Friday 7/16/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

NL games
Miami (39-50) @ Philadelphia (44-44)
— Alcantara is 1-3, 3.69 in his last five starts.
— Marlins are 8-11 in his starts.
— under 8-0-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-4
— He is 1-1, 1.29 in two starts vs Philly this year.

— Lopez is 3-1, 2.74 in his last five starts.
— Marlins are 10-9 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-5
— He is 1-1, 3.60 in five starts vs Philly.

— Marlins are 10-15 in their last 25 games.
— Miami is 5-14 in last 19 road games.
— over 5-2-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 21-87
— record in first 5 innings: 33-39-15

— Moore is 0-0, 2.70 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 5-1 in his starts.
— over 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-3
— He is 2-2, 4.71 in six starts vs Miami.

— Eflin is 2-0, 2.17 in his last five starts.
— Phillies are 7-9 in his starts.
— over 9-7
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-5
— He is 0-2, 4.50 in two starts vs Miami this year.

— Phillies are 7-3 in their last ten games.
— Phillies are 24-16 at home, 20-28 on road.
— over 7-1 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-88
— record in first 5 innings: 35-33-20

Mets (47-40) @ Pittsburgh (34-56)
— Stroman is 0-3, 6.00 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 9-9 in his starts.
— under 10-7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-1
— He is 0-2, 3.50 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Pittsburgh

— Mets are 12-15 in their last 27 games.
— Mets are 3-6 in their last nine road games.
— over 7-4-1 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-87
— record in first 5 innings: 39-37-11

— Brubaker is 0-5, 5.67 in his last six starts.
— Pirates are 4-12 in his starts.
— under 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 24-10-2
— He gave up 6 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs New York.

— Pirates won five of last eight games.
— Pittsburgh split its last dozen home games.
— over 8-3 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-90
— record in first 5 innings: 27-50-13

San Diego (53-40) @ Washington (42-47)
— Paddack is 0-1, 13.50 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 9-7 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-1
— He gave up 9 runs in 2+ IP vs Washington last week.

— Padres are 4-7 in their last 11 games.
— San Diego is 4-12 in its last 16 road games.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 27-93
— record in first 5 innings: 35-42-16

— Scherzer is 3-0, 3.45 in his last six starts.
— Washington is 9-8 in his starts.
— under 11-6 (0-3 last 3)
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-5
— He gave up 7 runs in 3.2 IP vs San Diego last week.

— Washington lost nine of its last 11 games.
— Nationals lost their last four home games.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 29-88
— record in first 5 innings: 35-34-19

Milwaukee (53-39) @ Cincinnati (48-42)
— Woodruff is 2-1, 2.49 in his last four starts.
— Milwaukee is 12-6 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-6
— He is 3-3, 3.70 in 9 games (7 starts) vs Cincinnati.

— Brewers lost six of their last eight games.
— Milwaukee is 14-7 in its last 21 road games.
— under 7-1 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-92
— record in first 5 innings: 43-31-18

— Mahle is 0-1, 5.14 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 12-6 in his starts.
— under 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-4
— He is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts vs Milwaukee this year.

— Cincinnati won nine of its last 11 games.
— Reds are 10-4 in last 14 home games.
— under 10-2 last 12 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-90
— record in first 5 innings: 36-39-15

San Francisco (57-32) @ St Louis (44-46)
— Gausman is 1-2, 2.52 in his last four starts.
— Giants are 12-6 in his starts.
— over 3-2 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 12-3-3
— He is 0-3, 3.97 in 7 games (3 starts) vs St Louis.

— Giants won their last four games.
— Giants are 5-3 in last eight road games.
— Under is 10-3 in their last 13 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-89
— record in first 5 innings: 50-27-12

— Wainwright is 4-0, 2.54 in his last six starts.
— Cardinals are 5-1 in his last six starts.
— under 10-7
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-5
— He is 8-7, 3.20 in 18 games (16 starts) vs San Francisco.

— Cardinals are 8-5 in last 13 games.
— St Louis is 4-0 in its last four home games.
— Under is 16-8-2 in their last 26 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-90
— record in first 5 innings: 36-37-17

Cubs (44-46) @ Arizona (26-66)
— Hendricks is 4-0, 2.23 in his last six starts.
— Cubs are 9-2 in his last 11 starts.
— over 11-7
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-1
— He is 3-2, 3.38 in six starts vs Arizona.

— Cubs lost 19 of last 25 games.
— Chicago lost its last nine road games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-90
— record in first 5 innings: 39-39-12

— Kelly is 3-0, 2.05 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 4-1 in his last five starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 3.2 IP in one start vs Chicago.

— Arizona is 10-50 in its last 60 games.
— Arizona is 3-6 in its last nine home games.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 15-92
— record in first 5 innings: 33-53-6

Dodgers (56-35) @ Colorado (40-51)
— Urias is 2-0, 2.95 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 14-4 in his starts.
— over 12-4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-2
— He is 1-0, 4.15 in two starts vs Colorado this year.

— Dodgers are 3-4 in their last seven games.
— Dodgers are 5-6 in last 11 road games.
— over 7-4-2 last 13 road games
— scored run in first inning: 26-91
— record in first 5 innings: 47-30-14

— Senzatela is 0-3, 5.25 in his last six starts.
— Rockies won his last four home starts.
— over 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 4-10-3
— He gave up 12 runs in 6 IP, in two starts vs LA this year.

— Colorado is 15-10 in its last 25 games.
— Rockies are 31-17 at home, 9-34 on road.
— under 11-2 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-91
— record in first 5 innings: 36-42-13

AL games
Minnesota (39-50) @ Detroit (40-51)
— Berrios is 0-1, 4.01 in his last five starts.
— Twins are 11-7 in his starts.
— over 9-4 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-5
— He is 0-0, 4.15 in two starts vs Detroit this year.

— Maeda is 1-0, 0.00 (11 IP) in his last two starts.
— Twins are 5-9 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-5
— He is 1-0, 1.64 in two starts vs Detroit this year.

— Minnesota won its last four games.
— Twins are 1-5 in last six road games.
— over 7-4 last 11 road games
— scores run in first inning: 32-89
— record in first 5 innings: 27-43-19

— Urena is 0-4, 13.10 in his last six starts.
— Tigers are 6-10 in his starts.
— over 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 6-16
— He 0-1, 9.82 in two starts vs Minnesota this year.

