Monday 7/5/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis July 5, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Northfield Park has a 15 race card scheduled for tonight. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

1-Cash N Chips (5/2)-Should relish the company and has the gate speed to take control and not look back in the 1st start at NFLD. Looks like a main player if handles the turns on the 1/2 mile oval.
2-I Am Winning (9/5)-May not get the lead off the gate but should be put in play early on. Was used a couple of times in last and just missed. Has been in sharp form and drawing inside should help chances for a picture.

Race 12

4-Elegant Gigi (9/2)-Winner of 2 straight both from tough posts, one race here and the other at a fair. Should be in the hunt for the top check again. The Weaver barn is batting 30% over the past 30 days and this filly likes to win.
5-Magic Credit Card (5/2)-Has been competitive at ScD and is looking for the first NFLD win in 3 starts. Versatile filly can win on the engine but can come off cover as well.
9-Shenzi As (2-1)-Comes off a nice win on 6/17 at ScD from the 2nd tier. Isn't the quickest off the gate but probably has more speed than anyone in the field. It will be up to Merriman to work a smooth steer and the Lorentzon barn has been hot, winning at a 31% clip over the past 30 days.

Race 13

2-PQ Three (8-1)-Ten-year-old has been in the money in 14 of 28 starts here with 2 wins. Has the gate speed to get a close-up seat and could surprise at a nice price with a decent trip.
4-Million Wave (9/5)-Here is the morning line chalk, 0-16 in 2021 and 2-38 the past 2 years. That says something about this group, but tough to leave out. Does have good speed, Merriman steers and starts from a nice spot. Using but will likely offer no value.
8-Star Speaker (20-1)-Had excuses in last 2 when dropped to this level and has the gate speed to be put in play off the gate. Davis Jr knows how to drive aggressively and could pop at long odds with a decent trip. Has hit the board in 8 of 14 starts at NFLD and has taken 5 pictures.

Race 14

1-Forget The Past (4-1)-Makes NFLD debut but has experience racing on a half-mile oval. Has hit the board in all 5 starts this year with 1 win. Wrenn takes the lines which could make a difference and should be in the hunt.
4-Incomeorexpenses (7-1)-Should leave to get a good seat and can win coming off cover. Breaking problems from late April early May don't appear to be an issue and could be sitting on a big try at a solid price.

$1 Late Pick 4

1,2/4,5,9/2,4,8/1,4
Total Bet=$36

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Jeff Siegel's National Prime Plays for 7/5/21

July 5, 2021
Every Thursday through Sunday handicapper Jeff Siegel offers his best wagering opportunity from a selected North American racetrack. These “Best Plays” can take the form of a win wager, exacta, trifecta, or a daily double, pick-3, pick-4 or pick-6. Selections are listed in chronological order.

*

Delaware Park Race 1 - Post time: 1:15 ET
6-Boss Lady Kim (6-1)

In an unclassified six-runner field of maiden juvenile fillies, Boss Lady Kim is worth a play. The homebred daughter of Street Boss from the outstanding New Jersey-based stakes winning mare Ima Jersey Girl shows a strong, steady, and healthy work tab for trainer G. Sacco (excellent stats with debut runners) while landing a cozy outside post, so we’re expecting this Florida-bred filly to pop go in this five furlong dash while offering excellent wagering value at or near her morning line of 6-1.
*
*
Delaware Park Race 3 – Post time: 2:15 PT
7-Bad to the Bones

From the first crop of Horse of the Year Arrogate, Bad to the Bones looks very much like a live item in this five furlong sprint and really doesn’t appear to have a whole lot to beat. With six recent workouts in a steady pattern that should have him plenty fit, the Stone Farm homebred colt – purchased in utero for $440,00 at Keeneland in 2018 – should have clear sailing and every chance for highly capable trainer G. Motion. At 5/2 on the morning line, he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.
*
*

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Belmont - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#5 Moon Over Miami
He's likely a bit more tactical today while dealing with more manageable splits, and he should be able to get the jump on a couple of serious closing threats.


#6 Gufo
He'll race with blinkers for the first time, so maybe that will keep him in the game a bit earlier today. He's a relentless finisher with a big claim on the top spot today.


#8 Burning Bright
He'll get back to the turf for the first time since a dull career debut, but he rolled an off-turf bunch going 10f last time out and should get a great trip right up near the pace. I'd want him on deeper tickets.


Race Summary
Moon Over Miami is probably second choice in this spot, and he should be a bit closer to the early action today than he was last time out. I'll try to longshot Burning Bright in the picture with either of the top two choices.


Belmont - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#2 Sister Otoole
She exits a good finishing effort over the Churchill lawn where she caught a really well-meant winner, and she looks like a good fit right back with this bunch. Feel like the 10/1 ML price would be plenty appealing.


#4 Creative Cairo
Had a tough time splitting the top pair, so this one will be prominent on my plays. She drops after failing to pick up over good ground when trying Grade III company in that last one, but she's probably a better fit here and can be on the scene late.


#8 High Opinion
She's a pretty reliable finisher, but she hasn't quite yet made her way back to those big efforts from last fall. She can win here, but she might be overbet.


Race Summary
Sister Otoole faced a tough winner in that last one, but a repeat of that effort might be good enough to land this one. Creative Cairo looks like a good fit, too, while High Opinion can beat me at an underlaid price.


Belmont - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#5 Snow House
Worth taking a look at this one to use against the chalk, as he has rattled off a couple of nice main-track wins in a row. He draws well to prompt the splits early and can land this with a step forward.


#2 First Captain
No doubt he's the one to beat off a couple of sharp -- and fast -- wins to open his career. He's the clear one to beat today at a short price.


#1 Gershwin
He has some pretty reliable form, but his best efforts have come when facing off-turf fields rather than straight dirt races full of dirt horses. He's in the picture, but I'll let him prove it to me today.


Race Summary
No real knocks on First Captain through two starts, but he's going to be a very short price with these, and Snow House should be in the right kind of position to have a go at him.

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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Pleasanton - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#2 Plum Wild
Has excellent speed and has shown it against winners; can get to the lead and should be difficult to catch.


