Service Plays Saturday 8/21/21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?53-NFL-Football)

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?54-NCAA-Football)

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?57-ML-Baseball)

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?55-NCAA-Basketball)

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?56-NBA-Basketball)

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey (http://www.investwithsports.com/newforum/forumdisplay.php?58-NHL-Hockey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andrew McInnis
5% [EPL] Norwich City at Manchester City
Total Over 3.5 (-120)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tokyo Brandon

(304651) Hanwha Eagles at (304652) Doosan Bears
Game: (304651) Hanwha Eagles at (304652) Doosan Bears
Date/Time: Aug 21 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php)
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Doosan Bears Total Under 4.5 (-118)

Doosan has a great lineup but they average 5.01 runs a game and they face a pitcher in Carpenter who has allowed 1 or less runs in his last three starts and allowed 0 in 6 the last time he faced Doosan. Hanwha also has a good bullpen, and Doosan is at home meaning if they are leading they do not bat in the 9th. Take the Doosan team total Under 4.5.

(304657) LG Twins at (304658) NC Dinos
Game: (304657) LG Twins at (304658) NC Dinos
Date/Time: Aug 21 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 2%
Play: LG Twins Total Under 5.5 (+100)

LG is one of the worst hitting teams in Korea. This number is inflated because NC SP Lee Jae Hak has a bloated 6+ ERA but a closer look says he is not that bad. His last three starts and his career numbers indicate he is a good SP and the NC bullpen is pretty good as well. 5.5 seems too high. Bet the LG team total Under 5.5.

(304655) Kiwoom Heroes at (304656) KIA Tigers
Game: (304655) Kiwoom Heroes at (304656) KIA Tigers
Date/Time: Aug 21 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php)
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Kiwoom Heroes -150

Jokisch is madly consistent and he has dominated Kia. Kia has one of the worst lineups in the league and Jokisch has allowed 1 or less runs in his last 3 starts against better lineups. The price is steep but I don't see Kia winning the first five. Take Kiwoom 1st 5 money line.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tokyo Brandon

304123) Yokohama Baystars at (304124) Yomiuri Giants
Game: (304123) Yokohama Baystars at (304124) Yomiuri Giants
Date/Time: Aug 21 2021 1:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Yomiuri Giants -1.0 (-110)

This is a -1 alt run line which means if the Giants win by 1 it is a push. Yokohama SP Romero has been a disaster with a 2+ WHIP and has allowed 17 runs in his last 4 starts. Yomiuri is one of the best lineups in the game. They have the SP, lineup and bullpen advantages and have won 8 of 10 vs Yokohama. Take Yomiuri on the -1 or money line for -160.

(304123) Yokohama Baystars at (304124) Yomiuri Giants
Game: (304123) Yokohama Baystars at (304124) Yomiuri Giants
Date/Time: Aug 21 2021 1:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Total Over 8.0 (-110)

My numbers have this total at 9.4, two shaky SPs and two power lineups plus two bad bullpens means an over play. These teams are 4-9 to the over so keep it a low 2% play.


304121) Seibu Lions at (304122) Orix Buffaloes
Game: (304121) Seibu Lions at (304122) Orix Buffaloes
Date/Time: Aug 21 2021 1:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Orix Buffaloes -1.0 (-115)

This is the -1 alt run line because the money line is -170. If your book does not offer an alt line take the 3 way money line or money line. Miyagi has been great this season and the last time vs Seibu he allowed 2 in 8 innings. He has a 0.8 WHIP at the Kyocera Dome and Orix has the bullpen, SP and runs per game advantages. Take Orix.

(304131) Yakult Swallows at (304132) Hiroshima Carp
Game: (304131) Yakult Swallows at (304132) Hiroshima Carp
Date/Time: Aug 21 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Yakult Swallows Total Over 3.5 (-120)

The Swallows are the best hitting team in Japan right now and average 5 runs a game. They face a poor SP and a bad bullpen and I see no reason why they can not eclipse this low hurdle. My numbers have the total at 5.1. This number is good because last time vs Yakult Ohmichi held them to 1 run in 7 innings. Take advantage of the number.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Elite Sports Picks

Seattle (Gilbert)/Houston (Odorizzi) OVER 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Insider Sports Report

5* San Francisco (Gausman) -125 over Oakland (Manaea)
Range: -105 to -145

3* Miami -5 over Atlanta (NFL)
Range: -3 to -7

3* N.Y. Mets (Hill)/L.A. Dodgers (Scherzer) UNDER 9
Range: 9.5 to 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

National Sports Service

4* Chicago White Sox (Keuchel) +110 over Tampa Bay (Patino)

3* Tennessee/Tampa Bay UNDER 35 (NFL)

3* Denver -5 over Seattle (NFL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Sports Picks

MEMBER PICKS For 08/21/21

4 Unit --> San Francisco (Gausman) -125 over Oakland (Manaea)

3 Unit --> Indianapolis +2 over Minnesota (NFL)

3 Unit --> Las Vegas/L.A. Rams UNDER 35 (NFL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top Rank Sports Picks

Marquee Picks® For 08/21/21

4★ N.Y. Mets (Hill)/L.A. Dodgers (Scherzer) UNDER 9

3★ Chicago -4.5 over Buffalo (NFL)

3★ Colorado (Freeland) -155 over Arizona (Gallen)

[kajok]

Alan Scozzari Sport

Guaranteed B Wager
Spain LaLiga
Villarreal 0 -0,5 +110

Tip of the day B Wager
England Championship
Blackburn - West Brom
UNDER 2,5 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

NL games
Miami (51-72) @ Cincinnati (67-57)
— Thompson is 0-3, 4.38 in his last five starts.
— Marlins are 3-8 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 2-8-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Marlins lost their last five games.
— Miami is 1-8 in last nine road games.
— over 12-7 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-123
— record in first 5 innings: 44-58-21

— Miley is 2-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 14-8 in his starts.
— over 4-0-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 13-7-2
— He is 5-3, 3.11 in 11 starts vs Miami.

