Thursday 6/17/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Arlington - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#1 Boom Box
He has been a pretty reliable turf sprinter over the years, and he should get a good trip while saving ground inside before showing up late.


#7 Dom the Bomb
No doubt he's the one to beat for top connections, and his recent form stacks up very well with these. He has won half of his 10 lifetime turf starts, so you know he can handle the footing, but he's sure to be an underlay on the board.


#3 Mongol Bull
Nothing about the recent form is too exciting, but some of the turf tries came with better than he'll find here. Still, I'm probably willing to let him beat me today.


Race Summary
Dom the Bomb is going to be tough with some sharp pace in a sprint that doesn't have a ton of other pace, but Boom Box is still capable of some efforts that could be very tough with these.


Arlington - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#7 She's Wandaful
Most of these want to run right on or near the front, and this filly might get a pretty dreamy trip from off the pace. The barn has done good work so far at the meet, and this one should be a price on the hike off the maiden claiming win.


#3 Silver Cloud
She has been stepping forward with every start, and she turned in a really nice first effort over the local main track. The added furlong might work in her favor today.


#5 Lily's Woofy
Not sure how she'll handle open company while rising to face winners on a new surface, but the Hawthorne debut win was pretty sharp when well meant at 6/5. Maybe.


Race Summary
She's Wandaful lands in a spot with some pace, and she has shown the ability to finish into the splits in recent starts. Something like the 10/1 ML price would be plenty appealing.


Arlington - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#8 Power Through
That even sort of sprint debut might translate well around two turns with a pedigree that suggests he can handle it. Barn has always been solid with these types.


#6 Soul Coaxing
He has been pretty reliable in recent starts, but he has lacked that final gear needed to get over the top. He can win this, but I couldn't land here with much confidence.


#4 Ol Grey Ghost
This 11-start maiden owns some running lines that would be competitive here, but he pretty regularly takes action while getting short on excuses.


Race Summary
Power Through stretches out off what might be a useful debut run when passing a couple late. There should be enough pedigree to see out this trip, and the price might stay playable.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#8 QUALITY BUD
Sharp in local debut, plenty of back-class to summon, value remains.


#7 GENERAL JOY A
Fourth as fave in blanket finish, Tetrick's choice over top one.


#6 ISLAND OF THE SEA
Chased odds-on fave but both runners were passed in stretch.


Race Summary
Quality Bud extended his lead through a :56.3 back half, earning a playback on the class hike at a tempting price. Play an 8-ALL exacta.


Hoosier Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#8 LOOKINTOMYEYES
Altered course in lane, surged clear, taken to three-peat.


#6 BROOKLETS DESIRE
Rode rail, inched closer on turn, out-kicked late.


#3 LOVE FORBIDDEN
Just missed two back, out of money in faster follow-up.


Race Summary
Lookintomyeyes tracked a :54.2 half in fourth, rode the rail until he altered to the 3-path in mid-stretch and repeated with something left. She can overcome post 8 against many of the same rivals. Play 8-3 and 8-6 exactas.


Scioto Downs - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#8 VELOCITY LADY
Perfectly spotted to extend winning streak, post the only concern.


#5 ITSMACHMEITSYOU
In good form, chased 4-to-5 winner in latest, but 0-13 this year.


#4 LACEY
Third in sire stakes final after photo-finish setback from post 10.


Race Summary
Velocity Lady went wire-to-wire in 3 of her last 4 starts, remains eligible for this condition by $329 in earnings and was Sutton's choice on a double call. Play 8-4 and 8-5 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Indiana Grand - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#8 Elle M'a Souri
Has been off since Fair Grounds, where she battled good company and was third in an allowance race; class advantage here.


#7 Forevernoa
Is a big player on the front end going long and comes off a second; hasn't been on turf since September, when she won in wire-to-wire fashion at Arlington.


#6 Jordan's Kitten
Closed considerably ground and finished second at this level here last out; is the one to look for late in the game.


Race Summary
Elle M'a Souri has faced on talented rivals and makes her first local start; lands in a good spot and is a strong contender in her return.


Indiana Grand - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#7 Bold Prophet
Won here two back and then lost by a half-length last time; has found a home on turf and is much classier than he is on dirt.


#2 Subdued
Was up in time vs. similar last out and could grind out another victory.


#3 Unite the Masses
Won two straight at Turfway then stepped up to solid turf company at Hawthorne and came out of it with a second; does well on grass.


Race Summary
Bold Prophet is a different horse on turf and has the tools to get the win in this spot.


Indiana Grand - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#3 Get Lucky Justice
Improved in her second start, which marked her first try around two turns; had the lead in that one and can get the distance in her return.


#4 Southern Smile
Tired late in her debut, which was at this distance; could vie for the lead throughout.


#6 Just Humming
Was second in her latest and looks better when given the chance to run long.


Race Summary
Get Lucky Justice ran a bang-up second in her first distance attempt and can improve off that one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs



Indiana Downs - Race 10

Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta / 10 Cent Superfecta 10 Cent QH Only Grand High 5 (Pentafecta - Separate Carryover)



Maiden • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 69 • Purse: $16,000 • Post: 7:04P


QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * EXOSPHERE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Ra ting. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.



1

EXOSPHERE

7/5


4/5
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

EXOSPHERE

1


7/5

Fast

73


52


0.0


0.0


0.0




4

RUNAWAY PACIFIC

4


5/2

Fast

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0




6

DASHING FEATURES

6


20/1

Slow

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0




9

LF TOBY ONE

9


30/1

Slow

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0




11

HS EASY TO LOVE

11


20/1

Slow

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0




12

CRANSTON

12


12/1

Slow

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0























Unknown Running Style: ROYAL PEPSI (4/1) [Jockey: Rodriguez German - Trainer: Smith Randy M], JAZZES FIRST CORONA (30/1) [Jockey: Reyes Cristian - Trainer: Weintraut Shelby], SORCERERS STONE (20/1) [Jockey: Esqueda Cesar G - Trainer: Raper Ron], COME

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing



Parx Racing - Race 7

Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) / Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Philly BIG 5



Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 66 • Purse: $21,000 • Post: 3:37P


(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Stalker. OUR UNCLE DREW is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * OUR UNCLE DREW: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. COUCH DREAMS: Today is a route and this is the horse's th ird start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.