#1 B B Kiddo
Comes in off a maiden-claiming win and likely will get a good stalking run; trainer Steiner is 40 percent (2 of 5).


#4 Unusual Secret
Has closed ground in several races and could benefit from a speed dual ahead of him.


Race Summary
Plum Wild can roll on the front end and should be tough to pass going 5.5 furlongs.


Pleasanton - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#1 Time is Gone
Has tactical speed and can sail the rail during his run; can benefit from a good trip.


#3 Lightinthedarkness
Was third in a similar spot here last time and broke his maiden over this surface last year; jockey Ayuso hitting at a 30-percent clip (9-30).


#2 Phantom Drop
Takes a class drop for this and should be able to make a run into contention.


Race Summary
Time is Gone is fast enough to be a factor from the start and can dig in against these at a good price.


Pleasanton - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#5 Arch Prince
Was along for second last time and was claimed by Moger; makes his first start of the year and has run vs. better than these.


#6 El Chava Del Ocho
Drops out of a longer race and can be a factor from the start in this sprint.


#1 Engram
Was second going a route two race and hasn't sprinted since March; has been with good company and can make a late run in this turnback in distance.


Race Summary
Arch Prince has kept some salty company and lands in a good spot for his first since October.

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Tony Finn Event: (907) Milwaukee Brewers at (908) New York Mets
Sport/League: MLB (See all free MLB picks (https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/MLB))
Date/Time: July 5, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Milwaukee Brewers -160 B Woodruff (RHP), T Megill (RHP) Must Start
The National League Central first-place Brewers (51-34) and NL East first-place New York Mets (43-37) are scheduled to play the first of a three-game set at Citi Field on Monday night with a 7:10 pm ET first pitch. The Brewers give the ball to Brandon Woodruff (7-3, 1.87 ERA) to oppose Mets' Tylor Megill (0-0, 4.82).
The right-handed Megill weighs in at 230 lbs and stands at 6’7”. The former 8th round selection has been pimped as one of the top pitching prospects in the Mets' organizations since 2019. He spent most of the COVID campaign in Low-A to Double-A with 22 appearances, 11 starts, 71.2 innings, 64 hits allowed, and a total of 28 earned runs surrendered. Megill owned a 92:25 K:BB ratio and a 3.52 ERA. Hard contact was an issue with the big righty, as evidence in his .343 BABIP.
There isn't much to add to what Woodruff has shown and accomplished in 2021. The Brewers' ace will need a major meltdown not to be still standing when Megill is replaced on Monday night.

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Mike Wynn Free Pick: Texas w/Allard -145 over Detroit

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Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR MONDAY: MILWAUKEE/NY METS UNDER the total of 7 runs

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Totals4U Monday's Free Selection: Cincinnati Reds/Kansas City Royals over 10

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Atlantic Sports
Monday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Tampa Bay Lighting - 155 (NHL)

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#1 Sports Monday's Free Play: Tampa Bay Rays - 205

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Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: the LA Dodgers/Miami Game UNDER 7 Runs

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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Monday : Take BOSTON/LA ANGELS OVER the total of 10 runs

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Hawkeye Sports Monday's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning - 155

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Huddle Up Sports
Monday Free Play
Kansas City Minor -113

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Arthur Ralph FreePlay MON Brewers Woodruff-150

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The Last Call Monday's Free Play: Tampa Bay Rays - 200

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Teyas Sports FREE PICK 7/5 MLB LA DODGERS UNDER 7

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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Monday: CLEVELAND/TAMPA BAY UNDER the total of 8½ runs

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High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Monday: Milwaukee Brewers - 165

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Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Monday: TB/Mont UNDER 5 goals

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John Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Monday:
Kansas City (Minor) -115

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Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Monday:
Cincy/KC UNDER 10 runs

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Hollywood Anthony Your Free Monday Play from Hollywood

MLB Cincinnati w/Gutierrrez +105

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Free Winners for Monday, July 5th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE NHL PICKS
Lightning @ Canadiens
TIME: 8:00 PM EST
PICK: BET Lightning -160 @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

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Calvin King
Game Details
Jul 05 '21, 7:10 PM in 12h
MLB | CLE vs TAM
Play on: UNDER 9 -115
Game Analysis

[1%] Free Play on Rays under 9

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MLB
Weather Report

Monday, July 5

https://i.ibb.co/TgFSdZw/Screenshot-2021-07-05-at-06-39-43-MLB-Weather-Report-Find-Upcoming-Conditions-for-the-MLB.png (https://ibb.co/CHTZDqw)

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901ST LOUIS -902 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 30-12 SU (20.6 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

903LA DODGERS -904 MIAMI
MIAMI is 36-22 SU (10.6 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse in the current season.

905ATLANTA -906 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 7-20 SU (-16.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

907MILWAUKEE -908 NY METS
MILWAUKEE is 27-13 SU (17.3 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

909PHILADELPHIA -910 CHICAGO CUBS
PHILADELPHIA is 3-13 SU (-11.3 Units) in road games when playing on Monday in the last 3 seasons.

911WASHINGTON -912 SAN DIEGO
WASHINGTON is 17-6 SU (11.9 Units) vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in the current season.

913CHI WHITE SOX -914 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 19-44 SU (-35.2 Units) with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) in the current season.

915CLEVELAND -916 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 25-10 SU (14.7 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

917DETROIT -918 TEXAS
TEXAS are 12-31 SU (-22.1 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.

919BOSTON -920 LA ANGELS
BOSTON is 19-5 SU (14.3 Units) in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

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MLB
Dunkel

Monday, July 5

https://i.ibb.co/yqZW0pb/Screenshot-2021-07-05-at-06-42-51-MLB-Baseball-Picks-The-Dunkel-Index.png (https://ibb.co/m426J0M)

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MLB

Monday, July 5

NL games
St Louis (41-44) @ San Francisco (52-30)
— Kim is 1-1, 3.26 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— over 6-4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco.

