Thursday 4/22/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

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College Basketball
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NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nick Borrman Event: Zurich Classic Outright Winner
Sport/League: GLF
Date/Time: April 22, 2021 11AM EDT
Play: Brendon Todd + Chris Kirk to win Zurich Classic (+2500)
Zurich Classic
This week the Zurich Classic is a fun team event with two rounds of foursomes and two rounds of fourballs, also known as better ball and alternate shot.
The duo of Chris Kirk and Brendon Todd really strikes my fancy this week as these two compliment each other very well.
Chris Kirk is a lights out ball striker. Not a lof of people have heard of him but he ranks #19 on Tour in Strokes Gained Tee to Green and has the 13th best scoring average this season. I took him last week at 65-1 and he was close finishing T7, his fourth Top 10 already this season.
Brendon Todd is an elite putter and currently ranks #3 on Tour putting. He also leads the Tour in driving accuracy this year hitting over 73.6% of fairways. This format is all about birdies and putting is obviously extremely important.
These two may not put up the most birdies during the better ball rounds but the key to this event is playing well during alternate shot and tell me how this combo sounds.
Brendon Todd, #1 on Tour in driving accuracy to Chris Kirk ranking #32 on Tour in SG Approach, back to Todd with his putter ranking #3. That’s a very solid alternate shot team and the big reason I like their chances this week.
TAKE BRENDON TODD + CHRIS KIRK +2500

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan Event: (201321) Atalanta at (201322) AS Roma
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: April 22, 2021 12PM EDT
Play: Atalanta & Under 3.5 (+220)
We like the Atalanta & Under 3.5 goals prop at +220 today over in Serie A.
Atalanta have won five straight games, incl. all three of their most recent H2H's against Roma as well as the ‘Giallorossi’ face a huge Europa League semi-final clash against Manchester United next week. This is a great opportunity for Atalanta to solidify themselves in a Champions League spot for next season with a win here tonight against a struggling Roma side.
Atalanta's defense has also been on point of late, registering the league's 2nd best goals allowed since March 1st and the league's best expected goals against at just 4.99 xga over that stretch.
Take Atalanta & Under 3.5 (Atalanta to win the game combined with the Under 3.5 goals) at a +220 to get to the window on Thursday.
PLAY: ATALANTA & UNDER 3.5 +220

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Cris Event: (9) Washington Capitals at (10) New York Islanders
Sport/League: NHL
Date/Time: April 22, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Total Over 5.5 (-110)
(Free Plays 51-21 71%* *31-10 76% L41) Tough puck luck loss yesterday on Buffalo +1.5, lots of close calls. I'm going to a Thursday game. Washington has played 11 of 14 games over, including the L/7. Islanders finally broke out of their scoring slump, and these teams did play an 8-4 game a few weeks ago. I would think that the B2B of this series offers value in considering the opposite total and side of this Thursday result. Islanders Over 5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Prez Event: (903) New York Mets at (904) Chicago Cubs
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: April 22, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: New York Mets -130 J Lucchesi (LHP), T Williams (RHP) Must Start

903 New York Mets at 904 Chicago Cubs +115, 9
As imposing as Jake deGrom is with his 99+ mph average fastball, perhaps no one else in the game takes more hard-luck losses. He is just 26-20 over the last four seasons despite a 2.03 ERA. However, the New York coaching staff has decided to give deGrom an extra day before his next start. As a result, Joey Lucchesi will take the bump for the final game of the Mets at Cubs series.
Southpaw Lucchesi will pitch on four days of rest after not making his first start of the season until this past Saturday. The Mets' coaching staff are confident in Lucchesi on short rest due to the low pitch count (55) in his last start.
Trevor Williams had been a Pirate for five seasons before the move from Pittsburgh to Chicago this year. Williams owns a 5.02 ERA in three starts, covering 14.1 innings pitched. He’s allowed 16 hits and walked seven for a WHIP of 1.60. Williams' career numbers that include a 4.44 ERA and a WHIP of 1.34 are in line with who he has been. The Thursday Free Pick is a play on the Mets and lefthander Lucchesi.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oskeim Sports Event: (913) Los Angeles Angels at (914) Houston Astros
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: April 22, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Houston Astros -121 A Cobb (RHP), C Javier (RHP) Must Start
Houston right-hander Cristian Javier is the organization's No. 2 prospect and had a solid major league debut in 2020, posting a 3.48 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and a 3.02 xERA in twelve appearances (ten starts). In two starts this season, the 24-year-old has posted a 2.08 ERA, 3.16 ERA, and a 1.59 FIP across 8.2 innings of work. Javier's strikeouts are up (11.42 K/9), his walks are down (2.08 BB/9) and, most importantly, he has avoided the long ball (0.0 HR/9), which plagued him last season (1.82 HR/9).
Los Angeles starter Alex Cobb is undervalued in the betting market due to his 4.63 ERA this season, but he has performed significantly better than his surface statistics indicate. The 33-year-old owns a 2.06 FIP and 1.68 xFIP across 11.2 innings this season. The veteran right-hander has been hampered by negative variance (.393 BABIP, 66.2% LOB%) which will regress moving forward,
With that said, Cobb has struggled against the Astros, toeing the rubber with a 7.63 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in three career starts. He is backed by a Los Angeles bullpen that has really struggled away from home in 2021, posting a 5.24 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 22.3 innings (20/11 K/9). Los Angeles relievers are ranked 21st in the league in K/9 rate (9.28) and 17th in ERA (4.36).
From a technical standpoint, Los Angeles is a money-burning 16-39 in its last 55 games versus a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or less, 10-27 in its last 37 games with a total between 9.0 and 10.5 runs, and 18-37 in its previous 55 trips to Houston. The Astros are a profitable 61-24 in game 1 of a series, 59-27 as home favorites, and 106-52 art home versus right-handed starters.
Since October 1, 2015, the Angels are 0-11 as road underdogs following an upset loss as favorites in which they blew a lead. Finally, the Astros are 15-1 since June 5, 2009 in game 1 of a series at home without rest entering off an upset loss as favorites in which they never held a lead. Take Houston as Oskeim Sports' Free Pick Winner for Thursday, April 22.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Carmine Bianco Event: (27) Ottawa Senators at (28) Vancouver Canucks
Sport/League: NHL
Date/Time: April 22, 2021 10PM EDT
Play: Vancouver Canucks -145
NHL - Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks
Quick Synopsis: The Canucks returned from a 25 day covid break and swiftly knocked off the North division leaders Toronto in back to back games now will focus on a very condensed schedule to get back into the race for the 4th and final playoff spot. They'll welcome the Ottawa Senators on Thursday and are 5-0 this season vs the Sens including 3-0 at home by score lines of 7-1, 5-1, 4-1. They can afford very few hiccups the rest of the way the price is attractive and low enough here to make this a play.
The Free Play is Vancouver Canucks -145

