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Can'tPickAWinner
08-16-2021, 11:59 PM
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Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:47 AM
Jeff Siegel's Five Takeaways - 8/17/21 August 17, 2021
From the Week Concluding August 15, 2021
By Jeff Siegel, handicapper and analyst

1 - After Bolshoi Ballet flopped in the Saratoga Invitational Derby-G1 Aug. 7, winding up a no-excuse fourth at even money behind fellow Irish shipper, the 21-1 long shot State of Rest, the plausible explanation was that he had “Euro-bounced” after being so impressive in his previous cross-Atlantic foray when winning the Belmont Derby-G1 in early June. Had Bolshoi Ballet done what was expected and win again, there would have been fewer doubters that Santa Barbara, for the same connections, would be able to repeat her thoroughly dominating victory in her U.S. debut, the Belmont Oaks Invitational-G1, when she returned for the Beverly D. S.-G1 at Arlington Park on Saturday. Didn’t happen. Inside the furlong pole, Santa Barbara roared past Mean Mary (who had her chances greatly compromised after breaking through the gate prior to the start) to win as impressively as she had done at Belmont Park. The 3-year-old daughter of Camelot seems highly-likely to return to the States for a third time to compete in the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf at Del Mar.

Last week we opined that the late-developing War Like Goddess had become the best long distance North American based turf filly following her visually stunning victory in the Glens Falls S.-G2 at Saratoga. We’ll stick with that because the younger Santa Barbara technically isn’t North American based – she does her training at Aidan O’Brien’s yard in Ireland – but in a division that is often far less glamorous that some of the others, this impeding collision between these two exceptional fillies is something to really look forward to.


2 - What was Got Stormy doing in the Grade-1 Fourstardave Handicap, anyway? Yeah, she won it two years ago, but wasn’t she far past her prime, having finished off the board in three of her last four starts, with a low-rated Grade-3 victory against moderate fillies and mares sandwiched in between? Isn’t she better sprinting? That’s what we thought. That’s what many of the serious bettors believed, who let her go at 12-1. Glad to be wrong (preferred the runner-up Set Piece, who flew home but too late, I’ll live with it). Her winning 103 Beyer speed figure equaled the number she earned when second to Halladay in this race last year, so we can safely assume that the now 6-year-old mare, a winner of 12 races from 30 career starts while consistently facing the best males and females North America, really hasn’t lost too many steps after all, and that’s a credit to the newly enshrined Hall of Fame trainer Mark Casse, who’s had her for all but her first two races.

She’ll face the boys again in the Breeders’ Cup Mile-G1 at Del Mar (she won the Matriarch S.-G1 there in 2019) but before that probably have a prep, maybe sprinting next month at Kentucky Downs. We’ll probably wind up trying to beat her again on Championship day in November but a big part of us will rooting for her, nonetheless.


3 - We don’t second guess the Southern California stewards very often. Actually, we almost always agree with their decisions. Not so with their ruling to disqualify Next Revolt from first to fourth in the Thursday fifth race at Del Mar. Under Flavian Prat, the gelding came over a half lane – okay, perhaps a bit more - entering the stretch on the already faltering Invictatatus, forcing that one to check and briefly steady. Invictatatus was never, ever, ever going to win or finish second (he wound up being beaten 10 lengths), but a case could be made that he may have been able to salvage third money, even though the incident happened more than a furlong before the wire. Next Revolt’s owners (that’s who I identify with) lost a winner’s purse of $16,800 while the handicappers (not me) who correctly tabbed the original first place finisher at 9/2 got nothing, not to mention the bettors who played the race correctly in rolling exotics and got knocked out, too.

Yes, Prat was careless, give him days (they did), but horse players should be part of the equation, too – and we’re not referring to the ones that got kissed in, but those who played the race properly and deserved to be rewarded. In these situations, you have to have your priorities in order. In adjudicating an inquiry or a foul claim, and it’s a close call, shouldn’t the judges consider who would be wronged the most? In this case, would it be the owner of the much-the-best original winner and those that correctly played him? Or the owner of the badly beaten “fouled” horse who lost $1,680 (the difference in purse money from third to fourth) and the show bettors who got $2.80 after their horse got moved up?


4 – The Weekly Wash from Saratoga: Sunday’s first race winner Silipo, a 2-year-old by Candy Ride making his debut for a $40,000 tag, did what was required in registering a more than three length win in a modest 1:06.13 and was claimed by Bruce Brown. In watching the gelding’s action, the old L.A. Ram split end Crazy Legs Hirsch suddenly popped into my mind. Wisconsin Badger fans are aware that Crazy Legs has been rated the 94th best player in NFL history by The Athletic. . .Street Vendor rallied from eighth to second into the teeth of slow splits in the Sunday second when debuting going long on the turf for Todd Pletcher. The Nyquist colt brought $500,000 as a yearling. He’s not worth it just yet. Soon, maybe. . .Really believed hot recent maiden winner Ducale would come right back on the raise in the Saturday eighth but the Twirling Candy colt flipped in the paddock and had to be scratched. If he’d run, it’s highly unlikely he would have challenged Speaker’s Corner. In his first start since beating Caddo River in a 2-year-old maiden race last October, the Street Sense colt returned better than he left for trainer Bill Mott, winning by more than five lengths in 1:22.29, which translates to a 101 Beyer Speed figure. He may be the late developing 3-year-old star we’ve been waiting for all summer.

Most of the time it's better to believe what you see, not what you read. Grade-1 winner Simply Ravishing, beaten more than 19 lengths as the favorite in the Ashland S.-G1 at Keeneland in her sophomore debut, returned in the Thursday third, the Saratoga Dew Handicap. The assistant trainer was quoted in the DRF about how ready she was, how terrific she had trained. We went to the xbtv.com website to watch one of her recent works. She looked awful. Dead on the board and not even favored, she wound up last of five, beaten 23 lengths, by Dancing Kiki. . .Two-year-old maidens who win at six furlongs on this track and go faster than 1:11 have done something noteworthy. Key Point, a New York-bred son of Into Mischief, ran 1:10.89 as a debut winner in the Thursday fifth, but didn’t really figure out what was required of him until the final sixteenth, at the which time he apparently realized the fastest way from point A to point B is a straight line. Yeah, we like his chances in state bred stakes, but his connections may have larger goals in mind.


5 – The Weekly Wash from Del Mar: The Steve Miyadi-trained Saul’s Call looked like he was worth the money when he blew out a juvenile maiden $50,000 field by more than six lengths on Sunday. At least one trainer thought so, but the claim was voided by the state veterinarian. Sometimes, it works the other way. Later that same day in the fourth race, Big Well was claimed for $20,000 but finished last. That claim was voided, too. . .Does anybody in California do better with European imports than trainer Phil D’Amato? Keep in mind that these aren’t proven stakes winners he’s getting, more like modest handicappers. His 2-year-old filly Helen’s Well had a prior run earlier this year at some track called Rosscommon in Ireland (she finished fourth), made her U.S. debut in the Saturday fifth, and after walking out of the gate rallied with purpose to score as miles best like a filly who’ll certainly return in stakes company next time out.

While we’re on the subject of juvenile fillies running long on the lawn, you can never be sure what you’ll see in a maiden California-bred event. Most of the time you won’t see much. Not so in the Thursday fourth race when Dendera and Eleuthera left the others far behind, with the latter particularly impressive in her second place finish in her debut for trainer Ben Cecil. The Square Eddie filly was given far too much to do in a poorly timed ride but finished full of run to be a distant second while preserving her maiden status that will provide additional experience next time, assuming, of course, they run her back vs. maidens. She’s owned by Paul Reddam. . .Claim of the week was made by Ryan Hanson, who took English-bred gelding Barristan The Bold on the big class drop for $32,000 from Friday’s second race. Finished third, should have galloped.
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From the Week concluding August 8, 2021
By Jeff Siegel, handicapper and analyst

1 - Some horses have a knack for winning photo finishes. When the result of a race remains in doubt approaching the shadow of the wire, they somehow manage to reach back for reserve energy that only the good ones can find, as opposed to a lesser horse that might simply buckle under pressure. I can relate to the latter; I ran track in high school and my coach told me I was the human equivalent of a maiden claimer. I said, “state bred or open?”

