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Can'tPickAWinner
01-19-2021, 12:31 AM
Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 07:54 AM
Hunter Price Jan 23 '21, 10:00 AM in 2h
Soccer | Doncaster Rovers vs West Ham United
Play on: West Ham United -278 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on West Ham United -278

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 07:54 AM
Info Plays Jan 23 '21, 11:00 AM in 3h
Soccer | Caykur Rizespor vs Basaksehir
Play on: Basaksehir -263 at linepros

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Basaksehir -263

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 07:54 AM
Steve Janus Jan 23 '21, 11:00 AM in 3h
Soccer | TSV Hartberg vs AC Wolfsberger
Play on: AC Wolfsberger -156 at linepros

1* Free Sharp Play on AC Wolfsberger -156

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 07:56 AM
Kevin Dolan Event: (201841) Betis at (201842) Real Sociedad
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: January 23, 2021 12PM EST
Play: Total Over 2.5 (-125)
After an electric start to the LaLiga season which saw Real Sociedad sit atop of the league at one point, the wheels have really come off of the White and Blues campaign of late, as they've registered just one win from their last nine league games overall, and are slipping down the table fast, currently occupying the final Europa League Playoff spot in 6th
That decline has largely been due to their defense. Prior to December, Sociedad had kept opposing offense in the league to an average of just 0.45 goals per game, keeping a clean sheet (allowing no goals) in 55% of those games also.
But since December however, Sociedad are averaging 1.38 goals per game to opposing offenses and have kept a clean sheet in just 25% of those matches, so it's definitely a noticeable drop-off in terms of defensive efficiency.
But what hasn't changed is Sociedad's attack. The Basque club have the 3rd highest xg average in the league right now, averaging 1.63 xg per game, and already torched this vulnerable Real Betis side 3-0 back in October.
And that's highly likely again here as despite Betis keeping a clean sheet last time out on the road at bottom placed Huesca, against mid to top table teams they've been exposed, giving up an average of 3 goals per game in their prior five games, including 13 goals against Barcelona, Athletic Bilbao and Levante combined. With the 3rd worst expected goals against record on the road this season at 1.56 xga per game, Sociedad should be able to breach Betis' defense multiple times here just as they did back in October.
But Betis should find success offensively also. Real Sociedad are now a bottom half team on overall xga metrics since December, and Real Betis average the 3rd most shots in the league this season, right behind heavy hitters Real Madrid and Barcelona, so I see goals in this one and expect this one to sail over the total here on Saturday.
Take the Over 2.5 as your play for Saturday's LaLiga matchup between Real Betis and Real Sociedad.
PLAY: OVER 2.5

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 11:01 AM
Brandon Lee Jan 23 '21, 12:00 PM in 59m
NCAA-B | Virginia Tech vs Syracuse
Play on: Syracuse -1 -110 at linepros

PICK - Syracuse Orange -1
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 608
We cashed an easy 50* Top Play winner on Syracuse -3.5 in Tuesday's 83-57 blowout win at home over Miami. I'll gladly fire back with the Orange at basically a pick'em at home against Virginia Tech on Saturday.
Even though Syracuse is coming off that big win and cover, I still think they are undervalued here because of the fact that they are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5. Plus, the Hokies come in having won 3 straight and 7 of their last 8. Va Tech had covered 6 of 7 before failing to cover as a 6.5-point favorite at Wake Forest in a 64-60 win.
That was only the second true road game this season for the Hokies and a big reason why I feel they are a bit overvalued in this spot. Give me the Orange -1!

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 11:01 AM
Kenny Walker Jan 23 '21, 12:00 PM in 59m
NCAA-B | James Madison vs Northeastern
Play on: James Madison +6 -110 at Mirage

Free Pick on James Madison

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 11:01 AM
Dave Price Jan 23 '21, 2:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | SMU vs UCF
Play on: UCF +4 -107 at pinnacle

Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on UCF +4
The Key: The UCF Knights are hungry for a win after dropping 4 straight coming in. Remember, this is a team that upset both Florida State and Cincinnati earlier this season. But they have had to play 3 straight road games coming in and faced one of the best teams in the country in Houston twice. Now they are back home here where their only loss this season came to Houston by 9. They take on a SMU team that also lost to both Houston and Cincinnati recently and is 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games with a non-cover in a win at home against Temple. UCF gets a boost with the return of Darius Perry (11.8 PPG) from a 2-game absence. SMU is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after failing to cover 3 of its last 4 ATS. The Mustangs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record. SMU is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 road games. Take UCF.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 11:01 AM
ASA Jan 23 '21, 2:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | VMI vs Mercer
Play on: Mercer -8½ -111 at pinnacle

#628 ASA PLAY ON Mercer -8 over VMI, Saturday at 2:00 PM ET VMI is coming off a huge upset over the top team in the Southern Conference, Furman. It was Furman’s first loss of the conference season and the first win for VMI over the Paladins since the 2014/15 season. It was a dramatic win to say the least with VMI making a FT with 3 seconds remaining in a tie game to win 74-73. Prior to that game they had only 1 win vs a team ranked inside the top 200. On top of that, the game was at home. Now they must go on the road where they’ve been terrible this season. The Keydets are 0-6 on the road this year and 4 of those 6 losses have come by double digits. The average 12 fewer PPG on the road and shoot just 41% which is 6% lower than their season average. Bad spot here for VMI as well not only coming off a huge win as an 11 point underdog, but this will be their 5th game in 11 days and 4th in the last 8 days. Not great for a team with a thin bench (345th in bench minutes) as all 5 of their starters have played at least 30 minutes in each of their previous 4 games. Mercer is off a 20 point road win on Wednesday and they were able to spread out their minutes with 8 players playing at least 11 minutes. They will be the more rested team playing their 3rd game in 8 days here. The Bears are 2-3 in Southern Conference play but undervalued as 2 of their 3 losses went to the wire (lost by 3 @ Furman & by 3 @ Chattanooga) and 2 of their 3 league losses they played with starting guard Alvarez who averages 14 PPG and 5 assists per game. He’s back now and has scored 37 combined points in their last 2 games, both wins. Since joining the SoCon in 2015, Mercer is 6-0 at home vs VMI with their wins coming by an average of 16 PPG. We like Mercer here.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 11:02 AM
Sal Michaels Jan 23 '21, 2:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | NC State vs North Carolina
Play on: NC State +6½ -110 at Mirage

Free Play on NC State +6½ -110

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 12:51 PM
Dave Price Jan 23 '21, 2:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | SMU vs UCF
Play on: UCF +4 -107 at pinnacle

Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on UCF +4
The Key: The UCF Knights are hungry for a win after dropping 4 straight coming in. Remember, this is a team that upset both Florida State and Cincinnati earlier this season. But they have had to play 3 straight road games coming in and faced one of the best teams in the country in Houston twice. Now they are back home here where their only loss this season came to Houston by 9. They take on a SMU team that also lost to both Houston and Cincinnati recently and is 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games with a non-cover in a win at home against Temple. UCF gets a boost with the return of Darius Perry (11.8 PPG) from a 2-game absence. SMU is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after failing to cover 3 of its last 4 ATS. The Mustangs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record. SMU is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 road games. Take UCF.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 12:59 PM
Bobby Conn Jan 23 '21, 2:45 PM in 1h
Soccer | Crotone vs Fiorentina
Play on: Fiorentina -137 at linepros

1* Free Play on Fiorentina -137

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 12:59 PM
Dustin Hawkins Jan 23 '21, 4:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Western Carolina vs Wofford
Play on: OVER 145½ -110

1 Dimer on Western Carolina vs Wofford over 145½ -110

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 12:59 PM
Black Widow Jan 23 '21, 4:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Duke vs Louisville
Play on: Louisville -2½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Louisville -2½ -110

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 12:59 PM
Mike Williams Jan 23 '21, 4:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Dayton vs VCU
Play on: VCU -5 -110 at Mirage

1* on VCU -5 -110

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:00 PM
Jimmy Boyd Jan 23 '21, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | St Bonaventure vs Duquesne
Play on: OVER 129½ -110

1* Free Pick on St Bonaventure/Duquesne over 129½ -110

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:00 PM
Jack Jones Jan 23 '21, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Northwestern vs Penn State
Play on: Northwestern +5½ -105 at pinnacle

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Northwestern +5.5
Northwestern opened 6-1 this season with upset wins over Michigan State, Indiana and Ohio State. They have since gone 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS against one of the toughest schedules you will ever see. It's now time to 'buy low' on the Wildcats today.
Their six losses have come to Iowa (twice), Michigan, Wisconsin, Illinois and Ohio State. They now get to face one of the worst teams in the Big Ten in the Penn State Nittany Lions, and they are 5.5-point underdogs in a game that is a lot more evenly matched than this spread would indicate.
Penn State is 1-5 in Big Ten play. The Nittany Lions are starting to get some respect from oddsmakers now after upsetting Rutgers at home last time out. But that is a struggling Rutgers team that has now lost five straight.
This is the first game that Penn State will have been favored in since December 6th. The Nittany Loins are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as favorites. Penn State is 2-6 ATS in its last eight home games. Bet Northwestern Saturday.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:00 PM
Totals Guru Jan 23 '21, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Santa Clara vs Loyola Marymount
Play on: OVER 130½ -110

Free Total Annihilator On Santa Clara vs Loyola Marymount over 130½ -110

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:00 PM
Larry Ness Jan 23 '21, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | St. Peter's vs Siena
Play on: Siena -4 -109 at pinnacle

My free play is on Siena at 7:00 ET. No. 1 Gonzaga is 14-0 and No. 2 Baylor is 13-0. "Flying under the radar" are Winthrop (15-0) and Drake (13-0 / 11-0 ATS). Then there was the 6-0 Siena Saints of the MAAC, who welcomed the St Peter's Peacocks (6-5) to Times Union Center last night, on a 16-game winning streak stretching back to last season's 10-0 closing run! St Peter’s hadn't played since Jan 2 but did show up in Albany with a solid six-man rotation. A pair of 6-7 forwards are averaging in double digits in Nidefo (13.1 & 5.7) and F. Drame (9.7 PPG) plus a team-high 7.1 RPG. Banks (11.8 & 4.1) leads a trio of guards, joined by Edert (8.8 & 3.5) and PG Lee (7.2 PPG and 4.0 APG). Siena PG Jalen Pickett entered this season having averaged better than 15.0 PPG and 6.0 APG the last two seasons but has played just three games this season. In those three games he'd averaged 17.7-9.7-4.3 but was listed as questionable with a hamstring injury. Siena still has three guards averaging in double digits without Pickett, led by King (15.3), the 6-7 Camper (13.4 & 10.0) and Hopkins (9.6). Two 6-9 players contribute up front, Stormo (8.6 & 4.9) and Young (8.4 & 4.9). Pickett did play last night (8-4-7), King led the team with 21 points and Camper added 18 & 9. However, the Saints shot just 35.8% as a team and lost 68-62. Ndefo (16 & 7) led FOUR of five starters in double figures, as St Peter's evened its record at 6-6. "Deja vu all over again," tonight? Siena starts a new wining streak tonight. Good luck...Larry

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:01 PM
Ben Burns Jan 23 '21, 7:08 PM in 6h
NHL | Canadiens vs Canucks
Play on: UNDER 6½ -115

These teams have played back-to-back very high-scoring games against each other. Its rare to see three games in a row like that though and I expect to see some better defensive play and goaltending this evening. Note that the 'under' is 6-1-1 the past eight times that Montreal was off a victory. Off the two high-scoring games, we're getting some extra line value. The opening game had an O/U line of six. Prior to their two games here, the Habs had allowed one goal, in b2b games. Meanwhile, prior to Montreal's visit, the Canucks had only scored two goals in their previous two games and four goals in their previous four. Consider the Under 6.5.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:01 PM
Jeff Alexander Jan 23 '21, 8:05 PM in 7h
NBA | Heat vs Nets
Play on: OVER 232 +102

1* NBA - Heat/Nets *FREE PICK* on OVER 232
Brooklyn's Big 3 of Kyrie Irving, Kevin Durant and James Harden have some serious potential, but it's pretty clear that they got a long way to go on the defensive side of the ball. Not a big surprise given the liability that both Irving and Harden are defensively. In the Nets have given up 109 or more points in each of their last 9 games and have scored 110 or more in 11 straight. This is the definition of a OVER team. Regardless of who plays or doesn't play for Miami, the Heat are going to be able to score and there's just no slowing down Brooklyn's offense with the talent they have. Bet the OVER 232!

