Wednesdat 8/18/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis - Wednesday, August 18, 2021 August 18, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


RACE 1: Post: 1:05 ET Grade: X
Pass/No Play

Forecast: The Wednesday opener is a race for hurdlers. We will pass the race.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:41 ET Grade: B+
Use: 3-Flat Out Beautiful; 6-Free Enterprise

Forecast: At first glance it would appear that Free Enterprise is another Klaravich Stables class dropper being culled to make room for new blood. In his case, though, it may be a simple case of a veteran gelding, with just 11 career starts and with issues throughout his career, merely being placed where he can be most productive. A winner of a restricted $50,000 claiming sprint last month in the mud over this track and distance, the son of Curlin shows up today in a $32,000 seller, and on pure numbers, this is where he belongs. His career record at Saratoga (5-1-2-1) is too good to ignore as well, so we’ll include him in rolling exotic play along with the intriguing Flat Out Beautiful, who shows several powerful angles in his chart, most notably being a first-off-the-claim play for R. Atras, who is simply remarkable with this maneuver (34% with a massive ROI). Additionally, the son of Flat Out is dropping from $40,000, shortening to what might be his best trip (seven furlongs), is strong in the speed figure department, attracts the barn’s “go-to” rider R. Santana, and when properly spotted always has been genuine and consistent (first or second in 12 of 27 career starts). It will be a major letdown if the veteran gelding doesn’t fire a huge shot.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:15 ET Grade: B-
Use: 4-Morning Matcha; 7-Call Sign Charlie; 9-Monshun

Forecast: This maiden special weight sprint is restricted to juvenile fillies that went through the auction ring for $45,000 or less in their most recent sale. Morning Matcha, a fast-finishing third (and then galloping out far in front) in a similarly restricted event last month, gets an extra half furlong to work with today and should continue to improve in her third career outing, though her total lack of early speed and her awkwardness with lead changes makes backing her a bit problematic. She’s clearly the best of those that have raced, but there are a couple of newcomers that must be considered as well. Monshun, drawn comfortably outside, is a first timer by Unified that has trained reasonably well for R. Handal and lands J. Rosario, while the J. Abreu-trained Call Sign Charlie shows a noteworthy gate work 12 days ago (4f, :48bg, third fastest of 43) for a barn that has superior stats with first-time starters (27% with terrific ROI). All three should be included in your rolling exotics.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:49 ET Grade: C+
Use: 2-Dark Storm; 3-Blewitt

Forecast: Blewitt has seen better days but in his second start off a layoff combined with a considerable class drop to the $25,000 level the veteran son of Uncle Mo will beat this field if he has one good one left. The T. Pletcher-trained 7-year-old does his best work on the front end and in this nine furlong main track event he should be able to secure his preferred role as the controlling speed. It’s just a matter of how much he has left in the tank. Dark Storm is another with recent form that is uninspiring, though his last pair of starts over wet tracks at Belmont Park probably can be excused. A prior winner over the Saratoga main track, the G. Weaver-trained gelding is reunited with “win rider” E. Cancel and projects to be comfortably placed in a stalking position and then have his chance to go after the leader when called upon. In a race that probably should be handled with care, we’ll try to get by using just these two in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:21 ET Grade: B-
Use: 2-Shine; 3-Diamond Hands; 4-Gun Boat; 8-Vagaries

Forecast: There are several high-quality prospects debuting in this maiden juvenile turf router and we’ll be surprised the race doesn’t produce a stakes performer or two down the road. Diamond Hands brought $425,000 in the OBS April sale and has breezed like a good type for the always-powerful C. Clement/J. Rosario team, so she’s certain to get plenty of play for a stable that has excellent stats with the first-time-starter angle (23% with powerful ROI). The daughter of Frosted and the multi-stakes winning mare Love Cove has shown to be a sensible type with a lengthy stride and should have no trouble two-turning first time out. Look for her to be taken back and then produced late. Shine brought $240,00 as a yearling, a goodly sum for a daughter of Jimmy Creed with nothing in the first dam, and she’s done everything asked in the a.m. for W. Mott, who starts her off going long on grass even though her pedigree suggests she should be most comfortable sprinting on dirt. It wouldn’t surprise us in the least if she finds herself on the front end from her rail post and based on what we’ve seen of her in the morning she could easily take this field a very long way if not pressured early. Gun Boat has a world of natural talent but can get a bit keen in the a.m. and will need to drop her head and relax to maximize her talents. Assuming she breaks cleanly, the daughter of War Front is projected to be prominent throughout and is a “must use” even though Shug is average at best with debut runners. Vagaries has looked fairly promising in her grass breezes, including one in company on Aug. 1 when stride-for-stride (though second best) with stable mate McKulick, a subsequent first-out winner earlier this month. Typical of the young runners from the C. Brown barn, the Irish-bred filly has been given a strong foundation of easy drills to have her plenty fit and ready. We suspect she’s another that will be doing her best work from off the pace. Of the four listed above, Diamond Hands may be the most likely to run to her abilities so we’ll put her slightly on top but with so much untapped talent in the field it’s difficult to know for sure which ones will perform best when the lights go on.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:55 ET Grade: B+
Single: 1-Sand and Sea

Forecast: Sand and Sea, a good runner-up over this course and distance last month in a similar affair for maiden state-bred fillies and mares, seems likely to receive the bulk of the play after apparently finding her preferred surface following a couple of disappointing main track outings to begin her career. In that race on July 23 the improving daughter of Liam’s Map made a right had turn from her outside draw to cost herself better early position, but then steadily moved within range, had her best bid into the lane before proving no match for the talented Tuscan Queen while clearly best of the others. She shows a bullet blowout just four days ago at Belmont Park (3f, :36b, fastest of 43) so we’re expecting her to take control early from her favorable inside draw and keep on going as a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:29 ET Grade: B
Use: 3-Cadeaux de Paix; 5-Chloe Rose

