Wednesday 8/11/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis - Wednesday, August 11, 2021 August 11, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


RACE 1: Post: 1:05 ET Grade: B+
Use: 5-Castle Leoch; 6-Munny Bolt

Forecast: Two-year-olds sprint five and one-half furlongs on turf in a competitive affair that brings out the highly-regarded Munny Bolt, from the S. Asmussen barn. The son of Munnings was jaw-dropping at the Timonium sale, where he breezed a furlong in 10 seconds flat, doing it like a good horse is supposed to, and then brought $460,000 through the ring. A strong, powerful colt with quick action but a long stride as well, he’s done everything asked of him leading up to his debut, and if he breaks running and handles the grass he’ll be hard to beat. Trainer W. Ward has two in the field, with the better one being Castle Leoch, a second-timer who was beaten at 60 cents on the dollar in his debut at Gulfstream Park in a fast race for the level. With that bit of experience behind him, the son of American Pharoah should be more focused, so today so we may find out what kind of colt he’s going to be. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with preference on top to the exciting newcomer Munny Bolt.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:41 ET Grade: B-
Use: 1-Extra Effort; 7-Bustin Bay

Forecast: Busty Bay draws the lovely outside post and has the perfect stalking style for this extended sprint trip, so we’re expecting the daughter of Bustin Stones to repeat her facile score last month at Belmont Park in this restricted (nw-3) $16,000 claimer for fillies and mares. She likes to settle early and accelerate late and is a perfect two-for-two at today’s seven furlong trip. Extra Effort has been quite popular at the claim box, having changed hands in her last three stats, and today goes for the R. Atras stable, which enjoys off-the-charts success with the first-off-the-claim angle. She’s actually dropping from the $20,000 level, not normally a healthy sign following a narrow second place finish, but this outfit runs them where they can win, and this Flashback filly certainly can win here. The barn’s “go-to” rider R. Santana picks up the mount and should have this filly on or near the lead from her inside post. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics with a very slight edge on top to Bustin Bay.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:15 ET Grade: X
Single: 2-Mr. Bluff

Forecast: Mr. Bluff, away since slipping and sliding to a fifth place finish (beaten 17 lengths) as the favorite in the Commentator Stakes over a muddy Belmont Park dirt strip last May, returns for J. Kimmel in this year’s edition of the Evan Shipman Handicap over nine furlongs on the main track. The works look solid, and he’s run well fresh in the past, so we’re expecting the veteran gelding to outclass his foes and secure career victory number 18. He does his best work on the lead but doesn’t need it, so regular rider J. Alvarado can play the race flow by ear and then execute the proper strategy.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:49 ET Grade: B+
Use: 4-Gotta Go Mo; 8-Too Sexy

Forecast: This turf dash for second-level allowance fillies and mares appears to have two main players, and both should be included in rolling exotic play. Gotta Go Mo has a distinct speed figure advantage over the others and should take full advantage of this class drop after facing stakes company in her two most recent two outings. She’s clearly the controlling speed if she wants to be and won’t have to go anywhere nearly as quick as the :20 2/5 and :43 2/5 early fractions that she pressed at Monmouth Park last time out. A repeat of her nose defeat in The Very One S. at Pimlico two runs back is all she’ll need to return to winning form. Too Sexy moves up a level after a clever score from off the pace over this course and distance earlier this meeting. She can turn it on late and rates a reasonable look, though her regular rider J. Rosario jumps off to ride Secure Connection, for whatever reason. ‘Sexy should inherit a good second flight trip from her outside draw and then have dead aim from the quarter pole home.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:21 ET Grade: B+
Use: 1-Tivoli Twirl; 4-Blitz to Win

Forecast: Tivoli Twirl stretches out around two-turns for the first time, lands the good rail, and catches a maiden state-bred group that should allow him to be the controlling speed without having to be used at all. Whether or not the son of Twirling Candy wants nine furlongs remains to be seen, but if he can’t get the distance with this projected pace flow, he never will. The barn has good stats with the stretch-out angle and the colt’s sprint figures are pretty good, so with J. Rosario taking the call we’re expecting a flag fall to that’s all performance. Blitz to Win also is trying two turns for the first time and has numbers that make him the one to fear most. A one-paced grinding type, the B. Tagg-trained gelding will try to be within range at the head of the lane and then hope that Tivoli Twirl can’t see out the trip.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:55 ET Grade: B-
Use: 2-Shining Colors; 3-Ms Penelopepitstop; 5-Bonkers

Forecast: We’ll spread this maiden claiming sprint for fillies and mares in our rolling exotics but otherwise sit it out. Ms Penelopepitstop, after being backed down to 9/5 favoritism, flashed speed vs. straight maidens in her debut at Monmouth Park in June but gradually weakened to finish fourth, beaten three lengths. She takes a realistic class drop to the $30,000 level, adds blinkers, and catches a field she should be able to outrun early and then hopefully hang on. Shining Colors, a distant second in a bottom-level maiden $20,000 event here over a sloppy track last month, goes for new connections today following a claim and projects to be forwardly placed in a race without much early speed. In the frame in six of seven career starts, the daughter of Paynter should at least hit the board again and maybe do even better than that. Bonkers is a wild card of sorts. She’s been routing on grass and in the mud lately without any success, but if you go back to last year you’ll find a couple of sprints vs. tougher foes that weren’t too bad and in fact earned speed that put her right there with these. You have to use her.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:29 ET Grade: B+
Use: 2-Magisterium; 11-Town Avenger

Forecast: Town Avenger makes just her third career start, and this class drop to the first-level allowance ranks should allow the promising daughter of Speightstown to return to winning form. She graduated at first asking last spring at Churchill Downs in clever fashion sprinting on turf and then took a monumental class hike when trying seasoned stakes fillies in the Tepin S. over a mile on grass in late June. Rallying wide into the teeth of slow fractions, the B. Lynch-trained 3-year-old closed as well as could be expected to wind up fourth, beaten less than three lengths, while earning a speed figure that should be more than good enough to handle this group. Additionally, her local workouts have been outstanding and provide evidence that the best is yet to come. She’s a strong pick on top. Magisterium is still seeking her first U.S. win after being imported from Europe, and with gradually improving speed figures and making her second start since being claimed by O. Noda for $62,500 the Irish-bred filly seems likely to produce another forward move. She’s a one-paced grinding type but switches to L. Saez, so you can use her as a back-up or a saver while reserving the main push for Town Avenger.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:05 ET Grade: B-
Use: 2-Betsy Blue; 4-Trinni Luck; 6-Honey Money

