Sunday 3/14/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Al Cimaglia: Rosecroft Raceway Pick 4 Analysis

March 14, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia

Tonight, Rosecroft Raceway has 14-races set to go with a 7:15 EST post time. The 0.50 Pick 4 begins in Race 9 and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9

5-Southwind Terror (6-1)-Should like the company and draws well. Foster is back between the pipes and he should be able to work a smooth trip. The pace could be lively and that will help. Looking for a big try at a square price.
7-Cool Casper (3-1)-Benefitted from a jewel of a trip to take a picture in last but did show enough gate speed to get the pocket trip. Morgan could try to follow the same script and it could work again.
9-Versado (5/2)-Berry takes the lines and he has had success in the past with this 14-year-old. Could leave to get a good seat and then look to roll down the lane.

Race 10

3-Uncle Coz (5/2)-Willing to respect chances and likely will be bet because Coz was blocked on the pylons and didn't shake loose until late in last. Probably won't offer any value and at this level will need a top effort to hit the wire first.
5-All Gold (3-1)-Steps-up but draws well and has hit the board in 4 of 5 races here with 2 wins. Morgan takes a seat, and he should find some live cover. Could make it 2 straight with the right trip.
6-PL Hoodhearted (9/2)-Steps-up after a nice win and now loses Plante but Moyer has taken pictures with this 10-year-old. Has won 3 of 6 starts in 2021 and could get a similar trip and roll off cover to pop at a solid price.

Race 11

3-Hickory Aloha (5/2)-Nine-year-old may have lost his will to win but this is wake-up spot. Should be in the pocket or on the engine. At this class Ofutt will likely look to get the point, if he can steal a quarter it should lead to an overdue win.
7-Mittnite Delight (7/2)-Odds-on chalk last week could not catch the winner and now steps-up. That was one of the better recent efforts and the price will be more appealing here. The last win for this 5-year-old came on 11-1 with Foster in the bike at this level.

Race 12

2-Son Of A Lynx (9/2)-Beaten favorite should be put in play early and can get a better trip. Should offer a fair price in a race without a standout.
4-Wheres My Money (10-1)-Has had excuses in last 2 when stepped up to face better and should offer a big price. Could get sucked around and stay close enough to make one well-timed move to surprise.
6-Rock Smart (5/2)-Comes off 2 good efforts and draws well. Looks like the one to beat with a decent trip but is only 3 for the last 25 and has only 1 win at RcR in 10 tries. Plante could try to control the race and set a reasonable pace.

0.50 Pick 4

5,7,9/3,5,6/3,7/2,4,6
Total Bet=$27

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Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 4 Ticket Sunday at Gulfstream

March 14, 2021 | By Jerry Shottenkirk

There are difficult challenges in exotic plays, and that fact looks you in the eye right off the bat in Gulfstream Park’s Late Pick 4 on Sunday.

There are seven three-year-olds in the nine-furlong seventh (4:12 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming) on the turf, and you can take your pick. My pick here is easy: Take ‘em all. The ALL space isn’t often used in this corner, and this is the proper time. It’s an evenly matched group and the distance will be a challenged for all of them. Let the chips fall where they may – hopefully on the largest price on the board.

Bugle of War is the 2-1 morning line favorite but from top-to-bottom, this looks pretty even. Raison d’Air is the second choice at 3-1 and Safe Conduct is third choice at 4-1.

The sequence includes another pair of allowance optional claiming races in the eighth and ninth, and it concludes with a maiden-claiming test in the 10th.

Here’s a look at the final three races:


Race 8 (4:44 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

DARK AGES was claimed by Kelly Breen when third last out and was an easy winner against similar two back. Has a good closing move at a mile and should like the pace in front of him.

NACHO PAPA was claimed by Carlos David two back and ran fourth against a tougher group in his follow-up. Adjusts to pace and can be a big player at this level.

HONOLULU EXPRESS set fast fractions and lived it last time in his first after being claimed by Peter Walder. Seems better on the main track and can be in a similar position on or very near the front today.


Race 9 (5:16 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

UNA LUNA made a sustained drive over the last three furlongs and was up in time against this level last time. Does well from off the pace and can save ground until she has to swing out for the drive.

NOPE never really got involved in two very tough races here and makes her third U.S. start after running in Ireland and Great Britain. Expect improvement in this spot.

OSAKA GIRL always makes an impact on the pace and is troubled when she gets clear at any point. A clear threat to win on the front end.


Race 10 (5:48 p.m. ET, maiden claiming)

COMMAND CENTRAL was a closing third against this level two back and was fourth against a higher level last time. Much improved since leaving the maiden special ranks and is a big threat to these.

EXPONENTIAL rolled up to the lead last time and was out-gamed in the final yards. Luis Saez keeps the mount and this one could time is right this time.

Gulfstream Park’s Late Pick 4 on Sunday:
7) ALL (7 horses)
8) #1 Dark Ages, #2 Nacho Papa, #3 Honolulu Express.
9) #1 Una Luna, #4 Nope, #7 Osaka Girl.
10) #6 Command Central, #7 Exponential.
50-cent Late Pick 4: ALL (7 horses) with 1-2-3 with 1-4-7 with 6-7 ($63).

