Tuesday 8/10/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Jeff Siegel's Five Takeaways - 8/10/21 August 10, 2021
From the Week concluding August 8, 2021
By Jeff Siegel, handicapper and analyst

1 - Some horses have a knack for winning photo finishes. When the result of a race remains in doubt approaching the shadow of the wire, they somehow manage to reach back for reserve energy that only the good ones can find, as opposed to a lesser horse that might simply buckle under pressure. I can relate to the latter; I ran track in high school and my coach told me I was the human equivalent of a maiden claimer. I said, “state bred or open?”

Trainers often romanticize that top horses “know” where the wire is. Maybe they do know, but if so then they’re smarter than some jocks, who I’ve seen stand up at the sixteenth pole. We’ve all witnessed horses that hit the front and then appear to pull themselves up or lose focus and begin to coast, making the margin of victory much closer than it should have been.

Then there’s Knicks Go. He’s apparently not interested in posing for any stinking photos. He wants to blow you out.
The victory by the Brad Cox-trained horse in the Whitney S.-G1 at the Spa on Saturday was thoroughly predictable – the best horse with the easiest trip usually wins – as was his margin of domination, which in his case always has been of blowout proportions. The son of Paynter now has won eight races during his career with the following margins of victory beginning with his most recent: 4 1/2; 10 1/4; 2 3/4; 3 1/2; 10 1/4; 7 1/2; 3 1/2; and 5 1/2.

One other thing about Knick’s Go. He’s never won a race in which he didn’t lead wire-to-wire. We’re not really sure if any older horse currently in training can defeat him even if able to get in front of him early, but we do believe this: Knick’s Go will continue to win if he’s on the lead from the start. And it won’t be in a photo.


2 - Trainer Rudy Rodriguez said he was “pleasantly surprised” at the manner in which Bella Sofia dismantled a superior field of 3-year-old fillies in the 7F Test S.-G1 at Saratoga on Saturday. The bargain basement $20,000 OBS 2020 summer sale purchase registered a career top 101 Beyer speed figure in the four and one-half length victory while improving her record to three wins in four starts. In doing so, she became a legitimate candidate for year-end Eclipse Award consideration in the 3-year-old filly division and/or the filly and mare sprint category, though there is still much work to be done.
But if Rudy had read this column last month he wouldn’t have been “surprised.” We certainly weren’t. Here’s what we wrote in this space following her allowance win at Belmont Park on July 11:

“As impressive as any performance witnessed during the past week was the runaway romp by Bella Sofia in a first-level allowance sprint for 3-year-old fillies Sunday at Belmont Park. The margin of victory (six and one-half lengths) and the manner in which the win was accomplished (she easily disposed of a pace rival and then drew off with a ton left) surely stamps the daughter of Awesome Patriot as a legitimate threat to repeat on the raise when facing graded stakes company at Saratoga.

Bella Sofia will get some time off to recover from what had to be a physically taxing, exhausting effort and probably won’t return until the fall. With her stalking/prompting style and the ability to re-break at the head of the lane, she has the perfect set of skills for the BC Filly & Mare Sprint, which like the Test S., is run at seven furlongs.


3 - Maybe it’s not the most glamorous in thoroughbred racing but the long distance filly and turf division in North America has a new star, and shockingly she’s not from Europe and not trained by Chad Brown. Her name is War Like Goddess, purchased for $30,000 as a yearling at Keeneland and trained by Bill Mott. If you didn’t see her victory in the Glens Falls S.-G3 at Saratoga on Saturday, take the time watch what was a much more impressive than raw running lines would lead you to believe. Victorious now in five of six career starts, the daughter of English Channel came against slow fractions while being forced to rally widest of all yet was relentless through the lane, quickly and easily swallowing up her rivals with a turn off foot had to shade 23 seconds for the final quarter mile of the 12-furlong marathon trip.
She didn’t bring much at auction, because as successful of a sire as English Channel has been, his progeny are generally late developers, are pretty much grass only, and tend to be on the smaller side. I’ve never owned one, but I’d love to. When does that Keeneland catalogue come out, anyway?

The Europeans don’t always send their best for the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf – they’ve never really had to – but I’m not sure they have the luxury of bringing a second stringer this year. War Like Goddess earned a career top Beyer number of 99 in the Glens Falls, but even if accurate that only tells us what she did. It doesn’t tell us what she’s capable of.


4 – Her World was supposed to debut in a maiden grass sprint for juvenile fillies at Saratoga July 29, but the race got washed off the turf, so trainer Wesley Ward, not willing to wait any longer to unleash his latest keg of dynamite, vanned her down to Monmouth Park for the Tyro Stakes over five furlongs on turf against the boys, who as it turned, clearly had no chance after the opening 20 yards of the race had unfolded. The Irish-bred daughter, from the first crop of the brilliant young Scat Daddy stallion and Irish champion Caravaggio, simply ran her rivals off their feet enroute to a six length score in :56.62. A compact filly blessed with extremely quick action and athleticism, she was a $400,000 Keeneland yearling purchase that apparently was originally – and prophetically – called Rocket Woman. Both names remain registered to her dam’s 2019 foal, according to The Jockey Club registry.

Can’t say yet that she’s this year’s Golden Pal but the Ward barn has to be thinking Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint on the first weekend in November at Del Mar, where the short stretch provides the speed types with a major advantage.


5 – On Labor Day weekend, Friday, Aug. 31, 2001 (three weeks shy of exactly 20 years as of this writing), I was in a hotel room in Birmingham, Alabama, having just flown in on the UCLA football team Delta Airlines charter for their opening game the following day in Tuscaloosa against Alabama. I was nervous, not about the game as I knew we’d beat them (and we did), but rather about the afternoon’s Spinaway S.-G1 at Saratoga. Team Valor’s filly Cashier’s Dream was supposed to win – she would go off at 30 cents on the dollar - but when you’re facing the bluebloods with a Michigan-bred, you don’t have the luxury of being overconfident.
Barry (Irwin) and I had purchased her for our stable earlier that summer after her first two outings, both wins, in a maiden $50,000 claimer and an allowance race at Churchill Downs. At the time it seemed like we had more trainers than horses, but when we discussed who we should transfer her to, we decided to add a new one to the roster. “What about Steve Asmussen?” Barry asked. “Well, his brother (Cash) once rode a winner for us, so there’s that. Actually, I like him a lot,” I said of the young trainer who had saddled his first Grade-1 winner only two years before. I think he’s on his way to becoming somebody.”

Cashier’s Dream won the Spinaway by a pole, and despite having her career tragically cut short due to illness, remains one of the best fillies we’ve ever owned. He didn’t train many for us, but Steve was one of the best horseman we ever employed, and though he had an early reputation of being difficult to deal with, that never was the case with us. Over the weekend he became the winningest trainer in North American thoroughbred history at 9,445 when he saddled Stellar Tap to a runaway debut maiden win at the Spa. With a little luck, he’ll reach 10,000 by the end of next year. Congrats!
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From the week concluding August 1, 2021
By Jeff Siegel, Xpressbet.com handicapper and analyst

1 - There were a trio of important sprint stakes races over the weekend, two of which were won by 3-year-olds, one of which scored high on the goose-bump scale. Jackie’s Warrior had been upset by Drain the Clock in the Woody Stephens S.-G1 in early June but in their rematch in the 6.5 furlong Amsterdam S.-G2 at Saratoga it was no contest as the son of Maclean’s Music ran his rival into the ground during a torrid early pace duel and then coasted home to register a more than seven length victory. The assigned Beyer speed figure of 101, while arguably accurate, doesn’t do Jackie’s Warrior justice considering the blistering early fractions that he dispensed, and the victory, albeit vs. 3-year-olds only and over a muddy track that may (or may not) have moved him up, stamps him as the leader in the national sprint division for at least until Life Is Good makes a reappearance.

