Sunday 2/7/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

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NBA
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NHL
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Pompano Park Pick 4 Analysis-$20,000 Guaranteed Pool February 7, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Pompano Park has a Super Bowl Sunday card and they are the only track in North America racing tonight. The 0.50 Pick 4 begins in Race 6. The sequence has a $20,000 guaranteed pool with a 12% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

2-Overnight Shipper (10-1)-Needs to be 1st or 2nd turning for the wire and doesn't always get the best steer. That said can surprise and has the gate speed to get the top. This is a race where everyone bumps up to a class they haven't won at.
5-Chav Hanover (3-1)-Barn has been ice cold but will look for an aggressive steer by Simons. Could leave to take control and not look back.
6-Beguin Degoutier F (4-1)-Nine-time winner in 2020 gets a new pilot tonight. Wallis takes a spin, that's a ++ driver change and should be a main player.
7-Chestnut Schofield (6-1)-Plano purchased in November at the Mixed Sale and has won 2 of 3 starts since then. Continues to step up and might be up to this challenge at a nice price. Best to respect as has shown improvement in new barn.

Race 7

3-Held In Balance (4-1)-Form has been dull in last 2 starts but before that cashed checks versus better. Coming right back after racing Wednesday and is in a spot to trip out. Did win on 11/15 after racing 5 days before.
6-Uva Hanover (2-1)-Program chalk hasn't won in the last 13 starts and is 0-5 at CalX but still needs to be considered here. Kept coming in last to just miss and that was the best effort of the meet.
7-Muscles Aplenty (9/2)-Four-year-old mare might be the best horse in this race. Starting outside doesn't help but Dinges can work a trip to win at a square price.

Race 8

4-Burn Notice (4-1)-Comes off back-to-back 2nd place finishes and is sharp enough to take a picture versus this crew. Has hit the board in 10 of 17 starts at PPk with 5 wins.
6-Judge Ken (9-1)-Will toss last from the 2nd tier versus better. Previous efforts netted 2 wins and appears to fit here. Plano knows well and my guess is he will leave. Could land on tap without using much gas and not look back at a nice price.
7-Susie's Sister (7/5)-Program chalk does like to win and has taken 4 pictures in 8 starts here. Using but doesn't offer any value at the morning line price and does break from time to time. Wallis steers for the 1st time and doesn't have much gate speed. May have to pass them all but the short field does help chances.

Race 9

2-Gunrneedabgrboat A (9/2)-Hasn't connected for a picture at PPk (0-7) but has been facing better than this bunch. Can leave to be 1st or 2nd the first time under the wire. Best to respect, should offer a fair price and can take top honors with a smooth trip.
3-King Corona (5/2)-Wallis takes the lines and that should help. Drops to a spot to shine and can be put in play early at this class. Could be on the engine or making the most of a pocket trip behind #2.

0.50 Pick 4

2,5,6,7/3,6,7/4,6,7/2,3
Total Bet=$36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 2/7/21 February 7, 2021
Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies

*

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


Click to view today’s Santa Anita Workout Report (https://www.santaanita.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/workout-analysis-santa-anita-2021-02-07.pdf)


RACE 1: Post: 11:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Raneem; 6-Jan Jan Can

Forecast: Jan Jan Can just defeated a maiden $20,000 field with a good late kick and is realistically spotted off that win in this restricted (nw-2) $16,000 extended sprint for fillies and mares. She’s a strong fit on speed figures and today’s extra half-furlong certainly won’t hurt. The B. Baffert-trained Raneem projects as the controlling speed, and while her comeback outing vs. tougher starter’s allowance foes while uninspiring to say the least, she could produce a significant forward move for a barn that has excellent stats with the second-off-the-layoff angle. We’ll give Jan Jan Can the edge on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 2: Post: 11:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Damn the Torpedoes; 3-Bleu Ballon; 10-Velvet

Forecast: Bleu Ballon was almost four lengths clear of the rest when a sharp runner-up over this course and distance in her debut last month, and so with any kind of forward move today the daughter of Air Force Blue should be hard to beat. The Beyer speed figure she just earned is better than par for the level. Velvet is considerably slower than ‘Ballon on pure numbers but easily could step forward today in just her second career outing and her first since mid-November. The daughter of American Pharoah missed by a neck over five furlongs with a good late surge and today, with an extra furlong to work with for a barn that has sensational stats (30%) with the second-time starter angle, she is a major player and the one to fear most. Damn the Torpedoes has trained okay – not great – but she’s bred for grass and may be a better type on the lawn than here dirt drills might indicate. Toss her in somewhere at 10-1 on the morning line.
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RACE 3: Post: 12:01 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Kenzou’s Rhythm; 4-Impression

Forecast: Impression seems fairly solid in this $12,500 main track claiming miler for older horses, so we’ll put him on top but use a couple of others as well in rolling exotic play. Now in the K. Mulhall barn after being haltered for this same price in late December, the eight-year-old gelding shows consistent recent form despite changing barns in four of his last five starts and can be effective either on the front end or from a stalking position. Runner-up in his last try with a career top speed figure, the son of Smart Strike goes for a highly-capable outfit that generally does well with the first-off-the-claim angle. Kenzou’s Rhythm, away for almost 10 months, returns cheap (and not waivered protected) so his condition must be questioned, but the veteran son of Algorithms is a four-time winner over the Santa Anita main track and his recent work tab looks decent enough. You may want to include him on a few tickets as a saver or a back-up.
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RACE 4: Post: 12:33 PT Grade: X
Single: 4-Greg’s Diva

Forecast: Greg’s Diva, freshened since November, returns in a first-level allowance grass sprint that on paper appears made to order for the speedy daughter of Shackleford. Second in her last pair as the favorite but in both instances running well in defeat, the P. D’Amato-trained filly turned in a bullet work on the training track six days ago that catches the eye, and in a race that projects to have soft splits she should have no difficulty assuming the role as the controlling speed. At 8/5 on the morning line and likely to go lower, she’s a short-priced rolling exotic single.
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RACE 5: Post: 1:03 PT Grade: X
Use: 2-Mr. Impossible; 4-Tivoli Twirl;5-Bezos

Forecast: Bezos has been a talking horse for several weeks and finally makes it to the post after showing a string of impressive workouts that ensures he’ll be a short-priced favored in this extended main track sprint for 3-year-olds. The son of Empire Maker looks the part – he was $400,000 yearling purchase – and if he leaves with his field the B. Baffert-trained colt could put on a show. That said, he’ll have to beat the talented Mr. Impossible, who ran quite well in his debut when second to subsequent San Vicente S.-G2 winner Concert Tour in his debut last month while winding up eight lengths clear of the rest. The son of Munnings has returned to work extremely well since that race and should run at least as well if not better with a bit of experience behind him. Tivoli Twirl is the “other” Baffert in the field and isn’t as well regarded as Bezos, but the son of Twirling Candy is a quick, athletic type and shouldn’t be overlooked.
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RACE 6: Post: 1:34 PT Grade: B
Use: 6-Translate; 7-Bruja Escarlata

Forecast: Bruja Escarlata didn’t have a whole lot behind her when finally making it to the post and winning at first asking in December of her sophomore campaign, so we’ll find out more about her today as she tackles first-level allowance fillies and mares while switching to grass. Based on the speed figure she earned in that gate-to-wire score, the daughter of Street Boss should be capable of winning right back, though she’s not likely to enjoy the easy front-running trip that came her way at Los Alamitos. The J. Sadler-trained filly continues to sizzle in the a.m., so we suspect she has plenty of room for development. Translate broke her maiden over this course and distance on New Year’s Day in stylish fashion, pressing the pace and then accelerating in the final furlong to win going away. She’s not as fast on numbers as our top pick but is proven on turf, so while we’ll prefer Bruja Escarlata on top we’ll have tickets including both in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 7: Post: 2:08 PT Grade: X
Single: 4-Edgeway

Forecast: Edgeway completely outclasses this second-level allowance field of fillies and mares based on her four-race resume from last year and she seems certain leave at a short price despite making her first start since last June. The J. Sadler-trained daughter of Competitive Edge won her debut so we knows she can fire fresh and the work tab, though not flashy, should have her fit enough. She’s a logical short-price rolling exotic single in a race that we’ll otherwise leave alone.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:09 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Master Ryan; 3-Shady Empire; 7-Brix; 9-Hammering Lemon

Forecast: The Super Bowl Sunday nightcap is a fairly competitive extended grass sprint for first-level state-bred allowance older horses requiring a spread in rolling play. Brix has a prior win over the local lawn and with racing luck this prototype late-running sprinter will be heard from in the final furlong. In the frame in his last three, each time closing well but too late, the son of Twirling Candy gets an extra half-furlong to work with today so with some help up front he could produce the last run. Shady Empire projects as a serious pace player in his first try on grass, and if the son of Empire Way can transfer his dirt form to the sod, he should be a major player. J. Rosario stays aboard, and a recent bullet workout tells us the lightly-raced gelding is ready for another good effort.Master Ryan is winless in five starts over the Santa Anita turf course, but his speed figures continue to gradually rise, and with another slight forward move today the P. D’Amato-trained gelding – a close fourth in the same race Brix exits – could spring a mild surprise. Hammering Lemon, away since August, has trained quite well for his comeback and may be a better type this time around. He’s 12-1 on the morning line and is worth including on your ticket.
*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 4 Ticket Sunday at Santa Anita February 7, 2021 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
Bezos could be one of the most well-known non-starters that’s come down the pike in quite some time.

