Friday 1/1/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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Football Jesus sent FREE bowl pick : Georgia Bulldogs -pts

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Kevin Dolan Event: (331) Notre Dame at (332) Alabama
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: January 1, 2021 4PM EST
Play: Alabama -19.5 (-115)
PLAY: ALABAMA -19.5

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Bob Valentino

Let's get after it early here on Friday, January 1st.

Last game of the 4 bowl games here on New Year's Day and it happens to be national semifinal # 2 which is a rematch of last year's semifinals between Ohio State and Clemson.

Last year was a thriller that ended 29-23 in favor of the Tigers. It was a game that held Under the total. These programs also met in the playoffs back in 2016 and that game ended 31-0 in favor of the Tigers in a game that also landed Under the total.

Have you heard the expression "third time is the charm"? Well, I do indeed like this third playoff meeting between the teams to also land Under the total.

The Buckeyes played just 6 games this season and while they went 3-2-1 Over the total, the Bucks last game against Northwestern in the Big Ten Title Game saw just 32 combined points in OSU's 22-10 win that easily held Under the total.

It's been a limited sample-size, but the Buckeyes are only allowing 21 points per game on the season and while containing Trevor Lawrence and the explosive Clemson offense will be a task, I do not think the Tigers are going out there tonight in the Superdome and scoring 50-plus points.

Clemson comes into this semifinal game having just held Notre Dame to a lowly 10 points in their 34-10 ACC Championship domination of the Irish that did hold Under the total.

The Tigers are a slight 6-5 Over the total for the year, but their last pair of games have both landed Under the total and their defense has allowed 17 points or less in 3 straight and in 5 of their last 8 games overall.

Points will be scored tonight, just not enough to head Over the total.

Ohio State-Clemson to land Under in 'Nawlins on Friday night.

3* OHIO STATE-CLEMSON UNDER

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Trace Adams

Because this is a COVID-19 season in the NBA, schedules have been altered and adjusted and once again we have the Lakers and the Spurs playing one another. Normally this would be the back end of a home-and-home, but tonight they will once again be playing in San Antonio.

I honestly do not think playing on the same floor some 48 hours later is going to alter the end result we saw on Wednesday night when the Lakers led by 8 points after one, by 10 points at the break, 10 points after 3 quarters and wound up winning by 14 points which was good for both the win and the cover.

The win upped LA to just 3-2 straight up this season, but with a chance to dominate San Antonio again tonight, I see Frank Vogel's club making it 4-2 on the season with another win and cover at the Spurs expense.

With Wednesday's win and cover, the Lakers have won and more importantly have COVERED each of the last 4 series meetings against Coach Pop's team.

Los Angeles happens to be the defending NBA champs and this year's team with the addition of Marc Gasol in the middle and Dennis Schroder at guard not to mention 6th man supreme Montrezl Harrell are ALL making immediate, positive effects.

Second meeting in 3 days, but no change in the outcome.

Play the Lakers minus the points.

2* L.A. LAKERS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hollywood Sports (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/hollywood-sports) - NCAAF - Fri, Jan 01 at 12:00 PM
FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR FRIDAY, 1/1: Cincinnati vs Georgia
Cincinnati vs Georgia Over 51.5 (-108) (BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=220&des=4&AffUrlID=1314&LandingPageID=1))

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The first play on my cut list for 2021 is with Over the Total in the Peach Bowl between Georgia and Cincinnati. Georgia (7-2) followed up their 45-16 win at South Carolina with a 49-14 win at Missouri on December 12th to close out their regular season. The Bulldogs are scoring 41.7 PPG while averaging 498.3 YPG in their last three games under QB J.T. Daniels since he took over under center. He is averaging 10.4 Yards-Per-Attempt this season. Georgia has played 15 of their last 21 games away from home Over the Total after winning two straight games against SEC foes by at least 10 points. The Bulldogs have also played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Cincinnati (9-0) won the American Athletic Conference Championship Game with their 27-24 win against Tulsa on December 19th. The Bearcats have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Cincinnati has averaged 518.3 YPG over their last three games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after averaging at least 475 YPG over their last three games. Take the Over. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/sean-murphy) - NCAAF - Fri, Jan 01 at 1:00 PM
Sean Murphy's Friday CFB Winner Auburn vs Northwestern
Auburn vs Northwestern Under 43.5 (-108) (BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=220&des=4&AffUrlID=1314&LandingPageID=1))

Friday CFB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Auburn and Northwestern at 1 pm et on Friday. This game features two of the best defenses we'll see during Bowl season as perennial SEC power Auburn takes on Big Ten upstart Northwestern. Of course, the Wildcats gave Ohio State all it could handle in the Big Ten championship game and should also make life difficult for the Tigers on Friday. Auburn checks in ranked 79th in the nation in points per play - not an impressive standing by any means, but the Tigers are actually significantly better than the Wildcats in that department, with Northwestern sitting 105th. Only three teams have been better than Northwestern in terms of points allowed per play this season. Auburn is a respectable 31st in that category. Both of these teams have a good idea of what they are at this point of the season. Expect points to come at a premium on Friday afternoon. Take the under (8*).

