Saturday 1/30/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan Event: (226133) Wealdstone at (226134) Solihull Moors
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: January 30, 2021 10AM EST
Play: Wealdstone +346
System Play for Saturday.
Wealdstone are coming off four straight losses and enter Saturday's English National League game as big road outsiders against Solihull Moors.
The database shows us that road teams coming off a winless stretch of four or more straight games and priced up at +300 or above have been incredible value in the English National League over recent seasons.
Occurrences: 326
Units: +88.97
Yield: 27.29%
Take Wealdstone as big road underdogs on Saturday to get the win over Solihull Moors.
PLAY: WEALDSTONE ML +346

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Prez Event: (605) Clemson at (606) Duke
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: January 30, 2021 12PM EST
Play: Duke -5.0 (-110)
605 Clemson at 606 Duke -5, 134.5
Clemson is a perfect 0-4 against the number in their last four road games. As many negatives as there is for the Blue Devils this season today's game will find Duke for the first time completely healthy. The return of Jalen Johnson is big for the Blue Devils and they don't have to be an elite defense to contain the limited threat offensively that the Tigers present.

If you are from the school of thought that emotions run deep in college contests despite the lack of an audience then know that Duke's player personnel will be pumped for this game. If there was a matchup that presented Duke with the opportunity to earn the win and return to the path that makes them relevant in the ACC and NCAA Tourney it is today vs Clemson.

This isn't one of Coach K's best Duke groups but they don't have to be that to cover a handful of points at home.


Duke minus the five at Cameron Indoor is the play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tokyo Brandon Event: (757) Notre Dame at (758) Pittsburgh
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: January 30, 2021 8PM EST
Play: Total Over 143.5 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andy Lang Event: (509) Los Angeles Lakers at (510) Boston Celtics
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: January 30, 2021 8PM EST
Play: Jaylen Brown over 23.5 points
I'll take a shot with Jaylen Brown getting over his point total tonight. He's had a few days off and should be rested against the Lakers tonight who don't play good defense against guards. Brown has gotten over 23.5 points in 6 straight games, I'll take him to continue his scoring streak.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Red Dog Sports Jan 30 '21, 10:00 AM in 40m
Soccer | Aberdeen vs Livingston
Play on: Draw +216 at pinnacle

draw +216
Aberdeen 1
Livingston 1
The free soccer play takes place in Scotland on Saturday. I think we see a 1-1 score.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Jan 30 '21, 10:00 AM in 40m
Soccer | Swindon Town vs Hull City
Play on: Hull City -238 at BetCris

1* Free Sharp Play on Hull City -238

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jesse Schule Jan 30 '21, 10:00 AM in 40m
Soccer | Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Crystal Palace
Play on: UNDER 2 +105

This is a Free play on Under 2.5.
Wolverhampton is coming off a scoreless draw at Stamford Bridge, and it was their third clean sheet in five matches. They posted a clean sheet in a 1-0 win over Crystal Palace at home earlier this month, and each of the last five meetings between these two clubs have gone under 2.5 goals. Crystal Palace has not scored in three straight meetings versus Wolves, so we expect them to be quite conservative playing for a draw here in Saturday's match. In fact a draw would be a favorable result for both teams, so look for 1-1 or 0-0 at the final whistle.
GL,
Jesse Schule

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach Jan 30 '21, 10:00 AM in 40m
Soccer | Sheffield United vs Manchester City
Play on: OVER 3 -130

OVER 3 goals in Manchester City vs Sheffield United @ 10 AM ET - Of course Manchester City is at the top of the table with good reason and they have averaged scoring 3.5 goals per match their last 4 games. Facing the club, Sheffield United, at the bottom of the table, should certainly result in plenty of scoring for the hosts in this one. However, don't be surprised if the visitors get at least a goal here on enemy pitch. All of the sudden Sheffield United has been scoring more of late and their confidence has been growing as a result. They are off a shocking win over Manchester United and they have now scored an average of 1.8 goals per game their last 5 across all competitions. OVER 3 goals in Manchester City

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA, Inc. (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/asa-inc) - NCAAB - Sat, Jan 30 at 6:00 PM
ASA Free Pick Saturday CBB Kansas vs Tennessee
Kansas +2.5 (-102) (BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=220&des=4&AffUrlID=1314&LandingPageID=1))

ASA free play on: Kansas +2.5 over Tennessee - Tennessee will head into the matchup with Kansas on the heels of a 56-53 home win over the Mississippi State Bulldogs at home as a -9.5 favorite. Tennessee pulled off the win despite shooting just 37.0 percent from the field and hit only 3 of 19 shots from long distance. We are not overly impressed with the Vols body of work as their best home win came by just 5-points against Arkansas who is ranked significantly lower than this Kansas team. The Jayhawks are coming off a tough stretch of games with a 1-3 SU record but the three losses came at Oklahoma State, at Baylor and at Oklahoma who are all ranked 33rd or higher per KenPom. Despite playing the 3rd toughest schedule in college basketball the Jayhawks are 33rd in offensive efficiency and averaging 74.4PPG. KU has faced 4 defenses ranked in the top 15 in offensive efficiency and 8 in the top 40. The Vols are 297th in the nation in 3-point percentage defense so expect the Jayhawks to get plenty of wide-open looks in this Big12/SEC showdown. Tennessee is just 1-5 ATS their last six against a team with an above .500 record. Kansas was just a 1-point favorite at Oklahoma who rates similarly to Tennessee and now they are getting +2.5 here. Take the dog!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/jim-feist) - NBA - Sat, Jan 30 at 8:05 PM
Jim Feist's FREE NBA Winner, Sat, Jan 30 Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans
Houston Rockets 0 (-105) (BetOnline (https://record.commissionkings.ag/_mflJQWEiC-BqkvbhkiKqDGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/))

Houston Rockets working their way back to .500 as they have won four straight games to get back to 8-9 S/U and 7-10 ATS on the season. They are 5-11-1 O/U on the season. On the road, the Rockets are 3-5 S/U, 4-4 ATS and 4-4 O/U. The Rockets have been a good under team on 1 day rest, going 16-34-1 their last 55 times. New Orleans snapped a three game losing streak with a win last time against Washington, 124-106. Still, they are just 2-8 S/U and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. This team has struggled a lot of late and tonight they play a improving Rockets team. Your free play is on the Houston Rockets.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/ben-burns) - NHL - Sat, Jan 30 at 10:08 PM
Ben's ELITE FREE PLAY Vancouver Canucks vs Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg Jets -125 (BookMaker (https://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=21431_11431))

The Jets have absolutely owned the Canucks. In fact, they've beaten them 10 straight times. They didn't just beat them either. They beat them badly. The Jets outscored the Canucks by a combined 35-10 mark, over those 10 games. The Canucks scored one goal or less in eight of the games. Seven of the Jets' 10 wins came by multiple goals. While both teams can score, the Canucks allow a lot more goals. They've given up 36 in 10 games. Thats tied with Ottawa for the most allowed in the league. Consider Winnipeg.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Davis Jan 30 '21, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Clemson vs Duke
Play on: Clemson +6½ -106 at Draft Kings

Clemson is worth a look here. So Duke finally. won a game and were extremely luck to cover for those who did back back them. No thanks here as this team just isn't that good. Clemson snapped their 3 game skid with a nice win over Louisville. I think Clemson is the overall better team and Dukes defense is a big concern. The only Duke covers is if they shoot the lights out of it period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Ryan Jan 30 '21, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Alabama vs Oklahoma
Play on: Oklahoma +2 -110 at linepros

Alabama vs Oklahoma
Saturday, January 30, 2021
3% Best Bet on the Oklahoma Sooners -1.5 points
Betting on favorites, like Oklahoma, who have beaten the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last seven games and now facing an opponent that has beaten the spread by 50 or more points over their last ten games has eanred a spectacular 29-6 ATS record good for 83% winning bets in games played over the last five seasons.
Alabama has won ten straight games, but are just 6-22 ATS after six or more consecutive wins.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Jan 30 '21, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Alabama vs Oklahoma
Play on: Oklahoma +1½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Pick on Oklahoma +1½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart Jan 30 '21, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Texas A&M vs Kansas State
Play on: Kansas State +1½ -109 at Draft Kings

My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

Kansas State was thoroughly embarrassed last time out vs Baylor losing by a ugly 48 point margin on 57.7 % shooting. Now looking for some redemption I expect Kansas State to deliver a very motivated effort and subsequent win in this battle of struggling programs.
KANSAS ST is 11-2 ATS L/13 in home games after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher .

TEXAS A&M is 0-6 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Kansas State to cover

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Jan 30 '21, 1:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Providence vs Georgetown
Play on: Providence -4 -110 at Mirage

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Providence -4
The Providence Friars have been through the gauntlet by playing the toughest schedule in the Big East to this point. Now they are finally starting to get some very winnable games and I expect them to continue taking full advantage.
The Friars are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall. They beat Butler by 16, lost to Creighton by 2, upset Creighton as double-digit road dogs, only lost at Xavier by 1, led Villanova on the road as a double-digit dog at halftime, and topped Marquette 72-63 last time out. Those results show Providence can hang with anyone in the Big East.
Now the Friars get to face one of the worst teams in the conference today in Georgetown. The Hoyas are just 1-5 in conference play this season with their only win coming against St. John's in overtime. They will definitely be rusty today as they have been off since January 9th due to a COVID break in the program. That lack of activity certainly won't help them here against a Providence team playing its best basketball of the season.
The Friars won both meetings with the Hoyas last season by 16 at home and by 10 on the road. Providence is 18-9 ATS in its last 27 conference games. The Hoyas are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games following a game where they had 5 or fewer offensive rebounds. Bet Providence Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero



Camarero - Race 1

Exacta / Daily Double 1-2



Allowance • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 74 • Purse: $15,200 • Post: 2:45P


FOR NATIVE THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 30, 2020 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 30, 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. COMPENSADOR is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * COMPENSADOR: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race withi n the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.



4

COMPENSADOR

1/1


4/5
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

COMPENSADOR

4


1/1

Front-runner

45


68


67.3


64.5


60.5




2

EL MANA

2


5/1

Alternator/Trailer

0


0


38.0


30.2


26.7




3

EL DEMOLEDOR

3


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


36.5


19.7


13.7




1

SOY PUERTORIQUENO

1


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0























Unknown Running Style: EL ATOMO (10/1) [Jockey: Carrasquillo Edwin - Trainer: Lozada Wesley R].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)



Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 2

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager $1 Pick Three



Claiming $4,000 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 6:28P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2021. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (MAIDEN RACES AND RACES FOR $3,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Trailer. EARLE GRAY is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * CAPTAIN N. BARRON: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days . DREAM ON BROTHER: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. SADDLE BAR: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. TOMASINO: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. BOUNTY HUNTER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



4

CAPTAIN N. BARRON

4/1


5/1




2

DREAM ON BROTHER

2/1


6/1




3

SADDLE BAR

3/1


7/1




6

TOMASINO

8/1


9/1




1

BOUNTY HUNTER

5/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




2

DREAM ON BROTHER

2


2/1

Front-runner

82


81


94.7


77.8


71.8




3

SADDLE BAR

3


3/1

Front-runner

85


86


77.4


80.0


75.5




6

TOMASINO

6


8/1

Front-runner

86


84


70.4


76.8


69.3




4

CAPTAIN N. BARRON

4


4/1

Stalker

88


82


73.5


80.4


75.9




5

PAPA CABALLERO

5


5/1

Alternator/Stalker

77


80


78.6


76.2


63.7




1

BOUNTY HUNTER

1


5/1

Alternator/Stalker

87


88


78.0


71.6


60.6




7

EARLE GRAY

7


20/1

Trailer

85


84


58.6


73.0


64.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 95

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, FOR EACH $2,000 TO $16,000 2 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 R MAN JOE 5/1




# 3 SOVEREIGN WARRIOR 6/1




# 4 NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) 5/1




R MAN JOE has a quite good shot to take this race. Trainer has strong win rate (26 percent) at this distance and surface. Has been running soundly and has among the top speed in the race for today's distance. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Lopez will most likely have this gelding in excellent position to win the contest. SOVEREIGN WARRIOR - In this field, this one is at the top in earnings per start in turf sprint events. Has some encouraging angles which make this one a play. NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) - Garnered a very good speed figure last time out. The average class rating alone makes this entrant a definite contender.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Turfway Park - Race #1 - Post: 6:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 59

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#8 MOONLIGHT DANCING (ML=5/2)
#13 MIDNIGHT CLASS (ML=8/1)