Forecast: Betsy Blue has won four of six career starts, including a state-bred stakes two runs back at Belmont Park, so she’s certainly the one to beat in this second level allowance sprint for New York bred fillies and mares. However, each of her last four outings - all very good races – were contested on wet tracks, so we’re not sure if she’s truly good or just an off-track specialist. Perhaps we’ll find out today. Trinni Luck moves up a notch after winning a state-bred entry-level allowance sprint at Belmont Park by five widening lengths. It was just her fourth career start, so the R. Rodriguez-trained filly may have a bit more upside than some of the others and is a versatile type than can win on the lead or from a stalking position. She’ll probably need a career top performance to win at this level but may very well have it in her. Honey Money also is coming off a nice score, doing so over the local main track last month while pressing the pace throughout. She earned a career top number, but because she’s returning on short rest (12 days), there’s a possibility that she may not be quite as sharp today. We’ll use all three in our rolling exotics with preference on top to Betsy Blue.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:39 ET Grade: B
Use: 1-Into the Sunrise; 8-Arrest Me Red

Forecast: W. Ward holds the aces in this sprint turf stakes restricted to 3-year-olds. The speedy Into the Sunrise will bust out and go from his rail position but he won’t be alone, as there are others, most notably Memos and Jaxon Traveler, that are likely to have the same front-running strategy in mind. ‘Sunrise, a grass sprint stakes winner at Ellis Park last month, seeks his third straight victory and the way he’s been training since arriving at the Spa the gelded son of Into Mischief is ready for another big effort. If he’s forced to go too fast early, his stable mate Arrest Me Red should be locked and loaded at the head of the lane and ready to blow past everybody. Undefeated in two starts sprinting on grass, the 3-year-old colt gets ideal conditions today in his first outing since December and his first since being transferred to Ward’s care. His recent drills indicate he’s fit and ready and given the projected race flow the son of Pioneerof the Nile looks very much like the one to fear most.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:13 ET Grade:
Use: 4-Clever Fellow; 10-Viking Zim

Forecast: Clever Fellow and Viking Zim both are making the all-important class drop from straight maiden to maiden claiming and both should be able to separate themselves from the rest against this lesser competition. ‘Fellow, still winless at age five but in the money in five of six career starts, obviously has his problems and has failed as the favorite in each of his last four starts. The connections probably could win a maiden special weight affair with him eventually, but at this stage they’re probably ready to move on. I. Ortiz, Jr. stays aboard for C. Brown and should have him along in time, but at a short price. ‘Zim, a closing fourth in the same race Clever Fellow exits, has no tactical speed and seems to run the same type of race whether the fractions up front are fast or slow. His best might be good enough to beat this bunch.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Primed and Ready List (August 11, 2021) August 11, 2021
Updated every Wednesday, the Primed and Ready List identifies horses that have recorded an outstanding workout within the past seven days and appear ready for a top performance. Workouts originate from Southern California (Santa Anita/Del Mar), New York (Saratoga/Belmont Park) and Florida (Palm Meadows) and can be viewed by clicking the link included in the description or at xbtv.com. Horses are removed following their first race after appearing on the list.


Workouts through August 11, 2021

BENEDICT CANYON - (B. Baffert) – August 7, Del Mar, 5f, :59.2hg
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/tonalist/censorship-outside-and-benedict-canyon-worked-5-furlongs-in-59-40-at-del-mar-on-august-7th-2021/)

Midnight Lute filly wore blinkers and drilled from the gate inside Censorship (same time) for B. Baffert, displaying sharp early speed under a hold and then finishing head-and-head when eased up at the 5/8ths pole, a few ticks slower on our watches than given but very nice nonetheless, splits of :23.2, :47.2 and 1:00 flat, stride for stride late with her more experienced barn mate. Has some quickness and appears to have some quality, should make the entries soon.


DEFERRED TAXES - (C. Brown) – August 7, Saratoga, 4f, :47.1b
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/southern-district/southern-district-outside-and-deferred-taxes-worked-4-furlongs-in-47-20-at-saratoga-race-course-on-august-7th-2021/)

Sophomore maiden was under a tight hold every step of the way while even but a tad the best over Southern District (same time) in sharp half mile breeze. Moves quite well on the main track but is bred for grass and all three of his outings have been on the lawn. Certainly trains like a better type than his form would indicate and is worth another chance on either surface.


ETOILE - (C. Brown) – August 8, Saratoga, 5f, :59.4b TC
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/etoile/etoile-outside-and-pocket-square-worked-5-furlongs-in-59-80-at-saratoga-race-course-on-august-8th-2021/)

Worked outside Pocket Square (same time) on turf for C. Brown and was even throughout, never asked and finishing with something left while looking just about set for comeback. Freshened since the spring, Grade-1 winner should have a very productive late summer and fall season.


MY PRANKSTER - (T. Pletcher) – August 8, Saratoga, 4f, :47bg
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/goddess-of-fire/goddess-of-fire-outside-and-my-prankster-worked-4-furlongs-in-47-00-at-saratoga-race-course-on-august-8th-2021/)

Into Mischief juvenile appears to have plenty of ability as he displayed in this team gate drill inside stable mate Goddess of Fire (same time), mild coaxing early and mostly on his own late to record quick clocking while clearly best. Gearing up for his debut and should make the entries soon, nice sort.


TEAM MERCHANTS - (D. O’Neill) – Del Mar. 5f, :59.4h
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/doug-oneill/team-merchants-outside-and-get-on-the-bus-worked-5-furlongs-at-del-mar-on-august-8th-2021/)

Broke off several lengths behind Get on the Bus) (5f, 1:00.4h) and easily cruised on by through the lane to prove much best without ever being asked and then galloped out strongly past the wire. Loved his recent allowance win and has plenty of further improvement in him. Chance to be a stakes type and should get that opportunity soon.


UNION TRAIN - (J. Shirreffs) – Del Mar, 5f, 1:01hg
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/john-shirreffs/union-train-outside-and-james-gang-worked-at-del-mar-on-august-8th-2021/)

$325,00 OBS March sale purchase is getting ready for his debut and seems just about set after dusting off workmate James Gang (4f, :49hg) with an impressive display acceleration around the turn to finish with plenty left despite being forced wide around a pair of gallopers. May not be a quick sprinter type but definitely has an exciting future, especially as the distances increase.
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Workouts through August 4, 2021

ENCROACHMENT - (R. Hanson) July 30, Del Mar, 5f, 1:00hg
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/ryan-hanson/encroachment-outside-kimmer-middle-and-ball-lass-worked-5-furlongs-at-del-mar-on-july-30th-2021/)

Unraced four-year-old gelding broke slowly in company from the gate with Kimmer and Ball Lass (both 5f, 1:01.4hg) but quickly got in gear and easily overtook his workmates without need of urging and then drew far clear after the opening three furlongs, splits of :23.3, :35 flat, :47.2 and 1:00.2 on our watches, mild late coaxing. Bred for much speed and appears to have plenty of it though he’ll need to break better in the afternoon. Should be plenty fit by now.