— Cincinnati is 20-14 in its last 34 games.
— Reds won eight of last ten home games.
— over 11-7 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-123
— record in first 5 innings: 60-48-16

Washington (53-68) @ Milwaukee (74-49)
— Espino is 0-2, 10.80 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 4-7 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-1
— He threw one scoreless inning in relief vs Milwaukee

— Washington is 11-25 in its last 36 games.
— Nationals are 2-6 in last eight road games.
— over 14-4 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-121
— record in first 5 innings: 50-51-20

— Lauer is 3-1, 1.39 in his last six starts.
— Milwaukee is 6-6 in his starts.
— under 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-1
— He is 0-1, 2.89 in three starts vs Washington.

— Brewers are 21-10 in last 31 games.
— Milwaukee is 3-5 in last eight home games.
— under 7-2 last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-123
— record in first 5 innings: 64-38-21

Pittsburgh (43-79) @ St Louis (62-59)
— Peters gave up 2 runs in 4.2 IP (75 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— Pirates are 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against St Louis.

— Pirates are 7-27 in last 34 games.
— Pittsburgh is 2-10 in last 12 road games.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 30-121
— record in first 5 innings: 36-71-14

— Happ is 2-0, 1.62 in three starts for St Louis.
— Cardinals are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— He is 6-3, 2.54 in 12 starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Cardinals are 9-4 in last 13 games.
— St Louis is 4-8 in its last 12 home games.
— Under is 8-5 in their last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 42-121
— record in first 5 innings: 53-48-20

Arizona (41-82) @ Colorado (56-66)
— Gallen is 0-3, 7.09 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 3-12 in his starts
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9
— He is 1-1, 3.00 in five starts vs Colorado.

— Arizona won six of last eight games.
— Arizona is 3-10 in its last 13 road games.
— under 6-3-2 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 17-122
— record in first 5 innings: 46-65-11

— Freeland is 3-0, 3.94 in his last three starts.
— Rockies are 7-8 in his starts.
— under 11-4
— allowed run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-4
— He is 3-5, 5.85 in 14 starts vs Arizona.

— Colorado won five of last six games.
— Rockies are 42-21 at home, 14-45 on road.
— over 5-2 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 41-122
— record in first 5 innings: 51-55-16

Mets (60-62) @ Los Angeles (77-46)
— Former Dodger Hill is 0-0, 4.82 in four starts.
— Mets are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He threw 6 shutout IP in one start vs Los Angeles.

— Mets are 25-37 in their last 62 games.
— Mets are 2-10 in last 12 road games.
— under 8-1 last nine road games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-122
— record in first 5 innings: 49-61-12

— Scherzer is 2-0, 2.20 in three starts for LA.
— Dodgers are 3-0 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-6
— He is 13-5, 2.71 in 24 starts vs New York.

— Dodgers are 18-6 in last 24 games.
— Dodgers are 10-2 in last 12 home games.
— under 9-3 last 12 home games
— scored run in first inning: 41-122
— record in first 5 innings: 66-37-19

Philadelphia (62-60) @ San Diego (67-57)
— Nola is 0-1, 5.12 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 11-13 in his starts.
— over 12-11-
— allowed run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-1
— He is 2-3, 3.66 in six starts vs San Diego.

— Phillies lost four of last five games.
— Phillies are 36-25 at home, 26-35 on road.
— over 5-3-1 last nine road games.
— scored run in first inning: 38-122
— record in first 5 innings: 51-47-24

— Musgrove is 3-1, 3.00 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 12-11 in his starts.
— over 7-4 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 5-23
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-3
— He is 2-0, 1.20 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Philadelphia.

— Padres lost eight of last nine games.
— San Diego is 4-2 in last six home games.
— over 13-8-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-124
— record in first 5 innings: 50-56-18

AL games
Minnesota (54-69) @ Bronx (71-52)
— Maeda is 2-0, 3.63 in his last four starts.
— Twins are 8-12 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-6
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Minnesota is 6-4 in its last ten games.
— Twins are 5-5 in last ten road games.
— over 14-8-1 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-123
— record in first 5 innings: 37-62-24

— Cole is 3-2, 3.78 in his last five starts.
— New York is 5-7 in his last 12 starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-5
— He is 2-0, 1.36 in two starts vs Minnesota.

— New York is 30-10 in last 40 games.
— New York is 15-2 in last 17 home games.
— over 19-10 last 29 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-124
— record in first 5 innings: 52-43-29

Detroit (57-65) @ Toronto (63-56)
— Peralta is 0-0, 8.31 in his last four starts.
— Detroit is 6-5 in his starts.
— over 5-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 8-1-2
— He is 1-0, 4.58 in 7 games (2 starts) vs Toronto.

— Detroit is 2-5 in its last seven games.
— Detroit is 5-1 in last six road games.
— under 13-6-1 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-124
— record in first 5 innings: 17-12-2 last 30

— Ryu is 2-1, 5.16 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 8-2 in his last ten starts.
— over 11-3-1 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 7-23
— record in first 5 innings: 14-8-1
— He is 0-1, 8.59 in two starts vs Detroit.