MOONLIGHT DANCING - The Dec 17th contest at Turfway Park was at a class level of (71). Dropping down the ladder based on class rating points considerably, so she should be in a good spot. I have to like this filly's chances at the shorter trip. The recent bullet 36.0 work should put this filly on track for today's race. MIDNIGHT CLASS - Don't often see a lucrative return on investment like +110. This rider/handler twosome has done well together over the last twelve months. This horse comes out of a excellent barn for 1st timers. Ennis has a very solid ROI (+69 percent). Ennis is giving this one Lasix for the 1st time. I like it.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 OSPREY COURT (ML=7/2), #3 STORM THE SAZERAC (ML=5/1), #5 RONAN (ML=5/1),

OSPREY COURT - This animal likes to hit the board, but doesn't usually get the job done. Leave out of the top spot. Tough to back since I think a 'performance bounce' is in the works this time around. STORM THE SAZERAC - This horse just hasn't looked fit lately. RONAN - You always think this animal has a shot to be victorious, but she just misses often. Notched a run-of-the-mill fig last time out in a $6,250 Maiden Claiming race on December 19th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that rating.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#8 MOONLIGHT DANCING is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [8,13]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sam Houston

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $36000 Class Rating: 74

FOR MAIDENS, FOUR AND FIVE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 123 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 EXTREME FORCE 9/5




# 3 AMERICAN CODE 6/5




# 7 THEPERFECTSAMURAI 12/1




I back EXTREME FORCE here. Likely to see a much improved performance with the drop. With a reliable 70 average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. Difficult to pass on this colt with Elliott in the irons. AMERICAN CODE - Will make a good outing versus this field of horses. Appears to have a quite good class edge based on the latest company kept. THEPERFECTSAMURAI - Ought to be carefully examined - I like the figs from the last contest. His earnings per start in dirt sprint events alone makes you take a look at him.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park



01/30/21, OP, Race 8, 4.40 CT
01/30/21,OP,8,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 STAKES. American Beauty Stakes. Purse $150,000. FILLIES AND MARES, FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. No nomination fee. $500 to pass the entry box and $1,000 additional to start. Supplementary nominations may be made by the closing time of entries at a fee of $2,000 which qualifies to start with $150,000 Guaranteed of which 60% to the Owner of the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 5% to fourth, 3% to fifth and 2% divided equally among all other starters. WEIGHTS: 122 lbs. Non-winners of $50,000 since September 30, 2020 allowed 3 lbs.; $35,000 since September 30, 2020 allowed 5 lbs.; $25,000 since August 30, 2020 allowed 7 lbs. (Maiden and Claiming races not considered in allowances). In Allowance Stakes starting preference will be given to horses that have accumulated the highest earnings. Starters to be named through the entry box by the usual time of closing. The Owner of the winner to receive a trophy. Nominations closed Thursday, January 14, 2021 with 22 nominations.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
9
Lady's Island
9/2
Cabrera D
Baxter Georgina
TL
147
31.29
1.48/$1


098.6691
1
French Empire
10/1
Gonzalez E
Contreras Cipriano
SF
147
31.29
1.48/$1


098.5089
5
Wildwood's Beauty
6/1
Rocco. Jr. J
Becker Scott
WC
147
31.29
1.48/$1


098.4480
3
Magic Dance
8/1
Santana. Jr. R
Asmussen Steven M.


147
31.29
1.48/$1


098.3080
6
Amy's Challenge
3/1
Arrieta F
Robertson McLean
J
147
31.29
1.48/$1


097.4890
7
Frank's Rockette
2/1
Geroux F
Mott William I.
E
147
31.29
1.48/$1


096.8027
2
Shesomajestic
12/1
Vazquez R A
Ortiz John Alexander


147
31.29
1.48/$1


087.5742
4
Sunny Dale
10/1
Garcia M
Hollendorfer Jerry


147
31.29
1.48/$1


086.8272
8
Best Kept Secret
20/1
Harr K
Cline Robert N.


147
31.29
1.48/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 25.69, ROI 0.92/$1
. . . .
100.0000 9 Lady's Island
[Category]Condition
[DirtNot_MdnMClm]RacePurseGreaterThan$50K

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Race of the Week: San Pasqual Stakes at Santa Anita

January 27, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

$200,000 GRADE 2 SAN PASQUAL AT SANTA ANITA
Saturday, January 30, 2021

The Lead:
The road to the March 6 Santa Anita Handicap picks up passengers on what's expected to be a drying-out Saturday at the Great Race Place. Expect the main track to be heavy after several inches of rain was to have dumped on Arcadia between Thursday and Friday. That will put the San Pasqual Stakes competitors on stamina alert over 1-1/8 miles.

​Field Depth:
Florida invader KING GUILLERMO is the only graded stakes winner in the field, and the Grade 2 winner also is Grade 1-placed. EXPRESS TRAIN is Grade 1-placed, while Grade 2-placed runners include IDOL and ZESTFUL. TIZAMAGICIAN has placed at the Grade 3 level. The class edge goes to KING GUILLERMO.

Pace:
ZESTFUL has made the early lead in 9 of his last 10 starts, while TIZAMAGICIAN has led in his last 3 from the outset and begins from the rail. Expect those inside-outside runners to leave quickly. KING GUILLERMO also figures to be part of the early pace. IDOL and EXPRESS TRAIN will try to pick them up from the back markers.

Our Eyes:
KING GUILLERMO burst onto the scene last March in a 49-1 Tampa Bay Derby upset that looked like no fluke. He solidified that when a solid second to Nadal in the Arkansas Derby before things got curious. His connections wanted to train up to the Kentucky Derby off 4 months of just works, but the colt missed the target race with a reported fever. Boldly spotted on paper in December's Grade 1 Cigar Mile, he dueled and backed up on a wet track against what was a historically weak renewal of that race. He's had 4 January workouts perfectly spaced at his Gulfstream Park base back in Florida before traveling west. Which KING GUILLERMO do we get? From what I've seen in workout videos at XBTV.com, he's breaking off fast and eager in his works and finishing up slower. That kind of style could get him cooked in the pace here over what should be very tiring footing. I'll work against him.

IDOL has quickly advanced since his September debut at Churchill Downs and has taken up residence in Southern California since late November. The Curlin colt is a homeboy now after a good second in the Grade 2 San Antonio on Santa Anita's opening day Dec. 26. I like how he let the race come to him after easing into stride and how smooth he was down the backstretch. IDOL was in tight along the rail through the stretch and the winner came 4-wide to catch him off guard. Once he saw the oncoming rival, he jumped into the bit and galloped out past him with promise.

EXPRESS TRAIN comes off a distant second to superstar Charlatan in the Grade 1 Malibu against age-restricted company. He's yet to take on elder stakes runners, but hasn't misfired in any of his 6 dirt attempts. He'll get pace to rally into and should be finishing up well with a run-all-day pedigree and style. He broke his maiden by 14 lengths when moving from sprint-to-route in 2019 like he'll attempt in this spot.

TIZAMAGICIAN has always struck me as a major stakes player, but he didn't develop the way I had expected. Patient trainer Richard Mandella finally had him on his game at the end of the 2020 Del Mar summer meet, and he's held his form since. He won a fast-paced race wire-to-wire on Labor Day, and a slow-paced race wire-to-wire most recently Jan. 2. So he doesn't need a dawdling pace to succeed; but the tempo Saturday should be hotly contested. He'll need to run the race of his life, one he has hinted is possible, in order to put away the early challenges and be victorious.

ZESTFUL certainly isn't short of stamina, leading most of the way in the 2019 Marathon on Breeders' Cup weekend 2019. He doesn't have to negotiate 1-3/4 miles here, but his style (even going a mile in allowance company last time) doesn't change: he'll go for the lead early and try to take them as far as he can. This looks like a big hill to scale.

Most Certain Exotics Contender: IDOL has a big run over the track and sits a perfect trip.

​Best Longshot Exotics Contender: With a small field size, prices aren't expected.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll): $65 exacta IDOL over EXPRESS TRAIN; $35 exacta IDOL over TIZAMAGICIAN.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AI Picks for Saturday's Kentucky Derby Preps

January 29, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Saturday’s road to the Triple Crown winds through Gulfstream Park and Santa Anita for the Grade 3 Holy Bull and Grade 3 Robert B. Lewis Stakes. The premier 3-year-old preps will provide a distance test for some and a class test for all. To help you decipher the contenders, the app’s artificial intelligence handicapping has been provided to give projections on each horse in the Holy Bull and Lewis.

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Gulfstream Park // Race 11 // Grade 3 Holy Bull Stakes // 4:50 pm ET

#6 Prime Factor // 25%W // 43%P // 58%S
#7 Greatest Honour // 19%W // 38%P // 50%S
#4 Amount // 13%W // 28%P // 41%S
#8 Sittin On Go // 11%W // 21%P // 29%S
#2 Willy Boi // 10%W // 22%P // 40%S
#9 Awesome Gerry // 8%W // 16%P // 27%S
#1 Jirafales // 5%W // 11%P // 18%S
#3 Papetu // 5%W // 11%P // 18%S
#5 Tarantino // 5%W // 11%P // 18%S

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Santa Anita Park // Race 7 // Grade 3 Robert B. Lewis Stakes // 6:37 pm ET

#3 Parnelli // 26%W // 44%P // 61%S
#8 Spielberg // 20%W // 39%P // 53%S
#4 Hot Rod Charlie // 13%W // 30%P // 44%S
#2 Rombauer // 12%W // 22%P // 31%S
#1 Medina Spirit // 10%W // 23%P // 43%S
#5 Roman Centurian // 9%W // 17%P // 29%S
#6 Waspirant // 5%W // 12%P // 20%S
#7 Wipe the Slate // 5%W // 12%P // 20%S

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Eddie Olczyk’s Saturday Spot Plays: January 30

January 29, 2021 | By Eddie Olczyk

NBC Sports handicapper Eddie Olczyk turns his attention for a pair of key Saturday bets to Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Ark. Follow Edzo’s plays each week

Oaklawn Park

Race 6 // 4:38 pm ET // allowance // 6 furlongs

#5 Many Sweet Treats (10-1 ML)

Lots of value to be found in this state-bred race. Many Sweet Treats runs hard every time and can be tactical in terms of pace. Notice that she was claimed for $15k last time out in open company at Remington Park. I believe she has been aimed for, and waiting to run against, her own kind in this Arkansas-bred spot. Win-place and a daily double bet with my spot play in the next race.

Oaklawn Park

Race 7 // 5:09 pm ET // maiden claiming // 6 furlongs

#12 Shes Got It (5-1 ML)

Honor Code filly will get plenty of pace to run at from her outside post position. Her initial try in November at Churchill Downs was a very good run. I like how her trainer, Wayne ‘The Cat’ Catalano, protects this filly in this start, waiving the claiming tag; I will take that as a great sign. Win bet.

Good luck this weekend!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Late Pick 4 Analysis

January 30, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia

The Meadowlands has a 14-race card on tap for this evening. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 10 and it will be my focus. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout.

Last night the drivers with the hottest hands in East Rutherford were Todd McCarthy and Simon Allard with 3 winners each. Jeff Cullipher was the leading trainer with 2 trips to the winner's circle.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

5-Decision Day (8-1)-In sharp from, dops to a more comfortable level and Callahan steers again. Likes the Big M winning of 8 of 40 and has hit the board in 13 other starts. Looks like a solid threat with this post draw.
6-Repect Our Flag (10-1)-Price shot is worth a swing making 3rd consecutive start, for team Joe-Bo/Jen Bo, and that hasn't happened in almost 2 months. Regular pilot is at the controls and will look for an aggressive steer.
7-Western Fame (9/2)-Did make 1st Big M appearance this meet in last and was in the hunt racing near the top of the stack until fading down the lane. Does have good gate speed and Stratton may use it and get close-up seat. Looks like a player at a square price.

Race 11

1-Cinnamack (12-1)-The Auciello barn hasn't been as effective as it is in Canada, but I have seen this movie before. Drops, draws inside, should be forwardly placed and has beaten better than this crew. Dunn steers and that shouldn't hurt.
2-Another Daily Copy (6-1)-Hasn't raced since 11/21 but did qualify nicely on 1/23 and fits. Has had success here making 29% of lifetime starts at the Big M. Scotty Z was driving #5 and will add points for this being his choice. Could take a photo if fires hot off the bench.
6-Ollies's Ztam (5-1)-Gingras got on the engine last week and may have received too much respect. This won't be as easy but has won 3 of 14 starts in East Rutherford and there aren't any monsters in this field.

Race 12

1-Brigadoon (3-1)-Should relish the post relief and looks like a player but will need the right trip. Has the pilot who could use a well-timed move to sweep by. Doesn't win often (1-20), but Dunn steers and could be over bet.
3-Rock On Line (7/2)-Winner of 2 straight is back at the Big M. Normally looking for 3 in a row at this level would be something to fade for me. But has had success here and if Allard can work an alert start this 7-year-old could trip out for a 3-peat.
5-Ruthless Dude (10-1)-Comes off 2 even efforts on smaller ovals and has hit the board in 4 of 8 starts here including 2 wins. Shows good speed at M1 and TMac has options from this post.