— Mize is 1-1, 4.00 in his last four starts.
— Tigers are 10-7 in his starts.
— under 13-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-4
— He is 0-1, 6.89 in four starts vs Minnesota.

— Detroit lost its last four games.
— Detroit is 5-3 in last eight home games.
— over 21-9-1 last 31 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-91
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2 last eight at home.

Boston (55-35) @ Bronx (46-42)
— Rodriguez is 1-1, 5.97 in his last six starts.
— Red Sox are 11-6 in his starts.
— over 7-1-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-2
— He is 1-0, 3.97 in two starts vs New York this year.

— Boston is 18-10 in its last 28 games.
— Red Sox are 9-1 in last ten home games.
— over 6-1 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 32-90
— record in first 5 innings: 42-34-14

— German is 0-2, 10.57 in his last four starts.
— New York is 8-7 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-6 last six
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-4
— He is 0-1, 4.66 in two starts vs Boston this year.

— New York won five of its last six games.
— New York split its last 14 road games.
— over 18-11-1 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-88
— record in first 5 innings: 37-35-16

Baltimore (28-61) @ Kansas City (36-53)
— Akin is 0-4, 11.14 in his last five starts.
— Orioles are 1-6 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 0-5-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Orioles are 4-8 in last 12 games.
— Baltimore is 15-31 on the road, 13-30 at home.
— over is 37-16-1 in their last 54 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-89
— record in first 5 innings: 26-48-15

— Keller is 0-5, 6.86 in his last seven starts.
— Royals are 8-11 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 10-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-2
— He is 1-0, 1.29 in two starts vs Baltimore.

— Royals lost 26 of their last 33 games.
— Royals are 5-4 in their last nine home games.
— under 5-3 last eight games.
— scores run in first inning: 17-89
— record in first 5 innings: 32-45-12

Texas (35-55) @ Toronto (45-42)
— Lyles is 3-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.
— Texas is 9-9 in his starts.
— over 9-8-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-1
— He is 1-0, 6.06 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Toronto.

— Texas is 2-5 in its last seven games.
— Texas is 4-20 in its last 24 road games.
— over 9-2-1 last dozen road games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-90
— record in first 5 innings: 31-46 -13

— Ray is 3-1, 2.08 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 9-5 in his last 14 starts.
— Under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-3
— He is 2-1, 5.27 in five starts vs Texas

Houston (55-36) @ White Sox (54-35)
— McCullers is 3-1, 3.04 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 9-5 in his starts.
— over 7-6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-1
— He is 3-1, 2.37 in five starts vs Chicago.

— Astros lost three of last four games.
— Astros are 10-2 in their last 12 road games.
— under 5-1-1 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 31-91
— record in first 5 innings: 47-30-14

— Cease is 2-1, 4.91 in his last four starts
— Chicago is 11-8 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-5
— He is 0-2, 7.71 in two starts vs Houston.

— Chicago won its last five games.
— White Sox won their last four home games.
— over 6-1 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-89
— record in first 5 innings: 49-24-16

Seattle (48-43) @ Angels (45-44)
— Flexen is 3-0, 1.38 in his last five starts.
— Mariners are 12-4 in his starts.
— over 9-7
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-1
— He is 1-0, 2.45 in two starts vs Anaheim this year.

— Seattle won 17 of its last 24 games.
— Seattle is 5-2 in its last seven road games.
— over 10-4 last 14 road games
— scored run in first inning: 28-91
— record in first 5 innings: 42-42-7

— Heaney is 1-3, 8.38 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 6-9 in his starts.
— over 12-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
— He is 3-5, 4.02 in 13 starts vs Seattle.

— Halos are 7-3 in last ten games.
— Angels are 5-1 in last six home games.
— over 21-10-1 last 32 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-89
— record in first 5 innings: 39-39-11

Cleveland (45-42) @ Oakland (52-40)
— Morgan is 1-3, 8.44 in five starts.
— Indians are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.

— Cleveland lost 12 of its last 17 games.
— Indians lost last five road games.
— over 35-18-1 last 54 games
— scores run in first inning: 29-88
— record in first 5 innings: 32-42-14

— Bassitt is 5-1, 2.86 in his last seven starts.
— A’s are 13-3 in his last 16 starts.
— under 10-6 last 16
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-3-5
— He is 0-1, 4.24 in three starts vs Cleveland.

— A’s won three of their last four games.
— Oakland is 2-4 in its last six home games.
— Under is 11-6 in their last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-92
— record in first 5 innings: 40-35-17

Interleague games
Tampa Bay (53-37) @ Atlanta (44-45)
— Wacha is 1-0, 0.82 in his last two starts (11 IP).
— Rays are 7-3 in his starts.
— over 5-3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-3
— He is 0-4, 4.71 in 7 games (5 starts) vs Atlanta.

— Tampa Bay won six of its last seven games.
— Rays are 1-10 in last 11 road games.
— under is 4-0 in last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-90
— record in first 5 innings: 36-32-22

— Morton is 3-0, 1.91 in his last five starts.
— Braves are 10-8 in his starts.
— under 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-2
— He is 2-3, 3.23 in five starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Braves won three of their last four games
— Atlanta is 7-3 in its last 10 home games.
— over 5-2 in last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-89
— record in first 5 innings: 45-32-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis July 16, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Hawthorne Racecourse begins the weekend with a 12 race card. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 has a $10,000 guaranteed pool, it will be my focus and the sequence starts in Race 9.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9

2-Strait Rate (6-1)-Seven-year-old still can't get past the NW3LT but this isn't a strong group and Wilfong is a top pilot at Haw. This is a one move type, so will look for a very efficient trip from this post and could get sucked around for a rare win.
4-Bet Ninteen (9/2)-Erv Miller trainee has raced from the back in the last 2 starts and that probably changes tonight. Bender chose #10 so Husted takes the lines. This 3-year-old has some heart and should be in striking range at the top of the lane.
9-Drivin Me Crazy (8-1)-Steps-up after taking control early in last and didn't look back. Todd Warren's pick over #3 who is a Simmons trainee, and he often steers for that barn. Should be a solid price with this post draw. Will respect the pilot's choice to stick with a small barn.
10-Alwaysshowfaith (5-1)-Hasn't raced since 6-27 but qualified well at HoP on 7-10 and Bender did the steering. Could leave and so might #9, which makes the start key. Will respect the connections despite the post and has hit the board in 3 of 5 here with one picture.