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Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 3/14/21

March 14, 2021

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.).
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


Click here to view today's Santa Anita Workout Report


RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Swift as I Am; 5-Goldini

Forecast: In a race that should have enough pace to compliment his closing style, Goldini gets top billing in this starter optional claiming turf miler for 3-year-olds. He’s a first-off-the-claim play for a hot outfit after beating maiden$ 50,000 claimers over this course and distance in mid-January. Though he was part of the pace in that race, the son of Goldencents might be even more effective if held up early and allowed to run late, similar to the way he’s been training since joining the P. D’Amato barn. D’Amato’s other horse in the field, Swift as I Am, is the 2-1 morning line favorite thanks in no small part to the switch to leading rider F. Prat. With Artie Schiller on the bottom side of his pedigree, the son Danza should move up considerably on grass and, like we always say, if he’s ever going to stay a mile it’ll be in his first try. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have a few extra tickets keying Goldini on top.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:04 PT Grade: X
Use: 4-Luckys Last Stand; 6-Starship Chewbacca

Forecast: There’s not a whole lot to work with in today’s second race, a maiden $50,000 claiming sprint for state-bred older horses. Starship Chewbacca, listed at even money on the morning line, makes the all-important class drop from the straight maiden ranks, switches to J. J. Hernandez ,and simply should be too quick for this group. Drawn comfortably outside, the H. Zucker-trained gelding can pop and go or stalk and pounce depending upon how J. J. Hernandez assesses the race flow. Luckys Last Stand, a reasonable third at this level in his debut at Los Alamitos in December, adds Lasix, retains T. Pereira, and may have the most room to improve among the other five entrants. You can include him on a ticket or two as a back-up, but the main punch probably should go to the projected heavy favorite.
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RACE 3: Post: 1:39 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Circle of Honor; 4-K P Kan Do

Forecast: K P Can Do, like our top pick in the second race, shows the maiden-to-maiden claiming class drop angle and should put it to good use in this modest affair for 3-year-old fillies. The daughter of Kantharos has a considerable edge in the speed figure department, though it must be noted that both of her starts came on grass. The switch to the main track, at least based on pedigree, shouldn’t be an issue, so let’s put the J. Mullins-trained filly on top while also including on our ticket the second-timer Circle of Honor. Haltered out of her debut for $50,000 by S. Knapp, whose record with this angle is quite good (27% with a powerful ROI), she shows a couple of decent workouts since changing barns to indicate a forward move is likely.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:10 PT Grade: B+
Use: 2-Hot Box; 3-Found My Ball; 7-My Man Bags

Forecast: Found My Ball was out of his element when a distant fourth in the San Vicente S.-G2 behind unbeaten Concert Tour but this Cal-bred allowance optional claimer should be much more to his liking, especially in his first start on grass, a surface this son of Square Eddie should thoroughly enjoy. The speed figure he earned when breaking his maiden two runs back, if repeated today, makes him a standout. Price players may want to find room somewhere on their rolling exotic tickets for Hot Box and My Man Bags. The former continues to impress in the morning and may be the quickest in the field at 12-1 on the morning line, while the latter, a first-time Lasix user, is cozily drawn outside in his first try on grass, has looked pretty good in the a.m., and could easily improve considerably.
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RACE 5: Post: 2:43 PT Grade: X
Single: 4-Madam Barbarian

Forecast: Madam Barbarian has plenty going for her in this extended sprint for $12,500 claiming fillies and mares. She’s reunited win “win rider” F. Prat while returning to the level of her sharp victory two races back and is race that projects to have modest early fractions the veteran mare should be comfortably placed throughout and have every chance to kick clear when set down. She’ll probably be a short price – she’s 8/5 on the morning line – so perhaps the best course of action is to use her as a rolling exotic single but otherwise pass the race.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:18 PT Grade: B+
Use: 2-Bella Vita; 8-Leggs Galore

Forecast: This is a fairly strong edition of the Irish O’Brien Stakes, a grass dash for Cal-bred older fillies and mares. We’ll try to get by using just two. Bella Vita returned off a nine month layoff to toy with a lesser field when winning the Spring Fever S. on the main track in mid-February in what was a visually pleasing performance that earned a solid number. We’re expecting the daughter of Bayern to run even better today with the return to grass, her preferred surface. The S. Callaghan-trained filly has shown the versatility to win on the front end or from a stalking position, giving F. Prat the option to adjust his strategy as needed. Leggs Galore is the 2-1 morning line favorite based on superior speed figures and rapidly improving form which has produced four straight victories – all on grass – including the Sunshine Millions Filly & Mare Turf Sprint in her most recent outing in mid-January. Also a daughter of Bayern, the P. D’Amato-trained filly continues to train in spectacular fashion, is comfortably drawn outside, and projects to have clear sailing and every chance to reproduce her top effort.
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RACE 7: Post: 3:50 PT Grade: B
Use: 5-Respectfully; 8-Dancing Dana

Forecast: Respectfully didn’t get the best of runs but kept to her task in the lane when a better-than-looked fourth in a similar starter optional claiming main track sprint for 3-year-old fillies last month. She earned a career top speed despite being forced to steady into the turn, and the way she regained her momentum to finish eagerly really caught our eye. She switches to J. J. Hernandez, which is good, but the tradeoff is that she must pick up 10 lbs. Dancing Dana improved considerably – at least based on speed figures – when a strong runner-up in a similar spot on grass last month. Perhaps she simply is getting better, but the concern is that the forward move may have been entirely due to the switch in surface. Today, the daughter of Clubhouse Ride is back on the main track, where her form has been somewhat ordinary. We’ll use both in our rolling exotics and then press with extra tickets keying Respectfully on top.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:24 PT Grade: B+
Use: 5-Away From the Sun; 7-Anna Fantastic

