Saturday 2/13/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Kevin Dolan Event: (200365) Queens Park Rangers at (200366) Rotherham
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: February 13, 2021 10AM EST
Play: Total Over 2.5 (-115)
We're taking the Over 2.5 goals on Saturday in the game between QPR and Rotherham over in the English Championship.
Despite playing well recently, Rotherham continue to ship goals late, especially at home this season where 55% of all their conceded goals have come after the 61st minute. And that's a serious concern for the Millers here ahead of this Saturday's clash against QPR as they sit just one point above the relegation area, and badly need a result here in order to move to safety.
But if they're going to get a result here, it's likely going to have to come on the offensive end as Rotherham average the 2nd worst goals allowed record in the league this season at 2.63 goals on average.
That's not going to get it done here against a resurgent QPR team who are averaging 2.29 total goals across their road league games this season with 57.14% seeing both teams score also.
These two teams have combined for some serious goal fests in the past with the last nine H2H's between the pair averaging 3.44 goals on average and both teams scoring in all four of the most recent H2H's.
Take the Over 2.5 goals in Saturday's game between QPR and Rotherham.
PLAY: OVER 2.5

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Nick Borrman Event: Schalke 04 at Union Berlin
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: February 13, 2021 12PM EST
Play: Union Berlin (-125)
Germany Bundesliga
FADE Schalke! A pretty simple strategy I've used several times this year with great results. They are simply a terrible side with just one win in 20 matches this season. Not only have they allowed the most goals in the league, they have allowed the most goals of any of the Big 5 European Leagues. Their xG numbers are atrocious as well with a -1.41 differential per game, also the worst of the Big 5 Leagues.
Union Berlin started the season great but have stumbled of late, winless in their last four to fall down to 9th in the table. Still, they have a +9 goal differential and a +0.23 xG differential. When a team needs a momentum boost, there is no better team to face than Schalke.
TAKE UNION BERLIN TO WIN (ML or -0.5)
Line Parameter: 4% to -140 or -0.75

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Tokyo Brandon Event: (691) Northwestern at (692) Rutgers
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: February 13, 2021 5PM EST
Play: Total Over 137.5 (-110)
Wager Talk's #2 Capper in 2021 +33.6 units. Add the “Asian Sports All-Access Pass” to your cart and get a full week of Brandon's plays for only $49 by using the code ASIA49 at checkout for a limited time.

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Tokyo Brandon Event: (693) Villanova at (694) Creighton
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: February 13, 2021 5PM EST
Play: Total Over 144.5 (-110)
Wager Talk's #2 Capper in 2021 +33.6 units. Add the “Asian Sports All-Access Pass” to your cart and get a full week of Brandon's plays for only $49 by using the code ASIA49 at checkout for a limited time.

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Tokyo Brandon Event: (767) UNLV at (768) Boise State
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: February 13, 2021 10PM EST
Play: Total Under 141.0 (-110)
Wager Talk's #2 Capper in 2021 +33.6 units. Add the “Asian Sports All-Access Pass” to your cart and get a full week of Brandon's plays for only $49 by using the code ASIA49 at checkout for a limited time.

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Kyle Anthony Event: (24029) Polyana Viana at (24030) Mallory Martin
Sport/League: MMA
Date/Time: February 14, 2021 1AM EST
Play: Mallory Martin -145

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Race of the Week: Saturday's General George at Laurel

February 10, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

$250,000 GRADE 3 GENERAL GEORGE STAKES AT LAUREL PARK
Saturday, February 13, 2021

The Lead:
Saturday's Winter Sprintfest at Laurel Park features a pair of President's Day Weekend fixtures for the track among 6 stakes on a loaded card. The Grade 3 Barbara Fritchie for the fillies/mares and the Grade 3 General George for the colts/geldings have warmed up winter for decades in greater DC. The Fritchie looks like a strong spot for favorite Hello Beautiful to run her local record to 8-for-8 lifetime. The General George provides quite a few more options for the discerning horseplayer.

​Field Depth:
Grade 3 winners in the field include LAKI, MAJESTIC DUNHILL and SHARE THE RIDE. Meanwhile, FUNNY GUY is Grade 2-placed. Several listed stakes winners will be looking to make the grade. MAJESTIC DUNHILL has consistently kept the strongest competition since last summer, along with SHARE THE RIDE.

Pace:
There's not as much front-end speed as you'd expect for a stakes sprint, but the 7-furlong distance can dissuade some of the fleet burners. ARTHUR'S HOPE might be best-equipped to make the front, and should have the likes of LAKI, LEBDA, SHARE THE RIDE and FORTUNATE FRIENDS in closest pursuit. This race can, and is projected to be, won near the front.

Our Eyes:
Aqueduct raiders are 2-for-20 in the General George over the past 8 editions, including 2015 winner Misconnect and last year's odds-on victor Firenze Fire. FUNNY GUY vans to Laurel from his New York base and will vie for favoritism. Trainer John Terranova shipped Killybegs Captain to Laurel to win the 2019 DeFrancis Dash, but there's no guarantee FUNNY GO will appreciate the barn's return trip. Since 2013, sire Big Brown is a modest 13% winners with Laurel runners (and 1-17 at 7 furlongs). His offspring are 0 for the last 23 since December 2018. While I respect FUNNY GUY, he's been favored in each of his last 5 starts and delivered just 1 victory in a photo at 4-5. I'll try to beat him.

The 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 6th-place finishers from the Fire Plug Stakes at Laurel Jan. 16 all re-match, stretching out from 6 furlongs to 7. That race was won in last-to-first fashion by Wendell Fong, who will not return, but it does make you wonder if this quartet will be more susceptible over the additional ground. On the positive side, the last 4 General George winners all were adding distance off of 6-furlong sprints. And 8 straight winners of this race all came off of 4th-place or better finishes in their final prep: Good news for Fire Plug alumni SHARE THE RIDE, LEBDA and LAKI. Of those from the Fire Plug, LAKI interests me most as the beaten favorite. His price will rise, he'll be near what appears to be a soft-ish pace on Saturday and trainer Damon Dilodovico's runners hit a fantastic 30% over the last 3 years in 7-furlong sprints. LAKI was third in the 2019 General George, so he fits, and his rider Horacio Karamanos won this race in 2016. Add in a February 6 bullet workout and LAKI may be poised to deliver on his promise. He's been favored in 6 of his last 7 starts (only 1 win), but should be a more attractive price Saturday.

MAJESTIC DUNHILL closed 11 lengths to be runner-up in the 2019 General George under Feargal Lynch, and reunites with that pilot who recently returned from injury. Lynch had been out since last summer with neck and back fractures and just made his comeback last weekend. MAJESTIC DUNHILL is a past Laurel stakes winner who has some class edge off his recent races, albeit exits a pair of starts that were unraveled at the start. Trainer George Weaver has been on point with 4 Laurel wins from his last 9 starters, and brings this one north from Palm Beach Downs off a trio of January works. This quality colt was a past workmate with elite sprinter Vekoma.

TATTOOED cuts back in trip from the mile Jennings, where he pulled a 10-1 upset and got over the hump. He had won just 1 of his previous 17 starts, and notably TATTOOED is 0-5 in his career trying to win back-to-back.

Most Certain Exotics Contender: LAKI is 20-21 in the superfecta lifetime at Laurel.

​Best Longshot Exotics Contender: LEBDA does his best running at Laurel and his last race (at 11-1) was his best in some time, rounding back into form perhaps for leading trainer Claudio Gonzalez.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll): $70 win LAKI; $15 exacta box LAKI and MAJESTIC DUNHILL ($30).

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AI Picks for Feb. 13 Triple Crown Preps

February 12, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Saturday’s road to the Triple Crown includes stops at Laurel for the Miracle Wood Stakes, Golden Gate Fields for the El Camino Real Derby and Fair Grounds for the Risen Star. The premier 3-year-old preps will provide a distance test for some and a class test for all. To help you decipher the contenders, the app’s artificial intelligence handicapping has been provided to give projections on each horse in the Miracle Wood, El Camino Real Derby and Risen Star.

Selections provided by the app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections. You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer.

//

Laurel Park // Race 3 // Miracle Wood Stakes // 1:23 pm ET

#4 Maythehorsebewithu // 31%W // 52%P // 62%S
#5 Kenny Had a Notion // 19%W // 35%P // 58%S
#3 The King Cheek // 17%W // 46%P // 54%S
#7 Subsidize // 12%W // 17%P // 45%S
#1 Tiz Mandate // 8%W // 19%P // 28%S
#2 Newyearsblockparty // 8%W // 19%P // 32%S
#6 Silent Service // 5%W // 12%P // 21%S

//

Golden Gate Fields // Race 8 // El Camino Real Derby // 7:15 pm ET

#5 Petruchio // 27%W // 44%P // 58%S
#7 Javanica // 16%W // 32%P // 44%S
#9 Rombauer // 16%W // 34%P // 49%S
#4 It’s My House // 12%W // 23%P // 40%S
#1 Positivity // 7%W // 19%P // 31%S
#6 Play Chicken // 7%W // 16%P // 27%S
#2 Waspirant // 5%W // 10%P // 17%S
#3 Tesoro // 5%W // 10%P // 17%S
#8 Govenor’s Party // 5%W // 10%P // 17%S

//

Fair Grounds // Race 13 // Grade 2 Risen Star Stakes // 7:18 pm ET

* #12 Keepmeinmind // 28%W // 42%P // 51%S
#5 Senor Buscador // 14%W // 28%P // 38%S
#11 Mandaloun // 11%W // 30%P // 40%S
#1 Starrininmydreams // 10%W // 19%P // 26%S
#6 Midnight Bourbon // 9%W // 16%P // 28%S
#4 Carillo // 6%W // 11%P // 27%S
#2 Proxy // 4%W // 12%P // 19%S
#13 Rightandjust // 4%W // 9%P // 16%S
#3 Beep Beep // 3%W // 6%P // 9%S
#7 O Besos // 3%W // 6%P // 9%S
#8 Sermononthemount // 3%W // 6%P // 9%S
#9 Defeater // 3%W // 11%P // 18%S
#10 Santa Cruiser // 3%W // 6%P // 9%S

*-expected to scratch and await Feb. 20 Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn

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Eddie Olczyk’s Saturday Spot Plays

February 12, 2021 | By Eddie Olczyk

NBC Sports handicapper Eddie Olczyk turns his attention for a pair of key Saturday bets to Gulfstream Park and Santa Anita. Follow Edzo’s plays each week

Gulfstream Park

Race 11 // 5:16 pm ET // Grade 3 Gulfstream Park Sprint // 6 furlongs

#5 Mischevious Alex (6-5 ML)
Solid favorite returns to stakes after big allowance score over a track he loves. This race sets up with lots of speed on the front end and Mischevious Alex should sit just off. Take even-money on the win end as fair odds. Exacta bet 5-1 with Edgemont Road.

Santa Anita

Race 6 // 6:14 pm ET // claiming // 5-1/2 furlongs

#9 Howbeit (10-1 ML)
Not sure why they tried turf in last – maybe only race available at the time? – but that certainly dirties up his form a bit. Back on preferred surface today. Well-spotted here now, dropping from allowance to claiming and advantageous outside sprint post. Win bet.

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Host with Most & Risen Star Analysis

February 11, 2021 | By Johnny D

Gulfstream Park veteran host and analyst Ron Nicoletti picked 10 winners on Saturday’s 12-race card. That’s a huge afternoon for any public handicapper and great news for his loyal followers. Unfortunately, Nicoletti’s big afternoon was bad news for those squaring off against him in Beat the Host Week 6 action.

In concert with his torrid Gulfstream performance, Nicoletti tabbed 5 winners out of 10 mandatory Beat the Host competition races for total earnings of $82.50, based on $5 Win wagers. It’s the strongest performance by a ‘Host’ this season and wiped out all 4 players who were alive for a $6,000 beat the host prize offered to any player to defeat hosts in all 9 weeks. Steve Glynn, Lou Kotzman, Scott Shore and John Maskel were the last to lose to the host and share a $2,000 consolation prize.

Overall, Nicoletti’s Gulfstream winners came in the first 9 races: Girl Dad ($6.60), Hard Game ($8), Noble Empire ($3), Bourbon in May ($7.60), Augusta Melody ($3), Great Island ($2.60), Democracy ($15.60), Yodel E. A. Who ($4.60) and R Mercedes Boy ($5.60). In the 11th race, the Ladies Turf Sprint, he added Lady’s Island ($4.40).

Nicoletti’s Beat the Host competition picks included Gulfstream races 7 through 11 and he misfired only in the 10th race where his selection Bourbon Highway lost the rider. The hot ‘Host’ added Gr. 2 San Vicente favorite and winner Concert Tour ($2.80) in the 7th at Santa Anita.

Three players unimpressed with Nicoletti’s performance are Rick Millard, Dean Pignetti and George Turner. They picked up $1,000, $750 and $250 for posting Saturday totals of $144, $119 and $111.50, respectively.

