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Travers Horse-by-Horse Analysis & Selections August 26, 2021 | By Johnny D

It’s that time of the year. The car’s packed—shirts, shorts, sandals and golf clubs. Travers week. In my book second only to Thanksgiving weekend. My pal and I are headed north on our yearly Spa sojourn for what seems like the 20th time in the last 20 years. Can’t recall, the exact number. Wife tells me it’s only been 17. She’s almost always right. What do I know? Each year my buddy and I scan the names of previous Travers winners playing the ‘remember that one’ game until we cry ‘uncle’ around Unshaded in 2000. Close enough.

Winston Churchill once noted, “There’s something about the outside of a horse that is good for the inside of a man.” He’s right. And, if you mix in a few early morning rounds of golf, good food, several bottles of wine, and a gallon or so of spring water, by the time the weekend’s over, you’ll have completely revitalized individual.

Know what else is good for the inside of a man? Cashing tickets. Unfortunately, on that note, numerous Spa excursions haven’t been all rainbows and potato chips—the latter invented in Saratoga Springs in 1853, allegedly. More than once yours truly has shuffled from beneath red and white awnings toward the parking lot to the sound of Billy Joel’s New York State of Mind with blood on his shoes; absolutely gutted by a weekend’s worth of past-performance misinterpretations. In such cases, it takes until the car reaches 87 South before discussions regarding next season’s Spa trip begin. In other words, not very long at all.

Below is one man’s horse-by-horse analysis of the Gr. 1 Travers field. Hopefully, on the way out of the track Saturday, we’ll agree that in addition to the outside of a horse, ‘there’s something about cashing a Travers ticket that’s also good for the inside of a man.’

Analysis and selections are made before scratches and changes and are for a ‘fast’ track.

#Post Horse Trainer /Jockey Morning Line Odds
#1 Midnight Bourbon Asmussen/Santana 9-2
This son of Tiznow averted certain disaster when he nearly fell in the Gr. 1 Haskell stretch following interference by Hot Rod Charlie and jockey Flavien Prat. To this colt’s credit, he managed to avoid completely going down, but he did lose jockey Paco Lopez in the severe stumble. Obviously, whatever scrapes he may have incurred in the incident were minor because trainer Steve Asmussen, a cautious sort, has him entered right back here in the Travers. Asmussen’s regular rider Ricardo Santana is up Saturday and it’s interesting to note that the jock has never ridden this guy. Before the Gr. 1 Haskell, where unmolested he probably would have finished third to Mandaloun and Hot Rod Charlie, he was second in the Gr. 1 Preakness Stakes behind Rombaur and sixth in the Gr. 1 Kentucky Derby. Second in the Gr. 2 Louisiana Derby, third in the Gr. 2 Risen Star and winner of the Gr. 3 Lecomte, he’s a ‘there or thereabouts’ sophomore performer who likes to set or force the early pace. Another in-the-money finish seems most likely.

#2 Essential Quality Cox/Saez 4-5
It’s sort of a good news/bad news situation when your horse is 4-5 morning-line odds to win the Grade 1 Travers, a race billed as the Mid-Summer Derby, at a track known as the ‘Graveyard of Champions.’ Winner of the Gr. 2 Jim Dandy last out, the nation’s top-ranked sophomore returns to the Spa after scoring by a mere half-length over #3 Keepmeinmind. He’s now won 7 out of 8 and over $3.5 million. The only blemish on his record came in the Kentucky Derby when fourth, beaten one length, after a wide trip. He’s not flashy, so he doesn’t seem to attract the level of affection he probably deserves. He was voted the 2-Year-Old Champion of last season, so there’s that, but his workmanlike victories haven’t inspired fanaticism among supporters. That said, he wins, and he’ll be a short price to do so again in the Travers. He’s been successful while racing close to the early pace and also in mid-pack, so it doesn’t seem to matter to him or to the Spa’s current leading jockey Luis Saez where they are until turning for home. This inside post position could be a minor concern but it’s a small field so one assumes Saez can work out a trip around foes at some point. Essential Quality attempts to become the first Jim Dandy/Travers parlay winner in 9 years.

#3 Keepmeinmind Diodoro/Rosario 6-1
We’ve been chasing this one since the Gr. 1 Kentucky Derby, where he finished a closing, well beaten seventh, whipped more than 8 lengths at 49-1. We used him extensively in the Gr. 1 Preakness where he managed a distant fourth at 14-1. Slow breaks were part of the problem in both of those efforts when he was left with way too much to do. Blinkers were re-added and he raced first-time Lasix in the Gr. 3 Ohio Derby to just miss when third, beaten one-half length at 7-2 odds. Last out, with a rider change to Joel Rosario, he finished second to Travers favorite #2 Essential Quality by a mere one-half length. Could it finally be time for this Gr. 2 winner at 2 to win a Gr. 1 at 3? We think he’s got a legit chance at a place known as the ‘Graveyard of Champions.’ The one-mile and one-quarter distance certainly is up his alley and jockey Rosario got to know him last time. Look for a huge effort from this long overdue runner.

#4 Dynamic One Pletcher/Irad Ortiz 6-1
In his fourth maiden start this son of Union Rags relished one mile and one-eighth at Aqueduct and romped by more than 5 lengths. Ambitiously next pitched in the Gr. 2 Wood Memorial by trainer Todd Pletcher, this colt was nailed by stablemate Bourbonic on the wire. Dynamic One didn’t fire in the Gr. 1 Kentucky Derby and was rested until the Spa. Last out, on July 30, he proved best in the restricted Curlin Stakes over #5 Miles D. In that victory he earned an outstanding Beyer Speed Figure that fits in here. It’s clear he loves the Spa surface and can handle a distance. Trainer Pletcher is great at developing these types of runners. While he would be a surprise on the ‘win’ end, an in the money finish isn’t out of the question.

#5 Miles D Brown/Prat 12-1
With just 3 lifetime starts this son of Curlin is spotting foes significant experience. Miles D broke maiden two back and then rallied for second, nearly 2 lengths behind #4 Dynamic One, in the restricted Curlin. This is a significant step up in class and he’ll need to move forward a bit in the Beyer Speed Figure department. The colt also loses the services of Joel Rosario but has a capable replacement in top SoCal jock Prat. This guy has ability, no doubt, but he may be being rushed a bit in here.
#6 Masqueparade Stall/Mena 8-1
Winner of the Gr. 3 Ohio Derby by one half-length over #7 King Fury and #3 Keepmeinmind, Masqueparade was third behind #2 Essential Quality and #3 Keepmeinmind in the Gr. 2 Jim Dandy. He took 4 races to break maiden and did so via disqualification. Since then he romped by more than 11 in an allowance race at Churchill and took the Gr. 3 Ohio Derby. His last 2 wins came as a result of sweeping moves at one mile and one-eighth. He’s a son of Upstart and was purchased for $180k as a yearling. He was favored last out at around 5/2 but will be a bigger price in this deeper field.

#7 King Fury McPeek/Jose Ortiz 15-1
This late-running son of Curlin has faced graded stakes foes in 6 of his last 7 races, so he’s seen some of the best of his generation. His biggest claim to fame is an 18-1 upset of the Gr. 3 Lexington in April. He also was second to #6 Masqueparade in the Gr. 3 Ohio Derby. He’s been outrun by #2 Essential Quality and #3 Keepmeinmind twice each. It should be noted that he finished a head in front of #3 Keepmeinmind in the Gr. 3 Ohio Derby. Horseplayers can toss this guy’s last start in the Saratoga Derby Invitational on grass because trainer McPeek’s horses had been in quarantine and unable to run elsewhere. This colt would appreciate a hot early pace to facilitate his closing charge.

Bottom Line:
#2 Essential Quality is the best of these on paper and deserves to be favored. However, funny things happen at Saratoga and this could be spot where horseplayers may want to take a shot at beating the public choice. #3 Keepmeinmind has been solid recently and the switch to Rosario should help matters. They just missed beating the favorite last out and at 6-1 this guy’s worth a shot. Other in-the-money chances belong to #1 Midnight Bourbon and #4 Dynamic One.

The Plays ($32 total):
$20 Win #3 ($20)
$2 Trifecta: #3 with #1, #2, #4 with #1, #2, #4 ($12)

Race On!

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Jeremy Plonk: Travers Stakes Post Draw Reaction

August 25, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Belmont Stakes winner Essential Quality tops the marquee for Saturday’s $1 million Travers Stakes at Saratoga, headlining a field of 7 that was drawn this morning. The once-beaten colt, who won the 2-year-old championship in 2020 and leads the 3-year-old chase to this point in 2021, was lined at 4-5 odds from post 2. Essential Quality could join Tiz the Law as back-to-back winners of both the Belmont and Travers.

The Travers offers a 1-2-3 re-match from the July 31 Jim Dandy at the Spa. Essential Quality earned a half-length score over Keepmeinmind that day, with Masqueparade some 4 lengths behind the winner in third. Keepmeinmind (post 3) showed a bit more tactical ability in the Jim Dandy, while still last of five early. Masqueparade (post 6) is expected to be part of the Travers early pace, as he was last out.

Midnight Bourbon (post 1) looks to recover from a harrowing stretch incident when he was cut off, stumbled and fell in the Haskell. The Preakness runner-up figures to be on or near the lead Saturday, and could give all-time North American training wins leader Steve Asmussen his first Travers title. The early pace looks pretty defined with Masqueparade, Midnight Bourbon and Essential Quality in the mix throughout, trailed by four closers. With Midnight Bourbon and Essential Quality in the inside two posts, it’s likely they’ll just go early and make the race from there.

Deep-closing Dynamic One (post 4) steps back up in class off a victory in the Curlin on July 30 and will be reunited with jockey Irad Ortiz, Jr. His trainer Todd Pletcher secured the Travers trophy in 2005 (Flower Alley) and 2011 (Stay Thirsty). Dynamic One re-matches with Curlin runner-up and fellow late-runner Miles D (post 5), who will be making only his fourth lifetime start on Saturday. Trainer Chad Brown has yet to win a Travers.

The field is rounded out by King Fury (post 7), who moves turf-to-dirt after a poor effort in the Belmont Invitational Derby. The Lexington winner at Keeneland is another deep closer.

For more handicapping analysis of this year’s Travers, check back at Xpressbet.com and news.1st.com this week for insights from Eddie Olczyk, Jeff Siegel, Johnny D, John White and more.

Sararoga // Race 12 // Grade 1 Travers Stakes // 1-1/4 miles

1. Midnight Bourbon (Ricardo Santana Jr.) 9-2
2. Essential Quality (Luis Saez) 4-5
3. Keepmeinmind (Joel Rosario) 6-1
4. Dynamic One (Irad Ortiz Jr.) 6-1
5. Miles D (Flavien Prat) 12-1
6. Masqueparade (Miguel Mena) 8-1
7. King Fury (Jose Ortiz) 15-1

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Jon White: 2021 Travers Picks | Saturday, August 28

August 25, 2021 | By Jon White

There are a number of parallels between Essential Quality and one of the all-time great Thoroughbreds in the history of American racing, Native Dancer.

As shown below, Native Dancer ranks high on my list of the Top 25 Racehorses of the 20th and 21st Centuries to have raced in North America:

1. Man o’ War
2. Secretariat*
3. Citation*
4. Kelso
5. Spectacular Bid
6. Native Dancer
7. Dr. Fager
8. Seattle Slew*
9. Count Fleet*
10. Affirmed*
11. Ruffian
12. Swaps
13. Phar Lap
14. Forego
15. American Pharoah*
16. Buckpasser
17. Damascus
18. Round Table
19. Seabiscuit
20. War Admiral*
21. Tom Fool
22. Colin
23. John Henry
24. Zenyatta
25. Regret

*Triple Crown winner.

In 1952, Native Dancer was an undefeated 2-year-old male champion. Ditto Essential Quality in 2020.

In 1953, Native Dancer lost only once going into the Travers Stakes at Saratoga. Ditto Essential Quality in 2021.

Native Dancer’s only defeat prior to the Travers had come in the Kentucky Derby. Going into this Saturday’s running of the Grade I, $1.25 million Travers, Essential Quality’s lone defeat likewise came in the Run for the Roses.

In yet another similarity between Essential Quality and Native Dancer, a case can be made that they were the best horse in the race when not winning the Kentucky Derby as the favorite.

Native Dancer lost the 1953 Kentucky Derby by just a head when he finished second. The winner was 24-1 Dark Star.

This is from the 1953 Kentucky Derby chart: “NATIVE DANCER, roughed at the first turn by MONEY BROKER, was eased back to secure racing room, raced wide during the run to the upper turn, then saved ground entering the stretch and finished strongly, but could not overtake the winner, although probably best.”

Essential Quality lost the 2021 Kentucky Derby by one length when he finished fourth. First across the finish line was 12-1 Medina Spirit.

According to Trakus, Essential Quality traveled 68 feet (approximately seven to eight lengths) farther than Medina Spirit.

Brad Cox trains Essential Quality. After the Kentucky Derby, Cox gave credit to Medina Spirit for his victory, calling it a “huge, huge performance” on his part to go as fast as he did early, then keep going and win.

But when Cox then was asked if he believed that Essential Quality might have been the best horse in the race because of his wide trip, the trainer was quick to respond.

“I do,” Cox said. “I think he was the best horse. People can say what they want, but he was beaten a length and ran 68 feet further than the winner.”

In my Kentucky Derby recap for Xpressbet.com, I speculated that Essential Quality would be “the Kentucky Derby starter who quite possibly will emerge from the race with the best Thoro-Graph number.”

When it comes to Thoro-Graph, a lower number is better than a higher one. This is the opposite of Beyer Speed Figures.

Thoro-Graph takes many more factors into account than the Beyers. According to Thoro-Graph, “each number on a sheet represents a performance rating arrived at by using time of the race, beaten lengths, ground lost or saved on the turns, weight carried, and any effects wind conditions had on the time of the race.”

Medina Spirit received a career-best 102 Beyer Speed Figure for his Kentucky Derby win. Essential Quality’s Beyer for that race was a 100, also his top figure until he posted a 109 when he won the Grade I Belmont Stakes at 1 1/2 miles by 1 1/4 lengths as a 13-10 favorite on June 5.

It turned out that Essential Quality did indeed get a better Thoro-Graph number in the Kentucky Derby than Medina Spirit. In fact, Essential Quality received the best Thoro-Graph number of all 19 Derby participants.

