Friday 1/15/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Finn Event: (841) Marshall at (842) Western Kentucky
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: January 15, 2021 5PM EST
Play: Western Kentucky -2.5 (-110)
Conference USA receives butt slaps for scheduling this matchup on a Friday night that is not just a prelude to the Saturday and Sunday Divisional Round matchups in the NFL but on a Friday night, almost completely absent Power 6 programs.
One of C-USA's most talented rosters finds Western Kentucky undervalued in the Big Picture; pun intended, Big Dance Picture. The Hilltoppers have earned wins against a good Alabama Crimson Tide squad and own a victory over the Rhode Island Rams.
The Marshall Thundering Herd aren't as deep, nor do they have the resume that the WKU has, but they've experienced their share of 15-minute moments this season. The Herd has played their way into being considered a competitive team on their home floor while being less-than in the role of a visitor.
Western Kentucky is the better defensive team in this matchup. The Hilltoppers' defensive peripherals show of that prowess. WKU is surrendering just 66 points per game in their four league contests, and being on their home floor Friday night makes the value-based play in this C-USA event.
Take the home team Hilltoppers and lay the small number.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant Event: (857) IPFW at (858) Wisc Milwaukee
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: January 15, 2021 7PM EST
Play: Total Under 145.0 (-115)
BET SIZE / RANGE
3% at 143 or higher
2% at 142.5
1% at 142
NO PLAY below 142
My college hoops totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data from KenPom.com, history involving similar games (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Ligs Event: (503) New York Knicks at (504) Cleveland Cavaliers
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: January 15, 2021 7PM EST
Play: New York Knicks -2.5 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andy Lang Event: (507) Dallas Mavericks at (508) Milwaukee Bucks
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: January 15, 2021 7PM EST
Play: Luka Doncic DOUBLE DOUBLE
He’s had a double double in every game in 2021. He’s had a double double with points and rebounds and points and assists. He’s had a triple double in 2 out of 4 games. He’s playing himself into shape, his numbers have really gotten good since the first of the year, increased his total in points, rebounds and assists. Bucks have been in some high scoring games recently, I’ll play some on Luka to stack the stat sheet tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Jan 15 '21, 2:30 PM in 3h
Soccer | Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin
Play on: Bayer Leverkusen +125 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Bayer Leverkusen +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays Jan 15 '21, 2:45 PM in 3h
Soccer | Anderlecht vs Eupen
Play on: Anderlecht +100 at linepros

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Anderlecht +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Jan 15 '21, 3:00 PM in 3h
Soccer | AS Monaco vs Montpellier
Play on: Montpellier +285 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on Montpellier +285

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1PITTSBURGH -2 PHILADELPHIA
PITTSBURGH is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games after a division game in the last 3 seasons.

5WASHINGTON -6 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 309-295 ATS (-15.5 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.

7CHICAGO -8 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 434-439 ATS (-104.1 Units) vs. losing teams since 1996.

9TORONTO -10 OTTAWA
OTTAWA is 129-120 ATS (-3 Units) at home when the total is >=6 since 1996.

11ST LOUIS -12 COLORADO
COLORADO is 202-177 ATS (34.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Friday, January 15

Trend Report
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Washington @ Buffalo
Washington
Washington is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Washington

Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Pittsburgh is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Chicago @ Tampa Bay
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Chicago
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

Toronto @ Ottawa
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Ottawa is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Toronto

St. Louis @ Colorado
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games on the road
St. Louis is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Colorado's last 11 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, January 15

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PITTSBURGH (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) - 1/15/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 21-27 ATS (-18.4 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 52-34 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-7 ATS (+12.5 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-13 ATS (+9.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 279-291 ATS (-94.7 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 457-400 ATS (-92.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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WASHINGTON (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) at BUFFALO (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) - 1/15/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 13-19 ATS (-15.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 49-72 ATS (-49.3 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-2 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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CHICAGO (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) - 1/15/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 124-58 ATS (+200.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 24-7 ATS (+8.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 434-439 ATS (-97.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-1 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 4-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

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TORONTO (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) at OTTAWA (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) - 1/15/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 129-120 ATS (-18.5 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-4 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-3-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

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ST LOUIS (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) at COLORADO (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) - 1/15/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 202-177 ATS (+24.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 59-67 ATS (+163.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 7-3 (+4.7 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 7-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

503NEW YORK -504 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

505ORLANDO -506 BOSTON
ORLANDO is 15-5 ATS (9.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.

507DALLAS -508 MILWAUKEE
DALLAS are 32-16 ATS (14.4 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

509CHICAGO -510 OKLAHOMA CITY
CHICAGO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

511MEMPHIS -512 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

515ATLANTA -516 UTAH
ATLANTA is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

515ATLANTA -516 UTAH
Lloyd Pierce is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 (Coach of ATLANTA)

517NEW ORLEANS -518 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 58-93 ATS (-44.3 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1996.

