Service Plays Saturday 8/7/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[dawggy]

KYLE ANTHONY




Game: (24621) Vince Morales at (24622) Drako Rodriguez
Date/Time: Aug 7 2021 8:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Drako Rodriguez -115


In a preliminary bout on this Saturday night's Pay Per View, UFC 265 event, Drako Rodriguez faces Vince Morales…
There's tremendous value on Drako Rodriguez in this spot.
Recency bias pushed this line much closer than it actually should be. Last fight Drako faced the questionable ability of Aiemann Zahabi in which Drako lost via KO in round 1. The inexperience of Drako rushing forward allowed Zahabi to land in a collision exchange dropping Drako. Not the best showing, but it felt more of a fluky loss than if he had gotten outgunned over 3 rounds. He got caught, …but so do many fighters. Overall Drako actually has a solid skillset, can mix in level changes like he did on Dana White's Contender Series finding a submission finish in round 1 against Mana Martinez. Facing Rodriguez Saturday night is Vince Morales who's definitely a step down in competition level. Morales is 2-4 in his last 6 pro MMA fights (1-3 in UFC) and displays very simplistic striking with a basic MMA skill set. Not saying Drako is some world-beater, but in this bout, he may look like one. My biggest takeaway when rewatching Morales's past fights is he's VERY hittable. His willingness to stand toe to toe exchanging backed by a limited arsenal of weapons and combinations developing slower than Drako should present counter striking windows to land. I've seen nothing Morales brings to the cage that should keep this line so close, …Drako should be the clear favorite. Coming off a KO loss this is a great bounce-back match-up for him to get back to his winning ways.
4% Play: Drako Rodriguez (-115)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ian Parker

UFC 265

Derrick Lewis (-310) vs. Cyril Gane (-380): Gane (best bet)

Derrick Lewis will be taking on the undefeated Cyril Gane for the interim heavyweight title in his hometown of Houston. In order for Lewis to win, he is going to have to find a way to slow down Gane and avoid the takedowns. Otherwise, he is going to be in for a long night. Expect Gane to fight a similar style to his last one against Alexander Volkov. He is a high-level IQ fighter and knows to not stand in front of Lewis. Gane's speed and volume with his strikes will be too much for Lewis.

Jose Aldo (-130) vs. Pedro Munhoz (+110): Munhoz (best bet)

Jose Aldo took advantage of the hesitancy of Chito Vera and secured the decision win in his last fight. However, Pedro Munhoz will be a much tougher task as he will come forward and push the pace early and often. The best way to beat Aldo is to pressure and get him fighting off his back foot and off his back if you can get him down. Munhoz has all the skills to do so, and his style plays into that well.

Michael Chiesa (+110) vs. Vicente Luque (-130): Chiesa (best bet)

So far the move to welterweight has been a great decision for Michael Chiesa. He tries to continue is unbeaten streak in the weight class against battle tested Luque. Look for Chiesa to close the distance immediately and engage in the clinch where he will have the advantage. Unless Luque can turn this into a boxing match, I think Chiesa imposes his will and out hustles Luque on the ground for the duration of the entire fight.

Rafael Fiziev (-345) vs. Bobby Green (+285): Fiziev (best bet)

This should be an excellent showcase fight for the brilliant striker, Rafael Fiziev. Bobby Green is as tough as they come, but he's unlikely to have a game plan that can foil Fiziev. Look for Fiziev to avoid the clinch and early takedown attempts of Green and utilize his kickboxing skills to dominate.

Miles Johns (-200) vs. Anderson Dos Santos (+175): Johns (best bet)

In Johns' last fight, we finally saw the power in his hands and overall game we have been waiting for. I believe that carries over into this fight. Dos Santos has a strong guillotine and decent hands, but Johns is better everywhere.

Tecia Torres (-135) vs. Angela Hill (+115): Torres (lean)

This is a rematch that both women have been asking for. I believe Torres' speed in her striking and wrestling will be the difference. Hill is an excellent striker, but tends to be a little predictable as the fight goes on, and Torres' pace will give Hill problems.

Song Yadong (-110) vs. Casey Kenney (-110): Kenney (lean)

Both fighters will be looking to bounce back from their most recent loss. For Casey Kenney, losing to Dominick Cruz might be the best lesson in his career. Look for Kenney to push the pace early on Yadong , who will almost certainly wait to counter. Once Kenny lands a few strikes and gets respect from Yadong, he will change levels and utilize his wrestling, where he has the advantage.

Vince Morales (+100) vs. Drako Rodriguez (-120): Rodriguez (lean)

Vince Morales is most likely fighting to keep his spot on the roster against Drako Rodriguez. Unfortunately, this matchup does do him any favors. As long as Rodriguez doesn't get caught (just like his last fight) he should be able to control the action and win with his striking.

Alonzo Menifield (-240) vs. Ed Herman (+200): Herman (lean)

Time and time again, when Ed Herman seems to be a big underdog against a powerful athlete and striker, the world tends to rule him out. Based on Menifield's last two losses, I am going with Herman. If Herman can weather the early storm of Menifield and can put him on his back, Herman can utilize his cardio and ground game to get the upset.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz (-125) vs. Jessica Payne (+105): Kowalkiewicz (lean)

Trying to avoid her fifth loss in a row, Karolina Kowalkiewicz will be taking on Jessica Penne. I believe this style matchup favors Kowalkiewicz as long as she doesn't gas out. Penne will be willing to stand and strike, which favors Kowalkiewicz.

