Thursday 4/8/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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Nick Borrman Event: The Masters Outright Winner
Sport/League: GLF
Date/Time: April 8, 2021 9AM EDT
Play: Patrick Cantlay to Win The Masters (+2050)
The Masters
Outright Winner DraftKings
Cantlay is #2 on Tour over his last five starts in Total Strokes Gained over the field, averaging +2.5 strokes gained per round. On the season, he ranks #21 Off the Tee, #7 Around the Green, #8 Tee to Green and #6 Total Strokes Gained. He is 4th in Birdie average and 13th in Scoring Average. He has a win, a 2nd and a 3rd in his last eight starts which includes finishing T17 in the fall edition of the Masters. He also finished 9th here in 2019.
TAKE PATRICK CANTLAY +2050

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Nick Borrman Event: Sergio Garcia vs Tommy Fleetwood
Sport/League: GLF
Date/Time: April 8, 2021 10AM EDT
Play: Sergio Garcia (-110)
The Masters
Tournament Matchup Offshore
Sergio #3 on Tour in Par 5 scoring this year. He has always been of the the best ball strikers on Tour and his iron game is always tremendous. Add in his driver this year which he ranks 2nd in Strokes Gained Off the Tee and all he needs is an average putter to be right in contention as usually he struggles and loses strokes with his putter and of course this year is no different. But he tends to play well on difficult courses that rewards ball strikers. He finished T9 at the Players a couple weeks ago, where he was a previous winner and of course he is a previous Masters winner as well. He missed the fall edition of the Masters due to COVID so he is itching for this opportunity.
Fleetwood has just two Top 20 finishes this year in 8 stroke play events, although one of those came in the fall edition finishing T19 here in November. However, his ball striking numbers have been terrible all year, ranked #177 Off the Tee and #83 Approach. He can make up for that with a solid short game which he has, ranked #21, but he is just as bad as Sergio with the putter at #154 and I simply can’t trust a guy who isn’t hitting the ball well at Augusta.
TAKE SERGIO GARCIA OVER TOMMY FLEETWOOD
Line Parameter: 3% to -130

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Kevin Dolan Event: (224413) Manchester United at (224414) Granada
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: April 8, 2021 3PM EDT
Play: Manchester United -0.75 (-133)
We like Manchester United on the -0.75 handicap line on Thursday to win by margin against Granada.
Four wins from their last five at home across all competitions for Granada, but they take on tournament favorites Manchester United here on Thursday in what's likely a bridge too far for the Spanish club.
As good as Manchester United's domestic form has been this year, their European form has been standout also, as they've kept three clean sheets over their last four knockout stage matches and have scored in every Europa League knockout tie they've played in away from home in the competition's history.
Take Manchester United to win and cover on Thursday against Granada.
PLAY: MANCHESTER UNITED -0.75

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Tony Mejia Event: (224405) Villarreal at (224406) Dinamo Zagreb
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: April 8, 2021 3PM EDT
Play: Total Over 2.25 (+100)
Lovro Majer is the name to watch in this one for the Croatian side. He's just 23 and still hasn't made a splash internationally but is a weapon that will test the Villarreal defense and is a threat on free kicks. Swiss NT striker Mario Gavranovic is also set to start and I think we'll see Dinamo Zagreb take its chances aggressively at home. Villarreal has yet to lose in Europa League play and has Gerard Moreno, Paco Alcacer and Carlos Bacca all playing well. Expect to see goals in this one and ride the over.

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Bryan Leonard Event: (23) New Jersey Devils at (24) Buffalo Sabres
Sport/League: NHL
Date/Time: April 8, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Buffalo Sabres +110
23 New Jersey at Buffalo
In 5x5 G+-/60 the Devils rank 18th and the Sabres 30th. In xG/60 New Jersey is -0.05 and the Sabres -0.43. A sizable differential for the road squad.
On the Power Play in G+-/60 the Devils rank 30th and the Sabres 13th. In xG/60 we find New Jersey +4.25 and Buffalo +5.44. I nice edge for the host.
Playing Short Handed in G+-/60the Devils rank 29th and the Sabres 14th. In xG/60 we see New Jersey at -7.49 and the Sabres -6.71. Another edge for the host.
While New Jersey is playing with next game revenge, the Sabres in actual goals and expected goals are the better team. Give us the host to sweep this quick two games series.
PLAY BUFFALO

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Tokyo Brandon Event: (17) Pittsburgh Penguins at (18) New York Rangers
Sport/League: NHL
Date/Time: April 8, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: New York Rangers -125

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Tokyo Brandon Event: (27) Dallas Stars at (28) Chicago Blackhawks
Sport/League: NHL
Date/Time: April 8, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: 1P Total Under 1.5 (-120)

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Kevin Dolan Event: (567) Milwaukee Bucks at (568) Dallas Mavericks
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: April 8, 2021 9PM EDT
Play: Total Over 229.0 (-110)
Value on the Over tonight in Dallas.
The Mavericks come off a miserable display offensively last time out against Houston, posting a sub 40% shooting percentage (37.9%), with their effective field goal percentage dipping a full 11% also from their season average.
I expect a much better performance from Dallas tonight at home against this 14th ranked Milwaukee road defense, and the Bucks should be able to score also, bringing the league's 2nd best three point % rate to Dallas tonight.
Take the Over 229 between Milwaukee and Dallas for Thursday.
PLAY: OVER 229

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Bobby Conn Apr 08 '21, 3:00 PM in 5h
Soccer | Manchester United vs Granada
Play on: Manchester United -171 at linepros

1* Free Play on Manchester United -171

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Black Widow Apr 08 '21, 3:05 PM in 5h
MLB | BOS vs BAL
Play on: UNDER 9 +100

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Red Sox/Orioles under 9 +100

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Info Plays Apr 08 '21, 4:10 PM in 6h
MLB | KC vs CWS
Play on: UNDER 9 -110

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Royals vs White Sox under 9 -110

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Jimmy Boyd Apr 08 '21, 4:15 PM in 6h
MLB | Brewers vs Cardinals
Play on: Cardinals +123 at pinnacle

1* Free Pick on Cardinals +123

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Our Experts Release Latest Kentucky Derby Top 10s

April 7, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

It’s Arkansas Derby and Lexington Stakes Week, the 3-week outpost until the 2021 Kentucky Derby. This pretty much will be last call for contenders to announce their credentials before the Run for the Roses.

Our resident historians and handicappers check back in with their mid-April Top 10 contenders for the Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes and Belmont Stakes. We’ve included the projected next start for each horse in parentheses (subject to change).

Jeff Siegel

#1 Essential Quality (Kentucky Derby)
#2 Rock Your World (Kentucky Derby)
#3 Concert Tour (Arkansas Derby)
#3 Known Agenda (Kentucky Derby)
#5 Hot Rod Charlie (Kentucky Derby)
#6 Highly Motivated (Kentucky Derby)
#7 Medina Spirit (Kentucky Derby)
#8 Midnight Bourbon (Kentucky Derby)
#9 Helium (Kentucky Derby)
#10 Soup and Sandwich (Kentucky Derby)

Jon White

#1 Essential Quality (Kentucky Derby)
#2 Concert Tour (Arkansas Derby)
#3 Rock Your World (Kentucky Derby)
#4 Hot Rod Charlie (Kentucky Derby)
#5 Known Agenda (Kentucky Derby)
#6 Highly Motivated (Kentucky Derby)
#7 Medina Spirit (Kentucky Derby)
#8 Midnight Bourbon (Kentucky Derby)
#9 Mandaloun (Kentucky Derby)
#10 Helium (Kentucky Derby)

John DeSantis

#1 Concert Tour (Arkansas Derby)
#2 Essential Quality (Kentucky Derby)
#3 Hot Rod Charlie (Kentucky Derby)
#4 Known Agenda (Kentucky Derby)
#5 Rock Your World (Kentucky Derby)
#6 Highly Motivated (Kentucky Derby)
#7 Medina Spirit (Kentucky Derby)
#8 Midnight Bourbon (Kentucky Derby)
#9 Bourbonic (Kentucky Derby)
#10 Helium (Kentucky Derby)

Jeremy Plonk

#1 Essential Quality (Blue Grass)
#2 Concert Tour (Arkansas Derby)
#3 Known Agenda (Kentucky Derby)
#4 Highly Motivated (Kentucky Derby)
#5 Medina Spirit (Kentucky Derby)
#6 Rock Your World (Kentucky Derby)
#7 Hot Rod Charlie (Kentucky Derby)
#8 Midnight Bourbon (Kentucky Derby)
#9 Hozier (Arkansas Derby)
#10 Proxy (Lexington Stakes)

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GG Stats: Ayuso Pilots Prices

April 7, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Golden Gate Fields. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in Northern California. And be sure to support GGF by betting with 1/ST BET, the official betting app of Golden Gate Fields.