519LA CLIPPERS -520 SACRAMENTO
LA CLIPPERS are 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, January 15

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NEW YORK (5 - 7) at CLEVELAND (5 - 7) - 1/15/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 305-363 ATS (-94.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 230-279 ATS (-76.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (6 - 5) at BOSTON (7 - 3) - 1/15/2021, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (6 - 4) at MILWAUKEE (8 - 4) - 1/15/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 105-83 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 461-374 ATS (+49.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 190-150 ATS (+25.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
DALLAS is 585-500 ATS (+35.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
DALLAS is 79-56 ATS (+17.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 296-355 ATS (-94.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 86-136 ATS (-63.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (5 - 5) at UTAH (7 - 4) - 1/15/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (4 - 6) at LA LAKERS (10 - 3) - 1/15/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 181-225 ATS (-66.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 7-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (8 - 4) at SACRAMENTO (5 - 7) - 1/15/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 73-52 ATS (+15.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Friday, January 15

Trend Report

Orlando @ Boston
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Boston is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Orlando

New York @ Cleveland
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 9 games
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

Dallas @ Milwaukee
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Memphis @ Minnesota
Memphis
Memphis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

Chicago @ Oklahoma City
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Oklahoma City is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Chicago

Atlanta @ Utah
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games at home

New Orleans @ LA Lakers
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
LA Lakers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

LA Clippers @ Sacramento
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Friday, January 15

Old Dominion @ Rice
Old Dominion (7-3, 3-1)
— ranked #135 by KenPom
— Tempo: #220
— Experience: #24
— Continuity: #34
— Monarchs won last three games, by 5-4-9 points.
— Old Dominion is 6-0 when it allows less than 77 points.
— Monarchs lost three of five true road games, winning at Norfolk St/FAU.

Rice (9-3, 3-1)
— ranked #211 by KenPom
— Tempo: #109
— Experience: #245
— Continuity: #294
— Rice won four of its last five games.
— To this point, Owls have played schedule #317.
— Rice has #27 eFG% in country.

— Monarchs won last six series games.
— ODU won last five visits here, by 9-7-8-7-3 points.

UAB @ Charlotte
UAB (9-1, 2-0)
— ranked #101 by KenPom
— Tempo: #144
— Experience: #30
— Continuity: #162
— Blazers’ only loss was by 3 to Chattanooga.
— To this point, UAB has played schedule #344.
— Blazers swept Southern Miss by 12-4 points LW to open C-USA play.

Charlotte (5-5, 1-1)
— ranked #169 by KenPom
— Tempo: #351
— Experience: #176
— Continuity: #190
— 49ers split first two league games, with Western Kentucky.
— Charlotte lost its last game to D-II Belmont-Abbey, in OT.
— 49ers have top 100 wins over Davidson, WKU.

— Charlotte won last two series games, 69-62/51-44.
— Blazers won three of last four visits to Charlotte.

Hofstra @ Delaware
Hofstra (6-5, 2-2)
— ranked #154 by KenPom
— Tempo: #159
— Experience: #186
— Continuity: #84
— Hofstra is 2-3 on road, but they did win at #51 Richmond.
— Hofstra swept Wm & Mary, got swept by Northeastern LW.
— Hofstra doesn’t sub much (#336 bench minutes).

Delaware (3-5, 1-2)
— ranked #268 by KenPom
— Tempo: #276
— Experience: #174
— Continuity: #175
— Delaware lost four of its last five games.
— To this point, Blue Hens have played schedule #305.
— Delaware has #275 eFG% in country.

— Hofstra won 13 of last 15 series games.
— Hofstra won its last six visits to Delaware.

Marshall @ Western Kentucky
Marshall (7-2, 1-1)
— ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #25
— Experience: #96
— Continuity: #3
— Marshall split first two C-USA games, with Louisiana Tech.
— Marshall plays fast pace (#25) but doesn’t sub much (#300 bench minutes)
— Marshall is shooting 56.9% inside arc (#22).

Western Kentucky (9-4, 2-2)
— ranked #89 by KenPom
— Tempo: #195
— Experience: #56
— Continuity: #92
— Hilltoppers lost two of their last three games.
— All four of their C-USA games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— WKU won three of its five top 100 games.

— WKU won last three series games, by 9-4-7 points.
— Marshall lost last three visits here, by 11-9-7 points.

Bowling Green @ Buffalo
Bowling Green (9-3, 5-1)
— ranked #119 by KenPom
— Tempo: #94
— Experience: #169
— Continuity: #106
— Falcons won five of their last six games.
— BG allowed 85+ points in all three of their losses.
— Falcons are 5-1 in true road games, losing only at #4 Michigan.

Buffalo (5-3, 3-1)
— ranked #103 by KenPom
— Tempo: #13
— Experience: #26
— Continuity: #66
— Bulls won four of their last five games.
— Buffalo scored 87 ppg in their three MAC wins.
— Bulls’ best win is over #139 Ball State.

— Falcons were 31-40 on foul line in a 86-78 home win over Buffalo Dec 6th.
— Teams split last six series games.
— Bowling Green lost five of last six visits to Buffalo.

Siena @ Rider
Siena (4-0, 4-0)
— ranked #130 by KenPom
— Tempo: #285
— Experience: #115
— Continuity: #188
— Siena star Pickett has a balky hamstring (check status)
— Saints scored 75.8 ppg in their first four games.
— To this point, Siena has played schedule #313.

Rider (3-8, 3-5)
— ranked #309 by KenPom
— Tempo: #266
— Experience: #191
— Continuity: #322
— Rider split its last four games, after a 1-6 start.
— Broncs lost by 35-3 points in their only top 200 games (Syracuse/St John’s)
— In two sets of back/back games, Rider won first day both times.