[rocky57]

Goodfella (NBA) - Charlotte Hornets

[rocky57]

Dave Essler (NBA) - Charlotte Hornets

[rocky57]

Stephen Nover (MLB) - Chicago Cubs

[rocky57]

Spartan (NHL) - Winnipeg Jets

[rocky57]

JR O'Donnell (NHL) - Columbus Blue Jackets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 5

Pick 3 (5-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Quinella / Superfecta / Daily Double 5-6



Claiming $14,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 68 • Purse: $7,500 • Post: 4:30P


FOR NATIVE FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 7, 2021 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 22, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 22 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $14,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. PLATINO is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BOLD MASTER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PLATINO: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. EL PROFESOR: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth st art after a layoff.



10

BOLD MASTER

8/5


9/2




11

PLATINO

5/2


5/1




6

EL PROFESOR

10/1


8/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




11

PLATINO

11


5/2

Front-runner

69


61


84.2


63.4


53.4




2

GALOPA PITO GALOPA

2


10/1

Front-runner

69


65


80.4


39.8


26.8




10

BOLD MASTER

10


8/5

Front-runner

78


60


78.8


60.6


54.6




5

CARBONERO

5


4/1

Front-runner

67


51


76.6


49.8


38.3




6

EL PROFESOR

6


10/1

Front-runner

67


61


73.0


59.0


43.5




4

AFY X.

4


2/1

Stalker

66


63


57.2


54.4


43.4




1

EL AVENTURERO

1


5/1

Alternator/Stalker

66


62


45.8


58.6


52.6




9

LINTERNA VERDE

9


3/1

Trailer

67


65


31.0


61.2


54.7




3

TEN CON TEN

3


10/1

Trailer

63


58


21.4


44.4


25.9




7

DONQUEO

7


7/2

Alternator/Non-contender

58


51


45.6


47.0


27.5




8

SR. EMMANUELLI

8


9/2

Alternator/Non-contender

73


58


36.5


53.8


41.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Oaklawn Park



Oaklawn Park - Race 4

Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)



Starter Allowance $8,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 2:33P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS IN 2020 - 2021 AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE DECEMBER 22, 2020. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 22, 2020 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 22, 2020 ALLOWED 6 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY AND ALLOWANCES).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. JETS A GINNIN is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * JETS A GINNIN: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.



3

JETS A GINNIN

9/5


9/5
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




3

JETS A GINNIN

3


9/5

Front-runner

90


91


97.4


86.2


82.2




5

SWEET TATUM

5


4/1

Alternator/Front-runner

85


79


76.2


68.4


62.9




4

OUR MUSICAL MOMENT

4


8/1

Stalker

80


83


62.6


75.0


69.0




2

LAY M OUT

2


3/1

Trailer

92


78


47.0


77.8


70.8




7

HUSH Y'ALL

7


9/2

Trailer

76


59


36.2


67.2


55.2




6

ENTRUSTED

6


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

78


69


72.6


60.4


46.9




1

WAR BALLAD

1


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

77


78


55.8


70.8


63.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $17100 Class Rating: 70

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 7 FEISTI 6/1




# 6 SYMS DANDY TLC 15/1




# 3 TIP OFMY TONGUE 3/1




I've got to go with FEISTI. Based on past performances, propositions on the progeny of this sire would be considered strong. Don't overlook this animal as the trainer has produced very good profits with 1st time starters. She could prove much the best if bloodlines hold true. SYMS DANDY TLC - Respectable dividends have been scored by players following this sire's offspring in their first tries. TIP OFMY TONGUE - His 68 average has this gelding with among the top Speed Figures in this event. Should go to the front end and should never look back. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Arrossa have shown solid results recently.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Gulfstream Park - Race #9 - Post: 5:23pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 CHIPS AND SALSA (ML=4/1)
#8 KAREN'S WAY (ML=5/1)
#11 BAHAMIAN BEAUTY (ML=15/1)
#6 T. WALTZ (ML=7/2)


