PDA

View Full Version : Wednesday 4/7/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc



Can'tPickAWinner
04-06-2021, 12:03 AM
Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 08:51 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National



Penn National - Race 4

W-P-S / Daily Double / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)



Claiming $6,250 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $15,400 • Post: 7:18P


(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MARCH 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 7 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250, IF FOR $6,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY AND ALLOWANCES).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Trailer. MOON GATE WARRIOR is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MOON GATE WARRIOR: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CRUSH IT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. VOUCH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power R ating. PAL CAL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).



2

MOON GATE WARRIOR

2/1


9/2




3

CRUSH IT

8/5


6/1




6

VOUCH

6/1


7/1




1

PAL CAL

5/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

PAL CAL

1


5/1

Front-runner

84


83


76.8


76.2


68.7




6

VOUCH

6


6/1

Alternator/Front-runner

90


84


77.8


75.0


67.5




3

CRUSH IT

3


8/5

Stalker

92


86


64.4


81.7


76.2




4

MESSY BAKER

4


8/1

Stalker

84


81


59.8


79.2


70.2




2

MOON GATE WARRIOR

2


2/1

Trailer

92


82


73.8


79.4


75.4




5

HEART OF A WARRIOR

5


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

83


75


71.8


73.4


64.9

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 08:52 AM
Carmine Bianco Event: (201205) Sassuolo at (201206) Inter Milan
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: April 7, 2021 12PM EDT
Play: Total Over 3.0 (-125)
Italy Serie A - Sassuolo at Inter Milan
Quick Synopsis: This is a system play based on our number expectancy that returned 4.61 making it a play for us. Furthermore the Italian leaders can take another step closer to securing the title and face a short handed Sassuolo team who they dispatched 3-0 in the reverse fixture. Last season's meetings were equally exciting with 4-3 and 3-3 score lines.
The play is Over 3.0

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 08:53 AM
Kevin Dolan Event: (224213) Chelsea at (224214) FC Porto
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: April 7, 2021 3PM EDT
Play: Total Under 2.5 (-145)
We like the Under 2.5 goals on Wednesday between Chelsea and FC Porto.
Thomas Tuchel will be demanding a firm focus on defense after Chelsea's shock 5-2 loss to relegation candidates West Brom at the weekend.
After going through the whole of March without conceding a single goal, Chelsea gave up 5 in 90 minutes on Saturday, so a big defensive performance is expected here.
And the Blues are more than capable of doing that. Chelsea restricted LaLiga frontrunners Atletico Madrid in the last round to just 2.5 shots on target per game in the last round and could easily do the same to Porto in this one.
Three of the last four H2H's between these two have seen Under 2.5 goals and we like another cagey game to take place here on Wednesday.
Take Chelsea/Porto Under the total on Wednesday.
PLAY: UNDER 2.5

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 08:53 AM
Ralph Michaels Event: (3) Montreal Canadiens at (4) Toronto Maple Leafs
Sport/League: NHL
Date/Time: April 7, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 (+155)
Toronto -1.5 goals +155

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 08:56 AM
Black Widow Apr 07 '21, 1:10 PM in 4h
MLB | Rays vs Red Sox
Play on: Rays +110 at Draft Kings

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Rays +110

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 08:56 AM
Stephen Nover Apr 07 '21, 1:10 PM in 4h
MLB | Rays vs Red Sox
Play on: Rays +108 at BetCris

Just who are the Red Sox? Are they as bad as the team that opened the season with three straight home losses to the Orioles, or as good as the one that battered the Rays, 11-2 on Monday, and followed that up with a come-from-behind, 6-5, extra inning victory against Tampa Bay on Tuesday?
I'd classify the Red Sox as much more like the ones swept by Baltimore. Boston's ownership now seems more committed to profitability rather than investment, a shift in how it used to be. The starting pitching staff is down its two best pitchers with Chris Sale and Eduardo Rodriguez both injured and the bullpen is extremely weak. Tampa Bay is several rungs above Boston. I don't see the Rays getting swept here. Circumstances are in the Rays' favor, too, with this being an early start time. It only will have been around 12 hours since the teams last were on the field with Tuesday night's game lasting 12 innings. The Rays are the deeper team with a far superior relief pitching group. Southpaw Ryan Yarbrough goes for the Rays. He held the Marlins to four hits in 5 2/3 scoreless innings this past Friday during his first start of the season. Boston went 7-17 versus lefty starters last year. The Red Sox are 0-2 this season against lefties losing 3-0 to the Orioles' John Means and 11-3 to the Orioles' Bruce Zimmerman. Those two lefties held the Red Sox to a combined three runs in 13 innings on five hits with 10 strikeouts and one walk. Nathan Eovaldi is slated to start for Boston. He pitched well in the loss against Means allowing one run on four hits in 5 1/3 innings. Eovaldi rarely is consistent, though. He also is 2-5 lifetime against the Rays with a 5.48 ERA in 10 appearances, including eight starts. Prior to this series, the Rays had won eight in a row at Fenway Park.

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 08:57 AM
Steve Janus Apr 07 '21, 2:05 PM in 5h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Rangers
Play on: Blue Jays -175 at Mirage

1* Free Sharp Play on Blue Jays -175

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 08:57 AM
Red Dog Sports Apr 07 '21, 3:00 PM in 6h
Soccer | Chelsea vs FC Porto
Play on: Chelsea -125 at Mirage

Chelsea -125
Chelsea 2
FC Porto 1
The free soccer play takes place on Wednesday afternoon.