Trainers often romanticize that top horses “know” where the wire is. Maybe they do know, but if so then they’re smarter than some jocks, who I’ve seen stand up at the sixteenth pole. We’ve all witnessed horses that hit the front and then appear to pull themselves up or lose focus and begin to coast, making the margin of victory much closer than it should have been.

Then there’s Knicks Go. He’s apparently not interested in posing for any stinking photos. He wants to blow you out.
The victory by the Brad Cox-trained horse in the Whitney S.-G1 at the Spa on Saturday was thoroughly predictable – the best horse with the easiest trip usually wins – as was his margin of domination, which in his case always has been of blowout proportions. The son of Paynter now has won eight races during his career with the following margins of victory beginning with his most recent: 4 1/2; 10 1/4; 2 3/4; 3 1/2; 10 1/4; 7 1/2; 3 1/2; and 5 1/2.

One other thing about Knick’s Go. He’s never won a race in which he didn’t lead wire-to-wire. We’re not really sure if any older horse currently in training can defeat him even if able to get in front of him early, but we do believe this: Knick’s Go will continue to win if he’s on the lead from the start. And it won’t be in a photo.


2 - Trainer Rudy Rodriguez said he was “pleasantly surprised” at the manner in which Bella Sofia dismantled a superior field of 3-year-old fillies in the 7F Test S.-G1 at Saratoga on Saturday. The bargain basement $20,000 OBS 2020 summer sale purchase registered a career top 101 Beyer speed figure in the four and one-half length victory while improving her record to three wins in four starts. In doing so, she became a legitimate candidate for year-end Eclipse Award consideration in the 3-year-old filly division and/or the filly and mare sprint category, though there is still much work to be done.
But if Rudy had read this column last month he wouldn’t have been “surprised.” We certainly weren’t. Here’s what we wrote in this space following her allowance win at Belmont Park on July 11:

“As impressive as any performance witnessed during the past week was the runaway romp by Bella Sofia in a first-level allowance sprint for 3-year-old fillies Sunday at Belmont Park. The margin of victory (six and one-half lengths) and the manner in which the win was accomplished (she easily disposed of a pace rival and then drew off with a ton left) surely stamps the daughter of Awesome Patriot as a legitimate threat to repeat on the raise when facing graded stakes company at Saratoga.

Bella Sofia will get some time off to recover from what had to be a physically taxing, exhausting effort and probably won’t return until the fall. With her stalking/prompting style and the ability to re-break at the head of the lane, she has the perfect set of skills for the BC Filly & Mare Sprint, which like the Test S., is run at seven furlongs.


3 - Maybe it’s not the most glamorous in thoroughbred racing but the long distance filly and turf division in North America has a new star, and shockingly she’s not from Europe and not trained by Chad Brown. Her name is War Like Goddess, purchased for $30,000 as a yearling at Keeneland and trained by Bill Mott. If you didn’t see her victory in the Glens Falls S.-G3 at Saratoga on Saturday, take the time watch what was a much more impressive than raw running lines would lead you to believe. Victorious now in five of six career starts, the daughter of English Channel came against slow fractions while being forced to rally widest of all yet was relentless through the lane, quickly and easily swallowing up her rivals with a turn off foot had to shade 23 seconds for the final quarter mile of the 12-furlong marathon trip.
She didn’t bring much at auction, because as successful of a sire as English Channel has been, his progeny are generally late developers, are pretty much grass only, and tend to be on the smaller side. I’ve never owned one, but I’d love to. When does that Keeneland catalogue come out, anyway?

The Europeans don’t always send their best for the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf – they’ve never really had to – but I’m not sure they have the luxury of bringing a second stringer this year. War Like Goddess earned a career top Beyer number of 99 in the Glens Falls, but even if accurate that only tells us what she did. It doesn’t tell us what she’s capable of.


4 – Her World was supposed to debut in a maiden grass sprint for juvenile fillies at Saratoga July 29, but the race got washed off the turf, so trainer Wesley Ward, not willing to wait any longer to unleash his latest keg of dynamite, vanned her down to Monmouth Park for the Tyro Stakes over five furlongs on turf against the boys, who as it turned, clearly had no chance after the opening 20 yards of the race had unfolded. The Irish-bred daughter, from the first crop of the brilliant young Scat Daddy stallion and Irish champion Caravaggio, simply ran her rivals off their feet enroute to a six length score in :56.62. A compact filly blessed with extremely quick action and athleticism, she was a $400,000 Keeneland yearling purchase that apparently was originally – and prophetically – called Rocket Woman. Both names remain registered to her dam’s 2019 foal, according to The Jockey Club registry.

Can’t say yet that she’s this year’s Golden Pal but the Ward barn has to be thinking Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint on the first weekend in November at Del Mar, where the short stretch provides the speed types with a major advantage.


5 – On Labor Day weekend, Friday, Aug. 31, 2001 (three weeks shy of exactly 20 years as of this writing), I was in a hotel room in Birmingham, Alabama, having just flown in on the UCLA football team Delta Airlines charter for their opening game the following day in Tuscaloosa against Alabama. I was nervous, not about the game as I knew we’d beat them (and we did), but rather about the afternoon’s Spinaway S.-G1 at Saratoga. Team Valor’s filly Cashier’s Dream was supposed to win – she would go off at 30 cents on the dollar - but when you’re facing the bluebloods with a Michigan-bred, you don’t have the luxury of being overconfident.
Barry (Irwin) and I had purchased her for our stable earlier that summer after her first two outings, both wins, in a maiden $50,000 claimer and an allowance race at Churchill Downs. At the time it seemed like we had more trainers than horses, but when we discussed who we should transfer her to, we decided to add a new one to the roster. “What about Steve Asmussen?” Barry asked. “Well, his brother (Cash) once rode a winner for us, so there’s that. Actually, I like him a lot,” I said of the young trainer who had saddled his first Grade-1 winner only two years before. I think he’s on his way to becoming somebody.”

Cashier’s Dream won the Spinaway by a pole, and despite having her career tragically cut short due to illness, remains one of the best fillies we’ve ever owned. He didn’t train many for us, but Steve was one of the best horseman we ever employed, and though he had an early reputation of being difficult to deal with, that never was the case with us. Over the weekend he became the winningest trainer in North American thoroughbred history at 9,445 when he saddled Stellar Tap to a runaway debut maiden win at the Spa. With a little luck, he’ll reach 10,000 by the end of next year. Congrats!
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Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:49 AM
Monday Myths: Is It More Difficult for a Sprinter to Hold Form? August 16, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Welcome to a continuing handicapping series for our Monday blog space, “Monday Myths.” Each week I’ll use the power of the Betmix database to take common handicapping assumptions and either support or dispel them with data. Betmix data powers the 1/ST BET app and its features like Angler and Birddog give data-minded horseplayers a treasure trove of information in which to query your own curiosities.

Assumption:

It’s harder for sprinters to maintain their form than route runners.

Background:

The rigorous, all-out nature of sprint races leads many horseplayers to believe that it’s more difficult for these horses to maintain their best form. Sprint fields also are less spread-out typically than routes, giving more opportunity for bad racing luck. Additionally, sprints tend to have larger field sizes than routes on dirt. All those logical points add up to the assumption, but do the numbers agree?

