D. Pederson-trained 2-year-old may make some noise in the final stages.
*
*
RACE 5: Post: 1:37 PT Grade: X
Use: 2-Honos Man; 4-Armour Plate

Forecast: Honos Man looks pretty solid in this restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claimer over nine furlongs on turf, though as a beaten choice in his last pair the P. Miller-trained gelding may be a tad hard to trust. Nicely drawn inside, retaining F. Prat, and with four strong workouts at San Luis Rey Downs since raced, the son of Afleet Alex shouldn’t have an excuse in the world, but at 8/5 on the morning line and likely to go lower he won’t be offering much value. Armour Plate, the “other” P. Miller entrant in the field, is re-equipped with blinkers and may find himself on the front end. Just 1-for-19 in his career (but at least the win came over the local lawn), the Into Mischief gelding switches to J. Rosario and actually is a bit faster on raw numbers than ‘Man. Both should be included in rolling exotic play in a race that we’ll otherwise pass.
*
*
RACE 6: Post: 2:09 PT Grade: C+
Use: 2-Octopus; 5-Natural History

Forecast: Octopus has been somewhat disappointing of late, failing twice in his last four starts as the favorite and missing a third time when well-backed at 5/2. But this restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claiming sprint for 3-year-olds only is his easiest spot yet, and with the switch to J. Rosario the son of Shackleford should be able to capitalize on this opportunity. He’s 2-1 on the morning line and may go lowerNatural History has been chasing tougher, has numbers that make him dangerous in this league and is the one to fear most, though his lack of early speed always makes his task more difficult that it should be. With some help up front, he should be heard from late.
*
*
RACE 7: Post: 2:43 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-First Prez; 6-Mr. Brownstone; 8-Jetovator

Forecast: Mr. Brownstone is lightly-raced, improving, has numbers that fit and removes blinkers (love that angle) so in his second start off a long layoff and with decent recent workouts the son of Vronsky should be set for a career top effort. We’re expecting the M. Puype-trained gelding to be properly spotted in a stalking position and then have every chance to seal the deal in the final stages. First Prez was a visually pleasing winner sprinting on turf in his debut over this course during the fall meeting but then was sent long on the main track at Del Mar and flopped badly. He’s back around one turn and back on grass while adding blinkers, so the D. O’Neill-trained colt certainly should be dangerous under these more agreeable conditions, Jetovator fits well with these, but at 1-for-19 with nine seconds and thirds he’s never been the type to bank on in the final furlong. However, with F. Prat staying aboard and with his only career win having been accomplished over the local lawn, he’s probably worth including on your ticket, at least as a back-up.
*
*
RACE 8: Post: 3:17 PT Grade: B+
Use: 5-The Chosen Vron; 6-Hockey Dad; 9-Hail Freedom

Forecast: The Chosen Vron has done some excellent work in the a.m. leading up to his racing debut, and the son of Vronsky appears extremely live and well-meant under J. Velasquez in this extended sprint for state-bred juveniles. A sharp gate work (47 seconds, second fastest of 57) Dec. 10 was followed up by a bullet five furlong drill on the flat (59 3/5 seconds, fastest of 50) eight days later so we’re expecting this E. Kruljac-trained gelding to be hard to handle. Another debut entrant, Hockey Dad, had a useful drill from the barrier nine days ago. The D. O’Neill-trained son of Nyquist did reasonably well when second best with Wipe the Slate and was flattered when that one graduated impressively yesterday. It’s not likely he’ll face anything as good as ‘Slate in this spot, so he’s another first-timer that needs to be strongly considered. Hail Freedom is worth including on your ticket as a back-up or a saver. The D. O’Neill-trained colt has turned in some good clockings at San Luis Rey Downs and attracts J. Rosario, so we suspect that this modestly-bred son of Box Top will get some play on the tote.
*
*
RACE 9: Post: 3:51 PT Grade: B+
Use: 1-Rideforthecause; 2-She’s Our Charm; 10-Mucho Unusual