— Toronto is 1-5 in last six games.
— Blue Jays are 9-3 in last 12 home games.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-119
— record in first 5 innings: 20-11-2 last 33

Angels (62-61) @ Cleveland (59-61)
— Detmers is 1-2, 7.04 in three starts.
— Angels are 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

— Angels are 4-2 in their last six games.
— Angels are 9-5 in last 14 road games.
— under 15-5 last 20 road games
— scored run in first inning: 39-124
— record in first 5 innings: 53-56-15

— McKenzie is 1-1, 2.14 in his last three starts.
— Indians are 7-10 in his starts.
— over 9-6 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Anaheim.

— Cleveland is 19-31 in last 50 games.
— Indians are 6-8 in last 14 home games.
— over 5-2-1 last eight games
— scores run in first inning: 37-120
— record in first 5 innings: 46-56-18

White Sox (72-51) @ Tampa Bay (75-48)
— Keuchel is 1-3, 5.40 in his last five starts.
— White Sox are 13-10 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-23
— record in first 5 innings: 15-6-2
— He is 2-5, 4.18 in nine starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Chicago is 9-5 in last 14 games.
— White Sox are 7-7 in last 14 road games.
— under 8-4 last 12 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 37-123
— record in first 5 innings: 70-35-18

— Patino is 0-1, 5.79 in his last three starts.
— Rays are 4-5 in his starts.
— under 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 2-7
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— Tampa Bay won 15 of last 21 games.
— Rays are 9-3 in last 12 home games.
— over 11-2-1 last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 38-123
— record in first 5 innings: 49-47-27

Texas (41-79) @ Boston (70-54)
— Lyles is 0-5, 7.46 in his last six starts.
— Rangers are 3-11 in his last 14 starts.
— over 8-4 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 11-24
— record in first 5 innings: 7-16-1
— He is 0-1, 8.56 in three starts vs Boston.

— Texas lost 28 of last 34 games.
— Texas is 1-17 in last 18 road games.
— over 7-5 last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-122
— record in first 5 innings: 37-69-16

— Rodriguez is 2-0, 1.65 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 15-8 in his starts.
— under 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 8-23
— record in first 5 innings: 13-8-2
— He is 3-0, 4.91 in five starts vs Texas.

— Boston lost three of last four games.
— Red Sox are 5-1 in last six home games.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 42-125
— record in first 5 innings: 56-50-19

Seattle (65-57) @ Houston (72-50)
— Gilbert is 0-2, 6.00 in his last three starts.
— Mariners are 11-5 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 1-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Seattle won seven of last nine games.
— Seattle is 4-5 in last nine road games.
— under 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-123
— record in first 5 innings: 55-54-14

— Odorizzi is 1-1, 7.43 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 7-9 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-1
— He is 1-1, 6.30 in two starts vs Seattle this year.

— Astros lost four of last six games.
— Astros are 10-4 in last 14 home games.
— under 10-5-2 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-122
— record in first 5 innings: 66-39-17

Interleague games
Kansas City (54-68) @ Cubs (54-70)
— Bubic is 0-2, 6.50 in his last four starts.
— Kansas City is 8-5 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 6 IP, in one start vs Chicago.

— Royals won four of last five games.
— Royals are 4-6 in last ten road games.
— under 20-7-3 last 30 games.
— scores run in first inning: 26-124
— record in first 5 innings: 43-60-21

— bullpen game

— Cubs are 12-37 in last 49 games.
— Chicago lost last 11 home games.
— Under is 4-1 in last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-124
— record in first 5 innings: 49-61-14

Atlanta (66-56) @ Baltimore (38-83)
— Smyly is 1-0, 4.55 in his last six starts (22.2 IP).
— Braves are 11-1 in his last 12 starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-21
— record in first 5 innings: 13-5-3
— He is 4-2, 4.70 in 11 games (8 starts) vs Baltimore.

— Braves won 14 of last 16 games.
— Atlanta won its last 11 road games.
— over 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 44-122
— record in first 5 innings: 63-42-17

— Harvey is 0-2, 6.59 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 11-13 in his starts.
— under 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-4
— He is 4-7, 4.94 in 13 starts vs Atlanta.

— Orioles are 0-16 in last 16 games.
— Baltimore is 21-45 on road, 17-38 at home.
— over is 4-2-1 in last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-121
— record in first 5 innings: 38-66-17

San Francisco (78-44) @ Oakland (70-53)
— Gausman is 3-0, 3.38 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 16-8 in his starts.
— over 8-3 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 7-24
— record in first 5 innings: 16-5-3
— He is 1-3, 2.87 in six starts vs Oakland.

— Giants are 20-12 since All-Star break.
— Giants are 7-3 in last ten road games.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 36-122
— record in first 5 innings: 66-42-14

— Manaea is 0-1, 12.27 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 15-9 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 11-9-4
— He is 2-2, 2.51 in six starts vs San Francisco.

— A’s lost five of last eight games.
— Oakland is 7-1 in last eight home games.
— Over is 10-6-1 in their last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-123
— record in first 5 innings: 52-50-21

Saturday’s umpires
NY-LA— Home side is 17-5 in last 22 Hudson games.
Wsh-Mil— Over is 7-0-2 in last nine Segal games.
Mia-Cin— Under is 10-5 in last 15 Wolf games.
Pitt-StL— Under is 7-2 in last nine Ortiz games.
Ariz-Colo— Over is 7-4 in last 11 O’Nora games.
Phil-SD— Under is 6-1 in last seven Morales games.