Race 10

2-Always Virgil (7/2)-Tossing last on a sloppy track and did rally well from the back of the pack in the previous start at this class. Is only 1-19 but does fit with this crew. Wasn't Seekman's choice and Todd Warren provides a new set of hands. Looking for a more aggressive try and hoping for a fair price.
8-Round Here Buzz (4-1)-Team Leonard entry was stuck with post 10 in the slop and that didn't work well. Expecting improvement and can roll off cover. Lightly raced 3-year-old seems to like the long stretch and the pace could be lively.
9-Everychanceitake (7-1)-Husted's choice over #6 tried to wire the field in last and faded down the lane. Appears to have the best gate speed and should be forwardly placed throughout.
10-Go With Joe (5/2)-Beat the straight NW2 at HoP 2 back and if was starting inside might be an odds-on chalk. Looks like a main player if Bender provides a smooth trip.

Race 11

2-Franksnativewestrn (9/5)-Tried to wire the field in last and faded down the lane. This is a softer group and was off almost 2 weeks before the last start. Comes back in sequence this time and makes the 2nd start in Stickney after returning from Ohio. Could be sitting on a big try.
8-Backstreet Lawyer (5-1)-Takes a good drop after losing all chance at the start last week. Stumbled and almost fell, not sure but a front hopple could have slipped. Should offer a nice price and has the gate speed to be driven aggressively versus this crew.

Race 12

2-Holden Steady (3-1)-This big grey wins about as often as the leaves change colors but this post draw should be a big help. Leonard sticks and this is the level that a good pilot can keep this 5-year-old engaged and then make a well timed move down the lane.
6-Paddy Murphy (9/2)-Bender's choice over #5 has only 1 win in 17 starts in Stickney. But this is the basement class and Paddy probably wouldn't have won his last start versus better but he could have hit the board. Was blocked in the stretch on Sunday night and hasn't been in this soft all meet, so best to not overlook.

0.50 Late Pick 4

2,4,9,10/2,8,9,10/2,8/2,6
Total Bet-=$32

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis - July 16, 2021 July 16, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
*
Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


RACE 1: Post: 1:05 ET Grade: B
Use: 4-Gun It; 5-Shashashakemeup

Forecast: Shashashakemeup has the proper style for this extended sprint distance and always has been a dependable type, having finished first or second in half of his 16 lifetime outings. The son of Shackleford is fast on figures, and in a race without much early speed the P. Miller-trained colt projects to enjoy a cozy second flight trip and then have dead aim and every chance from the quarter pole home. Gun It shows two wins and 10 seconds/thirds from 19 career starts on his resume and thus can’t be considered trustworthy. He most recently failed as the favorite when a no-excuse runner-up in a similar second-level allowance affair at Churchill Downs last month. Still, he’s a major contender once again and should be included in rolling exotic play, at least as a back-up.
*
*
RACE 2: Post: 1:41 ET Grade: X
Single: 8-Quick Return

Forecast: Quick Return looks every bit the short-priced favorite that he’s certain to be in this modest maiden claiming sprint for older state-bred runners. He’s moving up from the maiden $25,000 ranks after missing by a nose (while 10 lengths clear of the rest) in a sloppy track affair at Belmont Park in his first start since August just 13 days ago, and if he doesn’t bounce to the moon he’ll beat this field. However, considering his low percentage connections, the gamble hardly seems attractive so you can use him as a no-value rolling exotic single or simply pass the race.
*
*
RACE 3: Post: 2:15 ET Grade: B
Use: 3-Timeless Journey; 6-Chocolate Cookie

Forecast: We’ll double the third race, a middle distance turf event for New York-bred fillies and mares competing in the second-level allowance condition. Chocolate Cookie was impressive in victory when last seen almost 10 months ago but the T. Pletcher barn has superior stats with layoff runners (28% with a strong ROI) so we’ll operate under the assumption that the daughter of Declaration of War will return as well as she left. A maiden winner over the local lawn last year, she’s shown she can be effective as a pace presser or a late runner so I. Ortiz, Jr., who has won on her in the past, can assess the early pace flow and then choose his strategy. Timeless Journey failed to handle a muddy track when a distant fourth in state-bred stakes company at Belmont Park in late May but she’s back on grass today and it is hard to ignore that she’s a perfect two-for-two over the Saratoga turf. The C. Clement-trained daughter of Verrazano likes to lag early and then blast home and J. Rosario is back aboard and knows her well. We’ll give Chocolate Cookie a very slight edge on top due to her edge in tactical speed.
*
*
RACE 4: Post: 2:49 ET Grade: B+
Use: 5-Flaming Rouge; 7-Angelou

Forecast: Angelou had a bit of a rough go when missing at 3/2 in her comeback last month vs. similar maiden fillies and mares but at this mini-marathon trip the daughter of Curlin shouldn’t have any excuses. She’s likely to make the running in a race that projects to have creepy-crawler early fractions, so given that type of trip we’ll give her the edge on top over the other main player in the race, Flaming Rouge. Second in both of her U.S. outings since returning from France, the Kentucky-bred daughter of Kitten’s Joy is a one-paced grinding type that should settle in behind the leaders and then have every chance when it matters the most. We’ll use both in our rolling exotics and then have extra tickets keying Angelou on top.
*
*
RACE 5: Post: 3:21 ET Grade: B-
Use: 2-Yes I’m Evil; 5-Absolute Love

Forecast: We’ve never been inclined to take Indiana Downs form too seriously, but Absolute Love arrives fresh from a fast, highly-rated victory in starter’s allowance company last month and in fact has won two of her last three starts, both wins that if repeated would be good enough to handle this $12,500 claiming field of older routing fillies and mares. The big class dropping Yes I’m Evil is the one to fear most. A lifetime winner of 12 races (with 19 other placings) for 42 career starts, the Keeneland shipper has been freshened since mid-April and appears spotted for the money run by solid connections. With J. Rosario taking the call and from a favorable rail draw, the veteran daughter of Yes I’s True projects to settle in mid-pack and then make her move from there. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics with preference on top to Absolute Love.
*
*
RACE 6: Post: 3:55 ET Grade: B
Use: 2-Let Her Inspire U; 4-Kant Hurry Love; 7-November Rein