Forecast: Away From the Sun, unbeaten in a pair of impressive Bay Area outings, takes her talents to Southern California for this state-bred first-level allowance turf sprint, and if she can transfer her synthetic form to grass the daughter of Smiling Tiger should be able to keep her record unblemished. Sher has an ideal stalking style for this course and distance, speed figures that are simply faster than the competition, and a Golden Gate Fields work tab that is sharp, steady, and healthy. Anna Fantastic may be the most dangerous of the locals. A smart five-length winner two runs back, the daughter of Cyclotron was respectable in defeat when fourth behind potential monster Happier in her most recent outing and will be major player against this group if she, like our top pick, can translate her dirt form to turf. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Away From the Sun
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Jeff Siegel's National Prime Plays for 3/14/21

March 14, 2021


Every Friday thru Sunday handicapper Jeff Siegel offers his best wagering opportunity from a selected North American racetrack. These “Best Plays” can take the form of a win wager, exacta, trifecta, or a daily double, pick-3, pick-4 or pick-6.

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Aqueduct – Eighth Race – Post time: 4:55 ET
1-A Longlongtimeago(9/2)

This sharp debut-winning son of Maclean’s Music takes the immediate jump into stakes competition but could easily be up to the task based on his thoroughly professional performance in a fast, highly-rated and productive heat in mid-January. Overcoming a rough start and traffic trouble on the turn, this quick-actioned sophomore was maneuvered to the outside for clear sailing into the lane and took control with authority close home. Today’s extra furlong won’t be an issue, of he can secure clear sailing from his rail post the J. Abreu-trained can spring a mild surprise in this year’s edition of the Damon Runyon Stakes for New York-bred 3-year-olds.

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Santa Anita Park – Eighth Race – Post time: 4:24 PT
5-Away From the Sun (2-1)

Unbeaten in a pair of impressive Bay Area outings first in a maiden claimer and then in starter’s allowance company, this B. Wright-trained 4-year-old takes her talents to Southern California for this state-bred first-level allowance turf sprint, and if she can transfer her synthetic form to grass the daughter of Smiling Tiger should be able to keep her record unblemished. Sher has an ideal stalking style for this course and distance, speed figures that are simply faster than the competition, and a Golden Gate Fields work tab that is sharp, steady, and healthy. She’s 2-1 on the morning line and if he can get that price we’ll use her with confidence in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #5
Picks Notes
#7 Eternal Endeavour She's a pretty reliable type with similar, and she should be able to get another good spying trip from the wide draw. She hasn't won in a long time, but her running lines keep her right there with these.
#3 Tiz Toffee Drops for the second start of this season, and she has some forward ability in a race that doesn't have a ton of speed.
#4 Madame Barbarian She was an easy winner when racing at this level a couple starts back, and she wasn't embarrassed when facing better starter company last out.
Race Summary Eternal Endeavour tends to run her race, and those efforts stack up well here. She was the 7/5 chalk when Madame Barbarian beat her last out, and she can turn the tables at a fair price.

Santa Anita - Race #6
Picks Notes
#8 Leggs Galore She draws well to get a dreamy trip on the engine or pressing Sadie Bluegrass, and this one has been sensational since moving to the turf, rattling off four in a row.
#2 Bella Vita She was an easy winner off the layoff last out, and she has some back success on the turf that makes her interesting here.
#1 Nardini She owns a couple of turf sprint tries that were decent enough to land a piece with this bunch, and she'll be a price to potentially boost the gimmicks in an otherwise top heavy race.
Race Summary Leggs Galore can be a handful here as she looks for her fifth score in a row since switching to the turf, and she projects for a dreamy trip on paper.

Santa Anita - Race #8
Picks Notes
#1 Pushing Sixty She sat close to a good pace last time out, and she'll now turn back while adding blinkers. She might wind up getting a cozy trip on the inside at a price.
#7 Anna Fantastic She has been heading the right way in recent starts, and she exits a fast race on the main track. The move to the turf is a real question, but the form is there if she can handle the surface switch.
#5 Away From the Sun She'll get a tougher test here, but she has done nothing wrong in a couple of easy wins at Golden Gate. Big chance from close range.
Race Summary Pushing Sixty will be a big price after fading when chasing a quick pace last time out, and she can probably find a good spot to flash some tracking pace on the cutback.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #5
Picks Notes
#1 Fielder Held his ground and finished third last out and is solid at this level on the turf; will be unaffected if it comes off the turf.
#8 Fig Jelly Held third going longer last out and was claimed by Breen, who is 22 percent in first after claim; can finish well vs. these.
#6 Kantharos' Image Closed well and just missed last out, finishing third by a neck; solid chance if he runs back to that.
Race Summary Fielder can get a ground-saving run and can fight it out in this spot; should be able to carve out a good trip.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6
Picks Notes
#1 Dream About Me Ran an even fifth on debut in a productive maiden races and should be seriously troublesome in stretching out to a mile.
#3 Mary Jane Chrome Has a long string of mostly exceptional workouts and the daughter of California Chrome is set for her debut.
#2 Viva La Red Was an even fourth going two turns and could show some punch as she turns back to one turn.
Race Summary Dream About Me comes out of a strong race and has a better chance with more distance.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8
Picks Notes
#2 Nacho Papa Ran an even fourth last time in his second off the claim by Carlos David and likely will improve in his return.
#1 Dark Ages Has a decent late kick and could get an ideal pace setup; one to hold off.
#3 Honolulu Express Moved over to the dirt last time and responded by wiring a similar field in her first off the claim by Walder.
Race Summary Nacho Papa didn't first in her first for the David barn and can get a better run vs. this group; solid chance to right in the mix throughout.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BATTAGLIA Daily Free Plays :