— Home side won six of last seven series games.
— Saints lost four of last six games at Rider.

Duquesne @ St Bonaventure
Duquesne (3-4, 2-3)
— ranked #104 by KenPom
— Tempo: #214
— Experience: #124
— Continuity: #46
— Dukes lost three of their last four games.
— Duquesne scored 53 ppg in its last three games.
— Dukes’ only top 200 win was over #117 NC-Greensboro.

St Bonaventure (5-1, 3-1)
— ranked #61 by KenPom
— Tempo: #243
— Experience: #116
— Continuity: #32
— Bonnies won last three games, giving up 59 ppg.
— Their only loss was 63-57 at #69 Rhode Island.
— Bonnies don’t sub much (#339 bench minutes).

— St Bonaventure won eight of last nine series games.
— Dukes lost six of last seven visits to Olean (won 81-77 in OT here LY)

Tex-San Antonio @ Louisiana Tech
Tex-San Antonio (5-6, 1-3)
— ranked #193 by KenPom
— Tempo: #44
— Experience: #119
— Continuity: #63
— UTSA lost six of its eight D-I games.
— Roadrunners are 0-5 in true road games, losing by 18-point average.
— UTSA has #329 eFG% defense in country (#329).

Louisiana Tech (9-4, 2-2)
— ranked #107 by KenPom
— Tempo: #155
— Experience: #57
— Continuity: #121
— Tech is 7-1 vs teams ranked outside the top 100.
— All four of their C-USA games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Tech #39 eFG% defense in country.

— UTSA won four of last six series games.
— Roadrunners won two of last three visits to Ruston.

UTEP @ North Texas
UTEP (6-4, 2-2)
— ranked #161 by KenPom
— Tempo: #236
— Experience: #109
— Continuity: #205
— UTEP is 6-0 when it scores 77+ points, 0-4 when it doesn’t.
— Miners are 2-3 in road games, winning at Arizona State/Southern Miss.
— UTEP doesn’t sub much (#342 bench minutes).

North Texas (5-5, 1-1)
— ranked #106 by KenPom
— Tempo: #328
— Experience: #22
— Continuity: #89
— North Texas is 1-5 vs teams ranked in top 300.
— Mean Green was held to 57.2 ppg in their five losses.
— North Texas is shooting 37.9% on arc (#35).

— North Texas won three of last four series games.
— Miners won four of last five visits to Denton.

Middle Tennessee @ Southern Miss
Middle Tennessee (3-5, 1-1)
— ranked #206 by KenPom
— Tempo: #83
— Experience: #98
— Continuity: #263
— MTSU is turning ball over 25% of time (#335)
— Blue Raiders have #312 eFG% in country.
— This is MTSU’s first true road game this season.

Southern Miss (5-6, 1-3)
— ranked #284 by KenPom
— Tempo: #349
— Experience: #204
— Continuity: #189
— USM lost its last three games, scoring 60 ppg.
— Southern Miss is turning ball over 23.8% of time (#322)
— To this point, Golden Eagles have played schedule #250.

— MTSU swept Southern Miss LY, winning by 2-8-3 points.
— Blue Raiders won three of last four visits to Hattiesburg.

Wisconsin @ Rutgers
Wisconsin (10-3, 4-2)
— ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #336
— Experience: #25
— Continuity: #12
— Badgers split their last four games, after an 8-1 start.
— Wisconsin is shooting 40.5% on arc (#9)
— Badgers are 1-2 in true road games (won 85-76 at Mich State).

Rutgers (7-4, 3-4)
— ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #167
— Experience: #121
— Continuity: #22
— Rutgers lost four of last five games, after a 6-0 start.
— Scarlet Knights are shooting 58% on foul line (#338)
— To this point, Rutgers has played schedule #15.

— Home side won last seven meetings.
— Badgers lost last three games in Garden State, by 5-4-7 points.

Fresno State @ Nevada
Fresno State (5-3, 3-3)
— ranked #167 by KenPom
— Tempo: #311
— Experience: #288
— Continuity: #298
— Fresno lost its two top 200 games, by 22-22, both to Colorado State
— Bulldogs are shooting 28.9% on arc (#301), 59.5% on line (#336)
— The two losses at Colorado State are their only true road games.

Nevada (8-5, 3-3)
— ranked #116 by KenPom
— Tempo: #106
— Experience: #333
— Continuity: #295
— Nevada’s last three losses are by total of 9 points.
— Wolf Pack has #65 eFG% defense in country.
— Nevada is getting 22.7% of its points on foul line (#40).

— Nevada won last six series games.
— Bulldogs lost their last five visits to Reno.

Cal-Bakersfield @ Hawaii
Cal-Bakersfield (7-4, 3-1)
— ranked #150 by KenPom
— Tempo: #346
— Experience: #1
— Continuity: #23
— Bakersfield won last three games, by 13-13-17 points.
— Roadrunners have grabbed 42.9% of their own missed shots (#1).
— Good thing they do; Bakersfield has #310 eFG% in country.