Forecast: New York bred juvenile fillies sprint five and one-half furlongs in the first leg of the late Pick-5 in what appears to be a pretty strong race for the level. Kant Hurry Love was off slowly and very green early to be far back during the opening stages of her debut performance at Belmont Park last month but appeared to figure things out approaching the top of the lane and came home strongly (though much too late) to wind up a better-than-looked third before galloping out strongly past the wire (on our watches she came the final three furlongs in a sharp :36 flat). With that bit of experience behind her and with J. Rosario riding her back for C. Clement (a very good 20% with second-time starters), the daughter of Kantharos seems certain to produce a significant forward move today, one that might be good enough to pull off a mild surprise. November Rein is the logical top pick and one to beat after displaying excellent speed before missing by a neck in her debut while finishing almost five lengths in front of Kant Hurry Love in that same June 18 sprint. The K. Breen barn is another with superior stats with the second-time starter angle (25% with a significant ROI), so this Street Boss filly deserves to be a strong favorite. Let Her Inspire U breezed well (10 2/5 seconds) at the Fasig-Tipton sale at Gulfstream Park in March and then brought $500,000 through the ring, so she’s obviously highly regarded and may be worth including on a ticket or two in rolling exotic play.
*
*
RACE 7: Post: 4:29 ET Grade: B-
Use: 2-Too Sexy; 4-Miner’s Queen; 9-Bay Jewel

Forecast: This abbreviated turf sprint for entry-level allowance fillies and mares came up fairly contentious, so we’ll go three-deep and hope that’s enough. Bay Jewel won a pair of turf sprints at Belmont Park in May in good style but then missed by a head when second at this level in an off-the-turf affair over sloppy track in her most recent outing. She prefers to settle and produce a late run and was successful under J. L. Ortiz when employing this style two races back. With some help up front and room to rally from the quarter pole home the daughter of New Year’s Day may be able to tag the speed. Too Sexy is another that likely will be outrun during the early stages and from the rail she’ll need a bit of luck somewhere along the way but with clear sailing she’s good enough to produce a dangerous late kick for the always-potent J. Rosario/C. Clement jockey/trainer combo. Miner’s Queen may be the most dangerous of the pace types and earned a competitive number when breaking her maiden over the Churchill Downs turf course last month. Toss her in somewhere.
*
*
RACE 8: Post: 5:05 ET Grade: B
Use: 6-Easy to Bless; 8-Patty H

Forecast: Patty H has plenty in her favor in this $40,000 claiming sprint restricted to 3-year-old fillies. A winner of her last pair, mostly recently over a sloppy track at Indiana Downs, the B. Cox-trained daughter of Flatter is realistically spotted to extend her streak and is comfortably drawn outside where she can dictate the race flow. Effective on the front end or from a stalking position, she seems pretty solid, though a strong case can be made for Easy to Bless, herself a winner of four in a row and five out of her last six with numbers that stack up nicely with our top pick. Haltered four times in her last six starts, the daughter of Flat Out remains above her claim level and should fire her usual good shot, though having drawn inside of Patty H she has no option other than be gunned from the gate. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Patty H.
*
*
RACE 9: Post: 5:39 ET Grade: B
Use: 3-Value Proposition; 9-Sacred Life

Forecast: We’re going to give Sacred Life a very slight edge on top in this year’s renewal of the Forbidden Apple S.-G3 for older horses over a mile on the inner turf while recognizing that that the improving Value Proposition, with more tactical speed, is likely to benefit from a better trip. Truthfully, they’re hard to separate so we’ll include both in our rolling exotics. Sacred Life will be making just his third start of the year and seems likely to return to top form after winding up a close fourth in the Dinner Party S.-G2 on Preakness day at Pimlico. The veteran French-bred horse, first or second in 12 of 18 career starts, switches to J. Rosario, shows a health, steady series of recent workouts and ran well over this course two years ago when nosed out in the Lure S. There should be enough early pace today to set things up nicely, assuming good racing luck. Value Proposition earned a career top-equaling figure when winning a hot allowance race at Belmont Park last month and from where he’s drawn is guaranteed an ideal second flight, ground-saving trip. He’ll have to be better than he’s ever been to be successful at this level but in just his third start of the year the C. Brown-trained 5-year-old could be set for another forward move.
*
*
RACE 10: Post: 6:13 ET Grade: C+
Use: 1-Baudi Moovan; 4-U Should B Dancing; 9-Fancy Feline

Forecast: U Should B Dancing is a seven-race maiden and obviously can’t beat a decent New York-bred field of maiden fillies and mares but this appears to be a moderate group so she may have finally found her friends. A first-time Lasix user coming off a career top effort when second vs. similar at Belmont Park last month, the P. Kelly-trained daughter of War Dancer deserves top billing by default. Baudi Moovan is a first-timer by Twirling Candy that brought $260,000 as a yearling and is from a barn that has okay stats with newcomers. The female family is modest so she must be an exceptional individual and she’s trained like there’s enough ability to make her dangerous first crack out of the box. Fancy Feline finished with a bit of interest when a distant third in her debut in an off-the-turf maiden sprint at Belmont Park in early June. With Kitten’s Joy on the bottom side of her pedigree she’s supposed to be better on grass and today, weather permitting, she’ll get her chance. L. Saez stays aboard the daughter of Flat Out and in a modest field she deserves a decent look.