Race 13

5-Warrawee Unique (3-1)-Dropped and took control last week and was able to set soft fractions. This will be the 3rd start off the bench and could dial it up off the last win. Burke trainee has won 3 of 13 at M1 and it's best to not overlook.
7-Barbados (15-1)-This post draw isn't great but has started from post 9 in the last 2 starts. My guess is the pace should be lively and could be the best finisher in the field.
8-Saying Grace N (5-1)-One of a couple of Cullipher trainee's in this group and he had a 2 wins last night. Grace has shown good speed in the last 2 races. The start will be key, and Allard will probably blast out. Has a big shot if the trip is friendly and should be a solid price.

0.50 Late Pick 4

5,6,7/1,2,6/1,3,5/5,7,8
Total Bet=$40.50

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 1/30/21

January 30, 2021

Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies

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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


Click to view today’s Santa Anita Workout Report


RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Bossy Mama; 4-Our Little Tiger; 7-Ensleys Dream

Forecast: Bossy Mama has trained like a quick filly and if she leaves with her field the daughter of Street Boss could take this field of straight maiden state-bred 3-year-old fillies a very long way. She breezed three furlongs in a blistering :33 flat last year at the OBS April Sale (after which she brought $52,000 through the ring) and she’s displayed similar early zip in recent workouts leading up her racing debut. However, the Cal-bred daughter of Street Boss has had difficulty changing leads, and if she doesn’t switch over when set down for the drive the final furlong might prove worrisome. Our Little Tiger wound up a disappointing fifth in a similar affair on grass two weeks ago but her dirt works showed promise so we suspect she might be more effective on the main track. The daughter of Smiling Tiger should be doing her best work from off the pace, and at 6-1 on the morning line is worth using in rolling exotic play. Ensleys Dream, in the frame in all three of her starts as a 2-year-old, makes her first p.m. appearance since November and gets Lasix, F. Prat and a cozy outside draw. Her speed figures are just average and she’s lost ground from the furlong pole to the wire in each of her outings but with the addition of Lasix today the B. Koriner-trained filly may be able to finish a little better.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: C+
Use: 1-Tiz Toffee; 2-Canadian Ginger

Forecast: Tiz Toffee is a winner of her last six starts but was a voided claim when last seen in early September and was stopped on. The veteran mare returns at a higher level than she was competing for – a confident sign – and as a three-time winner over the Santa Anita main track the daughter of Sidney’s Candy will be hard to beat if she’s fit and ready for a low profile but highly-capable outfit. Canadian Ginge is the one to fear most. A winner at this same $20,000 claiming price at Los Alamitos last month, the daughter of Flatter and can take heat and dish and it out, and certainly can win if she fires her best shot. The two main contenders are tough to separate but because both are projected to be short prices we’ll double the race in rolling exotic play but otherwise sit it out.
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RACE 3: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: C+
Use: 5-Twirling Derby; 7-Full Draw

Forecast: This bottom-rung maiden $20,000 main track miler for older horses doesn’t offer much to work with. Twirling Derby, a 10-race maiden, has finished second in each of his last three outings and not much improvement will be needed to earn his diploma, though at 2-1 on the morning line he’s not going to offer much value. Full Draw finished more than three lengths behind ‘Derby when they met here a couple of weeks ago over seven furlongs, but the son of Union Rags should improve at today’s longer distance. In another race that might otherwise be best left alone, both are worth inclusion in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:01 PT Grade: X
Use: 2-This Tea; 3-Lookintogeteven

Forecast: This Tea, listed at 4/5 on the morning line, has been stuck on seconds in her last four starts but might finally be able to break through in this main track dirt miler for older fillies and mares. The daughter of Curlin earned a huge speed figure when a distant second to future stakes star As Time Goes By in a similar affair two weeks ago and anything close that effort today lands her in the winner’s circle. Lookintogeteven, a 10-race maiden, finished an okay third in her only prior outing on the main track so perhaps this daughter of Ghostzapper will appreciate the return to dirt. She likes to lag and then finish a bit and if the pace comes up decent, she could make some noise late.
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RACE 5: Post: 2:33 PT Grade: B+
Single: 2-Idol

Forecast: Idol is lightly-raced, improving, and ready to take his place among the best older horses on the West Coast. The son of Curlin, an excellent runner-up in the San Antonio S.-G2 opening day, has trained extremely well since and should thoroughly enjoy today’s longer nine furlong trip. With enough tactical speed to always be within range and the ability to kick home when called upon, the R. Baltas-trained colt appears set to take his game to a new level so at 9/5 on the morning line he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:05 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Speed Pass; 3-Loud Mouth

Forecast: Loud Mouth, a respectable fourth in the Cal Cup Sprint two weeks ago, returns to the second level allowance ranks and projects to enjoy an ideal stalking trip and then have every chance to wear down the likely front-runner Speed Pass close home. The quick turnaround is of some concern, but the son of Boisterous, a two-time winner over the Santa Anita main track and very consistent in the speed figure department, retains regular rider A. Cedillo and can be counted on to fire another big shot. Speed Pass, away for almost a year, is the quickest in the field and will take this group as far as he can on the front end. The son of Bodemeister has a history of firing fresh for a barn that hits with a strong 21% with come-backers, so with J. Rosario taking the call we’re anticipating that this B. Baffert-trained gelding will get loose on the lead and be dangerous.
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RACE 7: Post: 3:37 PT Grade: B+
Use: 1-Medina Spirit; 4-Hot Rod Charlie

Forecast: Medina Spirit followed a sharp debut maiden win at Los Alamitos in December with an even more impressive performance when second to his highly-regarded stable mate Life Is Good in the Sham S.-G3 earlier this month, closing resolutely to be beaten less than a length while 13 lengths clear of the rest in an extremely fast, highly-rated race. The son of the first crop Giant’s Causeway stallion Protonico has returned to work smartly in the interim, so we’re expecting a similar performance, perhaps even better. From the rail he can secure a ground-saving, stalking trip and then have dead aim when the pressure gets turned on. Hot Rod Charlie, 94-1 in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile after breaking his maiden over this track during the fall season, left that form behind with a superior runner-up effort behind champion Essential Quality and is another that has trained impressively since to expect another forward move today. The son of Oxbow switches to J. Rosario and it wouldn’t be surprising if he gave ‘Spirit with a serious challenge. We’ll give Medina Spirit the edge on top but use both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:09 PT Grade: C+
Use: 3-Cousin Eddie; 9-Sabuda; 12-Gabby Hayes

Forecast: The finale is a wide-open maiden claimer for 3-year-olds and requires a spread in rolling exotic play. Use as many as your budget allows. Sabuda and Gabby Hayes, three-four finishers in a much tougher maiden special weight state-bred sprint just eight days ago, meet again on the class drop and both should be highly competitive. The former has good early speed and should stick much better against this group while the latter projects to enjoy a stalking trip outside and then have a chance to make his presence felt from the quarter pole home. Cousin Eddie, a first-timer at 15-1 on the morning line, represents stranger danger from the R. Ellis barn. The son of Eddington has shown a bit of ability in a.m. trials for a stable whose first-timers often run much better than they work. Beware.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jon White's Holy Bull & Robert B. Lewis Picks

January 27, 2021 | By Jon White

Kentucky Derby points will be up for grabs this Saturday in both Florida and California when the Holy Bull Stakes is presented at Gulfstream Park and the Robert B. Lewis Stakes is run at Santa Anita Park.

The Holy Bull is a Grade III race at 1 1/16 miles, as is the Lewis. Nine are entered in the Holy Bull. The Lewis has drawn a field of eight.

My Holy Bull selections are below:

1. Greatest Honour
2. Prime Factor
3. Amount
4. Papetu

Greatest Honour, trained by Hall of Famer Shug McGaughey, lost his first three career starts before winning a Dec. 26 maiden race by 1 1/2 lengths at Gulfstream. The colt is a Kentucky-bred son of Tapit and Tiffany’s Honour.

Tiffany’s Honour, a daughter of Street Cry (sire of the great Zenyatta), is a half-sister to a pair of winners of the Grade I Belmont Stakes in Jazil and Rags to Riches. One can only hope that Rags to Riches, who was voted a 2007 Eclipse Award as champion 3-year-old filly, takes her rightful place in the Hall of Fame this year. Todd Pletcher, the trainer of Rags to Riches, is a cinch to go into the Hall of Fame this year in his first year of eligibility.

Speaking of Pletcher, he trains Prime Factor, who turned a six-furlong maiden contest into no contest with his 8 3/4-length triumph when unveiled Dec. 12 at Gulfstream. The Kentucky-bred Quality Road colt is being asked to race around two turns for the first time this Saturday.

Pletcher also has Amount entered in the Holy Bull. The Kentucky-bred Curlin colt won a maiden race by 5 3/4 lengths at first asking Dec. 26 at Gulfstream.

Papetu is coming off a second in Gulfstream’s Mucho Macho Man on Jan. 2 for trainer Antonio Sano. The Mucho Macho Man winner, Mutasaabeq, was supposed to have run in the Holy Bull, but he must miss the race after he emerged from his sharp four-furlong workout in :47.37 last Saturday at Palm Beach Downs with what Pletcher has characterized as a setback.

My Lewis selections are below:

1. Medina Spirit
2. Hot Rod Charlie
3. Roman Centurian
4. Spielberg

Medina Spirit’s 99 is the best last-race Beyer Speed Figure by far of the Lewis entrants. The Florida-bred Protonico colt recorded that figure when he finished second, three-quarters of a length behind Life Is Good, in Santa Anita’s Grade III Sham Stakes on Jan. 2. In his only previous start, Medina Spirit won a Dec. 11 maiden race by three lengths at Los Alamitos when receiving a 76 Beyer.

I like Hot Rod Charlie’s improved form since blinkers were added to his equipment. In his first three starts, all losses, Hot Rod Charlie’s Beyer Speed Figures were 51, 56 and 57. With blinkers, Hot Rod Charlie won an Oct. 2 maiden race at Santa Anita and recorded a 78 Beyer, then ran second at odds of 94-1 in the Grade I Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at Keeneland on Nov. 6. His BC Juvenile figure was a 94.

Doug O’Neill trains Hot Rod Charlie, a Kentucky-bred son of 2013 Preakness Stakes winner Oxbow. O’Neill has won the Kentucky Derby with I’ll Have Another in 2012 and Nyquist in 2016.

O’Neill also is represented in the Lewis by Wipe the Slate. In his career debut, the Kentucky-bred Nyquist colt finished a distant second to Life Is Good in a Nov. 22 maiden race at Del Mar. Wipe the Slate then won a maiden race by 3 1/4 lengths at Santa Anita on Dec. 26.

When Life Is Good and Wipe the Slate ran one-two on Nov. 22, Roman Centurian finished fourth. Roman Centurian then improved dramatically to win a Jan. 3 maiden race at 1 1/16 miles by 3 3/4 lengths at Santa Anita for trainer Simon Callaghan. As good as Roman Centurian looked in his maiden victory, he could make a lot of noise in the Lewis.

Spielberg, trained by Hall of Famer Bob Baffert, is coming off a nose victory in the Grade II Los Alamitos Futurity. That performance subsequently was flattered when the runner-up, The Great One, won a maiden race by 14 lengths at Santa Anita last Saturday.

CADDO RIVER MAKES A SPLASH ON DERBY TOP 10

Caddo River debuts on my Kentucky Derby Top 10 this week all the way up at No. 3 following his dominant victory last Friday in which he won Oaklawn Park’s one-mile Smarty Jones Stakes by 10 1/4 lengths as the 3-5 favorite.

Trained by Brad Cox, Caddo River recorded a 77 Beyer when second at first asking in a maiden sprint last Sept. 5 at Saratoga. That was followed by an 87 Beyer when the runner-up at Belmont Park on Oct. 11 in another maiden sprint.

In Caddo River’s final 2020 start, he posted an 83 Beyer when he won a one-mile maiden race Nov. 15 at Churchill Downs by 9 1/2 lengths. He was credited with a 92 Beyer for his Smarty Jones tour de force.

According to Cox, Oaklawn’s Grade II Rebel Stakes on March 13 is likely to be Caddo River’s next start, followed by Oaklawn’s Grade I Arkansas Derby on April 10, then the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 1.

Caddo River races for John Ed Anthony’s Shortleaf Stable. When racing as Loblolly Stable, Anthony won the Arkansas Derby in 1980 with Temperence Hill and in 1992 with Pine Bluff.