AQUEDUCT
RACE 9

# 5-8-1-4 Rating : 2 stars

#5 Bastet- taking the four year olds over the younger again. This one was claimed for 20k two starts back then finished second beaten just two lengths by a repeat winner last out while racing wide on a double speed favoring track. He cuts back in distance and a late rider change sure would not hurt our feelings.

#8 Levelplaying field-first timer from the Brown barn is working well and is coming off a bullet work best of 64. He catches a soft field for his debut and is the one to beat.

#1 Despeight All Odds-3 year old is dropping from MSW to MCL 40k for trainer who is hitting at 29% with his runners making this drop.

#4 Odemgoldenslippers- 4 year old making his debut for trainer Englehart who is hitting at 25% with his first timers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs
PURCHASE
Louisiana Downs - Race 3

Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)


Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 52 • Purse: $3,300 • Post: 1:48P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * CARRY ON CUERVO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MS CORONA CAN DO: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. CASHS SPECIAL CORONA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
STREAKY
8/1

5/1
8
CARRY ON CUERVO
8/1

7/1
2
WILLRHETTJET
20/1

7/1
6
MS CORONA CAN DO
5/1

8/1
4
CASHS SPECIAL CORONA
5/2

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
SUPER BLACK DUCK
1

15/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
0

0

7.0

0.0

0.0
2
WILLRHETTJET
2

20/1
Slow
67

49

7.0

0.0

0.0
3
RR TEXAS CHROME
3

12/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
0

0

7.6

0.0

0.0
4
CASHS SPECIAL CORONA
4

5/2
Slow/Trouble-prone
55

52

7.1

0.0

0.0
5
STREAKY
5

8/1
Slow
67

53

7.9

0.0

0.0
6
MS CORONA CAN DO
6

5/1
Fast
51

46

2.0

0.0

0.0
7
LOTS OF CLASS N SASS
7

30/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
0

0

9.2

0.0

0.0
8
CARRY ON CUERVO
8

8/1
Slow
59

51

6.7

0.0

0.0
9
JS SENATOR PERRY
9

6/1
Slow
0

0

6.8

0.0

0.0
10
MY TEMPTING KING
10

7/2
Slow
0

0

6.6

0.0

0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Aqueduct
PURCHASE
Aqueduct - Race 6

Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double Wagers


Starter Allowance $50,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 97 • Purse: $55,000 • Post: 3:52P
(UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 1, 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Trailer. CAUSE OF ACTION is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CAUSE OF ACTION: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. MUCH TROUBLE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating . MISTER BOBBY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TONKA FLOWER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BRILLIANT BROOKS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50 .
5
CAUSE OF ACTION
4/1

6/1
2
MUCH TROUBLE
5/2

6/1
6
MISTER BOBBY
3/1

7/1
1
TONKA FLOWER
5/1

8/1
7
BRILLIANT BROOKS
3/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
STEP TO THE BANK
3

20/1
Front-runner
79

72

105.1

63.0

49.5
1
TONKA FLOWER
1

5/1
Front-runner
94

95

86.8

89.4

81.9
6
MISTER BOBBY
6

3/1
Stalker
99

94

85.4

89.4

84.4
2
MUCH TROUBLE
2

5/2
Stalker
95

95

70.2

90.3

87.8
7
BRILLIANT BROOKS
7

3/1
Stalker
93

93

70.1

83.9

75.9
5
CAUSE OF ACTION
5

4/1
Trailer
91

94

55.2

87.2

79.2
4
KNOCKOUT PUNCH
4

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
90

86

48.7

77.6

68.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 22

FOR NATIVE MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 ELECTRONICO 20/1

# 5 JOE THE JOKER 4/1

# 4 DON MORCI 3/1

I have to support ELECTRONICO in this competition and is a formidable value bet given the line at 20/1. Has very strong Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. The extreme drop in competition can only aid this entrant this time around. This animal could surprise this field at a nice number. JOE THE JOKER - Look for this horse to be close up on the wire versus these horses. DON MORCI - Overall, has one of the top earnings per start in dirt sprint events in this field of horses. His chances to prove victorious are much better this time out facing this softer group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Fonner Park - Race #6 - Post: 3:35pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $5,000 Class Rating: 63

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 LILFEATHEREDINDIAN (ML=8/1)
#7 DARLING GIRL (ML=20/1)
#9 AVABELL (ML=4/1)
#4 TSURUOKA (ML=12/1)