Hawaii (3-1, 1-1)
— ranked #209 by KenPom
— Tempo: #65
— Experience: #170
— Continuity: #324
— Hawai’i split pair with Riverside LW, their first D-I games this season.
— Rainbows are still getting to know each other (#334 in continuity)
— Hawai’i was outscored 8-2 over final 1:29 of its 70-68 loss at Riverside Saturday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds



Fair Grounds - Race 8

Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double



Optional Claiming $40,000 • 1 1/8 Miles • Turf • Ages 4 and up • CR: 103 • Purse: $47,000 • Post: 4:23P


FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE NOVEMBER 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. ONE SUCH RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $35,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND ONE EIGHTH.).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * BUNDIBUNAN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. ON A SPREE: H orse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TWO EMMYS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SPACE MOUNTAIN: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. BOTSWANA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.



3

BUNDIBUNAN

4/1


5/1




6

ON A SPREE

6/1


6/1




4

TWO EMMYS

6/1


7/1




5

SPACE MOUNTAIN

6/1


9/1




11

BOTSWANA

12/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

MERLIN'S SONG

1


12/1

Front-runner

99


98


101.8


89.8


69.3




11

BOTSWANA

11


12/1

Front-runner

101


98


99.0


95.2


80.7




4

TWO EMMYS

4


6/1

Stalker

103


99


108.4


96.4


82.4




6

ON A SPREE

6


6/1

Stalker

104


102


107.6


98.0


90.5




10

SINGAPORE FLASH

10


20/1

Stalker

94


93


87.2


86.2


70.7




14

SPA CITY

14


3/1

Stalker

96


103


79.6


96.4


82.9




3

BUNDIBUNAN

3


4/1

Trailer

105


101


96.0


98.6


94.1




5

SPACE MOUNTAIN

5


6/1

Trailer

103


92


83.0


94.8


86.3




13

ZANESVILLE

13


8/1

Trailer

95


93


82.3


89.3


70.3




8

LEADER OF MEN

8


15/1

Trailer

98


86


82.2


85.5


63.0




2

CRYPTO CASH

2


10/1

Trailer

94


96


81.2


89.4


70.9




9

BOND STREET (IRE)

9


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

96


97


91.0


79.6


57.1




12

GUNNISON

12


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

96


93


87.8


87.4


71.9























Unknown Running Style: DARAIN (GB) (8/1) [Jockey: Geroux Florent - Trainer: Cox Brad H].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park



Gulfstream Park - Race 2

$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 2-3-4) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)



Maiden Claiming $50,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 4 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $39,000 • Post: 1:05P


(RAIL AT 60 FEET). FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000, FOR EACH $5,000 TO $40,000 2 LBS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE)





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Trailer. SMALL TALK is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * THE ANGRY MAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. H orse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. GIMME SOME MO: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LIGHT CRUISER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designa tion. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



7

THE ANGRY MAN

3/1


4/1




1

GIMME SOME MO

5/2


5/1




2

LIGHT CRUISER

10/1


7/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




9

AUGUSTA MELODY

9


5/1

Front-runner

84


73


69.2


69.2


58.7




1

GIMME SOME MO

1


5/2

Alternator/Front-runner

92


84


88.9


80.2


76.2




5

COLLIERY

5


20/1

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


92.3


85.0


78.5




2

LIGHT CRUISER

2


10/1

Alternator/Stalker

91


87


86.7


70.8


62.8




7

THE ANGRY MAN

7


3/1

Alternator/Stalker

96


88


72.5


89.3


84.8




6

SMALL TALK

6


8/1

Alternator/Trailer

89


78


72.8


77.3


67.8




3

MAKER OF AN EMPIRE

3


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


73.0


69.7


56.7























Unknown Running Style: FAVORED (8/1) [Jockey: Saez Luis - Trainer: Fawkes David], ORAN (6/1) [Jockey: Velazquez John R - Trainer: Kenneally Eddie].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Turf. Purse: $61000 Class Rating: 91

FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 FAT STACKS 3/1




# 3 FLY BUDDY FLY 6/1




# 9 SQUARED STRAIGHT 12/1




FAT STACKS looks to be a very strong contender. Should best this group here, showing strong figures of late. Jockey's recent ROI figs make this gelding a strong bet. Has to be given consideration based on the decent speed figure earned in the last race. FLY BUDDY FLY - Handler boasts strong win figs at this distance and surface. SQUARED STRAIGHT - Has been running soundly lately and ought to be close to the lead early on. Is worth careful consideration and may be a bet - strong Equibase speed figs (91 average) at today's distance and surface recently.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Charles Town - Race #6 - Post: 9:32pm - Allowance - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#6 RING THE BELLA (ML=3/1)
#8 BLAME IT ON HONEY (ML=15/1)


RING THE BELLA - Faced tougher in the last race at Penn National. Based on class figures, this is a weaker field, so I will put this horse on my list of strong contenders. Utilizing this jock/trainer combination is a good choice. The most recent speed rating of 87 is the top last race speed fig in the group. Velez brings him back again. I advise you stay with this strong gelding. BLAME IT ON HONEY - Montano was aboard this gelding in the last race and was impressed enough to take the horse right back.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 CASTLE FIVE (ML=2/1), #4 COMMAND THE CAT (ML=5/2), #2 YOU GO BOY (ML=5/1),