Hard Spun, runner-up to Street Sense in the 2007 Kentucky Derby, is Caddo River’s sire.

Lecomte winner Midnight Bourbon exits my Kentucky Derby Top 10 this week to make room for Caddo River.

This is my current Kentucky Derby Top 10:

1. Essential Quality
2. Life Is Good
3. Caddo River
4. Concert Tour
5. Prime Factor
6. Hot Rod Charlie
7. Keepmeinmind
8. Medina Spirit
9. Senor Buscador
10. Jackie’s Warrior

AN EARLY 2021 THOROUGHBRED TOP 10

The first polls of 2021 conducted by the National Thoroughbred Racing Association (NTRA) are not far away. A final determination has not been made yet, but the first NTRA polls of 2021 likely will be on Feb. 17, according to Alicia Hughes, director of NTRA communications.

The NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll will end on the Monday following the Breeders’ Cup. That means this year the final poll will be on Nov. 7 following the Breeders’ Cup at Del Mar on Nov. 5-6.

The NTRA Top 3-Year-Old Poll will end on the Monday following the Grade I Belmont Stakes. That means this year the final poll is scheduled for June 7 following the June 5 Belmont Stakes.

These rankings are indicative of who might be crowned a divisional champion and, moreover, Horse of the Year. The rankings are based on votes cast by members of the media who regularly cover Thoroughbred racing. The voters select their Top 10 choices on a 10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1 points basis.

Horses are to have raced at least once in North America. A horse who may have retired during the current calendar year remains eligible. Additionally, a horse can receive a vote even though the horse has not made a start in the new calendar year so long as the said horse is scheduled to race in the new calendar year.

As a longtime voter in the NTRA polls, I went ahead and decided how I would have voted in the Top Thoroughbred Poll if there had been one this week. Here is my Top 10:

1. Knicks Go
2. Charlatan
3. Monomoy Girl
4. Swiss Skydiver
5. Essential Quality
6. Gamine
7. Channel Maker
8. Whitmore
9. Colonel Liam
10. Jesus’ Team

Below was the final NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll for 2020:

Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

1. 355 Authentic (34)
2. 311 Improbable (2)
3. 309 Monomoy Girl (1)
4. 132 Vekoma
5. 111 Swiss Yodeler
6. 107 Tiz the Law
7. 104 Gamine
8. 100 Rushing Fall
9. 97 Whitmore
10. 82 Maximum Security

Also receiving votes: Knicks Go (76 points), Global Campaign (59), Tom’s d’Etat (41), Midnight Bisou (31), Channel Maker (22), By My Standards (20), Essential Quality (10), Code of Honor (9), Serengeti Empress (9), Tacitus (8), Glass Slippers (7), Happy Saver (6), Vequist (5), Volatile (5), Tarnawa (5), Uni (3), United (2), Nashville (2), C Z Rocket (2), Mo Forza (2), Mystic Guide (1), Starship Jubilee (1), Golden Pal (1).

FAVORED KNICKS GO WINS PEGASUS WORLD CUP

Seizing the lead at once, 6-5 favorite Knicks Go essentially told his 11 foes in last Saturday’s 1 1/8-mile Pegasus World Cup Invitational at Gulfstream Park to “catch me if you can.”

They could not.

When Knicks Go reached the eighth pole with a three-length advantage, it was evident that his gas tank was nowhere close to empty. Maintaining a clear lead throughout the final furlong, he prevailed by 2 3/4 lengths while being asked to race farther than he ever had before. Jesus’ Team came in second at odds of 11-1. Independence Hall, off at odds of 27-1, finished third, a neck behind Jesus’ Team.

Code of Honor, the 4-1 second choice in the wagering, raced ninth early, never threatened and ended up fifth. Tax, at 5-1 the only starter under 10-1 besides the winner and Code of Honor, raced in contention through the early furlongs to the stretch, faltered and finished 10th.

When trained by Ben Colebrook, Knicks Go won two of his first 14 starts. At 2 in 2018, the Maryland-bred son of Paynter was good enough to win the Grade I Breeders’ Futurity at Keeneland and finish second to Game Winner in the Grade I Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at Churchill Downs.

In Knicks Go’s final start at 3, the gray/roan son of Paynter finished next-to-last among 11 participants in the Grade III Commonwealth Turf at Churchill on Nov. 9, 2019. Brad Cox subsequently took over the training duties.

For Cox, Knicks Go has been unbeatable so far, winning four races by 7 1/2, 10 1/4, 3 1/2 and 2 3/4 lengths. He’s now been victorious in back-to-back Grade I events, the 2020 Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile and 2021 Pegasus World Cup.

When conditioned by Colebrook, Knicks Go had a top Beyer Speed Figure of 93. For Cox, Knicks Go has reeled off Beyers of 100, 107, 108, then another 108 for his performance last Saturday.

At the end of the first quarter of this year’s Pegasus, Knicks Go led by just a half-length over Last Judgment. At the end of the first half, Knicks Go’s lead was 1 1/2 lengths.

In four of the past five editions of the Pegasus, the winner had the lead with three furlongs left to run, then remained in front the rest of the way.

Knicks Go sported a 1 1/2-length lead with three furlongs left to run. He remained in front the rest of the way.

NBC’s Randy Moss, a keen student of pace, admitted that when he saw the early fractions, he thought Knicks Go might be going too fast too early.

“This was not a perfect trip by any stretch of the imagination for Knicks Go when Last Judgment went out there and ran with him like that in the early part of the race,” Moss said. “You just look at the fractional times. The first quarter in :22.90, the half :46.16, 1:09.91 for three quarters of a mile. Going a mile and an eighth at Gulfstream Park, when you look at the history of those races, that is scorching.”

In fact, Knicks Go actually ran the fastest opening quarter by quite a bit in the brief history of the Pegasus. Prior to Knicks Go’s :22.90, the quickest initial quarter clocking was Collected’s :23.41 in 2018. Collected went on to finish seventh, 16 1/2 lengths behind the victorious Gun Runner.

Knicks Go not only has led past every pole in each of his last four starts, he has done so in all six of his career victories. No doubt many therefore will jump to the conclusion that he would be vulnerable if he ever does not get the early lead. Maybe. Or maybe not.

I think there is a chance that Knicks Go does not need the early lead in order to win. I say that because he has not been the least bit rank or headstrong when setting the pace. It appears to me that he might well be able to sit off the pace and still win. Of course, one never knows until they actually do it.

Going into Santa Anita’s Grade I Malibu Stakes, many questioned whether Charlatan could win if he did not get the early lead. I thought there was a good chance that he would be able to win from off the pace because, again, he was not the sort who had been rank early in his races.

In the Malibu, Charlatan did not get the early lead for the first time in his career. Nashville dashed immediately to the front and set the early pace. Charlatan was content to cruise along in the early stages while sitting one to 1 1/2 lengths off Nashville.

Charlatan ranged up to reach even terms with Nashville turning into the stretch. And then Charlatan burst away from Nashville in upper stretch to open a four-length lead at the eighth pole while on his way to a 4 1/2-length victory to prove he could win from off the pace. Nashville finished fourth, 8 1/4 lengths behind Charlatan.

Somewhere down the line, I will not be surprise if Knicks Go likewise shows that he can win from off the pace.

Charlatan and Knicks Go might clash in the $20 million Saudi Cup at 1,800 meters (about 1 1/8 miles) on Feb. 20. It’s the world’s richest horse race. Charlatan, who worked six furlongs in 1:12.60 on Wednesday at Santa Anita, is scheduled to make his next start in the Saudi Cup. The opulent event also is under consideration for Knicks Go, according to Cox.

As for Jesus’ Team, he once again hit the board at a nice price in the betting last Saturday. Sent away at 12-1, he came home well enough to defeat everyone but Knicks Go. Jesus’ Team finished third at 40-1 in last year’s Grade I Preakness Stakes at Pimlico and second at an even bigger 62-1 in the BC Dirt Mile.

The $1 Knicks Go-Jesus’ Team exacta in the BC Dirt Mile paid $109.80. The $1 exacta combining the same two horses in the same order last Saturday returned $21.50.

LIFE IS GOOD FAVORED IN CHURCHILL’S FUTURE WAGER

Undefeated Life Is Good was backed down to 7-1 favoritism among the 23 individual horses in Churchill Downs’ KDFW Pool 2 that closed last Sunday. Essential Quality, also yet to taste defeat, was a close second choice at 8-1.

The actual 9-5 favorite in Pool 2 was the “All Other 3-Year-Old Colts and Geldings” option.

Life Is Good is two for two after winning Santa Anita’s Grade III Sham Stakes on Jan. 2 for Baffert. The Kentucky-bred Into Mischief colt recorded a 101 Beyer Speed Figure. Life Is Good is expected to make his next start in Santa Anita’s Grade II San Felipe Stakes on March 6.

Essential Quality is three for three after winning the Grade I Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at Keeneland on Nov. 6 for Cox. The Kentucky-bred Tapit colt also won Keeneland’s Grade I Breeders’ Futurity on Oct. 3. According to Cox, Essential Quality will make his 2021 debut in Oaklawn Park’s Grade III Southwest Stakes at 1 1/16 miles on Feb. 15, Daily Racing Form’s Marcus Hersh reported Tuesday.

Below are the final odds for Pool 2 of the 2021 KDFW:

9-5 “All Other 3-Year-Old Males”
7-1 Life Is Good
8-1 Essential Quality
13-1 Caddo River
16-1 Concert Tour
19-1 Keepmeinmind
21-1 Prime Factor
23-1 Jackie’s Warrior
24-1 Highly Motivated
24-1 Medina Spirit
26-1 Bezos
26-1 Midnight Bourbon
34-1 Senor Buscador
40-1 Greatest Honour
40-1 Hot Rod Charlie
42-1 Mandaloun
45-1 Fire At Will
47-1 Mutasaabeq
47-1 Spielberg
48-1 Prate
64-1 Olympiad
66-1 Capo Kane
76-1 Proxy
87-1 Wipe the Slate

POPULAR TALK SHOW HOST LARRY KING DIES

Radio, television and internet talk show host Larry King died last Saturday at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center in Los Angeles. He was 87.

In a statement, the production company Orca Media said King had been hospitalized with COVID-19 earlier this month.

“In a career that spanned half a century, King became one of the most famous talk show hosts and opinion shapers in the world with his breezy, rarely confrontational style of banter, leading his guests this way and that, where his curiosity took him,” said King’s obituary in the Los Angeles Times.

“King ended his long-running CNN program in 2010 but returned to television again and again as a moderator and, occasionally, pitchman. During his 25 years presiding over ‘Larry King Live,’ the first international live phone-in TV talk show, King was variously dubbed in the press ‘America’s yak-master,’ the ‘pope of talk’ and the ‘top banana of talk-show hosts.’ ”

Born in Brooklyn, N.Y., King was a huge Dodgers fan. For a time he worked for the Los Angeles Dodgers. He often could be spotted on television sitting behind home plate at Dodger Stadium.

King also was a horse racing fan.

In his autobiography, “My Remarkable Journey,” King wrote about a trip to Calder Race Course in 1971 at the age of 37. At the time, King was out of a job and a couple of thousand dollars in debt.

A filly named Lady Forli caught King’s attention. Lady Forli was running against males. She was 70-1. King figured that because Lady Forli had won in more or less the same company three races back, she should have been more like 20-1.

King wrote: “When the race began, I had two dollars left to my name -- and that was for the valet.”

Yes, Lady Forli won. King not only bet $10 to win on her, he hit the exacta and trifecta.

“I collected nearly eight thousand dollars. Eight thousand dollars! It had to be one of the happiest moments of my life -- certainly the most exciting,” King wrote.

A few years later, King worked in public relations for a time at Louisiana Downs.

In 1978, King’s broadcasting career took off when the “Larry King Show” was launched on radio stations from coast to coast by the Mutual Broadcasting System. That radio program debuted on 28 stations. By the early 1980s, the show was being carried on nearly 250 Mutual affiliates in all 50 states.

I remember listening to King’s radio show one evening in the 1970s when the subject was horse racing and the guests were a couple of handicappers, Andy Beyer and Clem Florio. Back then, I was working for the Daily Racing Form at tracks in the Pacific Northwest. I later would get know both Beyer and Florio.

King’s radio show led to CNN’s popular “Larry King Live,” which began in 1985 and ended on Dec. 16, 2010. “Larry King Live” became CNN’s longest-running program.

One day in the 1980s, I met King in the Santa Anita press box. We had a nice chat. I told him that I had listened to and enjoyed his radio program, especially whenever Beyer and Florio were the guests. I also mentioned that I too had worked at Louisiana Downs in 1970s.