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Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 1/1/21 January 1, 2021
Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies

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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

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View Today’s Santa Anita Workout Report (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/workout-analysis-santa-anita-2021-01-01.pdf)

View Today’s Santa Anita Day Makers (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/DM210101B.mp4)

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RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B+
Single: 6-Three Ay Em

Forecast: Three Ay Em is a genuine and consistent veteran with excellent form over the Santa Anita turf course and looks capable of producing the last run in this 10-furlong first-level allowance affair for older horses. The E. Truman-trained son of New Year’s Day (that’s today!) continues to train like a happy horse, and in a race that probably will be slowly run early he should be able to secure a good second-flight position and then have every chance to seal the deal when it matters. He’s 3-1 on the morning line and at that price offers good value in the win pool and as a rolling exotic single.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:02 PT Grade: B-
Use:3-Noble Contessa; 6-Paige Runner

Forecast: Freshened since May, Noble Contessa has trained well enough to be fit and ready for M. McCarthy (powerful stats with layoff runners) and from inside post under J. Rosario the daughter of Noble Mission is a strong candidate to take this $25,000 claiming field gate to wire. A two-time winner at this one mile trip, she’s clearly a need-the-lead type and projects to inherit that type of trip. Paige Runner moves up three levels on the class ladder after a pair of dominating wins, most recently at Los Alamitos with a career top number that makes her the one to fear most. She’ll likely settle into a pace-stalking position and then try to exert her superiority from the quarter pole home. We’ll give Noble Contessa the edge on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 3: Post: 1:32 PT Grade: B+
Use: 1-Nurse Goodbody; 5-Translate

Forecast: Nurse Goodbody flashed ability in her debut last March when closing strongly but too late in a turf sprint over this course that produced a career top speed figure. She’s been routing ever since – somewhat unsuccessfully – and today (finally) returns to a one-turn event that should (finally) bring out her best. The daughter of Kitten’s Joy lands the good rail, adds blinkers for the first time, and has shown good spark in recent a.m. preps to have her primed for a major effort. At 8-1 on the morning line she’s a “must” play while recognizing that New York shipper Translate, the deserved morning line favorite at 9/5, could be hard to catch. The daughter of Tonalist is lightly-raced with rising speed figures and can be dangerous on the lead or from off the pace. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have extra tickets keying Nurse Goodbody on top.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:05 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Eternal Endeavor; 7-Just Grace

Forecast: Eternal Endeavor drops to what should be her winning level, and from the rail and with the switch to F. Prat there should be no excuses for the L. Powell-trained mare in this $12,500 claiming miler for fillies and mares. In the frame in all five of her previous outings over the local main track, the English-bred 7-year-old projects to draft into a comfortable second flight, ground-saving position and then go on with it when asked. Just Grace stretches out and surely will try gate-to-wire tactics. She’s suspect at the trip, but if the P, Miller-trained mare can get over from her outside draw without having to be used hard she may be able to wire the field. A four-time winner from just 10 career starts, the daughter of Graydar gets a huge break in the weights with the switch to bug girl J. Pyfer. Both should be used in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 5: Post: 2:35 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Follow the Lute; 6-Midnight Mystery

Forecast: Here’s a rarely carded restricted maiden optional claimer ($50,00) for older horses that came up light in quality. The B. Baffert-trained Midnight Mystery shows up for a tag and is fast enough on numbers to handle this assignment with anything close to his best effort. He projects to get loose on the lead and get brave, though at 9/5 on the morning line and liable to go lower he’ll probably not offer much wagering value. Follow the Lute finished a respectable second when debuting in a maiden $20,000 sprint at Del Mar in mid-November, and this raise in class can be taken as a sign of confidence. The son of Midnight Lute almost certainly will produce a forward move, the question is, how much? We’ll have tickets using both in our rolling exotics with ‘Mystery the logical top pick and one to beat.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:03 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Star Racer; 7-Queen’s Code

Forecast: We’ll try to survive and advance using just two in this state-bred maiden sprint for older horses, but if you find the need to go a little deeper, go right ahead. Queen’s Code didn’t run badly in his debut at Del Mar when finishing a willing third after a wide trip sprinting on grass and seems certain to improve for a barn that usually does very well with the second-time starter angle. The switch to dirt shouldn’t be an issue, so with M. Smith riding him back the son of Desert Code looks well-placed to graduate. Bay Area shipper Star Racer showed a bit of run in a pair of third place all-weather performances last fall and ships down from Golden Gate Fields following a healthy series of recent workouts. The rail may not do him any favors but the son of Vronsky picks up J. Rosario and really won’t have to improve much to be a strong contender in a soft field.
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RACE 7: Post: 3:32 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Hembree; 7-Wildman Jack

Forecast: No Lasix for any of the runners in the Joe Hernandez S. so you may want to tread lightly. Wildman Jack won without bleeder medication in a valuable graded sprint stakes in Dubai last year so he may be not be inconvenienced. The Goldencents gelding also won the Daytona S.-G3 over the local lawn last spring and didn’t run badly at all when cutting out the fractions and leading at the furlong pole before understandably weakening to wind up seventh in the Breeders’ Cup Turf Spring-G1 at Keeneland in November. Freshened and working well, the D. O’Neill-trained veteran appears the best of the pace types and will take them a long way. Hembree is the most accomplished of the closers, and if he gets sufficient help up front the P. Miller-trained son of Proud Citizen could pay quick dividends after being claimed for $62,500 at Churchill Downs last time out. He’s a fit on numbers, attracts J. Rosario, and will be charging in the final furlong.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:01 PT Grade: C+
Use: 1-El Diablo Rojo; 2-Eel Point; 3-Let’s Rejoyce