*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Del Mar Analysis - July 16, 2021 July 16, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
*
Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


RACE 1: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: C-
Use: 5-Gray Magician; 6-Leprino; 7-Conquest Cobra

Forecast: We suggest you play conservatively during the early races on the program while detecting whether or not a track bias – so often prevalent at Del Mar – exists. Generally speaking (but not always) the outside lanes/post positions are preferred and contested speed around two-turns is suicidal. Today’s opener, which tradition dictates is a one mile main track event for mid-grade claimers, looks inscrutable on paper so rolling exotic players should include as many as their budget allows. Leprino exits a much tougher race at Los Alamitos, has winning form over the local main track, and a style that should allow the S. Miyadi-trained gelding to settle somewhere in mid-pack behind what projects to be a quick pace and then have every chance from the quarter pole home. Yes, two of his previous three victories were accomplished on the front end but he’s successfully stalked and pounced in the past and there are a few others in here that should outfoot him to the clubhouse turn. Gray Magician, claimed three races back for $40,000 and now in for a $16,000 tag, comes off a sharp effort when cutting out hot splits before being worn down late and today might receive a bit more patient ride. He’s run very well at Del Mar in previous seasons, but the class drop off a good race seems a bit problematic. Obviously, anything close to his best race is good enough. Conquest Cobra is another with an unhealthy pattern but does show a number of recent outings that are good enough to win in this league. Away since mid-April and with a suspicious work pattern in the interim, the 9-year-old gelding has finished first or second in 19 of 50 starts and will be tough if he has at least one good one left. In a race with so many question marks, best advice is to tread lightly.
*
*
RACE 2: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: C+
Use: 4-Midnight Mammoth; 5-Respect the Code; 7-Axel Steel; 9-Get Back Goldie

Forecast: This maiden $150,000 claiming sprint for 2-year-olds is carded so that expensive auction purchases who aren’t considered good enough by their connections to compete in straight maiden company have an outlet to be competitive without really being subjected to a potential claim. Midnight Mammoth, purchased for $70,000 at the OBS April Sale, impressed when previewing in 33 2/5 seconds and should be a live item for B. Baffert in what appears to be a wide-open, guessing-game type of a race. The son of Midnight Lute certainly should be fit enough for a barn that hits with a superior 28% with its first-timers, and since the known element isn’t particularly attractive we’ll take a stab on a fresh face. Axel Steel has the benefit of a prior run, a not-too-bad runner-up effort at Lone Stone Park last month from an outside draw that produced a decent speed figure. This is a realistic spot for a barn that has strong stats with second-timers (21%, massive ROI) and with a healthy work tab since raced this colt from the first crop of Mohaymen should be the one to fear most. The always-dangerous P. Miller barn looks to have a contender with the debuting Honor Code colt, Respect the Code. The $55,000 purchase in the same sale that produced Midnight Mammoth looked fairly decent in a 10 1/5 breeze during the preview session and picks up one of the barn’s “go to” riders R. Gonzalez. Also, worth tossing in, at least on a back-up ticket, is Get Back Goldie, a homebred first-timer by Goldencents. He didn’t look half-bad in a recent gate work at Santa Anita.
*
*
RACE 3: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Quiet Secretary; 4-Pulpit Rider; 8-Going to Vegas

Forecast: On pure form Going to Vegas should be an absolute stick-out in this second level allowance affair over nine furlongs on grass for fillies and mares. The 4-year-old filly was a Grade-3 winner at Santa Anita two races back but then was perhaps in a bit too steep when fifth in the Gamely-G1 in her most recent outing. She’s had a bit of history of preferring to finish second and third (10 times) rather than win (four times) but considering the company she’s been keeping and the highly-favorable projected race flow (slow early splits) she’s going to be tough to beat. The only concern is that she was completely unfocused in a three furlong breeze around dogs three days ago, but that might just be her. If you would prefer to have some protection in your rolling exotics, consider Quiet Secretary and Pulpit Rider. The former almost certainly will be the controlling speed from the rail and has won over this turf course utilizing that style in the past (albeit not against this level of competition) while the latter is a stakes winner over the Del Mar lawn and will be making her third start off a layoff with rising numbers and a pattern that suggests she’s ready for career top performance.
*
*
RACE 4: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: C+
Use: 1-Don’t Ju Forget; 3-Dendera; 7-Doris Mae

Forecast: California-bred maiden juvenile fillies sprint five furlongs in a messy affair that drew an overflow field of 14 starters. For the purposes of this analysis, we’re going to assume the four also-eligible runners will not draw in. Among the newcomers, Dendera and Doris Mae have trained well enough from the gate to indicate they have some ability, and with no apparent world beaters in the field both should be competitive. Dandera hails from the J. Sadler barn (strong stats with first-timers) and has been given a foundation that should have her plenty fit, while Doris Mae, trained by M. Puype (modest success with debut runners), looked okay in a team gate drill 12 days ago at Santa Anita and offers a chance at a price. Don’t Ju Forget was sluggish and green during the early stages of her debut run at Gulfstream Park in late May but seemed to pick it up a bit late to finish third (beaten seven lengths) and should benefit greatly from the outing. Additionally, stats with second-time starters from the P. Miller barn (24% with a powerful ROI) are hard to ignore as is the presence of F. Prat in the saddle, so while the rail draw is problematic we have to include her on our rolling exotic ticket.
*
*
RACE 5: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Floral Essence; 6-Takemebythehand; 11-Warrens Candy Girl

Forecast: Takemebythehand finished eagerly once room materialized to wind up a strong runner-up (well clear of the rest) in a good maiden event at Saint-Cloud in her debut in April and arrives in California following a series of recent training track drills that should have her ready to graduate in this mile grass affair for older fillies and mares. She’s looked decent in her local drills (not great) but since she was ignored at 31-1 in her only outing the English-bred filly may be type that doesn’t show much in her a.m. drills. At any rate, if she runs back to her French outing she’ll beat this field, especially with turf master F. Prat taking the call and as a first-time Lasix user. There are two others to consider on your ticket, at least as back-ups. Floral Essence has been away for 10 months but displayed some ability over the local lawn last year (third in both starts) and returns with Lasix and a healthy series of drills at San Luis Rey Downs that should have her plenty fit. As the likely controlling speed, the daughter of Candy Ride could leave her previous form behind. Warrens Candy Girl, freshened since February, is a stakes-placed maiden being ridden by D. Van Dyke, who got plenty of run out of her over this course and distance last year. She has worked well enough to be considered cranked and ready.
*
*
RACE 6: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 4-Next Revolt; 9-Sea to Success; 12-Energizer