— Cardinals won five of their last eight games.
— St Louis is 2-12 in its last 14 road games.
— Under is 14-5-2 in their last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-84
— record in first 5 innings: 33-35-16

— Gausman is 5-2, 1.88 in his last eight starts.
— Giants are 11-5 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 11-3-2
— He is 0-2, 4.60 in 6 games (2 starts) vs St Louis.

— Giants are 18-9 in their last 27 games.
— Giants are 11-3 in last 14 home games.
— Over is 6-3 in their last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-82
— record in first 5 innings: 45-26-11

Dodgers (53-31) @ Miami (35-47)
— Buehler is 5-1, 2.08 in his last six starts.
— Dodgers are 5-1 in his road starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-4
— He is 1-1, 3.86 in four starts vs Miami.

— Dodgers are 9-4 in their last 13 games.
— Dodgers are 10-5 in their last 15 road games.
— over 5-3 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-84
— record in first 5 innings: 43-27-14

— Rogers is 0-2, 3.24 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 8-8 in his starts.
— under 10-6
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.

— Marlins are 6-12 in their last 18 games.
— Miami is 2-5 in its last seven home games.
— under 15-9-1 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-80
— record in first 5 innings: 31-34-15

Atlanta (41-42) @ Pittsburgh (30-53)
— Fried is 3-1, 2.63 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 6-6 in his starts.
— under 6-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-12
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-1
— He is 1-0, 4.91 in two starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Braves are 12-13 in their last 25 games
— Atlanta is 5-8 in its last 13 road games.
— under 9-3-1 in last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-83
— record in first 5 innings: 43-29-11

— DeJong is 0-3, 6.59 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 1-5 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Pirates lost six of last seven games.
— Pittsburgh is 9-10 in its last 19 home games.
— under 5-3-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 24-83
— record in first 5 innings: 24-48-11

Milwaukee (51-34) @ Mets (43-37)
— Woodruff is 3-1, 3.30 in his last five starts.
— Milwaukee is 12-4 in his starts.
— under 10-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-2-5
— He is 2-0, 1.80 in two starts vs New York.

— Brewers won 13 of their last 15 games.
— Milwaukee won seven of last nine road games.
— over 6-4 last ten road games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-85
— record in first 5 innings: 40-28-17

— Megill is 0-0, 4.82 in two starts.
— Mets are 2-0 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.

— Mets are 8-12 in their last 20 games.
— Mets are 18-7 in their last 25 home games.
— under 5-2 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-80
— record in first 5 innings: 37-34-9

Philadelphia (39-42) @ Cubs (42-42)
— Moore is 0-1, 7.31 in four starts.
— Phillies are 3-1 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-2
— He is 0-2, 6.00 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Phillies are 6-9 in their last 15 games.
— Phillies are 24-16 at home, 15-26 on road.
— under 12-7 last 19 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-81
— record in first 5 innings: 31-31-19

— Davies is 3-2, 3.14 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 10-7 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-3
— He is 2-1, 5.19 in three starts vs Philly.

— Cubs lost 9 in row, 15 of last 19 games.
— Chicago is 11-4 in its last 15 home games.
— Under is 23-10 in their last 33 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-84
— record in first 5 innings: 37-36-11

Washington (40-42) @ San Diego (50-36)
— Lester is 2-2, 6.53 in his last nine starts.
— Washington is 6-6 in his starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-2
— He is 3-1, 4.24 in eight starts vs San Diego.

— Washington lost its last four games.
— Nationals are 5-2 in their last seven road games.
— under 8-5 last 13 road games
— scored run in first inning: 27-82
— record in first 5 innings: 34-30-18

— Musgrove is 0-2, 4.13 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 9-6 in his starts.
— over last three
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-2
— He is 0-2, 5.73 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Washington.

— Padres won 12 of their last 16 games.
— San Diego is 9-1 in its last 10 home games.
— over 12 of last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-86
— record in first 5 innings: 34-38-14

AL games
White Sox (50-34) @ Minnesota (34-48)
— Cease is 4-1, 4.33 in his last five starts
— Chicago is 10-6 in his starts.
— over 9-6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-4
— He is 1-0, 4.09 in two starts vs Minnesota this year.

— Chicago is 6-9 in its last 15 games.
— White Sox are 2-7 in last nine road games.
— over 10-3 last 13 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-82
— record in first 5 innings: 45-22-16

— Ober is 0-1, 5.84 in six starts.
— Twins are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He is 0-1, 11.05 in two starts vs Chicago this year.

— Minnesota lost five of its last six games.
— Twins are 5-7 in last dozen home games.
— over 16-5-1 last 22 home games
— scores run in first inning: 32-82
— record in first 5 innings: 26-38-18

Cleveland (42-39) @ Tampa Bay (48-36)
— Allen is 0-3, 23.82 in his last three starts.
— Indians are 1-4 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Cleveland lost eight of its last nine games.
— Indians are 3-6 in last nine road games.
— over 30-16-1 last 47 games
— scores run in first inning: 29-81
— record in first 5 innings: 29-39-13

— Hill is 1-1, 5.66 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 9-7 in his starts.
— over 10-6
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-4
— He is 1-1, 4.82 in 10 games (3 starts) vs Cleveland.

— Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games.
— Rays are 7-2 in last nine home games.
— over is 5-2-1 in last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-84
— record in first 5 innings: 32-31-21

Detroit (38-46) @ Texas (33-51)
— Peralta is 1-1, 4.26 in three starts.
— Tigers are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 1-0, 3.48 in 6 games (1 start) vs Texas.

— Detroit is 9-7 its last 16 games.
— Detroit is 3-1 in its last four road games.
— over 17-7 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 17-85
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1 last eight on road.

— Allard is 1-4, 3.66 in six starts.
— Texas is 1-5 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.

— Texas won seven of its last 11 games.
— Texas is 5-2 in its last seven home games.
— over 13-7-2 last 22 games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-84
— record in first 5 innings: 30-42-12

Boston (53-32) @ Angels (42-41)
— Perez is 2-0, 3.86 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 10-6 in his starts.
— under 7-2-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-3
— He is 6-5, 4.02 in 15 starts vs Anaheim.