LILFEATHEREDINDIAN - Trainer, Bethke, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. That last effort must not have been too hard on this filly for her to be able to race again so quickly. Off the board finish last time out at Fonner Park was better than it looked on paper. She improved position in the homestretch and never gave up. Just see her most recent rating, 58. That one fits in this bunch. DARLING GIRL - Trainer Mitchell moves this animal down in class to face a lower level today. Look for a nice race at this level. AVABELL - Another way to assign class is EPS (earnings per start). This entrant has the topmost in the group. I think she'll be close at the end. TSURUOKA - The jock/handler duo of McNeil and Rushton has a strong ROI together. When a sprinter is back in a race less than 10 days after her last outing, it generally means she's fit. Any speed horse that is starting from the inside has a shot on this track. Should jump out of the gate and get good position versus this group.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 GYPSY WIND JEANNE (ML=5/2), #10 DIXIE CAT (ML=5/1), #6 BETWEEN THE BUOYS (ML=6/1),

GYPSY WIND JEANNE - Earned a mediocre speed rating last out in a $5,000 Claiming race on Feb 28th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that number. DIXIE CAT - Just cannot invest in this entrant. Didn't show me anything positive last out or on May 27th. Tough to put your money on this early speedball. Too much speed in the event. This mount ran a most unsatisfactory speed figure in the last race. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely suffer defeat today running that figure.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #3 LILFEATHEREDINDIAN on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with [4,7,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
3 with [4,7,9] with [4,7,9] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
3 with [4,7,9] with [4,7,9] with [4,7,9] Total Cost: $6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #6 - Post: 2:43pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,450 Class Rating: 73

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 CAPTURED BY FATE (ML=5/2)


CAPTURED BY FATE - When a sprinter is back in a race less than 10 days after his last outing, it generally means he's fit. This colt is almost always in the money. Trainer Rodriguez moves this horse to a lower class rank to face a lower rated field. Look for a good performance in this race. Have to give this colt a good chance. Ran a solid contest last time around the track within the last thirty days. Ranked at the very top in earnings per race. Another notice that this horse has the class to win today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 COMPANY STORE (ML=7/2), #1 FLYING BANKROLL (ML=4/1), #6 COURAGEOUS CRAFT (ML=6/1),

COMPANY STORE - This horse is always around, but just doesn't win. Hard to bet on him on the front end. FLYING BANKROLL - Hard to keep chasing this kind of 'bridesmaid' horse. There may be a set back this time, after the strong exertion last time out. COURAGEOUS CRAFT - Doesn't look to be worth 6/1 in today's event. Pass on him this time.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - CAPTURED BY FATE - This colt improved his speed rating two races back on May 24th and improved again in the last race.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 CAPTURED BY FATE to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $26000 Class Rating: 81

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, FOR EACH $2,000 TO $16,000 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 PRINCESS CORO 7/2

# 5 COOKIE COVE 5/1

# 2 CAFFEINE RUSH 3/1

PRINCESS CORO should be supported as the bet in here. Could provide positive returns based on strong recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 72. Conditioner boasts sharp win numbers at this distance and surface. Should finish in the top three without any worries. COOKIE COVE - Has respectable front speed and will almost certainly fare well against this group. Must be given a shot - I like the figures from the last affair. CAFFEINE RUSH - Ran a sharp last race. Has run soundly when racing a dirt sprint race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park
PURCHASE

03/14/21, OP, Race 3, 2.02 CT
03/14/21,OP,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $35,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $30,000, if for $25,000, allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Occurs WPC ROI
100.0000 4 Mega Charlie 3/1 Arrieta F Contreras Cipriano JTFEC 125 30.40 1.22/$1
097.4371 2 Firecracker Stand 5/1 Eramia R E Smith Kenny P. 125 30.40 1.22/$1
097.0052 9 Sea to Success 9/2 Torres C A Sadler John W. W 137 32.12 1.20/$1
095.5323 6 Khaki Jack 10/1 Morales J Vance Thomas D. 134 25.37 0.82/$1
095.1888 5 Talktoeachother 8/1 Court J K Swearingen Thomas H. 134 25.37 0.82/$1
094.5590 7 Presto Bench 4/1 Tohill K S Hartman Chris A. 134 25.37 0.82/$1
094.5355 3 No Classiva 30/1 Medina J A Milligan Allen 125 30.40 1.22/$1
094.5010 8 Awesome Launch 6/1 Gonzalez E Hollendorfer Jerry S 134 25.37 0.82/$1
093.9752 1 Galilee 6/1 Santana. Jr. R Moquett Ron 134 25.37 0.82/$1
Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 25.45, ROI 0.82/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -2.5629
[Category]Condition
[AllDirt]LastRaceWeightIsEqualToToday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

55ARIZONA -56 MINNESOTA
ARIZONA is 12-5 ATS (9 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

57CAROLINA -58 DETROIT
DETROIT is 6-37 ATS (-34.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

59NY ISLANDERS -60 NEW JERSEY
NY ISLANDERS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the current season.

61DALLAS -62 COLUMBUS
DALLAS are 99-59 ATS (34.1 Units) off a road loss against a division rival since 1996.