Manel Kape (-200) vs. Ode Osbourne (+170): Osbourne (lean)

So far the high expectations of Manel Kape have not been met. Unfortunately, I think he has another tough matchup stylistically in Ode Osbourne. We have not seen the aggressive nature Kape has shown in other organizations, which helped him dominate in previous fights. Due to his slow starts and hesitant nature, I am going with Osbourne.

[rocky57]

Pickswise Sports - Olympics

Men's Basketball �� - Bronze Medal Game
2* Australia +135 (Moneyline)

Men's Baseball ⚾️ - Gold Medal Game
2* USA/Japan Under 8.5 runs

Men's Soccer ⚽️ - Gold Medal Game
2* Spain/Brazil Under 1.5 goals

[rocky57]

Pickswise Sports

MLB 3* Best Bets
Blue Jays -160 (Game #1)
Dodgers -1.5 runs [-130]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

NL games
Mets (56-53) @ Philadelphia (57-53)
— Megill is 1-1, 2.42 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 6-2 in his starts.
— under 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Philly.

— Mets are 21-28 in their last 49 games.
— Mets are 4-9 in last 13 road games.
— under 10-6-2 last 18 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-109
— record in first 5 innings: 46-51-12

— Suarez threw 3 scoreless IP (33 PT) in his first Philly start.
— Phillies are 1-0 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He allowed 12 runs in 12.1 IP, in 8 games (1 start) vs New York.

— Phillies are 6-0 in last six games.
— Phillies are 32-21 at home, 25-32 on road.
— over 20-8 last 28 games.
— scored run in first inning: 36-110
— record in first 5 innings: 45-42-23

Pittsburgh (41-69) @ Cincinnati (59-51)
— Keller is 0-2, 9.31 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 5-8 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 8-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-2
— He is 0-2, 9.37 in four starts vs Cincinnati.

— Pirates are 5-17 in last 22 games.
— Pittsburgh is 5-13 in last 18 road games.
— over 20-10-1 last 31 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-109
— record in first 5 innings: 34-62-13

— Gutierrez is 2-0, 2.03 in his last two starts.
— Reds are 7-5 in his starts.
— under 6-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 6-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh.

— Cincinnati is 12-8 in its last 20 games.
— Reds are 7-6 in last 13 home games.
— over 10-3 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 34-110
— record in first 5 innings: 52-43-16

Washington (49-61) @ Atlanta (56-54)
— Josiah Gray is 0-0, 3.00 in two MLB starts.
— Nationals lost his first start for them.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Washington is 7-18 in its last 25 games.
— Nationals are 2-10 in last 12 road games.
— over 7-0 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 36-109
— record in first 5 innings: 45-44-20

— Morton is 3-1, 3.00 in his last five starts.
— Braves are 10-4 in his last 14 starts.
— over 12-9-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 14-6-2
— He is 3-6, 6.08 in 11 starts vs Washington.

— Braves won five of last six games.
— Atlanta is 5-6 in last 11 home games.
— over 7-3-1 last 11 home games
— scored run in first inning: 40-110
— record in first 5 innings: 55-40-15

San Francisco (69-41) @ Milwaukee (66-44)
— Sanchez is 1-1, 3.18 in six starts this year.
— His last start was May 4th.
— Giants are 2-4 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He threw 1.1 scoreless IP in relief stint vs Milwaukee.

— Giants are 11-9 since All-Star break.
— Giants are 9-5 in last 14 road games.
— Over is 10-7-1 in their last 18 games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-110
— record in first 5 innings: 58-39-13

— Woodruff is 0-3, 3.86 in his last five starts.
— Milwaukee is 13-8 in his starts.
— under 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-7
— He threw 0.1 scoreless IP in a relief stint vs San Francisco.

— Brewers are 13-5 in last 18 games.
— Milwaukee is 5-7 in last 12 home games.
— under 9-3-1 last 13 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 38-110
— record in first 5 innings: 55-34-21

Miami (47-63) @ Colorado (49-61)
— Luzardo gave up 3 runs in 5 IP (84 PT) in his first Miami start.
— He was 1-3, 6.75 in six starts for Oakland.
— Marlins are 1-0 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He gave up 5 runs in 5.2 IP, in two relief stints vs Colorado.

— Marlins won three of last five games.
— Miami is 3-7 in last ten road games.
— over 8-2-1 last 11 road games
— scored run in first inning: 25-110
— record in first 5 innings: 41-49-20

— Gomber is 2-1, 6.60 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 9-9 in his starts.
— under 11-7
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2
— He is 1-0, 4.50 in 2 games (1 start) vs Miami.

— Colorado is 24-20 in its last 44 games.
— Rockies are 36-21 at home, 13-40 on road.
— under 19-13 last 32 games.
— scored run in first inning: 36-111
— record in first 5 innings: 45-50-16

Arizona (35-75) @ San Diego (62-49)
— Widener is 0-1, 10.66 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 4-5 in his starts.
— over 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-1
— He blanked San Diego for six IP April 4th.

— Arizona is 8-7 in its last 15 games.
— Arizona is 5-33 in its last 38 road games.
— over 13-8-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 16-109
— record in first 5 innings: 41-60-8

— Darvish is 0-4, 7.56 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 14-7 in his starts.
— over 11-3 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-8
— He is 3-1, 3.27 in seven starts vs Arizona.