During the winter, Jackie’s Warrior was given one shot to gain passage on this year’s Derby trail, in the two-turn one mile Southwest Stakes-G3 at Oaklawn Park in February. He finished a well-beaten, fading third to Essential Quality, and that, thankfully, was the end of that. Since then he’s been allowed to concentrate on races that fit his profile in one-turn races up to a mile, winning the Pat Day Mile-G2 by a head and then missing by a neck in the Stephens before his Amsterdam success. Though his next start will be at seven furlongs in the H. Allen Jerkens S.-G1 Aug 28, It will be at the shorter six furlong trip of the Breeders’ Cup Sprint-G1 where we think he’ll truly be at his very best.


2 - Dr. Schivel is the other 3-year-old to make noise in the sprint division, doing so on Saturday when beating older horses in the Bing Crosby S.-G1. But how strong of a race was it? More than half the field appeared to finish in a heap and the assigned Beyer speed figure of 90 will get you nothing but hot and dirty on Breeders’ Cup day.

Successful in four of six career outings, the son of Violence did register a 97 Beyer in an overnight race at Santa Anita in his first start of the year in June, a respectable figure but not one that’s going to win the B.C. Sprint. Maybe he can do better. He’ll have to. The good news for Dr. Schivel is that he clearly loves the always quirky Del Mar main track (home to this year’s Breeders’ Cup), having won all three of his starts there including the 2020 Del Mar Futurity-G1.


3 - Continuing with our theme of the impact of speed figures in the evaluation process, the first-time starting juvenile filly Magnolia really caught our eye on Saturday when graduating in a five furlong turf sprint at Del Mar. Off a bit slowly and then stymied behind the leaders while saving ground to the head of the lane, she displayed quick action and extreme athleticism to angle out for room in the upper stretch and then quickly reeled in the leader to win like a filly who is destined to be somebody down the road.

Her Beyer speed figure of 70 was okay, not great, but the final furlong, officially clocked in :11.41 (she was at least a length back at this stage) under mild hand coaxing only may paint or more accurate picture. As a daughter of Frosted, she’s supposed to run on, so we’d think the listed Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf Sept. 5 will be next. Then, we’ll learn if the Simon Callaghan-trained filly is better than the fig says she is.


4 - It was a little puzzling that the Monmouth Park stewards waited two weeks after the fact to announce that jockey Flavien Prat had been handed a seven day suspension for careless riding aboard the disqualified Hot Rod Charlie in the Haskell S.-G1. Prat was cited for “failing to make a reasonable effort to keep his horse from drifting in past the 1/8 pole, allowing his horse to cross in front of Midnight Bourbon, which resulted in Midnight Bourbon clipping heels with Hot Rod Charlie, causing Midnight Bourbon to stumble badly, unseating his rider.”

The owners of the fallen colt surely would have collected at least third money of $100,000 had Prat maintained a straight course but instead received nothing but a bill for a standard jockey’s fee owed to their rider, Paco Lopez. Meanwhile, in what may be a case of being good to have friends in high places, Prat is allowed to serve his days beginning September 7 and ending Sept. 13, a time frame that conveniently begins one day after the rich Del Mar season closes and occurs during the first week of the Los Angeles County Fair meeting at Los Alamitos Racetrack. Not sure how many mounts Prat was expected to ride during the Fair meeting, but at the recently concluded two week summer session at Los Alamitos, he, according to the track’s website accepted exactly zero mounts.


5 - I had the good fortune of covering the Preakness S.-G1 on site at Pimlico for HRTV for a dozen years, a significant journalistic experience to be sure, one that allowed me to be rooftop for one of the most thrilling horse races I’ve ever seen, the victory by the filly Rachel Alexandra over Derby winner Mine That Bird in 2009. Three years earlier, the undefeated Barbaro, who had captured the attention of the mainstream media as a likely Triple Crown winner following his runaway Kentucky Derby triumph, was expected to take his next step toward racing immortality that afternoon but tragically suffered what proved to be a catastrophic injury in the opening furlong of the race, and ultimately had to be put down several months later despite heroic attempts to save him.

The winner of that Preakness wasn’t the story line, in fact almost all of our reporting centered on Barbaro’s dire post-race condition and his hastily assembled emergency transportation with escort to a nearby veterinary clinic. Through it all, we managed to occasionally drop into the discussion that a little known 12-1 longshot named Bernardini, trained by Tom Albertrani, actually had won the race

We may not have realized it at the time, but Bernardini was a fabulous race horse an in retrospect may have won the Preakness under any circumstance. The Darley Stable (Godolphin)-owned colt would proceed to win the Jim Dandy S.-G1, the Travers S.-G1 and the Jockey Club Gold Cup-G1 (each victory under wraps) before going to the post in the Breeders’ Cup Classic at even money, a race that I’ll always believe he should have won. The victim of pilot error or perhaps overconfidence by jockey Javier Castellano, Bernardini was asked to move too soon while very wide into the teeth of a contested pace and eventually paid the price when worn down close home by Invasor, who won by a length and in doing so earned Horse of the Year honors.

A resident of Jonabell Farm throughout his stud career, Bernardini was euthanized last Friday at age 18 due to laminitis. Though he never produced anything that was quite as accomplished as himself, the son of A. P. Indy was highly successful in his second career, siring at last count 80 stakes winners and the dams of 54 stakes winners. Those numbers will rise in seasons to come, and his influence in North American breeding will be felt for decades.
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Monday Myths: Who Gets the Credit for Saez's Saratoga Start? August 9, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Welcome to a continuing handicapping series for our Monday blog space, “Monday Myths.” Each week I’ll use the power of the Betmix database to take common handicapping assumptions and either support or dispel them with data. Betmix data powers the 1/ST BET app and its features like Angler and Birddog give data-minded horseplayers a treasure trove of information in which to query your own curiosities.

Assumption:

The hot start for Luis Saez at Saratoga is because he’s getting on the best mounts.

Background:

Horseplayers (and trainers) often will shrink the importance of riders and associate their success simply by who is the best passenger on the best horse. The winningest jockeys get the best mounts, or, the best mounts go to the jockeys atop the standings. It’s a self-fulfilling circle if you listen to the murmurs. Luis Saez’s 35 wins the first 4 weeks of the Spa meeting has him 7 in front of Jose Ortiz and 10 in front of Irad Ortiz, Jr. Let’s find out how he got here.

Data Points:

I dialed up the Betmix database to look at Saez’s mounts for the 2021 meet to date, comparing them to the other top-5 riders in the colony and also against his past Saratoga mounts in 2019 and 2020. The key metrics were win percentage, average odds per mount, favorites, $1 ROI for every $1 bet and longshots performance.