63TORONTO -64 OTTAWA
OTTAWA is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

63TORONTO -64 OTTAWA
DJ Smith is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games (Coach of OTTAWA)

65LOS ANGELES -66 COLORADO
LOS ANGELES are 35-30 ATS (2 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (12-11-0-4, 28 pts.) at MINNESOTA (16-8-0-1, 33 pts.) - 3/14/2021, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 17-32 ATS (+51.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 7-2 ATS (+9.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
ARIZONA is 16-11 ATS (+32.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 93-103 ATS (-50.6 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 12-19 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-3 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-3-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (19-6-0-1, 39 pts.) at DETROIT (8-16-0-4, 20 pts.) - 3/14/2021, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 19-7 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games this season.
CAROLINA is 19-7 ATS (+8.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CAROLINA is 18-7 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a division game this season.
DETROIT is 25-74 ATS (-96.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 210-199 ATS (-179.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
DETROIT is 334-328 ATS (-209.0 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DETROIT is 18-59 ATS (+121.1 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 7-44 ATS (+84.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-6 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 6-3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY ISLANDERS (18-6-0-4, 40 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (8-13-0-3, 19 pts.) - 3/14/2021, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 19-16 ATS (+41.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 118-90 ATS (+16.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 21-6 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 59-39 ATS (+15.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 25-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 2-11 ATS (+16.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 9-2 (+5.7 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 9-2-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.5 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (8-8-0-6, 22 pts.) at COLUMBUS (11-12-0-6, 28 pts.) - 3/14/2021, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 8-14 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 8-14 ATS (-9.3 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
DALLAS is 7-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 6-2 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 6-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (19-8-0-2, 40 pts.) at OTTAWA (9-20-0-1, 19 pts.) - 3/14/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 5-12 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 7-14 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 10-3 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 133-127 ATS (-21.2 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-7 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-5-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOS ANGELES (11-9-0-6, 28 pts.) at COLORADO (15-8-0-2, 32 pts.) - 3/14/2021, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 3-7 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 11-14 ATS (-17.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-5 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 5-4-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Sunday, March 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Arizona @ Minnesota
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona

Carolina @ Detroit
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

NY Islanders @ New Jersey
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games on the road
NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

Dallas @ Columbus
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Columbus
Columbus is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas
Columbus is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Dallas

Los Angeles @ Colorado
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games

Toronto @ Ottawa
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa
Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

557MEMPHIS -558 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 90-70 ATS (13 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

559UTAH -560 GOLDEN STATE
UTAH is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) off a home win in the current season.

561SAN ANTONIO -562 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

563MIAMI -564 ORLANDO
MIAMI is 34-14 ATS (18.6 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

565CLEVELAND -566 ATLANTA
CLEVELAND is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

567BOSTON -568 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

569PORTLAND -570 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

571TORONTO -572 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

573LA CLIPPERS -574 NEW ORLEANS
LA CLIPPERS are 40-21 ATS (16.9 Units) in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (17 - 17) at OKLAHOMA CITY (16 - 22) - 3/14/2021, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 67-47 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 50-36 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-3 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (28 - 9) at GOLDEN STATE (19 - 19) - 3/14/2021, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
UTAH is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (19 - 15) at PHILADELPHIA (26 - 12) - 3/14/2021, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 81-52 ATS (+23.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 1142-1014 ATS (+26.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 385-306 ATS (+48.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 383-316 ATS (+35.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (20 - 18) at ORLANDO (13 - 25) - 3/14/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 246-201 ATS (+24.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
ORLANDO is 27-41 ATS (-18.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 7-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (14 - 23) at ATLANTA (18 - 20) - 3/14/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-40 ATS (-20.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 233-288 ATS (-83.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 136-192 ATS (-75.2 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (19 - 18) at HOUSTON (11 - 25) - 3/14/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BOSTON is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in road games this season.
BOSTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BOSTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-0 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (22 - 15) at MINNESOTA (8 - 30) - 3/14/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-54 ATS (-29.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-45 ATS (-19.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-34 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-31 ATS (-24.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (17 - 21) at CHICAGO (16 - 20) - 3/14/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 255-209 ATS (+25.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (25 - 14) at NEW ORLEANS (16 - 22) - 3/14/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 84-61 ATS (+16.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Sunday, March 14

Memphis @ Oklahoma City
Grizzlies (17-17)
— Memphis split its last eight games.
— Grizzlies are 8-3 ATS in last 11 games overall.
— Under is 9-1 in their last ten games.

Thunder (16-22)
— Thunder split their last ten games.
— OKC is 2-5-1 ATS if they played night before.
— Over is 3-0 in their last three home games.

— Memphis won four of last five series games.
— Grizzlies are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Oklahoma.
— Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Utah @ Golden State
Jazz (28-9)
— Utah split its last eight games, after a 19-1 run.
— Jazz is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games.
— Over is 6-2 in Utah’s last eight games.

Warriors (19-19)
— Golden State lost its last four games.
— Warriors are 6-3 ATS in last nine home games.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

— Utah won last five series games.
— Jazz covered last four visits to the Bay Area.
— Last five series games went over the total.

San Antonio @ Philadelphia
Spurs (19-15)
— San Antonio is 8-5 in its last 13 games overall.
— Spurs are 5-3 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Under is 8-3-1 in Spurs’ last 12 games.

76ers (26-12)
— Embiid (knee) is out here.
— 76ers won eight of their last ten games.
— Sixers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
— Over is 4-1 in Philly’s last five games.