JESTER CALLS NOJOY - (T. Pletcher) August 1, Saratoga, 4f, :47.3bg
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/workout/jester-calls-nojoy-outside-and-a-mo-reay-worked-4-furlongs-in-47-77-at-saratoga-race-course-on-august-1st-2021/)

Broke well in gate drill outside stablemate A Mo Rae (same time) and was even throughout while hard held every step of the way and able to go much faster for T. Pletcher while gearing up for racing debut. Maclean’s Music juvenile filly looks lvery quick and gives every indication of a win early-type. Should be fit enough by now.


MAJOR GENERAL - (T. Pletcher) August 1, Saratoga, 4f, :47.1bg
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/super-saver/bellinger-outside-and-major-general-worked-4-furlongs-at-saratoga-race-course-on-august-1st-2021/)

Gate drill inside stable mate Bellinger (4f, :47.2bg) nd was clearly best while mostly under wraps every step of the way, finishing about three lengths clear while displaying a smooth, athletic stride under mild coaxing only. Constitution colt brought $420,000 as a yearling and looks the part.


NORTH CAROLINA - (B. Tagg) August 1, Saratoga, 5f, 1:00b
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/speightstown/north-carolina-outside-tiz-eternal-middle-and-money-merger-worked-5-furlongs-at-saratoga-race-course-on-august-1st-2021/)

Broke off far behind Tiz Eternal and Money Merger (both 5f, 1:02.2b) and caught that pair approaching the wire despite being taken in hand and geared down in the final furlong, quite impressive for a once-started 4-year-old maiden gelding. Had one start more than a year ago in a maiden race on turf at Belmont Park and never landed a blow but has to a much better type now for B. Tagg (had been a C. McGaughey last year). Stretch-running type should return soon.


REAL FIRE - (J. Sadler) August 1, Del Mar, 5f, 1:00.1hg
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/real-fire-(outside)-and-flagstaff-worked-5-furlongs-in-1/real-fire-outside-and-flagstaff-worked-5-furlongs-in-100-20-at-del-mar-on-august-1st-2021/)

Unraced 2-year-old filly worked from gate with older Grade-1 winner Flagstaff (same time) and was much quicker early while leading by a few lengths after the opening quarter, was joined by workmate midway on the turn and was pretty much even thereafter (perhaps a neck back when pulled up), splits of :23 flat, :34.3, :47 flat and 1:00 flat, easy early, mild late coaxing. Street Boss filly was $360,000 OBS April Sale purchase and seems ready to roll for J. Sadler.


RHETORIC - (B. Baffert) August 2, Del Mar, 5f, :59.3hg
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/bob-baffert/rhetoric-outside-and-marco-polo-worked-at-del-mar-on-august-2nd-2021/)

In blinkers, was along the rail working inside Marco Polo (4f, :47hg) and was always going the better of the two without really being asked much, then was coaxed just a bit in the final stages and responded impressively before galloping out a full six furlongs in 1:12.4 on our watches. Quality Road colt brought $600,00 as a yearling, has some speed but definitely wants to run long, hope he’ll debut in an elongated sprint or perhaps even two-turning. Looks plenty fit for Baffert.
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Workouts through July 27, 2021

JACK CHRISTOPHER - (C. Brown) July 26, Saratoga, 4f, :49.1b
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/practice-squad/practice-squad-outside-and-jack-christopher-worked-4-furlongs-in-49-10-at-saratoga-race-course-on-july-26th-2021/)

Team drill with C. Brown stable mate Practice Squad (same time) and looked quite promising in easy breeze while much the best along the rail, a ton left at the end while under a hammerlock. Munnings colt isn’t too far along just yet but may be a smoker and is worth following very closely.
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Workouts through July 20, 2021


EXCELLENT TIMING - (C. Brown) July 16, 2021, Saratoga, 5f, 1:00.3b
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/excellent-timing-worked-5-furlongs-in-1/excellent-timing-worked-5-furlongs-in-100-70-at-saratoga-race-course-on-july-16th-2021/)

Sharp and eager in solo five furlong drill while strong throughout and mostly on his own. Stakes-winning New York-bred colt has been freshened and the time off appears to have done him some good. Stakes-quality sort when he’s on his game.
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FOUR GRACES - (I. Wilkes) July 16, 2021, Saratoga, 4f, :47.4b
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/liberty-m-d-(outside)-and-four-graces-worked-5-furlongs-in-1/liberty-m-d-outside-and-four-graces-worked-5-furlongs-in-100-65-at-saratoga-race-course-on-july-16th-2021/"target="_blank")

Breezing half mile drill while clearly best from Liberty M D (same time) for I. Wilkes, just cruising under a nice hold while workmate had to be asked a bit to stay even. Ran like a short horse in her comeback in Kentucky; seems likely to be fitter and improve next time out.
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HOPKINS - (B. Baffert) July 19, 2021, Del Mar, 5f, :59hg
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/bob-baffert/dubrovnik-outside-gold-rush-candy-midde-and-hopkins-worked-at-del-mar-on-july-19th-2021/)

Unraced 3-year-old Quality Road colt brought $900,000 as a yearling and may finally be ready to face the starter based on this impressive gate drill while proving best over Gold Rush Candy (5f, :59.1hg) and Dubronik (4f, :48hg), always on his left lead but in front along the rail throughout, something left late without pressure, :46.2 and :59 flat on our watches. Turned in a series of fast works at Los Alamitos before joining the main string and should be more than fit enough by now.
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Workouts Through July 6, 2021

CURIOUS INJI - (J. Mullins) July 4, 2021, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.3h
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/curious-inji-worked-5-furlongs-in-1/curious-inji-worked-5-furlongs-in-101-60-at-santa-anita-park-on-july-4th-2021/)