CHIPS AND SALSA - You'll be making money left and right by turning your gambling cash onto this rider/conditioner combination. Faced tougher in the last race at Gulfstream Park. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker field, so I will put this animal on my list of contenders in this race. KAREN'S WAY - Have to give this filly a good chance. Ran a good race last out within the last month. Horse has improved at least 2 Equibase speed figure points in last two races. I look for that trend to continue in this race. BAHAMIAN BEAUTY - You'll be generating money left and right by turning your racing money onto this rider/trainer combination. It looks like Lebron had to know this filly on April 4th when riding her for the initial time. Back on board again today. I look for an improvement right here in this race with the addition of Lasix for the second time. I like to bet on this handicapping theory, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp race within the last month. T. WALTZ - Taking a big drop in class figure points from her March 25th race at Gulfstream Park. Based on that data point, I will give this horse the edge.

Vulnerable Contenders: #14 BAHAMIAN RHAPSODY (ML=3/1), #16 PRETZEL (ML=7/2), #13 EXAGGERATED MOMENT (ML=4/1),

BAHAMIAN RHAPSODY - Would have to get quite a bit more than the M/L odds of 3/1 to wager on this horse. PRETZEL - Difficult to keep following this sort of 'hanger' horse. EXAGGERATED MOMENT - In any race of 5 furlongs, I like to play a contender that has been looking good in short distance contests recently.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #5 CHIPS AND SALSA to win if we can get at least 7/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

5 with [6,8,11]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

5 with [6,8,11] with [6,8,11] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

5 with [6,8,11] with [6,8,11] with [6,8,11] Total Cost: $6



SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:

[5,8] with [5,6,8,11] with [5,6,8,11] with [5,6,8,11,13,16] with [5,6,8,11,13,16] Total Cost: $72

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belmont Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 10.0f on the Turf. Purse: $90000 Class Rating: 87

INNER TURF FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 COMMUNITY ADJUSTED 4/1




# 8 CEANT 5/1




# 2 COALITION BUILDING 2/1




COMMUNITY ADJUSTED is my choice. Bettors should probably note that this pony runs with second time Lasix today. Could beat this group of animals given the 86 speed figure put up in her last outing. Is hard not to consider based on speed figures which have been decent - 80 avg - of late. CEANT - Ought to be considered - I like the numbers from the last affair. Has a solid shot for this race if you like back class. COALITION BUILDING - Boasts strong speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this field. The speed rating of 84 from her most recent affair looks very good in here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Turf Paradise - Race #4 - Post: 2:59pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,000 Class Rating: 59

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 ROUGE SUNSET (ML=5/1)


ROUGE SUNSET - A horse coming back this promptly after a nice outing is a good sign. Faced tougher in the last race at Turf Paradise. Based on Equibase class figures, this is a weaker group, so I will put this horse on my list of top contenders. Look for this one to go all the way to the winner's circle at some pretty good odds in today's race. Ran fourth in last race, but not more than 5 from the lead at the finish line. A repeat of that last performance on April 1st where he registered a speed rating of 56 looks high enough to score in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 CASEY'S DADDY (ML=2/1), #6 RENEGADE CHIEF (ML=5/2), #1 UNCONSCIOUS POWER (ML=6/1),

CASEY'S DADDY - Would have to get more than the oddsmaker's morning line of 2/1 to wager on this horse. RENEGADE CHIEF - 5/2 is not offering enough value for any horse in a sprint of 5 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a sprint race of late. This horse hasn't shown much life in the last couple contests. UNCONSCIOUS POWER - A bit of a less than stellar try when this gelding finished sixth. This gelding registered a fig in his last race which likely isn't good enough in today's race.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#2 ROUGE SUNSET to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

2 with 8



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



04/22/21, GP, Race 3, 2.07 ET
04/22/21,GP,3,6F [Dirt] 1:08:01 CLAIMING. Purse $17,000 (includes up to $2,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $6,250.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Best
Occurs
Win%
ROI


100.0000
3
Captured by Fate
3/1
Zayas E J
Dobles Elizabeth L.
SFEL
57
43.86
1.26/$1


097.6120
5
Emit
7/2
Vasquez M A
Pita Daniel
C
390
30.00
0.82/$1


096.7708
7
This Dudes No Fool
4/1
Arroyo A S
David Carlos A.
T
390
30.00
0.82/$1


095.9352
6
Took a Cab
9/2
Lopez P
Braddy J. David
J
138
36.96
1.32/$1


095.3218
2
Bach
6/1
Reyes L
Sanchez Amador Merei
W
138
36.96
1.32/$1


094.6310
4
The Spider
15/1
Diaz R
Danner Kelsey


390
30.00
0.82/$1


093.5196
8
Heavenly Blessing
6/1
Meneses M
Perez Carlos Luis


390
30.00
0.82/$1


092.7977
1
Crazy Shot
15/1
Morelos J E
Gaffney Emmy


138
36.96
1.32/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 28.81, ROI 0.87/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -2.3880
[Category]Condition
[AllCategories]*LastRaceWasOddsOnFavorite(notent)WithLessThan10Ho rses
*Scratches may change this condition

[Can'tPickAWinner]

553NEW ORLEANS -554 ORLANDO
NEW ORLEANS are 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) in road games off a home loss in the last 3 seasons.

