Friday 7/30/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Late Pick 4 Analysis July 30, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, the Meadowlands has a 13 race card and the 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 10. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

5-Play Trix On Me (4-1)-Will toss last the start in the Hambo Maturity, never really had a chance. This is the 2nd race for the Per Engblom barn and it's a spot to get on the engine and not look back.
6-Lovedbythemasses (5/2)-Comes off a sharp win and now steps-up. Is trip dependent, so not in love with the 5/2 price and will need an honest pace to close into. But there appears to be lively fractions coming as #5 and #8 could head for the point. Could be in the hunt if Sears does his part.
8-Scirocco Rob (3-1)-Should like the company and Tetrick could have the pedal down from the word "Go". If Rob is on his game the post will help the price and not be an obstacle for success.

Race 11

5-Double Account (3-1)-Tetrick being back in the bike for the Cullipher barn is usually a good sign. This is a drop and pop situation that should not be overlooked.
8-HL Revadon (6-1)-This 5-year-old has hit the board 16 times in 27 M1 starts with 6 pictures. Landy trainee will have the services of Dunn and that adds points. Taking a swing at a fair price that the 2nd start off the bench will be a strong try.

Race 12

5-Let's Foal Around (8-1)-This is a race without a standout, so will look for a solid price and will use despite being 1-23 this year. If dialed on high this 10-year-old should be forwardly placed to use one nice brush down the lane.
6-Spirit Of Truth (10-1)-Here's another veteran who is camera shy in 2021 (1-21). But gets post relief, drops and is 1st time Dunn. That's enough to include in an ugly race.
7-Whittaker N (5-1)-The Blumenfeld barn is ice cold, 0-31 in the past 30 days but this 8-year-old has booked 13 wins in 57 starts at the Big M. Shipping in from Yonkers seems a bit odd, but Tetrick lands in the bike and he has steered before at M1 versus better. That got my attention, and certainly isn't out of this taffy pull.

Race 13

3-Marvalous One (3-1)-Drops to a softer spot seeking the 1st win of 2021 (0-9). Recent form has been dull but this isn't a group of All-Stars and Dunn drives. Looking for an aggressive steer and to be close to the lead at the top of the stretch.
7-Stirling Ensign (7/2)-Gingras returns, and he might be able to light a fire under this 8-year-old. Beat similar 2 back and got the top and made every call a winning one. Gingras knows how to follow that script.
9-Constntlysidewys A (9/2)-This veteran is 1 for the last 27 and is the 3rd morning line chalk, so you get the picture. This will be the 1st try at M1 and the 2nd race for the new barn. The last start was better and there should be an honest pace. AMac may find some live cover and be the best down the lane.

0.50 Late Pick 4

5,6,8/5,8/5,6,7/3,7,9
Total Bet=$27

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Del Mar Analysis - Friday, July 30, 2021 July 30, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


RACE 1: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Beautiful Temple; 9-Queen of Pompeii

Forecast: Beautiful Temple has the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch-pattern and a pedigree that suggests she’ll produce a significant forward move going long. The daughter of Temple City has the benefit of the inside draw that she could utilize to gain a front-running trip, and if she continues to improve as her speed figures indicate she will, the S. Ruis-trained sophomore filly will be able to handle this modest field. She’s listed at 7/2 on the morning line and at that price offers good wagering value. Queen of Pompeii shows the same pattern – going long for the first time after two sprint preps – and like our top pick is a daughter of Temple City and therefore likely to enjoy this longer trip. Unlike Beautiful Temple, this C. Gaines-trained filly projects to do her best work from off the pace. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Beautiful Temple.
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RACE 2: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Trip to Freedom; 6-Melting Snow

Forecast: We’ll double the second race using a pair of ship-and-win-seeking newcomers in this $40,000 claiming sprint restricted to 3-year-old fillies. Meltdown Snow, claimed for $40,000 at Churchill Downs in late May, shows up for the same tag in her California debut and looks well-placed for a major effort for W. Morey. The Dialed In filly does her best work from a second flight, stalking position and seems likely to enjoy the type of trip that produced three of her four career victories. With numbers that fit and a healthy work tab since raced, she seems the solid pick. Atlantic seaboard shipper Trip to Freedom is clearly the quickest in the field, so she’s always been suspect under pressure from the quarter pole home. If not policed early she can get very brave, and in her first start for J. Hollendorfer the Maryland-bred filly could fire a huge shot fresh. We’ll give Melting Snow the edge on top but include both in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 3: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: B+
Use: 1-Zuboshi; 6-French Franc

Forecast: Zuboshi had every chance but weakened late to finish second as the 6/5 favorite in her debut at Los Alamitos earlier this month but gets her chance to make amends today while switching to grass and landing the good inside post. The juvenile daughter of the promising freshman stallion Straight Fire was six lengths clear of the rest, so if she produces a forward move today as expected she’ll be hard to catch. French Frac, second when well-backed (2-1) in her debut sprinting on turf at Gulfstream Park in early June, is another second-time starter with a right to step forward with a race under her belt. She actually earned a slightly better speed figure than our top pick though we suspect she’s not quite as quick. The first-timers don’t really impress, so let’s stick just these two while preferring Zuboshi on top.
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RACE 4: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-I’m the Boss of Me; 5-Taming the Tigress

Forecast: This is another race we’ve boiled down to two main players, both trained by P. Miller. I’m the Boss of Me returned off a long layoff and pulverized a soft maiden $30,000 claiming field at Los Alamitos by 11 lengths and today is protected in starter’s allowance company while adding Lasix. She shows two excellent workouts over the Del Mar main track to indicate she’s ready to step forward once again, so with A. Cedillo riding her back the daughter of Midshipman should be hard to catch right back. Taming the Tigress likewise ran well in her seasonable bow off a layoff, finishing a willing second in her return to racing at Santa Anita last month. She’s not as quick as her stable mate but projects to inherit a good stalking journey and then have her chance from the top of the lane to the wire. Preference on top goes to I’m the Boss of Me but both should be included in rolling exotic play.
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Race 5: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: B+
Single: 10-Lena’s Big Day

Forecast: This is a split of today’s opener, a maiden turf miler for older fillies and mares. Lena’s Big Day was given an educational run last month at Santa Anita in her sprint debut when never really being asked until the final furlong and then responding late to wind up a willing fourth, beaten less than three lengths. The daughter of Mr. Big seems certain to step forward with that tightener behind her and today’s stretch out to a two-turn mile. The main concern is her 10-hole post but F. Prat stays aboard the C. Gaines-trained filly, who at 7/2 on the morning line offers good gambling value in the win pool and as rolling exotic single.
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RACE 6: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B+
Use: 1-The Chosen Vron; 4-Atomic Drop

Forecast: The Chosen Vron is a standout on resume in this seven-furlong sprint restricted to California-bred 3-year-olds, with the main obstacle his rail post position in the seven runner affair. He’ll likely get outrun early and then be maneuvered to the more favorable lanes outside before launching his bid from the quarter pole home. He’s 6/5 on the morning line and deserves to be. Atomic Drop left his previous form far behind when trouncing maidens by eight widening lengths last month with a 90 Beyer speed figure, which happens to equal the career-best mark of the race favorite. He’ll have to carry his speed an extra furlong today while taking on tougher foes, but the manner in which the son of Mucho Macho Man dispatched of his rivals indicates he could easily be up to this level of competition. Preference on top goes to The Chosen Von but we’ll have tickets using both in all of our rolling exotics.
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RACE 7: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: C+
Use: 4-Luvluv; 6-Lure Him In