On Sunday, his status as non-starter ends, and we’ll see if the popularity lives on.

Bezos in the fifth race (4 p.m. ET), which is the first leg of the late Pick Four.

Bezos has impressed those with the stopwatches as he’s put together a long string of works that began in early December. He worked twice in July but trainer Bob Baffert backed off for a few months. The 3-year-old Empire Maker colt was a $400,000 yearling in 2019 and is expected to be the cream of the Baffert crop. At least that’s what the early money says as Bezos is favored on some Kentucky Derby Future Wager books.

Hall of Famer Mike Smith gets the initial ride on Bezos, who will be short on the board despite having eight opponents. It’s a quality field and he’ll have to be ready, and it looks like he is.

Bezos is a single on the $63 suggested Pick Four ticket, which allows for some spreading out in two races.

Here’s a look at the last three races:

Race 6 (4:30 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

A G INDY turns back from longer races and can behind from the sprint distance. He fits right in the mix in a race that is a ‘take your pick’ proposition. This is the biggest spread race on the ticket.

I’M THE HERO broke her maiden in her seventh start and that victory arrived in her second race over the turf. Extremely rapid and a legit threat to break loose early.

BYE BYE NICKY makes her first start since April, moves from Florida and gets blinkers. It’s a good sign that Prat gets the mount in this mare’s first Cali attempt.

PRANCE has shown some late energy and could benefit from the rapid pace. Look for a good closing move under Rispoli, who is winning at a 31-percent clip.

TRANSLATE was an easy winner in her first Santa Anita start after three seconds in New York.

BRUJA ESCARLATA is up from a maiden-claiming win in her only start, which was on dirt at Los Al. Was never really challenged in that one and has the pedigree to take her game to the grass.

ACAI lost photo finishes in her last two races and has shown good form on turf.


Race 7 (5 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

ACTING OUT passed the test in half of her six starts and most recently backed up after setting the pace in the Kalookan Queen Stakes. Can be troublesome on the front end at this level.

HOTITUDE held on for the win in allowance company over this strip last out and can get a good stalking trip.

EDGEWAY held on for third in the G3 Dogwood at Churchill Downs in June and has won half of her four starts. Off since the Dogwood but has very good in the morning hours.


Race 8 (5:30 p.m. ET, allowance)

MASTER RYAN rallied well for fourth last time and looks well suited for the 6.5 furlongs.

SHADY EMPIRE is capable of being strong on the front end and has been in front in stakes races. He does his best vs. California-bred rivals and makes her first turf attempt.

HANDSOME CAT has been in some fast races and might be overlooked on the board. Was fourth going shorter and gets back to grass here.

BRIX just missed at this level and gets more real estate. Has been a consistent closer and could benefit from a strong pace battle in front of him.

EUSTACE was claimed by Blacker last out, takes a step up and loses the blinkers. Has only one turf start to his credit and that resulted in a third-place finish. Could raise a price.

COLT FICTION was second over this turf course last year and has won three of his last four.

Santa Anita’s Late Pick 4 on Sunday:
5) #5 Bezos.
6) #2 A G Indy, #3 I’m the Hero, #4 Bye Bye Nicky, #5 Prance, #6 Translate, #7 Bruja Escarlata, #9 Acai.
7) #1 Acting Out, #3 Hotitude, #4 Edgeway.
8) #2 Master Ryan, #3 Shady Empire, #4 Handsome Cat, #7 Brix, #10 Eustace, #11 Colt Fiction.
50-cent Late Pick 4: 5 with 2-3-4-5-6-7-9 with 1-3-4 with 2-3-4-7-10-11 ($63)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Santa Anita - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#6 Lady Macarena
Nobody has been riding turf sprints better than Rispoli, and this filly is bred to be interesting on the lawn. Think she has a price chance.


#3 Bleu Ballon
Showed some tactical pace when staying on well in the debut run, and that was a pretty quick race that day. She's the one to beat, and she's very dangerous if she holds the form from the first try.


#10 Velvet
Another who turned in a good debut effort back in November at Del Mar, and she draws well to track the pace from the outside while adding Lasix here.


Race Summary
Lady Macarena seems to be coming into this well enough and lures the top turf sprint rider in the colony for this first trip to post. The price figures to be right, and I'll try to get her in the mi with Bleu Ballon and Velvet.


Santa Anita - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#4 Greg's Diva
Speed doesn't meet a on of other pace in this one, and that should allow her an easy enough lead to be able to dig deep and hold these late. Tough.


#2 Sapphire Kid
She was competitive with this kind a couple starts back, and the drop into claiming company made for an easy win last time out. Versatile type should find a good spot tracking the pace.


#5 Over Attached
Doesn't figure to get the right kind of setup to possibly spring the upset, but she's a pretty reliable finisher who can probably pass a couple late.


Race Summary
Greg's Diva isn't going to be a big price, but she seems like the right one to lean on in the early multi-race plays. She's quick early and doesn't meet any serious competing pace.


Santa Anita - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#1 Acting Out
Pace will go for it from the fence, and she should appreciate this easier spot after stopping late in the lane with stakes company last time out.


#4 Edgeway
Her only two losses have both come with stakes company, so she has a right to be tough with this group. The price will get short, but she'll be close throughout and should hit hard late.


#1 Quality Response
She'll get blinkers back, and she was a perfect 2-for-2 with them before a couple of clunkers without the hood in recent races. Tactical type can do.


Race Summary
Acting Out might be able to outrun these early, and with Edgeway likely to take a bunch of cash, she may wind up a playable price in the win pool.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Santa Anita Park



Santa Anita Park - Race 4

$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 4-5-6) / $0.50 Late Pick 5 (Races 4-8) $0.10 Superfecta



Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 4 and up • CR: 101 • Purse: $63,000 • Post: 12:33


(RAIL AT 10 FEET). FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING, OR STARTER ALLOWED 2 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. GREG'S DIVA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GREG'S DIVA: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.



4

GREG'S DIVA

8/5


2/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

GREG'S DIVA

4


8/5

Front-runner

98


102


106.9


97.5


93.5




5

OVER ATTRACTED

5


8/1

Alternator/Stalker

103


89


80.6


93.9


89.4




2

SAPPHIRE KID

2


3/1

Alternator/Stalker

99


93


76.4


87.9


82.4




3

ALL QUALITY

3


3/1

Alternator/Trailer

96


96


75.4


90.0


81.5




6

MAGICAL GRAY

6


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

96


86


91.2


86.2


79.2




1

MISS LUCY (IRE)

1


9/2

Alternator/Non-contender

92


87


81.1


77.6


65.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero



Camarero - Race 4

Pick 4 (4-7) / Pick 3 (4-6) / Exacta /Trifecta / Daily Double 4-5



Claiming $4,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 4:00P


FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE FEBRUARY 7, 2020 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $4,000 OR LESS. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 22 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 7 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 7, 2020 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Stalker. IT'S DEBATABLE is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * IT'S DEBATABLE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. TRI COTTON: Horse has run a Good Race with in the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. VENEZUELAN WARRIOR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CU RLINS VOW: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



3

IT'S DEBATABLE

9/5


3/1




5

TRI COTTON

3/1


8/1




4

VENEZUELAN WARRIOR

10/1


8/1




9

CURLINS VOW

4/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




5

TRI COTTON

5


3/1

Front-runner

79


69


53.6


69.8


61.8




1

NOBLE QUEST

1


10/1

Front-runner

68


58


41.8


41.8


25.3




3

IT'S DEBATABLE

3


9/5

Stalker

78


75


52.1


75.8


72.8




8

OLYMPIC BID

8


7/2

Trailer

76


66


30.0


66.8


56.8




9

CURLINS VOW

9


4/1

Alternator/Trailer

73


69


54.6


69.2


60.7




4

VENEZUELAN WARRIOR

4


10/1

Alternator/Trailer

80


74


54.0


68.3


63.8




2

GLENNEVAN

2


5/1

Alternator/Non-contender

74


68


54.2


63.6


51.6




7

KID'S KID

7


2/1

Alternator/Non-contender

70


61


40.0


50.0


33.0




6

MATCH PLAY

6


5/2

Alternator/Non-contender

77


66


22.8


47.4


39.4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Golden Hour Wagers - Race #1 - Post: 5:08pm - Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $65,000 Class Rating: 94

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 HOTITUDE (ML=6/1)
#5 MISS BIGLY (ML=6/1)