Headlines

The Thursday-Sunday racing week starts with a $64,697 Rainbow 6 carryover jackpot … Turf racing returned last Thursday to Northern California, a welcome sign of spring … 2021 El Camino Real Derby winner Rombauer may have punched his ticket to the Kentucky Derby when the Michael McCarthy trainee finished third in the Grade 2 Blue Grass on April 3 at Keeneland. Rombauer has 34 qualifying points for the Kentucky Derby, and owns a Preakness automatic berth via his El Camino Real Derby win … GGF is gearing up for its Gold Rush Weekend April 24-25, featuring the Grade 3 San Francisco Mile among 8 stakes in all. Nominations close April 15-16 … Grade 1 winner Keeper Ofthe Stars returned a popular winner here Apr. 3 in allowance company, her first start since August.

Stronach 5

Last week’s Stronach 5 paid $2,752 to 42 winning tickets. Stronach 5 races this Friday, April 9, will be:

Leg A – Laurel Park Race 8 with an approximate post time of 4:45 ET
Leg B – Gulfstream Park Race 8 with an approximate post time of 4:50 ET
Leg C – Laurel Park Race 9 with an approximate post time of 5:16 ET
Leg D – Gulfstream Park Race 9 with an approximate post time of 5:22 ET
Leg E – Golden Gate Fields Race 3 with an approximate post time of 5:27 ET

1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 2 of the 52 handicapping filters for Golden Gate Fields, each posting at least 34% winners and a flat-bet profit.

Lifetime Earnings
Best Lifetime Speed

Trends Last Week

-- 10 races were held on the turf last week, the first such action of 2021. Favorites were 10: 6-1-2 on the green, and 9 winners were 5-2 or less odds. But a $130 claiming bomber on Friday blew up the tote.

-- Jockey Armando Ayuso not only orchestrated the big $130 upsetter last week, but was 14: 5-0-2 overall in a very strong showing. He also had a $74 longshot winner on the main track. His ROI was $8.51 for every $1 bet.

-- Trainer Michael McCarthy went 3: 2-0-1 on the grass last week, scoring with a couple of mile favorites. Kyle Frey, who posted a 9: 4-0-3 turf mark on week, was aboard both McCarthy victors.

-- Proving it can be a humbling game, trainer Steve Sherman’s runners were 0-7 last week, just 1 week after he won 7 races from 13 starters.

-- Favorites were 16-for-34 (47%) last week at Golden Gate, and have remained stout at 41% throughout the 2021 season.

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SA Stats: Favorites Flexing

April 7, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Santa Anita Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in Southern California.

Headlines

Racing this week will be a Saturday-Sunday schedule with no Friday card in an effort to help protect the turf course … 8,246 on-track attendees for last Saturday’s Santa Anita Derby Day card help produce an all-sources pari-mutuel handle of $24,282,400, the highest Runhappy Santa Anita Derby Day handle since 2007. Congrats to the connections of Rock Your World ... This week’s feature race will be Saturday’s $75,000 Mizdirection Stakes for filly & mare turf sprinters … Santa Anita’s Rainbow 6 has a 1-day carryover in the jackpot pool of $53,590. A mandatory payout on April 3 lured more than $3.7 million in new money … San Vicente Stakes winner Concert Tour and stablemate Hozier will be on the road Saturday in Oaklawn’s Grade 1 Arkansas Derby.

Stronach 5

Last week’s Stronach 5 paid $2,752 to 42 winning tickets. Stronach 5 races this Friday, April 9, will be:

Leg A – Laurel Park Race 8 with an approximate post time of 4:45 ET
Leg B – Gulfstream Park Race 8 with an approximate post time of 4:50 ET
Leg C – Laurel Park Race 9 with an approximate post time of 5:16 ET
Leg D – Gulfstream Park Race 9 with an approximate post time of 5:22 ET
Leg E – Golden Gate Fields Race 3 with an approximate post time of 5:27 ET

1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Santa Anita Park last week, each winning at a 34% or greater win rate. The factor Best Speed at Track won 44% and produced a $43.40 profit if you bet $2 win on each top choice in that category for the week. The 1/ST BET app’s AI picks pointed to $12.40 Santa Anita Derby winner Rock Your World as the top choice.

Best Speed at Track
Best Lifetime Speed
Avg. Speed Last 3

Trends Last Week

-- Trainer Bob Baffert always puts up potent numbers, but he’s particular hot right now. His 8: 3-3-0 record last week gives him a 2-week run of 16: 7-3-2. Baffert and Flavien Prat are 10: 7-2-0 in tandem since February 14.

-- Trainer Michael McCarthy enjoyed a big week everywhere, going 6: 2-0-1 at Santa Anita, winning a pair of races at Golden Gate and finishing third in the Grade 2 Blue Grass with his Kentucky Derby hopeful Rombauer.

-- Trainer Ryan Hanson had another solid week at 2-for-4, including an $18 turf sprint allowance winner. The barn is 11: 4-2-1 since March 13 with a $2.26 ROI for every $1 bet.

-- Jockey Kent Desormeaux had perhaps the best week of his latest comeback when going 6: 2-1-0. His winners paid $9 and $40 and he added a 9-2 runner-up. He’s riding for lesser outfits than he once did, but scored for Rafael Deleon and Quentin Miller.

-- Favorites dominated the scene at 29: 14-8-4. That’s 48% wins and 76% in the exacta. Turf chalk hit 53% on top with dirt favorites at 43%.

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GP Stats: Gonzalez's Speedy Start

April 7, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Gulfstream Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in South Florida.

Headlines

Racing returns Thursday through Sunday this week with a $284,967 carryover in the Rainbow 6 jackpot ($500,000-guaranteed pool) … Florida Stallion Series In Reality winner Boca Boy meets Hutcheson Stakes 3-4 finishers Lauda Speed and Real Talk in a Race 7 allowance Friday … Gulfstream alumni aiming for the May 1 Kentucky Derby include Known Agenda (Todd Pletcher), Soup and Sandwich (Mark Casse), Greatest Honour (Bill Mott), and the Apr. 3 Wood Memorial runner-up Dynamic One (Todd Pletcher). Local maiden performer and Jeff Ruby runner-up Sainthood (Todd Pletcher) also is possible … 20-year-old Panamanian jockey Jose Morelos won his first US race April 4 at Gulfstream in his 10th local mount … Gulfstream’s next round of stakes will be May 1 with the Big Drama and Honey Ryder. Nominations close April 18.

Stronach 5

Last week’s Stronach 5 paid $2,752 to 42 winning tickets. Stronach 5 races this Friday, April 9, will be:

Leg A – Laurel Park Race 8 with an approximate post time of 4:45 ET
Leg B – Gulfstream Park Race 8 with an approximate post time of 4:50 ET
Leg C – Laurel Park Race 9 with an approximate post time of 5:16 ET
Leg D – Gulfstream Park Race 9 with an approximate post time of 5:22 ET
Leg E – Golden Gate Fields Race 3 with an approximate post time of 5:27 ET

1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Gulfstream Park last week, each winning at a 30% or greater win rate. Speed factors have been among the most impactful over the past 4 weeks.

Avg Best 2 of Last 3 Speed
% Horses Beaten
Avg. Speed Last 3

Trends Last Week

-- To no surprise, trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. started the spring-summer meet with a bang last week, going 7: 3-1-0. He was 2-for-2 with favorites but also added a $15 score. Joseph won with both 6-furlong dirt sprinters he sent out on the week.

-- Trainer Kelsey Danner put together a strong 6: 2-2-0 week. The all-turf battalion included a $12 winner sprinting on grass.

-- Trainer Diane Alvarado was on point with limited starters at 3: 2-0-0. She had $17 and $22 winners when paired with jockey Leonel Reyes.

-- Jockey Edwin Gonzalez topped all riders with a 26: 7-4-2 mark. That’s 27% wins, 42% in the exacta and a $1.44 ROI for every $1 bet. Most impressively, the 7 wins came for 7 different barns. He was 2-for-2 aboard favorites.

-- Jockey Paco Lopez struck with precision at 7: 3-1-1 before heading to Keeneland for weekend stakes mounts. He’s back at Gulfstream this Thursday.

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Arkansas Derby Post Position Draw Rapid Reaction

April 6, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Rebel Stakes winner Concert Tour makes an encore trip to Oaklawn for Saturday’s Grade 1 Arkansas Derby, headlining a field of 6 that was drawn today in Hot Springs. A victory by Gary and Mary West’s undefeated colt would put the Bob Baffert trainee in the favorite’s discussion for the May 1 Kentucky Derby – along with undefeated Blue Grass victor Essential Quality.

But first the 1-1/8 miles in the Arkansas Derby, where the favorite starts from post 5. Concert Tour, sired by Kentucky Derby and Travers winner Street Sense, looked no worse for the wear at the end of the March 13 Rebel Stakes at 110 yards shorter trip. He cruised wire-to-wire with tepid interior fractions. The 5 rivals looking to knock off Concert Tour will have to make him work harder early in the Arkansas Derby if they want to run by him late. Baffert has won this race with Bodemeister (2012), American Pharoah (2015) and Nadal (2020).

Caddo River and jockey Florent Geroux opted to sit just off of Concert Tour in the Rebel to no avail. The 10-length winner of the Smarty Jones to open Oaklawn’s Arkansas Derby trail was ineffective in that role and wound up fifth on 8. Expect a more aggressive tactic in the rematch from post 2 as Caddo River is 2-for-2 when going to the front and 0-for-3 when unable to secure the early lead. Merely relaxing off Concert Tour and hoping to secure second money and second Kentucky Derby qualifying points is not a gimmee after his Rebel retreat. The only way to shake the Rebel result is for Caddo River to take the race to Concert Tour, and from the inner post of the pair, that has to be the gameplan.