Data Points:

I dialed up the Betmix database to look at all race winners over the past 5 years (August 16, 2016) to see which ones were more likely to return with top finishes. I looked only at horses returning for the same class level (claiming-claiming, allowance-allowance, stakes-stakes) so that a class riser would not be penalized for the more difficult return test. Sprint distances on dirt were considered at 7 furlongs or less. Sprint distances on turf were considered at 6-1/2 furlongs or less to maintain 1-turn similarity. The route comparables were for 1-1/16 miles or farther in distance due to several tracks offering 1-turn miles.

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Dirt sprint claimers who won last out returned to win 18.86% with a $0.76 ROI for every $1 bet.
Dirt route claimers who won last out returned to win 19.67% with a $0.81 ROI for every $1 bet.

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Dirt sprint allowance runners who won last out returned to win 22.00% with a $0.78 ROI for every $1 bet.
Dirt route allowance runners who won last out returned to win 19.81% with a $0.68 ROI for every $1 bet.

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Dirt sprint stakes runners who won last out returned to win 27.49% with a $0.81 ROI for every $1 bet.
Dirt route stakes runners who won last out returned to win 21.66% with a $0.67 ROI for every $1 bet.

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Turf sprint claimers who won last out returned to win 21.61% with a $0.80 ROI for every $1 bet.
Turf route claimers who won last out returned to win 18.28% with a $0.88 ROI for every $1 bet.

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Turf sprint allowance runners who won last out returned to win 20.35% with a $0.78 ROI for every $1 bet.
Turf route allowance runners who won last out returned to win 17.93% with a $0.86 ROI for every $1 bet.

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Turf sprint stakes runners who won last out returned to win 23.08% with a $0.69 ROI for every $1 bet.
Turf route stakes runners who won last out returned to win 20.35% with a $0.76 ROI for every $1 bet.

Overall Findings:

On dirt, returning sprint winners outperformed routers only at the lowest level (claiming). As the quality or runners increased, dirt sprinters repeated victories at a higher rate than dirt routers. At each class level, turf sprinters returned to win more often than turf routers, by nearly a 3% margin in each case.

Bottom line:

Unless you’re looking at dirt claimers, the assumption that it’s tougher for a sprinter than a router to hold his or her form and repeat is factually false. Of the six categories of runners by class and surface, five of the studies showed sprinters to be more likely to repeat victories than routers. The most successful categories for a repeat on either surface were at the stakes level.

Additional Details:

You can go into Betmix and run your own queries for a deeper dive into this theory and any that you can create. For instance, see which trainers fare best trying to bring back a winner and repeat … or which tracks are you more likely to see return winners hold their form. Last-out winners score 16.3% at Saratoga, while they win 14.8% at Del Mar – and just under 20% at Finger Lakes.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:51 AM
Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Presque Isle Downs - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#2 Society Boy
Tough to split the two drawn furthest inside, but this guy has a bit of an early pace edge on the rail runner and can stay on better than he did when fading last out.


#1 Spankhurst
He took a nice step forward off the bench last time out and has some upside while making his second start off the layoff. Tough with a step forward of any kind.


#5 Punx
Debuter looks logical for a piece in a race that doesn't seem to have much depth outside of the top pair. Won't have to be a star to land a piece.


Race Summary
Society Boy has solid pace and may be able to find the front without too much trouble in this spot, giving him the edge over the capable Spankhurst.


Presque Isle Downs - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#7 Del Griffith
He gets some class relief after a pair of stakes tries, and while he still has some proving to do on synthetic footing, this easier bunch may allow him to find that better form.


#8 American Union
His local debut produced an impressive maiden win, and he's quick enough to land a really good pressing trip with this group. Probably the one to beat.


#1 The Sinner Is You
He cuts back for this one and has done some decent work here in the past. Think he'll get overlooked on the board, but he might be able to land a piece.


Race Summary
Del Griffith faded in the local debut, but he is in a much easier spot while trying winners outside of stakes company for the first time.


Presque Isle Downs - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#2 Stevis Man
He can be an all-or-nothing type, but he is an 18-time local winner with some sharp pace while getting back on synthetic footing. There isn't a ton of other pace signed on in here, so he might be good for a thrill on the engine.


#4 Smoky Blues
Versatile type is quick enough to keep up with the top choice in the early stages, but he also has a mild rating gear that might allow him to get the perfect, first-over trip.


#5 Perfectly Majestic
Cutback player ran well enough around one turn at Arlington back in May, but he still seems a bit better going longer at this point in time. Might be overbet?


Race Summary
Stevis Man figures to have a go for it out of the gate, and he has a right to be dangerous at a square price here if he isn't hassled too hard in the opening quarter.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:56 AM
Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Pocono Downs - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#5 DEL DIGGITY
Slowed by pace, second as odds-on favorite in repeat attempt.


#6 INDUSTRIAL HEMP
Dueled to stretch with winning fave, brings road show to town.


#1 JK'S JENNA
First or second in 5 of 11 starts this year, starts fresh from the rail.


Race Summary
Del Diggity chased the winner as the pace slowed in a :30 second quarter and couldn't reach despite some late gain. He finished ahead of several rivals he meets today. Play 5-1 and 5-6 exactas.


Yonkers - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#2 PLAY THE FIELD
Disappointed in latest, can't be discounted off prior try for this barn.


#7 JUST WAVE GOODBYE
Finished a distant second behind 2-to-5 runaway.


#3 RUTHLESS DUDE
Remains hot at claim box, could sit pocket trip.


Race Summary
Play The Field can play the lead role off the re-claim with an inner post draw. He won handily for these connections last month. Play 2/3,7/ALL trifecta.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#5 SEA LAIRD
Plays to a steady beat, projects ideal trip, good value play.


#1 STATE OF PLAY
Won three straight from post 7 outward at $12.80 average mutuel.


#8 JULERICA
Seeks fourth win in a row and 41st in his career, claimed in four straight.


Race Summary
Sea Laird rallied for three seconds in a row at this level and gets ample pace flow to upgrade to a win despite missing a week. He can top $100,000 in earnings if he wins. Play a 5-ALL exacta.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:57 AM
Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Indiana Grand - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#5 Peekacho
Was second two back and was claimed, and then was outrun in a stakes race here; 14-time winner has taken a couple turf races and fits well with these.


#6 Mutakatif
Ran in the G2 Wise Dan two back at Churchill and followed with a fifth race Mountaineer; has been in tough spots and clearly is a contender here.


#1 Quality Step
Was third at Delaware in his latest and has had a good year with three consecutive wins in starter handicaps at Tampa Bay. Dangerous closer.


Race Summary
Peekacho will be a decent price and can get a favorable pace setup for a big late run.


Indiana Grand - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#6 Max Express
Was second in four of five turf races and has the closing move to get it done here; can improve off his latest.


#9 Majestic Ro
Has the speed to dictate how this develops and will be tough with a moderate pace.


#11 Uncapped
Was third twice and second once in her last three, which were at Ellis and Churchill, and he's been a tough claimer.


Race Summary
Max Express has been close on grass and has finished with interest; due for things to go in his favor.


Indiana Grand - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#4 Rock N June Bug
Held on for third last time out and has been in decent races; can be a force on the front end. Winless in one turf attempt but that could change today.


#2 Floroplus
Won four straight and then just missed last time out; was claimed by the Ginter stable and likely will run another big one.


#9 Rolin With Olin
Faltered late late time but is a regular at five furlongs and usually mixes it up.