HOTITUDE - Mare took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. Hernandez and Mulhall getting together are a horse gambler's friend. This mare is in fine condition, having run a good race on January 10th, finishing first. That 93 fig this mare registered in her last event tells me she's a main player in today's event. MISS BIGLY - Changes tracks from last out at Churchill Downs to here. Multiple wins at different tracks tell me this horse likes to switch it up, so that's a good sign. You'll be generating profits left and right by turning your gambling cash onto this jock/trainer combination.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 EDGEWAY (ML=6/5), #1 ACTING OUT (ML=5/2), #2 QUALITY RESPONSE (ML=3/1),

EDGEWAY - This filly hasn't had any recent accomplishments in sprint affairs. I find it hard to wager on her in this contest. ACTING OUT - Finished sixth last time. Would have to get better to land in the top three in today's race. QUALITY RESPONSE - This filly finished out of the money on Oct 6th and wasn't even close last time out either.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #3 HOTITUDE on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $40000 Class Rating: 72

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 7 DOOR BUSTER 7/2




# 1 LIKELY CHOICE 7/2




# 3 INDIAN HEART 5/1




DOOR BUSTER looks solid to best this field. Has been running soundly and has among the most favorable speed in the race for today's distance. With a formidable jockey who has won at a competitive 23 percent rate over the last month. This has to be one of the top selections. Could best this group here, showing very good numbers of late. LIKELY CHOICE - Has performed admirably as of late in sprint races, posting a nifty 60 avg speed figure. The Lasix change (with second time Lasix) may spark a turnaround for this filly. INDIAN HEART - This pick will feel the med change - on Lasix today. A solid 76 avg class rating may give this filly a distinct class edge versus this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Oaklawn Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $82000 Class Rating: 75

FOR ARKANSAS BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 11 LOVELY LOU 5/1




# 1 MY DAMS ATITUDE 8/1




# 9 STORMY SUNRISE 30/1




I've got to go with LOVELY LOU. Could provide positive profits based on competitive recent speed figures with an average of 64. The speed rating of 62 from her most recent race looks solid in here. Formidable average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this horse a key contender. MY DAMS ATITUDE - Change in Lasix (with second time Lasix) may be the recipe to a return to the races. Puhl has a reliable 17 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. STORMY SUNRISE - The equipment change of blinkers going off today ought to make a difference.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #7 - Post: 3:20pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $14,350 Class Rating: 75

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 MONETIZED (ML=8/1)
#10 PASCAL (ML=10/1)
#12 MUST BE A MONSTER (ML=15/1)


MONETIZED - Burgos and Robinson partnered together are a horseplayer's friend. Gelding has shown some pace. This shorter distance should be better for him. Finished out of the money last out at Tampa Bay Downs, but was within five lengths of the winner. Opening at 8/1 makes me think he's got a chance. PASCAL - First time starter here. An overlooked stat is the breeding, especially the dam. Dam's foals have won 50 percent of the time as first-timers. I like the fact that this first time starter's recent works have been over this track. Hemingway is giving this one Lasix for the first time. Very nice. MUST BE A MONSTER - Look at this pattern of improvement. 46/49/60 are the last 3 speed ratings.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 DRAMATIC KITTEN (ML=3/1), #8 SWIFT KID (ML=4/1), #9 RED HOOD (ML=5/1),

DRAMATIC KITTEN - Tough to keep following this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. Finished third in his most recent race with a substandard fig. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this group. SWIFT KID - This animal doesn't have a conquering make-up. Very often finishes in the place or show spot. RED HOOD - I cannot play this continual non-winner. Gets the job completed occasionally.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#3 MONETIZED to win at post-time odds of 3/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,10,12]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [3,10,12] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct



02/07/21, AQU, Race 3, 2.23 ET
02/07/21,AQU,3,7F [Dirt] 1:20:00 STAKES. Ruthless Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. By subscription of $100 each which should accompany the nominations; $500 to pass the entry box and an additional $500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental nomination payment of $1,000 (along with theentry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners of a Sweepstake other than State-Bred allowed 2 lbs.; of a race other than maiden, claiming, starter or State-Bred allowance allowed 4 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, January 23, 2021 with 16Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
4
Little Huntress
7/2
Carmouche K
Russell Brittany T.
JTL
43
27.91
1.43/$1


099.0258
1
Miss Brazil
Even
Cancel E
Dutrow Anthony W.
SEW
43
27.91
1.43/$1


097.4118
5
Gulf Coast
2/1
Franco M
Brisset Rodolphe
FC
43
27.91
1.43/$1


096.7228
2
Dealing Justice
4/1
Davis D
Handal Raymond


43
27.91
1.43/$1


094.5030
3
It Can
30/1
Vargas. Jr. J A
Rohena Rafael Jose


43
27.91
1.43/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.15, ROI 0.77/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.9742
[Category]Condition
[AllDirt]ActualPostNotGreaterThan9AndDistance7fOr71/2f

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo

Event: (101) Kansas City Chiefs at (102) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: February 7, 2021 6PM EST

Play: Total Under 56.0 (-115)

Free Play: KC/TB Under 56

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gianni the Greek

Event: (101) Kansas City Chiefs at (102) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: February 7, 2021 6PM EST

Play: (101) Total Combined Sacks : Over 3.5 (-150)

101) Total Combined Sacks : Over 3.5 (-150)…(2%)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Kansas City Chiefs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Super Bowl 55 Opening Odds - Chiefs favored over Buccaneers
Micah Roberts

Vegas ready for Super Bowl 55

It’s a dreamy Super Bowl 55 matchup featuring Tom Brady against Patrick Mahomes, a matchup that offers a little bit of intrigue for everyone to share opinions which makes for a tremendous betting event.

Moms, Grandma’s, the Priest, and the mailman will all have thoughts on who will win.

We have two weeks to wait for the game, but the talking of who will win began Sunday immediately after Brady beat the Packers at Lambeau Field to make his 10th Super Bowl.

The Buccaneers were 3.5-point underdogs in that game and they’ll be +3.5 against the defending champion Chiefs as well.

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened the Chiefs -3.5 with a total of 57.5 with 45 minutes left in the Chiefs eventual 38-24 win over the Bills.

Circa Sports opened the Chiefs -3 -120 as did William Hill books and both were quickly moved to -3.5. The South Point and MGM both opened -3.5.

“Mahomes against Brady is going to be huge,” Nevada BetMGM’s sportsbook director Jeff Stoneback said.

“Handle has been up all season despite less occupancy so I don’t see why the trend wouldn’t continue for the biggest game of the season. It’s been weird because six-figure wagers are a common thing now. I used to remember them all because that size of a bet was unique, but now that it’s a regular thing, I lose count of how many we took some weeks.”

Mobile wagering with lots of automated options has helped most books achieve bigger numbers this NFL season.

It’s easier than ever for people to bet and bet again in 2021 staying home during a pandemic, so why not set a record to commemorate it.

The Nevada record for Super Bowl sportsbook handle was $158 million in 2018 when the Eagles beat the Patriots and the highest win was $19.67 million in 2014 when the Seahawks thrashed the Broncos, 43-8.

I can tell you this, the soft spot for your Grandma will be 43-year-old Tom Brady, who just played in his 14th conference championship game.

He comes off seven straight wins while scoring 30-points or more in their last six.

He won all three playoff games on the road. They’ve got some serious momentum heading into Tampa.

Yes, the game is on their home field, the first team ever to play a Super Bowl on their home field.

Chiefs get early action

Early money showed up on the Chiefs at -3 -120, but that was more about the number. Or was it?

BetMGM’s Jason Scott said they took $50K on the Chiefs -3.5 and $150K on the Chiefs money-line at -180 shortly after the line was posted.

Or maybe it’s just the “what we saw last” type of betting.

The Chiefs are back covering after going 1-8 ATS in their previous nine games, one of which was a Week 12 game at Tampa Bay they won 27-24 but didn’t cover -3.5. The Bucs have not lost since that meeting.

Super Bowl 55 Adjustments Coming?

Where will the line go, up or down?

William Hill’s Nick Bogdanovich, who is booking his 27th or 29th Super Bowl, says it will stay 3 or 3.5 the entire next two weeks.

Station Casinos sportsbook director is hoping for something different.

“I was praying for two-way action at 3.5 but I expect to see Bucs money take it down,” Jason McCormick said.

And then how long do you stay at 3, the most key number in the NFL, before jumping down to 2.5? The books don’t want to push on 3, but they also don’t want to get middle by going to 2.5.

A Black Sunday happened after the 1978 season with the Steelers and Cowboys in Super Bowl 13. Only a handful of books around in Nevada back then with low limits compared to now. A Black Sunday in 2021 would be devastating.

We’ll see how it all unfolds the next two weeks and I’ll report what I see and thoughts on where the number may be going.

My advice shortly after the number was posted Sunday is to take the Bucs +3.5 and money-line sooner than later if you like them and if you like the Chiefs wait for -2.5.

One thing I’ve noticed in recent Super Bowls is that public opinion completely flips sides from what was bet the first two or three days.

Sharp money doesn’t matter as much as the regular season and gets lost in all the public money piling up.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Super Bowl LV: Bet Now, Bet Later
Jason Logan

The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl LV at Raymond James Stadium on February 7—a default home game for the Bucs, who opened as Big Game underdogs.