The lineup Saturday also includes Rebel runner-up and Concert Tour stablemate Hozier. He surprised when second here last month in his first attempt in stakes company. Hozier has trained brilliantly fast at Santa Anita for his third chance against Concert Tour (he finished fourth by 14 lengths to that one in the Jan. 15 career debut for both). Hozier is working strongly enough that he could turn the tables if he were to get any pace help up front. Check out all the morning moves at XBTV’s Triple Crown Trail section (Triple Crown Trail - XBTV (https://www.xbtv.com/triple-crown-trail/)).

Oaklawn-based Super Stock will look to improve on his Rebel fourth, which came after a nearly five-month layoff for trainer Larry Jones. Californian Get Her Number also floundered off the bench in the Rebel when seventh. Longshot Last Samurai returns from a fifth-place finish in the Southwest Stakes, where he was middling throughout at 56-1.

2021 Arkansas Derby Post Positions

1-Super Stock (Ricardo Santana Jr.)
2-Caddo River (Florent Geroux)
3-Hozier (Martin Garcia)
4-Get Her Number (Francisco Arrieta)
5-Concert Tour (Joel Rosario)
6-Last Samurai (Jon Court)

The Arkansas Derby will be Race 12 on a program that includes the Count Fleet Sprint, Oaklawn Mile and the Carousel Stakes. First race post time Saturday will be 1:00 pm ET / noon CT.

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Jeff Siegel's 2021 Triple Crown Tracker Power Rankings

April 8, 2021

Our Triple Crown Tracker Power Rankings identify the best 3-year-olds of 2021 in order of preference, with each horse given a theoretical weight assignment starting at 126 lbs. based on past performance and projected development. The horses listed are assumed to be candidates for at least one of the Triple Crown races.

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1 - ESSENTIAL QUALITY (B. Cox) – 126 lbs.
Pedigree: Tapit – Delightful Quality, by Elusive Quality
Lifetime record: 5-5-0-0 ($2,265,144). Derby points: 140
Last start: April 3, 2021, Keeneland, 9F Blue Grass S.-G2, finished first
Next start: May 1, 2021, Churchill Downs, 10F Kentucky Derby-G1
Latest workout: None since raced

The skinny: Godolphin homebred; dam graded stakes-placed sprinting half-sister to champion 2yo filly Folklore; 2020 Eclipse Award winning 2-year-old enters the Kentucky Derby-G1 with a perfect record in five starts, most recently when fully extended to win the 9F Blue Grass S.-G2 (by a neck from Highly Motivated) while enjoying a trouble-free pace-stalking trip; had reappeared in top form in late February with an authoritative victory over sloppy going in the 8F Southwest S.-G3 (by four and one-quarter lengths from Spielberg and Jackie’s Warrior); completed his 2-year-old season with back-to-back Grade 1 victories at Keeneland in the 8.5F BC Juvenile-G1 in November when rallying from nine lengths back with the help of the fast-early race-flow to win by three-quarters of a length from 90-1 Hot Rod Charlie and before that with a three and one-quarter length score in the 8.5F Breeders’ Futurity-G1 (from Keepmeinmind); speed figures have risen with every start but without a significant leap and with a career top Beyer number of a good-but-not-great 97; proven so far to be genuine and versatile while giving indication that the Derby’s 10F trip will easily be within his range; in top hands and with every expectation that he’ll continue to develop during the spring of his 3-year-old season.
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2 - ROCK YOUR WORLD (J. Sadler) – 125 lbs.
Pedigree: Candy Ride – Charm the Maker, by Empire Maker
Lifetime record: 3-3-0-0 ($546,600). Derby points: 100
Last start: April 3, 2021, Santa Anita, 9F Santa Anita Derby-G1, finished first
Next start: May 1, 2021, 10F Churchill Downs, Kentucky Derby-G1
Latest workout: None since raced

The skinny: $650,000Y; third foal, lengthy colt with plenty of scope; full-brother to California Gr.3-placed She’s Our Charm; dam multiple stakes winner from a high class staying turf family; unbeaten in three starts, most recently in his first try on dirt when registering a gate-to-wire victory in the 9F Santa Anita Derby-G1 (by four and one-quarter lengths from Medina Spirit), setting fast fractions and then repelling all challenges to drew clear in the final furlong with complete authority (and galloping out far in front) while earning a career top 100 Beyer speed figure (tops among intended Kentucky Derby starters), previous two wins were accomplished on grass, the listed 8F Pasadena S. in February in visually pleasing style (by two and one-quarter lengths from Cathkin Peak) and a maiden over 6F on grass on New Year’s Day (by one and three-quarter lengths while appearing to toy with his opposition); pedigree suggests he’ll thrive over a classic distance and farther; has proven to be effective on the lead or from a stalking position though he’s yet to experience dirt kickback; will enter the Kentucky Derby-G1 at least among the first three favorites; not a particularly willing performer in the morning and is still a bit green in the p.m. (switched leads twice in the stretch in his most recent start) but has the kind of potential that could reach a championship level.
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3 - CONCERT TOUR (B. Baffert) – 124 lbs.
Pedigree: Street Sense – Purse Strings, by Tapit
Lifetime record: 3-3-0-0 ($756,600). Derby points: 50
Last start: March 13, 2021, Oaklawn Park, 8.5FF Rebel S.-G2, finished first.
Next start: April 10, 2021, Oaklawn Park, 9F Arkansas Derby.-G1
Latest workout: April 3, Santa Anita, 6f, 1:12.4h

The skinny: Gary and Mary West Stables homebred; second foal; dam 6F maiden special weight winner at Churchill Downs in 12th (and final) career start; no black type in first two generations; third dam is the granddam of Stardom Bound (champion, BC Juvenile Fillies-G1); unbeaten in three career starts, most recently a dominating gate-to-wire victory in the 8.5F Rebel S.-G2 at Oaklawn Park (by four and one-quarter lengths from stable mate Hozier), quickly establishing the pace from his outside draw and then, after disposing of favored Caddo River, drawing clear under mild urging to win with plenty left; earned solid but not great 94 Beyer speed figure; previously successful with a pace-pressing trip as the 2/5 favorite in five-runner 7F San Vicente S.-G2 (by one-half length from stable mate Freedom Fighter) after winning his debut three weeks earlier in 6F maiden sprint in a highly impressive performance at Santa Anita (forced pace, then kicked clear with power and with plenty left); pedigree suggests a classic distance could be within his capabilities; has so far followed the identical pattern/schedule as B. Baffert’s top class colt from last year, Nadal; likely to use the Arkansas Derby-G1 (April 10) as his final springboard to the Kentucky Derby-G1 three weeks later and seems certain to be a heavy favorite; based purely on speed figures still has some doubters but seems likely to enter the spring classics with an undefeated record.
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4 – KNOWN AGENDA (T. Pletcher) – 123 lbs.
Pedigree: Curlin – Byrama, by Byron
Lifetime record: 6-3-1-1 ($541,700). Derby points: 102
Last start: March 28, 2021, Gulfstream Park, Florida Derby-G1, finished first
Next start: May 1, 2021, Churchill Downs, Kentucky Derby-G1
Latest workout: None since raced

The skinny: St. Elias Stable homebred, dam Gr-1 9F dirt winner in California; verified the highly favorable impression he made in an 11-length 9F allowance victory at Gulfstream Park in February by returning the following month to capture the Florida Derby-G1 over that same track and distance with complete authority (by two and three-quarter lengths from Soup and Sandwich); earned a career top speed figure in that race and appears to be developing with maturity, experience, the addition of blinkers in his last two starts, and with distance as is typical of offspring of Curlin; was thought of early in his career as a long-winded, plodding type but has displayed improved tactical speed and late acceleration in recent starts; seems certain to enjoy the 10 furlong trip of the Kentucky Derby-G1 and is likely to step forward again and be a major player in the spring classics.
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5 - HOT ROD CHARLIE (D. O’Neill) – 122 lbs.
Pedigree: Oxbow – Indian Miss, by Indian Charlie
Lifetime record: 7-2-1-02 ($1,00,700). Derby points: 110
Last start: March 20, 2021, Fair Grounds, 9.5F Louisiana Derby-G2, finished first
Next start: May 1, 2021, Churchill Downs, 10F Kentucky Derby-G1
Latest workout: April 3, Santa Anita, 4f, :49.2h