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 08:57 AM
Jimmy Boyd Apr 07 '21, 3:37 PM in 6h
MLB | Dodgers vs A's
Play on: Dodgers -155 at Mirage

1* Free Pick on Dodgers -155

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 08:57 AM
Info Plays Apr 07 '21, 4:05 PM in 7h
MLB | Mets vs Phillies
Play on: Phillies -140 at BetCris

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Phillies -140

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 08:58 AM
Sean Murphy Apr 07 '21, 9:08 PM in 12h
NHL | Golden Knights vs Blues
Play on: UNDER 5½ +102

Wednesday NHL Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Vegas and St. Louis at 9:05 pm et on Wednesday.
The Golden Knights routed the Blues on Monday night, handing St. Louis its seventh consecutive loss. After that 6-1 loss, the Blues are now allowing 3.7 goals per game on home ice this season. We know they're capable of tightening things up, however, noting that they've allowed more than three goals just twice during their current seven-game skid. The last time they did that they followed it up with a 2-0 loss in Minnesota. Note that the 'under' has gone 21-8 with the Blues playing at home off a loss against a division opponent during head coach Craig Berube's tenure behind the bench, with those games totaling just 5.1 goals on average. The 'under' is also 39-25 after St. Louis allows four goals or more under the guidance of Berube (whose leash has to be getting pretty short). Interestingly, on six previous occasions where the Blues have revenged a loss by three goals or more this season, they've averaged just 1.2 goals per game with those contests averaging a total of 4.9 goals. Meanwhile, the Knights are allowing just 1.8 goals per game after losing two of their last three games this season, as is the case here. While I'm not a big fan of longer-term trends, the 'under' has cashed at an incredible 18-4 clip the last 22 times the Blues have come off seven consecutive losses, with those games totaling an average of 5.0 goals. Take the under (8*).

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 08:58 AM
Hunter Price Apr 07 '21, 10:08 PM in 13h
NHL | Coyotes vs Kings
Play on: Coyotes +108 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Coyotes +108

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 08:59 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course



Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 2

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)



Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 62 • Purse: $9,800 • Post: 1:12P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * RHODA'S JEWELL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TARALLUCCI: Horse has run a Goo d Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. OSPREY COURT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. JOPLIN: Horse ranks in the top th ree in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



4

RHODA'S JEWELL

6/1


5/1




1

TARALLUCCI

3/1


6/1




5

OSPREY COURT

8/5


6/1




2

JOPLIN

5/2


7/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

TARALLUCCI

1


3/1

Alternator/Stalker

63


59


53.8


54.3


48.8




2

JOPLIN

2


5/2

Alternator/Stalker

66


66


45.0


53.2


45.2




4

RHODA'S JEWELL

4


6/1

Alternator/Stalker

71


62


44.2


55.6


51.6




5

OSPREY COURT

5


8/5

Trailer

63


55


34.6


55.4


51.4




3

AZLYNN'S DREAMER

3


10/1

Alternator/Trailer

62


43


39.6


39.6


29.1




6

CLASSY LAURIEANN

6


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

63


37


48.3


37.0


27.5

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 09:00 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Keeneland - Race #2 - Post: 1:39pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 87

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#6 CLEVELAND SIMPSON (ML=2/1)
#5 HARD STING (ML=5/2)


CLEVELAND SIMPSON - It looks like Cannon had to be more familiar with this gelding on March 13th when riding him for the initial time. Back on board again today. I am keen on that latest effort on March 13th at Turfway Park where he ended up first. Recent speed figures show powerful pattern of improvement. HARD STING - This fine animal should be rumbling in the stretch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 EASTERN SYMPHONY (ML=5/2), #3 ONENIGHTSTANDARDS (ML=5/1), #2 CANCELLARA (ML=6/1),

EASTERN SYMPHONY - He probably can't repeat that last stretch drive effort and win against this bunch. ONENIGHTSTANDARDS - I don't see this questionable contender doing too much off of the long vacation. He probably needs a start or two to get back into fine fettle. Sophomore versus older for the first time is a tough one. Have to see this effort first. CANCELLARA - The older ones will probably defeat this young horse today. Hard to wager on this horse out of the Feb 25th clash. Only faced maidens in that one.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #6 CLEVELAND SIMPSON to win if you can get at least 3/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [5,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 09:01 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $40000 Class Rating: 71

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 BOURBON ST TAPPIN 9/5




# 11 TOUCHDOWN JOE 3/1




# 1 SAMMY DANSEUR JR. 4/1




BOURBON ST TAPPIN looks to be a quite good contender. He has been running solidly and the Equibase speed figs are among the best in this field. With a decent 80 Equibase speed fig last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. Have to look at solely on class, with some of the best class figures of this field. TOUCHDOWN JOE - Has competitive Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this race. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Noel have shown very strong results recently. SAMMY DANSEUR JR. - He looks very good in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Is a solid choice - given the 67 speed rating from his most recent race.

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 09:05 AM
Trace Adams

My free play for Wednesday goes early as I like the Reds to continue to mash the baseball and combine for another game with the Pirates that lands Over the posted total.

The Reds have played 5 games so far this season and they have scored 5 runs or more in each of those 5 games with 4 of the 5 landing Over the total.

The Pirates have scored 3 runs or less in 4 of their last 5 games, but after watching Cincy hurler Luis Castillo serve them up on Opening Day against the St. Louis Cardinals, perhaps the silent Bucs bats can make just a little noise today to help this total along the way.

Cincinnati will be leaving town for a pair of away series in Arizona and San Francisco after today's game, so look for those locked-in bats to stay locked-in this afternoon at home.

Play the Pirates-Reds finale Over the total.

4* PITTSBURGH-CINCINNATI OVER

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 09:05 AM
Gus Augustine

An American League clash in which the road underdog is the better value for us with the Kansas City Royals handing the ball to Jakob Junis against the Cleveland Indians, rather than Brad Keller, who has been pushed back to Thursday.