Forecast: Cadeaux de Paix was more than five lengths clear of the rest when second in a similar starter’s allowance sprint here last month and not much more will be needed to beat this modest group of fillies and mares. She’s not really that quick early and doesn’t really blast home either, but the veteran Majestic Warrior mare should find herself within range throughout and then have the chance to grind out a win. I. Ortiz, Jr. got to know her last time out and stays aboard. Chloe Rose has been quite popular at the claim box lately, changing hands in three of her last four starts, most recently for $32,000 by J. Toscano, who’s had a slow year but always does extremely well with the first-off-the-claim angle. She’s back on short rest (10 days) but we’re expecting the daughter of Twirling Candy to settle in the second flight under J. Rosario and then have dead aim on the suspect speed-types at the head of the lane.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:05 ET Grade: B-
Use: 1-Taos; 7-Attentive; 11-Troubling Moon

Forecast: Here’s a grass grab bag for $40,000 older claimers that requires heavy usage in rolling exotic play. Attentive, first off the claim for R. Diodoro (26% with a superior ROI), makes his first start since winning at this level in mid-June at Belmont Park when trained by M. Maker. The two month layoff is only mildly concerning for a barn that has such success with these types of runners, so if the son of Power Broker fires his best shot he’ll be right there. Taos has been away since May of 2020 but returns for D. Gargan, whose stats with layoff runners in a relatively small sample is off the charts. We’re expecting the son of Tapit to be quite dangerous with his front-running style from his favorable inside draw. The works indicate the gelding has retains all of his speed, and it’s hardly inconceivable that he’ll deliver a career top performance for his new conditioner, who employs his “go to” rider, L. Saez. Troubling Moon had the misfortune of drawing the extreme outside post but he’s a deep closer and likely would have dropped back early, anyway. Freshened since May and returning in a realistic spot for trainer G. Arnold (22% with a strong ROI with layoffs), the son of Into Mischief shows a bullet Saratoga training track drill (4f, :48.4b, fastest of nine) last week to have him on his toes, and also has back speed figures that put him the picture. These are the three we’ll be using in our rolling exotics, but you should spread as deeply as you can afford to.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:39 ET Grade: B
Use: 3-Derrynane; 8-Fulinate; 9-Chi Town Lady

Forecast: Several of these juvenile fillies produced impressive debut victories sprinting on grass, so the winner of this year’s renewal of the Bolton Landing S. probably will be the one that makes the most progress between her first and second starts. We’ll use three and hope that’s enough. Derrynane was thoroughly professional when beating maidens over this course and distance last month, settling behind the leaders, waiting her turn, and then quickening when room to developed at the furlong pole to draw clear before being taken in hand in the closing stages. The daughter of Quality Road shows a bullet training track breeze in the interim (Aug. 8, 3f, :36.3b, fastest of eight) to remain on edge, so with good racing luck today we’re expecting the C. Clement-trained filly to be along in time. Fulminate may be the quickest in the group and the M. Casse-trained daughter of Get Stormy is a “must use” after a sharp Gulfstream Park score last month with a Beyer speed figure 15 points stronger that what our top pick was assigned in her win. A private purchase by sharp connections while remaining in Casse’s care, she didn’t really break well in her debut and probably is even quicker than the running line might indicate. Chi Town Lady looked good winning out of the chute at Keeneland in mid-April, pressing the pace and then opening up when called upon as the 1/5 favorite. She returns for W. Ward with an easy, steady series of workouts, and as granddaughter of More Than Ready she has every right to handle grass.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:13 ET Grade: X
Single: 1-Clever Humor

Forecast: Clever Humor ran well at this level in just his second career start when second while more than three lengths clear of the rest, pressing the pace throughout and staying on well through the lane. He makes his first start for high-percentage trainer B. Russell, who doesn’t dabble in the claiming game too often but does well with pretty much everything in her barn. L. Saez stays aboard the son of Distorted Humor, who should handle this modest field with a clean break from his inside draw as a logical, no value, rolling exotic single.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

AI Picks: Saratoga Pick Six | Wednesday, August 18, 2021 August 17, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Wednesday’s week six kickoff card at Saratoga features a $145,197 carryover in the traditional, $1 pick six pool. The sequence will be Races 5-10 and include the Bolton Landing Stakes for 2-year-old filly turf sprinters.

To help you tackle the Saratoga races, the 1/ST BET app’s artificial intelligence provides its look at the fields. Selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections. You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer.

We’ve included the track’s morning line odds with each entrant.

NOTE: All selections are made for the original surface scheduled; in the event of turf races moving to dirt, be sure to use the 1/ST BET app for updated, automated selections based on the new surface.