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Luis Saez ranks atop all jockeys in win % at the Saratoga meet with 10 or more mounts at 22.3%.
Other top-5 riders at the 2021 meet in terms of win %: Jose Ortiz (19.4%), Irad Ortiz Jr. (16.5%), Tyler Gaffalione (16.0%) and Joel Rosario (15.5%).

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Luis Saez’s average odds per mount at the 2021 Saratoga meet has been 7.49-1.
Other top-5 riders at the 2021 meet in terms average odds per mount: Irad Ortiz Jr. (4.38-1), Jose Ortiz (6.80-1), Joel Rosario (7.01-1) and Tyler Gaffalione (13.01-1).

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Luis Saez ranks second among all jockeys in terms of favorites ridden at the Saratoga meet with 27.
Other top-5 riders at the 2021 meet in terms of favorites ridden: Irad Ortiz Jr. (54), Jose Ortiz (23), Joel Rosario (20), Tyler Gaffalione (6).

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Luis Saez (17%, 27 of 158) ranks third in terms of percentage of mounts who have been favored at the 2021 Saratoga meet (minimum 10 favorites ridden).
Other top-5 riders at the 2021 meet in terms of percentage of mounts ridden who are favored: Irad Ortiz Jr. (36%, 54 of 152), Joel Rosario (18%, 20 of 110), Jose Ortiz (16%, 23 of 144) and Tyler Gaffalione (6.0%, 6 of 100).

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Luis Saez (37%) ranks second in terms of win percent when riding the favorite at the 2021 Saratoga meet (minimum 10 favorites ridden).
Other top-5 riders at the 2021 meet in terms of win percentage aboard favorites: Joel Rosario (45%), Tyler Gaffalione (33%), Jose Ortiz (30%) and Irad Ortiz Jr. (30%),

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Luis Saez ranks first among all jockeys in terms of $1 ROI for every $1 bet at the Saratoga meet (minimum 50 mounts) at $1.10. He’s the only jockey in the profit in that category (Tyler Gaffalione has been break-even).
Other top-5 riders at the 2021 meet in terms of $1 ROI for every $1 bet: Tyler Gaffalione ($1.00), Jose Ortiz ($0.97), Joel Rosario ($0.63) and Irad Ortiz Jr. ($0.55).

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Luis Saez has 2 longshot winners of 10-1 or more at the 2021 Saratoga meet, which is tied for second-best behind Eric Cancel’s 3.
Other top-5 riders at the 2021 meet in terms of longshot winners at 10-1 or more: Tyler Gaffalione (2), Joel Rosario (1). The Ortiz Brothers are a combined 0-38 with 10-1 or higher runners.

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Luis Saez’s 2021 vs. 2020 vs. 2019 Saratoga win percentage: 22% | 18% |13%
Luis Saez’s 2021 vs. 2020 vs. 2019 Saratoga average odds per mount: 7.5-1 | 8.3-1 |9.7-1
Luis Saez’s 2021 vs. 2020 vs. 2019 Saratoga $1 ROI for every $1 bet: $1.10 | $1.01 | $0.67
Luis Saez’s 2021 vs. 2020 vs. 2019 Saratoga percentage of mounts as favorites: 17% | 14% | 12%
Luis Saez’s 2021 vs. 2020 vs. 2019 Saratoga win % when riding favorites: 37% | 22% | 36%

Overall Findings:

Irad Ortiz Jr. has ridden by a wide margin the most favorites and highest percentage of mounts as the favorite at the 2021 meet. But it’s Luis Saez doing best in terms of overall wins, win percent and ROI, while riding the second or third-best series of horses according to the metrics studied. When looking at Saez over the past 3 summers, his success has increased while he’s ridden more favorites and lower-priced runners. After a down year in 2020 aboard favorites, he’s making the most of his best mounts this summer so far.

Bottom line:

No doubt the stock for Saez has improved from 2019-2020 and now into 2021 based on the percentage of favorites ridden and the average price of all his mounts. But he’s still riding arguably the third-best stock at the meet, give or take, behind Irad Ortiz Jr., Jose Ortiz and arguably Joel Rosario. He’s doing the most with his chances, which are carrying more clout at the same time.

Additional Details:

You can go into Betmix and run your own queries for a deeper dive into this theory and any that you can create. For instance, which trainers has Saez had the most success with at Saratoga? Over the past 3 years, you’d be surprised to know it’s H. James Bond with 13 victories, 29% wins and a $1.42 ROI for every $1 bet.

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Presque Isle Downs - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#7 Side Action
She might be a bit better going long, but she looks like a good fit and like a reasonable alternative to the chalk. Sharpened a bit for the cutback?


#4 Keypit
She's a likely short price here, but her two local tries have been solid when facing similar at this level. Still, a short price on a 16-start maiden is never very appealing.


#3 Lynbrooke
She'll add Lasix while racing around one turn for the first time in her career, and she has a little bit of upside while running with Lasix for the first time.


Race Summary
Side Action has generally been in with better groups, and she'll cut back around one turn at this level for the first time. Think her best stuff might get the job done.


Presque Isle Downs - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#6 Beyond Smart
He ran a good one off the layoff last out, and he's a threat right back with these if he's able to hold that form in the second run off the break. Forward player gets a good race shape today.


#5 Ault
He has been a pretty reliable type on all-weather footing throughout his career, but he'll need to fire fresh off the layoff to land this. Get a look at him in the parade.


#1 Red Cat
The recent form isn't much to look at, but he has been facing better allowance company and might appreciate being in with this type of company. Dropper can do.


Race Summary
Beyond Smart has enough pace to be in the mix early from the high draw, and he earned this step up after a really nice comeback win to kick off his 10yo campaign.


Presque Isle Downs - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#1 Tula
Worth a price look from the inside in a race where most of them seem content to settle just a bit off the pace. Hoping he gets an aggressive ride early to establish position while dropping in with claiming company.


#5 Our Closure
She has been in with better company than she's going to find here, and she has won half of her eight local starts. Capable, but she's probably an underlay.


#7 Dance the Day Away
She has some finishing ability and has run very well in all three lifetime starts over the local footing. Look for her late, but she seems more likely underneath.


Race Summary
Tula has enough pace to find the front if they want to go, and that might be a move that pays off at a price. Third start off the break produces something better?

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Pocono Downs - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#3 JACKAMINO
Field's top earner this year should sit ideal trip in second start after missing a week.


#2 HORSE
Led at the stretch call in his last two starts at Harrah's Philadelphia.


#8 HOW ARE YEE JOHN
Chased longshot winner around the track after 2-to-5 fave broke stride.


Race Summary
Jackamino made a middle move to within a head of the lead against better at Yonkers before the favorites passed by. He projects a good trip in here and could sustain the same type of rally for a victory. Play a 3-ALL exacta.


Yonkers - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#1 UNCONTROLLABLE
Gapped cover on turn, re-rallied 3-wide for second, can handle class hike.


#4 ANDRES HANOVER
Just won under same conditions, doesn't shy from photo-finish camera.