Under wraps every step of the way in solo training track drill, final half mile in :24.1 and :48.4, plenty left late. Unplaced in three career starts, most recently in a maiden claiming miler (stumbled badly at the start), but the daughter of Misremembered surely appears capable of better and seems likely to surface in a winnable spot early in the Del Mar season.
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SEMPER FIDELIS - (S. Joseph, Jr.) July 3, 2021, Palm Meadows, 4f, :47.1h
View Workout (https://www.xbtv.com/video/semper-fidelis/semper-fidelis-worked-4-furlongs-in-47-30-at-palm-meadows-on-july-3rd-2021/)

Barn tends to let them roll in the a.m., but this lightly-raced son of Fast Anna was under cruise control throughout in sharp half mile main track drill, final three furlongs in :35 flat. Been away since December but appears to be returning better than he left and should be hard to beat vs. older maiden special weight foes.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Gate Fields Stats: Vote for Pedro August 10, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Golden Gate Fields. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in Northern California. And be sure to support GGF by betting with 1/ST BET, the official betting app of Golden Gate Fields

Headlines

Golden Gate will host the Santa Rosa fair racing dates through Aug. 15 … The Rainbow 6 carryover going into Friday is $3,314 and the Super High Five is $1,602 ... Friday’s action begins with a pair of stakes for the Arabian breed and will follow with eight Thoroughbred offerings … Feature race this weekend will be the Robert Dupret Derby for 3-year-olds going 1-1/16 miles on the turf … Trip to Spain, a debut winner July 25 at Golden Gate, parlayed that result into a second-place finish Aug. 8 in Del Mar’s $100,000 Graduation Stakes for 2-year-old Cal-breds. Jamey Thomas trains … San Francisco Mile runner-up Keeperof The Stars did not fare as well in her fifth-place effort in the Aug. 7 Grade 2 Yellow Ribbon at Del Mar.

Stronach 5

The Stronach 5 is on temporary summer hiatus and expected to return in September.

1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Golden Gate Fields, each posting at least 27% winners.

Avg. E2 Pace
All Weather Earnings
Mud Pedigree

Trends Last Week

-- Jockey Pedro Terrero was on the money with an 18: 5-6-2 record. He posted a whopping $2.02 ROI for every $1 bet and was a highly reliable 61% in the exacta. He piloted winners for 5 different trainers, including $11, $11 and $39 scores.

-- Jockey Catalino Martinez continued his hot run with a 12: 5-2-1 mark. Four of his winners were well-backed at 5-2 or less. He’s now 7-17 over the past 2 weeks.

-- Trainer Jonathon Wong turned it up a notch at 13: 4-3-3, though he saddled 8 favorites (3 wins).

-- Trainer Reid France was 3: 1-1-1 on the week, and now 9: 5-2-1 from his last 9 local starters.

-- Favorites hit just under 35% on the week, up from 28% over the previous 2 weeks combined.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pimlico Stats: Favorites Handled Business Last Week August 10, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Pimlico. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in Maryland. And be sure to support Pimlico by betting with 1/ST BET, the official betting app of Maryland Jockey Club.

Headlines

A $1,350 Super High 5 carryover goes into Friday’s return to racing … Friday’s card includes the debut of Race 4 maiden Ginamaya, a daughter of champion Nyquist and 6-time Maryland Jockey Club stakes winners Lady Sabelia. Her rivals include Frosteria, a daughter of Breeders’ Cup Distaff runner-up and $2.3M earner Hystericalady … Pimlico’s next big stakes card will be Aug. 21 with the All Brandy, Find, Miss Disco and Star De Naskra for Maryland-breds … The MJC autumn season at Laurel begins Sept. 9, featuring the Sept. 18 Grade 3 DeFrancis Dash and Oct. 23 Jim McKay Maryland Million, set for its 37th renewal.

Stronach 5

The Stronach 5 is on temporary summer hiatus and expected to return in September.

1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Pimlico, each posting at least 29% wins and a flat-bet profit.

Win %
Best Speed Off Track
Dirt Pedigree

Trends Last Week

-- Jockey Jevian Toledo led the way with a 13: 5-4-0 record, winning all 3 mounts when favored, and posting a $1.62 ROI for every $1 bet. He was 4: 1-3-0 for trainer Richard Sullaman.

-- Jockey JD Acosta was on point at 13: 4-3-0. Acosta was 3: 2-1-0 on favorites, but did boot home a pair of $10 scores. All 4 successes were in main-track sprints.

-- Jockey Carlos Lopez made the most of limited bids, going 8: 3-1-2 and boasting a $1.48 ROI for every $1 bet. He teamed most with trainer Keiron Magee at 4: 1-1-0.

-- Claudio Gonzalez (2-10) and Keiron Magee (2-7) were the only trainers with multiple winners. Magee added a pair of runner-up finishes.

-- Favorites showed out strongly behind a 25: 11-5-3 mark that equates to 44% wins and 64% in the exacta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gulfstream Stats: Avg. Speed Cemented as Top Factor August 10, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Gulfstream Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in South Florida. And be sure to support Gulfstream by betting with 1/ST BET, the official betting app of Gulfstream Park.

Headlines

The Rainbow 6 has a $100,851 carryover in the jackpot bet heading into Friday’s 3-day racing week and $200,000-guaranteed pool … Feature race this week will be Saturday’s $75,000 Benny the Bull Stakes for Florida-bred sprinters … Gulfstream Park, The Jockey’s Guild and the Florida HBPA jointly announced new crop rules Aug. 6 that went into effect immediately, limiting the use of the crop and further enhancing the welfare of the equine athletes … Renovations continue on the new third racing surface, Tapeta, at Gulfstream and it’s scheduled to be unveiled in September … Congratulations to Pegasus World Cup winner Knicks Go, who added Saratoga’s Grade 1 Whitney to his resume Aug. 7.

Stronach 5

The Stronach 5 is on temporary summer hiatus and expected to return in September.

1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Gulfstream Park last week, each showing a 23% win rate or higher. Avg. Speed was the top-performing factor for the fourth straight week.

Avg. Speed
Avg. 2 of 3 Speed
Last Turn Time

Trends Last Week

-- Trainer Carlos David continued his recent roll, going 5: 3-1-0. That makes him 7-14 over the past 2 weeks at Gulfstream.

-- Trainer Elizabeth Dobles was perfect in 2 starts, winning a pair of overnight stakes at $11 and $23 mutuels. The barn has won with 3 of its last 6 dating back to July 30.

-- Jockey Leonel Reyes had perhaps his best week of the summer, posting a 17: 5-1-2 and leading the colony in victories. His $2.40 ROI for every $1 bet was bolstered by $23 and $30 winners. He won races for 5 different trainers.