Rest in peace, Larry King.

ECLIPSE AWARD PREDICTIONS

The Eclipse Awards were established 50 years ago to recognize excellence in Thoroughbred racing. The 2020 finalists were revealed earlier this month. The winners will be announced Thursday on TVG, Racetrack Television Network and various streaming outlets.

The first year that I made Eclipse Award predictions for Xpressbet.com was for racing that was conducted in 2011. Now including 2019, my Eclipse Award predictions have proven to be correct 92.2% of the time:

2011: 15 correct, 2 wrong
2012: 16 correct, 1 wrong
2013: 16 correct, 1 wrong
2014: 17 correct, 0 wrong
2015: 14 correct, 3 wrong
2016: 16 correct, 1 wrong
2017: 16 correct, 1 wrong
2018: 16 correct, 1 wrong
2019: 15 correct, 2 wrong

Total: 141 correct, 12 wrong

Remember, these are my predictions, not who I think should win or who I voted for.

And now here are my predictions for the 2020 Eclipse Awards:

2-YEAR-OLD MALE

Finalists (alphabetically): Essential Quality, Fire At Will, Jackie’s Warrior
Predicted Winner: Essential Quality

2-YEAR-OLD FILLY

Finalists: Aunt Pearl, Dayoutoftheoffice, Vequist
Predicted Winner: Vequist

3-YEAR-OLD MALE

Finalists: Authentic, Nadal, Tiz the Law
Predicted Winner: Authentic

3-YEAR-OLD FILLY

Finalists: Gamine, Shedaresthedevil, Swiss Skydiver
Predicted Winner: Swiss Skydiver

OLDER DIRT MALE

Finalists: Improbable, Maximum Security, Vekoma
Predicted Winner: Improbable

OLDER DIRT FEMALE

Finalists: Midnight Bisou, Monomoy Girl, Serengeti Empress
Predicted Winner: Monomoy Girl

MALE SPRINTER

Finalists: Vekoma, Volatile, Whitmore
Predicted Winner: Whitmore

FEMALE SPRINTER

Finalists: Gamine, Glass Slippers, Serengeti Empress
Predicted Winner: Gamine

MALE TURF

Finalists: Channel Maker, Order of Australia, Zulu Alpha
Predicted Winner: Channel Maker

FEMALE TURF

Finalists: Audarya, Rushing Fall, Tarnawa
Predicted Winner: Rushing Fall

STEEPLECHASE

Finalists: Moscato, Rashaan, Snap Decision
Predicted Winner: Moscato

TRAINER

Finalists: Steve Asmussen, Bob Baffert, Brad Cox
Predicted Winner: Brad Cox

JOCKEY

Finalists: Irad Ortiz Jr., Joel Rosario, John Velazquez
Predicted Winner: Irad Ortiz Jr.

APPRENTICE JOCKEY

Finalists: Luis Cardenas, Yarmarie Correa, Alexander Crispin
Predicted Winner: Luis Cardenas

OWNER

Finalists: Godolphin Racing; Klaravich Stables; Spendthrift Farm, MyRacehorse Stable, Madaket Stables and Starlight Racing
Predicted Winner: Spendthrift Farm, MyRacehorse Stable, Madaket Stables and Starlight Racing

BREEDER

Finalists: Peter E. Blum Thoroughbreds, Calumet Farm, WinStar Farm
Predicted Winner: WinStar Farm

HORSE OF THE YEAR

Finalists: Authentic, Improbable, Monomoy Girl
Predicted Winner: Authentic

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Siegel is Profitable & Gulfstream Pick 4 Play

January 28, 2021 | By Johnny D

Veteran handicapper and host Jeff Siegel turned a profit Saturday when he picked 4 winners out of 10 competition races in Week 4 Beat the Host action. His winning total was $56, based on $5 Win wagers on one horse in each race.

Usually, Beat the Host competition races are a combination of heats from Santa Anita and Gulfstream Park. However, last weekend, in conjunction with the rich and challenging Pegasus World Cup card, all Beat the Host races were decided at Gulfstream Park.

Siegel began the afternoon with a pair of short-priced winners: Performer ($3.80) in race 4 the Gr. 3 Fred W. Hooper and Always Shopping ($4) in race 8 the Gr. 3 La Prevoyante. He later added favored Knicks Go ($4.60) in the main event the Gr. 1, $3 million Pegasus World Cup Invitational. Siegel’s best-priced winner of the afternoon came in the 10th race with Tide of the Sea ($10) in the Gr. 3 W. L. McKnight.

The host’s solid Week 4 performance trimmed the list of ‘live’ Sweep the Host prize contenders from 8 to 5 with as many weeks of competition remaining. Steve Glynn, Darlene Wolfson, Lou Kotzman, Scott Shore and John Maskel remain in contention for a $6,000 prize that goes to any single player that can defeat hosts in all 9 weeks of competition. There is a $2,000 consolation prize to the last member of the group to lose to the host.

Week 4 horseplay also resulted in a change atop the Total Winnings leaderboard. Craig Yoshino, who led all players Saturday with $185 in weekly earnings, leapfrogged several competitors to gain sole possession of the lead in the season-long cumulative earnings race. He now has $288, just $13.50 ahead of Andrew Ma and previous pacesetter Steve Glynn at $274.50 each. The top 2 finishers based on cumulative seasonal earnings win seats in the 2022 Pegasus World Cup Betting Championship--$6,000 value each. The next 3 players earn spots in the Ultimate Betting Challenge Saturday, March 6, 2021—$3,000 value each.

Yoshino’s weekly earnings figure of $185 is the highest achieved this season and topped Joseph St. Pierre ($174.50) to collect a $2,000 weekly first prize. The runner-up earned $1,500 and Greg Peterson, who was third ($164), bagged $500. Top prize totals were juiced this week because of a carryover from Week 3. That competition, hosted by Santa Anita linemaker Jon White, was cancelled due to technical issues and Saturday’s prize totals subsequently were doubled from $2,000 to $4,000.

After 4 Weeks of action, 371 players have qualified for the Beat the Host Championship that includes as prizes: 1 seat to the 2022 Pegasus World Cup Betting Championship ($6,000 value) and 6 seats to either the Florida Derby (March 21, 2021) or Santa Anita Derby (April 3, 2021)-- $1,500 values each.

It’s not too late to register free for Beat the Host and to play each week in pursuit of $2,000 in prizes and coveted rich tournament seats available to top players based on cumulative seasonal earnings. Plus, beat the host once to qualify for the Championship Round where players can win an assortment of lucrative future tournament seats.

All it takes to play is a ‘live’ $5 Win wager on one horse in each of 10 competition races. Beat the host once to qualify for the Championship and top all players to earn weekly and seasonal prizes. And, since Beat the Host wagers are ‘live,’ players keep what they win. Pick a few winners along the way and you could make a few bucks even without winning a prize.

This week’s host is unlike any other. For the first time, Beat the Host players will face off against 1/st Bet’s Artificial Intelligence selections. That’s right, this week it’s man against computer with $2,000 in weekly prizes and Beat the Host Championship seats on the line.

Below is analysis and selections for Gulfstream races 9 through 12, otherwise known as the Late Pick 4. Unfortunately, in my house, it goes by a different name, the ‘Late Pick 3 out of 4.’ Hopefully, the information below will aid humans in their Saturday struggle against Artificial Intelligence in Beat the Host. At this point in worldwide history, humans can use all the help they can get.

GULFSTREAM LATE PICK 4 ANALYSIS & PICKS

RACE 9 // GULFSTREAM PARK (3:46PM ET) // G3 FORWARD GAL S. ($100K) // 7 FURLONGS (DIRT)

Kick all things Pick 4 off with the Grade 3 Forward Gal for 3-year-old fillies at seven furlongs. It appears that there are two logical contenders to deal with. Of course, fillies sometimes can be tricky, so keep your options open.


#2 THREE TIPSY CHIX: Exploded from off the pace to win a maiden sprint last out for trainer Ian Wilkes and jockey Julian Leparoux. That race was in November and was the third career start for this daughter of Medaglia d’Oro. Wilkes, who’s having a rough start to the Gulfstream meeting (0-21), brings stock along slowly, and this one is moving in the right direction.

#3 COMPETITIVE SPEED: Has won her last 3 out of 4 starts, 2 of those wins at Gulfstream, including the Glitter Woman by a dominating 3 lengths last out. With those credentials, she must be respected. She races for low-profile connections, but a loaded gun is dangerous in anyone’s hands.

#6 LADY TRAVELER: Hasn’t started since November, when she made a failed longshot try in the Gr. 2 Golden Rod around two turns at Churchill. Before that she was second in the one mile and one-sixteenth Rags to Riches. Back around one turn going seven furlongs may be a better trip for her. She’s an outsider in here.

#7 ZAAJEL: Won by more than 7 lengths in fast time first out for top trainer Todd Pletcher going seven furlongs at Gulfstream in late December. Since that romp, she’s worked every 7 days, including a :59 4/5 move at Palm Beach Downs. You know the old ‘death, taxes and Todd Pletcher at Gulfstream’ saying? Well, here it is in flesh and blood. Pretty much have to use this daughter of Street Sense and she will be a single for many.

#8 COACH JET'S JOY: Decisively won her first start at Gulfstream Park West over a sloppy track on Halloween. She’s worked sporadically since then, but a six furlong move in 1:13 1/5 Jan. 16 is interesting. Top jock Irad Ortiz rides from a cozy outside post for 21% trainer Saffie Joseph and they’re 41% together in 37 tries! Could be an option for anti-Pletcher players.


RACE 10 // GULFSTREAM PARK (4:18PM ET) // G3 SWEETEST CHANT S. ($100K) //1 MILE (TURF)

Soph fillies gather for another Grade 3 stakes race except this one will be decided at one mile on turf in the Sweetest Chant. Some of the best trainers in the country have contenders in here: Clement, Pletcher, Mott, Brown and Casse. Such is graded stakes turf racing at Gulfstream in the winter. We’ll try to separate the best from the best in here.


#2 HONEY PANTS: Tried turf stakes in her last two starts and managed a pair of seconds—going six furlongs at Aqueduct and then one mile at Gulfstream. She’ll be hard pressed to turn the tables on #4 Con Lima who defeated Honey Pants by over three lengths last out. Top jock Irad Ortiz rides back for 20% winning trainer Christophe Clement.

#4 CON LIMA: Has been first (3) or second (3) in all six career starts for the meet’s top trainer Todd Pletcher, including powerful victories in her last two—both going one mile at Gulfstream. She’s 2 for 2 over this turf course and at this distance. She’s got enough speed to be on the lead while saving ground. Paco Lopez returns in the saddle. She’ll be a very short price to win.

#5 WHITE FROST: Woke up for Bill Mott first time on turf at Aqueduct in November. This race is a big step up for her and for those looking to fade the chalk in here.

#6 DOMAIN EXPERTISE: Has the look of a talented type. She was second first out going a mile and one sixteenth on turf and then was asked to face stakes foes in Pimlico’s Selima over a yielding course. Returned to a maiden at Tampa, she romped by 4. Trainer Chad Brown has trained this one every seven days since that early December score, so she should be fit. Tyler Gaffalione rides and he and Brown are 29% together. This filly has enough speed to be close to the early pace. Interesting option to the heavy favorite.

#8 DIRECTOR'S CUT: Raced wide last out in an optional claiming/allowance turf test. She didn’t give up and finished second. She draws wide in here and could be losing ground again. She last raced Jan. 10, so she’s plenty fit and trainer Mark Casse even added a bullet 4-furlong Palm Meadows turf work in :46 1/5 Jan. 24. Luis Saez rides, so this filly should be in the early mix. That jockey/trainer combo is 33%.


RACE 11 // GULFSTREAM PARK (4:50PM ET) // G3 HOLY BULL S. ($200K) //1 1/16 MILES (DIRT)

We move from sophomore fillies to 3-year-old colts and geldings in the Gr. 3 Holy Bull at one mile and one-sixteenth. These are the glamour boys of 2021, the ones whose connections have hopes of traveling the road to the Kentucky Derby. Todd Pletcher has a pair of starters in here and they look toughest even though neither has gone two turns.


#4 AMOUNT: Romped by more than 5 lengths as favorite first out going seven furlongs at Gulfstream on the day after Christmas. Since then this son of Curlin has worked steadily for top trainer Todd Pletcher every seven days. There’s no way of knowing how good this one might be. Top jock Irad Ortiz, who rode this colt last out, abandons ship to ride Pletcher’s other starter #6 Prime Factor, also a first-out winner. Luis Saez is a capable replacement. No real reason to doubt this one’s ability.