Forecast: Let’s go for a price in the Robert J. Frankel S.-G3 for fillies and mares over nine furlongs on turf. She’s Our Charm, listed at 12-1 on the morning line, ran below her best when seventh in the Matriarch S.-G1 last time out but this is an easier assignment and promises a pace flow that should allow the daughter of Candy Ride to inherit her preferred role as the controlling speed. A two-time winner over the Santa Anita course, the R. McAnally-trained filly has never being this far but if left alone early should have an excellent chance to see out the trip. Mucho Unusual exits the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare turf, and while she may have been out of her element against that group she’s favorably spotted today, though her extreme outside draw does her no favors. A Grade-1 winner over this course during the fall meeting, the daughter of Mucho Macho Man will be tough to beat with anything close to her best effort. Woodbine shipper Rideforthecause is assured of a comfortable ground-saving trip from the rail, and her clever score in the Canadian S.-G2 two races back charts quite well in this affair. She can really turn it on late and should get the patient ride she needs from top grass jockey U. Rispoli.
*
*
RACE 10: Post: 4:25 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Fabozzi; 8-Impression

Forecast: The finale is a $12,500 main track claimer over a mile that doesn’t really have much in it. Fabozzi plummeted to the $8,000 level at Los Alamitos 10 days ago and won as expected; he’s wheeled back off short rest for new trainer K. Mulhall and should be tough right back over a Santa Anita main track that he’s been known to like. Impression looked pretty good in victory at Los Al at this level 17 days ago while on the front end and similar tactics most likely will be employed again. The B. Spawr-trained gelding is the likely favorite and one to beat. In a race that we’re not planning to get too involved in, both should be included in rolling exotic play.
*
*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 4 Ticket Sunday at Gulfstream December 27, 2020 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
There are plenty of reasons to play the Late Pick 4 Sunday at Gulfstream Park, but be warned that these these look like single-free events.

With that in mind, I used a 4x3x3x3 strategy for $54.

It all gets started with a solid allowance optional claiming race in the eighth and ends with a far above-average starter allowance in the 11th.


Race 8 (3:40 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

DECLARATIONWARRIOR held third in G3 Herecomesthebride and this lightly raced filly can be tough against her older opposition.

PRINCESA CAROLINE has run just once this year and was fourth at Saratoga. They had high hopes for this one and she can get back that support with a big effort today.

SETTING THE MOOD can be close to the early action and turns back from running longer distances. Has the class to be a factor.

MORE THAN UNUSUAL comes in off a second-place finish at Keeneland and has been right there in all four starts. Speed will enable her to get a good run from the outside post.


Race 9 (4:11 p.m. ET, claiming)

VINCENT WILLIAM was reclaimed by the Rivelli barn after losing him via claim in July. Comes off a second at Hawthorne and was a clear winner in his last Gulfstream appearance, which came in June.

TRISOMIA won two in a row at GP West and most recently was third at a much higher level. Drops to the bottom and can be a front-end factor.

FORT KING led in shorter races and will be battling for the lead here. Drops in class after tiring on a sloppy track.


Race 10 (4:42 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

MO READY did very little running in the Bryan Station Stakes at Keeneland but prior to that was third in the G1 Belmont Derby. His best puts his right into the mix.

APRECIADO didn’t fire last time out but has been competitive in good races over this course. He gets Gaffalione, who lately has done better than anyone else aboard this one.

HARBOUR MASTER usually finishes with interest and last won in July. Drops in class and has a chance to get past late in this one.


Race 11 (5:12 a.m. ET, starter allowance)

ROCKET JOE COPPER won two of his last three, was claimed by O’Connell last time out and is back to a higher level. Strong player when he contends early and will be able to do that today.

BELGRANO won a stakes race at Monmouth two back and was outrun doing short at Gulfstream last out. Has been competitive going long and fits here.

TIL THE END closed with a purpose last out and was up in time. Has been rolling late in his last six races and can get a good pace setup.

50-cent Late Pick 4 Sunday at Gulfstream Park:
8) #3 Declarationwarrior, #7 Princesa Caroline, #11 Setting the Mood, #12 More Than Unusual.
9) #4 Vincent William, #7 Trisomia, #8 Fort King.
10) #2 Mo Ready, #3 Apreciado, #9 Harbour Master.
11) #5 Rocket Joe Copper, #6 Belgrano, #9 Til the End
50-cent Pick Four: 3-7-11-12 with 4-7-8 with 2-3-9 with 5-6-9 ($54).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Laurel Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#8 My My Girl
Hoping this one offers something like 2/1 on the board, as she comes back with a bullet work off the good tracking try in the debut. A step forward would make her the right one.


#3 Little Huntress
Doesn't seem any better than the top choice through one start each, but the 37% barn here compared to the 4% barn for My My Girl could lead to an unearned edge on the tote board. Overbet win player.


#4 Door Buster
Was well behind the top choice when they met last out, and she doesn't have the same upside as that one.