— Boston is 16-7 in its last 23 games.
— Red Sox are 10-5 in their last 15 road games.
— over 15-10 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-85
— record in first 5 innings: 40-31-14

— Suarez is making his first ’21 start.
— He is 3-1, 1.98 in nine relief stints this year (27.1 IP)
— He gave up 4 runs in five IP in one start vs Boston.

— Halos split their last 12 games.
— Angels split their last six home games.
— over 20-6 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-84
— record in first 5 innings: 36-37-11

Interleague games
Cincinnati (43-40) @ Kansas City (35-48)
— Gutierrez is 0-2, 8.22 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Cincinnati won its last four games.
— Reds are 1-5 in last six road games.
— over 5-1 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 23-83
— record in first 5 innings: 32-37-14

— Minor is 1-3, 6.04 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 8-9 in his starts.
— over 8-5 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-1
— He is 3-1, 2.91 in five starts vs Cincinnati.

— Royals lost 21 of their last 27 games.
— Royals are 4-7 in their last 11 home games.
— over 12-7 last 19 home games.
— scores run in first inning: 17-83
— record in first 5 innings: 30-42-11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Monday, July 5

Trend Report

St. Louis @ San Francisco
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games
San Francisco
San Francisco is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis

LA Dodgers @ Miami
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Atlanta @ Pittsburgh
Atlanta
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games at home

Milwaukee @ NY Mets
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
NY Mets is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

Cleveland @ Tampa Bay
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 13 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

Chi White Sox @ Minnesota
Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox

Philadelphia @ Chi Cubs
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Detroit @ Texas
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Texas
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Texas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit

Cincinnati @ Kansas City
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 10 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Boston @ LA Angels
Boston
Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels
LA Angels is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston
LA Angels is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Washington @ San Diego
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, July 5

https://i.ibb.co/WBTQsxC/Screenshot-2021-07-05-at-06-34-35-NHL-Hockey-Picks-The-Dunkel-Index.png (https://ibb.co/44QcJmk)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Monday, July 5

Trend Report

Tampa Bay @ Montreal
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Montreal is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hastings



Hastings - Race 5

Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)



Allowance • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 6:52P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 29 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE APRIL 29 ALLOWED 4 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. TORIADOR is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TORIADOR: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. ERLICH: Horse is highest ranked on Good Speed and Good Class. CASCADE BILLY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. CHA CHING: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HE'S RELENTLESS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.



2

TORIADOR

9/2


6/1




4

ERLICH

4/1


6/1




5

CASCADE BILLY

5/2


7/1




6

CHA CHING

9/2


8/1




3

HE'S RELENTLESS

6/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




2

TORIADOR

2


9/2

Front-runner

80


86


97.5


63.7


54.7




5

CASCADE BILLY

5


5/2

Stalker

86


83


91.8


81.6


77.1




1

SET TO SHINE

1


3/1

Stalker

78


76


66.4


73.5


64.5




4

ERLICH

4


4/1

Alternator/Stalker

89


93


63.0


72.1


63.6




6

CHA CHING

6


9/2

Trailer

86


83


61.4


81.8


78.3




3

HE'S RELENTLESS

3


6/1

Trailer

86


79


42.8


73.8


67.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Grants Pass



Grants Pass - Race 1

$2 WPS / $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $2 Daily Double (Races 1-2) $1 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)



Claiming $2,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 65 • Purse: $5,900 • Post: 5:15P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED AT THE 2021 GRANTS PASS DOWNS SPRING/SUMMER MEET AND HAVE NOT FINISHED FIRST, SECOND OR THIRD AT THE MEET. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * BARBELLO (NZ): Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse has the highest Tr ackMaster Power Rating. GET YOURSELF HOME: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. VISION OF THE KAT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Jo ckey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30.



4

BARBELLO (NZ)

2/1


5/2




6

GET YOURSELF HOME

5/2


4/1




3

VISION OF THE KAT

7/2


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




6

GET YOURSELF HOME

6


5/2

Alternator/Stalker

68


69


82.0


54.6


49.6




4

BARBELLO (NZ)

4


2/1

Trailer

79


78


68.0


63.4


59.9




3

VISION OF THE KAT

3


7/2

Trailer

68


54


58.0


52.8


45.8




1

MERGIE TROID

1


9/2

Alternator/Non-contender

71


61


52.0


51.6


47.1




2

ASTOUNDING ABBY

2


5/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


0.0


37.0


27.5




5

SEISMIC BELLE

5


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

63


41


0.0


16.9


5.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14400 Class Rating: 66

FOR TEXAS ACCREDITED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 VICKSLINCOLNLAWYER 3/5




# 3 PAPA MOLLY 9/2




# 1A MORO WARRIOR 5/2




VICKSLINCOLNLAWYER looks formidable to best this field. Looks very strong to be up on the lead at the first call. Ran a very solid last race. One of the most respectable win percentages between this jock and handler make this gelding dangerous. PAPA MOLLY - Have to look at solely on class, with some of the top class numbers of this group. Difficult to pass on this gelding with Cabrera in the saddle. MORO WARRIOR - May wake up with Lasix change (on Lasix) today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Presque Isle Downs - Race #3 - Post: 5:35pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 75

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 HATS OFF TOO YOU (ML=7/2)
#3 DON'T MAKE ME BEG (ML=9/2)


HATS OFF TOO YOU - Walsh drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more from the pp lines to believe this horse should run well at this level. Sub-par effort in the last race at Keeneland was due to the off-going (he ended up eighth). Will do better today on a fast track. DON'T MAKE ME BEG - Morales's agent must like anytime Brooks gives them a mount; winning percentage together is fantastic. Brooks drops her down to this level. You don't need too much more data to believe this animal has a good chance at this level. I like that latest effort on June 8th at Belterra Park where she ended up third.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 STUCK UP (ML=9/5), #1 QUARTERMASTER (ML=5/1), #2 JOEYVILLE (ML=6/1),

STUCK UP - Hard to invest in a entrant that lays up for a long time then doesn't hit the board off the very long layoff. QUARTERMASTER - On a downward cycle. Speed ratings keep lessening. JOEYVILLE - This horse doesn't have a conquering mental state. Time-and-again finishes close, but no cigar. Lower level horses have a difficult time coming back after two grinding stretch drives.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #4 HATS OFF TOO YOU to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/5 or better though