Forecast: Churchill Downs shipper Energizer looks to be well-spotted in his first off-the-claim for D. O’Neill as a first time gelding from a cozy outside post in this extended sprint for restricted (nw-3) $20,000 claimers. Though his recent form is uninspiring, the son of Uncle Mo should draft into an ideal stalking position and have every chance to regain his early form, which would be good enough to handle this modest assignment. The work tab looks promising so let’s put him on top in a race in which no result would be surprising. Next Revolt is a dangerous class dropper with a prior win over the Del Mar main track and enough early speed to be in a good pace-pressing position in a race that should produce comfortable early fractions. He’s a major contender, as is the puzzling but intriguing Sea to Success, who was simply awful (third, beaten 22 lengths) in his California debut vs. tougher competition in early June but shows a good series of workouts at Los Alamitos in the interim to indicate a bounce-back performance is possible. Arguably most effective when held up early allowed to run late, the J. Sadler-trained gelding has the proper style for this six and one-half furlong trip and with just four career starts could easily be better than shown.
*
*
RACE 7: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 8-Jamming Eddy; 9-Commander Kai; 10-McWherter

Forecast: A challenging, difficult, grass grab bag sprint ushers in the late Pick-4. What do we do with horse-for-course extraordinaire Eddie Haskell, a winner of six races from eight career starts over the local lawn but making his first since participating in the Breeders’ Cup in November of 2019? Unprotected while racing for the $40,000 tag, the now eight-year-old gelding shows an uninspiring work tab that may indicate he’s not what he once was, so if he wins, we’ll tip our cap but do so without using him on our ticket. Instead, we’ll focus on some up-and-comers. McWherter, lightly-raced but improving with each start, seeks his third straight score after earning a career top number when winning a starter’s allowance turf dash at Santa Anita in early June. The D. O’Neill-trained gelding has worked very well at San Luis Rey Downs in the interim, and while he’ll need to step forward once again to extend his streak the son of Goldencents could easily have it in him. Jamming Eddy, a two-time turf sprint winner at Del Mar, has a considerable edge on pure numbers and though his recent form is below standard he’s facing lesser foes today and is likely to snap back. Commander Kai, adding Lasix and making his first start since February, seems capable of firing a big shot fresh following a healthy series of recent workouts for R. Baltas. He has the kind of early speed to keep him free of trouble and in the fray throughout.
*
*
RACE 8: Post: 5:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Freedom Fighterr; 4-Exaulted; 8-I Got No Munny

Forecast: This is a stronger-than-par first-level allowance sprint that may tell us what kind of future the once well-regarded Freedom Fighter may have as he approaches the second half of his 3-year-old season. A debut maiden winner over the local main track last year and then an excellent runner-up to stable mate Concert Tour in the San Vicente S.-G2 last winter at Santa Anita, the son of Violence failed to stay a mile when a disappointing fourth in the Gotham S.-G3 in March and then was stopped on. The B. Baffert-trained colt returns with new pilot F. Prat and, as a first time Lasix user with a string of impressive drills leading up to this race, he’s clearly the one to beat. The most dangerous of the closing types is Exaulted, a prototype late-running sprinter returning to the allowance ranks after hitting the board in a pair of Grade-3 sprints against competition much tougher than he’s facing today. The P. Eurton-trained colt should get the help he needs up front and with the switch to U. Rispoli can be expected to receive the patient ride he requires. The rapidly developing I Got No Munny has a chance as well, though he’ll need to produce another forward move, and has every right to do so. His most recent two victories – by a combined margin of 11 and one-half lengths, came against considerably softer competition but at the price he’s worth tossing in somewhere.
*
*
RACE 9: Post: 6:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Harbored Memories; 3-Crew Dragon; 8-Flashiest; 13-Whatmakessammyrun

Forecast: This year’s renewal of the traditional opening day feature, the Oceanside S. for 3-year-olds, drew a full field of 12. Good luck to the outside draws and to the deep closers who’ll be looking for room in the short run from the top of the stretch to the wire. Clearly, those with inside draws and tactical speed should have the advantage. Harbored Memories is a major contender from his rail post and off a sharp allowance turf score at Santa Anita last month. The M. Puype-trained colt has yet to prove himself around two-turns – he was a weakening runner-up in a main track allowance miler three races back that produced his lowest speed figure – but under the circumstances we’ll consider him the one to beat. Whatmakessammyrun may be a better horse that our top pick but he, too, has to prove he can route and will have to do so from a poor draw. His grass form since arriving from Florida and joining the M. Glatt stable has been nothing short of sensational and with F. Prat staying aboard there’s a chance he’ll be able to get over and avoid getting fanned. Flashiest can really turn it on late, and unlike the first two contenders mentioned in this analysis he can absolutely handle the two-turn trip. An unlucky second to stakes winner Hudson Ridge last time out, the L. Powell-trained colt loses F. Prat (who understandably opts for Whatmakessammyrun) but picks up the capable A. Cedillo. Like the other late runners, though, he’ll need racing luck. Finally, we’ll include on a ticket or two the J. Sadler new shooter, Crew Dragon, a one-paced grinding type but exiting a couple of good races and likely to draft into a comfortable second flight, ground-saving early position. What he can do from there is strictly up to him.
*
*
RACE 10: Post: 6:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 7-The Longest Yard; 8-Albizu; 9-Exalted Joy

Forecast: The finale is a main track starter’s allowance event with at least three strong possibilities. Albizu stretches out for the first time but he’s by the successful distance-promoting stallion Include and shows steadily rising speed figures and a late-running style that should seems likely to be promoted by this main track’s profile. The switch to F. Prat obviously doesn’t hurt, so in an open fray the K. Mulhall-trained sophomore appears as good as any. The Longest Night returned off an 18-month layoff to beat a modest maiden $50,000 field with complete authority in late May and sports a steady, healthy work tab since, so we’re expecting a forward move from the son of Paynter, who has run well over the local main track in the past. The P. D’Amato-trained gelding should draft into a second flight, stalking position and then have dead aim from the head of the lane to the wire. Exalted Joy blasted a maiden claiming field by six widening lengths at Santa Anita last time out and seems the type to continue his improving pattern with added experience. He’s a fit on numbers and will be doing his best work from off the pace.

*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Evangeline Downs - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#2 Freedom Factor
He was a very easy winner here back in May when last seen with straight claiming company, and the Bourgeois barn has been aces around two turns on the turf here this meet.