Minn-NY— Over is 13-4 in last 17 Hernandez games.
Chi-TB— Home side won last five Davis games.
Det-Tor— Underdogs are 5-3 in last eight Lentz games.
LAA-Clev— Under is 11-4 in last 15 DeJesus games.
Sea-Hst— Over is 9-2-1 in last dozen Johnson games.
Tex-Bos— Over is 11-3 in last 14 Iassogna games.

KC-Chi— Over is 17-5-1 in Meals games
SF-A’s— Over is 8-4 in last 12 Cuzzi games
Atl-Balt— Under is 6-2 in last eight Wendelstedt games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

mega-bet-ticket
Brighton – Watford : Over 2 @ 1.70
Lugo – R. Sociedad B : Over 2 @ 1.85
Total Odds : 3.14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

pickstennis
WTA – SINGLES: Cincinnati (USA)
Pliskova Ka. – Teichmann J. B.
Under 21.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

both-to-score
EGYPT: Premier League
National Bank Egypt – Ghazl El Mahallah
Both to score : YES @ 2.10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

teamronaldinho
German – Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin – Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg Over 1.5 @ 2.10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt

NFL

Published 8/19

Houston Texans @ Dallas Cowboys | 8/21 | 8 PM

Cowboys -3.5

Houston is coming off of an impressive showing vs the Green Bay Packers, in a much needed distraction from what's been going on with their franchise this offseason. However, rookie QB Davis Mills was a bit inconsistent in that game, and found himself under duress a lot. Dallas needs a great defensive showing this week, better than what they showed against the Cardinals. Look for them to get a confidence boost against a Texans team trying to still figure out its roster.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White

NFL

Published 8/19

New York Jets @ Green Bay Packers | 8/21 | 4:25 P.M. ET

Jets -2.5

With the Jets coming off a win and the Packers off a loss, I wanted to like the home team here, and you should be ready to play them if this line gets to Packers +3 and Jordan Love is cleared to play. But with Love's status up in the air and no chance Aaron Rodgers sees the field for an extended time, it's hard to go against the Jets at this number knowing that Kurt Benkert and/or a street free agent will play the majority of the time against a Robert Saleh coached defense. The Packers defense had no answer for the Texans rushing offense last week, and Mike LaFleur's offense should be a tougher test in that regard as well.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White

NFL

Published 8/18

Buffalo Bills @ Chicago Bears | 8/21 | 1 P.M. ET

Bills +5

Justin Fields gave Bears fans plenty to be excited about in his preseason debut, but he should see more resistance against a Bills defense that improved its depth during the offseason and shut the Lions offense down until the fourth quarter last week. And the Bills have the decided advantage early when the first-string offenses are still playing. I was prepared to take the Bears at a short number here, but five points is just too many. The best play here may be to take the Bills in the first half, particularly if you're catching at least three points, then come back and play the Bears in the second half.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog

NFLX

Seattle+5 vs denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe
MLB
2:20 PM EST
Rotation #925-926
Royals/Cubs Over 9.5 runs
Bubic/Thompson
We will have a hot, humid and windy day at Wrigley. Both pitchers are very young and are pretty good, but they do allow a lot of walks per 9 innings. You love to see this when you bet overs. The Cubs couldn’t hit the ball last night, but should do so today as they are a little better against left handed pitchers. Look for a high scoring game. Take the Over.

[dawggy]

JM SPORTS



Game: (425) Denver Broncos at (426) Seattle Seahawks
Date/Time: Aug 21 2021 10:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Denver Broncos -5.0 (-110)

4% Denver -5 Seattle





Game: (903) Washington Nationals at (904) Milwaukee Brewers
Date/Time: Aug 21 2021 4:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: 1H Milwaukee Brewers -0.5 (-140) P Espino (RHP), E Lauer (LHP) Must Start

3unit MILW W/ Lauer FIRST FIVE w/ Lauer -½ run -140 (WASH with Espino)

[FATMANWINS]

ats
5 tampa
5 clev
5 balt over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers NFL X

3% Miami Dolphins -5 (-110)
3% Carolina Panthers +3' (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant

5% - under 8 SF/Oakland, Action

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo

5% - San Diego Padres, ACTION

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFLX Sharp Action

4:25 p.m. ET: New York Jets at Green Bay Packers

The Jets (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) took care of business in their preseason opener, beating the cross town rival Giants 12-7 and covering as 1.5-point road favorites. Meanwhile, the Packers (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) fell to the Texans 26-7 in Week 1, losing straight up as 3-point home favorites. This non-conference showdown opened with Green Bay listed as a short 2.5-point home favorite. Wiseguys have pounced on the Jets, flipping New York from + 2.5 to -2.5. The Jets are in a classic sharp "dog to favorite" spot. This move to New York came on the heels of the news that Green Bay is unlikely to play quarterback Jordan Love due to a shoulder injury. With Love hurt and Green Bay sitting Aaron Rodgers, the Packers only have two healthy quarterbacks for today's game: Kurt Benkert and Jake Dolegala. Sharps have placed an "information based" bet on the Jets as a result. For those who missed the early number on the Jets but still want to follow the sharp move, a moneyline play on New York (-145) may be more appetizing than laying an inflated number. We've also seen pros hit this under, dropping the total from 34 to 31.5. Preseason unders that fall at least a point are 70-50 (58%) since 2014.