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,4]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Assiniboia Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 58

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 LADY NYLA 7/5




# 3 HATSHEPSUT 10/1




# 6 MISSION REALITY 5/1




LADY NYLA gets the edge as the bet in here. Must be considered a definite contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. She has garnered strong figs under today's conditions and ought to fare well versus this field. Her 59 average has this filly with among the best Equibase Speed Figs in this event. HATSHEPSUT - If you gander closely, this horse has some longshot possibilities. Have to look at solely on class, with some of the top class figures of this field. MISSION REALITY - Hard to pass on this filly with Chickeness in the irons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Mountaineer Park - Race #4 - Post: 8:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,700 Class Rating: 47

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 IMPERIAL PALACE (ML=5/2)
#6 I HAVEWHATIT TAKES (ML=9/2)


IMPERIAL PALACE - Last time around the track was at Mountaineer Park in a race with an Equibase class figure of 54. Dropping a significant amount in class figure today puts him in a solid position in this race. I like to wager on this angle, a pony coming back off a nice effort within the last month or so. I HAVEWHATIT TAKES - Was in a Maiden Special race at Mountaineer Park last time out. That race had a class figure of 58 and he is moving down in this event. A certain solid contender.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 THREE BALL (ML=3/1), #5 PIRATE EXPLOSIVE (ML=7/2), #2 INTO MAGARAYQUAZA (ML=5/1),

THREE BALL - Not the best 'placement' in this race. PIRATE EXPLOSIVE - This entrant has had no success at Mountaineer Park. INTO MAGARAYQUAZA - Tough to play this entrant this time. Make him show you something in a short distance race before you play him in a race of 5 1/2 furlongs. Awfully hard to play this mount when he hasn't been showing any signs of readiness recently. Don't feel this entrant will make an impact in today's event. That last fig was mediocre when compared with today's class figure.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #3 IMPERIAL PALACE on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park



07/05/21, BEL, Race 5, 3.02 ET
07/05/21,BEL,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 CLAIMING. Purse $55,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% AftercareAssessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Best
Occ
Win%
ROI


100.0000
6
Awesome Indra
5/1
Hernandez Moreno O
Richards Marvin
SF
168
35.71
1.13/$1


099.9214
5
Baby Boss
9/5
Franco M
Arriaga Antonio
JL
173
34.68
1.13/$1


099.0966
1
Sweet Mia
5/2
Hernandez B
Vazquez Juan C.
EW
112
34.82
1.24/$1


097.8008
2
Miss Mi Mi
4/1
Davis D
Quick Patrick J.
TC
112
34.82
1.24/$1


097.5995
4
Mosienko(b+)
10/1
Cardenas L
Miranda Luis A.


157
37.58
1.22/$1


095.3065
3
Stunning Munnings
9/2
Cancel E
Persaud Randi


112
34.82
1.24/$1


Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 37.96, ROI 1.20/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0786
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint With Sprint Today

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant Event: (905) Atlanta Braves at (906) Pittsburgh Pirates
Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: July 5, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Total Over 9.0 (-115) M Fried (LHP), C De Jong (RHP) Must Start
-> Fried owns a 1.61 WHIP and .940 OPS allowed on the road.
-> Jong owns a 1.50 WHIP and .940 OPS allowed at home.
-> Braves bullpen owns a 1.40 WHIP on the season (27th in MLB).
-> Pirates pen owns a 1.82 WHIP over the last week (28th in MLB).
-> Pittsburgh is 7-0 OVER after batting .175 or worse over a 3-game span this season.
-> Pittsburgh is 25-12 OVER in home games with triple revenge over the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard Event: (917) Detroit Tigers at (918) Texas Rangers

Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: July 5, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Detroit Tigers +141 W Peralta (RHP), K Allard (LHP) Must Start
917 Detroit at Texas
Listed Peralta & Allard
The wRC+ numbers based on the handedness of the starting pitchers gives a slight 6% advantage to the traveling Tigers. Over the past month Detroit actually has a winning 16-14 record, while Texas is 11-19.
The pitching advantage from the starters gives Allard the edge, but not nearly as high as this line would suggest. Yes, he is pitching well, but Peralta hasn't been bad himself.
Texas should be favored but not by this high of a number. The Tigers have solid value in this underdog price range.
PLAY DETROIT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Jul 05 '21, 1:00 PM in 58m
Soccer | Elfsborg vs IFK Goteborg
Play on: Elfsborg +190 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on Elfsborg +190

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Red Dog Sports Jul 05 '21, 4:45 PM in 4h
Soccer | Rentistas vs Cerrito
Play on: Draw +210 at BetCris

draw +210
Rentistas 1
Cerrito 1
The free soccer play takes place on Monday, July 5th at 4:45pm eastern. Take the draw as I expect to see a 1-1 score.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Jul 05 '21, 6:05 PM in 6h
MLB | Cardinals vs Giants
Play on: Giants -180 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Giants -180

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers Jul 05 '21, 6:40 PM in 6h
MLB | LAD vs MIA
Play on: UNDER 7½ -118

LA Dodgers (Walker Beuhler) vs. Miami Marlins (Trevor Rogers)
Two top notch starters. One in the pitching stratosphere, and one on the way.
The Dodgers haven’t score a ton of runs of late, but with starters like Beuhler and terrific relief pitchers, they haven’t needed to. Of note: a bullpen day against the Nationals, allowing only 1 run in 9 innings.
The Marlins’ pen failed last night, but has been very successful in its last 7 games.
The wager
I am taking the UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays Jul 05 '21, 7:10 PM in 7h
MLB | CLE vs TAM
Play on: UNDER 9 -115

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Indians vs Rays under 9 -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price Jul 05 '21, 7:10 PM in 7h
MLB | CLE vs TAM
Play on: OVER 8½ -110

