Thursday 8/12/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

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NHL
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Jeff Siegel's Del Mar Analysis - Thursday, August 12, 2021 August 12, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


RACE 1: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: C+
Use: 2-Raisebeforetheflop; 5-Mongolian Ford

Forecast: The Thursday opener is a maiden $40,000 claiming miler that looks to have two main players. Raisebefortheflop shows up in a seller for the first time while stretching out and adding Lasix, so the Liam’s Map gelding seems likely to produce a significant forward move following a rusty sprint comeback in late June at Los Alamitos. If there’s anything that the P. Miller barn has below average stats with, it’s the sprint-to-route angle, but with the switch to F. Prat and showing a good race over this main track last year the sophomore gelding may be more trustworthy over Mongolian Ford. The Shackleford gelding ran a race two back that would bury this group (second while more than 10 lengths clear of the rest) but comes from a stable that is winless in 41 starts this year, so you just don’t know what you’re going to get. You can use both in rolling exotic play, or better yet simply pass the race.
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RACE 2: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Barristan The Bold; 3-Ian Glass

Forecast: Similar to the opener, the second race is an unsettling event with question marks that doesn’t allow for a solid opinion. Ian Glass is a versatile type than can be effective on the lead or from off the pace, so regardless of race flow he can adjust. However, we’re a little concerned about the form pattern. After winning three of his last four starts, the Hard Spun gelding hasn’t been out in nearly three months, though we must point out that the recent work tab is steady and healthy, and this is the class level that fit’s him best. So, we’ll operate under the assumption that he’s ready for a major effort and if so he certainly can extend his winning streak for a barn that runs them where they belong. Barristan the Bold, unplaced and overmatched in the San Simeon S.-G3 in his comeback in mid-March (he’d been away for more than a year), returns off yet another layoff (five months) and plummets to the $32,000 level. The English-bred gelding has numbers that are better than par for this level, so if he’s okay he should be right there. The M. Glatt-trained gelding will be doing his best work from off the pace. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play but not with a great deal of confidence, so if you find the need to spread deeper, go right ahead.
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RACE 3: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Jacrodra’s Devil; 5-Super Renee

Forecast: Jacrodra’s Devil ran better then line will show in a decent debut vs. maiden $50,000 types, and with that race behind her she’s likely to improve enough to win at this level. Off slowly and then pinched back badly at the start to lose whatever chance she may have had, the H. Palma-trained filly kept to her task in the lane and finished with interest before galloping out nicely. She shows a bullet blowout (:36.3h, fastest of 26) since that race, retains T. McCarthy, and will be tough to beat with a clean start. Super Renee is a first-timer from the K. Mulhall barn (solid stats with this angle) and shows a :47 2/5 gate work (fifth fastest of 115) last month that catches the eye. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics with preference on top to Jacrodra’s Devil.
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RACE 4: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B+
Use: 6-Dendera; 7-Peppermint Flirt; 9-Eleuthera

Forecast: State-bred maiden juvenile fillies meet over a mile, with the debuting Eleuthera getting top billing at 8-1 on the morning line (we suspect she’ll go lower). Bred to like grass (Square Eddie) and training very much like a route type, the B. Cecil-trained homebred recently worked since furlongs in company in 1:15 on the main track – she finished 15 lengths in front of her workmate - and came the final three furlongs on our watches in :37 3/5, a very nice closing split at this distance for an unraced juvenile. The outside draw is of no concern, so in a race in which the others are highly suspect at this distance let’s make this filly a strong play in both the win pool and in the various rolling exotics. For those who prefer some protection, consider Dendera and Peppermint Flirt on back-up tickets. The former is bred for distance/grass, switches to F. Prat, and has the benefit of a prior run in a stronger-than-par five furlong dash, while the latter breezed well at the June 2-year-old in training sale and certainly is bred on both sides of her pedigree to run long on grass.
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Race 5: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-American Dancer; 7-Invictatatus

Forecast: American Dancer, overmatched on grass last time out, makes his second start off a S. Callaghan claim while returning to dirt and dropping one notch below his claim level to $20,000. Keying on his runaway win two races back, the veteran gelding appears well-spotted to regain his winning form in a restricted (nw-3) miler. The son of Bernardini apparently does his best work with a pacesetting or pace pressing trip and should be comfortably placed stalking the expected front-runner and one to fear most, Invictatatus. The son of Strong Mandate clearly is a need-the-lead type and most likely will be sent from the bell to ensure his role as the controlling speed. Freshened since mid-June but with a healthy recent work pattern, the A. Marquez-trained gelding has a gate-to-wire win three back that would win this race, and both of his previous two starts over the Del Mar main track, while producing off-the-board finishes, weren’t too bad.
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RACE 6: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B+
Single: 1-Fireproof