The skinny: $110,000Y, half-brother to champion sprinter Mtole; non-winning dam a half-sister to Davona Dale S.-G2 winner Live Lively; versatile colt has been successful on the lead or from off the pace and returned to winning form in his second 2021 outing when making all in the 9.5F Louisiana Derby-G2, relaxing without undue pressure to the top of the lane and then fighting off all challenges to register two length score (from Midnight Bourbon) while establishing new track record (1:55.06) and earning a career top 99 Beyer speed figure; had displayed plenty of promise during his juvenile campaign, beating maidens in his fourth start before finishing second (with the help of the race-shape) to champion Essential Quality in BC Juvenile-G1 by three quarters of a length at 91-1 after striking the front in mid-stretch; performed well when third (beaten a neck) behind Medina Spirit and Roman Centurian) in his 3yo debut in late January in the Robert B. Lewis S.-G3 while appearing to have winning momentum inside the furlong pole but then losing his punch close home while likely needing the outing; doesn’t have a great turn of foot and may be most effective as a stalker or pace presser; will be trained up to the Kentucky Derby with six weeks in between starts.
*
*
*
6 – HIGHLY MOTIVATED (C. Brown) – 120 lbs.
Pedigree: Into Mischief – Strong Incentive, by Warrior’s Reward
Lifetime record: 5-2-2-1 ($320,050). Derby points: 50
Last start: April 3, 2021, Keeneland, 9F Blue Grass S.-G2, finished second
Next start: May 1, 2021, Churchill Downs, 10F Kentucky Derby-G1
Latest workout: None since raced

The Skinny: $240K though the ring as a weanling (retained by his breeder); first foal, dam a Canadian-bred sprint SW at 3; in the frame in all five career starts and earned a career top speed figure in early April when second (was five and one-half lengths clear of the rest) as the controlling speed in the 9F Blue Grass S.-G2 by a neck to Essential Quality, giving way grudgingly close home but with a trip that may have flattered the performance; previously appeared a tad rusty when third (by a length and three-quarters to Weyburn) when making his seasonal bow in the 8F Gotham S-G3 the previous month; displayed plenty of potential when easily capturing the listed 6.5F Nyquist S. on the Breeders’ Cup undercard at Keeneland in November; pedigree suggests a classic distance will be stretching his limit; not likely to enjoy the same type of soft trip in the Kentucky Derby-G1 that he did in his most recent outing and thus his chances must be viewed as somewhat suspect in the spring classics despite the quality and consistency that he’s displayed so far in his five-race career.
*
*
*
7 - MEDINA SPIRIT (B. Baffert) – 119 lbs.
Pedigree: Protonico – Mongolian Change, by Brilliant Speed
Lifetime record: 5-2-3-0 ($315,200). Derby points: 74
Last start: April 3, 2021, Santa Anita, Santa Anita Derby-G1, finished second
Next start: May 1, 2021, Churchill Downs, 10F, Kentucky Dereby-G1
Latest workout: None since raced

The skinny: $35,000 OBS 2yo; from first crop of multiple graded SW son of Giant’s Causeway, dam a synthetic maiden special weight winner at Presque Isle Downs; light female family (no SW’s in first three generations); was no match Rock Your World when second (beaten four and one-quarter lengths) in the 9F Santa Anita Derby-G1 in early April when favored at 4/5, enjoying an ideal pace-stalking trip outside but then proving unable to quicken when the pressure was turned on at the head of the lane; previously had finished a well-beaten second to unbeaten Life Is Good in the 8.5F San Felipe S.-G2 in late March, going down by eight lengths though gamely saving second money after stalking the winner throughout and before that displaying extreme courage when winning 8.5F Robert B. Lewis S.-G3 in late January (by a neck from Roman Centurian and Hot Rod Charlie) despite being under heavy pressure from the far turn to the wire; speed figures are decent but have stagnated in recent outings; pedigree suggests he’ll handle a classic distance but though he’s clearly a reliable and consistent sort his lack of progression and his one-paced style indicate he may have reached his ceiling.
*
*
*
8 – MIDNIGHT BOURBON (S. Asmussen) – 118 lbs.
Pedigree: Tiznow – Catch the Moon, by Malibu Moon
Lifetime record: 7-2-2-3 ($461,420. Derby points: 66
Last start: March 20, 2021, Fair Grounds, 9.5F Louisiana Derby-G2, finished second
Next start: May 1, 2021, Churchill Downs, 10F Kentucky Derby-G1
Latest workout: April 4, Churchill Downs, 5f, 1:01.1b

The Skinny: $525K yearling, half-brother to three black-type performers, including Girvin (Haskell Invitational G1, etc.) and Cocked and Loaded (Iroquois S.-G2, etc.); never off the board in seven career starts with his most notable win the 8.5F Lecomte S.-G3 at Fair Grounds in January (gate-to-wire, by one length from Proxy); subsequently finished third (by one and three-quarters lengths to Mandaloun) in 9F Risen Star S.-G2 in February and then most recently second in the 9.5F Louisiana Derby (by two lengths from Hot Rod Charlie) the following month; perhaps most effective when able to make the running though he has performed well in a stalker’s role; good recent Beyer speed figures indicate there’s better likely to come; will enter the Kentucky Derby-G1 following a six week layoff; clearly a genuine and consistent type though on resume not quite up to the level of the leaders in the division at this stage.
*
*
*
9 – HELLIUM (M. Casse) – 118 lbs.
Pedigree: Ironicus – Thundering Emilla, by Thunder Gulch
Lifetime record: 3-3-0-0 ($287,763). Derby points: 50
Last start: March 6, 2021, Tampa Bay Downs, Tampa Bay Derby-G2, finished first
Next start: May 1, 2021, Churchill Downs, 10F Kentucky Derby-G1
Latest workout: April 3, Palm Meadows, 5f, 1:01.2b

The skinny $55,000Y; fourth foal, half-brother to Peruvian Gr. 1 winner Emilia’s Moon (by Malibu Moon); dam G3 SW in Peru; undefeated in three starts including the 8.5F Tampa Bay Derby-G2 in his 3-year-old debut (by three-quarters of a length from Hidden Stash), producing a steady bid (was 10th early) to secure the win in good style from a moderate field; previously had won both of his starts as a 2-year-old over the Woodbine synthetic surface (both at seven furlongs), a maiden in September (by three and one-quarter lengths from Excellorator) and then the listed Display S. the following month (by four and one-quarter lengths from Gospel Way); versatile colt has won pressing the pace and from far off the pace; bred to handle any surface and apparently does; should stay a classic distance; speed figures aren’t yet close to being competitive with the tops in his division and will have two months in between races while training up to the Kentucky Derby-G1; obviously is a colt of some quality but the strategy from his connections appears to place a higher emphasis on making the Derby field than actually providing him the proper preparation to have a chance to win it.
*
*
*
10 – SOUP OR SANDWICH (M. Casse) – 118
Pedigree: Into Mischief – Souper Scoop, by Tapit
Lifetime record: 3-2-1-0 ($203,875). Derby points: 40
Last Start: March 27, 2021, Gulfstream Park, 9F Florida Derby-G1 finished second
Next Start: May 1, 2021, Churchill Downs, 10F Kentucky Derby-G1
Latest Workout: None since raced
The skinny: Live Oak Stud homebred; dam a two-time winner from the solid Illinois-based staying family of Arlington Oaks-GT3 winner Til Forbid; successful in his first two career starts, a 6.5F maiden sprint at Gulfstream Park (by seven and one-quarter lengths) in January and then in a first-level miler at Tampa Bay Downs the following month (by two and three-quarter lengths) before stepping up significantly in class when a sharp runner-up in the 9F Florida Derby-G1 (by two and three-quarter lengths to Known Agenda) in his most recent start, pressing the pace outside and then staying on admirably under pressure in the final furlong; likely to continue to improve with experience and has a good tactical speed style without requiring the lead to win; connections might be wise to point for the Preakness S,-G2 that promises to be far less demanding that the Kentucky Derby-G1; talented colt to be sure and it will be interesting to see how ambitious his connections get.
*
Also eligible: O Besos (G. Foley); Bourbonic (T. Pletcher); Dynamic One; (T. Pletcher); Dream Shake (P. Eurton); Rombauer (M. McCarthy); Mandaloun (B. Cox); Crowded Trade (C. Brown); Like the King (W. Ward); Hozier (B. Baffert); Proxy(M. Stidham).

*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Delta Downs - Race #3
Picks Notes
#4 Mean American She was one-paced at the tail in his debut, but she can probably step forward off that run while stretching around two turns. 15/1 ML price would be interesting.
#3 Platinum Queen She looks like the one to beat off the FG form, but she exits a fairly flat try in a SLOW race last time out. She's capable, but think she'll be overbet.
#10 Akiane's Soldier The late running sprinter stretching out angle doesn't always work out, but that might prove to be a useful step toward something better today on the move around two turns.
Race Summary Trio of longshot plays today at a track that has been producing big prices. Mean American is worth a look after trailing in her debut in a decent enough race, and moving around two turns today shouldn't hurt her.

Delta Downs - Race #6
Picks Notes
#9 Hennys Grinning Her debut try was solid when racing with cheaper, and she might get a dreamy trip spying a good pace from this outside draw while cutting back around one bend. Price spoiler?
#7 Alimony Blues Speed adds blinkers, which may or may not be a good thing in a race with some other pace. Maybe she runs them off their feet?
#6 Ova Charged The Fair Grounds bullet work certainly stands out on paper, but that was about a month ago and there's nothing published since. Probably an underlay.
Race Summary Hennys Grinning might be able to briefly settle in behind the pace before launching a run with this group, as there are at least three speed horses drawn further inside along with a couple of firsters. Price should be right to see if she can class up at this shorter trip.