Saratoga // Race 5 // 3:21 PM ET // maiden special weight // 1-1/16 miles (turf)

#7 Lemieux (6-5) // 28%W
#1A Ready for Charm (5-1) // 16%W
#3 Diamond Hands (3-1) // 11%W
#6 Highly Devauxted (8-1) // 8%W

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Saratoga // Race 6 // 3:55 PM ET // maiden special weight // 5-1/2 furlongs (turf)

#1 Sand and Sea (7-2) // 25%W
#7 Crowding Out (8-5) // 14%W
#6 Gailhorsewind (3-1) // 14%W
#2 Venus Oyzo (30-1) // 11%W

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Saratoga // Race 7 // 4:29 PM ET // starter allowance // 6-1/2 furlongs

#3 Cadeaux de Paix (4-1) // 28%W
#2 Raffinity (8-1) // 14%W
#5 Chloe Rose (6-1) // 13%W
#4 April Antics (20-1) // 13%W

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Saratoga // Race 8 // 5:05 PM ET // claiming // 1 mile (turf)

#6 Parlor (3-1) // 19%W
#10 Hieroglyphics (6-1) // 18%W
#5 Seismic Wave (7-2) // 13%W
#2 Musical America (5-2) // 13%W

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Saratoga // Race 9 // 5:39 PM ET // $120,000 Bolton Landing Stakes // 5-1/2 furlongs (turf)

#8 Fulminate (7-2) // 28%W
#11 Averly Jane (9-5) // 15%W
#3 Derrynane (5-1) // 14%W
#2 Charlee O (8-1) // 10%W

//

Saratoga // Race 10 // 6:13 PM ET // maiden claiming // 6 furlongs

#1 Clear Humor (1-1) // 28%W
#6 Damilano (3-1) // 15%W
#4 Capt’ Remington (15-1) // 13%W
#2 D’vinicris (10-1) // 11%W

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pimlico Stats: Marquez Rolls into Closing Week August 17, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Pimlico. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in Maryland. And be sure to support Pimlico by betting with 1/ST BET, the official betting app of Maryland Jockey Club.

Headlines

Closing week of the extended 2021 Pimlico Meet is upon us with the finale set for Sunday … A quartet of Maryland-bred stakes are on the Maryland Pride Saturday docket with the All Brandy, Find, Miss Disco and Star de Naskra offering $75,000-each springboards toward the Maryland Million on Oct. 23 at Laurel Park … All fans in attendance Saturday at Pimlico will take home a free piece of Preakness memorabilia … The Rainbow 6 jackpot bet was hit by a single ticket Sunday (for $10,980), so the carryover starts anew for closing week … Jameela Stakes upsetter Ellanation aims for her second win of the meet in Friday’s turf sprint allowance feature … The MJC autumn season at Laurel begins Sept. 9 after the annual state fair meet at Timonium.

Stronach 5

The Stronach 5 is on temporary summer hiatus and expected to return in September.

1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Pimlico, each posting at least 32% wins. Win % was the top factor for the second straight week.

Win %
Avg. Best 2 of 3 Speed
In The Money %

Trends Last Week

-- Jockey Charlie Marquez had it going with a 12: 5-2-1 record. Those scores include $13, $15 and $23 returns and a hefty $2.74 ROI for every $1 bet.

-- Jockey Angel Cruz posted an 11: 3-3-0 mark, riding 5 favorites along the way (5: 2-2-0). All 3 wins were at 5-2 or less odds.

-- Jockey Johan Rosado won with both mounts, including a $59 bomber. He had been just 1-21 dating back to late June at the meet prior.

-- Trainer Claudio Gonzalez turned it back on with a 10: 4-1-1 week, going 5: 3-1-0 with favorites. The 3 winners at 3-1 or less barely scratched out a profitable $1.06 ROI for every $1 bet.

-- Trainer Cal Lynch was 4: 2-0-0 with $9 and $15 scores on the turf. He was 2-for-3 with jockey Charlie Marquez in the saddle.

-- Favorites are 34-51 (67%) in the exacta over the past 2 weeks, compared to 61% prior at the meet.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gulfstream Stats: Rios Rocks the Toteboard August 17, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Gulfstream Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in South Florida. And be sure to support Gulfstream by betting with 1/ST BET, the official betting app of Gulfstream Park.

Headlines

A $172,132 Rainbow 6 jackpot pool carryover ($300,000-guaranteed pool) welcomes horseplayers back Friday … Feature races this weekend are Saturday’s Sharp Susan Stakes and Proud Man Stakes, both 2-year-old turf events … The Florida Sire Stakes second round of juvenile stakes are set for next Saturday, Aug. 28 … Well Defined continued his winning ways Aug. 14 with a victory in the Benny the Bull Stakes, out-sprinting 2020 Florida Derby runner-up Shivaree in the process … GP-based multiple stakes winner Noble Drama will be pointed to the Aug. 27 Charles Town Classic next Friday in West Virginia for David Fawkes … Renovations continue on schedule the new third racing surface, Tapeta, at Gulfstream and it’s scheduled to be unveiled in September.

Stronach 5

The Stronach 5 is on temporary summer hiatus and expected to return in September.

1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Gulfstream Park last week, each showing a 20% win rate or higher. Avg. Speed fell from the top-performing factor for first time in five weeks.

In The Money %
Jockey Meet
Trainer Meet

Trends Last Week

-- Jockey Jesus Rios was 11: 3-0-2 and a longshot sharp-shooter. He guided winners paying $29, $45 and $107. His average mount was nearly 22-1 odds.

-- Jockey Jose Morelos was on point at 7: 3-1-1 for a $1.97 ROI on every $1 bet. He also had a 23-1 shot bottom a trifecta. All 7 mounts were for different trainers.

-- Jockey Wilmer Garcia went 6: 2-0-0, popping $12 and $43 scores. His average mount was 18-1 on the week.

-- Trainer Ron Spatz won with all 3 starters he sent out, returning $8, $10 and $12 mutuels. Miguel Vasquez rode a pair of those. The barn had been just 1-13 since the start of July prior to the hot streak.

-- Trainer Gilberto Zerpa had a big week at 6: 3-1-0 with well-backed returns at $5, $6 and $8. His runners are 11-19 in the exacta (5 wins) since July 30.