Race Summary
Rock N June Bug has excellent speed and that should translate into a good turf sprint performance; capable of running with these.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 08:21 AM
Mike Wynn Free Pick: Oakland/Chicago Wsox Over 9 Runs

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 08:31 AM
Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY: BALTIMORE/TAMPA BAY OVER the total of 8½ runs

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 08:32 AM
Totals4U Tuesday's Free Selection: Toronto Blue Jays/Washington Nationals under 9 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 08:34 AM
#1 Sports Tuesday's Free Play: Baltimore Orioles + 180

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 08:36 AM
Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: Toronto/Washington Game OVER 9½ Runs

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 08:37 AM
Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Tuesday : Take ATLANTA/MIAMI UNDER the total of 8 runs

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 08:37 AM
Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Tuesday
Toronto Manoah -190

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 08:38 AM
Hawkeye Sports Tuesday's Free Pick: Houston Astros - 185

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 08:38 AM
Huddle Up Sports
Tuesday Free Play
San Francisco Webb -150

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 08:40 AM
Arthur Ralph FreePlay 9-3 run TUES Blue Jays w/ Manoah-200

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 08:40 AM
Teyas Sports FREE PICK 8/17 MLB CINCINNATI -153

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 08:41 AM
Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Tuesday: PITTSBURGH/LA DODGERS UNDER the total of 9 runs

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 08:41 AM
High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Tuesday: Texas Rangers + 140

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 08:41 AM
John Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Tuesday:
PHI PHILLIES

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 08:42 AM
Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Tuesday:
Milw/St L UNDER 7½ runs

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 08:42 AM
Hollywood Anthony Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take Texas w/Hearn +140

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 08:42 AM
Chris Tudor SPORTS TUDOR'S FREE PICK FOR TUESDAY

MLB Detroit/LAA OVER the total of 9.5 runs

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 10:50 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown



Thistledown - Race 3

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta/ $1 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) $.20 Pick 6 (Races 3-8) - 70% Carryover



Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 50 • Purse: $10,300 • Post: 1:50P


FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).





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Odds





Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * BUBBA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. POMPEY'S RULE: Today is a route and this is t he horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.



6

CLEAR WONDER

3/1


9/2




1

BUBBA

6/1


5/1




7

POMPEY'S RULE

5/2


6/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

BUBBA

1


6/1

Stalker

56


48


47.6


54.8


48.3




4

FED XMAN

4


8/1

Alternator/Stalker

0


0


61.0


10.6


0.1




7

POMPEY'S RULE

7


5/2

Alternator/Trailer

53


48


54.3


40.6


37.6




5

CHOCOLATE SOLDIER

5


5/1

Alternator/Trailer

56


49


47.4


8.5


3.0




6

CLEAR WONDER

6


3/1

Alternator/Trailer

71


60


31.3


56.9


48.4




3

WAR DOCTOR

3


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

0


0


32.2


33.6


22.6




2

BOBBIE'S DERBY BOY

2


4/1

Alternator/Non-contender

61


23


7.7


24.5


16.0

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 10:51 AM
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belterra Park



Belterra Park - Race 5

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) 50 cent Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)



Claiming $7,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 63 • Purse: $16,500 • Post: 2:35P


FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 17 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * CHECK OUT LINE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CAT'S RHYTHM: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SECRET FORMULA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Ratin g. MAYBETHEDAY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).



1

CHECK OUT LINE

7/2


5/1




2

CAT'S RHYTHM

3/1


5/1




7

SECRET FORMULA

2/1


6/1




6

MAYBETHEDAY

4/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

CHECK OUT LINE

1


7/2

Stalker

68


39


47.8


47.2


43.2




2

CAT'S RHYTHM

2


3/1

Alternator/Stalker

68


52


23.6


55.2


52.2




7

SECRET FORMULA

7


2/1

Trailer

68


57


11.6


49.0


42.0




6

MAYBETHEDAY

6


4/1

Trailer

60


60


5.2


51.4


40.9




5

HEAVENLY MINE

5


6/1

Trailer

67


57


3.2


40.0


30.0




4

PUNAHELE

4


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

66


38


25.4


27.6


15.1




3

ROCKY PARADE

3


20/1

Alternator/Non-contender

58


44


10.4


38.6


30.1

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 10:51 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Louisiana Downs - Race #5 - Post: 4:29pm - SO - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,500 Class Rating: 87

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#7 HALFMOON REEF (ML=5/1)
#2 C'MON VE (ML=8/1)
#3 I'M LOOKING UP (ML=7/2)
#1 SIGUR ROS (ML=9/2)


HALFMOON REEF - That last race must not have been too hard on this gelding for him to be able to race again so quickly. Dropping down in class figure points from his Aug 8th race at Louisiana Downs. Based on that knowledge, I will give this one the edge. C'MON VE - Ran last time around the track against a much better field at Evangeline Downs. The move down the class ladder should suit him well. Gelding has shown some pace. This shorter trip should be better for him. The last fig of 83 is the top last race speed rating in the group. I'M LOOKING UP - Was in a non-classified race race at Evangeline Downs last time out. That race had an Equibase class figure of 99 and he is moving down in today's race. A certain strong challenger. Didn't do well last out, but I do see two starts back when racing on the dirt, a whole different horse. Speed rating of 92 should put this one in the money. SIGUR ROS - Last raced at Lone Star Park in a race with a class number of 94. Dropping significantly in class figure today puts him in a solid position today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 D TWO (ML=5/2), #4 ROCK N SAKE (ML=9/2),

D TWO - Hasn't raced or had any drills since July 24th. Not much value on this chalk horse. ROCK N SAKE - Hard to put your dough on this speed merchant. Too much early zip in the event. Could be tough for this horse to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put him on the possibly overvalued contestants list.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SIGUR ROS - Don't look at the finish position last time out, but take a look at how many lengths back he was from the winner. Should improve enough to grab the brass ring this time out.








STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#7 HALFMOON REEF to win at post-time odds of 5/1 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,7]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 10:52 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fort Erie

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15435 Class Rating: 66

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2021 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,500, IF FOR $4,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 OUR PETUNIA 7/2




# 5 BLONDE ATTITUDE 3/1




# 1 SUBZERO PLUS 5/2




OUR PETUNIA looks formidable to best this field. She has a quite good distance/surface win record - 3 for 14. Must be given consideration - I like the figs from the last competition. BLONDE ATTITUDE - Posted a solid speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. Is a very strong contender based on figures posted as of late under today's conditions. SUBZERO PLUS - Her earnings per start in dirt sprint races alone makes you take a look at her. The average Equibase class figure of 61 makes this horse tough to beat.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 10:54 AM
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Colonial Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $50000 Class Rating: 78

OUTER TURF FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT 4/1




# 3 LEOVILLE 7/2




# 1 HEAVENLY TRIP 9/5




I think MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT is a strong choice. Decent try today with second time Lasix. Has recorded sound speed figs in dirt sprint races in the past. This colt with Hernandez in the irons makes him a solid contender. LEOVILLE - This selection will feel the med change - with second time Lasix today. Should definitely be given consideration here if only for the respectable speed rating earned in the last contest. HEAVENLY TRIP - Is a definite contender - given the 72 Equibase Speed Fig from his most recent race. He has competitive class ratings, averaging 87, and has to be carefully examined for this race.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 10:54 AM
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Penn National - Race #6 - Post: 8:16pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,400 Class Rating: 57

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 WAVE JUMPER (ML=10/1)
#5 PAOLLA KISSES (ML=5/2)


WAVE JUMPER - Atop this entrant on July 14th and Conner is back again in the irons this race. PAOLLA KISSES - Was in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race at Delaware Park last race out. That race had a class number of 80 and she is moving down right here. A certain win candidate. Filly looks like the lone speed here. She may turn the race into a procession. Has a decent chance to break maiden going over to the main track today. Just look at her last speed figure, 70. That one looks good in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 MEEMOO (ML=2/1), #2 MIRACLES SUNSHINE (ML=7/2), #7 ELF'S TUNE (ML=4/1),

MEEMOO - The chalk horse is vulnerable here with the lack of works. Finished second in her most recent effort with a pedestrian speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this group. MIRACLES SUNSHINE - Will probably be stranded with way too much to do in the stretch. This filly registered a speed fig in her last event which probably isn't good enough in today's event.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #3 WAVE JUMPER on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,5]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 11:31 AM
Paul Leiner

Three MLB picks 8/17

100* A's -110
100* Indians +125
100* Over 9 Rangers/Mariners

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:14 PM
Free Winners for Tuesday, August 17th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
CANTERBURY PARK
RACE #7
TIME: 9:10 PM EST
PICK: BET #7 Khaki Jack 10/1 odds to win @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada-racebook/)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:15 PM
901CHICAGO CUBS -902 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 3-16 SU (-13.8 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

903ATLANTA -904 MIAMI
MIAMI is 25-15 SU (13.2 Units) in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse in the current season.