#6 FULL MOON BEACH
Carried speed to five wins in 10 starts out of town this year.


Race Summary
Uncontrollable, outrun until the backstretch, gapped cover on the final turn but found his best stride in mid-stretch. He got up to finish a clear second to pace-setting repeater Deal The Cards, who faces more pressure tonight.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#2 COOL ROCK
War horse closed full of run for second, seeks 43rd win off the re-claim.


#9 MACH IMPACT
Continues to make an impact from difficult starting spots.


#8 JULERICA
Won from on and off the pace at this level, seeks three-peat.


Race Summary
Cool Rock steps up off the re-claim for a 19-percent barn. He came out from fifth on the final turn last week and gobbled up ground in the final sixteenth to finish second. The 13-year-old is worth a win and place bet at 6-1 on the morning line in his 300th start.

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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Indiana Grand - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#1 Compressed Energy
Gave it a shot in the Debutante at Churchill Downs and finished far back, but in her only other start, she led from starter to finish going five furlongs at Indiana Grand. Returns to Indiana-breds and gets a good run along the rail.


#2 Everything's Rosy
Pretty short on the morning line after an easy win in her only start; can probably be effective from wherever her jockey sees fit.


#6 Chelsea's Strength
Cruised to an easy win last out after running third in her debut; continued improvement can make her a tough customer.


Race Summary
Compressed Energy was in over her head at Churchill and can get back to good form in her return home.


Indiana Grand - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#3 Hungarian Princess
Gave a good effort last out in her first turf attempt, finishing third; gets a better post this time and can improve as she gets used to the grass.


#2 Shy Money
Has won three straight and moves over for her first attempt on the grass; early speed makes her dangerous.


#4 Shi O' Shi
Was never threatened here last time out and hasn't been on the turf since Fair Grounds; was third in a turf maiden race at Churchill when she was two.


Race Summary
Hungarian Princess can improve on her only turf start and can stalk a fast pace.


Indiana Grand - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#1 Revs Run
Followed a slow pace from the outside and had not kick in a fourth-place finish; gets a better post, can save ground, and could go for the lead. Can improve here.


#7 Stormy Wager
Got the lead from an outside post and held on for second last out; was second in three of her last four.


#10 Lush Be a Lady
Moves over to the turf after her best lifetime performance and steps up from maiden claiming; could pull the upset if the speed horses falter.


Race Summary
Revs Run finished fourth in a slow pace and could get a much better run here; expect a top effort.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tokyo Brandon Event: (983) Milwaukee Brewers at (984) Chicago Cubs
Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: August 10, 2021 2PM EDT
Play: Milwaukee Brewers -1.0 (-118) Action
The Cubs have given up on the season and their lineup looks like a AAA roster. Peralta has been great at home and on the road and the Cubs in his career hit only .177 against him. The Cubs start Steele who is a relief pitcher who has not pitched past the 2nd inning all season, followed by the 22nd ranked bullpen. The Brewers hit pretty well vs LHP so take the Brewers to win this one on the alt -1 spread. These are very nice odds.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan Event: (224329) Dinamo Zagreb at (224330) Legia Warszawa
Sport/League: SOC

Date/Time: August 10, 2021 3PM EDT
Play: Legia Warszawa +0.5 (-135)
PLAY: LEGIA WARSZAWA +0.5

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Mike Wynn Free Pick: St Louis w/Happ -115 over Pittsburgh

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Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY:ST LOUIS/PITTSBURGH UNDER the total of 9½ runs

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Totals4U Tuesday's Free Selection: Colorado Rockies/Houston Astros over 9

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Atlantic Sports
Tuesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: New York Yankees - 150

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#1 Sports Tuesday's Free Play: Colorado Rockies + 155

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Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: Minnesota w/Jax +130 over Chicago Wsox

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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Tuesday : Take CINCINNATI/ATLANTA UNDER the total of 9½ runs

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Hawkeye Sports Tuesday's Free Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers - 155

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Huddle Up Sports
Tuesday Free Play
St Louis/Pittsburgh over 9

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Arthur Ralph FreePlay TUES Brewers w/Peralta early Game

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Teyas Sports FREE PICK 8/10 MLB TORONTO OVER 7 1/2

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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Tuesday: OAKLAND/CLEVELAND UNDER the total of 9½ runs

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High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Tuesday: Washington Nationals + 180

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John Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Tuesday:
LAD/Phil UNDER 8½ runs

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Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Tuesday:
Balt/Det OVER 10½ runs

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Hollywood Anthony Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take St Louis Over 9

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951ST LOUIS -952 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 43-58 SU (-27.5 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

953LA DODGERS -954 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 21-16 SU (10.2 Units) in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

955WASHINGTON -956 NY METS
NY METS are 5-17 SU (-16.2 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

957CINCINNATI -958 ATLANTA
CINCINNATI is 0-9 SU (-10.4 Units) in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.

959MILWAUKEE -960 CHICAGO CUBS
MILWAUKEE is 46-28 SU (18.9 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse in the current season.

961ARIZONA -962 SAN FRANCISCO
ARIZONA is 3-19 SU (-19.6 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

963MIAMI -964 SAN DIEGO
MIAMI is 22-8 SU (13.3 Units) vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season in the current season.

965LA ANGELS -966 TORONTO
TORONTO is 11-3 SU (9.1 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season in the current season.

967DETROIT -968 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 19-48 SU (-33.8 Units) after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse in the last 3 seasons.

969TAMPA BAY -970 BOSTON
TAMPA BAY is 36-16 SU (22.4 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Tuesday, August 10

Trend Report

Milwaukee @ Chi Cubs
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games at home

LA Angels @ Toronto
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Angels's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Detroit @ Baltimore
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 10 games
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home

LA Dodgers @ Philadelphia
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
St. Louis is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis

Tampa Bay @ Boston
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games at home

Oakland @ Cleveland
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Washington @ NY Mets
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

Cincinnati @ Atlanta
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Cincinnati is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Milwaukee @ Chi Cubs
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games at home

Colorado @ Houston
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games on the road
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
Houston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Colorado

NY Yankees @ Kansas City
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
NY Yankees is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing NY Yankees

Chi White Sox @ Minnesota
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Arizona @ San Francisco
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 12 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Arizona is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
San Francisco is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing Arizona

Toronto @ LA Angels
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
LA Angels is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto

Miami @ San Diego
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games
San Diego
San Diego is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

Texas @ Seattle
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Texas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 10

https://i.ibb.co/pKKFmJb/Screenshot-2021-08-10-at-07-32-12-MLB-Baseball-Picks-The-Dunkel-Index.png (https://ibb.co/vddntZV)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hastings



Hastings - Race 7

Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta



Claiming $4,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 7:48P


(PLUS UP TO $2,500 THRIF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 10 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 10 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000, FOR EACH $500 TO $3,000 2 LBS. BRITISH COLUMBIA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Stalker. PADDY D'ORO is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MARTELLO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. THE ALL BUTTON: Hor se ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SWORD FIGHTER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. PADDY D'ORO: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.