Junis should shine in his opportunity here, after twirling a pair of shutout innings in two relief appearances against the Rangers already this season. Junis, who last worked on Sunday, has struck out three of the eight batters he's faced. I do expect him to be on a pitch count since he's had only two days rest, but even as the opener, it gives his teammates time to get him some run support.

Shane Bieber is solid in the Cleveland's rotation, but there was something uneasy about his start last Thursday ,when he took some time to settle in, probably a bit too long. And while he became one of just four pitchers to strike out 12-plus batters in multiple Opening Day starts, he also came with a loss and a 4.50 ERA.

Now he faces a team that has a team batting average of .252 against him. I know he is 4-0 in his seven starts against them, but this Royals team has the third-highest batting average (.307) in the league and has scored the fourth-most runs (31).

Take Kansas City here, as Junis finally gives the Royals some consistency in the starting pitcher department, and the hitting ruins Bieber's perfect record against them.

5* ROYALS

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 09:06 AM
Mitchell Newman

Wednesday's free play will be on the Orioles and the Yankees to land just Under the total in their series finale.

The only reason yesterday's meeting between the teams landed Over the total was because the Orioles plated a pair in the 9th inning of a 7-0 game.

That won't happen today.

Baltimore has still played 3 of their first 5 games this spring Under the total, while yesterday's Over was the first for the Yankees in their 5 games contested so far.

John Means is fresh off 7 scoreless frames worked in his Opening Day assignment that held Under against Boston, while Jameson Taillon will make his first start in a New York uniform.

Taillon is the unknown as he missed all of last season while recovering from Tommy John surgery, but he did work 8-plus clean innings this spring with an ERA just over 1 and 14 strikeouts recorded.

I get the feeling the scoring while the starters are in there will be minimal.

I see a game that ends while topping out at about 8 total runs.

2* BALTIMORE-N.Y. YANKEES UNDER

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 10:03 AM
MLB Sharp Action

12:35 p.m. ET: Pittsburgh Pirates (1-4) at Cincinnati Reds (4-1)

The Reds have taken the first two games of this three game set, winning 5-3 as -145 favorites and 14-1 as -155 favorites. In the final game of the series, the Pirates send out veteran Chad Kuhl (0-0, 3.00 ERA) while the Reds counter with ace Luis Castillo (0-1, 21.60 ERA). This line opened with Cincinnati listed as a hefty -175 home favorite. Sharps like the Reds to completely the sweep and have steamed Cincinnati from -175 up to -200. Some shops are inching closer to -220. Teams with a line move of 10-cents or more in their favor are 20-10 (67%) this season. Big favorites -200 or more are 8-2 (80%). The Reds are + 24 in run differential, 2nd-best in MLB behind only the Astros. The Pirates are -18. Pittsburgh is -14 as a dog this season. The Reds are 3-1 as a favorite.

4:05 p.m. ET: New York Mets (1-1) at Philadelphia Phillies (4-1)

These NL East rivals have split the firsr two games of the series, with the Phillies winning the opener 5-3 as + 180 dogs and the Mets winning last night 8-4 as -127 favorites. In today's rubber game, the Mets will start lefty David Peterson (6-2, 3.44 ERA in 2020) while the Phillies counter with ace Aaron Nola (0-0, 2.70 ERA in 2021). This line opened with Philadelphia listed as a -140 favorite. Some books opened closer to -120. Regardless of the opener, respected money seems to be backing the Phillies at home as we've seen Philadelphia rise to -150. Teams with a line move of 10-cents or more are 20-10 (67%) this season. We've also seen some liability to the over in this one. The total is 8 and the over is juiced to -115 or -120 depending on the book.

4:10 p.m. ET: St. Louis Cardinals (3-2) at Miami Marlins (1-4)

The Cardinals have taken the first two games of this season, winning 4-1 as + 100 dogs and 4-2 as + 115 dogs. In today's series finale, the Cardinals give the ball to ace Jack Flaherty (0-0, 12.46 ERA) and the Marlins will send out Pablo Lopez (0-0, 0.00 ERA). This game opened at a virtual pick'em with both sides listed at -105 odds. Respected money seems to be leaning on the Cardinals to complete the sweep as we've seen St. Louis rise from -105 to -112 or -115 depending on the shop. We might be in for another low scoring gamea as the total is 7.5 with heavy under juice (-120). Low totals have historically benefitted favorites as the fewer amount of expected runs scored are more like to come from the "better" team.

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 03:54 PM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9900 Class Rating: 81

FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 7, 2020 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 3 FETCHUM KETCHUM 3/1




# 4 EUROBADGUY 10/1




# 2 DROWNINGNDIAMONDS 2/1




FETCHUM KETCHUM has a decent shot to take this race. Have to sense that this one will make a good showing following the quick comeback. Has a solid shot here if you like back class. Is a strong contender based on figures put up recently under today's conditions. EUROBADGUY - Has recorded strong Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. Espiritu has shown excellent profits (+13 return on investment ) at this distance/surface. DROWNINGNDIAMONDS - Have to look at solely on class, with some of the top class numbers of this group. The speed rating of 82 from his most recent race looks competitive in here.