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:02 PM
Bryan Leonard Jan 23 '21, 8:05 PM in 7h
NBA | Heat vs Nets
Play on: Heat +7½ -115 at BetCris

559 Miami at Brooklyn
Time to fade the new superpower as all three stars are expected to play tonight. After losing back to back games against the Cavaliers, the Nets are still trying to find enough balls to satisfy the All-Stars. Miami has two major weaknesses on offense, rebounding and turnovers. It just so happens that those are the same weaknesses as New Jersey has defensively. Should be a very tough matchup for the host here, much tougher than the line would suggest.
PLAY MIAMI

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:02 PM
John Martin Jan 23 '21, 9:05 PM in 8h
NBA | Warriors vs Jazz
Play on: Jazz -7 -110 at Draft Kings

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Utah Jazz -7
Nobody is playing better than the Utah Jazz right now. The Jazz are 7-0 SU & 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall. Now they host another team they should handle in the Golden State Warriors, who rely way too heavily on Stephon Curry. The Warriors are coming off a 104-119 home loss to the lowly New York Knicks. The Jazz are 8-1 ATS against bad defensive teams that allow 106 PPG or more this season. Utah is 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Give me the Jazz.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:02 PM
Ray Monohan Jan 23 '21, 9:05 PM in 8h
NBA | Nuggets vs Suns
Play on: OVER 218 -110

Denver vs. Phoenix Over 218
The Over is worth a flyer. Both teams love to play with pace and will shoot the ball early in the shot clock. Expect this to turn into a track meet where both sides really push the ball in transition, benefiting us here on the Over.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Saturday 5* FREE NBA O/U Play

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:03 PM
Mike Lundin Jan 23 '21, 9:05 PM in 8h
NBA | Rockets vs Mavs
Play on: Rockets +9½ -110 at Draft Kings

Rockets vs Mavericks Free Pick January 23, 2021
The Rockets are still adjusting to life without James Harden. They have lost five of their last seven games but won at Detroit last night. The fact that they'll be playing on no rest does not concern me as Dallas is in the same spot. Also note that underdogs playing on no rest are 26-17 (60.5%) ATS on the season. Additionally, this is obviously a rivalry game so the dog will show up.
Free pick on Houston Rockets.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:03 PM
Ricky Tran Jan 23 '21, 11:50 PM in 10h
Fighting | Dustin Poirier vs Conor McGregor
Play on: OVER 1½ -139

Ricky's Free play on the Over 1.5 rounds.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- McGregor has seen five of his last seven fights go more than 1.5 rounds.
- Poirier has seen four of his last five fights go more than 1.5 rounds.
- Poirier has been KO'd just twice in his 32 fights in the UFC.
Verdict: This number appears to be a little low based on the previous fight.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:53 PM
Pegasus World Cup Post Draw Rapid Reaction

January 20, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

A dozen runners entered for Saturday’s Grade 1 Pegasus World Cup, and another 12 for the Pegasus World Cup Turf, as drawn today at Gulfstream Park. The dual showcases share the marquee on a 13-race card that begins at 11:40 a.m. ET. Be sure to get our full analysis of all the action in Friday’s release of the Pegasus World Cup Wager Guide.

Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile victor Knicks Go, the 5-2 morning line favorite, begins from post 4 in the 1-1/8 miles Pegasus World Cup. He’s got one way to go: to the front. With Sleepy Eyes Todd to his inside, that rival could be sent along into the pace. Mr Freeze is the race’s other potential early pace player, and from post 11, would have to be sent hard to make the front. He’s more likely now to try and settle just off Knicks Go and Sleepy Eyes Todd. Late-running Code of Honor, second choice in the morning line at 9-2, should not be impacted greatly by a wide draw in post 10, given his take back and rally style.

As for the Pegasus World Cup Turf, stablemates and race favorites Colonel Liam (7-2) and Largent (9-2) start next door to one another in posts 5 and 6. Largent has been pace-versatile and could be part of the early mix, though the speed here likely comes from California invaders Anothertwistafate in post 8 and possibly Storm the Court in post 3. The latter’s inside draw may incentivize him to be hustled along and set the tempo. It’s a very good spot for the 2019 champion 2-year-old.

Saturday’s card includes $750,000-guaranteed pools in the late pick four and pick five. There’s also a burgeoning Rainbow 6 carryover heading into this week of more than $400,000. If the jackpot bet is not taken down by a single ticket beforehand, Sunday’s card will feature a mandatory payout.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:54 PM
Race of the Week: La Prevoyante Stakes at Gulfstream

January 21, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

$125,000 GRADE 3 LA PREOVOYANTE STAKES AT GULFSTREAM PARK
Saturday, January 23, 2021

The Lead:
January's hottest racing card arrives with the Pegasus World Cup anchoring a 7-stakes lineup. Gulfstream Park offers a $750,000-guaranteed late pick four and late pick five pool, the latter beginning in Race 8 with the La Prevoyante Stakes. This 1-1/2 miles turf marathon for the fillies and mares honors the Hall of Fame filly La Prevoyante, who was part of the magnificent 1973 sophomore class that included Secretariat, and few recall as juveniles that Secretariat and La Prevoyante finished 1-2 in a split Horse of the Year vote.

​Field Depth:
ALWAYS SHOPPING has the field's best win at the Grade 2 level. HEAVENLY CURLIN and ENGLISH AFFAIR are Grade 3 winners. COURT RETURN is Grade 1-placed. The likes of SISTER HANAN, DELTA'S KINGDOM and TRAIPSING are Grade 3-placed. There's not a massive class edge in this race, though ALWAYS SHOPPING, LOVELY LUCKY and COURT RETURN have come out of the strongest races.

Pace:
TRAIPSING has shot to the front in her last 3 starts and will compete for the lead with LOVELY LUCKY. ALWAYS SHOPPING should be forwardly placed from the rail. The pace does not look fast, as would be expected for 1-1/2 miles on grass.

Our Eyes:
None of these dozen runners owns a victory at 1-1/2 miles on turf, but there are a few races at the trip on their resumes that stand out. Chief among those was ALWAYS SHOPPING's narrow runner-up in the Grade 3 Dowager at Keeneland. CAMEBLIZA also was second over the assignment on the Keeneland lawn in allowance company in October, while DELTA'S KINGDOM finished third just behind her in that same heat. The rest will have something to prove over the 12 furlongs.

ALWAYS SHOPPING boasts 100 BRIS late pace figures in each of her last 2 starts, the aforementioned Dowager runner-up and a strong, 3-length Via Borghese victory at Gulfstream over 1-3/16 miles. She's perhaps the best finisher in this race, and should be sitting no worse than third down the backstretch, perhaps even closer-up, which makes her a very tough out for her competition. Irad Ortiz Jr. rides for Todd Pletcher, and they're just the leading jockey and trainer at the Championship Meet heading into Pegasus Week.

The Via Borghese victory by ALWAYS SHOPPING will be put back to the test as her 2-4 pursuers get a re-match. TRAIPSING was favored in that Dec. 19 race, but faded to fourth after making the lead. She'll switch pilots to stakes maestro Joel Rosario, in from California to ride the Pegasus World Cup card. The impeccably bred Tapit-Light Jig mare CAP DE CREUS was an unthreatening third in the Via Borghese and will get another crack at her Todd Pletcher stablemate ALWAYS SHOPPING after a troubled trip earned her a steward's promotion last out.

LOVELY LUCKY gets some class relief after battling in October's Grade 1 Flower Bowl, where she set the tempo and faded to seventh. The Tom Albertrani trainee will be ridden by Jose Ortiz, who piloted both of her career victories, and whose Gulfstream turf marathon record over the last 4 years shows a sharp 7-for-12 finish in the exacta -- according to the vast Betmix statistical database.

HEAVENLY CURLIN aims for 4 straight wins, racking up a trio of scores at Woodbine to close 2020. Trainer Mark Casse's barn hasn't had the kind of meet we've come to expect, but has perked up a bit in recent weeks. Fellow Canadian COURT RETURN surprised all in the Grade 1 E.P. Taylor in October when second at 41-1, but it's worth noting that historically stout race lacked the international flair and quality it typically has due to pandemic travel restrictions.

Another streaking mare is SISTER HANAN, seeking her third straight win and first stakes. She'll team with hot-riding Corey Lanerie, who has been outstanding on turf in recent weeks at Gulfstream.

Most Certain Exotics Contender: ALWAYS SHOPPING should get a great trip in terms of pace, is drawn inside, has a win over the course, and the best performance of anyone at the distance. Hard to fault.

​Best Longshot Exotics Contender: CAMBELIZA has run Lasix-free throughout her career and won't see any change to her routine. Her 102 BRIS late pace figure in allowance company over this turf trip indicates she could be finishing as well as anyone.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll): $80 win ALWAYS SHOPPING. $10 exacta part-wheel ALWAYS SHOPPING with CAMBELIZA and LOVELY LUCKY.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:55 PM
Jon White's Pegasus World Cup Selections

January 20, 2021 | By Jon White

The horses are entered and post positions have been drawn, which means the stage is set for Gulfstream Park’s Grade I Pegasus World Cup Invitational. The $3 million race will be contested at 1 1/8 miles Saturday.

NBC will telecast the Pegasus World Cup Invitational and Pegasus World Cup Turf Invitational from 4:30-6 p.m. ET.

One of the Pegasus World Cup contenders, Grade I Cigar Mile winner True Timber, was a last-minute defection.

True Timber’s trainer, Jack Sisterson, who is based at Florida’s Palm Meadows, tweeted Wednesday: “True Timber came up slightly off cooling out this morning. While it appears he might be able to run in the Pegasus, we always prioritize the best interest of the horse and have elected to defer to caution and not compete in the Pegasus.”

The absence of True Timber opened the door for Last Judgment to get into the field of 12. Last Judgment is coming back just seven days after winning Gulfstream’s Sunshine Classic.

Below is the Pegasus field in post position order (with morning-line odds and jockey in parentheses):

1. Sleepy Eyes Todd (8-1, Jose Ortiz)
2. Coastal Defense (15-1, Corey Lanerie)
3. Independence Hall (20-1, Flavien Prat)
4. Knicks Go (5-2, Joel Rosario)
5. Jesus’ Team (8-1, Irad Ortiz Jr.)
6. Kiss Today Goodbye (10-1, Mike Smith)
7. Tax (5-1, Luis Saez)
8. Harpers First Ride (10-1, Angel Cruz)
9. Last Judgment (20-1, Paco Lopez)
10. Code of Honor (9-2, Tyler Gaffalione)
11. Mr Freeze (15-1, John Velazquez)
12. Math Wizard (20-1, Edgar Zayas)

Now it’s time to try and pick the winner. These are my Pegasus selections:

1. Knicks Go
2. Code of Honor
3. Jesus’ Team
4. Kiss Today Goodbye

Knicks Go boasts the best last-race Beyer Speed Figure. He recorded a 108 Beyer when he won the Grade I Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile as the 9-5 favorite at Keeneland on Nov. 7.