905MILWAUKEE -906 ST LOUIS
MILWAUKEE is 25-9 SU (15.6 Units) in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.

907SAN DIEGO -908 COLORADO
COLORADO is 37-17 SU (25 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

909PHILADELPHIA -910 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 15-33 SU (-20.1 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in the current season.

911NY METS -912 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 49-22 SU (30.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

913PITTSBURGH -914 LA DODGERS
PITTSBURGH is 21-33 SU (-23.3 Units) in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

915BOSTON -916 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 23-11 SU (12.1 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

917BOSTON -918 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 14-4 SU (9.6 Units) when playing on Tuesday in the current season.

919LA ANGELS -920 DETROIT
DETROIT is 18-6 SU (14.7 Units) in home games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:15 PM
MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 17

https://i.ibb.co/3skXFwf/Screenshot-2021-08-17-at-07-11-00-MLB-Baseball-Picks-The-Dunkel-Index.png (https://ibb.co/rtvPpgb)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:16 PM
MLB

Tuesday, August 17

Trend Report

Boston @ NY Yankees
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing Boston

Toronto @ Washington
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Washington's last 15 games

Boston @ NY Yankees
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing Boston

Chi Cubs @ Cincinnati
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

LA Angels @ Detroit
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of LA Angels's last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Detroit is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 games at home

Atlanta @ Miami
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 13-1 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Atlanta

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Baltimore

Milwaukee @ St. Louis
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Seattle @ Texas
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

Oakland @ Chi White Sox
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games when playing Oakland

Houston @ Kansas City
Houston
Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Kansas City's last 16 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Kansas City's last 19 games when playing Houston

Cleveland @ Minnesota
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

San Diego @ Colorado
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 15 of San Diego's last 22 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego

Philadelphia @ Arizona
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

NY Mets @ San Francisco
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco
San Francisco is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
San Francisco is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Pittsburgh @ LA Dodgers
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:16 PM
MLB
Weather Report

Tuesday, August 17

https://i.ibb.co/FqRP1X1/Screenshot-2021-08-17-at-09-45-26-MLB-Weather-Report-Find-Upcoming-Conditions-for-the-MLB.png (https://ibb.co/JFDhTqT)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:16 PM
Diamond Trends for Tuesday August 17
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Reds are 11-0 SU since Sep 14, 2020 vs a team that has lost at least their last four games.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Seattle at Texas (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Rangers are 0-11 SU since May 13, 2016 in the first game of a series with rest as a dog after they scored 6+ runs last game.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Rays are 9-0 OU (3.67 ppg) since May 06, 2021 vs a team that has lost at least their last four games.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Orioles are 0-9 SU since Aug 07, 2019 when John Means starts when he went fewer than 5 innings in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:18 PM
WNBA

Tuesday, August 17

Trend Report

Minnesota @ Connecticut
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games

Dallas @ Chicago
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Dallas

Washington @ Las Vegas
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 14 games
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Las Vegas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

Indiana @ Phoenix
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 9 games
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Indiana
Phoenix is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Indiana

Atlanta @ Los Angeles
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:19 PM
WNBA Best Bets for Tuesday, Aug. 17, 2021
Nick Andre

Non-Commissioner's Cup

Minnesota Lynx at Connecticut Sun (Prime Video, 7:00 p.m.)
Dallas Wings at Chicago Sky (CBSSN, 8:00 p.m.)
Washington Mystics at Las Vegas Aces (CBSSN, 10:00 p.m.)

Minnesota Lynx at Connecticut Sun
Score Prediction: Sun 97, Lynx 93

Best Bet: Connecticut -3.5

Who can keep the momentum going after their Sunday victory? With the game being on their home floor, the Connecticut Sun are continuing to thrive in their hopes of a championship. This will be a clash where Jonquel Jones will have to go against a WNBA great, Sylvia Fowles. As the Sun have the odds in their favor, the season coming to a close is what is motivating Jones and her team.

The Minnesota Lynx will need production out of each rotation player to stand a chance. We understand what Napheesa Collier will bring to the table offensively. But can players in Layshia Clarendon and Crystal Dangerfield continue their spark? The Lynx will put up a fight against the Sun. But coming out with a victory seems to be a very low chance of happening.

Jonquel Jones looks to lead the Sun to a win tonight, currently the favorite to win the 2021 WNBA MVP Award. (AP)


Dallas Wings at Chicago Sky
Score Prediction: Sky 87, Wings 75

Best Bet: Chicago -5.5

This is another important game for Chicago. As the season winds down, these last few games can determine how this team can be going into the postseason. Chicago is coming off of a two point victory against the Seattle Storm Sunday afternoon. Once again, it will be up to Candace Parker to set the tone early for the team.

The Wings are still fighting for a playoff position. Sitting two games behind the Washington Mystics for the eighth seed, these last few games are just as important as well. Dallas will need to tune up their defense to stand a chance. Chicago is a great shooting and thrives off of transition baskets. If head coach Vickie Johnson doesn’t come with a scenario to slow Chicago down, this game could end up as another blowout.

Washington Mystics at Las Vegas Aces
Score Prediction: Aces 98, Mystics 91

Best Bet: Washington +9.5

Round two of this series. While the Las Vegas Aces were faced with a 21 point deficit in the game, it was the heroics of Aja Wilson, Jackie Young, and Chelsea Gray. The Aces once again have the odds in their favor but need to approach the next game with a better start to the game. Allowing the Mystics to find a rhythm again could allow another blowout and a Mystics win.

It’s safe to say that the Mystics collapsed in the fourth quarter. They took their foot off the gas and got comfortable with their lead. It will be hard for them to redeem themselves after a suffering defeat. The Aces riding momentum alongside home court could allow them to grab another win in this series.