Forecast: This 11-furlong mini-marathon for older horses has drawn a full field of 10; we’ve boiled it down to two main players but if you find the need to spread deeper, go right ahead. Luvluv has never had much success over the Del Mar turf course and like most of these is unproven around three turns, but his recent form shows improvement, and his numbers are solid, so if he can stay the trip, he can pull off a mild surprise at 6-1. The J. Sadler-trained gelding likely will settle in mid-pack and then have his chance to produce a winning late kick. Lure Him In was overmatched in the San Juan Capistrano-G3 last month but fits much better at this level and projects to enjoy a stalking, second flight trip, ideal for a one-paced staying grinder. He’s been first or second in nine of 18 career starts and usually can be counted on for a good try.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:30 PT Grade: C+
Use: 1-Paint Me Lucky; 5-Sometimes Always; 7-Poseidon Wrath

Forecast: Paint Me Lucky is listed as the 8/5 morning line favorite and certainly is capable of winning this bottom-rung maiden claiming extended sprint, but he just failed in a similar spot at Los Alamitos at 6/5 and has never been one to trust. You have to use him in rolling exotic play but from the dreaded rail he’ll not likely offer any wagering value. Those that will be better prices and have a reasonable look to upset the chalk include Sometimes Always and Poseidon Wrath. The former, claimed in three of his last four starts, is a Churchill Dows invader eligible for the ship-and-win bonus money with speed figures that make him competitive for a high-percentage outfit, while the latter is a dangerous class dropper with enough speed to gain control early and perhaps get very brave with that type of front-running trip.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis - Friday, July 30, 2021 July 30, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


RACE 1: Post: 1:05 ET Grade: B
Use: 7-Laoban’s Legacy; 8-Sugar and Speights

Forecast: Let’s go with a couple of newcomers in this state-bred maiden juvenile sprint for fillies. Laoban’s Legacy shows a modest series of local drills but brought $150,000 through the ring at the OBS April sale after previewing in 10 seconds flat while displaying a long, athletic stride and accomplishing the move without undue urging. The barn is about average with debut runners, but this filly looks like a win-early type and should be fit enough to fire a big shot first crack out of the box. Sugar and Speights goes for the C. Clement barn (23% with a massive ROI with first timers), and with his main man J. Rosario taking the call this filly has the look of a very live item. She was reasonably competitive with runaway debut runner (and subsequently stakes-placed) Ready A. P. in a gate work July 15 in which she broke slowly but displayed good speed to move up and complete the work while pretty much head-and-head in :48 flat). Drawn comfortable outside, the daughter of Speightster will likely be prominent throughout, assuming she leaves with her field.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:41 ET Grade: B-
Use: 1-Restored Order/1a-Hyperfocus; 6-Risk Manager

Forecast: This race has been handicapped for turf only. The T. Pletcher barn sends out a dangerous one-two punch in this $40,000 middle distance affair restricted to 3-year-olds, and the coupled entry, which includes a speed horse and a closer, is certain to take plenty of money. Restored Order drops into a seller for the first time and should be the controlling speed based on his two prior grass outings, one of which produced a gate-to-wire victory over this course and distance last year that produced a strong speed figure. Obviously, this $420,000 auction purchase must have issues for his connections to be giving up on him after just five starts that includes a poor recent outing in the slop in an off-the-grass affair but if he can make the running without pressure, he could be tough to catch. Stable mate Hyperfocus, freshened since early May, is another with the first-time-for-a-tag angle as the Repole Stable starts to cull its roster to make room for new blood. Unplaced in his last pair against stakes competition but earning speed figures in both races that make him a strong fit at this level, the son of Constitution shows a recent work tab at Monmouth Park that isn’t flashy but is healthy and indicates fitness. We’ll also toss in Risk Manager, a first-of-the-claim play for D. Gargan (a remarkable 39% with a powerful flat-bet profit with this angle) making his first start since early May, when he was haltered for $50,000. This class drop might be considered a negative, but the stable runs them where they can win and this son of Lookin At Luck has been training steadily at the Spa for several weeks. Because he won his debut, he’s proven he can fire fresh.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:15 ET Grade: B-
Use: 4-Kasim; 6-Ahead of Plan; 10-Montauk Daddy

Forecast: This race has been handicapped for turf only. It’s a restricted (nw-3) wide open affair for $35,000 claimers that requires as much coverage in rolling exotic play as your budget will allow. Kasim is one of those automatic first-off-the-claim plays for the D. Gargan barn, and in a race that should have quick early splits this colt will have every opportunity to settle early and kick home strongly late. Away since late May but showing a good, healthy local work tab, the son of Munnings picks up L. Saez, and with clear sailing through the lane he may be able to tag the speed at a decent price. Ahead of Plan can be tough on the lead or from off the pace but we’d actually prefer to see patient tactics employed today. The C. Brown-trained gelding has several back speed figures that would beat this field, and the son of Big Drama should be well-positioned to make amends for finishing second as the favorite in a similar affair last month at Belmont Park. Montauk Daddy, freshened since May and dropping to a realistic level (but remaining about his claim price), is the quickest of the quick and will take them as far as he can. The barn has strong stats with layoff runners, so while the work tab looks a little light we’re expecting this speedy colt to fire a big shot off the bench. I. Ortiz, Jr. will try to hold him together in the final furlong.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:49 ET Grade: B-
Use: 4-Too Early; 6-Control Group

Forecast: Too Early and Control Group know each other well and square off again in this nine-furlong main track state-bred second level optional claiming event. ‘Group got the best of ‘Early when winning this condition in mid-June at Belmont Park but is eligible to return in the same spot today because once again he’s entered for the $45,000 tag, though today he has to pick up four pounds and will carry 126. A real pro, the veteran son of Posse shows 17 career wins, including four scores from seven starts at the Spa. He’ll be tough, he always is. Too Early went down by a length to his rival in the aforementioned race in June and then returned to get nosed out in a similar spot earlier this month at Belmont Park while 14 lengths clear of the rest, an effort that equaled his career top speed figure. The Distorted Humor gelding should draft into an ideal pace-stalking position and then have every chance when the pressure is turned on. Both should be included in rolling exotic with perhaps a very slight edge on top to Too Early.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:21 ET Grade: C+
Use: 10-Coach Bahe; 11-The Big Kahuna; 12-Ajhar

Forecast: The main contention in this elongated sprint for restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claimers is drawn outside. The Big Kahuna, a four-year-old with just three career starts and away since late May, surfaces in a seller for the first time and clearly has (or had) issues, but against this group the T. Pletcher-trained gelding should be hard to contain if he has at least one good one left. His only fast track outing resulted in a debut maiden score at Gulfstream Park in November of 2019, after which he disappeared until April of this year. Good enough on numbers to win, the son of Bayern attracts I. Ortiz, Jr. so let’s assume he’s okay for at least today. Coach Bahe shows six consecutive off-the-board finishes since breaking his maiden in the mud at Fair Grounds almost 18 months ago. Yet, he’s quite competitive on numbers and at this seven furlong trip the P. Bauer-trained son of Take Charge Indy should be able to settle in the second flight and then have dead aim from the quarter pole home. Ajhar was a voided claim last May but returns at the same level so we’ll assume he’s okay and projects to enjoy a comfortable stalking trip outside, in the clear, and ready to pounce when called upon. He’s been a two-turner most of this career, but his form suggests he’ll appreciate this trip and distance.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:55 ET Grade: B-
Use: 2-Top Gun Girl; 4-Slipstream; 8-Fan the Fire; 9-Castle Leoch