Forecast: This is a treacherous affair – a starter optional claimer – and no result would surprise us. There appears to be a ton of speed signed on, so the closers will have a chance in case of a pace meltdown. Eel Point is an intriguing Keeneland shipper now in the P. Miller barn, and while he may not have had a lot behind him in his eight-length maiden claiming win last time out the son of Into Mischief did it the right way while earning a competitive speed figure with this bunch. Assuming he continues his improving pattern – and a nice recent local workout gives hope that he will – the lightly-raced gelding should be heard from in the final furlong. El Diablo Rojo is another dangerous closer in his first outing since July. A maiden claiming winner from off the pace last time out, the C. Lewis-trained gelding retains F. Prat and is certain to receive the patient ride he clearly wants. Let’s Rejoyce has hit the board in each of his last four starts and should be in the fray once again. On numbers he’s a fit but his only win came in gate to wire fashion and we’re wondering if such a trip is attainable in a field with a few other front-running types.
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RACE 9: Post: 3:17 PT Grade: C+
Use: 4-Harbored Memories; 6-Amanofmystature; 8-Rock Your World; 11-Butkus

Forecast: This grass grab bag has a number of legitimate possibilities and is another race that requires a spread in rolling exotic play. Rock Your World, a $650,000 yearling purchase by Candy Ride, has trained well enough to warrant a big look first crack out of the box, though he may not be a real quick type and may have do his best work from off the pace. Still, he seems to have potential that most of the others don’t, so with J. Rosario taking the call for J. Sadler he may be as good as any. Butkus acts has trained like a quick colt, though his stamina is suspect. He’ll probably bust out and go, and perhaps on grass his speed will carry him a long way. At 10-1 on the morning line you should include him. Woodbine shipper Amanofmystature makes his first start for P. Miller and shows a race two back – a runner-up effort in a grass sprint – that charts reasonably well. He looks like a live item under F. Prat. Harbored Memories is 15-1 on the morning line and is another that seems worth some consideration at a price. He’s been training forever, or so it seems, but his recent drills look promising. We suspect he’ll be passing at least a few of them in the final furlong.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Edzo's Friday New Year's Day Spot Plays December 31, 2020 | By Eddie Olczyk
Wishing you the happiest New Year for 2021. Let's start off with a few nice-price tickets to cash!

AQUEDUCT // RACE 3 (12:50PM ET) // CLAIMING // 6-1/2 FURLONGS (DIRT)
#9 HOORAY FOR HARVEY (15/1 ML)

Longshot caught a dead rail last time when trying to go wire-to-wire and lost steam. Shortens up in distance and I'm hoping for a fast track Friday to help the rebound.


FAIR GROUNDS // RACE 4 (3:27PM ET) // CLAIMING // 7-1/2 FURLONGS (TURF)
#11 LONGLEGGEDLAVERNE (8/1 ML)

Though she's had 4 starts on grass and not hit the board yet, she's had a few bad posts sprinkled in. While not a great post today, I'm looking for her to trip out. We need the jock to get a good spot out of the gate and save some ground. There seems to be enough speed in this race for her to close into.


SANTA ANITA // RACE 7 (6:32PM ET) // G2 JOE HERNANDEZ STAKES // 6-1/2 FURLONGS (TURF)
#8 CHAOS THEORY (4/1 ML)

So far on this extended, 1-turn grass turf course, you've got to be close to the lead. Chaos Theory is a classy horse and a great claim by John Sadler. If he's close enough early, he's the one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday, January 1: Frank Carulli's Stronach 5 Picks December 31, 2020 | By Frank Carulli
Former Maryland Jockey Club oddsmaker Frank Carulli lends his insights into the Stronach 5 each week, a national $1 pick five wager matching races across the 1/ST family of racetracks.

LEG A // LAUREL PARK, RACE 8 (3:55PM ET) // OPTIONAL CLAIMING // 5 1/2 FURLONGS (DIRT)

JOVIS won at 6F off a seven-week layoff, prompting and out-dueling the 5-2 pace setter. He holds a tactical edge over his main rivals and trainer Gary Capuano's runners hold their good form. BELLE TAPISSERIE, favored in his last three starts, settled far off the pace and didn't threaten Jovis, but he could change tactics off the claim and reverse the outcome.

LEG B // GULFSTREAM PARK, RACE 9 (4:11PM ET) // JANUS STAKES // 5 FURLONGS (TURF)

IMPRIMIS, a lightlty-raced but highly productive 7-year-old, posted 101 Beyers in a pair of stakes victories off longer layoffs than today. EXTRAVAGANT KID, a multiple G2-placed turf sprinter in the fall, also benefits from a projected lively pace flow.

LEG C // LAUREL PARK, RACE 9 (4:25PM ET) // MAIDEN CLAIMING // 1 1/16 MILES (DIRT)

RYE STREET made a middle move to the lead before flattening out and enters a high-percentage claim barn with little to beat. LADY FOX took late money on the stretchout from a sprint but ran into traffic as the beaten favorite.

LEG D // SANTA ANITA PARK, RACE 3 (4:32PM ET) // MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT // 6 FURLONGS (TURF)

NAANSENSE makes good sense as a live longshot to use. Her dam was 3-7 and a $99k earner on the grass and her half brother, Streakin' Mohican ($380k), blazed 1:07.24 to a Hollywood Park course record when Bill Spawr trained him, then shaved 1:09 when current trainer Doug O'Neill handled him. TRANSLATE, part of the string brought west by New York-based Robert Falcone, proved talented and versatile when finishing second in all three starts on the turf. SWEET DEVIL, whose dam was 4-10 on turf, could appreciate the cutback in distance after she lacked stretch kick in several well-backed starts.

LEG E // GULFSTREAM PARK, RACE 10 (4:42PM ET) // CASH RUN STAKES // 1 MILE (DIRT)

ADIOS TRIPPI repelled a next-out MSW winner en route to a 32-1 upset in her first route attempt. She returns three months later with a solid work tab for a 24-percent, new acquisition barn. SHEA D SUMMER blazed to a 6-1/2F stakes victory against Florida breds in the slop and is strictly the one to beat. HONORIFIQUE broke his maiden from post 12 in a similar one-turn mile at Churchill Downs and has enough speed to get in good stalking postion from the outside.