#6 PRIME FACTOR: By Quality Road, exploded to win a 6-furlong maiden race by nearly 9 lengths in fast time Dec. 12 at this track. Since then he has worked five times, including a bullet 5-furlongs in :59 4/5 at Palm Beach Downs. Top jock Irad Ortiz and leading trainer Todd Pletcher combine talents here and they are a sparkling 34% together. This guy showed speed first out, so he should be among the early leaders. He should be a very short price as the most favored of the Pletcher pair.

#7 GREATEST HONOUR: Has steadily improved under the tutelage of Hall of Fame trainer Shug McGaughey. This son of Tapit has no early speed and makes his run late. That strong finish was good enough to overcome trouble and win a maiden race last out around two turns at Gulfstream the day after Christmas. Jockey Luis Saez, who rode him to that score, moves to #4 Amount and Jose Ortiz (20% with Shug) will ride Greatest Honour. This colt will need some help up front to set up his closing charge so he may be a better option in exotics. Of course, he’s proven he can go two turns and Pletcher’s pair haven’t.


RACE 12 // GULFSTREAM PARK (5:22PM ET) // CLAIMING //1 MILE (TURF)

This is a ‘beaten’ race for runners entered to be claimed for $35k at one mile on the turf. We have a real problem narrowing this one down to a few contenders for a variety of reasons. This race is on turf where unusual pace, trip and trouble scenarios often come into play. Some of these are older horses (7 & 8 years old) who are dropping in class and may have seen better days. It’s difficult to assess when one of these senior citizens might feel fine enough to ‘rock the oldies.’


#1 THE LAST ZIP: Has some speed and is drawn on the rail. Blinkers go on for trainer Mike Maker, who is good with this kind. The 5-year-old gelding drops back to his original claiming price. With just 2 wins in 18 lifetime starts this one doesn’t inspire confidence, but few in here do.

#2 DUNDALK: Has speed and is 7 for 8 in the money at the distance. Expect jockey Jaramillo to have him winging on the rail.

#3 HONEY WON'T: Returns to a suitable level for trainer Bill Mott and has 4 wins in 18 starts with 2 of them coming at Gulfstream. This 5-year-old horse hasn’t raced since September and has worked every 7-8 days since.

#4 FINANCIAL SYSTEM: Is a 7-year-old gelding with 5 wins in just 14 lifetime starts. He drops to his lowest level for trainer Kelly Breen. He raced evenly last out at the 50k claiming level and was claimed from Chad Brown for $40k at Saratoga in August when second as favorite. Luis Saez replaces Junior Alvarado who moves to #3 Honey Won’t for Mott--an important customer.

#5 TUSK: Will make his second start this year and that’s notable because the 8-year-old made just 2 starts in all of 2020. Claimed for $32k from Jorge Navarro in October ’19, this gelding has been pitched in four stakes races, 2 of them graded. He won the Tropical Turf in 2020 but was nowhere last out in the 2021 version of that stakes. Now, he drops for high-percentage Saffie Joseph. His most effective style is to be just behind the early running. Tyler Gaffalione rides and he’s 27% on Joseph mounts.

#6 TROUBLING MOON: Is a 6-year-old gelding with no speed that dropped from $50k to this level last out and was beaten by a neck at 7.60-1. That’s his only in the money finish in his last 7 starts. Did the class drop make the difference and can he repeat that good effort?

#7 WILLING TO SPEED: Is a youngster in this race at 5 and has just 3 wins in 27 starts. He wasn’t a factor last out at this level, so he’d need to turn things around.

#8 HARBOUR MASTER: Had a couple of races last year that might fit at this level. He’s not real big on winning with just 1 win in his last 10 starts.

#9 MONONGAHELA: Gets top jock Irad Ortiz off a poor effort at 8-1 on the class drop to this level. Why? Perhaps a bullet, best-of-38 half in :47 3/5 at Palm Meadows is a sign of life. He’s got the best races of anyone in here, but they occurred a long time ago. He has just been gelded and maybe that procedure renewed a spark of life? He’s faced stakes foes in 10 of his last 12 starts.

#10 FIG JELLY: Has won just 2 of 30 lifetime with 12 second-place finishes. To put a finer point on it, this 6-year-old has 0 wins over Gulfstream turf with 4 runner-up placings. He is dropping back to his claimed level where he was beaten just a length going five and one-half furlongs at Saratoga.

#11 BLAMELESS: Dropped in class to this level last out and fired a decent shot to be second by a neck. The 5-year-old is lightly raced and has a win and a second over the Gulfstream turf. Hall of Fame jockey John Velazquez returns to guide this guy from a tough post. Note: both of his wins have come in wire-to-wire fashion.



SUGGESTED LATE PICK 4 TICKET

There’s a chance that this Pick 4 could ‘chalk out’ early via a string of Todd Pletcher victories in races 9, 10 & 11. If that happens, players must hope for a bomb in the last to juice payoffs.

RACE 9: 3, 7
RACE 10: 4, 6
RACE 11: 4, 6
RACE 12: ALL (11 Horses)
TICKET COST: $44.00

Race On!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #3
Picks Notes
#5 Twirling Derby Just handled a trio of runners he'll face again today, and he turned in yet another reliable finishing effort after a very wide trip last out. The one to beat.
#3 Lucky Ryan Seven He's probably suspect late, but he should be able to control the tempo while stretching around two turns. He could get brave if afforded an easy lead.
#1 K P D Day He was pretty one-paced in that last one, but that sort of grinding style may translate better around two turns here.
Race Summary Twirling Derby beat a few of these while getting a pretty tough trip last time out when five-wide throughout, and he should be able to find a great spot spying Lucky Ryan Seven's speed.

Santa Anita - Race #5
Picks Notes
#2 Idol Despite a short field, this guy might get an honest pace to track, and he has been running like a horse who will appreciate longer distances, so this move to 9f may benefit him most.
#3 King Guillermo Tough read off the flop last out, but perhaps he didn't care for the off going that day. He has looked pretty good prepping for this, but he could be a bit vulnerable late.
#5 Zestful Seems likely to force the issue early with Tizamagician sure to flash some pace from the inside, but this guy might be more intent on the front end.
Race Summary Idol has the look of a really serious distance horse, and he should get a really nice run behind a couple of pace players and the classy, prompting speed of King Guillermo.

Santa Anita - Race #7
Picks Notes
#1 Medina Spirit Didn't miss by much behind Life is Good last out, and he has the natural pace to get involved early from the fence. Think he'll be the right one here.
#8 Spielberg The other threat from the Baffert barn, he was just up to land the Grade II Los Al Futurity, and the guy he beat that day was back to romp by 14 in a short field maiden special weight last weekend.
#4 Hot Rod Charlie Nearly posted a huge upset in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, and that is now two really solid efforts since getting around two turns on the dirt with blinkers.
Race Summary Medina Spirit and Speilberg should be tough for Baffert, who has dominated this local series in recent years, and Medina Spirit gets the edge with a bit more upside at this point.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Northfield Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#9 SQUIRT Pulled from pocket on backside, romped at 27-1, value remains.
#1 ALEXIS MAY HANOVER Held safe for back-to-back wins at odds-on, draws rail.
#8 BECKS WOOD PLACE Trapped with run, must use in all gimmicks despite post.
Race Summary Squirt vacated the pocket near the 3/4-mile mark and ran away from the favorites for a 27-1 upset. No reason to think she can't three-peat if he works out a trip from the second tier. Play a 1-5-8-9 trifecta box.

Northfield Park - Race #5
Picks Notes
#2 ARROYA'S DANCE Held up by bad cover, got going too wide and too late.
#1 FULL DECK Third in slower division of split race as the betting choice.
#8 RETICENT HANOVER Miami Valley numbers translate well, price attached.
Race Summary Arroya's Dance bid 4-wide around dead cover near the 3/4-mile mark and finished well in mid-track despite burning money as the odds-on favorite. Give her a second chance and play 2-1 and 2-8 exactas.

Meadowlands - Race #2
Picks Notes
#5 SCOOTNROLL Starts fresh after highly successful freshman season traveling around.
#2 THE CANDYMAN CAN Rode pocket to upset victory on class hike to this level.
#1 MY PAL JOE Has loyal following, won 2 of last 3 starts, draws rail.
Race Summary Scootnroll, who won 10 of his first 12 starts as a 3-year-old, returns to the U.S., where he last won for this barn in November. He was last seen holding third through a :26.4 final quarter in a stakes race at Woodbine-Mohawk Park. Play 5-1 and 5-2 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#7 Kentucky Pharoah Has been a new horse with a switch to turf. He was badly outrun in his first two on dirt and then that been a convincing winner in both turf starts, including the Dania Beach Stakes here in his latest.
#6 Never Surprise Unbeaten in two both, each at Aqueduct; won the Central Park in wire-to-wire fashion and will get a good share of support.
#3 Original Like the top choice, he's been poor on the dirt, but his only turf appearance produced a clear win; big player.
Race Summary Kentucky Pharoah has been exceptional since moving to grass and has the class to get past this group.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6
Picks Notes
#1 Likeable Gave way early in the G1 BC Juvenile but his first two were good, including an easy maiden win at Belmont; has good works for his first since November and can finish well vs. these.
#4 Poppy's Pride Won won three straight sprint stakes and has taken four in a row overall; has exceptional speed and could be the one to catch.
#5 Drain the Clock His only loss in four starts came when he broke an iron and lost his rider in the Delta's Lafitte and since then was razor sharp in an easy win in the Limehouse here.
Race Summary Likeable gets to stalk a pace that's expected to be tremendous, and he can take aim when asked; classy and one to hold off.

Gulfstream Park - Race #11
Picks Notes
#8 Sittin on Go Didn't fire in the G1 BC Juvenile and G Kentucky Jockey Cup in his last two but romped in his first two and can be a legit late threat against a lot of runners that have been sprinters up to this point.
#6 Prime Factor Hard not to like this colt that has started only once. He made the best of that appearance as he delivered an 8 3-4-length win at GP. He should be able to get the distance but could be part of an early logjam. He'll show how he handles the company.
#9 Awesome Gerry Will put the pedal to the metal from the outside and can get into a forward position into the turn; comes off a third in the Mucho Macho Man here.
Race Summary Sittin on Go comes out of some of the best races any of these have seen and the distance can make him a solid late player.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Saturday, January 30

Alabama @ Oklahoma
Alabama (14-3)
— ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #8
— Experience: #134
— Continuity: #158
— Alabama won its last ten games, with 4 of last 5 wins by 11+ points.
— Crimson Tide is 4-0 in true road games, winning at Tennessee/LSU
— Alabama has #24 eFG% defense in country.

Oklahoma (10-4)
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #161
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #53
— Oklahoma won its last four games, scoring 78.3 ppg.
— Sooners are 3-4 vs top 50 teams this season.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Opponents are shooting 35.8% on arc (#264)

Clemson @ Duke
Clemson (10-4, 4-4)
— ranked #47 by KenPom
— Tempo: #312
— Experience: #173
— Continuity: #96
— Clemson lost three of its last four games.
— Tigers are 1-3 in true road games, winning 66-65 at Miami.
— Clemson is forcing turnovers 23.7% of time (#15)

Duke (6-5, 4-3)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #139
— Experience: #344
— Continuity: #249
— Duke lost three of its last four games.
— Duke is 0-3 vs top 50 teams; their best win is #58 Georgia Tech.
— Duke is getting only 14.4% of its points on foul line (#324)

— Duke won four of last five series games.
— Tigers lost last ten games in Cameron (1-3 ATS last four)

Florida @ West Virginia
Florida (9-4)
— ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #104
— Experience: #256
— Continuity: #151
— Florida won its last three games, scoring 81.7 ppg.
— Gators are 2-3 in true road games, winning at Vandy/Georgia.
— Florida is forcing turnovers 21.8% of time (#55)

West Virginia (11-4)
— ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #172
— Experience: #140
— Continuity: #29
— West Virginia won three of its last four games.
— Mountaineers are 2-4 vs top 50 teams.
— West Virginia is grabbing 36.2% of its missed shots (#10)

Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern
Coastal Carolina (12-3, 6-2)
— ranked #153 by KenPom
— Tempo: #44
— Experience: #214
— Continuity: #181
— Coastal lost two of three road games, but won here Friday.
— Chanticleers are 7-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
— Coastal is making 39.7% of their 3’s (#8)

Georgia Southern (10-8, 4-5)
— ranked #277 by KenPom
— Tempo: #237
— Experience: #161
— Continuity: #333
— Georgia Southern is 4-6 in its last ten games
— Two of Eagles’ last three wins came in OT.
— Georgia Southern is turning ball over 21.9% of time (#302)

— Coastal fell behind 7-0 last nite, was up 38-25 at half, won by 17.
— Georgia Southern won four of last five series games.
— Chanticleers lost two of last three visits here, but won last nite.