This makes Knicks Go similar to three of the first four Pegasus winners in that Arrogate, Gun Runner and City of Light all sported the best last-race Beyer and exited a Breeders’ Cup race.

Another reason I’m picking Knicks Go to win is his splendid form since Brad Cox has taken over as the trainer. For Cox, Knicks Go is three for three, winning by 7 1/2, 10 1/4 and 3 1/2 lengths.

A 5-year-old Maryland-bred son of Paynter, Knicks Go has posted Beyer Speed Figures of 100, 107 and 108 for Cox. When previously trained by Ben Colebrook, Knicks Go did not record a single triple-digit Beyer in 14 starts (though he did run well enough to win the Grade I Breeders’ Futurity at Keeneland at 2).

When Knicks Go romped to a 10 1/4-length win in an allowance/optional claiming affair Oct. 4 at Keeneland, his final time of 1:40.79 that day broke the track record. He then broke another track record when his final time of 1:33.85 on a lightning-fast track bettered the one-mile mark of 1:34.54 established by Liam’s Map when he won the 2015 BC Dirt Mile.

The Pegasus will be the farthest that Knicks Go has raced. This is a legitimate concern, especially since he also has not started since Nov. 7. But it’s not as if Knicks Go was weakening late in his three races for Cox. In fact, Knicks Go increased his lead in the final furlong in all three of those races, which might bode well for him in terms of his longer 1 1/8-mile trip Saturday.

“I really do think he’ll handle a mile and an eighth,” Cox said. “In his three races with us last year, there was horse left. In the Breeders’ Cup, Joel reached up and grabbed him four or five jumps from the wire, so he was still going.”

To illustrate what a terrific 2020 Cox had, he is one of three finalists in Eclipse Award voting for outstanding trainer of the year, the other two being Hall of Famers Bob Baffert and Steve Asmussen.

Still another reason I’m going with Knicks Go to win the Pegasus is it looks like the pace probably will be moderate. That should help him. All four past Pegasus winners had the lead with three furlongs left to run and remained in the lead the rest of the way. I think Knicks Go has a very good chance to be leading with three furlongs to go. That would put him in a prime posititon to win the race.

All in all, I think Knicks Go will have what it takes to succeed this Saturday. But if he doesn’t get the job done, I think there are several who have the credentials to win this lucrative event.

Code of Honor is a classy sort who certainly merits respect. Hall of Famer Shug McGaughey trains the 5-year-old Kentucky-bred son of Noble Mission.

This will be Code of Honor’s first start since he finished second as the 8-5 favorite in the Grade I Clark Handicap at Churchill Downs on Nov. 27. His biggest win so far came in the Grade I Travers Stakes at Saratoga in 2019.

It’s hard to envision Code of Honor finishing out of the superfecta Saturday. In 15 lifetime starts, the only time he has ended up worse than fourth was when he ran seventh in the Grade I BC Classic at Santa Anita in 2019.

I would not be surprised if Jesus’ Team gets into the superfecta Saturday. Jose D’Angelo conditions the 4-year-old Kentucky-bred Tapiture colt.

Jesus’ Team finished third (albeit far behind Swiss Skydiver and Authentic) in the Grade I Preakness Stakes last Oct. 3 at Pimlico when dismissed at 40-1 in the wagering. He was an even bigger price, 62-1, when he then ran second to Knicks Go in the BC Dirt Mile. After the Breeders’ Cup, Jesus’ Team prevailed by three-quarters of a length as the 2-5 favorite in the Claiming Crown Jewel at Gulfstream on Dec. 5.

I think Kiss Today Goodbye might hit the board at a nice price. Eric Kruljac trains the 4-year-old Kentucky-bred Cairo Prince colt.

Kiss Today Goodbye looked good when he kicked away from his foes in the final furlong to win an allowance/optional claiming race by 2 3/4 lengths as the 3-2 favorite at Del Mar on Nov. 14. He received a 93 Beyer Speed Figure for that effort.

And then Kiss Today Goodbye ran even better when he rallied from off the pace with gusto to win Santa Anita’s Grade II San Antonio Stakes by a half-length at 15-1. Mucho Gusto finished fourth. Mucho Gusto, now retired, won the 2020 Pegasus at Gulfstream by 4 1/2 lengths.

Kiss Today Goodbye registered a triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure on one occasion last year. He was credited with a 101 Beyer when third behind Thousand Words and Honor A.P. in the Shared Belief Stakes at Del Mar last Sept. 6.

Two horses are returning to the 2021 Pegasus after running in the 2020 renewal. They are Mr Freeze (the runner-up last year) and Tax (who finished ninth).

When Mr Freeze was last seen under silks, he finished fifth in the Clark at odds of 9-1.

Tax rolled to a 4 1/2-length win and recorded a 105 Beyer in Gulfstream’s Grade III Harlan’s Holiday Stakes on Dec. 12.

Sleepy Eyes Todd goes into this Saturday’s Pegasus off back-to-back seven-furlong wins in Keeneland’s Lafayette Stakes on Nov. 7 and Gulfstream’s Grade III Mr. Prospector Stakes on Dec. 19. He won last year’s Grade II Charles Town Classic at 1 1/8 miles, same distance as the Pegasus.

Independence Hall finished fifth in Santa Anita’s Grade I Malibu Stakes on Dec. 26. Trainer Michael McCarthy was baffled as to why Independence Hall did not run better.

“For one reason or another, which I can’t put my finger on, he just did not seem to fire that day,” McCarthy was quoted as saying in a story about Independence Hall on the Gulfstream Park website. “I have to draw a line through it. The horse has trained forwardly since.”

Like many others, I am looking forward to seeing what happens in the 2021 Pegasus World Cup Invitational. This race has become one of the highlights early each year on the American racing stage.

ESSENTIAL QUALITY NEARING 2021 DEBUT

In addition to training the morning-favorite in this Saturday’s Pegasus, Cox put a pair of talented 3-year-olds -- Essential Quality and Travel Column -- through a team drill last Monday in Louisiana at Fair Grounds Race Course & Slots.

Daily Racing Form’s Marcus Hersh reported: “The pair worked heads up, Cox said, both getting a time of 1:01.40 for five furlongs, and while Essential Quality is the more accomplished horse, faster on the Beyer Speed Figure scale, Travel Column definitely held her own, according to her trainer.”

Travel Column’s “a great work horse,” Cox added.

Essential Quality ranks No. 1 on my current Kentucky Derby Top 10. The Kentucky-bred Tapit colt is three for three. Winner of Keeneland’s Grade I Breeders’ Futurity last Oct. 3 and Grade I BC Juvenile on that same track Nov. 6, he is an overwhelming favorite to be voted a 2020 Eclipse Award as champion 2-year-old male.

Travel Column, ninth early, had a troubled trip and still managed to win the Grade II Golden Rod Stakes by one length at Churchill on Nov. 28. The Kentucky-bred Frosted filly has won two of three career starts.

Cox has said the plan is for Essential Quality to make his first 2021 start in the Grade II Risen Star Stakes at 1 1/8 miles in New Orleans on Feb. 13 or Oaklawn Park’s Grade III Southwest Stakes at 1 1/16 miles on Feb. 15.

There is a possibility the Southwest will be a rematch from the BC Juvenile between Essential Quality and Jackie’s Warrior. The Southwest is the first 2021 target for Jackie’s Warrior, according to Asmussen. The Southwest also is under consideration for Keepmeinmind, another who competed in the BC Juvenile.

In the BC Juvenile, Jackie’s Warrior raced close to a hot pace, weakened in the final furlong and finished fourth as the 4-5 favorite. Essential Quality rallied to prevail by three-quarters of a length at odds of 7-2. Hot Rod Charlie ran second as a huge 94-1 longshot, while Keepmeinmind finished third at 30-1 as a maiden.

Keepmeinmind won his next start, the Grade II Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes at Churchill Downs on Nov. 28.

Senor Buscador, who is No. 8 on my Kentucky Derby Top 10, currently is training at Sam Houston Race Park and could show up in either the Risen Star or Southwest.

Senor Buscador is two for two. After winning a 5 1/2-furlong sprint by 2 1/2 lengths at Remington Park on Nov. 6, he closed with a rush after trailing early in a field of 10 to win the Springboard Mile by 5 3/4 lengths there on Dec. 18.

Life Is Good, who is two for two and ranked No. 2 on my Kentucky Derby Top 10, was flattered by Uncle Boogie last Sunday at Santa Anita. Uncle Boogie finished

Concert Tour, an impressive debut winner last Friday at Santa Anita for Baffert, debuts on my Top 10 all the way up at No. 3, just below Life Is Good, who also resides in the powerful Baffert barn.

Sent away as the even-money favorite in a six-furlong maiden sprint, Concert Tour bounded home a 3 1/2-length winner for owners Gary and Mary West, who bred the Street Sense colt in Kentucky. Concert Tour’s sire won the 2007 Kentucky Derby winner.

How badly do you think the Wests want to win the Kentucky Derby after what happened in 2019? In the Run for the Roses that year, Maximum Security finished first by 1 3/4 lengths, but then was disqualified and placed 17th. Maximum Security had his number taken down when the stewards ruled that he had drifted out and caused interference to War of Will, Bodexpress and Long Range Toddy.

I have no doubt there will be those who think I should not rank Concert Tour at No. 3 off just one start in a six-furlong maiden race. But keep in mind the horse he supplanted at No. 3, Prime Factor, has made only one start in a six-furlong maiden race.

Concert Tour was credited with an 88 Beyer Speed Figure for his Jan. 15 victory. That’s higher than the 85 Beyer that Prime Factor received for his 8 3/4-length debut win at Gulfstream on Dec. 12.

Prime Factor, trained by Todd Pletcher (who is a lock to be voted into the Hall of Fame this year in his first year of eligibility), had a workout last Sunday in Florida at Palm Beach Downs. The Kentucky-bred Quality Road colt was clocked in 1:01.40 for his five-furlong drill.

Yet another 3-year-old trained by Baffert, Medina Spirit, is No. 7 on my Top 10. The Florida-bred Protonico colt finished second, just three-quarters of a length behind Life Is Good, in the Sham. Medina Spirit finally had his first workout following the Sham when he stepped four furlongs in :49.80 at Santa Anita last Saturday.

Midnight Bourbon is a newcomer on my Top 10 this week at No. 10. Dropping out of the Top 10 are Mutasaabeq and Mandaloun.

Mandaloun was backed down to 4-5 favoritism in the Lecomte, but 7-2 Midnight Bourbon led from the start and won by one length and was credited with a 91 Beyer Speed Figure. Proxy, off at 8-1, ran second in the field of eight. Mandaloun finished third, a head behind Proxy.

Midnight Bourbon, like Jackie’s Warrior, is trained by Asmussen. In the Lecomte, Midnight Bourbon was making his first start since finished third, 14 1/4 lengths behind the victorious Jackie’s Warrior, in the Grade I Champagne Stakes at Belmont Park last Oct. 10.

This is my up-to-date Kentucky Derby Top 10:

1. Essential Quality
2. Life Is Good
3. Concert Tour
4. Prime Factor
5. Hot Rod Charlie
6. Keepmeinmind
7. Medina Spirit
8. Senor Buscador
9. Jackie’s Warrior
10. Midnight Bourbon

MANY SADDENED BY DEATHS OF HEADLEY & WESS

The California racing community continues to mourn the passing of two highly respected individuals, longtime trainer Bruce Headley and publicist/racing executive Nat Wess.