SUGGESTED $1 TICKET

LEG A: 2, 3
LEG B: 4, 7
LEG C: 5, 8
LEG D: 4, 5, 6
LEG E: 1, 3, 9

TICKET COST: $72

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Laurel Park - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#2 Toy
Has plenty of upside off the comeback run, and he's got good tactical pace in a race where a first-over style might work well. Best stuff would do.


#1 The Poser
He's quick enough to avoid any early troubles from the rail draw, and he has cleared his open N1X condition, so he probably won't linger at this state-bred N1X level very long.


#3 Mr Thrifty
He's the clear one to beat, but the price is going to be short. The versatile form is nothing to scoff at, but really all we know so far is that he's really good at Parx. Worth trying to beat in the local debut.


Race Summary
Toy should get a tactical run behind a modest sort of pace, and he's right there if he takes a step forward in this second start off the bench.


Laurel Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#1 Trip to Freedom
One of many in here getting Lasix for the first time, she backed up quickly last time out when trying stakes company. She has back races that would handle these, but those last two weren't much. Demand a fair price.


#2 Mischiefs Model
She's getting a bit of a class test here on the step up, but she is a reliable pressing/spying type that should make her own trip again from close range. I'd want something a bit better than the 5/2 ML offering.


#7 Kewpie Doll
Finisher has been a non-threatening second in the two most recent starts, but she might need a touch more pace than she's likely to get in here.


Race Summary
Trip to Freedom is a tough read, but she comes out of a tougher spot and owns a couple of races in the past that would probably make short work of this group. Risk/reward lines up right around the 9/2 ML price for me, maybe 4/1.


Laurel Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#8 Factor It In
Tactical speed draws well on the outside, and while those last few races last year weren't anything to write home about, he has historically been good here. This is a softer spot than any of the last three tries, too. Fires fresh?


#3 Still Having Fun
He has been facing nothing but stakes company -- often graded -- for some time, so this will represent a pretty substantial drop in class for him. Still, he's not really any better than these on paper, but there is a real chance he'll wake up here.


#2 Speightsford
He's quick early and should be able to hassle the rail runner the entire way. This trip should suit him well, and he seemed to rediscover his better form in that November try.


Race Summary
Factor It In has had some time off after a few dull races with better, and there is a chance he returns with a good effort over a course he thrives on.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Freehold - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#6 MSAMRCASWEETHART
Tries to continue winning ways in first U.S. start.


#1 SOMETHING REEL
Blew clear stretch lead at comparable level at Yonkers.


#7 LEMON ZEST
Packed late kick against better in December, lack of pace a concern.


Race Summary
Msamrcasweethart arrives from Australia with a 6-12 record and a winning qualifier at the Meadowlands. Expecting a strong rally at a good price. Play a 6-ALL exacta.


Freehold - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 TWIN B FRIENDLY
Left too much work to do in latest, post switch makes all the difference.


#6 LIVE AND LET DI
Romped at this level after 9-2 shot broke stride, Brennan will be sending.


#3 HURRIKANESKY
Faded on tiring track, won prior start at this level.


Race Summary
Twin B Friendly trailed through the opening half, sustained a 3-wide bid through the turn and finished willingly. She figures much closer to the pace from the rail and gets the nod.


Freehold - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#6 JACKS TO OPEN
Hit board in 8 of 13 as a 10yo, starts fresh after three weeks idle.


#4 KEYSTONE ORION
First or second in 4 of last 5, takes catching at a short price.


#1 GW BRUTE MUSCLE
Chased 2-to-5 winner around the track for third second in a row.


Race Summary
Jacks To Open took money coming out of amateur driver races but broke stride. He moves inside out but is worth a price stab in lieu of his 47th victory.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#7 Extravagant Kid
Was fourth, just a length behind winner Glass Slippers in the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint; has been running well vs. top company and is now stranger to the winner's circle at GP, having won a trio of races. He's edging closer to the $1 million mark in earnings.


#4 Imprimis
Won two of three in 2020 and his only failure came in the Breeders Cup Turf Sprint -- a forgivable offense. He's four of four at Gulfstream and has worked well since his last race.


#3 Sayyaaf
Won two back and makes his second start for the reed-hot Pletcher barn; tough out front.


Race Summary
Extravagant Kid has won seven races at this distance and has the late pop to get it done here.


Gulfstream Park - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#9 Honorifique
Won at this one-turn mile last out at Churchill; getting better and looks stronger the farther she goes.


#5 Lucifers Lair
Was an impressive maiden winner and then gave way in the G2 Adirondack at Saratoga; can be a factor from the beginning.


#6 Quinoa Tifah
Was an easy winner in the Our Dear Page in her latest on the GP main track; lightly races but has been willing to get into the mix at as soon as possible.


Race Summary
Honorifique was impressive in a maiden win in her fourth attempt and can close against a mostly speedy group.


Gulfstream Park - Race #11


Picks
Notes


#4 Tracy Ann's Legacy
Does well when she gets the lead early and rider Zayas is usually an asset when it comes to that approach; fits in his spot.


#6 Miss Auramet
Has won three straight over three different tracks and is a two-time winner over this course; willing to mix it up with these.


#9 Jakarta
Has been a pace factor in the vast majority of her races but actually came from just off the pace for the win last time; was third in a Grade 3 at Keeneland three races back.