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 03:55 PM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Turf Paradise - Race #2 - Post: 1:57pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,300 Class Rating: 70

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 IZERIGHT (ML=5/2)
#8 TEQUILA TIME (ML=6/1)


IZERIGHT - This gelding ran well in his last race but just couldn't catch the winner. Note that he was well ahead of the third horse, and looks like a major contender in this field. A thoroughbred coming back this promptly after a sharp effort is a good sign. Just look at his last figure, 68. That one fits well in this group. TEQUILA TIME - Jock jumped on this gelding's back for the first ride on March 18th. Should be in tune with the horse even better this race. I think that the addition of the 'shades' today will keep his mind on the race at hand.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 RELIANT (ML=7/2), #6 SIR DEPUTY (ML=9/2), #1 DON WITH THE WIND (ML=5/1),

RELIANT - Will probably be at the rear with too much to do in the lane. Finished second in her most recent performance with a pedestrian speed figure. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this field. SIR DEPUTY - This gelding registered a speed rating in his last event which likely isn't good enough in today's race. DON WITH THE WIND - If he goes off anywhere near the morning line odds of 5/1, I'll have to pass.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #3 IZERIGHT to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/5 or better though



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,8]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 03:55 PM
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland



04/07/21, KEE, Race 7, 4.24 ET
04/07/21,KEE,7,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $83,000 (includes up to $25,600 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of $24,000 Twice At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since February 7 Allowed 3 lbs. $23,400 At A Mile Or Over Since Then Allowed 5 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $40,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). In the event that this race is taken off the turf it will be contested at One Mile and One-Sixteenth on the main track. (Rail at 20 feet).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
1
Flabbergasted
6/1
Gaffalione T
Casse Mark E.
FEL
141
37.59
1.62/$1


098.5850
13
More Than Unusual
7/2
Geroux F
Cox Brad H.
C
172
35.47
1.47/$1


097.6388
11
(F)Pocket Square (GB)
3/1
Ortiz. Jr. I
Brown Chad C.


199
32.66
1.41/$1


097.0333
15
Breeze Rider
30/1
Murrill M
Manley Steve


172
35.47
1.47/$1


096.7331
12
Broadway Lady
5/1
Saez G
Casse Mark E.


172
35.47
1.47/$1


096.2071
8
In a Hurry
8/1
Leparoux J R
McGaughey III Claude R


172
35.47
1.47/$1


096.2038
16
Stop War
3/1
Graham J
Rubley Kelly
W
172
35.47
1.47/$1


095.9408
2
Gamblin Train
20/1
Bejarano R
Sandy Stephen S.
T
172
35.47
1.47/$1


095.2457
10
More Good Times
10/1
Saez L
Maker Michael J.


172
35.47
1.47/$1


094.7605
3
Tuned (GB)
7/2
Rosario J
Motion H. Graham
S
141
37.59
1.62/$1


094.3004
6
Loving Moment
30/1
Corrales G
Reed Eric R.


141
37.59
1.62/$1


094.1306
9
Walk In Marrakesh (IRE)
10/1
Velazquez J R
Correas. IV Ignacio


141
37.59
1.62/$1


094.0080
5
Choate Bridge
8/1
Geroux F
Walsh Brendan P.


172
35.47
1.47/$1


093.4585
4
Tizahra
20/1
Landeros C
Wilkes Ian R.


172
35.47
1.47/$1


093.4049
14
Gun Society
12/1
Lanerie C J
Attfield Roger L.


141
37.59
1.62/$1


088.6043
7
Naomi Broadway (BRZ)
50/1
Achard A
Lobo Paulo H.


172
35.47
1.47/$1


Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 41.94, ROI 1.68/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.4150
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]LastRacePurseNotLowerThanToday
If Race Is Off Turf Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
13
More Than Unusual
7/2
Geroux F
Cox Brad H.
C
172
35.47
1.47/$1


099.8090
11
(F)Pocket Square (GB)
3/1
Ortiz. Jr. I
Brown Chad C.


199
32.66
1.41/$1


099.7639
2
Gamblin Train
20/1
Bejarano R
Sandy Stephen S.
T
172
35.47
1.47/$1


099.0844
1
Flabbergasted
6/1
Gaffalione T
Casse Mark E.
FEL
141
37.59
1.62/$1


098.9391
12
Broadway Lady
5/1
Saez G
Casse Mark E.


172
35.47
1.47/$1


098.9135
3
Tuned (GB)
7/2
Rosario J
Motion H. Graham
S
141
37.59
1.62/$1


098.8867
10
More Good Times
10/1
Saez L
Maker Michael J.


172
35.47
1.47/$1


098.2822
16
Stop War
3/1
Graham J
Rubley Kelly


172
35.47
1.47/$1


098.1709
8
In a Hurry
8/1
Leparoux J R
McGaughey III Claude R


172
35.47
1.47/$1


098.0434
15
Breeze Rider
30/1
Murrill M
Manley Steve


172
35.47
1.47/$1


097.7254
9
Walk In Marrakesh (IRE)
10/1
Velazquez J R
Correas. IV Ignacio


141
37.59
1.62/$1


096.7516
6
Loving Moment
30/1
Corrales G
Reed Eric R.
W
141
37.59
1.62/$1


096.7022
14
Gun Society
12/1
Lanerie C J
Attfield Roger L.


141
37.59
1.62/$1


096.5924
4
Tizahra
20/1
Landeros C
Wilkes Ian R.


172
35.47
1.47/$1


096.1226
7
Naomi Broadway (BRZ)
50/1
Achard A
Lobo Paulo H.


172
35.47
1.47/$1


095.8254
5
Choate Bridge
8/1
Geroux F
Walsh Brendan P.


172
35.47
1.47/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 21.43, ROI 1.33/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.1910
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]LastRaceDistanceIsNotGreaterThanToday

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 04:02 PM
Bob Valentino

My comp play for Wednesday is the same as it was for Tuesday, the Denver Nuggets!

Denver won their 6th straight game last night as they dumped the Pistons by 15 points as the double-digit favorites.

The Nuggets are a perfect 5-0 since picking up Aaron Gordon before the trade deadline, and they will face a San Antonio team that is reeling right now.

The Spurs enter this Wednesday tip-off having lost 3 in a row and also 8 of their last 10 games overall.

This will be a payback game for Denver, as they lost by 10-points earlier this year at San Antonio.

Denver is still 7-3 straight up the past 10 series meetings with San Antone and they have won each of the last 4 played between the teams at home, covering in 3 of those 4 in the Mile High City.