7:30 p.m. ET: Tennessee Titans at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Titans (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) dominated the Falcons 23-3 in last week's preseason opener, easily covering as 1-point road favorites. On the flip side, the Bucs (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) fell to the lowly Bengals 19-14, losing straight up as 6-point home favorites. This line opened with Tampa Bay listed as a 3-point home favorite. Bucs head coach Bruce Arians announced that Tom Brady is unlikely to play. Arians added "We probably won't play any starters." Following this news, wiseguys have hammered Tennessee plus the points, moving the Titans from + 3 to + 1. Some books are even falling to a pick'em. Preseason dogs with line moves in their favor are 66-46 ATS (59%) since 2014. Pros have also targeted the under with Tampa resting their offensive firepower, dropping the total from 37 to 35.


10 p.m. ET: Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks

The Broncos (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) looked impressive in their preseason opener, crushing the Vikings 33-6 as 1.5-point road favorites. Meanwhile, the Seahawks (0-1 SU. 0-1 ATS) got throttled by the Raiders 20-7, failing to cover as 1.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Denver listed as a short 2.5-point road favorite. Sharps have rushed to the window to lay the points with the Broncos, driving Denver up from -2.5 to -5. Preseason teams with a line move in their favor who missed the playoffs the previous year against teams who made the playoffs are 84-70 ATS (55%) the last decade. One reason to lean toward Denver: the QB competition. With Drew Lock competing with Teddy Bridgewater, both quarterbacks are expected to play several series and both are incentivized to play well and score points in order to win the job. Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll hasn't announced whether he'll play Russell Wilson and other key starters (Wilson sat out the preseason opener). The total is 37.5, which puts it above the "magic number." Totals of 37 or higher as 8-0 to the under this preseason and 62% since 2014.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast Sports

4 Minn-2 (goy)
3 NYJ -2.5
3 Hou/Dall under 37

[rocky57]

H&H Sports
Update #1

MLB
Triple Dime - Tampa Bay Rays -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Winningham
3 leg time zone parlay
nyy
Bears under
Bucs under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Bollman

CHI. WHITE SOX @ TAMPA BAY | 08/21 | 1:10 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -130
ANALYSIS: Luis Patino vs. Dallas Keuchel, and both pitchers have had their struggles with walks this season. Howeve, Patino is much better at home. Tim Anderson and Luis Robert are out of the lineup today and the Rays have one of the best home records in the league. Take the Rays at home.

+1593 54-41 IN LAST 95 MLB ML PICKS
+611 15-9 IN LAST 24 CHW ML PICKS
11:13 AM

KANSAS CITY @ CHI. CUBS | 08/21 | 2:20 PM EDT
KANSAS CITY +105
ANALYSIS: Kris Bubic was hit hard last time out against the Cardinals, but that was his second time seeing the lineup in a row and he had been pitching well before that. The Cubs also tend to struggle against lefties. Keegan Thompson has been good but he should only go 2 innings or so in a bullpen game. Sal Perez is in the lineup after getting banged up yesterday, take the Royals.

+1593 54-41 IN LAST 95 MLB ML PICKS
+581 22-10 IN LAST 32 CHC ML PICKS
11:13 AM

MINNESOTA @ N.Y. YANKEES | 08/21 | 1:05 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -216
ANALYSIS: Gerrit Cole vs. Kenta Maeda in a day game today. Gerritt Cole’s recent numbers are inflated by a poor performance against the Rays, who for whatever reason, own him. He has actually been pitching really well including a quality start against the Twins earlier this season. Kenta Maeda is pitching well too but he is much worse on the road with a 5.77 ERA. The Yankees have the best record in the league the past month, take the Yankees at home.

+1593 54-41 IN LAST 95 MLB ML PICKS
+1318 40-24 IN LAST 64 MIN ML PICKS
+100 2-1 IN LAST 3 NYY ML PICKS
11:12 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharpfootballtotals
vikings UND 37.5
Broncos OV 37.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Justin Perri

KANSAS CITY @ CHI. CUBS | 08/21 | 2:20 PM EDT
OVER 9.5
ANALYSIS: This is a weather-correlated play with the wind blowing out at Wrigley and the Air Density Index lower than average. It also does not hurt to have two pitchers who are mediocre at best in Kris Bubic and Keegan Thompson. Thompson is an opener who likely won't finish the third or fourth inning, and Bubic has a .486 xSLG and a 6.10 road ERA. These offenses are both worrisome for Overs, but 1) Kansas City getting an extended look at the Cubs bullpen; 2) a subpar Bubic on the road and 3) good hitting conditions give this enough value at -105.

+1076 25-11-1 IN LAST 37 MLB PICKS
+800 8-0 IN LAST 8 CHC O/U PICKS
12:24 PM

MINNESOTA @ N.Y. YANKEES | 08/21 | 1:05 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -1.5
ANALYSIS: Kenta Maeda has a 5.77 ERA on the road compared to just 2.13 at home. Gerrit Cole has looked sharp in his return and should limit the Twins while the Yankees continue to sound off. Maeda has allowed 14 HR on the road in just 64 innings, and the Yankees have scored five or more runs in eight of their last 10 games. Plus, only once in the last 24 meetings between these teams has the game been decided by one run. Run line is the way to go.