But no matter the matchup, from preseason to regular season to Super Bowl, the sharpest NFL betting strategy is always to get the best of the number. We look at the opening spread and total and early line movements, giving you our best betting tips of the wagers to make now and the ones to make later.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3) vs Kansas City Chiefs: Bet Later

Never has a team played a Super Bowl on their own turf and despite that fact, the Buccaneers are giving a field goal to the “visiting” Chiefs in Super Bowl LV.

Offshore operators posted odds on the potential Super Bowl matchup at halftime of the AFC Championship Game, actually dealing K.C. as low as -2.5 before a quick move to Kansas City -3. The vig shifted dramatically over the final two quarters of the Chiefs’ beatdown of the Buffalo Bills and the recency bias (people are going to react to what they saw last) pushed it even further, with some shops dealing Kansas City -3.5 (-105)/Tampa Bay +3.5 (-115) and others maxing the vig on Chiefs -3 (-125) to cling to the key number.

If you're on the home underdog Bucs, don’t buy it at a field goal: wait it out and get that half-point hook. In discussions with oddsmakers following Tampa Bay’s win over the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship, Covers’ writer Patrick Everson was told home field in the Super Bowl could be worth between 0.5 and 1.5 points to the spread. The Bucs could do for some home cooking, after winning three straight playoff road games to get Tom Brady back to the Big Game.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs (Over 57.5): Bet Now

The current Super Bowl LV total is sitting at 57.5 points—tied with Super Bowl LI for the highest Over/Under in Big Game history. That infamous game (which also featured Brady) needed overtime to get Over the number. This one probably won’t need any help and could sniff 60 points by the time Super Sunday rolls around.

Given that Tampa Bay has posted scores of 31, 30, and 31 points in those road postseason stops, bettors should feel pretty good about the Bucs sharing the scoring load in Super Bowl LV, especially since Kansas City looks like the weakest defense Tampa has faced so far in the tournament.

The Chiefs finally snapped out of their offensive slumber versus Buffalo, dropping 38 points on the Bills with a relentless big-play attack. Kansas City had been scuffing its feet on offense for more than a month but put up its second-highest point total of the season in the AFC title game—and looked just as dangerous as it did at its 2020 peak.

These teams clashed in Week 12, with Kansas City winning 27-24 (as 3.5-point road chalk) and playing Under the 56-point total. However, Brady and Bucs were mired in an offensive slump at the time and neither team was great in the red zone. There are plenty more points to be squeezed from the Chiefs and Buccaneers in Super Bowl LV. If you’re leaning Over, bet that bad boy now before it breaks the all-time Over/Under record.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hot & Not Report - Super Bowl 55 Angles
Matt Blunt

Super Bowl Betting Angles

I couldn't even follow my own advice from last week's piece in waiting for the NFC Championship game to conclude before taking a piece of the Buffalo Bills last week.

Couldn't have felt worse holding a Bills ticket after Green Bay lost, knowing that last week's piece outlined how at least one #1 seed makes the Super Bowl when both make the Conference Finals.

That trend continued to 25 of 26 seasons now that it's happened, although it was one of just a thing or two mentioned last week that held true to form.

Tampa Bay got to the Super Bowl after starting the year 0-1 – only the 9th team to do so since realignment and quarterback Tom Brady and the Buccaneers were just the 2nd team in the past 10 years (2011 NYG) to make the Super Bowl after having 5+ losses after Thanksgiving, and for the 3rd time in 19 years we get a Super Bowl matchup that's a rematch from a regular season game that same season.

That's not even mentioning the big “first time” that happened with the Bucs being the first NFL team to play a Super Bowl in their own stadium. Leave it to Brady to continue being responsible for firsts though.

The Bucs still have to try and dodge the fact that 23 of the past 30 Super Bowl winners since 1990 have made the playoffs the year prior, and the fact that Super Bowl QB's who threw for more TD's than their counterpart during the regular season are 6-14 SU since 2000 and 0-5 SU the past five years.

But Tampa's here, and that's all you can ask for as a player, hoping a few breaks and bounces go your way to become a Super Bowl champion.

Brady is going to historic 10th Super Bowl this week and with a 6-3 straight up record in those previous nine Super Bowls, Brady's got to be happy he's in the NFC now, as all three of those Super Bowl losses came to NFC East teams - New York Giants (2) and Philadelphia.

That being said, there are more historical perspectives to bring up for the big game to help with the handicap, as it's hard for anyone to get where they want to be without at least a little bit of help along the way.

Even the great “Tom Brady” and his six Super Bowl rings can attest to that.

Who's Hot

Super Bowl point-spreads that have closed at -3 or -3.5 have gone 7-4-1 O/U overall and is 4-1 O/U since 2000

1974 - Steelers (-3) 16 vs. Vikings 6, Favorite-Under (33)
1978 - Steelers (-3.5) 35 vs. Cowboys 31, Favorite-Over(37)
1980 - Raiders (+3) 27 vs. Eagles 10, Underdog-Under (37.5)
1982 - Redskins (+3) 27 vs. Dolphins 17, Underdog-Over (36.5)
1983 - Raiders (+3) 38 vs. Redskins 9, Underdog-Under (48)
1984 - 49ers (-3) 38 vs. Dolphins 16, Favorite-Push (54)
1987 - Redskins (+3.5) 42 vs. Broncos 10, Underdog-Over (47)
2000 - Ravens (-3) 34 vs. Giants 7, Favorite-Over (34)
2002 - Buccaneers (+3.5) 48 vs. Raiders 23, Underdog-Over (44)
2010 - Packers (-3) 31 vs. Steelers 25, Favorite-Over (45)
2011 - Giants (+3) 21 vs. Patriots 17, Underdog-Under (53)
2016 - Patriots (-3) 34 vs. Falcons 28 (OT), Favorite-Over (57)

The point-spread result is split evenly at 6-6 ATS for favorites/underdogs in those 12 previous Super Bowls, with favorites alternating wins and losses the last eight tries dating back all the way to the Raiders beating Washington 38-9 as underdogs in 1983.

Tom Brady was involved in each of the two most recent occurrences, beating the Falcons and covering as a favorite in that wild Super Bowl a few years ago thanks to a walk-off TD in OT, but prior to that was their loss to the Giants in 2012 as a -3 point favorite.

Should that eight-game pattern of favorites and underdogs flipping each opportunity continue, the pattern for this year calls for Brady and the Bucs to hoist that Lombardi Trophy as the underdog, but that remains to be seen because in the history of the Super Bowl, SB participants that are attempting to repeat like Kansas City is have been successful in eight of 12 tries

SBLII (52) Philadelphia Eagles 41 New England Patriots 33 (Loss)
SBLI (51) New England Patriots 34 Atlanta Falcons 28

SBXLIX (49) New England Patriots 28 Seattle Seahawks 24 (Loss)
SBXLVIII (48) Seattle Seahawks 43 Denver Broncos 8

SBXXXIX (39) New England Patriots 24 Philadelphia Eagles 21 (Repeat)
SBXXXVIII (38) New England Patriots 32 Carolina Panthers 29

SBXXXIII (33) Denver Broncos 34 Atlanta Falcons 19 (Repeat)
SBXXXII (32) Denver Broncos 31 Green Bay Packers 24 (Loss)
SBXXXI (31) Green Bay Packers 35 New England Patriots 21

SBXXVIII (28) Dallas Cowboys 30 Buffalo Bills 13 (Repeat)
SBXXVII (27) Dallas Cowboys 52 Buffalo Bills 17

SBXXIV (24) San Francisco 49ers 55 Denver Broncos 10 (Repeat)
SBXXIII (23) San Francisco 49ers 20 Cincinnati Bengals 16

SBXVIII (18) Los Angeles Raiders 38 Washington Redskins 9 (Loss)
SBXVII (17) Washington Redskins 27 Miami Dolphins 17

SBXIV (14) Pittsburgh Steelers 31 Los Angeles Rams 19 (Repeat)
SBXIII (13) Pittsburgh Steelers 35 Dallas Cowboys 31 (Loss) SBXII (12) Dallas Cowboys 27 Denver Broncos 10

SBX (10) Pittsburgh Steelers 21 Dallas Cowboys 17 (Repeat)
SBIX (9) Pittsburgh Steelers 16 Minnesota Vikings 6

SBVIII (8) Miami Dolphins 24 Minnesota Vikings 7 (Repeat)
SBVII (7) Miami Dolphins 14 Washington Redskins 7

SBII (2) Green Bay Packers 33 Oakland Raiders 14 (Repeat)
SBI (1) Green Bay Packers 35 Kansas City Chiefs 1

Also interesting to note that in terms of SB Most Valuable Player award, three of the seven times a running back has won came in these games that were lined at -3 or -3.5, one of which came in Tampa when Marcus Allen won it in the early 1980's.
Super Bowl MVPs in Games with Spread of -3, -3.5

1974 RB Franco Harris
1978 QB Terry Bradshaw
1980 QB Jim Plunkett
1982 RB John Riggins
1983 RB Marcus Allen
1984 QB Joe Montana
1987 QB Doug Williams
2000 LB Ray Lewis
2002 CB Dexter Jackson
2010 QB Aaron Rodgers
2011 QB Eli Manning
2016 QB Tom Brady

Both KC and Tampa Bay tend to prefer the running back by committee approach this year and it will be hard for any of those names to even get enough plays called for them to have a big enough impact in the SB MVP race.