5

MARTELLO

5/2


9/2




6

THE ALL BUTTON

2/1


7/1




2

SWORD FIGHTER

4/1


7/1




3

PADDY D'ORO

3/1


7/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




6

THE ALL BUTTON

6


2/1

Front-runner

77


68


70.9


65.6


59.6




5

MARTELLO

5


5/2

Front-runner

79


75


64.2


72.2


68.7




3

PADDY D'ORO

3


3/1

Stalker

81


67


55.6


64.4


56.9




2

SWORD FIGHTER

2


4/1

Trailer

76


75


25.2


71.4


67.9




4

HARLAN'S ANGEL

4


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

66


65


62.4


60.6


50.1




1

DAKATI

1


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

77


74


38.8


62.6


54.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes



Finger Lakes - Race 4

EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 4-5) * PICK 3 ( 50 Cent Minimum: Races 4-5-6) * PICK 5 WITH CARRYOVER (50 Cent Minimum: Races 4-5-6-7-8)



Claiming $11,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $17,200 • Post: 2:37P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 10 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $11,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $9,000 2 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Trailer. STORM ALFEET is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * JACOBA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. UNCLE NED: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RINGGOOD: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



5

JACOBA

2/1


3/1




3

UNCLE NED

3/2


7/2




4

RINGGOOD

5/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

RINGGOOD

4


5/1

Front-runner

75


68


56.8


58.4


52.4




2

HONOR THY SECRET

2


12/1

Front-runner

58


53


54.5


12.4


0.0




3

UNCLE NED

3


3/2

Stalker

78


72


65.8


73.2


68.7




5

JACOBA

5


2/1

Alternator/Stalker

84


76


82.2


64.4


59.4




6

STORM ALFEET

6


6/1

Trailer

66


61


35.2


56.6


48.6




1

SHADOW CASTER

1


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

68


59


63.4


56.2


47.7




7

YOU'VE GOT MALE

7


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

49


59


52.0


45.8


35.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8500 Class Rating: 68

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 10 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500, IF FOR $6,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 BLUEBIRD SING 6/5




# 1A BELMAR BEAUTY 6/5




# 5 OH MY OH 4/1




I've got to go with BLUEBIRD SING. Bettors have been noting speed boosts from starters changing equipment (blinkers off today). Has very strong front speed and will probably fare admirably versus this field. Looks to have a decent class edge based on the recent company kept. BELMAR BEAUTY - She should be considered given the competitive speed figures. Always good to invest in a conditioner with this kind of very good win percentage - 15 percent - at this distance & surface. OH MY OH - The almost immediate return to the races points to a sound effort this time around.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $34000 Class Rating: 66

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 1 MISS CHAMITA 7/5




# 7 MARIAH'S FORTUNE 9/5




# 3 EMILY SMILES 8/1




MISS CHAMITA looks to be a strong contender. Risk takers have been noting speed increases from horses changing equipment (blinkers on today). Put up a reliable speed figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. Is difficult not to examine given the company run in recently. MARIAH'S FORTUNE - Overall the speed figs of this animal look very good in this contest. Change in Lasix (with second time Lasix) may be the difference to a major improvement. EMILY SMILES - Has been running admirably lately and will probably be on or close to the lead early on. A solid 62 avg class rating may give this filly a distinct class edge against this group of animals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8 - Post: 7:40pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 72

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#5 LACEE (ML=8/1)
#1 MALARKEY (ML=5/2)
#3 WILD LOOKER (ML=8/1)


LACEE - This mare is rounding her way back into shape. Should run well today. Personally, I wouldn't worry about where she finished in her last race (fourth). Should rebound in this field, with some decent odds. MALARKEY - Have to give this mare a good chance. Ran a strong race in the last race within the last month. Earnings per race entered is something that I think can be a key selection factor. This horse is ranked numero uno in this group. WILD LOOKER - Have to give this mare a chance. Ran a nice contest in the last race within the last 30 days.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 AMAZON LIZZIE (ML=2/1), #7 ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE (ML=4/1),

AMAZON LIZZIE - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance contests in order to wager on her. I normally try to beat this kind of chalk. Long layoff and no drop in level of competition. ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE - This closer looks to have little chance without a ding-dong battle up front. You think this animal is going to finish first just because she's always close. Just doesn't finish first regularly. Recorded a substandard speed fig last race out in an $8,500 Claiming race on August 2nd. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that number.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #5 LACEE on the win end if we get at least 7/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,3,5]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,3,5] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1.
The Sports Consensus (https://www.thesportsconsensus.com)
MLB
Oakland -140
0-0 (+0)
4-1 (+290)


2.
Profit On Sports (https://www.profitonsports.com)
MLB
Dodgers -155
0-0 (+0)
4-1 (+290)


3.
Doc's Picks (http://www.docspicks.com)
MLB
Yankees -150
0-1 (-110)
5-2 (+210)


4.
Joe Wiz (http://www.joewizsports.com)


0-1 (-110)
3-2 (+90)


5.
Top Rank Sports Picks (http://www.topranksportspicks.com)
MLB
Boston -125
1-0 (+100)
4-3 (+80)


6.
Elite Sports Picks (https://www.elite-sports-picks.com)
MLB
Minnesota +140
0-1 (-110)
4-3 (+35)


7.
The Spot Player (http://www.thespotplayer.com)
MLB
Yankees -150
0-0 (+0)
2-2 (-20)


8.
National Sports Service (https://www.nationalsportsservice.com/)
MLB
Pirates under 9.5
0-0 (+0)
2-3-1 (-40)


9.
Insider Sports Report (https://www.insidersportsreport.com)
MLB
Boston -125
0-0 (+0)
2-3 (-130)


10.
Primetime Sports Picks (http://www.primetimesportspicks.com/)
MLB
Seattle over 8
0-0 (+0)
2-4 (-275)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R and R Totals (http://www.randrtotals.com/)
MLB
DETROIT TIGERS/BALTIMORE ORIOLES u10.5
0
0
0


Rocketman Sports (http://www.rocketmansports.com/)
MLB
NEW YORK YANKEES ‑145
0
0
0


Silvas Sports (http://www.silvassports.com)
MLB
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES +145
0
0
0


The Money Team Wins Sports (https://twitter.com/TMTWMoney)
MLB
CHICAGO CUBS (GAME 1) +190
0
0
0


Tommy King Wins (http://www.tkwins.com/)
MLB
NEW YORK YANKEES ‑150
0
0
0


XS Sports Picks (http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1132323&page=12)
MLB
CHICAGO WHITE SOX ‑105 o10.5
0
0
0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks
Place A Bet


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Blue Jays GM1 -165
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642GfsGTz_YfB9onf8DuVAkVka/0/)


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
MLB – Cubs GM2 +130
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


3.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
MLB – Mets -1.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


4.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
MLB – Pirates +120
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


5.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Red Sox -120
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


6.
PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) (https://www.pointspreadreport.com)
MLB – Twins +130
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


7.
Winning Big Sports (https://www.winningbigsports.com)
MLB – Mariners -1.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


8.
NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) (https://www.nsawins.com)
MLB – Astros -185
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


9.
Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com)
MLB – Indians +125
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


10.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Orioles +115
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


11.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Giants -1.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


12.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
MLB – Cubs GM2 +130
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


13.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Phillies +145
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


14.
SCORE (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
MLB – Pirates under 9.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
MLB – Mets -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