The dash for top spots in cumulative earnings standings is heating up and just $33.50 separates the top four players. Craig Yoshino leads with $387.50, just $22 ahead of Andrew Ma. Adam Haskins is a mere $5.50 behind Ma and Tony Zhou rests $6 behind Haskins. Maria Cimino holds 5th place with $333, just $2 ahead of Steve Glynn.

Beat the Host resumes Saturday with Santa Anita’s Tom Quigley at the plate as the host to beat. Quigley’s a veteran of the process and familiar to fans as host of the popular pre-race Quigley’s Corner broadcast which includes entertaining and informative track announcer Frank Mirahmahdi. Quigley also appears on the track’s simulcast show contributing multi-race exotic selections and analysis. Those who know him rate him as the lead #Sharpie.

It’s not too late to register for and to play Beat the Host this week. $2,000 in prizes are available and players only need to beat the host once to qualify for the Beat the Host Championship Round where rich, coveted handicapping tournament seats are on the line. ‘Live’ $5 win wagers on 10 mandatory races ($50 total) is all that’s required to play and, since contest wagers are ‘live,’ players keep what they win. Be correct a couple of times and your shot at $2,000 and a seat in the Championship Round won’t cost a thing.

With snow piled in places as high as an NBA rim it’s challenging to imagine that the first Saturday in May is right around the corner. But it’s true. Saturday, the first of 16 Kentucky Derby Championship Series races is presented with the mile and one-eighth $400k Gr. 2Risen Star at Fair Grounds. Below is in-depth analysis of that event, including a suggested wagering strategy. Check back throughout the entire Triple Crown series for this man’s analysis of the top 3-year-old races.


1. STARRININMYDREAMS (STEWART/HERNANDEZ JR.) - 12/1

Is unbeaten in 2 starts—both at Churchill Downs, one sprint and one route over a sloppy track. He’s been gone since Nov. 22 and has a solid series of works every 7 days, including 2 bullet 5-furlong moves—a great sign of fitness. Trainer Dallas Stewart, a 10% trainer with horses off 61-180 days, has a reputation for saddling dangerous longshots in big races. This son of Super Saver hasn’t done anything wrong yet, although he does lose twice-successful jockey Joe Talamo to #6 Midnight Bourbon, winner of the Lecomte last out. Don’t ignore this one off the bench in exotics at a price. Exotics Use.

2. PROXY (STIDHAM/VELAZUQEZ) - 8/1

Here’s a consistent son of Tapit with 2 wins and 2 seconds in 4 starts. Second last out to #6 Midnight Bourbon, Proxy has a few things in his favor this time around. In the Lecomte he broke outside of #6 Midnight Bourbon and they raced 1-2 around the track. This time Proxy has drawn inside that foe and can be expected to determinedly challenge for the lead under Hall-of-Fame jockey Johnny Velazquez, who replaces Mitchell Murrill in the saddle. Murrill moves to #13 Rightandjust. That may be a significant factor. For an explanation of see comments for #13 Rightandjust. Win Contender.

3. BEEP BEEP (N. CASSE/MENA) - 20/1

This colt has a 7-furlong Churchill Downs maiden victory to his credit and takes a big step up in class. He’ll need to run much faster than he has in his first two starts. Trainer Norm Casse has had a solid Fair Grounds meeting winning at 27%. Last out Beep Beep finished a well-beaten 4th to longshot #13 Rightandjust. Pass.

4. CARILLO (AMOSS/GRAHAM) - 15/1

Leading Fair Grounds jockey James Graham will ride this New York invader for 28% winning trainer Tom Amoss. Carillo won his only start going a one-turn mile over the Aqueduct oval. That afternoon, after breaking a bit slowly, the son of Union Rags was last in the field of 8. He steadily made up ground on the leaders between horses, raced wide on the turn, took over and scored definitively under Manny Franco. Amoss has a sterling 24% win-rate with horses first out under his care. Graham and Amoss combine to win at 25%. The trainer has been quoted saying that he figures this colt will press the pace. Nothing wrong with the way he won but this a step up. Pass.

5. SENOR BUSCADOR (FINCHER/QUINONEZ) - 6/1

This son of Mineshaft is unbeaten in 2 career starts at Remington Park. One of those wins came in the $200k Springboard Mile Stakes by more than 5 lengths in fast time. The ‘Senor has no early speed but owns a powerful closing kick. At least, it’s been powerful at Remington. His rally from last, first out in a 5 1/2 furlong sprint, was impressive and his Springboard Mile closing charge a thing of beauty. Trainer Todd Fincher knows what he’s doing (20% winners). If the pace heats up early, as it might, then this colt’s closing charge will fit nicely. Win Contender.

6. MIDNIGHT BOURBON (ASMUSSEN/TALAMO) - 6/1

This son of Tiznow was purchased as a yearling for $525K and appears to be worth every penny. He has the most impressive resume of anyone in the race-- a Grade 3 winner who also was placed in the Gr. 1 Champagne and Gr. 3 Iroquois. So far, he’s banked $221,420, the bulk of that coming with victory in the G3 Lecomte Stakes last out at Fair Grounds. That afternoon, he was able to make a comfortable early lead, stalked by #2 Proxy and, further back, #11 Mandaloun. Things likely will be different this time as Midnight Bourbon now is drawn outside #2 Proxy and may get additional early pressure from #13 Rightandjust. This is a talented colt, trained by a Hall-of-Fame conditioner, but he’s going to have repeat his outstanding Lecomte effort under more strenuous circumstances. Win Contender.

7. O BESOS (FOLEY/PEDROZA) - 12/1

This homebred son of Orb will try 2 turns for the first time in the Risen Star. A winner of 2 of 3 starts, O Besos has the bad habit of breaking slowly from the gate. So far, he’s had enough talent to overcome tardy starts, but today meets stronger foes at added distance. Jockey Brian Herandez, Jr., who’s ridden the colt in both starts, moves to #1 Starrininmydreams for the Risen Star. Pass.

8. SERMONONTHEMOUNT (DIXON/CARROLL) - 50/1

This colt has 2 wins in 3 starts—both sprints at Delta Downs. He will need to run considerably better than he has in the past to be a factor in here. Pass.

9. DEFEATER (AMOSS/SAENZ) - 12/1

Trainer Tom Amoss has suggested that this colt may scratch from this race to contest an allowance race. The colt’s an impressive winner of his only start—a Fair Grounds six-furlong sprint. The allowance race seems a better spot for him at this point. Pass.

10. SANTA CRUISER (DESORMEAUX/BESCHIZZA) - 15/1

This son of Dialed In has improved in each of his four starts, with 1 win, 1 place and 1 show placing. Last out, he encountered trouble at the start of the Lecomte which put him well behind the early pace. ‘Cruiser did put in a solid late run to finish a well-beaten fourth. Leading jockey James Graham, who’s ridden this colt in all four starts, moves to #4 Carillo and will be replaced by Adam Beschizza, a capable replacement. Exotics Use.

11. MANDALOUN (COX/GEROUX) - 9/2

He’s one of four Risen Star runners coming out of the Lecomte. That afternoon, he stalked frontrunner #6 Midnight Bourbon and nearest pursuer #2 Proxy. He made a move at the leaders in the stretch, briefly passed #2 Proxy and then faded back to third late. Some might view this effort negatively. However, this was Mandaloun’s first start since November and his first try around two turns. Since the Lecomte, he’s worked twice, including a best-of-35 :59 4/5 five-furlong move. Jockey Florent Geroux (28%) and 2020 Eclipse Award-winning trainer Brad Cox (25%) combine to win at 26%. Mandaloun has improved with each start, evidenced by his ascending Beyer Speed Figures (75, 82, 89). The pace scenario in here should be more advantageous to Mandaloun and, if he moves forward a bit more, he can win. Win Contender.

12. KEEPMEINMIND (DIODORO/COHEN) - 3/1

This son of Laoban has been in the money in all four career starts, including a second and a third behind leading Kentucky Derby choice Essential Quality in the Gr. 1 Breeders’ Futurity and Gr. 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, respectively—both at a mile and one-sixteenth. He hasn’t started since November and has been working roughly every 7 days for trainer Robertino Diodoro. Keepmeinmind comes from off the pace and this outer post position will be a challenge but his record can’t be ignored. He’s talented and has run fast enough against top competition to win this race. He’ll need some help up front to set up his closing charge. The morning line of 3-1 seems a bit short. Exotics Use.

13. RIGHTANDJUST (WILSON/MURRILL) - 15/1

This colt has won 2 of 3 starts--both successes around 2-turns. The first of those wins came in a maiden $50k race when he was claimed by his current connections. He then won a $50k optional claiming race by holding on to win after nearly blowing a 4-length lead in the stretch. Both of those 2-turn victories came in wire-to-wire fashion. That’s critical because breaking from this far outside post Rightandjust probably will be sent out of the gate by jockey Murrill. As explained earlier, Murrill was replaced aboard #2 Proxy. Human nature suggests that Murrill might want to send this colt from the gate to compromise the chances of #2 Proxy moving along at a comfortable easy early pace. What Murrill does from the gate with this colt could affect the early pace of the race and might influence the outcome of this race. Pass.



BOTTOM LINE

The first 3 finishers from the Lacomte should run well again with #11 Mandaloun turning the tables on #6 Midnight Bourbon and #2 Proxy.

#2 Proxy
#6 Midnight Bourbon
#11 Mandaloun

Best of the New Faces:

#5 Senor Buscador

Exotic Considerations:

#1 Starrinmydreams
#10 Santa Cruiser
#12 Keepmeinmind


$1 Trifecta Play ($30)

First: 5, 11
Second: 2, 5, 6, 11
Third: 1, 2, 5, 6, 10, 11, 12


$.50 Trifecta Play ($15)

First: 2, 6
Second: 2, 5, 6, 11
Third: 1, 2, 5, 6, 10, 11, 12

Race On!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jon White's Risen Star & El Camino Real Derby Selections

February 10, 2021 | By Jon White

This Saturday’s Grade II Risen Star Stakes at Fair Grounds Race Course & Slots in New Orleans has enticed a wide-open field of 13. Heading the 1 1/8-mile contest is Keepmeinmind, who ranks No. 8 on my Kentucky Derby Top 10.

Senor Buscador, No. 9 on my Top 10, also is entered in the Risen Star.

Qualifying points toward the May 1 Kentucky Derby are up for grabs in the Risen Star to the first four finishers on a 50-20-10-5 scale.

This Saturday’s El Camino Real Derby at Golden Gate Fields, which has drawn a field of nine, also offers some Kentucky Derby points (10-4-2-1). Additionally, the winner of this 1 1/8-mile affair will receive an automatic entry into the Preakness Stakes.

In the last two weeks I have picked the winner in three of four races offering Kentucky Derby points:

--Jan. 30 Holy Bull Stakes: My selection was Greatest Honor, who finished first ($7.60 win mutuel).

--Jan. 30 Robert B. Lewis Stakes: My selection was Medina Spirit, who finished first ($4.00 win mutuel).

--Feb. 6 Withers Stakes: My selection was Donegal Bay, who finished seventh.

--Feb. 6 Sam F. Davis Stakes: My selection was Candy Man Rocket, who finished first ($8.20 win mutuel).

My selections for the Risen Star are below:

1. Senor Buscador
2. Proxy
3. Midnight Bourbon
4. O Besos

Senor Buscador is undefeated in two career starts. Trained by Todd Fincher, the Kentucky-bred colt by 2003 Horse of the Year Mineshaft made his career debut in a 5 1/2-furlong maiden sprint Nov. 6 at Remington Park. After being 10 lengths off the pace, Senor Buscador roared home to win going away by 2 1/2 lengths.

Senor Buscador then started in Remington’s Springboard Mile on Dec. 18. Last early and 12 lengths off the pace in the field of 10, he closed with a rush to reach the front at the eighth pole, then kicked clear to win by 5 3/4 lengths.

After Senor Buscador recorded a good 81 Beyer Speed Figure at first asking, he ascended to a splendid 93 Beyer in the Springboard Mile.

Senor Buscador’s Thoro-Graph number in the Springboard Mile was an especially laudable 2 3/4.

I think Beyer Speed Figures are valuable for horseplayers. That’s why I often cite them. But in my opinion, the figures calculated by Thoro-Graph are superior to the Beyers.

Regarding Thoro-Graph, the lower the number the better the performance, which is the opposite of the Beyers.

Thoro-Graph takes many more factors into account than the Beyers. According to Thoro-Graph, “each number on a sheet represents a performance rating arrived at by using time of the race, beaten lengths, ground lost or saved on the turns, weight carried, and any effects wind conditions had on the time of the race.”

To put Senor Buscador’s 2 3/4 Thoro-Graph number into perspective, Life Is Good has recorded a 2 3/4 in each of his two starts to date. Essential Quality was credited with a 3 in his Breeders’ Cup Juvenile victory.