Below are the Thoro-Graph numbers for the first seven finishers in the Kentucky Derby:

Finish Horse (Thoro-Graph Number)

4. Essential Quality (negative 1/4)
3. Hot Rod Charlie (1/2)
2. Mandaloun (1 1/4)
1. Medina Spirit (1 1/2)
5. O Besos (3)
6. Midnight Bourbon (3)
7. Keepmeinmind (4)

Below are the Beyer Speed Figures for the first seven finishers in the Kentucky Derby:

Finish Horse (Beyer Speed Figure)

1. Medina Spirit (102)
2. Mandaloun (101)
3. Hot Rod Charlie (100)
4. Essential Quality (100)
5. O Besos (94)
6. Midnight Bourbon (90)
7. Keepmeinmind (90)

Essential Quality goes into the Travers off a half-length win in Saratoga’s Grade II Jim Dandy Stakes at 1 1/8 miles as the 2-5 favorite. His margin of victory is quite misleading in terms of his superiority that day because he raced so wide, somewhat similar to his trip in the Kentucky Derby.

According to Trakus, Essential Quality traveled 38 feet (approximately four lengths) farther than runner-up Keepmeinmind.

Odds-on favoritism is something else Essential Quality most likely is going to have in common with Native Dancer.

Sent away at 1-20 in the Travers, Native Dancer proved a punctual favorite when he registered a 5 1/2-length triumph.

My colleague David Aragona has established Essential Quality as the 4-5 favorite on the Travers morning line.

Will Essential Quality, like Native Diver, win the Travers? I think so. But whenever an important race is run at Saratoga, there is always a lingering concern that an odds-on favorite might lose at the “graveyard of favorites,” a la Man o’ War (who was upset by the aptly named Upset), Gallant Fox (Jim Dandy), Secretariat (Onion) and American Pharoah (Keen Ice).

Below are my Travers selections:

1. Essential Quality
2. Dynamic One
3. Keepmeinmind
4. King Fury

From the rail out, the Travers field consists of Midnight Bourbon (9-2 morning-line odds), Essential Quality (4-5), Keepmeinmind (6-1), Dynamic One (6-1), Miles D (121), Masqueparade (8-1) and King Fury (15-1).

Essential Quality has already defeated five of his six Travers foes once or more. He has never run against Miles D.

Cox has indicated Essential Quality has trained quite well for the Travers, which does not bode well for those opposing the Eclipse Award-winning 2-year-old male of 2020.

“He’s sharp, mentally,” Cox said Wednesday, according to NYRA communications. “He’s sharper for this race than going into the Jim Dandy. My plan all along was to have him peak in this spot. Our goal since the Kentucky Derby was to have him at his best Travers Day and from a mental and physical standpoint, I feel he’s right where we want him. I feel like he’s as good as he’s ever been.”

The way I see it, Dynamic One looms the biggest threat to the big Travers favorite. Yes, Dynamic One received little support in the wagering to the tune of 45-1 and finished 31 1/4 lengths behind Essential Quality in the Kentucky Derby. But I believe Dynamic One’s next race, a victory in Saratoga’s Curlin Stakes, makes him very dangerous this Saturday.

Hall of Famer Todd Pletcher has always held Dynamic One in high regard.
The Kentucky-bred Union Rags colt trailed early in the Curlin and rallied to win going away by 1 3/4 lengths. Dynamic One completed 1 1/8 miles on a wet track rated good in 1:49.36. The next day, Essential Quality won the Jim Dandy, which was contested on a fast track, in 1:49.92 for the same distance.

Keepmeinmind, trained by Robertino Diodoro, gave Essential Quality a run for his money in the Jim Dandy. Keepmeinmind finished a close second at odds of 9-1.

Can Keepmeinmind finally outrun Essential Quality this Saturday? They have met five times. Keepmeinmind has finished behind Essential Quality all five times.

I consider King Fury an intriguing Travers entrant at a morning-line price of 15-1. I think he could possibly hit the board or maybe -- just maybe -- even pull off an upset.

In Keeneland’s Grade III Lexington Stakes on April 10, King Fury roared home from 10 lengths off the pace to win by 2 3/4 lengths on a sloppy track for trainer Kenny McPeek. That was an especially impressive effort in that it was King Fury’s first start of the year.

King Fury then created quite a buzz going into the Kentucky Derby because of the splendid manner in which had trained. Unfortunately, after being entered in the 1 1/4-mile classic, King Fury was scratched due to spiking a fever.

After missing the Kentucky Derby, King Fury gave a good account of himself in the Grade III Ohio Derby at Thistledown on June 26. Masqueparade won the 1 1/8-mile affair by a half-length. King Fury nosed out Keepmeinmind for second.

McPeek had wanted to run King Fury in the Jim Dandy. However, McPeek was precluded from doing so as a consequence of a case of equine herpesvirus found in a horse stabled in the same barn as King Fury but not trained by McPeek.

As a Plan B, McPeek decided to try King Fury on the grass for the first time in the Grade I Saratoga Derby at 1 3/16 miles on Aug. 7. The Kentucky-bred Curlin colt finished 10th in the field of 11.

“The horse, unfortunately, didn’t get to run in the Jim Dandy,” McPeek said Wednesday. “He ran really well in the Ohio Derby. [I was] thinking the Jim Dandy would be a great prep for the Travers. In hindsight, I think we should have scratched [in the Saratoga Derby] because he drew the 11 [post] and [raced] wide and wider on both turns. I wish I could un-ring that bell, but that doesn’t happen. It’s a shame he didn’t get to run in the Jim Dandy, but it is what it is. We think he’ll perform well this weekend.”

McPeek said King Fury’s morning-line odds “surprised” him to be so high after King Fury “ran right with” Keepmeinmind and Masqueparade in the Ohio Derby.

“We split those two,” McPeek said, “and we really thought we could make a case that he should have won that day. He got shuffled back in the second turn and had to rally and still almost won the race. He’s a good colt and he’s going to make his presence felt [in the Travers].”

Perhaps I’m taking Midnight Bourbon more lightly than I should. He ran sixth after a troubled start in the Kentucky Derby, then finished second in the Grade I Preakness Stakes at Pimlico on May 15.

In the Grade I Haskell Stakes at Monmouth Park on July 17, Midnight Bourbon vied for the early lead. However, after passing the eighth pole during the stretch drive, Midnight Bourbon unseated Paco Lopez. Hot Rod Charlie finished first, then was disqualified for drifting in and causing Midnight Bourbon to clip heels and unseat his rider. The stewards elevated Mandaloun to first.

Not counting the Haskell, Midnight Bourbon has finished third or better in eight of nine starts. Talk about a gem of consistency. Hall of Famer Steve Asmussen trains the Kentucky-bred colt by 2000 Horse of the Year Tiznow.

Masqueparade, trained by Al Stall Jr., romped to an 11 3/4-length win in a 1 1/8-mile allowance/optional claiming race at Churchill Downs on May 1. Off that dominant victory, I picked him to win the Ohio Derby, which he did as the 2-1 favorite.

Even though Masqueparade did not win the Jim Dandy, it’s not as if he ran a stinker. He lost by 2 3/4 lengths while finishing third. I think the Kentucky-bred Upstart colt still has some upside and could make some noise in the Travers.

With just three career starts under his belt, Miles D is by far the lightest in terms of experience among the Travers entrants. He does bring an improving Beyer Speed Figure pattern of 77, 85 and 95 into Saturday’s race. The 95 came when he finished a respectable second in the Curlin.

Chad Brown trains Miles D. The Kentucky-bred Curlin colt showed enough in his most recent race to suggest cavalierly dismissing him in the Travers probably is not a good idea.

COX ATTEMPTS TO ACHIEVE RARE FEAT

If Essential Quality gets the job done this Saturday, Cox will become only the third trainer to win the Travers and Whitney Stakes in the same year with different horses.

The feat has not been accomplished since trainer John M. Gaver Sr. in 1942 won the Travers with Shut Out and the Whitney with Swing and Sway.

In 1931, trainer James Rowe Jr. won the Travers with Twenty Grand and the Whitney with St. Brideaux.

Cox sent out Knicks Go to win this year’s Whitney.

ESSENTIAL QUALITY’S SIRE MAKES NEWS

Tapit, the sire of Kentucky-bred Essential Quality, became the all-time leading North American sire by career progeny earnings last Sunday, according to Daily Racing Form’s Nicole Russo.

“Through Sunday, the career progeny earnings for Tapit, a 20-year-old son of Pulpit standing at Gainesway, stood at $172,904,804. That took him past Giant’s Causeway, who died in 2018, at $172,560,764.

HRONIS RACING & SADLER WIN THIRD PACIFIC CLASSIC

Tripoli, impeccably ridden by Tiago Pereira, came from just off the pace to win Del Mar’s Grade I, $1 million Pacific Classic by 1 1/4 lengths last Saturday at odds of 6-1. Tizamagician, also off at 6-1, finished second. Dr Post, 7-2 in the wagering, came on to end up third in a rather weird trip in that he droppped back to last momentarily going into the far turn when it looked like he was going to run a clunker.

In Del Mar’s Grade II San Diego Handicap at 1 1/16 miles on July 17, Express Train, Tripoli and Royal Ship finished close together. Express Train won by a half-length. Tripoli was the runner-up. Royal Ship finished third, three-quarters of a length behind Tripoli.

But these three horses did not finish close together in the Pacific Classic. Express Train finished sixth as the 2-1 favorite and my top pick. Royal Ship came in seventh as the 5-2 second choice.

Tripoli provided owners Hronis Racing and trainer John Sadler a third Pacific Classic victory in the last four years. The same owner-trainer team took Del Mar’s signature race with Accelerate in 2018 and Higher Power in 2019.

Kitten’s Joy is the sire of Kentucky-bred Tripoli. Considering Kitten’s Joy was the Eclipse Award-winning turf male of 2004, it’s not surprising that Tripoli made his first 11 starts on the grass, winning twice.

However, since being switched to the dirt, Tripoli has improved significantly. His top Beyer Speed Figure on the turf was an 88. In three starts on the dirt, Tripoli has recorded Beyers of 100 twice and 104 in the Pacific Classic.

Notably, Tripoli became Kitten’s Joy’s first Grade I dirt winner.

Below are the Beyers for the Pacific Classic winners going back to the first running in 1991 (the figures prior to this year are listed in the 2021 American Racing Manual, which is now digital only and available for free on The Jockey Club’s website):

2021 Tripoli (104)
2020 Maximum Security (107)
2019 Higher Power (107)
2018 Accelerate (115)
2017 Collected (115)
2016 California Chrome (113)
2015 Beholder (114)
2014 Shared Belief (115)*
2013 Game On Dude (113)*
2012 Dullahan (111)*
2011 Acclamation (105)*
2010 Richard’s Kid (96)*
2009 Richard’s Kid (107)*
2008 Go Between (104)*
2007 Student Council (99)*
2006 Lava Man (109)
2005 Borrego (113)
2004 Pleasantly Perfect (112)
2003 Candy Ride (123)
2002 Came Home (116)
2001 Skimming (119)
2000 Skimming (118)
1999 General Challenge (119)
1998 Free House (117)
1997 Gentlemen (121)
1996 Dare and Go (116)
1995 Tinners Way (112)
1994 Tinners Way (111)
1993 Bertrando (117)
1992 Missionary Ridge (110)
1991 Best Pal (118)

*Run on synthetic footing.

The 2020 Pacific Classic turned out to be the final victory of Maximum Security’s career. He would go on to finish second in the Grade I Awesome Again Stakes and fifth in the Grade I Breeders’ Cup Classic before being retired to stud.

A QUESTION TO PONDER

Speaking of Maximum Security, one wonders which will happen first: The final purse distribution for the 2020 Saudi Cup or a human being sets foot on the planet Mars?

The inaugural running of the $20 million Saudi Cup was held on Feb. 29, 2020. As far as I know, there still has been no final purse distribution for that race, which was won by Maximum Security. Midnight Bisou finished second. Benbatl came in third.

“Final purse distribution from the 2020 Saudi Cup could come within six weeks, the head of the Jockey Club of Saudi Arabia said in the hours before this year’s running of the world’s richest race,” Bob Kieckhefer wrote in a BloodHorse story last Feb. 20.

“The minor awards from the 2020 Cup have been paid. But the $10 million winner’s share was frozen by Saudi officials pending the resolution of doping charges involving Jason Servis, who at the time trained the Luis Saez-ridden winner, Maximum Security.

“Maximum Security raced last year for owners Gary and Mary West and for the Coolmore Stud-affiliated Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor and Derrick Smith.

“Second across the finish line under Mike Smith in the Saudi Cup was Midnight Bisou, running for owners Bloom Racing Stable, Madaket Stables and Allen Racing and trainer Steve Asmussen.

“Jockey Club chairman Prince Bandar bin Khalid Al Faisal, interviewed by broadcaster Nick Luck on the international feed from the Feb. 20 renewal, said he hopes the wait is nearly over.”

Nearly over? It’s been six month months since Saudi Jockey Club chairman Prince Bandar bin Khalid Al Faisal said he hoped the wait was nearly over, yet the wait continues. I can’t help thinking there just might be a human walking around on Mars before the $10 million winner’s share of the 2020 Saudi Cup purse is finally paid out. Have the connections of any horse in the history of racing ever had to wait so long to find out whether or not they are going to get the winner’s share of a purse?

It’s beyond ridiculous.

DEL MAR SPILL COULD HAVE BEEN MUCH WORSE

There was a scary chain-reaction seven-horse spill in Del Mar’s seventh race last Sunday.

In a story written by Daily Racing Form’s Steve Andersen, “none of the horses involved in the incident appeared to suffer injuries, according to a track official.”

Thank goodness for that.

Sassy Chassey, ridden by apprentice Diego Herrera, fell approaching the three-eighths pole due to clipping the heels of Katie’s Paradies, who was vying for the lead with Scream and Shout.

In the chain reaction, the following jockeys were unseated in addition to Herrera: apprentice Cesar Ortega (who rode Backtoflash), Kyle Frey (Whiskey Blue), apprentice Ellie Ellingwood (Siena Silk), Tyler Baze (Renegade Princess), Pereira (Phoenix Tears) and apprentice Juan Espinoza (Corners Up).

All of the riders involved in the incident reportedly escaped serious injury.

Again, thank goodness for that.

That chain-reaction incident could have turned out much, much worse in terms of the horses and riders involved.

Stewards Grant Baker, Luis Jauregui and Kim Sawyer properly declared the race a “no contest.” In making that decision, they cited a California Horse Racing Board rule that states “stewards may declare a race no contest if mechanical failure or interference during the running of the race affects the majority of horses in such race.”

Indeed, seven of the 12 horses competing in Del Mar’s seventh race last Sunday were affected by the incident.

What occurred in that Del Mar race demonstrated what easily could have happened on the far turn in the 2019 Kentucky Derby. I don’t think enough people get that.

The 2019 Run for the Roses is the race in which Maximum Security finished first by 1 3/4 lengths, but then was disqualified and placed 17th by the stewards. Maximum Security had his number taken down when the stewards ruled that he had drifted out and caused interference to War of Will, Bodexpress and Long Range Toddy on the far turn.