Texas Tech @ LSU
Texas Tech (11-5)
— ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #274
— Experience: #278
— Continuity: #258
— Tech lost its last two games, to Baylor/West Virginia.
— Red Raiders are 2-5 in top 50 games.
— Tech is forcing turnovers 25.5% of time (#6).

LSU (11-4)
— ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #80
— Experience: #332
— Continuity: #135
— LSU lost two of its last three games.
— Tigers are 1-3 in top 50 games; they beat #34 Arkansas.
— LSU is shooting 55.9% inside arc (#23)

Oregon State @ UCLA
Oregon State (8-6, 4-4)
— ranked #126 by KenPom
— Tempo: #333
— Experience: #87
— Continuity: #56
— Beavers won three of their last four games.
— OSU played only two guys more than 21:00 in Thursday’s win at USC.
— Oregon State is shooting only 43.6% inside arc (#323).

UCLA (12-3, 8-1)
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #341
— Experience: #252
— Continuity: #9
— UCLA won seven of its last eight games.
— Bruins are 5-0 at home in Pac-12 (three wins by 5 or fewer points)
— UCLA is shooting 38.4% on the arc (#26)

— Home side won five of last six series games.
— Beavers lost last three visits to Westwood, by 18-1-17 points.

Villanova @ Seton Hall
Villanova (10-1, 5-0)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #335
— Experience: #136
— Continuity: #7
— Villanova is 2-0 on Big East road, winning by 13-17 points.
— Wildcats turn ball over less than any team in country.
— Villanova has #275 eFG% defense in country.

Seton Hall (9-7, 6-4)
— ranked #46 by KenPom
— Tempo: #232
— Experience: #22
— Continuity: #129
— Seton Hall lost three of last four games, losing last two by 2-4 points.
— Pirates are 1-4 in games decided by 4 or less points, or in OT.
— Seton Hall split its last four home games.

— Villanova nipped Seton Hall 76-74 at home, 11 days ago.
— Villanova won nine of last 11 series games.
— Wildcats won four of last five visits to the Garden State.

Auburn @ Baylor
Auburn (10-7)
— ranked #56 by KenPom
— Tempo: #33
— Experience: #347
— Continuity: #314
— Auburn won four of its last five games.
— Auburn scored 86.8 ppg in the six games Cooper has played
— Tigers won two of their last three road games.

Baylor (15-0)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #150
— Experience: #104
— Continuity: #45
— Baylor is shooting 44.9% on arc (#1 in country)
— Bears are forcing turnovers 26.5% of time (#2)
— All of Baylor’s wins are by 8+ points; 12 of 15 were by 13+ points.

Florida State @ Georgia Tech
Florida State (10-2, 6-1)
— ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #144
— Experience: #88
— Continuity: #103
— FSU won its last five games, four of them by 13+ points.
— FSU won at Louisville, lost by 10 at Clemson, its only road games.
— Seminoles are grabbing 35.6% of their missed shots (#14).

Georgia Tech (7-5, 3-3)
— ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #275
— Experience: #3
— Continuity: #10
— Tech is 3-0 at home, 0-3 on road in ACC games.
— Yellow Jackets are forcing turnovers 21.8% of time (#50)
— Tech is shooting 37.9% on the arc (#34).

— Seminoles beat Tech 74-61 at home December 15.
— Florida State won last five series games.
— FSU won six of last seven visits to Tech.

Kansas @ Tennessee
Kansas (11-5)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #206
— Experience: #264
— Continuity: #116
— Kansas lost three of its last four games.
— Jayhawks lost last three road games, giving up 75.7 ppg.
— Kansas is 4-5 in top 50 games this season.

Tennessee (11-3, 5-3)
— ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #305
— Experience: #228
— Continuity: #94
— Tennessee lost two of last three games, scoring 56.3 ppg.
— Vols are forcing turnovers 24.7% of time (#10)
— Two of their three losses (Alabama/Missouri) came at home.

Virginia @ Virginia Tech
Virginia (11-1, 7-0)
— ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #357 (slowest in country)
— Experience: #145
— Continuity: #159
— Virginia won its last seven games, giving up 57.9 ppg.
— Cavaliers are 3-0 on ACC road, winning by 9-12-35 points.
— Virginia is shooting 37.9% on arc (#10)

Virginia Tech (12-3, 6-2)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #287
— Experience: #227
— Continuity: #99
— Tech won four of its last five games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Hokies won all four of their ACC home games.
— Tech split their six top 50 games.

— Virginia won last four series games.
— Cavaliers won last three games in Blacksburg, by 26-6-3 points.

Stanford @ Arizona State
Stanford (10-5, 6-3)
— ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #82
— Experience: #292
— Continuity: #69
— Stanford won five of its last seven games.
— Cardinal is 1-3 on Pac-12 road, losing by 17-14-13 points (won at Oregon St)
— Stanford is turning ball over 21.2% of time (#267)

Arizona State (5-8, 2-5)
— ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #15
— Experience: #176
— Continuity: #162
— ASU snapped its 6-game skid with a win over Cal Thursday.
— Sun Devils lost four of their last five home games.
— ASU is forcing turnovers 22.0% of time (#43)

— Arizona State is 8-4 in last dozen series games.
— Cardinals lost five of last six visits to Tempe.

Cal-Fullerton @ Cal-Bakersfield
Cal-Fullerton (5-5, 4-5)
— ranked #289 by KenPom
— Tempo: #98
— Experience: #269
— Continuity: #318
— Last night was Titans’ first road win in three tries.
— Fullerton is 1-3 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
— Fullerton won three of its last four games.

Cal-Bakersfield (10-6, 6-3)
— ranked #152 by KenPom
— Tempo: #320
— Experience: #1
— Continuity: #18
— Roadrunners won six of their last eight games.
— 10 of their 14 D-I games have been on the road.
— Bakersfield grabs 39.3% of their missed shots (#3)

— Fullerton (+11.5) upset Roadrunners 90-84 here last night.
— Titans made 11-20 on arc, outscored Bakersfield 27-11 on foul line.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

601ALABAMA -602 OKLAHOMA
ALABAMA is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

603TEXAS A&M -604 KANSAS ST
TEXAS A&M is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals in the last 3 seasons.

605CLEMSON -606 DUKE
CLEMSON is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons.

607TULSA -608 E CAROLINA
E CAROLINA is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

609PROVIDENCE -610 GEORGETOWN
GEORGETOWN is 73-99 ATS (-35.9 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game since 1997.

611WM & MARY -612 TOWSON ST
TOWSON ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

615LASALLE -616 VA COMMONWEALTH
LASALLE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.

617HOFSTRA -618 UNC-WILMINGTON
HOFSTRA is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

619SIENA -620 MARIST
SIENA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

621QUINNIPIAC -622 CANISIUS
CANISIUS are 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

501PORTLAND -502 CHICAGO
PORTLAND is 41-65 ATS (-30.5 Units) off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog since 1996.

503MILWAUKEE -504 CHARLOTTE
Mike Budenholzer is 23-8 ATS (14.2 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points (Coach of MILWAUKEE)

503MILWAUKEE -504 CHARLOTTE
MILWAUKEE is 23-8 ATS (14.2 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points in the last 3 seasons.

505HOUSTON -506 NEW ORLEANS
HOUSTON is 276-204 ATS (51.6 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread since 1996.

507SACRAMENTO -508 MIAMI
SACRAMENTO is 22-9 ATS (12.1 Units) when playing 4 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

509LA LAKERS -510 BOSTON
BOSTON is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) after 2+ road games over the last 2 seasons.

511PHOENIX -512 DALLAS
PHOENIX is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

515MEMPHIS -516 SAN ANTONIO
MEMPHIS are 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Saturday, January 30

Portland @ Chicago
Trailblazers (9-8)
— Portland lost four of its last six games.
— Blazers are 5-2 ATS on road this season, 2-1 as a road dog.
— Over is 3-1 in Portland’s last four games.
— Starting G McCollum/C Nurkic are both out.

Bulls (7-10)
— Chicago hasn’t played since Monday.
— Bulls are 2-5 SU at home; they were underdog in all seven games.
— Seven of their last 11 games went over the total.

— Portland won nine of last ten series games.
— Blazers covered their last five visits to Chicago.
— Last three series games stayed under the total.

Milwaukee @ Charlotte
Bucks (11-7)
— Milwaukee won six of last nine games; they’re 2-5 ATS in last seven.
— Bucks are 4-5 SU/3-6 ATS on the road.
— Six of Milwaukee’s last nine games stayed under total.

Hornets (8-11)
— Charlotte lost six of their last eight games.
— Hornets are 4-5 ATS at home this season.
— Over is 5-2 in Charlotte’s last seven games.

— Milwaukee won last five series games (2-6 ATS in last eight)
— Bucks are 3-3 SU/0-6 ATS in last six trips to Charlotte.
— Four of last six series games stayed under.

Houston @ New Orleans
Rockets (8-9)
— Houston won last four games (3-1 ATS).
— Rockets are 3-5 SU/4-4 ATS on the road.
— Under is 11-2-1 in their last 14 games

Pelicans (7-10)
— New Orleans lost eight of its last 11 games.
— Pelicans are 3-4 ATS at home this season.
— 11 of their last 12 games went over the total.

— Rockets won four of last five series games.
— Houston is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Bourbon Street.
— Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

LA Lakers @ Boston
Lakers (14-6)
— Lakers lost last two games; Anthony Davis missed last game.
— Lakers are 0-3 ATS in last three road games.
— Under is 10-2 in their road games.

Celtics (10-7)
— Boston lost four of their last six games.
— Celtics won/covered four of last five home games.
— Over is 4-3 in their home games this season.

— Boston won six of last nine series games.
— Lakers covered three of last five visits to Beantown.
— Last five series games went over the total.

Phoenix @ Dallas
Suns (9-8)
— Phoenix lost five of its last seven games.
— Suns are 3-0 ATS as a road underdog.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Mavericks (8-11)
— Dallas lost six of its last eight games.
— Mavericks lost their last three home games.
— Over is 4-1-1 in last six Dallas games.

— Phoenix won/covered last four series games.
— Suns covered three of last four visits to Dallas.
— Last three series games stayed under the total.

Sacramento @ Miami
Kings (8-10)
— Sacramento won its last three games, after a 1-6 skid.
— Kings lost four of their last six road games (4-3 ATS on road).
— Nine of their last 12 games went over.

Heat (6-12)
— Miami lost five in row, eight of last ten games.
— Heat is 4-5 SU/3-5-1 ATS at home.
— Four of their last six games stayed under.

— Sacramento won five of last six series games.
— Kings are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Miami.
— Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Memphis @ San Antonio
Grizzlies (7-6)
— Memphis won its last five games (4-0-1 ATS).
— Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS on the road.
— Seven of last nine Memphis games stayed under.
— This is Grizzlies’ first game in 12 days.

Spurs (11-8)
— San Antonio won five of its last seven games overall.
— Spurs won four of last five home games.
— Under is 7-3 in Spurs’ last ten games.

— Spurs won four of last six series games.
— Memphis covered three of last four visits to the Alamo.
— Three of last four series games went over.

Detroit @ Golden State
Pistons (5-14)
— Detroit won two of last three games, covered three of last four.
— Pistons are 1-7 SU/3-4-1 ATS on the road
— Over is 6-2 in Detroit’s last seven games overall.

Warriors (10-9)
— Golden State is 4-5 in its last nine games SU.
— Warriors are 3-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Five of Golden State’s last seven games went over.