Keepmeinmind, who has not raced since winning the Grade II Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes at Churchill Downs on Nov. 28, is entered in the Risen Star. He most certainly would have been a contender, but he will not run in the Risen Star, according to trainer Robertino Diodoro.

Daily Racing Form’s Mary Rampellini reported Wednesday that Diodoro said Keepmeinmind will remain at Oaklawn Park and run there in the Southwest Stakes, even though that race now will not be run on Monday, as previously scheduled.

Oaklawn announced on Wednesday that “due to predicted winter weather” in that area over the next few days, it has canceled racing from Saturday through Monday. Oaklawn moved three Grade III races -- the Bayakoa Stakes, Grade Razorback Handicap and Southwest Stakes -- to Saturday, Feb. 20.

Four Risen Star entrants participated in Fair Grounds’ Grade III Lecomte Stakes at 1 1/16 miles on Jan. 16. They are Midnight Bourbon (the winner of the Lecomte at odds of 7-2), Proxy (second at 8-1), Mandaloun (third as the 4-5 favorite) and Santa Cruiser (fourth at 7-1).

Midnight Bourbon, trained by Hall of Famer Steve Asmussen, won the Lecomte in front-running fashion by one length.

I think Proxy might have a big say in the Risen Star. I like Proxy’s improving Beyer Speed Figure pattern in his four starts to date (62, then 74, then 76, then 89). Michael Stidham trains the Kentucky-bred Tapit colt.

I will not be surprised if O Besos gets into the Risen Star superfecta at a nice price. After winning two of his first three starts -- all sprints -- in come-from-behind fashion, O Besos looks like he might relish the longer distance of the Risen Star. His sire, Orb, won the 1 1/4-mile Kentucky Derby in 2013.

My selections for the El Camino Real Derby are below:

1. Rombauer
2. Petruchio
3. Javanico
4. Play Chicken

The way I see it, despite drawing the outside post, Rombauer is the class of the field and will be very hard to beat. Trained by Michael McCarthy, the Kentucky-bred Twirling Candy colt makes his first start since finishing fifth in the Grade I BC Juvenile on Nov. 6. Prior to that, Rombauer ran second to Get Her Number in Santa Anita’s Grade I American Pharoah Stakes on Sept. 26.

Rombauer was credited with an 82 Beyer Speed Figure in the American Pharoah and an 85 Beyer in the BC Juvenile. No one else in the El Camino Real Derby has ever recorded a Beyer higher than a 76.

NO CHANGE AT TOP OF THIS WEEK’S DERBY TOP 10

Essential Quality, the Eclipse Award-winning 2-year-old male champion of 2020, again is No. 1 on my Kentucky Derby Top 10 this week.

Undefeated in three career starts, Essential Quality won a pair of Grade I races, the Breeders’ Futurity and Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, at Keeneland last year for trainer Brad Cox. The Kentucky-bred Tapit colt had been scheduled to make his 2021 debut in Monday’s Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn.

Cox has indicated that he intends to stick with the plan for Essential Quality to run in the Southwest, even though the race has been moved to Feb. 20.

My Kentucky Derby Top 10 for this week is below:

1. Essential Quality
2. Life Is Good
3. Caddo River
4. Greatest Honour
5. Concert Tour
6. Medina Spirit
7. Hot Rod Charlie
8. Keepmeinmind
9. Senor Buscador
10. Roman Centurian

MOTT EXACTA IN DAVIS, RISK TAKING WINS WITHERS

Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott sent out Candy Man Rocket and Nova Rags to finish first and second, respectively, in last Saturday’s Grade III Sam F. Davis at Tampa Bay Downs. Hidden Stash ended up third in the field of 12.

The $1 Mott exacta paid $118.10.

Candy Man Rocket, just off the early pace, had a 2 1/2-length lead with a furlong to go. His advantage diminished thereafter, but he still managed to prevail by one length while completing 1 1/16 miles in 1:44.30. The Kentucky-bred Candy Ride colt posted an 85 Beyer Speed Figure while racing on that track for the first time.

Nova Rags, who was coming on toward the end, received an 83 Beyer for his second-place finish. Unlike Candy Man Rocket, Nova Rags had previously raced at Tampa, winning the seven-furlong Pasco Stakes by 2 3/4 lengths on the main track there Jan. 16.

In last Saturday’s Grade III Withers at Aqueduct, Risk Taking was sixth early, came on to reach the front in the vicinity of the sixteenth pole and drew out to win by 3 3/4 lengths. The Kentucky-bred Medaglio d’Oro colt completed his 1 1/8-mile journey in 1:51.91.

Risk Taking, trained by Chad Brown, lost his first two career races while pairing up 56 Beyer Speed Figures. Then blinkers were added to his equipment and he has improved dramatically in the Beyer department. He received an 82 Beyer when he won a 1 1/8-mile maiden race Dec. 13 at Aqueduct, then improved to an 89 Beyer in the Withers.

Concert Tour, who is No. 5 on my Top 10, is two for two for Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert after winning last Santa Anita’s Grade II San Vicente Stakes last Saturday. Sent off as the 2-5 favorite, the Kentucky-bred Street Sense colt had to work harder for the victory than many expected.

A close-up third early in the seven-furlong San Vicente, Concert Tour wore down comebacker, pacemaker and fellow Baffert barnmate Freedom Fighter in the last sixteenth. Concert Tour won by a half-length, then drew clear when galloping out, furthering the impression that he quite likely will appreciate it when he races around two turns in his next start.

Concert Tour and Freedom Fighter both were credited with an excellent 94 Beyer Speed Figure for their San Vicente performances. This was a wonderful effort on the part of Freedom Fighter in that he did the “heavy lifting” by setting the pace and had not raced since winning a five-furlong maiden dash by a head at Del Mar when unveiled last Aug. 1.

Thus far, Concert Tour’s career has mirrored that of the Baffert-trained Nadal. After Nadal won a Santa Anita maiden race at first asking in January at Santa Anita, he then registered a hard-earned win in the San Vicente when his margin of victory was three-quarters of a length.

Following the San Vicente, Nadal won Oaklawn’s Grade II Rebel Stakes by three-quarters of a length on a sloppy track before taking a division of the Grade I Arkansas Derby by three lengths on the first Saturday in May. Unfortunately for Nadal, he never raced again after the May 2 Arkansas Derby. It was announced on May 28 that Nadal had been retired from racing as a result of a condylar fracture in his left front leg following a four-furlong workout in :48.80 that morning at Santa Anita.

The hope here is Concert Tour’s racing career will last much longer than Nadal’s.

DREAM SHAKE DAZZLES IN DEBUT

There was considerable hype going into last Sunday’s Super Bowl in that the quarterbacks were superstars Tom Brady for Tampa Bay and Patrick Mahomes for Kansas City. But the game did not live up to the QB hype. Tampa Bay won 31-9. It was Brady’s seventh Super Bowl victory (six with New England and now one with Tampa Bay). I was way wrong with my prediction that Kansas City would win by 3 points.

Meanwhile, there also was considerable hype going into last Sunday’s fifth race at Santa Anita due to the presence of the highly regarded first-time starter Bezos from the Baffert barn.

But Bezos did not live up to the hype. When the 6 1/2-furlong maiden race was over, it was a different debut runner, Dream Shake, who won in such a manner as to cause many a jaw to drop.

With Joel Rosario aboard, Dream Shake was next-to-last early while racing wide in the strong field of nine. On the far turn, Dream Shake passed rivals with a rush. I love to see a horse make a move like that on a turn. It’s a sign of athleticism.

“As the field turns for home, Dream Shake with a stellar move to the front,” said track announcer Frank Mirahmadi.

Dream Shake then drew away to win with authority by 4 3/4 lengths in 1:17.34. Rosario might have come out of the race with a sore neck after looking back so many times in the final sixteenth just to make sure nobody was sneaking up on them.

In terms of Beyer Speed Figures, while Candy Man Rocket got an 85 in the Sam F. Davis, Risk Taking got an 89 in the Withers and Concert Tour got a 94 in the San Vicente, Dream Shake topped them when he flexed his muscles to such an extent that he produced a 96 while earning his maiden diploma.

Peter Eurton, who won the Grade I BC Juvenile with Storm the Court, trains Dream Shake.

When it came to making the morning line for this race, I knew I was going to install Bezos as the favorite. The only question was just how low of a favorite would I make him. I had no doubt that he would be heavily bet because of all the hype. I seriously considered making him even money or even 4-5. But if I went that low on him, then I would have been compelled to make bigger prices than I wanted to on many of the horses in the race, including Dream Maker.

Ultimately, I made Bezos a 6-5 morning-line favorite in the field of nine. He was hammered down to 3-5 favoritism. I made Mr. Impossible the second choice at 7-2. He went off at 7-2. But because of all the money that poured in on Bezos in the win pool, if you liked anyone other than Bezos or Mr. Impossible, you got an inflated price. I made Dream Shake 10-1 on the morning line. He was allowed to get away at a generous 20-1.

As for Bezos, when push came to shove, he let his numerous backers down. Third early, he faltered in the stretch and finished seventh, 15 1/4 lengths behind Dream Shake.

TRAINER JULIO CANANI PASSES AWAY

Julio Canani, who won three Breeders’ Cup races during his training career, died last Friday at a hospital in Pasadena, Calif. He was 83.

Jay Privman wrote the Canani obituary for the Daily Racing Form. As someone who has been reading the DRF for over 50 years, I can say that I have never seen a better-written obit for that publication than this one.

“Canani had been suffering from dementia and recently contracted COVID-19, friends said,” Privman wrote. “His training career effectively ended in fall 2015, when the California Horse Racing Board suspended him following allegations of financial impropriety regarding the sale of racehorses. He was a denied a license when he applied for reinstatement in 2017, but he was allowed to visit the track, though his illness by then had taken hold.”

Canani won the 1999 Breeders’ Cup Mile with Silic, 2001 BC Mile with Val Royal and 2004 BC Juvenile Fillies with Sweet Catomine. Sweet Catomine was voted the 2004 Eclipse Award as champion 2-year-old filly.

Privman put it perfectly when he called Canani “one of the most colorful characters the Southern California racing community has ever known.”

In all the years since I first started going to the races in the 1960s, Canani was, without a doubt, one of the most colorful characters I ever came across.

“He had a devilish sense of humor and a fractured relationship with the English language, elements that were brought out in the character Turo Escalante, a trainer in the HBO series ‘Luck,’ played by actor John Ortiz and modeled after Canani,” Privman wrote.

I certainly can attest that Canani loved to bet on horses. One time at the Del Mar press box mutuel window in the early 1980s long before there were self-service terminals, I made a huge tactical error. I got in line behind Canani as the horses had just reached the starting gate. Well, Canani took so much time making his wagers with the teller that I got shut out. My horse, of course, won. Lesson learned. From then on, I knew better than to ever again get behind Canani in a mutuel line if it was close to post time.

“Canani loved to gamble, either on horses he claimed that he thought would improve, or horses he had handicapped or seen training in the mornings,” Privman wrote. “He would cheer loudly while snapping his fingers, trying to get his runners up while often imploring riders with nicknames that are not printable.”

No doubt Canani was snapping his fingers furiously during the stretch run of the 1989 Santa Anita Handicap. Canani trained Martial Law, who won the prestigious Big ’Cap in a shocking upset. Martial Law paid $103.60 for a $2 win ticket.

I called the 1989 Santa Anita Handicap chart for the DRF. In the chart comments, I wrote: “MARTIAL LAW, prominent early after getting away in good order, remained within close attendance of the lead on the backstretch, came on readily while under right-handed pressure to forge to the front a furlong out, then drew clear in the final sixteenth while finishing strongly while under aggressive handling.”

Finishing second at odds of 40-1 in the field of 11 was Triteamtri. Stylish Winner, the longest shot in the race at 80-1, came in third. Nasr El Arab, the 7-5 favorite, finished eighth.

What made winning the Big ’Cap with a 50-1 outsider extra sweet for Canani was he beat his mentor, Bobby Frankel, who trained Triteamtri.

“Canani was a native of Peru who emigrated to the United States as a teenager, working initially for Tommy Doyle,” Privman wrote. “He worked his way up the training ladder with his skill and wits, graduating from claiming horses to stakes runners, his career arc mirroring that of Hall of Fame trainer Bobby Frankel, whom Canani idolized, calling him ‘Presidente.’ ”

The last time I saw Canani was at a convenience store near Santa Anita not too long after he had been suspended by the CHRB. I was in the store that morning to get a cup of coffee. After we chatted for a bit, we both got in line. And once again it was to my detriment that I got in a line behind Canani. That’s because it took him quite a long time to buy a whole flock of lottery tickets. But at least this time Canani did not cause me to get shut out.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis

February 13, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia

The Meadowlands has a big 15-race card set for tonight with the 0.50 Early Pick 4 beginning in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

On Friday, the driver with the hottest hands was Andrew McCarthy with three trips to the winner's circle. The top conditioner on the card was Julie Miller with two pictures.