Race Summary
My My Girl and Little Huntress should be tough to deal with, but the former might offer a better number on the board off the solid debut run.


Laurel Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#2 Top Hat Boss
Moves to the dirt for the first time after four synthetic tries at Woodbine, and though she steps up here, she has some early speed that will put her in the game out of the gate.


#10 Rocks That I Got
She showed nothing at 32/1 in the Churchill MSW debut, but she'll meet an easier bunch this time around. Still, she's bred up and down for the turf, so she may be better down the road when she gets that chance.


#6 Originaly From Dot
Was claimed out of the debut at this level, and she ran well that day from close range as the 3/2 favorite. She's likely going to be a handful with these, but the price may get a bit short.


Race Summary
Top Hat Boss will have to answer the question about the new footing as she tries the dirt for the first time today, but she has some pace and should offer a fair price on the hike.


Laurel Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#6 Colonel Juan
He should be a better fit at this level after a decent finishing run with better off the claim, and while his best game might be around two turns, that was an encouraging first effort for the new barn.


#2 Beyond the Victory
Dangerous pace faded behind the top choice last out, but the recent form is tough to get around, and he should get a great trip right up top with the guy drawn outside of him.


#4 Divine Interventio
Finisher steps up for this one, but he has some back efforts that would be good enough to land a piece with this group.


Race Summary
Colonel Juan and Beyond the Victory look tough to get past in here after finishing near one another last time out, but the price should be a bit better on Colonel Juan.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#2 Royal Habibi
Moves over to the turf after running third for this price on dirt; should be capable of making the switch in good order.


#4 Heart of God
Closed mildly for third last out in her only turf attempt and could improve in her return.


#9 Sunshine City
Won on the Colonial turf in August and most recently was third in a dirt sprint at Churchill; has some class and will be well played.


Race Summary
Royal Habibi comes out of decent races and might be overlooked here; Alvarado due for local riding success.


Gulfstream Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#3 Feature Creature
Has trained well for his first since September, when he lost in a photo at GP; is a good closer on most occasions and will be charging late.


#2 Hoponthebusgus
Was up in time and claimed last time out by Maker; has won three of her last four and can adapt to pace.


#10 A Beautiful Day
Was claimed by David stable in his last one, when he was third and lost a two-game win streak.


Race Summary
Feature Creature closed well in her last two races and can get a ground-saving trip just off the pace.


Gulfstream Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#8 Toupha
Has been with much better and comes off the turf for this one; picks up Lopez and can make a good late run vs. these.


#5 Aequor
Drops out of a stronger race and won a N3L event two back; has been in some strong races at GP and can move up on this class drop.


#2 Resident
Was up in time three races back and is back to the price at which Walder claimed him; capable.


Race Summary
Toupha does his best when tracking an honest pace and will get it today; has the class to prevail.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park



Laurel Park - Race 8

EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 8-9) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5



SO $25,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 99 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 3:53P


(PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $16,000 OR LESS IN THEIR LAST THREE STARTS OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 27 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Stalker. CONFESSOR is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CONFESSOR: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. COLONEL JUAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. UNIVERSAL PAYDAY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BEYOND THE VICTORY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SHANE'S JEWEL: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days.



5

CONFESSOR

6/1


6/1




6

COLONEL JUAN

3/1


6/1




7

UNIVERSAL PAYDAY

9/2


6/1




2

BEYOND THE VICTORY

2/1


7/1




8

SHANE'S JEWEL

6/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




3

DADDY KNOWS

3


12/1

Front-runner

90


89


98.5


85.5


75.0




2

BEYOND THE VICTORY

2


2/1

Front-runner

98


98


84.4


92.8


87.8




8

SHANE'S JEWEL

8


6/1

Front-runner

97


98


66.3


84.6


76.6




5

CONFESSOR

5


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

97


94


78.2


92.4


84.9




7

UNIVERSAL PAYDAY

7


9/2

Trailer

100


95


80.6


93.6


87.1




6

COLONEL JUAN

6


3/1

Trailer

100


95


68.6


93.2


87.2




4

DIVINE INTERVENTIO

4


8/1

Trailer

94


90


63.4


85.8


76.3




1

ROCK SOLID GOLFER

1


50/1

Alternator/Non-contender

85


76


90.3


61.7


45.7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds



Fair Grounds - Race 6

Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 6-8) / $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-9)



Claiming $15,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 89 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 3:25P


(RAIL AT 7 FEET). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLDS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE NOVEMBER 27 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $10,000 IN THEIR LAST 3 STARTS). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND 70 YARDS.)