Dave's Monday Free Play:
1* on Indians/Rays OVER 8.5
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays are capable of covering this OVER on their own tonight, but they should get some help from the Cleveland Indians too. Logan Allen is 1-5 with an 8.85 ERA in 6 starts this year for the Indians, including 0-3 with a 14.73 ERA in his last 3 outings. Rich Hill is having a solid season overall but has come back down to earth of late. Hill is 1-1 with a 5.66 ERA in his last 4 starts while yielding 13 earned runs and 6 HR's in 20 2/3 innings. He is 1-1 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against the Indians as well. Take the OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson Jul 05 '21, 7:10 PM in 7h
MLB | Indians vs Rays
Play on: Rays -1½ -104 at pinnacle

Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Monday 7-5-21
Cleveland @ Tampa Bay (7:10 PM EST)
Play On: Tampa Bay -1.5 -104 (Allen/Hill) Listed
The Cleveland Indians travel to Tampa Bay to take on the Rays on Monday night. Cleveland is 42-38 SU overall this year while Tampa Bay comes in with a 47-36 SU overall record on the season. Logan Allen is 1-5 with a 8.85 ERA overall this year, 0-1 with an 18.00 ERA on the road this season and 0-3 with a 14.73 ERA his last 3 starts. Rich Hill is 6-3 with a 3.70 ERA overall this year and 3-2 with a 3.50 ERA at home this season. Cleveland is 1-6 last 7 games overall scoring only 3.9 runs per game while allowing 6.4 runs per game. Tampa Bay is allowing only 3.3 runs per game at home this season. Tampa Bay is 6-1 overall vs Cleveland past 3 years. We'll recommend a small play on Tampa Bay on the Run Line tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Jul 05 '21, 7:10 PM in 7h
MLB | White Sox vs Twins
Play on: Twins +104 at pinnacle

1* on Twins +104

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Jul 05 '21, 7:10 PM in 7h
MLB | CLE vs TAM
Play on: UNDER 9 -115

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Indians/Rays under 9 -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander Jul 05 '21, 7:10 PM in 7h
MLB | Indians vs Rays
Play on: Rays -1½ -103 at pinnacle

1* MLB - Indians/Rays *FREE PICK* on Rays -1.5, -103
Monday's Free MLB Pick is on the Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-103) at home against the Cleveland Indians. Rays snapped their 5-game losing streak with a win at Toronto on Sunday and I like them to stay hot back home against a struggling Indians team that has lost 6 straight and come in having scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight games. Don't see Cleveland getting that offense going against TB's Rich Hill, who has a 3.70 ERA in 16 starts. As for the Rays' offense, they should be in for a big day against the Indian's Logan Allen, who is 1-5 with a 8.85 ERA in 6 starts. Bet the Rays -1.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy Jul 05 '21, 7:10 PM in 7h
MLB | CWS vs MIN
Play on: OVER 9½ -125

Monday MLB Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Minnesota at 7:10 pm et on Monday.
We missed with the 'over' in the Twins 6-2 victory over the Royals yesterday but I won't hesitate to come back with the same play as Minnesota returns home to host the White Sox on Monday.
Dylan Cease will take the ball for Chicago. Three of his last four starts have totaled at least 12 runs. Note that he has posted a 6.08 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in eight road starts this season with the 'over' cashing at a 5-2-1 clip. The Twins will be getting their third look at Cease this season. While they haven't had a ton of success they have managed to score five earned runs on eight hits and five walks over 11 innings. Those two contests totaled 12 and 16 runs.
Behind Cease is a Chicago bullpen that that owns a collective 4.14 ERA and 1.45 WHIP on the road this season. In night games, White Sox relievers have converted 11 saves while blowing 10.
Bailey Ober gets the nod for Minnesota. Chicago has already seen him twice this season (including last week) and has has hit him hard, scoring nine earned runs including five home runs in just 7 1/3 innings. Ober will be pitching on four days' rest on Monday which is concerning as his last two outings haven't gone well (9 ER allowed in 7 2/3 innings).
The Twins bullpen has recorded a collective 4.87 ERA and 1.37 WHIP at home this season with only eight saves converted and six blown. Take the over (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus Jul 05 '21, 7:10 PM in 7h
MLB | CLE vs TAM
Play on: UNDER 9 -115

1* Free Sharp Play on Indians vs Rays under 9 -115
The UNDER (9) is worth a look in Monday's MLB action between the Rays and Indians. This is just too big a number. Tampa Bay will have Rich Hill on the mound, who is 6-3 with a 3.70 ERA in 16 starts. UNDER has gone 18-7 in Rays last 15 at home with a high total of 8.5 to 10 runs. IT's also 12-2 in their last 14 at home when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3. Play the UNDER 9!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Jul 05 '21, 8:05 PM in 8h
MLB | Phillies vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs -134 at Draft Kings

Free Pick on Cubs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Jul 05 '21, 8:05 PM in 8h
MLB | PHI vs CHC
Play on: UNDER 11 -110

Free Total Annihilator On Phillies vs Cubs under 11 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns Jul 05 '21, 8:05 PM in 8h
MLB | Phillies vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs -134 at Draft Kings

Enough's enough. Off nine straight losses, the Cubs will fall below .500 if they lose again here. I don't see that happening. The Cubs have been on the road for ages. They're 16-29 away from home. Getting back to Wrigley, where they're a healthy 26-13, will be a welcome relief. Note that the Phillies are also much better at home; they're only 15-26 on the road. Davies gets the call and the Cubs are 6-2 when he starts at Wrigley. Moore has only made one start since April and he's got a 6.75 ERA (1.875 WHIP) in four starts overall. The Cubs are 10-4 as home favorites in the -125 to -175 range. Consider Chicago.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover Jul 05 '21, 8:05 PM in 8h
MLB | Phillies vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs -135 at Mirage