Forecast: This race has been handicapped for turf only. The W. Ward-trained Castle Leoch seems certain to get plenty of play, though we’re not really sure how much horse he is. Beaten at 3/5 in his debut at Gulfstream Park in May in a modest affair, the son of American Pharoah shows a couple of recent breezes around dogs on grass over the Saratoga training course, one fairly decent, the other not so much. We suspect a good colt – or filly - can beat him today, but is there one in the field? Ward’s other entrant is the one we’re most interested in. Top Gun Girl has been training slow and easy at Keeneland before arriving at the Spa but shows a :34 1/5 three-furlong bullet drill at Palm Meadows on grass way back in mid-March (she was off for two months following that drill). Ward is an amazing 33% with first timers that have produced a significant ROI, so we suspect this daughter of Air Force One is cranked up and ready to roll. Among the others with credentials are Slipstream, a second time starter from the C. Clement barn (20% with this angle) that probably is better than his first race shows, and Fan the Fire, a first-timer bred for turf (Hard Spun) with a solid work tab for the powerful M. Maker/I. Ortiz, Jr. combo.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:29 ET Grade: B+
Use: 6-Winter Pool; 9-Runnin’ Ray

Forecast: Winter Pool is a lightly-raced, late-developing four-year-old who has worked well enough since arriving at Saratoga to make our Clocker’s “Primed and Ready” List. Beaten a head in a similar starter’s allowance router at Churchill Downs last month that produced a strong, career-top speed figure, the son of Curlin has had only three career outings and seems very likely to continue developing for C. Brown. R. Santana stays aboard and should have him in an ideal stalking position with every chance to seal the deal from the quarter pole home. Runnin’ Ray won a freaky fast waiver protected $20,000 claiming one-turn miler at Churchill Downs by 11 lengths with monster speed figure in mid-June off a nine-month layoff. If can turn in two alike and carry his speed nine furlongs over a testing Saratoga main track he certainly can win again and therefore is a “must use” in rolling exotic play, at least as a back-up or a saver.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:05 ET Grade: B
Use: 1-Eyes On Target; 2-Galawi; 8-Compliant; 10-Box N Score

Forecast: This race has been handicapped for turf only. French import Galawi produced a furious turn of foot to graduate in his U.S. debut in a visually pleasing performance after rallying behind crawling splits to get up in time. The son of Dubawi should enjoy today’s added distance and could develop into a very nice older turf performer for G. Motion. This will be just his fourth career start, so further improvement is probable. Box N Score and Compliant, two-three finishers while heads apart in a similar affair at Belmont Park in mid-June, both can handle the distance, and both are in top barns with solid recent form. They may lack the upside of Galawi but certainly project to be in the fray throughout. Eyes on Target ran well in both of his previous starts at Churchill Downs, recently winning a maiden affair on the front end after rallying from far back to finish a close second in his debut. The son of Exaggerator strikes us as a one-paced grinder with the ability to run all day, so with another forward move from his preferred inside draw the W. Mott-trained colt should have a chance to step up at a decent price. Toss him in somewhere.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:39 ET Grade: B-
Use: 4-First Captain; 5-Beren

Forecast: First Captain is undefeated in three starts, most recently winning the one-turn mile Dwyer S.-G3 at 40 cents on the dollar. The son of Curlin had to make hard work of it and earned his lowest Beyer speed figure (90) of his three-race career, but today he gets his chance at nine furlongs around two turns and we’re expecting Shug’s colt to relish these conditions. If he has designs on taking on the big boys in the Travers S.-G1 later this month, this is a race he has to win. Beren, victorious in his last two races by a combined 20 lengths and a winner in five of his last six starts, clearly is the one to fear most, though an argument can be made that he’ll need a wet track to have his best chance. Certainly, this is the toughest assignment he’s faced, but the Parx shipper, mostly likely the controlling speed, blew out in 46 3/5 seconds last week over the local main track to indicate he’s fit, sharp, and ready to prove his worth. In an intriguing race for 3-year-olds, we’ll have tickets using both in our rolling exotics and then press keying First Captain on top.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:13 ET Grade: B
Use: 6-Mill Stone Creek; 10-Highway Queen; 12-To the Tune

Forecast: This race has been handicapped for turf only. A full field of New York-bred maiden claiming fillies and mares appears to have a logical top pick in Highway Queen, a lightly-raced filly trying two-turns for the first time in her first off the claim for M. Maker. A willing third with a good figure sprinting on grass at Belmont Park last month, the daughter of Super Saver switches to T. Gaffalione and seems certain to improve with experience and distance for her new connections. Mill Stone Creek and To the Tune are two others that deserve consideration. The former removes blinkers, stretches out, and has hit the board in both of her turf outings to date, while the latter, in the frame in her last two starts, is drawn poorly outside but should have enough tactical speed to get over and to secure a decent stalking position and then have her chance from there.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Charles Town - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#1 Livin a Dream
She's a bit interesting from the fence while moving around two turns at this trip, as there isn't a ton of speed signed on tonight, and she has flashed enough pace at this kind of trip to potentially control the tempo tonight.


#5 Mae Sai Princess
She goes off the claim for a capable team and owns a little bit of tactical pace, but I fear she's a bit overbet off a long string of races in which she was no serious threat to the winner.


#7 Stated
It's not going to take much to run third in this bad spot, and this one is probably capable of something a little bit better here.


Race Summary
Livin a Dream might be able to try and take this to them from the gate out of the rail draw, and she's worth a look with the locals for the first time.


Charles Town - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#5 Run On Energy
She may offer a mid-range playable price in here, but she figures for a really nice trip spying a couple of speedy types in the early going. Interesting at anything like the 6/1 ML price.


#7 Hell Of Afire
I wouldn't be too excited to take a short price here while taking a drop off the bench that isn't exactly encouraging, but she does have a major class edge on these and may be able to handle them.


#4 Like Me Or Not
She looks best of the speed types, but she has been known to fade hard late, so she's tough to trust at what may not be a very appealing price.


Race Summary
Run On Energy can draft a really good trip while running a few lengths off a pair of pace players, and she's fairly reliable in a race where that type is at a premium.


Charles Town - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#1 Stephanopoulos
He might be the right one to beat the likely chalk, as he brings some tactical pace and some consistent running lines. Worth a look.


#9 Lookin' Smart
He drops to the lowest level of his career, but this has been a quick fall for a guy who was a local MSW winner a few starts back. He probably wins this, but I can't entertain a play here at anything like the 3/5 ML price.


#6 Prince Valeski
He's not always a sure thing late, but he has some positional pace that might keep him in the mix from the start. Good enough for a piece.


Race Summary
Stephanopoulos usually runs his race, and that might be enough to catch a potentially bad dropper in Lookin' Smart. While that guy is logical here, he's a principled play against at a short price.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Meadowlands - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#7 TEMPORAL HANOVER
Slowed by tired leader, full of run in stretch, today's Best Bet.


#2 KING OF THE NORTH
Perfect in three starts and running faster each time.


#1 LOOKS LIKE MONI
Brushed to lead against top pair but came up short in stretch.


Race Summary
King of the North rallied first-over and won the battle of the unbeatens against Temporal Hanover, but the outcome could be reversed in the Peter Haughton Memorial eliminations. Temporal Hanover got the worst of it while tracking a tired leader in the pocket and re-grouped with a burst between rivals too late.


