Saturday 1/2/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

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http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

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College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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Race of the Week: Mucho Macho Man Stakes at Gulfstream December 31, 2020 | By Jeremy Plonk
$100,000 MUCHO MACHO MAN STAKES AT GULFSTREAM PARK
Saturday, January 2, 2021

The Lead:
We pop the cork on 2021 with Race of the Week analysis in the kickoff event toward the Florida Derby. Gulfstream Park's 3-year-old prep schedule starts in the 1-mile Mucho Macho Man Stakes, anchor event among 6 stakes and 11 races on Saturday in South Florida. Five of the last 6 winners of this race have been 5-2 or less, including heavily favored Chance It a year ago. Expect the expected.

​Field Depth:
Grade 2 winner MUTASAABEQ has the class edge coming out of a trio of graded races. PICKIN' TIME is the field's other graded winner (at the Grade 3 level). BIG THORN is a listed stakes winner, and AWESOME GLORY is listed stakes-placed. Six others will try to make their stakes mark.

Pace:
RAISON d'AIR and PAPETU are the projected early speed in posts 7 and 8. The draw isn't important so much in a 1-turn mile with a long run to the only bend; but that these 2 are alongside one another will make for a more measured pace in that they won't have to go hustling to find each other. You don't want to be too far back in this one, given the moderate pace scenario.

Our Eyes:
MUTASAABEQ really caught this eye watching Saratoga training videos at XBTV over the summer prior to his debut. He delivered nicely on dirt in that unveiling before being outrun by brilliant-early juvenile Jackie's Warrior in the Grade 1 Hopeful. A versatile pedigree in tow, trainer Todd Pletcher took advantage of the Scat Daddy on the damside of the pedigree for MUTASAABEQ and tried him on turf in the Grade 2 Bourbon. That turned out a fantastic move as this Into Mischief colt turned in his own fantastic move from the back of the pack to roar home. But he flopped in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf and now resurfaces on dirt. The jury remains out on his best surface, but we sure know he's capable on either. Keep in mind: his dam is half-sisster to $800K-earning dirt sprinter Cool Cowboy. MUTASAABEQ's workouts look fabulous for this return, easily out-working recent Tropical Park Derby third-place finisher and elder barnmate Summer to Remember.

PICKIN' TIME won the Grade 3 Nashua at Aqueduct at nearly 10-1 odds, but failed to stretch from a 1-turn mile to the 2-turn Remsen at 1-1/8 miles next out. No shame in that; he's back where he belongs around 1 turn based on his form. Pedigree says he should get more distance, so we'll see down the line. For now, Kelly Breen has him well-placed. The start will be where to watch: he's had trouble in 3 of his last 5 breaks from the gate. The long run down the backstretch can help this one recover from such a recurrence.

BIG THORN won the off-the-turf Juvenile Turf at Gulfstream Park West across town Nov. 22 in visually pleasing style. He ran energetic to the wire, but didn't gallop-out with gusto. Since then, he's got a bullet workout Dec. 19 and a less-than-pleasing Dec. 27 move on video at XBTV.com. Mixed vibes. This son of The Big Beast is out of a half-sister to $1.3 million earner Stanford, who was a graded stakes winner at Gulfstream. Expect BIG THORN to sit a good trip just behind the dueler speedsters to his inside.

AWESOME GERRY removes Lasix after a runner-up try at Delta Downs in the Jean Lafitte. He's a past winner over the track for a barn that scored this race a year ago with a much more obvious contender.

Most Certain Exotics Contender: MUTASAABEQ is training like he means business for a barn long versed in Gulfstream 3-year-old success.

​Best Longshot Exotics Contender: EASY TIME cost $250,000 as a 2YO and doesn't shine on the damside of the pedigree. These types typically are race-ready to roll, and this son of Not This Time delivered in his Woodbine debut Oct. 25. Mark Casse and Jose Ortiz are reputable connections with this type to say the least.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll): $50 exacta MUTASAABEQ over BIG THORN and PICKIN' TIME.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Pick 5 Analysis-$150,000 Guaranteed Pool January 2, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
The Meadowlands kicks-off 2021 with a $150,000 guaranteed pool for the 0.20 Pick 5 that begins in Race 1. The large guarantee was brought about because of a $46,731 carryover from last Saturday night. It would not be a surprise if the Pick 5 pool grows to twice as much as the guarantee. The wager has a 15% takeout, and the sequence will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 1

1-Machiatto A (7/2) -Just missed at 19-1 on 12/12 at this class before facing Preferred foes at Fhld and took the long way around that night. Back now at the same class as previous start. Drawing the rail should help, likes to get on the engine. Andrew McCarthy steers and could be sitting on a big try.
3-Independent One (15-1)-Taking a swing for a price after a needed start last week. Will need the right trip in 2nd race since 9/21 but could surprise if tight enough. Owns a 151 mark here and has the gate speed to be put in play early in the mile.
7-Albergo Hanover (3-1)-Qualified on 12/26 after being off since 11/15. Has 3 wins in 9 starts at the Big M and cashed 2nd place checks in the 3 other races. Best to respect, qualifier was good, owns sub-150 speed and makes 2nd start on Lasix.

Race 2

1-Bronze Yankee (8-1)-Blake Macintosh trainee finds his way to the Big M with the shutdown at Mohawk. Has banked more money in 2020 than anyone in the field except #2 and could get the pocket ride behind the program chalk. Looks like a solid price that could take a picture.
2-King Alphonos (3-1)-Comes off a very sharp qualifier with Dunn steering from the 9-hole on 12/19. Faced tough foes last year and should be bet hard. Looks like a major player but this will be the 1st start since 10/24.
4-Beyond Ordinary (9/2)-Even effort in last with trainer driving. Now, Dave Miller is between the pipes and draws well. Has hit the board in 6 of 8 races at the Big M with a picture.

Race 3

4-Haymitch (9/2)-Comes off a flat effort at Fhld and then was a sick scratch. Beat the $12,500 claimers here on 12/12. Andrew McCarthy steers and the Stallworth barn has had 29% winners in the last 30 days. Could beat this bunch at a square price if brings a big effort.
6-Rock On Line (10-1)-Needed last and now makes the 2nd start for the Hernandez barn and they have been rolling along. Dunn could find cover and work a trip from this spot. Should fit with this group and makes sense to include at the morning line price.
10-Fox Valley Nemitz (3-1)-Comes off a sharp win making every call a winning one versus this kind in last. Post could be an issue, but the inside pair could leave. Either way Joe B probably has the best horse, but he needs to provide a good steer.

Race 4

1-Juxta Cowgirl (10-1)-Drops to a spot to shine, has some gate speed and should be a solid price. This is the 4th start off the bench, Todd McCarthy steers and the Watson barn has 6 wins in 30 starts over the past 30 days. Looking for an aggressive drive and to be in the hunt at the wire.
3-Rockin The Boys A (7/2)-This will be the 2nd start since 9/24, AMac drives and comes off a sharp tune-up at Philly. The pace could be lively and that could help this mare roll by late.

Race 5

1-Whittaker N (15-1)-Using from the rail and the risk reward should be there. Could offer a bigger price than the morning line. Has enough gate speed so George Nap could get the pocket trip behind the program chalk who most likely leaves hard for the lead.
2-Blood Line (3-1)-Tuned-up here with an even effort on 12/26 versus better. This is the horse to beat and should win if dialed on high in 2nd start since 10/24. Seven-year-old still has sub-150 speed and has hit the board 8 times in 18 starts in East Rutherford with 3 wins.

0.20 Pick 5

1,3,7/1,2,4/4,6,10/1,3/1,2
Total Bet=$21.60

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 1/2/20 January 2, 2021
Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies

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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


Click here to Access Today’s Santa Anita Workout Report (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/workout-analysis-santa-anita-2021-01-02.pdf)


RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: C
Use: 1-On Easy Street; 6-Uncle Ray; 7-Mulholland Highway; 8-Frasard

Forecast: The Saturday opener is a difficult turf router for older maidens. Spread as deeply as you can afford to. On Easy Street draws the rail and could be on or near the pace in a field without any known speed. In the frame in his last three starts and with speed figures that fit, the son of Street Boss may be as good as any. Frasard is a 15-race maiden and therefore not one to trust, but on pure form he’s a major contender after finishing second in a similar affair at Del Mar in late November when winding up a little more than a length in front of our top pick. Mulholland Highway is a one-paced grinder but he’s only had four starts and therefore may have a bit more upside then some of the other more exposed runners. The N. Drysdale-trained gelding picks up F. Prat and should have enough tactical speed to be within range throughout. Uncle Ray trains like he’s a bit better than his form suggests so at 6-1 on the morning line he probably should be tossed in somewhere as well.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:03 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Coalinga Road; 4-Tizhotndusty

Forecast: Let’s concentrate on the two main players stretching out for the first time. Coalinga Road has rising speed figures, a good inside draw, and is by the right sire (Quality Road) so we’re expecting this C. Gaines-trained gelding to continue to move forward. Third in a pretty quick sprint at Del Mar in late November, the newly-turned 4-year-old could find himself in the role as the controlling speed if that’s the strategy they choose to employ. Tizhotndusty has sprint figures that make him fairly competitive and based on pedigree the son of Unusual Heat seems likely to handle the stretch-out in trip. With a break in the weights, he should have every chance to secure a good stalking position. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Coalinga Road.
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RACE 3: Post: 1:34 PT Grade: B+
Use: 5-Freedom Flyer; 8-Stressed

Forecast: Stressed is a first-timer vanning up from San Luis Rey Downs with what looks to be just an okay series of drills on her resume, but we have a hunch she’s a lot faster than those final times might indicate. The daughter of Goldencents brought $110,000 at the Timonium 2-year-old in training sale last year after smoking a furlong during the preview session in 10 seconds flat, so In a field in which the known element doesn’t inspire, let’s go with this debut runner on top and hope to get close to her morning line of 5-1. Freedom Flyer isn’t particularly fast on speed figures but she’s shown enough to warrant some consideration. The daughter of Constitution adds Lasix for the first time and projects to be properly situated on or near the pace. Stressed gets the main punch but we’ll include this S. Callaghan-trained filly on a ticket or two as a saver.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:05 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Flat Out Joy; 2-Raneem; 6-Little Miss Ellie

Forecast: We’ll go three-deep in this optional claiming sprint for fillies and mares while preferring Little Miss Ellie on top. The V. Cerin-trained daughter of Richard’s Kid graduated in her third career start during the fall meeting, doing so in clever style after overcoming a bit of early trouble. She lands the cozy outside post, retains F. Prat, and should settle in just behind the leaders before launching her bid. Flat Out Joy broke her maiden over this main track three runs back, and despite being off the board in a pair of subsequent outings she has speed figures that put her in the picture. Raneem has trained well for her return, is protected off the layoff in what can be taken as a sign of confidence and could be a bit better type this time around for Baffert.
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RACE 5: Post: 2:35 PT Grade: C+
Use: 5-K P Kan Do; 10-Katerini

Forecast: This maiden 3-year-old filly grass sprint looks inscrutable. Anything goes. K P Kan Do is bred to win early and like turf (Kantharos), and with F. Prat aboard she has the look of a live newcomer, her moderate work tab notwithstanding. At 6-1 on the morning line, she may be as good as any. Katerini had an outing during the fall meeting which wasn’t too bad, a fourth place finish in a productive race. She gets Lasix and blinkers today, so improvement certainly is possible. We’ll try to get by using just these two in a race that might be best avoided.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:05 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Tizamagician; 7-Kandarel; 8-Paladar

Forecast: Tizamagician has preferred to run second more than win so far in his career but the newly-turned 4-year-old colt continues to impress in the a.m., and as a son of Tiznow should make a better older horses than he was as a 3-year-old. Back at a middle distance after finishing a distant second in a mini-marathon during the fall meeting, the R. Mandella-trained colt projects to draft into a comfortable pace-stalking position and be tough to contain from the quarter pole home. Mandella’s other starter, Kandarel, adds blinkers and tries dirt for the first time in his career. He’s looked especially sharp in the morning on the main track to indicate he’s ready for a career top effort, and while he’s tackling older foes for the first time and needs a boost in the speed figure department, we’re pretty sure he’s better than his 20-1 morning line indicates. Paladar can be brilliant when he gets to control the pace but is something less than that whenever he can’t. After demolishing an out-classed starter’s allowance field at Del Mar in gate-to-wire fashion with a huge speed figure, the son of Street Cry tries tougher second-level allowance foes while likely to face considerably more pace pressure. On the chance that he can clear the field – not a slam dunk but certainly a possibility – we’ll include him in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 7: Post: 3:35 PT Grade: A-
Single: 5-Count Again

Forecast: Count Again, a six-year-old with just eight career starts (and four wins), was spectacular in his first outing since joining the P. D’Amato barn in late November when unleashing an exceptional turn of foot to win the Seabiscuit H.-G3. Based on that initial impression, we expect he’ll become the premier turf performer on the West Coast in 2021. Probably most effective at a middle distance, he can lay back and then blast home again, though he’s likely to have to rally into the teeth of slow splits. We doubt an unfavorable pace scenario will deter him, so at 2-1 on the morning line he’s a strong win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:05 PT Grade: X
Single: 5-Life Is Good

Forecast: Life Is Good is 2/5 on the morning line, so obviously there’s no sensible wager available, but it’ll be fun to see how this son of Into Mischief progresses as he takes another step towards potential greatness. Following his runaway romp in his debut at Del Mar in late November, we suspected the B. Baffert-trained colt would quickly develop into the best colt in his crop, and everything he has done in the morning since that race has done nothing but reinforce that opinion. He could be the next American Pharoah or Justify for B. Baffert, big words to be sure. We’ll see.
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RACE 9: Post: 4:35 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Ultimate Bango; 4-Mesut; 7-Sparky Ville

Forecast: Where’s the speed in this six furlong turf sprint for second-level allowance older horses? There doesn’t seem to be any, so if you can pinpoint the controlling speed in this race you may have solved it’s riddle. Ultimate Bango used to have some early zip and maybe in this spot he’ll show it. Back on grass for the first time since being beaten a head in a Cal-bred sprint stakes during the fall season, the veteran gelding seems as a good as any so we’ll put him on top at 5-1 on the morning line. Mesut was scratched out of the Joe Hernandez S.-G3 yesterday for this considerably easier spot and the C. Gaines-trained gelding has form that makes him a strong contender, though at age seven he shows just two career victories from 16 lifetime outings, making him a hard one to trust. Sparky Ville is winless in five prior outings over the local lawn but he did earn a triple-digit Beyer speed figures when nosed out in the Dayton S.-G3 over this course last spring. He’s back with “win rider” M. Smith and projects to be forwardly placed throughout. These are the three we’ll be using in our rolling exotics but you may be tempted to include a few more if your budget allows.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Laurel Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#4 Rippolino
Gets Lasix for the first time after chasing a 12-length winner in that last try, and this isn't a really deep field for the level locally. Wouldn't want anything shorter than the 7/2 ML price.


#3 Arrio
Debuts for the red-hot Russell barn, and though the works don't look particularly imposing, neither does this field he'll meet in the debut. He won't have to be a star to graduate first out.


#1 Pitaman
He has gone the wrong way late in both career starts, but he adds Lasix for this one, and he's bred to appreciate the added ground.


Race Summary
Rippolino catches a field that doesn't seem to have anything like that easy winner he met last out in it, and he has some upside while racing with Lasix for the first time.


Laurel Park - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#5 Pardon the Pun
He's had his share of chances, but he has also raced almost exclusively with better company than he finds here, and there isn't much other pace for him to deal with. Think he's solid here.


#3 Blue Sky Painter
Looks like the most reasonable alternative to the top choice, as he drops to this level for the first time after a decent, if even, run for more than twice this price last out.


#13 Stephanopoulos
He'll need a few scratches to get in, but he was a very good fit at this level when third here two starts back, and he has enough tactical pace to keep the top choice in his sights.


Race Summary
Pardon the Pun should be a handful here. There doesn't appear to be much to hassle him in the early going, and he has done most of his career work with tougher company.


Laurel Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#6 Great Camanoe
Sharp score last out when clearing his N1X condition, and he seems fast enough to find the front again in a race that lacks much serious pace.


#1 Nottoway
He's quick enough early to find a good spot from the fence, but he has at times found this level to be a bit tough. Think he's more likely underneath.


#7 Thundershook
Finisher may not get enough pace to set up his late kick, but his best efforts put him right there if he can overcome an iffy race shape.


Race Summary
Great Camanoe steps up off a sharp, front-running victory, and the lead should be there for the taking again in this spot. He'd seem playable at something like the 9/2 ML price.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Northfield Park - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#1 CANDY'S DESIRE
Won 3 of last 5, draws rail, fits condition well.


#2 SKYWAY VALERIE
Leads for as far as she goes, but 1-40 record is the drawback.


#5 BAKER ROCKS
Versatile, in top form, favorable post switch.


Race Summary
Candy's Desire rallied into a three-horse blanket finish after the odds-on favorite back-pedaled in the stretch. She won three times since November and is well-spotted to do it again.


Meadowlands - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#9 LET IT RIDE
Perfect so far in the U.S., should sit ideal trip in speed-laden field.


#7 WESTERN JOE
Loves to win, style suits this field, use in gimmicks at a good price.


#4 HIGHALATOR
Big M terror seeks his 40th victory now as a 7-year-old.


Race Summary
Something has to give in a field that has combined for 212 wins. It could very well be the projected hot pace, so let's make the sharp and late-running Let It Ride today's Best Bet despite his post 9 starting spot.


Meadowlands - Race #12


Picks
Notes


#9 PADUKA N
Runner-up finish at 45-1 stands out, take a cue from Let It Ride in race 10.


#8 LUCAN HANOVER
String of seconds late in 30/6-6-6 season for 11yo millionaire.


#1 BETTERLATETHNNEVER
Well-traveled 12yo won twice in November but was no threat against better.


Race Summary
Paduka N emerged from the fog and finished second to Let It Ride (see race 10) at 45-1. The class drop makes him extra dangerous and the one to fear. Play 9-1 and 9-8 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#4 Drain the Clock
Lost his unbeaten record is a lousy way as he broke his irons and was pulled up in the Jean Lafitte Futurity at Delta Downs; was sharp in two in Florida up to that point and has trained well for his return.


#6 Runway Magic
Put it together with strong late run for a maiden win at Churchill; gets a good pace to chase here.


#3 Warrior's Pride
Has superior early speed and he has held together nicely in his last two; they'll have to catch him.


Race Summary
Drain the Clock was unlucky at Delta Downs last out, clearly has a world of ability and can get back on the winning track.


Gulfstream Park - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#1 Oyster Box
Was up in tie in a maiden debut at Belmont and can enjoy stretching out; looks like another quality runner from the Motion barn.


#3 Honey Pants
Ran on for second in a stakes race at Aqueduct and likely will welcome the chance to stretch out.


#6 Con Lima
Was an easy winner over this course in her only turf race; has two wins and three seconds in five starts and can be a big player here as well.


Race Summary
Oyster Box was impressive in her bid in a turf sprint at Belmont and figures to improve with distance.


Gulfstream Park - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#5 Mutasaabeq
Was the G2 Bourbon on turf two back but also has done well on dirt, having a maiden win and a third in the G1 Hopeful on dirt; classy enough to be the one to beat.


#6 Awesome Gerry
Closed against slow fractions and just missed in the Jean Lafitte at Delta Downs; won his first two and can be in the mix from the outset.


#3 Easy Time
Romped in his debut at Woodbine and the way he closed that one out indicated he could probably beat a lot better.


Race Summary
Matasaabeq has shown the ability to run with talented rivals and has the goods to run a big one here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BATTAGLIA Daily Free Play :

AQUEDUCT
RACE 7
Win Candidates 1-3-4
Rating 2 stars

#1 First Line– has shown speed against tougher in his last three including the grade II Jim Dandy. He drops in for a tag for the first time, adds blinkers and we will try for a minor upset.

#3 Jerusalem Gates-is another dropping in class, this one for Linda Rice. He has run in multiple key races and is the one to beat.

#4 Perceived-the 6-5 favorite is coming off a neck maiden score but he only beat 3 others and for that reason we will try to beat him.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan Event: (200881) Gillingham at (200882) Plymouth Argyle
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: January 2, 2021 10AM EST
Play: Total Over 2.5 (-120)
PLAY: OVER 2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan Event: (491) Kentucky at (492) NC State
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: January 2, 2021 12PM EST
Play: Total Over 50.5 (-110)
PLAY: OVER 50.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin Event: (495) Oregon at (496) Iowa State
Sport/League: CFB
Date/Time: January 2, 2021 4PM EST
Play: Iowa State -4.0 (-110)
This should be a pretty competitive game. But there's what I see as a fundamentals edge for Iowa State and that's ultimately the decision maker for me. My philosophy has always been to try and find the team that is more likely to win in the trenches. Control the line of scrimmage and control the game. That's why I put so much emphasis on rushing stats. In this game, Iowa State is better than Oregon both offensively and defensively on that key comparison. Note that this stat generally seems to work best in the bowls. If you simply back teams with the two-way rushing stats advantage in bowls, you win more often than you lose almost every bowl season, and it's been a really dominant trend in many of those years. This season has been no different thus far. Qualifying teams have won six of seven to date, covering five of those matchups. Beyond that, I give the Cyclones a bit of a coaching edge. No news of note for this game on any late opt outs, and both teams are mostly healthy. I think this could be one of the better bowl games, but I expect Iowa State to win and with the line where it is, I'm willing to take my chances laying a small handful with the Cyclones.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant Event: (725) Eastern Kentucky at (726) Austin Peay
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: January 2, 2021 5PM EST
Play: Austin Peay -4.5 (-110)
PLAY
726 AUSTIN PEAY -4.5 (-110)
BET SIZE
3% at -5 or better
2% at -5.5
1% at -6
NO PLAY at worse than -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Jan 02 '21, 1:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Chattanooga vs VMI
Play on: VMI +4½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Pick on VMI +4½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Jan 02 '21, 2:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Clemson vs Miami-FL
Play on: Clemson -3½ -112 at Draft Kings

Free Play on Clemson -3½ -112

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Jan 02 '21, 3:00 PM in 5h
Soccer | Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid
Play on: Real Madrid -175 at BetCris

1* Free Play on Real Madrid -175

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy Jan 02 '21, 2:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Iowa vs Rutgers
Play on: Iowa -165 at Bovada

Saturday CBB Free play. My selection is on Iowa moneyline over Rutgers at 2 pm et on Saturday.
This could be the game of the day as the Hawkeyes take on the upstart Scarlet Knights on Saturday afternoon. Rather than lay the points with the Hawkeyes, I'll back them on the moneyline as we're being offered a very reasonable price to do so. Iowa has only managed to split its last four games but its two losses over that stretch came against Gonzaga and Minnesota - two quality opponents to say the least. Those are the only two blemishes on Iowa's otherwise flawless record. Only Baylor ranks higher in terms of offensive efficiency than Iowa while Rutgers ranks 29th in that category. With the Scarlet Knights checking in 148th in the country in defensive efficiency they're obviously going to have their hands full in this contest. It's also worth noting that the Hawkeyes are 28th in the nation in extra scoring chances per game while Rutgers sits 127th. Look for Iowa to turn those extra opportunities into points and ultimately come away victorious in this showdown. Take Iowa moneyline (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Jan 02 '21, 4:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Utah Valley vs Weber State
Play on: OVER 145 -113

Free Total Annihilator On Utah Valley vs Weber State over 145 -113

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Jan 02 '21, 5:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-B | St Bonaventure vs Richmond
Play on: St Bonaventure +5½ -110 at Mirage

PICK - St. Bonaventure +5.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 715
I will gladly take the 5.5-points with St. Bonaventure on the road against the Spiders. I'm really high on the Bonnies this year. They returned all 5 starters from a 19-win team and are going to be extremely motivated here after letting one get away in their conference opener at Rhode Island on Wednesday.
Richmond is a good team, but I thought they were a little overvalued coming into this season. The Spiders were set to return all 5 starters until sharpshooter Nick Sherod was lost for the season in october with a knee injury. Sherod was 10th nationally in 3-point accuracy and without him the offense just isn't quite the same. They also without key reserve Connor Crabtree and possible Andre Gustavson (questionable).
Spiders are 7-2 to start the year, but did just recently lose at home to Hofstra as a 12-point favorite. In the only meeting last year, the Bonnies won by 5 and should have won by more, as they hit 50% from the field, while holding Richmond to just 39.7%. Win or lose this game should be close throughout and I just feel 5.5 is too many for the Bonnies to be catching. Give me St. Bonaventure +5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Jan 02 '21, 5:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-B | Eastern Kentucky vs Austin Peay
Play on: Austin Peay -4½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Austin Peay -4½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Jan 02 '21, 5:15 PM in 7h
Soccer | Santiago Wanderers vs Unión La Calera
Play on: Santiago Wanderers +335 at Bovada

1* Free Pick on Santiago Wanderers +335

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Jan 02 '21, 6:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | California vs Oregon State
Play on: California +3 -110 at Mirage

Free Pick on California

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers Jan 02 '21, 7:35 PM in 9h
NBA | Cavs vs Hawks
Play on: UNDER 233 -106

The set-up: I had a big play on the "under" in the Hawks and Nets last night, my 10* January TOTAL OF THE MONTH. That was a never in doubt laugher, as each team had played to a very high-scoring shootout in their previous game. Off last night's win, now the Hawks have to muster up the energy to play the lowly Cavaliers just 24 hours later.
The pick: The Cavaliers struggled to put points on the board in their first true road test on New Year's Eve, falling 119-99 in Indiana and I believe that trend continues here. If Cleveland has any hope of pulling off an upset, it'll have to slow this one down and grind it out. Considering all of the differnt situational factors I've listed above, I think the "under" is indeed worth a second look in this one.
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the UNDER Cavs/Hawks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Jan 02 '21, 8:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-F | North Carolina vs Texas A&M
Play on: Texas A&M -7½ -110 at Mirage

1* on Texas A&M -7½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Red Dog Sports Jan 02 '21, 8:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-F | North Carolina vs Texas A&M
Play on: Texas A&M -7 -110 at Mirage

Texas A&M -7
UNC has too many key players opting out. Running backs Carter and Williams are both sitting out. Opt Outs and Load Management are two terms we need to get used to in sports.
UNC does have their QB playing and he was great this year. However, the Tar Heel defense will be without leading tackler LB Chaz Shurrat. They lack a nose tackle to stop the run and have a weak pass rush.
A&M QB Kellen Mond can run and pass. Their running attack is good and they will be motivated by missing out on the four team playoff. I expect them to play well.
I think we see Texas A&M win by 10.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park



Gulfstream Park - Race 11

$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5



Claiming $35,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 4 and up • CR: 97 • Purse: $31,000 • Post: 5:17P


(RAIL AT 72 FEET). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JULY 2, 2020. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $35,000, FOR EACH $5,000 TO $25,000 1 LB. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE)





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * MONONGAHELA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. WILLING TO S PEED: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. GOLDEN DECISION: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. PATRIOT DRIVE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TROUBLING MOON: Horse ranks in the top three in a verage Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



12

MONONGAHELA

6/1


7/2




9

WILLING TO SPEED

12/1


7/1




8

GOLDEN DECISION

9/2


9/1




2

PATRIOT DRIVE

20/1


9/1




3

TROUBLING MOON

10/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




5

LIGHT FURY

5


15/1

Front-runner

82


85


98.6


82.5


61.0




6

BLAMELESS

6


5/1

Front-runner

98


98


83.0


90.6


82.1




1

STREET COPPER

1


20/1

Alternator/Stalker

98


89


99.2


89.6


72.1




9

WILLING TO SPEED

9


12/1

Alternator/Stalker

99


94


88.4


94.4


85.4




3

TROUBLING MOON

3


10/1

Alternator/Stalker

100


102


79.8


90.3


76.3




4

GO POKE THE BEAR

4


7/2

Trailer

99


95


85.2


83.0


71.5




7

ARTEMUS BRIDGE

7


12/1

Trailer

100


82


79.8


90.0


76.5




2

PATRIOT DRIVE

2


20/1

Trailer

97


95


70.0


89.2


82.2




8

GOLDEN DECISION

8


9/2

Alternator/Trailer

99


97


98.8


89.0


77.0




12

MONONGAHELA

12


6/1

Alternator/Trailer

117


116


75.0


89.4


80.9




10

FIELDER

10


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

99


85


88.9


81.7


71.2




11

MEMORABLE

11


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

87


86


70.0


76.8


57.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds



Fair Grounds - Race 7

Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 7-9) / $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-10)



Optional Claiming $17,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 4 and up • CR: 98 • Purse: $46,000 • Post: 3:54P


(RAIL AT 15 FEET). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $17,500. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE NOVEMBER 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $17,500 (HORSES ENTERED FOR THE ALLOWANCE CONDITION WILL BE PREFERRED). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT 5 AND 1/2 FURLONGS.)





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * ABOUT OUR TIME: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. HILTON MA GIC: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. KINGPIN: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LADDIE BOY: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. MAN OF HONOR: Toda y is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.



1

ABOUT OUR TIME

6/1


4/1




4

HILTON MAGIC

6/1


7/1




2

KINGPIN

3/1


8/1




9

LADDIE BOY

7/2


9/1




10

MAN OF HONOR

9/2


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

HILTON MAGIC

4


6/1

Front-runner

97


92


98.0


87.3


77.8




7

SPECTROLITE

7


10/1

Front-runner

93


88


98.0


83.0


68.0




2

KINGPIN

2


3/1

Front-runner

97


85


91.8


89.9


82.4




1

ABOUT OUR TIME

1


6/1

Stalker

105


103


85.6


95.6


91.1




9

LADDIE BOY

9


7/2

Stalker

100


97


70.6


93.0


80.0




10

MAN OF HONOR

10


9/2

Stalker

98


96


63.6


87.8


76.3




5

LAND MARK DEAL

5


12/1

Trailer

86


82


83.6


71.1


56.1




6

MASTER GUNS

6


8/1

Trailer

93


87


73.2


85.4


73.9




8

HOMEBRED

8


5/1

Trailer

100


92


53.4


87.8


78.8




3

A SONG FOR ARCH

3


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

91


86


93.3


83.2


72.7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #1 - Post: 12:15pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,800 Class Rating: 74

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 FASHION FRAME (ML=5/2)
#2 PLUS SIZE VALUE (ML=12/1)


FASHION FRAME - I'll forgive that last race on Dec 18th when she was beaten as the public choice. That race was pretty good for a $7,500 Claiming race and this filly's speed figure was solid. Have to give this filly a good chance. Ran a sharp race last out within the last 30 days. Past Performances show this horse with 3 improving speed figs. Berrios should be on a live one in today's race. A repeat of that latest effort on December 18th where she earned a figure of 76 looks good enough to triumph in this event. PLUS SIZE VALUE - The rider/conditioner duo of Leon and Urieta has a strong ROI together. This filly is in good physical condition, having run a nice race on Dec 16th, finishing first.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 DROP DEAD GORGEOUS (ML=2/1), #3 ANNMARIA (ML=3/1), #5 MISS IRISH BOSS (ML=6/1),

DROP DEAD GORGEOUS - I can't play this habitual non-winner. Gets the task executed infrequently. Finished first in her most recent performance with a substandard speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this bunch. ANNMARIA - Not a perfect 'spot' in this event. MISS IRISH BOSS - Mahoning Valley Race Course has not been kind to this less than sharp equine. 6/1 is just not enough of a price to take on most any thoroughbred that has run poorly in back to back efforts.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - FASHION FRAME - Recently, I had some free time so I thought I'd pour over the TrackMaster data. This horse stands out as the lone pace. Well worth a wager in my opinion.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#4 FASHION FRAME is going to be the play if we are getting 6/5 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,4]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa AnitaAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Stakes - 9.0f on the Turf. Purse: $200000 Class Rating: 113

SAN GABRIEL S. - GRADE 2 FOR FOUR- YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $100 EACH TO ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION, CLOSED THURSDAY DECEMBER 17,2020 WITH 19 OR BY SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATION OF $4,000 AT TIME OF ENTRY. $1,500 TO ENTER AND AN ADDITIONAL $1,500 TO START WITH $200,000 GUARANTEED OF WHICH $120,000 TO THE




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 3 BOB AND JACKIE 4/1




# 6 ANOTHERTWISTAFATE 5/2




# 7 BOWIES HERO 6/1




My selection in this race is BOB AND JACKIE. The Lasix change (now going off Lasix) may spark a comeback for this horse. Could best this field based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 114 - of his last race. Has formidable speed figs and has to be considered for a bet here. ANOTHERTWISTAFATE - With one of the best jockeys in terms of profits at the window, don't count this horse out. BOWIES HERO - Overall the speed figures of this equine look very good in this race. Looks to have a respectable class edge based on the latest company kept.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 86

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 1, 2020 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 9 BEACHSIDE 6/1




# 7 SUPER WICKED CHARM 15/1




# 15 ROYAL SUSPECT 8/1




BEACHSIDE is the best bet in this race. Has been running well and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. ROYAL SUSPECT - Jockey's recent ROI figures make this gelding a strong wager.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs



01/02/21, TAM, Race 2, 12.42 ET
01/02/21,TAM,2,7F [Dirt] 1:20:04 CLAIMING. Purse $11,500 (includes up to $200 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since December 2 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (Races Where Entered For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
4
Papajudgy
4/1
Ferrer J C
Nations Keith
L
381
33.33
1.11/$1


098.8913
7
Free Flayme
7/2
Mena R
Carvajal. Jr. Luis
S
381
33.33
1.11/$1


098.2816
1
Jack B Winkle
5/2
Centeno D
Rodriguez Darien
J
411
30.41
0.94/$1


097.5668
3
Tony Small
3/1
Camacho S
Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.
TFEC
411
30.41
0.94/$1


097.1100
2
Prized Warrior
6/1
Castillo I
Machado Antonio


411
30.41
0.94/$1


096.2888
5
Rock the Park
10/1
Allen. Jr. R D
Bowersock Maria
W
411
30.41
0.94/$1


093.8267
6
Steadily
10/1
Batista J A
Barboza. Jr. Victor


381
33.33
1.11/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 25.45, ROI 0.63/$1
. . . .
100.0000 4 Papajudgy
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]LastRaceDistanceIsLessThanToday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
NBA – Thunder +6.5


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Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
CBB – Robert Morris -1


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CBB – Drexel -2.5


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CBB – TCU -3.5


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CBB – La Salle -6


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Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com/lou-big-play-panelli/)
CBB – Ohio -1


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Gerry “Big Cat” Andino (https://www.nsawins.com/gerry-big-cat-andino/)
CBB – Georgia Southern -2.5


9.
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CBB – Auburn +1.5


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Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/steve-scoop-kendall/)
CBB – Northern Iowa over 135.5


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Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
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