Race Summary
Tracy Ann's Legacy is quick enough to get to the lead and once she is tough to catch; faces fast rivals and will have to dig in late.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Tampa Bay Downs



Tampa Bay Downs - Race 7

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 7-8-9) / Super High 5



Maiden Special • 1 1/8 Miles • Turf • Age 3 • CR: 88 • Purse: $22,500 • Post: 3:46P


FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. (PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HORSES WHICH HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $25,000. THE SAME PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HORSES WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR LESS THAN $25,000 AND SINCE THEN HAVE FINISHED 2ND OR 3RD FOR $25,000 OR MORE.).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Stalker. TAPWOOD is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TAPWOOD: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has a 4F workout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. HABITUS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in a verage Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



7

TAPWOOD

9/2


5/2




1

HABITUS

7/2


7/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




7

TAPWOOD

7


9/2

Stalker

74


61


89.9


80.2


75.2




8

KAYAKER

8


8/1

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


35.1


59.7


50.7




5

COMMANDEER

5


15/1

Trailer

78


63


70.2


55.0


44.5




1

HABITUS

1


7/2

Trailer

86


70


54.3


67.3


62.3




9

ROMP

9


10/1

Trailer

78


59


31.8


58.7


47.7




2

CONNAGH'S QUAY

2


3/1

Alternator/Trailer

0


0


53.3


68.7


64.2




3

BUGLE OF WAR

3


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


60.7


60.7


51.2























Unknown Running Style: FUTURE VICTORY (6/1) [Jockey: Batista Jose A - Trainer: Pletcher Todd A], SUMMER SILENCE (5/1) [Jockey: Camacho Samy - Trainer: Clement Christophe].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero



Camarero - Race 7

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double 7-8



Stakes • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 74 • Purse: $36,000 • Post: 5:30P


CLASICO VERSET JET S. - CLASICO VERSET JET.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * ALWAY'S COMERIO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. IMNOGOOD: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LOVELY DANA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. OUT PARK: Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.



1

ALWAY'S COMERIO

2/1


4/1




2

IMNOGOOD

6/5


5/1




7

LOVELY DANA

7/2


9/1




4

OUT PARK

10/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




8

RESISTENCIA

8


9/2

Front-runner

58


57


82.5


44.5


30.5




4

OUT PARK

4


10/1

Front-runner

63


68


76.9


64.6


58.1




2

IMNOGOOD

2


6/5

Front-runner

64


79


76.3


69.8


65.8




5

LADY ALEXANDRIA

5


5/1

Front-runner

48


68


75.0


48.5


35.0




3

CAPTURED PRIZE

3


3/1

Front-runner

59


60


73.1


61.1


53.6




1

ALWAY'S COMERIO

1


2/1

Stalker

74


74


67.9


69.8


66.8




6

LADY AKIRAH

6


10/1

Stalker

57


55


58.2


54.6


42.1




7

LOVELY DANA

7


7/2

Trailer

68


71


40.2


60.2


51.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Stronach 5 - Race #3 - Post: 4:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 72

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 LADY FOX (ML=3/1)


LADY FOX - Just check out her recent fig, 61. That one fits well in this bunch. While the finish was disappointing, this horse made a good stretch move last time out at Laurel. Should do much better right here. EPS (earnings per start) is something that I believe can be a very key factor. This horse is ranked at the very top in this bunch. This filly gets a weight break of -7 pounds from last race. Should make the difference today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 RYE STREET (ML=5/2), #7 ZOLA B (ML=9/2), #3 ABILIFY (ML=8/1),

RYE STREET - I don't normally play a favorite that hasn't been to the track in the last three weeks. ZOLA B - 59/54/19, are the deteriorating speed ratings for this entrant. Will not be easy for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put her on the vulnerable competitors list. ABILIFY - This mare has already been defeated as the public's choice back to back. Hard to give her another chance.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #5 LADY FOX to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $47000 Class Rating: 94

FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 7 GEAR JOCKEY 7/5




# 4 THE ANGRY MAN 5/2




# 2 EAGERLY 3/1




GEAR JOCKEY has a competitive shot to take this race. With Ortiz getting the mount, watch out for this racer. Will probably go to the lead and might never look back. Should be given a chance - I like the figures from the last competition. THE ANGRY MAN - Is difficult not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figs which have been competitive - 87 avg - of late. Posted a solid speed rating last time out. EAGERLY - Has run quite well when racing a turf route race. This gelding gets a boost with Lopez in the saddle.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Fair Grounds



01/01/21, FG, Race 6, 3.25 CT
01/01/21,FG,6,5 1/2F [Turf About] 1:01:03 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000 (includes up to $4,000 Other Sources) (plus up to $3,000 ALBSS-Accredited LA Bred Slot Supplement). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Since November 1 Allowed 2 lbs. A race since then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $17,500, if for $15,000, allowed 2 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at 5 and 1/2 Furlongs.) (Rail at 15 feet).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
9
O'L Red
8/1
Arrieta F
Gonzalez Isai V.
JL
152
30.92
1.47/$1


099.8665
4
Western Trouble
8/1
Graham J
Scherer Gary M.
W
152
30.92
1.47/$1


099.1666
12
Pat Daddy
9/2
Suarez A
Davis Christopher


152
30.92
1.47/$1


098.4258
5
Eden Grey's Kitten
8/1
Murrill M
Flint Steven B.
C
152
30.92
1.47/$1


097.8601
11
Hotfoot
4/1
Bridgmohan S
Shirer Matt A.
F
152
30.92
1.47/$1


095.0639
8
Dowse's Beach
5/1
Geroux F
Maker Michael J.
E
152
30.92
1.47/$1


094.9769
2
Lynchburg
9/2
Mena M
Calhoun W. Bret
T
199
29.65
1.33/$1


092.5236
7
Hitters Park
4/1
Pedroza M
Foley Gregory D.