— Padres are 9-9 in their last 18 games.
— San Diego is 2-6 in last eight home games.
— over 9-0 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 33-111
— record in first 5 innings: 46-48-17

AL games
Seattle (58-53) @ Bronx (60-49)
— Flexen is 2-2, 4.70 in his last four starts.
— Mariners are 14-6 in his starts.
— over 12-8
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Seattle lost its last three games.
— Seattle is 8-7 in last 15 road games.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 33-111
— record in first 5 innings: 50-50-11

— Heaney is 1-2, 5.57 in his last four starts.
— New York is 0-1 in his starts for them.
— over 14-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-1
— He is 0-2, 9.33 in two starts vs Seattle this year.

— New York is 19-7 in last 26 games.
— New York is 9-2 in last 11 home games.
— over 9-5-1 last 15 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-109 (0 of last 24)
— record in first 5 innings: 44-41-24

Tampa Bay (66-44) @ Baltimore (38-70)
— McClanahan is 2-1, 2.57 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 9-7 in his starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-4
— He gave up a run in 5 IP vs Baltimore July 20.

— Tampa Bay won six of last eight games.
— Rays are 7-2 in last nine road games.
— under is 4-2 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-110
— record in first 5 innings: 43-41-26

— Watkins is 0-2, 7.45 in his last two starts.
— Orioles are 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He allowed a run in 6 IP at Tampa Bay July 19.

— Orioles are 10-8 in last 18 games.
— Baltimore is 21-38 on road, 17-32 at home.
— over is 46-25-1 in their last 72 games.
— scored run in first inning: 36-108
— record in first 5 innings: 36-55-17

Boston (64-47) @ Toronto (58-49)
— Pivetta is 1-2, 7.20 in his last four starts.
— Boston is 14-7 in his starts.
— under 9-2 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-4
— He is 1-1, 8.02 in four starts vs Toronto this year.

— Houck is 0-1, 4.50 in three starts.
— Boston is 1-2 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He gave up a run in 4 IP, in one start vs Toronto.

— Boston lost seven of last eight games.
— Red Sox are 9-15 in last 24 road games.
— under 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-111
— record in first 5 innings: 49-46-16

— Ray is 3-1, 2.05 in his last five starts.
— Toronto is 11-10 in his starts.
— under 8-4 last 12 dozen starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 12-6-3
— He is 2-1, 4.24 in three starts vs Boston this year.

— Berrios is 1-1, 3.81 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 1-0 in his starts.
— over 10-6 last 16
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-5
— He is 0-5, 4.93 in six starts vs Boston.

— Toronto won eight of last nine games.
— Blue Jays are 7-1 in Toronto so far.
— Under is 9-4-2 in last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-107
— record in first 5 innings: 15-6 last 21

Detroit (53-59) @ Cleveland (53-54)
— Alexander is 0-0, 5.30 in six starts.
— Tigers are 5-1 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He gave up 7 runs in 9.2 IP, in 7 relief stints vs Cleveland.

— Detroit is 3-2 in its last five games.
— Detroit is 2-9 in last 11 road games.
— under 8-0 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 25-112
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8 last 19

— Morgan is 1-1, 5.14 in his last four starts.
— Indians are 4-3 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4
— He allowed 4 runs in 5 IP vs Detroit June 29.

— Cleveland is 13-24 in last 37 games.
— Indians are 6-13 in last 19 road games.
— under 5-2 last seven home games
— scores run in first inning: 32-107
— record in first 5 innings: 39-52-16

Minnesota (47-63) @ Houston (65-45)
— Pineda is 1-3, 5.18 in his last five starts.
— Twins are 6-9 in his starts.
— over 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-3
— He is 3-5, 5.18 in ten starts vs Houston.

— Minnesota is 8-13 in its last 21 games.
— Twins are 7-13 in last 20 road games.
— over 7-2-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 38-110
— record in first 5 innings: 33-55-22

— Garcia allowed 11 runs in 9.1 IP in his last two starts.
— Astros are 9-9 in his starts.
— under 13-5
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-3
— He gave up 4 runs in 4 IP in June 12 start at Minnesota.

— Astros are 1-4 in last five games.
— Astros are 6-3 in last nine home games.
— under 3-1-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 39-110
— record in first 5 innings: 60-36-14

Texas (39-71) @ Oakland (62-48)
— bullpen game

— Texas lost 19 of last 22 games.
— Texas is 0-12 in last 12 road games.
— under 5-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-110
— record in first 5 innings: 34-61-15

— Irvin is 1-3, 3.22 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 10-11 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-1
— He is 1-1, 6.30 in two starts vs Texas this year.

— A’s won six of last eight games.
— Oakland is 13-7 in last 20 home games.
— Under is 22-13 in their last 35 games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-110
— record in first 5 innings: 47-42-21

Interleague games
White Sox (64-46) @ Cubs (52-59)
— Rodon is 2-2, 3.86 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 11-7 in his starts.
— under 11-3-1 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-4
— He is 0-2, 6.43 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Chicago.

— Chicago is 6-9 in its last 15 games.
— White Sox are 3-5 in last eight road games.
— under 5-1 last six road games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-110
— record in first 5 innings: 60-33-17

— Alzolay is 0-7, 6.80 in his last nine starts.
— Cubs are 6-13 in his starts.
— under 9-8-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10-4
— He gave up a run in 5 IP, in his one start vs Chicago.