Headley died last Friday from the effects of a stroke at Arcadia Methodist Hospital across the street from Santa Anita. He was 86.

Wess died last Thursday in Minnesota. He was 81. The Paulick Report obituary stated that Wess had been hospitalized since Dec. 31 after suffering a hip fracture and requiring surgery. While hospitalized, he tested positive for COVID-19, according to an email distributed to members of the Minnesota Racing Commission shared with the Paulick Report.

Headley is best known as the trainer of Kona Gold, who was voted a 2000 Eclipse Award as champion sprinter following his victory that year in the Grade I BC Sprint.

It was to the credit of both Kona Gold and Headley that the Kentucky-bred Java Gold gelding ran in five consecutive BC Sprints, finishing third in 1998, second in 1999, first in 2000, seventh in 2001, then fourth in 2002.

Headley was the original trainer of Bertrando, who was three for three going into the 1991 BC Juvenile, including wins in the Grade I Del Mar Futurity and Grade I Norfolk Stakes. But Bertrando had to settle for second in the Grade I BC Juvenile when no match for the dazzling Arazi.

Of Headley’s many achievements, one he once told me that he was especially proud of was winning a Grade II race with a 9-year-old when Softshoe Sure Shot pulled off a $38.20 upset in the 1995 San Carlos Handicap. In addition to winning a Grade II affair with an equine senior citizen, no doubt another reason it was an extra-special win for Headley was Bertrando -- trained at that time by John Shirreffs -- finished sixth. Hall of Famer Bobby Frankel also trained Bertrando for a period of time. Frankel was Bertrando’s conditioner in 1993, the year that the California-bred son of Skywalker was voted an Eclipse Award as champion older male.

To say Bruce Headley was a colorful character would be putting it mildly. I can attest that he also was a fierce competitor on the basketball court. Back in the 1980s, a number of people who worked at the Southern California tracks played hoops on Tuesday afternoons at a church just a few furlongs from Santa Anita. I was a regular at those games.

I will never forget one time when Headley was on my team. His idea of playing basketball was it should be played much like football. After I made a few shots that day, Headley came up with a plan.

“Look,” he said. “Here’s what we’re gonna do. I’m gonna set screens for you. Got it? And when I do, you use my screen to keep on shooting.”

A few minutes later, true to his word, Headley set a screen for me. Let’s just say that he did not set the screen in a meek fashion. With Headley shielding me from my defender, I hit the shot.

“Atta boy, dead eye,” Headley said with a big grin on his face, as if we just had won the NBA championship.

When I looked over at Headley, I saw that he was bleeding from a nasty cut on his face. When he set the screen, he had been struck in the head by an elbow. I was concerned. I thought he should consider going to the hospital.

“Are you okay?” I asked.

“Yeah, I’m fine,” he said, seemingly irked that I’d even ask him that question. “It’s nothing, just a little scratch. You just keep making those shots, dead eye.”

Despite the cut, Headley kept right on playing basketball for another hour or so until we all decided it was time to go home.

For years and years after that, almost every single time I’d see Bruce Headley at the track, either in the morning or the afternoon, he’d say, “How’s it goin’ dead eye?”

As for Nat Wess, I have never, ever seen a harder worker.

I first met Wess at Louisiana Downs in 1980. He was Hollywood Park’s director of publicity at the time. I was working as a writer for the Daily Racing Form. Wess was there to attend the first Super Derby.

In 1981, our paths crossed again. I was promoted by the DRF to join Mike Marten as the two writers covering the sport on the Southern California circuit. I showed up at Hollywood Park in April to begin my new job.

In those years, I saw first-hand how Nat, as the head of that track’s publicity department, did so much to promote horse racing in general and Hollywood Park in particular.

“Wess, who always appeared to be a bundle of nervous energy, is remembered by racing writers for the patience, helpfulness and kindness he showed to those who were just beginning their careers,” the Paulick Report’s obituary noted. “He was an old-school promoter, learning the ropes from the late Bob Benoit and employing props and publicity photos to promote big races and star horses.”

As Hollywood Park’s director of publicity, Wess helped launch the pick six at that track in 1980, a wager that caught on at tracks all across the country. Hollywood Park also was known in those days for its giveaways of tote bags and various other items that proved so popular the track routinely attracted crowds of over 60,000 and as high as 80,348 on May 4, 1980.

It was Wess’ goal to become a general manager. After leaving Hollywood Park, he spent time as the assistant general manager at Canterbury Downs (now Canterbury Park) and Bay Meadows. He became the general manager of the California Thoroughbred Breeders Association (CTBA) in 1989, a position he held until 1995.

At the CTBA, Wess played an important role in the introduction of the California Cup, aka the Cal Cup, a day featuring various stakes races for California-breds. The Cal Cup was inspired by the success of the Breeders’ Cup nationally and the Maryland Million in that state.

Not only did Wess help get the Claiming Crown off the ground at Canterbury, for many years he was the glue that sustained that event for “blue collar horses.”

The Cal Cup, which is held each year at Santa Anita, was launched in 1990. The Claiming Crown, which now has a home at Gulfstream Park, was inaugurated in 1999.

Nat Wess was at Hollywood Park on May 17, 1981, the day that I met my future wife, Tracy Gantz. He also was among those looking on the day I married Tracy on Nov. 27, 1983.

One of my fondest Nat Wess memories is from a 70’s party that Tracy and I once threw. Let’s just say watching Nat Wess do all the hand gestures to the song “YMCA” is an image that I will never forget.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:55 PM
Millie, Zoe Review Key Pegasus Workouts

January 22, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Our team at XBTV has been reviewing key workouts toward Saturday’s Pegasus World Cup and Pegasus World Cup Turf. Follow not only the workout report information, but expert handicappers’ advice, artificial intelligence selections, historical facts and more in the Pegasus World Cup Wager Guide.

Pegasus World Cup Workout Report // Zoe Cadman

CODE OF HONOR 1/18 Payson 4 furlongs :49.40
Consistent sort, while lacking the brilliance of his peers, has outlasted them in soundness and durability. Grade 1-winning son of Noble Mission worked a half-mile under his regular exercise rider on the inside of stakes winner Performer. Never a flashy work horse, he basically went through the motions showing just enough energy while never really getting out of second gear. It would have been nice for him to get his head down in front at the wire, but Performer is better than him in the mornings.

MR FREEZE 1/16 Gulfstream 5 furlongs :59.83
Second in this race last year at age 5, it seems Mr Freeze is like a fine wine – only getting better with age. I’m not sure the son of To Honor and Serve has ever been better! His Jan. 16 drill over a glib Gulfstream Park surface (one in which he loves) was as good as I have ever seen him. He broke off sharply and finished up strong thorough the wire, every 1/8-mile getting better and better. That was in stark contrast to the (solo) work he put forth last year going in 103-and-change before the World Cup…and he ran second!

TAX 1/8 Palm Meadows 4 furlongs :46.45
Tax’s tour de force win in the Harlan’s holiday stakes as a prep was simply brilliant. Off for 7 months prior, he has rebounded in terrific form and is simply a must-use. Judging by his sharp solo half-mile mile drill January 8, perhaps we may see a better version of Tax this year. He looks like he means business moving fluidly thorough the lane, ears pinned showing the grit and determination that has made him the ultimate over-achiever.

INDEPENDENCE HALL 1/16 Santa Anita 6 furlongs 1:12.60
The lightly raced Independence Hall was run off his feet in the Grade 1 Malibu and will likely appreciate going back to two turns for this. His January 16 work with the over-matched The Stiff was terrific. Kept in the bridle by his stablemate, he knocked off :12s like a hot knife through butter, easily cruising to the wire with another quarter-mile gallop out. It was a super work by a horse who, if he can keep his cool, could be dangerous at a price.

Pegasus World Cup Workout Report // Millie Ball

SAY THE WORD 1/18 Santa Anita (tt) 4 furlongs :49.20
Say the Word is thriving right now. His grass work at Santa Anita on January 10 was pleasing, but his solo, half-mile breeze on the training track 8 days later was, in trainer Phil D'Amato's very word, "tremendous." He bounced over the training track for 4 furlongs like it was a warm-up event, and proceeded to gallop out an extra lap (not a misprint) with so much energy and ease. He has tremendous air! I find myself watching his works with my foot hovering over an imaginary gas pedal, dying to step on it to see what'll happen. I will be waiting eagerly to find that answer out on Saturday.

LARGENT 1/16 Palm Beach Downs 4 furlongs 1:01.49
SOCIAL PARANOIA 1/16 Palm Beach Downs 4 furlongs 1:01.49
Largent is as consistent a racehorse as you'll find, never finishing out of the exacta in nine career starts. The same can be said for his library of works collected on XBTV. He is usually found working on the Palm Beach Downs main track, outside of company, with the exact same gameface on. January 16 was the quintessential drill for this 5-year-old gelding. Enough said. His work partner on this morning was Pegasus World Cup Turf rival Social Paranoia, who appears on the lazier side – or simply finds the dirt surface hard work. He's tougher to endorse off his breezes, but you can't ignore his record on the turf at Gulfstream.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:55 PM
Beat the Host Carryover & Gulfstream’s Pegasus Pick 4

January 21, 2021 | By Johnny D

Last Saturday, we fumbled. Booted a grounder. Launched an air ball. Technical difficulties knocked us out. Down for the count. Offline for a few hours. Wasn’t the first time. Won’t be the last. It happens. And, according to the folks working in IT, that word ‘it’ usually begins with an additional two letters.

Ever have the power go out in your house? Me, too, once in a while. To flip a concept, where there once was light, now there is darkness. That occasionally happens to our other techie stuff, too. Twitter, Facebook, Apps, Internet all have down times. Other ADWs go AWOL at times, too. Thankfully, outages usually don’t last long. It’s still best for players to be prepared for when the lights do go out. Just like you have a flashlight and candles in your house make sure to have a backup ADW in your mobile.

Besides inconveniencing players, the outage also forced cancelation of two online tournaments—an important ‘Last Chance’ Pegasus World Cup Betting Championship event and Week 3 play in the popular Beat the Host competition.

Since there’s no such thing as ‘Another Last Chance’ and the PWCBC event is this Saturday, suits decided to offer players the opportunity to win PWCBC seats in an unusual mid-week ‘Final Chance’ Thursday tournament. That event may be over by the time you read this. If so, congratulations to the winners and good luck to those competing Saturday in the main event. On the other hand, if you catch this before Thursday’s 3 pm registration deadline, jump into the pool for $500 ($200 registration and $300 live money). The water’s warm…and deep.

Gotta give suits credit for respecting players and re-racking the cancelled tournament Thursday. Under the circumstances, it really is the best that could be done.

While we’re not in the habit of dishing out ‘attaboys’ to suits, they also deserve credit for another reasonable solution. Instead of pocketing prize money from last week’s cancelled Beat the Host competition, suits decreed that the bread be carried over into this week’s action. That means there will be a total of $4,000 available to top players--$2,000 to first; $1,500 to second and $500 to third. Again, the very best move in an unusual situation.

This week’s Beat the Host target is Jeff Siegel, one of the best handicappers in the nation and dean of Southern California prognosticators. He’s a Beat the Host veteran, too, around since the competition began. He and last week’s host Jon White used to split the entire season.

No doubt some Beat the Host players are wondering how they would have fared last Saturday against Jon White. Well, most would have done pretty well. White, who’s shown a profit with his Beat the Host picks almost every season, had the weakest performance in his approximately 15-year Beat the Host tenure.