#1 In Charge Halo
He has some pace to use, but he should have at least a little company from the guy drawn widest of all in here. He's in sharp form and now goes off the Broberg claim with some back turf form that intrigues. Underlay?


#5 Keep Quiet
He has knocked heads with some pretty tough customers throughout his career, and he's still capable of the kind of race that would win this. Easy to like this guy.


Race Summary
Freedom Factor races for a barn that has been sending live wires on the lawn here this season, and maybe the Broberg team takes cash and leaves this one at a playable price.


Evangeline Downs - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#8 Double Barrel Man
He has never really been at his best in the off going, so it might be worth giving him a pass for the last pair. The race flow should flatter his late run, and he's playable at something shorter than the 12/1 ML price.


#5 Smooth Colliery
He should be able to get the jump on the top choice, and he's another who has some finishing ability. The recent form is there, but I wonder if he ends up an underlay price.


#2 Palvera
He hasn't been any serious threat in most starts so far this year, and his recent efforts haven't inspired a ton of confidence when running one-paced late.


Race Summary
There is a good bit of speed and prompting pace signed on in here, and Double Barrel Man might offer a mid-range price to pick up the pieces in the lane.


Evangeline Downs - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#5 Its Glitter Time
The barn doesn't try many first-timers, and they don't have any real success with this type. That said, we're getting Thornton up in a MCL sprint race type in which he owns a $1.76 ROI for every $1 bet while winning 25% the last couple months.


#6 Miss Hurryupnwait
She looks like the one to beat after holding her form into the new barn, but she has already lost twice at this level as the odds-on favorite and is probably overbet tonight.


#2 Bestieverhad
She drop out of MSW company, giving her an almost automatic claim on the top spot, but she has given away pretty significant ground in the final call of all three races, and that sort of tiring effort could leave her vulnerable late even while racing with cheaper.


Race Summary
Worth noting that Thornton doesn't typically ride for the Woodley barn, and there are principled reasons to oppose both of the ML favorites. Its Glitter Time gets the call, and I'll also try to get #7 Iam Dakota into the gimmicks with any of the top three.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#6 SHAKE IT
Gave way readily on final turn in well-backed debut, price goes up.


#2 LOUIE THE LOOPER
Chased 9-5 winner two back, then second to 1-to-5 choice at Big M.


#8 JUST CALL ME MIKI
Out from third on turn, gained on tiring leader in stretch, will be underlay.


Race Summary
Shake It made the lead from post 7 under little encouragement, appeared well in-hand on the backstretch but tired badly in the final quarter mile in his first start. He's worth a playback at 10-1 morning-line odds for a high percentage barn. play a 2-6 exacta box.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#3 MACH MY KISS
Can carry speed farther in this field with favorable post switch.


#6 TEATIMEPREACHER GB
Encountered 'interference' on class drop during :55 back half.


#5 KIT
Second to 5-2 runaway at Grand River, met pair of repeat winners prior.


Race Summary
Mach My Kiss raced close-up for 3/4s of a mile from post 9 in a race dominated by deep closers after the pace-setting favorite broke stride. She holds a tactical advantage on her main rivals and could notch her first win on 2021. Play a 3-ALL exacta.


Hawthorne - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 EASTENDER
In control against main rivals until late fold, one more chance.


#6 CRANKIN IT UP
Slowed by race shape but dug in when it counted most.


#2 DASH AROUND
Rode pocket, led briefly in lane, changes drivers.


Race Summary
The three favorites re-unite after a close battle last week. Eastender set all the pace and appeared to be going comfortably, only to wilt in deep stretch. He benefitted from a single-file alignment until the stretch and he's winless this year, but the 10-year-old won't have many better chances to pick up his 26th lifetime win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Gulfstream Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#5 Paladio
Hasn't won since January but is in the hunt much of the time; can get a good trip from just off the pace and will finish well here.


#3 Thinkaboutit
Was up in time last out and has been in good races this year; has the speed to be a factor from the start.


#2 Rough Entry
Rolled to easy wins in his last two and clearly is a big player here; has good speed and will fight it out from the outset.


Race Summary
Paladio has a good closing move and will get a good training run; expect a late move.


Gulfstream Park - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#6 Omega Moon
Drew off to an easy score last out and can handle this step up in class.


#2 Ain't Wasting Time
Just a matter of inches of having won three straight; lost that photo last out in his first for Marcial Navarro. Fits at this level.


#8 Gran Casique
Has been in some decent races, has speed and can work out a good trip from the outside.


Race Summary
Omega Moon was ultra-sharp last out and has the talent to repeat in this spot.


Gulfstream Park - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#2 Pacific Princess
Was a non-threatening second last out, but that was just her first try at a mile on dirt and she can improve in her return.


#8 Tiz Possible Dear
Drew off to an impressive win at this level two races back and then tired vs. much better last out; makes her second off the claim by Barboza and will be a factor from the start.


#5 Bimini
Can be part of the pace and is coming off a third-place finish; won two straight and three of four here last spring and is capable of a big effort here.


Race Summary
Pacific Princess can get a ground-saving trip and has enough speed to hold her position; can finish in this spot.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for FanDuel Horse Racing



FanDuel Horse Racing - Race 4

$1.00 Daily Double (Races 4-5) / Exacta .50 Cent Trifecta (Minimum $1.00 Wager) / .50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) .50 Cent Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7) / No SHOW Wagering



Claiming $4,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 51 • Purse: $7,000 • Post: 8:57P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. WILD FOX is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WILD FOX: Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30. CLEVER BOY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.