It was the first time in the history of the Kentucky Derby that the winner has been disqualified for an incident during the running of the race.

As I recently wrote, having watched the video of that race numerous times, I believe it’s nothing less than a miracle that War of Will did not clip Maximum Security’s heels on the far turn. Horse racing was extremely lucky that Maximum Security did not trigger a major spill when he veered out and caused interference.

“If War of Will had tripped and fallen to unseat jockey Tyler Gaffalione, it would have happened with many horses racing behind them,” I wrote. “In all likelihood, there would have been a multi-horse spill similar to a horrific pile-up on a freeway. Numerous horses and jockeys could have been severely injured, or possibly even worse. No doubt such a grisly scene would have been shown over and over and over on television and depicted on social media, which would have given horse racing the blackest of black eyes during a very sensitive time in the sport.”

NEW YORK SHOULD HONOR SECRETARIAT

I wrote last week that a New York track should name a race in honor of Secretariat now that evidently there will be no more racing at Arlington Park. Arlington for years had run the Secretariat Stakes.

I implored the folks at the New York Racing Association to come up with a race named after Secretariat.

“And I am not talking about some minor stakes race,” I wrote. “New York should have an IMPORTANT race named after the 1973 Triple Crown winner.

“It actually makes more sense for New York rather than Arlington to have a Secretariat Stakes anyway. Secretariat made 15 of his 21 career starts at New York tracks. He raced at Arlington Park just once.”

My idea was to rename the Belmont Derby, a Grade I race at 1 1/4 miles on the grass, either the Secretariat Stakes or Secretariat Derby. After all, Secretariat was undefeated on the grass. In his two grass starts, he won the Man o’ War Stakes at Belmont Park and the Canadian International at Woodbine.

“Besides,” I wrote, “it makes a lot more sense to have a Secretariat Stakes or Secretariat Derby on the grass than a Man o’ War Stakes on the grass. That’s because Man o’ War never raced on the grass.”

In Monday’s Thoroughbred Daily News, Bill Finley noted that without a Secretariat Stakes at Arlington, “the sport no longer has a major race named in honor of the GOAT. That can’t be.”

Finley’s idea was to “rename the Belmont Stakes the Secretariat Stakes and to do so for the 2023 running, the 50th anniversary of Secretariat’s historic 31-length romp in the Belmont.”

Finley then admitted, “Okay, that’s never going to happen.” But Finley went on to offer a suggestion that I do like.

“Limiting the list to races he won in New York, the best candidate is the Grade I Hopeful Stakes,” Finley wrote. “Secretariat won that in 1972, so next year’s running is the 50th anniversary of that win. Naming the race after the greatest horse ever to step foot on a New York track would be a fitting honor.”

While I do not agree with Finley’s assertion that Secretariat is the greatest horse ever to step foot on a New York track (I believe it is Man o’ War), I wholeheartedly agree with Finley’s suggestion to change the Hopeful to the Secretariat.

MALATHAAT BACK IN NTRA TOP 10

In the wake of her victory in last Saturday’s Grade I Alabama Stakes at Saratoga, Malathaat moved back into the Top 10 in the NTRA Top Thoroughred Poll this week after being tied for 20th in last week’s rankings.

Sent off as the heavy Alabama favorite at 1-2, Malathaat did not let her many backers down when she prevailed by 1 1/2 lengths on a wet main track listed as good.

Malathaat now has won six of seven lifetime starts. Her lone blemish came when she finished second on July 24 in Saratoga’s Grade I Coaching Club American Oaks, which she lost by a head. Maracuja, who won the CCA Oaks, finished seventh and last in the Alabama at odds of 6-1.

Below is the Top 10 in this week’s NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll:

Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

1. 359 Knicks Go (30)
2. 320 Letruska (5)
3. 271 Essential Quality (1)
4. 237 Maxfield
5. 156 Domestic Spending (1)
6. 135 Silver State
7. 90 Gamine
8. 85 Malathaat
9. 65 Hot Rod Charlie
10. 55 Shedaresthedevil

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Last Chance for $20k-plus FITS Final Table Seats

August 25, 2021 | By Johnny D


Nelson Jaramillo topped all players in Week 6 Xpressbet Fun in the Sun competition with $272.50 in earnings. He collects $2,205 and a seat at the lucrative Final Table. Drew Kocsi finished second with $256.50, just $2 in front of Jon Lapczenski. They earn $981.75 and $551.25, respectively, plus shots at an over $20k pot on Sept. 4. Gregory Raab and Paul Lutz round out the top 5. Raab earns one of 35 total spots at the Final Table and Lutz joins David Jaffe, Ellis Starr and Paul Jones as multiple Final Table seat holders with a maximum of two each. Lutz previously finished fourth in Week 1 play.

This Saturday’s competition is your last chance to possibly join Fun in the Sun Final Table action. The final qualifying battle is for account holders only and requires a $25 registration fee and a ‘live’ $10 Win wager on one horse in each of 10 competition races—the last 5 at Saratoga races, including the Gr. 1 Travers, and the first 5 at Del Mar.

Leading finishers each week have averaged $334 in earnings. Top 3 players have checked in at an average mark of $285 and the top 5 cutoff has been at $265. So far, top 3 players have collected over $25,000 in prize money and, since Fun in the Sun competition wagers are ‘live,’ players also have kept mutuel payoff earnings.

Last week’s results reversed previous trends and produced more formful results at Saratoga than at Del Mar. Spa Fun in the Sun competition races returned short prices--all 5 were single-digit payoffs and 4 of 5 were under $5, led by Malathaat’s $3.10 return for her Alabama victory. My Prankster ($9) in the afternoon’s seventh race was the lone stranger. Identity Politics ($4.80) in the eighth, Technical Analysis ($4.20) in the ninth and Perfect Grace ($3.70) in the eleventh, round out other short-priced winners.

Del Mar produced this week’s fireworks with 4 of 5 winners cashing at double-digit numbers, topped right off the bat by Ain’t Easy for trainer Phil D’Amato and jockey Joel Rosario at $18.20. Red Valor ($15.80) in the second, Forbidden Kingdom ($10.60) in the fourth and Subconscious ($13.60) in the fifth were the other juicy prices. Third race winner Evening Sun paid $9 to complete the quintet. It’s likely the outstanding Pacific Classic day card had something to do with the transfer of hefty payoff fortunes from the right coast to the left.

See you Saturday!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Race of the Week: Personal Ensign at Saratoga | Saturday, Aug. 28
August 25, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
$600,000 GRADE 1 PERSONAL ENSIGN STAKES AT SARATOGA

The Lead:
They'll gather at Saratoga and at wagering outlines online around the world for Saturday's Travers Stakes, the mid-summer Derby. But it's the Personal Ensign in Race 10 that may have the most competitive lineup on a star-studded, 13-race card. The Personal Ensign has lured some of the best in the Distaff division, fittingly for a race named after the unbeaten, Hall of Fame mare.

Horseplayers tackling the Saratoga card on Saturday at Xpressbet and on the 1/ST BET app can take advantage of up a $10 money-back guarantee on every race on the card if your win bet finishes second or third.

​Field Depth:
Grade 1 winners abound with SWISS SKYDIVER, LETRUSKA, HARVEY'S LIL GOIL and DUNBAR ROAD. The Grade 2 heroines include BONNY SOUTH, AS TIME GOES BY and MISS MARISSA. The Grade 3 winners include ROYAL FLAG and GRACEFUL PRINCESS. This top-class group doesn't have a wide stretch in terms of schedule quality; they've mostly all been battling at the top of the division, though it's hard to argue against the gameplan SWISS SKYDIVER has attempted and success accumulated.

Pace:
LETRUSKA is one of the most high-quality speedsters we've seen in the Distaff division in recent years. Those trying to apply pressure to her figure to be AS TIME GOES BY (with California speed), MISS MARISA on the class rise and perhaps even SWISS SKYDIVER. It's a difficult assignment to pressure LETRUSKA and finish the deal; so from a pace standpoint, it looks most likely to be LETRUSKA on the front end or a deeper closer to benefit.

Our Eyes:
LETRUSKA has won 3 in a row over 3 different tracks. She wired the Shuvee over this 1-1/8 miles distance at Saratoga last summer, eliminating any concern that she'll take her 'track' with her in this next move. You'll have to soften her up to beat her, and that's not easy. There is some speed to her inside, namely AS TIME GOES BY (post 2) and SWISS SKYDIVER (post 4), so there's some chance that she'll have to work for it into the clubhouse turn or give away some ground loss. With jockey Jose Ortiz interestingly taking the seat aboard SWISS SKYDIVER, the mount on LETRUSKA goes back to Irad Ortiz, Jr., who rode her to victory in the Apple Blossom against champion Monomoy Girl.

SWISS SKYDIVER ran a very good fourth in the Whitney vs. the boys just 3 weeks ago. But that race wasn't in her original plans, and has diverted the training path because of a quarantine in her barn that kept her out of action. While the quarantine had nothing to do with her, or her Ken McPeek stablemates, it could have an impact on the Personal Ensign. The turn-around time is tight after such a strenuous effort in the Whitney when forced to do the dirty work pressing the blazing, lone-speedster that day, Knicks Go. She will benefit a great deal if IF TIMES GOES BY takes that attacking role Saturday in battling with LETRUSKA. She she had to chase that one in the Apple Blossom this spring, SWISS SKYDIVER was left empty late.

The quality closers here include DUNBAR ROAD, the 2019 Alabama winner over this track for the resurgent Chad Brown barn at the Spa; ROYAL FLAG, already a course and distance stakes winner at the meet for the aforementioned Brown barn; BONNY SOUTH, last year's Alabama runner-up and recent workmate for Travers star Essential Quality, shining bright in the a.m.; HARVEY'S LIL GOIL, last year's Alabama third behind SWISS SKYDIVER and BONNY SOUTH, who has been turfing of late, but tipping her hand in the morning; and GRACEFUL PRINCESS, the regally bred daughter of Horse of the Year Havre De Grace, and recent Monmouth stakes winner with a gaudy 112 BRIS late pace figure.
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Most Certain Exotics Contender:
LETRUSKA is a head away from 6 straight wins and has a track/distance win. Her speed takes away a lof of the variables. She may be worn down on the win end, but, if so, is trustworthy to keep fighting in the exotics.
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Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
BONNY SOUTH will be an inflated price after misfiring over the Delaware Park dirt that often trips up out of towners with its unique qualities. She gets 4 pounds from the favorites and a hot pace to rally into on what could be a huge day for the Brad Cox outfit.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$80 win BONNY SOUTH. $10 exacta box BONNY SOUTH and LETRUSKA ($20).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Eddie Olczyk: Saturday Spot Plays | August 28, 2021
August 27, 2021 | By Eddie Olczyk
1/ST and NBC handicapper Eddie Olczyk delivers a couple of key plays from Saratoga and Del Mar for this Saturday. Follow Edzo’s plays each week – only with 1/ST and Xpressbet!

Saratoga

Race 9 // 4:12 pm ET // Grade 1 H. Allen Jerkens Stakes // 7 furlongs

#4 Following Sea (5-1 ML)

Exits Haskell after a solid performance when the mile and one-eighth distance was too far. He turns back to 7 furlongs, and I’m hoping for a speed duel with the likes of Jackie’s Warrior, Drain the Clock and Life Is Good. Johnny V can try to make one run from off the pace; the faster they go, the better. Win bet.

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Del Mar

Race 10 // 9:35 pm ET // Grade 2 Pat O’Brien Stakes // 7 furlongs

#1 Ginobili (6-1 ML)

July 17 allowance winner has 2 career wins where the turf meets the surf. The Pat O’Brien is a huge step up in class, but he’s tactical. He will need to stalk the hot pace of Brickyard Ride. In a wide-open race, why not? Win-Place bet.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Vernon Downs-Zweig Memorial Trot Analysis August 28, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
The features at Vernon Downs this evening involve three-year-olds battling in the Zweig Memorial Filly Trot and the Zweig Memorial Open Trot. The headliners are carded as Race 8 and Race 9 respectively. On the betting menu is a Daily Double wager which will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8-Zweig Memorial 3-year-old Filly Trot-$140,000 Purse

5-Iteration (7/2)-Comes off a sharp win at Stga in the slop and has been there at the wire in every start this year except for a break in stride on 7-17 in the Delvin Miller. Sports a perfect 3-3 record here, draws the prime post and can be put in play early. Looks like the one to beat.
1-Contested Hanover (5-1)-Has raced well but hasn't connected for a 2021 win. Tetrick takes a seat, and he might be able to get a pocket ride and trip out at a nice price.
2-Darlene Hanover (5/2)-Made it look easy at PcD last week and cashed a big check. Isn't as versatile as #5 but has raced well in both VD starts. Program chalk deserves respect but may need quick fractions to take a picture.
4-Aunt Irene (10-1)-Comes off a nice effort on the 5/8's at PcD from the 8-hole. That was the only start away from M1 this year and may continue the upswing on the big track tonight. Probably isn't ready for a picture but Dunn can keep her in play and could spice up the trifecta.

Race 9-Zweig Memorial Open Trot-$325,000 Purse

4-Dancingthedark M (5/2)-Melander trainee has broken stride in 3 of the last 6 starts. Unless the trip is awful, my belief is this colt wins if stays flat. It's a risky play but will respect connections and appears to stand above this filed if all systems are "go".
5-Balenciaga (7/2)-Consistency hasn't been a strong suit but is improving, winning 2 of the last 3. Last start at Tioga was a strong effort, battled with a 55.4 last half to win. This won't be as easy but has raced well on a larger oval. Has the gate speed for Zeron to work an efficient trip.
1-Take All Comers (6-1)-This Campbell trainee cashes checks but has been a notch or two below others. Does have the gate speed to stay inside and then roll late. Doesn't look like a win candidate but should be in the hunt at the wire.
6-Spy Booth (12-1)-Takter trainee came 2nd in the Hambo with the benefit of a nice steer by Tetrick. Dunn takes the lines tonight and should add to this year's $243,192 bankroll. Is probably an outsider for its 1st picture, has shown speed but only one move.

Zweig Daily Double

$25 Double-5/4
$10 Double-5/5
$8 Double-1/4
$8 Double-2/4

Total Bet=$51

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AI Picks: Gulfstream Fla Sire Stakes | Saturday, Aug. 28 August 27, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Saturday’s Gulfstream Park card co-features the second leg of the Florida Sire Stakes series. The Susan’s Girl for the fillies and the Affirmed for the colts and geldings will go as Races 9 and 11 on a 12-race program.

To assist your handicapping, selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app.
We’ve included the track’s official morning line odds for each runner.