CASTLE FIVE - This morning-line favorite may be out of shape without any recent drills. COMMAND THE CAT - The speed figure last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this thoroughbred as a vulnerable contender. YOU GO BOY - Equibase speed figs of 85/76/71 are headed on a downward course.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - RING THE BELLA - I would conclude that this horse should sit in the 'garden' spot, then this gelding should be moving with a full head of steam coming for home and romp to victory.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#6 RING THE BELLA is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [6,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Laurel - Race #6 - Post: 2:53pm - Claiming - 9.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 84

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#7 KING MAURO (ML=6/1)
#6 CHARGING LION (ML=4/1)


KING MAURO - That last work tells me this gelding is set for a top performance. At the top of the stretch is when this one will make a big move. A wonderful chance to be victorious. Faced tougher last time out at Laurel. Based on Equibase class figures, this is a weaker group, so I will put this thoroughbred on my list of strong contenders. CHARGING LION - I like this one. Finished in front of today's morning-line favorite last out at Laurel, and I think he will do well versus this field today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 HE'S ZIPPIN ON BY (ML=7/2), #4 EARNED IT (ML=4/1), #3 SMART TWO A T (ML=9/2),

HE'S ZIPPIN ON BY - This runner hasn't been on the track since Dec 6th. Not even any drills. EARNED IT - Difficult to wager on any horse to turn things around if there is no wager value to taking the risk. Hard to put any cash on this gelding on the front end. Likes to hit the board though. Will be tough for this entrant to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put him on the vulnerable competitors list. SMART TWO A T - Likely won't make much of a mark in today's event.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - KING MAURO - Having the best speed fig last race of 84 at Laurel on December 31st. This gelding has an excellent chance to win here.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #7 KING MAURO on the win end if we get at least 3/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [6,7]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10400 Class Rating: 80

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 11 FORT YORK 6/1




# 4 PRAISE LOUDLY 20/1




# 2 NORTHERN QUEST 3/1




FORT YORK is my choice. PRAISE LOUDLY - If you gander closely, this one has some longshot possibilities. He should have a strong showing versus this softer field. NORTHERN QUEST - Has been travelling soundly and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance. Could provide positive profits based on very good recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 76.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday, January 15: Frank Carulli's Stronach 5 Picks

January 14, 2021 | By Frank Carulli

LEG A // LAUREL // RACE 8 (3:55PM ET) // CLAIMING // 5 1/2 FURLONGS (DIRT)

SCAMPER ALONG romped after three rivals stopped and another broke slowly; however, the winning time was only 2/5 slower than a $5,000/nw4 race for boys earlier on the Penn National card. She also projects a good stalking trip with STEP BY STEP and SEVILLA SANGRIA to help set her up for a repeat score. SCAMPER ALONG could be a Stronach 5 solo play to reduce the ticket cost, but COUGAR VISION is worth considering as a value play after a 5-wide trip as the beaten favorite off a three-month layoff.

LEG B // GULFSTREAM // RACE 8 (4:11PM ET) // CLAIMING // 6 FURLONGS (DIRT)

LEO'S DIAMOND, a first-out winner at Gulfstream for $50,000 a year ago, was compromised by troubled starts in her last two main-track sprint attempts and takes an all-or-nothing type class drop today. LALALI dueled and held third in a long sprint won by Socially Astray, who came back to win by 4 lengths at the non-winners of 3 level. She makes her third start after eight months away and jockey Hector Berrios suits her well.

LEG C // LAUREL // RACE 9 (4:25PM ET) // MAIDEN CLAIMING // 7 FURLONGS (DIRT)

SHEPHERD'S WILL starts fresh, takes a magnified class drop coming out of a productive MSW sprint and gets a strong gate jockey in J D Acosta to help solve his slow-starting habits. BALTINGLASS gets Lasix and shows a steady work tab for his debut for a 21-percent barn. GOLDIE'S BOY worked well leading up to his 7F debut but he couldn't keep up with the runaway, 1-to-5 winner.

LEG D // SANTA ANITA // RACE 3 (4:32PM ET) // MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT // 6 FURLONGS (TURF)

FAT STACKS made a late run at 2-to-5 winner Master Ryan in a promising 5F debut. LUVLUV lacked stretch kick in turf routes, but he needs an alert start and some pace flow to win as a first-time gelding. LIL RICHARDS BELLO rallied strongly in his lone turf try, dueled in a series of main-track sprints as the beaten favorite since then, now sheds the blinkers.

LEG E // GOLDEN GATE // RACE 3 (4:49PM ET) // MAIDEN CLAIMING // 6 FURLONGS (ALL WEATHER)

Go at least 5-deep in this maiden claimer with five first-time starters and sporadic form from those that have run.

