Saturday 9/4/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Late Pick 4 Analysis September 4, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, is a huge night of racing at Woodbine Mohawk Park. My focus will be on the 0.20 Late Pick 5. The sequence encompasses the eliminations for the North America Cup and the Fan Hanover, the Maple Leaf Trot, and the Canadian Pacing Derby.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6-North America Cup Elimination

1-Southwind Gendry (6-1)-This Burke trainee has struggled quite a bit compared to last year when he bagged 10 wins in 13 starts. This year 3 pictures in 9 races, now returns to a big oval and should offer a solid price. Could be dialed on high to not only qualify but to win and get back on track.
3-Bulldog Hanover (8/5)-This 3-year-old is at the head of class in Canada and could win for the 6th time in 8 starts. In 11 starts at Wbsb has 9 wins but this is a tough crew. Deserves respect, so will use and hope for others at a better price.
4-Lawless Shadow (5/2)-Has hit the board in 9 of 10 starts this year and has only missed the ticket twice in 13 races here. Mark Mac steers and he knows well. Should be forwardly placed from the start and will be stalking #3 as they turn for the wire.
6-Rockyroad Hanover (9/2)-Alagna trainee comes off a dull effort at PcD. The trip wasn't great, and that line may help the price tonight. This colt shouldn't be overlooked. The fractions should be hot, and this boy could fly down the long stretch.

Race 7-North America Cup Elimination

3-Abuckabett Hanover (7/2)-Broke in its last start at PcD in the Hempt but is back at a track that has been friendly. Winner in 3 of 4 starts at Wbsb and should be looking to put in a determined effort as recent form has fallen off.
6-Perfect Sting (8/5)-Looks like the best with a top performance but hasn't been able to seal the deal in the last 2 starts. Could be bet down and not sure how much a win here will matter. Might be saving the best try for next week.
8-Whichwaytothebeach (3-1)-Pelling trainee has been impressive this year winning 7 of 10 on small and larger ovals. Not sure if this gelding will be dialed on high, that's why elimination races are tough to handicap. But the post will help the price, has been in fine form and hasn't finished worse than 2nd in 2021.

Race 8-Maple Leaf Trot

3-Atlanta (3-1)-This looks like it will boil down to the 2 champs if they get a fair trip. This gal can get a pocket ride behind #7 and look to roll by down the lane.
7-Manchego (5/2)-Dunn should have the gas pedal down from the word go and look to control the race. That's not hard to imagine and what makes this mare so special is she never seems to lose a close photo.

Race 9-Fan Hanover Elimination

2-Scarlett Hanover (3-1)-Hensley trainee gets the services of David Miller and that should help chances for a picture. Should be on the point or in the pocket behind #4 all the way around.
4-Hot Mess Express (8/5)-This is one tough filly and will be making its Wbsb debut. Does its best work on larger ovals and will likely be on the engine looking to make every call a winning one.

Race 10-Canadian Pacing Derby

2-Tattoo Artist (9/2)-Local hopeful is in fine form and can leave as fast as the gate car. There is no mystery here, will be on the point and if McClure can get a breather for one quarter it could be picture time.
7-Allywag Hanover (5/2)-Pelling 4-year-old has been basically good for the entire year. Can win either way, stalking or on the lead and is the one to beat.

0.20 Late Pick 5

1,3,4,6/3,6,8/3,7/2,4/2,7
Total Bet=$19.20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Del Mar Analysis - Saturday, September 4, 2021 September 4, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


RACE 1: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Vetoed; 6-Encroachment; 9-Sumo

Forecast: Sumo and Vetoed, a pair of well-regarded older maidens, should get the bulk of the play in this six-furlong sprint and both have a right to run extremely well. Vetoed has the benefit of a prior run, a third-place finish as the odds-on favorite at Los Alamitos in June but seems certain to come on from that outing for a barn that hits at a terrific 28% with second time starters. In defeat, the 4-year-old gelding by Bayern earned a strong speed figure, so with a forward move today he’ll certainly be in the picture. Sumo brought $700,000 at the OBS March sale last year but has had his issues and finally makes it to the post in the late summer of his 3-year-old season. The tall, scopey son of Not This Time sports a series of fast team works that strongly indicate he has the raw talent to beat a field of this quality; the main concern is how quick he’ll be leaving the gate. Encroachment has been burning up the track leading to his long-awaited debut for R. Hanson and is a “must use” on your ticket. Late to the party at age four but training like a gelding who can win right now, the son of Uncle Mo blew out in 46 flat from the gate last week to appear spot on for a major effort. All three should be included in rolling exotic play; the best price on the morning line at 6-1 is Encroachment, so let’s give him the edge on top.
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RACE 2: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Barristan The Bold; 6-Fly to Mars; 8-Irish Heatwave

Forecast: Barristan the Bold was victimized by one of the worst trips of the season when finishing third, beaten less than a length, in a five-furlong grass dash for this $32,000 tag last month. Claimed by R. Hanson and wheeled back at the same level but this time over a distance of ground, the English-bred gelding retains J. Hernandez, who will hopefully find clear sailing this time when launching his best bid at the head of the lane. Though we suspect this gelding might prefer one turn, he’s in sharp enough form to win over a distance of ground with good racing luck. Fly to Mars, a voided claim for $20,000 in late May, returns on the raise for P. Miller while retaining F. Prat, so we’ll assume he’s sound and healthy and ready to resume his highly-productive racing career. A two-time winner over the Del Mar turf course, the 7-year-old gelding should draft into a comfortable pace-stalking position and then have every chance from the quarter pole home. Irish Heatwave moves up a notch in his first start off a claim by M. Maker. A good runner-up vs. $25,000 foes over the local lawn last time out despite getting rank and pulling hard early, the former stakes winner switches to U. Rispoli and will be especially dangerous if he’s able to secure his favorite roll as the controlling speed. These are the three we’ll be using in our rolling exotics with Barristan The Bold, listed at 4-1 on the morning line, the top selection.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: B+
Use: 3-Took Charge; 4-Augusta Melody

Forecast: Took Charge returned off a 12-week vacation in his first outing since being claimed by R. Baltas and earned a career top speed figure when an excellent runner-up while nearly seven lengths clear of the rest in a similar starter allowance sprint here last month. Switching to F. Prat, the son of Take Charge Indy projects as the controlling speed in this six and one-half furlong dash, and with two easy workouts since raced he appears set to verify his 8/5 morning line favorite’s role. For protection, you may want to include the Eastern invader Augusta Melody on a backup ticket. The Speightstown gelding has numbers that fit, shows a bullet half mile workout (4f, :47.1h, fastest of 35) last week for new trainer T. Yakteen and certainly will be well-meant seeking his share of the lucrative ship-and-win bonus money.
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RACE 4: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: C+
Use: 5-K P Silver Bullet; 8-Cant Stop This Man; 10-Harbor Sky

Forecast: Here’s a messy affair for bottom-rung maiden $20,000 older horses. We’ll try to get by using just three, but if you feel the need to spread deeper, go for it. Cant Stop This Man returns to his claim level and returns to the main track, so the P. D’Amato-trained gelding could improve a bunch in what will be just his fourth career starts. He’s flashed enough speed sprinting to expect he’ll be prominent throughout at this one-mile trip, and with a steady series of three workouts since raced the son of Can The Man looks healthy and fit. The switch to hot riding A. Cedillo is another plus. Harbor Sky has the always important class drop from straight maiden to maiden claiming and therefore can be expected to improve considerably against this softer company. The extreme outside draw does him no favors. but the S. McCarthy-trained gelding should be a late threat in his first try on dirt (bred for it) and is another with a nice recent series of workouts to have him ready for a forward move. K P Silver Bullet, a voided claim last month, drops in class, switches to the barn’s “go to” rider T. Pereira, and could be dangerous from off the pace in his first try around two turns. He’s 6-1 on the morning line and could go a bit higher, so toss him in somewhere.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 5-Queen Goddess; 6-Fi Fi Pharoah; 8-Moraz

Forecast: Queen Goddess finished a willing runner-up in her debut in mid-July and then, as expected, produced a forward move to graduate in her next start over this course and distance in clever fashion, stalking slow fractions before kicking clear when ready like a filly who can win again. “Again” is this first-level allowance affair for 3-year-old fillies, and with J. Hernandez riding her back and at 7/2 on the morning line the daughter of Empire Maker should draft into an easy pace-prompting position and then kick home when given her cue. She’s clearly the top pick but there are others in the field that are worth using in rolling exotic play, at least as savers. Fi Fi Pharoah is a daughter of American Pharoah trying grass for the first time, and if she improves on the sod as many of the sire’s offspring do, she could step forward in a big way. Also worth using is Moraz, away since April but exiting a series of graded stakes races and also switching to turf for the first time. She’s a major player based on speed figures and if she’s allowed an easy trip on the front end the M. McCarthy-trained filly may prove hard to catch.
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RACE 6: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: X
Use: 1-Zuboshi; 5-Rock N Rye

Forecast: Rock N Rye has won his last two with complete authority and looks for the hat trick today in another sprint stakes restricted to California-bred juveniles. The son of Stay Thirsty has a good stalking style that should have him in the right spot heading for home, and with his ability to produce a second move the W. Solis-trained colt will be difficult to contain close home. Zuboshi was impressive breaking her maiden on turf; today she tackles the boys, switches to dirt and draws the rail. She's a quality filly and is worth using on your ticket but this certainly is a tough task.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-La Gioiosa; 8-Sommer Daisy; 9-Floral Essence

Forecast: We liked Queen Goddess to win on the raise in today’s fifth race; now let’s consider three fillies who just chased her home in this maiden turf miler for older fillies and mares. Floral Essence, in the frame in all four of her career starts and runner-up to ‘Goddess in that common race Aug 7, probably can’t beat a real good filly but it takes one to beat her. The daughter of Candy Ride has good tactical speed in a race that projects to be slowly run early, so she be in the right spot and have every chance when the pressure is turned on at the head of the lane. Sommer Daisy, a promising third in that same in her U.S. debut and her first start in nine months, has every right to step forward with U. Rispoli riding her back for P. Gallagher. She’s listed at 6-1 on the morning line and could easily be better than that. Gallagher’s other starter in race, the French-bred La Gioiosa, was group-stakes placed overseas last year but really hasn’t approached that form in three outings since arriving in California. She was sixth in that race behind Queen Goddess but beaten less than four lengths. If she would ever learn to switch off early, relax, and then produce one run she might be more competitive. So far, she simply wants to pull early and get rank during the early stages and those antics have been costing her.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 4-Gator Shining; 7-Diva’s Finale

Forecast: Diva’s Finale looked good beating $16,000 claiming foes over a mile last month and today moves up a level while shortening to six furlongs. This may be a case of there being no other suitable race restricted to 3-year-olds in the condition book, and with this son of Munnings having winning form over the Del Mar main track trainer D. O’Neill understandably wants to give this colt another local race before the meeting concludes on Labor Day. A. Cedillo stays aboard and should have him settled into a second flight, stalking position. Gator Shining drops drastically in class, adds blinkers, and tries the main track for the first time in his ninth career start. The R. Baltas-trained gelding should be running on late. We’ll prefer Diva’s Finale on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Maxim Rate; 3-Dogtag; 8-Going to Vegas

Forecast: A strong group of fillies and mares who know each other pretty well meet again this year’s renewal of the John C. Mabee S.-G2 over nine furlongs on grass. Any one of three could win without being a surprise. Dogtag, third in all three of her 2021 outings, earned a career top speed figure when chasing home Princess Grace in the Yellow Ribbon H.-G2 last month and won’t need much more than that effort to break through with an overdue victory. She has good tactical speed, always tries hard through the lane, and should have dead aim and every chance under regular pilot U. Rispoli. Going to Vegas returned to the allowance ranks and outclasses her foes in an easy and impressive recent win over this course and distance in mid-July. She’s run well at this level in the past, switches to F. Prat, and should settle in a good stalking position outside, and proved difficult to contain if she brings her best stuff. Maxim Rate, a willing third in the Yellow Ribbon H. in her first outing since May, will be dangerous with a repeat of her sharp victory in the Gamely S.-G1 at Santa Anita in her previous start. A two-time winner over the Del Mar turf course, she’s guaranteed a ground-saving trip from her good rail post position and is a “must use” in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:30 PT Grade: B+
Single: 10-Corniche