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * MARSHALL LAW (IRE): Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. SIMPL Y: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. COMEDIAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MISHKO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CHA VEZ: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.



1

MARSHALL LAW (IRE)

10/1


6/1




6

SIMPLY

8/1


6/1




5

COMEDIAN

8/1


7/1




11

MISHKO

4/1


7/1




12

CHA VEZ

7/2


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




10

COPPER FIDDLE

10


10/1

Front-runner

87


76


89.8


83.4


67.4




9

CARAMEL ANGEL

9


30/1

Front-runner

79


79


84.7


54.5


32.5




2

CAUSFORCELEBRATION

2


20/1

Stalker

81


78


80.8


72.2


54.7




5

COMEDIAN

5


8/1

Stalker

92


86


79.6


83.4


73.9




12

CHA VEZ

12


7/2

Stalker

90


81


76.4


81.2


71.2




4

NEW EAGLE

4


10/1

Stalker

85


81


69.4


67.5


53.0




8

T. J. B. OORAH

8


30/1

Stalker

80


79


62.2


63.0


39.0




11

MISHKO

11


4/1

Alternator/Stalker

90


83


87.4


83.8


77.8




3

MORHAWK

3


12/1

Alternator/Stalker

84


80


68.0


75.8


58.3




13

MOM SAID YES

13


6/1

Trailer

90


77


72.0


69.0


52.0




6

SIMPLY

6


8/1

Trailer

89


89


71.0


87.6


81.6




1

MARSHALL LAW (IRE)

1


10/1

Trailer

95


86


68.8


84.4


80.4




14

BRIAR JUMPER

14


20/1

Trailer

89


78


60.6


79.4


58.9




7

MAYOR COBB

7


20/1

Trailer

86


90


57.8


65.4


42.4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7300 Class Rating: 67

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE DECEMBER 27, 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 27 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 CAT LAK 2/1




# 4 PARTY ROCK 8/5




# 1 OFFICER GRAY 12/1




I've got to go with CAT LAK. This filly has been constatntly running well in her latest outings. Has to be given a shot against this group displaying very good figs recently and an average Equibase speed fig of 64 under similar conditions. She has been running solidly and the Speed Figures are among the top in this field. PARTY ROCK - With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Rodriguez will almost certainly have this mare in excellent position to win the contest. Should come out strong - I have liked the way this mare has moved speedily to the lead recently. OFFICER GRAY - Has to be given a chance against this group displaying quite good figures lately and an average speed figure of 58 under similar conditions. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this filly.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park



12/27/20, SA, Race 9, 3.51 PT
12/27/20,SA,9,1 1/8M [Turf] 1:44:00 STAKES. Robert J. Frankel Stakes. Grade 3. Purse $100,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE-YEARS-OLDS AND UPWARD. By subscription of $100 each to accompany the nomination, closed Thursday December 10, 2020 with 22 or by supplementary nomination of $2,000 due at time of entry. $750 to enter (Horses that start in therace will have entry fee waived) and an additional $750 to start with $100,000 guaranteed of which $60,000 to the winner, $20,000 to second, $12,000 to third, $6,000 to fourth, and $2,000 to fifth. Three year olds 123 lbs. Older 125 lbs. Non-winners ofaGraded stake at One Mile or Over since June 27, 2020 allowed 2 lbs. Non-winners of a Sweepstakes at One Mile or over since December 27, 2019 allowed 4 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. (Rail at 10 feet).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
1
Rideforthecause
3/1
Rispoli U
McCarthy Michael W.
SF
697
35.87
1.15/$1


098.7882
4
Miss Teheran (IRE)
5/1
Rosario J
Brown Chad C.
TC
697
35.87
1.15/$1


098.2512
9
Zee Drop
8/1
Prat F
D'Amato Philip
J
697
35.87
1.15/$1


097.8315
5
Altea (FR)
5/1
Cedillo A
McCarthy Michael W.