Forecast: She may not have earned a great number but Fireproof was much the best in her winning debut in May of 2020, and assuming she’s ready off the nearly 15 month layoff the R. Baltas-trained filly appears well-spotted to pick up where she left off in this turf sprint for state-bred entry-level allowance fillies and mares. In her win in that grass dash at Santa Anita, the daughter of Unusual Heat broke poorly and fell far back, steadily picked up rivals when rallying widest into the lane and was up in time in clever fashion. While we’re not entirely sure why F. Prat, who was aboard in her victory, isn’t listed to ride her back (he has no mount in the race), it should be noted that this filly was entered in a similar event here last month (with T. McCarthy named) but failed to draw in from the also-eligible list. Her work tab at San Luis Rey Downs indicates she’s fit for a stable that hits at a remarkable 27% (with a massive ROI) with the layoff angle, so at 5-1 on the morning line, we’ll make her a gamble in the win pool and as a rolling exotic single.
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RACE 7: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: C+
Use: 1-Carpe Donum; 2-Chasing Fame; 7-Half Right; 8-Joe Don Looney

Forecast: Here’s a messy $25,000 claiming sprint restricted to 3-year-olds that offers all kinds of possibilities. We’ll spread four deep hoping to get a price home. Joe Don Looney exits a much tougher race, is realistically returned to the claiming ranks and has a prior win over the local main track. The Boisterous gelding retains A. Cedillo and has numbers good enough to win so we’ll give him a very slight edge on top while recognizing that he’s far from a sure thing. Chasing Fame, first off the claim for M. Ortiz, is back sprinting where he belongs, removes blinkers, and switches to T. Pereia, who has had success in the past riding for this outfit. He has numbers that fit, so at 12-1 on the morning line he’s an interesting possibility. Carpe Donum won for fun in his debut in a soft maiden $30,000 event at Los Alamitos in late June, was subsequently scratched five days ago in a $16,000 seller vs. older horses and shows up today vs. his own age group. If he can negotiate a decent trip from the rail, the P. Miller-trained gelding should be competitive in this league. Half Right had absolutely no excuse when runner-up in a $20,000 affair here last month but goes for J. Mullins off a claim (always a high percentage with this angle) and is therefore eligible to produce a significant forward move.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:30 PT Grade: B+
Single: 2-Crew Dragon

Forecast: Crew Dragon adds blinkers for the first time and returns to the first-level allowance ranks after narrowly missing with a career top number in the opening day Oceanside S. in his first outing since joining the J. Sadler barn. The son of Exaggerator turned in what appears to be an impressive six furlong turf workout around dogs in 1:13 2/5 since that race, retains U. Rispsoli, and projects to inherit a good stalking trip and then have every chance to seal the deal from the quarter pole home. At 5/2 on the morning line he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis - Thursday, August 12, 2021 August 12, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


RACE 1: Post: 1:05 ET Grade: B
Single: 3-Daufuskie Island

Forecast: The opener is a state-bred juvenile sprint filled with question marks that reduces the handicapping process to an educated guess. Daufuskie Island is bred for speed on both sides of his pedigree, shows a brief but intriguing work tab, and looked pretty good on video when breezing a half mile over the Saratoga training track six days ago in :48 3/5, the second fastest of 29 for the distance. The J. Englehart-trained colt displayed quick action and good athleticism to indicate he might have more zip than what he was being allowed to show. The barn has had a slow meeting but overall has okay stats with first-timers, so in a wide open affair the son of Goldencents may be as good any. We’ll try him in the win pool and in rolling exotic play but if you feel the need to spread, go right ahead.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:41 ET Grade: B-
Use: 1-Flashing Red; 4-Candy Flower

Forecast: Flashing Red moves up a notch following a rare $32,000 claim by trainer H. DePaz. She adds blinkers for the first time, stretches out again, and switches to speed rider R. Santana, so from her favorable inside draw the daughter of Violence surely will be sent to establish the running, a strategy that has worked for her in the past. Candy Flower makes a barn switch to M. Maker and is another that likes to be on or near the lead, though her “speed” shows up more often in marathon traces. Today, we expect a stalk and pounce trip from the Twirling Candy filly, who has utilized that tactic for success in the past. In a field lacking in effective closers, these are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:15 ET Grade: B
Single: 5-Mrs. Orb

Forecast: Mrs. Orb is the high weight at 123 lbs. in today’s listed Saratoga Dew H. and based on her present form the veteran mare should be able to add to her impressive resume. First or second 15 of 25 career outings, the M. Micelli-trained 6-year-old is fresh from winning the Caesar’s Wish S. at Pimlico six weeks ago, has trained steadily since, and has run well (twice second) in her two previous outings over the Saratoga main track. She may not be the most accomplished entrant in the field but she’s probably the most reliable. Simply Ravishing was a Grade-1 winning filly as a two-year-old but that’s no guarantee that she’s the same filly now. Last of six in her only 2021 appearance during the sprint meeting at Keeneland (she was favored over Malathaat in the Ashland S.-G1), the daughter of Laoban returns for K. McPeek with a series of drills that – at least in theory - should have her fit enough. But in viewing the videos of her recent workouts it’s hard to have a lot of confidence. A five runner field requires the handicapper to take a stand, so we’ll go with the more dependable Mrs. Orb on top, and if ‘Ravishing goes out and wires the field, good for her, and welcome back.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:49 ET Grade: B+
Use: 1-Chocolate Cookie; 5-Spungie