— Cubs are 10-26 in last 36 games.
— Chicago is 3-6 in its last nine home games.
— Over is 4-0-1 in last five home games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-111
— record in first 5 innings: 46-52-13

Kansas City (47-61) @ St Louis (54-55)
— Keller is 1-1, 2.96 in his last four starts.
— Kansas City is 1-9 in his last 10 starts.
— under 4-0-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 10-22
— record in first 5 innings: 8-12-2
— He is 1-2, 4.74 in 5 games (3 starts) vs St Louis.

— Royals lost five of last seven games.
— Royals are 4-14 in last 18 road games.
— under 13-2-2 last 17 games.
— scores run in first inning: 23-108
— record in first 5 innings: 40-55-13

— Kim is 5-1, 2.20 in his last six starts.
— Cardinals are 11-7 in his starts.
— over 8-7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Cardinals are 2-4 in last six games.
— St Louis is 8-5 in its last 13 home games.
— Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-109
— record in first 5 innings: 44-45-20

Angels (56-54) @ Dodgers (65-45)
— Barria is 2-0, 1.32 in two starts.
— Angels are 2-0 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He gave up a run in 5 IP, in his one start against Dodgers.

— Angels are 6-5 in their last 11 games.
— Angels are 7-5 in last 12 road games.
— under 13-5 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-110
— record in first 5 innings: 49-48-13

— Urias is 4-0, 2.48 in his last six starts.
— Dodgers are 16-6 in his starts.
— over 14-6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 6-22
— record in first 5 innings: 15-5-2
— He gave up 6 runs in 6.2 IP in 2 games (1 start) vs Anaheim.

— Dodgers are 6-5 in last 11 games.
— LA is 1-12 in extra innings.
— Dodgers are 6-7 in last 13 home games.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 35-109
— record in first 5 innings: 57-34-18

Saturday’s umpires
NY-Phil— Over is 4-0 in last four Dreckman games.
Pitt-Cin— Over is 7-2 in last nine Cuzzi games.
Wsh-Atl— Over is 9-2 in last 11 Iassogna games.
SF-Mil— Under is 5-0 in last five Wendelstedt games.
Mia-Colo— Underdogs are 5-4 in last nine Baker games.
Az-SD— Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Hamari games.

Sea-NY— Under is 5-2 in last seven Marquez games.
TB-Balt— Under is 7-4 in last eleven Eddings games.
Bos-Tor— Home side is 8-2 in last ten Rackley games.
Over is 12-3 in Ceja games.
Det-Clev— Over is 14-2 in last sixteen Gibson games.
Minn-Hst— Road team won last six Hickox games.
Tex-A’s— Under is 4-0-1 in last five Guccione games.

Chi-Chi— Four of last five Culbreth games went over.
KC-StL— Under is 13-6 in Scheurwater games.
LAA-LA— Home side is 13-4 in Merzel games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

both-to-score
Rumania : Liga 1
Academica – U Craiova 1948
Both to score : YES @ 2.00

[Can'tPickAWinner]

pep-firsthalf

WORLD: Olympic Games – Final
Brazil Ol. – Spain Ol.
Bet : First Half : X
Odds : 1.90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

4* Philadelphia Phillies -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Anthony- 3% Manel Kape -190

Analysis:
In an early preliminary bout, Manel Kape faces Ode Osbourne…

Willing to pay up in this spot for a line not quite wide enough. Manel Kape came into the UFC off 2 strong KO wins in the Rizin organization. Flashy guy with witty comments and KO power made made him a fan favorite. Upon his UFC arrival I wagered against him in both fights due to horrible stylistic match ups. They set Kape up against 2 top 5 fighters in the division - Alexandre Pantoja and Matheus Nicolau right away. Losing effort in both, but signs of raw talent was there. Saturday night is a big step down in competition level from his first 2 UFC bouts. Ode Osbourne is a product of Dana White's Contender Series defeating an unimpressive Armando Villarreal via submission. In his UFC debut he lost via round 1 submission against Brian Kelleher …who's many levels below both of Kape's past UFC opponents. Add in the fact in both bouts Manel looked extremely solid and very well rounded keeping it close against elite level opposition, and Ode got choked out by Kellerher. Not a good look for him. Most recently Ode defeated Jerome Rivera who's 0-4 in his last 4 UFC appearances.

No doubt Manel Kape covers this line and could look like a -400 fighter Saturday night. This line is not wide enough and there's value in this spot. Anywhere the fight goes Manel has the advantages including pure athleticism and explosiveness. Ode may seek to fire early bombs, but I fully believe Kape has the ability to shred through him.

Play: Manel Kape (-190)

Kyle Anthony- 3% Tecia Torres winning via decision +120

Analysis:
In a main card bout, Tecia Torres faces Angela Hill…

These ladies fought the first time back in 2015. Tecia controlled the action most of the fight in all phases winning by unanimous decision. Saturday night will be a rematch and I'm capping a very similar outcome.