555PHOENIX -556 BOSTON
BOSTON is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

557PHILADELPHIA -558 MILWAUKEE
PHILADELPHIA is 38-21 ATS (14.9 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

559DETROIT -560 SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

561CHARLOTTE -562 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the current season.

563LA LAKERS -564 DALLAS
LA LAKERS are 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, April 22

Trend Report

Phoenix @ Boston
Phoenix
Phoenix is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Boston
Phoenix is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

New Orleans @ Orlando
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New Orleans's last 14 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans

Philadelphia @ Milwaukee
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games at home
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Detroit @ San Antonio
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
San Antonio is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Detroit

Charlotte @ Chicago
Charlotte
Charlotte is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Chicago's last 14 games when playing Charlotte

LA Lakers @ Dallas
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
LA Lakers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Dallas's last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, April 22

Phoenix @ Boston
Suns (42-16)
— Phoenix won 34 of its last 42 games (5-6-1 ATS last 12).
— Suns are 3-5-1 ATS in their last nine road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Over is 10-3 in their last 13 games.

Celtics (31-27)
— Boston won six of its last seven games.
— Celtics are 5-8 ATS in their last 13 home games.
— Under is 9-4 in their last 13 games

— Phoenix won three of last four series games.
— Suns covered their last four visits to Boston.
— Under is 3-1 in last four series games.

New Orleans @ Orlando
Pelicans (25-33)
— New Orleans lost its last four games, two in OT.
— Pelicans are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.
— Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

Magic (18-40)
— Orlando lost nine of its last ten games.
— Magic is 1-4 ATS in last five home games.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games overall.

— Magic won last five series games.
— Pelicans are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Orlando.
— Last three series games went over the total.

Philadelphia @ Milwaukee
76ers (39-19)
— 76ers lost their last two games, after a 7-2 run.
— Sixers are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
— Under is 14-5 in Philly’s last 19 games.

Bucks (35-22)
— Milwaukee is 3-5 in its last eight games SU.
— Bucks are 0-6 ATS in last six home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Over is 14-7 in Milwaukee’s last 21 games.

— Bucks won five of last seven series games.
— 76ers are 1-5 ATS in last six visits to Wisconsin.
— Last three series games went under the total.

Detroit @ San Antonio
Pistons (18-41)
— Detroit lost 12 of its last 18 games
— Pistons are 14-8-1 ATS since the All-Star break.
— Under is 7-5 in Detroit’s last dozen road games.

Spurs (28-29)
— San Antonio lost eight of its last 12 games.
— Spurs are 2-9 ATS in last 11 home games.
— Under is 4-0 in Spurs’ last four games.

— Spurs won eight of last ten series games.
— Detroit is 1-4 ATS in last five visits to the Alamo.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Charlotte @ Chicago
Hornets (28-29)
— Charlotte lost five of its last six games SU.
— Hornets are 3-4 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Under is 17-5 in Charlotte’s last 22 games.

Bulls (24-34)
— Chicago lost six of its last eight games SU.
— Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

— Charlotte won five of last seven series games.
— Hornets are 2-2 ATS in last four trips to Chicago.
— Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

LA Lakers @ Dallas
Lakers (35-23)
— Lakers split their last dozen games SU.
— Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
— Over is 6-3 in their nine games overall.
— Anthony Davis returns here, on a minutes limit.

Mavericks (31-26)
— Mavericks lost four of their last six games.
— Mavericks are 3-7 ATS in last ten home games.
— Over is 3-1 in last four Dallas games.

— Lakers won/covered six of last seven series games.
— LA covered its last three visits to Dallas.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Thursday April 22
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Charlotte at Chicago (9:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Bulls are 12-0-1 ATS (10.23 ppg) coming off a loss as a road favorite where they allowed at least 15 points more than projected.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Detroit at San Antonio (8:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Pistons are 0-12 ATS (-8.12 ppg) as a dog with no rest after they had 30+ assists last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Detroit at San Antonio (8:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Pistons are 16-0 OU (15.09 ppg) as a 8+ point dog after allowed at least 45 points in the paint and being outscored in the paint last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Charlotte at Chicago (9:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Hornets are 0-11 OU (-10.00 ppg) with less than two days rest off a game as a dog.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

901ARIZONA -902 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 268-244 SU (36.9 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start since 1996.