5

OUR UNCLE DREW

6/1


2/1




3

COUCH DREAMS

7/2


5/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




11

BULLDOG CONNECTION

11


20/1

Front-runner

0


0


63.5


38.9


21.9




8

GAUCHO

8


4/1

Front-runner

55


52


56.9


55.0


45.5




5

OUR UNCLE DREW

5


6/1

Stalker

80


68


75.3


77.5


69.0




2

FACTUM LOVE STYLE

2


12/1

Alternator/Stalker

65


56


62.2


58.5


48.5




1

BIG CITY DREAMS

1


12/1

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


60.1


53.3


42.3




4

HORSE BE WITH YOU

4


5/1

Alternator/Stalker

72


61


44.2


44.2


35.2




3

COUCH DREAMS

3


7/2

Trailer

76


79


63.6


71.4


66.4




9

GRANDPA DOMINICK

9


15/1

Trailer

0


0


38.9


53.1


41.6




10

IMMINENT DANGER

10


8/1

Alternator/Trailer

52


42


36.8


38.0


24.0




12

SECOND ENCORE

12


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

60


58


40.8


52.1


36.6




7

HE RUNS THE LINE

7


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


35.1


0.9


0.0























Unknown Running Style: DUQUESNE (10/1) [Jockey: Laprida Jeremy - Trainer: Betancourt Eli].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Belterra Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:35pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,200 Class Rating: 80

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#2 DIXIE HIGHWAY (ML=5/2)


DIXIE HIGHWAY - A wise man taught me to wager on the lone speed horse. Take a look at this thoroughbred. Gelding has shown some pace. This shorter trip should be better for him. He has the top (EPS) earnings per start. Take a good look at this horse.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 PULL ME BACK (ML=2/1), #1 GREENSPAN (ML=7/2), #5 ATTHEPEARLYGATES (ML=4/1),

PULL ME BACK - This gelding finished off the board on March 19th and wasn't close to victory last out either. GREENSPAN - The finish of seventh in the last race shows me that this equine may be going off form. Don't believe this runner will make a winning move in today's event. That last rating was run-of-the-mill when compared with today's class figure. ATTHEPEARLYGATES - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance affairs in order to wager on him. Just cannot play this horse. Didn't show me anything last out or on Apr 12th. Should be difficult for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed fig. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put him on the possibly overvalued equines list.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - DIXIE HIGHWAY - One can deduce, given he finished out of the top three at Belterra Park last out, that this horse did not like the off track. I expect an improvement with better footing today.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #2 DIXIE HIGHWAY to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Pass



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 93

FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A STATE BRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 2 SON OF DARKNESS 5/1




# 6 FORWARD MOTION 3/1




# 4 LOOK OUT JAYCE 15/1




SON OF DARKNESS looks very strong to best this field. Strong choice to take this race going in a dirt sprint. FORWARD MOTION - He looks respectable in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. This gelding has been consistently running well in his latest outings. LOOK OUT JAYCE - The trainer wheels this entrant back soon to race again.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Assiniboia DownsAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9400 Class Rating: 74

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 16. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 VALID THOR 9/5




# 1 VENDING MACHINE 4/1




# 2 LIPAN 5/1




I think VALID THOR is a very strong choice. He has solid class ratings, averaging 85, and has to be given consideration for this event. With one of the most respectable jockeys in terms of gains at the window, don't count this gelding out. Carreno has one of the strongest jockey ROI's on the grounds, returning to gamblers +23 percent. VENDING MACHINE - Looks quite good against this field and will probably be one of the early speedsters. Ought to be given consideration based on the solid Equibase Speed Figure recorded in the last competition. LIPAN - Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this gelding. Will probably go to the front end and may never look back.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Mountaineer Park - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Maiden Special - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $16,500 Class Rating: 48

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 CROSSTHEBAY (ML=5/1)
#9 FOOL FOR THE CITY (ML=3/1)


CROSSTHEBAY - This front-runner should profit from today's shorter distance. The rider and handler combination have a beneficial return on investment when they partner up. The May 28th race at Charles Town was at a class level of (67). Dropping down the ladder based on class rating points drastically, so he should be in a good spot. FOOL FOR THE CITY - A racer coming back this promptly after a strong race is a good sign. Another way to identify class is earnings per race. This thoroughbred has the uppermost in the group. I think he'll be close at the finish line. Got some betting action in 1st race on May 19th at Mountaineer Park, but finished second. Has a shot in this race. This horse has to be one of the key horses in your betting. His trainer Baird excels in prepping horses to race on turf from the dirt.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 OUR GOLDEN BOY (ML=2/1), #7 BRAVE STRANGER (ML=9/2), #3 COCKY WINCHILL (ML=8/1),

OUR GOLDEN BOY - Should have at least hit the board in the last two months in a sprint contest to be worth the chance at low odds in a sprint. BRAVE STRANGER - Can't play this vulnerable equine in today's sprint of 5 furlongs. Hasn't even hit the board in a sprint clash of late. This gelding hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two efforts. COCKY WINCHILL - Had to show me lots more last time out. Never made much of an impact.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - FOOL FOR THE CITY - Horses trained by Baird have an excellent chance of winning in sprints on the turf. Look for this mount to make a good showing versus these ponies in this race.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #5 CROSSTHEBAY on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [5,9]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, June 17

https://i.ibb.co/chjtTQB/Screenshot-2021-06-17-at-06-38-51-MLB-Weather-Report-Find-Upcoming-Conditions-for-the-MLB.png (https://ibb.co/k2t0cX7)

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901ARIZONA -902 SAN FRANCISCO
ARIZONA is 2-13 SU (-14.1 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

903CHICAGO CUBS -904 NY METS
NY METS are 15-5 SU (11.6 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

905ST LOUIS -906 ATLANTA
ST LOUIS are 878-816 SU (57.6 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1996.