4* DENVER

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 04:13 PM
Cappers Access

(Wed) MLB Braves
(Wed) MLB Cubs
(Wed) MLB Mariners

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 04:49 PM
951PITTSBURGH -952 CINCINNATI
PITTSBURGH is 49-59 SU (-24.9 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

953MILWAUKEE -954 CHICAGO CUBS
MILWAUKEE is 5-20 SU (-18.8 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

955ATLANTA -956 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 132-107 SU (14.3 Units) in all games in the last 3 seasons.

959ST LOUIS -960 MIAMI
MIAMI is 118-85 SU (24.5 Units) in home games in day games since 1996.

961SAN FRANCISCO -962 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 119-202 SU (-103.2 Units) in home games as a favorite of -150 or more since 1996.

963ARIZONA -964 COLORADO
COLORADO is 433-539 SU (-159.9 Units) at home with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1996.

965MINNESOTA -966 DETROIT
MINNESOTA is 2-13 SU (-12.2 Units) in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

967TAMPA BAY -968 BOSTON
TAMPA BAY is 626-647 SU (-176.3 Units) in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) since 1996.

969KANSAS CITY -970 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 271-389 SU (-156.9 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games since 1996.

971TORONTO -972 TEXAS
TEXAS are 3-11 SU (-11 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 04:50 PM
MLB

Wednesday, April 7

NL games
Atlanta (0-4) @ Washington (1-0)
— Fried allowed two runs in five IP (94 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 5.09 in six games (5 starts) vs Washington.

— 2nd game will be a bullpen game

— Braves lost their first four games.
— Atlanta is 0-4 on the road.
— Under is 3-1 in their games.
— scored run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1

— Strasburg is 14-12, 4.07 in 34 starts vs Atlanta.

— Fedde is 0-1, 12.56 in four games (3 starts) vs Atlanta.

— Washington won its season opener yesterday.
— Nationals are 1-0 at home
— Over 1-0
— scored run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1

Pittsburgh (1-4) @ Cincinnati (4-1)
— Kuhl gave up two runs in three IP (63 PT) in his first start.
— He is 2-2, 3.19 in seven starts vs Cincinnati, 0-2, 4.60 in three starts here.

— Pirates lost four of their first five games.
— Pittsburgh is 1-4 on the road.
— Under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1

— Castillo gave up 10 runs in 3.1 IP (73 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 4-3, 2.64 in ten starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Cincinnati won its last four games.
— Reds are 4-1 at home.
— Over 4-0-1
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1

Milwaukee (2-3) @ Cubs (3-2)
— Woodruff allowed three runs in four IP (78 PT) in his first start.
— He is 0-1, 4.65 in eight games (6 starts) vs Chicago, 0-1, 4.76 in four games (2 starts) here.

— Brewers lost three of last four games.
— Milwaukee split its two road games.
— Under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1

— Hendricks allowed three runs in three IP (63 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 9-6, 2.84 in 23 starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cubs won three of first five games.
— Chicago is 3-2 at home.
— Last four games stayed under the total.
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2

Mets (1-1) @ Philadelphia (4-1)
— Peterson allowed five runs in two IP in his one start vs Philly.

— Mets split their first two games.
— Mets are 1-1 on the road.
— Over 2-0
— scored run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0

— Nola allowed two runs in 6.2 IP in his first ’21 start.
— He is 8-2, 3.30 in 16 starts against the Mets.

— Phillies won four of their first five games.
— Phillies are 4-1 at home.
— Under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2

San Francisco (2-3) @ San Diego (4-2)
— Gausman allowed one run in 6.2 IP (90 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed three runs in 5.1 IP in two games (1 start) vs San Diego.

— Giants lost three of their first five games.
— Giants are 2-3 on the road.
— Last three games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1

— Snell threw 4.2 shutout innings (86 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He’s never pitched against San Francisco.

— Padres won four of their first six games.
— San Diego is 4-2 at home.
— Last five games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1

St Louis (3-2) @ Miami (1-4)
— Flaherty gave up six runs in 4.1 IP (94 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-2, 5.25 in two starts vs Miami.

— Cardinals won three of first five games.
— St Louis is 3-2 on the road.
— Over 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3

— Lopez blanked the Rays for five IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed two runs in seven IP in his one start vs St Louis.

— Marlins lost four of first five games.
— Miami is 1-4 at home.
— under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-3

Arizona (1-3) @ Colorado (1-3)
— Bumgarner gave up six runs in four IP (91 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 17-8, 3.20 in 36 starts vs Colorado, 6-6, 4.56 in 17 starts here.

— Arizona lost for first five games, all on road.
— home/away
— under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3

— Senzatela allowed seven runs in 3.1 IP (70 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-6, 6.19 in 13 games (9 starts) vs Arizona.

— Colorado lost for first five games, all at home.
— home/away
— over 4-1
— scored run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2

AL games
Kansas City (3-1) @ Cleveland (1-3)
— Junis is 3-7, 6.38 in 14 games (13 starts) vs Cleveland, 2-3, 4.19 in 7 starts here.

— Royals won three of their first four games.
— Royals are 1-0 on the road.
— over 2-1-1
— scores run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2

— Bieber allowed three runs in six IP (95 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 4-0, 3.70 in seven starts against the Royals.

— Cleveland lost three of their first four games.
— Indians are 0-1 at home.
— under 3-1
— scores run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-4

Minnesota (3-2) @ Detroit (3-2)
— Maeda gave up two runs in 4.1 IP (88 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 4.88 in four starts vs Detroit, 0-2, 5.25 in two starts here.

— Twins won three of their first five games.
— Minnesota is 3-2 on the road.
— over 3-2
— scores run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1

— Boyd blanked the Indians for 5.2 IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 8-7, 4.60 in 21 starts vs Minnesota.