-- Favorites underperformed at 31% on the week and have continued a trend of just over 31% winning favorites for the past month.

-- After going 7-16 the previous 2 weeks, Victor Barboza’s barn came back down to earth and was 0-5 last week.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Presque Isle Downs - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#2 Union Gen. George
He'll try the local footing for the first time after a couple of turf tries to open the career. The team is plenty capable, and he'll probably get a great trip from close range.


#8 Quiet Amigo
He couldn't stay late in the route debut, but he has enough pace to get in the mix early from the high draw, and the price should be right to see if he can hang around for a piece underneath.


#3 Titrate
Not totally sold that he's coming forward while stretching out, but the overall form is competitive at what might be an underlaid price.


Race Summary
Union Gen. George has shown a bit of tactical pace in his turf tries, and the barn has been solid with limited starters at the stand. He should be tough here.


Presque Isle Downs - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#9 Posh Playday
She can be tough from this outside draw while tracking the pace, and she already cleared this condition before later being DQ'ed. Still wonder if turf is her real calling after that big debut effort.


#8 Single Lady
She has flashed some chasing pace and stayed on well in a pair of starts in Florida, and she's one of the obvious ones on form. That said, Shanghai Bobby offspring are a roughly 13-14% proposition on the main track overall but only 4% at PID the last few years. Iffy.


#6 Patti D
Her form can be hit or miss, but that last one looks competitive with this bunch if she's able to hold that form. She wouldn't be a real surprise, but I prefer others.


Race Summary
Posh Playday should get the right kind of trip with these, and we already know she's a good fit with this kind after crossing the wire first with similar a couple starts back.


Presque Isle Downs - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#5 Cadet Connelly
He's probably fast enough to control the tempo in a race without a bunch of serious early pace, and he has a mild rating gear to employ if someone else wants the front here.


#2 J Beresford Tipton
He rolled last out when dropped in for a tag, and he's immediately protected back with allowance company off that good try. Second start off the layoff gives him a right to be tough.


#3 Can't Pass It Up
He's not all that interesting on top given his complete lack of early speed, but he's a fairly reliable finishing type who might be able to pass some of these if he likes the new footing.


Race Summary
Cadet Connelly owns pace and has raced with some decent groups along the way. Something like the 6/1 ML price would seem appealing on the hike up to this next condition.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Yonkers - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#2 IDEAL IN MIRACLES
Figures close-up a long way after first-over grind in latest.


#8 SOCIETY JILL
Ranged up, flattened out in race dominated by closers, moves inside out.


#5 CHELSKI
Four wins this year, rest of the field has nine.


Race Summary
Ideal In Miracles was flushed out in the third-quarter, grinded to first-over and took a short lead in deep stretch, only to finish third. He led to the stretch in his prior try at this level and can use his speed well tonight. Bet to win and place.


Northfield Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#1 WHAT'S ON SECOND
Took money, bottled up in traffic, draws rail.


#2 DREAM DEAL
Starts fresh, draws favorably for first start locally.


#5 DANNY BOY HANOVER
Rallied first-over for minor awards in last three starts.


Race Summary
What's On Second was trapped 3-deep on the rail with plenty of trot. He didn't get to show it but he should tonight at a better price. Play 1-2 and 1-5 exactas.


Hoosier Park - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#8 BALLERINI
Brushed past the faves, wilted in the stretch, meets softer field.


#2 CHARLATAN HANOVER
Close up two back as fave, broke stride in follow-up.


#4 HIGH IDOL
Shipper appears stuck in 'third' gear this year.


Race Summary
Ballerini secured good position from the second tier, made a quick second-quarter brush past the favorites and into second, but faded in the stretch. He switches pilots again and can move forward in his third start of a cycle. Play 8-2 and 8-4 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Saratoga - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#4 Three Jokers
His 4-year-old year has treated him quite well thus far, with wins in both races (at Belmont and Aqueduct); sees stakes company for the first time since June 2020 and could be the up-and-comer on the New York-bred scene.


#2 Mr. Buff
Strong veteran has done a lot of good but strangely enough has lost the last two times he was against New York-breds; beat open company two in stakes races at Aqueduct and is always going to get his share of support.


#1 Danny California
Just won on Saturday and is back in a hurry; beat open company at this distance and the Rodriguez stable comes in off a big weekend.


Race Summary
Three Jokers has taken to longer races this year, and like others in this special state-bred stakes spot, he'll be going without Lasix. He's a horse heading in the right direction in his career.


Saratoga - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#1 Richies Great Girl
Her four straight wins at three tracks is an attention getter, and she's quite resolute in her approach, as she has the propensity to close strongly in five-furlong turf races; Larry Rivelli is a high-percentage trainer and has always picked his spots well.


#4 Gotta Go Mo
Lost her last two after winning three straight; solid runner on the front end.


#8 Too Sexy
Closed well and won going away over this course last time and should be able to show some late punch here as well. Faces tougher company but she is in good form and her best will make her tough.


Race Summary
Richies Great Girl has enough speed to stay in range and usually has a big closing move; can make it five straight.


Saratoga - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#9 Rebel Posse
Was fourth in the G3 Quick Call here in her first Saratoga start and has since then moved over to the H. James Bond stable; has won two of her last four, winning at Lone Star and Sam Houston. Probably needed the start and can improve here.


#4 Jaxon Traveler
Was third in the G3 Quick Call and the solid dirt sprinter could be developing into a turf runner as well; has defeated some good ones and will be a player here as well.


#8 Arrest Me Bad
Has been at four tracks in four races and has won two (Laurel, Aqueduct) and makes his first of the year and runs for Wesley Ward for the first time.