But there are some juicy MVP odds out there on some of those guys, and if there ever was a time to go a little off the beaten path of “Superbowl MVP is always a QB”, a 25% connection rate (RB's have won 3 times in 12 SB games lined -3/-3.5) on a RB winning the award in this specific point-spread situation may not be a horrible idea.

Getting back to the strong run of 'overs' in these Super Bowls though, these title games with spreads of a FG have seen an average of 49 points per game scored throughout its entire history, but in four occasions since realignment, that number bumps up to 56.25 points per game (4 games), with only Brady's second loss to the New York Giants coming in below 56 total points in those four games.

Even counting the Super Bowls in the 70's and early 80's when lined NFL totals never got out of the 30's, of the 12 Super Bowls in this spread range, half of them (6) have finished with 50+ points in them, with three of those hitting in the 60's.

Given that the total for this Buccaneers/Chiefs game has spent most of the early time this week floating around at 56 or 56.5, the number is basically right on the average for these -3 lined Super Bowls.

What that does to this O/U run remains to be seen, but if you needed another reason to expect to see plenty of points in Super Bowl 55, the historical angle with this point-spread is there for more support.

Who's Not

“Under” bettors in 2020 NFL games that closed with a -3/-3.5 point spread went 23-35-3 against the number

2020-21 NFL Results (Odds of -3, -3.5)

There have been seven games this season where a team was favored by -3 or -3.5 and they won straight up but failed to cover the spread or it ended as a push (tie), which translates into a win-cover percentage for favorites (-3,-3.5) at 81.8% this season.

Just something to thinking about if you're waiting for a so-called "better number" for Super Bowl 55.

Favorites-Underdogs (SU): 34-27
Favorites-Underdogs (ATS): 27-33-1
Over-Under: 35-23-3

Obviously another way to say that there is even more recent support for 'over' action in this Super Bowl than just the past Super Bowls with spreads of a FG, as 61 different NFL games this year closed in that range, and the 'over' cashed at a 57.3% clip. “Insert chart with 2020 games -3/-3.5 (Sheet 1 on spreadsheet with all 3/3.5 games)”

Interestingly enough, the O/U record for Kansas City in those games this year was 2-1-1 O/U after last week's 'over' against Buffalo cashed.

There was a push on 54 in a 34-20 win over Baltimore, an 'over' 54 connecting on the Chiefs 32-29 win over the Saints, and most importantly the 27-24 win over this same Tampa Bay team accounting for the lone 'under' for Kansas City in that regard.

Hard also not to make note of the fact that Kansas City went 4-0 SU in all those games as well.

On the Tampa Bay side of things, they went 1-3 O/U in games that closed with them as a favorite or underdog of 3/3.5, with last week's win over Green Bay being the lone 'over' of the season.

The 'under' vs KC was already mentioned, but a 20-19 loss to Chicago when Brady forgot how many downs were left was another one of those games for Tampa this year, while that 38-3 SNF beatdown the Saints gave them in easily cashing an 'under' ticket.

Hard not to put together the fact that Tampa Bay was 1-3 SU in those games either, and had Green Bay executed better and made some better decisions throughout that game, we could be looking at an 0-4 SU record for Tampa Bay in this point-spread range this year.

One more note on this total for the Super Bowl.

As you can see in the earlier chart here, all the 2020 games that closed with a line in the -3/3.5 range and had a total of 50 or more points, went 25-12-3 O/U this year.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

101KANSAS CITY -102 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) vs. poor defenses (>=5.65 YPP) in the current season.

101KANSAS CITY -102 TAMPA BAY
KANSAS CITY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season in the current season.

101KANSAS CITY -102 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Long Sheet

Championship

Sunday, February 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (16 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (14 - 5) - 2/7/2021, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Championship

Trend Report


Sunday, February 7

Kansas City @ Tampa Bay
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Super Bowl 55 Betting Angles

Betcha Didn’t Know
Super Bowl 55 Betting Trends & Angles

Super Bowl LV between the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be the 55th installment of the NFL’s big game on Sunday Feb. 7, 2021 from Tampa, Florida.

If you’re a bettor that likes to rationalize his position on a particular wager, then look no further.

The staff have uncovered 55 Super Betting Angles with hopes of helping you strengthen your thought process on all of your side, total and prop wagers on the Chiefs and Bucs.

Good Luck and enjoy!

55 Super Betting Angles

1 - There have been eight Super Bowl champions that have repeated but only 1 player to double-up on the Most Valuable Player award, which was Bart Starr of the Green Bay Packers in SBI and SBII. If Kansas City wins and you’re buying this trend, you might want to leave quarterback Patrick Mahomes (the MVP favorite) off your ticket list.

2 - The amount of Super Bowl victories (2) by teams currently in the NFC South (Buccaneers in 2002 and Saints in 2009).

3 - Tampa Bay owns a 14-5 record entering SB55 but three of the losses have come at night and that includes a 0-2 record at Raymond James Stadium.

Week 9 - Bucs 3 Saints 38
Week 11 - Bucs 24 Rams 27

4 - The Chiefs are making their fourth Super Bowl appearance. Kansas City rallied past San Francisco last February, 31-20, as the Chiefs are playing in their third different city in the Southeast in the Super Bowl (New Orleans, Miami, Tampa).

5 - This will be the fifth Super Bowl played in the city of Tampa, Florida. The AFC has gone 3-1 in the first four installments for the city that’s also known as “Cigar City”, “The Big Guava” and also “The Lightning Capital of the World.”

6 - We’ve seen six teams cover the spread in a loss as an underdog in Super Bowl history. The last club to cash in a defeat was the Arizona Cardinals in SB XLIII against Pittsburgh in Tampa in a 27-23 setback as seven-point ‘dogs.

7 - The Buccaneers are riding a seven-game winning streak heading into Super Sunday. The last NFC team to own a seven-game hot stretch going into the Super Bowl was the 2000 Giants. They lost in Tampa as three-point underdogs to the Ravens.

8 - There have only been eight back-to-back Super Bowl champions. Kansas City will be looking to become the 9th. The last team to win two straight Super Bowls was New England (2003-04), who were led by quarterback Tom Brady.

9 - The Chiefs have surrendered nine rushing touchdowns since Oct. 25. None of the nine rushing touchdowns allowed by Kansas City has been for over four yards.

10 - This is the 10th Super Bowl appearance for Tom Brady, who is seeking his seventh championship. This marks only the second time the legendary quarterback is listed as an underdog in the Super Bowl with the first coming in his debut in the 2001 upset of the Rams.

11 - Eleven times in Tom Brady’s career he has thrown at least 10 interceptions in a season. In the last six seasons Brady has thrown double-digit picks, his team won the Super Bowl only once, coming back in 2018 when the Patriots held off the Rams.

12 - This is the 12th Super Bowl with a total of 50 or higher. The ‘under’ has gone 8-3 in the first 11 Super Bowls involving a total of 50 or more, including last season’s 31-20 win by the Chiefs over the 49ers.

13 - There have been 13 situations where a head coach was making his debut in the Super Bowl versus a head coach with Super Bowl experience. This situation has happened in each of the last three seasons and only Philadelphia's Doug Pederson bested New England's Bill Belichick in the first-time role. Sean McVay and Kyle Shanahan both came up short for the Rams and 49ers respectively.

14 - In nine Super Bowl appearances, Tom Brady was installed as an underdog twice. The largest spread came in Super Bowl XXXVI in 2002, when the New England Patriots (+14) upset the St. Louis Rams 20-17. As a 'dog overall in the postseason, Brady has been a very sound investment (8-3 SU, 8-3 ATS).
Brady Underdog Playoff History

2020 - Bucs (+3.5) 31 at Packers 26, Over 53
2020 - Bucs (+3) 30 at Saints 20, Under 53.5
2019 - Patriots (+3) 37 at Chiefs 31, Over 56
2015 - Patriots (+1) 28 vs. Seahawks 24, Over 47.5 (SB 49)
2014 - Patriots (+4.5) 16 at Broncos 26, Under 56.5
2007 - Patriots (+3.5) 34 at Colts 38, Over 47
2007 - Patriots (+4.5) 24 at Chargers 21, Under 46
2006 - Patriots (+3) 13 at Broncos 27, Under 45.5
2005 - Patriots (+1) 20 vs. Colts 13, Under 51
2002 - Patriots (+14) 20 vs. Rams 17, Under 53
2002 - Patriots (+8) 24 at Steelers 17, Over 36 (SB 36)

15 - In the eight games played by the Bucs from Raymond James Stadium this season, the average margin of victory was 15 points (14.9 PPG) and that included two games decided by exactly three points.