16.
Chicago Sports Group (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/chicago-sports-group/)
MLB – Padres -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


17.
Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
MLB – Blue Jays GM1 -165
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


18.
VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
MLB – Royals +135
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


19.
South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
MLB – Astros -185
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
MLB – Brewers GM1-185
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
MLB – Mariners -1.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
MLB – Twins +130
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
MLB – Red Sox -120
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
MLB – Padres -1.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
MLB – Cubs GM2 +130
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Winners for Tuesday, August 10th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE MLB PICKS
Reds @ Braves
TIME: 7:10 PM EST
PICK: Bet OVER 9.5 @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tuesday, August 10th, 2021 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!FREE MLB PICKS
Brewers @ Cubs
TIME: 8:05 PM EST
PICKS: BET OVER 8.5 @ BOVADA (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAMEDAY NETWORK

FREE MLB WINNER
TUESDAY 8/10/21
Dodgers @ Phillies
Time: 7:05 PM EST
Free Pick: OVER 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Action 365

FREE WINNER for TUESDAY 8/10/21:
MLB Nationals @ Mets OVER 8.5 GAME TIME 7:10 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Line Crushers

FREE PLAY TUESDAY 8/10/21: CARDINALS @ PIRATES OVER 9.5

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PointSpreadReport(SAM CASEY)

TUESDAY 8/10/21 COMP PLAY: ATHLETICS -145

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Winning Big Sports
COMP PLAY TUESDAY 8/10/21: MLB RAYS @ RED SOX OVER 10

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Jay McNeil

Pitchers duel tonight at the Bank as Max Scherzer and Aaron Nola climb the hill in this Dodgers-Phillies series opener that I like to hold Under the total.

Former Nats pitcher Max Scherzer is quite familiar with the Philadelphia attack and comes into this meeting with a 14-4 career mark against the Phillies and a 2.55 ERA in his 24 lifetime starts. This season Mighty Max is 9-4 with a 2.75 ERA.

Aaron Nola counters with a 2-0 career mark against the Dodgers and a 3.75 ERA in his 4 lifetime starts versus Los Angeles.

The Dodgers have landed Under the total in 2 of their last 3 games and in 3 of their last 5 games overall, while the Phillies are working on 3 Unders in a row heading into Tuesday's action.

I expect Scherzer and Nola to dominate.

Dodgers-Phillies Under the total.

5* L.A. DODGERS-PHILADELPHIA UNDER

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Trace Adams

Comp play for Tuesday is to play against the free-falling New York Mets who come back home now in third place in the division that they had led for some 90 days prior to their lost weekend in Philadelphia.

The Mets have lost 4 straight and are on an overall 3-10 tailspin in their last 13 games and I see no reason to lay this kind of juice even against this rebuilding Nationals team.

Washington has only won twice in their last 9 games, but they have won 3 in a row in the season series against New York and have won 5 of the 8 overall season series meetings over the Mets this season.

Paolo Espino is coming off a rough last start, but he had allowed 3 runs or less in each of his previous 6 season starts prior to getting roughed up by the Phillies last time out.

Carlos Carrasco has not been able to work past the 5th inning in his first 2 starts with New York and there is no way I wish to lay this kind of juice with him and his deflated team tonight.

Dog shocker play on the Nationals tonight.

1* WASHINGTON

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Kirby Maxwell

My free play for tonight is the Detroit Tigers over the Baltimore Orioles.

I'm baffled by this line, with the pitching matchup we have on our hands. The Tigers hand the ball to Casey Mize, who will outclass Baltimore starter Keegan Akin.

The Tigers have won six Mize's last nine starts. He is 3-3 with a 3.58 ERA in 11 road starts. The Tigers have won three of his last four road starts. And, Mizeis 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his lone career start against the Orioles, after firing seven innings and allowing one unearned run on four hits earlier this season.

Akin has started and come in for relief this season, and is 0-5 in his eight starts. He has a 7.66 ERA overall, but as a starter, that number jumps to 8.82. When he's a starter, teams are hitting .343 and slugging .587 against him.

Detroit will roll here.

2* TIGERS

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Mitchell Newman

Big A.L. East series gets underway in Beantown as first-place Tampa Bay takes on second-place Boston and rather than select a side here, I will look for some runs to be scored as this series opener lands Over the total.

These rivals have played 9 times already this year and 7 of the 9 have landed Over the total.

Luis Patino is making his first season start against the Red Sox and he enters with a 4.42 season ERA as 3 of his last 5 starts this season have played Over the total.

Eduardo Rodriguez owns a 6.35 ERA this season in his home starts and is 1-3 with a 5.33 ERA in his 10 career starts against Tampa Bay.

Going to look for there to be enough runs on the scoreboard this Tuesday night to take this Rays-Red Sox meeting Over the total.

2* TAMPA BAY-BOSTON OVER

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Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, TUESDAY AUGUST 10, 2021


8/10 04:10 PM PT / 7:10- PM ET

MLB (969) TAMPA BAY RAYS VS (970) BOSTON RED SOX

Take: (969) TAMPA BAY RAYS

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Roz Wins ROZ Selections TUESDAY, August 10, 2021

FREE MLB
958. Braves -1.06 (4:20 PT / 7:20 ET)

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Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play TUESDAY, AUGUST 10, 2021

FREE MLB
959. Brewers -1.34 Game 1 (5:05 PT / 8:05 ET)

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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Tuesday Selection Is
Kansas City w/Lynch +135

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The Last Call Tuesday's Free Play: Los Angeles Angels + 143 (Game 2 of Doubleheader)

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Rob Veno Event: (967) Detroit Tigers at (968) Baltimore Orioles
Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: August 10, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Detroit Tigers -117 C Mize (RHP), K Akin (LHP) Must Start
Playing the starting pitching edge here and fading the Orioles bullpen which has spiraled into a total disaster. Detroit RH starter Casey Mize handled the Baltimore lineup rather easily in his start against them 12 days ago going seven full while allowing just six baserunners and 0 ER. Baltimore's severe disparity offensively vs. LHP (#3 OPS in MLB) and RHP (#28 in MLB) is helpful to Mize as well. Orioles LH Keegan Aiken and his 9.93 ERA in his last seven outings (7.66 season) has exceeded 5 IP only twice in his 15 appearances meaning the bullpen will be active. Baltimore is 1-14 in games when Aiken has been on the hill. Tigers are out of the playoff race for all intent and purposes but they continue to play hard with the motivation of catching Cleveland (only 3 GB) for 2nd place in the AL Central. Detroit is above .500 vs. LHP this season at 19-17 while Baltimore's 23-46 mark against RH starters further illustrate their problems in that category. Willing to lay the small price with the Tigers in this contest where DH Miguel Cabrera is just 2 HR's away from 500 career.
Recommendation: Detroit (Full Game Money Line) -117

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Gianni the Greek

Event: (967) Detroit Tigers at (968) Baltimore Orioles
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: August 10, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Total Over 10.0 (-120) C Mize (RHP), K Akin (LHP) Must Start