907MILWAUKEE -908 COLORADO
MILWAUKEE is 13-2 SU (10.8 Units) against NL West opponents in the current season.

909CINCINNATI -910 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 24-12 SU (10.8 Units) in home games against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

911BALTIMORE -912 CLEVELAND
BALTIMORE is 16-25 SU (-15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

913NY YANKEES -914 TORONTO
NY YANKEES are 21-36 SU (-16.4 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

915CHI WHITE SOX -916 HOUSTON
CHI WHITE SOX is 17-6 SU (15 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

917DETROIT -918 LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 5-16 SU (-12.6 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.

919TAMPA BAY -920 SEATTLE
TAMPA BAY is 23-5 SU (18.5 Units) in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, June 17

https://i.ibb.co/3WMv294/Screenshot-2021-06-17-at-06-42-41-MLB-Baseball-Picks-The-Dunkel-Index.png (https://ibb.co/BjrGb5c)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, June 17

NL games
Arizona (20-49) @ San Francisco (43-25)
— Gallen is 1-1, 3.37 in five starts.
— This is his first start since May 7; he’s been hurt.
— Diamondbacks are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1
— He is 1-1, 3.00 in three starts vs SF.

— Arizona lost 13 in row, 26 of its last 28 games.
— Arizona lost its last 22 road games.
— under 9-5 last 14 road games
— scored run in first inning: 13-69
— record in first 5 innings: 24-41-4

— Gausman is 4-1, 1.29 in his last five starts.
— Giants are 9-4 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 10-2-1
— He is 3-1, 2.43 in 6 games (5 starts) vs Arizona.

— Giants are 9-4 in their last 13 games.
— Giants are 12-6 in last 18 home games.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-68
— record in first 5 innings: 37-21-10

Cubs (38-30) @ Mets (35-25)
— Hendricks is 6-0, 3.38 in his last six starts.
— Mets are 8-5 in his starts.
— over 9-4
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-1
— He is 3-0, 2.63 in four starts vs New York

— Cubs lost their last three games.
— Chicago is 3-7 in its last ten road games.
— Under is 11-6 in their last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-68
— record in first 5 innings: 32-27-9

— Stroman is 3-0, 2.03 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 8-5 in his starts.
— under 7-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-1
— He is 1-1, 2.40 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Mets won eight of their last ten games.
— Mets are 14-2 in their last 16 home games.
— under 7-3-1 last 11 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 13-60
— record in first 5 innings: 33-21-6

St Louis (35-33) @ Atlanta (30-35)
— In his last two starts, Gant allowed 12 runs in 5.2 IP.
— Cardinals are 5-6 in his starts.
— under 8-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-2
— He gave up 6 runs in 7.2 IP in 3 games (1 start) vs Atlanta.

— Cardinals won their last three games.
— St Louis is 1-6 in its last seven road games.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine road games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-68
— record in first 5 innings: 28-27-13

— Morton is 3-1, 5.14 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 6-7 in his starts.
— over 8-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-1
— He is 2-12, 5.68 in 18 starts vs St Louis.

— Braves lost six of their last seven games
— Atlanta is 7-5 in its last 12 home games.
— over 4-1 in last five home games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-65
— record in first 5 innings: 31-23-11

Cincinnati (35-31) @ San Diego (38-32)
— Miley is 2-0, 2.00 in his last three starts
— Reds are 7-4 in his starts.
— over 7-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-1
— He is 1-6, 5.38 in 13 starts vs San Diego.

— Cincinnati is 11-2 in its last 13 games.
— Reds won their last eight road games.
— under 9-4 last 13 road games
— scored run in first inning: 18-66
— record in first 5 innings: 28-28-10

— Musgrove is 2-2, 1.91 in his last six games.
— Padres are 6-6 in his starts.
— under 7-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7
— He is 3-2, 4.11 in 6 games (5 starts) vs Cincinnati.

— Padres lost 12 of their last 16 games.
— San Diego is 1-4 in its last five home games.
— under 4-2 last six home games
— scored run in first inning: 18-70
— record in first 5 innings: 25-35-10

Milwaukee (38-30) @ Colorado (28-41)
— Woodruff is 3-0, 1.38 in his last four starts.
— Milwaukee is 10-3 in his starts.
— under 8-5
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-1-5
— He is 0-0, 9.39 in two starts (7.2 IP) vs Colorado.

— Brewers lost their last three games.
— Milwaukee is 7-1 in its last eight road games.
— under 3-1-1 last five road games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-68
— record in first 5 innings: 29-23-16

— Marquez is 3-0, 2.00 in his last four home starts.
— Rockies are 7-7 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-1
— He is 1-2, 5.04 in five starts vs Milwaukee.

— Colorado won its last three games.
— Rockies are 23-14 at home, 5-27 on road.
— under 6-4 last ten home games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-69
— record in first 5 innings: 26-34-9

AL games
Baltimore (22-45) @ Cleveland (37-28)
— Lopez is 1-1, 5.17 in his last three starts.
— Baltimore is 4-9 in his starts.
— under 9-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7-3
— He is 1-2, 8.10 in 11 games (2 starts) vs Cleveland.

— Orioles lost their last seven games.
— Baltimore is 11-24 on the road, 11-21 at home.
— over is 20-10-1 in their last 31 games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-67
— record in first 5 innings: 21-33-13

— bullpen game

— Cleveland is 10-5 in its last 15 games.
— Indians are 8-2 in last ten home games.
— over 21-10 last 31 games
— scores run in first inning: 25-65
— record in first 5 innings: 24-31-10

Bronx (35-32) @ Toronto (33-33)
— King is 0-2, 7.24 in three starts.
— New York is 0-3 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He gave up 9 runs in 14.1 IP in 5 games (1 start) vs Toronto.