Forecast: Corniche has done everything in the morning like an outstanding 2-year-old prospect, and that’s good news for the connections who gave $1.5 million for the son of Quality Road from multiple graded stakes winner Wasted Tears at the OBS April Sale, where he previewed in :10 flat and looked terrific doing it. Drawn comfortably outside, the B. Baffert-trained colt shows a series of fast local drills that should have him cranked to the gills. He’s plenty quick but not speed crazy, so M. Smith can pop and go or stalk and pounce depending how well the colt leaves the gate. At 9/5 on the morning line and likely to go lower, he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 11: Post: 7:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 1-Hudson Ridge; 9-Zoffarelli; 13-Sword Zorro

Forecast: The 14-runner Del Mar Derby-G2 completes the program and it’s a grass grab bag in which racing luck may determine who among the half-dozen or so legitimate contenders take home the winner’s prize. Sword Zorro was disqualified in the La Jolla H. here last month when drifting out late but certainly ran a winning race and should enjoy today’s nine-furlong trip. He’s a stone closer and surely will need luck in navigating a clear trip but can win with clear sailing from the top of the lane to the wire. Zoffarelli was nosed out in the La Jolla but had his number put him in an impressive U.S. debut for J. Mullins. This nine-furlong distance shouldn’t bother him in the least, but he, too, will need some luck when launching his bid from off the pace. Hudson Ridge draws the golden rail and projects to enjoy an ideal ground-saving, second flight journey. He was the third head on the wire in the La Jolla and earlier this year won the Cinema S. at this mile and one-eighth distance at Santa Anita when edging Sword Zorro. We’ll use all three in our rolling exotics and hope at least one of them had clear sailing and is able to reproduce their best form.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis - Saturday, September 4, 2021 September 4, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


RACE 1: Post: 12:35 ET Grade: B-
Use: 5-War Smoke; 8-B C Glory Days; 9-Sheriff Bianco

Forecast: The Saturday opener is a state-bred maiden turf sprint for older horses that looks fairly wide open. We’ll use three and hope that’s enough. War Smoke missed by a neck in a similar spot in his debut over this course and distance while producing a strong late kick after a sluggish beginning. The War Dancer colt retains I. Ortiz, Jr., and with a better break today and a clear path from the quarter pole the J. Engelhart-trained sophomore should be hard to contain close home. Sheriff Bianco has plenty of speed and seems likely to display all of it with the addition of blinkers. The W. Ward-trained colt has burned plenty of money in his five-race career but if he can shake loose early, he might get brave late. B C Glory Days , in the money in all four starts, has been freshened since April, lands L. Saez, and may a bit better type this time around. The Brody’s Cause colt should be prominent throughout and have every chance to make some noise at 8-1 on the morning line.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:10 ET Grade: C+
Use: 2-Supreme Aura; 3-Grumps Little Tots; 4-Roaming Union

Forecast: We’re not sure what to make of Supreme Aura, other than to be suspicious of the veteran gelding who was claimed for $40,000 out of a sharp muddy track win at Belmont Park in early July and today makes his first start for his new connections in a race for half that price. In the money in 15 of 23 career starts, the G. Weaver-trained son of Candy Ride clearly has problems but if he has at least one good left he’ll probably beat this field. Grumps Little Tots is another class dropper from the $50,000 ranks but in his case there’s nothing sinister; his connections are simply trying to find his proper level. The Sky Mesa gelding is a one-paced grinder and needs to be reasonably close to the early pace to have his best chance. Roaming Union won a $12,500 affair over this track and distance last month while on the pace throughout. Similar tactics will be employed today and on pure numbers the Union Rags gelding should be fairly competitive despite the class hike.
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RACE 3: Post: 1:43 ET Grade: B+
Use: 1-North Carolina; 7-Pipeline

Forecast: Pipeline earned a giant speed figure when narrowly missing to subsequent allowance winner Vindictive in a nine-furlong main track maiden event in late July. This turn back to seven furlongs may not be ideal, but the C. Brown-trained colt lands the cozy outside post, has worked extremely well since the race, and has every right to improve with added experience. The son of Speightstown should settle into an outside stalking position and then go on with it when ready. North Carolina had one start a year ago in June at Belmont Park and was unplaced sprinting on grass before being stopped on. He returns as a first-time gelding for new trainer B. Tagg and worked well enough a few weeks ago to earn a spot on our Clocker’s “Primed and Ready” list, so at 5-1 on the morning line he could easily be much better than shown. We’ll prefer Pipeline on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:16 ET Grade: B
Use: 6-Harpers in Charge; 7-Risky Mischief

Forecast: Risky Mischief returned off a long layoff to run very well over this course and distance last month, rallying wide and keeping to her task in the lane to wind up second by a diminishing half-length in a similar entry-level allowance event for fillies and mares. She’ll likely be closer to the pace today and if she produces any kind of forward move the daughter of Into Mischief should be along in time. Harpers in Charge has been a considerable disappointment in a pair of 2021 outings, most recently when fading readily at this level on the main track last month. At 4-1 on the morning line, the C. Clement-trained filly rates one more chance to see if can stick better on grass.
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RACE 5: Post: 2:47 ET Grade: B
Use: 2-Edie Meeny Miny Mo; 6-Souper Sensational

Forecast: Maryland invader Edie Meeny Miny Mo, unbeaten in two sprints but second as the favorite when stretching out to two-turns in the Monmouth Oaks-G3 last time out, backs up to seven furlongs for this year’s renewal of the Prioress S.-G2 for sophomore fillies. She’s been burning up the track in the a.m. at Pimlico for her first start since late July, adds blinkers, and seems certain to employ gate-to-wire tactics. At 9/2 on the morning line the daughter of Upstart is highly playable. The logical top pick and one to beat is Souper Sensational, an excellent second in the Test S.-G1 over this track and distance last month. She lands the ideal outside post position for her stalking style and projects to have dead aim on our top pick when the pressure gets turned on at the head of the lane. We’ll prefer Edie Meeny Mino Mo on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:22 ET Grade: B-
Use: 6-Annapolis; 9-Ohtwoohthreefive

Forecast: Annapolis has trained like a decent sort for T. Pletcher and debuts in what appears to be a below average turf router for maiden juveniles. The son of War Front is a heavy-bodied type but should be fit enough following a string of stamina-producing team drills dating back to mid-June. The best of the known element may be Ohtwoohthreefive, a Union Rags colt with a couple of races already under his belt. In the money in both outings, the G. Weaver-trained colt might prefer patient tactics after looming a strong threat in the upper stretch but then weakening late vs. similar earlier in the meeting. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with the intriguing newcomer Annapolis the preferred top pick.
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RACE 7: Post: 3:53 ET Grade: B+
Use: 1-Trafalgar; 4-Misbehaved; 8-Galt

Forecast: Galt has shown plenty of ability in the a.m. for trainer W. Mott and looks plenty fit for a major effort first crack out of the box. A full brother to the top-class filly Songbird, he has done everything asked without really being permitted to show his best speed. With J. Rosario aboard, he looks like a very live item in an open maiden juvenile sprint at seven furlongs. Trafalgar is another that has been fairly impressive in his morning trials, though as a first-time starter his rail post does him no favors. The A. Stall, Jr.-trained son of Lord Nelson appears to have plenty of speed, so if he can leave with his field he should be in the fray throughout. Misbehaved, a full sister to stakes winner Into Mystic, brought $875,000 at the OBS April Sale, where she impressed breezing a furlong in :10 flat without undue pressure. Her local works for T. Pletcher have been good as well, so she’s certain to receive plenty of action on the tote, and deservedly so. We’ll include all three in rolling exotic play with a slight edge on top to Galt.
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RACE 8: Post: 4:27 ET Grade: B
Use: 1-Public Sector; 4-Never Surprised

Forecast: Never Surprised was beaten at 30 cents on the dollar in the Kitten’s Joy S. in his last appearance in early January before being turned out. The son of Constitution won his debut so we know he can fire fresh, and while there’s nothing fancy on his recent work tab the T. Pletcher-trained colt will be tough to beat if even close to 100%. In a race that figures to produce very soft early splits, this stakes winner could find himself as the controlling speed and given that trip may prove difficult to catch. Public Sector, a winner of two of his last three starts including the recent Hall of Fame S.-G2 here last month, is a one-paced grinding type but knows where the wire is and can be counted on for a good, consistent performance. Perfect in two previous outings over the Saratoga lawn, the son of Kingman is the logical favorite and one to beat.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:01 ET Grade: C+
Use: 1a-Cara’s Dreamer; 3-Lookin to Fly

Forecast: Cara’s Dreamer has just one win to go along with seven seconds and thirds so she’s not necessarily one to trust but in this modest state-bred first level allowance middle distance turf event the M. Friedman-trained filly may be as good as any. A devout closer who needs help up front to have her best chance, she was beaten a nose two runs back when earning a career top speed figure over the Saratoga lawn and then was fourth last time out when somewhat victimized by a lack of pace. We’ll also include on our ticket Lookin to Fly, successful in a maiden $40,000 grass event here last month in good style when rallying into slow fractions to win going away. The number was okay and with further improvement she should be competitive in this league. In a race in which nothing would surprise, we’ll use the two listed above in our rolling exotics but not with a great deal of confidence.
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RACE 10: Post: 5:37 ET Grade: B-
Use: 3-Ducale; 6-Olympiad; 8-Baby Yoda

Forecast: This highly-contentious first-level allowance sprint has several major players. We’ll go three-deep with a slight preference on top to Ducale. A recent hot maiden winner in a race that earned a stakes-quality speed figure, the son of Twirling Candy should be highly competitive right back despite the raise in class while likely employing pace-stalking tactics in this six and one-half furlong dash. Baby Yoda seeks his third win from four career starts after beating a lesser starter’s allowance field here in mid-July. The W. Mott-trained gelding isn’t quite as fast on figures as our top pick, but his numbers are strong and rapidly rising with each outing. The Prospective gelding should be prominent throughout. Mott’s other starter, the talented Speightstown colt Olympiad, hasn’t been out in exactly a year but was a pretty decent sort when last seen as a two-year-old and returns as a first-time Lasix user with a strong series of workouts to have him fit and ready.
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RACE 11: Post: 6:11 ET Grade: X
Single: 3-War Like Goddess

Forecast: War Like Goddess, a winner of five of six career starts and a proven top class marathon performer, won the Glens Falls S.-G2 here last month with complete authority, has remained razor sharp in the a.m. in the interim, and will be short price once again to extend her current winning streak to four in this year’s edition of the Flower Bowl S.-G1. She likes to lag to the far turn and then blast home, and her speed figures haven’t risen with each of his six career starts so we doubt we’ve seen the best of this late-developing filly. At 4/5 on the morning line, the W. Mott-trained filly is a logical, short-priced, rolling exotic single.
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RACE 12: Post: 6:46 PT Grade: B+
Single: 1-Forza Di Oro

Forecast: Forza Di Oro looked terrific winning his recent comeback against a third-level allowance field over this local main track in late July, doing so while pressing the pace throughout and then coming away when ready. His speed figures make him a solid fit in this year’s renewal of the Jockey Club Gold Cup-G1, and the mile and one-quarter trip should be well within his range in a race that projects to produce extremely soft early fractions. In a six-runner affair, the W. Mott-trained colt is the “now” horse in the race, so we’ll make him a win play and rolling exotic single at or near his 8/5 morning line.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spa, ‘Surf Pick 5 Analysis & Selections September 2, 2021 | By Johnny D

Fun in the Sun’s Final Table is Saturday and 30 players occupying 35 seats will compete for shares of a $22,255 pot. The winner will collect $12,240, with $5,563 to second, $2,225 to third and $1,112 to fourth and fifth each. Competition races include the last 5 at Saratoga and the first 5 at Del Mar—in other words, one late and one early Pick 5.