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Gulfstream// Race 9 // 4:36 pm ET // $200,000 FSS Susan’s Girl // 7 furlongs

#6 My Sassenach (5-2) // 28%W // 43%P // 57%S
#7 Outfoxed (5-1) // 14%W // 27%P // 40%S
#3 Demurely (4-1) // 13%W // 22%P // 33%S
#8 Devilette (9-2) // 10%W // 29%P // 43%S
#11 Dear Mama Mia (12-1) // 8%W // 18%P // 29%S
#10 Noble Dreamer (6-1) // 7%W // 17%P // 25%S
#1 Sequin Lady (20-1) // 6%W // 12%P // 19%S
#4 Veiled Prophet (12-1) // 4%W // 9%P // 18%S
#9 LLuvia (50-1) // 4%W // 9%P // 17%S
#2 Rachel’s Rock (20-1) // 3%W // 7%P // 10%S
#5 Spectacular Gal (20-1) // 3%W // 7%P // 10%S

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Gulfstream// Race 11 // 5:48 pm ET // $200,000 FSS Affirmed // 7 furlongs

#5 Cajun’s Magic (7-5) // 28%W // 43%P // 57%S
#8 Cattin (15-1) // 14%W // 27%P // 40%S
#7 Big and Classy (12-1) // 13%W // 22%P // 33%S
#6 King Cab (9-2) // 10%W // 29%P // 43%S
#2 Merlin (20-1) // 8%W // 18%P // 29%S
#4 Lightening Larry (6-1) // 7%W // 17%P // 24%S
#1 Octane (5-1) // 6%W // 12%P // 19%S
#11 Gold Special (20-1) // 4%W // 9%P // 18%S
#3 Clapton (10-1) // 4%W // 9%P // 17%S
#9 Awesome Crusader (30-1) // 3%W // 7%P // 10%S
#10 Gilligan (10-1) // 3%W // 7%P // 10%S

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Del Mar Analysis - Saturday, August 28, 2021 August 28, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


RACE 1: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B+
Use: 3-Valentina Ghada; 5-Electric Ride; 6-Captaire

Forecast: This looks like a very strong maiden juvenile sprint for fillies, and it may very well take stakes-quality performer to win it. California Chrome’s half-sister Captaire lands the cozy outside post and should inherit a lovely stalking trip and then be able to kick home when called upon. She’s certainly quick but it wouldn’t surprise us to see A. Cedillo employ stalk and pounce tactics. Electric Ride has worked well enough to make our Clocker’s “Primed and Ready” list and most likely will try to bust out early and be on or near the lead throughout. Valentina Ghada has the benefit of an excellent race over the track, a sharp runner-up to the highly-regarded Grace Adler. If she improves as expected, the two hot-shot first-timers better not make any mistakes. All three should be included in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Captaire.
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RACE 2: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: C+
Use: 5-Whisky My God; 6-Magic Tiger

Forecast: Magic Tiger is a first-off-the-claim play for M. Maker and adds blinkers for the first time as well, so there are at least a couple of reasons to expect this son of Smiling Tiger to improve enough to beat this modest restricted (nw-2) $16,000 claiming field of older horses. A fair third under these conditions here last month, the lightly-raced sophomore should find himself in a good stalking position and then have every chance to wear down the expected front runner Whisky My God in the final stages. The later plummets in class trying to find his proper level after displaying good early speed but then faltering badly when facing considerably tougher foes on grass last time out. The Argentine-bred gelding might shake loose early and get brave late. We’ll include both in our rolling exotics in a race that offers no real viable alternatives.
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RACE 3: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Uncle Jeff; 4-Johnny Podres

Forecast: Johnny Podres was a better pitcher back in the day than he’s been as a race horse, but in this moderate starter’s allowance turf sprint the S. Miyadi-trained gelding looks well-placed to regain his winning form. Sparingly-raced, the son of Grazen has been away since April and his work tab can best be described as uninspiring, but the barn has good stats with layoff runners and this Cal-bred gelding has run well over this course and distance in the past (in the money in three of four starts). A repeat of his runner-up effort to Fratelli last time out will handle this task. Uncle Jeff turns back to a sprint and has won going short on grass, having done so in his debut at Santa Anita in June. We’re expecting the son of Uncle Mo to display good tactical speed from the rail and then have his chance to outrun the faint-hearted front-runners when the pressure is turned on.
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RACE 4: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Barsabas; 5-Prince Hussar; 8-Cute Impact

Forecast: Cute Impact, a filly tackling the boys, won at first asking from a next-out easy winner and did so from off the pace, a style that might be work quite well in this starter’s allowance dash for juveniles that is loaded with front-running types. She’s a fit on numbers, is drawn comfortably outside, and should appreciate today’s extra furlong. There may be some wagering value at or near her morning line of 7/2. Barsabas wired a maiden-claiming field in good style with an identical Beyer speed figured earned by our top pick. The issue, though, is that he’s facing similar early heat so there are no options other than to be sent hard from the gate and hope he’s good enough to survive the pressure. Prince Hussar, a clever first-out winner two weeks ago, is wheeled back on short rest to take advantage of a condition that may be written back for a while. He’s competitive on speed figures and the :21 3/5 opening quarter split of his debut win may make him the quickest of the quick. We’ll use all three in our rolling exotics and then press with an extra ticket or two keying Cute Impact on top.
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RACE 5: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Little Liliana; 7-Beautiful Temple; 10-Chantal

Forecast: In a grass grab bag for older maiden fillies and mares sprinting five furlongs, we’ll go three-deep and hope to get a decent price home, but if you feel the need to spread even more, go right ahead. Little Liliana displayed ability in her 2-year-old debut over this course and distance last November, finishing second by a neck after disputing the pace every step of the way. She was stopped on after that race but returns as a first-time Lasix user for a barn that has solid stats with layoff runners, and with a series of good works at Los Alamitos, including a bullet five furlong drill in :58 3/5 two weeks ago. The J. Sadler-trained daughter of Square Eddie may be a fresh facing worth gambling on at 7/2 on the morning line. Beautiful Temple has the route-to-sprint angle that we like, and with a repeat of her good second place effort at Santa Anita two runs back the S. Ruis-trained filly projects as a major player. Chantal is a first-timer from the clever P. Miller barn bred for grass on both sides of her pedigree. Her workouts at San Luis Rey Downs give a hint of ability, so at 8-1 on the morning line she’s worth tossing in as well.
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RACE 6: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B+
Single: 5-I Got No Munny

Forecast: In his present and consistently improving form, the lightly-raced I Got No Munny looks well-spotted to build on his recent sharp win over the local main track that produced a strong, career-top, stakes quality speed figure. The M. Glatt-trained gelding can be tough on the lead or from a stalking position; in this case we expect him to be outside the likely pacesetter Fratelli and then have every chance when J. Bravo pushes the button. Successful in three of his last four starts – his streak was interrupted two runs back by the razor sharp Team Merchants – this late-developing four year is listed at 9/5 on the morning line and will offer good wagering value at or near that price. We’ll make him a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 7: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Love My Jimmy; 4-Jazz Hands; 7-The Hulk

Forecast: Let’s take a shot with the class-dropping The Hulk, who was strictly a sprinter overseas and finally gets his first chance stateside to run short after a pair of non-productive turf routers vs. much tougher allowance foes. He’ll get outrun to the top of the lane for sure, but in a field with suspect speed types he might come running late under K. Frey at a nice price. Love My Jimmy is the quickest of the quick and against this group should stick better after displaying sharp early speed but then fading in the lane in a pair of tougher recent turf sprints. The son of Tapiture will take them as far as he can. Jazz Hands has turf sprint numbers that fit and may be first over on Love My Jimmy if that one weakens in the final furlong. He’s a contender at 3-1 on the morning line.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Rockefeller; 5-Durante; 10-Encode

Forecast:We’re expecting the winner of this maiden juvenile sprint to be one of three well-regarded first-timers. Encode and Rockefeller has worked together in the a.m. for B. Baffert and have appeared fairly even, though in viewing the videos we got the impression that in an actual race Encode might be the quicker of the two. Both have trained like they’re plenty fit, but the cozy outside draw gives Encode an advantage, so we’ll put him slightly on top at 6-1 on the morning line. Rockefeller might prove better in time as the distances get longer and he’s player today, as well, so we’ll use him. Durante has trained like a quick type for D. O’Neill but the barn’s win percentage with debut runners (7%) is considerably below average. We’ll have tickets including all three in our rolling exotics and then press a bit with Encode on top.
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RACE 9: Post: 6:00 PT Grade: B+
Single: 8-Me and Mr. C

Forecast: This first-level allowance mini-marathon turf affair has several possibilities so a proper strategy for rolling exotic players may be to spread the race deeply and hope to find a price. Small ticket players don’t always have that luxury, so with that in mid we’ll take a stand and single the M. Maker shipper Me and Mr. C, listed at 7/2 on the morning line. A stakes winner at Tampa Bay Downs earlier this year, the son of Khozan is questionable at this mile and three furlong trip but his middle distance speed figures are strong, and he has the perfect second flight, stalking style that lends itself to success as a long-distance galloper. Freshened since late June but working steadily and easily since arriving in California several weeks ago, the four-year-old gelding always has been genuine and consistent (first or second in nine of 20 career starts) so let’s go with this fresh face as a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Howbeit; 6-Classier; 8-Flagstaff

Forecast: Several of the main players exit the Bing Crosby S.-G1, a race in which most of the field finished in a heap and the resulting speed figure came up soft. Let’s look elsewhere. Classier, listed at 12-1 on the morning line, won his only sprint very impressively (his debut), and while he’s been routing ever since – and just won the Los Alamitos Derby over nine furlongs – the son of Empire Maker might just be most effective around one turn. Freshened and training superbly as always, the B. Baffert-trained sophomore tackles tough, seasoned, older horses for the first time and will need a significant boost in the speed figure department, but he’s certain to continue his improving pattern and at the price might be able to pull off a surprise. Flagstaff, a seven furlong specialist and a close runner-up in this race last year, returns from New York where he finished a good second to Belmont Park specialist Firenze Fire in a race that produced a career top 101 Beyer speed figure. A similar performance today puts him right there. Howbeit was claimed for $32,000 earlier this year by M. Glatt and has improved dramatically for his new connections. Though untested in stakes competition, he’s a major player based on speed figures, and he couldn’t have looked better when winning a recent second level allowance event over this main track in a hot race. He has shown the versatility to win on the lead or from off the pace, so at 6-1 on the morning line he's worth including on your ticket.
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RACE 11: Post: 7:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Zip Now; 4-Carmelita’s Man; 9-Cool Your Jets

Forecast: The finale is a challenging middle distance turf affair for state-bred first-level allowance older horses. Cool Your Jets took 15 races to break his maiden and when he finally did – after returning from a seven month layoff that apparently cured whatever was ailing him – the son of Unusual Heat looked vastly improved, so much so that he may be capable of winning right back on the raise. It was a visually pleasing performance from off the pace that featured a turn of foot from the top of the lane to the wire than we’d never seen from him before, so perhaps he’s simply just a better racehorse now. Additionally, he’s a fit on numbers, retains J. Bravo, and should find enough early pace up front to compliment his one-run style. Zip Now was a stylish debut winner sprinting on turf earlier this month, but truthfully, he had nothing behind him. A nicely-bred colt by Tiznow out of the terrific race mare Unzip Me, the C. Gaines-trained colt is drawn nicely inside and probably will try gate-to-wire tactics, though he certainly could have some company up front. Carmelita’s Man may have had his form flattered when a race-shape aided third in a similar affair last month, but he’s been first or second in six of 11 career starts, including a prior win over the Del Mar turf course. The D. Pederson-trained gelding should at least get a piece of it.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis - Saturday, August 28, 2021 August 28, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


RACE 1: Post: 11:35 ET Grade: B-
Use: 3-Electability; 10-Sweeping Giant

Forecast: There are no world beaters among those that have raced so let’s take an educated guess with a first-timer on top. Electability, listed at 7/2 on the morning line, has looked fairly decent in the morning for C. Brown and has been given a good foundation of steady workouts that should have him fit enough to handle the trip in this middle distance turf event for juveniles. The son of Quality Road seems to have a bit of speed, so with a clean break he could find himself close up throughout in a race that projects to be slowly run early. Sweeping Giant, runner-up in a similar affair in his debut last month, has as right to step forward with that race under his belt. The son of Curlin gives the indication of being a one-paced grinder and probably can’t beat a good colt but this doesn’t look like a strong field so he may go favored by default.
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RACE 2: Post: 12:08 ET Grade: B+
Use: 2-Dr. Perry; 5-Jack Christopher

Forecast: There are at least two superior prospects in this maiden sprint for juveniles and both are expected to be extremely well-meant after impressing with a series of sharp workouts for their high profile connections. Dr. Perry, a colt by Into Mischief from a full sister to Gr. 1 winner Cross Traffic, has done everything like a win-early type for S. Asmussen despite not been permitted to show anything close to his true speed in local drills since arriving from Keeneland, where he posted a bullet gate drill (4f, :47bg, fastest of 62) last month. A strong, powerful grey colt, he was a $690,000 yearling purchase at Keeneland and looks the part for a trainer who that can get his young stock ready to win without demanding fast workout times. This colt could be one of his better ones. Jack Christopher, listed as the 9/5 morning line favorite, made our “Primed and Ready” list a few weeks back and is the one to fear most. The C. Brown-trained colt is a high quality son of Munnings that has outworked everything led up to him and is another that hasn’t been asked to show his best stuff in the morning despite registering a :59 3/5 gate drill Aug. 7 when he best of a team while just breezing along in hand. Dr. Perry is listed as the better price (7/2) so we’ll put him slightly on top, but both are “must uses” in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 3: Post: 12:44 ET Grade: B-
Use: 3-Golden Plume; 7-Kitten by the Sea; 8-Love and Thunder

Forecast: Trainer C. Brown has major players in the third race going long on the lawn for fillies and mares. Love and Thunder has a considerable edge in the speed figure department, but can you trust her? A beaten choice when second in all three of her U.S. starts after being imported from England, the daughter of Siyouni surely will receive plenty of play again after hitting the front and then getting nailed close home in a similar middle distance event last month. Drawn farthest outside and likely to drop over, settle, and be asked to produce one late one, the Irish-bred four-year-old is listed at 7/5 on the morning line so once again she won’t be offering a whole lot of value. Stable mate Golden Plume won her debut last winter at Tampa Bay Downs in clever style but then disappeared. She’s trained well for her comeback and picks up F. Prat, so while she still has plenty to prove she shouldn’t be dismissed despite the discrepancy in speed figures between herself and the race favorite. Kitten by the Sea is an ex-claimer in good form for T. Pletcher and may be a bit better than her morning line of 8-1. She earned a career top number when winning a recent starter’s allowance event over this course and distance while on the lead, and similar front-running tactics likely will be employed again. She could take the field a long way if not respected.
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RACE 4: Post: 1:17 ET Grade: A-
Single: 3-Viadera