— New York lost seven of its last 11 games overall.
— New York is 4-6 in its last ten road games.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 17-67
— record in first 5 innings: 27-27-13

— bullpen game

— Blue Jays are 3-7 in their last ten games.
— Toronto is 3-4 in its home games in Buffalo.
— under 8-5-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-66
— record in first 5 innings: 30-27-9

White Sox (43-25) @ Houston (39-28)
— Cease is 3-1, 3.74 in his last four starts
— Chicago is 8-2 in his last 10 starts.
— over 7-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-4
— He allowed 4 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Houston.

— Chicago is 15-5 in its last 20 games.
— White Sox won their last three road games.
— under 14-6-3 last 23 games.
— scored run in first inning: 21-68
— record in first 5 innings: 40-15-13

— Urquidy is 1-1, 4.29 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 7-4 in his starts.
— over 6-5
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— Astros won 11 of their last 15 games.
— Astros are 6-1 in their last seven home games.
— over 8-5 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-67
— record in first 5 innings: 37-22-8

Detroit (29-39) @ Angels (33-35)
— Manning is making his MLB debut here.
— He is 1-3, 8.07 in seven AAA starts this year.

— Detroit won its last three games.
— Detroit is 4-1 in its last five road games.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 15-68
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-1 last 16 on road

— Ohtani is 1-1, 3.71 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 5-4 in his starts.
— under 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-2
— He gave up a run in 5 IP, in his one start vs Detroit.

— Halos lost their last three games.
— Angels are 7-2 in last nine home games.
— over 9-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 20-68
— record in first 5 innings: 29-32-7

Tampa Bay (43-26) @ Seattle (34-36)
— Hill is 4-1, 1.78 in his last six starts.
— Tampa Bay is 8-5 in his starts.
— over 8-5
— allowed run in first inning: 1-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-2-4
— He is 4-0, 2.06 in 12 games (5 starts) vs Seattle.

— Tampa Bay won 24 of its last 31 games.
— Rays are 13-5 in last 18 road games.
— over is 10-5-2 in last 17 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 21-69
— record in first 5 innings: 29-24-16

— Dunn is 1-2, 4.19 in his last four starts.
— Mariners are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— under 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Seattle won three of its last four games.
— Seattle is 7-3 in its last ten home games.
— under 9-4-1 last 14 home games
— scored run in first inning: 23-70
— record in first 5 innings: 31-33-6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, June 17

Trend Report

Baltimore @ Cleveland
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 10 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Arizona @ San Francisco
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

NY Yankees @ Toronto
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 12 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing NY Yankees

Chi Cubs @ NY Mets
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing NY Mets
Chi Cubs is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets
NY Mets is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
NY Mets is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

St. Louis @ Atlanta
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of St. Louis's last 10 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing at home against St. Louis

Chi White Sox @ Houston
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Cincinnati @ San Diego
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Milwaukee @ Colorado
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

Detroit @ LA Angels
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games
LA Angels is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Seattle
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Tampa Bay is 21-4 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends for Thursday June 17
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Baltimore at Cleveland (1:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Indians are 12-0 SU since Jul 16, 2019 as a home favorite after a game as a home favorite in which Jose Ramirez had multiple hits.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Baltimore at Cleveland (1:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Orioles are 0-18 since May 11, 2021 on the road.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Houston (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The White Sox are 0-11 OU (-2.05 ppg) since Aug 16, 2020 after a game as a home favorite in which they scored in fewer innings than their opponent.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Milwaukee at Colorado (8:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Brewers are 10-0 SU since May 03, 2019 when Brandon Woodruff starts coming off a start where he got at least seven runs of support.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA

Thursday, June 17

Trend Report

Seattle @ Indiana
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Seattle

Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta

Connecticut @ Chicago
Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Connecticut's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Connecticut's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Connecticut

Minnesota @ Dallas
Minnesota
Minnesota is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Minnesota is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

New York @ Las Vegas
New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, June 17

https://i.ibb.co/JrT6WDm/Screenshot-2021-06-17-at-09-21-35-WNBA-Basketball-Picks-The-Dunkel-Index.png (https://ibb.co/CVyCpRm)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, June 17

https://i.ibb.co/TPP8HYr/Screenshot-2021-06-17-at-06-09-53-NBA-Basketball-Picks-The-Dunkel-Index.png (https://ibb.co/RQQ0CY7)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, June 17

Brooklyn @ Milwaukee
Nets (lead series 3-2)
— Nets won Game 5, after trailing by 16 at the half.
— Durant had 49 points, 17 boards, 10 assists in Game 5.
— Harden played 46:00 in Game 5; he wasn’t supposed to play.
— Brooklyn scored 125-115-114 points in its series wins, 83-96 in losses.
— Under is 5-0-1 in last six Brooklyn games.
— Brooklyn is 1-2-1 ATS in last four road games.

Bucks
— Bucks are 3-1-1 ATS in last five home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 8-4-1 in last 13 Milwaukee games.
— Milwaukee’s bench shot a combined 31-82 so far in series.
— Tucker played 33:00 in Game 5, took 3 shots, didn’t score.
— Bucks were outscored 22-13 on foul line in Game 5.