Yonkers - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#1 GLOBETROTTING
Mare won 2 of last 3 in fast times, steps up, one to beat from rail.


#6 DRAZZMATAZZ
Pocket trip turned bad last out, use in all gimmick wagers at 20-1.


#3 CHAMPAGNE ON ICE
Third against better, continues to pile up the checks.


Race Summary
Globetrotting zipped around Pocono Downs to win twice in July as the odds-on favorite. The 4-year-old has plenty of back class to take on mostly male rivals from the rail. Play a 1, 6/1, 3, 6/ALL trifecta.


The Meadows - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#4 WHAT IN SAM HILL
Seeks re-run of career debut, not his troubled second start.


#2 FATHER CARTER
Showed pulse against Burke-trained runaway in third qualifier.


#1 JULIAS BAR
Demolished field in qualifier, went off stride in first race.


Race Summary
What In Sam Hill got caught late in a solid debut race at Scioto Downs marred by four rivals who broke stride. Then he broke stride in a sire stakes follow-up race. He has little to beat if he stays flat today. Play 4-1 and 4-2 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Del Mar - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#3 V Bucks
Romped in a maiden claiming race here in June and didn't get untracked in her first against winners; gets Prat for this run and can run them down.


#6 Melting Snow
Was an easy winner and was claimed last out at Churchill; claimed by Morey last out and can mix it up with these from the beginning.


#1 Mucha Woman
Tired in the Melair and won at this level in March; turns back in distance and can be a factor in this sprint.


Race Summary
V Bucks gets a fast pace ahead of her and has a good chance to uncork a big rally down the lane.


Del Mar - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#5 Letsgetlucky
Was third in The Chosen Vron in the Echo Eddie and was recently second in a turf stakes race; returns to dirt and could be the one to catch.


#1 The Chosen Vron
Has won four of five including a pair of Grade 3 races; clearly talented and will be short on the board.


#3 Top Harbor
Lost the Oak Tree Special at Pleasanton by a neck and could benefit from this distance.


Race Summary
Letsgetlucky has the speed to get to the lead and has the opportunity for the upset going seven furlongs.


Del Mar - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#1 Farquhar
Closed well for second going 1 1-4 miles but uncharacteristically vied for the lead in a shorter race in his next out; can get a more relaxed trip and can get the distance.


#5 Liberal
Closed well in his last three and is better the farther he goes; one to hold off.


#6 Lure Him In
Was fifth in the G3 San Juan Capistrano last out and enjoys the longer races; chance for a major slice.


Race Summary
Farquhar was sent last time and has nothing left; he's likely to get back to his normal style of coming from off the pace.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ellis Park



Ellis Park - Race 6

Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Double / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)



Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $51,000 • Post: 3:10P


(RAIL AT 24 FEET). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR $20,000 OR LESS IN LAST 5 STARTS). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE AND ONE HALF FURLONGS.)





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. MOMOA is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PRAIRIE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. STEELY DANZA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Maiden finished second in its last race and finished three lengths or more ahead of the third place horse. MOMOA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in Tr ackMaster Power Rating.



6

PRAIRIE

2/1


3/1




4

STEELY DANZA

10/1


4/1




3

MOMOA

9/2


6/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




3

MOMOA

3


9/2

Front-runner

0


0


67.3


64.5


59.5




6

PRAIRIE

6


2/1

Stalker

87


82


52.6


76.9


73.9




7

MAKAI

7


8/1

Stalker

0


0


52.1


56.9


48.9




4

STEELY DANZA

4


10/1

Alternator/Stalker

82


86


64.6


66.2


62.7























Unknown Running Style: THIRTYEIGHT (5/2) [Jockey: Leparoux Julien R - Trainer: Wilkes Ian R], URBAN HOPE (20/1) [Jockey: Gomez Agustin - Trainer: Matejka Pavel], JURA (12/1) [Jockey: Cannon Declan - Trainer: McGaughey J Reeve], OP ED (5/1) [Jockey: B

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Del Mar



Del Mar - Race 4

$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 cent Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double 50 cent min. Rolling Pick Three / $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) 50 cent Late Pick 5 (Races 4-8) / $2 WPS Parlay



Starter Allowance $50,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 91 • Purse: $38,000 • Post: 5:30P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Trailer. BIG ANDY is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * AGREETODISAGREE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. DANCING DANA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. THE GREAT H AYNES: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ELGOFRANCO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BIG ANDY: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days.



6

AGREETODISAGREE

4/1


5/1




8

DANCING DANA

10/1


7/1




7

THE GREAT HAYNES

10/1


8/1




3

ELGOFRANCO

15/1


8/1




1

BIG ANDY

4/1


8/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




2

I'M THE BOSS OF ME

2


3/1

Front-runner

76


81


88.8


67.6


60.1




3

ELGOFRANCO

3


15/1

Front-runner

87


84


47.4


71.6


62.6




5

TAMING THE TIGRESS

5


5/2

Stalker

81


73


67.1


68.4


57.4




8

DANCING DANA

8


10/1

Stalker

84


85


65.8


79.6


69.1




4

PISTACHIO PRINCESS

4


8/1

Stalker

83


75


61.6


71.2


58.7




7

THE GREAT HAYNES

7


10/1

Alternator/Stalker

84


78


70.8


72.1


66.1




6

AGREETODISAGREE

6


4/1

Alternator/Stalker

88


85


50.6


77.6


73.6




1

BIG ANDY

1


4/1

Trailer

84


71


67.0


77.0


69.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Allowance - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 79

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING ALLOWED 3 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 8 GRAVY HOUND 9/2




# 7 VENN 10/1




# 9 CUSTOM DEELITE 8/1




I think GRAVY HOUND is a very good choice. He should be given a chance given the very good speed numbers. He looks quite good in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Should be carefully examined - I like the figures from the last contest. VENN - Exhibits the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 75 speed fig which is one of the best in this field. Looks strong versus this group of horses in this race and will probably be one of the leaders.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Golden Gate Fields - Race #6 - Post: 4:15pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 99

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 HONEYMOONZ OVER (ML=9/2)
#7 ITALIANO (ML=3/1)
#1 SUNSET DRAGUNN (ML=8/5)
#2 SEQUENTIALLY (ML=4/1)


HONEYMOONZ OVER - Gelding looks like the lone speed here. He may turn the race into a procession. ITALIANO - I am keen on that last race on Jul 4th at Pleasanton where he ran first. Changes tracks from last out at Pleasanton to here. Multiple wins at different racing venues tell me this thoroughbred likes to switch it up, so that's a good sign. You have to like that recent race figure, 97, which is the highest last race fig of this group. SUNSET DRAGUNN - I certainly see positive things for this steed right here. SEQUENTIALLY - This jock/handler duo has been producing a very profitable ROI, right at +23. A horse like this one, almost always on the board, usually makes an excellent trifecta key horse. Finished fourth at Pleasanton last out. Was close at the end and at odds of 4/1 in today's race, he looks like a possible contender.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 TORPEDO AWAY (ML=6/1),

TORPEDO AWAY - The strong exertion last time around the track may knock this gelding off stride this time around.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #5 HONEYMOONZ OVER on the nose if you can get odds of 9/2 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Pass



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Monmouth Park - Race #2 - Post: 5:30pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 87

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 FLATEXCEL (ML=4/1)
#7 ARRIVEDERCI (ML=8/1)
#2 BLUGRASCAT'S SMILE (ML=5/2)