+1076 25-11-1 IN LAST 37 MLB PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 MIN ATS PICKS
+100 2-1 IN LAST 3 NYY ATS PICKS
11:57 AM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

FireKeepers Casino 400

1 #18 Kyle Busch (+650) - He only has one Cup win at Michigan, which is very surprising considering he has four wins at Fontana, which is almost the same layout as Michigan. The reason he offers so much value this week is that he's been the best collectively on the tracks using the high downforce race package with engines producing only 550 horsepower. Kyle Larson has led the most laps with it, but Busch has both his wins using it and has finished in the top-five in the last seven races using it after starting the season with a 10th-place at Homestead in February. He's beat Larson head to head in the last three races using this week's race package and Larson will likely be a -165 favorite over Busch on Sunday in head-to-head matchups. Might as well bet that too.

2 #5 Kyle Larson (+300) - Even before Larson was dominating NASCAR, he was winning at Michigan. He won three straight Michigan races in 2016-17. But he's been better with the 750 HP package, which has been raced 14 times already. He'll be great here rim-riding around the top of the track, but isn't attractive at 3-to-1 odds offered by Caesars Sportsbook when Kyle Busch is rated higher with this package. Scout around for the best odds if betting Larson to win.

3 #9 Chase Elliott (+750) - In 10 Michigan Cup starts he has a 7.7 average finish, which is best among active drivers. He's only had two top-five finishes in the eight races using the high downforce package and the last one was a runner-up at Charlotte in late May, which is the last time Larson won with this package.

4 #48 Alex Bowman (20/1) - This is the bet I'm most excited about this week after two weeks of inactivity due to the Olympics taking over NBC and two weeks of dreadful road course racing. His last start using the high downforce package was at Atlanta, where he finished fourth and was the top Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet. Before that he was seventh at Pocono after leading 18 laps, and before that he won at Pocono leading 16 laps.

5 #2 Brad Keselowski (12/1) - He's from Michigan, so he should have an edge, right? No, he's had a few heartache losses there, but no wins in 23 Cup starts. Last season he was runner-up in the Saturday race (two races, same weekend). He has seven top-fives at Michigan overall. I'll be betting him in a few driver matchups because he's been very competitive with this week's race package. He was third at Pocono after leading a race-high 31 laps. He was runner-up in the non-points All-Star Race at Texas, and he was runner-up at Las Vegas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy WNBA -24.1u (30-31-2)

4 units MIN -2 vs CHI

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

3* Barcelona -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

3* Giants -110

[dawggy]

Oskeim


MLB 3* RedSox R/L

NFLX 2* RAMS


NFLX 2* SEAHAWKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

3* Indians -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

3* Lions +6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports

5* Westwood +100 Over Tringale Round 3
4* Lyon -150
4* Barcelona -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

4* Lynx -2
4* Rays -130
3* Atalanta -175

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tokyo Brandon

901) New York Mets at (902) Los Angeles Dodgers
Game: (901) New York Mets at (902) Los Angeles Dodgers
Date/Time: Aug 21 2021 4:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Dodgers First to Score and Win

This is an unusual prop but we get plus money for it because the Dodgers must score first and win the game. The money line is far too high of odds to take but since the Mets bat first the price is good. Max Scherzer is on the mound with a 0.7 WHIP I think the chances are very high he holds the Mets for a few innings. Alonzo is the only batter who is a threat. This is a great price for this prop.

(921) Seattle Mariners at (922) Houston Astros
Game: (921) Seattle Mariners at (922) Houston Astros
Date/Time: Aug 21 2021 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Houston Astros -1.0 (-105) L Gilbert (RHP), J Odorizzi (RHP) Must Start

Jake Odorizzi gets a bad rap but he is actually a pretty good pitcher at home. In his career he holds the Mariners to a low batting average .188 but he has allowed 5 HRs in 60 ABs. His numbers are night and day home and away I think he will be ok at home. Logan Gilbert has one great start in his last 5 but in his other 4 starts he has allowed 15 runs. The Astros are #1 against LHP, #1 against RHP, the best team in the last 30 days and are on a roll. Take them on the -1 alt run line. If they win by 1 it is a push.

(911) Philadelphia Phillies at (912) San Diego Padres
Game: (911) Philadelphia Phillies at (912) San Diego Padres
Date/Time: Aug 21 2021 8:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 1%
Play: San Diego Padres -1.0 (-120) A Nola (RHP), J Musgrove (RHP) Must Start

Musgrove has been great at home and in his career has held these batters down. Nola, on the other hand, has been awful on the road. The Padres have the bullpen, form, lineup and every other advantage here so take them on the alt -1 run line. If they win by 1 it is a push. If you do not have a -1 then take them on the money line.

[chief0916]

Executive 650% Lock if the Year goes today if anyone comes across it….

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer Canadian Football

3U: Ottawa Redblacks +10.5 over Saskatchewan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian’s 10* NFLX Saturday Game of the Year

Handicapper: Brian Bitler
League: NFL
Competition: New York Jets vs Green Bay Packers
Time: Saturday, August 21, 04:25 pm ET
Bet Type: Point Spread
Pick: New York Jets -2.5 (-105)
Analysis:
Well well well the Jets are favored at the Packer you know this will bring the square pattys out of the wood work to bet the Packers but the Packers just are not a deep team and they are facing a hungry Jets team with a lot of positions for the players to fight for in the preseason. We saw what the Packers backups did at home versus a weak Texans team this Jets team is much better. Big money guys win this easy and we will join them. Let’s not forget either that Jordan Love is questionable and Kurt Benkert stinks IMO. Play on the New York Jets minus all points here rotation #409

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andrew McInnis
4%
San Francisco Giants at Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants -105 K Gausman (RHP), S Manaea (LHP) Must Start