— Home side won all five series games (4-0-1 ATS)
— Brooklyn is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
— Under is 6-0-1 in last seven series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, June 17

Trend Report

Brooklyn @ Milwaukee
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Brooklyn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

31TAMPA BAY -32 NY ISLANDERS
NY ISLANDERS are 15-3 ATS (12.2 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, June 17

https://i.ibb.co/1sZznPn/Screenshot-2021-06-17-at-06-30-38-NHL-Hockey-Picks-The-Dunkel-Index.png (https://ibb.co/s5jWPNP)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Thursday, June 17

Trend Report

Tampa Bay @ NY Islanders
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
NY Islanders is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Jun 17 '21, 7:10 PM in 1h
MLB | CHC vs NYM
Play on: OVER 7 -118

1* Free Pick on Cubs/Mets over 7 -118

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Jun 17 '21, 7:20 PM in 1h
MLB | STL vs ATL
Play on: OVER 9 -114

1 Dimer on Cardinals vs Braves over 9 -114

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander Jun 17 '21, 7:20 PM in 1h
MLB | Cardinals vs Braves
Play on: Cardinals +173 at pinnacle

1* MLB - Cardinals/Braves *FREE PICK* on Cardinals +173
Thursday's Free MLB Pick is on the St Louis Cardinals as a massive +173 road dog against the Atlanta Braves. I know the last two starts have been ugly for Cardinals starter John Gant, but guy still has a 3.36 ERA in 12 starts overall and a 2.27 ERA in 7 road starts this season.
Also not like the Braves have a top tier starter going. Charlie Morton has a 4.36 ERA in 13 starts with a 5.79 ERA in his last 3 outings. Atlanta is also not playing great all right now, as they have lost 6 of their last 7. Cardinals on the other hand have won 3 straight. Bet the Cardinals +173!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Jun 17 '21, 7:20 PM in 1h
MLB | Cardinals vs Braves
Play on: Braves -175 at Draft Kings

1* Free Sharp Play on Braves -175
The Braves (-175) are worth a look here as a big home favorite against the Cardinals in Thursday's MLB action. St Louis comes in having just swept the Marlins at home in a 3 game series, but they only scored 8 runs total in those 3 games. They just aren't swinging a good bat right now. You also can't trust Cards starter John Gant, after he's allowed 12 runs on 8 hits and 8 walks in his last 2 starts (5 2/3 innings). Play the Braves -175!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Jun 17 '21, 8:10 PM in 2h
MLB | White Sox vs Astros
Play on: Astros -120 at Mirage

Free Play on Astros -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Jun 17 '21, 8:10 PM in 2h
MLB | White Sox vs Astros
Play on: White Sox +120 at Mirage

1* on White Sox +120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness Jun 17 '21, 8:10 PM in 2h
MLB | White Sox vs Astros
Play on: Astros -127 at linepros

My free play is on the Hou Astros at 8:10 ET.
The Chicago White Sox ended an 11-year playoff drought last season and entered the 2021 season as one the favorites to win the AL pennant. Chicago opened a modest 16-13 but after last night's 8-7 (10 innings) win over the Rays, the White Sox have won 27 of their last 39 to give them MLB's best record at 43-25. The White Sox also own MLB's best run-differential (plus-107), as they get set to open a four-game series tonight at Minute Maid Park against the Houston Astros. The Astros won THREE straight AL West titles from 2017-2019, making two World Series and winning in 2017. Houston made the 2020 postseason playoffs at 29-31, only because of its expanded format but had quite a run. The Astros beat the Twins and A's plus took the Rays to seven games before losing in the ALCS. Houston opened the current season 6-1 but then lost NINE of 10. However, the Astros welcome the White Sox to Houston having won 32 of their last 50 games and at 39-28, are within 2 1/2-games of Oakland in the AL West. Houston's won seven of nine and owns the AL's second-best run-differential mark of plus-93.
The starting pitchers for tonight's opener are Dylan Cease (5-2, 3.38 ERA) for Chicago and Jose Urquidy (4-3, 3.77 ERA) for Houston. Both players made their MLB debuts in 2019. Cease made 26 starts in 2019 and 2020 going 9-11 with a 5.00 ERA. As for Urquidy, he made 14 appearances (12 starts) the last two years, going 3-2 with a 3.44 ERA. Cease has made 13 starts in the current season and after Chicago lost his first three starts, the White Sox have won EIGHT of his last 10. Cease has allowed three ERs or less in eight of those 10, including winning back-to-back starts while posting a 1.50 ERA over 12 innings. Those two have come on the heels of him allowing a season-high six runs in a 6-5 loss to the Cleveland Indians on June 1. Urquidy's season has somewhat mirrored Cease's in that the Astros were just 1-3 in his first four starts but are 6-1 in his last seven, with Urquidy having allowed three ERs or less in all seven.
This is expected to be an excellent series but I'll side with Houston here in Game 1. The Astros improved to a season-high 11 games over .500 with their 8-4 win over the Texas Rangers on Wednesday and have won 12 of their 16 games. Urquidy owns a 4.59 ERA in six away starts in 2021 but in five home starts, his ERA drops to 2.83 while he's held opponents to a .200 BAA. In stark contrast, Cease owns a 1.63 ERA and .196 BAA in seven home starts but a 5.79 ERA in six road starts.
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Jun 17 '21, 8:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Reds vs Padres
Play on: Padres -167 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Padres -167

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Jun 17 '21, 8:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Reds vs Padres
Play on: Reds +159 at pinnacle

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Cincinnati Reds +159
The Cincinnati Reds are now 11-2 in their last 13 games overall and playing their best baseball of the season. They have scored 5 or more runs in eight of their last 12 games overall and have the best lineup in the NL Central. They have also held five straight teams to 3 runs or fewer during their current six-game winning streak.
The San Diego Padres are just 1-7 in their last eight games overall and were just swept by the Colorado Rockies. They should not be this big of favorites over the Reds tonight even with the impressive numbers that Joe Musgrove has posted this season for the Padres.
Wade Miley has been too good this season to be this big of an underdog as well. He is 6-4 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.119 WHIP in 11 starts, including 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA in his last four starts while allowing just 4 earned runs in 22 2/3 innings. Miley hasn't allowed a single homer in any of his last six starts which spans 34 2/3 innings.
The Reds are 8-0 in their last eight road games. Cincinnati is 7-1 in its last eight games as an underdog. The Reds are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record. Cincinnati is 5-2 in its last seven meetings with San Diego. Bet the Reds Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Jun 17 '21, 8:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Brewers vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies +141 at linepros