16 - Chiefs’ quarterback Patrick Mahomes owns a 16-1 record in his last 17 games played away from Arrowhead Stadium dating back to the start of the 2019 season (11-6 ATS).

17 - Kansas City head coach Andy Reid owns a 17-14 career postseason record, 7-5 with the Chiefs and 10-9 during his previous tenure with Philadelphia. More importantly, he’s 6-1 with Mahomes as his QB and the lone loss came in overtime to guess who -- Tom Brady.

18 - Tampa Bay QB Tom Brady has tossed for 18 touchdowns in his nine Super Bowl appearances and he had 2-plus in six of the finales.

19 - The Buccaneers are playing in their 19th playoff game in franchise history on Sunday. Tampa Bay owns a 9-9 record in the postseason since entering the league in 1976.

20 - Tampa Bay has covered a +3.5-point spread in four straight games when getting exactly 20 first downs. One of those four games was against New Orleans in the NFC Divisional Round, and the other was on Nov. 29 against the Kansas City Chiefs.

21 - In three Super Bowl losses, Tom Brady-led offensive units were held to 21.3 points per game.

22 - Quarterbacks are getting most of the attention for both teams but the scoring defense for Tampa Bay (22.3) and Kansas City (22.4) shouldn’t be ignored, ranked 9th and 10th respectively.

23 - Tom Brady has been picked off in 23 of his 44 career playoff appearances and that includes picks in five of his nine Super Bowls.

24 - Chiefs quarterbacks have been sacked a total of 24 times this season - Patrick Mahomes (22) and Chad Henne (2) the victims.

25 - In the first 25 Super Bowls, the favorites have gone 17-8 against the spread. In the last 29, the underdogs have produced a 14-12-2 ATS mark. Super Bowl 49 between the Patriots and Seahawks closed at a pick 'em.

26 - According to the Nevada Gaming Commission, sportsbooks have posted a “profit” in 26 of the last 28 Super Bowls. The two matchups they lost on came in 1995 when San Francisco annihilated San Diego and in 2008 when the Giants upset the Patriots.

When it comes to winning money on Super Bowls, no other legal US state can come close to Nevada's track record. (VI)

27 - Bucs QB Tom Brady owns a 7-5 career record versus the Kansas City Chiefs and his offensive units have averaged 27 points per game in those 12 games.

28 - Patrick Mahomes has played against 10 NFC opponents in his young career and he’s led the Chiefs to a 8-2 record while tossing an eye-opening 28 touchdowns to four interceptions. FYI - Mahomes and KC are 4-0 against the NFC South.

29 - Mahomes had never completed at least 29 passes in a playoff game until reaching that number in this year’s AFC Championship victory over the Bills. In last season’s Super Bowl win over the 49ers, Mahomes connected on 26 passes on 42 attempts, which is a career-high in his short postseason career.

30 - Quarterbacks have won the Super Bowl MVP 30 times in history. To no one surprise, both Mahomes and Brady are the favorites to capture this prestigious honor. Mahomes hoisted the MVP trophy last February and Brady is the only four-time winner in this category.

31 - Tampa Bay has scored exactly 31 points in three of its last six games, winners in all six games.

32 - Tampa Bay has seen opponents score 32 red zone touchdowns (62.7%), which is ranked 19th. Kansas City owns the worst red zone scoring percentage in the league (74%).

33 - Tom Brady has compiled a 33-11 playoff record in his career with the Patriots and Buccaneers, including a 6-3 mark in the Super Bowl.

34 - Since 1979, there have been 34 teams that were not top seeds in their conference that made the Super Bowl. The 2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ squad that beat the Raiders was one of those clubs, as Jon Gruden’s team finished at 12-4 and the second seed behind Philadelphia, who they demolished in the NFC Championship.

35 - When playing with rest, the Chiefs are averaging 35.7 PPG with Mahomes under center and Andy Reid on the sidelines.

36 - Tom Brady captured his first Super Bowl MVP in SBXXXVI (36), the first of four. He’s one of five players with multiple SB MVPs, all quarterbacks, and he’ll go to 5 and move two ahead of Joe Montana (3) in the record books.

37 - The most completions Mahomes had in a game this season came in the Week 12 win at Tampa Bay. Mahomes attempted a season-high 49 passes and connected on 37 of them, marking one of five games this season in which he completed at least 75% of his throws.

38 - Patrick Mahomes has lost four games outside of Kansas City in his career and it wasn’t for his offensive heroics as the Chiefs averaged 38.5 PPG in the defeats.

2019 - Chiefs 32 at Titans 35
2018 - Chiefs 31 at Seahawks 38
2018 - Chiefs 51 at Rams 54
2018 - Chiefs 40 at Patriots 43

39 - In Super Bowl 39 (XXXIX), New England defeated Philadelphia 24-21 but failed to cover as a seven-point favorite. This was one of two games where the underdog, in this case the Eagles, scored late to affect the point-spread. The other backdoor cover came in SBXIII when Pittsburgh defeated Dallas 35-31. The Cowboys trailed 35-17 and scored 14 points in the final three minutes.

40 - In nine of his 53 career starts, Mahomes has helped the Chiefs score 40-plus points. Surprisingly, KC lost two of those shootouts (See 38).

41 - Six times in Super Bowl history a team has scored at least 41 points. The Eagles pulled off this feat recently in a 41-33 victory over the Patriots. It was the first time in Super Bowl history that a team scored at least 41 points and didn't win by double-digits.

42 - Tampa Bay has scored 42 red zone touchdowns this season (68.9%), which was ranked fifth in the NFL.

43 - The most passes Tom Brady has completed in the postseason was 43, which came in New England’s 34-28 overtime win in Super Bowl 51 against Atlanta.

44 - Tom Brady has played in his 44 career playoff games, compiling an insane 33-11 (.750) record. However, Brady has never won four playoff games in a single postseason in his career.

45 - The largest margin of victory in a Super Bowl was 45 points, which came in 1990 when the San Francisco 49ers blasted the Denver Broncos 55-10 in SBXXIV.

46 - In their first and only Super Bowl appearance, the Buccaneers outscored the Raiders 28-18 in the second-half of SB37. The combined 46 points were the most scored in a second-half of a finale.

47 - Buccaneers’ coach Bruce Arians has lost 47 regular season games in his career. The 47 losses were fewer than the likes of veteran coaches Bill Belichick (55) and Pete Carroll (54). We mention those two future Hall of Famers because they both won their first Super Bowl appearance with teams they did not start their NFL coaching career with - Belichick (Browns) and Carroll (Jets).

48 - Tampa Bay has only had one Super Bowl appearance (37) in franchise history and the team exploded for a 48-21 win over Oakland in 2003.

49 - From 2011 through 2019, the Buccaneers won only 49 games, compared to 95 losses. Tampa Bay didn’t make the playoffs during that nine-year stretch, as Arizona in 2008 was the last NFC team to qualify for the Super Bowl following a nine-year span of no playoff appearances.

50 - Kansas City and Tampa Bay combined for five pass plays of at least 50 yards this season. Chiefs’ wide receiver Tyreek Hill is responsible for three big plays, including a 75-yard touchdown against the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay’s longest pass plays came courtesy of wideout Chris Godwin (52 yards) at Green Bay in the NFC title game and Mike Evans (50 yards) against Carolina in Week 2.

51 - The Chiefs (27) and Buccaneers (24) combined for 51 points in their regular season encounter on Nov. 29, 2020, which led to a winning ‘under’ (56) ticket.

52 - The combined average for total points in a game for both teams this season was 52.5. Games played inside Raymond James Stadium see an average of 52.4 points per game.

53 - When player props were released, both punters were listed with their longest gross punt at 53 ½ yards. Kansas City’s Tommy Townsend booted 14 of 52 punts this season of 54 yards of more. Tampa Bay’s Bradley Pinion posted only 10 punts of more than 54 yards in 64 tries.

54 - While some conferences like to have bragging rights, that's not the case in the Super Bowl. Through 54 NFL finales, the AFC and NFC have posted a 27-27 stalemate against one another.

55 - This is the fifth Super Bowl with a total of 55 or higher. The ‘under’ has cashed in three of the first four instances, with the lone ‘over’ hitting in Super Bowl LI between the Patriots and Falcons, which needed overtime to cash.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Since 1995, #3 or lower seeds in Super Bowls.

1997— #4 AFC Denver (+11.5) W31-24
1999— #4 AFC Tennessee (+7) L16-23
2000— #4 AFC Baltimore (-3) W34-7
2003— #3 NFC Carolina (+7) L29-32
2005— #6 AFC Pittsburgh (-4) W21-10
2006— #3 AFC Indianapolis (-6.5) W29-17
2007— #5 NFC NJ Giants (+12) W17-14
2008— #4 NFC Arizona (+7) L23-27
2010— #6 NFC Green Bay (-2.5) W31-25
2011— #4 NFC NJ Giants (+3) W21-17
2012— #4 AFC Baltimore (+4.5) W34-31

Since 1995, #3 or worse seeds in Super Bowl: 8-3 SU, 10-0-1 ATS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

795CINCINNATI -796 TULANE
TULANE is 66-121 ATS (-67.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.