Delta Downs - Race #8
Picks Notes
#6 Lookout Mountain Speed might wake up a bit on the move away from Fair Grounds, and she showed a mild rating gear in her local win with cheaper here last year. They'll probably want to go, but she can sit the first-jump trip if Orb's Soul wants to make a thing of it early.
#9 Sweet Blindness She's supposed to win this race on overall form, but I think she might have overachieved with solid groups at Fair Grounds in those October-February races. Her last two have been moves in the wrong direction, so either she bounces back today at a likely underlaid price, or she's reverting back to her more more average races. Either way, not for me.
#7 Sebs Princess She's tough to trust anywhere other than underneath, but she occasionally fires a decent one and can land a spot in the gimmicks.
Race Summary Lookout Mountain shows up with a good one every so often, and she should get right into the race out of the gate. She's worth a swing.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #1
Picks Notes
#4 RAKSMACH N Encouraging qualifier, races without Lasix, good fit on best.
#6 SPORTS CHARM Second at 115-1 two back, gets driver upgrade.
#3 FINAL JUSTICE Had a win and a second at the Big M in March but he's 2-44 since 2020.
Race Summary Raksmach N finished second in a qualifier after the 9yo did not finish in his prior race. He was the beaten favorite two starts back at Pocono Downs after he rallied 3-wide around dead cover on the turn and couldn't reach the 2-1 pace setter. Play 4-3 and 4-6 exactas.

The Meadows - Race #2
Picks Notes
#4 IGLARE AM Sophomore trotter broke stride as overwhelming fave, today's Best Bet.
#2 HIP HOP GRACIE Finished ahead of top one after seven months away.
#6 TEASURE GEMS K Pair of seconds from up close to the pace as a 3-year-old.
Race Summary Iglare AM rallied past the other two favorites to win off the layoff at Woodbine-Mohawk two starts ago, then broke stride on a clear lead as the 1-to-9 favorite next out. She is the one to beat if she avoids another mishap. Play 4-2 and 4-6 exactas.

Hoosier Park - Race #5
Picks Notes
#8 SKYLAR Better than victory appears, worth a playback on the class rise.
#5 MAJOR DESIRE Troubled trip two back, decent trey from second tier in follow-up.
#6 GOTHAM HANOVER Paced evenly for third in fast heat, seeks first win of year.
Race Summary Skylar was trapped in third with run, angled off the rail for run in late stretch and surged to win through a :27.2 final quarter. He can repeat in his second start of the season, so play a 5-6-8 exacta box and an 8/5,6/ALL trifecta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Golden Gate Fields - Race #4
Picks Notes
#3 Manila Mischief Made up ground but didn't improve position due to a slow pace in a tough spot last time; has been competitive at this level and can get a better trip here.
#6 Baby Frankie Is a head and a neck away from having won six in a row; goes for his third straight and has shown immense improvement since running for $3,200 at Pleasanton last summer.
#7 Shot of a Lifetime Made a decent run for third last time and will be much closer to the lead this go-round; big player throughout.
Race Summary Manila Mischief didn't have a chance to show late energy vs. a pedestrian pace and still made up a bit of ground; is in good form and can come calling late this time.

Golden Gate Fields - Race #6
Picks Notes
#2 Top Harbor Makes his first start since July, when he won a stakes race at Pleasanton; is 2 of 2 in his career and can get a third.
#4 Lightinthedarkness Also started last at Pleasanton and has had just one start; it was a good one as he pulled away by 7.5 lengths going five furlongs. Clearly can scoot.
#1 Tom's Song Had the same amount of vacation as Top Harbor and finished second to that one last out; on the front end from the outset.
Race Summary Top Harbor dug in toward the end of each of his starts and can fight it out well against a decent group here.

Golden Gate Fields - Race #5
Picks Notes
#2 American Royalty Stepped up in class and responded with a good third; moves over to the turf and can make a run at this distance.
#1 Side Effect Has running front-running speed going long and will be the one to catch.
#5 Mulhima Had a good stalking trip last out and was up in time for the win; can be close-up throughout.
Race Summary American Royalty is a consistent closer and has kept in good form while moving up in class; can be effective with a clean trip.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitchell Newman

Just 24 hours after they won their big showdown at home against the current #1 seed in the West, the Utah Jazz, the current #2 seeded Phoenix Suns head out on the road for a game tonight against the team that sits directly behind them in the # 3 spot in the West standings, the L.A. Clippers.

Rather than select a side for tonight's showdown, I am going to look at the total and say that we land Over the total after these 4 quarters are completed.

The Suns needed overtime to dispatch the Jazz last night and the game did land Over the total. For Phoenix, they have played Over the total now in each of their last 5 games contested.

The L.A. Clippers landed Over the total in their last game on Tuesday night by 20 points while playing Portland and the Over has connected in 5 of their last 9 games overall.

The first meeting between the teams back in January did land Over the total to make it 2 in a row in the series and 4 of the last 6 games overall between the teams Over the total.

I am going to look for another high-scoring affair played between the teams.

Suns-Clippers to land Over the total.

4* PHOENIX-L.A. CLIPPERS OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams

Thursday comp play on the suddenly offensive Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles to land Over the total at Camden Yards in the O's home opener.

Boston lost all 3 at home to open the season against Baltimore with 2 of the 3 games holding Under the total. The last of the 3 did see a combined 14 runs as the teams landed Over the total.

Add that Over to Boston's 3 straight Overs just played at home against Tampa Bay in which they plated 26 runs and we have a 4 game Over run for the BoSox coming into this meeting in Charm City.

Baltimore has played 4 of their 6 games so far this year Under the total, but I will bank on this series opener to see some offense.

The Red Sox have listed Eduardo Rodriguez who missed all of last season due to complications from COVID-19 and he has been sidelined this spring with elbow inflammation, so I am not exactly sure what to expect today from the southpaw?!!?

The Orioles give Matt Harvey the ball for his second start and second against Boston this year already. He allowed 2 runs and 6 hits on April 3rd in his 4-plus innings worked.

I am calling for some runs in this one.

3* BOSTON-BALTIMORE OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

901MIAMI -902 NY METS
MIAMI is 24-8 SU (15.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

903CHICAGO CUBS -904 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 18-4 SU (13.3 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.

903CHICAGO CUBS -904 PITTSBURGH
DEREK SHELTON is 18-4 SU (13.6 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) (Coach of PITTSBURGH)

905ARIZONA -906 COLORADO
COLORADO is 433-540 SU (-161 Units) at home with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1996.

907MILWAUKEE -908 ST LOUIS
MILWAUKEE is 6-20 SU (-17.8 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

909BOSTON -910 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 16-5 SU (10.5 Units) in day games over the last 2 seasons.

911SEATTLE -912 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 9-20 SU (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

913KANSAS CITY -914 CHI WHITE SOX
CHI WHITE SOX is 11-3 SU (9 Units) vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

915LA ANGELS -916 TORONTO
TORONTO is 6-16 SU (-13.1 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better in the last 3 seasons.

917OAKLAND -918 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 27-9 SU (17.1 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, April 8

NL games
Miami (1-5) @ Mets (1-2)
— Marlins haven’t announced a starting pitcher.

— Marlins lost five of first six games.
— This is their road opener.
— under 3-2-1
— scored run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-4

— Walker is making his Mets’ debut here.
— He allowed 7 runs (3 earned) in 3.2 IP, in his one start vs Miami.

— Mets lost two of their first three games.
— This is the Mets home opener.
— Over 3-0
— scored run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1

Cubs (3-3) @ Pittsburgh (1-5)
— Arrieta allowed one run in six IP (84 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 13-6, 2.87 in 24 starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Cubs split their first six games.
— This is Chicago’s road opener.
— Last five games stayed under the total.
— scored run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1

— TAnderson allowed three runs in five IP (91 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-1, 4.32 in four starts vs Chicago.

— Pirates lost five of their first six games- they were outscored 25-5 the last two days.
— This is Pittsburgh’s home opener.
— Under 3-3
— scored run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1

Arizona (2-4) @ Colorado (2-4)
— Kelly allowed three runs in 94 PT in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 7.64 in three starts vs Colorado, 1-1, 7.71 in two starts here.

— Arizona lost four of first six games, all on road.
— Arizona is 2-4 on the road.
— under 4-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4

— Gray allowed one run in five IP (82 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 4-5, 5.34 in 12 starts vs Arizona.

— Colorado lost four of its last five games, all at home.
— Rockies are 2-4 at home.
— over 4-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2

Milwaukee (3-3) @ St Louis (4-2)
— Burnes allowed one run in 6.1 IP (87 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 6.41 in seven games (4 starts) vs St Louis, 1-1, 5.40 in four games (1 start) here.

— Brewers split their first six games.
— Milwaukee won two of its three road games.
— Under 4-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2

— Wainwright allowed six runs in 2.2 IP (56 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 18-11, 2.50 in 44 games (37 starts) vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals won four of first six games.
— This is the St Louis home opener.
— Over 3-2-1
— scored run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1

AL games
Boston (3-3) @ Baltimore (4-2)
— Rodriguez is 9-5, 3.24 in 19 games (17 starts) vs Baltimore, 5-2, 2.60 in nine starts at Camden Yards.