152
30.92
1.47/$1


092.2728
3
Catalogue
10/1
Saez G
Lovell Michelle
S
199
29.65
1.33/$1


092.0793
1
Richard's Boy
5/1
Hernandez. Jr. B J
Asmussen Steven M.


152
30.92
1.47/$1


088.9502
6
More Abundance
20/1
Beschizza A
Sharp Joe


152
30.92
1.47/$1


088.5043
10
Bye Bye Birdstone
8/1
Hernandez C J
Broberg Karl


152
30.92
1.47/$1


Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 30.16, ROI 1.40/$1
. . . .
100.0000 9 O'L Red
[Category]Condition
[AllTurf]LastRaceWeightIsNotLessThanToday
If Race Is Off Turf Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
11
Hotfoot
4/1
Bridgmohan S
Shirer Matt A.
F
161
33.54
1.30/$1


099.3776
7
Hitters Park
4/1
Pedroza M
Foley Gregory D.


179
34.64
1.25/$1


098.9107
2
Lynchburg
9/2
Mena M
Calhoun W. Bret
T
161
33.54
1.30/$1


098.2812
12
Pat Daddy
9/2
Suarez A
Davis Christopher


179
34.64
1.25/$1


098.0879
8
Dowse's Beach
5/1
Geroux F
Maker Michael J.
E
161
33.54
1.30/$1


097.9760
9
O'L Red
8/1
Arrieta F
Gonzalez Isai V.
JL
161
33.54
1.30/$1


097.8806
1
Richard's Boy
5/1
Hernandez. Jr. B J
Asmussen Steven M.


161
33.54
1.30/$1


097.7112
10
Bye Bye Birdstone
8/1
Hernandez C J
Broberg Karl


179
34.64
1.25/$1


096.7054
5
Eden Grey's Kitten
8/1
Murrill M
Flint Steven B.
C
161
33.54
1.30/$1


096.1128
4
Western Trouble
8/1
Graham J
Scherer Gary M.
W
161
33.54
1.30/$1


094.8788
3
Catalogue
10/1
Saez G
Lovell Michelle
S
59
18.64
1.39/$1


094.0447
6
More Abundance
20/1
Beschizza A
Sharp Joe


179
34.64
1.25/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.54, ROI 0.78/$1
. . . .
100.0000 11 Hotfoot
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]LastRaceIsNotSameSurfaceAsToday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 77

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 1, 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 6 THE PET 4/1




# 7 BELLIGERENT 4/1




# 2 C C THE BARTENDER 5/2




THE PET has a competitive shot to take this race. This mare with Ordunarojas in the irons makes her a contender. With Ordunarojas in the saddle guiding her, this mare will most likely be able to break out quickly in here. The speed figure of 75 from her last affair looks respectable in here. BELLIGERENT - Uranga has a sharp win percentage with horses moving in dirt sprint races. Ought to be given a chance in this competition if only for the quite good Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last race. C C THE BARTENDER - Stortz makes a blinkers change (going off today), looking for better results. Has respectable Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager for this event.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Jan 01 '21, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Cincinnati vs Georgia
Play on: Georgia -7½ -110 at Mirage

Free Pick on Georgia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Jan 01 '21, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Cincinnati vs Georgia
Play on: Cincinnati +8 +102 at pinnacle

1* on Cincinnati +8 +102

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer Jan 01 '21, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Cincinnati vs Georgia
Play on: OVER 51 -110

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR FRIDAY, 1/1:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The first play on my cut list for 2021 is with Over the Total in the Peach Bowl between Georgia and Cincinnati. Georgia (7-2) followed up their 45-16 win at South Carolina with a 49-14 win at Missouri on December 12th to close out their regular season. The Bulldogs are scoring 41.7 PPG while averaging 498.3 YPG in their last three games under QB J.T. Daniels since he took over under center. He is averaging 10.4 Yards-Per-Attempt this season. Georgia has played 15 of their last 21 games away from home Over the Total after winning two straight games against SEC foes by at least 10 points. The Bulldogs have also played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Cincinnati (9-0) won the American Athletic Conference Championship Game with their 27-24 win against Tulsa on December 19th. The Bearcats have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Cincinnati has averaged 518.3 YPG over their last three games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after averaging at least 475 YPG over their last three games. Take the Over. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Jan 01 '21, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Cincinnati vs Georgia
Play on: OVER 52 -110

FREE PLAY on Cincinnati/Georgia over 52 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach Jan 01 '21, 12:30 PM in 1h
Soccer | West Ham United vs Everton
Play on: West Ham United 0½ -115 at Mirage

WEST HAM +1/2 goal -115 - The Hammers have lost only 5 times in their 16 matches this season. In other words, odds are quite strong that West Ham United will pick up at least a draw here if not a win. That said, having the +1/2 goal on our side could prove very beneficial. I know that Everton has been hot but their most recent premier league match was cancelled due to their opponents coronavirus situation. That could cost them some momentum and, additionally, they my have lost a little momentum/confidence with a 2-0 loss to Manchester United in English Carabao Cup competition. There has been a little movement on the money line towards West Ham even though they are winless in their last 4 league matches while Everton is a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 league matches. That tells you that some sharps are seeing the same thing I am seeing in this one. That is, given the situation, the Hammers are absolutely a live dog in this one. WEST HAM +1/2 goal -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Bowl Week

Jan 1

Peach Bowl (Atlanta)
Cincinnati (9-0) vs Georgia (7-2)
— Cincinnati last two wins: 36-33 vs UCF, 27-24 vs Tulsa.
— Bearcats threw ball for 961 yards in their last three games.
— Bearcats have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Cincinnati has 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cincy’s junior QB has 34 career starts.
— Under Fickell, Cincinnati is 10-5 ATS as an underdog.
— Bearcats won their last two bowls, 35-31/38-6

— Georgia won four of its last five games, scoring 41.7 ppg in last three.
— Dawgs gave up 41-44 points in losses to Alabama/Florida.
— Dawgs have 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Georgia has 39 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Dawgs’ QB is a transfer from USC (5 starts)
— Georgia’s last six games went over the total.
— Dawgs won four of their last six bowl games.