It’s the final weekend at both Saratoga and Del Mar and most horseplayers are sad to see them go. Summer racing at these venues is tremendous and visiting the facilities should be on every horseplayer’s bucket list.

Last week, in this space, yours truly excitedly previewed his annual Spa trip that also included plenty of racing, golf, friends, food, and drink. Once more, the Spa didn’t disappoint.

Saturday’s Travers card was a fabulous show with several torrid stretch battles between top class Thoroughbreds. Of course, the late-stretch savaging of Yaupon by Firenze Fire was as entertaining as it gets. Jackie’s Warrior’s rally to catch returning Life is Good set the stage for another brave performance from the outstanding Letruska. Gufo rallied to take the Sword Dancer and preceded another victorious effort by Essential Quality, a colt that reminds us of the late Al Davis’ mantra, “Just win, baby!”

To horseplayers, Saturday’s card was not the place to make a score. For example, the Spa late Pick 5 paid just $73.62. I know. I had it. ‘Nice hit!’ The overall show, however, was a glorious gift to fans of the sport.

Friday through Sunday’s eighth race, neither my pal Will nor I had had much mutuel pool success. Will had been a bit unlucky--nailed by a nose with a 7-1 shot and disqualified from victory in another race. Will made a nice hit in Sunday’s ninth race, the Better Talk Now Stakes, with Chad Brown-trained Sifting Sands at $18.80. We joked that it’s way better to hit a lick when almost out the door than when first arriving.

Before the afternoon and the weekend’s finale, we discussed the chances of the runners. We’ve done well over the years by combining wits and now our backs were against the wall of a wound-licking, five-hour drive home. Will decided on the Chulainn-Lord Flintshire exacta. I added Landbiscuit and went for the trifecta. We both hit! The Exacta returned $182 and the Tri came back $1,161.50 for a buck each. Will had the one-two combo more than once and made a nice score. I became whole for the trip. Whew!

That’s just one example of why playing the races is the best gambling game ever invented. You can be wrong for days, be right once and go from red to black. Try doing that while betting sports!

Below is an attempt to help players find that ‘right once’ play this weekend at Saratoga and Del Mar. Below is one man’s opinion in the last 5 at the Spa and the first 5 ‘Where the Turf Meets the Surf.’ Selections are made before scratches, changes and are for ‘Fast’ and ‘Firm’ surfaces only. Main Track Only runners not considered.

Great luck to the Final Table players and may the best horseplayer win!

Saratoga

8th Race
Saranac—Grade 3
Three Year Olds
One Mile & One-Sixteenth (Turf)

#1 Public Sector lived up to expectations when taking the Gr. 2 Hall of Fame last out at the Spa under Flavien Prat. Irad Ortiz now rides for trainer Chad Brown and he’s familiar with the colt who’s now 2 for 2 over Spa grass. Difficult to get around this consistent guy.

#2 Like the King was second in the Kent last out at Delaware Park. Victory in the Jeff Ruby Steaks at Turfway led to a 12th in the Kentucky Derby. He seems a bit below this level but has early speed and John Velazquez to dole it out. He could hang around for exotics at a price.

#3 He’spuregold is a New Jersey-bred who took seven starts to break maiden. When he did it was against fellow state-breds. He followed that up with a nice score in a state-bred stakes at Monmouth. He has a closing style and usually keeps coming. This is a big step up.

#4 Never Surprised hasn’t been seen in the afternoon since January when second in the Gr. 3 Kitten’s Joy going a mile at Gulfstream. Hall of Fame trainer Todd Pletcher excels with bringing talented runners back off layoffs and this one has worked ever 7 days for this. This son of Constitution won the first two starts of his career going six furlongs and one mile and one-sixteenth on turf at Aqueduct before the Kitten’s Joy. This one has to be respected with Luis Saez up and racing close to the early pace.

#5 Founder hails from the Chad Brown outfit and that’s enough to pick up anyone’s head. He won a Monmouth stakes race last out, his first win since breaking maiden first out in Spa mud in August of ’20. While he’s in good form, he’d be a surprise in here based on his struggles at the allowance level.

#6 Mohs ships in from Monmouth where he won his last two starts after finishing second by a nose in a Delaware Park maiden race. This is a substantial rise in class and he would be a big surprise.

#7 Risk Taking is Entered for Main Track Only
Best on Paper: #1
Upset Chance: #4

9th Race
Allowance
Fillies & Mares Three Years Old & Upward
One Mile & One-Sixteenth (Turf)

#2 Electric Youth has tried this level five times before without much success. To be fair, only two of those were long on turf. This 3-year-old filly would need to pop with a new best effort not seen in her previous 7 starts.

#3 Lookin to Fly is fit, sharp and starts for trainer Joe Sharp, too. Top jock Luis Saez, who won on this 4-year-old filly at the state-bred maiden 40k level last out, stays aboard. These appear tougher but she is in form.

#4 Tax Me Naught invades from Finger Lakes and makes just her second turf start at age 5. She would be a surprise but does add some speed to a fairly pace-less race.

#5 Golden Oldie is fit and sharp off a wire-to-wire Monmouth win at the $30k beaten level. The 3-year-old filly meets fellow state-breds for the first time and makes her first start on the NYRA circuit. Interesting that jockey Joel Rosario takes call for a low-profile outfit.

#6 Just OK Is Not Ok starts for the dangerous Todd Pletcher outfit and has Irad Ortiz up. That combination is a deadly 30% together. Forget the last race and you have a two-length state-bred maiden winner with just 4 starts. This one never has taken much money but did race first time out against open maiden foes at Gulfstream. Tricky call.

#1 Caramocha is Entered for Main Track Only

#1A Cara’s Dreamer is a 3-year-old filly with just 1 win in 14 starts. She comes out of a pair of races common to #7 Freedom Machine and got the better of that one in both races. She missed by a mere nose at this level one back and she comes from well off the pace so she needs some racing luck. Dylan Davis is back aboard for 0-10 Spa trainer Mitchel Friedman who has 2 seconds and 4 thirds this meeting. This one’s a clunk-up exotic type at the right price.

#7 Freedom Machine has no speed and makes her third Spa start off third and seventh-place finishes. Before that she won a state-bred maiden $40k at Belmont. Her third placing came at nearly 50-1 and she has been in the money in one-half of her starts.

#8 Infringement stretches out around two turns for the first time and makes just her second turf start. Could she wake up while trying new tricks for trainer Mark Hennig? She does have state-bred stakes experience and was a well-beaten third on Spa dirt in one of those outings.

#9 Beyond Brown starts for 2 for 7 trainer Karl Broberg. This 4-year-old filly was claimed for $16k two back out of a ‘sloppy’ Aqueduct mile and then sprinted six furlongs at Belmont to no avail. She’s 0-for-5 on turf. She has shown speed in previous turf races and should be part of the early pace in here under Eric Cancel who is familiar with her. She’s a reach in here but at least there are some interesting angles going.

#10 English Breeze is a 4-year-old filly who’s faced the stiffest competition of anyone in the field. She is stakes placed against open company at 2 and has been second at this level this year. She also has a turf win at the Spa and is 3 for 5 in the money at the distance on turf. She also faced state-bred allowance males two back and wasn’t disgraced. She’s the one to beat for trainer David Donk who’s had a frustrating meet with just 3 wins in 45 starts and 11 seconds.

One to Beat: #10
Funky Thoughts: #3, #5, #6, #9

10th Race
Allowance
Three Year Olds & Upward
Six & One-Half Furlongs

#1 Tuggle won maiden first out at 2 and then was pitched against stakes company, including a few long turf races. He’s been second in his last three starts, two at Oaklawn Park and one at Belmont at this level last out in June. A year transpired between his last and next-to-last race, so he might have needed that effort. He comes from just off the pace and Irad Ortiz rides for Jeremiah Englehart.

#2 Wow Brown is a 5-year-old New York-bred with speed. He tried a state-bred stakes last out and has mostly plied his trade at Finger Lakes and against fellow state breds.

#3 Ducale makes his second Saratoga start for 31% trainer Brad Cox. Jockey Manny Franco broke maiden with him last out, the 3-year-old colt’s second start. He’s a Juddmonte-bred who’s been favored in both starts and has to be respected in here.

#4 Marching won convincingly at Ellis Park for trainer Shug McGaughy last out, the 3-year-old colt’s second start. The victory was a bit slow on the Beyer scale. That was in early July and he’s worked steadily since.

#5 Rejected Again has won 2 of 4 at the Spa and 4 of 20 overall. He’s never been fast enough to win this and was claimed for $25k in his next to last race.

#6 Olympiad has been away since Sept of last year when he romped in a maiden race. Trainer Bill Mott has worked him steadily every 7 or 8 days for this and a July 31, five-furlong 1:00 3/5 best of six drill is notable. The 3-year-old colt will race first time Lasix and must be respected.

#7 Hoopla romped Aug. 20 at the Spa when dropped to $40k maiden by trainer Bill Mott. He was claimed by Bruce Brown and is fit and sharp for this step up the ladder. He could find the exotics at a price.

#8 Baby Yoda is another Mott trainee in here and the 3-year-old gelding comes off a July 17 allowance win. That was his first start for Mott off two Pimlico races for Charlie Frock. The gelding has run fast enough to win this and is drawn outside with speed. He sports a bullet four-furlong, best of 153 drill for this. One of the ones.

#9 Crowded Trade adds intrigue to the race from off the pace. Always highly regarded, this Chad Brown-trained 3-year-old colt broke maiden first out at even money at Aqueduct. He finished second in the Gr. 3 Gotham, third in the Gr. 2 Wood, and fifth in the Gr. 1 Preakness. Those are the most impressive races on the page. Brown returned this guy to the races in the Gr. Amsterdam August 1 and he understandably couldn’t keep up with winner Jackie’s Warrior. He did close some ground late. Now, the colt drops into a much more reasonable spot and he should be moving late.

#10 Hometown also starts for leading trainer Chad Brown. This 4-year-old colt hasn’t been out since May, gets top jockey Luis Saez and has a steady work patter. It should be noted that jockey Irad Ortiz, who was second with this colt last out, moves to #1 Tuggle.

#11 Ampersand was a well-beaten second last out and would need to run much faster to threaten in here.

#12 Stayin’ Out Late has been away since second by a nose going two turns in an Oaklawn Park allowance race. This appears to be a prep race for 22% trainer Steve Asmussen and jockey Santana.

Many Ways to Go: #1, #3, #6, #8, #9

11th Race
Flower Bowl—Grade 1
Fillies & Mares Four Years Old & Upward
One Mile & Three-Eighths (Turf)

#1 La Signare is a consistent 6-year-old mare who hasn’t won since March going one mile at Gulfstream in the Sand Springs. She’s been knocking heads with mostly Grade 1 foes in her last 7 races and has managed to hit the board a few times. No real reason to expect more than that from her.

#2 American Bridge arrives here off victory in a Gr. 3 stakes in Italy. Before that she raced in France and won 3 races out of 11 starts there. Owner Peter Brandt has won this race four times and also has #4 My Sister Nat in here. Irad Ortiz rides for trainer Jean-Claude Rouget. Euro invaders have done well this year in NYRA stakes but this one seems a bit overmatched.

#3 War Like Goddess has won 5 of 6 races, her only loss coming at Gulfstream off a four-month layoff. Last out she dominated the Gr. 2 Glen Falls at Saratoga. She’s talented, sharp and 2 for 2 at the distance. Jockey Julien Leparoux rides for trainer Bill Mott and he seems to have ultimate confidence in this 4-year-old filly’s explosive late kick. She should be a handful in here.