Forecast: Chocolate Cookie stumbled badly at the start to lose her best chance and then closed wide against slow fractions to be a much-better-than-looked third in a similar event here last month. It was her first outing since last October, and even in defeat she gave the impression of being a better filly now than then. Today, from a good inside draw and with a clean break, a ground-saving trip, and decent fractions in front of her, the daughter of Declaration of War should have every chance to make amends. Spungie pulverized a first-level allowance field last time out in good style, though to be fair the race set up perfectly for her and she didn’t really beat much. Still, the lightly-raced and improving daughter of Hard Spun shows rising speed figures with each outing, and it would be surprising if she didn’t produce yet another forward move today. We’ll give Chocolate Cookie the edge on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:21 ET Grade: B+
Single: 9-Key Point

Forecast: Key Point has shown enough in the two video workouts we were able to view to expect that the C. Brown-trained colt can win at first asking in this state-bred sprint for juveniles. The son of Into Mischief was hard held in both drills while appearing best in a team and gave the impressive that he could have gone considerably faster if turned loose. He’s been given enough of a foundation to be fit and ready, and in a field in which the known element doesn’t inspire let’s go with this promising newcomer on top in the win pool and as a rolling exotic single.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:55 ET Grade: B-
Use: 6-Cricket West; 7-Pimenova; 10-Skyward Princess

Forecast: Maiden juvenile fillies bred in New York compete in a turf sprint that is loaded with first-timers, three of which appear to be a cut above the others. Skyward Princess, a debuting Air Force Blue filly from the C. Brown barn, looked fairly decent in a recent gate work while best of the team, and considering her pedigree and connections she looks like a live item first crack out of the box. Pimenova, from the first crop of the so far very successful Practical Joke, brought $200,000 through the ring and sports an impressive series of local works that indicate she has plenty of ability. However, the otherwise high-percentage D. Gargan barn has weak stats with debut runners, so we’re not quite sure if we’re going to see a finished product. You have to use her, though. On the other hand, Cricket West comes from the J. Abreu stable, which has a superior record with the first-time-starter angle. In her case, the workout times are okay, not great, but maidens from this outfit almost always run better than they work, so beware.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:29 ET Grade: C+
Use: 4-Traffic Lane; 7-Malibu Luna; 10-On a Tour

Forecast: We’ll go three-deep in this restricted (nw-2) $16,000 claiming sprint for fillies and mares but not with any degree of confidence. You should include as many on your ticket as your budget allows. Malibu Luna takes a nosedive in class while trying to find her proper level on this circuit, and if this isn’t it, she’s in trouble. The W. Mott-trained filly will be making her third start off a layoff and projects to be a strong late factor with anything close to her best effort. A nice half mile breeze last week (4f, :48b) is encouraging. On a Tour tries dirt for the first time and is another big class dropper likely to do her best work from off the pace. Claimed for $50,000 in Florida in February and with only one outing since, she’s obviously had some problems, but with the presence of I. Ortiz, Jr. in the saddle she’s worth including in a soft event. Her normally high-percentage trainer (S. Joseph, Jr.) is due to warm up; at last check he’s saddled one winner at the meet from more than 20 starters. Traffic Lane, third in a similar affair last month, has plenty of early speed, and if she can shake loose early she may get brave late. Toss her in somewhere.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:05 ET Grade: B
Single: 6-Chocolate Bar

Forecast: This second-level allowance extended sprint projects to have a very soft opening quarter and half. Who can take advantage of the projected race flow? Chocolate Bar, comfortably drawn outside, finished a willing third in a one-turn miler at this level over a sloppy track last time out in what was his first career outing on a surface other than grass. The M. Maker-trained colt certainly has a dirt pedigree (Cairo Prince x Include) and is consistently fast in the speed figure department, so maybe these conditions will suit him just fine. We’re expecting to see him within range of the leader (maybe even on the front end if he’s sent from the bell) and then have every chance when the pressure is turned on. Let’s make him a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:39 ET Grade: B
Single: 1-Uncle’s Gem