Best Bet Tracker

Connecticut -3.5
Chicago -5.5
Washington +9.5

Free Picks - Year to Date Record: 47-34, +12.29 Units

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:19 PM
WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 17

https://i.ibb.co/SP6kmR9/Screenshot-2021-08-17-at-09-38-56-WNBA-Basketball-Picks-The-Dunkel-Index.png (https://ibb.co/2yFzMgf)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:25 PM
Free Winners for Tuesday, August 17th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE MLB PICKS
Braves @ Marlins
TIME: 7:10 PM EST
PICK: Bet OVER 8 @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:25 PM
Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks
Place A Bet


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Astros -180
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642GfsGTz_YfB9onf8DuVAkVka/0/)


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
MLB – Rays -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


3.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
MLB – Dodgers -1.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


4.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
MLB – Padres under 12.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


5.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Reds -165
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


6.
PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) (https://www.pointspreadreport.com)
MLB – Cardinals +140
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


7.
Winning Big Sports (https://www.winningbigsports.com)
MLB – Yankees GM2 -105
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


8.
NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) (https://www.nsawins.com)
MLB – Rays over 8.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


9.
Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com)
MLB – Twins -160
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


10.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Blue Jays -1.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


11.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Astros over 9.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


12.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
MLB – Rays over 8.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


13.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Blue Jays -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


14.
SCORE (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
MLB – Astros -180
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
MLB – Rays -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


16.
Chicago Sports Group (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/chicago-sports-group/)
MLB – Yankees GM2 over 7
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


17.
Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
MLB – Giants -155
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


18.
VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
MLB – Marlins +115
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


19.
South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
MLB – Reds under 9.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
MLB – Cardinals +140
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
MLB – Padres under 12.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
MLB – Dodgers -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
MLB – Marlins +115
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
MLB – Reds -165
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
MLB – Rays over 8.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:27 PM
GAMEDAY NETWORK

FREE MLB WINNER
TUESDAY 8/17/21
Indians @ Twins
Time: 8:10 PM EST
Free Pick: OVER 9.5

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:27 PM
Sports Action 365

MLB Astros @ Royals OVER 9.5 GAME TIME 8:10 PM EST

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:28 PM
Vegas Line Crushers

FREE PLAY TUESDAY 8/17/21: ANGELS @ TIGERS OVER 9.5

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:29 PM
VEGAS SPORTS INSIDERS

8/17/2021
FREE MLB PICKS
Brewers @ Cardinals
TIME: 7:10 PM EST
PICK: OVER 9

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:29 PM
PointSpreadReport(SAM CASEY)

TUESDAY 8/17/21 COMP PLAY: MARINERS @ RANGERS OVER 8.5

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:30 PM
Winning Big Sports

COMP PLAY TUESDAY 8/17/21: MLB CUBS @ REDS 9.5

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:31 PM
Rocketman Sports (http://www.rocketmansports.com/)
MLB
TORONTO BLUE JAYS ‑1.5 ‑125
1
0
+100


The Money Team Wins Sports (https://twitter.com/TMTWMoney)
MLB
LOS ANGELES DODGERS ‑1.5 ‑140
1
0
+100


Tommy King Wins (http://www.tkwins.com/)
MLB
MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑150
1
0
+100


Tys Terrific Tips (http://www.tysterrifictips.com)
MLB
CINCINNATI REDS/CHICAGO CUBS u9.5
1
0
+100


Hottie4Sports (https://twitter.com/Hottie4Sports)

No pick yet
1
0
+100


Silvas Sports (http://www.silvassports.com)

No pick yet
1
0
+100


GreenTreeSports (https://veri.bet/GreenTreeSports.org)
MLB
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS +155
0
1
-100


Big Dawg Sports (https://www.facebook.com/groups/902366090629974)

No pick yet
0
1
-110


Assassin Sports Betting (https://www.patreon.com/assassinsportsbetting)

No pick yet
0
1
-115


Ace / Sleeper Selections (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)
MLB
CHICAGO CUBS +150
0
0
0


Guaranteed Cappers (http://www.guaranteedcappers.com/)
MLB
MILWAUKEE BREWERS/ST. LOUIS CARDINALS +100 u7
0
0
0


Insider Sports Report (http://www.insidersportsreport.com/)
MLB
OAKLAND ATHLETICS ‑115
0
0
0


Mikey Sports (http://www.mikeysports.com/)
MLB
DETROIT TIGERS ‑115
0
0
0


Top Shelf Sports Pick (https://www.cappertek.com/picks.asp?shs=BestSportsPicksToday.com)
MLB
TORONTO BLUE JAYS ‑210
0
0
0


Winning Cappers (https://winningcappers.net/)
MLB
TORONTO BLUE JAYS ‑1.5 ‑125
0
0
0

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:33 PM
1.
Top Rank Sports Picks (http://www.topranksportspicks.com)
MLB
Brewers -155
0-1 (-110)
3-1 (+175)


2.
Insider Sports Report (https://www.insidersportsreport.com)
MLB
Oakland -115
0-1 (-100)
3-2-1 (+65)


3.
Joe Wiz (http://www.joewizsports.com)


0-1 (-150)
4-3 (+15)


4.
National Sports Service (https://www.nationalsportsservice.com/)
MLB
Seattle -140
0-0 (+0)
3-3 (-20)


5.
Primetime Sports Picks (http://www.primetimesportspicks.com/)
MLB
Brewers under 7
0-0 (+0)
3-3 (-35)


6.
The Spot Player (http://www.thespotplayer.com)


1-0 (+100)
2-2 (-55)


7.
Profit On Sports (https://www.profitonsports.com)


1-0 (+100)
2-3 (-155)


8.
The Sports Consensus (https://www.thesportsconsensus.com)
MLB
Royals over 9.5
0-0 (+0)
2-4 (-305)


9.
Doc's Picks (http://www.docspicks.com)
MLB
Minnesota -155
1-0 (+100)
2-4-1 (-310)


10.
Elite Sports Picks (https://www.elite-sports-picks.com)
MLB
Giants -155
1-0 (+100)
2-5 (-335)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:36 PM
Trace Adams

Free play for Tuesday is the Mets and the Giants the land Over the total with Marcus Stroman and Logan Webb listed as the starting pitchers.

Last night's game did land Over the total, as the teams combined for 12 runs in the series opener. For New York it marked the their second straight Over and put them on a 5-2 Over run for their last 7 games played.

For San Francisco, they have now played Over the total in 5 of their last 9 games this season.

Both Stroman and Webb have been Under pitchers this season, as Stroman is 14-7-2 Under for the year, while Webb is 11-5 Under when he starts for the year. I would say both pitchers are due to give up a few runs and with the teams locked in at the dish last night, why not go with them to be locked in again tonight?

Mets and Giants slip Over the total.

2* N.Y. METS-SAN FRANCISCO OVER

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:38 PM
Jay McNeil

Freebie for Tuesday comes in the second game of a twin-bill in the Bronx as I like the hot Yankees to take care of their division - rivals the Boston Red Sox.

A doubleheader sweep by New York today would have them tied with Boston for the second spot in the division standings as New York has made up 6 games on Boston since these teams last played.

Both clubs have won 3 straight heading into Tuesday's action, but it is the Yankees who have been the hotter of the two clubs on the diamond of late as Boston is on an overall 8-12 slide their past 20 games.

Luis Gil has not allowed a run in his 11 innings pitched and he has fanned 14 batters. Gil matches pitches against former Yankees starter Nathan Eovaldi who is 2-0 in his 4 starts against the Yankees this season.

This one will be a low-scoring pitchers duel and I am on the Yankees to get the job done.

2* N.Y. YANKEES - GAME 2

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:41 PM
Mitchell Newman

Tuesday's comp play on the Tigers to rebound off of Sunday's 11-0 shellacking they absorbed at the hands of the Cleveland Indians as Detroit will welcome in the L.A. Angels who had to play a make-up game on Monday night in New York.

The Halos lost that make-up game, 2-1 as they have now dropped 3 of their last 4 and 7 of their last 10 overall.

The Tigers are still a positive 4-2 for their last 6 games and they are quite close to climbing to the .500 mark this season as they currently sit 4 games under the break-even point for their campaign.

The Angels did take 3 of the 4 series meetings off of the Tigers in Anaheim, but that was back in the month of June and to say that the 2-9 Dylan Bundy is going to go out there tonight and pitch LA to the easy win would not be a truthful statement.

Casey Mize stands at 6-6 and I feel he is sitting on a quality start for his club this Tuesday night at home.