FLATEXCEL - Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. ARRIVEDERCI - This horse should be motoring in the stretch. BLUGRASCAT'S SMILE - Mitchell was aboard this gelding in the last race and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. I like the way this gelding's finish positions have gotten better with each start recently. A sign of a thoroughbred coming into top form. This gelding is number one in earnings per race. Take a good look at this horse before the race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 MAC'S REVOLUTION (ML=8/5), #4 INDIAN GULCH (ML=9/2),

MAC'S REVOLUTION - This morning-line favorite ran on Jul 3rd and hasn't had a morning drill since then. INDIAN GULCH - Don't think this entrant will do much running in today's race. That last speed fig was common when compared with today's Equibase class figure.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #5 FLATEXCEL to win if you can get at least 4/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,5,7]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [2,5,7] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arlington

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 70

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 CHOPPER 3/1




# 4 IRISH LIGHTED ROAD 3/1




# 6 PACHI 9/2




I back CHOPPER here. Should compete soundly in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group. Could best this group of animals here, showing competitive figures of late. Is worth considering and may be a bet - strong speed figures (60 average) at today's distance and surface lately. IRISH LIGHTED ROAD - Looks solid versus this group and will probably be one of the front-runners. The speed figure of 70 from his most recent affair looks strong in here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



07/30/21, GP, Race 6, 4.40 ET
07/30/21,GP,6,1M [Turf] 1:31:02 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $37,000 (includes up to $5,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. Weight, 120 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since April 30 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Races Where Entered For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (If deemed inadvisable to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile) (Rail at 24 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Best
Occ
Win%
ROI


100.0000
5
Crystal Coast
5/1
Camacho S
David Carlos A.
TS
321
37.07
1.18/$1


098.1748
9
Sunshine City
4/1
Reyes L
Dibona Bobby S.
W
78
44.87
1.69/$1


098.1733
8
Kate's Kingdom
7/2
Zayas E J
De La Cerda Armando
F
321
37.07
1.18/$1


098.0370
7
Alexandra Am I
8/1
Martinez G A
Sano Antonio
L
321
37.07
1.18/$1


097.2959
4
Appointed
9/2
Vasquez M A
McKanas Leon J.


321
37.07
1.18/$1


096.3463
1
Irazu
4/1
Meneses M
Rodriguez Angel M.
C
321
37.07
1.18/$1


092.1218
6
Queen Street
10/1
Jaramillo E
Fawkes David
JE
78
44.87
1.69/$1


090.0676
2
Lil Annie Rose
30/1
Berrios H I
Wirth Kenneth B.


78
44.87
1.69/$1


089.9517
3
Think It Thru
10/1
Lugo C D
Gonzalez Oscar M.


78
44.87
1.69/$1


Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 28.57, ROI 0.96/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.8252
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Last Race (Sprint Or Route) Same As Today
If Race Is Off Turf Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Best
Occ
Win%
ROI


100.0000
6
Queen Street
10/1
Jaramillo E
Fawkes David
JE
41
39.02
1.48/$1


098.3247
9
Sunshine City
4/1
Reyes L
Dibona Bobby S.


41
39.02
1.48/$1


098.2660
4
Appointed
9/2
Vasquez M A
McKanas Leon J.


41
39.02
1.48/$1


098.0555
1
Irazu
4/1
Meneses M
Rodriguez Angel M.
SFC
41
39.02
1.48/$1


095.9394
2
Lil Annie Rose
30/1
Berrios H I
Wirth Kenneth B.


41
39.02
1.48/$1


095.2776
7
Alexandra Am I
8/1
Martinez G A
Sano Antonio
WL
41
39.02
1.48/$1


094.0594
3
Think It Thru
10/1
Lugo C D
Gonzalez Oscar M.


41
39.02
1.48/$1


092.3277
5
Crystal Coast
5/1
Camacho S
David Carlos A.
T
41
39.02
1.48/$1


091.8778
8
Kate's Kingdom
7/2
Zayas E J
De La Cerda Armando


41
39.02
1.48/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 31.76, ROI 0.96/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.6753
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Age 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Winners for Friday, July 30th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
CHARLES TOWN
RACE #5
TIME: 9:02 PM EST
PICK: BET #3 Tyry Tyrannosaurus 2/1 odds to win @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada-racebook/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

901PHILADELPHIA -902 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 39-51 SU (-23.9 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

903CHICAGO CUBS -904 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 0-9 SU (-10.8 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

905CINCINNATI -906 NY METS
CINCINNATI is 1-12 SU (-13.3 Units) vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the current season.

907MILWAUKEE -908 ATLANTA
MILWAUKEE is 10-0 SU (10 Units) in road games when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the current season.

909LA DODGERS -910 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 21-37 SU (-20.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

911COLORADO -912 SAN DIEGO
COLORADO is 15-24 SU (-18.3 Units) in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the current season.

913KANSAS CITY -914 TORONTO
KANSAS CITY is 9-19 SU (-16.1 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

915BALTIMORE -916 DETROIT
DETROIT is 14-3 SU (14.8 Units) in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

917BOSTON -918 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 32-14 SU (19.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

919SEATTLE -920 TEXAS
TEXAS are 13-32 SU (-24.9 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Friday, July 30

Trend Report

Chi Cubs @ Washington
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 10 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home

Kansas City @ Toronto
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home

Baltimore @ Detroit
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 9 games when playing Detroit
Baltimore is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

NY Yankees @ Miami
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees

Cincinnati @ NY Mets
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
NY Mets is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Boston @ Tampa Bay
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

Milwaukee @ Atlanta
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee

Seattle @ Texas
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing on the road against Texas
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Texas
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

Cleveland @ Chi White Sox
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

Minnesota @ St. Louis
Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Minnesota's last 19 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of St. Louis's last 19 games when playing Minnesota

Oakland @ LA Angels
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels's last 10 games

LA Dodgers @ Arizona
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Arizona
LA Dodgers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Houston @ San Francisco
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games when playing Houston

Colorado @ San Diego
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing San Diego
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
San Diego is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Colorado

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, July 30

https://i.ibb.co/Hp0VqXZ/Screenshot-2021-07-30-at-06-33-23-MLB-Baseball-Picks-The-Dunkel-Index.png (https://ibb.co/jZdTDHt)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Weather Report

Friday, July 30

https://i.ibb.co/CMVTf03/Screenshot-2021-07-30-at-09-06-40-MLB-Weather-Report-Find-Upcoming-Conditions-for-the-MLB.png (https://ibb.co/gPtBxgL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends for Friday July 30
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Arizona (9:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Dodgers are 17-0 SU since Jun 15, 2013 as a road favorite of at least -125 after they were shutout last game.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Arizona (9:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Diamondbacks are 0-10 SU since May 16, 2021 as a dog after they hit multiple home runs last game.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Oakland at L.A. Angels (9:38 p.m. ET)

-- The Angels are 14-0-2 OU (3.41 ppg) since Sep 28, 2019 at home off a game as a dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Colorado at San Diego (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockies are 0-8 SU since Jul 06, 2019 when Jon Gray starts on the road after they won in his last start against the current opponent.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Jul 30 '21, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Phillies vs Pirates
Play on: Phillies -130 at Mirage

1* on Phillies -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Jul 30 '21, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Phillies vs Pirates
Play on: Phillies -130 at Mirage