Forecast: Uncle’s Gem is a lightly-raced and progressive filly fresh from a nice maiden tally over this course and distance in her second career start and has upside most of the others in the field do not have. The late-developing 4-year-old daughter of Uncle Mo lands the good rail and projects to be on or near the lead, just as she was last month when beating a next out winner in good style while earning a solid figure. She’ll probably have to step forward to handle this tougher assignment but we’re expecting her to continue her improving pattern as she gains added experience. In a field lacking in effective closers, she appears capable of leading throughout as a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:13 ET Grade: B
Use: 4-Amano; 4-Group Hug; 8-Semper Fidelis

Forecast: The finale is a grass grab bag for maiden $75,000 older claimers. There are many possibilities to consider; we’ll try to get by using just three. Semper Fidelis, away since last December and making just his third career start, showed promise in his brief juvenile campaign in maiden special weight company and returns going long on the lawn for a trainer that hits at a remarkable 29% with layoff runners, so we’re expecting this son of Fast Anna to fire a big shot fresh. He trained well enough at Palm Meadows before shipping north to make our Clocker’s “Primed and Ready” list, so in an open fray he’ll offer a good chance at a nice price. Another making his first start since last year is Amano, who shows the first-time gelding angle for C. Brown along with the class drop from maiden to maiden claimer. A strong threat if he returns as well as he left, the son of Temple City is solid in the speed figure department, drawn comfortably inside, and is reunited with I. Ortiz, Jr., who got good run out of him last year. Group Hug ran reasonably well when runner-up in his only prior outing on grass race earlier this year and shows speed figures that have risen in each of his most recent four starts since joining the M. Maker barn. With another forward move today, he’ll be right there.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jaffe Snags Second FITS Final Table Seat August 11, 2021 | By Johnny D

Four weeks of Fun in the Sun competition is in the books and 17 players have qualified for 20 seats at the $10,000-added Final Table Sept. 4. Three account holders have earned two seats each—Steven Jones, fifth in Week 1 and first in Week 2; Ellis Starr, top earner in Week 1 and third-place finisher Saturday; and Donald Jaffe, third in Week 3 and a narrow winner this past week. Two Final Table seats are the maximum permitted for a single account holder.

Jaffe’s Saturday total payoff figure of $297 was just $2 clear of runner-up Nicholas Nagy’s number and $21 ahead of third-place finisher Ellis Starr at $276. Those players earn $2,415, $1,006.25 and $603.75, respectively, in prize money, plus a Final Table Seat each. Also earning reservations for the main event are fourth and fifth-place finishers Rick Razim at $262 and Richard Swain at $254.50.

Jaffe’s victory elevates his personal Fun in the Sun seasonal prize earnings total to $3,052.88, second behind leading earner Starr at $3,0501.75. Michael O’Grady, Week 3 winner, is next with $2,551.50.

There’s great news for those already qualified for the Final Table and for those planning to join that party. Including a generous $10,000 in Xpressbet seed money, the main event pot already has grown to over $16,000 and has a projected value of over $20,000! That’s some decent cash on the line September 4 and in order to have a shot at it you’ll need to finish among the top 5 Fun in the Sun players over the next 3 Saturdays. Which, apparently, isn’t very difficult. Three players already have done it twice!

Weekly earnings totals usually are a factor of what happens on the racetrack and Del Mar results gave players little to work with as the first five races Where the Turf Meets the Surf returned just one winner at better than $5 for a $2 wager. Saratoga presented early opportunities surrounding punctual favorite Knicks Go in the Whitney at $4.10. He was the only single-digit payoff winner in the five-race sequence. Topping the week’s payoff parade was Saratoga Derby Invitational winner State of Rest at $44.20.

Overall, this week’s top earnings totals were light compared with previous results. Donald Jaffe’s winning mark of $297 was well below the average weekly top score of $346.50. Ellis Starr’s third place and prize-winning total of $276 also was below the average third-place earnings mark of $286.75. Likewise, Richard Swain’s fifth-place total of $254.50 was short of the $273.50 average for that placing.

Through 4 weeks, top 3 weekly finishers have earned a total of $17,762.52 in prize money and the top 5 ranked players overall in the first 4 weeks have earned an additional $6,023.50 in mutuel payoffs based on $10 contest Win wagers on one horse in each of 10 contest races. Fun in the Sun also requires a $25 registration fee.
Fun in the Sun competition resumes this Saturday with the last five races from Saratoga and the first five heats from Del Mar. It’s time for you to come and get a cash prize, a seat at the Final Table and a shot at an estimated $20,000 in prizes Sept. 4.

See you Saturday!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Arlington - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#4 Fox Frey
She steps up after a really sharp win in her first try over the local footing, and she has the right kind of style to find a perfect pressing trip in a race where forward players might have the edge.


#1 Bourbon Rebellion
Still think she might have something a little bit better in her than we have seen so far, and some of her best career races have come locally. Along late.


#6 Docs Seven
She'll get Lasix for the first time while bringing an unbeaten local record to this one. She's likely the controlling pace from the outside with a couple of them set to line up right behind her.