— Boston won its last three games, after an 0-3 start.
— This is Boston’s road opener.
— Last four games went over
— scored run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1

— Harvey allowed two runs in 4.2 IP (86 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-0, 1.69 in two starts vs Boston (10.2 IP).

— Orioles won four of their first six games.
— This is Baltimore’s home opener.
— under 3-3
— scored run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1

Kansas City (3-2) @ White Sox (3-4)
— Keller allowed six runs in 1.1 IP (51 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 4-3, 3.20 in 12 games (9 starts) vs Chicago, 1-2, 5.04 in five starts here.

— Royals won three of their first five games.
— Royals are 1-1 on the road.
— over 2-2-1
— scores run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2

— Lynn allowed two runs in 4.2 IP (99 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 4-2, 4.36 in nine starts vs Kansas City.

— Chicago lost four of its first seven games.
— This is White Sox home opener.
— over/under 4-3 over
— scored run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1-1

Seattle (3-3) @ Minnesota (4-2)
— Gonzales allowed five runs in six IP (99 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed six runs in five IP, in his one start vs Minnesota.

— Seattle split its first six games.
— This is Seattle’s road opener.
— over 4-2
— scored run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4

— Berrios blanked Milwaukee for six IP (84 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 4.02 in five starts vs Seattle.

— Twins won four of their first six games.
— This is Minnesota’s home opener.
— over 3-3
— scores run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1

Angels (4-2) @ Texas (3-3)
— Canning is 0-2, 6.00 in three starts vs Texas; he allowed four runs (1 earned) in 3.2 IP in his one start here LY.

— Angels won four of their first six games.
— This is Angels’ road opener.
— over/under 3-3
— scored run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2

— Stripling allowed three runs in 3.1 IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 3.33 in five games (3 starts) against the Angels.

— Texas split their first six games.
— Texas is 2-1 at home.
— over 3-2-1
— scored run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2

Oakland (1-6) @ Houston (5-1)
— Irvin gave up four runs in 4.1 IP (82 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— That was his only appearance against the Astros.

— A’s lost six of their first seven games.
— This is Oakland’s road opener.
— over 5-2
— scores run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 0-6-1

— Javier allowed two runs in 3.2 IP (73 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-2, 6.94 in three starts vs Oakland.

— Astros won five of their first six games.
— This is Houston’s home opener.
— over 5-1
— scored run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, April 8

Trend Report

Miami @ NY Mets
Miami
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games
NY Mets is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Miami

Chi Cubs @ Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home

Boston @ Baltimore
Boston
Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Boston's last 13 games
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston

Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Arizona

Kansas City @ Chi White Sox
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games on the road
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City

Seattle @ Minnesota
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

Milwaukee @ St. Louis
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

LA Angels @ Toronto
LA Angels
LA Angels is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
LA Angels is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Oakland @ Houston
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

563LA LAKERS -564 MIAMI
LA LAKERS are 26-52 ATS (-31.2 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

565CLEVELAND -566 OKLAHOMA CITY
CLEVELAND is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

567MILWAUKEE -568 DALLAS
MILWAUKEE is 34-19 ATS (13.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

569PHOENIX -570 LA CLIPPERS
PHOENIX is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.

571PORTLAND -572 UTAH
UTAH is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

573DETROIT -574 SACRAMENTO
DETROIT is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after a blowout loss by 15 points or more in the current season.

575CHICAGO -576 TORONTO
CHICAGO is 16-4 ATS (11.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, April 8

LA Lakers @ Miami
Lakers (32-19)
— Lakers won four of their last six games (3-7 ATS in last ten).
— Lakers are 6-9 ATS in their last 15 road games.
— Under is 9-2 in their 11 games overall.

Heat (26-25)
— Miami won/covered four of its last five games.
— Heat is 3-7 ATS in last nine home games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

— Lakers won seven of last ten series games.
— LA covered once in last four visits to South Beach.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

Chicago @ Toronto
Bulls (21-28)
— Chicago lost seven of its last ten games SU.
— Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Raptors (20-31)
— Toronto lost 16 of its last 20 games.
— Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.
— Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

— Toronto won nine of last ten series games.
— Bulls covered two of last three road series games.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Cleveland @ Oklahoma City
Cavaliers (18-32)
— Cleveland lost five of its last six games.
— Cavaliers are 3-6 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Five of last seven Cleveland games stayed under the total.

Thunder (20-31)
— Thunder are 1-7 SU in their last eight games.
— OKC is 3-7 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine home games.

— Thunder won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
— Cavaliers are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to OKC.
— Four of last five series games stayed under.

Milwaukee @ Dallas
Bucks (32-18)
— Milwaukee won three of its last four games.
— Bucks are 3-9 ATS in last 12 road games.
— Over is 10-4 in Milwaukee’s last 14 games.

Mavericks (28-22)
— Mavericks are 10-6 SU since All-Star break.
— Mavericks are 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
— Under is 17-5 in last 22 Dallas games.

— Milwaukee won four of last six series games.
— Bucks are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Dallas.
— Three of last four series games went over the total.

Portland @ Utah
Trailblazers (30-20)
— Portland won five of its last seven games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Blazers are 3-2 ATS in last five road games.
— Over is 5-2 in Portland’s last seven games.

Jazz (38-13)
— Utah lost its last two games, after a 9-0 run.
— Jazz is 9-6 ATS in its last 15 home games.
— Over is 6-4 in Utah’s last ten home games.

— Jazz won three of last four series games.
— Portland is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Utah.
— Four of last five series games went over.

Phoenix @ LA Clippers
Suns (36-14)
— Phoenix won 28 of its last 34 games (23-11 ATS).
— Suns are 2-4 ATS in their last six road games.
— Over is 5-0 in their last five games.

Clippers (34-18)
— Clippers won eight of their last ten games.
— Clippers are 11-4 ATS in last 15 games at Staples.
— Three of Clippers’ last four games stayed under the total.

— Clippers won eight of last ten series games.
— Suns are 1-3 ATS in last four series games played here.
— Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

Detroit @ Sacramento
Pistons (15-36)
— Detroit lost seven of its last ten games
— Pistons are 9-6 ATS since the All-Star break.
— Over is 5-1 in Detroit’s last six games.

Kings (22-29)
— Sacramento lost its last four games.
— Kings are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games.
— Under is 4-2 in Sacramento’s last six home games.

— Kings won four of last five series games.
— Pistons are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Sacramento.
— Five of last six series games stayed under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, April 8

Trend Report

LA Lakers @ Miami
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games
LA Lakers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Chicago @ Toronto
Chicago
Chicago is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Toronto is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Chicago

Cleveland @ Oklahoma City
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 11 games at home

Milwaukee @ Dallas
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Milwaukee is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home

Phoenix @ LA Clippers
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Phoenix
LA Clippers is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Portland @ Utah
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

Detroit @ Sacramento
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Detroit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

11FLORIDA -12 CAROLINA
CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (6.7 Units) against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the current season.

13TAMPA BAY -14 COLUMBUS
COLUMBUS are 4-10 ATS (-7 Units) in home games off an home win scoring 4 or more goals in the last 3 seasons.

15WINNIPEG -16 MONTREAL
MONTREAL is 12-16 ATS (-12.5 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

17PITTSBURGH -18 NY RANGERS
PITTSBURGH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

19BOSTON -20 WASHINGTON
BOSTON is 229-216 ATS (48.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game since 1996.

21PHILADELPHIA -22 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the current season.

23NEW JERSEY -24 BUFFALO
NEW JERSEY is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in road games off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

25NASHVILLE -26 DETROIT
NASHVILLE is 11-1 ATS (11 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the current season.

27DALLAS -28 CHICAGO
DALLAS are 5-20 ATS (-18.4 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

29NEW JERSEY -30 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Thursday, April 8

Trend Report

New Jersey @ Buffalo
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
New Jersey is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey

Florida @ Carolina
Florida
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Florida is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Carolina
Carolina is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Florida
Carolina is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Florida

Philadelphia @ NY Islanders
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 11 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
NY Islanders is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games

Pittsburgh @ NY Rangers
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Pittsburgh's last 22 games when playing NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games at home

Boston @ Washington
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 15 games
Washington
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Washington is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Boston

Tampa Bay @ Columbus
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Tampa Bay's last 23 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Winnipeg @ Montreal
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

Edmonton @ Ottawa
Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games

Nashville @ Detroit
Nashville
Nashville is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Dallas @ Chicago
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 20 of Dallas's last 25 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas's last 13 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park



Remington Park - Race 4

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum)/ Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) (.50 Cent Minimum)



Claiming $6,250 • 400 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 7:18P


QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * KB TENNESSEE SENATOR: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. WHAT SAY U: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. AUGUSTUS: Horse ranks in th e top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. WAVE MY BOOTY BYEBYE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. DUSTYS MIGHTY JOE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation.