797IOWA -798 INDIANA
INDIANA is 54-28 ATS (23.2 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game since 1997.

801TOWSON ST -802 COLL OF CHARLESTON
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 105-136 ATS (-44.6 Units) in home games since 1997.

803EVANSVILLE -804 LOYOLA-IL
LOYOLA-IL is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

807DRAKE -808 VALPARAISO
DRAKE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the current season.

809DREXEL -810 HOFSTRA
DREXEL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

811GEORGETOWN -812 VILLANOVA
VILLANOVA is 154-112 ATS (30.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders since 1997.

815TEMPLE -816 WICHITA ST
WICHITA ST is 19-7 ATS (11.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

817INDIANA ST -818 N IOWA
N IOWA is 15-6 ATS (8.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

821BOISE ST -822 NEVADA
NEVADA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Sunday, February 7

Cincinnati @ Tulane
Cincinnati (4-7, 2-4)
— ranked #88 by KenPom
— Tempo: #71
— Experience: #214
— Continuity: #213
— Bearcats won at Temple Thursday, their first game in 25 days.
— Cincy is shooting 28.4% on arc (#327)
— Bearcats’ last five games were all decided by 7 or fewer points.

Tulane (7-6, 2-6)
— ranked #179 by KenPom
— Tempo: #257
— Experience: #333
— Continuity: #308
— Tulane lost four of its last five games.
— Green Wave has #338 eFG% in country.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Tulane is forcing turnovers 22.0% of time (#41)

— Cincinnati won six of last seven series games.
— Bearcats won three of last four visits to Bourbon Street.

Iowa @ Indiana
Iowa (13-5, 7-4)
— ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #95
— Experience: #187
— Continuity: #46
— Iowa lost three of its last four games.
— Hawkeyes are 12-0 when they allow fewer than 80 points.
— Iowa has #16 eFG% in country.

Indiana (9-8, 4-6)
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #300
— Experience: #288
— Continuity: #82
— Hoosiers lost four of their last six games.
— Indiana lost its last three home games.
— Hoosiers lost 6 of last 7 times they scored fewer than 80 points.

— Hoosiers won 81-69 at Iowa January 11.
— Indiana won seven of last ten series games.
— Hawkeyes lost four of last five visits to Indiana.

Georgetown @ Villanova
Georgetown (5-8, 3-5)
— ranked #94 by KenPom
— Tempo: #129
— Experience: #50
— Continuity: #244
— Hoyas won last two games, after a 1-6 skid.
— Georgetown is 1-3 on Big East road, losing by 11-11-8 points.
— Hoyas are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#270)

Villanova (11-2, 6-1)
— ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #332
— Experience: #135
— Continuity: #8
— Villanova is 9-1 in last 10 games, losing at St John’s Wednesday.
— Wildcats are 3-0 in Big East home games, winning by 19-2-15 points.
— Villanova has #54 eFG% in country.

— Villanova won 76-63 at Georgetown December 11.
— Wildcats won 11 of last 12 series games.
— Hoyas lost their last eight visits to Villanova, all by 10+ points.

Temple @ Wichita State
Temple (4-6, 3-6)
— ranked #146 by KenPom
— Tempo: #155
— Experience: #232
— Continuity: #292
— Temple lost three of its last four games.
— Owls lost two of three on road, by 26 at Houston, by 11 at SMU
— Temple has #313 eFG% in country.

Wichita State (10-4, 6-2)
— ranked #80 by KenPom
— Tempo: #136
— Experience: #134
— Continuity: #232
— Wichita won four of its last five games.
— Shockers are 4-0 at home in ACC (3 wins by 8 or less points)
— Wichita has #306 eFG% in country.

— Wichita State is 4-3 in series games.
— Owls lost two of last three visits here, losing by 7-3 points.

Boise State @ Nevada
Boise State (14-3, 10-2)
— ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #152
— Experience: #76
— Continuity: #243
— Boise lost 2 of last 3 games, after a 13-1 start.
— Broncos won three of five Mountain West road games.
— Boise lost three of its five top 100 games.

Nevada (13-7, 8-5)
— ranked #100 by KenPom
— Tempo: #123
— Experience: #334
— Continuity: #301
— Nevada won its last three games, scoring 78.3 ppg.
— Wolf Pack won six of their seven MW home games.
— Nevada shot 62.9% inside arc in Friday nite’s win.

— Broncos lost 74-72 here Friday night; Nevada outscored Boise 14-7 over final 4:48.
— Nevada won nine of last ten series games.
— Broncos lost their last five games in Reno.

California @ Stanford
— ranked #148 by KenPom
— Tempo: #321
— Experience: #82
— Continuity: #99
— Cal lost its last five games, scoring 59.6 ppg.
— Golden Bears lost 6 of 7 Pac-12 road games, winning at Utah.
— Opponents are shooting 39.8% on arc (#341).

Stanford (11-7, 7-5)
— ranked #45 by KenPom
— Tempo: #96
— Experience: #295
— Continuity: #77
— Stanford lost four of its last seven games.
— Cardinal is turning ball over 21.0% of time in Pac-12 games (#11)
— Stanford lost 72-66 to USC in its only game at Maples Pavilion- they played most of their “home” games in Santa Cruz.

— Stanford won 70-55 in Berkeley Friday night- they shot 61.1% inside arc.
— Teams split last six series games.
— Golden Bears lost four of last seven games in Palo Alto.

Towson State @ Charleston
Towson State (3-11, 2-7)
— ranked #273 by KenPom
— Tempo: #263
— Experience: #216
— Continuity: #234
— Towson lost its last six games, last two by total of three points.
— Tigers are 0-4 on CAA road, with three losses by 13+ points.
— Towson has #307 eFG% in country (28.9% on arc, #321).

Charleston (6-8, 4-3)
— ranked #223 by KenPom
— Tempo: #340
— Experience: #100
— Continuity: #251
— Cougars won four of their last six games.
— Charleston won three of five CAA home games.
— Charleston has #281 eFG% defense in country.

— Towson lost 90-88 in double OT here yesterday- they led by 8 with 6:56 left.
— Charleston won last five series games.
— Tigers lost their last six visits to Charleston.

Drake @ Valparaiso
Drake (18-0, 9-0)
— ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #236
— Experience: #74
— Continuity: #179
— Drake has been down 10+ points in 4 of its last 10 games.
— Bulldogs have #26 eFG% defense in country.
— Drake is grabbing 35.2% of its missed shots (#18)

Valparaiso (6-12, 3-6)
— ranked #222 by KenPom
— Tempo: #213
— Experience: #278
— Continuity: #104
— Valpo lost its last three games, scoring 60 ppg
— Crusaders are 1-4 in MVC home games; the win was in double OT.
— Valpo has #293 eFG%; they’re shooting 29.2% on arc (#315)

— Drake won 80-77 here yesterday; they were down 10 at the half.
— Crusaders lost yesterday despite making 12-29 on arc.
— Drake won four of last five series games.
— Bulldogs split their last four games at Valpo.

Drexel @ Hofstra
Drexel (8-6, 3-4)
— ranked #154 by KenPom
— Tempo: #334
— Experience: #154
— Continuity: #4
— Drexel won two of its last three games, all on road.
— Dragons are shooting 54.2% inside arc (#46)
— Drexel lost three of their four top 200 games.

Hofstra (11-7, 7-4)
— ranked #163 by KenPom
— Tempo: #215
— Experience: #196
— Continuity: #79
— Hofstra won five of its last six games.
— Hofstra is 4-2 in ACC home games (losses by 3-2 points)
— Hofstra is shooting 31.2% on arc (#275)

— Drexel made 10-16 on arc, won 73-71 here yesterday.
— Hofstra had won previous 8 series games, before yesterday.
— Dragons lost six of their last seven visits to Hofstra.

Evansville @ Loyola Chi
Evansville (8-9, 6-5)
— ranked #228 by KenPom
— Tempo: #356
— Experience: #44
— Continuity: #231
— Evansville lost its last three road games, by 9-31-13 points.
— Purple Aces are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 35-9-13 points.
— Opponents are shooting 39.2% on arc (#333)

Loyola Chi (16-3, 11-1)
— ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #324
— Experience: #43
— Continuity: #14
— Ramblers won their last nine games.
— Loyola is 5-0 in MVC home games; all five wins were by 13+.
— Ramblers are forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#25).

— Loyola won yesterday’s meeting 68-55; Evansville took one foul shot.
— Ramblers won last seven series games.
— Purple Aces lost their last five visits here.

Missouri State @ Illinois State
Missouri State (10-5, 6-5)
— ranked #131 by KenPom
— Tempo: #100
— Experience: #222
— Continuity: #288
— Bears lost four of their last five games.
— Missouri State is 4-1 on road, 2-4 at home in Valley games.
— Bears are 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200.