Race Summary
Fox Frey might get the right kind of trip from right up on the splits, and her first spin over the local course resulted in a very easy win against softer.


Arlington - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#2 Clarestown
He ran well with similar a couple starts back before turning in a modest effort in stakes company last time out. He should appreciate the easier spot here.


#5 Draft Capital
He just landed a race at this level and comes right back for the tag again, and he has really been a revelation for the new team this season. Much shorter price today, though.


#1 Clemson Tiger
He broke through in that fourth career start, and he's likely to try to flash some pace from the inside draw while stepping up to face winners. Think his ceiling is high enough to win this.


Race Summary
Clarestown and Draft Capital seem likeliest in here, but Clemson Tiger is also worth a look while stepping up to meet winners for the first time.


Arlington - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#2 First Masamune
He has been in decent form with similar on the main track in recent races, and his back turf form makes him look pretty competitive with this group. Pretty solid lean here.


#4 Duchossois
He's got a little bit of versatility to him as far as style goes, and he has proven a good fit at this level in recent starts for a tough team.


#9 Antrim's Giant
The top pair are both logical, and this guy might be the right one to try to use underneath to find some cash betting this race. He'll be a price while getting a change of scenery.


Race Summary
First Masamune and Duchossois figure tough to get past in here, but the former might offer a slightly better price and may still be better on his best day.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#6 TRAIN
Sandwiched pair of easy wins around a troubled third, steps up.


#4 BIG SKY EX
Proven at this level, rallied from far back in latest, moves outside in.


#2 TUFF TO BE LINDY
Hit board in 9 of 18 this year, use in gimmicks on class drop.


Race Summary
Train validated his troubled trip two starts back with his second easy win in July. The 3-year-old is better than when he last appeared at Harrah's and could upset on the class rise in his current form. Play a 6/2,4/ALL trifecta.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#5 LORD ANTHONY
Heavily bet in debut for low-percentage barn, sustained rally to finish third.


#3 GLOBAL CRUSH
Rallied for minor awards in 3 of 4 starts but missed a week sick.


#4 HURRYMIKI HANOVER
Part of blanket finish against 'Lord,' gets second-time Lasix.


Race Summary
Lord Anthony followed the winner while moving around stalled cover on the final turn, finished 5-wide and willing for third, then continued strong on the gallop out. He figures tough with a move forward off that effort. Play 5-2, 5-3 and 5-4 exactas.


Yonkers - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#7 SV ROYAL FLUSH
Held second off pocket trip, early spot the key.


#4 CHERRY MASON
Figures close-up a long way but offers no value at 0-14 this year.


#1 CANE GANG
Yet to duplicate near upset of the favorite three starts ago.


Race Summary
SV Royal Flush has enough speed to get position from the outside and remain the only horse in the field to finish ahead of morning-line favorite Cherry Mason recently. Both chased a 'handily' 5-1 winner last week to remain winless this year. Play 7-1 and 7-4 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Del Mar - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#2 Barristan the Bold
Spent his first three races in this country running against graded and upper allowance rivals and should find this group more to his liking. Comes out of fast races and can finish well at this level.


#3 Ian Glass
Really on a tear with wins in three of his last four makes his second off the claim for Mathis; on a roll and can adjust to any pace.


#6 Grit and Curiosity
Has been in some tough spot and was fifth in his only start of this year; was third in the G2 Eddie D on turf last September.


Race Summary
Barristan the Bold has been given some tough assignments since arriving from Europe and drops to a claiming price he should find to his liking.


Del Mar - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#8 Acai
Has been in the hunt in her last four against open company and gets a chance against California-breds; likely to show excellent speed and should be the one to catch.


#9 Miss Carousel
Closed strongly and was up in time against similar here last out; won her last two turf races and can make a good run at the leaders here.


#6 Super Game
Finished a non-threatening second last out and has been running against solid state-breds; was third in the Cal Cup Oaks in January.


Race Summary
Acai has the class edge after going up against open foes in several races and should find the switch to restricted company should work in her favor.


Del Mar - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#1 Hockey Dad
Does his best close to the lead and can get to the front from the inside position; has been in some solid races and lands in a spot in which he should be a strong player.


#9 The Hulk
Was outrun in his first one in the U.S. and can improve in his return; won three of his first five in Great Britain and will be a factor at a price.


#2 Crew Dragon
Hasn't missed the board in seven career starts and comes off a photo-finish loss in the restricted Oceanside Stakes here; makes second for Sadler and can bring a strong run into the mix.