Both ladies faced tough opponents, …but boy Torres was fed a Murders Row including multiple past champions. She squared up against Rose Namajunas, Jessica Andrade, Michelle Waterson, Maria Rodriguez, Joanna Jedrzejczyk, and Weili Zhang. Losing efforts, but thats a gauntlet of top female fighters. Now Torres is on a 2 fight winning streak defeating Brianna Van Buren and finishing newcomer Sam Hughes in round one. While Angela Hill backers lean heavy on her ability defending takedowns and standing upright. Posting a takedown defense of 76% is solid, but over the last 5 fights it's nearly 83%. Impressive. But my opinion, the takedowns aren't fully needed for Torres to win the fight. Her striking definitely improved including strengthening her kicking game and pressuring the opposition. Her cardio and output recently sets a good pace smothering any reach advantage Hill brings to the cage. In the clinch Torres should keep busy wearing Hill down winning rounds. The biggest red flag on Hill was basically her last fight against Ashley Yoder. No offense, but Ashley's striking is awful and although Hill won it was no striking clinch. With Hill worrying about takedowns Tecia can fire her offense comfortably in the pocket moving forward pushing Hill's back to the cage.

Also one thing certain, Tecia Torres is The Decision Queen. Don't let that round one doctor stoppage last fight fool you. Win or lose almost all of Tecia's fights go to the scorecards. Now I know MMA judging has been bat shit crazy, but I see her controlling the action all 3 rounds. Getting off the (-140) line I'm very comfortable grabbing plus money on Torres most likely path to victory.

Play: Tecia Torres winning via decision (+120)

Kyle Anthony- 5% Vicente Luque -120

Analysis:
In a main card bout Vicente Luque faces Michael Chiesa…

We're wagering on a fighter with more weapons, can exploit a clear vulnerability of his opponent with finishing upside at nearly a pick'em price… love this spot.

No doubt Michael Chiesa is on a nice 4 fight winning streak after losing back to back via submission loss. Impressive anytime a fighter puts 4 wins together, but taking a deeper dive it's not as impressive as you'd think. Losing to guys like Kevin Lee and Anthony Pettis, but winning against a step down in competition level defeating Diego Sanchez, Carlos Condit and Rafael Dos Anjos. Not only did all those opponents share the same takedown weakness, but limited power combined with average striking allowed for great stylistic match ups. Saturday night it'll be much different. Vicente Luque has a takedown defense rate of 65% which should keep him upright in the larger UFC octagon, but his offensive attack is far more superior then Chiesa's stand up game. This is where Luque will have massive success mixing in a high offensive output with solid leg kicks. The slower Chiesa many times heavy on his front foot planting which should offer opportunities to land. The only path to victory I see for Chiesa is finding a submission, but that main path for him is also an underrated part of Luque's game. Vicente's BJJ black belt crediaintals are at times limitly discussed due to his brawling mentality mixed with a granite chin most focus on. Make no mistake, Luque can handle himself anywhere this fight goes and finishing him via submission isn't the easiest thing to do. Matter fact, Luque has only been submitted twice since 2013. I believe Chiesa will sloppily seek takedowns after round 2 in which the heavy striking attack of Luque takes over. The power advantage should also be in Luque's favor as well, so I don't believe Vicente worrying much what Chiesa fires back his way… as long as he stays upright.

With more paths to victory, higher striking output, much cleaner stand up game with cardio and a rock solid chin… I'm all over this line at nearly pick'em price.



(* Would be comfortable playing this at 5% all the way up to -175, then suggested wager is 4% above that price.)

5% BEST BET: Vicente Luque (-120)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Total 4 U

Totals 4 You MLB Baseball Report for Saturday, August 7th

2021 NL East on FS1 Super Total of the Year
!!!!!
NY Mets/Phillies Under 9

MLB Baseball Bonus Winners
Washington/Atlanta over 8 1/2
Miami/Colorado over 10 1/2
Tampa Bay/Baltimore under 10
LA Angels/LA Dodgers over 8 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marty’s

60* Mets/Phillies OVER 9
50* Seattle +178
50* ChiSox -1.5 -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BobSportsBets

Seattle Team Total over 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Locksmith

Phillies ml

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pure Lock

10* Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
10* Vicente Luque -108 (UFC)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

IQ Sports

5* Red Sox +145 (Game 1 of DH)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB(Bob Balfe)
4:05 PM EST
Rotation #901
Mets -110 over Phillies
Megill/Suarez
The NL East is pretty competitive and should come down to the wire. Both starting pitchers today are young guys that have decent numbers, but don’t really have the ability to stretch their starts into long outings. The Phillies bullpen is weak so whenever you can get to them early it is a plus. The Mets are a little better at hitting left handed pitching and should be able to get to Suarez early. Take the Mets.

[golden contender]

Saturday card is up and is led by the 100% Divisional Game Of The Year, an Executive Level TIER 1 Move. We also have a Powerful Soccer Platinum Supreme move and the Late Canadian Football League Play. MLB Comp play below.