Oh, quit whining. We all know, you would have whipped White and qualified for the Beat the Host Championship. So would a bunch of other players. It’s not the end of the world. You’ve got 6 more chances to prove you’re better than at least one host.

Currently, 8 players remain alive for a $6,000 Sweep the Host Bonus: Steve Glynn, Steven Moses, Randy Murphey, Darlene Wolfson, Lou Kotzman, Scott Shore, Zackary Agamenoni and John Maskel.

In cumulative earnings, Steve Glynn leads with $213, chased by Andrew George and Andrew Ma ($175 each). Stephen Hausmann ($170.50) and Larry Cartwright ($170) are next. The top two cumulative seasonal earners will win seats to the 2022 Pegasus World Cup Betting Championship ($6,000 value each). The next three finishers will receive seats in the Ultimate Betting Challenge March 6, 2021 ($3,000 value each).

258 players have defeated hosts this season and are qualified for the Beat the Host Championship Round. A total of 7 rich tournament seats will be awarded to top BTH Championship finishers, including 1 seat in the 2022 Pegasus World Cup Betting Championship ($6,000 value) and 6 spots in either the Florida Derby (March 27, 2021) or Santa Anita Derby (April 3, 2021) tournaments ($1,500 value each).

Play in ‘Final Chance’ PWCBC tournament Thursday, January 21 if you can. Then, take advantage of this week’s Beat the Host carryover and try to win a share of $4,000 in weekly prizes, as well as an opportunity to Beat the Host and add to your cumulative seasonal earnings total.

As an intended aid in your quest to better the host, below is one man’s opinion of Saturday’s all-graded-stakes Pegasus World Cup Late Pick 4 at Gulfstream Park.

RACE 9 // GULFSTREAM PARK (3:40PM ET) // G2 INSIDE INFORMATION S. (200K) // 7 FURLONGS (DIRT)

The Gr. 2 Inside Information is a 7-furlong sprint for fillies and mares. Three of the eight runners exit the Gr. 3 Sugar Swirl at 6 furlongs Dec. 12 at GP and two others return from the Gr. 3 Rampart going a one-turn mile at GP. That’s what’s so entertaining about 7-furlong races, they attract sprinters and milers at a distance that challenges participants in different ways.


#2 CINNABUNNY (3/1): Jockey Irad Ortiz is winning at a ridiculous 29% at Gulfstream and trainer Brad Cox checked in at 24% for 2020. Interestingly, the combo isn’t that hot. They bat just 8% together. This 4-year-old filly is making her second start for Cox after finishing third, less than a length behind the winner, and lapped on #3 Bronx Beauty as favorite in the Gr. 3 Sugar Swirl. Irad rode her that day for the first time and they had some issues late. Expect him to have learned a bit about this filly, who was a tigress at Parx when winning 4 of 6 races there for trainer Kathleen DeMasi. She may show more speed in here than she did in her last. All of her Parx wins were wire-to-wire.

#3 BRONX BEAUTY (8/1): This 6-year-old mare missed by a mere head in the Gr. 3 Sugar Swirl at 9-1. She’s won 10 of 25 starts but is winless at Gulfstream Park and at the distance in 5 starts. Hard-riding Luis Saez is aboard again, and the filly sits just off the early pace before launching her final bid. She’s earned over $600k and is in good form, so she deserves respect. However, there are a few angles going against her and those will give us pause.

#4 THISSMYTIME (7/2): This 4-year-old daughter of Carpe Diem is hot. She won a sloppy, 7-furlong, off-the-turf edition of the Sunshine Millions Filly and Mare Turf Preview by over 11 lengths and then took a one-mile $62,500 optional claiming race in wire-to-wire fashion. She has won 3 of 6 starts at Gulfstream Park and will be ridden by the capable Edgard Zayas, who’s been aboard for all 4 of her lifetime wins. An old racetrack adage advises to beware of hot fillies and mares because they can hold their form for a while. This filly might be an example of that happening before our eyes.

#7 SALLY'S CURLIN (9/2): This 5-year-old mare has faced some of the nation’s stiffest 7-furlong competition. Last out she didn’t fire in Gulfstream’s Gr. 3 Rampart at one mile, but before that had faced top foes in 4 consecutive 7-furlong races at the Gr. 1 or Gr. 2 level: In March she won Gr. 3 Hurricane Bertie at Gulfstream. She returned in July to beat 3 foes in the Gr. 1 Madison at Keeneland. In September she closed well to be third in the Gr. 1 Derby City Distaff at Churchill. In November, she beat just one home in the Gr. 1 Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare sprint. Her late-running style often works against her and there doesn’t seem to be an overabundance of speed in this race, however, she has been facing much better.

#8 SOUND MACHINE (8/1): The 4-year-old filly exits the common Gr. 3 Sugar Swirl where she had a bit of trouble and finished fourth merely one-length from the winner. She has 2 wins and 2 seconds from 5 starts at Gulfstream and draws a nice, cozy outside box. Her close-up running style should work well from this draw as jockey Jose Ortiz will be able to ‘clock’ what’s happening inside before he makes his move with this filly. She’s not real big on winning—2 for 9—but she should get a perfect trip and is a strong exotics candidate.


RACE 10 // GULFSTREAM PARK (4:13PM ET) // G3 W.L. MCKNIGHT S. ($150K) // 1 1/2 MILES (TURF)

The Grade 3 W. L. McKnight at one mile and one-half on turf always is an interesting affair that attracts distance specialist runners that are a cut below the very best invited to the Pegasus Turf. A large field of 11 has entered and handicappers should note that this race begins on the backside and is decided around 3 turns. Outside post positions may be at a disadvantage unless those runners have a bit of early pace to clear foes before the quickly arriving first turn.


#1 DOSWELL (7/2): He’s a 6-year-old with just 8 career starts. That suggests issues. However, this gelding has made the most of the relatively few times he’s raced. He’s been first or second 7 times in 8 starts. Last out he finished a troubled second to Pegasus World Cup Turf Invitational contender Largent in the Gr. 2 Fort Lauderdale. Doswell has some early pace and should be able to use it under jockey Junior Alvarado to maintain the rail position throughout. Can he get one mile and one-half against this level of foe? Maybe. He went wire-to-wire to win at a mile and one-quarter at Saratoga in October. Of course, that was against first-level allowance horses and these are mostly graded stakes winners…big difference. Doswell will need to use his speed, save ground and see how far that takes him.

#4 TEMPLE (8/1): He’s a pretty consistent performer that has a top jock and trainer on his side in here. Irad Ortiz, Jr. rides for Mike Maker and they’re an outstanding 25% together. Temple has been first, second or third in 15 out of 22 races but he really shines at Gulfstream Park. He’s 4 for 9 over this course, with 3 seconds and 2 thirds. That’s proof he loves this course. He has some distance questions to answer (although he’s never tried this trip) and he hasn’t proven himself at this class level yet, however, he’s got angles in his favor and should be a square price. Based on his record he’s at least an exotics ‘use’ and more.

#5 SADLER'S JOY (3/1): This 8-year-old is an old pro with over $2.5 million in the bank. He’s faced the best competition of anyone in here and fared pretty well with 7 wins, 4 seconds and 11 thirds in 34 lifetime starts. Father time may have caught up with him, however. He couldn’t manage a first or second place finish in 8 2020 starts. His very late-running style often puts him at a pace disadvantage with too much ground to make up late. He’s got the best resume of this bunch, but does he have a knockout punch left?

#7 TIDE OF THE SEA (10/1): This 5-year-old has speed, 3 wins in 9 starts and races for some solid jockey/trainer connections (Gaffalione/Maker 23%). He also has a win at the distance, something only 3 other starters can claim. He may be lacking in the class department or at least his credentials there are light. His first graded stakes attempt came last out in the Gr. 2 Fort Lauderdale where he had some early trouble. Gaffalione returns to the saddle and he was successful with this horse one race back in an allowance at Keeneland.

#11 CHANNEL CAT (9/2): This 6-year-old horse makes his second start for trainer Jack Sisterson after racing for Todd Pletcher and winning 5 of 22 and nearly $1 million. This horse hasn’t faced this grade 3 level of competition since May of 2019. He’s usually pitched against grade 1 or grade 2 foes, so this is a bit of class relief for him. Last out, in his first start since March, he closed some ground to be fifth behind #1 Doswell and just in front of #7 Tide of the Sea. That wasn’t a bad effort and could set him up to run well in here. However, this far outside post does him no favors. He was 0 for 3 in 2020 and is just 1 for his last 11.


RACE 11 // GULFSTREAM PARK (4:59PM ET) // G1 PEGASUS WORLD CUP TURF (1M) // 1 3/16 MILES (TURF)

The Grade 1, $1 million Pegasus World Cup Turf Invitational is a wide-open affair at one mile and three-sixteenths. This is a wide-open field with any number of contenders that have legitimate chances to win. New faces from California, Louisiana and New York add spice and intrigue to a clever mix of sharp local talent. Get the butter knife out for this one because you’re probably going to ‘spread.’


#3 STORM THE COURT - Eurton/Leparoux (12/1): A veteran of 8 consecutive graded stakes races against fellow 3-year-olds, the now 4-year-old Storm the Court has had big shoes to fill after winning an Eclipse Award as the nation’s top 2-year-old colt in 2019. Always competitive, the Gr. 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner hasn’t won a race since that wire-to-wire triumph in November 2019 but has been second twice and third twice. Overall, he’s had just 3 career turf races, with 2 seconds, most recently by three-quarters of a length in the Gr. 2 Mathis Brothers Mile last out at Santa Anita. In that one mile race this son of Court Vision assumed the early lead and was caught in the stretch. Expect similar tactics in this longer race over a layout that favors front runners.

#5 COLONEL LIAM - Pletcher/Ortiz Jr. (7/2): If you’re looking for a hot horse that could be rising up the turf rankings with a bullet, this could be your horse. A 4-year-old son of Liam’s Map, he won the Tropical Park Derby in his last start. That was his second win in 3 starts over Gulfstream turf, so you know he likes the course. What you don’t know is how he will handle racing against older horses for the first time. Certain Hall of Fame trainer Todd Pletcher wins more races at Gulfstream than anyone else and has taken his time with this runner—3 wins in just 5 starts, all in 2020. The grey colt has never raced at this distance, but open-length scores at shorter trips suggest he can handle it.

#6 LARGENT - Pletcher/Lopez (9/2): If there’s a horse for course in this race, this could be the guy. The 5-year-old gelding enters off a sparkling tally in the Gr. 2 Fort Lauderdale at a mile and one-eighth over the Gulfstream Park turf course. That was his sixth win in 9 starts and his fourth in 5 trips over the GP turf course. The son of Into Mischief never has raced further than one mile and one-eighth but, if eventual Hall of Fame trainer Todd Pletcher thinks the gelding can do it, who are we to argue? Largent has won races while close to the lead and from well off the pace, so he’s versatile and at this longer distance shouldn’t be too far from the early pace.

#8 ANOTHERTWISTAFATE - Miller/Rosario (5/1): This 5-year-old California invader decisively won the Gr. 2 San Gabriel Stakes last out at Santa Anita. It was only his second turf start among 10 career outings. He’s won 5 times overall and was on the 2019 Triple Crown trail with a string of 3 early wins and 2 seconds against fellow sophs. Things never panned out, culminating in a 10th place Preakness finish, and the horse was transferred to current trainer Peter Miller for his most recent pair of races, better efforts and both on turf. He’s got enough speed to be close early and, according to his eventual post-position draw, could take the early lead. Distance is a question but, in the past, horses have been known to find rejuvenated careers after making surface changes. That could be the case here.