Race Summary
Hockey Dad ran in decent races early in the year and looks good enough to get it done in this mile turf event.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: Cincinnati w/Gutierrez +130 over Atlanta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: CINCINNATI/ATLANTA OVER the total of 10 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U Thursday's Free Selection: San Diego Padres/Arizona Diamondbacks over 8 1/2

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Atlantic Sports
Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: San Francisco Giants - 155

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#1 Sports Thursday's Free Play: San Francisco Giants - 155

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Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: San Francisco w/Webb-155 over Colorado

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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Thursday : Take COLORADO/SAN FRANCISCO OVER the total of 7½ runs

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Hawkeye Sports Thursday's Free Pick: San Diego Padres - 160

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Huddle Up Sports
Thursday Free Play
Atlanta Muller -146

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Arthur Ralph FreePlay 7 in a ROW THURS: Braves w/ Muller-140

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Teyas Sports FREE PICK 8/12 MLB DETROIT +130

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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Thursday: TEXAS/SEATTLE UNDER the total of 8½ runs

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High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Thursday: Atlanta Braves - 140

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John Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Thursday:
SD Padres Run Line

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Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Thursday:
Det/Balt UNDER 10½ runs

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Hollywood Anthony Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take Chicago Cubs w/Hendricks

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Roz Wins ROZ Selections THURSDAY, August 12, 2021

FREE MLB
968. Orioles -1.43 (1:05 PT / 4:05 ET)

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Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play THURSDAY, AUGUST 12, 2021

FREE MLB
971. Rays -1.05 (1:10 PT / 4:10 ET)

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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Thursday Selection Is
CALGARY -7

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The Last Call Thursday's Free Play: Chicago White Sox - 165

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XS Sports Picks (http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1132323&page=12)
NFL
PITTSBURGH STEELERS ‑115 o33.5
2
1
+85


The Money Team Wins Sports (https://twitter.com/TMTWMoney)

No pick yet
1
1
0


Winning Cappers (https://winningcappers.net/)
MLB
CHICAGO WHITE SOX ‑1.5 +115
1
1
-5


R and R Totals (http://www.randrtotals.com/)
MLB
DETROIT TIGERS/BALTIMORE ORIOLES u10.5
1
1
-10


Rocketman Sports (http://www.rocketmansports.com/)
MLB
MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑1.5 ‑120
1
1
-45


Pure Lock (http://www.purelock.net/)
MLB
MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑1.5 ‑120
1
1
-50


Tommy King Wins (http://www.tkwins.com/)
MLB
OAKLAND ATHLETICS ‑160
1
1
-50


Insider Sports Report (http://www.insidersportsreport.com/)

No pick yet
0
1
-145


Top Shelf Sports Pick (https://www.cappertek.com/picks.asp?shs=BestSportsPicksToday.com)

No pick yet
0
1
-180


Silvas Sports (http://www.silvassports.com)
MLB
TAMPA BAY RAYS +100
0
2
-210


Tys Terrific Tips (http://www.tysterrifictips.com)
NFL
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +1.5
0
2
-220


Big Dawg Sports (https://www.facebook.com/groups/902366090629974)
MLB
MILWAUKEE BREWERS/CHICAGO CUBS ‑210
0
0
0


GreenTreeSports (https://veri.bet/GreenTreeSports.org)
MLB
TORONTO BLUE JAYS ‑130
0
0
0


Hottie4Sports (https://twitter.com/Hottie4Sports)
MLB
SAN DIEGO PADRES ‑1.5 ‑130
0
0
0


Top Dog (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)
MLB
CHICAGO CUBS +190
0
0
0

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Free Winners for Thursday, August 12th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
DELAWARE PARK
RACE #7
TIME: 4:15 PM EST
PICK: BET #4 The King Cheek 6/5 odds to win @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada-racebook/)

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Free Winners for Thursday, August 12th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE MLB PICKS
Rockies @ Giants
TIME: 9:45 PM EST
PICK: Bet OVER 8 @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

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Thursday, August 12th, 2021 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!FREE MLB PICKS
Brewers @ Cubs
TIME: 2:20 PM EST
PICKS: BET Brewers -1.5 -135 @ BOVADA (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

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Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks
Place A Bet


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Padres -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642GfsGTz_YfB9onf8DuVAkVka/0/)


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
MLB – Mariners -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


3.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
MLB – Reds under 10
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


4.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
MLB – Angels +120
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


5.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Nationals GM2 +155
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


6.
PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) (https://www.pointspreadreport.com)
MLB – White Sox -165
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


7.
Winning Big Sports (https://www.winningbigsports.com)
MLB – Tigers +130
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


8.
NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) (https://www.nsawins.com)
MLB – Giants -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


9.
Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com)
MLB – Mariners -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


10.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Pirates +120
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


11.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Mets GM1 -1.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


12.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
MLB – Red Sox -110
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


13.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Brewers -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


14.
SCORE (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
MLB – Pirates +120
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
MLB – Brewers -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


16.
Chicago Sports Group (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/chicago-sports-group/)
MLB – Padres -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


17.
Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
MLB – Tigers over 10.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


18.
VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
MLB – Angels over 8.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