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Philadelphia Phillies -130
The Philadelphia Phillies sit at 51-51 and needing a big finish to make the playoffs. They should handle their business against the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 1 of this series Friday. The Pirates have lost four straight games coming in while getting outscored 34-4. They are also 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. The Phillies should jump on William Crowe, who is 2-5 with a 5.82 ERA in 14 starts this season. Philadelphia is 8-1 in Vincent Velasquez's nine starts this season against teams that average 2.75 or fewer extra base hits per game. Give me the Phillies.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Jul 30 '21, 7:07 PM in 2h
MLB | KC vs TOR
Play on: OVER 10½ +100

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Royals/Blue Jays OVER 10.5
The Toronto Blue Jays have one of the most potent lineups in baseball. They rank 2nd in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average and 1st in OPS. They just hung 13 runs on the Red Sox yesterday.
Now the Blue Jays should feast on Kansas City starter Daniel Lynch. He is 1-2 with a 7.87 ERA and 1.749 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing 14 earned runs and 28 base runners in 16 innings.
The Royals will score enough runs off of Ross Stripling to help get this OVER. Stripling cannot be trusted, either. He is 3-6 with a 5.30 ERA in 16 starts this season, including 2-3 with a 6.06 ERA in eight road starts. Stripling is 0-2 with an 11.00 ERA in his last three starts coming in as well.
The OVER is 9-2-3 in Royals last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings in Toronto. The OVER is 4-1 in Blue Jays last five home games. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander Jul 30 '21, 7:07 PM in 2h
MLB | Royals vs Blue Jays
Play on: Blue Jays -1½ -124 at pinnacle

1* MLB - Royals/Blue Jays FREE PICK on Blue Jays -1.5, -124
Friday's Free MLB Pick is on the Toronto Blue Jays on the -1.5 run line against the Kansas City Royals. The Blue Jays will be returning home to the Rogers Centre for the first time in two years. I think that gives Toronto a pretty big motivational boost in a game they already have a massive edge in. Look for the Blue Jays offense to carry the load, as they should feast on Kansas City starter Daniel Lynch. Even after throwing 8 scoreless against the Tigers in his last start, he has a 8.73 ERA over his last 3 outings. He's way overmatched here. Play the Blue Jays -1.5, -124!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers Jul 30 '21, 7:07 PM in 2h
MLB | Royals vs Blue Jays
Play on: Blue Jays -1½ -122 at pinnacle

KC (Lynch) vs Jays (Stripling)
After struggling in his first visit to the Bigs in May, Daniel Lynch returned with a monster start, throwing 8 innings in a 6-1 win. Well, that was against Detroit. Now he faces the mighty Jays’ bats and their somewhat rebuilt bullpen. The Jays, warmed up after a 13-1 thumping of the Red Sox, can struggle against a new fresh face, but if you look at Lynch’s Triple A stats, 8 innings of 1 run ball is not the norm. His minor league Omaha ERA and WHIP were not pretty. Often, after the first Cinderella start, the Adrenalin subsides and the real pitcher emerges. And let us not forget a few things, like KC’s road underdog record (5-12) or their record against right-handers (29-42). Can anyone remember Jay’s wunderkind Alek Manoah’s second start, a very similar situation? I can, because I bet on it, and lost my shirt! This time around, I expect the Jays will have their way will Lynch in a vital game for their wild card run. Take Toronto – 1 ½.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Jul 30 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Yankees vs Marlins
Play on: Yankees -150 at Caesars

Free Pick on Yankees

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Jul 30 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Orioles vs Tigers
Play on: Tigers -143 at Caesars

1 Dimer on Tigers -143

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Jul 30 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Reds vs Mets
Play on: Mets -132 at BetVegas

Free Play on Mets -132

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness Jul 30 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Reds vs Mets
Play on: Reds +126 at linepros

My free play is on the Cin Reds at 7:10 ET.
The 54-47 NY Mets are the lone team in the NL East with a winning record and they welcome the 54-49 Cincinnati Reds to Citi Field Friday night for the opener of a three-game series. The Mets sit atop the NL East, 3 1/2-games ahead of the 51-51 Phillies and four games up on the 51-52 Braves, who have won the division in each of the last three seasons. The Reds ended a six-year playoff drought last season and were expected to contend in the NL Central (or for an NL wild card spot) in 2021. Cincy visits Queens SEVEN games back of the first-place Brewers in their own division but also trail the 60-45 Padres by five games (San Diego currently holds down the NL's No. 2 wild card spot).
Tonight's starting pitchers are Sonny Gray (2-6, 4.50 ERA) for the Reds and Carlos Carrasco for the Mets. Gray looked like an "up and comer" early on while with Oakland, posting back-to-back 14-win seasons in 2014 and 2015. However, he was traded to the Yankees during the 2017 season and NEVER fulfilled his promise. The Yanks dealt him to the Reds prior to the 2019 season and he pitched well, going 11-8 with a 2.87 ERA in 31 starts (teams was 19-12). However, he was mediocre in 2020 and has been less than mediocre in 2021. The Reds are just 6-8 in his 14 starts and he comes into this game off back-to-back 'ugly 'efforts, lasting just EIGHT innings while allowing 13 ERs (14.63 ERA).
Carlos Carrasco was acquired by the Mets (from Cleveland) last winter in the Francisco Lindor deal and entered spring training with the idea he would be the No. 2 starter in the rotation, surrounded by Jacob deGrom and Marcus Stroman. However, before Carrasco could even pitch in the exhibition season, he tore his right hamstring while running. The New York Mets have waited more than half a season for Carrasco to make his Big Apple debut. Carrasco had back-to-back excellent seasons for Cleveland in 2017 (18-6) and 2018 (17-10) but the 34-year-old did very little in 2019 and 2020.
Carrasco threw just 6.2 innings over three rehab starts, so he will clearly be on a pitch-count, maybe even for the rest of the season (assuming he stays healthy). As noted, Gray is off two miserable starts but it is promising that his road ERA of 3.33 is almost TWO full runs less than his home ERA (5.23). It's difficult to even guess how long Carrasco can last and/or how effective he may be. The teams have similar records but the Reds are a way better offensive team, averaging 4.89 RPG (6th) to the Mets' average of 3.81 RPG (29th). Take the Reds.
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Jul 30 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | CIN vs NYM
Play on: UNDER 8 -105

Free Total Annihilator On Reds vs Mets under 8 -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Jul 30 '21, 8:00 PM in 3h
Soccer | Pachuca vs Mazatlan
Play on: Mazatlan +280 at SC Consensus

FREE PLAY on Mazatlan +280

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Jul 30 '21, 8:05 PM in 3h
Tennis | John Isner vs Christopher O'Connell
Play on: Christopher O'Connell +180 at William Hill

1* Free Pick on Christopher O'Connell +180

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Jul 30 '21, 8:15 PM in 3h
MLB | Twins vs Cardinals
Play on: Cardinals +110 at SC Consensus

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Cardinals +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price Jul 30 '21, 9:45 PM in 5h
MLB | Astros vs Giants
Play on: Astros +116 at pinnacle

Dave's Friday Free Play:
1* on Houston Astros +116
The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Houston Astros tonight as underdogs to the San Francisco Giants. The Astros have won 5 of their last 6 and have scored at least 8 runs in each of their last 3 games. Framber Valdez is 6-2 with a 2.97 ERA in 11 starts this year. Kevin Gausman has struggled with a 6.08 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in his last 3 outings and the Astros should stay hot at the plate against him. Take Houston.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Jul 30 '21, 9:45 PM in 5h
MLB | Astros vs Giants
Play on: Astros +116 at pinnacle