#4 My Sister was second to #3 War Like Goddess last out and will need something drastic to happen to turn the tables on that one. This 6-year-old mare is trained by Chad Brown and he’s won this race 6 times. Jose Ortiz stays aboard this mare instead of with #5 Lovely Lucky, who he won on last out. My Sister has won just 3 of 18 with 7 seconds and 4 thirds, so she’s very much eligible to be part of the exotics.

#5 Lovely Lucky comes off an allowance victory and has to improve quite a bit to have a say in this one. She may have a bit of a pace advantage in her corner and Hall of Fame jockey John Velazquez in the saddle. He’s an expert at rating on the front end and that’s this mare’s best shot at upsetting the apple cart. She’s also been effective at Saratoga where she’s won 2 of 3 on the lawn and she handles the distance well. She may hang around on the front end long enough to nab an exotic spot at a price.

#6 Great Island is Chad Brown’s other chance to win his seventh Flower Bowl. Jockey Joel Rosario climbed aboard this one for the first time and won with her in the Gr. 3 Matchmaker at Monmouth last out. The 5-year-old mare has made just 7 career starts with 4 wins, a second and two thirds. Obviously, she’s had issues, but she tries every time. This is her first Grade 1 try and a win would surprise but she’s got a chance to be in the exotics, especially for those connections.

#7 Coastana has never taken a backward Beyer Speed Figure step for trainer Cherie Deveaux, whose had a strong meeting with 3 wins out of 9 starters. Leading rider Luis Saez has ridden this 4-year-old filly in each of 5 lifetime starts and they have 2 wins and 2 seconds in maiden and allowance company. This filly needs to take another forward step to run with these and that’s asking a lot, but she hasn’t hit her ceiling yet.

Her Race to Lose: #3

12th Race
Jockey Club Gold Cup –Grade 1
Three Year Olds & Upward
One Mile & One-Quarter

#1 Forza Di Oro returned from an eight-month layoff last out to win a muddy mile and one-eighth allowance race. Before his vacation, he won a first level allowance race followed by the Grade 3 Discovery. That means he’s won three of his last four races and four of his last five. This is a certain step up in class, but the 4-year-old son of Speightstown is talented, sharp and fast enough to make some noise.

#2 Max Player put it all together to win the Gr. 2 Suburban in the slop at Belmont in early July at nearly 12-1. Before that he hadn’t won a race since taking the Gr. 3 Withers in Feb of ’20. He was third in both the Belmont and Travers and fifth in both the Gr. 1 Kentucky Derby and Gr. 1 Preakness before a non-effort in the Gr. 1 Saudi Cup. Perhaps the ‘off’ track moved him up last out or maybe he’s improved with racing? Trainer and jockey have had strong Spa meetings and he’s got three bullets in his holster for this race.

#3 Chess Chief won the Gr. 2 New Orleans Classic in March but hasn’t been close in four starts since. He would need to run the race of his 5-year-old life to upset this field. Top jock Luis Saez rides for longshot darling trainer Dallas Stewart.

#4 Happy Saver has been away since the Gr. 2 Suburban when third to #2 Max Player. That’s this colt’s only loss and it came over a ‘sloppy’ track. He’s won 5 of 6 overall and has a win over the Spa surface at age 2. He also is the defending champ in this race, winning it in October of last year at Belmont. Irad Ortiz rides for trainer Todd Pletcher and will have this 4-year-old colt just off whatever early pace develops. He’s the one to beat.

#5 Night Ops is in solid form, second last out in the restricted Alydar at the Spa. He’s been within two lengths of the winner in his last 5 races and has been in the money in 17 of 24 overall with 6 wins. His last victory came in July of ’20 in the Gr. 3 Cornhusker Handicap at Prairie Meadows. Trainer Brad Cox has had a powerful Spa season at 31% and has combined well with jockey Manny Franco, 25% together. Another in-the-money finish is most likely.

#6 Forewarned seems overmatched in here based on a runner-up performance in an Ohio-bred stakes race at Thistledown. His last win came against fellow state breds in Oct. ’20.

Strictly One to Beat: #4
Exotics: #1, #5

Del Mar

1st Race
Maiden Special Weight
Three Years Old & Upward
Six Furlongs

#1 Koko’s Kandy returns to the races after more than a year on the sidelines. He’s been gelded and the 4-year-old has worked well for his return to the races for trainer Karen Headley. Still, this is a difficult spot for a return and drawing the rail is no bargain. Weight is ‘off’ with apprentice Jess Pyfer who’s liable to let this on roll early.

#2 Cali Bay makes his first dirt start for trainer Phil D’Amato and jockey Juan Hernandez (27% combo). This 3-year-old colt took decent money in two US starts sprinting on turf and that suggests there’s something good here somewhere. A bit interesting.

#3 Vetoed makes a second start for trainer Bob Baffert with Flavien Prat in the saddle. That combo is 40% with 15 tries at the meet and 34% over 61 starts. Those are some strong stats. This colt was bet to below even money first time out at Los Alamitos when third in June. Baffert bats 21% with second out maidens. This is the one to beat.

#4 Dixie’s Two Stents adds first time Lasix for his fifth career start. He finished second first time out at Del Mar last August and then faced two Gr. 1 fields in the Del Mar Futurity and Breeders’ Futurity. He returned to California to try maidens in November of last year going one mile on turf and didn’t fire. He has to be respected a bit for Doug O’Neill.

#5 Lord M is a first-time starter for trainer Ron Moquett and he’ll need to have his running shoes on for this.

#6 Encroachment has some fast works for trainer Ryan Hanson. This 4-year-old son of Uncle Mo has posted three bullet works: a :46 1/5 best of 28 gate move July 15; a :59 2/5 best of 22 and a :46 gate move that was best of 76. It appears this one can move a bit. Hanson is just 7% with first timers but he doesn’t usually get this kind of stock.

#7 Grandcourse Guy was second best for a maiden $40k tag Aug. 1 going six and one-half furlongs. The cutback ought to help and he’s shown speed in both of his starts—one on turf and one on dirt. He’ll be challenged early in here, though.

#8 Solo Animo has started three times but hasn’t been seen in the afternoon since July of last year. He closed well in two turf sprints to finish in the money. He also tried a dirt mile before going on the shelf. He has worked fairly well for his 4-year-old debut.

#9 Sumo is a first-time starter from the Baffert stable that boasts some nice moves. He’s a 3-yearold colt by Not This Time that brought $700k as an Ocala 2-year-old. Abel Cedillo hits at 30% with Baffert. Can’t ignore.

#10 Star Sailor adds blinkers for this his 8th career start. He would be a surprise under Joe Bravo for John Sadler.

All About Bob: #3, #9
Others Interesting: #2, #6

2nd Race
Claiming
Three Years Old & Upward
One Mile (Turf)

#1 The Black Album has been claimed in two of his last 3 races, most recently by Sergio Morfin for $25k two races back. He started once for his new trainer, set a slow pace in a $25k turf route and faded. He’s 1 for his last 11 and will be ridden by jockey Barnett who is 0-26 at the meet. Lots against him.

#2 Appreciated was claimed for $20k last out by trainer Jeff Mullins out of a dirt optional claiming mile. This 5-year-old gelding has won 3 of 26 starts and is 1 for his last 16. He didn’t run poorly last out, but he’s difficult to back off that record.

#3 Barristan The Bold had trouble in his last race at this level when sprinting at Del Mar. This will be his first turf route since his first two races in the US when facing much better. He was claimed out of his last by Ryan Hanson who is 17% first off the claim. He has appearances in the Gr. 3 San Simeon at 46-1 and the Gr. 2 Mother’s Ball Mile at 42-1 to support his cause. Juan Hernandez rides and he’s 28% overall in combo with Hansen. Interesting.

#4 Southern Horse drops in for a tag for the first time after 4 US starts for trainer John Sadler. Jockey Abel Cedillo rides and he has yet to ride a winner for the barn. The 6-year-old horse will need to turn around a zero for his last 9 streak.

#5 Blameless is another Sergio Morfin-trained runner in the race and he’s making his second start for the trainer since being claimed for $40k in his first local start since arriving from Gulfstream Park. This is the lowest claiming level for this 5-year-old gelding, always an interesting angle. His last win was at about this level at Gulfstream Park in January. Not totally helpless.

#6 Fly to Mars is a 7-year-old gelding with 2 wins in 5 Del Mar turf starts, 4 wins in 11 tries on turf at the distance and 8 of 26 overall. He’s got enough speed to be in contention from the start and top jock Prat rides for Peter Miller. They’re a solid 29% together. A claim on this one for $20k was voided following his last race. That raises some doubt about his condition, but Prat returns in the saddle and this guy has plenty of other factors in his favor.

#7 Ian Glass starts for 1 for 14 trainer Ron Ellis. The 5-year-old gelding was claimed last out for $32k when fifth in a turf sprint. He’s 3 for 7 at the mile turf distance, so that sprint could serve as a suitable prep race. He’s won 6 of 21 lifetime, so he’s far from a bum. Give him respect.

#8 Irish Heatwave is a 5-year-old gelding out of the powerful Mike Maker stable. He was claimed for $25k last out when second going one mile and one-sixteenth at Del Mar. Trouble with this guy is that he’s 0-7 over the Del Mar turf course. His last win came at the $40k level when he went wire-to-wire going one mile and one-eighth. Turf specialist Umberto Rispoli rides and he’s 33% with 12 Maker starts.

#9 Feast has speed and stretches out for just his second turf start. He was successful sprinting on dirt at Belmont in July before shipping west to trainer Doug O’Neill. He’ll support the early pace.

Best on Paper: #6
Others Possible: #3, #7

3rd Race
Starter Allowance
Three Year Olds & Upward
Six & One-Half Furlongs

#1 Ka’nah dropped to a $25k non-winners of two last out and showed a spark of life. The first four starts of his career were good efforts but then he was gone for a year after that and didn’t do well in two recent starts until dropped in class last out.

#2 Hawk Hill ran well to be second last out at the $16k non-winners of two level. These should present more pressure for the 4-year-old gelding. Former rider Pereira moves to #6 Holden the Lute and is replaced by Giovani Franco.

#3 Took Charge has speed, gets top jock Prat for this and the rider and trainer Richard Baltas are 26% overall together. This 4-year-old gelding was second at this level about a month ago. He was favored in that race and will take money again. Catch him to win. He’s 5 for 8 in the money with 1 win.

#4 Augusta Melody is a new face locally. Previous work was done at Churchill, Gulfstream and most recently Colonial. Trainer Tim Yakteen now calls the shots and he’s 0-12 with recent first-time acquisitions. Cedillo rides and he combines with the trainer at a 29% level based on 7 Del Mar mounts. The gelding shows a :47 1/5 bullet best of 35 for this.

#5 Sabuda failed on turf at this level last out. His only win came on an ‘off’ track and he’s tried turf and dirt without much success. This will be his second start for trainer Doug O’Neill and he should show more speed in here.

#6 Holden the Lute adds blinkers for trainer Steve Knapp. The 4-year-old gelding has worn them before and he has 4 seconds and 1 win in 13 starts on his resume. He was a close second at this level at Los Alamitos two races back. Note a few nice morning moves, including a best of 56 five-furlong gate drill in :59 August 27.

One of Two: #3, #6

4th Race
Maiden Claiming
Three Years Old & Upward
One Mile

#1 Roadside takes another class drop to face maidens at the $20k level. He was a well-beaten second last out against $40k foes at Los Alamitos, so he should fit in here. Apprentice Jess Pyfer returns for trainer Pete Eurton. The rail should help this one save some ground.