697
35.87
1.15/$1


097.0951
10
Mucho Unusual
5/2
Velazquez J R
Yakteen Tim
E
697
35.87
1.15/$1


096.7790
2
She's Our Charm
12/1
Hernandez J J
McAnally Ronald L.
L
697
35.87
1.15/$1


096.7020
7
Colonial Creed
12/1
Gutierrez M
Baltas Richard


697
35.87
1.15/$1


096.2209
3
Never Be Enough (GB)
12/1
Pereira T J
Badilla Manuel
W
697
35.87
1.15/$1


095.3467
6
Meal Ticket
8/1
Baze T
Mullins Jeff


697
35.87
1.15/$1


000.0000
8
Posh Holly (IRE)
1/5
No Rider Yet



221
34.84
1.10/$1


Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 31.82, ROI 1.15/$1
. . . .
100.0000 1 Rideforthecause
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]LasixToday
If Race Is Off Turf Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
3
Never Be Enough (GB)
12/1
Pereira T J
Badilla Manuel
W
697
35.87
1.15/$1


099.1237
9
Zee Drop
8/1
Prat F
D'Amato Philip
J
697
35.87
1.15/$1


098.3090
7
Colonial Creed
12/1
Gutierrez M
Baltas Richard


697
35.87
1.15/$1


097.9646
10
Mucho Unusual
5/2
Velazquez J R
Yakteen Tim
E
697
35.87
1.15/$1


097.8507
2
She's Our Charm
12/1
Hernandez J J
McAnally Ronald L.
L
697
35.87
1.15/$1


097.5320
1
Rideforthecause
3/1
Rispoli U
McCarthy Michael W.
SF
697
35.87
1.15/$1


097.3042
5
Altea (FR)
5/1
Cedillo A
McCarthy Michael W.


697
35.87
1.15/$1


096.9453
4
Miss Teheran (IRE)
5/1
Rosario J
Brown Chad C.
TC
697
35.87
1.15/$1


094.2990
6
Meal Ticket
8/1
Baze T
Mullins Jeff


697
35.87
1.15/$1


000.0000
8
Posh Holly (IRE)
1/5
No Rider Yet



248
34.27
1.20/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 31.25, ROI 3.47/$1
. . . .
100.0000 3 Never Be Enough (GB)
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]LasixToday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #4 - Post: 2:13pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,350 Class Rating: 76

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 UNION APPRECIATION (ML=9/2)
#4 STRUM AND PLUCK (ML=4/1)


UNION APPRECIATION - Taking a trip to a lower level; has the ability to make his presence felt. STRUM AND PLUCK - Out of the top three finish in the last race at Tampa Bay Downs was better than it looked on paper. He improved position down the lane and never gave up. 52-55-57 are last 3 speed figures. Improving each time out is something he should do again in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 ROGUE RAGE (ML=5/2), #1 HE'S ROYALTY (ML=3/1), #6 TINKER'S PAL (ML=5/1),

ROGUE RAGE - Trying to beat this horse in today's event at the price of 5/2. HE'S ROYALTY - Finished second in his most recent performance with a substandard speed fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this bunch. TINKER'S PAL - More than enough races at Tampa Bay Downs with no trips to the winner's circle. This horse doesn't have a champion's state of mind. Regularly finishes near the winner.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #5 UNION APPRECIATION to win if we can get at least 7/5 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,5]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 70

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 27 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 STAY LEGENDARY 7/5




# 4 CHIEF EAGLE EYE 2/1




# 1 GEOCAS STREET 12/1




STAY LEGENDARY looks to be a quite good contender. He has a good opportunity here as trainer, Mendoza, has sharp win clip with horses going this distance. Has been running strongly lately and will almost certainly be on or close to the front end early on. Have to suppose this horse will make a good impression following the quick turnaround. CHIEF EAGLE EYE - Displays the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 67 Equibase Speed Fig which is one of the best in this group. Should definitely be given consideration in this event if only for the very good speed fig put up in the last race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Hawthorne - Race #1 - Post: 12:55pm - Maiden Special - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 79

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 DREAM KEEPER (ML=5/2)


DREAM KEEPER - Boyce brings him back again. I propose you stick with this live gelding. This horse has the pace, and no one may be able to keep up with him.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 FLASHY RICHIE (ML=7/2), #9 DECEITFUL ANTHONY (ML=5/1), #7 MARTINI BLU (ML=6/1),

FLASHY RICHIE - Doesn't look to be worth 7/2 today. Pass on him this time. DECEITFUL ANTHONY - Trying to beat this one this time around at the price of 5/1. MARTINI BLU - I'm predicting a less than stellar go of it out of him this time.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - DREAM KEEPER - Having the best speed fig last race of 83 at Hawthorne on December 5th. This gelding has an excellent chance to win here.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #5 DREAM KEEPER to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

5 with [2,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip