Tuesday 1/5/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Pompano Park Pick 4 Analysis January 5, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
This has been already some week at Pompano Park and there is a $28,183 Pick 5 carryover tonight. That means another $150,000 guaranteed pool for the Pick 5 that starts in Race 1. The 0.50 Pick 4 begins in Race 6 and that sequence will carry a $20,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

3-Even Louder (7/5)-Made every call a winning one on 12/22 against this kind and handled them easily. There is a concern about the sick scratch on 12/29. A major player if ready for a big try, but the price will be short.
4-Sunrise Hanover (12-1)-Looking for a price and this mare has come off the bench with 2 nice races. Looking for a step-up effort in 3rd race since 10/27 and Simons owns, drives, and trains.
5-BNB (7/2)-Looking for Chindano to leave and get a cozy trip behind the #3 or land on top. Has been in the hunt, finishing on the board in 5 of 6 at the Pomp. Looking for a picture but will need a good steer.

Race 7

2-Wild Nite Tina (3-1)-Comes off a sharp effort from post 8 in 2nd local start. Wallis did pick this camera shy 7-year-old, but the entire field is not used to posing except for #8. Should be forwardly placed and looks like a player.
4-Marvalous Jet (7/5)-Cashed a 4th place check in last after taking the long way around. But tonight, gets a ++ driver change with Hennessey taking the lines. Beaten 4/5 chalk should be there at the wire and will be bet hard.
8-American Arrow (7-1)-Makes 2nd start for new barn and will look for a more determined effort in 2nd race since 10/24. Shows a 152.1 mark on the 5/8's at Plainridge and should offer a solid payout tonight.

Race 8

1-Northern Dali (25-1)-Can land a close-up seat and will use at a big price leaving both the morning line chalks off my ticket.
2-Image Of A Dream (9-1)-Has been in the hunt versus this kind and the program favorites could leave and that will make for a lively pace. Plano can work a stalking trip and roll by late in the mile.
5-Cult Icon (5-1)-Comes off an even effort after 2 straight pictures and now Shetler steers. Fits with this crew and has the gate speed to be forwardly placed at a square price.

Race 9

3-Happy Heart (6/5)-Winner of 2 in a row steps-up but still looks like a threat. Not much gate speed in this group and Hennessey can land on the top of the stack and control the pace.
4-Maddelle (10-1)-Paquet's choice over the other Lareau entry #7. He can find a live cover flow and will offer a nice price. Could surprise if pace is lively.
6-Sue's Night Out (3-1)-Claimed on 12/22 and was pushed up in class in 1st start for new barn and cashed a 2nd place check. Looking for an even better effort and has enough gate speed to get the pocket behind #3.

0.50 Pick 4

3,4,5/2,4,8/1,2,5/3,4,6
Total Bet=$40.50

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Career Maiden January 4, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Introducing a new handicapping series for our Monday blog space, “Monday Myths?” Each week I’ll use the power of the Betmix database to take common handicapping assumptions and either support or dispel them with data. Betmix data powers the 1/ST BET app and its features like Angler and Birddog give data-minded horseplayers a treasure trove of information in which to query your own curiosities.

Assumption:

Horses who take an excessive amount of races to finally break their maiden are bad bets when they return against winners next time out. They're often dubbed "Career Maidens."

Background:

We could look at an excessive amount of maiden-breaking attempts as a subjective number. To some, it may be more than 5. Others 10. Even others somewhere in-between or above that total. No matter what your consideration of excessive may be, our ability to look at the numbers in various ranges should be able to give you personal confidence in your assumption, either for or against.

Data Points:

I looked at the Betmix database for runners who made 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 8, 10, 12 and 15 starts to break their maidens. Our sample size was over the last 5 full years of racing, 2016-2020, at all tracks.

Overall Findings:

1 start to break maiden: 17.84% wins next out ($0.78 ROI)

2 starts to break maiden: 13.66% wins next out ($0.74 ROI)

3 starts to break maiden: 12.75% wins next out ($0.75 ROI)

4 starts to break maiden: 11.84% wins next out ($0.75 ROI)

5 starts to break maiden: 12.28% wins next out ($0.74 ROI)

8 starts to break maiden: 11.93% wins next out ($0.76 ROI)

10 starts to break maiden: 12.44% wins next out ($0.72 ROI)

12 starts to break maiden: 11.74% wins next out ($0.73 ROI)

15 starts to break maiden: 10.73% wins next out ($0.59 ROI)

16 or more starts to break maiden: 8.61% wins next out ($0.53 ROI)

Overall Findings Verdict:

While horses who break their maiden quicker do tend to outperform their later graduates when facing winners, the discrepancy in numbers happens in two particular cut-offs. First-time starters who win are much more likely to win next out than those who were defeated any number of times before graduation. And, it’s around the 15-start mark that you see the big drop off between horses who took more time to break their maiden have success against winners. A maiden breaker from 2-12 prior starts isn’t wildly different in win rate or ROI.

Additional Details:

You can go into Betmix and run your own queries for a deeper dive into this theory and any that you can create. For instance, tracks with the highest win percentage of first-time starters to win and repeat against winners next time include Los Al (TB) 29%, Thistledown 26%, Hawthorne 25%, Pimlico 25%, Belmont 24%, Turfway 24%.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Delta Downs - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#3 Tigerbeach
Worth a look at a price in a race with zero pace. This guy will stretch out around two turns and has occasionally flashed enough pace sprinting to suggest he could find the front tonight.


#2 Giant Influence
He has been away nearly two years off the $32,000 claim and resurfaces here for $7,500, so your guess is as good as mine as to what's left in this guy. He probably wins this on class alone, but I'll make him prove it at an underlaid price.


#6 Lovethatcause
Tactical type should get a good run of things near the top while moving around two turns, and he'll be a better fit with this kind than he was with that starter group at Remington.


Race Summary
Tigerbeach goes off the claim for a barn that is better than their current meet stats would indicate, and he's got at least some chance to find the top and get brave if nobody else goes for it.


Delta Downs - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#6 Wise Anchor
He has been a pretty reliable type throughout his five-race career, and he has proven solid at this two-turn trip locally. He should get another really good run near the top.


#8 Strong Rules
The clear one to beat with a stakes placing on his resume, and he's working well locally. That said, the price is going to be short as he navigates this new two-turn trip.


#1 Ebony Flash
Turned in a pretty sharp score in the debut win here in November, but he was no match for stakes company when never really involved at Fair Grounds last time out. Thinking he's got something better than that to offer with this group.


Race Summary
Wise Anchor has been coming forward slowly throughout his career, but he graduated nicely at a similar trip last time out, and his tactical pace should keep him in the mix from the start.


Delta Downs - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#2 Misty Day
She made a mockery of that decent allowance group in her first local try, and she should be able to use her tactical speed to get another similarly great trip from close range tonight.


#9 Our Lost Love
Speed draws outside all of the other pace, and it's tough to argue with her recent form after handling a decent group at Fair Grounds on Champions Day.


#6 Pretty Britches
Steps up for this one off a romping win at the $10,000 level, and while she gets a big class test for this one, she has at least some claim on this while moving back into the Broberg barn


Race Summary
Misty Day was the easiest of winners in her first try here last out, and she'll be able to find a nice spot behind a couple of pace players.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Dover Downs - Race #14


Picks
Notes


#9 SHEEZIK
Followed winner, finished game third, longshot stab from second tier.


#5 I DELIVER
Caught 3-1 pace setter, eligible right back for the same race.


#7 TRUST FUND BABY
Hit board in 12 of 25 last year but didn't win any of them.


Race Summary
Sheezik had plenty of trot behind the pocket-sitting winner and finished third. His second-tier starting spot is offset by a 12-1 morning line. Play a 5-7-9 exacta box.


Northfield Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#2 CHERRY PEEP
Shuffled from pocket, willing finish, gets class relief.


#1 QUADRANGLE
Wired field on class drop, can handle rise from the rail.


#7 WILDFIRE SEELSTER
Tries to pick up where she left off in 33/10-6-7 season.


Race Summary
Cherry Peep, gapped behind the dueling leaders, lost pocket position on the turn and couldn't recover after the closers swept past. She figures tough on the class drop from a favorable post. Play 2-1 and 2-7 exactas.


Pompano Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 GALARINA
Back with own kind, draws rail, must use in all gimmicks.


#9 ROCKIN SERENA
Beaten favorite in last three starts, takes another class drop.


#4 TALK SHOW CHICA
Solid 3yo season, can sustain rally in this field.


Race Summary
Galarina is a good fit at this level, turned in a game performance against morning-line favorite Rockin Serena when they met Dec. 15 and can turn the tables with a favorable post switch.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Mahoning Valley - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#6 Statesboro
Romped in his last two and his opponents better bring much more than his recent rivals; loves the track and has done well for the rider-trainer combo of Barbaran and Morales.


#8 Boom Five Thousand
Won two of his last three, including his latest over this strip; will battle for the lead.


#1 Maximizer
Has some good sprints to his credit, but those came against lower levels; won an allowance running two turns two races back and could be dangerous turning back.


Race Summary
Statesboro has been overwhelming to his foes lately and can power past these.


Mahoning Valley - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#1 Candy Exchange
Was second and third in his last two going longer and should be able to close like a freight train at this sprint distance.


#5 King Creed
Breezed to an allowance win fast time at Thistledown in September and has plenty of sprints to his credit that are good enough to win this. Tough if he brings his best.


#3 Midnight Mikey
Lost a photo last time out and has been competitive in allowance sprints; capable of a big effort.


Race Summary
Candy Exchange can benefit from following a solid pace from an inside post and can close well against the fast fractions.


Mahoning Valley - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#7 Starlin
Closed for third last out and has been in some very good claiming races; his best are off the pace and he should to be coming on well here.


#5 Ecru
Held on for second after vying for the lead throughout; can dig in when challenged.


#9 War At Sunrise
Goes for his third consecutive win, the latest at two miles; he cuts that in half and will likely be far back. Can move late for a piece of the exotics.


Race Summary
Starlin has enough speed to stay in range and can get the jump on deep closers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/wayne-root) - NCAAB - Tue, Jan 05 at 7:00 PM
We are playing Kentucky Vanderbilt vs Kentucky
Kentucky -12 (-102) (BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=220&des=4&AffUrlID=1314&LandingPageID=1))

Vanderbilt comes into this matchup without a win against a team ranked in the top-150 and they will be playing in just their second road game of the season. In three games against top-100 opponents, Vanderbilt has lost by an average of 16.7 points per game. Calapari says his team is fin putting those early losses behind him. Kentucky is fresh off its best win of the year and should come into this game with plenty of confidence starting the SEC season with a 1-0 record. Take the Wildcats to cover the number at home in Rupp Arena on Tuesday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs



Delta Downs - Race 1

DD ($1 min.) / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) Pick 4 (.50 min) (Races 1-2-3-4) / Superfecta (.10 min)



Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 12:55


FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * ALAN'S ARGUMENT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MALIBU JACK: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. FAZIO: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ d ays and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CUSTOM READY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



2

ALAN'S ARGUMENT

5/2


5/1




6

MALIBU JACK

7/2


6/1




4

FAZIO

12/1


7/1




8

CUSTOM READY

9/2


7/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




9

GOLDEN V C

9


6/1

Front-runner

68


61


64.6


43.1


34.6




1

ROUND QUARTER

1


20/1

Front-runner

62


61


60.2


45.0


30.5




3

INLIKE FLEN

3


15/1

Front-runner

45


48


46.1


36.0


22.5




6

MALIBU JACK

6


7/2

Front-runner

73


75


3.8


50.2


45.2




4

FAZIO

4


12/1

Stalker

74


71


75.0


53.3


43.3




8

CUSTOM READY

8


9/2

Alternator/Stalker

62


68


52.2


53.4


46.4




2

ALAN'S ARGUMENT

2


5/2

Alternator/Stalker

73


64


48.8


55.8


49.8




5

SUPERCONDUCTOR

5


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

63


55


56.8


51.4


37.9




7

BRAVE RIFLE

7


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

53


54


39.8


49.8


38.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Optional Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $16300 Class Rating: 65

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE $30,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 BECKHAM JAMES 2/1




# 5 SUPERDUTY JUSTICE 5/1




# 9 CATASTROPHIC FORCE 15/1




BECKHAM JAMES looks very good to best this field. Has performed very well lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 65 avg Equibase Speed Figure. He has been racing soundly lately while recording strong speed figures. Is a contender - given the 61 speed fig from his most recent race. SUPERDUTY JUSTICE - There is a decent chance that this entry's late pace will improve on Lasix. Perez will almost certainly be able to get this colt to break out quickly in this contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Parx Racing - Race #1 - Post: 12:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 GHOST FIGHTER (ML=3/1)
#6 GREENBACK (ML=5/1)


GHOST FIGHTER - I really like that latest race on December 28th at Parx Racing where he ended up fourth. When a sprinter is back in a race less than 10 days after his last outing, it generally means he's fit. The latest rating of 73 is the highest last race speed figure in the bunch. Sub-par outing in the last race at Parx Racing was due to the off-going (he ended up fourth). Expect better right here in this race under normal track conditions. Gelding is a few starts into a come back here. Should give a nice effort today. GREENBACK - Lake drops him down to this class. You don't need too much more data to figure that this thoroughbred will be tough to beat at this level. Entered a $30,000 Maiden Claiming race at Churchill Downs last time around the track and raced on a sloppy track finishing eighth. Should do better in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 BUCKS ARE MOVING (ML=7/2), #3 CHUB ON DA RUN (ML=4/1), #5 MACLEAN'S LEGACY (ML=9/2),

BUCKS ARE MOVING - Doesn't seem to be in a cozy spot in today's event. CHUB ON DA RUN - Any speed figure earned on a track listed as good must be taken with a grain of salt. MACLEAN'S LEGACY - Not likely for this thoroughbred to make an impact with no recent good showings in a short distance event.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - GHOST FIGHTER - I like betting on big class droppers like this one. Much easier group this time out.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #2 GHOST FIGHTER to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/5 or better though



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Turf Paradise - Race #6 - Post: 2:45pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,800 Class Rating: 83

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#8 CALL YOU TOMORROW (ML=4/1)
#3 QUETTA'S IN CHARGE (ML=5/1)


CALL YOU TOMORROW - This horse picks up a lot of money per race around the track. Uppermost in this event. QUETTA'S IN CHARGE - Last workout was the second fastest of the day. Undeniably on edge for a good one today. Last race December 8th was pretty strong for a $4,000 Claiming race so this gelding's effort wasn't all that bad. Flores and Silva perform well when they work together. It's hard to beat a +120 return on investment for a jock and trainer. This gelding's last figure is strong enough to score here, I'll play him right back in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 COOL EDGE (ML=3/1), #6 PURE SPECULATION (ML=6/1), #5 STRIKE A STORM (ML=8/1),

COOL EDGE - This gelding hasn't had any strong efforts in short distance events in the last couple of months. Not probable that the rating he registered on December 5th will be enough in this race. PURE SPECULATION - I'd like to see more hospitable recent efforts with morning line odds of 6/1. STRIKE A STORM - Can't play this vulnerable equine in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint event lately.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #8 CALL YOU TOMORROW to win if you can get odds of 7/5 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

8 with 3 with [2,10,11] Total Cost: $3



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - SA - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $27000 Class Rating: 88

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 5 ALLOWED 3 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 MABEL ISLAND 2/1




# 5 ALWAYS A QUEEN 7/2




# 8 DILLY DILLY PHILLY 4/1




MABEL ISLAND is my choice. Always good to invest in a conditioner with this kind of strong win percentage - 17 percent - at this distance & surface. Looks very strong to be on the front end at the first call. Ought to be considered a solid choice on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. ALWAYS A QUEEN - Has competitive Equibase Speed Figs and has to be considered for a wager in this race. Has decent Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. DILLY DILLY PHILLY - This mare looks good for this event since Lake has a strong win percent with horses going this distance. Will probably compete admirably in the pace contest which bodes well with this group of horses in this race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/sean-murphy) - NBA - Tue, Jan 05 at 7:35 PM
Sean Murphy's Tuesday NBA Winner Utah Jazz vs Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets +3.5 (-105) (BetOnline (https://record.commissionkings.ag/_mflJQWEiC-BqkvbhkiKqDGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/))

Tuesday NBA Free play. My selection is on Brooklyn plus the points over Utah at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday. I think we're seeing a bit of an overreaction from the betting marketplace here with the news that Nets superstar Kevin Durant will miss a week of action due to Covid protocols. The Nets are coming off consecutive losses, including a stunning home defeat against the Wizards last time out so they'll obviously be up for this showdown with the surging Jazz. Utah has won its last two games including a 21-point rout of the Spurs on Sunday. It's going to be tough for it to duplicate that performance here as it shot 55% from the field, made 21 three-pointers and hauled in 51 rebounds in the victory over the Spurs. Look for Kyrie Irving to take the Nets on his back in Durant's absence and at the very least take the Jazz down to the wire on Tuesday night. Take Brooklyn (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/bryan-leonard) - NCAAB - Tue, Jan 05 at 8:00 PM
BRYAN LEONARD'S IOWA STATE/TEXAS FREE PLAY Iowa State vs Texas
Iowa State +12.5 (-103) (BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=220&des=4&AffUrlID=1314&LandingPageID=1))

625 Iowa State at Texas The Cyclones are not up to the standards of Texas, but they have proven themselves to be a competent underdog. The only game in which they were not competitive was against the run and gun Iowa Hawkeyes. Coming off a contest with Baylor, we think the Cyclones can put up enough defensive might to keep this game under the number. Texas is coming off its best game of the season, crushing Kansas by 25 points. That brought a lot of national eyes to this program and in turn raises expectations. But the betting markets agree that now is the time to fade them, with West Virginia and Texas Tech on deck. PLAY IOWA STATE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Sports (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/power-sports) - NCAAB - Tue, Jan 05 at 9:00 PM
POWER'S FREE MIZZOU-MISS STATE WINNER! Missouri vs Mississippi State
Mississippi State +2.5 (-103) (BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=220&des=4&AffUrlID=1314&LandingPageID=1))

1* Mississippi State (9:00 ET): I still don't trust Missouri, even after an impressive win at Arkansas on Saturday. Nor do I think the Tigers deserve to be ranked #13. My own power rankings have them outside the Top 25 and the second of back to back SEC road games is bound to catch up with them here as they visit Starkville to play Mississippi State. The Bulldogs have played spoiler before, ending Georgia's unbeaten run back on Dec 30th. The Bulldogs are 6-2 SU L8 games with the two losses coming by a combined eight points. They are 10-3 ATS L13 games vs. Mizzou including 6-1 here in Starkville. Take the points. 1* Miss State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AAA Sports (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/aaa-sports) - NBA - Tue, Jan 05 at 9:05 PM
AAA'S FREE TWOLVES-NUGGETS WINNER Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Under 225.5 (-110) (BetOnline (https://record.commissionkings.ag/_mflJQWEiC-BqkvbhkiKqDGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/))

This is a free play (1*) on UNDER These teams just played Sunday. The Nuggets won 124-109 as 8.5 point favorites. The game went Over, but that was with hot shooting from both sides. They combined to make over 50% of total field goal attempts and Denver hit 19 three pointers. Minnesota still doesn't have Karl-Anthony Towns and thus probably won't put up much of a fight on the road. Denver won't score 124 again, but their defensive numbers are due to improve. Play on UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/will-rogers) - NBA - Tue, Jan 05 at 10:35 PM
FREE Chicago Bulls vs Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers -10 (-104) (BookMaker (https://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=21431_11431))

The set-up: Chicago is dealing with several injury and COVID issues, including to: SG Tomas Satoransky, PF Lauri Markkanen, SF Chandler Hutchinson, and PG Ryan Arcidiacono. Portland's been a disappointment in the early going as well after a great end to the Bubble format last year, but I think its asking a lot of these undermanned Bulls to keep pace in this difficult non-conference road venue. Chicago averages 114.2 PPG and it allows 121.9. The pick: Portland averages 115.3 PPG, and it concedes 119.3. The Blazers recent form of late though will have them anxious to turn things around and here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. Chicago was already struggling in every facet of the game, but with so many key players out due to COVID, it's hard to imagine where any sort of production will come from the visiting side tonight. Consider the home side in this one. This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the BLAZERS.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course



Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 7

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Daily Double



Claiming $4,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 80 • Purse: $9,300 • Post: 3:33P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES SINCE JANUARY 5. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 5 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * ECRU: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CONDUCIVE: Horse has the highes t TrackMaster Power Rating. STARLIN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. SUPER VISION: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. OPEN OUT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.



5

ECRU

5/2


7/2




10

CONDUCIVE

3/1


8/1




7

STARLIN

10/1


8/1




2

SUPER VISION

20/1


9/1




3

OPEN OUT

7/2


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




6

EARLY RETIREMENT

6


20/1

Front-runner

77


71


78.6


57.4


38.9




5

ECRU

5


5/2

Alternator/Front-runner

86


77


78.6


72.8


70.3




10

CONDUCIVE

10


3/1

Stalker

81


80


55.6


70.8


61.8




2

SUPER VISION

2


20/1

Alternator/Stalker

86


62


67.0


69.0


61.0




3

OPEN OUT

3


7/2

Trailer

80


77


56.0


68.8


62.3




7

STARLIN

7


10/1

Trailer

83


80


49.0


75.0


67.0




8

B DUBYA

8


8/1

Trailer

80


66


45.2


62.2


46.7




9

WAR AT SUNRISE

9


6/1

Trailer

80


77


36.2


65.8


48.8




4

TARNISHED JUSTICE

4


20/1

Alternator/Trailer

83


73


46.6


66.4


54.4




1

MANEUVERED

1


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

79


74


53.8


59.6


48.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Prez Event: (615) Kansas State at (616) Texas Tech
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: January 5, 2021 7PM EST
Play: Texas Tech -16.0 (-110)
There are several college basketball mismatches on the Vegas rotation tonight. Easily the biggest among the Power 6 programs finds the Wildcats leaving the Little Apple and visiting hostile territories in Texas's great state (or that is what they tell me about the state).
I am not and never have been a big fan of Bruce Weber, but his current roster options are limited. The 'Cats are trying to run a 41 scheme offensively, and it isn't working. The "one-in" 41 needs to be much better than an 8 and 7 players for your team to succeed.
Tech was upset on this same court by the Oki State, overrated Oki State Cowboys last weekend. Tech finds revenge in the form of this meek Kansas State club.
Lay the wood and feel confident as the Red Raiders win in a romp.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia Event: (224601) Palmeiras at (224602) River Plate
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: January 5, 2021 7PM EST
Play: River Plate -119
With UCF/Memphis canceled due to COVID-19, let's look to pull a winner out of South America for Tuesday's free winner instead. River Plate and Palmeiras makes for a really entertaining matchup but the first leg of any semifinal typically starts slowly. Both have averaged nearly three goals per game but with this first leg being in Argentina and Jorge Carrascal and Rafael Santos Borre shining, we'll ride with River Plate as a 3-way money line favorite 2% play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tokyo Brandon Event: (501) Utah Jazz at (502) Brooklyn Nets
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: January 5, 2021 7PM EST
Play: Total Under 229 (-105)
Brandon is on a 26-15 (63.4%) all sports run, get his Korean basketball play for only $10, 2am Pacific time start. An all-day access pass for only $19 is also available.
------------------------------------------
My numbers have this Jazz / Nets game total at 221.5. That just barely qualifies for an under bet for 2%. Bet Under 229. If the line moves buy points to 229.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard Event: (625) Iowa State at (626) Texas
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: January 5, 2021 8PM EST
Play: Iowa State +12.5 (-110)
625 Iowa State at Texas
The Cyclones are not up to the standards of Texas, but they have proven themselves to be a competent underdog. The only game in which they were not competitive was against the run and gun Iowa Hawkeyes. Coming off a contest with Baylor, we think the Cyclones can put up enough defensive might to keep this game under the number.
Texas is coming off its best game of the season, crushing Kansas by 25 points. That brought a lot of national eyes to this program and in turn raises expectations. But the betting markets agree that now is the time to fade them, with West Virginia and Texas Tech on deck.
PLAY IOWA STATE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Mejia Event: (631) Memphis at (632) Central Florida
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: January 5, 2021 9PM EST
Play: Total Under 137.5 (-110)
Penny Hardaway is back in Orlando looking to improve to 2-1 in his old stomping grounds as a head coach after picking up a 59-57 victory last Jan. 29. Look for this get-together with Johnny Dawkins to continue a run of low-scoring games for both of these American Athletic Conference squads. The ‘under’ is 8-1-1 in Memphis contests this season and has prevailed in four of six involving the Knights. Both teams played South Florida last since Memphis had its Saturday game against Tulane postponed and escaped with different results since UCF struggled in its rivalry game. The Knights have averaged 74.7 points in their wins but only 57.0 in their three losses and are listing talented freshman Isaiah Adams as a game-time decision after missing him against the Bulls. Memphis edged USF 58-57 to avoid losing consecutive games for the second time this season after being held to just 49 points at home against Tulsa. It’s hard to recommend taking just 1.5 points without Adams’ availability becoming clear until closer to tip-off and not a great idea to lay it with a Memphis squad that has covered only one of its last eight contests so I would pull the trigger on the low side of 137.5 points if you’re going to touch this contest you can catch on ESPNU. Ride the under as a 3% play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin Event: (631) Memphis at (632) Central Florida
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: January 5, 2021 9PM EST
Play: Memphis -2.0 (-115)
Favorable matchup for Memphis, and the Tigers fit as a play on Dave's power ratings. Laying the small road spot here with Memphis.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Ligs Event: (507) San Antonio Spurs at (508) Los Angeles Clippers
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: January 5, 2021 10PM EST
Play: San Antonio Spurs +9.5 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gianni the Greek Event: (507) San Antonio Spurs at (508) Los Angeles Clippers
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: January 5, 2021 10PM EST
Play: San Antonio Spurs +9.5 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Tuesday, January 5

Vanderbilt @ Kentucky
Vanderbilt (4-3, 0-1)
— ranked #144 by KenPom
— Tempo: #178
— Experience: #294
— Continuity: #113
— Vandy lost its SEC opener 91-72 at home to Florida.
— Commodores lost only true road game by 20 at Davidson.
— Vandy is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 11-20-19 points.

Kentucky (2-6, 1-0)
— ranked #49 by KenPom
— Tempo: #196
— Experience: #339
— Continuity: #339
— Wildcats lost six of their last seven games.
— Kentucky won its SEC opener in double OT at Miss State
— Kentucky scored 64 or fewer points in all six losses.

— Kentucky won last eight series games.
— Vandy lost its last 12 visits to Lexington, last four by 9 or fewer points.

Davidson @ Duquesne
Davidson (5-4, 1-1)
— ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #353
— Experience: #176
— Continuity: #41
— Davidson lost four of its five top 100 games.
— 46.6% of Wildcats’ shots are 3’s (36.3%, #84)
— Davidson won its only true road game, by 9 at Rhode Island

Duquesne (2-2, 1-1)
— ranked #89 by KenPom
— Tempo: #223
— Experience: #98
— Continuity: #12
— Third game in four nights for the Dukes.
— Duquesne split first two A-14 games, both were at GW.
— This is Duquesne’s first home game this season.

— Davidson won seven of last eight series games.
— Wildcats lost 71-64 here LY, their first loss in last four visits.

NC State @ Clemson
NC State (6-1, 2-0)
— ranked #46 by KenPom
— Tempo: #66
— Experience: #194
— Continuity: #99
— Wolfpack won first two ACC games, both 79-76 scores.
— State lost its only true road game, 80-69 at Saint Louis.
— Wolfpack is forcing turnovers 28.2% of time (#4)

Clemson (8-1, 2-1)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #289
— Experience: #184
— Continuity: #96
— Clemson’s only loss was 66-60 at Virginia Tech.
— Tigers won their last three games, giving up 61 ppg.
— To this point, Clemson has played schedule #39.

— NC State won four of last five series games.
— Wolfpack lost last three visits here, by 4-16-11 points.

Kansas State @ Texas Tech
Kansas State (5-6, 1-2)
— ranked #153 by KenPom
— Tempo: #346
— Experience: #327
— Continuity: #270
— K-State lost four of five top 100 games.
— Wildcats are turning ball over 21.7% of time (#259)
— K-State won its only true road game, 74-65 at Iowa State.

Texas Tech (8-3, 1-2)
— ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #326
— Experience: #279
— Continuity: #277
— Tech’s two Big X losses were by 1-5 points.
— Red Raiders are forcing turnovers 27.7% of time (#6).
— Tech has #10 eFG% defense in country.

— Texas Tech won five of last six series games.
— Wildcats lost their last six visits to Lubbock.

Toledo @ Kent State
Toledo (8-3, 3-0)
— ranked #87 by KenPom
— Tempo: #253
— Experience: #197
— Continuity: #191
— Toledo won its first three MAC games, by 17-23-11 points.
— Rockets are shooting 37.2% on arc (#54).
— Toledo held its last three opponents under 60 points.

Kent State (3-2, 0-1)
— ranked #148 by KenPom
— Tempo: #112
— Experience: #30
— Continuity: #309
— Kent State lost its only top 100 game, in OT at Virginia.
— Golden Flashes lost MAC opener, by 4 at Akron.
— Kent State has #21 eFG% defense in country.

— Kent State won last three series games, by 2-7-13 points.
— Toledo lost its last three visits here.

Florida @ Alabama
Florida (5-1, 2-0)
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #88
— Experience: #260
— Continuity: #121
— Gators won first two SEC games, scoring 87 ppg.
— Florida’s only loss was by 12 at Florida State.
— Gators have #19 eFG% in country.

Alabama (7-3, 2-0)
— ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #26
— Experience: #111
— Continuity: #162
— Alabama won its first two SEC games, giving up 63.5 ppg.
— Crimson Tide scored 79.3 ppg in their last three games.
— Alabama is 4-3 this season in top 100 games.

— Florida won 15 of last 17 series games.
— Gators won their last eight visits to Tuscaloosa.

Iowa State @ Texas
Iowa State (2-5, 0-3)
— ranked #92 by KenPom
— Tempo: #158
— Experience: #113
— Continuity: #273
— Cyclones lost first three Big X games, by 9-5-11 points.
— Iowa State is turning ball over 24.2% of time (#310)
— Cyclones’ two wins are over teams ranked #320/#349

Texas (8-1, 2-0)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #194
— Experience: #117
— Continuity: #5
— Texas won its first two Big X games, scoring 80.5 ppg
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Sandwich game: Texas just beat Kansas, has West Virginia next.
— Texas has #6 eFG% defense in country.

— Texas won six of last eight series games.
— Cyclones lost their last five visits to Austin.

North Carolina @ Miami
North Carolina (6-4, 1-2)
— ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #109
— Experience: #325
— Continuity: #148
— UNC’s only ACC win was 66-65 over Notre Dame.
— Tar Heels lost four of their last seven games.
— UNC is turning ball over 21.5% of time (#255).

Miami (4-4, 0-3)
— ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #130
— Experience: #253
— Continuity: #227
— Miami lost its last two games, by total of 3 points.
— Hurricanes are 1-3 in top 100 games, beating Purdue 58-54.
— Miami is shooting 28% on arc (#303), turning ball over 21% of time (#235).

— North Carolina won last four series games, by average of 13 points.
— Teams split last four series games played here.

Memphis @ Central Florida
Memphis (6-4, 2-1)
— ranked #61 by KenPom
— Tempo: #28
— Experience: #323
— Continuity: #58
— Memphis split its last four games.
— Tigers lost four of five top 100 games, beating Saint Mary’s by 17.
— Memphis won its only top 10 game, 80-74 at Tulane.

Central Florida (3-3, 1-2)
— ranked #97 by KenPom
— Tempo: #248
— Experience: #245
— Continuity: #265
— Knights lost last two games, scoring 54-61 points.
— To this point, UCF has played schedule #5.
— UCF has forced turnovers 21.4% of time (#86).

— Memphis won three of last four series games.
— Tigers lost three of last four visits to Orlando.

Rutgers @ Michigan State
Rutgers (7-2, 3-2)
— ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #148
— Experience: #133
— Continuity: #31
— Rutgers lost two of last three games.
— Scarlet Knights gave up 80.3 ppg in last four games.
— Rutgers is shooting 39.3% on arc (#23).

Michigan State (7-3, 1-3)
— ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #50
— Experience: #189
— Continuity: #72
— Spartans’ only Big 14 win was 84-77 over Nebraska.
— Michigan State is giving up 80.5 ppg in league games.
— Spartans lost three of their five top 100 games.

— Spartans are 10-0 vs Rutgers in Big 14 play.
— MSU won its last four visits here, by 20-31-10-11 points.

UConn @ Marquette
UConn (4-1, 1-1)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #310
— Experience: #171
— Continuity: #111
— This is UConn’s first true road game.
— Huskies’ only loss was 76-74 in OT to Creighton.
— UConn has #23 eFG% defense in country.

Marquette (6-5, 2-3)
— ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #222
— Experience: #195
— Continuity: #168
— Marquette lost four of its last six games.
— Golden Eagles lost five of seven top 100 games.
— Marquette is shooting 38% on the arc (#38).

Missouri @ Mississippi State
Missouri (7-1, 1-1)
— ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #143
— Experience: #9
— Continuity: #6
— Tigers’ only loss was 73-53 at home to Tennessee.
— Mizzou won four of its five top 100 games.
— Tigers have #14 eFG% defense in country.

Mississippi State (6-4, 1-1)
— ranked #75 by KenPom
— Tempo: #342
— Experience: #299
— Continuity: #257
— MSU won six of last eight games, with both losses in double OT.
— Bulldogs is shooting 37.9% on arc (#41), only 60.4% on line (#324).
— MSU lost three of its four top 100 games.

— Bulldogs won last four series games.
— Mizzou lost its last four visits to Starkville.

Kansas @ TCU
Kansas (8-2, 2-1)
— ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #167
— Experience: #266
— Continuity: #118
— Kansas won its only true road game, 58-57 at Texas Tech.
— Jayhawks lost last game 84-59 at home to Texas.
— To this point, Kansas has played schedule #9.

TCU (9-2, 2-1)
— ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #235
— Experience: #319
— Continuity: #120
— Horned Frogs won their last five games.
— TCU has #56 eFG% in country.
— TCU won three of five top 100 games.

— Kansas won last six series games.
— Jayhawks won their last seven visits to Fort Worth.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

603N ILLINOIS -604 OHIO U
N ILLINOIS are 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after scoring 55 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

607DAYTON -608 FORDHAM
DAYTON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

609VANDERBILT -610 KENTUCKY
KENTUCKY is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1997.

611DAVIDSON -612 DUQUESNE
DAVIDSON is 57-31 ATS (22.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.

613NC STATE -614 CLEMSON
CLEMSON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

615KANSAS ST -616 TEXAS TECH
TEXAS TECH is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) in home games after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent since 1997.

617NEBRASKA -618 PURDUE
PURDUE is 93-64 ATS (22.6 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread since 1997.

621W MICHIGAN -622 BALL ST
W MICHIGAN is 29-54 ATS (-30.4 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1997.

623FLORIDA -624 ALABAMA
ALABAMA is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

625IOWA ST -626 TEXAS
IOWA ST is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive home games in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

501UTAH -502 BROOKLYN
UTAH is 12-31 ATS (-22.1 Units) in road games versus excellent teams - shooting >=46% with a defense of <=43% since 1996.

503LA LAKERS -504 MEMPHIS
LA LAKERS are 214-269 ATS (-81.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

505MINNESOTA -506 DENVER
DENVER is 36-54 ATS (-23.4 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

507SAN ANTONIO -508 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 46-25 ATS (18.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

509CHICAGO -510 PORTLAND
PORTLAND is 29-12 ATS (15.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Tuesday, January 5

Trend Report

Utah @ Brooklyn
Utah
Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games

LA Lakers @ Memphis
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Memphis
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

Minnesota @ Denver
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

San Antonio @ LA Clippers
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio

Chicago @ Portland
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Tuesday January 5
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Denver (9:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Nuggets are 12-0 ATS (8.54 ppg) at home off a 10+ point win as a road favorite.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Denver (9:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 0-11 ATS (-5.82 ppg) as a road dog after they shot over 50% from the field last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Antonio at L.A. Clippers (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Spurs are 12-0-1 OU (10.77 ppg) with less than two days rest after they had fewer than 10 turnovers.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Memphis (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Lakers are 0-13-1 OU (-17.86 ppg) as a road 8+ point favorite off a win.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price Jan 05 '21, 7:00 PM in 10m
NCAA-B | Florida vs Alabama
Play on: Florida +3 -108 at Draft Kings

Dave's Tuesday Free Play:
1* on Florida +3
The Key: The Florida Gators are 5-1 this season with their only loss coming on the road at Florida State. The wrong team is favored in this matchup. Alabama is in a massive letdown spot off its upset win at Tennessee as 10-point dogs on Saturday. This is an Alabama team with 3 losses to Stanford by 18, Clemson by 8 and Western Kentucky. Florida is 26-6 SU in its last 32 matchups with Alabama. The road team is 20-5-1 ATS in the last 26 matchups. Take Florida.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Jan 05 '21, 7:00 PM in 10m
NCAA-B | Vanderbilt vs Kentucky
Play on: OVER 135 -108

1* Free Pick on Vanderbilt/Kentucky over 135 -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA Jan 05 '21, 7:00 PM in 10m
NCAA-B | NC State vs Clemson
Play on: Clemson -4½ -110 at all

ASA FREE PLAY ON Clemson -4.5 over NC State, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - Clemson steps into this game with a near perfect 8-1 record despite playing one of the toughest schedules in the country thus far. Seven of their nine opponents rank inside the top 75. Their only loss was @ Virginia Tech 66-60 in a game they shot just 38% and made 13 fewer FT’s. The fact they kept it close with those numbers is impressive. Of their 6 wins vs teams inside the top 75, 5 of those came by at least 8 points including wins over Florida State, Alabama, Purdue, and Maryland to name a few. The Tigers defense has been outstanding not allowing a single opponent to top 70 points this season while ranking 2nd nationally in defensive efficiency. NC State is 6-1 on the year, however 4 of their 7 games have come against teams ranked 220th or lower. They highest rated team they’ve played was St Louis who beat the Wolfpack by 11 points. That was also their only true road game of the season. They may also be without one of their top inside players, Manny Bates, who has a bad ankle and was limited to just 7 minutes in their most recent game. The home team has won 7 straight in this series and we’ll call for Clemson to get the win and cover here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Jan 05 '21, 7:00 PM in 10m
NCAA-B | Florida vs Alabama
Play on: Alabama -2½ -110 at Bodog

1* on Alabama -2½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Jan 05 '21, 7:00 PM in 10m
NCAA-B | Florida vs Alabama
Play on: Florida +3 -108 at Draft Kings

Free Pick on Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Jan 05 '21, 7:00 PM in 10m
NCAA-B | Florida vs Alabama
Play on: Alabama -2½ -110 at Bodog

Free Play on Alabama -2½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Jan 05 '21, 7:00 PM in 10m
NCAA-B | Florida vs Alabama
Play on: UNDER 155 -110

Free Total Annihilator On Florida vs Alabama under 155 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Jan 05 '21, 7:30 PM in 40m
Soccer | Palmeiras vs River Plate
Play on: River Plate -105 at linepros

1* Free Sharp Play on River Plate -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Jan 05 '21, 7:35 PM in 45m
NBA | Jazz vs Nets
Play on: UNDER 228½ -110

1* Free Play on Jazz/Nets under 228½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Jan 05 '21, 7:35 PM in 45m
NBA | Jazz vs Nets
Play on: Jazz -3 -110 at Mirage

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Jazz -3 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy Jan 05 '21, 7:35 PM in 45m
NBA | Jazz vs Nets
Play on: Nets +4 -105 at pinnacle

Tuesday NBA Free play. My selection is on Brooklyn plus the points over Utah at 7:35 pm et on Tuesday.
I think we're seeing a bit of an overreaction from the betting marketplace here with the news that Nets superstar Kevin Durant will miss a week of action due to Covid protocols. The Nets are coming off consecutive losses, including a stunning home defeat against the Wizards last time out so they'll obviously be up for this showdown with the surging Jazz. Utah has won its last two games including a 21-point rout of the Spurs on Sunday. It's going to be tough for it to duplicate that performance here as it shot 55% from the field, made 21 three-pointers and hauled in 51 rebounds in the victory over the Spurs. Look for Kyrie Irving to take the Nets on his back in Durant's absence and at the very least take the Jazz down to the wire on Tuesday night. Take Brooklyn (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander Jan 05 '21, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | North Carolina vs Miami-FL
Play on: Miami-FL +4 -112 at linepros

1* CBB - UNC/Miami *FREE PICK* on Miami +4
Fading the Tar Heels would have made you quite a bit of money, especially of late. North Carolina is just 1-6-1 ATS over their last 8 games. Three of those failed covers coming in outright losses as a favorite. I think we could see that number climb to 4 with a loss today at Miami. Adding to this, Tar Heels are a mere 9-20 ATS last two seasons when laying points.
The Hurricanes are just 1-4 SU over their last 5 games, but have finally started to get some guys back from injury. In their last two games they have covered as a 9-pint dog at Virginia Tech (lost 78-80) and as a 4.5-point home dog to a very good Clemson team (65-66). Really should have beat the Tigers.
Miami has been very profitable in this spot, as they are 13-4 ATS last 17 at home when coming off a conference loss. Hurricanes have also gone 9-1 ATS last 10 at home vs teams like UNC who don't force a lot of turnovers (14 or fewer/game). Bet Miami +4!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer Jan 05 '21, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | North Carolina vs Miami-FL
Play on: UNDER 141 -110

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR TUESDAY, 1/5:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. One of the last plays on my cut list for the Tuesday card is with Under the Total in the game between North Carolina and Miami (FL). North Carolina (6-4) ended a two-game losing streak on Saturday with their 66-65 win against Notre Dame as a 9.5-point favorite. The Tar Heels have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. North Carolina has also played 17 of their last 22 road games Under the Total as a favorite. Miami (FL) (4-4) has lost four of their last five games with their 66-65 loss to Clemson on Saturday as a 4.5-point underdog. The Hurricanes have played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a loss at home. Miami has also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing at home. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Davis Jan 05 '21, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Iowa State vs Texas
Play on: Iowa State +12½ -115 at BetCris

Iowa St is worth a look here tonight. This is the ultimate sandwich spot for Texas here. They are coming off a huge road win at Kansas and now have a huge game on deck with West Virginia. They clearly won't be looking much into this game. Iowa St has been a double digit dog to Baylor and West Virginia and they covered both of those games. The spot is great to back the Cyclones tonight!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard Jan 05 '21, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Iowa State vs Texas
Play on: Iowa State +12½ -103 at pinnacle

625 Iowa State at Texas
The Cyclones are not up to the standards of Texas, but they have proven themselves to be a competent underdog. The only game in which they were not competitive was against the run and gun Iowa Hawkeyes. Coming off a contest with Baylor, we think the Cyclones can put up enough defensive might to keep this game under the number.
Texas is coming off its best game of the season, crushing Kansas by 25 points. That brought a lot of national eyes to this program and in turn raises expectations. But the betting markets agree that now is the time to fade them, with West Virginia and Texas Tech on deck.
PLAY IOWA STATE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Red Dog Sports Jan 05 '21, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | North Carolina vs Miami-FL
Play on: UNDER 141 -110

under 141
UNC is #331 in taking 3 pointers. This is the third lowest field goal shooting team in the UNC Roy Williams coached era. Their lineup of Caleb Love and RJ Davis and Leaky Black are shooting less than 25% from 3's.
Most of the offensive woes for UNC is due to the fact they have lots of freshmen and trying to settle on a lineup.
Miami is probably without guard Chris Lykes. Coach Jim Larranaga likes to stress defense and has a solid rebounding team.
Unless we see plenty of late 3's and free throws I think this ends in the 134 to 139 range.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson Jan 05 '21, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Missouri vs Mississippi State
Play on: Mississippi State +2 -109 at Draft Kings

Rocketman Sports FREE CBB play Tuesday 1-5-21
Missouri @ Mississippi State (9:00 PM EST)
Play On: Mississippi State +2

The Missouri Tigers travel to Mississippi State to take on the Bulldogs on Tuesday night. Missouri is 7-1 SU overall this year while Mississippi State comes in with a 6-4 SU overall record on the season. Mississippi State is 5-1 SU at home this year where they are beating opponents by an average score of 76.7 to 60.7. Mississippi State is scoring 81.2 points per game past 5 games overall and 78 points per game in conference games. Mississippi State is 6-1 SU and ATS at home past 7 games vs Missouri including 2-0 SU and ATS the past 3 years. Mississippi State is 10-3 ATS last 13 meetings overall in this series. We'll recommend a small play on Mississippi State tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Jan 05 '21, 9:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Wolves vs Nuggets
Play on: Wolves +11½ -110 at Draft Kings

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Minnesota Timberwolves +11.5
These teams just played in Minnesota on Sunday with Denver winning 124-109 as 8.5-point favorites. This is a home-and-home situation where the Timberwolves are now 11.5-point underdogs, a 3-point adjustment. I think the Timberwolves will be the hungrier team in the rematch and will cover this inflated number. It's not like the Nuggets have been playing that well all season. Their only two wins came against the Timberwolves and a short-handed Rockets team. They are 2-4 SU in all games this season, which is the same record as Minnesota. The Nuggets are 1-6-1 ATS int heir last eight games following a win by more than 10 points. Minnesota is 20-6 ATS in its last 26 trips to Denver. Give me the Timberwolves.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan Jan 05 '21, 9:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Wolves vs Nuggets
Play on: OVER 225 -110

Minnesota vs. Denver Over 225
This over is worth a flyer. Both teams love to play with a lot of pace and push the ball. Look for them to play with a lot of tempo here in this one, which should lead to a lot of easy transition buckets both ways.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Tuesday 5* Free NBA O/U Play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers Jan 05 '21, 10:35 PM in 3h
NBA | Bulls vs Blazers
Play on: Blazers -9½ -110 at Draft Kings

The set-up: Chicago is dealing with several injury and COVID issues, including to: SG Tomas Satoransky, PF Lauri Markkanen, SF Chandler Hutchinson, and PG Ryan Arcidiacono. Portland's been a disappointment in the early going as well after a great end to the Bubble format last year, but I think its asking a lot of these undermanned Bulls to keep pace in this difficult non-conference road venue. Chicago averages 114.2 PPG and it allows 121.9.
The pick: Portland averages 115.3 PPG, and it concedes 119.3. The Blazers recent form of late though will have them anxious to turn things around and here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. Chicago was already struggling in every facet of the game, but with so many key players out due to COVID, it's hard to imagine where any sort of production will come from the visiting side tonight. Consider the home side in this one.
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the BLAZERS.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: Kansas St +16 over Texas Tech

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY: DAYTON -11 over Fordham

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U Tuesday's Free Selection: Memphis/Central Florida under 135 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins ROZ's TUESDAY, JANUARY 5, 2021
FREE
NBA
506. Nuggets -12 (6:05 PT / 9:05 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports
Tuesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Dayton Flyers - 11 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports Tuesday's Free Play: Vanderbilt Commodores + 12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: Texas Tech Red Raiders -15½ over Kansas St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play TUESDAY, January 5, 2021
FREE NBA
502. Nets -2.5 (4:35 PT / 7:35 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Tuesday Selection Is
Kansas -5½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Tuesday : Take BALL ST -9½ over Western Michigan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Tuesday
Duquesne -1'

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hawkeye Sports Tuesday's Free Pick: Ohio Bobcats - 15 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Huddle Up Sports
Tuesday Free Play:
Kansas -5 CBB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph

TUES TCU + 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teyas Sports FREE PICK 1/5/2021 CBB MARQUETTE -1 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Tuesday: DAVIDSON +1½ over Duquesne

[Can'tPickAWinner]

High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Tuesday: Texas Tech Red Raiders - 15 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Tuesday: Minn/Den OVER 228