The MLB Comp Play for Saturday is on San Diego on the Run line at 8:40 eastern. The Padres have a plethora of advantages here including a big pitching edge with Darvish who has won 6 of 7 vs Arizona. The Padres have won 6 of 9 here in the series and 28 of the last 40 at home. Arizona is a dismal 3-31 as a road dog of 120 or more and 11-43 vs a Pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. Arizona has also dropped 21 of 27 on Saturdays and with Widener and his 5 Era here we will back the Padres to come away with a multiple run win. On Saturday we start the day with an Executive LEVEL TIER 1 MLB Move then the Divisional Game of the Year later on and a Platinum Supreme Soccer Move. There is also the Canadian Football League Play going later on. See us on facebook to Jump on now as we are poised to have a big day. For the MLB Comp play. Go with San Diego on the Run line. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

[philinnyc]

Marty’s

60* Mets/Phillies OVER 9
50* Seattle +178
50* ChiSox -1.5 -120

Marty's?? On a cautionary note, Powers Sports (who have been on fire) like Mets/Phillies UNDER 9 and the Yankees on the RUN LINE vs Seattle. Good luck.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

9 over yankees

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Delphi Sports

MLB
3* #903/904 San Francisco/Milwaukee under 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

2-Unit Play. Take #902 Philadelphia (-110) over New York Mets (4 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 7)

2-Unit Play. Take #908 Atlanta (-1.5, -115) over Washington (7 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 7)

2-Unit Play. Take #926 Houston (-1.5, -110) over Minnesota (7 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 7)

2-Unit Play. Take #927 Chicago White Sox (-1.5, -130) over Chicago Cubs (2 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 7)

3-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 9.5 N.Y. Mets at Philadelphia (4 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 7)

[GetTheseDimes]

Sean Zerillo (Action Network): UFC 265
Distance or Decision Props and Totals

Victoria Leonardo wins by Decision (+225, 0.25 units)
Bobby Green wins by Decision (+475, 0.25u)
Casey Kenney wins by Decision (+150, 0.25u)
Angela Hill wins by Decision (+180, 0.25u)
Michael Chiesa wins by Decision (+225, 0.25u)
Pedro Munhoz wins in Round 3 or By Decision (+180, 0.25u)
Pedro Munhoz wins by Decision (+225, 0.25u)
Ciryl Gane and Over 2.5 Rounds (+116, 1u)

Inside the Distance Props

Anderson Dos Santos wins Inside the Distance (+425, 0.25u)
Ed Herman wins Inside the Distance (+400, 0.25u)

Moneylines

Karolina Kowalkiewicz (-140, 0.5u)
Ed Herman (+200, 0.5u)
Casey Kenney (-120, 0.5u)
Michael Chiesa (+100, 0.5u)

Parlays

Parlay (+100, 0.5 units): Johnny Munoz (-300) & Manel Kape (-200)

+Nick Van Knickel$

[rocky57]

H&H Sports
Update #1

MLB
Double Dime - Mets +105
Dime - Mariners/Yankees Over 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA

6* Over Tampa Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Marley

Derrick Lewis (+310) vs. Ciryl Gane (-380): Gane by decision

I don't see Lewis winning this fight any way other than by knockout. Gane is a much better overall striker, and he is going to double up Lewis on strikes. He is also better on the ground and has better cardio. Lewis has huge power and it only takes one punch for him to end a fight. I am going to say he doesn't get the KO and either gets knocked out himself or gets picked apart all five rounds.

Jose Aldo (-130) vs. Pedro Munhoz (+110): Munhoz by decision

Aldo is the better and more technical striker, but Munhoz is proficient as well and he is the guy that should be leading in volume. I think Aldo has a better chance at a finish, but I would slightly favor Munhoz in a decision. I am going to take the underdog to win two rounds on the scorecards.

Michael Chiesa (+110) vs. Vicente Luque (-130): Luque by submission

Chiesa has to get this fight to the mat and he needs a submission, or he has to win two rounds with top control. Luque should dominate this fight on the feet, and he is a good grappler as well, so it won't be easy for Chiesa to work his game. I am going to pick Luque because he has more ways to win, but Chiesa is a tough guy to prepare for. If he wins this fight, he might look like he should have been a big favorite.

Tecia Torres (-135) vs. Angela Hill (+115): Torres by decision

Hill has the much better hands and, in a 15-minute striking match, I would favor her because of her boxing and higher volume. Torres has the better kicks and movement on the feet, but her big advantage will be on the mat. These two fought six years ago and Torres had 9 minutes of control time off two takedowns. Hill has improved a ton since, but I still slightly favor Torres because her advantage on the ground is the biggest edge.

Song Yadong (-110) vs. Casey Kenney (-110): Kenney by decision

This should be a high-paced and high-level fight, and I expect it to be close. Yadong is the better boxer, faster, and he has good offensive wrestling. Kenney is the better kicker, might be higher-paced and is the better grappler. I will lean with Kenney as my pick because I think he is the one that is more likely to get takedowns and spend time in top control.

Rafael Fiziev (-345) vs. Bobby Green (+285): Fiziev by TKO

I really like Fiziev in this fight. He is one of the best strikers in the division and he is going to be a level above Green on the feet, faster and more powerful. Green should look to mix in takedowns each round, but I don't see him having success with that and I think he gets knocked out at some point.

Vince Morales (+100) vs. Drako Rodriguez (-120): Morales by decision

Morales needs a win to keep his spot on the UFC roster. He is 1-4 in the UFC and his lone win is against the guy who just knocked out Rodriguez in his last fight. I think Morales has the edge on the feet with his boxing-brawling style. I think he is the higher-output striker and is more likely to get a knockout as well. Rodriguez should have the edge on the ground, but I am not confident he can get it there consistently.

Alonzo Menifield (-240) vs. Ed Herman (+200): Menifield by TKO

Menifield is going to have a big power advantage and he should also be the faster striker and better wrestler. The longer this fight goes, the more it will shift into Herman's favor, but he needs to weather an early storm and gas Menifield out to get a win. I think Menifield will be too much for him early.