The 42-42 Cubs are a talented team unlike most other .500 or below teams. But they've lost nine in a row, averaging only 2.4 runs per game during this skid.
I usually prefer to play on a streak rather than against it. I'll make an exception this time. I see the Cubs winning here as does the oddsmaker making Chicago a mid-size favorite. A big reason for this is to quote the never-to-be-forgotten Cubs broadcaster I grew up listening to, Jack Brickhouse. He would come on the air saying welcome from the friendly confines of Wrigley Field. The Cubs' losing streak consists entirely of road defeats, the last three occurring by one run each. Now they're back home at Wrigley Field where they have won 22 of the last 30 times for 73 percent. Philadelphia is 15-26 on the road. The Phillies have lost 10 of the last 14 times they've played at Wrigley Field. I hold no special affinity for Cubs starter Zach Davies and his 4.32 ERA. Davies has pitched slightly better at home with a 4.15 ERA. However, I'll take Davies over Phillies starter Matt Moore and a highly-disappointing Philadelphia bullpen that has blown a staggering 22 of 41 save chances. Cubs closer Craig Kimbrel, by contrast, has 20 saves and a 0.59 ERA. He's having a huge year even by his lofty standards. Moore has a 5.79 ERA, 1.67 WHIP and has surrendered five homers in 23 1/3 innings. The forecast is for the wind to be blowing out at 14 mph. So fire up Kris Bryant, Javier Baez, Anthony Rizzo, Wilson Contreras, Joc Pederson, Nico Hoerner and any other good power hitter you can think of on the Cubs because there figures to be plenty of scoring - just more on the Chicago side.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness Jul 05 '21, 8:10 PM in 8h
MLB | Reds vs Royals
Play on: Royals -117 at pinnacle

My free play is on the KC Royals at 8:10 ET.
The Cincinnati Reds broke a six-year playoff drought in 2020, going 31-29 and erninga wild card spot. The team's postseason lasted all of two games, as they lost 1-0 (13 innings) and 5-0 to the Braves, meaning the Reds were held scoreless over 22 innings. That said, the Reds were expected to contend in the NL Central again in 2021.Cincy heads to KC for a three-games series with the Royals on a four-game winning streak that leaves them 43-40. The Reds may be in second-place in the NL Central but the Brewers are red-hot and have pulled away to a seven-game lead over Cincinnati (Cubs have fallen 8 1/2 back and the Cards 10 back). The Royals lost 104 games in 2018, 103 in 2019 and then went 26-34 in 2020. KC opened its weekend series this past Friday against Minnesota on a nine-game slide but beat the Twins 7-4 and 6-3. However, the Royals couldn't complete the sweep, losing 6-2 on Sunday. KC welcomes Cincy to Kauffman Stadium 35-48 on the season, 14 games back of the first-place White Sox in the AL Central.
The starters for Monday's first game of the series will be Cincinnati rookie Vladimir Gutierrez (3-3, 4.93 ERA) going up against KC veteran Mike Minor (6-5, 5.33 ERA).Gutierrez was promoted to the major leagues for the first time to be the starting pitcher against the Chicago Cubs on May 28. He took the loss after pitching five innings of two-hit ball, one of the two hits being a solo HR in his debut. He's made seven starts in 2021 (team is 3-4) and has a poor WHIP (1.41) to go along with his 4.93 ERA. Minor began his career back in 2010 with the Braves. After the 2017 season, Minor signed a three-year, $28 million deal with the Texas Rangers and went 12–8 with a 4.18 ERA. He got off to a great start in 2019, posting an MLB-leading 2.40 ERA in his first 17 starts. However, he finished the 2019 season going 14–10 with a 3.59 ERA Minor was just 0-5 with a 5.60 ERA in 2020 after seven stars (team was 2-5), when he was traded to Oakland. He signed a two-year, $18 million contract with the Royals prior to this season, with a $13 million club option for the 2023 season and a $1 million buyout. Anyone understand these deals? Minor has made 17 starts (record above), with KC going 8-9.
That said, I don't much trust the Reds with Gutierrez, while Minor can be effective. Note that he's 3-1 with a 2.91 ERA in five career starts vs the Reds (teams are 4-1)
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach Jul 05 '21, 8:10 PM in 8h
MLB | CIN vs KC
Play on: UNDER 10 -106

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Rotation #922 Monday Free Pick UNDER 10 runs in Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds @ 8:10 ET - The under has cashed in 9 of last 11 Reds games. The Royals have lost 10 of 12 games and scored an average of only 2.7 runs per game in those 10 games. Cincinnati's Gutierrez struggled in most recent road start but had been solid away from home prior to that outing and the Royals have been struggling at the plate as noted above. The Reds lineup will be facing Mike Minor he has struggled recently but is 3-1 with a 2.91 ERA in his 5 career starts against Cincinnati. The Reds tend to not hit as well on the road as they have at home this season. Free Pick UNDER 10 runs in Kansas City

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Jul 05 '21, 8:10 PM in 8h
MLB | CIN vs KC
Play on: OVER 10 -106

FREE PICK - Reds/Royals OVER 10
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 921/922
I will take my chances with the OVER 10 in Monday's game between the Reds and Royals. Everything is set up here for a lot of scoring by both teams. Reds are sending out Vladimir Gutierrez, who has a 8.22 ERA and 1.892 WHIP in his last 3 starts, giving up 14 runs in 15 1/3 innings.
It's not any better for Kansas City starter Mike Minor, who owns an even worse 8.64 ERA and 1.920 WHIP in his last 3 starts, giving up 16 runs in 16 2/3 innings.
The other big key besides the poor starting pitching, is it's going to be hot with the wind blowing out slightly to left. Heat index will be pushing 90 degrees. Expect the ball to be flying out of the park today. Give me the OVER 10!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Jul 05 '21, 8:10 PM in 8h
MLB | Reds vs Royals
Play on: Reds +112 at linepros

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Cincinnati Reds +112
The Cincinnati Reds have won four straight and are now 21-12 in their last 33 games. They should not be underdogs to the Kansas City Royals, who are 6-22 in their last 28 games overall. Kansas City starter Mike Minor is 6-6 with a 5.32 ERA in 17 starts this season, and 0-2 with a 12.60 ERA in his last two starts while giving up 14 earned runs in 10 innings. Give me the Reds.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Jul 05 '21, 9:38 PM in 9h
MLB | Red Sox vs Angels
Play on: Red Sox -103 at BetCris