19.
South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
MLB – Mets GM1 -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
MLB – White Sox -165
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
MLB – Tigers +130
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
MLB – Padres -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
MLB – Pirates +120
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
MLB – Athletics -170
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
MLB – Red Sox under 11
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)

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Tony Mejia Event: (224809) Atletico PR at (224810) LDU Quito
Sport/League: SOC (See all free soccer picks (https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/soccer))
Date/Time: August 12, 2021 6PM EDT
Play: LDU Quito -119
Atletico Paranense visits Quito as a heavy underdog, which given that it plays in Brazil, raises eyebrows. Atletico PR isn't one of the Brazilian Serie A powers but do have a winning record and positive goal differential. The fact they're getting such a high return strikes me as a situation where the books are hoping they'll get some action in this Copa Sudamericana first leg matchup. Altitude should be an issue and Liga did topple Barcelona in the Ecuadorian Super Copa, so LDU is plenty capable. Laying a bit of juice, we'll ride the home pitch edge and back LDU Quito to prevail outright on the 3-way money line.

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Dave Cokin Event: (975) Toronto Blue Jays at (976) Los Angeles Angels
Sport/League: MLB (See all free MLB picks (https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/MLB))
Date/Time: August 12, 2021 9PM EDT
Play: 1H Los Angeles Angels +105 J Berrios (RHP), S Ohtani (RHP) Must Start
Numbers give an edge to Ohtani at home over Berrios on the road. That Toronto lineup is fearsome right now but F5 plays for me are starting pitcher centric and stetted simply, Ohtani gets the check marks here in all three of the most key categories I work with. This should be a good pitching matchup in the first half but with plus money available my money goes on the Halos and Ohtani for the F5.

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Steve Merril Event: (975) Toronto Blue Jays at (976) Los Angeles Angels
Sport/League: MLB (See all free MLB picks (https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/MLB))
Date/Time: August 12, 2021 9PM EDT
Play: Total Under 8.5 (-110) J Berrios (RHP), S Ohtani (RHP) Must Start
Two strong starting pitchers on the mound tonight, and both are in excellent current form. Jose Berrios has been fantastic in his two starts since the Blue Jays acquired him at the trade deadline, allowing just 1 run in 12 innings of work (0.75 ERA) with a 13-1 strikeout/walk ratio. Shohei Ohtani had one bad outing on June 30th, but has been amazing since the start of July, allowing only 4 runs in 26 innings (1.38 ERA). Ohtani will have to pitch well tonight as the Angels offense is struggling and has scored 3 runs or less in 10 of their past 14 games.

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Carmine Bianco Event: (225005) Philadelphia Union at (225006) Club America
Sport/League: SOC (See all free soccer picks (https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/soccer))
Date/Time: August 12, 2021 10PM EDT
Play: Club America -1.0 (-115)
CONCACAF Champions League - Philadelphia Union at Club America
Quick Synopsis: First leg of the semifinals and the Union are the final remaining non-Mexican side in this competition having gotten here with a much easier route facing Saprissa (CR) and Atlanta United but now take one of Mexico's best sides in Club America and making the task tougher is they'll have to play in the high elevation of Azteca Stadium where the home side is 17-4-3 over the last 12 months. MLS sides haven't faired well here and it will be tough on the visitors in the latter part of this one.
The play is Club America -1.0

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Will Rogers Aug 12 '21, 5:10 PM in 39m
MLB | CIN vs ATL
Play on: UNDER 10 +100

The Reds are visiting the Braves today. The' other' Vladdy has also been in fine form lately. V. Gutierrez has only allowed 4 earned runs in three starts. His mound opponent, Kyle Muller is a fine young rookie with a ton of up-side. Two competant bullpens and a total of 10 1/2 tells me "Take the Under" Good Luck!

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Brandon Lee Aug 12 '21, 5:10 PM in 39m
MLB | CIN vs ATL
Play on: UNDER 10½ -107

FREE PICK - Reds/Braves UNDER 10.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 959/960
I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 10.5 in Thursday's game between the Braves and Reds. I know it's going to be a tough day to pitch with the heat index pushing 100 degrees, but asking these two teams to put up at least 11 runs is a lot with the starting pitching matchup.
Cincinnati will send out Vladimir Gutierrez, who has what looks like a poor 4.15 ERA and 1.344 WHIP over 13 starts. However, most of that damage has come when he's taken the mound at home. He's 5-1 with a 3.11 ERA and 1.187 WHIP in 8 road starts. He's also red-hot coming in, as he owns a 1.86 ERA and 1.035 WHIP over his last 3 starts.
Atlanta will counter with Kyle Muller, who has impressed in limited action. Muller has a 2.43 ERA and 1.050 WHIP over 7 starts and has a similar 2.45 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in his last 3 outings. I just don't think there's going to be enough offense from either side to eclipse this big number. Give me the UNDER 10.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Aug 12 '21, 5:10 PM in 39m
MLB | CIN vs ATL
Play on: UNDER 10 +101