Citrus Bowl (Orlando)
Northwestern (6-2) vs Auburn (6-4)
— Northwestern lost two of its last three games, after a 5-0 start.
— Wildcats have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Northwestern has 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Northwestern has a senior QB with 30 career starts.
— Wildcats were +8 in turnovers in first five games, are minus-5 in last three.
— Seven of eight Northwestern games stayed under total.
— Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Northwestern won last three bowls, scoring 31-24-31 points.

— Auburn lost two of last three games, fired their coach.
— Tigers scored 32.7 ppg in their wins; 6-22-13-20 in losses.
— Auburn gave up 437+ yards six of last nine games.
— Tigers have 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Auburn has 56 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers have a soph QB with 23 career starts.
— Auburn is 4-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Auburn lost three of its last four bowl games.

Rose Bowl (Arlington, TX)
Alabama (11-0) vs Notre Dame (10-1)
— Alabama won one game this year by less than 17 points.
— Alabama did give up 46 points, 408 PY in last game, vs Florida
— Crimson Tide has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Alabama has 63 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bama’s junior QB has made 14 starts.
— Alabama covered seven of its last eight games overall.
— Alabama is 5-2 in last seven bowls (both losses to Clemson).

— Notre Dame lost 34-10 to Clemson after winning its first ten games.
— When ND beat Clemson 47-40 Nov 7th, Trevor Lawrence didn’t play.
— Notre Dame has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Notre Dame has 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Notre Dame’s senior QB has made 34 career starts.
— Notre Dame is 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as an underdog.
— Notre Dame won three of its last five bowls.

Sugar Bowl (New Orleans)
Ohio State (6-0) vs Clemson (10-1)
— Ohio State scored 38+ points in five of their six games.
— Buckeyes ran ball for 307-322-399 yards in last three games.
— Buckeyes have 6 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— OSU has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ohio State’s junior QB has started 19 games.
— Since 2013, Buckeyes are 2-1 ATS as an underdog.
— OSU won three of last five bowls (both losses vs Clemson)

— Tigers’ OC Elliott will miss this game (COVID)
— Clemson won its last three games, scoring 52-45-34 points.
— Clemson ran ball for 238-219 yards in its last two games.
— Clemson has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Tigers have 17 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Clemson’s junior QB has made 35 starts.
— Six of their last eight games went over the total.
— Clemson won five of its last seven bowls.

— Clemson won last two meetings, 31-0/29-23.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

331NOTRE DAME -332 ALABAMA
ALABAMA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. in the current season.

333OHIO ST -334 CLEMSON
CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
NBA – Celtics over 213


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
CBB – Rice +2.5


3.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
CBB – Western Kentucky -7


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Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
CBB – Old Dominion pk


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Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
NBA – Spurs +5.5


6.
Point Spread Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CBB – UL Monroe -2.5


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Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com/lou-big-play-panelli/)
CBB – Cal Santa Barbara over 138


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Gerry “Big Cat” Andino (https://www.nsawins.com/gerry-big-cat-andino/)
CBB – Akron -3


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VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
NBA – Hawks +6


10.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/william-e-stockton/)
CBB – Southern Miss over 126.5


11.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
CBB – UL Lafayette -3.5


12.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/steve-scoop-kendall/)
CBB – Wright St -7


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SCORE (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CBB – Georgia Southern -3.5


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East Coast Line Movers (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
NBA – Grizzlies over 219.5


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Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
CBB – Rider -2.5


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CBB – Marist +2.5


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Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
CBB – Robert Morris -2.5


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VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
NBA – Suns +4


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South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
CBB – Wisc Green Bay +7


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CBB – Canisius +4


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NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
NBA – Mavericks +1


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Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
CBB – Western Kentucky -7


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Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
NBA – Bulls +14.5


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
CBB – Old Dominion pk


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CBB – Southern Miss over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Jan 01 '21, 1:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Auburn vs Northwestern
Play on: Northwestern -4 -110 at Mirage

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Northwestern -4
The Northwestern Wildcats are excited to be playing in the Citrus Bowl after finishing second in the Big Ten to Ohio State this season. And half the battle of handicapping these bowl games is figuring out which team will be the more motivated of the two. There's no questioning Northwestern's motivation under head coach Pat Fitzgerald, who gets his teams to show up week in and week out. But there's reason to believe Auburn won't be motivated at all. They just let go of head coach Gus Malzahn, and from all reports his players liked him a lot. Now these players have to deal mentally with the realization that they are getting a new head coach that they don't even know in Bryan Harsin from Boise State. I think with the questionable motivation for Auburn, the Wildcats are rightful 4-point favorites here in a game I expect them to win by a TD or more. Give me Northwestern.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Jan 01 '21, 1:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | St. Peter's vs Canisius
Play on: Canisius +5½ -110 at Mirage

Free Play on Canisius +5½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns Jan 01 '21, 3:00 PM in 4h
Soccer | Aston Villa vs Manchester United
Play on: Manchester United -129 at pinnacle