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Boston Red Sox -103
The Boston Red Sox have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games overall to get to 53-32 on the season. They have been one of the most underrated teams in baseball in 2021. And I believe that to be the case again Monday as they are basically even money against the Los Angeles Angels.
The Angels are missing two of their best hitters in Mike Trout and Justin Upton, and they could be without another in Anthony Rendon, who left last game with a hamstring injury. The Red Sox have stayed remarkably healthy and will get after Jose Suarez, who will be making his first start of the season for Los Angeles.
Martin Perez is 6-4 with a 4.04 ERA in 16 starts this season, including 3-1 with a 2.10 ERA in six road starts. He is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA in his last three starts as well. Perez faced the Angels on May 15th earlier this season and fired six shutout innings to get the win in a 9-0 Boston victory.
Suarez is 0-11 against the money line vs. teams that average 0.5 or fewer stolen bases per game over the last three seasons. His teams are losing by 3.5 runs per game in this spot. Suarez is 5-9 with a 6.51 ERA and 1.608 WHIP in his career in the big leagues spanning 110 2/3 innings. Bet the Red Sox Monday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Jul 05 '21, 9:38 PM in 9h
MLB | Red Sox vs Angels
Play on: Angels +105 at pinnacle

1* Free Pick on Angels +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R and R Totals (http://www.randrtotals.com/)
MLB
LOS ANGELES DODGERS/MIAMI MARLINS o7
0
0
0


Rocketman Sports (http://www.rocketmansports.com/)
MLB
TAMPA BAY RAYS ‑1.5 ‑105
0
0
0


The Money Team Wins Sports (https://twitter.com/TMTWMoney)
MLB
MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑1.5 +130
0
0
0


Top Dog (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)
MLB
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES +130
0
0
0


Top Shelf Sports Pick (https://www.cappertek.com/picks.asp?shs=BestSportsPicksToday.com)
MLB
ATLANTA BRAVES ‑180
0
0
0


XS Sports Picks (http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1132323&page=12)
MLB
BOSTON RED SOX ‑105
0
0
0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jay McNeil

Monday comp play goes out on Milwaukee and the New York Mets to hold Under the posted total from Citi Field.

The Brewers saw a streak of 4 straight Overs come to a halt on the 4th of July, as they were blanked yesterday at Pittsburgh.

The Mets had their streak of 3 straight Overs snapped in the nightcap of their doubleheader last night in the Bronx against the Yankees.

My gut tells me that Brandon Woodruff and Tylor Megill will be dealing on Monday and the runs will be limited.

Woodruff owns a 1.87 season ERA and has seen each of his last 3 starts hold Under the total. For the year, 11 of his 15 season starts have also landed Under the total.

Tylor Megill is making just his third start this year and has recorded 12 strikeouts in his 9-plus innings worked.

This night belongs to the pitchers.

Brewers-Mets Under the total.

2* MILWAUKEE-N.Y. METS UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kirby Maxwell

My free play is on the Tampa Bay Rays Run Line against the struggling Cleveland Indians, who have lost six straight and eight of 10.

The Rays, admittedly, have had their fair share of struggles over the past week, having toughed their way through a five-game losing streak. But they snapped the skid with a 5-1 win over Toronto in Buffalo on Sunday, and return home, where they're 23-16 with a run differential of plus-38.

Tampa Bay hosts Cleveland for three and Toronto for another three before the All-Star Break. It wouldn't shock me to see the Rays ride a seven-game win streak into the season's intermission.

Cleveland has been a mess, really, since June 18, a span that has seen the Indians lose 11 of 15 and been outscored 83-61 in the process. They've lost eight of their last 13 road games, and contributing to their season-long minus-16 run differential has been a mediocre showing on the road, that has them being outscored by 11 runs.

The pitching matchup does Cleveland no favors, either, as the Indians go with Logan Allen (1-5, 8.38 ERA) against veteran Rich Hill (6-3, 3.70 ERA). Allen is 0-1 on the road with a 13.50 ERA, while Hill is 2-1 with a 2.30 ERA in his last five home starts.

All Rays tonight.

1* RAYS RUN LINE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams

Your free play will be for the Lightning and the Canadiens to come back to reality and play a game that holds Under the posted price.

Friday night saw the largest combined goal total of the 3 games played in this series, as the Lightning and Canadiens combined for a massive 9 goals as the Over was an easy money winner.

That makes 2 of the 3 games skated in this series having landed Over the total, but I feel with elimination of the line tonight things will tighten up between the pipes with Andrei Vasilevskiy and Carey Price keeping the scoring limited.

The Lightning has gone 10-5-2 Under for their last 17 this postseason, while the Canadiens are on a 10-6-4 run for their last 20 these playoffs.

Tampa goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has held foes to 2 goals or less now in 6 of his last 9 games between the pipes.

The 3 that Montreal scored on Friday was the "mulligan" for Big Andrei as he had held the Canadiens to just one goal in the first 2 games played in this series.

Not sure if Tampa closes it out tonight, but I am sure there will not be a whole heckuva lot of scoring.

2* TAMPA BAY-MONTREAL UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gus Augustine

We have hockey tonight, and that means another player prop to make us money. I love the number on Brayden Point to score a goal, as the plus-price if far too enticing to pass up.

Point has made a habit of finding the score sheet in series-clinching games for the Lightning and can join rare company with another Cup-clinching goal.

Point, who scored the Cup-clinching goal in last season's playoff bubble during, enters Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final having found the back of the net in two of the Lightning’s three series-clinching games during these playoffs, including the series-clinching goal in the second round against the Hurricanes.

Point, who can become just the third player in NHL history to score the Stanley Cup-clinching goal in consecutive years, has yet to score against the Montreal Canadiens, and has just three assists from Game 1 since the series started. He scored in 13 of the team's first 17 playoff games and is long overdue for a goal after being held without one in four straight.

Remember, Point led the team during the regular season with 48 points and 23 goals.

With a chance to wrap up the series in a historic building, and with a track record of finding the back of the net in series-clinching games, I'm playing Point to score tonight.

3* BRAYDEN POINT GOAL