2

KB TENNESSEE SENATOR

9/2


6/1




8

WHAT SAY U

7/2


6/1




4

AUGUSTUS

3/1


7/1




3

WAVE MY BOOTY BYEBYE

6/1


8/1




6

DUSTYS MIGHTY JOE

10/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

THIS JEWELS FLYIN

1


8/1

Average

66


65


4.3


0.0


0.0




2

KB TENNESSEE SENATOR

2


9/2

Average

78


71


4.6


0.0


0.0




3

WAVE MY BOOTY BYEBYE

3


6/1

Average

71


67


4.9


0.0


0.0




4

AUGUSTUS

4


3/1

Average

77


68


5.0


0.0


0.0




5

ANNA TAMBIEN

5


6/1

Average

61


60


4.9


0.0


0.0




6

DUSTYS MIGHTY JOE

6


10/1

Fast

73


66


3.0


0.0


0.0




7

FEATURE CANDY

7


12/1

Fast

64


59


1.1


0.0


0.0




8

WHAT SAY U

8


7/2

Average

73


71


4.6


0.0


0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs



Delta Downs - Race 4

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Superfecta (.10 min.) Daily Double (Races 4-5)($1 min.)/ Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)



Claiming $20,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 85 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 2:16P


FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 8 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 (CONDITION ELIGIBILITY PREFERRED). LOUISIANA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * BEST LITTLE MAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the t op three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CROQUE MONSIEUR (GB): Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. DANCE KINGDOM: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.



8

BEST LITTLE MAN

3/1


5/1




4

CROQUE MONSIEUR (GB)

10/1


5/1




2

DANCE KINGDOM

15/1


6/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

CROQUE MONSIEUR (GB)

4


10/1

Front-runner

90


89


74.9


49.3


38.3




2

DANCE KINGDOM

2


15/1

Alternator/Front-runner

84


76


61.8


72.8


65.3




9

KURTS RAIDER

9


15/1

Stalker

78


71


50.3


66.0


50.5




8

BEST LITTLE MAN

8


3/1

Stalker

87


84


41.8


77.8


72.3




6

BRITTS A CLOSER

6


9/5

Alternator/Stalker

81


87


57.8


62.2


56.2




7

MUFFIN NUTS

7


9/2

Trailer

82


71


43.1


67.5


54.5




5

MUSCADINE

5


20/1

Trailer

80


71


40.0


67.6


59.1




1

FREDONIAN

1


9/2

Trailer

86


79


30.1


73.5


66.0




3

HEZA PRIORITY

3


20/1

Alternator/Trailer

79


72


38.0


72.0


60.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $45000 Class Rating: 97

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 127 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 1, 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 OBSESSED 3/5




# 4 JERUSALEM GATES 5/2




# 6 DANGEROUS EDGE 5/1




I give my vote to OBSESSED here. Is tough not to examine based on speed figures which have been very strong - 87 avg - of late. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Pletcher running at this distance are the top in this group of horses. In this field, this horse is at the top in earnings per start in dirt route events. JERUSALEM GATES - Ought to come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved speedily to the lead recently. With a sound 82 average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. DANGEROUS EDGE - Must be considered based on the very strong Equibase Speed Fig garnered in the last race. His 79 average has this gelding with among the best Equibase Speed Figures for this event.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Oaklawn Park - Race #1 - Post: 1:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 58

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#10 MOONSHINE MOMENT (ML=8/1)
#5 LOU'S ARROW (ML=8/1)


MOONSHINE MOMENT - Rode this horse on Mar 25th and Arrieta is back again in the irons today. I like to see fast morning drills. This gelding's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. Ranked number 1 in earnings per race. Another notice that this horse is classy. LOU'S ARROW - This gelding has higher odds on the morning line than the other entrant from the stable of Martin. Better beware of this angle. The rider and handler combination have a favorable ROI when they team up. Cabrera was aboard this gelding last time around the track and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. Trainer Martin moves this animal down in class ranks to face a lower class of horses. Look for a strong effort at this level. Ran a less than stellar race at Oaklawn Park last time out. Racing under better track conditions puts this gelding at the top of my contenders list.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 RISKY SITUATION (ML=3/1), #11 STORM CLASSIC (ML=4/1), #6 KAT'S HITMAN (ML=9/2),

RISKY SITUATION - This horse doesn't have a champion's temperament. Quite often finishes close, but no cigar. STORM CLASSIC - This gelding hasn't had any recent accomplishments in sprint contests. Tough to bet on him in this event. Finished tenth on March 19th after the very long layoff. Doubtful if there will be any change in this affair. KAT'S HITMAN - Improbable that the rating he earned on March 28th will be good enough in this clash.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MOONSHINE MOMENT - The race on March 25th had a class rating of 66 while today's class rating is 58. I got to bet this one on such a big drop.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #10 MOONSHINE MOMENT to win. Have to have odds of at least 2/1 or better though



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [5,10]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland



04/08/21, KEE, Race 4, 2.45 ET
04/08/21,KEE,4,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:15:00 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $20,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2020 - 2021 OR CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races Since February 8 Allowed 3 lbs. A Race Since Then Allowed 5 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000 (Races Where Entered For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Flags
Occurs
WPC
ROI


100.0000
4
Miss Pinkerton(b-)
7/2
Saez L
King Barry L.
TL
165
36.97
1.44/$1


096.1962
8
Radiantrithym
5/2
Gaffalione T
Danner Douglas W.
SE
165
36.97
1.44/$1


095.9866
3
Trickizar
3/1
Gonzalez S
Hernandez Rey
FWC
165
36.97
1.44/$1


094.9632
5
My Dark Secret
10/1
Lanerie C J
Foster Eric N.


165
36.97
1.44/$1


093.8521
7
Isabelle's Joy
10/1
Beschizza A
Williamson Brian


165
36.97
1.44/$1


093.5909
2
Parking Ticket
15/1
Mena M
Aubrey J. Kevin


165
36.97
1.44/$1


093.0207
1
Diva Banker
7/2
Rosario J
Handal Raymond
J
165
36.97
1.44/$1


092.0286
6
Patti Patti Patti
15/1
Jimenez A
Kelly Blake


165
36.97
1.44/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 20.00, ROI 0.47/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -3.8038
[Category]Condition
[AllDirt]ActualPostNotGreaterThan9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Gulfstream Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:33pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 79

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#1 TREVESS (ML=9/2)


TREVESS - This racer could be tough in this race, especially since Vasquez rode last time around the track and now should be better acquainted with this one. When Vasquez and Collins are put together on horses the ROI has been wonderful at +603. Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. Faced tougher last time out at Gulfstream Park. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker group, so I will put this horse on my list of contenders in this race. I think the shorter trip will help this filly stay the trip.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 LET'S BE HONEST (ML=9/5), #5 MARKISTAN (ML=2/1), #2 WEDONTBELIEVEHER (ML=4/1),

LET'S BE HONEST - This equine hasn't been hitting the board in either of her last two outings. MARKISTAN - Where is the speed? None to be found in here to set things up for this horse. This filly hasn't had any positive results in sprint races in the last 60 days. WEDONTBELIEVEHER - Should have at least finished in the money in the last sixty days in a short distance race to be any kind of value at minimal odds in a sprint. Finished seventh in her most recent effort with a mediocre speed fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#1 TREVESS is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Skip



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Apr 08 '21, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Penguins vs Rangers
Play on: OVER 6 -110

Free Total Annihilator On Penguins vs Rangers over 6 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Apr 08 '21, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Devils vs Sabres
Play on: Sabres +123 at Draft Kings

Free Pick on Sabres

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Apr 08 '21, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Bruins vs Capitals
Play on: UNDER 5½ +106

1 Dimer on Bruins vs Capitals under 5½ +106

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Apr 08 '21, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Jets vs Canadiens
Play on: Jets +108 at Draft Kings

Free Play on Jets +108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Fargo Apr 08 '21, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Penguins vs Rangers
Play on: Penguins +106 at linepros

Pittsburgh has lost two straight games following a five-game winning streak and the Penguins are now four points out of first place in the NHL East Division. They have allowed 15 goals over those two games but the Penguins are 4-1 in their last five games following a loss of 3 or more goals. New York has won three of its last four games which includes an 8-4 over Pittsburgh on Tuesday. The Rangers are 3-7 in their last 10 games after scoring five goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams against the money line off two consecutive losses against division rivals, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 33-8 (80.5 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (17) Pittsburgh Penguins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Apr 08 '21, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Flyers vs Islanders
Play on: Islanders -165 at Mirage

1* Free Pick on Islanders -165

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard Apr 08 '21, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Devils vs Sabres
Play on: Sabres +116 at pinnacle

23 New Jersey at Buffalo
In 5x5 G+-/60 the Devils rank 18th and the Sabres 30th. In xG/60 New Jersey is -0.05 and the Sabres -0.43. A sizable differential for the road squad.
On the Power Play in G+-/60 the Devils rank 30th and the Sabres 13th. In xG/60 we find New Jersey +4.25 and Buffalo +5.44. I nice edge for the host.
Playing Short Handed in G+-/60the Devils rank 29th and the Sabres 14th. In xG/60 we see New Jersey at -7.49 and the Sabres -6.71. Another edge for the host.
While New Jersey is playing with next game revenge, the Sabres in actual goals and expected goals are the better team. Give us the host to sweep this quick two games series.
PLAY BUFFALO

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Cole Faxon Apr 08 '21, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Penguins vs Rangers
Play on: OVER 6 -110

FREE PLAY on Penguins/Rangers over 6 -110

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Ben Burns Apr 08 '21, 7:40 PM in 2h
NBA | Lakers vs Heat
Play on: Heat -8 -109 at pinnacle

The Heat eked out a win, at LA, when these teams met in February. Playing at home, they should blow out the Lakers tonight. They're relatively healthy while the defending champs are without their big guns. The Heat know they play their next four on the road. Off a loss last time out, they can't afford to squander tonight's opportunity. With the Lakers just 6-13-1 ATS against teams from the Eastern Conference and 3-7 ATS as underdogs, consider laying the points.