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Bryan Leonard

Event: (957) Cincinnati Reds at (958) Atlanta Braves
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: August 10, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Cincinnati Reds -103 S Gray (RHP), D Smyly (LHP) Must Start
957 Cincinnati at Atlanta
Listed Gray & Smyly
Our numbers suggest a 14% Reds hitting advantage when looking at the wRC+ numbers over the past month when taking in the handedness of the starters.
Sonny Gray has a 60 average game score in his career against the Braves. His last two road starts overall have produced 60 and 64 game scores. Drew Smyly has been very inconsistent this season and this should be a tough opponent for him. Both teams come in playing very well, but we much prefer Sonny Gray and the finally healthy Reds bullpen.
PLAY CINCINNATI

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Tony Mejia Event: (224601) Palmeiras at (224602) Sao Paulo
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: August 10, 2021 8PM EDT

Play: Palmeiras 0.0 (+120)
Copa Libertadores action has reached the quarterfinal stage with half of the remaining field comprised of Brazilian powers. The South American powerhouse is assured at least one semifinalist with Palmerias and Sao Paulo squaring off. Although the draw is actually the favored bet on the 3-way money line, we'll ride the goal-scoring prowess of Rony and a disciplined defense that has helped Palmeiras rise to the top of the domestic league to get off to a good start in the first leg of this matchup. Sao Paulo has been shaky and looks vulnerable at home. Back defending Copa Libertadores champion Palmeiras as a spread play, which covers you with a push if this does end up in a draw.

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Steve Merril Event: (961) Arizona Diamondbacks at (962) San Francisco Giants
Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: August 10, 2021 9PM EDT
Play: Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-110) Z Gallen (RHP), A Wood (LHP) Must Start
Contrarian call tonight by playing against the best team in baseball with the worst team, however there are a couple solid indicators which favor Arizona in this game. The Diamondbacks qualify in my profitable “Underdog System” which I developed over 20 years ago, plus they have been a much better offensive team on the road this season versus southpaws. Arizona is batting only .203 and averaging just 2.9 runs per nine innings versus RHP, compared to .237 and 5.6 runs per nine innings on the road versus LHP this year.

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Hunter Price Aug 10 '21, 7:05 PM in 44m
Tennis | H Dart vs Bianca Andreescu
Play on: H Dart +310 at Caesars

1* Free Pick on H Dart +310

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Stephen Nover Aug 10 '21, 7:05 PM in 44m
MLB | Dodgers vs Phillies
Play on: Phillies +153 at SC Consensus

The Dodgers and Max Scherzer are a team and pitcher I don't - and rarely - go against. So why do it here? Value. Perhaps more than any other sport because of its long season, baseball is about value. You have to take it when it's there. The Phillies are the hottest team in baseball, winners of eight in a row. They are home and pitching Aaron Nola, who during the last five years is 53-35 with a 3.44 ERA. Scherzer has just six more wins than Nola during this time frame. That's barely one more win per season than Nola. Scherzer is better, absolutely no argument there. But Nola is a quality starter and is being counted on to step up being the challenger with his, not Scherzer's, pride on the line. Philadelphia strengthened the backend of its bullpen at the trade deadline acquiring closer Ian Kennedy, who has 18 saves this season. It's remarkable the Phillies have put together their best streak in 10 years considering they are dealing with multiple injuries: Rhys Hoskins, Andrew McCutchen, Didi Gregorius and Odubel Herrera. Philadelphia could get several of these players back today following Monday's day off. The Dodgers have one key everyday player injury. Justin Turner is day-to-day after injuring his groin two days ago. It has been more than a month since the Dodgers last played a game with a three hour time difference for them. So it may take them a game to adjust.

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Brandon Lee Aug 10 '21, 7:05 PM in 44m
MLB | LAD vs PHI
Play on: UNDER 9 -115

FREE PICK - Dodgers/Phillies UNDER 9
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 953/954
I see some decent value with the UNDER 9 in Tuesday's showdown between the Dodgers and Phillies. Both of these teams are working on a playoff push, so the intensity should be pretty high in this series.
Scoring runs figures to be a challenge for both teams given who will take the mound in the series opener. LA will give the ball to newly acquired ace Max Scherzer, who gave up just 2 runs on 5 hits with 10 K's in 7 innings in his first start (vs Astros) with LA.
Phillies will counter with Aaron Nola, who is having a solid season. The biggest thing to note with Nola is how much better he's been at home. He's got a strong 3.18 ERA and 1.006 WHIP in 9 home starts. Give me the UNDER 9!

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Mike Lundin Aug 10 '21, 7:05 PM in 44m
MLB | Dodgers vs Phillies
Play on: Dodgers -151 at linepros

Mike Lundin's Dodgers vs Phillies Free Pick August 10, 2021
**SIZZLING HOT 11-2 L13 FREE PICKS**
The red hot Phillies are coming into this series riding an eight-game winning streak, but I think it'll come to an end right here in the opener of the series.
The Dodgers hand the ball to Max Scherzer (9-4, 2.75 ERA) who fanned 10 while holding Houston to a pair of runs through seven innings in his Dodgers debut. Scherzer is 14-4 with a 2.55 ERA in 24 career starts against the Phillies who counter with right-hander Aaron Nola.
Nola (7-6, 4.49 ERA) is having a subpar season, and he has posted a 5.65 ERA under the lights this season.
Free pick on Los Angeles Dodgers.

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Kenny Walker Aug 10 '21, 7:10 PM in 49m
MLB | Rays vs Red Sox
Play on: Red Sox -115 at SC Consensus

Free Pick on Red Sox

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Jack Jones Aug 10 '21, 7:10 PM in 49m
MLB | A's vs Indians
Play on: A's -137 at pinnacle

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Oakland A's -137
The Oakland A's have won four straight and are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall. They had yesterday off so they come in rested and ready to go. The Cleveland Indians had to play yesterday in a make up game against Cincinnati.
The A's have a big advantage on the mound over the Indians tonight. Sean Manaea is 8-7 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.165 WHIP in 22 starts this season. He has done his best work on the road, going 4-4 with a 2.64 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in 10 starts away from home.
Manaea has never lost to the Indians, going 3-0 with a 2.39 ERA and 0.912 WHIP in four career starts against them. He'll be opposed by Triston McKenzie, who is 1-5 with a 6.08 ERA in 15 starts this season while averaging just 4.4 innings per start.
Cleveland is 2-9 after scoring 9 runs or more this season. Oakland is 12-3 after four or more consecutive wins this season. The Indians are 1-7 in their last eight games following a win. The A's are 50-15 in their last 65 vs. AL Central opponents. Oakland is 5-0 in its last five trips to Cleveland. Bet the A's Tuesday.

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Totals Guru Aug 10 '21, 7:10 PM in 49m
MLB | WAS vs NYM
Play on: UNDER 8½ +100

Free Total Annihilator On Nationals vs Mets under 8½ +100

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ASA Aug 10 '21, 7:10 PM in 49m
MLB | Rays vs Red Sox
Play on: Red Sox -115 at SC Consensus

ASA FREE PLAY ON Boston Red Sox Money Line -120 over Tampa Bay, Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET - The Rays have won 5 straight games over the Red Sox but all those games were at Tampa. Home field has been huge in this series this season as the Red Sox have won all 3 games played at Boston. In fact, the road team has won only one of the nine games between these clubs this season and we do not see that changing here. The Red Sox recent struggles overall can largely be attributed to a long road trip and now look for some home cooking to do them some good here. Boston is 14-7 in Eduardo Rodriguez starts this season and this includes 5-2 in his home starts. Luis Patino has just one winning decision in his 7 starts this season and he has an 8.36 ERA in his 3 road starts. The Red Sox get some payback for the recent sweep at the hands of the Rays down in Tampa Bay a little over a week ago. We’ll back Boston to get the win on Tuesday night.