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Reds/Braves UNDER 10
Both Kyle Muller and Vladamir Gutierrez are two little-known starters that have been flying under the radar this season. That's why this total has been set too high tonight as these starters are better than they are getting credit for with this 10-run total. Gutierrez is 7-3 with a 4.15 ERA in 13 starts, including 5-1 with a 3.11 ERA in eight road starts. He is 3-0 with a 1.86 ERA in his last three starts as well. Muller is 2-3 with a 2.43 ERA in seven starts this season. Muller pitched 5 shutout innings in a 4-0 win over the Reds on June 27th. Gutierrez gave up 3 runs in 6 innings of a 3-2 loss to the Braves on June 25th. Give me the UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Aug 12 '21, 7:00 PM in 2h
MLB | Yankees vs White Sox
Play on: White Sox -160 at Caesars

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Chicago White Sox -160
The Chicago White Sox have outscored opponents 35-15 in their last six games behind a lineup that is heating up and the best pitching staff in the American League. Now Cy Young contender Lance Lynn goes for the White Sox against the depleted Yankees at the Field of Dreams in Dyersville, Iowa.
Lynn is 10-3 with a 2.04 ERA and 1.055 WHIP in 20 starts this season for the White Sox. He held the Yankees to one earned run in 7 1/3 innings with 10 K's in his last start against them. Look for him to shut down a Yankees lineup that is missing several key players due to injury and COVID.
Andrew Heaney has had a rough go of it this season at 7-8 with a 5.45 ERA in 20 starts, including 1-1 with a 6.19 ERA in his last three. Heaney is 1-1 with an 11.00 ERA in his last two starts against the White Sox, allowing 11 earned runs in 9 innings. He gave up 7 earned runs in 3 innings in his lone start against Chicago in 2021.
The White Sox own left-handed starters, going 35-13 against them over the last two seasons and winning by 2.3 runs per game in this spot. They will jump on Heaney early in this one, and Lynn and the bullpen will preserve the victory. Bet the White Sox Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander Aug 12 '21, 7:00 PM in 2h
MLB | Yankees vs White Sox
Play on: White Sox -153 at linepros

1* MLB - Yankees/White Sox FREE PICK on White Sox -153
Thursday's Free MLB Pick is on the Chicago White Sox -153 as they get ready to take on the New York Yankees at the Field of Dreams in Dyersville Iowa. I think we are getting a good price on the White Sox because of how much public money the Yankees draw. Chicago without question has the better starter with Lance Lynn. Guy is 10-3 with a 2.04 ERA in 20 starts. New York's Andrew Heaney is 7-8 with a 5.45 ERA in 20 starts. Bet the White Sox -153!

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ASA Aug 12 '21, 7:30 PM in 2h
NFLX | Steelers vs Eagles
Play on: Steelers +1 -110 at William Hill

#105 ASA FREE PLAY ON Pittsburgh +1 over Philadelphia, Thursday at 7:30 PM ET - The Steelers have a game under their belts which we like. Don’t be surprised if the regulars play a bit longer in this one. Tomlin always puts a priority on the pre-season and his teams are 10-3 over their last 13 dating back to start of the 2017 NFLX. Not sure if Roethlisberger will play here but we like the back up QB situation for Pittsburgh with Rudolph and Haskins battling for the #2 spot. Throw in veteran Josh Dobbs as the 4th stringer and the Steelers have one of the best QB rotations in the league. Philly has an entirely new coaching staff and they are implementing new systems on both sides of the ball. They took a full week to put in the new offense adding a few new wrinkles each day. The problem is, they’ve looked very poor trying to make it work. It was noted to us by an Eagle insider that last Saturday’s practice the offense was outright horrendous. QB Hurts has been “off” the entire camp and continues to hold onto the ball too long. That’s a huge problem vs a Pittsburgh defense that gets after the QB as well as anyone in the NFL (led the league in sacks per game and sack %). Too much uncertainty for the Eagles playing their first game taking on a Steeler team that has a win over the Cowboys under their belt. Take Pittsburgh to win this one.

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Jimmy Boyd Aug 12 '21, 9:00 PM in 4h
WNBA | Sun vs Storm
Play on: UNDER 157½ -110

1* Free Pick on Sun/Storm under 157½ -110

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Mike Williams Aug 12 '21, 9:38 PM in 5h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Angels
Play on: Blue Jays -125 at SC Consensus

1* on Blue Jays -125

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Dustin Hawkins Aug 12 '21, 9:40 PM in 5h
MLB | SDG vs ARI
Play on: OVER 9 -105

1 Dimer on Padres vs Diamondbacks over 9 -105

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Cole Faxon Aug 12 '21, 10:00 PM in 5h
Soccer | Necaxa vs Atletico San Luis
Play on: Necaxa +200 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on Necaxa +200