Go with Detroit as the small home chalk.

3* DETROIT

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:44 PM
Rocky Atkinson Aug 17 '21, 7:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Nationals
Play on: Blue Jays -1½ -125 at William Hill

Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Tuesday 8-17-21
Toronto @ Washington (7:05 PM EST)
Play On: Toronto -1.5 -125 (Manoah/Fedde) Listed
The Toronto Blue Jays travel to Washington to take on the Nationals on Tuesday night. Toronto is 63-54 SU overall this year while Washington comes in with a 50-68 SU overall record on the season. Alek Manoah is 5-1 with a 2.59 ERA overall this year, 2-1 with a 3.23 ERA on the road this season and 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA his last 3 starts. Erick Fedde is 4-8 with a 5.12 ERA overall this year. Toronto is allowing only 3.7 runs per game on the road this year. Toronto is 14-4 in inter-league play this year allowing only 3.6 runs per game. Washington is 0-7 last 7 games overall scoring only 3.6 runs per game while allowing 6.3 runs per game. Washington is allowing 5.3 runs per game at night this year. Washington is 1-9 this year as a home underdog of +125 to +175. Washington is 2-12 so far in August this year. We'll recommend a small play on Toronto on the Run Line tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 05:44 PM
Ben Burns Aug 17 '21, 7:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Nationals
Play on: Nationals +1½ +110 at Mirage

With the Jays heavy favorites on the moneyline, we're able to get an extra +1.5 runs, at a slight underdog return, with the Nationals. I believe that's where the value lies in this one. Yes, the Jays badly need to win while the Nats are playing out the string. Yes, Manoah has been great. Recall that Fedde was pretty great himself when the Jays saw him in the spring. All he did was limit them to two hits and one run, through six complete. Heavy underdogs, the Nats won 8-2. Fedde has allowed four or fewer earned runs in five straight starts. His last start came at NY and resulted in a 1-run loss. His last home start resulted in a 1-run win. Consider Washington on the run-line.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:30 PM
Will Rogers Aug 17 '21, 7:05 PM in 1h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Nationals
Play on: Blue Jays -1½ -117 at pinnacle

Jays (Manoah) vs Washington (Fedde)
The Jays have everything to play for, and the Nationals are just putting in time. Fedde, on the mound for Washington has struggled vs hard hitting opponents. He is 0-2, & has a 6.41 ERA post all-star break, and struggles vs. right handed hitters. With Alek Manoah on the mound, the Jays have a hot ticket. He is 3-0 in his last three stars and has allowed only 4 ER's. The Jays had a rough away stand in Seattle and need to make up ground. Today is a good place to start. Look for Manoah to shine, and the Jays to flex those offensive muscles. Jays - 1 1/2 today.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:31 PM
Kenny Walker Aug 17 '21, 7:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Orioles vs Rays
Play on: Rays -200 at Mirage

Free Pick on Rays

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:31 PM
Info Plays Aug 17 '21, 7:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Angels vs Tigers
Play on: Angels +113 at BetVegas

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Angels +113

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:31 PM
Dave Price Aug 17 '21, 7:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Cubs vs Reds
Play on: Reds -161 at pinnacle

Dave's Tuesday Free Play:
1* on Cincinnati Reds -161
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are 2-18 in their last 20 games since trading away Bryant, Rizzo, Baez and Kimbrel. They are 10-36 in their last 46 games overall. They have lost 12 straight coming in with 10 losses by 2 runs or more. Even Kyle Hendricks is struggling as he just yielded 9 earned runs in 4 innings in his last start against the Brewers. Hendricks is 0-3 with a 9.26 ERA in his last 5 starts against the Reds, yielding 24 earned runs in 23 1/3 innings. Vladamir Gutierrez is 8-3 with a 3.95 ERA in 14 starts this year, including 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA in his last 3 outings. Gutierrez is 1-1 with a 2.38 ERA in 2 starts against the Cubs in 2021. The Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 home games. Take Cincinnati.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:31 PM
Totals Guru Aug 17 '21, 7:10 PM in 1h
MLB | CHC vs CIN
Play on: OVER 9 -115

Free Total Annihilator On Cubs vs Reds over 9 -115

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:32 PM
ASA Aug 17 '21, 7:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Cubs vs Reds
Play on: Reds -148 at William Hill

ASA FREE PLAY ON Cincinnati Reds Money Line -150 over Chicago Cubs, Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET - The Cubs are now 20 games below .500 in road games this season and on an overall 12-game losing streak. We successfully backed the Reds, a 14-5 winner, yesterday on the run line but today we are only comfortable with the money line. This price could continue to climb too throughout the day so that is why you are reading about this selection here rather than as a premium pick. We do look for Chicago's free fall to continue and for Cincinnati to stay hot. The Reds have won 9 of 13 games. Cincinnati starter Vladimir Gutierrez is 8-3 as a starter this season and 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA in his 3 most recent starts! Chicago starter Kyle Hendricks is off a disastrous start versus Milwaukee and the Cubs are 0-2 in his last two starts and he has allowed 18 hits in 10 innings. Hendricks has allowed 5 earned runs in 2 out of his last 3 starts against the Reds and our computer math model projections are forecasting likelihood of another tough outing for him in terms of matching up with Cincinnati. The Reds get it done again. We’ll back Cincinnati to get the win on Tuesday night.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:32 PM
Black Widow Aug 17 '21, 7:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Angels vs Tigers
Play on: Tigers -115 at Caesars

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Tigers -115

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:32 PM
Steve Janus Aug 17 '21, 7:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Angels vs Tigers
Play on: Tigers -115 at Caesars

1* Free Sharp Play on Tigers -115
The Tigers (-115) are worth a look as a slim home favorite against the Angels in Tuesday's MLB action. I think the perception is that LA is the far better team, but these two teams have almost identical records. Angels are 59-61 and Detroit is 58-62. Tigers have definitely been playing the better ball of late, as they are 18-11 over basically the last month. Angels have lost 5 of 7 and scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 of those 7 games. Also got to like Detroit with Casey Mize on the mound, he's quietly having a great season with a 3.66 ERA over 22 starts. Play the Tigers -115!

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:32 PM
Sean Murphy Aug 17 '21, 7:10 PM in 1h
MLB | CHC vs CIN
Play on: OVER 9½ +100

Tuesday MLB Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Cincinnati at 7:10 pm et on Tuesday.
We won with the 'over' in the opener of this series last night and I won't hesitate to come right back with the same play on Tuesday.
Here's what I had to say in my analysis of last night's 'over' release.
Over their last two homestands, the Reds have seen their games reach totals of 17, 11, 8, 26, 7, 7, 11, 8, 16, 12, 11, 11, 10, 14 and 5 runs - good for an average of 11.6 runs per game. With weather conditions once again favoring the hitters on Monday night, look for that 'over' trend to continue.
With similar conditions expected tonight there's little reason to expect a different result.
Kyle Hendricks starts for the Cubs and he's been hit hard lately, posting a 6.35 ERA and 1.59 WHIP with the 'over' cashing in each of his last three starts. He's faced the Reds four times since the start of last season with those games totaling 19, 11, 5 and 11 runs.
Vlad Gutierrez will take the ball for Cincinnati. His last five starts have totaled 26, 11, 8, 14 and 15 runs. Here at home he has posted a 5.93 ERA and 1.61 WHIP.
Based on how poorly the Cubs pitching staff has performed lately the Reds are capable of once again toppling this total all on their own. Expect the Cubs to pull their weight as well though as this one sails 'over' the total. Take the over.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:32 PM
Jack Jones Aug 17 '21, 7:45 PM in 2h
MLB | Brewers vs Cardinals
Play on: Cardinals +142 at Caesars