— Golden State won six of last eight series games.
— Pistons covered last three visits to the Bay Area.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Saturday, January 30

Trend Report

Portland @ Chicago
Portland
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games at home

Milwaukee @ Charlotte
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Milwaukee is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 10 games at home

Houston @ New Orleans
Houston
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games

Sacramento @ Miami
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Sacramento's last 10 games when playing on the road against Miami
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 10 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Miami is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Sacramento

LA Lakers @ Boston
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Lakers's last 15 games on the road
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Memphis @ San Antonio
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Antonio
San Antonio is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Memphis
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Phoenix @ Dallas
Phoenix
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Phoenix is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Dallas's last 20 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Detroit @ Golden State
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, January 30

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PORTLAND (9 - 8) at CHICAGO (7 - 10) - 1/30/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 32-49 ATS (-21.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 145-193 ATS (-67.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (11 - 7) at CHARLOTTE (8 - 11) - 1/30/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 58-41 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (8 - 9) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 10) - 1/30/2021, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (8 - 10) at MIAMI (6 - 12) - 1/30/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (14 - 6) at BOSTON (10 - 7) - 1/30/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 59-43 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 145-186 ATS (-59.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (9 - 8) at DALLAS (8 - 11) - 1/30/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 217-175 ATS (+24.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 588-503 ATS (+34.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
DALLAS is 82-60 ATS (+16.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 7-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (5 - 14) at GOLDEN STATE (10 - 9) - 1/30/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 53-82 ATS (-37.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 41-58 ATS (-22.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 67-94 ATS (-36.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (7 - 6) at SAN ANTONIO (11 - 8) - 1/30/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1135-1006 ATS (+28.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 579-487 ATS (+43.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 226-174 ATS (+34.6 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 323-261 ATS (+35.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Saturday January 30
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at Chicago (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Trail Blazers are 13-0 ATS (7.12 ppg) as a dog after a loss in which they led by double digits after the first quarter.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Memphis at San Antonio (8:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Spurs are 0-17 ATS (-10.41 ppg) at home when they won 2 straight vs current opponent.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Boston (8:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Celtics are 12-0 OU (18.58 ppg) at home off a road game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day (8:05 p.m. ET)
Matchup: Houston at New Orleans (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockets are 0-12 OU (-11.88 ppg) coming off a game where they were the home team.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, January 30

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NEW JERSEY (3-3-0-1, 7 pts.) at BUFFALO (3-3-0-2, 8 pts.) - 1/30/2021, 1:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 16-6 ATS (+8.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 15-11 ATS (+30.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 117-109 ATS (+240.2 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-2 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 3-2-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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DALLAS (4-0-0-0, 8 pts.) at CAROLINA (3-1-0-0, 6 pts.) - 1/30/2021, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 34-27 ATS (+62.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 37-65 ATS (-34.3 Units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.0 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (3-4-0-0, 6 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (5-2-0-1, 11 pts.) - 1/30/2021, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 56-37 ATS (+100.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-15 ATS (+4.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 29-16 ATS (+46.1 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 54-51 ATS (+122.7 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 281-293 ATS (-95.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 459-402 ATS (-83.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 9-5 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 9-5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.7 Units)

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NASHVILLE (4-3-0-0, 8 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (3-1-0-1, 7 pts.) - 1/30/2021, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 52-94 ATS (+154.3 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 126-60 ATS (+51.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 49-14 ATS (+18.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 11-1 ATS (+9.2 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 184-176 ATS (+384.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 8-14 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 3-1 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 3-1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.0 Units)

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BOSTON (5-1-0-1, 11 pts.) at WASHINGTON (5-0-0-3, 13 pts.) - 1/30/2021, 7:08 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-2 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-2-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

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CALGARY (2-3-0-1, 5 pts.) at MONTREAL (5-0-0-2, 12 pts.) - 1/30/2021, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 11-18 ATS (-15.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-5 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 128-125 ATS (+283.7 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
CALGARY is 54-51 ATS (+119.9 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MONTREAL is 13-19 ATS (-7.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 1-10 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-0 (+5.4 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 5-0-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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TORONTO (7-2-0-0, 14 pts.) at EDMONTON (3-6-0-0, 6 pts.) - 1/30/2021, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 80-116 ATS (-59.9 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
TORONTO is 46-39 ATS (-27.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 11-19 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-2 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-2-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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FLORIDA (3-0-0-1, 7 pts.) at DETROIT (2-5-0-1, 5 pts.) - 1/30/2021, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 19-60 ATS (-70.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-36 ATS (+74.5 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 328-314 ATS (-291.5 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DETROIT is 12-45 ATS (+91.4 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 5-39 ATS (+77.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-35 ATS (+71.5 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 108-127 ATS (-57.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 6-1 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 6-1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (4-3-0-1, 9 pts.) at NY RANGERS (2-4-0-1, 5 pts.) - 1/30/2021, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 3-10 ATS (-8.6 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 2-9 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 112-137 ATS (-45.0 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 159-157 ATS (-73.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 9-21 ATS (+35.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-2 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.7 Units)

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COLORADO (5-3-0-0, 10 pts.) at MINNESOTA (5-3-0-0, 10 pts.) - 1/30/2021, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 203-177 ATS (+380.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 11-17 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-15 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-18 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-4 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-4-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

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ST LOUIS (4-2-0-1, 9 pts.) at ANAHEIM (3-3-0-2, 8 pts.) - 1/30/2021, 9:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 3-13 ATS (-12.0 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 471-487 ATS (-57.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 6-20 ATS (+28.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-2 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 4-2-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

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VANCOUVER (5-5-0-0, 10 pts.) at WINNIPEG (5-2-0-0, 10 pts.) - 1/30/2021, 10:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 51-45 ATS (+105.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 171-155 ATS (+342.3 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 24-14 ATS (+38.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 25-21 ATS (+54.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 95-103 ATS (+230.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-0-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Saturday, January 30

Trend Report

New Jersey @ Buffalo
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Jersey's last 9 games on the road
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey

Dallas @ Carolina
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games at home
Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Pittsburgh @ NY Rangers
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Pittsburgh's last 17 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 14 of NY Rangers's last 17 games when playing Pittsburgh

NY Islanders @ Philadelphia
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Islanders's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

Nashville @ Tampa Bay
Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Nashville
Tampa Bay is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

Boston @ Washington
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 13 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Boston

Florida @ Detroit
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Detroit is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Florida

Toronto @ Edmonton
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

Calgary @ Montreal
Calgary
Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Calgary is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Montreal
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary

Colorado @ Minnesota
Colorado
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
Minnesota is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Colorado

St. Louis @ Anaheim
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games at home

Vancouver @ Winnipeg
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vancouver's last 8 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1NEW JERSEY -2 BUFFALO
NEW JERSEY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

3DALLAS -4 CAROLINA
DALLAS are 12-3 ATS (11.6 Units) against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons.

5NY ISLANDERS -6 PHILADELPHIA
NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 ATS (7.6 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

7NASHVILLE -8 TAMPA BAY
NASHVILLE is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

9BOSTON -10 WASHINGTON
BOSTON is 16-1 ATS (14.9 Units) after a blowout win by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

11CALGARY -12 MONTREAL
MONTREAL is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

13TORONTO -14 EDMONTON
EDMONTON is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

13TORONTO -14 EDMONTON
DAVE TIPPETT is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games (Coach of EDMONTON)

15FLORIDA -16 DETROIT
JOEL QUENNEVILLE is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games off a road loss (Coach of FLORIDA)

15FLORIDA -16 DETROIT
FLORIDA is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan Jan 30 '21, 7:08 PM in 2h
NHL | Penguins vs Rangers
Play on: Penguins -104 at pinnacle

Pittsburgh -104
The Penguins are worth a flyer. They take on a Rangers team that has been very inconsistent here in the early going. This one is going to be a back and forth affair, with the Penguins just having too many weapon to overcome.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Saturday 5* Free NHL ML Play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Jan 30 '21, 7:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Minnesota vs Purdue
Play on: OVER 140½ -110

Free Total Annihilator On Minnesota vs Purdue over 140½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Jan 30 '21, 8:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh
Play on: Pittsburgh -3½ -110 at BetCris

PICK - Pittsburgh Panthers -3.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 758
I'll take my chances here with the Panthers as a small 3.5-point home favorite against the Fighting Irish. Pitt was really playing some solid basketball before dropping their last two. They are still 7-3 ATS over their last 10 games and there's no question they will be motivated here.
Notre Dame is just 5-9 and 2-6 in ACC play. The Irish have consistently gotten too much respect from the books, as they are just 5-9 ATS on the season and 3-7 ATS over their last 10. They are also just 2-6 ATS last 8 as a dog and 1-5 ATS last 6 vs a team with a winning record.
Pitt is No. 7 in the ACC in offensive efficiency and No. 4 in defensive efficiency. Notre Dame on the other hand is 12th in offensive efficiency and 10th in defensive efficiency. The one thing the Irish defense does well is not foul, as they are No. 1 in the ACC in opponents free throw rate, but that will be put to the test as the Panthers are No. 1 in the ACC in free throw rate. I just think there's a bigger gap here than the number suggests. Give me the Panthers -3.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price Jan 30 '21, 8:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Kings vs Heat
Play on: Heat -5 -110 at Mirage

Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on Miami Heat -5
The Key: The Miami Heat are hungry for a win after dropping 5 straight games due to all the players they have been missing an a tough schedule. The 5 losses have come to the Raptors, Nets (twice), Nuggets and Clippers. Now they face a team they can handle here in the Sacramento Kings, who have lost 9 of their last 13 coming in. It's also a tired Kings team that will be playing for the second consecutive day after winning a 126-124 shootout in Toronto last night. That win will have taken a lot out of them. The Heat had yesterday off and will get back more players tonight from injuries and COVID. Miami is 38-17-2 ATS in its last 57 games off a loss. Sacramento is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games overall. The Heat are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 home matchups with the Kings. Take Miami.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Jan 30 '21, 8:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Lakers vs Celtics
Play on: UNDER 218½ -102

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Lakers/Celtics UNDER 218.5
The Boston Celtics and Los Angeles Lakers rank near the middle of the pack in pace this season. And while the Celtics are in the middle of the pack in defensive efficiency, the Lakers rank 1st in defensive efficiency in allowing just 102.6 points per 100 possessions. This National TV game on ABC figures to be lower scoring with both teams getting after it defensively in the most storied rivalry in the NBA. The UNDER is 14-4 in Lakers last 18 games overall. The UNDER is 12-2 in Lakers last 14 games as a road favorite. The UNDER is 5-1 in Celtics last six games as a home underdog. Give me the UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays Jan 30 '21, 10:00 PM in 5h
Soccer | Querétaro vs Cruz Azul
Play on: Cruz Azul -110 at linepros

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Cruz Azul -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns Jan 30 '21, 10:08 PM in 5h
NHL | Canucks vs Jets
Play on: Jets -125 at Mirage

The Jets have absolutely owned the Canucks. In fact, they've beaten them 10 straight times. They didn't just beat them either. They beat them badly. The Jets outscored the Canucks by a combined 35-10 mark, over those 10 games. The Canucks scored one goal or less in eight of the games. Seven of the Jets' 10 wins came by multiple goals. While both teams can score, the Canucks allow a lot more goals. They've given up 36 in 10 games. Thats tied with Ottawa for the most allowed in the league. Consider Winnipeg.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ricky Tran Jan 30 '21, 10:08 PM in 5h
NHL | Canucks vs Jets
Play on: Jets -115 at pinnacle

Ricky's Free play on Winnipeg.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- The Canucks are 1-5 in their last six games as an underdog.
- The Jets are 16-5 in their last 21 games as a favorite.
- The Jets are 9-3 in their last 12 home games.
Verdict: The Canucks are due for a let down after winning three straight against the Sens.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin Jan 30 '21, 10:08 PM in 5h
NHL | Canucks vs Jets
Play on: Jets -120 at linepros

Canucks vs Jets Free Pick January 30, 2021
The Vancouver Canucks are coming off three straight home wins, but they are only 1-3-0 on the road this season. They have a terrible track record against the Jets, dropping 10 of the last 11 meetings in Winnipeg and 14 of the last 16 overall.
The Jets are playing well at the moment with wins in four of their last five games and they are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a home favorite.
Additionally, the Jets will be well-rested as they last played on Jan 26 (a 6-4 win over Edmonton) while Vancouver was in action on Jan 28 (4-1 win over Ottawa).
Free pick on Winnipeg.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: New Orleans Pk over Houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY: COLORADO -10 over Utah

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U Late Saturday's Free Selection: Memphis Grizzlies/San Antonio Spurs under 220

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins ROZ's SATURDAY, JANUARY 30, 2021
FREE
CBK
668. So.Illinois +2 (1 PT / 4 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports
Late Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Dixie State + 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports Late Saturday's Free Play: Memphis Grizzlies + 3 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: the Golden St Warriors -5½ over Detroit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play SATURDAY, January 30, 2021
FREE CBK
776. San Diego St -17.5 (7 PT / 10 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Saturday : Take PEPPERDINE +21 over Gonzaga

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Saturday
Wisconsin -3'

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hawkeye Sports Late Saturday's Free Pick: Green Bay Phoenix + 3 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Huddle Up Sports
Saturday Free Play:
Auburn +14' CBB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph

Sat: NBA Portland + 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Last Call Saturday's Late Free Play: Cal-Northridge - 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teyas Sports FREE PICK 1/30 CBB WISCONSIN -4 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Saturday: VMI +9½ over NC-Greensboro

[Can'tPickAWinner]

High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Early Saturday: Akron Zips - 4 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Saturday: Hstn/NO UNDER 223

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Anthony Sports Free Selection: SAT

LA LAKERS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for SATURDAY is on the

DET PISTONS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hollywood Anthony Your SATURDAY Free Play from Hollywood Anthony
GS WARRIORS