SUGGESTED $1 STRONACH 5 TICKET

LEG A: 1, 7
LEG B: 5, 10
LEG C: 4, 5, 7
LEG D: 4, 5, 10
LEG E: 4, 5, 9, 11, 12
TICKET COST: $180.00

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 1/15/21

January 15, 2021

Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies

*

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
*
*
Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


Click to view today’s Santa Anita Workout Report


RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: C+
Use: 6-Lookin So Lucky; 7-Acoustic Shadow

Forecast: Acoustic Shadows drops into a maiden claimer for the first time and switches to F. Prat, so based on those two angles alone the L. Powell-trained filly should be hard to beat in a modest turf miler. She’s fast enough on pure numbers to win and should get the patient ride she appears to prefer. Lookin So Lucky exits the same race as ‘Shadows and actually finished ahead of her chief rival in that early January affair, winding up fifth after pressing the issue to the top of the lane. While we don’t expect her to be on the lead today, the A. Barba-trained filly is a fit on figures and projects to draft into a comfortable stalking position and then have her chance from the quarter pole home. In a race that offers little wagering value, both should be included in rolling exotic play.
*
*
RACE 2: Post: 1:02 PT Grade: C+
Use: 2-Alvaaro; 3-Stackin Silver

Forecast: Stackin Silver, away since last April and plummeting in class, returns as a first-time gelding, gets in light due to the presence of bug girl J. Pyfer, and hails from a barn that has superior stats with layoff runners. The Union Rags gelding should be part of the pace throughout – maybe even on the lead – and with a prior win over this track and distance the R. Baltas-trained 4-year-old may be the one to beat. Alvaaro easily handled a $16,000 restricted (nw-2) field last month at this trip and should be tough right back despite the relatively quick turnaround. From his 2-hole draw the son of Old Fashioned may be sent to establish the running, though the option to stalk and pounce is available if ‘Silver is committed to be the controlling speed. We’ll try to get by using just these two in our rolling exotics in a race that we’ll otherwise pass.
*
*
RACE 3: Post: 1:32 PT Grade: B+
Single: 5-Fat Stacks

Forecast: Let’s take a stand and single the second-timer starter Fat Stacks, who performed admirably in his debut when finishing second at Del Mar sprinting on grass in November and seems likely to step forward in this six furlong maiden special weight turf dash for older straight maidens. The son of Drosselomeyer stayed on nicely and then galloped out far in front in that race, so we suspect today’s extra furlong will do him nothing but good. A steady, easy series of recent workouts should have him primed and ready for a barn that always does well with second timer starters, so at 3-1 on the morning line he’s likely to offer sufficient wagering value.
*
*
RACE 4: Post: 2:05 PT Grade: X
Single: 5-Hozier

Forecast: Hozier has trained like a very good prospect for B. Baffert and seems to have found an ideal spot to score at first asking in this six furlong main track sprint for maiden 3-year-olds. The son of Pioneerof the Nile, purchased as a Saratoga yearling for $625,000, displayed good speed and plenty of quality in a pair of recent gate works, so we’ll prefer him over stable mate Concert Tour, who also should get plenty of play but truthfully hasn’t been as impressive in the morning. We’ll make Hozier a rolling exotic single but at 6/5 on the morning line and likely to go lower there’s not much else we can do with him.
*
*
RACE 5: Post: 2:34 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Mischiffie; 3-Posit

Forecast: This $40,000 claiming turf sprint for fillies and mares should boil down to two main players. Posit, a first-off-the-claim play for V. Cerin (always dangerous with this angle) returns waiver protected in her first outing in 10 months and has trained well enough to be plenty fit for a big effort off the bench. Most effective on or near the lead and with a prior win over the local lawn, the daughter of Cairo Prince catches a field without too much early zip so she should have her chance from a pace-pressing/forcing position. Mischiffie vans down from Golden Gate Fields, where she has been training steadily waiting for a chance to run after joining the high-percentage J. Martin barn. A two-time winner over the Santa Anita turf course, the veteran Irish-bred mare can be tough on the lead or from a stalking position and has run well fresh in the past. We’ll give Posit the edge on top but use both in our rolling exotics.
*
*
RACE 6: Post: 3:04 PT Grade: B
Single: 2-Naansense

Forecast: We’ll single Naansense in this woeful maiden $20,000 claiming miler for older fillies and mares simply because there’s nothing else in here to embrace. Lightly-raced (just two starts) and theoretically with more room to improve than the others, the daughter of Bayern has the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch-out pattern, exits a much tougher race, and makes a pivotal jockey switch to J. Rosario. The D. O’Neill-trained filly projects as the controlling speed, and in race with no dangerous closing types she should have every chance to dominate gate-to-wire.
*
*
RACE 7: Post: 3:34 PT Grade: B
Use: 5-Ohio; 6-Sombeyay

Forecast: Sombeyay is an East Coast invader with form in graded stakes company last year that makes him the one to beat in this third level allowance grass miler for older horses. In a race that projects to be slowly run early, the son of Into Mischief should either be on the lead or comfortably placed in a stalking position under F. Prat while enjoying the type of trip that has produced his best results. The P. Miller/F. Prat is as potent a trainer/jockey combo as there is (41%, strong flat-bet profit). Ohio, now 10-years-old but still willing and able, returns for his first start in 10 months and certainly has a right to be a bit rusty, but the Brazilian-bred gelding is a former Grade-1 winner over this course and distance and the works say he should be ready for a good effort, though he may be a race away from being dead tight. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have extra tickets keying Sombeyay on top.
*
*
RACE 8: Post: 4:04 PT Grade: C+
Use: 5-Gryffindor; 6-Rideo; 9-R Cha Cha