FREE PICK - Colorado Rockies +141
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 908
The underdogs have been biting for me this week (cashed 3 straight free picks on dogs) and we got another decently priced dog on the board Thursday. I really see some great value with the Rockies at +141 at home against the Brewers.
Milwaukee comes into this series having just been swept in a 3-game series at home by the Reds. The most notable thing from the sweep is the Brewers offense, which was a complete no show. Milwaukee scored just 4 runs on 13 hits in the 3 games vs Cincinnati.
As for the Rockies, they are fresh off a 3-game sweep of division rival San Diego at home. Colorado is now 23-14 at Coors Field this season (5-27 away). As long as this team keeps playing as bad as they have on the road, they are going to continue to show value at home.
German Marquez will start for the Rockies. He's got a very respectable 3.99 ERA and 1.349 WHIP in 9 home starts and even more important Colorado is 7-2 in those games.
Brandon Woodruff is definitely one of the better starters for Milwaukee, but I don't care about what kind of numbers a guy has when they are starting at Coors. In his two previous starts at Colorado, Woodruff has failed to finish 5 innings, giving up 8 runs on 14 hits and 4 walks in 7 2/3 innings. Give me the Rockies +141!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin Jun 17 '21, 8:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Brewers vs Rockies
Play on: Brewers -148 at linepros

Brewers vs Rockies Free Pick June 17, 2021
I love the price we get on the Milwaukee Brewers with Brandon Woodruff (5-2, 1.52 ERA) on the mound. The team has won each of his last four starts and eight of his last 10. Woodruff has allowed one or zero runs in seven of those outings and never more than two.
Rockies' righty German Marquez (4-6, 4.60 ERA) was rocked for nine runs (eight earned) in five innings of a 10-3 loss at Cincinnati in his last start. Marquez is 1-2 with a 5.04 ERA in five career starts against the Brew Crew.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy Jun 17 '21, 8:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Brewers vs Rockies
Play on: Brewers -142 at linepros

Thursday MLB Free play. My selection is on Milwaukee over Colorado at 8:40 pm et on Thursday.
The Brewers are coming off a surprising home sweep at the hands of the Reds while the Rockies just delivered a rare home sweep of the Padres here at Coors Field. I look for both teams fortunes to change on Thursday, however, as the Brewers send Brandon Woodruff to the hill against German Marquez.
Woodruff has been lights out on the road this season, posting a sparkling 0.67 ERA and 0.57 WHIP in six starts, averaging 6 2/3 innings per start along the way. While Woodruff's career numbers against the Rockies aren't good, he hasn't faced them since the 2018 season. He's a much better pitcher now than he was then. Behind Woodruff is a solid Brewers bullpen that has posted a collective 3.51 ERA and 1.25 WHIP on the road this season.
German Marquez will counter for Colorado. He has pitched reasonably well at home this season, guiding the Rockies to a 7-2 record in his nine starts at Coors Field while recording a 3.99 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. My concern, however, is that he averages between five and six innings per start and the Rockies bullpen behind him has struggled to the tune of a collective 5.81 ERA and 1.52 WHIP here at home this season (entering yesterday's action). Take Milwaukee (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Jun 17 '21, 9:38 PM in 3h
MLB | DET vs LAA
Play on: OVER 8½ -120

Free Total Annihilator On Tigers vs Angels over 8½ -120

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Cappers Access

Thur (NBA) Bucks
Thur (MLB) Cubs
Thur (MLB) W. Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Merril Event: (905) St. Louis Cardinals at (906) Atlanta Braves
Sport/League: MLB (See all free MLB picks (https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/MLB))
Date/Time: June 17, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+100) J Gant (RHP), C Morton (RHP) Must Start
The Braves enter off back-to-back high-scoring 10-8 losses versus the Red Sox, but Atlanta will now face a much weaker offensive opponent tonight. Despite three straight wins, the Cardinals scored only 7 totals runs in those three games, and have now scored 2 runs or less in four of their past five outings. Meanwhile, Atlanta has 16 total runs in their past two losses and have at least 9 hits or more in four of their past five games, while the Cardinals have 6 hits or less in four of their past five contests. Atlanta starter Charlie Morton should get back on track tonight versus a weak St. Louis lineup, and despite a higher ERA on the season, Morton (1.29 WHIP) has a much better walks + hits per innings pitched compared to St. Louis starter John Gant (1.65 WHIP).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant Event: (915) Chicago White Sox at (916) Houston Astros
Sport/League: MLB (See all free MLB picks (https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/MLB))
Date/Time: June 17, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: 1H Houston Astros -135 D Cease (RHP), J Urquidy (RHP) Must Start