— Detroit won three of their first five games.
— Detroit is 3-2 at home.
— under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1

Tampa Bay (2-3) @ Boston (2-3)
— Yarbrough blanked Miami for 5.2 IP (65 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 3-2, 5.64 in 11 games (5 starts) vs Boston.

— Tampa Bay lost its last three games.
— Rays are 2-3 on the road.
— Last four games went over
— scored run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-3

— Eovaldi allowed one run in 5.1 IP (89 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-5, 5.48 in 10 games (8 starts) vs Tampa Bay.

— Boston lost three of its first five games.
— Boston is 2-3 at home.
— Last three games went over
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1

Toronto (3-2) @ Texas (2-3)
— Ryu allowed two runs in 5.2 IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He has never pitched against Texas.

— Toronto won three of their first five games.
— Toronto is 3-2 on the road.
— under 4-1
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3

— Gibson gave up five runs in 0.1 IP in his first start last week.
— He is 4-1, 4.61 in nine starts vs Toronto.

— Texas lost three of their first five games.
— Texas is 1-1 at home.
— over 3-1-1
— scored run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2

White Sox (3-3) @ Seattle (2-3)
— Keuchel allowed six runs in four IP (69 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 9-8, 3.25 in 20 games (19 starts) vs Seattle.

— Chicago split its first six games.
— White Sox are 3-3 on the road.
— over/under 3-3
— scored run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1

— Dunn is 4-1, 4.13 in 14 MLB starts the last two years.
— He’s never pitched against the White Sox.

— Seattle lost three of its first five games.
— Seattle is 2-3 at home.
— over 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3

Baltimore (3-2) @ Bronx (3-2)
— Means banked Boston for seven IP in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 7.17 in seven games (4 starts) vs New York.

— Orioles won three of their first five games.
— Baltimore is 3-2 on road.
— under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1

— Taillon is making his first start since 2019, when he started 7 games.
— He’s never pitched against the Orioles.

— New York won three of their last four games.
— New York is 3-2 at home.
— under 4-1
— scored run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1

Interleague game
Dodgers (5-1) @ Oakland (0-6)
— Bauer allowed four wins in 6.2 IP (96 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-4, 3.72 in eight starts vs Oakland.

— Dodgers won their last five games.
— Dodgers are 5-1 on the road.
— over 4-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2

— Luzardo gave up five runs in five IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed three runs in three IP in a relief stint vs LA.

— A’s lost their first six games, all by 4+ runs.
— Oakland is already 0-6 at home.
— over 5-1
— scores run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 0-6

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 04:50 PM
MLB

Wednesday, April 7

Trend Report

Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay @ Boston
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Kansas City @ Cleveland
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 13 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Kansas City

Minnesota @ Detroit
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Toronto @ Texas
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Texas
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Milwaukee @ Chi Cubs
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games

Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home

LA Dodgers @ Oakland
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home

NY Mets @ Philadelphia
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing NY Mets
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

St. Louis @ Miami
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games

San Francisco @ San Diego
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games

Chi White Sox @ Seattle
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games at home

Baltimore @ NY Yankees
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Baltimore's last 23 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona
Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 04:51 PM
1EDMONTON -2 OTTAWA
OTTAWA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

1EDMONTON -2 OTTAWA
DJ Smith is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games (Coach of OTTAWA)

3MONTREAL -4 TORONTO
MONTREAL is 12-16 ATS (-12.5 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

5VEGAS -6 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 2-12 ATS (-17.8 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

7COLORADO -8 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days in the current season.

9ARIZONA -10 LOS ANGELES
LOS ANGELES are 13-7 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 2 seasons.

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 04:54 PM
NHL

Wednesday, April 7

Trend Report

Edmonton @ Ottawa
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games

Montreal @ Toronto
Montreal
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games at home

Colorado @ Minnesota
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Colorado

Vegas @ St. Louis
Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Vegas's last 9 games when playing St. Louis
Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games

Arizona @ Los Angeles
Arizona
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 04:56 PM
545MINNESOTA -546 INDIANA
MINNESOTA is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

547WASHINGTON -548 ORLANDO
WASHINGTON is 31-10 ATS (20 Units) in road games off a close road loss of 3 points or less since 1996.

553DALLAS -554 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

555CHARLOTTE -556 OKLAHOMA CITY
CHARLOTTE is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

557MEMPHIS -558 ATLANTA
MEMPHIS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

561UTAH -562 PHOENIX
UTAH is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the current season.

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 04:56 PM
NBA

Wednesday, April 7

Minnesota @ Indiana
Timberwolves (13-38)
— Minnesota lost seven of its last ten games.
— Wolves are 5-2 ATS in their last six games overall.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Pacers (22-27)
— Indiana is 5-9 SU in its last fourteen games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Pacers are 0-10 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Indiana is 6-3-1 ATS if it played the night before.
— Over is 6-3 in Indiana’s last nine home games.

— Pacers won last four series games.
— Minnesota covered three of last four visits to Indiana.
— Over is 3-1 in last four series games.

Washington @ Orlando
Wizards (17-32)
— Wizards lost 12 of their last 15 games SU.
— Wizards are 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 6-1 in their last seven games

Magic (17-33)
— Orlando lost 15 of its last 19 games.
— Magic is 9-4 ATS in last 13 games overall.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

— Orlando won last six series games, covered last five.
— Wizards are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Orlando.
— Five of last six series games went over.

New York @ Boston
Knicks (25-26)
— New York lost four of their last five games.
— Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Under is 8-3 in New York’s last 11 games.

Celtics (25-26)
— Boston is 5-8 SU in its last 13 games.
— Celtics are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
— Boston is 4-6 ATS if it played the night before.
— Under is 8-0 in their last eight home games.