##11 SAY THE WORD - D'Amato/Prat (6/1): This 6-year-old gelding has been in good form since August when he won a Saratoga allowance race. Since then he’s finished third in the Gr. 3 Singspiel, won the Gr. 1 Northern Dancer (both at Woodbine) and been third in the Gr. 2 Hollywood Turf Cup at Del Mar, respectively. Those last two efforts came in one mile and one-half races, distances that perfectly suit his late-running style. An earner of nearly $500k, he should appreciate the one mile and three-sixteenths layout at Gulfstream Park. He is trained by Phil D’Amato and is based in Southern California at Santa Anita. SoCal turf master Flavien Prat is here to ride.

#12 SOCIAL PARANOIA - Pletcher/Saez (8/1): This guy is extremely versatile. He’s won on turf at distances from seven and one-half furlongs to one mile and five-sixteenths. He’s got a pair of Gr. 3 victories in his holster and he was second, beaten less than one length, in the Gr. 1 Belmont Derby in July 2019. He’s trained by top Gulfstream gun Todd Pletcher and has won 3 of 5 turf starts at Gulfstream. The 5-year-old son of Street Boss has won 5 of 16 overall and earned nearly $1 million. He made just 5 starts in 2020, winning 3. He’s got enough early pace to be within striking distance when the real running starts. He is not favored by this outside post position that could see him lose valuable ground. Jockey Luis Saez probably has his hand forced by this post and will ask for a bit more run from his mount early to get position into the first turn.


RACE 12 // GULFSTREAM PARK (5:44PM ET) // G1 PEGASUS WORLD CUP (3M) // 1 1/8 MILES (DIRT)

This is the one you’ve all been waiting for. The Grade 1 $3 million Pegasus World Cup Invitational at one mile and one-eighth on the main track. In its short history, this race has featured some outstanding performers like Arrogate, California Chrome, Gun Runner, City of Light and Mucho Gusto. Most often, the race has attracted the nation’s best on their way to retirement. This year, things are different. There’s no Horse of the Year contender on his way to retirement in the field of 12. Instead we are faced with a more well-balanced group that will challenge horseplayers to create winning exotic wagers.


#1 SLEEPY EYES TODD - Silva/Ortiz (8/1): Connections hope this 5-year-old horse can parlay a pair of 7-furlong stakes victories into a $3 million Gr. 1 Pegasus score at one mile and one-eighth. In November, ‘Todd won the Lafayette at Keeneland and in December delivered a mile upset in the Gr. 3 Mr. Prospector at Gulfstream in his only try over the surface. In 3 previous tries at the Pegasus distance ‘Todd has a runner-up effort as a 3-year-old in the Gr. 3 Oklahoma Derby at Remington, a win in the Gr. 2 Charles Town Classic and a fifth in the Gr. 1 Awesome Again at Santa Anita. This will be the first time since 2019 that the grey runner will make back-to-back starts at the same track. In 2020 he made 8 starts, all at different tracks and with different riders each time. He won four of those. Overall, he’s won 8 of 15 starts and earned nearly $750k. Expect him to be near the early Pegasus pace.

#4 KNICKS GO - Cox/Rosario (5/2): Winner of the Gr. 1 Breeders’ Cup Mile last out, this 5-year-old son of Paynter appears to finally have developed into the high-quality runner his connections assumed he was at 3 when he was consistently matched against Gr. 3 stakes foes. Currently, Knicks Go is riding a dominating winning streak--last 3 starts by over 20 lengths. And he performs well off layoffs, too, ones similar to what he’ll experience heading into Pegasus World Cup. Trainer Brad Cox also has been on a roll—one that’s lasted throughout the entire 2020 season. Expect this grey steed to be on the early Pegasus pace as he attempts to stretch his speed and ability over one mile and one-eighth. If no one challenges him early, he could be gone.

#5 JESUS'S TEAM - D'Angelo/Ortiz Jr. (8/1): All 3 of Jesus’ Team’s career wins have the word ‘claiming’ associated with them. However, that’s about all they have in common. In his second start, Jesus’ Team won a one-mile test over the Gulfstream main track for a maiden $32k price tag. He followed that effort with a romping tally at the same location and distance in a $25k non-winners of 2. The 4-year-old’s most recent victory came December 5, in the one mile and one-eighth Claiming Crown Jewel, also at Gulfstream. That latest tally included the winner’s share of a $150k purse to bring his total earnings to over $500k. Between those assorted ‘claiming’ experiences, Jesus’ Team has compiled a fine record of in-the-money performances. He was second to Pegasus foe Knicks Go in the Gr. 1 BC Dirt Mile, third in the Gr. 1 Preakness and Gr. 2 Jim Dandy and second in the ‘other’ Pegasus at Monmouth. He also finished fourth in the Gr. 1 Haskell. His best running usually is done from off the pace.

#7 TAX - Gargan/Saez (5/1): This 5-year-old gelded son of Arch enters Pegasus off a decisive wire-to-wire victory in the Gr. 3 Harlan’s Holiday at Gulfstream Park going one mile and one-sixteenth. That was his first start since finishing fifth in the Gr. 2 Oaklawn Handicap May 2. Always well-regarded, Tax won the Gr. 3 Withers and then was second in the Gr. 2 Wood before finishing 15th in the Gr. 1 Kentucky Derby. Fourth in the Gr. 1 Belmont Stakes, he returned to win the Gr. 2 Jim Dandy before finishing off the board in the Gr. 1 Travers, both at Saratoga. In last year’s Gr. 1 Pegasus World Cup, he started at contender’s odds of 4-1 but stumbled at the start and finished ninth. His best finishes have come when he’s been able to sit just off the early pace.

#10 CODE OF HONOR - McGaughey/Gaffalione (9/2): Third in the 2019 Kentucky Derby, this son of Noble Mission is no stranger to Gulfstream Park. He won the Fountain of Youth Stakes here and then was third in the Florida Derby. He also checked in third behind original winner Maximum Security in that year’s Kentucky Derby. The highlight of this horse’s career came during a stretch of 3 consecutive graded stakes wins in the summer of 2019—Gr. 3 Dwyer, Gr. 1 Travers and Gr. 1 Jockey Club Gold Cup (via disqualification). He’s earned $2.6 million with 6 wins in 15 career starts, including 12 in-the-money finishes. Last out he was second by a length to Bodexpress in the Gr. 1 Clark at Churchill in November. Look for him to be closing in the lane.


NOTE: Over the last 13 years, runners at Gulfstream Park that break from posts 9 through 12 at one mile and one-eighth on the main track are 10 for 225 to win at just over 4% of the time. –Daily Racing Form

SUGGESTED LATE PICK 4 TICKET

RACE 9: 2, 4, 8
RACE 10: 1, 4, 7
RACE 11: 6, 8, 11
RACE 12: 4, 7
TICKET COST: $27.00

Race On!

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:56 PM
Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 1/23/21

January 23, 2021

Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies


Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


Click to view today’s Santa Anita Workout Report


RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Cruel Intention; 8-Chasin Munny; 10-Tripoli

Forecast: Cruel Intention has trained well enough to be fit and ready in his first start since August at Del Mar, where he finished a willing third at this level in his grass debut. The son of Smiling Tiger returns under similar conditions today for B. Baffert, whose stats with layoff runners (28% with a strong flat-bet profit) is superb. He’s the one to beat in a field with at least a couple of other strong contenders that are worth including in rolling exotic play. Tripoli, a prior winner over the local lawn and a strong closing third here last month, has gradually rising speed figures, and with some help up front should be heard from late. Chasin Munny, away since the fall of 2019, has been blistering the main track in the a.m. while acting like he’s lost none of his old zip. With winning form over this turf course during his two-year-old season the son of Munnings may offer good value at 8-1 on the morning line.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:03 PT Grade: X
Use: 1-Fenway; 2-The Great One

Forecast: The Great One, nailed right on the line when second in the Los Alamitos Futurity-G2 last month, returns to the maiden ranks for what was expected to be easy pickings and will be a short price to earn his diploma, although the first-timer Fenway can run and could make a race for it. A son of the successful young stallion Nyquist, The Great One acts like he may be most comfortable on the lead, though in a recent workout he relaxed nicely behind a stable mate and blew out by when given his cue, so it’ll be interesting to see what strategy is employed. Now a three year old, he’s eligible to race on Lasix for the first time. Fenway has done some very good work in the morning for B. Baffert and appears to have plenty of zip. If he breaks well – and that’s always a concern with a debut runner - he may find himself on the lead. Preference on top goes to The Great One but we’ll include both in our rolling exotics in a race that we’ll otherwise pass.
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RACE 3: Post: 1:35 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Honos Man; 3-C Falls; 9-Justin’s Quest

Forecast: C Falls won a (nw-2) starter’s race in gate-to-wire fashion last month with a career top speed figure and projects to enjoy a similar front-running trip while moving up a notch to a nw-3 starter’s affair and stretching out to nine furlongs. The lightly-raced Shackleford gelding has just eight career starts under his belt, so the S. Ruis-trained 5-year-old seems likely to continue his improving pattern. Honos Man won a restricted (nw-2) $25,000 grass affair earlier this meeting over this course and distance with a decent number and should enjoy a second flight, ground-saving trip from his good inside draw. Justin’s Quest is a fit on numbers, training well, and may have found a home on grass. He projects to settle outside into a stalking position and then have his chance from the quarter pole home.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:14 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-My Princess Ellie; 2-Ruthies Racer

Forecast: My Princess Ellie has steadily improving form, and after being freshened since November the P. Miller-trained filly seems ready to produce another forward move while projected to enjoy a good ground-saving trip while on or near the lead throughout. She sports a steady, healthy work tab at San Luis Rey Downs and clearly is the one to beat. The “other” Miller entrant in the field, Ruthies Racer, adds Lasix, stretches out for the first time and has numbers that fit, so we’ll use her as well.
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RACE 5: Post: 2:59 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Luxury Liner; 7-Respectfully

Forecast: The fifth race is a $25,000 claiming sprint for 3-year-old fillies. Luxury Liner seeks her third straight win but is dropping a notch on the class ladder, not exactly a sign of confidence, but based strictly on speed figures this is where the daughter of Grazen belongs. She has a good stalking style and has had four steady drills since her mid-December victory at Los Alamitos to keep her on edge. Respectfully crushed a maiden $30,000 field at Los Alamitos last month by seven widening lengths and is realistically spotted right back. On numbers, she’s actually a bit faster than ‘Liner and therefore is likely to leave at a slightly shorter price. They’re hard to separate, so we’ll include both in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:28 PT Grade: B+
Single: 2-Kiwi’s Dream

Forecast: Kiwi’s Dream exits a series of five stakes races and today drops into a much easier starter’s allowance affair in his first start since late summer. His work tab at Golden Gate Fields is healthy and strong and the veteran gelding, a devoted front-runner, projects to be the controlling speed without even having to be sent. First or second in 10 of 16 career starts, he’s always been dependable in the proper spot and he certainly has landed in one today. At 5/2 on the morning line, he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 7: Post: 3:40 PT Grade: B+
Use: 6-Ax Man; 8-Kneedeepinsnow