3

WILD FOX

4/5


5/2




1

CLEVER BOY

7/2


9/2
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




3

WILD FOX

3


4/5

Front-runner

72


50


34.1


34.1


28.6




1

CLEVER BOY

1


7/2

Alternator/Stalker

57


45


29.3


47.6


41.6




5

JOHNNY LONGBOAT

5


9/2

Trailer

55


43


17.6


43.6


38.1




4

LEE LA DEW

4


4/1

Alternator/Non-contender

57


53


40.2


40.2


33.2




2

MESSED UP

2


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

68


76


37.0


28.8


22.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2.
The Sports Consensus (https://www.thesportsconsensus.com)
MLB
Seattle +125
0-0 (+0)
3-0 (+300)


3.
Insider Sports Report (https://www.insidersportsreport.com)
MLB
Oakland -1.5 -110
0-0 (+0)
4-1 (+295)


4.
Top Rank Sports Picks (http://www.topranksportspicks.com)
MLB
Atlanta under 8.5
0-0 (+0)
5-2 (+275)


5.
Doc's Picks (http://www.docspicks.com)


1-0 (+100)
4-3 (+75)


6.
Elite Sports Picks (https://www.elite-sports-picks.com)
MLB
Toronto -1.5 -130
0-0 (+0)
4-3 (+20)


7.
Profit On Sports (https://www.profitonsports.com)
MLB
Reds -125
0-0 (+0)
3-3 (-50)


8.
Primetime Sports Picks (http://www.primetimesportspicks.com/)


0-1 (-110)
2-4 (-225)


9.
The Spot Player (http://www.thespotplayer.com)
MLB
Oakland -200
0-0 (+0)
1-4 (-400)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

901MIAMI -902 PHILADELPHIA
MIAMI is 25-9 SU (15.6 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.

903NY METS -904 PITTSBURGH
NY METS are 4-12 SU (-12.6 Units) in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season in the current season.

905SAN DIEGO -906 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 16-29 SU (-18.3 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

907MILWAUKEE -908 CINCINNATI
MILWAUKEE is 49-36 SU (14.1 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse in the current season.

909MIAMI -910 PHILADELPHIA
MIAMI is 25-9 SU (15.6 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.

911SAN FRANCISCO -912 ST LOUIS
SAN FRANCISCO is 34-14 SU (23.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

913LA DODGERS -914 COLORADO
COLORADO is 16-1 SU (17.1 Units) in home games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the current season.

915CHICAGO CUBS -916 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 9-26 SU (-19.1 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in the current season.

917MINNESOTA -918 DETROIT
MINNESOTA is 13-25 SU (-22.1 Units) in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) in the current season.

919BOSTON -920 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 56-38 SU (14.2 Units) in home games in night games in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Friday, July 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Minnesota @ Detroit
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Miami @ Philadelphia
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Miami

San Diego @ Washington
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Washington
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing San Diego

Boston @ NY Yankees
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home
NY Yankees is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Boston

NY Mets @ Pittsburgh
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Mets is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games

Texas @ Toronto
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 8 games on the road
Texas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games
Toronto is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Texas

Milwaukee @ Cincinnati
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games

Minnesota @ Detroit
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Miami @ Philadelphia
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Miami

Houston @ Chi White Sox
Houston
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Baltimore @ Kansas City
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
Kansas City is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Kansas City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore

San Francisco @ St. Louis
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

LA Dodgers @ Colorado
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
LA Dodgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Seattle @ LA Angels
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels
LA Angels is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
LA Angels is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Chi Cubs @ Arizona
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Cleveland @ Oakland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland
Oakland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Cleveland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, July 16

https://i.ibb.co/1Lb0BZW/Screenshot-2021-07-16-at-06-11-53-MLB-Baseball-Picks-The-Dunkel-Index.png (https://ibb.co/nbRw4rJ)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Weather Report

Friday, July 16

https://i.ibb.co/XJpy0fG/Screenshot-2021-07-16-at-13-27-19-MLB-Weather-Report-Find-Upcoming-Conditions-for-the-MLB.png (https://ibb.co/VBDHn0k)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA Jul 16 '21, 7:07 PM in 11m
MLB | TEX vs TOR
Play on: UNDER 10 -114

#921/922 ASA FREE PLAY ON Under 10 Runs – Texas Rangers @ Toronto Blue Jays, Friday at 7:05 PM ET – Possible weather concerns in Buffalo are why you are reading about this one here rather than as one of our premium picks. The situation is certainly a strong one for an under. Jordan Lyles is 3-0 with a 2.37 ERA his last 3 starts. Only 3 of his 9 road starts this season have resulted in an over. 11 of Robbie Ray's 17 starts this season have been unders. The Blue Jays lefty has a 2.25 ERA and has struck out 27 in 20 innings over his last 3 starts. Overall, 5 of Toronto's last 7 games have been unders. Only 1 of the Rangers last 4 games has been an over. Per our computer math model, this game lands around 7 to 8 runs and even if it reaches 9 that is still a winning ticket based on the10 that is posted at most books as of early morning Friday. We like the odds being in our favor for a well-pitched affair in this one! Bet the UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers Jul 16 '21, 7:07 PM in 11m
MLB | TEX vs TOR
Play on: UNDER 9½ -108

I am looking at the TOTAL here. Both pitchers have been terrific in their last starts. Ray flirted with a no hitter and Lyles is underrated, allowing only 5 earned runs in his last three starts. The Rangers are light hitting and the Jays often struggle against a new face. Both bull pens, if nothing else are at least well rested.
The wager.
Take the UNDER..

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Jul 16 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Astros vs White Sox
Play on: White Sox +115 at Mirage

Free Pick on White Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks
Place A Bet


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Padres -140
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642GfsGTz_YfB9onf8DuVAkVka/0/)


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
MLB – Dodgers under 11.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


3.
Winning Big Sports (https://www.winningbigsports.com)
MLB – Twins GM1 over 7.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


4.
PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) (https://www.pointspreadreport.com)
MLB – White Sox +115
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


5.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Rays +115
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


6.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
MLB – Athletics -1.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


7.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
MLB – Angels -140
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


8.
NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) (https://www.nsawins.com/gerry-big-cat-andino/)
MLB – Dodgers -185
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


9.
Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com)
MLB – Phillies GM1 +110
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


10.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Reds -125
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


11.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Blue Jays -1.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


12.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
MLB – Angels under 8.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


13.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Rays under 8.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


14.
SCORE (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
MLB – Blue Jays -1.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
MLB – Diamondbacks +135
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


16.
Chicago Sports Group (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/chicago-sports-group/)
MLB – Nationals +125
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


17.
Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
MLB – Reds -125
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


18.
VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
MLB – Dodgers under 11.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


19.
South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
MLB – Blue Jays -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
MLB – Angels -140
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
MLB – Reds under 9
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
MLB – Blue Jays -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
MLB – Dodgers under 11.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
MLB – Nationals +125
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
MLB – Phillies GM1 +110
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)