— Celtics won eight of last ten series games.
— Knicks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Boston.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

New Orleans @ Brooklyn
Pelicans (22-28)
— New Orleans lost three of its last four games.
— Pelicans are 6-3 ATS in their last nine road games.
— New Orleans is 3-5 ATS if it played night before.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

Nets (35-16)
— Brooklyn won 19 of their last 23 games
— Nets are 1-6 ATS in last seven games overall.
— Under is 7-2 in last nine Brooklyn games.

— Nets won last three series games, covered last four.
— Pelicans are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Brooklyn.
— Six of last seven series games went over.

Memphis @ Atlanta
Grizzlies (25-23)
— Memphis won seven of its last ten games.
— Grizzlies are 9-1 ATS in last ten games overall.
— Three of last four Memphis games stayed under total.

Hawks (27-24)
— Hawks is 13-4 SU since they changed coaches.
— Hawks are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

— Memphis won five of last eight series games.
— Grizzlies are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Atlanta.
— Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Dallas @ Houston
Mavericks (28-21)
— Mavericks are 10-5 SU since All-Star break.
— Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in last seven road games.
— Under is 16-5 in last 21 Dallas games.

Rockets (13-37)
— Houston lost 27 of its last 29 games (6-23 ATS).
— Rockets are 3-18 ATS in last 21 home games.
— Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

— Rockets won five of last seven series games.
— Dallas covered four of last five visits to Houston.
— Four of last five series games went over.

Charlotte @ Oklahoma City
Hornets (25-24)
— Charlotte won five of its last eight games SU.
— Hornets covered six of their last eight games.
— Under is 12-2 in Charlotte’s last 14 games.

Thunder (20-30)
— Thunder are 1-6 SU in their last seven games.
— OKC is 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
— Over is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

— Thunder won last five series games.
— Charlotte is 3-1 ATS in last four trips to Oklahoma.
— Last five series games stayed under the total.

San Antonio @ Denver
Spurs (24-24)
— San Antonio lost eight of its last ten games.
— Spurs are 4-0 ATS in last four road games- their last road game was 17 days ago.
— Over is 8-3 in Spurs’ last eleven games.

Nuggets (32-18)
— Denver is 20-7 SU in its last 27 games overall.
— Nuggets are 5-3 ATS in last eight home games.
— Over is 6-2 in Denver’s last eight home games.

— Nuggets won five of last seven series games.
— Spurs are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Denver.
— Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Utah @ Phoenix
Jazz (38-12)
— Utah won eight of its last nine games overall.
— Jazz is 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games.
— Under is 6-3 in Utah’s last nine games.

Suns (35-14)
— Phoenix won 27 of its last 33 games (22-11 ATS).
— Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Over is 4-0 in their last four games.

— Suns won last two meetings, after losing previous eight.
— Jazz covered three of last four visits to the desert.
— Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 04:57 PM
NBA

Wednesday, April 7

Trend Report

Minnesota @ Indiana
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

Washington @ Orlando
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

New York @ Boston
New York
New York is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home

New Orleans @ Brooklyn
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing New Orleans

Memphis @ Atlanta
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Dallas @ Houston
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Houston is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Dallas

Charlotte @ Oklahoma City
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Charlotte

San Antonio @ Denver
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Denver
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against San Antonio

Utah @ Phoenix
Utah
Utah is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 04:58 PM
Bobby Conn Apr 07 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
NBA | Wizards vs Magic
Play on: Magic +3½ -109 at Draft Kings

1* Free Play on Magic +3½ -109

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 04:58 PM
Kenny Walker Apr 07 '21, 7:38 PM in 2h
NHL | Canadiens vs Maple Leafs
Play on: Maple Leafs -145 at Mirage

Free Pick on Maple Leafs

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 04:58 PM
Mike Williams Apr 07 '21, 7:40 PM in 2h
NBA | Pelicans vs Nets
Play on: Pelicans +9 -110 at pinnacle

1* on Pelicans +9 -110

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 04:59 PM
John Martin Apr 07 '21, 8:10 PM in 3h
NBA | Grizzlies vs Hawks
Play on: Hawks -3 -107 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Atlanta Hawks -3
The Atlanta Hawks are 13-4 SU & 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The switch to Nate McMillan as head coach has made all the difference for this team. Now they face a Memphis Grizzlies team that could be without Ja Morant, Brandon Clarke and Justise Winslow who are all questionable tonight playing the second of a back-to-back. Atlanta is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games. Give me the Hawks.

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:00 PM
Larry Ness Apr 07 '21, 9:10 PM in 4h
NBA | Spurs vs Nuggets
Play on: Nuggets -7 -105 at pinnacle