-- Favorites underperformed at 30% on the week.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Presque Isle Downs - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#2 Sweet Dutchess
Blinkers go on for the second try, and she moved okay in the debut run before fading a bit late. She should be right up on the splits today and can be tough if she moves forward with the last one under her belt.


#5 Heavenly Praise
Get a look at her on the track, but she will go first out for a capable team while meeting a group that doesn't appear to be the deepest.


#8 Mirth 'n Merriment
She has run a few decent races while proving no threat in Florida, but she might like the local footing, and the competition here might be just a touch softer.


Race Summary
Sweet Dutchess has some upside in this second start, and she might stick around better here with any reasonable second start improvement.


Presque Isle Downs - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#3 Boomin Goose
He figures to get a good trip in a spot with several forward players, and any kind of honest pace might be enough to get him over the top late after trying to finish into soft splits recently.


#5 Wapiti Way
He showed some good tactical pace in that last one when stretching out, and he figures to find another good trip while tracking the pace. I'd want him on the tickets.


#7 Cooper's Crescent
He's capable of races that would win this, but his best game comes on the front end, and he may have to hustle to get there today. Vulnerable late.


Race Summary
Boomin Goose meets a handful of pace and pressing types in this one, and he may still be rounding into form as he makes his third start off a break and just his fourth of the year.


Presque Isle Downs - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#9 Out of Pocket
Think she might be capable of something just a bit better than she showed in the local debut, and she looks like one of the main dangers from off the splits.


#4 Keypit
Tactical pace should land another great trip after just giving way in the final yards last time out. She's one of the ones here, but she might be a bit overbet as she makes her 17th start.


#8 Littlemisstatertot
She'll go second off the bench in this spot and might be able to find a spying spot while trying two turns for the first time. The pedigree is a little sprint-leaving, but the trip may be advantageous enough for her to land a piece of this.


Race Summary
Out of Pocket looks like the right one in the finale, and anything like the 6/1 ML price would make her very playable. Hoping a couple of forward players produce an honest set of splits.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#7 CHILLIN BYTHE POOL
Live longshot in follow-up to very troubled debut.


#1 MADEIRA HANOVER
Showed pulse in sire stakes, draws rail, one to beat.


#3 SHADOWS DANCERS
Ran away from 'Chillin' as the odds-on favorite at Pocono Downs.


Race Summary
Chillin Bythe Pool showed enough in her debut to warrant serious attention at 20-1 on the morning line. She was off the gate at the start, bothered by an erratic rival as the pace slowed in the second quarter, bothered again by a breaker near the final turn and recovered some behind a runaway winner. Play a 7/1,3/ALL trifecta.


Yonkers - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#7 SVF CASH DEPOSIT
Solid numbers, gets needed class relief, good value play.


#8 BAZILLIONAIRE
Would like more if not for post 8 and 0-24 mark this year.


#4 MANWILLING
Seized the moment at Tioga after the favorite broke stride early.


Race Summary
SVF Cash Deposit posted competitive speed figures against better rivals in his last two starts, hit the board in 10 of 24 starts this year and figures tough on the class drop at a tempting morning-line price. Play 7-4 and 7-8 exactas.


Hoosier Park - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#2 MY PANTHER
Holds tactical advantage, can make amends as beaten fave.


#4 JACK WACKER
Rallied from far back into photo-finish view, can be forwardly placed.


#3 MOTORING MICHAEL
Tries to upstage a series of in-the-money rallies.


Race Summary
My Panther burned money with a nasty break at the start, but returns in an ideal, pace-controlling spot from an inner post. He blew clear leads in the two starts prior but look for him to go non-stop in his 10th start. Play 2-3 and 2-4 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Saratoga - Race #2


Picks
Notes


#1 Easy Shot
Turns back from running longer distances and was second two back at Belmont; makes his first off the claim for Levine and should be able to finish full of run.


#2 Cantrell Hill
Closed well for second last out and gets a switch to Saez; makes first off the claim for Gargan.


#5 Create Again
Ran a good second in his first one here after moving from Gulfstream; makes his second off the claim for Walder.


Race Summary
Easy Shot can benefit from following a good sprint pace from the inside and should be able to regain some late pop.


Saratoga - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#6 Air Cavalry
Has the speed to be in the early hunt and has been solid in her last two, with a nose loss here and an easy win at Belmont; leading rider Saez can keep her battling to the end.


#3 Cadeau de Paix
Was second in a fast race and keep I. Ortiz aboard; makes second Saratoga start and can be in the mix earlier.


#1 Bayshore Foxes
Has the speed to engage early on and was second in her initial Saratoga attempt; chance for improvement as she turns back in distance.


Race Summary
Air Cavalry has been effective since coming from Florida and can get in a good early run against these; came up an inch short going 5.5 furlongs and can benefit from the extra furlong.


Saratoga - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#1 Cartel Queen
Has work twice on the turf since running fifth in the G3 Schuylerville; bred to prefer the turf and has the speed to be an important player at once.


#8 Fulminate
Dominant in her only start, which was over the turf at Gulfstream; capable of getting to the lead and could be tough to catch.


#9 Chi Town Lady
Was a clear winner at Keeneland in her only start and has a good turf work to her credit; Ward juveniles always worth a look, especially short on turf.


Race Summary
Cartel Queen has shown some pick-me-up on the turf in the mornings and drops out of the Schuylerville on dirt; Amoss charge can be a big player under the capable hands of Gaffalione.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Arlington

Arlington - Race 7

$2 Win / Place / Show / $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta $0.20 Jackpot High-5 (15% takeout)



Claiming $12,500 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 5:27P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 18 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY OR ALLOWANCES). LANE 5. 15 FT. OUT. (IF THE MANAGEMENT CONSIDERS IT INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND ONE SIXTEENTHS).