903NY METS -904 CHICAGO CUBS
NY METS are 1-11 SU (-11.3 Units) vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

903NY METS -904 CHICAGO CUBS
LUIS ROJAS is 1-11 SU (-11.1 Units) vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season (Coach of NY METS)

905MIAMI -906 SAN FRANCISCO
MIAMI is 15-2 SU (12.4 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.

907SAN DIEGO -908 LA DODGERS
LA DODGERS are 28-15 SU (14.7 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

909NY YANKEES -910 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 24-7 SU (17.6 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

911SEATTLE -912 BOSTON
BOSTON is 14-1 SU (13.9 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse in the current season.

913LA ANGELS -914 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 30-46 SU (-21.9 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game over the last 2 seasons.

913LA ANGELS -914 HOUSTON
DUSTY BAKER is 30-46 SU (-20.6 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game (Coach of HOUSTON)

915PITTSBURGH -916 DETROIT
DETROIT is 20-44 SU (-28.4 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, April 22

NL games
Arizona (8-10) @ Cincinnati (9-8)
— Widener is 1-0, 2.12 in three starts.
— Arizona is 1-2 in his starts
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He allowed four runs (3 earned) in five IP, in his one start vs Cincinnati.

— Arizona won its last four games.
— Arizona is 6-7 on the road.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-1

— Hoffman is 2-1, 2.93 in three starts.
— Reds are 2-1 in his starts.
— over 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 1-4, 9.29 in 11 games (6 starts) vs Arizona.

— Cincinnati lost seven of its last ten games.
— Reds are 7-4 at home, 2-4 on road.
— Over 9-1-1 at home
— scored run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-1

Mets (7-6) @ Cubs (8-9)
— Lucchesi allowed 3 runs in 3 IP (55 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
— Mets lost his first start, 7-2.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He is 0-1, 7.20 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Mets won five of their last eight games.
— Mets are 3-5 on the road.
— Under 8-1-1 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6

— Williams is 2-1, 5.02 in three starts.
— Cubs won two of his three starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 3-1, 2.08 in four starts vs New York.

— Cubs won three of their last four games.
— Chicago is 6-5 at home.
— 11 of last 16 games stayed under the total.
— scored run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-1

Miami (8-9) @ San Francisco (11-7)
— Castano allowed one run in five IP (74 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
— Marlins are 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He allowed one run in five IP in his one start vs San Francisco.

— Marlins won seven of their last ten games.
— Miami is 4-2 on the road.
— 0ver 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-5

— Sanchez is 0-1, 2.45 in his first three starts.
— Giants are 0-3 in his starts, scoring 7 runs.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He is 0-0, 6.00 in two starts vs Miami.

— Giants are 8-4 in their last 12 games.
— Giants are 5-1 at home.
— 12 of last 16 games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 2-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-3

San Diego (10-10) @ Dodgers (14-4)
— Weathers blanked LA for 3.2 IP (79 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
— Padres lost his first start 11-6
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He blanked LA for 3.2 IP (79 PT) in his one start against the Dodgers.

— Padres lost six of their last eight games.
— San Diego is 5-7 at home.
— 13 of last 18 games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-2

— Buehler is 1-0, 2.00 in his three starts.
— Dodgers won his first three starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He is 4-0, 1.62 in six starts vs San Diego.

— Dodgers won 14 of their last 17 games.
— Dodgers are 6-0 at home.
— under 10-3 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-2

AL games
Bronx (6-11) @ Cleveland (8-8)
— Montgomery is 1-1, 4.08 in three starts.
— Bronx is 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He is 0-1, 5.00 in two starts vs Cleveland.

— New York lost nine of its last 12 games.
— New York is 2-4 on the road.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 1-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2

— Civale is 3-0, 2.18 in three starts.
— Indians are 3-0 when he starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He gave up 3 runs (2 earned) in 6 IP, in his one start vs NY.

— Cleveland lost four of their last six games.
— Indians are 4-2 at home.
— under 11-5
— scores run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10-1

Seattle (11-7) @ Boston (12-7)
— Dunn is 1-0, 3.72 in two starts.
— Seattle is 2-0 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

— Seattle won five of its last seven games.
— Seattle is 5-2 on the road.
— under 5-1-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10-2

— Pivetta is 2-0, 3.68 in three starts.
— Red Sox are 3-0 in his starts.
— over 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Boston won 12 of its last 16 games.
— Red Sox are 6-3 in last nine home games.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-4

Angels (9-7) @ Houston (7-10)
— Cobb is 1-0, 3.37 in his first two starts.
— Angels are 2-0 in his starts, scoring 15 runs.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He is 1-2, 7.63 in three starts vs Houston.

— Angels lost three of last four road games.
— Halos are 3-5 in last eight games overall.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-2

— Javier is 1-0, 2.16 in two starts.
— Astros are 2-0 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He allowed 3 runs in 5.2 IP in his one start against the Angels.

— Astros lost nine of their last ten games.
— Astros are 1-5 at home.
— over 3-1 last four home games
— scored run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-3

Interleague games
Pittsburgh (8-10) @ Detroit (7-11)
— Brubaker is 2-0, 1.76 in three starts.
— Pirates are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.