My free play is on the Den Nuggets at 9:05 ET.
The Denver Nuggets were just 17-17 on the morning of Feb 26 but have since gone 15-3 (enter this game on a six-game winning streak) to move up in the West to the No. 4 seed at 32-18 (just ONE game back of the third-seeded Clippers). Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs are headed in the wrong direction. The team's 22-16 record through games played through March 19 is no more, after the Spurs have lost EIGHT of 10 to fall to 24-24. San Antonio's most likely path to the postseason will be via the NBA's "Play-In" round, which features seeds 7-10. The Spurs head out on a FIVE-game road trip on the heels of THREE straight home losses, in 2 OTs vs Atlanta, in OT vs Indiana and then a blowout 125-101 loss to Cleveland (Cavs are just 18-32).
The Spurs are led by DeRozan (21.0-4.4-7.0). Murray (15.7-7.0-5.2) and White (14.2) but have four other double digit scorers, as well SF Johnson (13.7 ^=& 6,4), guards Mills (12.4) and Walker (11.5) plus SF Gay (11.3). However, Walker hasn't played since March 22, With Aldridge (13.7 & 4.5) gone to Brooklyn, the Spurs rely on Poeltl (8.1 & 8.0) at center.
The Nuggets have the ever-improving Jokic (26.4-10.9-8.6) but PG Murray (21.3-4.0-4.8) sat out the last game with soreness in his right knee and his status is unknown. The good news is that the Nuggets are one of the NBA's deepest teams and were even BEFORE they acquired forward Aaron Gordon from Orlando prior to the trade deadline. Gordon was averaging 14.6 & 6.6 for the Magic and has added 13.2 PPG in five games with Denver (Nuggets are 5-0). Joining Jokic and Gordon up front are SF Porter (16.9 & 7.5) plus PFs Millsap (9.4 & 4.8) and Green (8.4 & 5.2). Swingman Barton (12.7-4.3-3.2) has been healthy all season and PG Morris (10.4 & 3.3), who hadn't played since March 12, returned the last two games, scoring 10 points in each one,
The Spurs begin a five-game road trip with two contests in Denver, tonight and again on Friday. Yes, San Antonio is 12-7 on the road but NO ONE wants to play the Nuggets these days, especially at Pepsi Center. Lay the points, as the Nuggets may just remember losing by 10 points in San Antonio back on Jan 29.
Good luck...Larry

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:01 PM
Jeff Alexander Apr 07 '21, 9:10 PM in 4h
NBA | Spurs vs Nuggets
Play on: Nuggets -7 -106 at pinnacle

1* NBA - Spurs/Nuggets *FREE PICK* on Nuggets -7
Wednesday's Free NBA pick is on the Denver Nuggets as a 7-point home favorite against the San Antonio Spurs. I just don't think it's asking much for Denver to win here by double-digits. The Nuggets have been absolutely rolling since they acquired Aaron Gordon in a trade. Denver comes in having won 6 straight and are 5-1 ATS during this stretch. San Antonio has lost 3 straight and the real big concern with their recent stretch of play is their defense. The Spurs have allowed 125 or more points in 3 straight and 4 of their last 5. Really hard for them to keep it within this number if Denver is scoring close to 130. Bet the Nuggets -7!

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:02 PM
Ben Burns Apr 07 '21, 10:08 PM in 5h
NHL | Coyotes vs Kings
Play on: Kings -109 at linepros

The Coyotes certainly come in as the "hotter" team. Yet, the Kings figure to be the "hungrier" one. Arizona is just 10-20 (-11.4) the past 30 times that it had won its previous three games, 0-2 this season. The Kings, on the other hand, are 4-3 (+3) on the season, after having dropped their previous three. The Coyotes just beat them here two nights ago. With the Coyotes potentially looking ahead to their upcoming trip to Vegas, I like the Kings' chances of exacting some revenge. Consider LA.

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:02 PM
Dustin Hawkins Apr 07 '21, 10:10 PM in 5h
NBA | Jazz vs Suns
Play on: OVER 226 -110

1 Dimer on Jazz vs Suns over 226 -110

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:02 PM
Dave Price Apr 07 '21, 10:10 PM in 5h
NBA | Jazz vs Suns
Play on: Suns +2 -110 at Mirage

Dave's Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Phoenix Suns +2
The Key: The Phoenix Suns are trailing the Utah Jazz by 2.5 games for the top seed in the Western Conference. They will be the hungrier team tonight and I expect a big performance from them to get the win here. The Suns are 27-6 SU in their last 33 games overall and don't get the same kind of respect from the books that the Utah Jazz do. They are coming off a non-cover against the Rockets, but the Suns haven't failed to cover 2 in a row since late-January. The Suns are a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games off an ATS loss. Phoenix is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games on the season. The Jazz are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take Phoenix.

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:08 PM
Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: SAN DIEGO (Snell) -150 over San Francisco

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:09 PM
Mike Wynn Free Pick: Atlanta -2½ over Memphis

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:09 PM
Totals4U Wednesday's Free Selection: Baltimore Orioles/New York Yankees under 9 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:14 PM
Roz Wins ROZ Selections Tuesday, April 6, 2021

FREE PLAY
NBA
543. Bucks -7 (7:10 PT / 10:10 PT)

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:14 PM
Atlantic Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Dallas Mavericks - 11

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:14 PM
#1 Sports Wednesday's Free Play: St Louis Blues + 135

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:15 PM
Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: the Arizona Diamondbacks w/Bumgarner +100 over Colorado

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:15 PM
Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play WEDNESDAY, April 7, 2021

FREE NBA
10* 560. Nuggets -7 (6:10 PT / 9:10 ET)

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:30 PM
Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Wednesday Selection Is
DENVER -7

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:30 PM
Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Wednesday : Take ARIZONA/COLORADO OVER the total of 11½

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:30 PM
Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Wednesday
Eovaldi -115

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:31 PM
Hawkeye Sports Wednesday's Free Pick: Minnesota Wild + 175

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:31 PM
Huddle Up Sports
Wednesday Free Play
San Diego Snell -147

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:31 PM
Arthur Ralph

WED NHL Edmonton -180

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:32 PM
The Last Call Wednesday's Free Play: Dallas Mavericks - 11 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:32 PM
Teyas Sports FREE PICK 4/7 MLB SAN DIEGO -147

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:32 PM
Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Wednesday: TAMPA BAY/BOSTON UNDER the total of 9 runs

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:32 PM
High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Wednesday: San Diego Padres - 150

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:33 PM
Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Wednesday: Memp/Atl UNDER 229½

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:33 PM
Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Wednesday:
San Diego (Snell) -150

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:33 PM
Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Wednesday:
Minnesota (Maeda) -160

Can'tPickAWinner
04-07-2021, 05:34 PM
Hollywood Anthony Your Free Wednesday Play from Hollywood Anthony
NBA Boston -3½