Front runners ruled last night. Every winner was either first, or within about two lengths of the leader at the top of the stretch.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

1-Hudson Phil (12-1)-Comes off an improved effort in 2nd start off the bench. Shows good gate speed in past tries and has a chance to get a cozy trip possibly behind #8. Zeron steers for the 3rd straight time and will take a swing for a solid price.
5-Italian Delight N (8-1)-Four race win streak was snapped in last but that effort came from post 10. Did pace the back half in 54.4 and now gets a very good post. Dunn steers again and it's best to respect.
8-Western Joe (5/2)-Form is sharp and has raced well in the last 2 despite being stuck with the 8 and 9 post. Could leave again and has the gate speed to find a close-up seat. This isn't an easy group but is a major player and will likely be bet hard again.

Race 7

2-Incredible Shark (4-1)-Steps up, but almost the entire field is facing better and last 3 have been sharp tries. Doesn't show a recent win at this level but AMac should put in play early. Might land on the point, and if steals a quarter could be tough to beat.
6-Lachie Maguire N (5-1)-Loses AMac but Zeron knows well and he should be able to work a good trip. This 11-year-old is usually right there at the wire and has hit the board in 8 of 11 at M1 with 2 wins.
8-Rockin The Aces (3-1)-Dropped and finally popped in last and now bumps back up again where it won't be as easy. Left from the 8-hole last week and grinded it out for a picture. If the pace is honest Dunn could find a way to roll by down the lane.

Race 8

3-Wyatt J (3-1)-Four-year-old has fired hot off the bench and shoots for 2nd straight win at this class. MacDonald is back between the pipes and Wyatt likes to take pictures. Did notch 8 wins in 10 starts in 2020 and is 9 of 16 lifetime.
7-Levine (8-1)-Yonkers invader fits with this crew and raced from far back after starting from the 8 hole on 2-9. But did pace the 2nd half in .55 at YR last time. Took its lifetime mark of 151.4 on the 7/8's at VD. Interesting play looks like a solid price.
9-McMike (7/2)-Was off for over 3-weeks before last start on 2-6 and cashed a 3rd place check in a quick mile. Outside post makes the price and this Burke trainee doesn't show much gate speed. Gingras should find some live cover and could take another picture. Did win 10 of 21 in 2020. First try on the larger oval here was good and could be better tonight.

Race 9

3-Paduka N (6-1)-Drops after fading badly down the lane. There aren't any Western Joes in this field and should be able to get the top or a 2-hole trip. Won from post 9 on 1-2 at this level and could be sitting on a big try.
5-Ima Real Ladys Man (7/2)-Allard steers and he is usually aggressive. This Cullipher trainee likes to race at the top of the stack and should be there. Draws well and looks like a major threat.
6-Boiling Oar (8-1)-This the other entry from the Cullipher barn and this one should be a nice price. Versatile sort has won 28 of 72 lifetime starts. Has only 1 win in 8 starts at M1 but has done good work on the larger Hoosier oval. Looks like a must use and will hope the 8-1 morning line is correct.

0.50 Early Pick 4

1,5,8/2,6,8/3,7,9/3,5,6
Total Bet=$40.50

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 2/13/21

February 13, 2021

Jeff Siegel’s Santa Anita Analysis & Wagering Strategies

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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


Click to view today’s Santa Anita Workout Report

Click Here to View Risen Star S.-G2 Video Analysis

Click Here to View El Camino Real Derby Video Analysis


RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 4-Sunshine Babe; 7-Big Clare; 10-Alot of Magic

Forecast: Maiden state-bred sophomore fillies sprint six furlongs on turf in the Saturday opener and we’ll focus on a pair of second-time starters exiting the fast, highly-rated Jan. 17 event won by Disko Fever, who yesterday franked the form by easily defeating a first-level allowance field. Sunshine Babe is listed at 12-1 on the morning line but we suspect is a lot better than that. The daughter of Grazen was off poorly but closed a gap to wind up fourth, adds Lasix today, and has returned to work pretty well to indicate improvement is probable. She’s from a low profile outfit but definitely has some ability. Big Clare also was slow away from the gate but then steadily advanced to wind up a willing but green third, beaten four lengths. She has every right to step forward for a barn that has powerful stats with the second-time-starter angle. We’ll also toss in Alot of Magic, a first-timer for the R. Baltas barn with a steady but unspectacular work tab at San Luis Rey Downs. She’s bred for turf on both sides of her pedigree, gets top grass rider U. Rispoli, and may be better than her moderates dirt track times indicate.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:03 PT Grade: X
Single: 4-Curry

Forecast: Curry is listed as the 2/5 favorite in this five-runner first-level allowance sprint for older horses. On pure numbers he’s many lengths better than his rivals and the workouts indicate the son of Cyclotron is plenty fit for his seasonal bow. At the price he is unplayable so you can use him as a no-value rolling exotic single or simply pass the race.
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RACE 3: Post: 1:36 PT Grade: B+
Single: 2-Labor Union

Forecast: Four of the eight entrants in this maiden $50,000 claiming turf miler for 3-year-olds exit the same race, the Jan. 18 affair over this course and distance won by Goldini. Labor Union finished a game third in that race after making the pace under pressure throughout, and with just three career outings the son of Union Rags probably has more room for improvement than the others. Additionally, the P. Eurton-trained gelding has worked very well in the interim and in a race should be slowly run early he projects to be the controlling speed. At 2-1 on the morning line he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:08 PT Grade: B-
Use: 6-D K’s Crown; 8-Rickey B

Forecast: D K’s Crown, now in the D. O’Neill barn, earned a career top speed figure in a sharp score at Los Alamitos in mid-December from a softer group, doing so in such a manner that suggests he can take this class hike in stride. A prior winner over the Santa Anita main track, the Dominus gelding can draft in behind the leaders and then produce his best bid when the field straightens for home. Rickey B lands the cozy outside post and projects to be either on the lead or in a comfortable stalking position. He remains above his claim level, has won on this main track in the past, and has speed figures that fit. We’ll give D K’s Crown the edge on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 5: Post: 2:42 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Ghoul; 3-Highly Distorted; 6-Chaos Theory

Forecast: Highly Distorted is clearly the quickest in the field, and if he can shake loose again without being pressured the lightly-raced M. Puype-trained gelding could capture his third straight race while at the advanced age of six continuing his climb up the class ladder. He’ll need to produce another forward move to outrun this tougher group, but with numbers that continue to rise and with winning form over the course the son of Distorted Humor looks hard to handle at 5/2 on the morning line. Chaos Theory returns to his claim level after failing to land a blow in the Joe Hernandez S.-G2 last time out. He’s more than good enough on his best day to win but lacks tactical speed and may be at a disadvantage due to the projected race flow. Ghoul was a clever winner under these conditions two runs back but failed to duplicate that performance when fifth of six with a less-than-ideal trip in the subsequent Clocker’s Corner Stakes last month. He’s reunited with “win rider” J. Rosario and with good racing luck should be heard from late. All three should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have extra tickets keying Highly Distorted on top.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:14 PT Grade: B+
Single: 7-Captain Scotty

Forecast: This abbreviated sprint should belong to Captain Scotty, assuming the stakes-winning gelding has at least one good one left. The son of Quality Road, a fading fifth in the Palos Verdes S.-G3 here last month, returns to the $32,000 claiming ranks, and in a field lacking his kind of zip the P. Miller-trained veteran should be too quick and too classy for this moderate group. He’s 5/2 on the morning line but we suspect he’ll go lower, so we’ll make him a logical short price rolling exotic single in a race that we’ll otherwise pass.
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RACE 7: Post: 3:46 PT Grade: B+
Single: 5-Kakistocracy

Forecast: Let’s take a stand and single Kakistocracy in this nine furlong state-bred first-level allowance affair on grass. Listed at 8-1 on the morning line, the son of Point of Entry had a right to be rusty when eighth (but beaten just over two lengths) in a similar event over a mile last month in what was his first start in 11 months. Rallying against slow fractions and never really being knocked about, the C. Gaines-trained gelding gets an extra furlong to work with today, retains “win rider” D. Van Dyke, and shows a strong, healthy work pattern since raced. With a win over the local lawn on his resume, the lightly-raced five-year-old gelding seems primed for a career top effort, so we’ll make him a solid play in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:20 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Fair Maiden; 5-Qahira; 6-Golden Principle

Forecast: Fair Maiden looked terrific winning the La Brea S.-G1 over this track and distance in a race restricted to 3-year-olds last time out and today tackles older fillies and mares for the first time in this year’s edition of the Santa Monica S.-G2. A winner of half of her eight career starts with her most recent win producing a career top speed figure, the daughter of Street Boss likes to settle and blast home, a style that is usually most effective at this seven furlong distance. R. Gonzalez stays aboard, knows her well, and can have this E. Harty-trained filly along in time. Golden Principal, a sharp runner-up (though beaten 2 � lengths) to Fair Maiden in the La Brea, has come back to work splendidly and gets a four pound break in the weights compared to her chief rival, so it’s certainly within the realm of possibility that she can turn the tables. The B. Baffert-trained daughter of Constitution has good tactical speed and should enjoy a pace-stalking, trouble-free trip. Qahira, a winner of four of her last five starts, is another Baffert trainee that must be included somewhere on your ticket. She’s not quite as fast on pure numbers as Fair Maiden but looked good winning the listed Kalookan Queen S. last month and against this stronger group seems likely to get at least get a piece of it.
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RACE 9: Post: 4:55 PT Grade: B-
Use: 8-Indian Peak; 10-Scarto; 11-Taishan

Forecast: The finale is a difficult second-level allowance turf mile for older horses with the two main contenders drawing the disadvantageous two outside post positions. Scarto and Taishan both exit a series of stakes races and will enjoy this much welcomed class drop, though both may have difficulty securing a decent trip from where they’re drawn. The former has consistently earned speed figures that can win at this level and will be running on strongly late, while the latter, freshened since November, picks up J. Rosario and ran well in graded company when a close second in the American Turf S.-G2 at Churchill Downs on Derby Day in early September. Also worth including on your ticket is Indian Peak, a non-threatening but somewhat troubled sixth of 11 in the Cal Cup Turf Classic here last month. The stakes-winning son of Comic Strip lacked room into the lane, lost some of his momentum, and really should have finished closer. He’s another that will enjoy this return to the allowance ranks and being reunited with “win rider” M. Smith.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #5
Picks Notes
#3 Highly Distorted Looks for his third in a row, and he appears to be the controlling pace again in this spot. If nobody goes with him early, he should have enough to dig in late.
#6 Chaos Theory Graded stakes winner is the clear one to beat here, but he does his best running from off the pace, and the splits aren't likely to produce too kind a setup.
#7 Mystery Messenger He steps up in good form, and he might be just tactical enough to find a decent spying trip from this outside draw. Price player for a piece?
Race Summary Highly Distorted climbs the class ladder again here, and there doesn't appear to be anyone who can really go with him early.

Santa Anita - Race #8
Picks Notes
#4 Hard Not to Love She's solid enough going long, but her best stuff has come at this 7f trip. The cutback gives her a chance to wake up and break a five-race losing streak.
#6 Golden Principal She's quick enough to get the first-over trip again today, and she proved she could stack up with this kind when second with many of these last out.
#3 Fair Maiden Scored over some of these at 20/1, but that price is long gone this afternoon. Something like her last keeps her in the mix, but I don't completely trust her to run right back to it.
Race Summary Hard Not to Love posted two big stakes wins at this local 7f trip before a string of two-turn races. She'll get back to what she does best, and it'd be no surprise to see her turn in an improved effort while getting back around one bend.

Santa Anita - Race #9
Picks Notes
#7 Award Winner He went just a bit too quick early last out, and he should be able to dictate a relatively modest tempo with this group. The 6/1 ML price would be plenty attractive.
#10 Scarto This guy earned a Grade II placing over this course in October, and he'll get out of graded stakes company for the first time in three starts. The one to beat.
#2 Encoder He's a local stakes winner at this trip, and the move around two turns gives him some room to move up after a very modest sprint run last out. That said, he may have shaken off the rust off the long layoff, and he might show up with an improved effort at a big price.
Race Summary Award Winner will hopefully find himself on a lonely sort of lead, and he stayed on well last out when just beaten by a finishing winner.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Meadowlands - Race #1
Picks Notes
#1 ODDS ON LAUDERDALE Better than last pair indicate, today's Best Bet from rail.
#3 SPORTY SPOOK A Wake-up candidate off claim by sharp outfit, lures Dunn.
#9 WINDEMERE FRANK Yet to recapture 2020 form, drop could be the answer.
Race Summary Odds On Lauderdale had momentum when he broke stride in mid-stretch two back, then rallied widest and fastest last week, albeit too late.. He is the one to beat on the class drop.