Race Summary
Rebel Posse has tactical speed and can probably avoid trouble from his outside post; can move up from his fourth-place finish last out.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: Milwaukee w/Burnes -170 over Chicago Cubs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY:ST LOUIS/PITTSBURGH OVER the total of 9 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U Wednesday's Free Selection: Detroit Tigers/Baltimore Orioles over 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports Wednesday's Free Play: Seattle Mariners - 185

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: Toronto Blue Jays w/Manoah -170 over LA Angels

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Wednesday : Take CINCINNATI/ATLANTA UNDER the total of 9½ runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hawkeye Sports Wednesday's Free Pick: Toronto Raptors - 165

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Huddle Up Sports
Wednesday Free Play
Detroit Skubal -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph FreePlay WED Dodgers w/ Price -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teyas Sports FREE PICK 8/11 MLB CHICAGO W.SOX -160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Wednesday: DETROIT/BALTIMORE UNDER the total of 10 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Wednesday: St Louis Cardinals - 160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Wednesday:
Hou Astros Run Line

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hollywood Anthony Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take LA Dodgers w/Price -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan Event: (203517) Nancy at (203518) SC Bastia
Sport/League: FL1

Date/Time: August 11, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: SC Bastia -0.25 (-119)
Newly promoted Bastia take on struggling Nancy at home on Wednesday and we like the home side to get the win here.
Nancy got blasted out two weeks ago against Toulouse, shipping three goals first half goals en route to a 4-0 loss, and they should find it a difficult ask to lift themselves again for this game.
Bastia's draw against last season's Ligue 1 side Nimes means they're now unbeaten in league action over their last 21 home games, turning Stade Armand Cesari into something of a fortress.
Nancy meanwhile have just 5 wins from their last 37 matches on the road in league action and will no doubt struggle to contain last season's Championnat National joint top scorer, Antony Robic as he looks to start this season how he finished the last one.
Overall, I see a home win here and like Bastia to continue their impressive home form with another win against Nancy on Wednesday.
PLAY: SC BASTIA -0.25

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tokyo Brandon Event: (915) Chicago White Sox at (916) Minnesota Twins
Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: August 11, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+100) L Lynn (RHP), B Ober (RHP) Must Start
Bailey Ober has faced the White sox twice and gotten smacked around by them two of those three. Lance Lynn has a 1.08 WHIP for the season and a 2.45 ERA on the road. The White Sox also have the best bullpen in the league and hit 5th best vs RHP. Take the Sox on the run line for this great number.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nick Borrman Event: Villarreal vs (n) Chelsea
Sport/League: SOC

Date/Time: August 11, 2021 3PM EDT
Play: Chelsea (-135)
UEFA Super Cup
Seems very easy to want to just back Chelsea here. They have had a good preseason with wins over Bournemouth and Arsenal along with a a 2-2 draw against Tottenham while Villarreal are winless in six preseason games including losses to Valencia, Marseille and Leicester.
Villarreal are without defender Pau Torres in this match who represented Spain in the Olympics and their winger Samuel Chukwueze remains sidelined with a hip injury, while apparently there was also a COVID scare in the clubhouse which seems like a big factor.
Villarreal asked for the Super Cup to be moved back to allow for proper training but were not granted their request. Emery has barely been able to run a regular practice with the entire team being able to participate.
Chelsea won’t be at full strength for this game either with Mason Mount, Thiago Silva, Reece James, Ben Chilwell and Jorginho all unlikely to play as none of they have played in any of their friendlies so far.
There apparently is still hope that Romelu Lukaku could play in this game if he is able to get signed onto Chelsea by 11pm ET on Tuesday night.
Regardless, Chelsea proved last year just how deep they are as they had to navigate the UCL schedule along with trying to secure a Top 4 spot in the EPL and being able to field squads in both competitions as they couldn’t afford to rest anyone. I think that depth will prove too much here and see Chelsea as the play in this game while the Under 2.25 also looks appealing.
TAKE CHELSEA TO WIN (ML or -0.5)
Line Parameter: 2% to -150 or -0.75

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1.
The Sports Consensus (https://www.thesportsconsensus.com)
MLB
Cleveland +135
1-0 (+100)
4-1 (+290)


2.
Profit On Sports (https://www.profitonsports.com)


1-0 (+100)
4-1 (+290)


3.
Doc's Picks (http://www.docspicks.com)
MLB
White Sox -140
0-2 (-260)
5-2 (+210)


4.
Joe Wiz (http://www.joewizsports.com)
MLB
Boston -115
1-1 (-10)
3-2 (+90)


5.
Top Rank Sports Picks (http://www.topranksportspicks.com)
MLB
Atlanta -120
1-1 (-25)
4-3 (+80)


6.
Elite Sports Picks (https://www.elite-sports-picks.com)
MLB
Seattle over 8
1-1 (+30)
4-3 (+35)


7.
The Spot Player (http://www.thespotplayer.com)
MLB
St. Louis -165
0-1 (-150)
2-2 (-20)


8.
National Sports Service (https://www.nationalsportsservice.com/)
MLB
Baltimore +110
1-0 (+100)
2-3-1 (-40)


9.
Insider Sports Report (https://www.insidersportsreport.com)
MLB
Cleveland under 9
0-1 (-125)
2-3 (-130)


10.
Primetime Sports Picks (http://www.primetimesportspicks.com/)
MLB
Giants under 8
1-0 (+100)
2-4 (-275)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks
Place A Bet


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Mariners -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642GfsGTz_YfB9onf8DuVAkVka/0/)


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
MLB – Indians +130
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


3.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
MLB – Giants -1.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


4.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
MLB – Brewers -1.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


5.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Phillies +125
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


6.
PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) (https://www.pointspreadreport.com)
MLB – Padres -160
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


7.
Winning Big Sports (https://www.winningbigsports.com)
MLB – Red Sox -115
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


8.
NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) (https://www.nsawins.com)
MLB – Astros -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


9.
Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com)
MLB – Orioles +105
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


10.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Yankees -135
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


11.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Cardinals -165
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


12.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
MLB – Padres -160
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


13.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Brewers -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


14.
SCORE (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
MLB – Yankees -135
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
MLB – Red Sox -115
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


16.
Chicago Sports Group (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/chicago-sports-group/)
MLB – Astros under 9
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


17.
Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
MLB – Blue Jays -185
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


18.
VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
MLB – Orioles +105
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


19.
South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
MLB – Giants -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
MLB – Cardinals -165
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
MLB – Padres -160
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
MLB – Reds +110
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
MLB – Giants -1.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
MLB – Red Sox over 10
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
MLB – Giants -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National



Penn National - Race 3

W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) / $0.20 Hollywood Hi 5



Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 61 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 6:54P


(RAIL AT 14 FEET). (PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. PREFERENCE TO HORSES WITH THE MOST STARTS AT PENN NATIONAL SINCE MAY 31ST 2020. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE FURLONGS.)





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * KAZ'S PRINCESS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TAK E LADY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HOWSAFEAREMYCOLORS: Today is a spr int and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. RUNAWAY PHYLLIS: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.