#2 Abi Gezunt finished 8 lengths behind #1 Roadside two races back. He’s been gelded since then and will have jockey Umberto Rispoli again in the saddle. This will be the gelding’s fourth lifetime start for trainer Eric Kruljac.

#3 Gone Rogue dropped in for a tag last out at the $40k level and improved previous Beyer figs but was beaten more than 16 lengths. Another drop seems appropriate.

#4 Lucky Chance was 10th first out sprinting at this level. He was 63-1.

#5 K P Silver Bullet has had folks interested in claiming him from all 3 of his career starts. First out, he was taken for $30k, next out for $50k and, most recently, August 1 for $40k. That claim, however, was voided. Now the gelding drops to the $20k level for trainer Bill Spawr and will be ridden by jockey Pereira, a 29% winning combo. Any takers?

#6 Allaboutthemoney makes his 8th career start and has only hit the board once when third by more than 8 lengths in his second outing. He’ll drop from $40 to $20 for trainer Vlad Cerin. This gelding took a bit of money when 4-1 last out in a field of 5. That was an improved effort, so this drop out to help even more.

#7 Primer Dimer makes a first start for trainer Tom Bell, who’s 1 for 4 with recent debut runners. This is a weak field and an August 14 five furlong move in 1:00 3/5 is positive.

#8 Can’t Stop This Man tried one mile on turf last out and pressed the early pace before fading against $40k runners. He was claimed three back for this price at Keeneland and he hasn’t done much running since at higher levels.

#9 Da Kine has been on the shelf for a year, is newly gelded and will be ridden by 7-pound apprentice Espinoza for trainer Richard Baltas. He’s got the best collection of Beyer Figs in the race and if the 5-year-old can fire fresh off the layoff he’ll have a chance.

#10 Harbor Sky tumbles from the Cal-bred maiden ranks into an open maiden claimer for trainer Sean McCarthy. This will be the gelding’s first dirt try after 3 turf races. He’s been more than 20-1 in those races and has had some trouble. The class drop should help, and he might appreciate a switch to a different surface.

Also Eligible:
#11 Mongol Altai
#12 Bold Voyager
#13 Tiz Vicious
#14 Revisionist

A Real Scramble: #1, #5, #9, #10

5th Race
Allowance Optional Claiming
Fillies Three Years Old
One Mile & One-Sixteenth (Turf)

#1 Magical Thought was claimed by trainer Doug O’Neill three back, tried in a stakes sprint and an optional claimer at a lower level, both to no avail. This filly will stretch out around two turns in an attempt to get her back on track. Jess Pyfer’s apprentice allowance will come in handy but this filly needs a turnaround.

#2 For the Good Times has just 3 starts and 1 win in slowly rated races. She needs to do better. Jockey Rispoli moves to #8 Moraz.

#3 Miss Bella Ciao is legged up for this off a one mile and three-eighths turf try when third here in July. Top jock Prat rides for the second time in the filly’s 5-race career. Hall of Fame trainer Neil Drysdale has had an unlucky meeting with 0 wins in 14 starts, 3 seconds and 4 thirds. She broke maiden at Golden Gate one back.

#4 Can’theIpfallin goes second time in the US for trainer Peter Miller. The first start was is a toss as she dwelt. She was 22-1 that afternoon and adds blinkers for this.

#5 Queen Goddess is one of two entered here for trainer Michael McCarthy. She’s been second and first in two maiden races and looked good scoring at even money under jockey JJ Hernandez. She’s fit and sharp.

#6 Fi Fi Pharoah is a 3-year-old daughter of American Pharoah who’s faced Cal-bred stakes foes with some success. She won the Melair going this distance on Santa Anita’s main track. This is her first turf try for trainer Walther Solis. Jockey Rispoli abandons in favor of #8 Moraz and is replaced by hustling Joe Bravo. She’s got the paper on dirt. How will she handle turf?

#7 Sweet Pearl adds blinkers and needs to improve on a 1 for 6 turf record.

#8 Moraz makes her first start on turf for trainer Michael McCarthy. Rispoli stays here and that’s understandable as this filly has faced graded stakes competition on dirt in her last 4 races. She’s worked on turf a few times and she has shown speed on dirt, so she should be in the race from the the start. She’s worked every 7 days for this. It’s her race to lose.

#9 Basilia was a close third in a $32k non-winners of 2 last out and loses Prat for this climb up the class ladder. Cedillo takes over aboard this filly for trainer Peter Miller and she would be a bit of a surprise in here.

One to Beat: #8
Exotics: #3, #4, #5

Race On!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jon White: A Look at a Multitude of Numbers September 1, 2021 | By Jon White
I am taking a look at a multitude of numbers in the wonderful sport of Thoroughbred racing:

2: This is the number of horses to have won the Belmont Stakes, Jim Dandy Stakes and Travers Stakes. Talk about a small club.

Essential Quality got the job done by a neck over a stubborn Midnight Bourbon in last Saturday’s Grade I, $1.25 million Travers at Saratoga. The Kentucky-bred Tapit colt joined Arts and Letters as the only horses to sweep the Belmont, Jim Dandy and Travers.

Arts and Letters won those three races in 1969 while on his way to being acclaimed Horse of the Year and champion 3-year-old male. The Ribot colt was voted those honors despite losing two of the three Triple Crown races to Majestic Prince.

In 1969, Majestic Prince won the Kentucky Derby by a neck and Preakness Stakes by a head to remain undefeated. Trainer John Longden did not want to run a less-than-100% Majestic Prince in the Belmont. But with the possibility of Majestic Prince becoming an undefeated Triple Crown winner, owner Frank McMahon insisted that the son of Raise a Native run in the Belmont.

Arts and Letters won the Belmont, clobbering Majestic Prince by 5 1/2 lengths.

Between the Preakness and Belmont, Arts and Letters had won the Met Mile by 2 1/2 lengths. Finishing second was no less an older foe than Nodouble, who was voted champion older male in 1969 and 1970.

The 1969 Met Mile kicked off a six-race winning streak by Arts and Letters. After the 1 1/2-mile Belmont, the Ribot colt won the 1 1/8-mile Jim Dandy by 10 lengths, 1 1/4-mile Travers by 6 1/2 lengths, 1 1/49-mile Woodward Stakes by two lengths and the two-mile Jockey Club Gold Cup by 14 lengths. That’s not a typo. The Gold Cup was a two-mile race back then. Nodouble finished second in both the Woodward and Gold Cup.

Even though Majestic Prince defeated Arts and Letters in two of the three Triple Crown events, Arts and Letters was voted Horse of the Year and champion 3-year-old male. I would not participate in voting for champions until 1976. If I had been a voter in 1969, I would have selected Arts and Letters as Horse of the Year and champion 3-year-old. I would have been swayed by Arts and Letter’s sensational six-race winning streak that began in the Met Mile and ended with his tour de force in the two-mile Jockey Club Gold Cup.

2: Number of times Firenze Fire has been involved in a savaging incident during a race. In last Saturday’s Grade I Forego Stakes, Firenze Fire was the biter. In the Grade III Gallant Bob Stakes at Parx in 2018, Firenze Fire was the victim when Whereshetoldmetogo was the biter.

What Firenze Fire did during the stretch run of the Forego was probably the most bizarre thing I have ever seen occur in the thousands and thousands of races I’ve watched ever since my parents first took me to the track for the first time one spring day 56 years ago at Yakima Meadows.

I have seen a horse savage another horse a number of times. But I’ve never seen a horse do it in such a prolonged manner as Firenze Fire when he was savaging Yaupon in the final furlong of last Saturday’s Forego.

Yaupon, ridden by Ricardo Santana Jr. and trained by Hall of Famer Steve Asmussen, won the Forego by a head. Jose Ortiz rode Firenze Fire for trainer Kelly Breen.

“He came out of the race good,” Breen said Monday in a Daily Racing Form story written by Mike Welsch. “He’s not any nastier than he usually is, nor is he acting like he’s been scolded in any way. He’s always been the kind of horse who will try to bite you or kick you a little when you saddle him. He definitely has an attitude. But he’s not really mean, and as long as I’ve had him, he’s never tried to savage a person or another horse before the incident on Saturday.”

The Equibase chart comments regarding Yaupon and Firenze Fire state: “YAUPON came away in good order then showed good speed while hustled, set the pace under pressure to his outside, came under coaxing along the rail on the turn, was asked for his best in the two path into the stretch, dueled inside of FIRENZE FIRE under a left-handed crop, had that foe savage him badly in the face starting just before the sixteenth pole and ending about forty yards from the wire with a bump then gamely prevailed. FIRENZE FIRE displayed good speed, pressed the pace on the outside, passed the half-mile pole under coaxing, drew even with YAUPON in the two path on the turn, was asked for his best while three wide into the stretch, dueled outside of YAUPON under a right-handed crop, began to savage that foe badly coming to the sixteenth pole, continued to savage that opponent while the rider attempted to reach up and pull him off using the right rein, lost momentum in the process, had the jockey’s hand slip off the rein multiple times while trying to gather it up, was finally able to grab the rein about forty yards from the wire while bumping at that juncture and just missed.”

The word was that Yaupon came out of the race with nothing more than a little nick on his cheek. In the final furlong, Yaupon’s tongue was flapping out of the left side of his moth. He’s fortunate it was not the right side of his mouth or else he might have had it bitten and perhaps even bitten off by Firenze Fire.

As for Firenze Fire being the victim in a savaging incident perpetrated by Whereshetoldmetogo during the 2018 Gallant Bob, the Equibase chart comments state: “FIRENZE FIRE pursed the pacesetter inside, angled out on the turn when advancing, led briefly at the quarter pole, was passed nearing the eighth pole, fought back to regain the advantage and was savaged by outside rival nearing the finish in a determined victory. WHERESHETOLDMETOGO chased very wide down the backstretch, rallied strongly wide and led narrowly at the eighth pole, lost the lead and savaged the winner approaching the wire.”

2: Trainer Brad Cox’s number of Breeders’ Cup Classic contenders. It appears that Cox will have a strong one-two punch in that $6 million affair with Grade I Whitney Stakes winner Knicks Go and Essential Quality. They rank 1-3 in this week’s NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll.

Below is the Top 10 in this week’s NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll:

Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

1. 325 Knicks Go (19)
2. 307 Letruska (6)
3. 294 Essential Quality (10)
4. 183 Gamine
5. 166 Maxfield
6. 119 Domestic Spending
7. 115 Jackie’s Warrior
8. 90 Malathaat
9. 69 Silver State
10. 43 Hot Rod Charlie

2: Number of Travers wins by jockey Luis Saez. In addition to collaborating with Essential Quality in last Saturday’s renewal, Saez won the 2013 Travers aboard Will Take Charge. Essential Quality provided Cox with what looks like will be the first of multiple Travers victories for the trainer.

3: This was how many career starts that Miles D had made prior to this year’s Travers. Considering that, I think he did quite well to finish third, 5 1/4 lengths behind Essential Quality.

Though Miles D was no match for Essential Quality or Midnight Bourbon when the real test came, Miles D did continue his upward trajectory in the Beyer Speed Figure department. Trained by Hall of Famer Steve Asmussen, the Kentucky-bred Curlin colt recorded a 77 Beyer in his first race, followed by figures of 85, 95 and a 100 in the Travers.

I think Miles D is an extremely interesting 3-year-old going forward.

5: Letruska extended her winning streak to five when she prevailed by a half-length in the Personal Ensign Stakes last Saturday. Ridden by Irad Ortiz Jr., the 5-year-old Kentucky-bred Super Saver mare set the pace in the 1 1/8-mile affair. Letruska seemed to be in deep trouble toward the end of the race when three opponents -- Bonny South, Royal Flag and Dunbar Road -- were making a serious charge at the leader and odds-on favorite.

But displaying Personal Ensign-like determination, Letruska dug deep in the closing yards to stave off all of the late challengers.