Forecast: Viadera was plenty fit for a winning performance in her first start since November when 6/5 in the listed De La Rose S. earlier this month but ran into a roadblock when launching her bid entering the lane and lost her best chance, eventually winding up fourth, beaten less than three lengths. She gets a chance to make amends today in this year’s renewal of the Ballston Spa S.-G2, and despite a pace flow that should be very slow early, the Grade-1 winning English-bred mare should be able to produce enough of a late kick to get up in time. A logical rolling exotic single, she’ll offer value in the win pool at or near her morning line of 8/5, though we suspect the C. Brown-trained daughter of Bated Breath will go lower.
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RACE 5: Post: 1:54 ET Grade: B
Use: 4-Whittington Park; 6-Brady’s Legacy

Forecast: Whittington Park may have been a tad short in his debut when looming a threat but then settling for second money earlier this month, but with that bit of experience behind him he should be ready to graduate in this state-bred maiden sprint for juveniles. The B. Cox barn hits at a terrific 30% with the second-time starter angle, and also is quite proficient (24% ) when adding blinkers, so in a race that didn’t come up particular tough the son of Midnight Lute seems pretty solid at 2-1 on the morning line. Among the newcomers, Brady’s Legacy is worth consideration. The son of Street Boss sizzled in the preview session of the OBS April sale when working two furlongs in :21 flat, after which he brought $250,000 through the ring. The barn is okay with first-timers, so we’ll have this colt on our rolling exotic ticket while reserving the main punch for Whittington Park.
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RACE 6: Post: 2:26 ET Grade: B
Use: 1-After Five; 9-Shiraz; 7-Collton’s Command; 11-Big Package

Forecast: Colton’s Command had a nightmarish trip when sixth, beaten more than six lengths, in a similar turf sprint over this course and distance last month, and it’s not an exaggeration to say he could have won had he not been stopped cold when full of run entering and through the entire stretch. He’s a lightly-raced son of Twirling Candy with plenty of improvement in him and makes a monumental jockey switch to red hot J. Rosario. With clear sailing today, he’ll have an excellent change to wear down the speed at 5-1 on the morning line. Big Package is drawn a bit farther out than we’d prefer but the son of Big Brown is good enough to make his presence felt in the final furlong, though his lack of tactical speed always is a bit concerning. Runner-up when too late in the same race our top pick exits, the D. Donk-trained gelding will need good racing luck, and some help up front to regain his winning form. Shiraz was up in time to win a state-bred affair at this level last time out over yielding ground that may have moved him up a bit. The number was strong, and he’s won on firm ground as well, so we’ll consider him a threat right back, even though he's always preferred to run second or third (17 times) rather than win (five times). After Five is lightly raced with room for improvement, though on numbers he’ll need to step up considerably after finishing well beaten in a similar affair at Belmont Park in mid-July. The W. Ward-trained colt lands the rail and projects to enjoy a good second flight, ground-saving trip and may be able to get at least a piece of it.
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RACE 7: Post: 3:02 ET Grade: B+
Use: 1-Gamine; 7-Ce Ce

Forecast: Gamine is a winner of eight of nine starts, her only defeat occurring when she was third in the Kentucky Oak-G1 over a nine furlong distance that was out of her range at that stage of her career. This year’s edition of the Ballerina H.-G1 came up without any other early speed, so the B. Baffert-trained filly theoretically should cruise to the front without being asked and then dominate as she usually does. That said, Ce Ce might give her a run for her money. She’s a one-turn specialist that has never been sharper or trained better, and from her outside draw will have the perfect opportunity to employ her preferred stalk, pounce, and go style that brings out her best. Given the discrepancy in price, will give Ce Ce a chance to spring a surprise while recognizing how difficult a task it may be. Both should be included in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 8: Post: 3:37 ET Grade: B+
Use: 1-Mischevious Alex; 2-Whitmore

Forecast: 2020 Breeder’s Cup Sprint-G1 champion Whitmore switches to J. Rosario and may benefit enough from the patient ride he’s sure to receive to produce his first victory of the year in the Forego S.-G1. A gelding who prefers to be left alone to the top of the lane, the veteran son of Pleasantly Perfect can settle early and blast home in a field he’s capable of beating on his best day. He’s been close this year – four in the money finishes, all in high class company – but we’ll gamble at 4-1 that the “first time Rosario” angle kicks in. Mischevious Alex has two poor runs over the Saratoga main track on his resume so it’s conceivable that he simply doesn’t like this track. But the S. Joseph, Jr. gelding does his best in extended one-turn events, and in a race that projects to have a comfortable early pace flow the son of Into Mischief should draft into a second flight, stalking position while saving ground and have every chance from the quarter pole home. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics while giving Whitmore a slight edge on top.
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RACE 9: Post: 4:12 ET Grade: X
Use: 2-Jackie’s Warrior; 6-Life Is Good

Forecast>: Jackie’s Warrior demolished his rivals, including the high class sprinter Drain the Clock, over a sloppy track in the Amsterdam S.-G2 earlier this month and we see no reason why he can’t do it again over what we’re expecting to be a fast strip. The son of Maclean’s Music earned a career top speed figure in victory and projects to enjoy a similar pace-pressing trip outside of ‘Clock and then be able to go on with it when called up on. Life Is Good is the wildcard. Undefeated in three starts last winter when trained by B. Baffert, the son of Into Mischief launches a comeback for new conditioner T. Pletcher and though working very well may be a race a way from being totally cranked up. Clearly good enough to win if ready based on speed figures, he’s comfortably drawn outside and could fold into a stalking position and then pounce when ready. In a race that we have no plans to play, Jackie’s Warrior rates the edge on top but Life Is Good is simply too talented to completely dismiss.
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RACE 10: Post: 4:47 ET Grade: X
Single: 6-Letruska

Forecast: On resume Letruska is head-and-shoulders above the others in the older filly and mare division and is legitimately listed as the 6/5 morning line favorite in this year’s edition of the Personal Ensign S.-G1. A winner of five of her last six starts and once again the likely pacesetter (her preferred trip), the daughter of Super Saver has been freshened since late June but has fired big shots off similar layoffs in the past and continues to impress in the morning to indicate she’s fit and ready. She’s an obvious short-priced rolling exotic single in a race that we’ll otherwise pass.
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RACE 11: Post: 5:25 ET Grade: B+
Single: 2-Gufo

Forecast: Gufo is developing with maturity and experience and seems set for a career top performance in this year’s Sword Dancer S.-G1 over the marathon distance of a mile and one-half. A confidence-building winner of a listed stakes at this trip in early July at Belmont Park, the son of Declaration of War showed he belonged in Grade-1 company three races back when missing by a nose in the Man O’War S.-G1, and in a race that projects to produce a normal (for this distance) early pace, the C. Clement-trained colt should have every opportunity to produce a winning late kick. This division always seems to produce tough, contentious races, but at the 3-1 on the morning line we’ll take a stand with Gufo as a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 12: Post: 6:12 PT Grade: X
Single: 2-Essential Quality

Forecast: Essential Quality has won seven of eight career starts, the only blemish being his fourth place finish (beaten a length) in the Kentucky Derby-G1. The son of Tapit made hard work of it in his most recent victory, a half-score score over Keepmeinmind in the Jim Dandy S.-G2 here last month, but we’re expecting the B. Cox-trained colt to find a way to manufacture another win in this year’s Travers S.-G1 and lock up an Eclipse Award in the 3-year-old division. The pace figures to be soft – we’re expecting Midnight Bourbon to establish the running – with ‘Quality drafting into an ideal stalking position and then having every chance to grind out another victory as an odds-on favorite and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 13: Post: 6:51 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Dancing Firefly; 12-Sister Luck

Forecast: Maiden claiming state-bred fillies and mares run long on the lawn in the finale in a race that should boil down to two main players. Dancing Firefly couldn’t handle the muddy track in maiden special weight off-the-turf affair here last month and was virtually eased, but under these conditions on grass in her debut two runs back the daughter of Ironicus ran a winning race in defeat when second while three lengths clear of the rest, earning a solid number in the process. From her good rail position, the D. Gargan-trained filly is guaranteed a soft, ground-saving trip and then have her chance to kick home went given her cue. With L. Saez riding her back, she’s the logical favorite at 9/5 on the morning line. Sister Luck, a $375,000 auction purchase last year, is being tossed away for a $40,000 tag in just her third career start, not exactly an encouraging sign, but he’s trained okay on grass for her first start since February and she did show some ability at Fair Grounds in her debut when displaying early speed and winding up fourth in maiden special weight company. She returns without blinkers and with I. Ortiz, Jr. in the saddle for T. Pletcher so despite her extreme outside draw we’ll include her on our ticket.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Arlington - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#8 City Drifter
He comes right back at the same level after a really nice score at this trip last time out. Tactical pace should land another great trip today and can be tough right back.


#2 Etched in Stone
He has to turn the tables on the top choice from the last meeting, but he has always run well going short on the lawn and should be a player again today.


#6 Name Rejected
He'll move to the turf for the first time, and his overall form appears fairly competitive with these if he handles the new footing. Guessing he's at least a little bit of an underlay.


Race Summary
City Drifter appreciated the move to the grass last time out and should be in line for a similar kind of trip from just off the splits. Would think something like the 7/2 ML would be appealing.


Arlington - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#6 One Timer
He has been nothing short of spectacular in a couple of starts so far, including an easy stakes win at Woodbine last time out. This 7f trip is the question, but there's no doubt he's the one to catch and beat.


#2 Magician Stone
Price player was good to us in this spot last time out, and he had a troubled trip in the debut in his only race over the local main track. Maybe he's the one to spice up the gimmicks with the chalk on top.


#8 Land Remembered
He'll race with Lasix for the first time while trying the synthetic footing again, and his local debut was pretty good when he was under the care of Larry Rivelli.


Race Summary
One Timer should be a handful here after two fast, easy scores to open his career, and there doesn't appear to be anyone of quite the same caliber lined up here. Magician Stone might be the right price to include.


Arlington - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#7 Plus Chic
The main track is a little question after the debut came on the turf, but she was super impressive that day and has the pedigree to be a decent one.


#1 Queens Up
She has turned in a sharp work since the debut win, and she can probably settle along the fence while letting the pace players go at it in the early going. Late chance.


#9 Purr Sea
She rolled by 13 in her career debut, but she beat just four Illinois-breds that day, and I wouldn't be too excited to jump in here at anything like the 8/5 ML price. Capable, but I much prefer her stablemate.


Race Summary
Plus Chic is out of a really sharp old local mare, and this one turned in a very impressive score when doing everything right in the debut win. More ground should only work in her favor.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1


Picks
Notes


#10 LANCASTER BOMBER
Bombs away if he can work out a trip from post 10.


#7 CANTSTOPLYING
Plagued by bad posts, second to 1-to-5 fave in latest.


#1 UNDRTHSOUTHRNSUN
Got first run and blew past the field on the turn, but got caught late.


Race Summary
Lancaster Bomber made a quarter-pole brush to the lead, yielded to a 21-1 shot, was shuffled badly in a :26.4 third quarter as the top pair swept the field, then finished willingly. He is a live longshot if he can negotiate the outside post. Play a 10-ALL exacta.


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#2 GOOD NIGHT MOON
Projects good trip, knows how to win, offers best value.


#3 TWIN B SUNKISSED
Romped from on the pace here and off the pace at 5/8-mile track.


#5 VOELZ DELIGHT
Piles up the checks, doesn't shy from photo-finish camera.


Race Summary
Good Night Moon didn't sustain her bid after a :57 middle half, but she won 4 of her 5 previous starts and should sit a good trip at a price in Simcoe Stakes. Play 2-3 and 2-5 exactas.


Northfield Park - Race #3


Picks
Notes


#5 MACHBOOK PRO
Eventful journey in latest, should handle this bunch.


#2 BIG BAD MOSA
Eight wins the last two years looks good in this field, trainer gets in bike.


#1 WAKE N BAKE
Takes needed class drop, memory can serve her well.


Race Summary
Machbook Pro was flushed out before the half, trapped between rivals to the 3/4-mile mark, angled 4-wide on the turn and finished on her own courage. She is today's Best Bet on the class drop in a dreadful field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Del Mar - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#3 Colt Fiction
Made a strong move into fast fractions and had little left for the finish last time out, finishing third; best when he's placed just off the pace and times his move in the final furlong. Franco picks up the mount and can have him in good position.


#4 Fratelli
Extremely rapid and a real detriment to others with designs on the early lead; held on well last out and has taken three of his last four.


#5 I Got No Munny
Finished very well and was up in time from off the pace last time; can get an ideal pace setup.


Race Summary
Colt Fiction can get a good stalking position and can answer the call when asked.


Del Mar - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#10 Farquhar
Was close throughout and missed by a head last out; runs well over the course and can overcome his outside post.


#7 Kazan
Ran on well for fourth going a mile last out and looks ready to stretch out to a longer distance.


#4 Liberal
Closer came out of shorter distances last time and found himself on the front end, only to finish fourth; likely to be close-up again and has a shot to wire it.


Race Summary
Farquhar barely lost last out and can stay close to the lead going this distance; Desmormeaux keeps the mount and be successful this time.


Del Mar - Race #10


Picks
Notes


#4 Mo Mosa
Turns back from a fourth-place finish in the San Diego Handicap, has won two of his last three and will make a late run under Ramon Vazquez.


#8 Flagstaff
Comes off a second to Firenze Fire over the latter's home track at Belmont and had some two straight before that; was second to CZ Rocket in this race last year.


#9 C Z Rocket
Rallied strongly and was third, beaten by a neck, in the G1 Bing Crosby here last out; gets more ground and could get up.