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Docs:
4 Angels +115
4 Mariners +135
6 KC/CHI Over 9.5
5 O's +160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

7 - Cleveland (-125)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

7 Brewers RL -110
3 Lynx -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alan Harris:

4 Dodgers RL -1.5 -135
4 Phillies +140
4 Yankees RL -1.5 -125
4 Angels +115
4 O's +1.5 +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

7 Braves RL -1.5 -125
4 Lynx/Sky Under 160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

charlie sports

atlanta +6
atl over 35
baltimore over 34

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oskeim

3* Red Sox -1.5
2* Seahawks
2* Rams

[Can'tPickAWinner]

godfatherlocks august 21st picks
(entire day. No email at 5:30pm)


mlb
2 massive 5000 unit picks




*** massive 5000 unit picks ***



#1 - oakland athletics -105 (mlb)



#2 - arizona diamondbacks +130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy CFL

3 OTT/SAS u46.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive

GOY

650% Oakland A's

[rocky57]

H&H Sports
Update #2

MLB
Double Dime - Astros -140
Dime - Dodgers -1.5 runs [-130]
Dime - Athletics/Giants Under 8 [-106]

XNFL
Dime - Jets -139 (Moneyline)

[rocky57]

Pickswise Sports

XNFL 3* Best Bet - Texans +3.5

MLB 3* Best Bets
Dodgers -1.5 runs
Brewers -1.5 runs

Soccer 3* ⚽️ Best Bets MLS
Philadelphia -147
New England -270
NYC FC +115
Colorado -155

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker

2 Mets/Dodgers UNDER 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportsline Computer

MLB

Cleveland -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HVL sports John Ryan
Preseason GOY Miami dolphins -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Burns NFLX TOY: Dolphins/Falcons over 36.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ian Parker

Jared Cannonier (-155) vs. Kelvin Gastelum (+130): Cannonier (best bet)

Kelvin Gastelum will be stepping up on short notice to take on the very dangerous Jared Cannonier. Stylistically, this fight is a nightmare matchup for Gastelum. Look for Cannonier to defend Gastelum's takedown attempts with ease and get the better of the striking en route to victory.

Parker Porter (+160) vs. Chase Sherman (-190): Sherman (best bet)

This fight should be a lot of fun as both men love to keep it on the feet and strike. Look for Chase Sherman to be the more technical striker and potentially carry more power as well. Porter will try to press forward, but the high-volume output from Sherman will be too much for Porter.

Alexandre Pantoja (-165) vs. Brandon Royval (+140): Pantoja (best bet)

Alexandre Pantoja is coming off his most impressive win to date, a triumph over Manel Kape in February. He will look to continue that success as he takes on Brandon Royval. The 29-year-old Royval is a talented fighter, but in the areas where he is good, Pantoja is better. This is a very tough matchup for Royval, considering he is coming back from an extended layoff due to injury.

Brian Kelleher (-175) vs. Domingo Pilarte (+150): Kelleher (best bet)

Brian Kelleher will be looking to bounce back from a loss to Ricky Simon as he takes on Domingo Pilarte. Stylistically, this fight favors Kelleher, who will be the better striker and wrestler. Pilarte throws very wild punches and tends not to have much of a game plan. Look for Kelleher to counter Pilarte's wild punches and outland him.

William Knight (-195) vs. Fabio Cherant (+165): Knight (best bet)

We last saw Cherant get submitted by Alonzo Menifield back in March. Unfortunately for Cherant, he is entering another unfavorable matchup against Knight. Look for Knight to be the better striker and eventually take the fight to the floor, where he should dominate Cherant with his ground-and-pound.

Clay Guida (+140) vs. Mark Madsen (-165): Madsen (lean)

Looking to keep his undefeated record intact, Mark Madsen will face his toughest test to date when he takes on Clay Guida. The 39-year-old Guida is a cardio machine, but while he usually relies on his wrestling, he will have to try a different path as Madsen will be the better wrestler. Look for Madsen to close the distance very early and put Guida on his back. As long as his cardio has improved and he can control the pace of the fight, he should be able to outwrestle Guida and secure the victory.

Vinc Pichel (-115) vs. Austin Hubbard (-105): Pichel (lean)

Riding a two-fight winning streak, Vinc Pichel will be looking to make it three when he takes on Austin Hubbard. Look for Pichel to defend the takedown attempts of Hubbard and keep the fight standing, where he will have the advantage. Expect Pichel to land heavy shots on Hubbard and control the fight on the feet.

Austin Lingo (+115) vs. Luis Saldana (-135): Saldana (lean)

Luis Saldana will be looking to continue his winning ways as he takes on Austin Lingo. Both men are very well-rounded fighters, but Saldana has the bigger advantage on the feet. Look for Saldana to outstrike Lingo, forcing him to try to take the fight to the ground. I expect Saldana to be able to fend off the takedown attempts and keep the fight standing, where he will get the win.

Roosevelt Roberts (-150) vs. Ignacio Bahamondes (+125): Bahamondes

Roosevelt Roberts will be looking to end his two-fight losing streak as he takes on young prospect Ignacio Bahamondes. The 23-year-old Bahamondes recently lost a split decision after also missing weight for the first time in his career. Look for him to be the better striker. He will need to stay off the cage and fend off the takedowns of Roberts. If he can do that and keep the fight on the feet, he should be able to get the win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Marley

UFC

Jared Cannonier (-155) vs. Kelvin Gastelum (+130): Gastelum by unanimous decision

I think this is going to be a real close fight and I would have lined it closer to PK. Cannonier will be the bigger, stronger, and more powerful fighter in this matchup. He is also close to eight years older and less experienced. He isn't a high-paced striker and it's really the power that he relies on. If this fight ends in the first half of the fight, I will say it probably means Cannonier got a KO. However, if this fight goes the distance, I think Gastelum can edge it out. Give me Gastelum to win three or more rounds here to get a decision win.