FREE PICK - Houston Astros +116
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 929
I'll gladly take my chances with the Astros as a +116 road dog against the Giants in Friday's series opener between these two division leaders. Houston is rolling right now. They are 7-2 over their last 9 and have scored 8 or more runs in each of their last 3 games. The Giants just took 2 of 3 against the Dodgers at home, but I think that puts them in a bit of a letdown. Keep in mind they won 3 of 4 at the Dodgers a couple weeks ago and then lost 2 of 3 at home to the Pirates.
Another factor here is we are looking to fade Giants starter Kevin Gausman off a poor outing last time out. Gausman gave up 6 runs on 8 hits with 4 walks in just 4 1/3 innings. That's after he only made it 3 innings in his previous start.
Houston will counter with Framber Valdez, who has a 2.97 ERA and 1.290 WHIP in 11 starts with a 2.94 ERA in 5 road outings. In his last start, he threw 6 scoreless. Give me the Astros +116!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Jul 30 '21, 10:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Rockies vs Padres
Play on: Padres -195 at William Hill

1* Free Pick on Padres -195

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tys Terrific Tips (http://www.tysterrifictips.com)
MLB
MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑140
1
1
-10


Ace / Sleeper Selections (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)

No pick yet
1
1
-25


R and R Totals (http://www.randrtotals.com/)
MLB
BALTIMORE ORIOLES/DETROIT TIGERS u9
0
1
-110


Joe Wiz (https://www.joewizsports.com/)

No pick yet
0
1
-110


Mikey Money (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)

No pick yet
0
1
-120


Top Shelf Sports Pick (https://www.cappertek.com/picks.asp?shs=BestSportsPicksToday.com)

No pick yet
0
1
-160


Tommy King Wins (http://www.tkwins.com/)

No pick yet
0
2
-250


XS Sports Picks (http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1132323&page=12)
MLB
HOUSTON ASTROS +100
0
2
-265


Hottie4Sports (https://twitter.com/Hottie4Sports)

No pick yet
0
2
-265


Pure Lock (http://www.purelock.net/)
MLB
OAKLAND ATHLETICS ‑110
0
0
0


Silvas Sports (http://www.silvassports.com)
MLB
BOSTON RED SOX +125
0
0
0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1.
Joe Wiz (http://www.joewizsports.com)
MLB
St. Louis -140
2-0 (+200)
4-1 (+290)


2.
Insider Sports Report (https://www.insidersportsreport.com)
MLB
Angels +100
2-2 (-30)
3-1 (+200)


3.
Doc's Picks (http://www.docspicks.com)
MLB
Yankees -160
1-3 (-255)
3-1 (+190)


4.
Top Rank Sports Picks (http://www.topranksportspicks.com)


4-0 (+415)
4-2 (+110)


5.
Profit On Sports (https://www.profitonsports.com)
MLB
White Sox -1.5 -115
3-0 (+355)
4-3 (+80)


6.
National Sports Service (https://www.nationalsportsservice.com/)
MLB
Rockies +1.5 -115
1-2 (-120)
3-3 (-15)


7.
The Spot Player (http://www.thespotplayer.com)


0-0 (+0)
3-3 (-65)


8.
The Sports Consensus (https://www.thesportsconsensus.com)
MLB
Houston +110
3-1 (+185)
3-4 (-145)


9.
Elite Sports Picks (https://www.elite-sports-picks.com)
MLB
Baltimore +140
4-0 (+430)
1-6 (-545)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Winners for Friday, July 30th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE MLB PICKS
Phillies @ Pirates
TIME: 7:05 PM EST
PICK: Bet OVER 9 @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday, July 30th, 2021 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!FREE MLS PICKS
Atlanta United Fc vs Orlando City Sc
TIME: 8:00 PM EST
PICKS: BET OVER 2.5 @ BOVADA (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks
Place A Bet


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Red Sox +125
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642GfsGTz_YfB9onf8DuVAkVka/0/)


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
MLB – Astros +115
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


3.
Winning Big Sports (https://www.winningbigsports.com)
MLB – Twins -105
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


4.
PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) (https://www.pointspreadreport.com)
MLB – Padres -1.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


5.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Reds +125
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


6.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
MLB – Pirates +120
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


7.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
MLB – White Sox -1.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


8.
NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) (https://www.nsawins.com/gerry-big-cat-andino/)
MLB – Astros +115
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


9.
Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com)
MLB – Blue Jays -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


10.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Padres -1.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


11.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Pirates under 9
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


12.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
MLB – Dodgers -180
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


13.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Red Sox +125
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


14.
SCORE (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
MLB – Twins over 8
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
MLB – Blue Jays -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


16.
Chicago Sports Group (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/chicago-sports-group/)
MLB – Braves +125
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


17.
Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
MLB – Reds +125
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


18.
VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
MLB – White Sox -1.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


19.
South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
MLB – Astros +115
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
MLB – Yankees -165
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
MLB – Braves +125
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
MLB – Pirates under 9
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
MLB – Dodgers -180
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
MLB – Orioles +140
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
MLB – Twins -105
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitchell Newman

Play tonight's Reds-Mets meeting at Citi Field to go Over the total with Sonny Gray and Carlos Carrsaco expected to oppose one another.

Let's start with former Indians pitcher Carasco, he has not started a big-league game since last year when he season, so I am not so sure you can expect him to go too deep tonight against the slugging Reds.

Cincy comes to town having scored 5 runs or better in each of their last 5 games and they sport at 4-0-1 Over mark for those 5 games played.

Reds hurler Sonny Gray has allowed 13 runs on 14 hits over his last 8 innings pitched, as each of his last pair of starts has landed Over the total.

New York played 2 of their last 3 at home against the Braves Over the total, so expect some runs to be plated in tonight's weekend opener.

3* CINCINNATI-N.Y. METS OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jay McNeil

Friday night dog howling on Kansas City as they head north of the border to face Toronto.

The Blue Jays are playing on their actual "home" diamond for the first time in a long, long time (September of 2019 to be exact!) and that is certainly worth noting as a strong intangible, but I think the elements are there tonight for KC to pull off the plus-money dog win.

Toronto is likely feeling pretty good about themselves after winning 2 of 3 in Boston this week as they hammered the BoSox at Fenway Park last night, and I am sure the Jays are also feeling pretty good about being back in their true home ballpark, but do keep this in mind....starter Ross Stripling is just 3-6 for the season, and the team is only 7-9 when he makes the start.

Also, keep in mind that the Royals are easily playing their best baseball of the season and come to Toronto having just beat the White Sox in back-to-back games and have won 8 of their last 9 overall.

Finally, Kansas City has already taken 3 of the first 4 season series meetings over Toronto back in the month of April at Kauffman Stadium.

At this price, the Royals are definitely worth a play.

2* KANSAS CITY

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

There aren't many times you're going to see the Detroit Tigers a heavy favorite, big enough that we need to play them on the run line. But when you're hosting the mighty awful Baltimore Orioles, it makes perfect sense. Tonight I love the Tigers to annihilate the O's, especially when I see this pitching matchup.

I realize Baltimore starter Matt Harvey has won two straight out of nowhere, but I'm not sold he's turned around a disappointing season that has seen him lose 10 of 15 decisions and plagued with a 6.65 ERA.

Harvey is 2-9 in 14 starts since May 7, with a lofty 8.05 ERA, with 51 of the 57 runs he's allowed on his shoulders. In that span, teams are hitting .321 against him, and slugging .528.