Trainer Fausto Gutierrez has done a marvelous job with Letruska. Since a narrow loss to Shedaresthedevil in Oaklawn Park’s Grade II Azeri Stakes on March 13, Letruska has reeled off victories in the Grade I Apple Blossom Handicap at Oaklawn, Grade I Ogden Phipps Stakes at Belmont Park, Grade II Fleur de Lis Stakes at Churchill Downs and Grade I Personal Ensign at Saratoga.

5: This was how many favorites won Saratoga’s six Grade I races last Saturday. These betting choices succeeded at the Grade I level last Saturday at the Spa: Gamine at 1-5 in the Ballerina Stakes, Yaupon at 2-1 in the Forego, Letruska at 3-5 in the Personal Ensign, Gufo at 5-2 in the Sword Dancer and Essential Quality at 2-5 in the Travers.

When Jackie’s Warrior won a rousing edition of the H. Allen Jerkens Memorial at odds of 3-2, he was the only winner of the six Grade I races at Saratoga last Saturday who was not the favorite. Jackie’s Warrior, another Asmussen trainee, won the seven-furlong Jerkens by a neck over 4-5 favorite Life Is Good. It was the first defeat by Life Is Good in four lifetime starts.

Life Is Good won his first three races when trained by Hall of Famer Bob Baffert. The Kentucky-bred Into Mischief colt then was sidelined when he emerged from a terrific six-furlong workout in 1:11.40 on March 20 at Santa Anita with a hind-ankle injury that required surgery. The Jerkens was Life Is Good’s first start for Hall of Fame trainer Todd Pletcher.

According to Pletcher, among the races under consideration for Life Is Good’s next start are the Grade I Pennsylvania Derby at Parx on Sept. 25, the Grade II Kelso Handicap at Belmont the same day or the Grade I Woodward Stakes at Belmont on Oct. 2.

Jackie’s Warrior is likely to make his next start in the Grade II Vosburgh Stakes at Belmont on Oct. 9. The Jerkens was Jackie’s Warrior’s first Grade I victory. The Kentucky-bred Maclean’s Music colt now has won seven of 10 lifetime starts. Two of his three losses have come in races won by Essential Quality.

5: The number of distances Essential Quality has won at in his nine career starts. He’s won at six furlongs, 1 1/16 miles, 1 1/8 miles, 1 1/4 miles and 1 1/2 miles.

6: This is where I have Native Dancer ranked on my list of Top 25 Racehorses of the 20th and 21st Centuries to have raced in North America:

1. Man o’ War
2. Secretariat*
3. Citation*
4. Kelso
5. Spectacular Bid
6. Native Dancer
7. Dr. Fager
8. Seattle Slew*
9. Count Fleet*
10. Affirmed*
11. Ruffian
12. Swaps
13. Phar Lap
14. Forego
15. American Pharoah*
16. Buckpasser
17. Damascus
18. Round Table
19. Seabiscuit
20. War Admiral*
21. Tom Fool
22. Colin
23. John Henry
24. Zenyatta
25. Regret

*Triple Crown winner.

The parallels between all-time great Native Dancer and Essential Quality continued when Essential Quality emulated Native Dancer as a Travers winner.

In 1952, Native Dancer was an undefeated 2-year-old male champion. Essential Quality was an undefeated 2-year-old champion in 2020.

In 1953, Native Dancer had lost only once in his career going into the Travers Stakes at Saratoga. In 2021, Essential Quality had been defeated just once going into the Travers.

Native Dancer’s only defeat prior to the Travers had come in the Kentucky Derby. Essential Quality’s lone defeat prior to this year’s Travers likewise had come in the Run for the Roses.

A case can be made that both Essential Quality and Native Dancer were the best horse in the race when not winning the Kentucky Derby as the favorite.

Native Dancer lost the 1953 Kentucky Derby by just a head when he finished second after being “roughed at the first turn,” according to the race chart. The winner by a head was 24-1 Dark Star. The chart stated that Native Diver was “probably best.”

Essential Quality had a rough start and wide trip when he lost the 2021 Kentucky Derby by one length finishing fourth. First across the finish line was 12-1 Medina Spirit.

After losing the Kentucky Derby, Native Dancer resumed his winning ways by taking the Withers Stakes, Preakness Stakes, Dwyer Stakes, Arlington Classic and Travers Stakes.

After Essential Quality lost the Kentucky Derby, he resumed his winning ways by taking the Belmont Stakes, Jim Dandy and Travers.

6: The number of times that Keepmeinmind has finished behind Essential Quality in the six times they have raced against each other. Keepmeinmind finished fourth, 5 1/4 lengths behind Essential Quality, in the Travers.

8: The total number of victories by Essential Quality in nine career starts.

9: The total number of victories by Gamine in 10 career starts.

14: Victories by the now-retired Whitmore, who was pulled up and vanned off after finishing fifth in last Saturday’s Grade I Forego Stakes at Saratoga. The popular 8-year-old won 15 of 43 career starts and earned $4,502,350. Trained by Ron Moquett, Whitmore was voted a 2020 Eclipse Award as champion male sprinter following a campaign highlighted by a win in the Grade I BC Sprint at Keeneland.

Whitmore is done racing even though he seemed fine Sunday morning.

Jockey Joel Rosario jumped off Whitmore a short ways after the finish last Saturday.

“I ran down the track and when I got to him, the first thing Joel said to me was ‘boss, he’s okay, he just didn’t feel right,’ Moquette said Sunday in a Daily Racing Form story written by Mike Welsch. “He said his first thought was the horse was having a heat stroke. These guys are so intuitive. If the horses don’t feel normal, they jump off and take care of the animal. I’ll never be able to thank him enough for having done that.”

It’s unfortunate that Whitmore will not be defending his BC Sprint win at Del Mar this year. The 8-year-old Kentucky-bred Pleasantly Perfect gelding had tried unsuccessfully to win that race three times before last year. Prior to 2020, Whitmore had started in the BC Sprint in 2017 (finishing eighth), 2018 (second) and 2019 (third).

14: This is the record for most wins by a trainer in the Del Mar Futurity. Baffert will be trying to win the race again this Monday. His previous winners were Silver Charm (1996), Souvenir Copy (1997), Worldly Manner (1998), Forest Camp (1999), Flame Thrower (2000), Officer (2001), Icecoldbeeratreds (2002), Midshipman (2008), Lookin At Lucky (2009), Drill (2011), Rolling Fog (2012), American Pharoah (2015), Klimt (2016) and Game Winner (2018).

Winning the Del Mar Futurity as a maiden was a harbinger of big things to come for American Pharoah. The following year, of course, he ended a 37-year Triple Crown drought.

19: According to Trakus, Essential Quality traveled 19 feet farther than the runner-up in the Travers.

As for Essential Quality, in each of his most recent four wins, he traveled farther than the runner-up, according to Trakus, as noted below:

--Travers on Aug. 28: Essential Quality won by a neck and traveled 19 feet (approximately two lengths) farther than runner-up Midnight Bourbon.

--Jim Dandy on July 31: Essential Quality won by a half-length and traveled 38 feet (approximately four lengths) farther than runner-up Keepmeinmind.

--Belmont Stakes on June 5: Essential Quality won by 1 1/4 lengths and traveled 45 feet (approximately five lengths) farther than runner-up Hot Rod Charlie.

--Blue Grass Stakes on April 3: Essential Quality won by a neck and traveled 24 feet (approximately 2 1/2 lengths) farther than runner-up Highly Motivated.

In the Kentucky Derby on May 1, Essential Quality finished fourth and lost by one length. He traveled 68 feet (approximately seven to eight lengths) farther than first-place finisher Medina Spirit.

79: Retired Thoroughbred trainer Junior Coffey’s age when he passed away Monday at St. Francis Hospital in Federal Way, Wash., according to wife Kathy.

Coffey was a star football player at the University of Washington in the early 1960s. During his time at that school, he became interested in horse racing when taken to beautiful Longacres. That’s something I had in common with him. Longacres also played an important role in my becoming a huge horse racing fan when I was taken there in the 1960s by my late father.

In 1965, Coffey was selected in the seventh round of the NFL draft by the Green Bay Packers. Playing for legendary coach Vince Lombardi, Coffey was a member of the Packers team that was the 1965 NFL champions. Coffey went on to play for the Atlanta Falcons and New York Giants.

After Coffey’s NFL career ended in 1971, he eventually embarked on a career as a horse trainer. And having seen lots of his horses run, I can attest that he was a darn good trainer. A horse trained by Junior Coffey was always a horse not to be ignored by bettors.

Coffey came close to winning the most coveted prize in racing in the Pacific Northwest when Raise the Bluff finished second and lost by only a head as the 3-1 favorite in the 2007 Longacres Mile at Emerald Downs. Raise the Bluff did capture Emerald’s biggest race for 3-year-olds, the Emerald (now Muckleshoot) Derby in 2006.

Going back to when I worked for the Daily Racing Form at Longacres in the 1970s up until I was a television commentator for the Fox Sports Northwest telecast of the Longacres Mile from 2001-2003, I spoke with Coffey on numerous occasions.

I can honestly say that I have never met a nicer person than Junior Coffey.

92: The Beyer Speed Figure recorded by the promising Jack Christopher when he won a Saratoga six-furlong maiden special weight race at first asking by 8 3/4 lengths as an 11-10 favorite last Saturday. Chad Brown trains the Kentucky-bred Munnings colt.

“That horse had really been training well and was one of the handful of buzz two-year-olds to run here this meet,” Brown said Sunday in a Daily Racing Form story written by David Grening. “Big relief for a trainer when they run to those works.”

Next for Jack Christopher is the Grade I Champagne Stakes at Belmont Park on Oct. 2.

101: The Beyer Speed Figure recorded by Letruska in last Saturday’s Grade I Personal Ensign Stakes.

102: The Beyer Speed Figure recorded by Ginobili when victorious in last Saturday’s Grade II Pat O’Brien Stakes at Del Mar at odds of 5-1. The 4-year-old Munnings gelding headed into that seven-furlong race off a July 17 win in a one-mile allowance/optional claiming contest at Del Mar in which he registered a career-best Beyer of 104.

Trainer Richard Baltas says it’s now on to the Grade I BC Dirt Mile at Del Mar in early November for Ginobili.

103: The career-best Beyer Speed Figure recorded by Yaupon in last Saturday’s Grade I Forego Stakes.

104: The Beyer Speed Figure recorded by Gamine in last Saturday’s Grade I Ballerina Stakes and by Gufo in last Saturday’s Grade I Sword Dancer Stakes. This is the highest Beyer credited to Gufo so far.

107: The Beyer Speed Figure recorded by both Essential Quality in last Saturday’s Travers Stakes and by Jackie’s Warrior in last Saturday’s Grade I H. Allen Jerkens Memorial Stakes. This is the biggest Beyer achieved by Jackie’s Warrior to date.

44,507: The paid attendance at Saratoga for last Saturday’s Travers Stakes. This was way up from 2020. Because of COVID-19, paid attendance at the 2020 Travers was 0.

51.3 million: Taking into account all sources, a total $51,381,515 was wagered on last Saturday’s 13-race Saratoga card that was headed by the Travers Stakes.

Wow.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks Arlington - Race #4


Picks
Notes


#1 Smokin Richie
He and his teammate drawn just outside of him figure to be a handful here, but this guy might offer a slightly better price on the board.


#2 Kennesaw
Forward player has a mild pressing gear that he's likely to use in this spot while prompting his stablemate in the early going. Underlaid chance.


#6 Stormin El Prado
He dropped in to score with easier last time out, but he should be in line for another pretty good trip while racing just off the top pair. Not impossible at a price right back.


Race Summary
Smokin Richie and Kennesaw have similar forward styles for the top team, but they do look likely to stick around late, with Stormin El Prado maybe being the one to split them to boost the gimmicks.


Arlington - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#5 Seven Scents
He has been a fairly reliable underneath player in recent starts and now goes first off the claim while moving from one capable barn to another. Spying trip could land this.