Forecast: Ax Man, away since July but working like he’s fit and ready, returns to his favorite track in this year’s edition of the Palos Verdes S.-G3 and should be able to out-class this group. The B. Baffert-trained gelding, primarily a distance runner but a perfect one-for-one over this exact six furlong distance, has won off a layoff in the past and should find himself in an ideal second flight, stalking position behind speed types that on paper appear vulnerable. Kneedeepinsnow, with rising numbers, a good outside draw, and relatively lightly raced with room for further development, is the one to fear most. A sharp winner against a second-level allowance field last month, then S. Ruis-trained horse is 10-1 on the morning line and offers wagering value at anywhere near this price. Preference on top goes to Ax Man but both should be used in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:26 PT Grade: B
Use: 6-Clearly Gone; 10-Applecross

Forecast: Applecross has faced tough stakes foes in all but one of her five U.S. outings and returns to the first level allowance ranks for what should be a confidence-building win. A sharp runner-up at this level two runs back, she’s drawn a bit farther out than we’d prefer and lacks tactical speed, but against this group we’re expecting the Irish-bred filly to be along in time. We’ll also include Clearly Gone, seven years old but fresh from a career-top speed figure earning third place effort against $40,000 claimers over this course and distance last month. The P. Miller-trained daughter of Unusual Heat can turn it on late and with good racing luck should be dangerous in the final furlong.
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RACE 9: Post: 4:55 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Nurse Hardbody; 5-Best of Show; 9-Shanghai Sunrise

Forecast: Shanghai Sunrise shows up in a claimer for the first time, removes blinkers, adds Lasix, and lands the cozy outside draw in this modest maiden claiming extended sprint for sophomore fillies. She seems like the logical top pick, but at 2-1 on the morning there’s really not a whole lot of value to be found. Best of Show, a distant third in her debut last month at Los Alamitos while passing a few in the lane, gets an extra furlong to work with today and with any kind of forward move should be in the battle when it counts. Nurse Hardbody finished far back in the same race Best of Show exits but has worked rather well since, gets Lasix, and could easily be much better than shown. All three should be included in rolling exotic play.
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Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:56 PM
Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis

January 22, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia

Tonight, there are 14 races scheduled at the Meadowlands. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 begins in Race 6 and it has a 15% takeout. The sequence does have a $50,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

1-Rockin The Aces (6-1)-This wasn't Dunn's choice but using with the focus on those dropping who like to take pictures. Has won 7 of 21 Big M starts and AMac should put in play. Doesn't like to leave but will trust the trip will be smoother than last and drops to a better level.
5-Blood Line (8-1)-Came the last half in 54.4 and goes from post 9 to the 5-hole in 5th start after a layoff. Looking for Zeron to provide an aggressive steer and to be raced from near the top of the stack.
7-Bank Sea (10-1)-Was off almost 3-weeks before the last start and raced well considering. Should be a solid price, fits with this crew and has the gate speed to get a close-up seat.

Race 7

2-Bicorne Hanover (5-1)-Draws well and was off almost a month before the last start. Will need a big effort but this post draw should help. Joe B could leave and land in the pocket behind one of the program chalks. Might be overlooked at the windows.
5-Ima Real Ladys Man (3-1)-Has been off since 12-13 and comes off a good qualifier on 1-16. Likes to race near the top and Allard should be able to get him there. Should be a threat if fires hot off the bench and was facing better at Hoosier Park.
7-Cheyenne Ryan Lee (15-1)-Will toss last from the 10-hole but has shown ability at this level in the past. Has hit the board in 7 of 16 starts at the Big M with 3 wins. Miller could leave to get a good seat and should be a juicy price.
9-JK Wildfire (7/2)-Second program chalk raced the back half in .55 and rallied off a wide trip to finish 2nd. Mark Mac should be rolling down the lane and my feeling is the pace could be lively.

Race 8

1-Boiling Oar (7/2) -Drops to the lowest level since shipping in from Indiana. This is a spot to shine and could be a smooth trip away from the 1st picture at M1 in 6 tries.
4-Heza Real Deal (3-1) -Makes another drop-in class, faded down the lane after getting the point and setting quick fractions. Same pilot and probably the same script but doesn't leave from the 8-hole and this is a more comfortable spot. This is the 4th time for Lasix and last try was the best so far.

Race 9

1-St James Gate (10/1)-Went to Yonkers and it didn't work well after 2 wins and a nice 3rd place finish at this class. Faced tougher at YR and broke on a sloppy track. Draws the rail, could get the top and fits. May not look back at a nice price.
3-Double Account (9/2)-Another from the Cullipher barn coming off a rest. Has been idle since 11-21 but the 1-16 qualifier was a sharp tune-up. Could be sitting 1st or 2nd after the opening quarter and should offer a solid price.
6-McMatters (10-1)-Needs a trip but should be in the mix with the 2 morning line chalks starting outside. If the pace is hot chances for success go up and should be a big price.
10-Swan In Motion (7/2)-Comes off a very nice 3-year-old campaign and has raced well in last 3 starts with Lasix. The post will make the price and Callahan could find some live cover. There are a few that could leave so the fractions should be hot. Likes to roll late and fly by foes down the lane.

0.50 Early Pick 4

1,5,7/2,5,7,9/1,4/1,3,6,10
Total Bet=$48

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:56 PM
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #1
Picks Notes
#4 Cruel Intention Showed some versatility in running style when finishing off the pace in the turf debut, and that gives his rider some options out of the gate. Can handle either footing if the rains come.
#11 Anaconda Disappointed last time out, but he's probably capable of something better than that last one, if his debut was any indication.
#10 Tripoli Player if this one stays on the turf, as he has showed good finishing ability last time out when cutting back off route races. Looms late here.
Race Summary Cruel Intention should be tough on either surface, and now that we know he's a horse who can rate a bit and handle the turf, the options for winning trips becomes quite a bit larger.

Santa Anita - Race #2
Picks Notes
#2 Fenway Easily outworked Del Mar maiden winner Freedom Fighter in the final prep for this, and he moved quickly and easily in that drill, suggesting a forward trip awaits him from the fence.
#2 The Great One Woke up in a big way when trying two turns on dirt with blinkers, and he'll get Lasix for this one. He's the one to beat, but I'll make him prove it.
#4 Affable Another getting Lasix after chasing a guy who ran into buzzsaw winner Life is Good in the debut. Not sure the two-turn trip is going to line up as well for him as some others in here with serious route pedigrees.
Race Summary Fenway debuts for Baffert, so clearly he has a chance here, and there's nothing to argue with from his final work, available at XBTV.com

Santa Anita - Race #5
Picks Notes
#1 Smooth Rithms Not sure if she's good enough to land this, but she was repeatedly bothered in the lane last time out and still finished with a bit of punch late. Price will be right to see if she can save ground from the rail and finish.
#3 Luxury Liner Lands in another reasonable spot after a couple of wins, and he gets Lasix for his first start as a 3yo and looks like the one to beat.
#7 Respectfully Rolled with blinkers off last time out at Los Al, and a similar kind of effort would do the job here -- question is if you want what might turn into a short kind of number here.
Race Summary Smooth Rithms may be too slow for this group, but the price should be right to see if she is sitting on something a bit better than she was allowed to show last time out.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:57 PM
Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Freehold - Race #2
Picks Notes
#4 VERGEOFGREATNESS N In top form, went after odds-on fave on turn in upset win.
#1 BRICKYARD VELTIC No threat in split race that timed 2 seconds faster, can factor from rail.
#5 CHEEK THIS OUT Makes seasonal debut after 9/2-2-1 sophomore season.
Race Summary Vergeofgreatness N was an anxious third early, headed the 1-to-9 favorite on the final turn and prevailed in a stretch duel. Play 4-1 and 4-5 exactas.

Northfield Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#4 SWEET ROCKIN GIA Tons best in latest, wins if she stays flat.
#2 ITSNOTME ITSMEN Improved form of late, moves inside, completes exacta.
#9 TONEKA Late runner will have to pick up live cover from second-tier starting spot.
Race Summary Sweet Rockin Gia broke stride while on the lead into the first turn, picked up cover behind the winning favorite and stayed on willingly while 3-wide from the far turn to the finish. Play a 2-4 exacta box.

Northfield Park - Race #6
Picks Notes
#1 HEYTHERE LISAMARIE Pressured throughout in latest, can go non-stop on the class drop.
#2 FOOLISH TERROR Followed move of 7-1 winner, ran second off freshening.
#5 PRETTY SAMMIE Steady check-getter, gets class relief.
Race Summary Heythere Lisamarie worked to clear to the early lead, faced pressure from several rivals in the middle half and weakened late as the beaten favorite. She draws the rail on another class drop. Play 1-2 and 1-5 exactas.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:57 PM
Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #9
Picks Notes
#4 Thisismytime Solid in her last two, winning an allowance optional claiming race here at the Millions Preview at GPW; really kicking in lately and O'Connell has kept her sharp over the past two months.
#1 Dream Marie Much improved over her last three and was second in the G3 Rampart last out; could come charging at the seven-furlong distance.
#2 Cinnabunny Closed well for third in G3 Sugar Swirl in her first for Cox; legit chance with these.
Race Summary Thisismytime has several impressive races on her form, including her last two; chance engage early and should be tough to get past.

Gulfstream Park - Race #11
Picks Notes
#2 Breaking the Rules Didn't sustain his rally and held third in the G2 Fort Lauderdale; probably needed that one and is set to be a factor from the start.
#6 Largent Won four of his last five, including a win in the Fort Lauderdale; has a good closing move and will be tough to the end.
#5 Colonel Liam Was an easy winner in a sharp way in the Tropical Park Derby last out; can get a piece of it.
Race Summary Breaking the Rules came up a little short in his first one here and is likely to improve; well connected and ready to go.

Gulfstream Park - Race #12
Picks Notes
#1 Sleepy Eyes Todd Was exceptional in his last two, both at seven furlongs, but has been strong in two-turn races as well; showed a great desire to win through much of 2020 and is set for an effective campaign as a 5 year old.
#10 Code of Honor Was a good second in the G1 Clark to end 2020 and has been a terrific performer for much of his career; is only 1 of 5 this year but can get a favorable pace setup here.
#4 Knicks Go Has turned it around since moving to the Cox barn; has won his last three and is strong on the front end.
Race Summary Sleepy Eyes Todd just keeps running and winning and has developed in a top-flight campaigner; can dig in when challenged.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:57 PM
BATTAGLIA Daily Free Play :

AQUEDUCT
RACE 9

8-12-5-2 Rating 2 stars

#8 Winning Drive-ran a big race last out at this same level to finish second only 1 length behind a repeat winner. Trainer hit at a big 23% last year and Carmouche returns in the irons.

#12 It’s Hot Out-was claimed for 20k two starts back then missed by less than 5 last out for 40k. He drops to 10k today, which does not make a lot of sense but is the one to beat.

#5 Justin Front-showed good speed last out and missed by less than two in his best effort to date. He should be close from the start and this is a weak race.

#2 Tale of Mist-.03% winning trainer got a rare win yesterday with a long shot. This one has rallied to miss by less than three in his last two and finished just two lengths behind our top pick last out. Maybe lightning will strike again for trainer Persaud.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:58 PM
BATTAGLIA Daily Free Play :

GULFSTREAM PARK
RACE 5

1-2-6-8 Rating 2 stars

#1 Bodecream-has been at the top of his game since switching to the Maker barn four starts back. He missed by 2 in two straight graded stakes then missed by less than a length last out at The Fair Grounds. He has the speed to be close from the inside and J.Oritz takes the mount.

#2 Emaraaty-is coming off a 15 month layoff for trainer Brown who is hitting at 27% with his runners coming off a break. I.Oritz picks up the mount, this one is working well and is the one to beat.

#6 Silenced-is coming off a sharp wire to wire win in his first start here and will be a nice price.