That means even scrappy Detroit will be able to get to him. Remember, the Tigers just reeled off seven straight wins recently, and since July 17 have won 10 of 14 thanks to an offense that is hitting .284 in that span and that has stroked 22 home runs.

Harvey, who is 3-4 with a 6.56 ERA on the road, has never been to Motown and will be making his first-ever start against the Tigers.

I like Detroit to win its fourth straight and roll to a blowout win.

5* TIGERS RUN LINE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gus Augustine

I've now hit seven of my last nine player props for you, dating back two weekends, and tonight I'm back on another pitcher, with another strikeout prop. I'll get to that in a moment.

Wednesday I told you Max Fried would allow at least one HR, and sure enough he did, against the Mets.
Sunday you got Pete Alonso over 1/2 HR, as I promised you he would go yard against the Blue Jays, and did.
Last Friday I went 2-0 in giving you Boston Red Sox starter Eduarado Rodriguez under 7 1/2 Ks, and New York Yankees starter Gerrit Cole over 7 1/2 Ks.
It was Cardinals pitcher Johan Oviedo going over 4 1/2 strikeouts for another freebie two Tuesdays ago.
St. Louis lefty Wade LeBlanc went over 2 1/2 Ks for the complimentary play two Sundays back.
And the runs started two Saturdays back, when I delivered Milwaukee's Brandon Woodruff going Over the 7 1/2 strikeouts.

Tonight I like Detroit Tigers starter Tarik Skubal to go over 5 1/2 strikeouts, as he faces a terrible Baltimore Orioles lineup I don't see getting much on the left-hander.

Baltimore has struck out a league sixth-highest 497 times on the road this season, and now faces a guy who is averaging 5.6 strikeouts per game in his last five starts. He's struck out five or more in three of those five starts, and in 12 of 20 starts this season.

With 113 strikeouts this season, he averages 5.65 per contest.

Obviously we'd like to have that average bigger, but again, this is the Orioles, and they're one of the worst hitting teams in baseball. For the month of July, spanning 20 games, the Orioles have struck out 179 times - an average of 8.9 per game.

The Tigers are back to their winning ways, and should dominate tonight offensively, which will give Skubal a boost on the hill. Look for him to dominate this lineup.

1* OVER Skubal Ks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams

Going to take a shot at the Over tonight for free when Houston visits San Francisco in a battle of first-place clubs.

I am aware of the fact the Giants have landed Under the total in 3 of their last 4 games, but I am not sold on starter Kevin Gausman who has been backsliding a little bit - just 1-3 for his last 5 starts - shutting down the hot-hitting Houston attack which comes into town posting over 6 runs per game for their last 9 contests with the Over having cashed in each of their last 3 games and in 6 of their last 8 overall.

Framber Valdez has seen 3 of his last 5 starts and 6 of his 11 overall starts this year play Over the total. This one does too!

Astros-Giants Over for Friday.

2* HOUSTON-SAN FRANCISCO OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andrew McInnis Event: (905) Cincinnati Reds at (906) New York Mets
Sport/League: MLB (See all free MLB picks (https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/MLB))
Date/Time: July 30, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: New York Mets -137 S Gray (RHP), C Carrasco (RHP) Must Start
The Mets take on the Reds in Friday action; the Mets have dominated the Reds as of recent on home turf, winning 13 of the last 17 matchups. The Mets have been a stellar home team this season going 32-18 at home this season. There is no denying the Mets are amongst the MLB's best when playing at home in front of their fans. Sony Grey has had his struggles for the Reds this season, going 2-6 with a 4.5 Era, and the team is underperforming every time he’s on the mound. Carrassco making his Debute for the Mets will be looking to impress his new teams to pursue a playoff spot. He is sharp out the gate. The Mets have also won their last 5 coming off a loss and haven’t lost back to back at home yet this season. This is a great spot to take the home favourite while still having good value on the pick!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan Event: (209813) Atlanta United at (209814) Orlando City SC
Sport/League: MLS (See all free major-league-soccer picks (https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/major-league-soccer))
Date/Time: July 30, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Orlando City SC -127
Confidence may well be flagging in the Atlanta United camp after yet another loss to Columbus Crew last week despite playing well in spots, stretching their winless run to 10 straight games now.
Orlando meanwhile come off a shock 5-0 loss to an underrated New York City team on Sunday but did take care of business against a very good Philadelphia Union at home in the game prior.
While that was Orlando's only win over their last five games, we nevertheless like them to bounceback here against a struggling Atlanta United side and get the win at home later tonight.
Take Orlando City as the play for Friday.
PLAY: ORLANDO CITY ML -127

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dan Alexander Event: Atlas vs Chrome
Sport/League: LAX (See all free lacrosse picks (https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/lacrosse))
Date/Time: July 30, 2021 9PM EDT
Play: Chrome +1.5 (-105 DraftKings)
After covering 5 straight games, winning 4 of those, Atlas LC went from “rebuild mode” to win-now mode in a hurry. However, they now face a top-3 defensive team in the league in Chrome who hope their addition of former Tewaarton Award winner (think Heismen Trophy of College Lacrosse), Dylan Molloy, gives them the offensive spark they've been lacking. At the face-off stripe, we believe Connor Farrell of Chrome has enough to keep it competitive against Atlas' Trevor Baptiste
This is the first of 2 games this weekend for both of these teams and in their last 2 game outings, Atlas lost their first game in a lookahead spot while Chrome picked up one of their 2 wins on the season. We also saw these two teams face off earlier this season, a 16-10 win for Atlas which saw 6 2nd quarter goals for the Bulls. From players social media pages and interviews, we've seen over the last two weeks that Chrome has certainly had this game circled on their calendars especially now with the playoff push on.
While Atlas is a team we love moving forward, we think they could be in a tough spot this weekend with 2 games against opponents who are looking to keep their playoff hopes alive. We'll be backing Chrome +1.5 this Friday in Colorado.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: Tampa Bay w/Fleming -135 over Boston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: BOSTON/DETROIT UNDER the total of 9½ runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U Friday's Free Selection: Colorado Rockies/San Diego Padres over 8 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins ROZ Selections THURSDAY, July 29, 2021

FREE MLB

957. Dodgers -1.20 (12:45 PT / 3:45 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports
Friday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Los Angeles Dodgers - 165

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports Friday's Free Play: Boston Red Sox + 130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays Your Free Pick: NY Mets w/Carrasco -120 over Cincinnati

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play FRIDAY, JULY 30, 2021

FREE MLB
906. Mets -1.35 (4:10 PT / 7:10 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Friday Selection Is
NEW YORK METS w/Carrasco -134

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Friday : Take KANSAS CITY/TORONTO UNDER the total of 10½ runs

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Hawkeye Sports Friday's Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers even

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Huddle Up Sports
Friday Free Play
Philadelphia Velasquez -130

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Arthur Ralph FreePlay FRI Miami w/ Thompson+135

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The Last Call Friday's Free Play: St Louis Cardinals - 140

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Teyas Sports FREE PICK 7/30 MLB MILWAUKEE -138

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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Friday: Milwaukee/Atlanta UNDER the total of 8½ runs

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High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Friday: Chicago White Sox - 190

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John Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Thursday:
Balt/Det OVER 9½ runs

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Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Friday:
Cincy/NY Mets UNDER 8½

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Hollywood Anthony Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take Philadelphia w/Velasquez -130