Forecast: The Friday nightcap is a messy $10,000 middle distance main track affair for older horses that requires a bit of a spread in rolling exotic play. We’ll go three-deep and hope that’s sufficient. Gryffindor is just 2-for-29 during his career but the good news is that both of those victories were accomplished over the Santa Anita main track. He drops to his lowest level ever but is facing open (as opposed to restricted) company, so this isn’t necessarily an easier group than he’s been facing. However, on pure numbers he’s a fit and he’s likely to benefit from the switch to hot-riding J. J. Hernandez. Rideo, unraced since late October due to the temporary closer of Golden Gate Fields, finds a suitable spot for the high-percentage J. Martin barn and should be a live item following a clever synthetic track score up north. While that victory came against a softer $5,000 field, the son of Candy Ride earned a number that projects to be quite competitive on the raise. R Cha Cha gets a break in the weights with the switch to bug boy A. Centeno and may employ front-running tactics, though there are others who might have the same game plan. Twice a winner over the Santa Anita main track, the veteran gelding can act with this group on his best day and is worth throwing in.
*
*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#1 Stay Smart The move back around two turns gives her some chance to bounce back off the dull run over a good Parx surface last out, and she's fast enough to find a good spot near the front from the fence.
#2 Daphne Moon She has a little bit of class to her, but I'm not sure she's all that much better than these on her best day, and she's likely to get bet below fair value.
#5 Persisto She has been finding the competition in NY a bit too tough at this point, but she catches a field in which she looks very competitive while making her local debut.
Race Summary Stay Smart has positional pace and an ability to rate that should keep her in the mix from the start, and she'll be able to get the jump on the likely chalk drawn just outside of her.

Laurel Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#8 Awesome Pal Steps up for this while in good form, and she appears quick enough to control the tempo in a race without much serious early burn. Chance to wire 'em.
#6 Ski Bunny Just handled the top choice when they met last time out, and she should be able to find another good tracking trip from close range.
#4 Lookin Dynamic Has some recent lines that would make her pretty tough with these, and she has been holding her own at this level. Can be tough while meeting capable risers.
Race Summary Awesome Pal should be able to have a go of it from the outside draw, and she won't meet any real pace competition if they want to go for the front early.

Laurel Park - Race #9
Picks Notes
#2 Zoinks Scooby Taking a swing in a cheap spot, as this guy has only chased and faded through two career starts, but he'll return with Lasix for the first time and could wake up in a hurry for a capable barn.
#9 Uncle Cecil Drops to try this level for the first time, and while he's probably the one to beat in this soft spot, I wouldn't want any kind of short price.
#7 Goldie's Boy Has some upside with Lasix while making this second lifetime start, and this easier spot offers some hope for a move forward that would keep him in the mix.
Race Summary Zoinks Scooby needs a big move forward if he's going to be a factor here, but the price should be right to see if the addition of Lasix moves him up enough to make an impact after fading late in both lifetime tries.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

The Meadows - Race #2
Picks Notes
#8 SILLY BUT SERIOUS Lacked room throughout, got up for second, today's Best Bet.
#6 SALTWATER BLUE Rallied from far back to end long winless drought, can be forwardly placed.
#1 STRAWBERRY DAQURI Can put speed to good use from rail with Palone but will be underlay.
Race Summary Silly But Serious lost pocket position early, was trapped and blocked until she split rivals in deep stretch and got up for second. She's the best horse in this field but has post 8 to overcome.

Miami Valley - Race #2
Picks Notes
#3 FRANZO Solid comeback try, plenty of back class to summon.
#7 ARMABLUECHIPBOY N Angled 5-wide in stretch, surged late for 33-1 upset.
#2 RUSH TO JUDGEMENT Paced evenly while second-over in slower division of split race.
Race Summary Franzo was flushed out of fifth in the third quarter, went around dead cover on the final turn was out-kicked while finishing third. He should be tighter for his second start after 3-1/2 months away, so play a 3-ALL exacta.

Meadowlands - Race #2
Picks Notes
#7 STONEBRIDGE SYDNEY Loomed boldly, flattened out, hopples off in third start for Burke.
#8 MIZZY BRENDA K Ranged up behind odds-on winner, lacked kick, starts fresh with Dunn.
#2 R HERBIE BLUE CHIP Controlled pace, couldn't fend off repeat winner.
Race Summary Stonebridge Sydney was an anxious fourth before she was flushed out before the final turn. She ranged up on favorite R Herbie Blue Chip but didn't get by after a slow :29.3 third-quarter split. She changes equipment and is our key in a 7-ALL exacta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #3
Picks Notes
#1 Ask Bailey Drops out of the Tropical Oaks after a sixth-place finish and is accustomed to higher levels than this; gets Saez aboard and can make a late run in this spot.
#2 Bacchanalia Ran well in two prior races here, with a win and a second; tired at Belmont after seven months off and likely will fire a good one here.
#6 No Way Jose Was up in time in her latest, which counted as her third U.S. and GP attempt; has run well in two of three and should be close-up going this distance.
Race Summary Ask Bailey has knocked heads with better fillies and mares than these and the class edge put her over the top in this spot.

Gulfstream Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#4 Sweetly Maid Showed better form over her last two and fired nicely for second last time out; a similar rally can get her into the winner's circle.
#1 Bright Venezuelan Ran on well for fourth last time out and could have the best closing move; tough if she stays within reach early.
#2 Fightress Extremely quickly and can battle throughout this one; was up in time in her latest and has the talent to be a factor throughout.
Race Summary Sweetly Maid is heading in the right direction and nearly won last time out, having made up a lot of ground; continued improvement can make her the one to beat.