Race Summary
Mo Mosa has run longer distances but with the pace of this one, he's definitely a threat at seven furlongs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan Event: (200101) Brentford at (200102) Aston Villa

Sport/League: EPL

Date/Time: August 28, 2021 10AM EDT
Play: Aston Villa -103
Take Aston Villa on the moneyline as the free play for Saturday.
Dean Smith hosts his old club here on Saturday in a game the ‘Villains’ will no doubt have three points circled in.
After a surprise opening day loss to Watford, Villa have bounced back with avengeance, dominating Newcastle in matchday two 2-0 and then destroying League Two side Barrow 6-0 on Tuesday.
Brentford similarly have started the season brightly but this isn't a struggling Crystal Palace side they're travelling too on Saturday, and Aston Villa should provide a much stiffer test for the ‘Bees’ here on the road this weekend.
Brentford haven't won a road trip here over their last seven attempts and with a rejuvenated Danny Ings in electric form right now, it's hard not to look past the home side here bagging all three points.
Take Aston Villa on the moneyline for Saturday.
PLAY ASTON VILLA ML -103

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Carmine Bianco Event: (200089) Crystal Palace at (200090) West Ham
Sport/League: EPL

Date/Time: August 28, 2021 10AM EDT
Play: West Ham -1.0 (-105)
EPL - Crystal Palace at West Ham
Quick Synopsis: Despite picking up a point last week in a home draw against Brentford it was the 2nd straight game to start the season that Palace has looked listless in attack and are quickly resembling the squad of a few years back that started the season 0-7 without a goal scored. They'll take on a West Ham team that has started the season strong out of the game under Moyes with 2 wins and both were offensive displays with 4 per game. While 1 might be enough on Saturday 2 should get the job done and another 3 points and cover.
The play is West Ham -1.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Adams Event: (305) Connecticut at (306) Fresno State

Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: August 28, 2021 2PM EDT
Play: 1H Fresno State -15.5 (-110)
UCONN didn’t play in 2020, which can only hurt a team that was already in terrible shape. The offensive line really struggled the last time we saw them play, something that is likely to continue with the lack of talent. Overall, I struggle to find any real strengths for the Huskies as they enter the season. They also have to travel the farthest of any team and get up for an early start time Saturday. Kalen DeBoer enters his 2nd season at Fresno State. Led by quarterback Jake Haener, this offense is going to be even better than last season, able to name the score in this game. Ronnie Rivers returns in what is a very deep FSU backfield. That being said, it’s the defense that I expect to be much improved from a season ago. The Bulldogs return a great deal of starters on both sides of the ball. As long as they stay focused, covering this spread won’t be a problem. Take Fresno State FIRST HALF.
Line Parameter: 4 units at -17 or lower, 3 units at -17.5 or higher

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nick Borrman Event: Empoli at Juventus
Sport/League: ISAL

Date/Time: August 28, 2021 2PM EDT
Play: Juventus -1.5 (-125)
Italy Serie A
The big story for this match is that Ronaldo will not be playing as he has already told Juventus he wants out and it seems a deal to Manchester City is imminent. That being said, I think it is affecting the line in our favor here just enough to give a little more value. Juve is plenty deep enough to be fine without Ronaldo against the weaker teams in Serie A. Perhaps they will struggle some more against the big teams or on the European stage, but against a small team like Empoli, they should have no issues.
Dybala will fill right in Ronaldo's slot up front and he is more than capable of taking on the striker role, alongside with Morata who joined Juve last year from Atletico Madrid and scored 11 goals to go along with 8 assists. Then Juve's always strong defense should have no problem keeping a team like Empoli from getting many chances.
Empoli let up three first half goals in their opening match against Lazio and they just cruised to an easy win from there and I wouldn't be surprised to see something similar from Juve here especially now as it looks like Ronaldo will move on and the other guys like Dybala who have been stuck in his shadow will really get their chance to shine.
TAKE JUVENTUS -1.5
Line Parameter: 3% to -1.75

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andrew McInnis Event: (301) Hawaii at (302) UCLA
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: August 28, 2021 3PM EDT
Play: Total Under 69.5 (-110)
Total Under 69.5 (-110)…4% good to 68.5 or higher, 3% at anything lower.At 69.5, this total is far too high and an excellent total spot for us to start the season. People see offence and entertaining football when they see Hawaii football, but under Todd Graham, it's been the defence; and all reports suggest it should be even stronger this season. Like many other leagues, having plenty of continuity is huge, and that's a large part of what we see with Hawaii; they have a boatload of returning players across all positions. All reports suggest the defensive front should be strong, fast and cause problems for their opponents.
As for the Bruins aren't getting much respect on defence either; in 2020, their secondary was top notch with several INT's, and they get plenty of help from their strong pass rush.
In week 0, expect two teams with plenty of experience on the field to lead with defence. Both defences will make some plays early and cause some frustration before the offences get clicking.
Play the UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ralph Michaels Event: (965) New York Yankees at (966) Oakland Athletics
Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: August 28, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: New York Yankees -109 N Cortes (LHP), F Montas (RHP) Must Start

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andy Lang Event: (953) Cincinnati Reds at (954) Miami Marlins
Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: August 28, 2021 6PM EDT
Play: Cincinnati Reds -108 V Gutierrez (RHP), S Alcantara (RHP) Must Start
Alcantara will be going for the Marlins, and he's been solid his last few starts, but he has gotten little to no run support. In the last four games the Marlins have lost when Alcantara has started, they've scored a total of four runs in those games. The Marlins have lost 9 out of 11 games, and the two wins were against the really bad Nationals. Before that they had three wins against the struggling Cubs and a win against the Padres, and five losses before that giving them a 6-13 record the last 19 games, 12 of those losses coming by the run line. Gutierrez will be going for Cincy and he's been fantastic. The Reds are 7-2 in his last 9 starts, and in August he's pitched 32.1 inning and given up only 6 earned runs including a 7 inning start against Miami where he only allowed 1 run. The last 10 wins by Cincy have come by the run line, but at this price, we'll take the run line for the Reds who have won 4 straight games against Miami by a combined score of 27-9.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Ligs Event: (955) St. Louis Cardinals at (956) Pittsburgh Pirates
Sport/League: MLB

Date/Time: August 28, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Total Under 8.5 (-120) A Wainwright (RHP), S Brault (LHP) Must Start

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Anthony Event: (24877) Alessio Di Chirico at (24878) Abdul Razak Alhassan
Sport/League: MMA

Date/Time: August 28, 2021 9PM EDT
Play: Abdul Razak Alhassan +195

In a preliminary bout Abdul Razak Alhassan faces Alessio Di Chirico…

I get it, Alhassan has looked absolutely horrible since returning from a 2 year layoff. 3 straight losses and basically not winning 1 round over that span would make anyone fade this fight. Prior to a 2 year layoff Alhassan was on a knockout murdering spree dropping opponents left and right. No doubt time away from the cage took a massive toll on his overall skill set, but still.. with that said Di Chirico shouldn't be a -250 against anyone. He's the better over all mixed martial artist, but lets be real… Di Chirico was one loss away from being cut by the UFC. After going 0-3 in last 3 UFC appearances, he most recently defeated the slightly over hyped Joaquin Buckley via KO in round 1. Solid win for Di Chirico, but shouldn't provide this kinda price in his next bout. A favorite yes, but this line is to wide in my opinion.
This wager isn't for the faint of heart as Alhassan could look like absolute trash, but I'm placing a sprinkle on him for a pure value play. I believe he'll make improvements in this camp and keep the fight closer then line indicates. Approaching 2-1 dog money on Alhassan is the only value in this fight. Dog or pass.

Play: Abdul Razak Alhassan (+195)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Prez Event: (303) UTEP at (304) New Mexico State
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: August 28, 2021 9PM EDT
Play: UTEP -10.0 (-110)
303 UTEP Miners at 304 New Mexico State Aggies +10, 58
The final weekend of August presents us with Week 0 of the college football regular season. The UTEP Miners are on the road to kick off the year by facing the New Mexico State Aggies. Neither of these programs is projected to win more games than they lose, making this game more important than most understand.
UTEP finished the 2020 season with a 3-5 record, while New Mexico State was only able to participate in a pair of contests due to COVID-related issues. The Aggies split their pair of games and closed the campaign with a 1-1 mark.
This UTEP program heads into the 2021 season as double-digit road favorites. The handicap that the Miners are issuing New Mexico State is significant considering UTEP has lost straight up and against the spread in three of the last four meetings with NMSU. The Free Pick in this Week 0 contest is a play on the obvious. The obvious being that this Aggies team has more personnel problems than will allow them to compete on Saturday night. The Miners earn the "Dub" with a 20-plus point victory over the NMSU Aggies.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan Event: (202489) RB Leipzig at (202490) Wolfsburg
Sport/League: GBL

Date/Time: August 29, 2021 11AM EDT
Play: Wolfsburg +0.5 (-130)
Wolfsburg +0.5 for Sunday against RB Leipzig.
Wolfsburg come off an electric start to their 2021-22 Bundesliga campaign as they're currently top of the league as the only team with maximum points at this early stage of the season.
After a tough opening day loss to Mainz, RB Leipzig bounced back with avengeance in their next game, dispatching Stuttgart with ease via a 4-0 scoreline in Matchday 2.
That's sets up a really fantastic clash on paper here for Sunday and I like the home team in this one catching a half goal head start at home.
Leipzig have been incredibly patchy on the road going all the way back to last season. Just 8 wins from their 17 road games last year basically saw their title aspirations evaporate and they're now currently on a four game losing streak on the road as well entering Sunday's game.
Wolfsburg meanwhile lost just 3 times at home last season, and with fans in the stands for this huge standalone game on Sunday, we expect Volkswagen Arena to be a fortress here and for Wolfsburg to grind out a result at home in this one.
Take Wolfsburg +0.5 to cover and potentially win outright on Sunday against RB Leipzig.
PLAY: WOLFSBURG +0.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams

Saturday comp play on Fresno State minus the big number over the Connecticut Huskies.

When last we saw the Huskies on the gridiron for a game was back in 2019, as UConn opted out of last season's campaign due to COVID-19 concerns.

So what do we know about the team this year?

Well, if past history is any kind of harbinger, things won't go too swimmingly today at Fresno State.

Connecticut is on a 3-36 straight-up run their last 39 games contested and they are just 7-17 against the spread their last 24 games with a line. The Huskies have also given up some 43 points and over 500 yards per game during that 7-17 point spread dive and have a penchant for turning over the football.

If any of those negative traits persist, then this game should not be close for long as Fresno State does have an experienced quarterback in Jake Haener who spent some time with the Washington Huskies. Haener will throw to his top-8 returning pass-catchers and that my friends are a definite recipe for a blowout in the making.

Lay it with the Bulldogs over the Huskies.

4* FRESNO STATE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gus Augustine

My free pick for Saturday's college football card is the Fresno State Bulldogs laying a mighty big number to the Connecticut Huskies.

Anyone else realize when the ball is kicked off, it will mark 638 days since the Huskies have played a game? UConn sat out the 2020 season, and will be as big a mystery to itself as it will be for others. UConn finished its 2019 campaign with a 2-10 mark.

Though 16 players Bulldogs are taking advantage of the extra year of eligibility, granted by the NCAA due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the team added 39 players to the 2021 roster who were not on the roster a season ago.

A true mystery.

I don't think this is an ideal spot to open the season, across the country against a feisty team from a conference where members are always trying to prove themselves.

Fresno State had one of the more balanced teams in the Mountain West last season, with a high-octane offense led by the league's No. 1 passing game, and a defense that was suffocating with an 11.2% sack rate.

The Bulldogs have a senior-laden offensive unit returning, while a combined nine juniors and seniors are back for this season. With Fresno State returning 20 of its 22 position starters from last season, the 20 returning starters bring a collective 204 career starts into the season, and that'll be a problem for an unknown Huskies team.

4* FRESNO STATE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jay McNeil

Saturday's comp play goes on the Reds and the Marlins to play Under the total with a pair of Under pitchers on the mound.

Cincy starter Vladimir Gutierrez has allowed 2 runs or less in each of his last 6 starts and in 8 of his last 9 overall. On the road, he has gone a rock-solid 6-1 with a 2.92 ERA this year. Each of his last pair of starts and 3 of his last 4 overall have held Under the total.

Miami hurler Sandy Alcantara has allowed 2 runs or less in 4 of his last 5 starts and owns a 2.43 ERA in his home starts this year. The Under is 15-8-3 when he climbs the bump, so do not expect too much offense going on tonight.

Cincinnati is now 8-2 Under the total after last night's meeting with the Marlins, while Miami is now Under in 7 of their last 10 overall.

Gutierrez and Alcantara to dominate.

Reds and Marlins Under the total.

5* CINCINNATI-MIAMI UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al McMordie - NFL - Sat, Aug 28 at 1:00 PM

BIG AL's FREE BILLS/PACKERS WINNER!

Green Bay Packers vs Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills -8.5 (-104) (BetCRIS)

At 1 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over Green Bay. The storyline for this game is that Aaron Rodgers will once again not play, while Josh Allen and other Bills starters will see action on Saturday. It’s hard to make a case for Green Bay, given that it has scored just 21 points total in the preseason, while Buffalo has scored 57. Last week, the Bills ran up 41 points on the Chicago Bears behind a 20-for-28 performance from back-up QB Mitchell Trubisky. The line on this game opened up at Buffalo -4, and is currently much higher. Generally, I’m a contrarian, but this statistic will keep me completely off the Packers. NFL teams off back to back losses by more than 7 points have gone 4-23 ATS in the preseason vs. opponents off back to back wins. The Packers have lost their first two games by 9 and 19 points, while the Bills are 2-0. I’m laying the points with Buffalo. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITBULL BARKING SOCCER

Sat Aug 28, 2021 6:40 am

ENGLAND - LEAGUE ONE- (UNDER 2.5 -128) SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY vs. MORECAMBE (10:00 AM)
ENGLAND - PREMIER LEAGUE- (UNDER 2.5 -115) CHELSEA vs. LIVERPOOL (12:30 PM)
ENGLAND - PREMIER LEAGUE- (OVER 3 -103) ARSENAL vs. MANCHESTER CITY (7:30 AM)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITBULL BARKING NCAAF

Sat Aug 28, 2021 6:40 am

Nebraska -7 +100 No Illinois (1:00 PM)
Southern Utah vs. San Jose State OVER 56.5 -110 (10:00 PM)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

CFB & MLB Picks 8/28"

100* Yankees -120
100* Hawaii +17.5
100* Over 58.5 New Mex St/UTEP

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel





Saturday, August 28

https://i.ibb.co/86bRJ1d/Screenshot-2021-08-26-at-10-05-11-FBS-Football-Picks-Dunkel-Index.png (https://ibb.co/J5qbNDy)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 0

Saturday, August 28

Nebraska @ Illinois
— Last four years, Nebraska is 16-28 SU
— Cornhuskers’ last bowl game was five years ago.
— Nebraska has 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Cornhuskers have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Nebraska’s QB is making his 30th career start.
— Under Frost, Cornhuskers are 2-3 ATS as a road favorite.

— Illinois has had nine losing seasons in a row.
— New coach this year is Bielema, ex-Wisconsin/Arkansas coach.
— Illinois has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Illini have 88 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Last six years, Illinois is 9-16 ATS as a home underdog.
— Bielema is 26-23-1 ATS as an underdog. 11-10 as a home dog.

— Nebraska won six of last eight series games.
— Five of those six wins were by 15+ points.
— Huskers won 42-38/28-6 in last two visits to Illinois.
— Last three years, Illinois ran for 285-221-383 yards vs Nebraska.