Manel Kape (-200) vs. Ode Osbourne (+170): Osbourne by decision

Kape should have the striking edge, mainly with his hands and power. Osbourne might have better kicks and he is quick and maybe more active than Kape on the feet. His edge should be on the mat and he is dangerous from the bottom. I think Osbourne can hang on the feet if Kape isn't throwing volume and Osbourne could lock up a submission if this fight hits the mat.

Miles Johns (-200) vs. Anderson Dos Santos (+175) : Dos Santos by stoppage

Dos Santos is dangerous, and he can finish this fight anywhere. Johns will have a wrestling edge and the cardio edge as well. He doesn't wrestle much and he isn't a high-enough paced striker to slow Dos Santos down unless he takes an early beating from him and Dos Santos gasses.

Melissa Gatto (-130) vs. Victoria Leonardo (+110): Gatto by submission

It's hard to know what we are going to get from Gatto in her UFC debut because of limited film and she is only 25. But she looks pretty decent on the mat with her submission game. Her striking doesn't look very good and she can spend too much time on her back. Leonardo isn't a big test, but she could win the striking and she can also land takedowns and spend time in top control. I would favor Leonardo in a decision, but I am going to take Gatto to get a submission.

Johnny Munoz (-230) vs. Jamey Simmons (+195): Munoz by submission

Simmons is a wrestler with a strong overhand right. I don't think he is ready for the UFC level, and he is going up against a better wrestler and grappler. I think Munoz dominates on the mat and works his way to a submission

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pedro Rodrigues

Club America vs. Puebla (Saturday, 8 p.m. ET)

Club América to win -150 (1 unit)

Club América to win to nil +150 (0.5 unit)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Bollman

BOSTON @ TORONTO | 08/07 | 3:07 PM EDT
BOSTON +147
ANALYSIS: The Red Sox have looked brutal lately but they are still one of the best teams in the league and should split the doubleheader. This is basically a play on this doubleheader being split, if the Red Sox win the first game we’ll stay off the second, but if they lose the first game we’ll play the second and try to come out positive with plus money on both. Neither pitcher has been especially good against the other team this season so I think this game should be closer to even. Take the value in the Red Sox.

+978 23-16 IN LAST 39 MLB ML PICKS
+143 14-10 IN LAST 24 TOR ML PICKS
+130 3-2 IN LAST 5 BOS ML PICKS
10:43 AM

SEATTLE @ N.Y. YANKEES | 08/07 | 1:05 PM EDT
SEATTLE +170
ANALYSIS: The Mariners have played the Yankees tough the first two games of this series and they coulda gone either way. The Mariners have been hitting lefties well lately and they face a familiar foe in Andrew Heaney who was just traded to the Yankees. He has faced the Mariners twice this season and been hit hard both times. Chris Flexen has struggled on the road this season but he is coming off a quality start in Tampa Bay. Take the value in the Mariners.

+978 23-16 IN LAST 39 MLB ML PICKS
+429 31-22 IN LAST 53 SEA ML PICKS
10:41 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Akins

SEATTLE @ N.Y. YANKEES | 08/07 | 1:05 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -203
ANALYSIS: This is a 10 a.m. West Coast start for Seattle, and with the quick turnaround after a rough loss, I expect the Mariners to not be quite into this game. New York won last night’s game in a walk-off in 11 innings, 3-2. The Yankees are 8-0 since September 2019 past the first game of a series coming off a walk-off win. All three of New York’s runs came late off the Seattle bullpen. The Yankees are 11-0 since May 2021 past the first game of a series at home after they scored more runs off the bullpen than the opposing starter last game.

+530 7-2 IN LAST 9 MLB ML PICKS
+100 2-1 IN LAST 3 NYY ML PICKS
11:16 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GODFATHERLOCKS AUGUST 7TH PICKS



*** Please note one of our picks is a doubleheader and it’s game 2! 7pm start ***


MLB

*** TOP RATED 2000 UNIT PICKS ***



#1 - PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -105 (MLB)



#2 - BOSTON RED SOX GAME 2 +120 (MLB)



#3 - CLEVEAND INDIANS -135 (MLB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Elite Sports Picks

Minnesota (Pineda)/Houston (Garcia) OVER 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

National Sports Service

5* L.A. Angels (Barria)/L.A. Dodgers (Urias) UNDER 8.5

3* Cleveland (Morgan) -125 over Detroit (Alexander)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Sports Picks

MEMBER PICKS For 08/07/21

4 Unit --> L.A. Angels (Barria)/L.A. Dodgers (Urias) UNDER 8.5

3 Unit --> Kansas City (Keller)/St. Louis (Kim) OVER 8.5

3 Unit --> Colorado (Gomber) -140 over Miami (Luzardo)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top Ranks Sports

Marquee Picks® For 08/07/21

4★ Miami (Luzardo)/Colorado (Gomber) UNDER 10.5

3★ Tampa Bay (McClanahan)/Baltimore (Watkins) UNDER 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportsline Computer

MLB

Seattle +183

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

GOM Cleveland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

6 Units - #902 Philly (-110) vs NY Mets *4:15 EST

2 Units - #910 Colorado (-150) vs Miami *8 EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cal Sports

4% Reds -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Docs MLB

6 - PHILLIES -1.5, RL, +160 OVER METS
5 - BRAVES -1.5, RL, -115 OVER NATIONALS
4 - RED SOX +150 OVER BLUE JAYS - GM 1
5 - DODGERS -1.5, RL, -135 OVER ANGELS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe MLB