Gulfstream Park - Race #9
Picks Notes
#5 Uncle Fun Rallied well in three of five races and comes off a maiden score; gets a good pace setup here.
#2 Long Beach Kid Came off a maiden debut win with a solid second at this level last out; capable of taking them to the wire.
#3 Mister Leonardo Was in a tougher spot last time, takes a drop here and gets I. Ortiz.; expect improvement.
Race Summary Uncle Fun has the best closing move and will probably get some help from those on the front end; can make a bold move vs. these.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
NBA – Clippers -6


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
NBA – Mavericks +6.5


3.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
CBB – Middle Tenn St pk


4.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
CBB – Texas El Paso +5.5


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Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
CBB – St. Bonaventure over 134


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Point Spread Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
NBA – Mavericks under 228


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Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com/lou-big-play-panelli/)
NBA – Hawks over 225


8.
Gerry “Big Cat” Andino (https://www.nsawins.com/gerry-big-cat-andino/)
CBB – UL Monroe +2.5


9.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
CBB – Cal Poly SLO over 127.5


10.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/william-e-stockton/)
NBA – Mavericks +6.5


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Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
NBA – Hawks +6


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Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/steve-scoop-kendall/)
CBB – Appalachian St +2.5


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SCORE (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CBB – Youngstown St +2.5


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East Coast Line Movers (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
NBA – Clippers -6


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Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
NBA – Hawks over 225


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CBB – Buffalo -4.5


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NBA – Mavericks under 228


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Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
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NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
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Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
NBA – Mavericks +6.5


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Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
NBA – Hawks +6


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Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
CBB – Denver under 154.5


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
CBB – Old Dominion -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Fair Grounds



01/15/21, FG, Race 9, 4.52 CT
01/15/21,FG,9,6F [Dirt] 1:08:00 CLAIMING. Purse $16,000 (includes up to $8,000 Other Sources). FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since December 15 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
8
Custom Cut
5/1
Kellenberger K
Zeringue. Jr. Whitney
L
220
33.18
1.21/$1


098.4283
2
Louisiana Special
5/1
Hernandez C J
Broberg Karl
TE
220
33.18
1.21/$1


098.0104
7
Lil Peastoch
4/1
Murrill M
Wilson Shane


110
30.91
1.39/$1


096.8386
1
Madison's Place
6/1
Bonnet C
Husak Gary J.
S
220
33.18
1.21/$1


094.6831
6
Just Willow
9/2
Rivera S
Holland Mervin
J
110
30.91
1.39/$1


093.0705
10
Smoothoutthetrack
8/1
Marquez C L
Bruno Roland L.
FC
110
30.91
1.39/$1


092.8641
3
Whodatwhodat
20/1
Murray E M
Schmidt Denise


187
32.62
1.22/$1


092.7282
12
Stang It
20/1
Green A
Ladner. Jr. Herman F.


220
33.18
1.21/$1


092.6491
4
Candy Candy Candy
15/1
Riquelme J
Johnson Christopher W.
W
110
30.91
1.39/$1


092.3348
5
Golden Expresso
20/1
Wiseman I
Toups Brent


110
30.91
1.39/$1


092.2220
11
She's a Fair Catch
12/1
Sanjur S
Westlye Kenneth


110
30.91
1.39/$1


092.1635
13
Kohensrising
20/1
Chavez O
Zenon Charles


220
33.18
1.21/$1


090.2066
9
Sandy's Wager
20/1
Chavez O
Goss Roger C.


220
33.18
1.21/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.07, ROI 0.81/$1
. . . .
100.0000 8 Custom Cut
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]LastRaceWeightIsEqualToToday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: Utah -6 over Atlanta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, FRIDAY JANUARY 15, 2021
1/15 06:05 PM PT / 9:05 PM ET

NBA (515) ATLANTA HAWKS VS (516) UTAH JAZZ

Take: (516) UTAH JAZZ

Reason: Your free play for Friday, January 15, 2021 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Atlanta Hawks and Utah Jazz. Your free play is on 516) Jazz.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: LOUISIANA TECH -9½ over UTSA

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Totals4U Friday's Free Selection: UTEP Miners/North Texas Mean Green over 133

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Roz Wins ROZ's FRIDAY, JANUARY 15, 2021
FREE CBK
850. Detroit U -3 (4 PT / 7 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports
Friday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Texas-San Antonio + 9 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports Friday's Free Play: Rider Broncs + 6

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Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: the Georgia Southern Eagles +5 over Troy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play FRIDAY, January 15, 2021
FREE NBA
516. Jazz -6 (6:05 PT / 9:05 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Friday Selection Is
Atlanta +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Friday : Take ILLINOIS-CHICAGO -3 over Robert Morris

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Golden Dragon

FREE WINNER for Friday
Green Bay +3 CBB

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Hawkeye Sports Friday's Free Pick: Texas Rio Grand Valley - 7 1/2

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Huddle Up Sports

Friday Free Play:
Rice +2 CBB

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Arthur Ralph

FRI LA Clippers -6

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The Last Call Friday's Free Play: IUPUI Jaguars + 8 1/2

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Teyas Sports FREE PICK 1/15/2021 CBB WISCONSIN -3

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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Friday: ATLANTA/UTAH UNDER the total of 223½

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High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Friday: Milwaukee Panthers - 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Friday: Dall/Milw OVER 227½