#3 High Crime
He gets into an easier spot this time around after a string of five straight stakes tries. He has a right to be tough here, but he doesn't have to win this.


#7 Chinobe
Dangerous pace fits well here while racing back for the claiming tag in a condition he has already cleared, but he really only has one gear and can be beaten if headed.


Race Summary
Seven Scents makes the trip north after a few useful turf sprints with good groups. He has run okay in some stakes tries, so this spot might suit him well.


Arlington - Race #8


Picks
Notes


#1 Emily Bug
She's going to be a price and has the look of a type who might need just a little step forward to land this one. Reliable enough runner needs a perfectly timed move. Turf at this level does the trick?


#2 Stack Shack
Tactical pace probably won't offer a great price in here, but her baseline form is pretty reliable and makes her a logical win candidate again here.


#5 Bow Down Tewmey
Tactical type fell a head short at even-money when trying this level last time out, and while she's an obvious player in here, she is no sure thing to repeat that last run with some spotty form.


Race Summary
Emily Bug drops to try this level on the turf for the first time, and her overall form is intriguing when considering the likely attractive price she'll offer here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks Freehold - Race #7


Picks
Notes


#5 ANDWIN HANOVER
Iron horse still going strong at age 11, price attached.


#4 I'M J BEE N
New Zealand arrival romped in qualifier for 19-percent barn.


#3 DRINKIN AGAIN
Classy 7-year-old fits well on drop, driver's choice on a double call.


Race Summary
Andwin Hanover finished second from on and off the pace recently and offers plenty of value in her 298th start. She meets several class-droppers, so play a 3-4-5 exacta box.


Pocono Downs - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#9 BELLA BELLINI
Fired blank off Hambletonian Oaks win, expecting a big bounce-back effort.


#5 FLAWLESS COUNTRY
Trapped and shuffled in third quarter, willing mid-track finish in stakes.


#4 YOU ATO DREAM
Bid early into fast pace, couldn't hold lead as the favorite.


Race Summary
Not giving up on Hambletonian Oaks winner Bella Bellini despite starting from post 9 off a sub-par effort as the beaten favorite. She had a lively pace to run at and advanced some on the final turn, only to lack stretch kick. She is reunited with Dunn and can re-assert herself at the top of the 3yo pacing fillies division. Play 9-4 and 9-5 exactas


Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #5


Picks
Notes


#1 LYONS SENTINEL
Stakes-winning machine arrives off impressive win against boys.


#4 JK FIRST LADY
The last pacer to beat 'Lyons' can become a millionaire with victory.


#9 MACHNHOPE
Acclimated locally, loomed boldly against odds-on winner in open company.


Race Summary
Lyons Sentinel rallied to win at three tracks in her last three starts to improve to 17-39 lifetime as her bankroll swelled to $1.6 million. She beat the boys at Harrah's Philadelphia in 1:50 while rallying widest in the stretch. She was unhurried in fifth to the far turn, angled 4-wide for drive and blew past the leaders. Bet on her to win and place.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks Del Mar - Race #6


Picks
Notes


#7 Thirsty Always
Took a pop at open foes in the G2 Best Pal and settled for fourth; won an open stakes event at Pleasanton after beating Cal-breds at Santa Anita. Can benefit from having been n in solid races.


#5 Rock N Bye
Romped in his last two, including the Graduation Stakes here; will be difficult to beat.


#8 Moose Mitchell
Still a maiden after two races but showed improvement in his most recent attempt and can benefit from the rider switch from an apprentice to Flavien Plat.


Race Summary
Thirsty Always has the class edge after playing with open company and will be tough as he returns to restricted company.


Del Mar - Race #9


Picks
Notes


#1 Maxim Rate
Won the G1 Gamely two races back and followed with a third in the G2 Yellow Ribbon; has a good closing move and will be ultra tough at 1 1-8 miles.


#5 She's Our Charm
Broke poorly in her first one of this season and has had some good performances, including her second-place finish two back at Santa Anita; can carve out a good trip just off the lead.


#3 Dogtag
Finished just ahead of Maxim Rate in the Yellow Ribbon and has been second in three straight; does well stretching out.


Race Summary
Maxim Rate has the class edge and is very consistent; Grade 1 winner will be difficult to hold off in this spot.


Del Mar - Race #11


Picks
Notes


#9 Zoffarelli
Ran on well and just missed in the G3 LaJolla in his first U.S. start; can run them down here.


#1 Hudson Ridge
Was third in a three-horse photo and has been running well second; in the hunt throughout.


#10 Jimmy Blue Jeans
Has won three straight, including the Snow Chief vs. Cal-breds at this 1 1-8th-mile distance.


Race Summary
Zoffarelli missed by a inch in his first start here after running well in Great Britain; doesn't have to improve much and is well-spotted here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs



Evangeline Downs - Race 1

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)



Claiming $10,000 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 5:50P


FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. LOUISIANA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * LAST APPEAL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MIZSPELT: Horse has run a G ood Race within the last 30 days. PERFECT PERIGEE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. POWERSHOT: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. PIONEER PRIDE: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner wit h an inside post position.



4

LAST APPEAL

5/1


5/1




7

MIZSPELT

7/2


7/1




6

PERFECT PERIGEE

5/2


8/1




1

POWERSHOT

2/1


8/1




2

PIONEER PRIDE

8/1


8/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




2

PIONEER PRIDE

2


8/1

Front-runner

66


58


88.2


35.1


25.6




6

PERFECT PERIGEE

6


5/2

Front-runner

68


65


73.6


66.0


58.0




1

POWERSHOT

1


2/1

Front-runner

65


68


42.7


57.8


49.8




7

MIZSPELT

7


7/2

Stalker

68


64


62.5


62.7


55.7




4

LAST APPEAL

4


5/1

Alternator/Stalker

72


71


40.8


60.1


57.1




5

YANK CRIME

5


15/1

Alternator/Non-contender

61


62


79.0


52.2


39.7




3

MY PAL MATTIE

3


10/1

Alternator/Non-contender

66


62


63.2


55.1


48.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Woodbine



Woodbine - Race 7

Rolling Double / Exacta / 0.20 Trifecta / 0.20 Superfecta 0.20 Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) / 0.20 Pick 4 (Races 7-8-9-10)



Allowance • 6 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $101,200 • Post: 4:13P


FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $9,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR RESTRICTED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING SINCE JULY 4 ALLOWED 2 LBS.





Contenders


Race Analysis




P#

Horse

Morn
Line


Accept
Odds





Race Type: Lone Front-runner. HARD STREET is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * HARD STREET: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. HAZELBROOK: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. IMAGERY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse' s third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SILVER DAHLIA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.



4

HARD STREET

5/1


5/1




10

HAZELBROOK

4/1


6/1




8

IMAGERY

2/1


7/1




7

SILVER DAHLIA

20/1


9/1
























P#


Horse (In Running Style Order)


Post


Morn
Line


Running Style


Good
Class


Good
Speed


Early Figure


Finish Figure


Platinum
Figure




4

HARD STREET

4


5/1

Front-runner

82


80


72.1


70.2


62.2




8

IMAGERY

8


2/1

Stalker

82


85


71.8


77.2


68.2




10

HAZELBROOK

10


4/1

Stalker

85


83


67.8


79.8


75.8




6

WEST PAW

6


12/1

Stalker

79


81


64.5


71.1


61.1




7

SILVER DAHLIA

7


20/1

Stalker

88


81


47.7


74.3


59.3




3

RED EQUINOX

3


6/1

Trailer

75


76


63.3


71.8


58.8




9

PIQUET

9


8/1

Trailer

81


77


61.8


79.0


68.5




5

ENCHANTED LADY

5


20/1

Trailer

85


81


33.2


67.3


55.8




2

STOKES

2


20/1

Alternator/Trailer

85


83


44.6


59.7


44.7




1

BEAT THE SYSTEM

1


8/1

Alternator/Non-contender

78


73


57.2


68.2


55.7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Delaware Park - Race #3 - Post: 2:15pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 92

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 IN HIM WITH HIM (ML=8/1)
#6 SANCOCHO (MEX) (ML=8/1)
#7 EMPTY NESTR (ML=3/1)
#4 IT'S FATE (ML=2/1)


IN HIM WITH HIM - Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. Ran a lackluster race at Delaware Park last time out. Racing on a fast track puts this gelding at the top of my contenders list. Should do well right here. Weight shift of -7 from Aug 23rd race at Delaware Park. SANCOCHO (MEX) - This colt is at the same 1 mile distance he won at on June 21st, which was at a higher class level than today's event. Entered a $6,250 Claiming race at Delaware Park last time out and raced on an off track finishing sixth. Has to do better today. EMPTY NESTR - This gelding is in nice form, having run a good race on August 23rd, finishing first. Just view his latest speed figure, 92. That one fits in this group. IT'S FATE - Morrow brings him back again. I suggest you stick with this live gelding.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 KIERLAND (ML=4/1), #5 MICE AND MEN (ML=6/1),

KIERLAND - Garnered a substandard speed fig last time around the track in a $5,000 Claiming race on Aug 18th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that figure. MICE AND MEN - Tough to like the downward flow (84/75/68) of speed figures.






STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#3 IN HIM WITH HIM is the play if we get odds of 9/2 or better



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,6,7]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ellis ParkAlways check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Allowance - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $52000 Class Rating: 98

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 4 ALLOWED 2 LBS.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 8 BREW CREW 3/1




# 7 GALLANT PLUNGER 6/1




# 1 TRASHTALKINYANKEE 4/1




BREW CREW looks solid to best this field. Foley has this gelding racing well and is a very good pick based on the very good Speed Figures put up in sprint races as of late. Has been running well lately and ought to be close to the front end early on. Ran a strong last race. GALLANT PLUNGER - Is difficult not to look at based on speed figures which have been strong - 84 avg - of late. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Asmussen have shown strong results recently. TRASHTALKINYANKEE - Ought to be given a chance here on the basis of the figs in the speed realm alone. He has very good class ratings, averaging 97, and has to be given a shot in this contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Monmouth Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 10 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Turf. Purse: $27500 Class Rating: 92

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE JULY 4 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $10,500 1 LB.




RECOMMENDED CHOICES



https://www.trackmaster.com/images/wg.gif


# 3 TRILOGY 6/1




# 8 IMPERIAL BREW 10/1




# 4 DUNCASTLE 2/1




I think TRILOGY is a decent choice. In this field, this one is highly ranked earnings per start in turf sprint events. IMPERIAL BREW - Strong chance today now going off Lasix. DUNCASTLE - He has been running well recently while recording sharp Equibase speed figs. Looks formidable to be up on the front end at the first call.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




https://www.trackmaster.com/images/bar.gif

Golden Gate Fields - Race #6 - Post: 4:22pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating: https://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpghttps://www.trackmaster.com/images/golden.jpg

#3 PROMOTE (IRE) (ML=6/1)
#5 ZELAIA (ML=9/5)
#4 SENORITA ESTRELLA (ML=10/1)
#1 MISS SKI (ML=4/1)


PROMOTE (IRE) - Based on this mare's recent efforts, she should benefit from today's shorter distance. Ran in the last race against much better company at Pleasanton. The move to a lower level should suit her well. ZELAIA - Took a class drop last race out at Golden Gate Fields. Trujillo keeps her at the same level in this race. I think that's a good move. SENORITA ESTRELLA - This rider and trainer's horses have been producing a positive return on investment. She'll be laying in the catbird's seat, right behind the front runners. I am keen on that recent effort on Aug 14th at Golden Gate Fields where she ended up second. MISS SKI - This jock and conditioner are reliable together. Winning percentage when teamed up is very hard to one up. Steiner had been running this filly at higher levels recently. Did win a $12,500 Claiming race though, on April 24th. Could do it again here. This filly is in nice condition. Ran third on August 15th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 ROLINGA (ML=2/1),

ROLINGA - You think this horse is going to win today just because she's always close. Just doesn't finish first often.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #3 PROMOTE (IRE) on the nose if you can get odds of 6/1 or more



EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,4]



TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip



SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:

None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga



09/04/21, SAR, Race 7, 3.53 ET
09/04/21,SAR,7,7F [Dirt] 1:20:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $100,000. (UP TO $17,400 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.