Meadowlands - Race #10
Picks Notes
#7 RICH AND MISERABLE Change back to off-pace tactics could serve longshot well.
#8 J L CRUZE $1.5 million earner nearly overcame post 10, seeks 43rd victory.
#6 PIKACHU HANOVER Seeks third win in a row since arrival from Canada.
Race Summary Rich And Miserable (12-1) is worth a price stab. He raced closer to a faster pace and broke stride last week, after he rallied for a big speed figure when second at Yonkers.

Cal-Expo - Race #1
Picks Notes
#5 SIN MACHQUEEN Locked in until stretch, strong finish and gallop out, gets ideal set-up.
#8 GIGGLE MONSTER Dead game in winning for fifth time in six starts this year.
#6 P H HIPPIE Moved into fast pace to stretch lead, finished second.
Race Summary Sin Machqueen rode the rail, lacked running room until mid-stretch, finished well for fourth and continued strong on the gallop-out. He gets plenty of pace to run at, so play 5-6 and 5-8 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #8
Picks Notes
#8 Don't Get Khozy Has been consistent in her closing move and is a five-time winner over the track; has the classy and late speed to succeed.
#2 Funnybet Ended 2020 with three straight wins and has shown she can get it done from anywhere in the field; her latest was from off the pace but she's also won going wire to wire.
#7 Princess Betty Has the speed to fight it out from the start and she's already shown a lot of gameness in her career; would not be a surprise.
Race Summary Don't Get Khozy will be set up by a fast pace in front of her and can unleash her usual kick through the stretch; she will be extremely difficult to hold her off.

Gulfstream Park - Race #10
Picks Notes
#1 Penalty Had solid performances here last year and likes the distance; can make a solid run to the wire and should be very tough to hold off.
#5 Structor Long layoffs don't seem to be a problem for Chad Brown trainees, and this one hasn't been out since November 2019. The good news for him is that he's perfect in three starts and won the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf.
#4 Grand Journey Closed well and finished a good third at Tampa last out and won here last year; moving the right direction on his form lately.
Race Summary Penalty has a good late move and was getting to the leads last out in New York; has trained well and Mott has him ready for his first since July.

Gulfstream Park - Race #11
Picks Notes
#2 Shivaree Was a going-away winner the last time he sprinted and has been competitive vs. top-flight runners over this strip.
#5 Mischevious Alex Was an easy winner of an optional claiming race last out and has some solid wins, including a romping score in the G3 Swale here last year.
#6 Wind of Change Has superior early speed and might be too much for these early on; he'll compromise the chances of any other that has a need for the early lead.
Race Summary Shivaree turns back from a longer distance, has enough speed to stay in range and can make an effective move against the leaders.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al McMordie (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/al-mcmordie) - NCAAB - Sat, Feb 13 at 1:00 PM
Big Al's FREE Kentucky/Arkansas Winner! Auburn vs Kentucky
Kentucky -2 (-105) (BetOnline (https://record.commissionkings.ag/_mflJQWEiC-BqkvbhkiKqDGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/))

At 1 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Arkansas. John Calipari's Wildcats enter this afternoon's game on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak. And they also lost at Auburn earlier this season, 66-59, as a 3-point road underdog. But I love Kentucky to avenge that defeat this afternoon. For technical support, consider that SEC teams off 3 SU/ATS losses are a solid 84-59 ATS at home, or on a neutral court, when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. Take Kentucky. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Banks (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/jack-banks) - NCAAB - Sat, Feb 13 at 1:00 PM
Oklahoma vs. West Virginia Oklahoma vs West Virginia
West Virginia -2.5 (-108) (BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=220&des=4&AffUrlID=1314&LandingPageID=1))

The Mountaineers will have revenge on their minds after coming back from a big deficit before losing by 4 points to Oklahoma earlier this season. West Virginia trailed big, by nearly 20 points coming out of the half and came all the way back to tie the game up well into the second half but couldn't quite complete the deal. They have a distinct advantage at home as a good 3-point shooting team against Oklahoma's poor defensive perimeter play. Oklahoma is just inside college basketball's top 300 against the 3-point shot and WVU should take care of business on the offensive end. I'm backing West Virginia on Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Sports (https://www.bigal.com/handicappers/power-sports) - NCAAB - Sat, Feb 13 at 4:00 PM
POWER'S FREE ARKANSAS-MISSOURI WINNER Arkansas vs Missouri
Arkansas +3 (-109) (BetAnySports (https://affiliates.betanysports.eu/tracking/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=3&mediaTypeID=220&des=4&AffUrlID=1314&LandingPageID=1))

1* Arkansas (4:00 ET): All season long I've been pretty adamant that the pollsters have the SEC pecking order WRONG when it comes to these two particular squads. My own power ratings consider Arkansas, not Missouri (who is ranked #10), to be a Top 25 team. Meanwhile, Mizzou isn't even my top 40! Now that may seem like a silly statement to make when you consider Mizzou beat Arkansas, in Fayatteville, back on January 2nd. But consider that the Razorbacks were 6.5-point favorites for that game (lost 81-68). Based on that number, we're getting a pretty solid value on the Hogs in today's rematch. Then consider what just happened to Missouri earlier this week. They were slight underdogs to an unranked Ole Miss team and got blown out 80-59. I faded the Tigers in that one and recommend doing so again here. This team simply is not as good as its ranking. Arkansas has won five straight SEC games. Take the points. 1* Arkansas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA Free Pick Saturday NBA Brooklyn Nets vs Golden State Warriors
Brooklyn Nets -4.5 (-110) (BetOnline (https://record.commissionkings.ag/_mflJQWEiC-BqkvbhkiKqDGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/))

ASA free play on Brooklyn Nets -4 @ Golden State HOME COMING for Durant as he comes back to Bay area and we expect a big night for KD. Golden State at home is 9-5 SU on the season with a +6.1PPG differential 4th best in the NBA, BUT only 3 of those home wins came against a team with a current winning record and the differential is inflated by some blowout wins over bad teams (Det, Minn twice, Sac). BROOKLYN is not great on the road – 4-7 SU 15th in road net differential at 0PPG. But they haven’t played many road games with a full compliment of players. Nets Big 3 – Kyrie and Durant have played in 18 of Nets 27 games this season, Harden 13. The Big 3 haven’t played together since Feb 2nd a win over the Clippers. Combined these three Super Stars have been on the floor together roughly 164 total minutes. The Nets are 4-1 with all 3 starting. Plus/minus with all three on the court is incredible. Golden State was a home dog of +2.5 to the Celtics in early Feb and lost by 4. Brooklyn is better than Boston. NETS one of the worst DEFF teams in the NBA this season overall but coming off their best defensive showing of the season against the Pacers as they held Indy to 94-points on 39% shooting. NETS 3PT ‘D’ – Not as bad as you might think ranking 11th in NBA at 36.4%. Warriors 3PT ‘O’ – 11th at 37.6% Brooklyn 4th best OEFF ratings in the NBA at 1.171PPP – Golden State 20th at 1.105PPP The ALPHA MALE - Kevin Durant has a much better supporting cast than the Steph Curry and the Warriors do and it shows up here. Nets 6-2 ATS last 8 games vs. teams with above .500 record

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitchell Newman

No question the Florida State Seminoles are the better of the 2 teams on the court this Saturday afternoon in Tallahassee as their opponent, the Wake Forest Demon Deacons are just 6-8 this season and only 1-6 for the year on the road. The problem for the 'Noles is this will be their first live action after a second pause to their season due to COVID-19 and I am not ready to just jump right in with Leonard Hamilton's team laying -13 or so points.

True, Florida State handled their first pause with perfection as they ripped off 5 straight wins and covers before getting upset at Georgia Tech on January 30th. That was the last game for the 10-3 Seminoles. Handling the "rust" of the first layoff was one thing, doing it a second time may see them not as sharp in running away from teams as they were the first time back.

The Demon Deacons have actually won 3 of their last 5 games straight up and they have been even better against the spread, as they come into this one having covered 6 of their last 7 games and 8 of their last 10 overall this year.

Florida State has won 3 of the last 4 series meetings, but are no better than 2-2 against the spread in those 4. How about we split the difference here and look for Florida State to return to live action with the win, but Wake Forest plus the double-digits gets the cover.

Take the points.

1* WAKE FOREST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

My free pick for tonight is the USC Trojans, who we just made money with the other night in their win over Washington. I'm going to take a shot with them tonight against Washington State.

The USC Trojans already smacked the Cougars this season once, an 85-78 home win on Jan. 16. It was part of the 11-1 winning run the Trojans will take into tonight.

USC's biggest strength that has fueled its offense has been the work it does on the glass, ranking 12th in the country with 40.8 boards per game - including 12.7 on the offensive end, 28th in the nation. The Trojans' 12.3 offensive boards per game ranks No. 1 in the Pac 12.

By crashing the boards when they miss - the Trojans are hitting .459 from the floor against Pac 12 foes - they're giving themselves second-chance opportunities on offense.

The 85 points the Trojans scored against Washington State was the sixth-highest against all opponents - third-highest of major colleges; the 17 assists were fourth-highest; the 8 turnovers were second-fewest; and the six steals were third most.

USC is riding too much motivation for Wazzu. Lay the road chalk.

4* USC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams

My Saturday comp play will come in the NBA as I side with the Suns to stay on the winning path against the road-weary Sixers.

Philly is playing their 3rd road games in 5 days and they still have a Monday stop in Utah before heading back to the City of Brotherly Love. The 76ers have split their first 2 to start the trek - winning at Sacramento, but losing at Portland on Thursday night. Now they must tangle with one of the hottest teams in the West, heck in the league, in the Phoenix Suns.

The Suns are searing right now, winners of 4 in a row and 7 of their last 8 both straight up and against the spread. The last 4 wins have all come at home and they include wins over Boston and Milwaukee, so a game against Philadelphia should not bother them all that much.

This will be the first meeting since these teams met last August in the Orlando bubble when the Suns whipped up on Philly, 130-117 to make it 2 straight wins and 4 straight up wins over the last 7 overall series meetings between the teams. Better still, Phoenix is 5-2 against the spread in those 7 meetings.

This Suns team showed in the bubble last August that they are on the rise and they will show it again today against one of the contenders in the East.

Take the Suns.

3* PHOENIX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

Heading to the ice for my Saturday free play as the goals are once again hard to come by for both Montreal and Toronto.

Montreal has not topped 2 goals in any of their last 4 games, as all 4 of those games have landed Under the total. Included is a 4-2 home loss to the same Toronto Maple Leafs they will be facing tonight in TO.

Toronto comes into this game having landed Under the total in each of their last 3 games - including that Wednesday win over Montreal. The Maple Leafs have allowed only 4 goals total in their last 3 games and I get the feeling that facing the Habs once again just a few days later we will be staring at another defensive, low-scoring affair.

A closer look at Wednesday's meeting shows the game was only 1-1 after two periods were in the books. Sure, it did get a little dicey for Under players as the total that night was 6 1/2 goals, but with Montreal currently mired in an offensive scoring outage, I will take my chances with the Montreal Under streak extending to 5 in a row and Toronto's Under streak running to 4 straight.

This one could be a 2-1 or 3-1 final tonight.

Canadiens-Maple Leafs Under.

2* MONTREAL-TORONTO UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gus Augustine

The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Montreal Canadiens in a battle of North Division leaders. Toronto is in first place, while Montreal is tied for second with the Edmonton Oilers. But the Canadiens have been the surprise team in maybe all of hockey, with how well they've performed.

That said, Toronto is making a case as being the overall best team in the league right now with an NHL-high 23 points. The Leafs have won four straight behind a surging offense that is averaging nearly 5 goals per game during the streak, outscoring teams 19-7 in that span.

That run includes a 4-2 win in Montreal on Wednesday. The Leafs turned away a 1-0 deficit after the first period, scored three unanswered goals to take a 3-1 lead and got the empty netter to provide the final margin.

The Canadiens, meanwhile, had a game in between their two games with Toronto, which has been off. Montreal lost 3-0 at home to Edmonton on Thursday.

I don't like this spot here, as Toronto is catching Montreal at the right time, and should skate away with a victory here.