7

KAZ'S PRINCESS

2/1


3/1




3

TAK E LADY

4/1


7/1




6

HOWSAFEAREMYCOLORS

5/1


9/1




9

RUNAWAY PHYLLIS

10/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




7

KAZ'S PRINCESS

7


2/1

Front-runner

68


64


60.2


62.4


59.4




5

QUEST FOR JUSTICE

5


20/1

Front-runner

47


37


31.6


19.2


0.0




4

FROST WARRIOR

4


8/1

Alternator/Front-runner

0


0


61.0


50.0


34.5




3

TAK E LADY

3


4/1

Stalker

68


54


64.5


54.0


46.0




2

BUTTON CANDY

2


20/1

Stalker

68


60


43.9


47.4


35.4




9

RUNAWAY PHYLLIS

9


10/1

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


55.9


52.1


47.1




6

HOWSAFEAREMYCOLORS

6


5/1

Alternator/Stalker

60


54


47.6


47.6


40.1




1

MAKEMEASAMMICH

1


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

60


48


51.6


44.1


27.1




8

MYSTERY ITEM

8


6/1

Alternator/Non-contender

59


45


43.9


36.0


26.5




10

SLEEPY N JOYFUL

10


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

52


48


21.2


40.5


28.5




11

GREEDY LIKE JEANE

11


50/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


0.0


0.0


0.0























Unknown Running Style: FREE TO RUN (15/1) [Jockey: Wolfsont Andrew - Trainer: Baddeley Charles W].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

901MIAMI -902 SAN DIEGO
MIAMI is 5-14 SU (-14.3 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

903ST LOUIS -904 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 43-58 SU (-27.5 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

905LA DODGERS -906 PHILADELPHIA
LA DODGERS are 4-17 SU (-13 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start in the current season.

907WASHINGTON -908 NY METS
NY METS are 5-17 SU (-16.2 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

909CINCINNATI -910 ATLANTA
CINCINNATI is 0-9 SU (-10.4 Units) in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.

911MILWAUKEE -912 CHICAGO CUBS
MILWAUKEE is 12-0 SU (12 Units) in road games when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the current season.

913ARIZONA -914 SAN FRANCISCO
ARIZONA is 3-19 SU (-19.6 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

915CHI WHITE SOX -916 MINNESOTA
CHI WHITE SOX is 14-1 SU (12.9 Units) in road games in August games over the last 2 seasons.

917NY YANKEES -918 KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 13-32 SU (-22.5 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) in the current season.

919DETROIT -920 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 11-25 SU (-18.3 Units) in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Wednesday, August 11

Trend Report

Chi White Sox @ Minnesota
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

Colorado @ Houston
Colorado
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
Houston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Colorado

NY Yankees @ Kansas City
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 10 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing NY Yankees

Miami @ San Diego
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Detroit @ Baltimore
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 11 games
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home

LA Dodgers @ Philadelphia
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing St. Louis
Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Boston
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Boston's last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay

Oakland @ Cleveland
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Oakland
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Washington @ NY Mets
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games

Cincinnati @ Atlanta
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Cincinnati is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Milwaukee @ Chi Cubs
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games at home

Toronto @ LA Angels
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games at home
LA Angels is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Toronto

Arizona @ San Francisco
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
San Francisco is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Arizona

Texas @ Seattle
Texas
Texas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Texas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, August 11

https://i.ibb.co/rb1xc4Q/Screenshot-2021-08-11-at-06-49-51-MLB-Baseball-Picks-The-Dunkel-Index.png (https://ibb.co/PTfc9wr)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Weather Report

Wednesday, August 11

https://i.ibb.co/9b2WBCq/Screenshot-2021-08-11-at-09-03-48-MLB-Weather-Report-Find-Upcoming-Conditions-for-the-MLB.png (https://ibb.co/GWkRGbV)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends for Wednesday August 11
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Tigers are 7-0 SU since Apr. 14, 2021 past the first game of a series after they won by 5+ runs last game.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Miami at San Diego (4:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Marlins are 0-13 SU since May 21, 2021 off a road game in which they scored first.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Miami at San Diego (4:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Padres are 10-0 OU (3.60 ppg) since May 16, 2021 after they had at least 12 hits last game.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: St. Louis at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Cardinals are 12-0 SU since Jul. 21, 2009 when Adam Wainwright starts on the road when their opponent is on a 4+ losing streak.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Money Team Wins Sports (https://twitter.com/TMTWMoney)
MLB
HOUSTON ASTROS ‑1.5 ‑125
0
1
-100


Winning Cappers (https://winningcappers.net/)
MLB
MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑1.5 ‑165
0
1
-105


R and R Totals (http://www.randrtotals.com/)
MLB
TEXAS RANGERS/SEATTLE MARINERS u8
0
1
-110


Rocketman Sports (http://www.rocketmansports.com/)
MLB
MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑1.5 ‑160
0
1
-145


Insider Sports Report (http://www.insidersportsreport.com/)

No pick yet
0
1
-145


Pure Lock (http://www.purelock.net/)
MLB
SEATTLE MARINERS ‑175
0
1
-150


Tommy King Wins (http://www.tkwins.com/)
MLB
NEW YORK YANKEES ‑130
0
1
-150


Silvas Sports (http://www.silvassports.com)

No pick yet
0
2
-210


Tys Terrific Tips (http://www.tysterrifictips.com)
MLB
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES/LOS ANGELES DODGERS u10
0
2
-220


Ace / Sleeper Selections (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)
MLB
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS ‑260
0
0
0


Top Shelf Sports Pick (https://www.cappertek.com/picks.asp?shs=BestSportsPicksToday.com)
MLB
CHICAGO WHITE SOX ‑180
0
0
0


Vegas Investment Picks (https://www.cappertek.com/picks.asp?shs=BestSportsPicksToday.com)
MLB
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS ‑170

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Aug 11 '21, 7:20 PM in 30m
MLB | Reds vs Braves
Play on: Braves -117 at Caesars

Free Pick on Braves

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Aug 11 '21, 7:20 PM in 30m
MLB | Reds vs Braves
Play on: Reds +111 at SC Consensus

1 Unit FREE PLAY in Cincinnati Reds +111
The Cincinnati Reds should not be underdogs to the Atlanta Braves tonight. The Braves are starting to get a lot of respect now after winning six of their last seven. But the Reds were 10-2 in their last 12 games prior to losing their last two. And they should get back on track tonight with Wade Miley, who is 9-4 with a 2.75 ERA in 20 starts this season. Touki Toussaint is 1-2 with a 4.43 ERA in four starts for the Braves, including 1-1 with a 7.20 ERA in two home starts. Miley is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in his last four starts against the Braves while giving up 6 earned runs in 26 innings. Give me the Reds.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Aug 11 '21, 7:40 PM in 50m
MLB | OAK vs CLE
Play on: UNDER 9 +105