Illinois State (5-13, 2-10)
— ranked #233 by KenPom
— Tempo: #109
— Experience: #332
— Continuity: #263
— Illinois State lost their last five games.
— Redbirds lost five of six MVC home games, beating Bradley.
— Illinois State is shooting 61.0% on foul line (#340).

— Missouri State shot 59.4% inside arc, won 74-67 here yesterday.
— Bears won four of last five series games.
— Missouri State won last two visits here, after losing previous eight.

Indiana State @ Northern Iowa
Indiana State (11-7, 8-5)
— ranked #129 by KenPom
— Tempo: #230
— Experience: #162
— Continuity: #68
— Sycamores won their last seven games.
— Indiana State is forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#34)
— Sycamores shot 56.7% inside arc in yesterday’s win.

Northern Iowa (5-12, 3-8)
— ranked #150 by KenPom
— Tempo: #106
— Experience: #283
— Continuity: #191
— UNI lost five of its last six D-I games.
— UNI lost three of its five Valley home games.
— Panthers have #307 eFG% defense in country.

— Indiana State won 61-57 here yesterday, after trailing by 9 early.
— Sycamores won six of last eight series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.

Southern Illinois @ Bradley
Southern Illinois (8-7, 2-7)
— ranked #205 by KenPom
— Tempo: #243
— Experience: #340
— Continuity: #259
— Salukis lost seven of last eight games, after a 7-0 start.
— SIU lost all five of its MVC road games (3 losses by 12+).
— Salukis are shooting 39.3% on the arc (#13)

Bradley (10-10, 4-7)
— ranked #127 by KenPom
— Tempo: #279
— Experience: #231
— Continuity: #204
— Bradley snapped a 6-game skid with yesterday’s win.
— Braves won three of their five Valley home games.
— Opponents are shooting 42.3% inside the arc (#7)

— Bradley won 74-66 here yesterday, going 10-23 on arc, 20-21 on line.
— Braves won last four series games.
— Salukis lost 67-48/74-66 in last two visits to Peoria.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

51PHILADELPHIA -52 WASHINGTON
PHILADELPHIA is 28-16 ATS (15.9 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons.

51PHILADELPHIA -52 WASHINGTON
ALAIN VIGNEAULT is 28-16 ATS (10.4 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game (Coach of PHILADELPHIA)

55DETROIT -56 FLORIDA
DETROIT is 3-32 ATS (-26.5 Units) in road games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game over the last 2 seasons.

57CAROLINA -58 COLUMBUS
CAROLINA is 41-26 ATS (13.7 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the last 3 seasons.

61LOS ANGELES -62 VEGAS
LOS ANGELES are 7-30 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the last 3 seasons.

63CHICAGO -64 DALLAS
CHICAGO is 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 7

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PHILADELPHIA (7-3-0-2, 16 pts.) at WASHINGTON (6-2-0-3, 15 pts.) - 2/7/2021, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 109-74 ATS (+16.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 58-39 ATS (+16.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-17 ATS (+9.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 93-93 ATS (+207.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 3-7 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-24 ATS (-17.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.3 Units)

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DETROIT (2-8-0-2, 6 pts.) at FLORIDA (6-0-0-2, 14 pts.) - 2/7/2021, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 19-64 ATS (+130.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 328-318 ATS (-114.4 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DETROIT is 5-29 ATS (+59.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-47 ATS (+96.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-37 ATS (+77.3 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 7-33 ATS (+68.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 0-16 ATS (+40.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 183-207 ATS (+406.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 8-1 (+6.0 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 8-1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

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CAROLINA (6-2-0-0, 12 pts.) at COLUMBUS (5-4-0-3, 13 pts.) - 2/7/2021, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 46-24 ATS (+13.2 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 5-2 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 5-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.9 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (3-5-0-2, 8 pts.) at VEGAS (6-1-0-1, 13 pts.) - 2/7/2021, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 6-4 (+6.7 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 6-4-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)

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CHICAGO (4-4-0-4, 12 pts.) at DALLAS (5-2-0-1, 11 pts.) - 2/7/2021, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 11-4 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-7 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-3 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Sunday, February 7

Trend Report

Philadelphia @ Washington
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home

Carolina @ Columbus
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Carolina's last 14 games when playing Columbus
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Columbus's last 8 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Columbus's last 14 games when playing Carolina

Detroit @ Florida
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Florida
Detroit is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Florida
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Detroit

Chicago @ Dallas
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games

Los Angeles @ Vegas
Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games on the road
Vegas
Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

551UTAH -552 INDIANA
UTAH is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the current season.

555MIAMI -556 NEW YORK
NEW YORK is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

557BOSTON -558 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.

581WASHINGTON -582 CHARLOTTE
WASHINGTON is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 7

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UTAH (18 - 5) at INDIANA (12 - 11) - 2/7/2021, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 184-145 ATS (+24.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
UTAH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTAH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
UTAH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (8 - 14) at NEW YORK (11 - 13) - 2/7/2021, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 31-47 ATS (-20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (12 - 9) at PHOENIX (12 - 9) - 2/7/2021, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 62-44 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (11 - 11) at LA CLIPPERS (17 - 7) - 2/7/2021, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 7-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (5 - 14) at CHARLOTTE (10 - 13) - 2/7/2021, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 349-411 ATS (-103.1 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-46 ATS (-27.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 69-97 ATS (-37.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 66-96 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 4-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Sunday, February 7

Utah @ Indiana
Jazz (18-5)
— Utah won three in row, 13 of its last 14 games (12-1-1 ATS).
— Jazz won/covered six of their last seven road games.
— Under is 4-2 in Utah’s last six road games.

Pacers (12-11)
— Indiana is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
— Pacers are 2-6 ATS in last eight home games.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games overall.

— Indiana won five of last seven series games.
— Jazz is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Indiana.
— Six of last nine series games went over.

Miami @ New York
Heat (8-14)
— Miami lost seven of its last nine games.
— Heat is 3-6 ATS in its road games.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Knicks (11-13)
— New York won three of its last five games.
— Knicks are 3-4 ATS in last seven home games.
— Under is 5-1 in New York’s last six games.

— Miami won/covered four of last five series games.
— Heat is 2-3 ATS in its last five visits to Manhattan.
— Under is 3-2 in last five series games played here.

Washington @ Charlotte
Wizards (5-14)
— Wizards lost eight of their last 11 games.
— Washington is 1-4 SU/ATS in last five road games.
— Over is 9-5 in Wizards’ last 14 games.

Hornets (10-13)
— Charlotte is 3-4 SU in its last seven games.
— Hornets are 2-4-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Over is 9-2 in Charlotte’s last 11 games.

— Hornets won four of last six series games.
— Wizards covered once in last four visits to Charlotte.
— Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Boston @ Phoenix
Celtics (12-9)
— Boston lost six of its last ten games.
— Celtics are 3-4 SU/ATS in their last seven road games.
— Four of last six Boston games stayed under the total.

Suns (12-9)
— Phoenix won four of its last five games.
— Suns are 3-4 ATS in last seven home games.
— Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

— Boston won seven of last ten series games.
— Celtics covered once in last five visits to Phoenix.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games played here.

Sacramento @ LA Clippers
Kings (11-11)
— Sacramento won six of last seven games (7-0 ATS)
— Kings are 6-3 ATS in their road games this year
— Over is 10-5 in their last fifteen games.

Clippers (17-7)
— Clippers won 11 of their last 14 games.
— Clippers are 4-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games.

— Clippers won eight of last ten series games.
— Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in last six series games played here.
— Four of last six series games stayed under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Sunday, February 7

Trend Report

Utah @ Indiana
Utah
Utah is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
Utah is 13-1-1 ATS in its last 15 games
Indiana
Indiana is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games at home

Miami @ New York
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Miami's last 19 games when playing on the road against New York
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of New York's last 19 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games

Washington @ Charlotte
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games

Boston @ Phoenix
Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Sacramento @ LA Clippers
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Sacramento is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Sacramento
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Pacers +5
2. Gameday Network NBA – Clippers -8.5
3. VegasSI.com CBB – Tulane +5
4. Vegas Line Crushers CBB – Drexel +3.5
5. Sports Action 365 CBB – Missouri St under 145
6. Point Spread Report NBA – Wizards -1.5
7. Lou Panelli NBA – Celtics over 216
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino CBB – Georgetown +13.5
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club CBB – Towson +4
10. William E. Stockton NBA – Pacers under 226
11. Vincent Pioli NBA – Knicks over 208
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CBB – Northern Iowa -2
13. SCORE CBB – Quinnipiac over 129
14. East Coast Line Movers NBA – Pacers +5
15. Tony Campone NBA – Clippers -8.5
16. Chicago Sports Group CBB – Boise St -5
17. Hollywood Sportsline CBB – Temple +8.5
18. VIP Action CBB – Georgetown +13.5
19. South Beach Sports NBA – Celtics +3
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission CBB – Iowa -3
21. NY Players Club CBB – Boise St -5
22. Fred Callahan NBA – Celtics +3
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club NBA – Knicks over 208
24. Michigan Sports CBB – Tulane +5
25. National Consensus Report CBB – Valparaiso +13