2* MAPLE LEAFS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: Indiana -1½ over Atlanta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY: BRADLEY +2½ over Missouri St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U Early Saturday's Free Selection: TCU Horned Frogs/Texas Longhorns under 142

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins ROZ's SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 13, 2021
FREE PLAY
CBK
745. Valparaiso +7 (5 PT / 8 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports
Early Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Mississippi State - 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports

Early Saturday's Free Play: Boston College Golden Eagles + 11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: the Loyola Marymount Lions -1½ over Pacific

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Saturday : Take BOISE ST -10 over UNLV

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Saturday
Virginia -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hawkeye Sports Early Saturday's Free Pick: Georgia Bulldogs + 14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Huddle Up Sports

Saturday Free Play:
Rutgers -8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph

Sat IND Pacers -1 1/2 NBA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Last Call Saturday's Early Free Play: Milwaukee Panthers + 15 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teyas Sports FREE PICK 2/13 NBA PHILADELPHIA -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Saturday: TROY +1½ over South Alabama

[Can'tPickAWinner]

High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Early Saturday: Toledo Rockets - 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Saturday: Phil/Phx UNDER 226

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Action 365
FREE NBA WINNER for SATURDAY 2/13/21:
PLAY Knicks +1.5 vs Rockets GAME TIME 8:00 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS SPORTS INSIDERS
SATURDAY 2/13/2021
FREE NBA PICKS
Pacers @ Hawks
TIME: 7:30 PM EST
PICK: Pacers -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAMEDAY NETWORK

FREE NBA WINNER
SATURDAY 2/13/21
76ers @ Suns
Time: 3:00 PM EST
Free Pick: OVER 226

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday, February 13th, 2021 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!
FREE CBB PICKS
Saint Mary’s @ Pepperdine
TIME: 8:00 PM EST
PICKS: Saint Mary’s +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Winners for Saturday, February 13th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE NHL PICKS
Canadiens @ Maple Leafs
TIME: 7:00 PM EST
PICK: Maple Leafs -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Feb 13 '21, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Indiana vs Ohio State
Play on: Ohio State -6½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Ohio State -6½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Feb 13 '21, 12:00 PM in 1h
Soccer | Juventus vs Napoli
Play on: Napoli +275 at Mirage

1* Free Pick on Napoli +275

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Feb 13 '21, 1:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Oklahoma vs West Virginia
Play on: West Virginia -2½ -110 at Mirage

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: West Virginia -2.5
The West Virginia Mountaineers have won five of their last six coming in. That includes a 91-79 home win over Kansas as a 2.5-point favorite, and a 82-71 road win at Texas Tech as a 6.5-point underdog in their last two games.
The Mountaineers won't let up now as they want revenge from a 71-75 road loss at Oklahoma in their first meeting this season. In fact, they have lost three straight in this series, so they definitely will be playing with a chip on their shoulder today.
It's a good time to 'sell high' on the Sooners, who have gone 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. Now they are getting a ton of respect from oddsmakers here today as a short road underdog to a West Virginia team that is one of the best in the country.
The Mountaineers are 14-5 on the season with four of their five losses coming by 5 points or fewer. West Virginia is 8-1 ATS in its last nine home games after winning six or seven of its last eight games coming in. The Mountaineers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 home games off an upset win as a road underdog. Bet West Virginia Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Feb 13 '21, 3:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Texas-Arlington vs Texas State
Play on: UNDER 128 -108

1* Free Pick on Texas-Arlington/Texas State under 128 -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Feb 13 '21, 3:05 PM in 4h
NBA | 76ers vs Suns
Play on: 76ers -1 -102 at pinnacle

1* on 76ers -1 -102

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Feb 13 '21, 3:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | South Dakota vs North Dakota
Play on: South Dakota -6 -110 at Draft Kings

Free Pick on South Dakota

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

(Sat) NCAAB Florida St -13
(Sat) NCAAB LSU +2-
(Sat) NCAAB Michigan St +4-
(Sat) NCAAB Virginia -6
(Sat) NCAAB Gonzaga -16
(Sat) NCAAB Washington St +8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Saturday, February 13

UConn @ Xavier
UConn (8-5, 5-5)
— ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #333
— Experience: #124
— Continuity: #154
— Huskies lost four of their last five games overall.
— UConn lost last two road games, by 8-11 points.
— UConn’s best player Bouknight has missed last 7 games.

Xavier (11-2, 4-2)
— ranked #46 by KenPom
— Tempo: #77
— Experience: #108
— Continuity: #178
— This is Xavier’s first game in two weeks.
— Musketeers won last three games, giving up 63 ppg.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Xavier has #32 eFG% in country (#62 on arc, #37 inside arc)

Indiana @ Ohio State
Indiana (11-8, 6-6)
— ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #301
— Experience: #289
— Continuity: #83
— Road team won six of their last seven games.
— Four of their last ten games went to overtime.
— Indiana is experience team #289 that has played schedule #8.

Ohio State (16-4, 10-4)
— ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #252
— Experience: #93
— Continuity: #177
— Buckeyes won their last five games, scoring 79.6 ppg.
— Ohio State is 5-1 in Big 14 home games, losing to Purdue.
— Buckeyes are getting 22.5% of their points on foul line (#24)

— Ohio State won five of last six series games.
— Hoosiers lost 71-56/68-59 in last two visits to Columbus.

Loyola Chi @ Drake
Loyola Chi (17-3, 12-1)
— ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #311
— Experience: #42
— Continuity: #24
— Ramblers won their last ten games, nine by 10+ points.
— Loyola’s last loss was January 10, 76-71 at Indiana State.
— Ramblers are shooting 60.2% inside arc (#3)

Drake (19-1, 10-1)
— ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #201
— Experience: #74
— Continuity: #179
— Drake is 5-0 in Valley home games (four wins by 18+)
— Bulldogs are grabbing 32.3% of their missed shots in MVC games (#1 of 10)
— Drake is shooting 37.5% on arc (#35)

— Loyola won six of last seven series games.
— Teams split last six series games played here.

Oklahoma @ West Virginia
Oklahoma (12-5, 7-4)
— ranked #23 by KenPom
— Tempo: #211
— Experience: #69
— Continuity: #56
— Sooners won six of their last seven games.
— Oklahoma turns ball over only 15.5% of time (#13)
— Opponents are shooting 43.6% inside arc (#14)

West Virginia (8-7, 5-5)
— ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #132
— Experience: #146
— Continuity: #32
— West Virginia won four of its last five games.
— Mountaineers split their last four home games.
— West Virginia is grabbing 36.5% of its missed shots (#9)

— West Virginia lost 75-71 in Norman January 2.
— Sooners won four of last five series games.
— Teams split last four meetings in Morgantown.

Auburn @ Kentucky
Auburn (11-12, 5-7)
— ranked #61 by KenPom
— Tempo: #34
— Experience: #346
— Continuity: #314
— Auburn lost three of its last four games.
— Tigers lost four of seven SEC road games.
— Auburn is turning ball over 21.9% of time (#305)

Kentucky (5-13, 4-7)
— ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #222
— Experience: #341
— Continuity: #343
— Kentucky lost four in row, seven of last eight games.
— Wildcats are shooting 44.1% inside arc in SEC games (#14 of 14)
— In their last four games, Kentucky gave up 77 ppg.

— Kentucky lost 66-59 at Auburn January 16.
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Auburn lost last ten visits to Rupp Arena, with three of last four losses here by 20+ points.

Oregon @ Arizona
Oregon (16-2, 9-1)
— ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #154
— Experience: #30
— Continuity: #298
— Oregon split its last six games, after an 8-1 start.
— Ducks won three of their four Pac-12 road games.
— Oregon is forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#71)

Arizona (14-6, 8-6)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #175
— Experience: #299
— Continuity: #325
— Arizona lost three of its last five games overall.
— Wildcats split their last six home games.
— Arizona is a top 20 rebounding team in country.

— Oregon won last five series games; three of them were in OT.
— Ducks won 59-54/73-72 OT in last two trips to Tucson.

Tennessee @ LSU
Tennessee (14-4, 7-4)
— ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #246
— Experience: #241
— Continuity: #100
— Tennessee won four of its last five games.
— Volunteers lost two of their last three road games.
— Tennessee is forcing turnovers 23.4% of time (#13).

LSU (12-6, 7-4)
— ranked #29 by KenPom
— Tempo: #76
— Experience: #327
— Continuity: #137
— LSU lost four of its last six games.
— Tigers lost last two home games, to Alabama, Texas Tech.
— Southern Miss is shooting 54.6% inside arc (#38).

— LSU won four of last five series games.
— Vols lost 92-82/82-80 OT in last two visits to Baton Rouge.

Iowa @ Michigan State
Iowa (12-8, 6-6)
— ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #100
— Experience: #213
— Continuity: #150
— Iowa lost four of its last six games.
— Hawkeyes lost last two road games, by 2-5 points.
— Iowa is shooting 38.9% on the arc (#12), has #23 eFG%.

Michigan State (10-7, 4-7)
— ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #152
— Experience: #194
— Continuity: #85
— Spartans won last two games, giving up 56-58 points.
— Michigan State is turning ball over 19.3% of time in Big 14 games (#13)
— Spartans have the #235 eFG% in country.

— Spartans lost 84-78 at Iowa February 2.
— Michigan State won five of last six series games.
— Iowa lost last four visits to Breslin Center, by 11-3-22-8 points.

Arkansas @ Missouri
Arkansas (15-5, 7-4)
— ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #20
— Experience: #237
— Continuity: #337
— Arkansas won five of its last six games.
— Hogs are 6-2 with Smith back in lineup; they were 1-3 without him.
— Arkansas lost four of its last seven road games.

Missouri (13-4, 6-4)
— ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #130
— Experience: #7
— Continuity: #8
— Mizzou won six of its last eight games.
— Tigers won last four home games, last three by 5 or fewer points.
— Mizzou is shooting 54.0% inside arc (#47).

— Mizzou won 81-68 at Arkansas January 2.
— Home side won nine of last ten series games.
— Arkansas lost their last four visits to Mizzou.

Villanova @ Creighton
Villanova (13-2, 8-1)
— ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #330
— Experience: #127
— Continuity: #7
— Villanova scored 84-96 points in its last two games.
— Wildcats lost their last road game, at St John’s.
— Villanova has #22 eFG% in country (#14 on arc, #62 inside arc)

Creighton (15-5)
— ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #117
— Experience: #411
— Continuity: #21
— Creighton won five of its last six games overall.
— Bluejays lost two of their last three home games.
— Creighton is shooting 57.5% inside arc (#9)

— Villanova won 11 of last 13 series games.
— Wildcats won five of last six visits to Omaha.

North Carolina @ Virginia
North Carolina (12-6, 7-4)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #72
— Experience: #323
— Continuity: #148
— North Carolina won seven of last nine games.
— Tar Heels lost four of their seven ACC road tilts.
— UNC is grabbing 40% of its own missed shots (#2).

Virginia (14-3, 10-1)
— ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #357
— Experience: #126
— Continuity: #158
— Virginia won three in row, 10 of last 11 games.
— Cavaliers are shooting 39.5% on the arc. (#8)
— In its last three games, Virginia gave up 57.3 ppg.

— Virginia won last six series games.
— Carolina lost last three visits to Virginia, by 10-12-9 points.

USC @ Washington State
USC (16-3, 10-2)
— ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #226
— Experience: #192
— Continuity: #323
— USC won its last five games, giving up 59.6 ppg.
— Trojans are 5-1 on Pac-12 road, losing 58-56 at Oregon State.
— Opponents are shooting 42.0% inside arc (#5).

Washington State (12-8, 5-8)
— ranked #101 by KenPom
— Tempo: #162
— Experience: #325
— Continuity: #208
— Wazzu won three of its last four games.
— Coogs lost three of their five Pac-12 home games.
— Wazzu lost last six times they scored less than 73 points.

— Coogs lost 85-77 at USC January 16
— Trojans won last nine series games.
— USC won its last five visits to the Paloose, all by 9+ points.

Utah @ Stanford
Utah (9-7, 6-6)
— ranked #66 by KenPom
— Tempo: #264
— Experience: #282
— Continuity: #16
— Utah won three in row, five of last seven games.
— Utes are shooting 54.1% inside arc in Pac-12 games (#1)
— Utah won its last two road games, by 1-3 points.

Stanford (12-8, 8-6)
— ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #100
— Experience: #294
— Continuity: #82
— Stanford lost five of its last nine games.
— Cardinal is turning ball over 20.5% of time in Pac-12 games (#11)
— Stanford lost two of its three games in Maples Pavilion.

— Cardinal lost 79-65 at Utah January 14.
— Utah won five of last six series games.
— Utes lost six of last seven visits to Palo Alto.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

601CONNECTICUT -602 XAVIER
CONNECTICUT is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.

605IL-CHICAGO -606 IUPUI
IUPUI is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.

607KANSAS ST -608 OKLAHOMA ST
KANSAS ST is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

609INDIANA -610 OHIO ST
OHIO ST is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

611THE CITADEL -612 UT-CHATTANOOGA
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

613LOYOLA-IL -614 DRAKE
DRAKE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

615SAMFORD -616 VMI
VMI is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home lined games in the current season.

617OKLAHOMA -618 W VIRGINIA
W VIRGINIA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.

619CANISIUS -620 QUINNIPIAC
QUINNIPIAC is 16-6 ATS (9.4 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

621ELON -622 COLL OF CHARLESTON
ELON is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) off a home loss against a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

563PHILADELPHIA -564 PHOENIX
PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

565INDIANA -566 ATLANTA
INDIANA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

567HOUSTON -568 NEW YORK
HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after 3 straight games being outrebounded by opponent by 5 or more over the last 2 seasons.