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * CONVICT PIKE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest T rackMaster Power Rating. POPPY'S BOYS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SMILING SILAS: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Fig ure at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). DRAMATIC KITTEN: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).



9

CONVICT PIKE

7/2


9/2




1

POPPY'S BOYS

4/1


9/2




7

SMILING SILAS

15/1


9/1




3

DRAMATIC KITTEN

10/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

DEWY'S HIT

4


6/1

Front-runner

85


82


77.2


75.0


62.0




13

BUMPTYBUMPBUMP

13


12/1

Front-runner

83


74


71.1


68.3


47.8




12

COSMIC TREASURE

12


6/1

Front-runner

87


81


64.0


74.0


64.0




3

DRAMATIC KITTEN

3


10/1

Stalker

83


87


92.0


77.0


61.5




7

SMILING SILAS

7


15/1

Stalker

84


84


68.4


79.8


68.8




11

TALIS PARK GRAD

11


10/1

Alternator/Stalker

88


77


70.8


75.3


58.3




9

CONVICT PIKE

9


7/2

Alternator/Stalker

91


89


64.6


86.2


79.2




1

POPPY'S BOYS

1


4/1

Trailer

91


87


74.6


84.6


79.1




6

URBANITE

6


10/1

Trailer

86


76


70.6


73.0


62.0




5

MAJESTIC DAY

5


12/1

Trailer

82


78


40.0


73.4


52.9




10

OVERPRAISE

10


12/1

Alternator/Non-contender

90


81


49.8


75.2


63.2




2

UPHAM

2


30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

84


79


38.7


72.4


53.4




8

DICK THE BRUISER

8


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

72


75


28.4


68.3


51.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ajax Downs



Ajax Downs - Race 6

Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)




Speed Index • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 3:45P


QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WITH A SPEED INDEX THAT HAS NEVER BEEN BETTER THAN 90. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * I THINK ICON: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. HANOVER HILL CHALSEE: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. YOURNOTTHEBOSSOFME: Jockey/Trainer comb ination return on investment is at least +20. SR BLUE HAWK: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MY SPECIAL CORONA: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gat e fast.



1

I THINK ICON

7/2


6/1




3

HANOVER HILL CHALSEE

3/1


6/1




2

YOURNOTTHEBOSSOFME

5/1


7/1




4

SR BLUE HAWK

5/2


7/1




5

MY SPECIAL CORONA

15/1


10/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




1

I THINK ICON

1


7/2

Average

73


73


4.0


0.0


0.0




3

HANOVER HILL CHALSEE

3


3/1

Average

72


74


5.7


0.0


0.0




4

SR BLUE HAWK

4


5/2

Average

73


72


5.1


0.0


0.0




5

MY SPECIAL CORONA

5


15/1

Fast

70


64


3.2


0.0


0.0




6

GET ON THE BUS GUS

6


10/1

Slow

66


67


8.3


0.0


0.0























Unknown Running Style: YOURNOTTHEBOSSOFME (5/1) [Jockey: Spataro Cory - Trainer: Tavares Joe].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Albuquerque

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $13800 Class Rating: 67

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250. NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 4 SILLY NOTION 5/1




# 3 IM COMING OVER 8/1




# 7 OUR NATIVE ANGEL 3/1




I've got to go with SILLY NOTION. Could provide positive gains based on competitive recent Speed Figures with an average of 56. Has to be given a chance - I like the numbers from the last race. She has very good class ratings, averaging 72, and has to be considered for this event. IM COMING OVER - Her 53 average has this filly with among the most respectable speed figures in this competition. Formidable average speed figures in dirt sprint races make this horse a solid contender. OUR NATIVE ANGEL - Trainer has sharp win rate (23 percent) at this distance and surface. Sterling ought to be able to get this filly to break out early in this contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Evangeline Downs - Race #2 - Post: 6:17pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,500 Class Rating: 73

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 OUTLAW X. (ML=10/1)
#2 WICKED CITI (ML=5/2)
#5 CLEVER RACER (ML=12/1)


OUTLAW X. - Atop this thoroughbred on Jul 15th and Dominguez is back again in the irons in this race. Ramirez drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more handicapping info to think this thoroughbred will be tough to beat at this level. Ranked number one in earnings per start. Another indication that this horse has the class to take this race. WICKED CITI - I think this colt is ready to run a good one. He's had enough races since the layoff and should be fit. A horse coming back this promptly after a strong race is a good sign. CLEVER RACER - Have to make this gelding a strong challenger; he comes off a strong outing on Aug 4th. Don't often see a profitable ROI like +54. This jockey/conditioner duet has done well together over the last year. This gelding seems to like to win at a nice price.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SOUTHPINE GIFT (ML=9/5), #6 SUCH (ML=3/1), #4 QUALITY PRODUCTION (ML=5/1),

SOUTHPINE GIFT - There's early speed, speed, and more speed in this event. Doesn't look too good for this animal. SUCH - This gelding hasn't had any recent good fortune in short distance contests. Not easy to wager on him in this race. This horse likes to be there at the wire, but doesn't usually win. Forget the top spot. QUALITY PRODUCTION - Hard to support any horse with declining Equibase speed figures of 72/68/57.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - WICKED CITI - This colt's superior last speed number of 73, against these horses, makes him the overwhelming choice.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#3 OUTLAW X. Is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,3,5]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [2,3,5] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 10 - Maiden - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $17000 Class Rating: 70