— Pirates won six of their last ten games.
— Pittsburgh is 3-7 on the road.
— over 7-5-1 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-2

— Urena is 0-3, 6.14 in three starts.
— He allowed six runs in three IP in his one home outing.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He is 1-3, 8.18 in seven games (3 starts) vs Pittsburgh

— Detroit lost eight of its last 12 games.
— Detroit is 4-4 at home.
— under 5-3 at home
— scored run in first inning: 3-8 at home
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2 at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, April 22

Trend Report

Arizona @ Cincinnati
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Arizona

Pittsburgh @ Detroit
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 14 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games

NY Yankees @ Cleveland
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 8 games when playing Cleveland
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees

Seattle @ Boston
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Boston
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle

NY Mets @ Chi Cubs
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Mets's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets

LA Angels @ Houston
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Angels's last 10 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 10 games when playing LA Angels

Miami @ San Francisco
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing Miami

San Diego @ LA Dodgers
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games
San Diego is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends for Thursday April 22
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: N.Y. Yankees at Cleveland (6:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Indians are 11-0 SU since Aug 11, 2016 at home off a game as a dog in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Pittsburgh at Detroit (1:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Pirates are 0-10 SU since Sep 13, 2019 on the road when their opponent's starter has an ERA of higher than 4.00 on the season.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Seattle at Boston (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Red Sox are 10-0 OU (4.20 ppg) since Aug 12, 2020 at home after they allowed 5+ walks last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Diego at L.A. Dodgers (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Dodgers are 0-9 OU (-2.94 ppg) since May 10, 2018 when Walker Buehler starts at home when they won his last three starts.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

9WASHINGTON -10 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 14-2 ATS (11.4 Units) in home games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

11BOSTON -12 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 6-32 ATS (-29.2 Units) off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

13CAROLINA -14 FLORIDA
CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (7.7 Units) against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the current season.

15COLUMBUS -16 TAMPA BAY
COLUMBUS are 12-28 ATS (-14.6 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

17NEW JERSEY -18 PITTSBURGH
NEW JERSEY is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more in a loss to a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

19PHILADELPHIA -20 NY RANGERS
NY RANGERS are 15-3 ATS (13 Units) against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.

21DALLAS -22 DETROIT
DALLAS are 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days in the last 3 seasons.

23COLORADO -24 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 1-7 ATS (-10.8 Units) in home games against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances in the current season.

27OTTAWA -28 VANCOUVER
VANCOUVER is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games when playing 3 or less games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.

81TORONTO -82 WINNIPEG
TORONTO is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Thursday, April 22

Trend Report

Boston @ Buffalo
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Boston

Carolina @ Florida
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Florida is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Washington @ NY Islanders
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games at home

New Jersey @ Pittsburgh
New Jersey
New Jersey is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey

Columbus @ Tampa Bay
Columbus
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Columbus is 15-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games at home

Philadelphia @ NY Rangers
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Rangers's last 8 games at home

Toronto @ Winnipeg
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Winnipeg's last 23 games when playing Toronto

Dallas @ Detroit
Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit
Detroit is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games at home

Colorado @ St. Louis
Colorado
Colorado is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Colorado is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
St. Louis is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Colorado

Ottawa @ Vancouver
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Thur (MLB) Reds
Thur (MLB) Mets
Thur (NBA) Suns -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Apr 22 '21, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Flyers vs Rangers
Play on: Rangers -150 at Mirage

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Rangers -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Apr 22 '21, 7:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Suns vs Celtics
Play on: OVER 219½ -110

1 Dimer on Suns vs Celtics over 219½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Apr 22 '21, 7:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Pelicans vs Magic
Play on: Pelicans -8½ -115 at linepros

Free Play on Pelicans -8½ -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Apr 22 '21, 7:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Mariners vs Red Sox
Play on: Mariners +151 at pinnacle

FREE PICK - Seattle Mariners +151
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 911
I will roll the dice with the Mariners as a big +151 underdog in Thursday's road game against the Red Sox. I think we are getting quite the value with Seattle at this price. The Mariners will have Justin Dunn on the mound. He had a rough first start, where he walked 8, but he only allowed 1 hit. He was much better in his second outing, giving up just 1 run on 2 hits in 5 innings at Baltimore.
I also think there's value here because of how good Boston starter Nick Pivetta looks on paper. Pivetta is 2-0 with a 3.68 ERA in 3 starts. Thing is, the advanced stats don't match up, as he's got a 4.30 FIP and 5.42 xFIP. He's also struggled big time with control, walking 11 in 14 2/3 innings of work.
Mariners are 8-3 in Dunn's last 11 starts as a dog and 6-1 in his last 7 as a road dog. Give me Seattle +151!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Apr 22 '21, 7:10 PM in 1h
NBA | 76ers vs Bucks
Play on: Bucks -6 -110 at Draft Kings

1* Free Play on Bucks -6 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Apr 22 '21, 7:10 PM in 1h
MLB | SEA vs BOS
Play on: OVER 9 -116

1* Free Pick on Mariners/Red Sox over 9 -116

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy Apr 22 '21, 7:38 PM in 2h
NHL | Stars vs Red Wings
Play on: UNDER 5½ -128