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: A's/Indians UNDER 9
The Oakland A's and Cleveland Indians have two of the worst lineups in the American League. Oakland ranks 22nd with a .235 average this season while Cleveland ranks 24th in all of baseball with a .234 average.
Two hot starting pitchers go tonight for both teams. Cal Quantrill is 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in his last five starts, allowing just 3 earned runs in 30 innings. He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in seven consecutive starts.
Frankie Montas has also allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in seven consecutive starts, and 11 of his last 12 starts overall. He is 2-1 with a 2.76 ERA in his last seven starts while allowing just 13 earned runs in 42 1/3 innings.
Both teams have great bullpens too with Cleveland (3.39 ERA) ranking 4th and Oakland (3.58 ERA) ranking 7th. The UNDER is 12-2 in A's last 14 games as road favorites. The UNDER is 48-20-4 in the last 72 meetings. The UNDER is 33-15-3 in the last 51 meetings in Cleveland. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Aug 11 '21, 8:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Brewers vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs +240 at Caesars

1 Dimer on Cubs +240

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price Aug 11 '21, 8:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Brewers vs Cubs
Play on: Brewers -1½ -157 at pinnacle

Dave's Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-157)
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are 2-12 in their last 14 games since trading away Bryant, Rizzo, Baez and Kimbrel. They are 10-30 in their last 40 games overall. The Milwaukee Brewers are 44-21 in their last 65 games overall and just got Christian Yelich back from the IL. The Brewers are 25-8 in their last 33 road games as well. They have a big edge on the rubber tonight over the Cubs. Corbin Burnes is 6-4 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 19 starts for the Brewers with 157 strikeouts in 113 innings. Jake Arrieta is 5-10 with a 6.34 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 19 starts this year, including 0-2 with a 12.10 ERA and 2.48 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Burnes is 1-0 with a 0.96 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Cubs. Take Milwaukee on the Run Line.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson Aug 11 '21, 8:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Brewers vs Cubs
Play on: Brewers -1½ -160 at William Hill

Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Wednesday 8-11-21
Milwaukee @ Chicago Cubs (8:05 PM ET)
Play On: Milwaukee -1.5 -160
The Milwaukee Brewers take on the Cubs on Chicago on Wednesday night. Milwaukee is 68-46 SU overall this year while the Chicago Cubs come in with a 52-63 SU overall record on the season. Corbin Burnes is 6-4 with a 2.31 ERA overall this year and 3-0 with a 2.40 ERA on the road this season. Jake Arrieta is 5-10 with a 6.34 ERA overall this year, 2-5 with a 5.93 ERA at home this season and 0-2 with a 12.10 ERA his last 3 starts. Milwaukee is allowing only 3.3 runs per game at home this year and 3.4 runs per game against division opponents this season. Milwaukee is 24-7 this year when the total is 8 to 8 1/2 including 12-1 on the road. Chicago Cubs are 1-8 so far in August. Cubs are 1-10 this year when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. Chicago Cubs are 3-21 last 24 games as a home underdog of +175 or more. We'll recommend a small play on the Milwaukee Brewers on the Run Line tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Aug 11 '21, 9:45 PM in 2h
MLB | Diamondbacks vs Giants
Play on: Giants -1½ -119 at pinnacle

FREE PICK - San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-119)
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 914
We took a tough loss on the Giants with the -1.5 run line yesterday. San Francisco led 5-0 after 5. Dbacks rallied to make it 5-5, but the Giants responded and led 7-5 after 8 only to give up 2 in the Top of the 9th and eventually win 8-7.
As hard as that was to take on the chin, I'm going to fire right back with the Giants on the -1.5 run line at -119 on Wednesday. It's no secret how bad Arizona is on the road. With yesterday's loss the Dbacks are now 14-44 away from home, losing by 2 runs/game.
Lot to like here besides that. Arizona's Merrill Kelly is 3-5 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.283 WHIP in 11 road starts. Giants will have Kevin Gausman on the mound, who is 10-5 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in 22 starts. Gausman did have a couple of bad outings, but bounced back in a big way in his last outing, giving up just 1 run on 5 hits with 8 K's and 0 BBs in 6 innings. Against none other than these Diamondbacks. Give me the Giants -1.5 (-119)!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Aug 11 '21, 10:10 PM in 3h
MLB | TEX vs SEA
Play on: OVER 8 -115

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Rangers/Mariners over 8 -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy Aug 11 '21, 10:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Rangers vs Mariners
Play on: Mariners -175 at pinnacle

Wednesday MLB Free play. My selection is on Seattle over Texas at 10:10 pm et on Wednesday.
The Mariners can obviously ill-afford another loss to the lowly Rangers if they want to stay in the A.L. playoff picture. I expect them to bounce back from last night's tough loss in extras with a victory on Wednesday.
Spencer Howard was the key piece coming back to Texas in the Kyle Gibson trade and he'll get the nod for the Rangers on Wednesday. He enters this start off a couple of rough outings, having allowed seven earned runs on nine hits in just six innings of work. Note that his teams have dropped four of his last five starts overall.
The Rangers bullpen held up well enough to get the victory last night but we're talking about a relief corps that entered that game sporting a collective 5.36 ERA and 1.47 WHIP with only six saves converted and six blown on the road this season.
Tyler Anderson will counter for Seattle. He continues to consistently give his team a chance to win every start, having allowed three earned runs or less and worked at least five innings in seven straight outings. In nine home starts this season he has posted a 3.31 ERA and 1.12 WHIP with his teams going a solid 6-3.
The Mariners bullpen checked into last night's game with a collective 3.37 ERA and 1.08 WHIP with 15 saves converted and only seven blown at home this season. Take Seattle.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, WEDNESDAY AUGUST 11, 2021

8/11 04:10 PM PT / 7:10 PM ET

MLB (923) TAMPA BAY RAYS VS (924) BOSTON RED SOX

Take: over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins ROZ Selections WEDNESDAY, August 11, 2021

FREE MLB
919. Tigers -1.14 (4:05 PT / 7:05 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: St Louis Cardinals - 160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 11, 2021

FREE MLB
921. A’s -1.42 (4:10 PT / 7:10 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Wednesday Selection Is
CLEVELAND w/Quantrill +131

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Last Call Wednesday's Free Play: Oakland Athletics - 141

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Wednessday:
Arizona/San Francisco UNDER 7½ runs