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 5 RELENTLESS HERO 2/1




# 2 FURRST HANKA 7/2




# 4 AJK PAYYOURTAX 5/2




I've got to go with RELENTLESS HERO. She should definitely be considered given the decent speed figures. Will most likely be one of the leaders of the group going into the midpoint of the contest. Is a solid contender - given the 69 speed figure from her most recent race. FURRST HANKA - Should be given consideration here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. Must be given a chance - I like the figs from the last affair. AJK PAYYOURTAX - Will most likely be one of the leaders of the group going into the midpoint of the affair. The speed rating of 70 from his last affair looks very strong in here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Colonial Downs - Race #2 - Post: 2:13pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 89

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 ZONIC (ML=8/1)


ZONIC - The rider/handler tandem of Acosta and Azpurua has a strong return on investment together.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 SHACKLED (ML=2/1), #5 CIRCLE AWAY (ML=3/1), #2 BIG DAVE (ML=7/2),

SHACKLED - Unlikely for this entrant to do much running with no recent success in a short distance race. CIRCLE AWAY - This gelding hasn't had any recent good results in short distance events. No picnic to bet on him in this race. 3/1 odds isn't enough for this entrant when looking at the most recent outings. BIG DAVE - Not likely for this thoroughbred to make an impact with no recent good showings in a sprint affair.

https://www.trackmaster.com/images/tophat.jpgGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - ZONIC - I like to check out the TrackMaster Platinum PPs to look for the top horse in earnings per start. This horse looks good to me so I'm making a wager on him.







STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #3 ZONIC to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

Pass



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga



08/18/21, SAR, Race 8, 5.05 ET
08/18/21,SAR,8,1M 1:32:00 CLAIMING. Purse $66,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $11,484 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races At A Mile Or Over In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race In 2021 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (Maiden And ClaimingRaces For $32,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Best
Occ
Win%
ROI


100.0000
10
Hieroglyphics
6/1
Ortiz. Jr. I
Schettino Domenick L.
J
95
32.63
1.47/$1


099.4983
1
Taos
9/2
Saez L
Gargan Danny
SWL
95
32.63
1.47/$1


098.9007
6
Parlor
3/1
Gaffalione T
Maker Michael J.
F
[I]95
32.63
1.47/$1


098.8777
7
Attentive
6/1
Cohen D
Diodoro Robertino
TC
95
32.63
1.47/$1


098.4394
8
Morocco
12/1
Santana. Jr. R
Asmussen Steven M.


95
32.63
1.47/$1


097.6817
9
Soulmate
20/1
Samuel J L
Pregman. Jr. John S.


95
32.63
1.47/$1


097.5248
5
Seismic Wave
7/2
Rosario J
Brown Chad C.


95
32.63
1.47/$1


096.8685
3
Castagno
15/1
Cancel E
Kantarmaci Mertkan


95
32.63
1.47/$1


096.0903
4
Artemus Bridge
15/1
Velazquez J R
Klesaris Steve


95
32.63
1.47/$1


095.6128
2
Musical America
5/2
Rosario J
Baker Charlton
E
95
32.63
1.47/$1


095.3468
11
Troubling Moon
10/1
Lezcano J
Arnold. II George R.


95
32.63
1.47/$1


Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 17.07, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5017
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Horse Not Age 3
If Race Is Off Turf Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Best
Occ
Win%
ROI


100.0000
1
Taos
9/2
Saez L
Gargan Danny
L
83
26.51
1.57/$1


099.4244
2
Musical America
5/2
Rosario J
Baker Charlton
S
83
26.51
1.57/$1


098.1215
6
Parlor
3/1
Gaffalione T
Maker Michael J.
W
83
26.51
1.57/$1


097.9772
10
Hieroglyphics
6/1
Ortiz. Jr. I
Schettino Domenick L.
JE
83
26.51
1.57/$1


096.1906
7
Attentive
6/1
Cohen D
Diodoro Robertino
TFC
83
26.51
1.57/$1


095.8988
3
Castagno
15/1
Cancel E
Kantarmaci Mertkan


83
26.51
1.57/$1


095.6041
8
Morocco
12/1
Santana. Jr. R
Asmussen Steven M.


83
26.51
1.57/$1


095.1799
5
Seismic Wave
7/2
Rosario J
Brown Chad C.


83
26.51
1.57/$1


094.9115
11
Troubling Moon
10/1
Lezcano J
Arnold. II George R.


83
26.51
1.57/$1


094.6966
9
Soulmate
20/1
Samuel J L
Pregman. Jr. John S.


83
26.51
1.57/$1


092.7249
4
Artemus Bridge
15/1
Velazquez J R
Klesaris Steve


83
26.51
1.57/$1


Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 39.24, ROI 1.10/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.5756
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
Trainer Dirt YTD_Curr*1.5 (M)
*Scratches may change this condition

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hottie4Sports (https://twitter.com/Hottie4Sports)
MLB
CINCINNATI REDS ‑1.5 ‑160
1
0
+100


XS Sports Picks (http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1132323&page=12)
MLB
MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑1.5 +150
1
1
+15


Silvas Sports (http://www.silvassports.com)
MLB
OAKLAND ATHLETICS +160
1
1
0


R and R Totals (http://www.randrtotals.com/)

No pick yet
1
1
-10


Pure Lock (http://www.purelock.net/)
MLB
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS +115
1
1
-20


Rocketman Sports (http://www.rocketmansports.com/)
MLB
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS ‑135
1
1
-25


Joe Wiz (https://www.joewizsports.com/)
MLB
SAN DIEGO PADRES ‑140
1
1
-30


FURBOOKIE (http://pickmonitor.com/user/furbookie)
MLB
HOUSTON ASTROS ‑165
1
1
-35