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Ligs Event: (501) Brooklyn Nets at (502) Milwaukee Bucks
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA picks (https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/NBA))
Date/Time: June 17, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Milwaukee Bucks -6.0 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers Event: (501) Brooklyn Nets at (502) Milwaukee Bucks
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA picks (https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/NBA))
Date/Time: June 17, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Milwaukee Bucks -6.0 (-105)
Take Milwaukee (#502)
Kevin Durant played all 48 minutes of the Nets Game 5 upset win over Milwaukee, finishing with one of the best games in NBA Playoff history. James Harden in his first game back from injury was on the floor for more than 45 minutes of action, despite his limited movement due to hamstring issues. Jeff Green, in only his second game back from injury nailed seven out of eight three point tries as the Nets rallied from 16 points down at halftime to win the game. None of those are going to repeat tonight.
Expect Giannis – the NBA’s Defensive Player of the Year last year – to guard Durant for extended stretches this evening. His quote: “I want to take the challenge. Obviously, everybody’s gonna have a chance to guard him, but I would love to go into Game 6, to be able to guard him.” Playing less than 48 hours off of that type of effort, I’m not expecting Durant to be other-worldly this evening. In fact, Durant knows what’s coming tonight: “We’ve got our work cut out for us in Game 6, man. It’s going to be our toughest game of the year.”
Expect Coach Budenholzer to make adjustments here to go after Harden defensively, given his ongoing injury concerns. And don’t be shocked if Coach Nash pulls the plug on the Nets starters early if they are trailing by margin this evening, resting up for Saturday Night – if the Nets trail like Atlanta did last night, the game is over. Put it all together and we can expect Milwaukee to force a Game 7 with a comfortable victory here. Take the Bucks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin Event: (909) Cincinnati Reds at (910) San Diego Padres
Sport/League: MLB (See all free MLB picks (https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/MLB))
Date/Time: June 17, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: 1H Cincinnati Reds +155 W Miley (LHP), J Musgrove (RHP) Must Start
The Padres have to be thrilled to get back to San Diego after a very rough road trip. But they're in tough tonight at Petco as they face the scorching hot Reds. Cincinnati arrives with all kinds of momentum after sweeping Milwaukee and the Reds are suddenly very much back in the Central Division race, only two games out of first place. The pitching matchup is pretty close. Joe Musgrove has better base numbers than Wade Miley, but not by a lot, and Miley is .70 better in road OPS than Musgrove is at home. As for the bats, Reds slightly better on the road vs. righties than Padres at home vs. lefties and the recency offensive data favors Cincy as well. I think this game is a tossup and that indicates some beatable value on the road team at pretty hefty underdog odds. The Reds pen has been very good lately, but San Diego still has the more trustworthy relief corps. So I'll limit this to a F5 wager on the red hot Reds at a really nice price.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andy Lang Event: (919) Tampa Bay Rays at (920) Seattle Mariners
Sport/League: MLB (See all free MLB picks (https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/MLB))
Date/Time: June 17, 2021 10PM EDT
Play: 1H Total Under 4.5 (-110) R Hill (LHP), J Dunn (RHP) Must Start
What jumps off the page for this play is that the Mariners O/U record is 15-16-1 at home for 48.4% unders in comparison to 24-9-3 on the road which is 72%. Prior to his last start, Rich Hill allowed only 2 earned runs in the first 5 across 6 starts. He got beat up a bit in his last start, but regression was coming and we like him to get back to his dominant ways. Hill's strikeout rate has jumped this season and Seattle has a group of young hitters who like to chase pitches outside of the zone. Seattle has the lowest average this season against lefties at .221. Mariners starter Justin Dunn had allowed 2 earned runs or less in the first 5 for 5 straight games, so he's shown success in the early part of games. Dunn is holding opposing hitters to a .203 average this year, and his home ERA at 2.95 is significantly lower than his road ERA at 4.67. The Rays rely on the home run ball to score and Dunn has only allowed 6 home runs in 48+ innings. The trends point to a low total in Seattle home games, especially early…we'll play the first half under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1.
The Spot Player (http://www.thespotplayer.com)
MLB
Mets -125
1-1 (-20)
5-1 (+340)


2.
Doc's Picks (http://www.docspicks.com)
NBA
Nets +6
2-1 (+90)
3-1 (+190)


3.
Top Rank Sports Picks (http://www.topranksportspicks.com)
MLB
Mets -125
1-2 (-155)
2-2 (+80)


4.
Insider Sports Report (https://www.insidersportsreport.com)


2-1 (+100)
4-3 (+65)


5.
Elite Sports Picks (https://www.elite-sports-picks.com)
MLB
Astros under 9
2-0-1 (+100)
4-3 (+60)


6.
Joe Wiz (http://www.joewizsports.com)


1-0 (+100)
2-2 (-20)


7.
Profit On Sports (https://www.profitonsports.com)
MLB
Angels -1.5 +100
2-1 (+90)
3-4 (-120)


8.
National Sports Service (https://www.nationalsportsservice.com/)
MLB
Seattle under 8.5
2-1 (+70)
2-4 (-230)


9.
The Sports Consensus (https://www.thesportsconsensus.com)
MLB
Atlanta over 9
2-1 (+90)
2-4 (-245)


10.
Primetime Sports Picks (http://www.primetimesportspicks.com/)
MLB
Seattle under 8.5
2-1 (+110)
1-5 (-445)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jay McNeil

Let me see if I have this straight....the Bucks go into Brooklyn on Tuesday night listed as the small road favorite, promptly find themselves ahead by 16 points at the half and wind up getting outscored 71-49 in the second half as Milwaukee lost 114-108 and now they are back home favored by -5 1/2 points?!?!?!

This line does not make sense!!!

Yes, the Bucks should win this game to keep their season alive, especially when you consider the fact that Kevin Durant played ALL 48 minutes of Tuesday's game, while James Harden played 46 minutes on basically one good leg. You would think that Milwaukee should destroy this team tonight, but because Giannis Antetokounmpo cannot make either three-point shots or free throws and because year-after-year we see coach Mike Budenholzer appear to be no better than a rec-league head coach, forgive me if I doubt that the Bucks will cover this number.

Milwaukee won both Game 3 and Game 4 at home earlier in this series, but they did not cover in Game 3 as the -3 1/2 point favorites, so I will have to play against them tonight as the -5 1/2 point favorites.

Go with the Nets plus the points.

4* BROOKLYN

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams

When it was announced that James Harden would indeed give it a go on Tuesday night, the total on the Bucks-Nets game rose from 218 1/2 points or so all the way to 222 points by closing bell.

The reality is, the Over was the winning ticket for most bettors on Tuesday as it marked the first time in 5 games the Bucks and Nets played Over the total.

I don't suspect Kevin Durant is going to go ballistic like he did on Tuesday - especially since he played each and every minute of the game - and I really don't suspect that Jeff Green is going to make 7-of-8 three-pointers like he did in that game. Therefore, I will play the Under to come through on Thursday at Fiserv Forum.