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: St. Louis Cardinals +142
The St. Louis Cardinals are surging right now in going 8-1 in their last nine games overall. They have come to life at the plate by scoring 4 runs or more in 11 consecutive games now. I love the value we are getting with the Cardinals as home dogs to the Milwaukee Brewers tonight.
Adam Wainwright is having a career resurgence this season. He is 11-6 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.063 WHIP in 23 starts, 6-4 with a 2.78 ERA and 0.989 WHIP in 14 home starts, and 4-0 with a 1.95 ERA in his last five starts while allowing just 8 earned runs in 37 innings.
Wainwright is also 18-11 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in 38 career starts against Milwaukee. He'll be opposed by Corbin Burnes, who has never beaten the Cardinals. Burnes is 0-3 with a 4.55 ERA and 1.482 WHIP in six career starts against St. Louis. Bet the Cardinals Tuesday.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:33 PM
Scott Rickenbach Aug 17 '21, 7:45 PM in 2h
MLB | MIL vs STL
Play on: UNDER 7 +100

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Rotation #906 Tuesday Free Pick UNDER 7 runs in St Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 7:45 ET - I know this total is a very low one but it is fully justified. Two starting pitchers likely to dominate. Two rested bullpens as the teams were off yesterday. Burnes starts for the Brewers and is 4-0 with a 2.06 ERA in his 9 road starts this season. Wainwright starts for the Cardinals and is known for being a tougher pitcher when at home and that trend has continued this season. Wainwright has a 2.78 ERA in his home starts this year and 10 of the 14 resulted in an under. Look for this one to continue that trend. Both teams have been on hot streaks and that has been thanks in large part to not giving up many runs. The Cardinals have allowed only 2 runs per game in the 8 victories making up their current 8-1 run. The Brewers have given up just 1.6 runs per game in the 6 wins during their red hot 6-1 run. Free Pick UNDER 7 in St Louis

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:33 PM
Jimmy Boyd Aug 17 '21, 7:45 PM in 2h
MLB | MIL vs STL
Play on: UNDER 7 +100

1* Free Pick on Brewers/Cardinals under 7 +100

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:33 PM
Larry Ness Aug 17 '21, 8:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Mariners vs Rangers
Play on: Mariners -143 at BetVegas

My free play is on the Sea Mariners at 8:05 ET.
The Seattle Mariners and the Texas Rangers both had Monday off and will open a three-game series Tuesday night in Arlington, Tx. Seattle saw a four-game winning streak end Sunday in an 8-3 home loss to the Blue Jays and will take the field tonight at 63-56 on the season. Seattle still has reasonable playoff hopes, as the Mariners are five games back of the AL's second wild card spot. Texas lost SIX straight from Aug 3-8 but is coming off a 3-3 effort last week. However, Texas is just 42-76, 28 games behind the AL West-leading Astros and in NO position to be considered a wild card contender, either.
Tuesday's starting pitchers are Tyler Anderson (5-8, 4.24 ERA) for Seattle and Spencer Howard (0-3, 5.61 ERA) for Texas. Anderson began his career with Colorado in 2016 but was claimed off waivers by the San Francisco Giants on October 30, 2019. He pitched for the Giants in 2020 but signed a one-year, major league contract with the Pittsburgh Pirates on February 17, 2021, He made 18 starts for the Pirates (5-8 with a 4.35 ERA) this season but was traded to Seattle at the deadline. He has yet to earn a decision in three starts with the Mariners but does own a 2.93 ERA. Spencer Howard is in his second season. he made six starts for the Phillies in 2020 (1-2 with a 5,92 ERA and 1.64 WHIP) and had made 11 appearances (seven starts) in 2021 (0-2 with a 5,72 ERA and 1.48) , before being traded to the Rangers at the deadline. He's made two starts for Texas (team is 0-2) and he owns a 5.06 ERA.
I'm not sure that one can make a case for Texas with Howard on the mound, going up against a Seattle team still in the wild card 'hunt.' Seattle trails ONLY the San Francisco Giants (owners of MLB's best record) in the moneyline standings with a record of plus-$2,404 at $100/unit (Giants are plus-$2,678). Note that the Tampa Bay Rays rank third in the moneyline standings, $1,041 behind the Mariners! Pretty impressive stuff. Take Seattle.
Good luck...Larry

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:33 PM
Mike Williams Aug 17 '21, 8:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Mariners vs Rangers
Play on: Rangers +136 at SC Consensus

1* on Rangers +136

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:33 PM
Dustin Hawkins Aug 17 '21, 8:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Astros vs Royals
Play on: Royals +170 at Caesars

1 Dimer on Royals +170

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:34 PM
Sal Michaels Aug 17 '21, 8:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Astros vs Royals
Play on: Royals +170 at Caesars

Free Play on Royals +170

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:34 PM
Brandon Lee Aug 17 '21, 8:10 PM in 2h
MLB | OAK vs CWS
Play on: UNDER 8½ +110

FREE PICK - A's/White Sox UNDER 8.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 925/926
I'll gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Tuesday's matchup between the White Sox and A's. Runs figure to be hard to come by in this one. Oakland will have Chris Bassitt on the mound against Chicago's Reynaldo Lopez.
Bassitt has been one of the better starts all season, as he comes in 12-3 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in 24 starts. His ERA is slightly worse (3.47) in home games, but he's also 8-0 in 14 home starts. Not to mention he's got an outstanding 0.45 ERA and 0.850 WHIP over his last 3 starts.
As for Lopez, he's been really effective in his two starts, which he's basically served as an opener (threw only 3 innings in both starts). In those 6 innings, he's given up just 1 ER on 3 hits with 7 K's. Give me the UNDER 8.5!

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:34 PM
Mike Lundin Aug 17 '21, 8:40 PM in 2h
MLB | SDG vs COL
Play on: UNDER 12½ -115

Padres vs Rockies Free Pick August 17, 2021
**12-4 L16 FREE PICKS**
Coors Field has a well deserved reputation as a hitters park, but note that the over/under is 26-31-3 on the season. Rockies' righty German Marquez (10-9, 3.71 ERA) has posted a 3.05 ERA at home in 2021.
The Padres hand the ball to Matt Strahm (0-0, 8.44 ERA) for his first start of the season. Strahm has made five appearances out of the bullpen, with little success, but both Padres' and Rockies' bats have been cold lately and I think the total is way bloated all things considered.
Free pick on UNDER.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:34 PM
Jeff Alexander Aug 17 '21, 9:45 PM in 4h
MLB | NYM vs SFO
Play on: UNDER 8 +101

1* MLB - Mets/Giants FREE PICK on UNDER 8
Tuesday's Free MLB Pick is on the New York Mets and San Francisco Giants UNDER 8. Just don't see a whole lot of offense taking place in this game. Mets will have Marcus Stroman on the mound, who has a 2.79 ERA in 24 starts and a 2.64 ERA in 12 road starts. Giants will give the ball to Logan Webb. He's got a strong 3.00 ERA in 16 starts, but owns an incredible 1.62 ERA over 7 home starts. All 7 of those home starts have gone UNDER the total. Bet the UNDER 8!

Can'tPickAWinner
08-17-2021, 06:35 PM
John Martin Aug 17 '21, 9:45 PM in 4h
MLB | Mets vs Giants
Play on: Mets +148 at Caesars

1 Unit FREE PLAY on New York Mets +148
I'm taking a shot with the New York Mets tonight to put an end to their four-game losing streak. Marcus Stroman is too good to be this big of an underdog to the Giants tonight. Stroman has a 2.79 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 24 starts this season. He has been even better on the road with a 2.64 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 12 starts away from home. Give me the Mets.