The Money Team Wins Sports (https://twitter.com/TMTWMoney)
MLB
NEW YORK METS +1.5 ‑150
1
1
-40


Big Dawg Sports (https://www.facebook.com/groups/902366090629974)

No pick yet
0
1
-110


Mikey Sports (http://www.mikeysports.com/)
MLB
CINCINNATI REDS ‑1.5 ‑160
0
1
-115


Insider Sports Report (http://www.insidersportsreport.com/)

No pick yet
0
1
-115


Winning Cappers (https://winningcappers.net/)
MLB
ATLANTA BRAVES ‑1.5 ‑135
0
1
-125


GreenTreeSports (https://veri.bet/GreenTreeSports.org)

No pick yet
0
2
-200


Top Shelf Sports Pick (https://www.cappertek.com/picks.asp?shs=BestSportsPicksToday.com)

No pick yet
0
1
-210


Top Dog (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)
MLB
CHICAGO CUBS +310
0
0
0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1.
Top Rank Sports Picks (http://www.topranksportspicks.com)
MLB
Angels -130
1-1 (-10)
3-1 (+175)


2.
Insider Sports Report (https://www.insidersportsreport.com)
MLB
Giants over 8.5
0-2 (-215)
3-2-1 (+65)


3.
Joe Wiz (http://www.joewizsports.com)
MLB
Toronto -160
0-2 (-320)
4-3 (+15)


4.
National Sports Service (https://www.nationalsportsservice.com/)
MLB
Brewers under 7
1-0 (+100)
3-3 (-20)


5.
Primetime Sports Picks (http://www.primetimesportspicks.com/)
MLB
Astros -1.5 -120
1-0 (+100)
3-3 (-35)


6.
The Spot Player (http://www.thespotplayer.com)
MLB
Giants -150
1-0 (+100)
2-2 (-55)


7.
Profit On Sports (https://www.profitonsports.com)
MLB
Atlanta -1.5 -135
1-0 (+100)
2-3 (-155)


8.
The Sports Consensus (https://www.thesportsconsensus.com)
MLB
Yankees 10
0-1 (-110)
2-4 (-305)


9.
Doc's Picks (http://www.docspicks.com)
MLB
Texas under 8.5
1-1 (-55)
2-4-1 (-310)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: San Diego/Colorado Over 13 Runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, WEDNESDAY AUGUST 18, 2021
8/18 04:10 PM PT / 7:10 PM ET

MLB (971) LOS ANGELES ANGELS VS (972) DETROIT TIGERS

Take: (972) DETROIT TIGERS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: ATLANTA/MIAMI OVER the total of 8 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U Thursday's Free Selection: New York Mets/Los Angeles Dodgers under 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins ROZ Selections WEDNESDAY, August 18, 2021

FREE MLB
968. Yankees -1.15 (4:05 PT / 7:05 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports
Wednesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Houston Astros - 160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports Wednesday's Free Play: Washington Nationals + 155

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: San Francisco w/Desclafani -155 over NY Mets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 18, 2021

FREE MLB
959. Brewers -1.22 (4:45 PT / 7:45 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Wednesday Selection Is
SEATTLE STORM +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Wednesday : Take HOUSTON/KANSAS CITY UNDER the total of 10 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Wednesday
Atlanta Morton -183

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hawkeye Sports Wednesday's Free Pick: Atlanta Braves - 185

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Huddle Up Sports
Wednesday Free Play
Houston Greinke -160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph FreePlay 9-4 run WED" Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Last Call Wednesday's Free Play: Texas Rangers + 153

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teyas Sports FREE PICK 8/18 MLB LA ANGELS UNDER 8 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Wednesday: SEATTLE/TEXAS UNDER the total of 8½ runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Wednesday: Oakland Athletics + 160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Wednesday:
DET TIGERS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Wednesday:
Oak/Chic. W Sox UNDER 9 runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hollywood Anthony Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take Detroit Under 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Tudor SPORTS TUDOR'S FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY

MLB Atlanta(C.Morton)-185 OVER Miami(J.Luzardo)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Winners for Wednesay, August 18th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE MLB PICKS
Angels @ Tigers
TIME: 7:10 PM EST
PICK: Bet OVER 8.5 @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday, August 18th, 2021 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!FREE MLB PICKS
Mariners @ Rangers
TIME: 8:05 PM EST
PICKS: BET Mariners -1.5 -105 @ BOVADA (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price Aug 18 '21, 7:10 PM in 12m
MLB | Braves vs Marlins
Play on: Braves -1½ -125 at Mirage

Dave's Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-125)
The Key: The Atlanta Braves are 12-2 in their last 14 games overall with 9 wins by 2 runs or more. They have outscored the Marlins 14-2 in this series thus far and it should be more of the same Wednesday. The Braves have the edge on the rubber with Charlie Morton, who is 11-4 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 24 starts this year. Morton is 6-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 10 road starts. He fired 7 shutout innings in a 5-0 victory over the Marlins in his last start against them on July 9th. Jesus Luzardo is 3-4 with a 6.96 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in 9 starts this year for the Marlins. He sports a 9.20 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in his last 3 outings as well. Take Atlanta on the Run Line.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Aug 18 '21, 7:30 PM in 32m
Soccer | Montreal vs FC Cincinnati
Play on: Montreal +240 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on Montreal +240

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn Aug 18 '21, 7:30 PM in 32m
Soccer | Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami
Play on: Inter Miami -105 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Inter Miami -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Aug 18 '21, 7:45 PM in 47m
MLB | Brewers vs Cardinals
Play on: Cardinals +112 at Caesars