Rating
P#
Horse Name
M/L
Jockey
Trainer
Best
Occ
Win%
ROI


100.0000
3
Ten Gauge
5/1
Santana. Jr. R
Asmussen Steven M.
SF
229
37.55
1.40/$1


098.2146
11
Cloud Play
20/1
Franco M
Hamm Timothy E.
C
229
37.55
1.40/$1


094.1432
4
Misbehaved
7/2
Saez L
Pletcher Todd A.
T
229
37.55
1.40/$1


093.5305
1
Trafalgar
10/1
Velazquez J R
Stall. Jr. Albert M.
W
229
37.55
1.40/$1


093.0932
8
Galt
4/1
Rosario J
Mott William I.
J
229
37.55
1.40/$1


092.4605
10
Brigadier General
5/1
Franco M
Stewart Dallas
EL
229
37.55
1.40/$1


092.0270
2
Classic Causeway
6/1
Ortiz J L
Lynch Brian A.


229
37.55
1.40/$1


091.5411
5
Olympian
6/1
Castellano J
Weaver George


229
37.55
1.40/$1


090.7097
9
Tiz Eternal
15/1
Cancel E
Tagg Barclay


229
37.55
1.40/$1


089.2001
7
Atlantic Dancer
30/1
Gaffalione T
Zito Nicholas P.


229
37.55
1.40/$1


083.9364
6
Jurkovec
20/1
Davis D
Albertrani Thomas


229
37.55
1.40/$1


Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 42.50, ROI 1.24/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.7854
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Age Not 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ed Sehon

Saratoga

EARLY DAILY DOUBLE (Races Nos. 1-2, 12:35 p.m. ET/9:35 a.m. PT)

Race 1: 3,5,12

Race 2: 2,3,8

Wager: $2 Daily Double ($18)

$.50 PICK 4 (Races Nos. 2-5, 1:10 p.m. ET/10:10 a.m. PT)

Race 2: 2,3,8

Race 3: 1,4,6,7

Race 4: 7

Race 5: 1,2,4,5,6 ($30)

PRICE PLAY I (Race No. 5, 2:47 p.m. ET/11:47 a.m. PT)

Trainer upgrade from subpar Linda Rice to hot Brad Cox (31% wins) and cutback to 6 furlongs are the keys to victory for #5 Amendment Nineteen (4-1 morning line). Jose Ortiz stays. Mr. Ed exercises his right to vote for and Wager: $10 to Win & Place on 5 ($20)

EXACTA EXTRA (Race No. 7, 3:53 p.m. ET/12:53 p.m. PT)

Dallas Stewart 2-year-olds improve with age and experience. His #10 Brigadier General (5-1 morning line) making his third start, gets rider change to Manny Franco. Mr. Ed uses him top & under with #3 Ten Gauge (5-1), #4 Misbehaved (7-2) and #8 Gait (4-1). Wager: $4 Exacta Box 10/3,4 & 8. ($24)

PRICE PLAY II (Race No. 8, 4:27 p.m. ET/1:27 p.m. PT)

Wesley Ward ships Kentucky Derby starter #2 Like the King (6-1 morning line) up north for Grade 3, $200,000 Saranac Stakes following ultra-sharp works at Keeneland. Johnny Velasquez fit for this king. Mr. Ed crowns colt. Wager: $10 Win & Place on 2. ($20)

BEST BET (Race No. 10, 5:37 p.m. ET/2:37 p.m. PT)

Brad Cox is the trainer Mr. Ed rode in on (see Race No. 5 above). Late-blooming 3-year-old colt #3 Ducale (5-2 morning line) shows ton of upside. If he can repeat 97 Beyer Speed Figure in last, he’s a winner against this crew. Wager: $30 to Win on 3. ($30)

LATE DAILY DOUBLE (Races Nos. 11-12, 6:11 p.m. ET/3:11 p.m. PT)

In conditioner Bill Mott, Mr. Ed trusts to sweep Late DD with #3 War Like Goddess (4-1 morning line) in Race No. 11 and #1 Forza Di Oro (8-5 morning line) in Race No. 12. Wager: $10 Daily 3-1 Daily Double. ($10)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Lauro

Saratoga Race No. 11 (6:11 p.m. ET/3:11 p.m. PT)

#3 War Like Goddess (4-5 morning line) in the Grade 1 Flower Bowl Stakes. “War Like Goddess is a rising star in the female turf division. Best bet of the weekend.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Duane Colucci

Saratoga Race No. 10 (5:37 p.m. ET/2:37 p.m. PT)

#9 Crowded Trade (5-1 morning line). “Lost the Gotham by an inch in early March, then faced the top 3-year-olds in both the Wood and the Preakness. He gets significant class relief after a good comeback in the tough Amsterdam. Bet 9 to Win and key 9 over 6,8 & 10 in exactas, trifectas and reverse.”

Saratoga Race No. 12 (6:46 p.m. ET/3:46 p.m. PT)

#5 Night Ops (5-1 morning line) in the Grade 1 Jockey Club Gold Cup Stakes. “Love his last two races against top competition, including Art Collector, who came back to win the CT Classic. Should be close early. Trainer Brad Cox and jockey Manny Franco are hitting at 33# when teaming up this year. Should get a nice price. Bet 5 to Win and key 5 over 2 & 4 in exactas, trifectas and reverse.”


Del Mar Races Nos. 8-11 (8:07 p.m. ET/5:07 p.m. PT)

$0.50 Pick 4 (cost $80)

Race 8: 4,5,6,7
Race 9: 1,3,6,9
Race 10: 1,3,4,9,10
Race 11: 4,14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

A.I. Pick of the Week

Saratoga Race No. 10 (5:37 p.m. ET/2:37 p.m. PT)

#3 Ducale (5-2 ML odds)

Ducale ranks 1st in a whopping 16 of the 52 factors used by 1/ST BET A.I.

This 3-year-old colt also ranks 1st in 8 of the “Top 15 Factors” at betmix.com, including speed in last race, best average speed last 3 races, best speed at the track and best trainer winning percentage (Brad Cox).

He also ranks in the Top 5 in 5 of the other 7 categories, including best speed at the distance, best turn time and best trainer/jockey win percentage.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Winners for Saturday, September 4th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
MONMOUTH PARK
RACE #12
TIME: 5:30 PM EST
PICK: BET #7 South Bend 3/1 odds to win @ Bovada (https://www.nsawins.com/go/bovada-racebook/)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JR O'Donnell

Georgia ML +145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

Stanford PK

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Sean Higgs

Alabama vs Miami-FL UNDER 62

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Doc's Sports

LSU -3

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Scott Spreitzer:

#197 Syracuse (-1.5) over Ohio

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Red Dog Sports

Soccer | Swindon Town vs Stevenage FC

Draw +206

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Jimmy Boyd

1* Free Pick on Baylor -13½

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Kevin Dolan

Wisconsin -5.5

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Las Vegas Cris

Stanford +3

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The Gold Sheet

West Virginia -2.5

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Teddy Covers

Event: (227) Tulane at (228) Oklahoma

Under 68.5

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Tony Finn

Miami Florida +19.5

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Jimmy Adams

UCLA +3.5

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Dave Cokin

UTSA +6.5

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Rob Vinciletti

USC -14

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ASA

Penn State vs Wisconsin UNDER 50

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Tokyo Brandon

Event: (304133) Yokohama BayStars at (304134) Chunichi Dragons

1H Total Under 3

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Sean Murphy

New Mexico State vs San Diego State UNDER 51

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The Prez

San Jose State +14

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Dwayne Bryant

Event: (179) Alabama at (180) Miami Florida

Under 61

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Kyle Anthony

Event: (24369) Sergey Spivak at (24370) Tom Aspinall

Sergey Spivak +215

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Bobby Ligs

Florida State +8

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Marco D'Angelo

(193) Texas Tech at (194) Houston Under 64.5

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Insider Sports Report

Baylor -14 over Texas St.

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Primetime Sports Picks

Baylor -14 over Texas St.

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National Sports Service

Syracuse/Ohio OVER 56

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Doc's Picks

Illinois -4.5 over Texas-San Antonio

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Top Rank Sports Picks®

Navy +2.5 over Marshall

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Elite Sports Picks

Alabama/Miami-Florida UNDER 61.5

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Mike Wynn

Oregon St +7½ over Purdue

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The Sports Consensus

Texas Tech +1.5 over Houston

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Totals4U

Fresno State/Oregon under 64

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Razor Sharp

UL-MONROE +31 over Kentucky

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Atlantic Sports

Pittsburgh Panthers -38

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#1 Sports

Arkansas Razorbacks -19.5

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Oskeim Sports

Western Michigan +17.5 (-109)
Penn State +5 (-105)

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Wayne Root

Kansas State -3 (-105)
Rutgers -15 (-102)

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AAA Sports

Iowa -3.5 (-115)

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Hollywood Anthony

Fresno St. +20½

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Tony Sacco

Fresno St. +20½

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John Anthony Sports

Louisiana-Lafayette

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Kenny Towers

Akron +37 over Auburn

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High Stakes Syndicate

Cincinnati Bearcats -22.5

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Vegas Steam Line

SAN JOSE ST +14 over USC

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Teyas Sports

SMU -31.5

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3G-SPORTS

2* Rutgers -14.5

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Underdog Sportsline

Navy +115
UCLA +2.5 (-105)

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BTC Sports

Marshall -2.5

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Dr. Chuck

Iowa -160

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Matt Josephs

Holy Cross-UConn under 51.5

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The Gold Sheet

Fresno State +20.5 (-105)

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Huddle Up Sports

Alabama -19

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Hawkeye Sports

Central Michigan Chippewas +14

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Golden Dragon

Navy +2

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Nevada Sharpshooter

GEORGIA ST -2½ over Army

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Platinum Plays

Florida Atlantic Owls +23½ over Florida

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Power Sports

San Diego State -30 (-127)

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Nelly's Sports

San Jose State +14 (-105)

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Dave Price

Mississippi State over 52½ -

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Jack Jones

UCLA under 65

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Info Plays

Iowa over 45½ -105

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Marc Lawrence

Indiana +4

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John Martin

Iowa -3½

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Brandon Lee

Mississippi State -22½

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Calvin King

Red Sox -185

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Big Al McMordie
Georgia Tech

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Chris Jordan

3* INDIANA

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Mitchell Newman

1* MIAMI-FLORIDA

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Jack Brayman

2* UTSA

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Trace Adams

2* GEORGIA-CLEMSON UNDER

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Gus Augustine

5* BYU

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Jay McNeil

3* TEMPLE

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Vegas Black Card Club

Mets over 6.5

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Profit On Sports

Stanford +3.5

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Gameday Network

LSU -3

Braves -125

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Vegas SI

UL Lafayette +8.5

A's-Jays over 9.5

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Vegas Line Crushers

Royals-White Sox over 9

Baylor over 53

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Andy Iskoe

#162 Kentucky -30

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NY Players Club

Miami Ohio over 49.5

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Fred Callahan

New Mexico St +31

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Las Vegas Private CEO Club

BYU -12.5

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Michigan Sports

So Mississippi +2

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National Consensus Report

Georgia +3

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Jim Feist

Oregon State

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Billy Irish

#160 Kansas State

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Vegas Hotsheet

#193 Texas Tech

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Sports Action 365

So Mississippi under 65.5

Rangers-Angels over 8.5

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NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino)

West Virginia -3

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Vegas SI Platinum Info Club

Stanford under 54