Mark Madsen (-170) vs. Clay Guida (+145): Madsen by submission

I expect Madsen to dominate the early portion of this fight with his high-level wrestling. He does slow down though, so if he can't finish, I would expect Guida to come back and win the third round. It could come down to what happens in that second round if this fight goes to a decision. However, I keep seeing Madsen getting a choke in this fight so I will take him to win by submission in the first or second round. I do think I would favor him to win the second round as well though if this does end up going the distance.

Chase Sherman (-190) vs. Parker Porter (+160): Porter by split decision

This is a low-level heavyweight fight, but it's hard for me to handicap Sherman as a 2-1 favorite over any UFC fighter. Sherman should have the speed advantage and he is the taller and longer fighter. Porter should have more power though and he is more likely to land takedowns in this matchup. I do agree that Sherman should be the favorite, but IMO the value side is Porter at the current line.

Vinc Pichel (-115) vs. Austin Hubbard (-105): Pichel by unanimous decision

I expect Pichel to have the early advantage in this fight with his wrestling. I think he needs to use his wrestling to win this fight, but it probably has to be from winning rounds 1 and 2. He is on the wrong side of 30 so I expect him to slow down the more he wrestles, and Hubbard has the gas tank to come back and win the last half of the fight with his striking. If you like the Hubbard side, I think you will see a much better betting line after round 1 so it could be a good live betting opportunity. I am going to take Pichel to grind out two rounds here though, so he is my pick.

Alexandre Pantoja (-175) vs. Brandon Royval (+150): Pantoja by unanimous decision

This is our FOTN right here. I expect this to be a fun and high-paced fight. Both guys are well-rounded so we could see some awesome grappling exchanges, but I think the majority of this fight plays out on the feet. Royval might be the more dangerous of the two and more likely to win ITD, but I am going to take Pantoja to take this one on the scorecards because I think he is a bit better, more experienced, and he has fought and beat the better competition.

Luis Saldana (-120) vs. Austin Lingo (+100): Saldana by unanimous decision

This could be a close fight, but I am going to side with Saldana. I give Lingo the edge in boxing, pressure and power. Everywhere else, I would give the advantage to Saldana, and I think his movement and length will give Lingo problems on the feet. I think he will be the slicker striker while Lingo is trying to knock his head off. I think Saldana can get a KO of his own, but I will take him to win two or three rounds on the scorecards.

Brian Kelleher (-175) vs. Domingo Pilarte (+150): Pilarte by submission

I know I am going to be in the minority on this fight but give me the underdog. I think the skills are there with him, I just don't love his chin or his volume. I do think he is the more skilled striker, mainly with his kicks, and I think he is the better wrestler/grappler in this matchup. He is also going to be a lot bigger than Kelleher. Kelleher is more experienced, has higher volume, and he can finish with a KO or a guillotine choke here. I just think he is the guy that ruins everyone's parlay this week. Give me Pilarte to get a submission upset.

Bea Malecki (-150) vs. Josiane Nunes (+125): Nunes by (T)KO

Malecki is going to have a seven-inch height and reach advantage in this matchup. She is going to be the more technical striker and she can rack up volume as well. She is very hittable and sloppy at times though and Nunes throws heat. I do think this is a KO or bust type fight for Nunes, but I think she gets it. I don't like the ML odds, but the TKO prop could be a play to look at when it is released.

William Knight (-180) vs. Fabio Cherant (+155): Knight by (T)KO

Knight is all muscle and power. He isn't great at anything, but his power is a worry on the feet and the ground, and it helps his wrestling. He has nothing to offer off his back, but I don't think that Cherant is the guy to test that. I think Cherant needs a submission or big KO punch to win this fight. I am going to side with Knight to bully him until he gets a GNP stoppage.

Roosevelt Roberts (-150) vs. Ignacio Bahamondes (+125): Roberts by submission

This looks like a striker vs. grappler matchup. Both guys are fairly well-rounded, but Roberts' big edge should be on the ground, and Bahamondes is the better striker with higher output. I think the winner of this fight could end up looking like they should have been a big favorite, but it is hard to see how this fight plays out with their (should be) opposite game plans. I am going to lean with Roberts to get this fight to the mat and work his way to a submission. He could very well get outworked and dominated on the feet though so it's hard to handicap this fight.

Ramiz Brahimaj (-140) vs. Sasha Palatnikov (+120): Brahimaj by submission

I like Brahimaj in this fight but Palatnikov should have the striking advantage. I think Brahimaj should have a big edge on the mat and in his pre-UFC film, he is an aggressive grappler. He never even tried to wrestle in his UFC debut though, so his fight IQ is a big question mark, but I think we are getting a better line because of it. I think he goes back to his bread and butter in this fight and looks for takedowns early. I think he gets them and then locks up an early submission.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lee sterling
Madsen
Pichel
Maleki
Knight

[rocky57]

H&H Sports

XNFL
Dime - Dolphins -5.5
Dime - Bucs -113
Dime - Vikings -133
Dime - Broncos -4.5