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: St. Louis Cardinals +112
I'm back on the Cardinals today as a free pick after they lost a tough 2-0 game to the Milwaukee Brewers last night. The Cardinals are still 8-2 in their last 10 games overall and have scored 4 runs or more in 11 of their last 12 games.
Ace Jack Flaherty gets the ball for the Cardinals. He is 9-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 0.971 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 4-0 with a 1.44 ERA and 0.720 WHIP in four home starts. He made a successful return from the IL by pitching 6 shutout innings in a 6-0 win over the Royals last time out. The Cardinals are 10-2 in Flaherty's 12 starts this season.
Freddy Peralta has posted great season-long stats for the Brewers, but he should not be a road favorite over Flaherty and the Cardinals tonight. Peralta has never beaten them, going 0-1 with a 4.66 ERA in four career starts against St. Louis. Bet the Cardinals Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander Aug 18 '21, 7:45 PM in 47m
MLB | MIL vs STL
Play on: UNDER 7 -103

1* MLB - Brewers/Cardinals FREE PICK on UNDER 7
Wednesday's Free MLB Pick is on the UNDER 7 between the St Louis Cardinals and Milwaukee Brewers. We had a pitching duel on Tuesday, as Milwaukee's Burners got the best of the Cardinals Wainwright in a 2-0 Brewers win. I expect more of the same tonight, as we got another great pitching matchup. Milwaukee will turn to Freddy Peralta, who has a 2.30 ERA in 21 starts. St Louis will give the ball to Jack Flaherty, who just recently returned. The long break didn't seem to bother him, as he gave up just 2 hits over 6 scoreless innings at KC. Bet the UNDER 7!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer Aug 18 '21, 7:45 PM in 47m
MLB | Brewers vs Cardinals
Play on: Brewers -108 at pinnacle

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR WEDNESDAY, 8/18:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Wednesday is the Milwaukee Brewers with the money-line versus the St. Louis Cardinals listing both starting pitchers Freddy Peralta and Jack Flaherty. Milwaukee (73-47) has won seven of their last eight games after a 2-0 victory against the Cardinals in the opening game of this series last night. The Brewers ave won 38 of their last 51 games after a win. Milwaukee has also won 22 of their last 29 road games when favored. St. Louis (61-57) has lost 5 of their last 7 games at home. The Cardinals have also lost 5 of their last 7 games as a money-line underdog. Take Milwaukee with the money-line listing Peralta and Flaherty. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Aug 18 '21, 8:05 PM in 1h
MLB | SEA vs TEX
Play on: UNDER 9 -115

Free Total Annihilator On Mariners vs Rangers under 9 -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Aug 18 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
MLB | A's vs White Sox
Play on: A's +165 at SC Consensus

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Oakland A's +165
The Oakland A's have a much better chance of winning this game than the +165 odds would indicate. They will be looking to bounce back from two losses to the White Sox to open this series. Cole Irvin has posted some solid numbers this season with a 3.52 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 23 starts and a 3.30 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 11 road starts, so he has been consistent both home and away. The A's are 42-15 against AL Central opponents over the last three seasons. Give me the A's.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Aug 18 '21, 8:30 PM in 1h
Soccer | Seattle Sounders FC vs FC Dallas
Play on: FC Dallas +135 at Caesars

1* Free Pick on FC Dallas +135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

951CHICAGO CUBS -952 CINCINNATI
CHICAGO CUBS are 2-12 SU (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season in the current season.

953SAN DIEGO -954 COLORADO
COLORADO is 38-17 SU (26 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

955NY METS -956 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-17 SU (28.5 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

957ATLANTA -958 MIAMI
ATLANTA is 12-2 SU (10.2 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season in the current season.

959MILWAUKEE -960 ST LOUIS
MILWAUKEE is 25-9 SU (15.6 Units) in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.

961PHILADELPHIA -962 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 28-14 SU (12.6 Units) in home games after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals in the last 3 seasons.

963PITTSBURGH -964 LA DODGERS
PITTSBURGH is 22-33 SU (-22.3 Units) in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

965CLEVELAND -966 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 9-30 SU (-25.2 Units) vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the current season.

967BOSTON -968 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 63-42 SU (16.8 Units) in home games in night games in the last 3 seasons.

969BALTIMORE -970 TAMPA BAY
BALTIMORE is 11-31 SU (-23.1 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, August 18

https://i.ibb.co/NKv58CH/Screenshot-2021-08-18-at-06-06-23-MLB-Baseball-Picks-The-Dunkel-Index.png (https://ibb.co/fHgfhFP)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Wednesday, August 18

Trend Report

Chi Cubs @ Cincinnati
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Cleveland @ Minnesota
Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Minnesota's last 15 games when playing at home against Cleveland

San Diego @ Colorado
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

NY Mets @ San Francisco
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games on the road
NY Mets is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco
San Francisco is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
San Francisco is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

Toronto @ Washington
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Washington's last 16 games

Boston @ NY Yankees
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games on the road
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

LA Angels @ Detroit
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Detroit
LA Angels is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home

Atlanta @ Miami
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Miami's last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

Milwaukee @ St. Louis
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Seattle @ Texas
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 8 games when playing at home against Seattle

Oakland @ Chi White Sox
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Oakland is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Chi White Sox is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Oakland

Houston @ Kansas City
Houston
Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Kansas City's last 17 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 13 games at home

Philadelphia @ Arizona
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

Pittsburgh @ LA Dodgers
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Weather Report

Wednesday, August 18

https://i.ibb.co/grsYJD8/Screenshot-2021-08-18-at-09-14-14-MLB-Weather-Report-Find-Upcoming-Conditions-for-the-MLB.png (https://ibb.co/b6ptXrV)