Thursday NHL Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Detroit at 7:35 pm et on Thursday.
We saw a rare high-scoring affair between these two teams on Tuesday as the Stars skated to a 5-2 victory on home ice. I expect a return to 'normal' on Thursday night as the scene shifts to Detroit for the third of four consecutive games between these two teams. Note that the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 the last six times the Stars have gone on the road after scoring four goals or more in a home win, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of just 4.1 goals. We've also seen the 'under' go a perfect 9-0 when the Red Wings are seeking revenge for a loss where their opponent scored five goals or more this season with an average total of 4.2 goals in that spot. Of course, the Stars are in line for some regression after scoring 19 goals over the course of a five-game homestand. Note that they average just 2.5 goals per game on the road this season. The 'under' has cashed in two of the last three meetings between these two teams in Detroit and we've yet to see consecutive 'over' results in this series this season. Take the under (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover Apr 22 '21, 7:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Mets vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs +102 at pinnacle

It took 17 games, but it now appears the underachieving Cubs offense has arisen from their season-long slumber. Beating the Mets, 16-4, on Wednesday should be an indication of that.
Kris Bryant, Javier Baez, Anthony Rizzo, Ian Happ and Willson Contreras are too good of hitters for the Cubs to rank 30th in batting.
Am I putting too much emphasis on just one game by backing the Cubs here? I don't think so given the pitching matchup. We're not talking Jacob deGrom, but southpaw Joey Lucchesi as the Mets starter. As a road favorite of minus $1.10 or more, Lucchesi is 1-8. He has a lifetime 7.20 ERA versus the Cubs in two starts spanning 10 innings. The Mets have lost eight of their past 11 away games.
So even though I do not have a high regard for Cubs starter Trevor Williams, I think it's good value to get Chicago as a home 'dog in this spot. The Cubs are 4-0 the last time four times facing a southpaw starter and Williams is coming off a good start - limiting the Braves to one run on four hits in five innings this past Saturday.
Williams also has been strong against the Mets during his career going 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Apr 22 '21, 8:08 PM in 2h
NHL | Avalanche vs Blues
Play on: Avalanche -148 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Avalanche -148

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Apr 22 '21, 8:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Angels vs Astros
Play on: Astros -119 at pinnacle

1* on Astros -119

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Apr 22 '21, 8:40 PM in 3h
NBA | Pistons vs Spurs
Play on: UNDER 217 -113

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Pistons/Spurs UNDER 217
The UNDER is 4-0 in Spurs last four games overall with combined scores of 213, 196, 203 and 194 points. I think this total has been set too high tonight against the Detroit Pistons, who will also be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back just like the Spurs.
Tired legs will affect the shooting for both teams. I don't expect either team to be pushing the tempo tonight, which is par for the course for both of these squads anyway. The Spurs rank 20th in pace this season while the Pistons rank 22nd in pace. Detroit ranks 25th in offensive efficiency while San Antonio ranks 19th.
These teams met earlier this season on March 15th with the Spurs winning 109-99 for just 208 combined points. This despite the Spurs shooting 56.6% as a team and the Pistons shooting 47%. It was played at a snail's pace with both teams attempting only 83 shots. Expect more of the same here in the rematch tonight.
The UNDER is 20-5 in Pistons last 25 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. The UNDER is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, including 4-1 in the last five meetings in San Antonio. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price Apr 22 '21, 8:40 PM in 3h
NBA | Pistons vs Spurs
Play on: Pistons +8½ -114 at Draft Kings

Dave's Thursday Free Play:
1* on Detroit Pistons +8.5
The Key: The Detroit Pistons continue to battle despite their poor record. The Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Spurs shouldn't be this heavily favored against anyone right now with the way they are playing. San Antonio is just 6-13 SU in its last 19 games overall and one of the most tired teams in hte NBA right now. That's because they haven't had more than one day off in a row since the All-Star Break. It's no wonder they have struggled so much down the stretch. The Spurs are 3-18 ATS in their last 21 home games after winning 2 of their last 3 games. The Pistons are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games off a loss by 10 points or more. Detroit is 21-7-1 ATS in its last 29 games off a loss. The Pistons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a losing record. The Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. San Antonio is 17-36 ATS in its last 53 games as a home favorite. Take Detroit.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Apr 22 '21, 9:10 PM in 3h
NBA | Hornets vs Bulls
Play on: Hornets +2½ -110 at Mirage

Free Pick on Hornets

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John Martin Apr 22 '21, 9:10 PM in 3h
NBA | Hornets vs Bulls
Play on: Bulls -2 -110 at linepros

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Chicago Bulls -2
The Charlotte Hornets are really struggling right now without three of their best players in Ball, Hayward and Monk. They have gone 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall with their last three losses all coming by double-digits. The Bulls had won two in a row before a bad loss to the Cavaliers last night. Now we get them cheap tonight at home as only 2-point favorites over the depleted Hornets. Charlotte is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as a road underdog. Chicago is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games vs. a team with a losing record. Give me the Bulls.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness Apr 22 '21, 9:40 PM in 4h
NBA | Lakers vs Mavs
Play on: Mavs -2 -110 at linepros