The Nets are 5-1Under for their last 6 this postseason and are 12-7 overall Under the total fort their last 19 games that date back to the regular season.

The Bucks are still on a 7-4 Under run their last 11 games played.

Let's look for the Under to punch the ticket on Thursday in Game Five.

2* BROOKLYN-MILWAUKEE UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitchell Newman

Thursday's comp play is on the Cubbies and the Mets to follow up last night's Over with another Over at Citi Bank Field to conclude their 3 game set.

Last night the teams combined for 9 runs and an Over.

For Chicago it was their first Over in their last 4 games, while for New York just their second Over in their last 6 games.

The pitching matchup tonight suggests an Over play as Kyle Hendricks and Marcus Stroman will head to the hill.

Hendricks has made 13 starts this season and 9 of those 13 have landed Over the posted price.

Stroman is off a start that did land Under the total his last time out, but each of his prior 5 assignments ALL landed Over the total.

This is a very low total for a pair of pitchers that have seen more Overs when they start than Unders.

Just enough runs tonight in Queens to see the Cubs-Mets conclude with an Over.

1* CUBS-METS OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

Yesterday I gave you the St. Louis Cardinals as my free play and cashed in.

My free winner for tonight will be the Atlanta Braves on the run line against the Cardinals, as I believe we're looking at a pitching mismatch in this one.

Veteran Charlie Morton is struggling to provide what the Braves have needed, as he certainly has failed with the big inning. The veteran righty has allowed at least three runs in an inning in seven of his 13 starts, but tonight that doesn't come to play, as this might be just what he needs. He faces the Cardinals' top-heavy lineup that hasn't produced often. In fact, the Cards haven’t scored much at all, averaging just 3.2 runs per game over the last 15 days.

Morton should be driven to bounce back after lasting just four innings against the Miami Marlins last Friday.

The Braves will get him some run support against St. Louis starter John Gant, who has allowed 12 runs in his last 5.2 innings of work. A steadily improving Braves offense hits the ball hard at home (.793 OPS) and should plate some runs tonight.

Atlanta big.

4* BRAVES RUN LINE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gus Augustine

You do realize I've hit 15 of my last 19 complimentary plays after giving you the 1st period Over in Wednesday's Montreal-Vegas game on the ice, right? That's a 15-4 run and more of a reason that it being free for you to visit daily.

Tonight I'm in baseball, where I'm playing the Houston Astros against the Chicago White Sox.

Houston's Jose Urquidy is on the hill tonight, and will be looking to avenge a spotty performance on Friday, when he gave up three solo shots to the Twins. They weren't all that damaging, considering they were the only blemishes on a tough seven-inning effort.

Urquidy, who has allowed 11 homers and issued 11 walks over 62 innings this season and has five quality starts, has been rock solid at home, where he is 3-1 with a 2.83 ERA, allowed just five homers, two walks and nine runs over 28 2/3 innings.

Chicago goes with Dylan Cease, who will be making his second career start against Houston and his first appearance at Minute Maid Park. And anyone who is anyone knows you do not back a young pitcher who has never thrown in that humidity. It's much different, and can be troublesome on the grip of the baseball. And with everything going on with illegal substances, I don't know if Chicago's righty will last long.

Houston is the intelligent side.

3* ASTROS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: St Louis/Atlanta Over 9 Runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, THURSDAY JUNE 17, 2021
6/17 05:10 PM PT / 8:10 PM ET

MLB (915) CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS (916) HOUSTON ASTROS

Take: UNDER

Reason: The Chicago White Sox look to extend their lead in the AL Central as they play at Houston today. The Sox have a 4.5-game lead over 2nd place Cleveland. The Sox also have the best run differential in MLB with +107. The Houston Astros are in 2nd place in the NL West, 2.5-games back of the Oakland A's. The Astros have won three straight games and seven of their last 10 games. The Sox start Dylan Cease who is 5-2 on the season with a 3.37 ERA and a little worse 5.79 ERA on the road. The Astros start Jose Urquidy, who is 4-3 in his 11 starts with a 3.77 ERA and slightly better 2.83 ERA at home. Two good starters should keep this score low tonight. Your free play is on the UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: CINCINNATI/SAN DIEGO UNDER the total of 7 runs

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Totals4U Thursday's Free Selection: Detroit Tigers/Los Angeles Angels over 8 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins ROZ Selections THURSDAY, June 17, 2021

FREE PLAY
MLB
904. Mets -1.21 (4:10 PT / 7:10 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports
Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Tampa Bay Rays - 160

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#1 Sports Thursday's Free Play: Los Angeles Angels - 210

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Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: the Toronto w/Zeuch +110 over NY Yankees

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Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play THURSDAY, JUNE 17, 2021

FREE MLB
916. Astros -1.31 (5:10 PT / 8:10 ET)

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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Thursday Selection Is
NEW YORK METS w/Stroman -121

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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Thursday : Take CHICAGO CUBS/NY METS UNDER the total of 7½ runs

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Hawkeye Sports Thursday's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning - 145

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Huddle Up Sports
Thursday Free Play
San Diego Musgrove -163

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Arthur Ralph

Thurs Over TOTAL 220 Bucks/Nets

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The Last Call Thursday's Free Play: Los Angeles Angels - 195

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Teyas Sports FREE PICK 6/17 SAN DIEGO OVER 7 1/2

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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Thursday: TAMPA BAY/SEATTLE OVER the total of 8½ runs

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High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Thursday: Los Angeles Angels - 210

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Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Thursday: Tampa Bay (NHL) -140

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John Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Thursday:
St Louis/Atlanta OVER 9 runs

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Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Thursday:
Cincy/SD UNDER 7 runs

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Hollywood Anthony Your Free Thursday Play from Hollywood

MLB Houston w/Urquidy -130