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Mike Lundin Apr 08 '21, 7:40 PM in 2h
NBA | Lakers vs Heat
Play on: UNDER 204½ -112

Mike Lundin's Lakers vs Heat Free Pick April 8, 2021
The Los Angeles Lakers have managed to pick some wins lately, despite missing Lebron James and Anthony Davis. The Lakers have won four of their last six, thanks to strong efforts on the defensive end. Through that six-game stretch, the Lakers have limited their opponents to 86, 93, 112, 94, 104 and 101 points. All but one of those games went under the total. The Miami Heat have the No. 4 scoring defense in the league, holding opponents to 107.4 points per game.
Under is 21-6 in Lakers last 27 road games. Under is 9-4 in Heat last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Free pick on UNDER.

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Sean Murphy Apr 08 '21, 8:08 PM in 2h
NHL | Stars vs Blackhawks
Play on: UNDER 5½ -113

Thursday NHL Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Thursday.
The first matchup in this two-game set snuck 'over' the total thanks to three period goals on Tuesday night. I'm anticipating a lower-scoring affair on Thursday night, however. Note that the Stars have been a low-scoring team on the road this season, averaging just 2.4 goals per game. While the Blackhawks have been known for their offense over the years, they check in allowing a respectable 2.8 goals per game on home ice this season. The 'under' has gone 17-6 with the Stars coming off a road loss against a division opponent over the last three seasons, with those games averaging a total of just 4.4 goals. Meanwhile, Chicago checks in having posted a 4-11 o/u record after losing four or five of its last six games this season, with those contests totaling an average of just 5.0 goals. It's also worth noting that the 'under' has cashed at a 12-4 clip with the Stars playing on the road revenging a road loss by two goals or more over the last two seasons, with those games totaling just 4.5 goals on average. Both teams will travel following this one, with Dallas returning home to host the Panthers on Saturday and Chicago heading to Columbus for a two-game set beginning on Saturday. Take the under (8*).

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Jack Jones Apr 08 '21, 8:10 PM in 2h
MLB | A's vs Astros
Play on: A's +136 at BetCris

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Oakland A's +136
I like the value we are getting on the Oakland A's after a disastrous 1-6 start to the season. It's time to 'buy low' on the A's as they will be highly motivated for a victory in Game 1 of this series with the Houston Astros after getting swept by them in four games to start the season.
The A's were favored in three of those four games against the Astros, and now they are big +136 underdogs in Game 1 of this series. That just goes to show the kind of line value we are getting on them based off of one week of action.
It's a good time to 'sell high' on the Astros after opening 5-1 this season. Christian Javier is getting too much respect here. He has never beaten the A's, going 0-2 with a 6.94 ERA in three career starts against them, allowing 9 earned runs and 4 HR's in 11 2/3 innings. He gave up 2 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings in his first start against them this season. Bet the A's Thursday.

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Jeff Alexander Apr 08 '21, 9:10 PM in 3h
NBA | Bucks vs Mavs
Play on: Mavs PK -110 at linepros

1* NBA - Bucks/Mavs *FREE PICK* on Mavericks Pick'em
Thursday's Free NBA Pick is on the Dallas Mavericks as a pick'em at home against the Milwaukee Bucks. I know the Mavs just lost outright as a double-digit favorite at Houston last night, but I believe a lot of that showing was a result of Dallas looking ahead to this game against the Bucks. I expect to see the same team that won and covered their previous 5 before laying an egg against Houston. As for Milwaukee, they figure to have a harder time bouncing back from a loss in their last game. Bucks lost a heartbreaker 121-122 at Golden State on Tuesday. This will also be Milwaukee's 6th and final game of a 6-game road trip. Bet the Mavs PK!

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Mike Williams Apr 08 '21, 10:10 PM in 4h
NBA | Pistons vs Kings
Play on: Kings -7 -105 at pinnacle

1* on Kings -7 -105

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Rocky Atkinson Apr 08 '21, 10:10 PM in 4h
NBA | Suns vs Clippers
Play on: Clippers -6 -107 at Draft Kings

17-2 89% last 19 free plays!
Phoenix @ LA Clippers (10:10 PM EST)
Play On: LA Clippers -6
The Phoenix Suns travel to Los Angeles to take on the Clippers on Thursday night. Phoenix is 36-14 SU overall this year while the LA Clippers come in with a 34-18 SU overall record on the season. Phoenix is 0-4 ATS last 4 games after an ATS win. LA Clippers are 6-1 ATS last 7 games after an ATS win. LA Clippers are 6-1 ATS last 7 games after a SU win. LA Clippers are 6-1 ATS last 7 games against a team with a winning record. LA Clippers are 8-2 ATS last 10 games at home. LA Clippers are 7-2 ATS last 9 games as a favorite. Phoenix is 3-10 ATS last 13 meetings overall in this series. LA Clippers are 8-1 ATS last 9 meetings at home vs Phoenix. We'll recommend a small play on the LA Clippers tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Ricky Tran Apr 08 '21, 10:10 PM in 4h
NBA | Suns vs Clippers
Play on: Clippers -5 -102 at pinnacle

Ricky's 1* play on the Clippers.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- The Suns are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
- The Suns are 1-8 ATS in the last nine meetings in Los Angeles.
- The Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win.
Verdict: The Suns could suffer a let down here on back to back nights off an OT win.

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John Martin Apr 08 '21, 10:10 PM in 4h
NBA | Pistons vs Kings
Play on: Kings -7 -115 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Sacramento Kings -7
The Sacramento Kings will be looking for a win tonight after dropping four straight games coming in. They had won five straight prior to this skid. Now they've had the last two days off and should be fresh and ready to take down the Detroit Pistons, who will be playing their 9th game in 14 days and their 3rd road game in 4 days. Now the Pistons will be without their best player in Jerami Grant, who averages 22.5 points per game and is in the running for the Most Improved Player award. They don't have enough talent to hang with Sacramento without him. Give me the Kings.

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Mike Wynn Free Pick: Kansas City/Chicago Wsox Over 9 Runs

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Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, THURSDAY APRIL 8, 2021

4/08 04:40 PM PT / 7:40 PM ET

NBA (575) CHICAGO BULLS VS (576) TORONTO RAPTORS

Take: UNDER

Reason: The Chicago Bulls look to extend their win streak to three games here tonight against the Raptors. The Bulls are coming off a win over the Pacers, 113-97. They have also covered four straight games and are 18-6 ATS their last 24 road games. The Toronto Raptors are the only team in the NBA that can't play at home. Their home games are played in Florida. The Raptors have lost five of their last seven and 14 of their last 17 games. The Bulls have been a good under team of late, with their last six going under when a road favorite. They are also 1-6 O/U their last seven on one day rest. Six of the last eight in this series have also gone under. Your free play is on the UNDER.

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Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: PORTLAND/UTAH UNDER the total of 231

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Totals4U Thursday's Free Selection: Seattle Mariners/Minnesota Twins over 8

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Roz Wins ROZ Selections Wednesday, April 7, 2021

FREE PLAY
NBA
566. Thunder +3.5 (5:10 PT / 8:10 ET)

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Atlantic Sports
Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Dallas Stars - 115

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#1 Sports Thursday's Free Play: Chicago White Sox - 160

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Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: the Boston Red Sox w/Rodriguez -155 over Baltimore

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Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play THURSDAY, April 8, 2021

FREE NBA

570. Clippers -5.5 (7:10 PT / 10:10 ET)

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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Thursday Selection Is
CHICAGO -3½

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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Thursday : Take ARIZONA/COLORADO UNDER the total of 11½

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Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Thursday
Phoenix +5

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Hawkeye Sports Thursday's Free Pick: New York Islanders - 160

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Huddle Up Sports
Thursday Free Play
Sacramento -5

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Arthur Ralph THURS UNDER Total Thunder/Cavs 212 1/2

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The Last Call Thursday's Free Play: Sacramento Kings - 7 1/2

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Teyas Sports FREE PICK 4/8 MLB MINNESOTA UNDER 8

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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Thursday: KANSAS CITY/CHICAGO WHITE SOX OVER the total of 8½

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High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Thursday: Chicago White Sox - 160

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Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Thursday: LA Lakers/Miami OVER 204½

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John Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Thursday:
Detroit/Sacramento OVER the total of 227½

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Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Thursday:
Boston (Rodriguez) -160

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Hollywood Anthony Your Free Thursday Play from Hollywood Anthony
NBA Portland +7