#8 Winters Back-has gone wire to wire to win his last two in a row for Pletcher. Johnny picks up the mount and this one is improving with every start.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:58 PM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Tampa Bay Downs
PURCHASE
Tampa Bay Downs - Race 6

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 6-7-8) / Pick 5 ($.50 minimum) (Races 6-10) Super High 5


Starter Handicap $16,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 4 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 2:44P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES, FOUR-YEARS-OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $16,000 OR LESS IN 2020-21. PURSE $20,000 (INCLUDES $1,000 FROM FOA). WEIGHTS: TUESDAY, JANUARY 19, 2021. STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY THE USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. HIGH WEIGHTS PREFERRED. FREE NOMINATIONS CLOSED SUNDAY, JANUARY 17, 2021, WITH 15. CONDITION ELIGIBILITY.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. CLASSY OF COURSE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CLASSY OF COURSE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LUCY'S TOWN: Horse's win per centage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. EYE ON THE FINISH: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return o n investment is at least +20. POSTINO'S IDOL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
8
CLASSY OF COURSE
5/1

4/1
9
LUCY'S TOWN
5/2

6/1
1
EYE ON THE FINISH
10/1

9/1
2
POSTINO'S IDOL
4/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
8
CLASSY OF COURSE
8

5/1
Front-runner
87

89

86.2

84.8

79.8
2
POSTINO'S IDOL
2

4/1
Stalker
87

85

76.6

79.2

68.2
1
EYE ON THE FINISH
1

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
80

85

77.6

82.6

73.6
9
LUCY'S TOWN
9

5/2
Trailer
92

90

76.9

86.7

83.2
6
CARIBBEAN KITTEN
6

7/2
Trailer
87

92

70.3

75.8

66.8
5
MAGIC HATTER
5

8/1
Trailer
88

78

62.6

81.8

72.8
3
COLONELS DAUGHTER
3

10/1
Trailer
88

71

59.0

72.2

60.7
4
BETTYB
4

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
81

73

66.2

66.2

54.2
7
HOLLYWOOD TOMCAT
7

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
86

86

0.0

0.0

0.0

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:58 PM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park
PURCHASE
Laurel Park - Race 2

EXACTA &TRIFECTA / DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 2-3) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 2-3-4) / 50 cent PICK 4 (RACES 2-3-4-5) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5


Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4-5 • CR: 63 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 12:54
(PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR AND FIVE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $8,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * LUCKY LINDSEY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a la yoff. ALL ABOUT AUDREY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SCARLET'S SONG: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. THUNDERINTHEVALLEY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. LILY CHASER: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6
LUCKY LINDSEY
3/1

9/2
5
ALL ABOUT AUDREY
7/2

6/1
1
SCARLET'S SONG
7/2

8/1
7
THUNDERINTHEVALLEY
4/1

8/1
8
LILY CHASER
5/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
LUCKY LINDSEY
6

3/1
Front-runner
76

62

65.6

51.3

42.8
5
ALL ABOUT AUDREY
5

7/2
Front-runner
61

62

61.8

49.6

43.6
4
SUZZETTE STAR
4

15/1
Front-runner
61

55

61.0

43.7

36.2
7
THUNDERINTHEVALLEY
7

4/1
Stalker
63

48

51.8

53.0

48.0
8
LILY CHASER
8

5/1
Alternator/Stalker
81

60

63.7

51.3

41.8
1
SCARLET'S SONG
1

7/2
Alternator/Stalker
63

63

43.8

49.7

42.7
3
BROADWAY TROUPER
3

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
56

51

52.2

38.6

27.1








Unknown Running Style: CHELICHNA (15/1) [Jockey: Crispin Alexander - Trainer: Milosevic Milan].

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:59 PM
The WIZARD :

Paid Play
PEGASUS
Gulfstream Park

Race 12

# 7 to WIN
# 4,7 Exacta Box
# 2,4,7 Exacta Box
# 2,4,7/ 2,4,7/ 1,2,4,5,7,9,10,11 Trifecta

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 01:59 PM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Aqueduct - Race #6 - Post: 2:50pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $35,000 Class Rating: 64

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 FULL OF FIRE (ML=6/1)
#6 VIVE LA LIBERTY (ML=8/1)
#7 BLEY (ML=6/1)


FULL OF FIRE - I have to like this filly's winning probability at the shorter distance. Juarez and Noda partnered up are a handicapper's friend. Took a class drop last time around the track at Aqueduct. Noda keeps her at the same level in this event. I think that's a good move. Generally speaking, horses on Lasix for the first time should be considered. That's what we have here. VIVE LA LIBERTY - Looking at today's class figure, this racer is up against an easier field than last out at Aqueduct. Generally accepted handicapping angle - 3rd or 4th start after a layoff generally leads to a big effort. A live horse today. I know the barn is serious today. The filly gets Lasix for the first time. BLEY - Rodriguez, the trainer, shows intent by adding Lasix today. A positive sign.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 STELLA MARS (ML=2/1), #5 CAPTIVATING CARA (ML=3/1), #3 GUN HILL GIRL (ML=5/1),

STELLA MARS - Will be tough for this thoroughbred to beat this field off of that last speed fig. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put her on the likely underlays list. CAPTIVATING CARA - Earned her best speed fig last time around the track, but the track conditions may have played a major role in the outcome. GUN HILL GIRL - Not easy to bet on this entrant today. Make her show you something in a sprint event before you wager on her in a race of 6 furlongs. Couldn't make up any ground at any point on November 8th. Hard to play today at the expected odds.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - VIVE LA LIBERTY - Quick is putting the 'hood' on this one today. Serious business, deserves a serious wager.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #1 FULL OF FIRE to win if you can get odds of 3/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6,7] Total Cost: $6

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 02:00 PM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Trial - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 87

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. 124 LBS HORSES WHICH QUALIFY FOR THE FINALS MUST REMAIN ON THE GROUNDS UNTIL 48 HOURS AFTER THE FINALS HAVE RUN.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 AP A SPECIAL TAKEOFF 3/1

# 3 PROUD MOVIN RENEGADE 2/1

# 1 EASTERN SHORE 3/1

My selection in this competition is AP A SPECIAL TAKEOFF. Has run very well when running a short race. Overall the speed figures of this horse look respectable in this affair. This handler has the best return on investment in this group with entries racing at this distance and surface. PROUD MOVIN RENEGADE - Boasts solid Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when matched with the rest of this group. Will likely be one of the front-runners of the bunch going into the midpoint of the competition. EASTERN SHORE - This animal has a wonderful winning percentage in shorts. Should be used in the exotic bets.

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 02:00 PM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Turfway Park - Race #3 - Post: 7:16pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 58

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 SMOOTHIE (ML=3/1)


SMOOTHIE - Ranked number 1 in earnings per start (EPS). Another notice that this horse is the class of the race. Ran last time around the track against a better field at Churchill Downs. The move down the class scale should suit him well. Going on Lasix for the first time. While a familiar handicapping angle, it's still quite important when deciding on your contenders.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 ARTIE'S LADY (ML=7/2), #12 TOWN AGENDA (ML=7/2), #1 VENETIAN DREAM (ML=6/1),

ARTIE'S LADY - This colt hasn't had any strong efforts in short distance contests in the last couple of months. When examining today's Equibase class figure, he will have to record a better speed figure than last time out to battle in this dirt sprint. TOWN AGENDA - Finished fourth in his most recent effort with a substandard speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this group. VENETIAN DREAM - The extended time off will probably be too much for this less than sharp equine.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 SMOOTHIE to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 02:12 PM
Mike Wynn Free Pick: Utah -6½ over Golden St

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 02:13 PM
Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR LATE SATURDAY: ST BONAVENTURE -5 over Duquesne

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 02:13 PM
Totals4U Late Saturday's Free Selection: Missouri Tigers/Tennessee Volunteers under 131

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 02:14 PM
Roz Wins ROZ's SATURDAY, JANUARY 23, 2021
FREE
CBK
743. Pittsburgh -2.5 (3 PT / 6 ET)

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 02:14 PM
Atlantic Sports
Late Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Oregon Ducks - 9

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 02:15 PM
#1 Sports Late Saturday's Free Play: San Francisco Dons - 2 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 02:15 PM
Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: the Minnesota Timberwolves +7 over New Orleans

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 02:15 PM
Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play SATURDAY, January 23, 2021
FREE CBK
5* 642. Okla St +9 (11 PT / 2 ET)

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 02:16 PM
Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Late Saturday Selection Is
BYU -11½

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 02:16 PM
Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Saturday : Take ALABAMA -11 over Mississippi St

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 03:51 PM
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Fair Grounds




01/23/21, FG, Race 3, 1.58 CT
01/23/21,FG,3,1M [Turf About] 1:34:01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $46,000 (includes up to $4,000 Other Sources) (plus up to $4,000 ALBSS-Accredited LA Bred Slot Supplement). FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since December 23 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (Races Where Entered For $30,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile and 70 Yards.) (Rail at 9 feet).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
2
Magnetism
7/2
Beschizza A
Stidham Michael
EC
66
34.85
1.59/$1


097.7406
3
Killer Dress
9/2
Hernandez. Jr. B J
Stidham Michael
L
66
34.85
1.59/$1


097.2119
1
Princess d'Oro
15/1
Pedroza M
Flint Bernard S.
F
93
29.03
1.23/$1


097.0249
7
(F)Earth Strike (IRE)
3/1
Carroll D
Casse Mark E.
W
138
29.71
1.21/$1


096.0715
6
Risky Reward(b-)
5/1
Saez G
Walsh Brendan P.
S
66
34.85
1.59/$1


095.7105
5
Spun d'Etat
5/1
Graham J
Amoss Thomas M.
JT
211
35.07
1.12/$1


094.4784
4
Arm Candy
7/2
Murrill M
Asmussen Steven M.

66
34.85
1.59/$1


Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 27.78, ROI 0.89/$1
. . . .
100.0000 2 Magnetism
[Category]Condition
[AllTurf]LastRaceWeightIsEqualToToday
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
2
Magnetism
7/2
Beschizza A
Stidham Michael
EC
143
28.67
1.15/$1


099.5481
3
Killer Dress
9/2
Hernandez. Jr. B J
Stidham Michael
L
143
28.67
1.15/$1


098.3635
4
Arm Candy
7/2
Murrill M
Asmussen Steven M.

27
48.15
1.50/$1


098.2883
5
Spun d'Etat
5/1
Graham J
Amoss Thomas M.
JT
27
48.15
1.50/$1


098.1938
7
(F)Earth Strike (IRE)
3/1
Carroll D
Casse Mark E.
W
180
33.33
1.14/$1


096.6497
6
Risky Reward(b-)
5/1
Saez G
Walsh Brendan P.

180
33.33
1.14/$1


096.0614
1
Princess d'Oro
15/1
Pedroza M
Flint Bernard S.
F
180
33.33
1.14/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.19, ROI 0.89/$1
. . . .
100.0000 2 Magnetism
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]LastRaceIsNotSameSurfaceAsToday

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 03:52 PM
Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Saturday
Florida -6 College BB

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 03:53 PM
Hawkeye Sports Late Saturday's Free Pick: USC Trojans - 8 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 03:54 PM
Huddle Up Sports
Saturday Free Play:
Syracuse -1'

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 03:54 PM
Arthur Ralph

SAT NHL Tampa -165

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 04:06 PM
Teyas Sports FREE PICK 1/23 CBB CREIGHTON -7 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 04:07 PM
Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Saturday: USC -8½ over California

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 04:07 PM
High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Early Saturday: LaSalle Explorers + 14 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
01-23-2021, 04:07 PM
Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Saturday: Den OVER 218½