— 76ers won five of last six series games.
— Spurs are 3-3 ATS in last six visits to Philly.
— Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Miami @ Orlando
Heat (20-18)
— Miami won nine of its last ten games overall.
— Heat is 5-0 ATS in last five road games.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Magic (13-25)
— Orlando lost seven in row, 15 of its last 19 games.
— Magic is 5-7 ATS in last 12 home games.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

— Miami won four of last five series games.
— Heat is 2-3 ATS in its last five visits to Orlando.
— Last three series games went over the total.

Cleveland @ Atlanta
Cavaliers (14-23)
— Cleveland lost 12 of its last 16 games.
— Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
— Six of last eight Cleveland games stayed under the total.

Hawks (18-20)
— Hawks are 4-0 SU since they fired their coach .
— Hawks are 4-5 ATS in their last nine home games.
— 14 of Atlanta’s last 18 games went over the total.

— Cleveland won/covered last four series games.
— Cavaliers covered three of last four visits to Atlanta.
— Four of last five series games stayed under.

Boston @ Houston
Celtics (19-18)
— Boston won four of its last five games SU.
— Celtics are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Over is 7-3 in last nine Boston games.

Rockets (11-25)
— Houston lost its last 15 games (2-13 ATS).
— Rockets are 0-7 ATS in last seven home games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

— Rockets won last five series games.
— Celtics 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Houston.
— Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Portland @ Minnesota
Trailblazers (22-15)
— Portland won five of its last six games SU.
— Blazers are 10-5 ATS in last 15 road games.
— Over is 5-1 in Portland’s last six games.

Timberwolves (7-30)
— Minnesota lost 14 of last 16, 24 of its last 29 games.
— Wolves are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
— Over is 6-1 in their last seven games.

— Portland won eight of last ten series games.
— Blazers covered once in last five visits to Minnesota.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

Toronto @ Chicago
Raptors (17-21)
— Raptors have had COVID issues, may be missing guys.
— Toronto lost five of its last its six games.
— Raptors are 6-3 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Four of last five Toronto games went over the total.

Bulls (16-20)
— Chicago lost four of its last five games SU.
— Bulls are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 home games.
— Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

— Toronto won last ten series games (6-4 ATS)
— Raptors covered five of last six visits to Chicago.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

LA Clippers @ New Orleans
Clippers (25-14)
— Clippers lost four of their last six games overall.
— Clippers are 1-4 ATS in last five road games.
— Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Pelicans (16-22)
— New Orleans lost five of its last seven games overall.
— Pelicans are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
— Over is 20-5-2 in their last 27 games.

— Clippers won last four series games.
— LA covered once in its last four visits to Bourbon Street.
— Four of last five series games went over the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Sunday, March 14

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Trend Report
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Memphis @ Oklahoma City
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home

Utah @ Golden State
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Utah

San Antonio @ Philadelphia
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
San Antonio is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Miami @ Orlando
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
Orlando is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Miami

Cleveland @ Atlanta
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Cleveland

Boston @ Houston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Boston's last 16 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 11 games at home

Portland @ Minnesota
Portland
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

LA Clippers @ New Orleans
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 13 of New Orleans's last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 10 games at home

Toronto @ Chicago
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Chicago's last 21 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Toronto

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 14

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VA COMMONWEALTH (19 - 6) vs. ST BONAVENTURE (15 - 4) - 3/14/2021, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST BONAVENTURE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
ST BONAVENTURE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
ST BONAVENTURE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
ST BONAVENTURE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VA COMMONWEALTH is 2-1 against the spread versus ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
VA COMMONWEALTH is 3-1 straight up against ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LSU (18 - 8) vs. ALABAMA (23 - 6) - 3/14/2021, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 3-3 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 3-3 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (12 - 10) vs. HOUSTON (23 - 3) - 3/14/2021, 3:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 131-182 ATS (-69.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 56-86 ATS (-38.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-2 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OHIO ST (21 - 8) vs. ILLINOIS (22 - 6) - 3/14/2021, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
ILLINOIS is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 this season.
ILLINOIS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against conference opponents this season.
ILLINOIS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
ILLINOIS is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
ILLINOIS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ILLINOIS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 3-2 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 3-2 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOYOLA-MD (6 - 10) at COLGATE (13 - 1) - 3/14/2021, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MD is 126-86 ATS (+31.4 Units) in road games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 126-86 ATS (+31.4 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 103-63 ATS (+33.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 101-70 ATS (+24.0 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOYOLA-MD is 3-1 against the spread versus COLGATE over the last 3 seasons
COLGATE is 2-2 straight up against LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Sunday, March 14

Patriot League tournament
Loyola MD @ Colgate
Loyola MD (6-10, 6-10)
— ranked #210 by KenPom
— Tempo: #140
— Experience: #197
— Continuity: #100
— Loyola is 5-3 in last eight games, after a 1-7 start.
— Greyhounds have two losses in triple OT this season.
— Loyola is shooting 31.2% on the arc (#289), 60.6% on foul line (#344)
— This is Loyola’s 8th year in row under .500; they last made NCAA’s in 2012.

Colgate (13-1, 13-1)
— ranked #86 by KenPom
— Tempo: #20
— Experience: #147
— Continuity: #46
— Raiders won their last 12 games; their loss was January 3 to Army.
— Nine of their 13 wins are over Boston U/Holy Cross.
— Colgate is shooting 38.5% on the arc (#13)
— Colgate made NCAAs two years ago, their only bid since at least 1997.