569BROOKLYN -570 GOLDEN STATE
BROOKLYN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the current season.

571MIAMI -572 UTAH
UTAH is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, February 13

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PHILADELPHIA (18 - 8) at PHOENIX (15 - 9) - 2/13/2021, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 52-79 ATS (-34.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 27-43 ATS (-20.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (13 - 13) at ATLANTA (11 - 14) - 2/13/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 165-124 ATS (+28.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (11 - 14) at NEW YORK (12 - 15) - 2/13/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 31-44 ATS (-17.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 114-79 ATS (+27.1 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
HOUSTON is 57-31 ATS (+22.9 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (15 - 12) at GOLDEN STATE (14 - 12) - 2/13/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
BROOKLYN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 40-58 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 68-96 ATS (-37.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (11 - 14) at UTAH (21 - 5) - 2/13/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTAH is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
UTAH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Saturday, February 13

Philadelphia @ Phoenix
76ers (18-8)
— 76ers won six of their last eight games. (5-2-1 ATS last eight)
— Sixers are 3-1-1 ATS in last five road games.
— Over is 5-2 in Philly’s last seven road games.

Suns (15-9)
— Phoenix won/covered seven of its last eight games.
— Suns won/covered their last five home games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six home games.

— Teams split last ten series games.
— 76ers are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to the desert.
— Over is 9-1 in last ten series games.

Atlanta @ Indiana
Hawks (11-14)
— Atlanta lost five of its last six games.
— Hawks are 3-1 ATS in their last four road games.
— Four of Atlanta’s five games went over the total.

Pacers (13-13)
— Indiana lost six of its last eight games.
— Pacers are 2-7 ATS in last nine home games.
— Indiana’s last four games stayed under the total.

— Pacers won seven of last eight series games.
— Hawks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Indiana.
— Four of last six series games went over the total.

Houston @ New York
Rockets (11-14)
— Houston lost five of its last six games.
— Rockets covered once in their last four road games.
— Under is 5-1 in their last five games.

Knicks (12-15)
— New York won three of its last five games (4-1 ATS).
— Knicks are 3-5 ATS in last eight home games.
— Under is 7-2 in New York’s last eight games.

— Houston won eight of last nine series games.
— Rockets are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Manhattan.
— Over is 7-2-1 in last ten series games.

Brooklyn @ Golden State
Nets (15-12)
— Brooklyn lost four of its last six games.
— Nets are 1-6 ATS in last seven road games.
— 18 of last 21 Brooklyn games went over the total.

Warriors (14-12)
— Golden State is 6-4 SU in its last ten games.
— Warriors are 8-5 SU/ATS in last 13 home games.
— Under is 8-3 in Golden State’s last 11 home games.

— Brooklyn won last two series games, by 41-26 points.
— Nets covered three of last four visits to the Bay Area.
— Under is 7-1 in last eight series games.

Miami @ Utah
Heat (11-14)
— Miami won its last four games (3-1 ATS).
— Heat is 4-2 ATS in its last six road games.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Jazz (21-5)
— Utah won six in row, 16 of its last 17 games (16-1-1 ATS).
— Jazz is 10-0-1 ATS in its last 11 home games.
— Over is 5-1-1 in Utah’s last seven home games.

— Home side won last five series games.
— Heat is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Utah.
— Three of last four series games stayed under the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Saturday, February 13

Trend Report

Philadelphia @ Phoenix
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Indiana @ Atlanta
Indiana
Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 17 games when playing at home against Indiana

Houston @ New York
Houston
Houston is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing New York
Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Brooklyn @ Golden State
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Brooklyn's last 9 games on the road
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

Miami @ Utah
Miami
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Saturday February 14
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Miami at Utah (9:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Jazz are 16-0 ATS (9.34 ppg) as a favorite coming off a win.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Indiana at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Pacers are 0-10 ATS (-7.55 ppg) with rest after they had less than 15% of their points from free throws last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Brooklyn at Golden State (8:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Nets are 10-0 OU (23.60 ppg) as a favorite off a win in which they scored 15+ more points in the first half than the second half.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Brooklyn at Golden State (8:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Warriors are 0-10-2 OU (-15.21 ppg) as a dog after they had less than 10% of their points from free throws last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

59OTTAWA -60 WINNIPEG
OTTAWA is 0-10 ATS (-10 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

63ST LOUIS -64 ARIZONA
ST LOUIS are 19-28 ATS (-18.4 Units) against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

65BOSTON -66 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 70-56 ATS (17.1 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the last 3 seasons.

67TAMPA BAY -68 FLORIDA
TAMPA BAY is 9-15 ATS (-13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

69MONTREAL -70 TORONTO
TORONTO is 8-14 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the last 3 seasons.

71DETROIT -72 NASHVILLE
DETROIT is 4-34 ATS (-26.4 Units) in road games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game over the last 2 seasons.

73CAROLINA -74 DALLAS
CAROLINA is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game in the last 3 seasons.

75COLUMBUS -76 CHICAGO
COLUMBUS are 11-38 ATS (-30.8 Units) in road games after a game where both teams scored 4 goals or more since 1996.

77CALGARY -78 VANCOUVER
VANCOUVER is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

85VEGAS -86 SAN JOSE
VEGAS are 27-29 ATS (-25 Units) against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, February 13

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OTTAWA (2-12-0-1, 5 pts.) at WINNIPEG (8-4-0-1, 17 pts.) - 2/13/2021, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 2-13 ATS (+22.9 Units) in all games this season.
OTTAWA is 2-13 ATS (+22.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
OTTAWA is 1-13 ATS (+21.8 Units) after a division game this season.
OTTAWA is 3-18 ATS (+32.4 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-2 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 6-2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

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ST LOUIS (7-4-0-2, 16 pts.) at ARIZONA (6-5-0-1, 13 pts.) - 2/13/2021, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 7-3 (+7.0 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 7-3-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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BOSTON (9-1-0-2, 20 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (5-4-0-3, 13 pts.) - 2/13/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 231-178 ATS (+48.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-2 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-2-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.1 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (9-2-0-1, 19 pts.) at FLORIDA (8-1-0-2, 18 pts.) - 2/13/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 9-15 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 132-61 ATS (+22.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 32-10 ATS (+12.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 26-6 ATS (+14.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 184-208 ATS (+408.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-2 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 7-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.6 Units)

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MONTREAL (8-4-0-2, 18 pts.) at TORONTO (11-2-0-1, 23 pts.) - 2/13/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 34-27 ATS (+65.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 11-5 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 166-163 ATS (-90.2 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
TORONTO is 81-117 ATS (-62.0 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-4 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units)

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DETROIT (3-10-0-2, 8 pts.) at NASHVILLE (6-8-0-0, 12 pts.) - 2/13/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 20-66 ATS (+135.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 329-320 ATS (-114.9 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DETROIT is 6-31 ATS (+63.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 13-48 ATS (+98.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 108-130 ATS (-64.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
DETROIT is 469-389 ATS (-155.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 42-45 ATS (+107.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 42-38 ATS (-8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 20-23 ATS (-20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

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CAROLINA (8-3-0-0, 16 pts.) at DALLAS (5-3-0-3, 13 pts.) - 2/13/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 273-182 ATS (+41.8 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
CAROLINA is 48-25 ATS (+13.8 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 5-2 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 5-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.6 Units)

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COLUMBUS (7-5-0-3, 17 pts.) at CHICAGO (6-5-0-4, 16 pts.) - 2/13/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 389-391 ATS (-64.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 108-98 ATS (-64.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-3 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-3-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.1 Units)

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CALGARY (7-5-0-1, 15 pts.) at VANCOUVER (6-11-0-0, 12 pts.) - 2/13/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 13-5 ATS (+18.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 7-4-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

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VEGAS (8-2-0-1, 17 pts.) at SAN JOSE (5-6-0-1, 11 pts.) - 2/13/2021, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 179-146 ATS (-68.6 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 197-168 ATS (-90.5 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 8-7-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Saturday, February 13

Trend Report

Ottawa @ Winnipeg
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa

Vegas @ San Jose
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing Vegas
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Florida
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Florida
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida's last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Boston @ NY Islanders
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Montreal @ Toronto
Montreal
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games
Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

St. Louis @ Arizona
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona
Arizona is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Columbus @ Chicago
Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Columbus's last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Chicago is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games

Carolina @ Dallas
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 14-3-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing at home against Carolina

Detroit @ Nashville
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Detroit is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Nashville
Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games at home

Calgary @ Vancouver
Calgary
Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Vancouver
Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 9 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Feb 13 '21, 1:15 PM in 1h
PGA | Jordan Spieth vs Daniel Berger
Play on: Daniel Berger -125 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on Daniel Berger -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer Feb 13 '21, 2:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Boston College vs Syracuse
Play on: Boston College +11½ -108 at pinnacle

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SATURDAY, 2/13:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play on my cut list for Saturday afternoon is on Boston College plus the points versus Syracuse. Boston College (3-12) has lost their last three games after their 69-65 loss to Wake Forest as a 2.5-point underdog on Wednesday. The Eagles are an ugly down right now having only seven available players in that loss to the Demon Deacons. But Boston College has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 road games as an underdog getting 6.5 to 12 points. Wake Forest has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games away from home. Syracuse (11-6) comes off a 77-68 upset win at NC State as a 2-point underdog on Tuesday. The Orange have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Take Boston College plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Feb 13 '21, 2:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Oregon vs Arizona
Play on: OVER 145½ -109

1 Dimer on Oregon vs Arizona over 145½ -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness Feb 13 '21, 2:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Iowa vs Michigan State
Play on: Iowa -4½ -105 at linepros

My free play is on Iowa at 2:30 ET.
Fran McCaffrey came to Iowa City from Siena, where he led the Saints to THREE straight NCAA appearances and a 77-26 record. He's been at Iowa since the 2010-11 season. He's led Iowa to SIX 20-win seasons the last eight seasons, getting four NCAA bids (would have been five last year but the NCAA tourney was canceled). Iowa returned all FIVE starters from last year, including the Preseason P-O-Y. (Luka Garza). The Hawkeyes were ranked 5th in the preseason poll and opened 12-2 (ranked No. 4 in the Jan 17th poll). However, the Hawkeyes lost at home to Indiana (81-69 ) on Jan 21 to begin a 1-4 slide. Iowa beat Rutgers 79-66 on Wednesday and visits East Lansing at 14-6 (8-5 in the Big Ten). Tom Izzo's Michigan St team was ranked 13th in the AP preseason poll but lost its first three Big Ten games for the first time since 2001-02. The Spartans eked out a 60-58 home win over Penn St on Tuesday but at 10-7 overall and 4-7 in the Big Ten, Michigan State is in serious jeopardy of seeing its streak of 22 consecutive appearances in the tournament come to an end.
Iowa center Luka Garza has been considered a top candidate for national player of the year since the preseason but he hasn't led the Hawkeyes in scoring in ANY of the team's last three games. Garza (25.3 & 8.5) is joined in Iowa's starting lineup by senior guards Wieskamp (15.2 & 6.7) and Bohannon (10.2 & 4.6 APG) plus fellow guards Fredrick (8.2) and PG Conor McCaffrey (3.5-3.1-3.9). The 6-11 Nunge (7.3 & 5.6) comes off the bench, as do the 6-8 Murray (7.0 & 4.9) and the 6-9 Patrick McCaffrey (5.2 & 2.8).
Michigan St lost its two best players from last season's 22-9 team to the NBA Draft, as PG Winston (18.6 & 5.9 APG) was taken by the Wizards and the 6-8 Tillman (13.7 & 10.3) by the Grizzlies. The team's top-two players so far this season have been 6-6 returning forward Aaron Henry. (14.4-5.6-3.6) and 6-9 junior forward Joey Hauser, a transfer from Marquette, who averages 10.5 PPG and a team-high 6.8 RPG. Sophomore PG Watts (8.4 & 3.0 APG) has stepped in for Winston plus veteran guards Langford (9.6) and Loyer (4.9) join him on the perimeter. Two returning 6-7 forwards, Brown (6.9) and Hall (5.2 & 4.9) give MSU a deep bench.
Many (most?) thought of Iowa as a top-5 team (no worse than a No. 2 seed) but the Hawkeyes haven't looked much like that recently. As for Michigan St, it's becoming pretty clear that this year's team is NOT an NCAA-worthy one. I'll lay the points!
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Davis Feb 13 '21, 3:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Kansas vs Iowa State
Play on: Iowa State +12 -115 at BetCris

These are the types of situations I really like if you have followed me from the get go. These two teams just met and KU wiped the floor with Iowa St. Love the quick revenge spot here and Kansas won't exactly be motivated by any means. I know Iowa St is really struggling but outside of last game they have played the better teams tough in the conference covering against Baylor, Texas, West Virginia, Oklahoma.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Feb 13 '21, 3:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Texas-Arlington vs Texas State
Play on: UNDER 128 -108