UConn @ Fresno State
— UConn didn’t play last year, hard team to handicap.
— Huskies were 9-39 SU from 2016-19.
— UConn has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Huskies have 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UConn has a QB with 6 starts; unsure who the starter will be.
— Huskies are 2-9 ATS last 11 games as road underdogs.

— Fresno was 3-3 LY, giving up 34+ points in all the losses.
— Bulldogs went 7-11 last two years; in 2017-18, they were 22-6
— Fresno has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Bulldogs have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Washington transfer Haener (6 starts) is new starting QB.
— Last two years, Bulldogs were 4-8 ATS as favorites, 2-5 at home.

— These teams haven’t met the last 20 years.

Hawai’i @ UCLA
— Last three years, Hawai’i is 23-15 SU.
— Rainbows went bowling last three years, winning last two.
— Hawai’i has 7 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
— Rainbows have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Hawai’i’s soph QB has started 13 games.
— Last four years, Rainbows are 6-11 ATS as road underdogs.

— Three years under Kelly, UCLA is 10-19 SU.
— Bruins’ last bowl was 2017; last bowl win was 2014.
— UCLA has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Bruins have 61 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UCLA’s junior QB is making his 25th career start.
— Under Kelly, Bruins are 2-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— UCLA hosts LSU next week; will they be looking ahead?

— UCLA (-24) waxed Hawai’i 56-23 in last meeting, four years ago.

Texas-El Paso (3-4) @ New Mexico State
— UTEP has had six losing seasons in a row.
— Three years under Dimel, Miners are 5-27 SU.
— Miners have 11 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— UTEP has 101 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UTEP’s soph QB has 7 career starts.
— Last 10 years, UTEP is 1-1-1 ATS as road favorites.
— Last time Miners were a road favorite? 2015.

— New Mexico State played two I-AA games LY and lost one.
— Last three years, NM State is 6-20 SU.
— NM State has 3 starters back on offense, zero on defense- not good.
— Aggies have 61 returning starts on the offensive line.
— NM State’s junior QB is making his 3rd career start.
— Aggies are 2-5 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.

— NM State won/covered last three series games.
— Miners lost 44-35/41-14 in last two trips two Las Cruces.
— Favorites are 6-0-2 ATS last eight series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Week 0

Trend Report

Saturday, August 28

Nebraska @ Illinois
Nebraska
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nebraska's last 6 games on the road
Nebraska is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Illinois
Illinois
Illinois is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nebraska
Illinois is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games

Connecticut @ Fresno State
Connecticut
Connecticut is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games
Connecticut is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Fresno State
Fresno State is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games at home

Hawaii @ California-Los Angeles
Hawaii
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 6 games
California-Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 6 games at home
California-Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Texas El Paso @ New Mexico State
Texas El Paso
Texas El Paso is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas El Paso is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New Mexico State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 5 games at home

Southern Utah @ San Jose State
Southern Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Utah's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Utah's last 5 games
San Jose State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose State's last 5 games
San Jose State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Saturday, August 28

Trend Report

Boston @ Cleveland
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

NY Yankees @ Oakland
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland
Oakland is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Oakland is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing NY Yankees

Kansas City @ Seattle
Kansas City
Kansas City is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Arizona @ Philadelphia
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games

Toronto @ Detroit
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games

Cincinnati @ Miami
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Baltimore's last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay

Houston @ Texas
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Texas
Texas
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh
St. Louis
St. Louis is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home

Washington @ NY Mets
Washington
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Washington's last 24 games
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Mets's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home

Chi Cubs @ Chi White Sox
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi White Sox is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs

Milwaukee @ Minnesota
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Milwaukee is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

San Francisco @ Atlanta
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco

San Diego @ LA Angels
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing San Diego
LA Angels is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Diego

Colorado @ LA Dodgers
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing Colorado

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Saturday, August 28

https://i.ibb.co/5Y17dC1/Screenshot-2021-08-28-at-06-42-44-MLB-Baseball-Picks-The-Dunkel-Index.png (https://ibb.co/Rhg51tg)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Sat (NCAAF) Nebraska
Sat (NCAAF) Hawaii
Sat (NCAAF) UTEP
Sat (NFL) Bears

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee Aug 28 '21, 1:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Nebraska vs Illinois
Play on: Nebraska -6½ -113 at pinnacle

FREE PICK - Nebraska Cornhuskers -6.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 299
I just can't help myself here with Nebraska laying less than a touchdown at -6.5 (I would take the -6.5 now, as this could go back to -7 before kickoff and -6.5 is way better than waiting to see if you get -6).
It's now or never for Scott Forst and his staff to get this Cornhuskers team at least playing some competitive football. No one thought Nebraska was going to 12-20 in the first 3 years under Frost. He gets a lot of blame for the poor record, but I also think some of the blame needs to fall on previous head coach Mike Riley.
Frost just didn't have the guys to compete in a conference like the Big Ten. I'm not saying they are going to shock everyone and win the Big Ten West, but I feel pretty good about this being the best team Frost has fielded in what is now his 4th year. The offense should be better in year two under OC Matt Lubick and the defense brings back 10 starters.
As for Illinois, they got 18 starters back, but are in the first year under new head coach Bret Bielema. No question Bielema has a great track record in the Big Ten, but you have to take into consideration the talent he's inheriting and that talent being recruited to play different schemes on both sides of the ball. Bielema went just 3-9 in his first year at Arkansas, before going 7-8, 8-5 and 7-6 in his next 3 seasons.
Another huge factor here for me is revenge. Illinois went into Lincoln and embarrassed Nebraska 41-23 last year. Looking back, it feels like that was a bit of a trap game, as the Cornhuskers were off an upset win against Penn State and had a game at Iowa on deck, who is their biggest rival in the Big Ten. Nebraska has a game against Fordham on deck. All their attention will be on this game.
I also love the fact that because of all the allegations with Frost and the team having secret meetings during Covid, this team will be playing with a chip on their shoulder. Give me Nebraska -6.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Aug 28 '21, 1:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Nebraska vs Illinois
Play on: UNDER 53½ -110

1* Free Pick on Nebraska/Illinois under 53½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon Aug 28 '21, 1:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Nebraska vs Illinois
Play on: UNDER 53½ -110

FREE PLAY on Nebraska/Illinois under 53½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero



Camarero - Race 1

Exacta / Daily Double 1-2



Claiming $20,000 • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 95 • Purse: $8,100 • Post: 2:45P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; , 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 30 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 15 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Dominant Trailer. SICILIA CONNIE is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SICILIA CONNIE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ha s the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. GLAMORIZED: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the to p three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



1

SICILIA CONNIE

4/5


6/5




2

GLAMORIZED

3/1


7/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




3

LIMAGE

3


10/1

Stalker

74


68


54.6


60.8


52.3




2

GLAMORIZED

2


3/1

Alternator/Stalker

89


87


75.0


73.0


68.0




1

SICILIA CONNIE

1


4/5

Trailer

97


91


84.0


92.2


89.7




4

STAKES ON A PLANE

4


4/1

Alternator/Non-contender

88


88


64.5


71.6


64.6




5

WICKED TITLE

5


5/1

Alternator/Non-contender

83


66


60.7


55.2


48.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Grand Prairie

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Allowance - 4.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4000 Class Rating: 70

QUARTER HORSE 4F, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR ALBERTA BREDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FIVE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 3 SS FROSTY 5/1




# 5 SASSES LOKI 3/1




# 4 WILT (T) 4/1




SS FROSTY is my choice. Could provide positive dividends based on solid recent speed figures with an average of 69. With a formidable 66 speed rating last time out, will clearly be a factor in this race. Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. SASSES LOKI - Could best this group here, showing competitive figs of late. Rocha ought to be able to get this gelding to break out quickly for this race. WILT (T) - Has been racing admirably and has among the most competitive speed in the race for today's distance. Will almost certainly compete well in the early pace clash which bodes well with this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Emerald Downs - Race #3 - Post: 7:22pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,580 Class Rating: 58

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#4 HAVARTI GOLD (ML=8/1)
#6 CELINAS BLUE BIRD (ML=5/1)
#5 LARSEN BAY (ML=4/1)


HAVARTI GOLD - This jockey and handler's horses have been generating a beneficial return on investment. I like that this first-timer has been working over the Emerald Downs oval and makes his debut here today. Gets help from Moore with the addition of Lasix. CELINAS BLUE BIRD - Here is an appropriate handicapping angle that I've used many times before. Play a filly (like this one) getting Lasix for the 2nd time. LARSEN BAY - When this jock and trainer team up you have to take a look. Mawing and Belvoir have been wonderful together. Got an unlucky trip his first time out. Hitting the track today, should do better if he stays out of any issues. Got some betting action in maiden trip on the track on August 14th at Emerald Downs, but finished fourth. Has a shot in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 COASTAL QUEEN (ML=3/1), #3 FLYIN BY (ML=7/2), #2 COASTAL CAT (ML=9/2),

COASTAL QUEEN - Common speed fig in the last race at Emerald Downs at 5 furlongs. Don't believe this questionable contender will improve too much in today's event. FLYIN BY - Morning line odds of 7/2 make this thoroughbred a pass by my examination. COASTAL CAT - No value on this horse at the likely odds of 9/2.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #4 HAVARTI GOLD on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds



EXACTA WAGERS:

4 with [5,6]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [4,5,6] Total Cost: $6



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Timonium

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 54

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 7 CORAL SUMMER 3/1




# 5 HICKORY MADE 3/1




# 4 MAGIC MELODY 6/1




I have to support CORAL SUMMER here. This lot is much softer than the last one she faced. The average class rating alone makes this one a contender. Dangelo has well above average dividends at this distance/surface. HICKORY MADE - Hiraldo will probably be able to get this mare to break out quickly in this contest. Earned a strong speed rating last time out. MAGIC MELODY - Must be given consideration - I like the figs from the last competition.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga



08/28/21, SAR, Race 12, 6.12 ET
08/28/21,SAR,12,1 1/4M [Dirt] 1:59:02 STAKES. Runhappy Travers Stakes. Grade 1. Purse $1,250,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. This is a Non-Lasix race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $1,250 each which should accompany the nomination; $9,000 to pass the entry box and an additional $9,750 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $18,750 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse for the Runhappy Travers shall be divided as follows: $670,000 to the owner of the winner, $230,000 to second, $125,000 to third, $85,000 to fourth, $50,000 to fifth, $35,000 to sixth, $30,000 to seventh and $25,000 to eighth. Weight 126 lbs. Trophies will be presented to the winning owner, trainer and jockey. Closed Saturday, August 14, 2021 with 9 Nominations.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Best
Occ
Win%
ROI


100.0000
2
Essential Quality
4/5
Saez L
Cox Brad H.
TSFEC
100
50.00
1.55/$1


098.4004
1
Midnight Bourbon
9/2
Santana. Jr. R
Asmussen Steven M.
L
100
50.00
1.55/$1


097.5393
4
Dynamic One
6/1
Ortiz. Jr. I
Pletcher Todd A.


100
50.00
1.55/$1


096.8378
3
Keepmeinmind
6/1
Rosario J
Diodoro Robertino
W
100
50.00
1.55/$1


096.3996
5
Miles D
12/1
Prat F
Brown Chad C.
J
100
50.00
1.55/$1


096.3794
6
Masqueparade
8/1
Mena M
Stall. Jr. Albert M.


100
50.00
1.55/$1


095.2674
7
King Fury
15/1
Ortiz J L
McPeek Kenneth G.


100
50.00
1.55/$1


Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 40.82, ROI 1.10/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.5996
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Purse Not Same As Today -with-
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Is Not Greater Than Today

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mikey Sports (http://www.mikeysports.com/)
NFL
CHICAGO BEARS ‑3
1
1
-10


Hottie4Sports (https://twitter.com/Hottie4Sports)
MLB
CHICAGO WHITE SOX ‑1.5 ‑140
2
2
-50


Tommy King Wins (http://www.tkwins.com/)
NFL
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS ‑6
2
2
-80


Ace / Sleeper Selections (http://www.sleeperselections.com/)

No pick yet
0
1
-110


Winning Cappers (https://winningcappers.net/)
MLB
TAMPA BAY RAYS ‑1.5 ‑125
0
1
-125


Pure Lock (http://www.purelock.net/)
MLB
TAMPA BAY RAYS ‑1.5 ‑120
0
1
-145


Vegas Investment Picks (https://www.cappertek.com/picks.asp?shs=BestSportsPicksToday.com)

No pick yet
0
1
-155


Joe Wiz (https://www.joewizsports.com/)
MLB
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS +110
1
3
-220


GreenTreeSports (https://veri.bet/GreenTreeSports.org)

No pick yet
0
2
-240


FURBOOKIE (http://pickmonitor.com/user/furbookie)

No pick yet
1
2
-270


Assassin Sports Betting (https://www.patreon.com/assassinsportsbetting)

No pick yet
0
2
-430


The Money Team Wins Sports (https://twitter.com/TMTWMoney)
NFL
BUFFALO BILLS ‑4 ‑110
0
4
-440


Brand X Sports (http://brandxsports.com/)
MLB
OAKLAND ATHLETICS +100
0
0
0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1.
Doc's Picks (http://www.docspicks.com)
CFB
San Jose St. -25
2-3 (-130)
6-1 (+445)


2.
Top Rank Sports Picks (http://www.topranksportspicks.com)
MLB
Milwaukee -150
0-5 (-600)
4-1 (+290)


3.
The Sports Consensus (https://www.thesportsconsensus.com)


3-0 (+300)
4-2 (+180)


4.
Elite Sports Picks (https://www.elite-sports-picks.com)
CFB
Illinois +7
2-3 (-210)
4-2 (+180)


5.
Primetime Sports Picks (http://www.primetimesportspicks.com/)
MLB
Miami under 7.5
3-1 (+185)
4-2 (+145)


6.
Insider Sports Report (https://www.insidersportsreport.com)
MLB
Seattle under 8.5
3-0 (+315)
4-3 (+85)


7.
Profit On Sports (https://www.profitonsports.com)


3-0 (+320)
2-2 (-10)


8.
National Sports Service (https://www.nationalsportsservice.com/)
MLB
Oakland -115
2-2 (-25)
2-2 (-20)


9.
The Spot Player (http://www.thespotplayer.com)
MLB
Cleveland +120
3-1 (+135)
2-3 (-200)


10.
Joe Wiz (http://www.joewizsports.com)


1-4 (-400)
2-4 (-390)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk
Sports Services
Free Sports Picks
Place A Bet


1.
NSA(The Legend) (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Reds -110
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642GfsGTz_YfB9onf8DuVAkVka/0/)


2.
Gameday Network (https://www.gamedaynetwork.com/)
MLB – Braves -105
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


3.
Sports Action 365 (https://www.sportsaction365.com/)
MLB – Yankees over 8.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