The Red Devils are finding ways to win. I like the momentum that they bring after a late-goal victory in a hard-fought match against Wolverhampton. Villa will push forward but that will make them vulnerable and United is likely to beat them on the counter-attack. Man U has won three with one draw in the past five h2h meetings. I say the Red Devils are playing too well right now and bring too much to the table; I expect them to keep on rolling to start the year. Consider Man. U.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Jan 01 '21, 6:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-B | IUPU Ft Wayne vs Northern Kentucky
Play on: Northern Kentucky -7½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Pick on Northern Kentucky -7½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Jan 01 '21, 6:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-B | IUPU Ft Wayne vs Northern Kentucky
Play on: Northern Kentucky -7½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Northern Kentucky -7½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Jan 01 '21, 6:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-B | IUPU Ft Wayne vs Northern Kentucky
Play on: Northern Kentucky -7½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Northern Kentucky -7½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Jan 01 '21, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | Texas State vs UL - Lafayette
Play on: UL - Lafayette -2½ -112 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on UL - Lafayette -2½ -112

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Jan 01 '21, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | Old Dominion vs Florida International
Play on: Old Dominion +2 -109 at Draft Kings

1* Free Sharp Play on Old Dominion +2 -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Jan 01 '21, 8:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-B | UTEP vs Southern Miss
Play on: UNDER 127½ -110

Free Total Annihilator On UTEP vs Southern Miss under 127½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Jan 01 '21, 8:05 PM in 9h
NBA | Bulls vs Bucks
Play on: Bucks -14½ -102 at pinnacle

PICK - Milwaukee Bucks -14.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 538
I'm not afraid from laying the big number here with Milwaukee at home against Chicago. I was wrong about the Bulls losing the second of their two games at Washington last night, but that's not going to keep me from fading Chicago here.
The Bulls only two wins on the season are against the Wizards, who are clearly struggling to adjust to the addition of Westbrook. In two of their three losses they lost by 20 to the Hawks and by 19 to the Pacers. Both of those at home.
Milwaukee comes into this game sitting at 2-3 overall and off a double-digit loss at Miami. I think it's pretty safe to say the Bucks will be motivated here. In their two wins they have won by 39 over the Warriors and by 47 against the Heat. It's just not asking a lot for them to win in this spot by 15 points.
It's also worth pointing out that not only will Chicago be playing on no rest, but they got a bunch of key guys questionable, including Lauri Markkanen, Tomas Satoransky, Chandler Hutchison and Ryan Arcidiacono.
Bucks are 26-7 (79%) ATS last 33 games vs a division opponent, 32-16 (67%) ATS last 48 off a loss and 15-5 (75%) ATS last 20 off an upset loss as a road favorite. Give me Milwaukee -14.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price Jan 01 '21, 9:05 PM in 10h
NBA | Suns vs Nuggets
Play on: Nuggets -4½ -105 at pinnacle

Dave's Friday Free Play:
1* on Denver Nuggets -4.5
The Key: The Denver Nuggets will be hungry for a win tonight after opening the season 1-3. They are expected to get Jamal Murray back from injury here which will give them a big boost. And they are fresh having the last 2 days off after last playing on Tuesday. I know we will get a big effort from them, and it should be enough to cover this 4.5-point spread against the Phoenix Suns. The Suns will be playing for a 2nd straight day after winning Utah last night. Now they are in altitude for a 2nd straight day as well, which is tough for anyone. The SUns will also be playing their 5th game in 7 days. Don't be surprised if they rest some players given this tough situation already early in the season. Take Denver.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander Jan 01 '21, 9:05 PM in 10h
NBA | Suns vs Nuggets
Play on: Nuggets -4½ -110 at Bovada

1* NBA - Suns/Nuggets *FREE PICK* on Nuggets -4.5
This feels like the time to jump off the Phoenix bandwagon and lay the points with the Nuggets at home. Really tough spot here for the Suns, who after playing at Utah yesterday have to play at Denver tonight. Arguably the toughest back-to-back in the league because of the altitude. I also feel like it's a good spot to back Denver, as we should get a big time effort from the Nuggets with them sitting at 1-3 on the season. While they might not live up to what they did in the bubble over the summer, this is still a very good team. Bet Denver -4.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Jan 01 '21, 9:05 PM in 10h
NBA | Clippers vs Jazz
Play on: Clippers -3 -110 at Mirage

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Los Angeles Clippers -3
The Los Angeles Clippers are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS this season and on a mission out of the gates. They have road wins over the Lakers and Nuggets as well as blowout home wins over the Timberwolves and Blazers by 23 points apiece. Their lone loss was the crazy blowout defeat to the Mavericks that came out of nowhere and I believe has them undervalued since.
The Utah Jazz have been far from impressive this season. They are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall with an upset loss to the Timberwolves as 9-point favorites, a 1-point win over a bad Thunder team as 9-point favorites, and an 11-point home loss to the Suns as 4-point favorites.
That game against the Suns came last night, which means the Jazz will now be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, so this is a bad spot for them. Their six main rotation players all played between 28 and 37 minutes last night. They aren't a very deep team, so back-to-back situations are worse for them than most. And the Clippers are rested after having yesterday off.
The Clippers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. Los Angeles is 37-16 ATS in its last 53 games as a road favorite. The Jazz are 1-5 ATS in their last six games playing on zero days' rest. Utah is 3-13-2 ATS in its last 18 games following a SU loss. Bet the Clippers Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin Jan 01 '21, 9:05 PM in 10h
NBA | Clippers vs Jazz
Play on: Clippers -2½ -110 at BetCris

Clippers vs Jazz Free Pick January 1, 2020
Tough spot for the Utah Jazz who will be playing on no rest after taking a home loss to Phoenix on New Year's Eve. The LA Clippers have opened the season on fire, sitting on a 4-1 SU and ATS record and they defeated the Blazers by 20+ points last time out.
This almost looks too easy, but if it's a trap I'm going to fall into it.
Clippers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. Jazz are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 home games.
Free pick on Los Angeles Clippers.