— Colgate won seven of last nine series games.
— Loyola lost last seven visits here, five of them by 6 or fewer points.

AAC tournament
Cincinnati vs Houston (@ Fort Worth, TX)
Cincinnati (12-10, 10-6)
— ranked #110 by KenPom
— Tempo: #62
— Experience: #265
— Continuity: #212
— Cincinnati is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— Bearcats are shooting 31.6% on arc (#273), 65.6% on line (#316)
— Cincinnati is turning ball over 20.7% of time (#264)
— Bearcats won last two days, by total of four points.
— 7 of their last 9 wins were by three or fewer points.
— Cincinnati won the last two AAC tournaments.

Houston (23-3, 16-3)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #322
— Experience: #149
— Continuity: #117
— Houston won last six games, scoring 81.5 ppg.
— Cougars are grabbing 39.5% of their missed shots (#2)
— Houston has #1 eFG% defense in country.
— Cougars played three starters 36:00+ in Saturday’s 76-74 win over Memphis.
— Houston went WWL in last two AAC tournaments; their last tourney title was in 2010.

— Bearcats lost 90-52 at Houston February 21.
— Houston is 5-3 in last eight series games, but they lost to Cincy in last two AAC tourneys.

Big 14 tournament (@ Indianapolis)
Ohio State vs Illinois
Ohio State (21-8, 15-8)
— ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #245
— Experience: #95
— Continuity: #173
— Buckeyes won last three days, by 4 points, by 9 in OT, by 1 point.
— Ohio State is shooting 52.1% inside arc (#81), 36.7% on arc (#50)
— Buckeyes are getting 21.1% of their points on foul line (#45)
— Ohio State beat their rivals Michigan yesterday by a point.
— Last 7+ years, Ohio State is 8-6 in Big 14 tourneys- last time they won Big 14 tournament was 2013.

Illinois (22-6, 18-4)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #79
— Experience: #218
— Continuity: #48
— Illinois won five in row, 12 of last 13 games.
— Illini has #31 eFG% defense in country.
— Illinois is a top 20 rebounding team in country.
— Illinois won last two days by 22-11 points; not much stress.
— Illini is 7-9 in last 16 Big 14 tourney games; their last tourney title was 2005.

— Teams split pair of road wins this year.
— Ohio State won 10 of last 13 series games.

SEC tournament (@ Nashville)
LSU vs Alabama
LSU (18-8, 13-6)
— ranked #29 by KenPom
— Tempo: #63
— Experience: #325
— Continuity: #133
— LSU won its last four games, scoring 80.8 ppg.
— Tigers are grabbing 31.4% of their missed shots (#67)
— LSU is worse on defensive boards (#319).
— LSU played two guys 40:00, another 38:00 yesterday.
— This is first time since 2003 that LSU won two SEC tournament games.

Alabama (23-6, 18-2)
— ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #7
— Experience: #136
— Continuity: #152
— Alabama won eight of its last nine games.
— Crimson Tide has #10 eFG% defense in country.
— Alabama gets 40.1% of its points on arc (#15)
— Last 5+ years, Crimson Tide is 8-4 in SEC tournament games.

— Alabama beat LSU twice this season, 105-75/78-60.
— Crimson Tide won eight of last ten series games.

Atlantic 14 tournament (@ Dayton)
VCU vs St Bonaventure
VCU (19-6, 12-4)
— ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #110
— Experience: #305
— Continuity: #282
— Rams are 3-2 in last five games, after a 14-2 run.
— VCU is forcing turnovers 24.0% of time (#7)
— Rams are 10-5 this season vs teams ranked in top 100.
— VCU are 3-2 in last four A-14 tourneys (22-6 in the nine before that)

St Bonaventure (15-4, 13-4)
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #321
— Experience: #115
— Continuity: #30
— Bonnies won five of their last six games.
— St Bonaventure has #14 eFG% defense in country.
— Bonnies are grabbing 33.6% of their missed shots (#31).
— Last 9+ years, Bonnies are 12-6 in A-14 tourney.

— These teams haven’t played in eight days.
— These teams split couple of games this season.
— Rams won six of last seven series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Sunday, March 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Loyola-Maryland @ Colgate
Loyola-Maryland
No trends to report
Colgate
No trends to report

VCU @ St. Bonaventure
VCU
VCU is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Bonaventure
The total has gone OVER in 6 of VCU's last 9 games when playing St. Bonaventure
St. Bonaventure
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Bonaventure's last 9 games when playing VCU
St. Bonaventure is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing VCU

LSU @ Alabama
LSU
LSU is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Alabama
LSU is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Alabama
Alabama
Alabama is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing LSU
Alabama is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing LSU

Cincinnati @ Houston
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cincinnati's last 15 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 15 games when playing Cincinnati

Ohio State @ Illinois
Ohio State
Ohio State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Illinois
Illinois
Illinois is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Ohio State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

651VA COMMONWEALTH -652 ST BONAVENTURE
ST BONAVENTURE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.

655CINCINNATI -656 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the current season.

657OHIO ST -658 ILLINOIS
ILLINOIS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) in the current season.

1521LOYOLA-MD -1522 COLGATE
LOYOLA-MD is 79-45 ATS (29.5 Units) in road games after 3 consecutive conference games since 1997.