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John Martin Aug 10 '21, 7:10 PM in 49m
MLB | TAM vs BOS
Play on: OVER 9½ -115

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Rays/Red Sox OVER 9.5
The Tampa Bay Rays are crushing the ball right now in scoring 31 games in their last three games. They have scored 7 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 games. They should stay hot at the plate against Eduardo Rodriquez, who is 3-2 with a 6.35 ERA in seven home starts this season. The Red Sox should also get their runs off of Luis Patino, who is 0-1 with an 8.36 ERA in three road starts this season. The OVER is 19-5-2 in the last 26 meetings, including 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings in Boston. The Red Sox and Rays have combined for 10 or more runs in seven of their last nine meetings. Give me the OVER.

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Bobby Conn Aug 10 '21, 7:10 PM in 49m
MLB | Rays vs Red Sox
Play on: Rays +111 at Caesars

1* Free Play on Rays +111

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Sean Murphy Aug 10 '21, 7:10 PM in 49m
MLB | OAK vs CLE
Play on: OVER 9 -120

Tuesday MLB Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Oakland and Cleveland at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday.
We won with the 'over' in Cleveland last night and I won't hesitate to go right back to the well with the same play here as the Indians open a three-game series against the Athletics.
In my analysis of last night's play I pointed out that weather conditions were ideal for hitters and that appears to be the case again on Tuesday with warm temperatures expected and the wind blowing out to right field.
Left-hander Sean Manaea will get the call for the visiting A's. He's been terrific this season but has cooled off a little lately, allowing at least three earned runs in four of his last six starts overall. Last time out he turned in one of his worst outings of the season as he was tagged for five earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings at home against the Padres. Here, he'll be facing an Indians lineup that should come in confident after scoring 16 runs in their last two games - both victories - and averages 5.0 runs per game against left-handed pitching this season.
While the A's bullpen has been solid as a whole on the road this season, it has only managed to convert 12-of-22 save opportunities so there's reason to believe the Indians can find some late runs if needed in this one.
Triston McKenzie will counter for Cleveland. He lasted seven innings in a quality outing against the Blue Jays last time out but I wouldn't count on a repeat performance here. Note that the last time he worked seven innings he followed it up by allowing five earned runs in just four innings in a 9-3 loss to the Astros on July 20th. McKenzie owns a 5.81 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in six home starts this season with the 'over' cashing in four of those games. Worse still, he's posted a 6.52 ERA in eight nighttime starts.
I have been high on the Indians bullpen for much of the season but they're in a bit of a tough spot this week as they haven't had a day off since July 29th (last night's contest was a make up game, robbing them off a scheduled off day). The A's have actually been a better offensive club on the road than at home this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game. Take the over.

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Black Widow Aug 10 '21, 7:20 PM in 59m
MLB | Reds vs Braves
Play on: Reds -105 at SC Consensus

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Reds -105

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Jimmy Boyd Aug 10 '21, 7:20 PM in 59m
MLB | Reds vs Braves
Play on: Braves -102 at linepros

1* Free Pick on Braves -102

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Dustin Hawkins Aug 10 '21, 8:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Brewers vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs +140 at SC Consensus

1 Dimer on Cubs +140

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Cole Faxon Aug 10 '21, 8:05 PM in 1h
MLB | MIL vs CHC
Play on: UNDER 8½ -110

FREE PLAY on Brewers/Cubs under 8½ -110

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Rocky Atkinson Aug 10 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Yankees vs Royals
Play on: Yankees -145 at pinnacle

My Free plays are now 52-25 68% last 77 releases!
Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Tuesday 8-10-21
NY Yankees @ Kansas City (8:10 PM EST)
Play On: NY Yankees -145 (Cortes/Lynch) Listed
The New York Yankees travel to Kansas City to take on the Royals on Tuesday night. New York Yankees are 62-50 SU overall this year while Kansas City comes in with a 48-63 SU overall record on the season. Nestor Cortes has a 2.00 ERA in his 4 overall starts this year including a 0.93 ERA on the road and a 1.84 ERA his last 3 starts. Daniel Lynch is 2-3 with a 6.00 ERA overall this year and 1-1 with a 7.42 ERA at home this season. Kansas City is 11-29 the past 3 years at home when the total is 10 to 10 1/2. We'll recommend a small play on the NY Yankees tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Sal Michaels Aug 10 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Yankees vs Royals
Play on: Royals +142 at William Hill

Free Play on Royals +142

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Larry Ness Aug 10 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Yankees vs Royals
Play on: Yankees -147 at pinnacle

My free play is on the NY Yankees at 8:10 ET.
The Yankees and the Royals opened a three-game series in Kansas City last night and it was FAR from a typical contest. Game-time temps were in the mid to upper 90s, with heat indices in the low 100s. The Yankees took one-run leads in the seventh, eighth and ninth innings, but the Royals answered all three times. The Yankees scored twice in the 10th, but the Royals came back in the bottom of the 10th to tie it once again, Finally, the Yanks scored three runs in the 11th, holding on for an 8-6 in a game that lasted four-hours and 52 minutes. The Yankees have won 11 of their last 14 and are while they are six games back of the Rays in the AL East, they are right in a three-team race (with the Red Sox and the A's) for the two wild card spots. KC's season has been 'over' for quite some time, as they check in at 48-63, 18 games back in the AL Central and with no realistic hopes of a wild card berth.
The starting pitchers for the middle contest of this three-games series are New York's Nestor Cortes (0-0, 2.15 ERA) and KC's Daniel Lynch (2-3, 6.00 ERA). Cortes was selected by the Yankees in the 36th round of the 2013 draft, and he played in the majors for the Baltimore Orioles (2018), the Yankees (2019) and the Mariners (2020) before returning to New York as a minor league free agent in January. In his first stint with the Yankees in 2019, he made 33 appearances (just one start) but while he was 5-1, his ERA was 5.67 and his WHIP 1.55. Cortes will make his fifth start (13th appearance overall) for the Yankees in 2021, and while he's yet to earn a decision, his ERA is 2.15 and his WHIP is 1.04. This marks his third consecutive start, allowing three ERs over 10 innings of his last two (2.70 ERA), as the Yankees won both games. Lynch made his MLB debut on May 2 but in three May starts went 0-2 (KC was 0-3) with a 15.75 ERA. He was sent down to Triple-A Omaha but he just may have figured things out in the minors, as in his three starts since rejoining the Royals on July 25, he is 2-1 with a 1.89 ERA.
However, I want no part of the Royals, as the Yankees are fighting through injuries and COVID-related absences to make a strong run at a wild card berth. Cortes has faced the Royals twice in his career (both times in relief), pitching 6.2 scoreless innings.
Good luck...Larry