4.
Vegas Line Crushers (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com/)
MLB – Blue Jays -1.5
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


5.
VegasSI.com (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – White Sox -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


6.
PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) (https://www.pointspreadreport.com)
MLB – Angels +110
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


7.
Winning Big Sports (https://www.winningbigsports.com)
MLB – Twins +130
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


8.
NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) (https://www.nsawins.com)
MLB – Rays -170
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


9.
Lou Panelli (https://www.nsawins.com)
MLB – Royals +125
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


10.
VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club (https://www.vegassi.com/)
MLB – Red Sox -145
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


11.
William E. Stockton (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Giants -105
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


12.
Vincent Pioli (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vincent-pioli/)
MLB – Phillies -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


13.
Steve “Scoop” Kendall (https://www.nsawins.com/)
MLB – Cardinals -180
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


14.
SCORE (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
MLB – Dodgers under 9
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


15.
Tony Campone (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/tony-campone/)
MLB – Royals over 8.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


16.
Chicago Sports Group (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/chicago-sports-group/)
MLB – Rays -170
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


17.
Hollywood Sportsline (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/hollywood-sportsline/)
MLB – White Sox -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


18.
VIP Action (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/vip-action-sports/)
MLB – Angels +110
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


19.
South Beach Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/south-beach-sports/)
MLB – Astros -1.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


20.
Las Vegas Sports Commission (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)
MLB – Royals +125
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


21.
NY Players Club (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/new-york-players-club/)
MLB – Twins +130
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


22.
Fred Callahan (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/fred-callahan/)
MLB – Yankees over 8.5
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)


23.
Las Vegas Private CEO Club (https://www.vegaslinecrushers.com)
MLB – Mets -1.5
Line @ MyBookie (http://record.webpartners.co/_xfzl4TRUwAgWqcfzuvZcQGNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)


24.
Michigan Sports (https://www.vegassi.com/sports-handicappers/michigan-sports-network/)
MLB – Cardinals -180
Line @ GT Bets (https://www.gtbets.ag/?refer=141)


25.
National Consensus Report (https://www.pointspreadreport.com/)
MLB – Reds -110
Line @ Bovada (https://record.revenuenetwork.com/_d5unAk642Gf97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk/0/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays Aug 28 '21, 3:30 PM in 30m
NCAA-F | Hawaii vs UCLA
Play on: UNDER 68½ -110

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Hawaii vs UCLA under 68½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price Aug 28 '21, 4:05 PM in 1h
MLB | BOS vs CLE
Play on: UNDER 9 -106

Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on Red Sox/Indians UNDER 9
The Key: Two very good starting pitchers go at it today in Cleveland. Cal Quantrill goes for the Indians and is 4-1 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 16 starts, and 3-0 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 10 home starts. Nathan Eovaldi is 10-8 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 25 starts for the Red Sox, and 1-1 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in his last 3 outings. The UNDER is 8-0 in Quantrill's last 8 starts. He has yielded 3 earned runs or fewer in 10 consecutive starts. Eovaldi has yielded 3 earned runs or fewer in 9 of his last 12 starts. Take the UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru Aug 28 '21, 4:10 PM in 1h
MLB | KC vs SEA
Play on: UNDER 8½ +100

Free Total Annihilator On Royals vs Mariners under 8½ +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Aug 28 '21, 6:05 PM in 3h
MLB | ARI vs PHI
Play on: OVER 8½ -115

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Diamondbacks/Phillies over 8½ -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones Aug 28 '21, 6:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Reds vs Marlins
Play on: Reds -109 at SC Consensus

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Cincinnati Reds -109
The Cincinnati Reds are making a late-season push to make the playoffs. They have dominated the teams they are supposed to, going 30-11 in their last 41 games as favorites. And the Miami Marlins fit into that category as they are just 2-9 in their last 11 games overall.
Vladimir Gutierrez has been impressive for the Reds this season. He is 9-4 with a 3.68 ERA in 16 starts, including 6-1 with a 2.92 ERA in nine road starts. Gutierrez is also 2-1 with a 1.86 ERA in his last three starts coming in. He held the Marlins to one earned run in 7 innings of a 3-1 victory on August 22nd in his last start against them.
The Reds are 6-0 in Gutierrez' six road starts at night this season. The Marlins are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record. Cincinnati is 11-1 in its last 12 meetings with Miami. Bet the Reds Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins Aug 28 '21, 7:00 PM in 4h
NFLX | Bears vs Titans
Play on: Titans +3 -100 at Caesars

1 Dimer on Titans +3 -100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels Aug 28 '21, 7:00 PM in 4h
NFLX | Bears vs Titans
Play on: Titans +3 -110 at SC Consensus

Free Play on Titans +3 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker Aug 28 '21, 7:05 PM in 4h
MLB | Rays vs Orioles
Play on: Orioles +176 at SC Consensus

Free Pick on Orioles

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander Aug 28 '21, 7:05 PM in 4h
MLB | STL vs PIT
Play on: UNDER 8½ -107

1* MLB - Cardinals/Pirates FREE PICK on UNDER 8.5
Saturday's Free MLB Pick is on the UNDER 8.5 between the St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates. This just feels like it's a run too high with the two starters we got going. Cardinals will have veteran Adam Wainwright on the rubber. He's really been one of the best NL starters in the 2nd half. He's got a 0.78 ERA and 0.652 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Steven Brault has only made 4 starts and has not recorded a win, but has posted a very strong 1.93 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Bet the UNDER 8.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams Aug 28 '21, 7:10 PM in 4h
MLB | Nationals vs Mets
Play on: Mets -206 at pinnacle

1* on Mets -206

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti Aug 28 '21, 7:10 PM in 4h
MLB | Nationals vs Mets
Play on: Mets -1½ -104 at pinnacle

Saturday card has an Executive Level NFLX Play headlining along with a 5* College Football play, a Soccer Platinum Supreme move and a Powerful MLB Card. MLB Comp Play below.
The MLB Comp Play is on the NY. Mets on the run line at 7:10 eastern. The Mets fit a powerful database system based on last night heavy home favored 1 run loss where both teams scored 2 or less runs. NY is 7-1 this year as a home favorite of 140 or more off a home favored loss. Washington is 1-8 as a road dog off a road dog win. The Nats have Nolin going and he has allowed 7 runs in 7 innings. Stroman for the Mets has a superb 2.84 era. Look for the Mets to get the multiple run win. On Saturday a huge card is up and led by an Executive Level NFL TIER 1, A platinum Supreme Soccer Move, College Football 5* and a Powerful MLB Card. Jump on and Cash out. For the MLB Comp play. Make it the Mets on the run line. Rob V- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson Aug 28 '21, 7:45 PM in 4h
NASCAR | Michael McDowell vs Daniel Suarez
Play on: Michael McDowell -145 at linepros

Rocketman Sports FREE Nascar Head to Head Matchup Saturday 8-28-21
#34 Michael McDowell vs #99 Daniel Suarez (7:45 PM EST)
Play On: #34 Michael McDowell -145
The Nascar Cup boys head to Daytona for the last race before the playoffs here on Saturday night. Michael McDowell has 1 win, 3 Top 5 finishes and 7 Top 10 finishes in 20 races here in Daytona. His average finish is 19.4 at this track. Over the past 3 years here, McDowell has an average finish of 11.7 in those 7 races. Suarez has no wins, no Top 5 finishes and no Top 10 finishes in his 8 races here in Daytona. His average finish is 31.6 at this track. Over the past 3 years in 6 races here, he has an average finish of 34.5 at this track. We'll recommend a small play on Michael McDowell to finish ahead of Daniel Suarez tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price Aug 28 '21, 8:50 PM in 5h
Fighting | Sam Alvey vs Wellington Turman
Play on: Sam Alvey +110 at SC Consensus

1* Free Pick on Sam Alvey +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns Aug 28 '21, 9:07 PM in 6h
MLB | Padres vs Angels
Play on: Padres -118 at William Hill

The Padres finally stopped the bleeding last night. Desperate for more wins, I expect them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. Admittedly, Weathers has struggled. He should get plenty of support here though; Suarez has his own issues. In three home starts, Suarez is 0-3 with an ugly 7.72 ERA and 1.973 WHIP. Importantly, with Musgrove going the distance last night, Weathers also has the support of a SD bullpen which got a much needed night off. The Angels have been outscored 28-7 in losing their last three games. Consider SD.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin Aug 28 '21, 9:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | UTEP vs New Mexico State
Play on: OVER 59 -110

1 Unit FREE PLAY on UTEP/New Mexico State OVER 59
I expect some offensive fireworks tonight between UTEP and New Mexico State to finish off Week 0 college football. New Mexico State has been a disaster defensively under Doug Martin. They have allowed 36 PPG, 41 PPG and 41.3 PPG the last three seasons, respectively. But they have had a competent offense and that should be the case again this year. UTEP can pretty much name its number here with all 11 starters back on offense from a unit that closed the season very strong last year. UTEP saw its final three games finish with 66, 73 and 88 combined points last season in absolute shootouts. And this has always been a suspect Miners defense that has now allowed 31 PPG or more in each of the last six seasons. Give me the OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy Aug 28 '21, 10:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | Southern Utah vs San Jose State
Play on: UNDER 56½ -105

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Southern Utah and San Jose State at 10 pm et on Saturday.
While we don't know a lot about the Southern Utah Jaguars, we do know that they have a quality defense and their offense thrives in the short to intermediate passing game. The gameplan for the Jaguars here will be to possess and take care of the football for extended stretches and ultimately try to shorten this game as they go up against an upstart Spartans squad that finished in the top-25 rankings and won the Mountain West Conference last season.
On the flip side, San Jose State returns a ton of talent form last year's team, including starting quarterback Nick Starkel. The offense did a lot of good things a year ago but now does lose its top two wide receivers. I simply feel it will be the Spartans defense that is a little ahead of the offense at this early stage of the season.
Southern Utah got to play six spring games, losing five of those. Four of the five losses were by three points or less, however. I don't expect the Jaguars to get steamrolled in this game either and believe that plays into our hands with the 'under' given the relatively high posted total. Take the under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn Free Pick: Milwaukee w/Houser -145 over Minnesota

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist Jim Feist's Comp Pick, SATURDAY AUGUST 28, 2021


8/28 06:30 PM PT / 9:30 PM ET

CF (303) UTEP VS (304) NEW MEXICO STATE

Take: (303) UTEP

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razor Sharp YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY: BOSTON (Eovaldi) -150 over Cleveland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U Saturday's Free Selection: Milwaukee Brewers/Minnesota Twins over 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins ROZ Selections SATURDAY, August 28, 2021

FREE MLB
954. Marlins +1.02 (3:10 PT / 6:10 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atlantic Sports
Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: St Louis Cardinals - 170

[Can'tPickAWinner]

#1 Sports Saturday's Free Play: Toronto Blue Jays - 180

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays

Your Free Pick: NY Yankees/Oakland Game OVER 8½ Runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Bettor SharpBettor FREE Play SATURDAY, AUGUST 28, 2021

FREE CFB
302. UCLA -17 (12:30 PT / 3:30 ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Saturday Selection Is
LOS ANGELES ANGELS w/Suarez +114

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Saturday : Take BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON OVER the total of 32½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Saturday
Green Bay/Buffalo over 36'

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hawkeye Sports Saturday's Free Pick: Los Angeles Angels + 110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Huddle Up Sports
Saturday Free Play
Tampa Bay -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph FreePlay SAT Cinci REDS w/ Guiterrez-120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Last Call Saturday's Free Play: Philadelphia Phillies - 205

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teyas Sports FREE PICK 8/28 CFB UTEP -10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Saturday: BALTIMORE -3½ over Washington

[Can'tPickAWinner]

High Stakes Syndicate Free Selection for Saturday: Indiana State Sycamores - 14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Towers Your Free Pick for Saturday: TB/HOUSTON OVER 36½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Anthony Sports Your John Anthony Free Selection for Saturday:
TB RAYS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Sacco Tony Sacco's Free Play for Saturday:
TB/Hstn UNDER 37

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hollywood Anthony Your Free Play from Hollywood

MLB Take St Louis w/Wainwright -170

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Tudor SPORTS TUDOR'S FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY

MLB Milwaukee(A.Houser)-147 OVER Minnesota(C.Barnes)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Winners for Saturday, August 28th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
MONMOUTH PARK
RACE #11
TIME: 4:56PM EST
PICK: BET #4 Shekky Shebaz 5/2 odds to win @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada-racebook/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ed Sehon

Saratoga

DAILY DOUBLE (Race Nos. 1-2, 11:35 a.m. ET/8:35 p.m. PT)

Race 1: #8 Speaking Scout (8-1 morning line)

Race 2: #5 Jack Christopher (9-5)

Wager: $4 Daily Double of 8 & 5. ($4)


BEST BET (Race No. 7, 3:02 p.m. ET/12:02 p.m. PT)

Bob Baffert brings his ultra-talented, fleet filly #1 Gamine (3-5 morning line) back east to pad her total earnings ($1.4 million to date). John Velazquez has guided her to four straight victories. Lone speed leads to another wire-to-wire romp. Wager: $40 to Win on 1. ($40)


EXACTA EXTRA (Race No. 8, 3:37 a.m. ET/12:37 p.m. PT)

Mr. Ed looks for these three top-shelf sprinters to blanket wire together: #1 Mischevious Alex (6-1 morning line); #7 Yaupon (5-2) and #8 Firenze Fire (6-1). Wager: $5 Exacta Box of 1,7 & 8. ($30)


LATE PICK 5 (Races Nos. 9-13, 4:12 p.m. ET/1:12 p.m. PT)

Race 9: 6
Race 10: 4,6
Race 11: 1,2,7
Race 12: 2,4,6
Race 13: 1,5,10,12 ($36)

PRICE PLAY (Race No. 12, 6:12 p.m. ET/3:12 p..m. PT)

Welcome to the graveyard of champions as cagey conditioner Al Stall Jr. and regular rider Miguel Mena steer #6 Masqueparade (8-1 morning line) to upset victory over prohibitive favorite #2 Essential Quality (4-5). Let the parade begin. Wager: $20 Win & Place on 6. ($40)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Lauro

Arlington Race No. 7 (6:40 p.m. ET/3:40 p.m. PT)

#6 One Timer (4-5 morning line). “We’ve cashed on this 2-year-old star before and now he tops the Arlington-Washington Futurity on Saturday at Arlington.”


Saratoga Race No. 12 (6:12 p.m. ET/3:12 p.m. PT)

#3 Keepmeinmind (6-1 morning line). “Looking for the upset in the Travers. He was moving on the winner [Essential Quality in the Grade 2 Jim Dandy. He’s been waiting for a mile and a quarter.”