7 - New York Mets +100 over Philadelphia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports MLB

7 - San Diego Run line (-1.5, -135) over Arizona

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Justin Perri

BOSTON @ TORONTO | 08/07 | 3:07 PM EDT
BOSTON +147
ANALYSIS: The Red Sox had some questionable management last night as they allowed nine runs in an inning. I think they'll bounce back and beat the Jays in the first game of today's important doubleheader. The Sox are now only three games ahead of the Yankees and need to get a win in one of these games. I expect they come out swinging in the first game, as they have been able to get runs on Robbie Ray so far this season, and Nick Pivetta is a better pitcher when away from Fenway. Grab the Sox at plus money in the first game of the doubleheader.

+198 8-4 IN LAST 12 MLB PICKS
10:01 AM

MIAMI @ COLORADO | 08/07 | 8:10 PM EDT
COLORADO -157
ANALYSIS: The Marlins have been much worse on the road (20-36), and the Rockies have been elite at home (36-21). We saw it last night in the 14-2 rout; the Marlins cannot handle the Rockies. Plus, I'm not a big fan of Jesus Luzardo; I think he gives up too many home runs and now he has to pitch at Coors. Austin Gomber has been very good at home. Take the Rockies to win.

+198 8-4 IN LAST 12 MLB PICKS
+147 3-1 IN LAST 4 COL ML PICKS
9:58 AM

DETROIT @ CLEVELAND | 08/07 | 7:10 PM EDT
OVER 9.5
ANALYSIS: This is a clear-cut Over for me based on who is pitching. Both starters have xwOBAs close to .340, and the Indians' Eli Morgan is carrying an xSLG of .502 and a home ERA of 8.82. Tyler Alexander for Detroit has allowed seven home runs in 26.2 innings on the road, leaving him with a 5.74 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP when away as well. What's worse is his 6.00 ERA since the All-Star break. The hitters should have the advantage today. Go with the Over.

+583 9-3 IN LAST 12 MLB O/U PICKS
9:55 AM

L.A. ANGELS @ L.A. DODGERS | 08/07 | 9:10 PM EDT
L.A. DODGERS -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Dodgers have been great at bouncing back in these situations where they probably shouldn't have lost the game before. Julio Urias has been consistent and should keep the Angels to only a couple runs. This play is based more on the Dodgers offense, as I expect they wake up a bit today. Jamie Barria has been solid in his two recent starts, but those were against the Twins and the A's, who have both struggled offensively recently. I like the Dodgers to put some runs on him and win this game by multiple runs.

+198 8-4 IN LAST 12 MLB PICKS
+55 2-1 IN LAST 3 LAD ATS PICKS
9:51 AM

N.Y. METS @ PHILADELPHIA | 08/07 | 4:05 PM EDT
OVER 9.5
ANALYSIS: This is another NL East battle in which I'll happily take the Over. Weather is a solid factor; there should be a decent wind boost to make this a better hitting environment than normal at Citizens Bank Park. I also like that the Phillies seem to be going with another bullpen day behind Ranger Suarez, which should give the Mets some decent chances to get some runs up. Plus Bryce Harper is absolutely killing it, and we want that on our side. Go Over 9.5.

+583 9-3 IN LAST 12 MLB O/U PICKS
+495 6-1 IN LAST 7 PHI O/U PICKS
9:48 AM

WASHINGTON @ ATLANTA | 08/07 | 7:20 PM EDT
OVER 8.5
ANALYSIS: Truist Park is one of the best hitting parks in baseball, and today should be another plus hitting day with low air density and wind blowing out. I make this closer to 9 and would not be surprised if this line closes as such. The Over has hit in eight of the Nationals' last 10 games, which coincides with their choice to rid their bullpen of any decent options. And the Over is a robust 31-20-4 in Braves home games. Grab this one quickly; I don't expect it stays at 8.5 for long.

+583 9-3 IN LAST 12 MLB O/U PICKS
9:43 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

3* Braves -1.5
3* Phillies -115
3* Rockies -1.5 +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone

6* Rockies -155
2* Braves -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

4* Rays Under 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3* Toronto FC Over 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

4* Leicester +125 to lift cup
4* Columbus -120
4* Smith +100 Over English 3rd Round

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

5* Columbus -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Demarco

Tor Runline G1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kirby Maxwell

40 Dime
A.L. Central
Game of the Week

Tigers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitchell Newman

Phillies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams

Top-Rated
1000♦
Cheap Chalk Lock

Atlanta Runline

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

Phillies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jay McNeil

First
100 DIME
Max Wager of the Season

Mismatch of the Year

Houston Runline

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gus Augustine

50 Dime
Revenge Rout

KC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Brayman

Top-Rated
100 DIME
3-Run Road Rout

Detroit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Budin

PHILADELPHIA CREW

Dog of the Week

Toronto Runline G2

[rocky57]

H&H Sports

MLB
Triple Dime - Rays -1.5 runs [-140]
Triple Dime - Padres -1.5 runs [-145]
Double Dime - Marlins +148
Double Dime - Dodgers -1.5 runs [-137]

[FATMANWINS]

doc ufc
8 torres