1* Free Pick on Texas-Arlington/Texas State under 128 -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Feb 13 '21, 3:05 PM in 3h
NBA | 76ers vs Suns
Play on: 76ers -1 -102 at pinnacle

1* on 76ers -1 -102

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Feb 13 '21, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | South Dakota vs North Dakota
Play on: South Dakota -6 -110 at Draft Kings

Free Pick on South Dakota

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover Feb 13 '21, 4:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Duke vs NC State
Play on: NC State +3½ -105 at pinnacle

North Carolina State is a mediocre 8-8, including 4-7 in the Atlantic Coast Conference. But if you think the Wolfpack are going through a down season check out Duke. The Blue Devils are below .500 for the first time in 22 years!
Yes, the Blue Devils have been involved in a lot of games that were decided during the final couple of minutes. But their 7-8, 5-6 ACC records accurately reflect inexperience and lack of defense. Duke ranks 257th in scoring defense, 308th in defensive field goal percentage and 335th in 3-point defense. Duke has lost its last four road games. The Blue Devils are 1-8 ATS the last nine times as a road favorite. Yet here they are road chalk again. The name "Duke" sure carries weight with oddsmakers and the marketplace when it comes to college basketball. This season - at least up to this point - Duke's freshmen haven't made the impact of previous first-year Blue Devils especially when games have been on the line. North Carolina State is fueled by upperclassmen. The Wolfpack have thrived in the role of home underdogs going 8-3-1 ATS the past 12 times. The Wolfpack also have defeated Duke four of the last five times they've hosted the Blue Devils. Duke's freshmen could have problems in this road setting, too, as North Carolina State is the best in the ACC at forcing turnovers. Until the Blue Devils prove themselves on the road they are a fade as away chalk.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson Feb 13 '21, 4:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Arkansas vs Missouri
Play on: Missouri -3 -110 at Mirage

7-1 88% with all premium picks this week! 10* NBA MONSTER, two 8* NHL BEST BETS and two 8* CBB BEST BETS go Saturday!
Rocketman Sports FREE CBB play Saturday 2-13-21
Arkansas @ Missouri (4:00 PM EST)
Play On: Missouri -3
The Arkansas Razorbacks travel to Missouri to take on the Tigers on Saturday afternoon. Arkansas is 15-5 SU overall this year while Missouri comes in with a 13-4 SU overall record on the season. Arkansas is 14-32 SU and 14-30 ATS last 46, 1-6 SU and ATS last 3 years and 0-2 SU and ATS this year as a road underdog of 3 points or less or a pick. Arkansas is 94-140 ATS lats 234 road games. Missouri is 8-1 SU at home this year. Missouri is 7-3 SU and ATS last 10 games at home vs Arkansas including 2-0 SU and ATS past 3 years. Home team is 5-1 ATS last 6 meetings in this series. We'll recommend a small play on Missouri today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park



Gulfstream Park - Race 11

$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Super Hi 5



Stakes • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 110 • Purse: $100,000 • Post: 5:16P


GULFSTREAM PARK SPRINT S. - GRADE 3 FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. FREE NOMINATION BY SUNDAY, JANUARY 31. $1,000 TO ENTER. A SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION FEE OF $100 MAY BE MADE PRIOR TO CLOSING TIME OF ENTRIES. AFTER PAYMENT OF 1% TO ALL OWNERS OF HORSES FINISHING SIXTH THROUGH LAST, 62% OF THE REMAINING PURSE SHALL BE PAID TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH AND 3% TO FIFTH. WEIGHT: 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A GRADED STAKES SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 3 LBS.; A STAKES SINCE MAY 1, OR THREE RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR RESTRICTED ALLOWANCE, 5 LBS. STARTERS TO BE NAMED BY USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. ALL FEES SHALL BE PAID PRIOR TO THE START OF THE RACE. PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO GRADED STAKES WINNERS IN 2020-21, GRADED STAKES PLACED 2019-21 THEN BY HIGHEST CAREER EARNINGS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ADMIRAL LYNCH is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ADMIRAL LYNCH: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ): Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. EDGEMONT ROAD: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlo ng of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). SHIVAREE: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at leas t 120 lbs.



3

ADMIRAL LYNCH

12/1


5/1




6

WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ)

9/2


6/1




1

EDGEMONT ROAD

12/1


6/1




2

SHIVAREE

5/1


8/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




3

ADMIRAL LYNCH

3


12/1

Front-runner

111


103


95.8


102.6


98.1




6

WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ)

6


9/2

Front-runner

108


108


95.7


100.3


94.8




1

EDGEMONT ROAD

1


12/1

Front-runner

110


99


94.2


101.2


92.7




2

SHIVAREE

2


5/1

Front-runner

111


108


90.6


94.2


86.2




4

CAJUN BROTHER

4


6/1

Front-runner

103


98


85.6


92.0


79.5




5

MISCHEVIOUS ALEX

5


6/5

Stalker

108


104


91.8


98.4


91.9




7

FROSTED GRACE

7


6/1

Trailer

101


100


64.2


97.2


86.7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course



Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 8

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta 20 Cent High Five - 70% Carryover



Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 44 • Purse: $27,500 • Post: 3:30P


FOR ACCREDITED OHIO BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * NICEASAKITTENSEYES: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Today is a sprint and the horse's la st start was within the last ten days. I'M JAC'D: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. INSPIRING LILY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks i n the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



1

NICEASAKITTENSEYES

6/1


9/2




8

I'M JAC'D

7/2


5/1




5

INSPIRING LILY

5/2


6/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




5

INSPIRING LILY

5


5/2

Front-runner

49


39


67.2


29.9


24.4




11

LARSA

11


15/1

Front-runner

0


0


61.0


17.8


8.8




2

HAUGHTY PRAISE

2


20/1

Front-runner

0


0


46.6


7.2


0.0




6

DENIRO'SRUNFORFUN

6


4/1

Alternator/Front-runner

34


32


35.4


23.1


9.1




4

ZVOLUME

4


12/1

Alternator/Stalker

48


28


49.2


19.2


9.2




1

NICEASAKITTENSEYES

1


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

56


41


28.8


31.7


24.7




8

I'M JAC'D

8


7/2

Trailer

41


31


41.5


30.9


23.4




9

GLORIOUS GLITTER

9


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


38.0


13.0


1.5




3

NORMAS HOPEFULGIRL

3


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0




10

CRYPTO'S IMAGE

10


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0























Unknown Running Style: DE BOLT LIGHT (12/1) [Jockey: Barbaran Erik - Trainer: Greenhill Jeffrey L].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Santa Anita - Race #9 - Post: 4:52pm - Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $65,000 Class Rating: 107

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#7 AWARD WINNER (ML=6/1)
#10 SCARTO (ML=5/2)
#11 TAISHAN (ML=7/2)


AWARD WINNER - As the only speed freak in the race, I expect this gelding to be long gone. This animal has the class to win the race. A tactical ride by Cedillo, and this one could bound home the winner. That 109 fig this gelding registered in his last race tells me he's a big time player this time. Ran a quick time for the last quarter on Jan 8th at Santa Anita. Anything close right here in this race should get the job done. SCARTO - May be extremely hard to beat this horse on the sod today. Last out scored a nice turf number, the highest of any of these animals. Have to give this race horse a serious look. In recent races, has posted the best Equibase speed figs on the turf at this distance. TAISHAN - Another way to judge class is EPS (earnings per start). This entrant has the highest in the field. I think he'll be close at the end.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MIND THE GAP (ML=6/1), #1 GOALIE (ML=6/1), #5 HEYWOODS BEACH (ML=6/1),

MIND THE GAP - Earned a most unsatisfactory speed rating in the last race in an Allowance race on August 20th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that number. GOALIE - Pace makes the race and the paucity of early speed means this come from behinder will have to rally without any help. HEYWOODS BEACH - Not likely that this horse will finish better than he did last time when finishing seventh.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#7 AWARD WINNER is the play if we get odds of 4/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [7,11]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [7,10,11] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[7,10,11] with [7,10,11] with [2,5,7,10,11] with [2,5,7,10,11] Total Cost: $36



SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:

[7,10,11] with [7,10,11] with [5,7,10,11] with [1,2,5,7,10,11] with [1,2,5,7,10,11] Total Cost: $72

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $3300 Class Rating: 55

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 KASHS BAR HABITS 6/1




# 5 FREIGHTTRAIN AUSTIN 8/5




# 4 CHECK HIM OUT AGAIN 3/1




KASHS BAR HABITS looks to be a competitive contender. Will probably compete very well in the pace battle which bodes well with this group of horses. Solid average Equibase speed figs in short races make this animal a contender. Facing a much softer group than last time out. FREIGHTTRAIN AUSTIN - Boasts reliable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when matched with the rest of this group of horses. He looks very strong in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. CHECK HIM OUT AGAIN - Could beat this group given the 53 speed fig recorded in his last outing.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $3300 Class Rating: 55

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 KASHS BAR HABITS 6/1




# 5 FREIGHTTRAIN AUSTIN 8/5




# 4 CHECK HIM OUT AGAIN 3/1




KASHS BAR HABITS looks to be a competitive contender. Will probably compete very well in the pace battle which bodes well with this group of horses. Solid average Equibase speed figs in short races make this animal a contender. Facing a much softer group than last time out. FREIGHTTRAIN AUSTIN - Boasts reliable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when matched with the rest of this group of horses. He looks very strong in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. CHECK HIM OUT AGAIN - Could beat this group given the 53 speed fig recorded in his last outing.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sam Houston

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 84

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. TEXAS BRED CLAIMING PRICE $30,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 9 DAYS OF GLORY 3/1




# 7 RICK'S RAIDER 8/1




# 6 FLEXATI 4/1




My selection in here is DAYS OF GLORY. Has run well when racing a turf route race. This gelding with Elliott in the irons makes him a key contender. Garnered a respectable Equibase Speed Figure last time out. RICK'S RAIDER - Should best this group here, showing very strong numbers of late. Ran a sharp last race. FLEXATI - Conditioner has solid win rate (17 percent) at this distance and surface. Bravo has him trained soundly to break promptly out of the starting gate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Oaklawn Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:31pm - Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $84,000 Class Rating: 93

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 PRATE (ML=2/1)
#2 EDGE TO EDGE (ML=10/1)


PRATE - Using this rider/trainer combination is a good move. Just check out his recent speed rating, 96. That one fits well in this group. This colt is tops in earnings per race entered. Take a good look at this horse in the saddling ring. EDGE TO EDGE - The return on investment when Tohill and Hartman hook up is terrific. Have to give this colt a shot. Ran a good effort in the last race within the last thirty days. Three consecutive improved Equibase speed figures (51-63-81) make this one a strong contender.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SIR WELLINGTON (ML=5/2), #6 BOB'S EDGE (ML=7/2), #5 XTREME MAYHEM (ML=4/1),

SIR WELLINGTON - Don't think that this colt has value at 5/2 this time around. BOB'S EDGE - I foretell a letdown for this equine in this contest. XTREME MAYHEM - Should have at least finished in the money in the last couple of months in a sprint event to be worth a shot at modest odds in a sprint. This group is a whole lot tougher than the ones he met in the last event.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #4 PRATE to win if we can get at least 6/5 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,4]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs



02/13/21, TAM, Race 5, 2.16 ET
02/13/21,TAM,5,1M 40Y [Dirt] 1:38:04 CLAIMING. Purse $12,500 (includes up to $200 FOA - Florida Owners Awards). FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since January 13 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (Races Where Entered For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (Registered Florida Breds Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
3
Port Salerno
6/1
Batista J A
Delgado Jose H.
T
189
35.45
1.19/$1


097.9617
6
Countess Jessica
12/1
Hernandez H
O'Connell Kathleen
S
189
35.45
1.19/$1


097.5569
1
Peggy O'Prado
20/1
Villa-Gomez H
Hemingway Ian


189
35.45
1.19/$1


096.8202
8
Minewellreceived
5/2
Garcia W A
Machado Antonio
FL
189
35.45
1.19/$1


096.6735
4
Athenasway
8/1
Coa K J
Digrius Martin


189
35.45
1.19/$1


096.4701
2
Holiday Curls
3/1
Alvarado. Jr. R
Raymond Robert A.
JEW
189
35.45
1.19/$1


096.1958
5
Melissani
10/1
Mejia T B
Ali Alnaz


189
35.45
1.19/$1


094.9773
9
Tegla
9/2
Allen. Jr. R D
Jehaludi Mohamed


189
35.45
1.19/$1


094.7484
7
Moments to Saver(b+)
15/1
Santos A
Bagwandeen Pernel
C
189
35.45
1.19/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 32.43, ROI 0.86/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -2.0383
[Category]Condition
[AllDirt]RaceDistanceRoute