My free play is on the Dal Mavs at 9:40 ET.
The 35-23 Lakers expect to have Anthony Davis back on Thursday night when they visit Dallas to take on the 31-26 Mavericks. However, LBJ is still a couple of weeks away from returning, according to a recent report by ESPN. The Lakers have gone 14-16 without A.D. (22.5 & 8.2)and are 7-9 without him and LBJ (25.4-7.9-7.9). LA has fallen to the No. 5 seed in the West, 8 1/2-games back of the Jazz (No. 1 seed). Denver owns the No. 4 seed (final seed to get the home court edge in the first round) and LA would sure like to catch them but the Nuggets do own a three-game edge. The Mavs own the No. 7 and would like to avoid the "Play-In" tournament (seeds 7-10) and have closed to within a half-game of the No. 6 Blazers, who have lost SEVEN of nine.
PG Schroder (15.4-3.5-5.5) and PG Harrell (13.9 & 6.6) have been excellent additions this season, while SF Kuzma (12.9 & 6.50 remains an underrated talent. LA acquired center Drummond from Cleveland at the end of March and in his six April games, he has averaged 12.8 & 10.2 in 26 minutes. How he'll mesh with A.D. and LBJ when they are both back, is to be determined.
Dallas has NOT had the kind of season expected of them, as their 127-117 win over the Detroit Pistons last night snapped a four-game home losing streak! Doncic (28.6-8.0-8.7) has led Dallas all season and last night just missed a triple-double (30-10-9). Kristaps Porzingis (20.4 & 9.3) has been an excellent 'side-kick' to Doncic all season and had 19 points and seven rebounds in Wednesday's win. Three other players are averaging double digits for Dallas in SF Hardaway (15.8), plus guards Brunson (12.9-3.6-3.5) and Richardson (12.2).
Will A.D. definitely play? We don't know that for sure and if he does, how effective will he be? I believe this is an excellent spot for Dallas but the Mavs have underachieved all season at home, going just 14-14 SU, as well as a money-burning 10-18 ATS. I'm make a small play on Dallas.
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays Apr 22 '21, 10:08 PM in 4h
NHL | Senators vs Canucks
Play on: Senators +135 at Mirage

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Senators +135

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Jesse Schule Apr 22 '21, 10:08 PM in 4h
NHL | Senators vs Canucks
Play on: Canucks -135 at linepros

This is a Free play on Vancouver.
The Canucks return to play has been a raging success, beating the best team in hockey in back to back games. There's still plenty of work to do, but the playoffs are not out of the question as they still have plenty of games in hand. The Sens have also played well lately, but they are still sitting dead last in the North Division, with no real playoff ambitions. The Sens haven't had much success against the Canucks, losing nine of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Canucks are 9-4 in their last 13 overall.
GL,
Jesse Schule

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin Apr 22 '21, 10:08 PM in 4h
NHL | Senators vs Canucks
Play on: Senators +125 at Draft Kings

Mike Lundin's Senators vs Canucks Free Pick April 22, 2021
Great spot to fade the Vancouver Canucks who are coming off back-to-back wins as massive underdogs (+340 and +260) against Toronto. The Nucks were well-rested and excited to be back on the ice following a three-week hiatus due to a COVID-19 outbreak in the Nucks camp, but I think they're way overrated in this matchup with Ottawa.
The Sens have won three of their last four, cashing in as +170, +180 and +185 underdogs. I think we're getting tremendous value on the dog in this one.
Senators are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
5/10* Free pick on Ottawa Senators.

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Mike Wynn Free Pick: Miami w/Castano +125 over Sa Francisco

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Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: SAN DIEGO/LA DODGERS UNDER the total of 7½ runs

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Totals4U Thursday's Free Selection: New York Yankees/Cleveland Indians over 8 1/2

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Roz Wins ROZ Selections Thursday, April 22, 2021

FREE PLAY
NBA
556. Celtics +4.5 (4:10 PT / 7:10 ET)

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Atlantic Sports
Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Philadelphia Flyers + 155

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#1 Sports Thursday's Free Play: Carolina Hurricanes - 120

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Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: the NY Yankees w/German +100 overCleveland

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Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play THURSDAY, April 22, 2021

FREE NBA
564. Mavericks -2.5 (6:40 PT / 9:40 ET)

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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Thursday Selection Is
TORONTO -135

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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Thursday : Take CINCINNATI (Hoffman) -140 over Arizona

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Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Saturday
Houston Greinke -130

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Hawkeye Sports Thursday's Free Pick: Winnipeg Jets + 125

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Huddle Up Sports
Thursday Free Play
NY Mets Lucchesi -123

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Arthur Ralph

THURS NY islanders -120

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The Last Call Thursday's Free Play: LA Dodgers - 168

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Teyas Sports FREE PICK 4/22 MLB CINCINNATI -138

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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Thursday:SEATTLE/BOSTON OVER 9½ runs

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High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Thursday: Los Angeles Dodgers - 170

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Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Thursday: Char/Chic OVER 209½

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John Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Thursday:
Boston OVER 219½

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Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Thursday:
Phoenix OVER 219½

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Hollywood Anthony Your Free Thursday Play from Hollywood Anthony
MLB Seattle over 9½ Runs